2020-21 Prva HNL Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Dinamo Zagreb

85 points · 22nd Title

Last Title: 2019-20

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Osijek

9.14 points above expected

77 points · 67.86 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lokomotiva Zagreb

11.54 points below expected

30 points · 41.54 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Dinamo Zagreb Champion	36	26	7	3	85	84	28	+56	77.64	+7.36
2	Osijek	36	23	8	5	77	59	25	+34	67.86	+9.14
3	Rijeka	36	18	7	11	61	51	46	+5	56.99	+4.01
4	Hajduk Split	36	18	6	12	60	48	37	+11	55.67	+4.33
5	Gorica	36	17	8	11	59	60	47	+13	58.38	+0.62
6	Sibenik	36	9	8	19	35	32	47	-15	38.01	-3.01
7	Slaven Belupo	36	7	13	16	34	36	53	-17	40.97	-6.97
8	Lokomotiva Zagreb	36	7	9	20	30	29	60	-31	41.54	-11.54
9	Istra 1961	36	7	8	21	29	27	52	-25	29.24	-0.24
10	Varazdin	36	6	10	20	28	30	61	-31	32.97	-4.97

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Osijek	77	67.86	+9.14
2	Dinamo Zagreb	85	77.64	+7.36
3	Hajduk Split	60	55.67	+4.33
4	Rijeka	61	56.99	+4.01
5	Gorica	59	58.38	+0.62

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Lokomotiva Zagreb	30	41.54	-11.54
2	Slaven Belupo	34	40.97	-6.97
3	Varazdin	28	32.97	-4.97
4	Sibenik	35	38.01	-3.01
5	Istra 1961	29	29.24	-0.24

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Osijek	6	Sep 12 – Nov 4	1 in 68
2	Rijeka	6	Mar 17 – Apr 21	1 in 64
3	Istra 1961	3	Mar 5 – Mar 13	1 in 52
4	Dinamo Zagreb	7	Feb 2 – Mar 21	1 in 22
5	Gorica	4	Aug 14 – Sep 13	1 in 21

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hajduk Split	3	Oct 3 – Oct 31	1 in 96
2	Lokomotiva Zagreb	6	Mar 10 – Apr 17	1 in 73
3	Slaven Belupo	5	Apr 24 – May 15	1 in 59
4	Varazdin	6	Sep 20 – Nov 7	1 in 43
5	Sibenik	4	Nov 20 – Jan 22	1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Slaven Belupo	6	Mar 20 – Apr 20	1 in 68
2	Osijek	11	Sep 12 – Dec 5	1 in 34
3	Sibenik	5	Jan 26 – Feb 10	1 in 27
4	Hajduk Split	8	Feb 10 – Apr 11	1 in 22
5	Rijeka	8	Mar 12 – Apr 25	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lokomotiva Zagreb	11	Aug 30 – Nov 28	1 in 231
2	Gorica	7	Mar 7 – Apr 20	1 in 113
3	Slaven Belupo	11	Feb 2 – Apr 11	1 in 46
4	Rijeka	7	Feb 10 – Mar 12	1 in 45
5	Sibenik	10	Feb 13 – Apr 20	1 in 34

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Dinamo Zagreb	1913	85	+22	11	11.2	-0.2
Osijek	1824	77	+3	10	11.0	-1.0
Rijeka	1706	61	+0	9	7.7	+1.3
Hajduk Split	1737	60	+56	13	8.0	+5.0
Gorica	1680	59	-34	6	6.7	-0.7
Sibenik	1544	35	-23	3	5.0	-2.0
Slaven Belupo	1527	34	-31	3	5.9	-2.9
Lokomotiva Zagreb	1535	30	+9	7	5.5	+1.5
Istra 1961	1480	29	-5	4	4.4	-0.4
Varazdin	1465	28	-9	2	3.2	-1.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	DZ	GOR	HS	I1	LZ	OSI	RIJ	SIB	SB	VAR
Dinamo Zagreb	—	4-0-0 7.81	3-1-0 8.13	4-0-0 9.74	3-1-0 8.69	2-1-1 6.95	2-1-1 8.07	2-1-1 9.43	3-1-0 9.05	3-1-0 9.65
Gorica	0-0-4 3.28	—	2-1-1 6.02	2-2-0 8.67	3-1-0 7.09	2-1-1 4.40	1-1-2 5.85	3-1-0 7.49	2-0-2 7.26	2-1-1 7.96
Hajduk Split	0-1-3 2.99	1-1-2 5.00	—	3-0-1 8.15	3-0-1 7.30	1-1-2 4.20	3-0-1 5.05	3-0-1 7.61	1-3-0 7.20	3-0-1 7.92
Istra 1961	0-0-4 1.61	0-2-2 2.50	1-0-3 2.97	—	2-2-0 4.11	0-0-4 1.98	0-1-3 2.68	2-0-2 4.08	2-1-1 4.30	0-2-2 4.97
Lokomotiva Zagreb	0-1-3 2.50	0-1-3 3.97	1-0-3 3.76	0-2-2 6.93	—	0-0-4 2.99	1-0-3 3.98	1-1-2 5.97	2-2-0 5.61	2-2-0 6.52
Osijek	1-1-2 4.09	1-1-2 6.63	2-1-1 6.84	4-0-0 9.29	4-0-0 8.15	—	2-2-0 6.59	4-0-0 8.46	2-2-0 7.98	3-1-0 8.80
Rijeka	1-1-2 3.04	2-1-1 5.17	1-0-3 5.97	3-1-0 8.47	3-0-1 7.07	0-2-2 4.44	—	2-1-1 7.60	3-1-0 7.15	3-0-1 8.15
Sibenik	1-1-2 1.86	0-1-3 3.57	1-0-3 3.47	2-0-2 6.96	2-1-1 5.05	0-0-4 2.69	1-1-2 3.48	—	1-2-1 5.19	1-2-1 6.12
Slaven Belupo	0-1-3 2.18	2-0-2 3.80	0-3-1 3.85	1-1-2 6.73	0-2-2 5.40	0-2-2 3.13	0-1-3 3.90	1-2-1 5.82	—	3-1-0 6.40
Varazdin	0-1-3 1.68	1-1-2 3.16	1-0-3 3.17	2-2-0 6.04	0-2-2 4.51	0-1-3 2.41	1-0-3 2.97	1-2-1 4.89	0-1-3 4.62	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.91	+11.0
Allowed	0.84	-15.8
Differential	0.97	+7.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	11.67%	8.06%	2.50%	1.39%	0.83%	30.00%
1	11.67%	12.22%	6.67%	1.67%	0.83%	1.11%	34.17%
2	8.06%	6.67%	5.00%	2.22%	0.83%	—	22.78%
3	2.50%	1.67%	2.22%	0.56%	0.56%	—	7.50%
4	1.39%	0.83%	0.83%	0.56%	—	—	3.61%
5+	0.83%	1.11%	—	—	—	—	1.94%
Total	30.00%	34.17%	22.78%	7.50%	3.61%	1.94%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.27	1.27	+0.00
SD	1.19	1.19	1.78
CV	0.94	0.94	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
1	16.67%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	30.56%
2	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
3	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
5+	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
Total	50.00%	27.78%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.33	0.78	+1.56
SD	1.55	0.93	1.86
CV	0.66	1.19	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	19.44%
1	11.11%	13.89%	8.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	5.56%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
3	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	13.89%
4	—	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	25.00%	41.67%	19.44%	5.56%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.67	1.31	+0.36
SD	1.33	1.17	1.62
CV	0.80	0.89	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	19.44%	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	41.67%
2	19.44%	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	36.11%
3	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	41.67%	27.78%	22.22%	2.78%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.33	1.03	+0.31
SD	0.89	1.13	1.49
CV	0.67	1.10	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	27.78%	8.33%	—	—	2.78%	41.67%
1	11.11%	16.67%	13.89%	—	2.78%	2.78%	47.22%
2	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
3	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.89%	50.00%	27.78%	—	2.78%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.75	1.44	-0.69
SD	0.81	1.18	1.41
CV	1.07	0.82	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	5.56%	16.67%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	47.22%
1	11.11%	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
2	—	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	13.89%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	22.22%	27.78%	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.81	1.67	-0.86
SD	0.98	1.41	1.82
CV	1.22	0.85	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
1	16.67%	13.89%	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	38.89%
2	19.44%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	30.56%
3	11.11%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	55.56%	30.56%	8.33%	—	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	0.69	+0.94
SD	1.05	1.04	1.58
CV	0.64	1.49	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
1	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	19.44%
2	11.11%	19.44%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	38.89%
3	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	38.89%	25.00%	8.33%	—	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	1.28	+0.14
SD	1.11	1.11	1.57
CV	0.78	0.87	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	25.00%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	50.00%
1	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
2	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	19.44%
3	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	38.89%	19.44%	13.89%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.89	1.31	-0.42
SD	1.09	1.09	1.59
CV	1.23	0.84	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	8.33%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	38.89%
1	8.33%	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	—	2.78%	36.11%
2	2.78%	2.78%	11.11%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	25.00%	25.00%	33.33%	13.89%	—	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.47	-0.47
SD	1.12	1.18	1.63
CV	1.12	0.80	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	16.67%	11.11%	—	5.56%	2.78%	41.67%
1	8.33%	16.67%	8.33%	2.78%	—	2.78%	38.89%
2	—	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.89%	38.89%	27.78%	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.83	1.69	-0.86
SD	0.91	1.31	1.57
CV	1.09	0.77	—
Max	4	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Dinamo Zagreb	1913	85	77.64	+7.36	84.0%	57	65	73	77	82	89	93
Osijek	1824	77	67.86	+9.14	85.0%	47	54	63	67	74	81	86
Hajduk Split	1737	60	55.67	+4.33	71.0%	37	41	52	55	61	69	71
Rijeka	1706	61	56.99	+4.01	69.0%	38	42	52	57	62	71	80
Gorica	1680	59	58.38	+0.62	55.0%	38	45	54	58	63	69	80
Sibenik	1544	35	38.01	-3.01	33.0%	23	25	33	39	42	49	55
Lokomotiva Zagreb	1535	30	41.54	-11.54	6.0%	24	28	36	42	47	51	62
Slaven Belupo	1527	34	40.97	-6.97	21.0%	24	29	35	40	46	53	68
Istra 1961	1480	29	29.24	-0.24	53.0%	16	19	24	29	34	40	48
Varazdin	1465	28	32.97	-4.97	24.0%	14	22	29	32	37	42	46

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 18.5% * Slight Edge: 18.5% to 25.5% * Clear Edge: 25.5% to 33% * Strong Edge: 33% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+4.44%

No Edge

40.56%23.33%36.11%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 15.45 Elo pts.

