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2021-22 Prva HNL Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Dinamo Zagreb

79 points · 23rd Title

Last Title: 2020-21

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Hajduk Split

9.14 points above expected

72 points · 62.86 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Hrvatski Dragovoljac

9.90 points below expected

19 points · 28.90 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Dinamo Zagreb Champion 36 24 7 5 79 68 22 +46 74.82 +4.18
2 Hajduk Split 36 21 9 6 72 64 31 +33 62.86 +9.14
3 Osijek 36 19 12 5 69 49 29 +20 68.84 +0.16
4 Rijeka 36 20 5 11 65 71 51 +20 60.30 +4.70
5 Lokomotiva Zagreb 36 12 13 11 49 55 50 +5 44.63 +4.37
6 Gorica 36 12 9 15 45 43 50 -7 48.49 -3.49
7 Slaven Belupo 36 9 9 18 36 35 54 -19 39.08 -3.08
8 Sibenik 36 9 5 22 32 46 75 -29 38.11 -6.11
9 Istra 1961 36 7 10 19 31 42 67 -25 32.62 -1.62
10 Hrvatski Dragovoljac 36 4 7 25 19 31 75 -44 28.90 -9.90

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hajduk Split 72 62.86 +9.14
2 Rijeka 65 60.30 +4.70
3 Lokomotiva Zagreb 49 44.63 +4.37
4 Dinamo Zagreb 79 74.82 +4.18
5 Osijek 69 68.84 +0.16

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hrvatski Dragovoljac 19 28.90 -9.90
2 Sibenik 32 38.11 -6.11
3 Gorica 45 48.49 -3.49
4 Slaven Belupo 36 39.08 -3.08
5 Istra 1961 31 32.62 -1.62

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Slaven Belupo 2 Dec 17 – Jan 29 1 in 25
2 Dinamo Zagreb 6 Aug 13 – Oct 3 1 in 17
3 Lokomotiva Zagreb 3 Jul 24 – Aug 14 1 in 13
4 Osijek 4 Feb 6 – Feb 27 1 in 13
5 Hajduk Split 4 Aug 1 – Aug 20 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gorica 6 Dec 18 – Feb 26 1 in 625
2 Hrvatski Dragovoljac 8 Nov 6 – Feb 6 1 in 51
3 Rijeka 2 Mar 13 – Mar 19 1 in 32
4 Slaven Belupo 4 Aug 14 – Sep 11 1 in 25
5 Osijek 2 Aug 22 – Aug 29 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Osijek 13 Sep 12 – Dec 19 1 in 41
2 Hajduk Split 11 Mar 6 – May 14 1 in 23
3 Lokomotiva Zagreb 6 Apr 4 – May 7 1 in 20
4 Istra 1961 3 Oct 16 – Nov 1 1 in 18
5 Hrvatski Dragovoljac 3 Aug 27 – Sep 17 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Slaven Belupo 12 Jul 24 – Oct 22 1 in 86
2 Istra 1961 14 Feb 6 – May 14 1 in 32
3 Hrvatski Dragovoljac 15 Sep 10 – Feb 6 1 in 24
4 Gorica 6 Dec 18 – Feb 26 1 in 23
5 Hajduk Split 4 Oct 3 – Oct 31 1 in 14

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Dinamo Zagreb 1870 79 +28 13 10.0 +3.0
Hajduk Split 1798 72 +12 10 9.5 +0.5
Osijek 1768 69 -27 5 8.8 -3.8
Rijeka 1714 65 +1 10 8.7 +1.3
Lokomotiva Zagreb 1619 49 +1 6 6.5 -0.5
Gorica 1610 45 +0 5 6.3 -1.3
Slaven Belupo 1540 36 -3 6 5.9 +0.1
Sibenik 1483 32 -16 3 4.5 -1.5
Istra 1961 1502 31 +5 5 4.7 +0.3
Hrvatski Dragovoljac 1452 19 -1 4 4.4 -0.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team DZ GOR HS HD I1 LZ OSI RIJ SIB SB
Dinamo Zagreb —
4-0-0
8.28
1-1-2
6.77
4-0-0
9.72
3-1-0
9.51
1-2-1
8.72
2-1-1
6.46
2-2-0
7.26
4-0-0
9.24
3-0-1
9.02
Gorica
0-0-4
2.86
—
0-1-3
4.23
3-1-0
7.81
1-2-1
7.47
1-2-1
5.88
0-3-1
3.49
2-0-2
4.44
3-0-1
6.93
2-0-2
6.77
Hajduk Split
2-1-1
4.25
3-1-0
6.81
—
4-0-0
9.02
3-1-0
8.67
2-2-0
7.58
0-3-1
4.81
2-0-2
5.95
3-0-1
8.05
2-1-1
8.20
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
0-0-4
1.66
0-1-3
3.28
0-0-4
2.23
—
0-1-3
4.89
0-2-2
3.59
0-0-4
1.91
1-1-2
2.30
2-1-1
4.12
1-1-2
4.14
Istra 1961
0-1-3
1.82
1-2-1
3.59
0-1-3
2.53
3-1-0
6.11
—
1-2-1
4.26
1-1-2
2.27
0-0-4
2.94
0-0-4
5.18
1-2-1
4.75
Lokomotiva Zagreb
1-2-1
2.47
1-2-1
5.11
0-2-2
3.49
2-2-0
7.47
1-2-1
6.76
—
0-2-2
3.18
2-0-2
3.78
2-1-1
6.44
3-0-1
5.96
Osijek
1-1-2
4.55
1-3-0
7.58
1-3-0
6.18
4-0-0
9.40
2-1-1
8.96
2-2-0
7.92
—
2-1-1
6.55
4-0-0
8.39
2-1-1
8.58
Rijeka
0-2-2
3.79
2-0-2
6.57
2-0-2
5.05
2-1-1
8.94
4-0-0
8.19
2-0-2
7.27
1-1-2
4.46
—
4-0-0
7.99
3-1-0
7.87
Sibenik
0-0-4
2.05
1-0-3
4.10
1-0-3
3.07
1-1-2
6.92
4-0-0
5.81
1-1-2
4.57
0-0-4
2.76
0-0-4
3.12
—
1-3-0
5.45
Slaven Belupo
1-0-3
2.23
2-0-2
4.25
1-1-2
2.93
2-1-1
6.89
1-2-1
6.25
1-0-3
5.04
1-1-2
2.60
0-1-3
3.23
0-3-1
5.55
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.74 +12.8
Allowed 0.87 -10.2
Differential 0.98 +6.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%7.50%6.11%3.61%1.67%0.56%26.11%
17.50%11.11%9.44%4.72%0.83%—33.61%
26.11%9.44%3.89%1.94%0.28%0.28%21.94%
33.61%4.72%1.94%2.22%0.56%0.56%13.61%
41.67%0.83%0.28%0.56%——3.33%
5+0.56%—0.28%0.56%——1.39%
Total26.11%33.61%21.94%13.61%3.33%1.39%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 1.40 +0.00
SD 1.24 1.24 1.81
CV 0.88 0.88 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%5.56%———19.44%
111.11%8.33%————19.44%
222.22%11.11%————33.33%
311.11%2.78%—5.56%——19.44%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total55.56%33.33%5.56%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.89 0.61 +1.28
SD 1.56 0.84 1.86
CV 0.83 1.37 —
Max 8 3 +8
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%8.33%2.78%2.78%—27.78%
113.89%13.89%8.33%2.78%——38.89%
22.78%11.11%2.78%5.56%——22.22%
3—2.78%—2.78%2.78%—8.33%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total25.00%36.11%19.44%13.89%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.39 -0.19
SD 1.04 1.18 1.53
CV 0.87 0.85 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%—2.78%———16.67%
113.89%5.56%5.56%5.56%——30.56%
28.33%5.56%2.78%2.78%——19.44%
35.56%13.89%2.78%2.78%——25.00%
48.33%—————8.33%
5+———————
Total50.00%25.00%13.89%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.78 0.86 +0.92
SD 1.24 1.05 1.61
CV 0.70 1.21 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%16.67%11.11%5.56%5.56%2.78%44.44%
12.78%11.11%13.89%5.56%2.78%—36.11%
2—2.78%5.56%2.78%—2.78%13.89%
3—2.78%————2.78%
4———————
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total8.33%33.33%30.56%13.89%8.33%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 2.08 -1.22
SD 1.07 1.63 2.09
CV 1.25 0.78 —
Max 5 8 +5
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%8.33%5.56%5.56%—27.78%
12.78%16.67%13.89%8.33%——41.67%
22.78%5.56%5.56%2.78%——16.67%
32.78%5.56%——2.78%2.78%13.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.89%30.56%27.78%16.67%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.86 -0.69
SD 1.00 1.36 1.67
CV 0.86 0.73 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%2.78%—2.78%—22.22%
12.78%13.89%8.33%2.78%——27.78%
22.78%13.89%11.11%2.78%——30.56%
32.78%2.78%2.78%5.56%——13.89%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+———————
Total16.67%44.44%25.00%11.11%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.39 +0.14
SD 1.16 0.99 1.51
CV 0.76 0.72 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%—5.56%2.78%——25.00%
116.67%13.89%2.78%2.78%——36.11%
25.56%8.33%2.78%———16.67%
38.33%8.33%5.56%———22.22%
4———————
5+———————
Total47.22%30.56%16.67%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 0.81 +0.56
SD 1.10 0.92 1.40
CV 0.81 1.14 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
18.33%—13.89%———22.22%
211.11%11.11%5.56%2.78%——30.56%
32.78%5.56%2.78%5.56%——16.67%
4—2.78%2.78%2.78%——8.33%
5+———5.56%——5.56%
Total25.00%27.78%27.78%19.44%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 1.42 +0.56
SD 1.46 1.08 1.50
CV 0.74 0.76 —
Max 6 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.33%8.33%8.33%—2.78%27.78%
1—13.89%13.89%11.11%2.78%—41.67%
22.78%11.11%——2.78%—16.67%
3—2.78%2.78%——2.78%8.33%
4———2.78%——2.78%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total2.78%36.11%27.78%22.22%5.56%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 2.08 -0.81
SD 1.30 1.20 1.79
CV 1.02 0.58 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%5.56%8.33%——33.33%
12.78%13.89%13.89%8.33%2.78%—41.67%
22.78%13.89%2.78%———19.44%
32.78%—2.78%———5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%38.89%25.00%16.67%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.50 -0.53
SD 0.88 1.06 1.46
CV 0.90 0.70 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Dinamo Zagreb 1870 79 74.82 +4.18 75.0% 56 62 71 76 79 86 92
Hajduk Split 1798 72 62.86 +9.14 86.0% 40 50 57 62 69 76 82
Osijek 1768 69 68.84 +0.16 53.0% 50 56 64 69 74 81 84
Rijeka 1714 65 60.30 +4.70 77.0% 46 50 56 60 65 72 78
Lokomotiva Zagreb 1619 49 44.63 +4.37 71.0% 27 31 39 45 50 54 69
Gorica 1610 45 48.49 -3.49 35.0% 26 37 43 48 52 63 65
Slaven Belupo 1540 36 39.08 -3.08 29.0% 23 28 36 39 43 48 55
Istra 1961 1502 31 32.62 -1.62 45.0% 15 21 27 32 37 44 52
Sibenik 1483 32 38.11 -6.11 25.0% 22 26 32 38 44 50 58
Hrvatski Dragovoljac 1452 19 28.90 -9.90 7.0% 14 17 25 29 34 37 54

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 18.5% * Slight Edge: 18.5% to 25.5% * Clear Edge: 25.5% to 33% * Strong Edge: 33% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+9.44%
No Edge
42.78%23.89%33.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 32.91 Elo pts.
