1892-93 Football League First Division Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Sunderland

48 points · 2nd Title

Last Title: 1891-92

Relegated

Notts County

via playoff

Accrington · via playoff

Biggest Overachiever

Sunderland

9.84 points above expected

48 points · 38.16 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Newton Heath

10.63 points below expected

18 points · 28.63 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Sunderland	30	22	4	4	48	100	36	+64	38.2	+9.84
2	Preston North End	30	17	3	10	37	57	39	+18	33.8	+3.19
3	Everton	30	16	4	10	36	74	51	+23	30.7	+5.31
4	Aston Villa	30	16	3	11	35	73	62	+11	31.2	+3.81
5	Bolton Wanderers	30	13	6	11	32	56	55	+1	30.9	+1.06
6	Burnley	30	13	4	13	30	51	44	+7	28.4	+1.55
7	Stoke City	30	12	5	13	29	58	48	+10	26.9	+2.07
8	Blackburn Rovers	30	8	13	9	29	47	56	-9	28.8	+0.20
9	West Brom	30	12	5	13	29	58	69	-11	27.5	+1.47
10	Nottingham Forest	30	10	8	12	28	48	52	-4	30.5	-2.49
11	Wolverhampton	30	12	4	14	28	47	68	-21	29.3	-1.32
12	The Wednesday	30	12	3	15	27	55	65	-10	30.4	-3.44
13	Derby County	30	9	9	12	27	52	64	-12	29.0	-1.99
14	Notts County	30	10	4	16	24	53	61	-8	30.0	-5.96
15	Accrington	30	6	11	13	23	57	81	-24	25.7	-2.67
16	Newton Heath	30	6	6	18	18	50	85	-35	28.6	-10.63

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Sunderland	2065	48	38.16	+9.84	100.0%	25	32	35	38	41	45	48
Preston North End	1951	37	33.81	+3.19	77.0%	26	28	31	33	37	40	42
Everton	1944	36	30.69	+5.31	93.0%	20	23	28	31	34	37	41
Aston Villa	1913	35	31.19	+3.81	84.0%	21	24	28	31	34	37	41
Burnley	1895	30	28.45	+1.55	68.0%	20	22	26	28	31	34	39
Bolton Wanderers	1884	32	30.94	+1.06	63.0%	21	24	28	31	34	38	42
Blackburn Rovers	1876	29	28.80	+0.20	53.0%	19	21	25	29	32	35	37
Nottingham Forest	1870	28	30.49	-2.49	31.0%	21	23	27	31	33	37	40
Derby County	1862	27	28.99	-1.99	34.0%	22	23	26	29	31	35	39
Notts County	1860	24	29.96	-5.96	11.0%	17	22	27	30	33	37	43
Wolverhampton	1857	28	29.32	-1.32	43.0%	19	22	26	29	33	37	41
West Brom	1854	29	27.53	+1.47	63.0%	19	20	24	28	31	35	42
The Wednesday	1852	27	30.44	-3.44	25.0%	21	23	27	30	33	38	39
Stoke City	1831	29	26.93	+2.07	74.0%	16	21	24	27	30	34	37
Newton Heath	1812	18	28.63	-10.63	3.0%	16	20	26	29	31	36	39
Accrington	1775	23	25.67	-2.67	29.0%	13	17	23	26	28	33	35