190 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.10 goals

Neutral

-2+0.08+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.13 * Tight Race: 0.13 to 0.23 * Comfortable: 0.23 to 0.46 * Runaway: 0.46 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.6

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

78%

Dinamo Zagreb, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.22/gm

Tight Race

00.270.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.88 * Some Luck: 5.88 to 8.82 * Lucky: 8.82 to 11.77 * Wild Swing: 11.77 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.76 * Close: 0.76 to 1.14 * Off: 1.14 to 1.53 * Way Off: 1.53 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.23 points

Some Luck

07.3518

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

00.952

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

85.00%

Osijek

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

6.00%

Lokomotiva Zagreb

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.22 * Lopsided: 0.22 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 67% * Clear Edge: 67% to 71% * Wide Edge: 71% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90% * Clear Edge: 90% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58% * Some Drama: 58% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 64% * Very Frequent: 64% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 16.5% * Frequent: 16.5% to 19.5% * Very Frequent: 19.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.22

Lopsided

00.170.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 153.80

2.66

Wide Separation

11.852.353.5

Interquartile Edge

76%

Wide Edge

50%65%71%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 95%

93%

Strong Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

66%

Very Frequent

0%60%100%

Blowouts

Expected

13%

Rare

0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.46 * Lopsided: 0.46 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.65 * Strong Carryover: 0.65 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 21.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 21.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 17% * Very Shaky: 17% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.55