184 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.22 goals
Neutral
-2+0.18+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.13 * Tight Race: 0.13 to 0.23 * Comfortable: 0.23 to 0.46 * Runaway: 0.46 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.2
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
63%
Dinamo Zagreb, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.19/gm
Tight Race
00.200.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.82 * Some Luck: 5.82 to 8.74 * Lucky: 8.74 to 11.65 * Wild Swing: 11.65 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.72 * Close: 0.72 to 1.09 * Off: 1.09 to 1.45 * Way Off: 1.45 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.49 points
As Expected
07.2818
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.40
Pinpoint
00.912
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
86.00%
Hajduk Split
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
7.00%
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.22 * Lopsided: 0.22 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 67% * Clear Edge: 67% to 71% * Wide Edge: 71% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90% * Clear Edge: 90% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58% * Some Drama: 58% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 64% * Very Frequent: 64% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 16.5% * Frequent: 16.5% to 19.5% * Very Frequent: 19.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Lopsided
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 145.22
2.58
Wide Separation
11.852.353.5
Interquartile Edge
80%
Wide Edge
50%65%71%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
92%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
63%
Frequent
0%59%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Rare
0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.46 * Lopsided: 0.46 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.65 * Strong Carryover: 0.65 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 21.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 21.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 17% * Very Shaky: 17% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.43
Notable Separation
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.57
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.93
Near-Lock
00.570.791
Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
As Expected
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.84
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.26
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.053
Well Within Noise
00.1210.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Dinamo Zagreb63.00%28.00%6.00%3.00%——————
Hajduk Split10.00%22.00%27.00%30.00%7.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%——
Osijek23.00%34.00%31.00%11.00%1.00%—————
Rijeka4.00%13.00%26.00%37.00%15.00%4.00%1.00%———
Lokomotiva Zagreb—2.00%3.00%9.00%21.00%29.00%15.00%15.00%5.00%1.00%
Gorica—1.00%6.00%8.00%40.00%24.00%13.00%4.00%4.00%—
Slaven Belupo————6.00%18.00%35.00%22.00%14.00%5.00%
Sibenik——1.00%1.00%7.00%12.00%21.00%32.00%14.00%12.00%
Istra 1961————3.00%9.00%11.00%16.00%37.00%24.00%
Hrvatski Dragovoljac———1.00%—2.00%3.00%10.00%26.00%58.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Dinamo Zagreb 100% —
Gorica 100% —
Hajduk Split 100% —
Osijek 100% —
Rijeka 100% —
Lokomotiva Zagreb 99.00% 1.00%
Slaven Belupo 95.00% 5.00%
Sibenik 88.00% 12.00%
Istra 1961 76.00% 24.00%
Hrvatski Dragovoljac 42.00% 58.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2021-07-16 Sibenik W 3-045.9 1757 1574 63.95% 20.89% 15.16%+1.17 +8.7 3
2021-07-16 @ Osijek L 0-345.9 1574 1757 15.16% 20.89% 63.95%-1.17 -8.7 0
2021-07-16 Slaven Belupo L 0-264.2 1814 1564 70.27% 18.32% 11.41%+1.54 -22.4 0
2021-07-16 @ Dinamo Zagreb W 2-064.2 1564 1814 11.41% 18.32% 70.27%-1.54 +22.4 3
2021-07-17 Hajduk Split D 2-276.4 1566 1698 24.91% 24.31% 50.79%-0.54 +0.8 1
2021-07-17 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb D 2-276.4 1698 1566 50.79% 24.31% 24.91%+0.54 -0.8 1
2021-07-17 Gorica W 2-054.0 1675 1660 44.10% 25.09% 30.80%+0.26 +11.5 3
2021-07-17 @ Rijeka L 0-254.0 1660 1675 30.80% 25.09% 44.10%-0.26 -11.6 0
2021-07-18 Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 3-152.9 1533 1515 44.37% 25.07% 30.56%+0.27 +9.9 3
2021-07-18 @ Istra 1961 L 1-352.9 1515 1533 30.56% 25.07% 44.37%-0.27 -9.9 0
2021-07-23 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-444.2 1506 1791 12.94% 19.48% 67.58%-1.38 -9.6 0
2021-07-23 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 4-044.2 1791 1506 67.58% 19.48% 12.94%+1.38 +9.6 3
2021-07-24 Lokomotiva Zagreb L 1-263.9 1587 1567 44.74% 25.04% 30.21%+0.29 -7.7 3
2021-07-24 @ Slaven Belupo W 2-163.9 1567 1587 30.21% 25.04% 44.74%-0.29 +7.7 4
2021-07-24 Sibenik W 3-155.3 1649 1566 52.88% 23.94% 23.18%+0.63 +7.9 3
2021-07-24 @ Gorica L 1-355.3 1566 1649 23.18% 23.94% 52.88%-0.63 -7.9 0
2021-07-25 Istra 1961 W 2-047.7 1687 1543 59.95% 22.21% 17.84%+0.97 +7.1 6
2021-07-25 @ Rijeka L 0-247.7 1543 1687 17.84% 22.21% 59.95%-0.97 -7.1 3
2021-07-25 Osijek L 1-264.5 1697 1766 32.40% 25.21% 42.39%-0.19 -6.0 1
2021-07-25 @ Hajduk Split W 2-164.5 1766 1697 42.39% 25.21% 32.40%+0.19 +6.0 6
2021-07-30 Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 3-259.8 1574 1496 52.32% 24.04% 23.64%+0.61 +4.4 7
2021-07-30 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb L 2-359.8 1496 1574 23.64% 24.04% 52.32%-0.61 -4.4 0
2021-07-31 Gorica L 1-259.2 1536 1656 26.09% 24.52% 49.39%-0.48 -5.0 3
2021-07-31 @ Istra 1961 W 2-159.2 1656 1536 49.39% 24.52% 26.09%+0.48 +5.0 6
2021-08-01 Rijeka D 3-382.6 1801 1694 55.73% 23.33% 20.94%+0.76 -0.9 4
2021-08-01 @ Dinamo Zagreb D 3-382.6 1694 1801 20.94% 23.33% 55.73%-0.76 +0.9 7
2021-08-01 Sibenik W 1-052.0 1691 1558 58.73% 22.56% 18.71%+0.91 +3.9 4
2021-08-01 @ Hajduk Split L 0-152.0 1558 1691 18.71% 22.56% 58.73%-0.91 -3.9 0
2021-08-01 Slaven Belupo D 0-068.4 1772 1579 64.97% 20.52% 14.52%+1.23 -2.3 7