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ACC	AV	BR	BW	BUR	DC	EVE	NH	NF	NC	PNE	SC	SUN	TW	WB	WOL
Accrington	—	0-1-1 2.09	0-2-0 2.54	0-1-1 2.30	1-0-1 2.62	0-1-1 2.55	0-1-1 2.28	0-2-0 2.56	0-1-1 2.48	1-0-1 2.40	0-1-1 2.06	1-1-0 2.85	0-0-2 2.03	1-0-1 2.37	1-0-1 2.58	1-0-1 2.50
Aston Villa	1-1-0 3.59	—	1-1-0 2.97	0-1-1 2.80	1-0-1 3.02	1-0-1 3.07	1-0-1 2.89	1-0-1 3.17	2-0-0 2.91	2-0-0 2.98	1-0-1 2.54	2-0-0 3.42	0-0-2 2.38	1-0-1 2.83	1-0-1 3.01	1-0-1 2.95
Blackburn Rovers	0-2-0 3.13	0-1-1 2.69	—	1-0-1 2.74	1-1-0 2.97	0-1-1 2.90	0-1-1 2.68	1-1-0 2.75	1-0-1 2.90	1-1-0 2.83	0-1-1 2.40	0-2-0 3.09	0-1-1 1.92	1-0-1 2.64	2-0-0 3.02	0-1-1 2.76
Bolton Wanderers	1-1-0 3.37	1-1-0 2.86	1-0-1 2.92	—	1-0-1 2.86	0-1-1 3.18	1-0-1 2.80	1-0-1 3.04	1-0-1 2.97	1-1-0 2.98	0-0-2 2.69	0-1-1 3.31	1-1-0 1.85	1-0-1 2.90	1-0-1 3.09	2-0-0 2.97
Burnley	1-0-1 3.05	1-0-1 2.65	0-1-1 2.69	1-0-1 2.80	—	1-0-1 2.88	2-0-0 2.56	1-1-0 2.69	0-2-0 2.76	1-0-1 2.65	1-0-1 2.37	1-0-1 3.14	0-0-2 1.94	1-0-1 2.81	1-0-1 2.92	1-0-1 2.81
Derby County	1-1-0 3.11	1-0-1 2.59	1-1-0 2.76	1-1-0 2.48	1-0-1 2.78	—	0-0-2 2.59	1-0-1 2.87	0-0-2 2.74	0-1-1 2.75	1-0-1 2.45	2-0-0 3.07	0-1-1 1.71	0-2-0 2.67	0-1-1 2.90	0-1-1 2.69
Everton	1-1-0 3.38	1-0-1 2.77	1-1-0 2.99	1-0-1 2.88	0-0-2 3.10	2-0-0 3.08	—	2-0-0 2.83	0-1-1 2.89	2-0-0 2.83	1-0-1 2.44	1-1-0 3.20	0-0-2 2.16	1-0-1 2.92	1-0-1 3.00	2-0-0 2.99
Newton Heath	0-2-0 3.10	1-0-1 2.51	0-1-1 2.91	1-0-1 2.63	0-1-1 2.97	1-0-1 2.79	0-0-2 2.83	—	0-1-1 2.76	0-0-2 2.76	1-0-1 2.08	1-0-1 2.88	0-0-2 1.60	0-0-2 2.68	0-1-1 2.90	1-0-1 2.73
Nottingham Forest	1-1-0 3.18	0-0-2 2.75	1-0-1 2.77	1-0-1 2.69	0-2-0 2.90	2-0-0 2.92	1-1-0 2.77	1-1-0 2.90	—	1-0-1 2.87	0-0-2 2.56	0-0-2 3.34	0-0-2 2.05	1-1-0 2.73	0-1-1 2.98	1-1-0 2.77
Notts County	1-0-1 3.26	0-0-2 2.69	0-1-1 2.83	0-1-1 2.68	1-0-1 3.01	1-1-0 2.91	0-0-2 2.84	2-0-0 2.90	1-0-1 2.79	—	1-0-1 2.41	0-0-2 3.14	1-1-0 2.18	0-0-2 2.83	1-0-1 2.88	1-0-1 2.78