Highly Predictable

00.582

Matchup Imbalance

0.42

Slight Separation

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.71

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.84

Near-Lock

00.570.791

Upset Rate

Expected

21%

Upset-Prone

0%22%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

16%

Shaky Favorites

0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.36

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.31

Very Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.081

Well Within Noise

00.1230.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Dinamo Zagreb	78.00%	19.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Osijek	17.00%	54.00%	17.00%	9.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Rijeka	3.00%	8.00%	29.00%	24.00%	26.00%	5.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	—
Hajduk Split	1.00%	9.00%	18.00%	31.00%	30.00%	6.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	—
Gorica	1.00%	9.00%	32.00%	31.00%	17.00%	6.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—
Sibenik	—	—	—	2.00%	6.00%	17.00%	24.00%	22.00%	20.00%	9.00%
Slaven Belupo	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	11.00%	21.00%	26.00%	21.00%	13.00%	5.00%
Lokomotiva Zagreb	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	8.00%	34.00%	19.00%	20.00%	10.00%	7.00%
Istra 1961	—	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	6.00%	17.00%	20.00%	54.00%
Varazdin	—	—	—	—	—	8.00%	14.00%	16.00%	37.00%	25.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Dinamo Zagreb	100%	—
Gorica	100%	—
Hajduk Split	100%	—
Osijek	100%	—
Rijeka	100%	—
Slaven Belupo	95.00%	5.00%
Lokomotiva Zagreb	93.00%	7.00%
Sibenik	91.00%	9.00%
Varazdin	75.00%	25.00%
Istra 1961	46.00%	54.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2020-08-14	Gorica	L 1-5	53.0	1558	1642	28.55%	24.35%	47.10%	-0.36	-20.3	0
2020-08-14	@ Varazdin	W 5-1	53.0	1642	1558	47.10%	24.35%	28.55%	+0.36	+20.3	3
2020-08-15	Sibenik	W 2-1	58.5	1709	1556	58.91%	22.50%	18.59%	+0.88	+4.4	3
2020-08-15	@ Rijeka	L 1-2	58.5	1556	1709	18.59%	22.50%	58.91%	-0.88	-4.4	0
2020-08-15	Slaven Belupo	D 0-0	67.1	1705	1582	55.66%	23.19%	21.15%	+0.73	-1.8	1
2020-08-15	@ Osijek	D 0-0	67.1	1582	1705	21.15%	23.19%	55.66%	-0.73	+1.9	1
2020-08-16	Istra 1961	W 2-0	46.7	1685	1504	61.87%	21.74%	16.39%	+1.04	+7.8	3
2020-08-16	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-2	46.7	1504	1685	16.39%	21.74%	61.87%	-1.04	-7.8	0
2020-08-16	Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 6-0	50.9	1801	1669	56.71%	22.98%	20.31%	+0.78	+26.5	3
2020-08-16	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-6	50.9	1669	1801	20.31%	22.98%	56.71%	-0.78	-26.5	0
2020-08-21	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	49.3	1496	1828	9.65%	17.87%	72.48%	-1.67	-2.4	0
2020-08-21	@ Istra 1961	W 1-0	49.3	1828	1496	72.48%	17.87%	9.65%	+1.67	+2.4	6
2020-08-21	Rijeka	W 1-0	62.3	1643	1713	30.25%	24.50%	45.26%	-0.29	+9.8	3
2020-08-21	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 0-1	62.3	1713	1643	45.26%	24.50%	30.25%	+0.29	-9.8	3
2020-08-22	Gorica	L 1-2	62.0	1584	1662	29.27%	24.42%	46.32%	-0.33	-6.6	1
2020-08-22	@ Slaven Belupo	W 2-1	62.0	1662	1584	46.32%	24.42%	29.27%	+0.33	+6.6	6
2020-08-22	Varazdin	L 0-1	55.8	1552	1537	41.87%	24.67%	33.46%	+0.16	-9.2	0
2020-08-22	@ Sibenik	W 1-0	55.8	1537	1552	33.46%	24.67%	41.87%	-0.16	+9.2	3
2020-08-23	Hajduk Split	L 1-2	67.4	1703	1693	41.28%	24.69%	34.03%	+0.14	-8.6	1
2020-08-23	@ Osijek	W 2-1	67.4	1693	1703	34.03%	24.69%	41.28%	-0.14	+8.6	6
2020-08-28	Sibenik	W 3-2	63.4	1669	1543	56.01%	23.12%	20.87%	+0.75	+4.7	9
2020-08-28	@ Gorica	L 2-3	63.4	1543	1669	20.87%	23.12%	56.01%	-0.75	-4.7	0
2020-08-29	Istra 1961	W 2-1	55.5	1703	1494	64.62%	20.91%	14.47%	+1.18	+3.4	6
2020-08-29	@ Rijeka	L 1-2	55.5	1494	1703	14.47%	20.91%	64.62%	-1.18	-3.4	0
2020-08-29	Slaven Belupo	D 2-2	77.9	1701	1577	55.79%	23.16%	21.04%	+0.74	-1.2	7
2020-08-29	@ Hajduk Split	D 2-2	77.9	1577	1701	21.04%	23.16%	55.79%	-0.74	+1.2	2
2020-08-30	Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 1-1	70.2	1547	1653	26.01%	24.06%	49.93%	-0.48	+1.1	4
2020-08-30	@ Varazdin	D 1-1	70.2	1653	1547	49.93%	24.06%	26.01%	+0.48	-1.1	4
2020-08-30	Osijek	W 4-1	54.8	1830	1695	57.12%	22.90%	19.98%	+0.80	+11.5	9
2020-08-30	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-4	54.8	1695	1830	19.98%	22.90%	57.12%	-0.80	-11.5	1
2020-09-11	Sibenik	D 0-0	62.9	1579	1538	45.44%	24.48%	30.07%	+0.30	-0.8	3
2020-09-11	@ Slaven Belupo	D 0-0	62.9	1538	1579	30.07%	24.48%	45.44%	-0.30	+0.8	1
2020-09-12	Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-2	62.0	1700	1842	22.29%	23.44%	54.27%	-0.67	-5.2	7
2020-09-12	@ Hajduk Split	W 2-1	62.0	1842	1700	54.27%	23.44%	22.29%	+0.67	+5.2	12
2020-09-12	Rijeka	W 3-0	55.3	1683	1707	36.47%	24.74%	38.79%	-0.04	+23.7	4
2020-09-12	@ Osijek	L 0-3	55.3	1707	1683	38.79%	24.74%	36.47%	+0.04	-23.7	6
2020-09-13	Gorica	L 1-2	65.4	1651	1673	36.73%	24.74%	38.53%	-0.03	-7.8	4
2020-09-13	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 2-1	65.4	1673	1651	38.53%	24.74%	36.73%	+0.03	+7.8	12
2020-09-13	Varazdin	L 0-1	51.0	1491	1548	31.91%	24.60%	43.49%	-0.22	-7.4	0
2020-09-13	@ Istra 1961	W 1-0	51.0	1548	1491	43.49%	24.60%	31.91%	+0.22	+7.5	7
2020-09-18	Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 3-2	71.7	1539	1644	26.14%	24.08%	49.78%	-0.47	+9.5	4
2020-09-18	@ Sibenik	L 2-3	71.7	1644	1539	49.78%	24.08%	26.14%	+0.47	-9.5	4
2020-09-19	Istra 1961	D 2-2	76.2	1681	1483	63.55%	21.25%	15.20%	+1.12	-1.8	13
2020-09-19	@ Gorica	D 2-2	76.2	1483	1681	15.20%	21.25%	63.55%	-1.12	+1.8	1
2020-09-19	Slaven Belupo	D 3-3	84.2	1847	1578	69.95%	18.96%	11.10%	+1.50	-1.8	13
2020-09-19	@ Dinamo Zagreb	D 3-3	84.2	1578	1847	11.10%	18.96%	69.95%	-1.50	+1.8	4
2020-09-20	Osijek	L 0-1	53.6	1555	1707	21.35%	23.24%	55.41%	-0.72	-5.3	7
2020-09-20	@ Varazdin	W 1-0	53.6	1707	1555	55.41%	23.24%	21.35%	+0.72	+5.3	7
2020-09-26	Gorica	W 2-1	64.3	1712	1679	44.39%	24.55%	31.06%	+0.25	+6.9	10
2020-09-26	@ Osijek	L 1-2	64.3	1679	1712	31.06%	24.55%	44.39%	-0.25	-6.9	13
2020-09-26	Sibenik	W 1-0	54.6	1485	1548	31.10%	24.55%	44.35%	-0.25	+9.6	4
2020-09-26	@ Istra 1961	L 0-1	54.6	1548	1485	44.35%	24.55%	31.10%	+0.25	-9.6	4
2020-09-27	Varazdin	W 2-0	49.0	1695	1550	58.14%	22.68%	19.18%	+0.85	+9.1	10
2020-09-27	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-2	49.0	1550	1695	19.18%	22.68%	58.14%	-0.85	-9.1	7
2020-10-02	Istra 1961	D 0-0	63.8	1634	1495	57.54%	22.81%	19.65%	+0.82	-2.0	5