2021-08-01 @ Osijek D 0-068.4 1579 1772 14.52% 20.52% 64.97%-1.23 +2.3 4
2021-08-07 Hajduk Split L 1-362.0 1662 1695 37.25% 25.35% 37.40%+0.00 -11.6 6
2021-08-07 @ Gorica W 3-162.0 1695 1662 37.40% 25.35% 37.25%+0.00 +11.6 7
2021-08-07 Sibenik D 1-167.6 1581 1554 45.75% 24.95% 29.30%+0.33 -0.6 5
2021-08-07 @ Slaven Belupo D 1-167.6 1554 1581 29.30% 24.95% 45.75%-0.33 +0.6 1
2021-08-08 Osijek L 1-255.3 1492 1769 13.38% 19.79% 66.83%-1.33 -2.6 0
2021-08-08 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 2-155.3 1769 1492 66.83% 19.79% 13.38%+1.33 +2.6 10
2021-08-13 Gorica W 1-053.5 1800 1650 60.57% 22.02% 17.41%+1.00 +3.7 7
2021-08-13 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-153.5 1650 1800 17.41% 22.02% 60.57%-1.00 -3.7 6
2021-08-14 Istra 1961 W 4-045.7 1579 1530 48.50% 24.64% 26.86%+0.44 +19.6 10
2021-08-14 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb L 0-445.7 1530 1579 26.86% 24.64% 48.50%-0.44 -19.6 3
2021-08-14 Slaven Belupo W 2-049.3 1707 1581 57.91% 22.78% 19.30%+0.87 +7.7 10
2021-08-14 @ Hajduk Split L 0-249.3 1581 1707 19.30% 22.78% 57.91%-0.87 -7.7 5
2021-08-15 Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 6-248.5 1554 1489 50.71% 24.32% 24.97%+0.54 +13.0 4
2021-08-15 @ Sibenik L 2-648.5 1489 1554 24.97% 24.32% 50.71%-0.54 -13.0 0
2021-08-15 Rijeka W 1-056.1 1772 1695 52.15% 24.07% 23.78%+0.60 +4.9 13
2021-08-15 @ Osijek L 0-156.1 1695 1772 23.78% 24.07% 52.15%-0.60 -4.9 7
2021-08-20 Hajduk Split L 0-149.6 1476 1714 15.83% 21.26% 62.92%-1.12 -3.3 0
2021-08-20 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 1-049.6 1714 1476 62.92% 21.26% 15.83%+1.12 +3.3 13
2021-08-21 Lokomotiva Zagreb W 1-051.5 1804 1598 66.20% 20.04% 13.76%+1.30 +2.9 10
2021-08-21 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-151.5 1598 1804 13.76% 20.04% 66.20%-1.30 -2.9 10
2021-08-21 Slaven Belupo W 1-053.6 1646 1573 51.69% 24.16% 24.15%+0.58 +5.0 9
2021-08-21 @ Gorica L 0-153.6 1573 1646 24.15% 24.16% 51.69%-0.58 -5.0 5
2021-08-22 Osijek W 2-062.4 1511 1777 14.07% 20.24% 65.69%-1.27 +21.2 6
2021-08-22 @ Istra 1961 L 0-262.4 1777 1511 65.69% 20.24% 14.07%+1.27 -21.2 13
2021-08-22 Sibenik W 2-158.0 1690 1567 57.53% 22.89% 19.58%+0.85 +3.9 10
2021-08-22 @ Rijeka L 1-258.0 1567 1690 19.58% 22.89% 57.53%-0.85 -3.9 4
2021-08-27 Hrvatski Dragovoljac L 0-157.2 1568 1473 54.37% 23.64% 21.99%+0.70 -9.6 5
2021-08-27 @ Slaven Belupo W 1-057.2 1473 1568 21.99% 23.64% 54.37%-0.70 +9.6 3
2021-08-28 Gorica L 0-157.4 1595 1651 34.12% 25.29% 40.60%-0.12 -6.6 10
2021-08-28 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb W 1-057.4 1651 1595 40.60% 25.29% 34.12%+0.12 +6.6 12
2021-08-28 Istra 1961 W 3-154.0 1564 1532 46.28% 24.90% 28.81%+0.35 +9.5 7
2021-08-28 @ Sibenik L 1-354.0 1532 1564 28.81% 24.90% 46.28%-0.35 -9.5 6
2021-08-29 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-256.5 1756 1807 34.79% 25.31% 39.90%-0.10 -12.7 13
2021-08-29 @ Osijek W 2-056.5 1807 1756 39.90% 25.31% 34.79%+0.10 +12.7 13
2021-08-29 Rijeka L 1-268.0 1718 1694 45.24% 25.00% 29.76%+0.31 -7.8 13
2021-08-29 @ Hajduk Split W 2-168.0 1694 1718 29.76% 25.00% 45.24%-0.31 +7.8 13
2021-09-10 Hrvatski Dragovoljac D 1-168.8 1658 1482 63.25% 21.14% 15.61%+1.14 -2.0 13
2021-09-10 @ Gorica D 1-168.8 1482 1658 15.61% 21.14% 63.25%-1.14 +2.0 4
2021-09-11 Sibenik W 2-046.7 1819 1573 69.99% 18.45% 11.57%+1.52 +4.5 16
2021-09-11 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-246.7 1573 1819 11.57% 18.45% 69.99%-1.52 -4.5 7
2021-09-11 Slaven Belupo W 2-157.4 1702 1558 59.84% 22.24% 17.92%+0.96 +3.6 16
2021-09-11 @ Rijeka L 1-257.4 1558 1702 17.92% 22.24% 59.84%-0.96 -3.6 5
2021-09-12 Hajduk Split L 1-354.3 1523 1710 19.69% 22.92% 57.38%-0.84 -6.8 6
2021-09-12 @ Istra 1961 W 3-154.3 1710 1523 57.38% 22.92% 19.69%+0.84 +6.8 16
2021-09-12 Osijek D 1-171.7 1589 1743 22.66% 23.81% 53.53%-0.66 +1.2 11
2021-09-12 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb D 1-171.7 1743 1589 53.53% 23.81% 22.66%+0.66 -1.2 14
2021-09-17 Rijeka D 2-275.7 1484 1705 17.03% 21.85% 61.12%-1.02 +1.3 5
2021-09-17 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac D 2-275.7 1705 1484 61.12% 21.85% 17.03%+1.02 -1.3 17
2021-09-18 Istra 1961 D 1-165.5 1555 1516 47.27% 24.79% 27.94%+0.39 -0.7 6
2021-09-18 @ Slaven Belupo D 1-165.5 1516 1555 27.94% 24.79% 47.27%-0.39 +0.8 7
2021-09-18 Lokomotiva Zagreb W 2-161.4 1569 1590 38.97% 25.33% 35.70%+0.06 +6.5 10
2021-09-18 @ Sibenik L 1-261.4 1590 1569 35.70% 25.33% 38.97%-0.06 -6.5 11
2021-09-19 Gorica W 3-266.0 1742 1656 53.22% 23.87% 22.91%+0.65 +4.3 17
2021-09-19 @ Osijek L 2-366.0 1656 1742 22.91% 23.87% 53.22%-0.65 -4.3 13
2021-09-25 Dinamo Zagreb L 1-450.9 1554 1824 13.85% 20.10% 66.06%-1.29 -6.7 6
2021-09-25 @ Slaven Belupo W 4-150.9 1824 1554 66.06% 20.10% 13.85%+1.29 +6.7 19
2021-09-25 Osijek L 0-250.4 1575 1746 21.09% 23.38% 55.53%-0.75 -8.3 10
2021-09-25 @ Sibenik W 2-050.4 1746 1575 55.53% 23.38% 21.09%+0.75 +8.3 20
2021-09-26 Lokomotiva Zagreb W 1-052.8 1717 1584 58.70% 22.57% 18.73%+0.90 +4.0 19
2021-09-26 @ Hajduk Split L 0-152.8 1584 1717 18.73% 22.57% 58.70%-0.90 -4.0 11
2021-09-26 Rijeka L 3-472.4 1652 1704 34.61% 25.31% 40.09%-0.11 -5.9 13
2021-09-26 @ Gorica W 4-372.4 1704 1652 40.09% 25.31% 34.61%+0.11 +5.9 20
2021-09-27 Istra 1961 L 0-151.3 1486 1517 37.58% 25.35% 37.07%+0.01 -7.1 5
2021-09-27 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 1-051.3 1517 1486 37.07% 25.35% 37.58%-0.01 +7.1 10
2021-10-01 Gorica L 1-261.3 1567 1646 31.05% 25.11% 43.83%-0.25 -5.8 10
2021-10-01 @ Sibenik W 2-161.3 1646 1567 43.83% 25.11% 31.05%+0.25 +5.8 16
2021-10-02 Rijeka L 3-655.4 1524 1710 19.79% 22.96% 57.26%-0.83 -7.7 10
2021-10-02 @ Istra 1961 W 6-355.4 1710 1524 57.26% 22.96% 19.79%+0.83 +7.7 23
2021-10-02 Slaven Belupo W 3-047.2 1580 1547 46.40% 24.89% 28.71%+0.36 +15.8 14
2021-10-02 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb L 0-347.2 1547 1580 28.71% 24.89% 46.40%-0.36 -15.8 6
2021-10-03 Hajduk Split D 1-172.4 1754 1720 46.61% 24.87% 28.52%+0.36 -0.7 21
2021-10-03 @ Osijek D 1-172.4 1720 1754 28.52% 24.87% 46.61%-0.36 +0.7 20