Preston North End	1-1-0 3.63	1-0-1 3.12	1-1-0 3.27	2-0-0 2.97	1-0-1 3.29	1-0-1 3.22	1-0-1 3.23	1-0-1 3.60	2-0-0 3.11	1-0-1 3.26	—	1-0-1 3.61	0-0-2 2.42	2-0-0 3.05	1-1-0 3.38	1-0-1 3.41
Stoke City	0-1-1 2.81	0-0-2 2.25	0-2-0 2.58	1-1-0 2.37	1-0-1 2.53	0-0-2 2.59	0-1-1 2.47	1-0-1 2.77	2-0-0 2.33	2-0-0 2.53	1-0-1 2.07	—	0-0-2 1.60	2-0-0 2.51	1-0-1 2.70	1-0-1 2.46
Sunderland	2-0-0 3.66	2-0-0 3.30	1-1-0 3.76	0-1-1 3.84	2-0-0 3.74	1-1-0 3.98	2-0-0 3.52	2-0-0 4.11	2-0-0 3.63	0-1-1 3.49	2-0-0 3.25	2-0-0 4.10	—	1-0-1 3.56	2-0-0 3.78	1-0-1 3.75
The Wednesday	1-0-1 3.30	1-0-1 2.83	1-0-1 3.03	1-0-1 2.76	1-0-1 2.86	0-2-0 3.00	1-0-1 2.74	2-0-0 2.98	0-1-1 2.93	2-0-0 2.83	0-0-2 2.61	0-0-2 3.15	1-0-1 2.13	—	1-0-1 3.07	0-0-2 2.87
West Brom	1-0-1 3.09	1-0-1 2.65	0-0-2 2.65	1-0-1 2.58	1-0-1 2.74	1-1-0 2.76	1-0-1 2.67	1-1-0 2.76	1-1-0 2.69	1-0-1 2.78	0-1-1 2.29	1-0-1 2.97	0-0-2 1.91	1-0-1 2.61	—	1-1-0 2.64
Wolverhampton	1-0-1 3.16	1-0-1 2.72	1-1-0 2.90	0-0-2 2.69	1-0-1 2.85	1-1-0 2.98	0-0-2 2.67	1-0-1 2.93	0-1-1 2.89	1-0-1 2.88	1-0-1 2.26	1-0-1 3.20	1-0-1 1.93	2-0-0 2.79	0-1-1 3.03	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.08%	6.25%	3.75%	3.54%	1.67%	3.54%	20.83%
1	6.25%	6.25%	5.42%	3.96%	2.29%	2.50%	26.67%
2	3.75%	5.42%	7.08%	1.67%	2.29%	1.04%	21.25%
3	3.54%	3.96%	1.67%	2.92%	1.04%	0.62%	13.75%
4	1.67%	2.29%	2.29%	1.04%	0.83%	0.83%	8.96%
5+	3.54%	2.50%	1.04%	0.62%	0.83%	—	8.54%
Total	20.83%	26.67%	21.25%	13.75%	8.96%	8.54%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.95
Mean allowed	1.95
StdDev scored	1.69
StdDev allowed	1.69
Mean total goals/game	3.90
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.105
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	—	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	26.67%
1	—	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
2	—	—	6.67%	—	3.33%	6.67%	16.67%
3	—	3.33%	—	10.00%	—	3.33%	16.67%
4	3.33%	—	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	13.33%
5+	—	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	6.67%
Total	6.67%	20.00%	23.33%	20.00%	13.33%	16.67%	100%