2020-10-02	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 0-0	63.8	1495	1634	19.65%	22.81%	57.54%	-0.82	+2.0	5
2020-10-03	Hajduk Split	W 2-1	66.9	1672	1704	35.33%	24.73%	39.94%	-0.09	+8.4	16
2020-10-03	@ Gorica	L 1-2	66.9	1704	1672	39.94%	24.73%	35.33%	+0.09	-8.4	10
2020-10-03	Osijek	L 0-2	49.1	1539	1719	18.83%	22.57%	58.60%	-0.87	-8.9	4
2020-10-03	@ Sibenik	W 2-0	49.1	1719	1539	58.60%	22.57%	18.83%	+0.87	+8.9	13
2020-10-04	Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-2	56.4	1541	1845	10.89%	18.81%	70.30%	-1.52	-2.5	7
2020-10-04	@ Varazdin	W 2-1	56.4	1845	1541	70.30%	18.81%	10.89%	+1.52	+2.5	16
2020-10-04	Slaven Belupo	W 2-0	50.7	1683	1580	53.37%	23.59%	23.04%	+0.63	+10.7	9
2020-10-04	@ Rijeka	L 0-2	50.7	1580	1683	23.04%	23.59%	53.37%	-0.63	-10.7	4
2020-10-16	Istra 1961	W 5-1	48.3	1569	1497	49.59%	24.10%	26.31%	+0.46	+19.0	7
2020-10-16	@ Slaven Belupo	L 1-5	48.3	1497	1569	26.31%	24.10%	49.59%	-0.46	-19.0	5
2020-10-17	Gorica	W 3-2	65.1	1848	1681	60.47%	22.12%	17.42%	+0.96	+3.9	19
2020-10-17	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 2-3	65.1	1681	1848	17.42%	22.12%	60.47%	-0.96	-3.9	16
2020-10-17	Varazdin	W 2-1	57.8	1694	1538	59.24%	22.42%	18.34%	+0.90	+4.3	12
2020-10-17	@ Rijeka	L 1-2	57.8	1538	1694	18.34%	22.42%	59.24%	-0.90	-4.3	7
2020-10-18	Sibenik	L 0-1	64.3	1696	1530	60.35%	22.15%	17.50%	+0.96	-12.5	10
2020-10-18	@ Hajduk Split	W 1-0	64.3	1530	1696	17.50%	22.15%	60.35%	-0.96	+12.5	7
2020-10-23	Slaven Belupo	L 1-2	59.9	1534	1588	32.31%	24.62%	43.07%	-0.20	-7.1	7
2020-10-23	@ Varazdin	W 2-1	59.9	1588	1534	43.07%	24.62%	32.31%	+0.20	+7.1	10
2020-10-25	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-2	47.0	1542	1852	10.65%	18.64%	70.71%	-1.55	-5.0	7
2020-10-25	@ Sibenik	W 2-0	47.0	1852	1542	70.71%	18.64%	10.65%	+1.55	+5.0	22
2020-10-28	Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 0-0	65.6	1595	1632	34.59%	24.71%	40.70%	-0.11	+0.3	11
2020-10-28	@ Slaven Belupo	D 0-0	65.6	1632	1595	40.70%	24.71%	34.59%	+0.11	-0.3	6
2020-10-31	Hajduk Split	W 1-0	63.0	1478	1683	16.84%	21.91%	61.25%	-1.00	+12.7	8
2020-10-31	@ Istra 1961	L 0-1	63.0	1683	1478	61.25%	21.91%	16.84%	+1.00	-12.7	10
2020-10-31	Osijek	L 0-1	55.1	1595	1728	23.20%	23.62%	53.18%	-0.62	-5.7	11
2020-10-31	@ Slaven Belupo	W 1-0	55.1	1728	1595	53.18%	23.62%	23.20%	+0.62	+5.7	16
2020-11-01	Dinamo Zagreb	D 1-1	74.2	1632	1857	15.47%	21.36%	63.17%	-1.10	+2.4	7
2020-11-01	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 1-1	74.2	1857	1632	63.17%	21.36%	15.47%	+1.10	-2.3	23
2020-11-01	Rijeka	W 2-0	60.1	1537	1698	20.52%	23.04%	56.44%	-0.77	+22.3	10
2020-11-01	@ Sibenik	L 0-2	60.1	1698	1537	56.44%	23.04%	20.52%	+0.77	-22.3	12
2020-11-04	Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 2-1	61.5	1734	1634	52.91%	23.66%	23.43%	+0.61	+5.4	19
2020-11-04	@ Osijek	L 1-2	61.5	1634	1734	23.43%	23.66%	52.91%	-0.61	-5.4	7
2020-11-07	Osijek	D 1-1	72.8	1671	1739	30.45%	24.51%	45.04%	-0.28	+0.7	11
2020-11-07	@ Hajduk Split	D 1-1	72.8	1739	1671	45.04%	24.51%	30.45%	+0.28	-0.7	20
2020-11-07	Sibenik	L 1-3	56.2	1527	1560	35.18%	24.72%	40.10%	-0.09	-13.1	7
2020-11-07	@ Varazdin	W 3-1	56.2	1560	1527	40.10%	24.72%	35.18%	+0.09	+13.1	13
2020-11-08	Istra 1961	W 5-0	43.2	1854	1490	77.09%	15.64%	7.27%	+2.00	+7.5	26
2020-11-08	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-5	43.2	1490	1854	7.27%	15.64%	77.09%	-2.00	-7.5	8
2020-11-08	Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 1-0	56.9	1676	1629	46.29%	24.42%	29.29%	+0.33	+7.0	15
2020-11-08	@ Rijeka	L 0-1	56.9	1629	1676	29.29%	24.42%	46.29%	-0.33	-7.0	7
2020-11-20	Gorica	L 1-3	57.6	1573	1677	26.22%	24.09%	49.69%	-0.47	-10.4	13
2020-11-20	@ Sibenik	W 3-1	57.6	1677	1573	49.69%	24.09%	26.22%	+0.47	+10.4	19
2020-11-20	Varazdin	D 2-2	74.7	1622	1514	53.95%	23.49%	22.55%	+0.65	-1.1	8
2020-11-20	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 2-2	74.7	1514	1622	22.55%	23.49%	53.95%	-0.65	+1.1	8
2020-11-21	Dinamo Zagreb	W 2-0	61.7	1738	1862	24.11%	23.78%	52.11%	-0.57	+20.8	23
2020-11-21	@ Osijek	L 0-2	61.7	1862	1738	52.11%	23.78%	24.11%	+0.57	-20.8	26
2020-11-21	Hajduk Split	L 0-2	52.7	1590	1671	28.85%	24.38%	46.77%	-0.35	-13.0	11
2020-11-21	@ Slaven Belupo	W 2-0	52.7	1671	1590	46.77%	24.38%	28.85%	+0.35	+13.0	14
2020-11-23	Varazdin	W 1-0	50.7	1687	1515	61.01%	21.97%	17.01%	+0.99	+4.3	22
2020-11-23	@ Gorica	L 0-1	50.7	1515	1687	17.01%	21.97%	61.01%	-0.99	-4.3	8
2020-11-24	Hajduk Split	L 1-2	63.4	1621	1684	31.09%	24.55%	44.36%	-0.25	-6.9	8
2020-11-24	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 2-1	63.4	1684	1621	44.36%	24.55%	31.09%	+0.25	+6.9	17
2020-11-25	Osijek	L 1-4	49.1	1483	1759	12.33%	19.75%	67.92%	-1.38	-7.1	8
2020-11-25	@ Istra 1961	W 4-1	49.1	1759	1483	67.92%	19.75%	12.33%	+1.38	+7.1	26
2020-11-27	Slaven Belupo	L 0-3	50.8	1562	1577	37.78%	24.75%	37.47%	+0.01	-23.2	13
2020-11-27	@ Sibenik	W 3-0	50.8	1577	1562	37.47%	24.75%	37.78%	-0.01	+23.2	14
2020-11-28	Istra 1961	D 1-1	63.2	1511	1476	44.67%	24.53%	30.79%	+0.27	-0.6	9
2020-11-28	@ Varazdin	D 1-1	63.2	1476	1511	30.79%	24.53%	44.67%	-0.27	+0.6	9
2020-11-28	Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 1-1	72.0	1691	1614	50.26%	24.02%	25.72%	+0.49	-1.2	23
2020-11-28	@ Gorica	D 1-1	72.0	1614	1691	25.72%	24.02%	50.26%	-0.49	+1.1	9
2020-11-29	Osijek	D 1-1	73.1	1683	1766	28.60%	24.36%	47.05%	-0.36	+0.8	16
2020-11-29	@ Rijeka	D 1-1	73.1	1766	1683	47.05%	24.36%	28.60%	+0.36	-0.9	27
2020-12-02	Slaven Belupo	L 0-1	63.3	1690	1600	51.83%	23.82%	24.35%	+0.56	-11.0	23
2020-12-02	@ Gorica	W 1-0	63.3	1600	1690	24.35%	23.82%	51.83%	-0.56	+11.0	17
2020-12-05	Varazdin	W 1-0	49.8	1765	1510	68.78%	19.42%	11.79%	+1.43	+2.9	30
2020-12-05	@ Osijek	L 0-1	49.8	1510	1765	11.79%	19.42%	68.78%	-1.43	-2.9	9
2020-12-06	Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-5	51.0	1611	1841	15.11%	21.20%	63.69%	-1.13	-11.4	17
2020-12-06	@ Slaven Belupo	W 5-1	51.0	1841	1611	63.69%	21.20%	15.11%	+1.13	+11.4	29
2020-12-06	Rijeka	L 1-2	67.1	1691	1683	40.90%	24.70%	34.40%	+0.12	-8.5	17
2020-12-06	@ Hajduk Split	W 2-1	67.1	1683	1691	34.40%	24.70%	40.90%	-0.12	+8.5	19
2020-12-12	Hajduk Split	W 4-2	69.1	1507	1683	19.22%	22.69%	58.09%	-0.84	+17.7	12
2020-12-12	@ Varazdin	L 2-4	69.1	1683	1507	58.09%	22.69%	19.22%	+0.84	-17.7	17
2020-12-12	Osijek	W 4-1	63.3	1679	1768	27.96%	24.29%	47.75%	-0.39	+23.6	26
2020-12-12	@ Gorica	L 1-4	63.3	1768	1679	47.75%	24.29%	27.96%	+0.39	-23.6	30
2020-12-13	Dinamo Zagreb	D 2-2	79.8	1692	1853	20.53%	23.04%	56.43%	-0.76	+1.3	20
2020-12-13	@ Rijeka	D 2-2	79.8	1853	1692	56.43%	23.04%	20.53%	+0.76	-1.3	30
2020-12-13	Slaven Belupo	W 2-1	62.6	1615	1600	42.00%	24.67%	33.34%	+0.16	+7.3	12