2021-10-03 Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 8-043.9 1830 1478 78.48% 14.21% 7.31%+2.10 +9.6 22
2021-10-03 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-843.9 1478 1830 7.31% 14.21% 78.48%-2.10 -9.6 5
2021-10-15 Lokomotiva Zagreb D 2-271.1 1469 1595 25.46% 24.41% 50.12%-0.51 +0.7 6
2021-10-15 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac D 2-271.1 1595 1469 50.12% 24.41% 25.46%+0.51 -0.7 15
2021-10-16 Dinamo Zagreb D 3-382.4 1717 1840 25.90% 24.49% 49.61%-0.49 +0.6 24
2021-10-16 @ Rijeka D 3-382.4 1840 1717 49.61% 24.49% 25.90%+0.49 -0.6 23
2021-10-16 Istra 1961 D 1-169.2 1652 1516 58.98% 22.49% 18.53%+0.92 -1.6 17
2021-10-16 @ Gorica D 1-169.2 1516 1652 18.53% 22.49% 58.98%-0.92 +1.7 11
2021-10-17 Hajduk Split W 2-059.9 1561 1721 22.08% 23.66% 54.26%-0.69 +18.1 13
2021-10-17 @ Sibenik L 0-259.9 1721 1561 54.26% 23.66% 22.08%+0.69 -18.1 20
2021-10-17 Osijek L 0-248.2 1531 1754 16.95% 21.81% 61.23%-1.03 -6.7 6
2021-10-17 @ Slaven Belupo W 2-048.2 1754 1531 61.23% 21.81% 16.95%+1.03 +6.7 24
2021-10-20 Lokomotiva Zagreb L 1-270.2 1718 1595 57.62% 22.86% 19.52%+0.85 -9.5 24
2021-10-20 @ Rijeka W 2-170.2 1595 1718 19.52% 22.86% 57.62%-0.85 +9.5 18
2021-10-22 Slaven Belupo D 1-166.7 1579 1525 49.28% 24.54% 26.19%+0.47 -0.9 14
2021-10-22 @ Sibenik D 1-166.7 1525 1579 26.19% 24.54% 49.28%-0.47 +0.9 7
2021-10-23 Gorica D 0-067.2 1703 1650 49.13% 24.56% 26.31%+0.47 -1.0 21
2021-10-23 @ Hajduk Split D 0-067.2 1650 1703 26.31% 24.56% 49.13%-0.47 +1.0 18
2021-10-23 Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 1-047.2 1760 1469 73.80% 16.65% 9.55%+1.76 +1.9 27
2021-10-23 @ Osijek L 0-147.2 1469 1760 9.55% 16.65% 73.80%-1.76 -1.9 6
2021-10-24 Istra 1961 D 1-174.5 1840 1518 76.24% 15.41% 8.36%+1.93 -2.8 24
2021-10-24 @ Dinamo Zagreb D 1-174.5 1518 1840 8.36% 15.41% 76.24%-1.93 +2.8 12
2021-10-24 Rijeka L 0-252.8 1604 1709 27.98% 24.80% 47.22%-0.39 -10.7 18
2021-10-24 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb W 2-052.8 1709 1604 47.22% 24.80% 27.98%+0.39 +10.7 27
2021-10-30 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-251.1 1651 1837 19.81% 22.96% 57.23%-0.83 -7.9 18
2021-10-30 @ Gorica W 2-051.1 1837 1651 57.23% 22.96% 19.81%+0.83 +7.9 27
2021-10-30 Sibenik D 1-164.7 1468 1578 27.26% 24.70% 48.04%-0.42 +0.8 7
2021-10-30 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac D 1-164.7 1578 1468 48.04% 24.70% 27.26%+0.42 -0.8 15
2021-10-31 Hajduk Split W 3-273.7 1526 1702 20.61% 23.23% 56.17%-0.78 +8.8 10
2021-10-31 @ Slaven Belupo L 2-373.7 1702 1526 56.17% 23.23% 20.61%+0.78 -8.8 21
2021-11-01 Lokomotiva Zagreb W 2-162.3 1521 1594 31.84% 25.17% 42.99%-0.22 +7.5 15
2021-11-01 @ Istra 1961 L 1-262.3 1594 1521 42.99% 25.17% 31.84%+0.22 -7.5 18
2021-11-05 Gorica L 1-259.3 1534 1643 27.48% 24.73% 47.79%-0.41 -5.3 10
2021-11-05 @ Slaven Belupo W 2-159.3 1643 1534 47.79% 24.73% 27.48%+0.41 +5.3 21
2021-11-06 Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 2-043.7 1693 1468 68.04% 19.29% 12.67%+1.40 +5.0 24
2021-11-06 @ Hajduk Split L 0-243.7 1468 1693 12.67% 19.29% 68.04%-1.40 -4.9 7
2021-11-06 Istra 1961 W 3-043.9 1762 1528 68.90% 18.92% 12.17%+1.46 +6.9 30
2021-11-06 @ Osijek L 0-343.9 1528 1762 12.17% 18.92% 68.90%-1.46 -6.9 15
2021-11-07 Dinamo Zagreb W 1-067.2 1586 1845 14.53% 20.52% 64.95%-1.23 +11.2 21
2021-11-07 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb L 0-167.2 1845 1586 64.95% 20.52% 14.53%+1.23 -11.2 27
2021-11-07 Rijeka L 0-154.8 1577 1719 23.87% 24.09% 52.03%-0.59 -5.0 15
2021-11-07 @ Sibenik W 1-054.8 1719 1577 52.03% 24.09% 23.87%+0.59 +4.9 30
2021-11-19 Slaven Belupo L 1-254.9 1463 1529 32.78% 25.23% 41.99%-0.18 -6.1 7
2021-11-19 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 2-154.9 1529 1463 41.99% 25.23% 32.78%+0.18 +6.1 13
2021-11-20 Osijek D 1-172.8 1833 1769 50.55% 24.35% 25.11%+0.53 -1.0 28
2021-11-20 @ Dinamo Zagreb D 1-172.8 1769 1833 25.11% 24.35% 50.55%-0.53 +1.0 31
2021-11-20 Sibenik L 3-467.1 1521 1572 34.75% 25.31% 39.94%-0.10 -5.9 15
2021-11-20 @ Istra 1961 W 4-367.1 1572 1521 39.94% 25.31% 34.75%+0.10 +5.9 18
2021-11-21 Hajduk Split L 2-373.3 1724 1698 45.55% 24.97% 29.47%+0.32 -7.4 30
2021-11-21 @ Rijeka W 3-273.3 1698 1724 29.47% 24.97% 45.55%-0.32 +7.4 27
2021-11-21 Lokomotiva Zagreb D 2-276.0 1648 1597 48.87% 24.59% 26.53%+0.46 -0.6 22
2021-11-21 @ Gorica D 2-276.0 1597 1648 26.53% 24.59% 48.87%-0.46 +0.7 22
2021-11-26 Istra 1961 W 4-043.8 1706 1515 64.72% 20.61% 14.67%+1.22 +11.0 30
2021-11-26 @ Hajduk Split L 0-443.8 1515 1706 14.67% 20.61% 64.72%-1.22 -11.0 15
2021-11-26 Lokomotiva Zagreb W 3-154.4 1770 1598 62.89% 21.26% 15.84%+1.12 +5.4 34
2021-11-26 @ Osijek L 1-354.4 1598 1770 15.84% 21.26% 62.89%-1.12 -5.5 22
2021-11-27 Gorica L 0-148.8 1457 1648 19.42% 22.83% 57.76%-0.86 -4.1 7
2021-11-27 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 1-048.8 1648 1457 57.76% 22.83% 19.42%+0.86 +4.1 25
2021-11-27 Rijeka L 1-258.2 1535 1717 20.17% 23.09% 56.74%-0.81 -4.0 13
2021-11-27 @ Slaven Belupo W 2-158.2 1717 1535 56.74% 23.09% 20.17%+0.81 +4.0 33
2021-11-28 Dinamo Zagreb L 1-257.6 1578 1832 14.80% 20.68% 64.52%-1.21 -2.9 18
2021-11-28 @ Sibenik W 2-157.6 1832 1578 64.52% 20.68% 14.80%+1.21 +2.9 31
2021-12-04 Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 4-146.0 1721 1453 71.84% 17.60% 10.57%+1.64 +4.9 36
2021-12-04 @ Rijeka L 1-446.0 1453 1721 10.57% 17.60% 71.84%-1.64 -5.0 7
2021-12-04 Osijek D 1-172.3 1652 1776 25.77% 24.47% 49.76%-0.50 +0.9 26
2021-12-04 @ Gorica D 1-172.3 1776 1652 49.76% 24.47% 25.77%+0.50 -0.9 35
2021-12-05 Hajduk Split L 0-262.4 1835 1717 57.09% 23.00% 19.91%+0.83 -18.9 31
2021-12-05 @ Dinamo Zagreb W 2-062.4 1717 1835 19.91% 23.00% 57.09%-0.83 +18.9 33
2021-12-05 Sibenik D 1-168.4 1592 1575 44.36% 25.07% 30.56%+0.27 -0.5 23
2021-12-05 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb D 1-168.4 1575 1592 30.56% 25.07% 44.36%-0.27 +0.5 19
2021-12-06 Slaven Belupo L 1-258.2 1504 1531 38.17% 25.34% 36.48%+0.03 -6.8 15
2021-12-06 @ Istra 1961 W 2-158.2 1531 1504 36.48% 25.34% 38.17%-0.03 +6.8 16
2021-12-08 Osijek D 0-067.8 1726 1775 35.05% 25.32% 39.63%-0.09 +0.2 37
2021-12-08 @ Rijeka D 0-067.8 1775 1726 39.63% 25.32% 35.05%+0.09 -0.2 36
2021-12-10 Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 3-040.1 1497 1448 48.62% 24.63% 26.76%+0.45 +14.9 18
2021-12-10 @ Istra 1961 L 0-340.1 1448 1497 26.76% 24.63% 48.62%-0.45 -14.9 7
2021-12-11 Hajduk Split D 3-381.3 1592 1736 23.70% 24.06% 52.24%-0.60 +0.7 24
2021-12-11 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb D 3-381.3 1736 1592 52.24% 24.06% 23.70%+0.60 -0.7 34
2021-12-11 Gorica L 1-269.4 1726 1653 51.66% 24.16% 24.18%+0.58 -8.7 37
2021-12-11 @ Rijeka W 2-169.4 1653 1726 24.18% 24.16% 51.66%-0.58 +8.7 29
2021-12-12 Sibenik W 3-153.5 1774 1576 65.54% 20.30% 14.16%+1.26 +4.8 39
2021-12-12 @ Osijek L 1-353.5 1576 1774 14.16% 20.30% 65.54%-1.26 -4.8 19
2021-12-12 Slaven Belupo W 3-043.5 1816 1538 72.76% 17.16% 10.08%+1.70 +5.6 34
2021-12-12 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-343.5 1538 1816 10.08% 17.16% 72.76%-1.70 -5.6 16
2021-12-15 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-246.3 1512 1822 11.69% 18.55% 69.76%-1.51 -4.5 18
2021-12-15 @ Istra 1961 W 2-046.3 1822 1512 69.76% 18.55% 11.69%+1.51 +4.5 37
2021-12-17 Lokomotiva Zagreb W 2-162.1 1533 1593 33.54% 25.27% 41.19%-0.15 +7.2 19
2021-12-17 @ Slaven Belupo L 1-262.1 1593 1533 41.19% 25.27% 33.54%+0.15 -7.2 24
2021-12-18 Istra 1961 W 1-049.2 1717 1508 66.57% 19.90% 13.54%+1.32 +2.8 40
2021-12-18 @ Rijeka L 0-149.2 1508 1717 13.54% 19.90% 66.57%-1.32 -2.8 18
2021-12-18 Sibenik L 2-373.2 1661 1571 53.78% 23.76% 22.46%+0.67 -8.5 29
2021-12-18 @ Gorica W 3-273.2 1571 1661 22.46% 23.76% 53.78%-0.67 +8.5 22
2021-12-19 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-243.2 1433 1827 8.16% 15.19% 76.66%-1.96 -3.0 7
2021-12-19 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 2-043.2 1827 1433 76.66% 15.19% 8.16%+1.96 +3.0 40
2021-12-19 Osijek D 0-067.9 1735 1779 35.68% 25.33% 38.99%-0.06 +0.1 35
2021-12-19 @ Hajduk Split D 0-067.9 1779 1735 38.99% 25.33% 35.68%+0.06 -0.1 40
2022-01-28 Gorica W 2-166.1 1505 1653 23.28% 23.96% 52.76%-0.63 +8.8 21
2022-01-28 @ Istra 1961 L 1-266.1 1653 1505 52.76% 23.96% 23.28%+0.63 -8.8 29
2022-01-29 Hajduk Split L 1-356.6 1579 1735 22.53% 23.78% 53.69%-0.67 -7.7 22
2022-01-29 @ Sibenik W 3-156.6 1735 1579 53.69% 23.78% 22.53%+0.67 +7.7 38
2022-01-29 Slaven Belupo L 1-272.6 1779 1540 69.37% 18.72% 11.91%+1.48 -11.1 40
2022-01-29 @ Osijek W 2-172.6 1540 1779 11.91% 18.72% 69.37%-1.48 +11.1 22
2022-01-30 Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 2-150.1 1585 1430 61.09% 21.86% 17.05%+1.02 +3.4 27
2022-01-30 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb L 1-250.1 1430 1585 17.05% 21.86% 61.09%-1.02 -3.4 7
2022-01-30 Rijeka W 2-051.6 1830 1720 56.04% 23.26% 20.71%+0.78 +8.2 43
2022-01-30 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-251.6 1720 1830 20.71% 23.26% 56.04%-0.78 -8.2 40
2022-02-04 Sibenik D 1-167.1 1551 1572 39.04% 25.33% 35.63%+0.06 -0.1 23
2022-02-04 @ Slaven Belupo D 1-167.1 1572 1551 35.63% 25.33% 39.04%-0.06 +0.1 23
2022-02-05 Hajduk Split L 0-451.4 1644 1743 28.66% 24.88% 46.46%-0.36 -20.7 29
2022-02-05 @ Gorica W 4-051.4 1743 1644 46.46% 24.88% 28.66%+0.36 +20.7 41
2022-02-05 Lokomotiva Zagreb W 3-263.8 1712 1589 57.58% 22.87% 19.55%+0.85 +3.7 43
2022-02-05 @ Rijeka L 2-363.8 1589 1712 19.55% 22.87% 57.58%-0.85 -3.7 27
2022-02-06 Dinamo Zagreb L 1-255.2 1514 1838 11.00% 17.98% 71.02%-1.58 -2.1 21
2022-02-06 @ Istra 1961 W 2-155.2 1838 1514 71.02% 17.98% 11.00%+1.58 +2.1 46
2022-02-06 Osijek L 1-349.0 1427 1768 10.22% 17.28% 72.50%-1.68 -3.4 7
2022-02-06 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 3-149.0 1768 1427 72.50% 17.28% 10.22%+1.68 +3.4 43
2022-02-11 Hrvatski Dragovoljac L 0-551.7 1572 1424 60.37% 22.08% 17.54%+0.99 -46.3 23
2022-02-11 @ Sibenik W 5-051.7 1424 1572 17.54% 22.08% 60.37%-0.99 +46.3 10
2022-02-12 Gorica W 2-157.0 1840 1623 67.24% 19.62% 13.13%+1.36 +2.6 49
2022-02-12 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 1-257.0 1623 1840 13.13% 19.62% 67.24%-1.36 -2.6 29
2022-02-12 Istra 1961 D 1-166.6 1585 1512 51.69% 24.15% 24.15%+0.58 -1.1 28
2022-02-12 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb D 1-166.6 1512 1585 24.15% 24.15% 51.69%-0.58 +1.1 22
2022-02-13 Rijeka W 1-057.0 1771 1715 49.50% 24.50% 25.99%+0.48 +5.3 46
2022-02-13 @ Osijek L 0-157.0 1715 1771 25.99% 24.50% 49.50%-0.48 -5.3 43
2022-02-13 Slaven Belupo W 3-152.7 1763 1551 66.88% 19.77% 13.35%+1.34 +4.5 44
2022-02-13 @ Hajduk Split L 1-352.7 1551 1763 13.35% 19.77% 66.88%-1.34 -4.5 23
2022-02-18 Slaven Belupo L 0-355.0 1621 1546 51.85% 24.13% 24.02%+0.59 -25.3 29
2022-02-18 @ Gorica W 3-055.0 1546 1621 24.02% 24.13% 51.85%-0.59 +25.3 26
2022-02-19 Hajduk Split L 0-343.2 1470 1768 12.29% 19.01% 68.70%-1.44 -7.0 10
2022-02-19 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 3-043.2 1768 1470 68.70% 19.01% 12.29%+1.44 +7.0 47
2022-02-19 Osijek L 2-361.3 1513 1777 14.19% 20.32% 65.49%-1.26 -2.7 22
2022-02-19 @ Istra 1961 W 3-261.3 1777 1513 65.49% 20.32% 14.19%+1.26 +2.7 49
2022-02-20 Lokomotiva Zagreb D 0-069.7 1842 1584 71.05% 17.96% 10.99%+1.59 -2.8 50
2022-02-20 @ Dinamo Zagreb D 0-069.7 1584 1842 10.99% 17.96% 71.05%-1.59 +2.8 29
2022-02-20 Sibenik W 4-256.3 1710 1526 64.14% 20.82% 15.04%+1.18 +4.6 46
2022-02-20 @ Rijeka L 2-456.3 1526 1710 15.04% 20.82% 64.14%-1.18 -4.6 23
2022-02-25 Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 1-046.8 1571 1463 55.91% 23.29% 20.80%+0.77 +4.4 29
2022-02-25 @ Slaven Belupo L 0-146.8 1463 1571 20.80% 23.29% 55.91%-0.77 -4.4 10
2022-02-26 Gorica W 2-052.4 1587 1596 40.78% 25.28% 33.94%+0.13 +12.5 32
2022-02-26 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb L 0-252.4 1596 1587 33.94% 25.28% 40.78%-0.13 -12.5 29
2022-02-26 Rijeka L 1-366.3 1775 1715 50.01% 24.43% 25.56%+0.51 -14.6 47
2022-02-26 @ Hajduk Split W 3-166.3 1715 1775 25.56% 24.43% 50.01%-0.51 +14.6 49
2022-02-27 Dinamo Zagreb W 1-062.1 1779 1840 33.54% 25.27% 41.20%-0.15 +7.7 52