2020-12-13	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 1-2	62.6	1600	1615	33.34%	24.67%	42.00%	-0.16	-7.3	17
2020-12-19	Sibenik	W 1-0	51.2	1745	1539	64.29%	21.02%	14.70%	+1.17	+3.7	33
2020-12-19	@ Osijek	L 0-1	51.2	1539	1745	14.70%	21.02%	64.29%	-1.17	-3.7	13
2020-12-19	Varazdin	W 4-0	43.6	1851	1525	74.44%	16.96%	8.60%	+1.80	+7.4	33
2020-12-19	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-4	43.6	1525	1851	8.60%	16.96%	74.44%	-1.80	-7.4	12
2020-12-20	Gorica	L 2-4	65.4	1665	1703	34.44%	24.70%	40.86%	-0.12	-11.6	17
2020-12-20	@ Hajduk Split	W 4-2	65.4	1703	1665	40.86%	24.70%	34.44%	+0.12	+11.5	29
2021-01-19	Gorica	D 1-1	70.9	1476	1715	14.58%	20.96%	64.46%	-1.17	+2.5	10
2021-01-19	@ Istra 1961	D 1-1	70.9	1715	1476	64.46%	20.96%	14.58%	+1.17	-2.5	30
2021-01-19	Rijeka	L 0-2	63.6	1859	1693	60.29%	22.16%	17.55%	+0.95	-23.6	33
2021-01-19	@ Dinamo Zagreb	W 2-0	63.6	1693	1859	17.55%	22.16%	60.29%	-0.95	+23.6	23
2021-01-22	Hajduk Split	L 0-1	53.3	1535	1653	24.71%	23.88%	51.41%	-0.54	-6.0	13
2021-01-22	@ Sibenik	W 1-0	53.3	1653	1535	51.41%	23.88%	24.71%	+0.54	+6.0	20
2021-01-22	Osijek	L 0-3	50.4	1622	1748	23.84%	23.73%	52.42%	-0.58	-16.0	12
2021-01-22	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 3-0	50.4	1748	1622	52.42%	23.73%	23.84%	+0.58	+16.0	36
2021-01-23	Dinamo Zagreb	L 3-4	70.1	1712	1835	24.18%	23.79%	52.03%	-0.57	-5.2	30
2021-01-23	@ Gorica	W 4-3	70.1	1835	1712	52.03%	23.79%	24.18%	+0.57	+5.2	36
2021-01-23	Rijeka	W 2-1	70.4	1517	1717	17.29%	22.07%	60.64%	-0.97	+11.8	15
2021-01-23	@ Varazdin	L 1-2	70.4	1717	1517	60.64%	22.07%	17.29%	+0.97	-11.9	23
2021-01-24	Slaven Belupo	W 2-1	63.6	1479	1592	25.18%	23.95%	50.88%	-0.52	+10.2	13
2021-01-24	@ Istra 1961	L 1-2	63.6	1592	1479	50.88%	23.95%	25.18%	+0.52	-10.2	17
2021-01-26	Sibenik	L 0-4	54.0	1606	1529	50.15%	24.04%	25.82%	+0.49	-38.1	12
2021-01-26	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 4-0	54.0	1529	1606	25.82%	24.04%	50.15%	-0.49	+38.1	16
2021-01-27	Hajduk Split	W 3-1	56.1	1840	1659	61.88%	21.74%	16.39%	+1.04	+6.7	39
2021-01-27	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-3	56.1	1659	1840	16.39%	21.74%	61.88%	-1.04	-6.8	20
2021-01-27	Rijeka	L 1-2	56.1	1489	1705	16.08%	21.62%	62.30%	-1.06	-3.8	13
2021-01-27	@ Istra 1961	W 2-1	56.1	1705	1489	62.30%	21.62%	16.08%	+1.06	+3.8	26
2021-01-29	Varazdin	W 2-0	49.0	1582	1529	47.09%	24.35%	28.55%	+0.36	+12.9	20
2021-01-29	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-2	49.0	1529	1582	28.55%	24.35%	47.09%	-0.36	-12.8	15
2021-01-30	Istra 1961	W 1-0	48.7	1764	1485	70.77%	18.61%	10.61%	+1.55	+2.6	39
2021-01-30	@ Osijek	L 0-1	48.7	1485	1764	10.61%	18.61%	70.77%	-1.55	-2.6	13
2021-01-30	Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 0-1	61.9	1653	1568	51.11%	23.92%	24.98%	+0.53	-10.8	20
2021-01-30	@ Hajduk Split	W 1-0	61.9	1568	1653	24.98%	23.92%	51.11%	-0.53	+10.8	15
2021-01-30	Sibenik	L 1-2	74.5	1847	1568	70.78%	18.61%	10.61%	+1.55	-13.5	39
2021-01-30	@ Dinamo Zagreb	W 2-1	74.5	1568	1847	10.61%	18.61%	70.78%	-1.55	+13.5	19
2021-01-31	Gorica	L 0-2	57.8	1709	1707	40.11%	24.72%	35.17%	+0.09	-16.8	26
2021-01-31	@ Rijeka	W 2-0	57.8	1707	1709	35.17%	24.72%	40.11%	-0.09	+16.8	33
2021-02-02	Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 2-0	47.7	1833	1579	68.71%	19.45%	11.84%	+1.42	+5.6	42
2021-02-02	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-2	47.7	1579	1833	11.84%	19.45%	68.71%	-1.42	-5.6	15
2021-02-02	Slaven Belupo	W 3-0	47.7	1767	1595	60.98%	21.98%	17.04%	+0.99	+11.8	42
2021-02-02	@ Osijek	L 0-3	47.7	1595	1767	17.04%	21.98%	60.98%	-0.99	-11.8	20
2021-02-03	Gorica	W 2-1	70.7	1516	1724	16.71%	21.86%	61.44%	-1.01	+12.0	18
2021-02-03	@ Varazdin	L 1-2	70.7	1724	1516	61.44%	21.86%	16.71%	+1.01	-12.0	33
2021-02-03	Istra 1961	W 1-0	49.1	1642	1482	59.65%	22.32%	18.03%	+0.92	+4.5	23
2021-02-03	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-1	49.1	1482	1642	18.03%	22.32%	59.65%	-0.92	-4.5	13
2021-02-03	Sibenik	D 2-2	77.7	1692	1581	54.30%	23.43%	22.26%	+0.67	-1.1	27
2021-02-03	@ Rijeka	D 2-2	77.7	1581	1692	22.26%	23.43%	54.30%	-0.67	+1.1	20
2021-02-06	Hajduk Split	W 2-0	51.4	1779	1646	56.75%	22.97%	20.27%	+0.78	+9.5	45
2021-02-06	@ Osijek	L 0-2	51.4	1646	1779	20.27%	22.97%	56.75%	-0.78	-9.5	23
2021-02-06	Rijeka	L 2-3	65.8	1573	1691	24.74%	23.88%	51.38%	-0.54	-5.4	15
2021-02-06	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 3-2	65.8	1691	1573	51.38%	23.88%	24.74%	+0.54	+5.4	30
2021-02-07	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	48.5	1478	1839	8.46%	16.83%	74.70%	-1.82	-2.0	13
2021-02-07	@ Istra 1961	W 1-0	48.5	1839	1478	74.70%	16.83%	8.46%	+1.82	+2.0	45
2021-02-07	Varazdin	D 0-0	62.7	1582	1528	47.21%	24.34%	28.45%	+0.37	-1.0	21
2021-02-07	@ Sibenik	D 0-0	62.7	1528	1582	28.45%	24.34%	47.21%	-0.37	+1.0	19
2021-02-08	Gorica	L 0-1	54.9	1583	1712	23.61%	23.69%	52.70%	-0.60	-5.8	20
2021-02-08	@ Slaven Belupo	W 1-0	54.9	1712	1583	52.70%	23.69%	23.61%	+0.60	+5.8	36
2021-02-10	Hajduk Split	L 0-1	62.8	1696	1637	47.95%	24.27%	27.77%	+0.40	-10.3	30
2021-02-10	@ Rijeka	W 1-0	62.8	1637	1696	27.77%	24.27%	47.95%	-0.40	+10.3	26
2021-02-10	Istra 1961	W 1-0	48.7	1581	1476	53.62%	23.55%	22.83%	+0.64	+5.6	24
2021-02-10	@ Sibenik	L 0-1	48.7	1476	1581	22.83%	23.55%	53.62%	-0.64	-5.6	13
2021-02-12	Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 0-1	53.8	1529	1568	34.36%	24.70%	40.94%	-0.12	-7.9	19
2021-02-12	@ Varazdin	W 1-0	53.8	1568	1529	40.94%	24.70%	34.36%	+0.12	+7.9	18
2021-02-13	Osijek	W 1-0	58.4	1841	1788	47.05%	24.36%	28.59%	+0.36	+6.8	48
2021-02-13	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	58.4	1788	1841	28.59%	24.36%	47.05%	-0.36	-6.8	45
2021-02-13	Sibenik	W 1-0	53.8	1717	1587	56.55%	23.02%	20.44%	+0.77	+5.1	39
2021-02-13	@ Gorica	L 0-1	53.8	1587	1717	20.44%	23.02%	56.55%	-0.77	-5.1	24
2021-02-14	Istra 1961	D 1-1	70.1	1686	1470	65.25%	20.70%	14.05%	+1.22	-2.5	31
2021-02-14	@ Rijeka	D 1-1	70.1	1470	1686	14.05%	20.70%	65.25%	-1.22	+2.5	14
2021-02-17	Rijeka	D 0-0	67.9	1723	1684	45.23%	24.50%	30.27%	+0.29	-0.8	40
2021-02-17	@ Gorica	D 0-0	67.9	1684	1723	30.27%	24.50%	45.23%	-0.29	+0.8	32
2021-02-19	Sibenik	D 2-2	75.0	1577	1582	39.22%	24.74%	36.04%	+0.06	-0.1	21
2021-02-19	@ Slaven Belupo	D 2-2	75.0	1582	1577	36.04%	24.74%	39.22%	-0.06	+0.1	25
2021-02-20	Gorica	L 0-3	48.9	1576	1722	21.88%	23.35%	54.77%	-0.69	-14.8	18
2021-02-20	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 3-0	48.9	1722	1576	54.77%	23.35%	21.88%	+0.69	+14.9	43
2021-02-20	Varazdin	L 0-1	49.7	1473	1521	33.04%	24.66%	42.30%	-0.17	-7.7	14
2021-02-20	@ Istra 1961	W 1-0	49.7	1521	1473	42.30%	24.66%	33.04%	+0.17	+7.7	22
2021-02-21	Rijeka	W 2-0	52.8	1782	1684	52.66%	23.70%	23.64%	+0.59	+11.0	48
2021-02-21	@ Osijek	L 0-2	52.8	1684	1782	23.64%	23.70%	52.66%	-0.59	-11.0	32
2021-02-26	Osijek	L 2-3	61.9	1529	1792	13.05%	20.17%	66.78%	-1.31	-2.9	22
2021-02-26	@ Varazdin	W 3-2	61.9	1792	1529	66.78%	20.17%	13.05%	+1.31	+2.9	51
2021-02-27	Hajduk Split	L 0-1	61.4	1673	1647	43.51%	24.60%	31.89%	+0.22	-9.5	32
2021-02-27	@ Rijeka	W 1-0	61.4	1647	1673	31.89%	24.60%	43.51%	-0.22	+9.5	29
2021-02-27	Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 0-0	63.6	1582	1561	42.75%	24.64%	32.61%	+0.19	-0.5	26
2021-02-27	@ Sibenik	D 0-0	63.6	1561	1582	32.61%	24.64%	42.75%	-0.19	+0.5	19
2021-02-28	Istra 1961	W 2-1	53.9	1737	1465	70.13%	18.88%	10.99%	+1.51	+2.6	46
2021-02-28	@ Gorica	L 1-2	53.9	1465	1737	10.99%	18.88%	70.13%	-1.51	-2.6	14
2021-02-28	Slaven Belupo	W 3-0	45.5	1848	1577	70.06%	18.91%	11.03%	+1.51	+7.5	51
2021-02-28	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-3	45.5	1577	1848	11.03%	18.91%	70.06%	-1.51	-7.5	21
2021-03-05	Sibenik	W 3-2	67.9	1463	1581	24.62%	23.86%	51.51%	-0.54	+9.8	17
2021-03-05	@ Istra 1961	L 2-3	67.9	1581	1463	51.51%	23.86%	24.62%	+0.54	-9.8	26
2021-03-06	Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 0-0	63.3	1570	1561	41.01%	24.70%	34.29%	+0.13	-0.3	22
2021-03-06	@ Slaven Belupo	D 0-0	63.3	1561	1570	34.29%	24.70%	41.01%	-0.13	+0.3	20
2021-03-06	Varazdin	W 2-0	48.2	1656	1526	56.52%	23.02%	20.46%	+0.77	+9.6	32
2021-03-06	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-2	48.2	1526	1656	20.46%	23.02%	56.52%	-0.77	-9.6	22
2021-03-07	Gorica	D 1-1	73.4	1795	1739	47.50%	24.32%	28.18%	+0.38	-0.9	52
2021-03-07	@ Osijek	D 1-1	73.4	1739	1795	28.18%	24.32%	47.50%	-0.38	+0.9	47
2021-03-07	Rijeka	W 2-0	49.9	1855	1664	62.93%	21.43%	15.64%	+1.09	+7.4	54
2021-03-07	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-2	49.9	1664	1855	15.64%	21.43%	62.93%	-1.09	-7.4	32
2021-03-10	Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 3-1	58.0	1472	1562	27.90%	24.29%	47.82%	-0.39	+16.7	20
2021-03-10	@ Istra 1961	L 1-3	58.0	1562	1472	47.82%	24.29%	27.90%	+0.39	-16.7	20
2021-03-12	Slaven Belupo	D 1-1	70.8	1656	1569	51.41%	23.88%	24.72%	+0.54	-1.2	33
2021-03-12	@ Rijeka	D 1-1	70.8	1569	1656	24.72%	23.88%	51.41%	-0.54	+1.2	23
2021-03-13	Hajduk Split	D 1-1	72.9	1740	1666	49.80%	24.08%	26.12%	+0.47	-1.1	48
2021-03-13	@ Gorica	D 1-1	72.9	1666	1740	26.12%	24.08%	49.80%	-0.47	+1.1	33
2021-03-13	Istra 1961	L 0-1	55.5	1545	1489	47.48%	24.32%	28.20%	+0.38	-10.2	20
2021-03-13	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 1-0	55.5	1489	1545	28.20%	24.32%	47.48%	-0.38	+10.2	23
2021-03-14	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-5	44.6	1516	1863	9.04%	17.35%	73.61%	-1.75	-9.7	22
2021-03-14	@ Varazdin	W 5-0	44.6	1863	1516	73.61%	17.35%	9.04%	+1.75	+9.7	57
2021-03-14	Osijek	L 0-4	47.0	1572	1795	15.60%	21.42%	62.98%	-1.09	-14.1	26
2021-03-14	@ Sibenik	W 4-0	47.0	1795	1572	62.98%	21.42%	15.60%	+1.09	+14.1	55
2021-03-17	Rijeka	L 1-3	57.9	1571	1655	28.49%	24.35%	47.16%	-0.36	-11.1	23
2021-03-17	@ Slaven Belupo	W 3-1	57.9	1655	1571	47.16%	24.35%	28.49%	+0.36	+11.1	36
2021-03-19	Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 2-0	46.7	1809	1535	70.31%	18.80%	10.88%	+1.52	+5.1	58
2021-03-19	@ Osijek	L 0-2	46.7	1535	1809	10.88%	18.80%	70.31%	-1.52	-5.1	20
2021-03-20	Istra 1961	D 1-1	66.0	1560	1499	48.05%	24.27%	27.68%	+0.40	-0.9	24
2021-03-20	@ Slaven Belupo	D 1-1	66.0	1499	1560	27.68%	24.27%	48.05%	-0.40	+0.9	24
2021-03-20	Sibenik	W 1-0	53.3	1667	1557	54.14%	23.46%	22.40%	+0.66	+5.5	36
2021-03-20	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-1	53.3	1557	1667	22.40%	23.46%	54.14%	-0.66	-5.5	26
2021-03-21	Gorica	W 1-0	55.4	1872	1739	56.86%	22.95%	20.19%	+0.79	+5.0	60
2021-03-21	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	55.4	1739	1872	20.19%	22.95%	56.86%	-0.79	-5.0	48
2021-03-21	Varazdin	W 2-0	47.0	1666	1507	59.68%	22.31%	18.00%	+0.92	+8.5	39
2021-03-21	@ Rijeka	L 0-2	47.0	1507	1666	18.00%	22.31%	59.68%	-0.92	-8.5	22
2021-04-02	Slaven Belupo	D 1-1	65.8	1498	1559	31.47%	24.58%	43.96%	-0.24	+0.6	23
2021-04-02	@ Varazdin	D 1-1	65.8	1559	1498	43.96%	24.58%	31.47%	+0.24	-0.6	25
2021-04-03	Dinamo Zagreb	D 1-1	74.9	1552	1878	9.92%	18.08%	72.01%	-1.64	+3.1	27
2021-04-03	@ Sibenik	D 1-1	74.9	1878	1552	72.01%	18.08%	9.92%	+1.64	-3.1	61
2021-04-03	Hajduk Split	L 0-2	49.3	1530	1673	22.17%	23.42%	54.41%	-0.67	-10.3	20
2021-04-03	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 2-0	49.3	1673	1530	54.41%	23.42%	22.17%	+0.67	+10.3	39
2021-04-03	Osijek	L 0-2	46.1	1500	1814	10.46%	18.50%	71.04%	-1.57	-4.9	24
2021-04-03	@ Istra 1961	W 2-0	46.1	1814	1500	71.04%	18.50%	10.46%	+1.57	+4.9	61
2021-04-03	Rijeka	L 3-4	76.7	1734	1675	47.89%	24.28%	27.83%	+0.39	-9.0	48
2021-04-03	@ Gorica	W 4-3	76.7	1675	1734	27.83%	24.28%	47.89%	-0.39	+9.0	42
2021-04-07	Slaven Belupo	D 2-2	77.3	1683	1558	55.90%	23.14%	20.96%	+0.74	-1.2	40
2021-04-07	@ Hajduk Split	D 2-2	77.3	1558	1683	20.96%	23.14%	55.90%	-0.74	+1.2	26
2021-04-10	Rijeka	L 0-1	54.0	1555	1684	23.58%	23.69%	52.73%	-0.60	-5.8	27
2021-04-10	@ Sibenik	W 1-0	54.0	1684	1555	52.73%	23.69%	23.58%	+0.60	+5.8	45
2021-04-10	Varazdin	D 0-0	66.9	1725	1499	66.21%	20.37%	13.42%	+1.27	-2.9	49
2021-04-10	@ Gorica	D 0-0	66.9	1499	1725	13.42%	20.37%	66.21%	-1.27	+2.9	24
2021-04-11	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-2	45.9	1519	1874	8.70%	17.05%	74.25%	-1.79	-4.0	20
2021-04-11	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 2-0	45.9	1874	1519	74.25%	17.05%	8.70%	+1.79	+4.0	64
2021-04-11	Hajduk Split	L 0-1	50.7	1495	1682	18.32%	22.42%	59.27%	-0.90	-4.6	24
2021-04-11	@ Istra 1961	W 1-0	50.7	1682	1495	59.27%	22.42%	18.32%	+0.90	+4.6	43
2021-04-11	Osijek	D 2-2	79.8	1559	1819	13.30%	20.31%	66.39%	-1.28	+2.0	27
2021-04-11	@ Slaven Belupo	D 2-2	79.8	1819	1559	66.39%	20.31%	13.30%	+1.28	-2.0	62
2021-04-16	Osijek	L 0-1	56.3	1686	1817	23.44%	23.66%	52.90%	-0.60	-5.8	43
2021-04-16	@ Hajduk Split	W 1-0	56.3	1817	1686	52.90%	23.66%	23.44%	+0.60	+5.8	65
2021-04-16	Sibenik	D 1-1	65.6	1502	1549	33.17%	24.66%	42.17%	-0.17	+0.4	25
2021-04-16	@ Varazdin	D 1-1	65.6	1549	1502	42.17%	24.66%	33.17%	+0.17	-0.4	28
2021-04-16	Slaven Belupo	L 0-1	65.1	1722	1561	59.81%	22.28%	17.91%	+0.93	-12.4	49
2021-04-16	@ Gorica	W 1-0	65.1	1561	1722	17.91%	22.28%	59.81%	-0.93	+12.4	30
2021-04-17	Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 3-0	45.4	1690	1516	61.18%	21.93%	16.89%	+1.00	+11.7	48