2022-02-27 @ Osijek L 0-162.1 1840 1779 41.20% 25.27% 33.54%+0.15 -7.7 50
2022-02-27 Istra 1961 W 2-155.9 1521 1510 43.49% 25.14% 31.37%+0.24 +5.9 26
2022-02-27 @ Sibenik L 1-255.9 1510 1521 31.37% 25.14% 43.49%-0.24 -5.9 22
2022-03-04 Osijek D 0-068.0 1599 1787 19.63% 22.90% 57.47%-0.84 +1.7 33
2022-03-04 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb D 0-068.0 1787 1599 57.47% 22.90% 19.63%+0.84 -1.7 53
2022-03-05 Sibenik W 3-042.9 1832 1527 74.94% 16.08% 8.99%+1.84 +4.9 53
2022-03-05 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-342.9 1527 1832 8.99% 16.08% 74.94%-1.84 -4.9 26
2022-03-05 Slaven Belupo W 3-046.5 1729 1576 60.94% 21.91% 17.16%+1.02 +9.9 52
2022-03-05 @ Rijeka L 0-346.5 1576 1729 17.16% 21.91% 60.94%-1.02 -9.9 29
2022-03-06 Hajduk Split D 1-171.8 1504 1760 14.69% 20.62% 64.69%-1.21 +2.1 23
2022-03-06 @ Istra 1961 D 1-171.8 1760 1504 64.69% 20.62% 14.69%+1.21 -2.1 48
2022-03-06 Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 4-040.6 1583 1459 57.74% 22.83% 19.43%+0.86 +14.6 32
2022-03-06 @ Gorica L 0-440.6 1459 1583 19.43% 22.83% 57.74%-0.86 -14.6 10
2022-03-11 Lokomotiva Zagreb L 1-452.9 1522 1601 31.06% 25.12% 43.82%-0.25 -14.2 26
2022-03-11 @ Sibenik W 4-152.9 1601 1522 43.82% 25.12% 31.06%+0.25 +14.2 36
2022-03-12 Dinamo Zagreb D 0-068.1 1758 1837 31.10% 25.12% 43.78%-0.25 +0.5 49
2022-03-12 @ Hajduk Split D 0-068.1 1837 1758 43.78% 25.12% 31.10%+0.25 -0.5 54
2022-03-12 Istra 1961 D 0-061.2 1566 1506 49.95% 24.44% 25.61%+0.50 -1.1 30
2022-03-12 @ Slaven Belupo D 0-061.2 1506 1566 25.61% 24.44% 49.95%-0.50 +1.1 24
2022-03-13 Gorica D 0-068.6 1785 1598 64.46% 20.71% 14.84%+1.20 -2.3 54
2022-03-13 @ Osijek D 0-068.6 1598 1785 14.84% 20.71% 64.46%-1.20 +2.3 33
2022-03-13 Rijeka W 2-170.0 1444 1739 12.42% 19.11% 68.46%-1.43 +11.0 13
2022-03-13 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac L 1-270.0 1739 1444 68.46% 19.11% 12.42%+1.43 -11.0 52
2022-03-18 Istra 1961 D 0-056.9 1455 1507 34.57% 25.30% 40.12%-0.11 +0.2 14
2022-03-18 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac D 0-056.9 1507 1455 40.12% 25.30% 34.57%+0.11 -0.2 25
2022-03-19 Lokomotiva Zagreb W 4-047.3 1759 1615 59.84% 22.24% 17.92%+0.96 +13.5 52
2022-03-19 @ Hajduk Split L 0-447.3 1615 1759 17.92% 22.24% 59.84%-0.96 -13.5 36
2022-03-19 Rijeka W 1-063.2 1600 1728 25.29% 24.38% 50.33%-0.52 +9.0 36
2022-03-19 @ Gorica L 0-163.2 1728 1600 50.33% 24.38% 25.29%+0.52 -9.0 52
2022-03-20 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-151.5 1565 1836 13.75% 20.04% 66.21%-1.30 -2.9 30
2022-03-20 @ Slaven Belupo W 1-051.5 1836 1565 66.21% 20.04% 13.75%+1.30 +2.9 57
2022-03-20 Osijek L 0-344.6 1508 1783 13.52% 19.89% 66.59%-1.32 -7.7 26
2022-03-20 @ Sibenik W 3-044.6 1783 1508 66.59% 19.89% 13.52%+1.32 +7.7 57
2022-04-02 Gorica L 0-151.9 1500 1609 27.44% 24.73% 47.84%-0.41 -5.6 26
2022-04-02 @ Sibenik W 1-051.9 1609 1500 47.84% 24.73% 27.44%+0.41 +5.6 39
2022-04-02 Rijeka L 0-247.6 1507 1719 17.70% 22.15% 60.15%-0.98 -7.0 25
2022-04-02 @ Istra 1961 W 2-047.6 1719 1507 60.15% 22.15% 17.70%+0.98 +7.0 55
2022-04-03 Hajduk Split D 0-068.1 1791 1772 44.57% 25.06% 30.37%+0.28 -0.6 58
2022-04-03 @ Osijek D 0-068.1 1772 1791 30.37% 25.06% 44.57%-0.28 +0.6 53
2022-04-03 Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 2-042.5 1839 1455 80.67% 12.99% 6.34%+2.27 +2.2 60
2022-04-03 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-242.5 1455 1839 6.34% 12.99% 80.67%-2.27 -2.2 14
2022-04-04 Slaven Belupo W 3-155.7 1602 1562 47.39% 24.78% 27.83%+0.40 +9.2 39
2022-04-04 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb L 1-355.7 1562 1602 27.83% 24.78% 47.39%-0.40 -9.2 30
2022-04-08 Istra 1961 D 1-167.5 1615 1500 56.60% 23.12% 20.28%+0.80 -1.5 40
2022-04-08 @ Gorica D 1-167.5 1500 1615 20.28% 23.12% 56.60%-0.80 +1.5 26
2022-04-09 Lokomotiva Zagreb D 1-165.6 1453 1611 22.30% 23.72% 53.99%-0.68 +1.3 15
2022-04-09 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac D 1-165.6 1611 1453 53.99% 23.72% 22.30%+0.68 -1.3 40
2022-04-09 Sibenik W 2-153.6 1773 1494 72.75% 17.16% 10.09%+1.69 +1.9 56
2022-04-09 @ Hajduk Split L 1-253.6 1494 1773 10.09% 17.16% 72.75%-1.69 -1.9 26
2022-04-10 Dinamo Zagreb L 1-262.9 1726 1841 26.75% 24.63% 48.62%-0.45 -5.2 55
2022-04-10 @ Rijeka W 2-162.9 1841 1726 48.62% 24.63% 26.75%+0.45 +5.2 63
2022-04-10 Osijek L 0-152.1 1553 1790 15.89% 21.29% 62.83%-1.11 -3.3 30
2022-04-10 @ Slaven Belupo W 1-052.1 1790 1553 62.83% 21.29% 15.89%+1.11 +3.3 61
2022-04-15 Gorica W 1-052.8 1775 1613 61.78% 21.64% 16.58%+1.06 +3.5 59
2022-04-15 @ Hajduk Split L 0-152.8 1613 1775 16.58% 21.64% 61.78%-1.06 -3.5 40
2022-04-15 Istra 1961 W 3-041.9 1846 1502 77.96% 14.49% 7.55%+2.06 +4.0 66
2022-04-15 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-341.9 1502 1846 7.55% 14.49% 77.96%-2.06 -4.0 26
2022-04-16 Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 2-151.8 1794 1454 77.55% 14.71% 7.74%+2.03 +1.4 64
2022-04-16 @ Osijek L 1-251.8 1454 1794 7.74% 14.71% 77.55%-2.03 -1.4 15
2022-04-16 Rijeka W 2-168.1 1610 1721 27.14% 24.68% 48.18%-0.43 +8.2 43
2022-04-16 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb L 1-268.1 1721 1610 48.18% 24.68% 27.14%+0.43 -8.2 55
2022-04-16 Slaven Belupo W 2-159.2 1493 1549 33.97% 25.28% 40.74%-0.13 +7.2 29
2022-04-16 @ Sibenik L 1-259.2 1549 1493 40.74% 25.28% 33.97%+0.13 -7.2 30
2022-04-20 Dinamo Zagreb W 1-062.6 1778 1850 31.93% 25.18% 42.90%-0.21 +7.9 62
2022-04-20 @ Hajduk Split L 0-162.6 1850 1778 42.90% 25.18% 31.93%+0.21 -7.9 66
2022-04-22 Sibenik W 3-152.1 1453 1500 35.35% 25.32% 39.32%-0.08 +12.1 18
2022-04-22 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac L 1-352.1 1500 1453 39.32% 25.32% 35.35%+0.08 -12.1 29
2022-04-23 Lokomotiva Zagreb D 2-272.8 1498 1618 26.18% 24.53% 49.29%-0.48 +0.7 27
2022-04-23 @ Istra 1961 D 2-272.8 1618 1498 49.29% 24.53% 26.18%+0.48 -0.7 44
2022-04-23 Osijek W 3-164.8 1713 1795 30.70% 25.09% 44.22%-0.27 +13.2 58
2022-04-23 @ Rijeka L 1-364.8 1795 1713 44.22% 25.09% 30.70%+0.27 -13.2 64