2021-04-17	@ Rijeka	L 0-3	45.4	1516	1690	16.89%	21.93%	61.18%	-1.00	-11.7	20
2021-04-18	Istra 1961	W 1-0	47.9	1878	1491	78.66%	14.81%	6.53%	+2.13	+1.5	67
2021-04-18	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	47.9	1491	1878	6.53%	14.81%	78.66%	-2.13	-1.5	24
2021-04-20	Hajduk Split	D 1-1	71.3	1574	1681	25.91%	24.05%	50.04%	-0.48	+1.1	31
2021-04-20	@ Slaven Belupo	D 1-1	71.3	1681	1574	50.04%	24.05%	25.91%	+0.48	-1.1	44
2021-04-20	Gorica	D 1-1	71.6	1549	1710	20.50%	23.03%	56.46%	-0.77	+1.7	29
2021-04-20	@ Sibenik	D 1-1	71.6	1710	1549	56.46%	23.03%	20.50%	+0.77	-1.7	50
2021-04-21	Dinamo Zagreb	D 1-1	73.6	1822	1880	31.85%	24.60%	43.55%	-0.22	+0.5	66
2021-04-21	@ Osijek	D 1-1	73.6	1880	1822	43.55%	24.60%	31.85%	+0.22	-0.5	68
2021-04-21	Rijeka	L 1-2	56.1	1489	1701	16.37%	21.73%	61.90%	-1.04	-3.9	24
2021-04-21	@ Istra 1961	W 2-1	56.1	1701	1489	61.90%	21.73%	16.37%	+1.04	+3.9	51
2021-04-21	Varazdin	W 4-0	45.3	1504	1502	40.08%	24.72%	35.19%	+0.09	+28.8	23
2021-04-21	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 0-4	45.3	1502	1504	35.19%	24.72%	40.08%	-0.09	-28.8	25
2021-04-24	Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 4-2	57.6	1708	1533	61.31%	21.89%	16.80%	+1.01	+6.2	53
2021-04-24	@ Gorica	L 2-4	57.6	1533	1708	16.80%	21.89%	61.31%	-1.01	-6.2	23
2021-04-24	Slaven Belupo	W 2-0	52.7	1551	1575	36.36%	24.74%	38.90%	-0.05	+16.4	32
2021-04-24	@ Sibenik	L 0-2	52.7	1575	1551	38.90%	24.74%	36.36%	+0.05	-16.4	31
2021-04-25	Hajduk Split	W 2-0	49.8	1879	1680	63.73%	21.19%	15.08%	+1.14	+7.2	71
2021-04-25	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-2	49.8	1680	1879	15.08%	21.19%	63.73%	-1.14	-7.2	44
2021-04-25	Osijek	D 0-0	68.6	1705	1823	24.73%	23.88%	51.39%	-0.54	+1.4	52
2021-04-25	@ Rijeka	D 0-0	68.6	1823	1705	51.39%	23.88%	24.73%	+0.54	-1.4	67
2021-04-26	Istra 1961	D 1-1	62.1	1473	1485	38.12%	24.75%	37.13%	+0.02	-0.0	26
2021-04-26	@ Varazdin	D 1-1	62.1	1485	1473	37.13%	24.75%	38.12%	-0.02	+0.0	25
2021-04-30	Sibenik	W 1-0	55.8	1526	1567	34.12%	24.70%	41.19%	-0.13	+9.1	26
2021-04-30	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 0-1	55.8	1567	1526	41.19%	24.70%	34.12%	+0.13	-9.1	32
2021-05-01	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-2	46.8	1559	1887	9.81%	18.00%	72.19%	-1.65	-4.5	31
2021-05-01	@ Slaven Belupo	W 2-0	46.8	1887	1559	72.19%	18.00%	9.81%	+1.65	+4.5	74
2021-05-01	Rijeka	W 3-2	72.0	1672	1707	34.99%	24.72%	40.29%	-0.10	+8.0	47
2021-05-01	@ Hajduk Split	L 2-3	72.0	1707	1672	40.29%	24.72%	34.99%	+0.10	-8.0	52
2021-05-02	Gorica	L 0-2	46.4	1485	1714	15.21%	21.25%	63.55%	-1.12	-7.2	25
2021-05-02	@ Istra 1961	W 2-0	46.4	1714	1485	63.55%	21.25%	15.21%	+1.12	+7.2	56
2021-05-02	Varazdin	D 1-1	74.2	1821	1473	75.99%	16.20%	7.81%	+1.92	-3.4	68
2021-05-02	@ Osijek	D 1-1	74.2	1473	1821	7.81%	16.20%	75.99%	-1.92	+3.4	27
2021-05-05	Dinamo Zagreb	D 1-1	74.3	1680	1891	16.47%	21.77%	61.77%	-1.03	+2.2	48
2021-05-05	@ Hajduk Split	D 1-1	74.3	1891	1680	61.77%	21.77%	16.47%	+1.03	-2.2	75
2021-05-07	Istra 1961	W 1-0	48.8	1558	1478	50.51%	23.99%	25.49%	+0.50	+6.2	35
2021-05-07	@ Sibenik	L 0-1	48.8	1478	1558	25.49%	23.99%	50.51%	-0.50	-6.2	25
2021-05-07	Osijek	W 1-0	64.2	1721	1818	27.06%	24.20%	48.75%	-0.43	+10.4	59
2021-05-07	@ Gorica	L 0-1	64.2	1818	1721	48.75%	24.20%	27.06%	+0.43	-10.4	68
2021-05-07	Slaven Belupo	W 3-1	57.2	1536	1554	37.19%	24.75%	38.06%	-0.02	+13.9	29
2021-05-07	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 1-3	57.2	1554	1536	38.06%	24.75%	37.19%	+0.02	-13.9	31
2021-05-08	Hajduk Split	L 0-1	49.6	1477	1683	16.82%	21.90%	61.28%	-1.00	-4.2	27
2021-05-08	@ Varazdin	W 1-0	49.6	1683	1477	61.28%	21.90%	16.82%	+1.00	+4.2	51
2021-05-09	Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-5	52.6	1699	1889	18.02%	22.32%	59.67%	-0.92	-13.5	52
2021-05-09	@ Rijeka	W 5-1	52.6	1889	1699	59.67%	22.32%	18.02%	+0.92	+13.5	78
2021-05-11	Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 1-1	64.5	1472	1549	29.33%	24.42%	46.25%	-0.33	+0.8	26
2021-05-11	@ Istra 1961	D 1-1	64.5	1549	1472	46.25%	24.42%	29.33%	+0.33	-0.8	30
2021-05-11	Sibenik	W 3-0	45.8	1808	1564	67.75%	19.81%	12.43%	+1.37	+8.5	71
2021-05-11	@ Osijek	L 0-3	45.8	1564	1808	12.43%	19.81%	67.75%	-1.37	-8.5	35
2021-05-12	Gorica	W 4-0	56.2	1687	1732	33.52%	24.67%	41.81%	-0.16	+32.8	54
2021-05-12	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-4	56.2	1732	1687	41.81%	24.67%	33.52%	+0.16	-32.8	59
2021-05-12	Rijeka	L 0-2	49.7	1540	1685	21.97%	23.37%	54.65%	-0.68	-10.3	31
2021-05-12	@ Slaven Belupo	W 2-0	49.7	1685	1540	54.65%	23.37%	21.97%	+0.68	+10.3	55
2021-05-12	Varazdin	D 2-2	81.9	1902	1472	81.26%	13.37%	5.38%	+2.35	-2.8	79
2021-05-12	@ Dinamo Zagreb	D 2-2	81.9	1472	1902	5.38%	13.37%	81.26%	-2.35	+2.8	28
2021-05-15	Osijek	L 0-2	47.8	1549	1816	12.82%	20.04%	67.14%	-1.33	-6.1	30
2021-05-15	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 2-0	47.8	1816	1549	67.14%	20.04%	12.82%	+1.33	+6.1	74
2021-05-15	Slaven Belupo	W 1-0	53.2	1473	1530	31.91%	24.60%	43.49%	-0.22	+9.5	29
2021-05-15	@ Istra 1961	L 0-1	53.2	1530	1473	43.49%	24.60%	31.91%	+0.22	-9.5	31
2021-05-16	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-3	48.8	1699	1900	17.21%	22.05%	60.74%	-0.98	-11.9	59
2021-05-16	@ Gorica	W 3-0	48.8	1900	1699	60.74%	22.05%	17.21%	+0.98	+11.9	82
2021-05-16	Hajduk Split	L 0-2	49.9	1556	1720	20.21%	22.96%	56.83%	-0.78	-9.5	35
2021-05-16	@ Sibenik	W 2-0	49.9	1720	1556	56.83%	22.96%	20.21%	+0.78	+9.5	57
2021-05-16	Rijeka	L 2-3	60.5	1475	1695	15.80%	21.50%	62.70%	-1.08	-3.6	28
2021-05-16	@ Varazdin	W 3-2	60.5	1695	1475	62.70%	21.50%	15.80%	+1.08	+3.6	58
2021-05-22	Gorica	W 2-1	65.1	1699	1687	41.50%	24.69%	33.82%	+0.14	+7.4	61
2021-05-22	@ Rijeka	L 1-2	65.1	1687	1699	33.82%	24.69%	41.50%	-0.14	-7.4	59
2021-05-22	Istra 1961	W 2-1	54.1	1822	1482	75.42%	16.49%	8.10%	+1.87	+1.8	77
2021-05-22	@ Osijek	L 1-2	54.1	1482	1822	8.10%	16.49%	75.42%	-1.87	-1.8	29
2021-05-22	Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 2-0	48.1	1729	1543	62.44%	21.58%	15.99%	+1.07	+7.6	60
2021-05-22	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-2	48.1	1543	1729	15.99%	21.58%	62.44%	-1.07	-7.6	30
2021-05-22	Sibenik	W 1-0	48.9	1911	1546	77.18%	15.59%	7.23%	+2.01	+1.7	85
2021-05-22	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	48.9	1546	1911	7.23%	15.59%	77.18%	-2.01	-1.7	35
2021-05-22	Varazdin	W 1-0	48.4	1520	1472	46.51%	24.40%	29.08%	+0.34	+6.9	34
2021-05-22	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-1	48.4	1472	1520	29.08%	24.40%	46.51%	-0.34	-6.9	28

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2021-01-30	10.61%	Sibenik	1568	2	@ Dinamo Zagreb	1847	1
2	2021-02-03	16.71%	@ Varazdin	1516	2	Gorica	1724	1
3	2020-10-31	16.84%	@ Istra 1961	1478	1	Hajduk Split	1683	0
4	2021-01-23	17.29%	@ Varazdin	1517	2	Rijeka	1717	1
5	2020-10-18	17.50%	Sibenik	1530	1	@ Hajduk Split	1696	0
6	2021-01-19	17.55%	Rijeka	1693	2	@ Dinamo Zagreb	1859	0
7	2021-04-16	17.91%	Slaven Belupo	1561	1	@ Gorica	1722	0
8	2020-12-12	19.22%	@ Varazdin	1507	4	Hajduk Split	1683	2
9	2020-11-01	20.52%	@ Sibenik	1537	2	Rijeka	1698	0
10	2020-11-21	24.11%	@ Osijek	1738	2	Dinamo Zagreb	1862	0
11	2020-12-02	24.35%	Slaven Belupo	1600	1	@ Gorica	1690	0
12	2021-03-05	24.62%	@ Istra 1961	1463	3	Sibenik	1581	2
13	2021-01-30	24.98%	Lokomotiva Zagreb	1568	1	@ Hajduk Split	1653	0
14	2021-01-24	25.18%	@ Istra 1961	1479	2	Slaven Belupo	1592	1
15	2021-01-26	25.82%	Sibenik	1529	4	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	1606	0
16	2020-09-18	26.14%	@ Sibenik	1539	3	Lokomotiva Zagreb	1644	2
17	2021-05-07	27.06%	@ Gorica	1721	1	Osijek	1818	0
18	2021-02-10	27.77%	Hajduk Split	1637	1	@ Rijeka	1696	0
19	2021-04-03	27.83%	Rijeka	1675	4	@ Gorica	1734	3
20	2021-03-10	27.90%	@ Istra 1961	1472	3	Lokomotiva Zagreb	1562	1
21	2020-12-12	27.96%	@ Gorica	1679	4	Osijek	1768	1
22	2021-03-13	28.20%	Istra 1961	1489	1	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	1545	0
23	2020-08-21	30.25%	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	1643	1	Rijeka	1713	0
24	2020-09-26	31.10%	@ Istra 1961	1485	1	Sibenik	1548	0
25	2021-02-27	31.89%	Hajduk Split	1647	1	@ Rijeka	1673	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2021-01-26	38.14	Sibenik	4	1529	25.82%	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	0	1606	50.15%	24.04%
2	2021-05-12	32.84	@ Hajduk Split	4	1687	33.52%	Gorica	0	1732	41.81%	24.67%
3	2021-04-21	28.78	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	4	1504	40.08%	Varazdin	0	1502	35.19%	24.72%
4	2020-08-16	26.55	@ Dinamo Zagreb	6	1801	56.71%	Lokomotiva Zagreb	0	1669	20.31%	22.98%
5	2020-09-12	23.72	@ Osijek	3	1683	36.47%	Rijeka	0	1707	38.79%	24.74%
6	2020-12-12	23.62	@ Gorica	4	1679	27.96%	Osijek	1	1768	47.75%	24.29%
7	2021-01-19	23.59	Rijeka	2	1693	17.55%	@ Dinamo Zagreb	0	1859	60.29%	22.16%
8	2020-11-27	23.25	Slaven Belupo	3	1577	37.47%	@ Sibenik	0	1562	37.78%	24.75%
9	2020-11-01	22.26	@ Sibenik	2	1537	20.52%	Rijeka	0	1698	56.44%	23.04%
10	2020-11-21	20.77	@ Osijek	2	1738	24.11%	Dinamo Zagreb	0	1862	52.11%	23.78%
11	2020-08-14	20.32	Gorica	5	1642	47.10%	@ Varazdin	1	1558	28.55%	24.35%
12	2020-10-16	18.99	@ Slaven Belupo	5	1569	49.59%	Istra 1961	1	1497	26.31%	24.10%
13	2020-12-12	17.69	@ Varazdin	4	1507	19.22%	Hajduk Split	2	1683	58.09%	22.69%
14	2021-01-31	16.75	Gorica	2	1707	35.17%	@ Rijeka	0	1709	40.11%	24.72%
15	2021-03-10	16.72	@ Istra 1961	3	1472	27.90%	Lokomotiva Zagreb	1	1562	47.82%	24.29%
16	2021-04-24	16.37	@ Sibenik	2	1551	36.36%	Slaven Belupo	0	1575	38.90%	24.74%
17	2021-01-22	16.03	Osijek	3	1748	52.42%	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	0	1622	23.84%	23.73%
18	2021-02-20	14.85	Gorica	3	1722	54.77%	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	0	1576	21.88%	23.35%
19	2021-03-14	14.08	Osijek	4	1795	62.98%	@ Sibenik	0	1572	15.60%	21.42%
20	2021-05-07	13.94	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	3	1536	37.19%	Slaven Belupo	1	1554	38.06%	24.75%
21	2021-05-09	13.51	Dinamo Zagreb	5	1889	59.67%	@ Rijeka	1	1699	18.02%	22.32%
22	2021-01-30	13.48	Sibenik	2	1568	10.61%	@ Dinamo Zagreb	1	1847	70.78%	18.61%
23	2020-11-07	13.13	Sibenik	3	1560	40.10%	@ Varazdin	1	1527	35.18%	24.72%
24	2020-11-21	12.96	Hajduk Split	2	1671	46.77%	@ Slaven Belupo	0	1590	28.85%	24.38%
25	2021-01-29	12.85	@ Slaven Belupo	2	1582	47.09%	Varazdin	0	1529	28.55%	24.35%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2020-09-19	84.2	@ Dinamo Zagreb	3	1847	69.95%	Slaven Belupo	3	1578	11.10%	18.96%
2	2021-05-12	81.9	@ Dinamo Zagreb	2	1902	81.26%	Varazdin	2	1472	5.38%	13.37%
3	2020-12-13	79.8	@ Rijeka	2	1692	20.53%	Dinamo Zagreb	2	1853	56.43%	23.04%
4	2021-04-11	79.8	@ Slaven Belupo	2	1559	13.30%	Osijek	2	1819	66.39%	20.31%
5	2020-08-29	77.9	@ Hajduk Split	2	1701	55.79%	Slaven Belupo	2	1577	21.04%	23.16%
6	2021-02-03	77.7	@ Rijeka	2	1692	54.30%	Sibenik	2	1581	22.26%	23.43%
7	2021-04-07	77.3	@ Hajduk Split	2	1683	55.90%	Slaven Belupo	2	1558	20.96%	23.14%
8	2021-04-03	76.7	Rijeka	4	1675	27.83%	@ Gorica	3	1734	47.89%	24.28%
9	2020-09-19	76.2	@ Gorica	2	1681	63.55%	Istra 1961	2	1483	15.20%	21.25%
10	2021-02-19	75.0	@ Slaven Belupo	2	1577	39.22%	Sibenik	2	1582	36.04%	24.74%
11	2021-04-03	74.9	@ Sibenik	1	1552	9.92%	Dinamo Zagreb	1	1878	72.01%	18.08%
12	2020-11-20	74.7	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	2	1622	53.95%	Varazdin	2	1514	22.55%	23.49%
13	2021-01-30	74.5	Sibenik	2	1568	10.61%	@ Dinamo Zagreb	1	1847	70.78%	18.61%
14	2021-05-05	74.3	@ Hajduk Split	1	1680	16.47%	Dinamo Zagreb	1	1891	61.77%	21.77%
15	2020-11-01	74.2	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	1	1632	15.47%	Dinamo Zagreb	1	1857	63.17%	21.36%
16	2021-05-02	74.2	@ Osijek	1	1821	75.99%	Varazdin	1	1473	7.81%	16.20%
17	2021-04-21	73.6	@ Osijek	1	1822	31.85%	Dinamo Zagreb	1	1880	43.55%	24.60%
18	2021-03-07	73.4	@ Osijek	1	1795	47.50%	Gorica	1	1739	28.18%	24.32%
19	2020-11-29	73.1	@ Rijeka	1	1683	28.60%	Osijek	1	1766	47.05%	24.36%
20	2021-03-13	72.9	@ Gorica	1	1740	49.80%	Hajduk Split	1	1666	26.12%	24.08%
21	2020-11-07	72.8	@ Hajduk Split	1	1671	30.45%	Osijek	1	1739	45.04%	24.51%
22	2020-11-28	72.0	@ Gorica	1	1691	50.26%	Lokomotiva Zagreb	1	1614	25.72%	24.02%
23	2021-05-01	72.0	@ Hajduk Split	3	1672	34.99%	Rijeka	2	1707	40.29%	24.72%
24	2020-09-18	71.7	@ Sibenik	3	1539	26.14%	Lokomotiva Zagreb	2	1644	49.78%	24.08%
25	2021-04-20	71.6	@ Sibenik	1	1549	20.50%	Gorica	1	1710	56.46%	23.03%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2020-11-08	43.2	@ Dinamo Zagreb	5	1854	77.09%	Istra 1961	0	1490	7.27%	15.64%
2	2020-12-19	43.6	@ Dinamo Zagreb	4	1851	74.44%	Varazdin	0	1525	8.60%	16.96%
3	2021-03-14	44.6	Dinamo Zagreb	5	1863	73.61%	@ Varazdin	0	1516	9.04%	17.35%
4	2021-04-21	45.3	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	4	1504	40.08%	Varazdin	0	1502	35.19%	24.72%
5	2021-04-17	45.4	@ Rijeka	3	1690	61.18%	Lokomotiva Zagreb	0	1516	16.89%	21.93%
6	2021-02-28	45.5	@ Dinamo Zagreb	3	1848	70.06%	Slaven Belupo	0	1577	11.03%	18.91%
7	2021-05-11	45.8	@ Osijek	3	1808	67.75%	Sibenik	0	1564	12.43%	19.81%
8	2021-04-11	45.9	Dinamo Zagreb	2	1874	74.25%	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	0	1519	8.70%	17.05%
9	2021-04-03	46.1	Osijek	2	1814	71.04%	@ Istra 1961	0	1500	10.46%	18.50%
10	2021-05-02	46.4	Gorica	2	1714	63.55%	@ Istra 1961	0	1485	15.21%	21.25%
11	2020-08-16	46.7	@ Hajduk Split	2	1685	61.87%	Istra 1961	0	1504	16.39%	21.74%
12	2021-03-19	46.7	@ Osijek	2	1809	70.31%	Lokomotiva Zagreb	0	1535	10.88%	18.80%
13	2021-05-01	46.8	Dinamo Zagreb	2	1887	72.19%	@ Slaven Belupo	0	1559	9.81%	18.00%
14	2020-10-25	47.0	Dinamo Zagreb	2	1852	70.71%	@ Sibenik	0	1542	10.65%	18.64%
15	2021-03-14	47.0	Osijek	4	1795	62.98%	@ Sibenik	0	1572	15.60%	21.42%
16	2021-03-21	47.0	@ Rijeka	2	1666	59.68%	Varazdin	0	1507	18.00%	22.31%
17	2021-02-02	47.7	@ Dinamo Zagreb	2	1833	68.71%	Lokomotiva Zagreb	0	1579	11.84%	19.45%
18	2021-02-02	47.7	@ Osijek	3	1767	60.98%	Slaven Belupo	0	1595	17.04%	21.98%
19	2021-05-15	47.8	Osijek	2	1816	67.14%	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	0	1549	12.82%	20.04%
20	2021-04-18	47.9	@ Dinamo Zagreb	1	1878	78.66%	Istra 1961	0	1491	6.53%	14.81%
21	2021-05-22	48.1	@ Hajduk Split	2	1729	62.44%	Lokomotiva Zagreb	0	1543	15.99%	21.58%
22	2021-03-06	48.2	@ Hajduk Split	2	1656	56.52%	Varazdin	0	1526	20.46%	23.02%
23	2020-10-16	48.3	@ Slaven Belupo	5	1569	49.59%	Istra 1961	1	1497	26.31%	24.10%
24	2021-05-22	48.4	@ Slaven Belupo	1	1520	46.51%	Varazdin	0	1472	29.08%	24.40%
25	2021-02-07	48.5	Dinamo Zagreb	1	1839	74.70%	@ Istra 1961	0	1478	8.46%	16.83%