2022-04-24 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-153.0 1610 1843 16.19% 21.44% 62.36%-1.09 -3.4 40
2022-04-24 @ Gorica W 1-053.0 1843 1610 62.36% 21.44% 16.19%+1.09 +3.4 69
2022-04-24 Hajduk Split D 0-068.0 1542 1786 15.46% 21.06% 63.48%-1.15 +2.2 31
2022-04-24 @ Slaven Belupo D 0-068.0 1786 1542 63.48% 21.06% 15.46%+1.15 -2.2 63
2022-04-29 Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 2-152.3 1784 1465 76.02% 15.52% 8.46%+1.92 +1.6 66
2022-04-29 @ Hajduk Split L 1-252.3 1465 1784 8.46% 15.52% 76.02%-1.92 -1.6 18
2022-04-30 Gorica W 2-162.9 1544 1606 33.32% 25.26% 41.42%-0.16 +7.2 34
2022-04-30 @ Slaven Belupo L 1-262.9 1606 1544 41.42% 25.26% 33.32%+0.16 -7.2 40
2022-04-30 Rijeka L 3-557.9 1488 1726 15.81% 21.24% 62.95%-1.12 -4.6 29
2022-04-30 @ Sibenik W 5-357.9 1726 1488 62.95% 21.24% 15.81%+1.12 +4.6 61
2022-05-01 Dinamo Zagreb D 1-173.3 1617 1846 16.48% 21.59% 61.93%-1.07 +1.9 45
2022-05-01 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb D 1-173.3 1846 1617 61.93% 21.59% 16.48%+1.07 -1.9 70
2022-05-01 Istra 1961 D 2-278.8 1782 1498 73.18% 16.95% 9.87%+1.72 -2.0 65
2022-05-01 @ Osijek D 2-278.8 1498 1782 9.87% 16.95% 73.18%-1.72 +2.0 28
2022-05-06 Slaven Belupo D 1-163.4 1463 1552 29.89% 25.01% 45.10%-0.30 +0.6 19
2022-05-06 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac D 1-163.4 1552 1463 45.10% 25.01% 29.89%+0.30 -0.6 35
2022-05-07 Lokomotiva Zagreb D 3-379.2 1599 1619 39.16% 25.33% 35.51%+0.07 -0.1 41
2022-05-07 @ Gorica D 3-379.2 1619 1599 35.51% 25.33% 39.16%-0.07 +0.1 46
2022-05-07 Sibenik L 1-258.0 1500 1483 44.38% 25.07% 30.54%+0.27 -7.7 28
2022-05-07 @ Istra 1961 W 2-158.0 1483 1500 30.54% 25.07% 44.38%-0.27 +7.7 32
2022-05-08 Hajduk Split L 0-354.1 1731 1785 34.29% 25.29% 40.41%-0.12 -18.2 61
2022-05-08 @ Rijeka W 3-054.1 1785 1731 40.41% 25.29% 34.29%+0.12 +18.2 69
2022-05-08 Osijek W 3-051.3 1844 1780 50.56% 24.34% 25.10%+0.53 +14.2 73
2022-05-08 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-351.3 1780 1844 25.10% 24.34% 50.56%-0.53 -14.1 65
2022-05-13 Gorica L 0-245.7 1464 1599 24.59% 24.25% 51.17%-0.56 -9.6 19
2022-05-13 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 2-045.7 1599 1464 51.17% 24.25% 24.59%+0.56 +9.6 44
2022-05-14 Istra 1961 W 3-149.9 1804 1493 75.40% 15.84% 8.76%+1.87 +2.8 72
2022-05-14 @ Hajduk Split L 1-349.9 1493 1804 8.76% 15.84% 75.40%-1.87 -2.8 28
2022-05-14 Rijeka D 2-276.6 1551 1713 21.97% 23.63% 54.41%-0.70 +1.0 36
2022-05-14 @ Slaven Belupo D 2-276.6 1713 1551 54.41% 23.63% 21.97%+0.70 -1.0 62
2022-05-15 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-245.0 1491 1858 9.12% 16.21% 74.67%-1.82 -3.4 32
2022-05-15 @ Sibenik W 2-045.0 1858 1491 74.67% 16.21% 9.12%+1.82 +3.4 76
2022-05-15 Lokomotiva Zagreb W 1-053.2 1766 1619 60.18% 22.14% 17.68%+0.98 +3.7 68
2022-05-15 @ Osijek L 0-153.2 1619 1766 17.68% 22.14% 60.18%-0.98 -3.7 46
2022-05-20 Sibenik W 2-154.0 1615 1487 58.16% 22.72% 19.12%+0.88 +3.8 49
2022-05-20 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb L 1-254.0 1487 1615 19.12% 22.72% 58.16%-0.88 -3.8 32
2022-05-20 Slaven Belupo W 3-156.1 1490 1552 33.25% 25.25% 41.50%-0.16 +12.6 31
2022-05-20 @ Istra 1961 L 1-356.1 1552 1490 41.50% 25.25% 33.25%+0.16 -12.6 36
2022-05-21 Hajduk Split W 3-159.5 1862 1806 49.40% 24.52% 26.08%+0.48 +8.7 79
2022-05-21 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 1-359.5 1806 1862 26.08% 24.52% 49.40%-0.48 -8.7 72
2022-05-21 Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 1-046.6 1712 1454 70.96% 18.01% 11.04%+1.58 +2.2 65
2022-05-21 @ Rijeka L 0-146.6 1454 1712 11.04% 18.01% 70.96%-1.58 -2.2 19
2022-05-21 Osijek D 1-172.2 1608 1769 22.02% 23.64% 54.34%-0.70 +1.3 45
2022-05-21 @ Gorica D 1-172.2 1769 1608 54.34% 23.64% 22.02%+0.70 -1.3 69

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2021-07-16 11.41% Slaven Belupo 1564 2 @ Dinamo Zagreb 1814 0
2 2022-01-29 11.91% Slaven Belupo 1540 2 @ Osijek 1779 1
3 2022-03-13 12.42% @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac 1444 2 Rijeka 1739 1
4 2021-08-22 14.07% @ Istra 1961 1511 2 Osijek 1777 0
5 2021-11-07 14.53% @ Lokomotiva Zagreb 1586 1 Dinamo Zagreb 1845 0
6 2022-02-11 17.54% Hrvatski Dragovoljac 1424 5 @ Sibenik 1572 0
7 2021-10-20 19.52% Lokomotiva Zagreb 1595 2 @ Rijeka 1718 1
8 2021-12-05 19.91% Hajduk Split 1717 2 @ Dinamo Zagreb 1835 0
9 2021-10-31 20.61% @ Slaven Belupo 1526 3 Hajduk Split 1702 2
10 2021-08-27 21.99% Hrvatski Dragovoljac 1473 1 @ Slaven Belupo 1568 0
11 2021-10-17 22.08% @ Sibenik 1561 2 Hajduk Split 1721 0
12 2021-12-18 22.46% Sibenik 1571 3 @ Gorica 1661 2
13 2022-01-28 23.28% @ Istra 1961 1505 2 Gorica 1653 1
14 2022-02-18 24.02% Slaven Belupo 1546 3 @ Gorica 1621 0
15 2021-12-11 24.18% Gorica 1653 2 @ Rijeka 1726 1
16 2022-03-19 25.29% @ Gorica 1600 1 Rijeka 1728 0
17 2022-02-26 25.56% Rijeka 1715 3 @ Hajduk Split 1775 1
18 2022-04-16 27.14% @ Lokomotiva Zagreb 1610 2 Rijeka 1721 1
19 2021-11-21 29.47% Hajduk Split 1698 3 @ Rijeka 1724 2
20 2021-08-29 29.76% Rijeka 1694 2 @ Hajduk Split 1718 1
21 2021-07-24 30.21% Lokomotiva Zagreb 1567 2 @ Slaven Belupo 1587 1
22 2022-05-07 30.54% Sibenik 1483 2 @ Istra 1961 1500 1
23 2022-04-23 30.70% @ Rijeka 1713 3 Osijek 1795 1
24 2021-11-01 31.84% @ Istra 1961 1521 2 Lokomotiva Zagreb 1594 1
25 2022-04-20 31.93% @ Hajduk Split 1778 1 Dinamo Zagreb 1850 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-02-11 46.33 Hrvatski Dragovoljac 5 1424 17.54% @ Sibenik 0 1572 60.37% 22.08%
2 2022-02-18 25.30 Slaven Belupo 3 1546 24.02% @ Gorica 0 1621 51.85% 24.13%
3 2021-07-16 22.39 Slaven Belupo 2 1564 11.41% @ Dinamo Zagreb 0 1814 70.27% 18.32%
4 2021-08-22 21.24 @ Istra 1961 2 1511 14.07% Osijek 0 1777 65.69% 20.24%
5 2022-02-05 20.67 Hajduk Split 4 1743 46.46% @ Gorica 0 1644 28.66% 24.88%
6 2021-08-14 19.58 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb 4 1579 48.50% Istra 1961 0 1530 26.86% 24.64%
7 2021-12-05 18.90 Hajduk Split 2 1717 19.91% @ Dinamo Zagreb 0 1835 57.09% 23.00%
8 2022-05-08 18.24 Hajduk Split 3 1785 40.41% @ Rijeka 0 1731 34.29% 25.29%
9 2021-10-17 18.10 @ Sibenik 2 1561 22.08% Hajduk Split 0 1721 54.26% 23.66%
10 2021-10-02 15.85 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb 3 1580 46.40% Slaven Belupo 0 1547 28.71% 24.89%
11 2021-12-10 14.94 @ Istra 1961 3 1497 48.62% Hrvatski Dragovoljac 0 1448 26.76% 24.63%
12 2022-02-26 14.63 Rijeka 3 1715 25.56% @ Hajduk Split 1 1775 50.01% 24.43%
13 2022-03-06 14.63 @ Gorica 4 1583 57.74% Hrvatski Dragovoljac 0 1459 19.43% 22.83%
14 2022-03-11 14.24 Lokomotiva Zagreb 4 1601 43.82% @ Sibenik 1 1522 31.06% 25.12%
15 2022-05-08 14.15 @ Dinamo Zagreb 3 1844 50.56% Osijek 0 1780 25.10% 24.34%
16 2022-03-19 13.53 @ Hajduk Split 4 1759 59.84% Lokomotiva Zagreb 0 1615 17.92% 22.24%
17 2022-04-23 13.23 @ Rijeka 3 1713 30.70% Osijek 1 1795 44.22% 25.09%
18 2021-08-15 13.02 @ Sibenik 6 1554 50.71% Hrvatski Dragovoljac 2 1489 24.97% 24.32%
19 2021-08-29 12.70 Dinamo Zagreb 2 1807 39.90% @ Osijek 0 1756 34.79% 25.31%
20 2022-05-20 12.58 @ Istra 1961 3 1490 33.25% Slaven Belupo 1 1552 41.50% 25.25%
21 2022-02-26 12.46 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb 2 1587 40.78% Gorica 0 1596 33.94% 25.28%
22 2022-04-22 12.07 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac 3 1453 35.35% Sibenik 1 1500 39.32% 25.32%
23 2021-08-07 11.59 Hajduk Split 3 1695 37.40% @ Gorica 1 1662 37.25% 25.35%
24 2021-07-17 11.55 @ Rijeka 2 1675 44.10% Gorica 0 1660 30.80% 25.09%
25 2021-11-07 11.16 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb 1 1586 14.53% Dinamo Zagreb 0 1845 64.95% 20.52%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-08-01 82.6 @ Dinamo Zagreb 3 1801 55.73% Rijeka 3 1694 20.94% 23.33%
2 2021-10-16 82.4 @ Rijeka 3 1717 25.90% Dinamo Zagreb 3 1840 49.61% 24.49%
3 2021-12-11 81.3 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb 3 1592 23.70% Hajduk Split 3 1736 52.24% 24.06%
4 2022-05-07 79.2 @ Gorica 3 1599 39.16% Lokomotiva Zagreb 3 1619 35.51% 25.33%
5 2022-05-01 78.8 @ Osijek 2 1782 73.18% Istra 1961 2 1498 9.87% 16.95%
6 2022-05-14 76.6 @ Slaven Belupo 2 1551 21.97% Rijeka 2 1713 54.41% 23.63%
7 2021-07-17 76.4 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb 2 1566 24.91% Hajduk Split 2 1698 50.79% 24.31%
8 2021-11-21 76.0 @ Gorica 2 1648 48.87% Lokomotiva Zagreb 2 1597 26.53% 24.59%
9 2021-09-17 75.7 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac 2 1484 17.03% Rijeka 2 1705 61.12% 21.85%
10 2021-10-24 74.5 @ Dinamo Zagreb 1 1840 76.24% Istra 1961 1 1518 8.36% 15.41%
11 2021-10-31 73.7 @ Slaven Belupo 3 1526 20.61% Hajduk Split 2 1702 56.17% 23.23%
12 2021-11-21 73.3 Hajduk Split 3 1698 29.47% @ Rijeka 2 1724 45.55% 24.97%
13 2022-05-01 73.3 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb 1 1617 16.48% Dinamo Zagreb 1 1846 61.93% 21.59%
14 2021-12-18 73.2 Sibenik 3 1571 22.46% @ Gorica 2 1661 53.78% 23.76%
15 2021-11-20 72.8 @ Dinamo Zagreb 1 1833 50.55% Osijek 1 1769 25.11% 24.35%
16 2022-04-23 72.8 @ Istra 1961 2 1498 26.18% Lokomotiva Zagreb 2 1618 49.29% 24.53%
17 2022-01-29 72.6 Slaven Belupo 2 1540 11.91% @ Osijek 1 1779 69.37% 18.72%
18 2021-09-26 72.4 Rijeka 4 1704 40.09% @ Gorica 3 1652 34.61% 25.31%
19 2021-10-03 72.4 @ Osijek 1 1754 46.61% Hajduk Split 1 1720 28.52% 24.87%
20 2021-12-04 72.3 @ Gorica 1 1652 25.77% Osijek 1 1776 49.76% 24.47%
21 2022-05-21 72.2 @ Gorica 1 1608 22.02% Osijek 1 1769 54.34% 23.64%
22 2022-03-06 71.8 @ Istra 1961 1 1504 14.69% Hajduk Split 1 1760 64.69% 20.62%
23 2021-09-12 71.7 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb 1 1589 22.66% Osijek 1 1743 53.53% 23.81%
24 2021-10-15 71.1 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac 2 1469 25.46% Lokomotiva Zagreb 2 1595 50.12% 24.41%
25 2021-10-20 70.2 Lokomotiva Zagreb 2 1595 19.52% @ Rijeka 1 1718 57.62% 22.86%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-12-10 40.1 @ Istra 1961 3 1497 48.62% Hrvatski Dragovoljac 0 1448 26.76% 24.63%
2 2022-03-06 40.6 @ Gorica 4 1583 57.74% Hrvatski Dragovoljac 0 1459 19.43% 22.83%
3 2022-04-15 41.9 @ Dinamo Zagreb 3 1846 77.96% Istra 1961 0 1502 7.55% 14.49%
4 2022-04-03 42.5 @ Dinamo Zagreb 2 1839 80.67% Hrvatski Dragovoljac 0 1455 6.34% 12.99%
5 2022-03-05 42.9 @ Dinamo Zagreb 3 1832 74.94% Sibenik 0 1527 8.99% 16.08%
6 2021-12-19 43.2 Dinamo Zagreb 2 1827 76.66% @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac 0 1433 8.16% 15.19%
7 2022-02-19 43.2 Hajduk Split 3 1768 68.70% @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac 0 1470 12.29% 19.01%
8 2021-12-12 43.5 @ Dinamo Zagreb 3 1816 72.76% Slaven Belupo 0 1538 10.08% 17.16%
9 2021-11-06 43.7 @ Hajduk Split 2 1693 68.04% Hrvatski Dragovoljac 0 1468 12.67% 19.29%
10 2021-11-26 43.8 @ Hajduk Split 4 1706 64.72% Istra 1961 0 1515 14.67% 20.61%
11 2021-10-03 43.9 @ Dinamo Zagreb 8 1830 78.48% Hrvatski Dragovoljac 0 1478 7.31% 14.21%
12 2021-11-06 43.9 @ Osijek 3 1762 68.90% Istra 1961 0 1528 12.17% 18.92%
13 2021-07-23 44.2 Dinamo Zagreb 4 1791 67.58% @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac 0 1506 12.94% 19.48%
14 2022-03-20 44.6 Osijek 3 1783 66.59% @ Sibenik 0 1508 13.52% 19.89%
15 2022-05-15 45.0 Dinamo Zagreb 2 1858 74.67% @ Sibenik 0 1491 9.12% 16.21%
16 2021-08-14 45.7 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb 4 1579 48.50% Istra 1961 0 1530 26.86% 24.64%
17 2022-05-13 45.7 Gorica 2 1599 51.17% @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac 0 1464 24.59% 24.25%
18 2021-07-16 45.9 @ Osijek 3 1757 63.95% Sibenik 0 1574 15.16% 20.89%
19 2021-12-04 46.0 @ Rijeka 4 1721 71.84% Hrvatski Dragovoljac 1 1453 10.57% 17.60%
20 2021-12-15 46.3 Dinamo Zagreb 2 1822 69.76% @ Istra 1961 0 1512 11.69% 18.55%
21 2022-03-05 46.5 @ Rijeka 3 1729 60.94% Slaven Belupo 0 1576 17.16% 21.91%
22 2022-05-21 46.6 @ Rijeka 1 1712 70.96% Hrvatski Dragovoljac 0 1454 11.04% 18.01%
23 2021-09-11 46.7 @ Dinamo Zagreb 2 1819 69.99% Sibenik 0 1573 11.57% 18.45%
24 2022-02-25 46.8 @ Slaven Belupo 1 1571 55.91% Hrvatski Dragovoljac 0 1463 20.80% 23.29%
25 2021-10-02 47.2 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb 3 1580 46.40% Slaven Belupo 0 1547 28.71% 24.89%