Accrington — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.90
Mean allowed	2.70
StdDev scored	1.63
StdDev allowed	1.66
Mean total goals/game	4.60
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.052
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	6.67%	13.33%
1	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	30.00%
2	6.67%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
3	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	13.33%
4	—	10.00%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	6.67%	—	20.00%
Total	16.67%	33.33%	20.00%	6.67%	10.00%	13.33%	100%

Aston Villa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.43
Mean allowed	2.07
StdDev scored	1.89
StdDev allowed	1.80
Mean total goals/game	4.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.181
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	26.67%
1	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	20.00%
2	3.33%	6.67%	16.67%	—	3.33%	—	30.00%
3	6.67%	—	—	10.00%	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	13.33%	26.67%	16.67%	13.33%	3.33%	100%

Blackburn Rovers — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.57
Mean allowed	1.87
StdDev scored	1.25
StdDev allowed	1.50
Mean total goals/game	3.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.152
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	6.67%	3.33%	13.33%	—	3.33%	26.67%
1	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
2	—	10.00%	3.33%	—	6.67%	—	20.00%
3	—	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
4	—	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	—	13.33%
5+	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	10.00%	46.67%	13.33%	16.67%	10.00%	3.33%	100%

Bolton Wanderers — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.87
Mean allowed	1.83
StdDev scored	1.61
StdDev allowed	1.42
Mean total goals/game	3.70
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.236
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	10.00%	16.67%	—	—	—	30.00%
1	3.33%	6.67%	—	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	23.33%
2	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
3	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	30.00%	26.67%	26.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Burnley — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.70
Mean allowed	1.47
StdDev scored	1.56
StdDev allowed	1.53
Mean total goals/game	3.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.331
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%	6.67%
1	10.00%	13.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	10.00%	50.00%
2	—	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
3	10.00%	3.33%	—	6.67%	—	—	20.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%	3.33%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	20.00%	26.67%	20.00%	16.67%	—	16.67%	100%

Derby County — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.73
Mean allowed	2.13
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	1.96
Mean total goals/game	3.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.149
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.33%	—	6.67%	—	3.33%	13.33%
1	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	10.00%	—	26.67%
2	3.33%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	16.67%
4	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
5+	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
Total	36.67%	13.33%	20.00%	10.00%	13.33%	6.67%	100%

Everton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.47
Mean allowed	1.70
StdDev scored	1.93
StdDev allowed	1.68
Mean total goals/game	4.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.402
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	10.00%	26.67%
1	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	10.00%	40.00%
2	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	13.33%
3	—	—	—	3.33%	6.67%	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	3.33%	—	3.33%
5+	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	13.33%	20.00%	13.33%	10.00%	23.33%	20.00%	100%

Newton Heath — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.67
Mean allowed	2.83
StdDev scored	2.17
StdDev allowed	2.00
Mean total goals/game	4.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.212
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.33%	—	6.67%	—	3.33%	23.33%
1	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
2	6.67%	3.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	26.67%
3	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	6.67%	—	23.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	36.67%	23.33%	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	100%

Nottingham Forest — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.60
Mean allowed	1.73
StdDev scored	1.19
StdDev allowed	1.41
Mean total goals/game	3.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.119
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	13.33%	—	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	30.00%
1	—	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	20.00%
2	3.33%	—	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	20.00%
3	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	20.00%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	6.67%
Total	16.67%	33.33%	10.00%	16.67%	20.00%	3.33%	100%

Notts County — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.77
Mean allowed	2.03
StdDev scored	1.81
StdDev allowed	1.61
Mean total goals/game	3.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.246
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	16.67%
1	6.67%	3.33%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	30.00%
2	3.33%	23.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	30.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
5+	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	30.00%	36.67%	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Preston North End — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.90
Mean allowed	1.30
StdDev scored	1.52
StdDev allowed	1.37
Mean total goals/game	3.20
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.351
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	20.00%	—	—	—	—	20.00%
1	10.00%	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	23.33%
2	3.33%	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	—	3.33%	33.33%
3	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
4	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	10.00%
5+	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	20.00%	36.67%	16.67%	20.00%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Stoke City — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.93
Mean allowed	1.60
StdDev scored	1.72
StdDev allowed	1.30
Mean total goals/game	3.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.080
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
1	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
2	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	—	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
4	—	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
5+	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
Total	33.33%	26.67%	26.67%	13.33%	—	—	100%

Sunderland — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.33
Mean allowed	1.20
StdDev scored	1.97
StdDev allowed	1.06
Mean total goals/game	4.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.296
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	10.00%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	36.67%
1	6.67%	—	—	—	3.33%	3.33%	13.33%
2	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	20.00%
3	—	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	16.67%
Total	16.67%	13.33%	33.33%	16.67%	13.33%	6.67%	100%

The Wednesday — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.83
Mean allowed	2.17
StdDev scored	1.91
StdDev allowed	1.46
Mean total goals/game	4.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.150
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	6.67%	16.67%
1	3.33%	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	—	6.67%	36.67%
2	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	13.33%
3	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	16.67%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	16.67%	30.00%	23.33%	10.00%	—	20.00%	100%

West Brom — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.93
Mean allowed	2.30
StdDev scored	1.66
StdDev allowed	2.23
Mean total goals/game	4.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.190
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	16.67%
1	10.00%	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	3.33%	33.33%
2	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	36.67%
3	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
Total	23.33%	13.33%	23.33%	20.00%	10.00%	10.00%	100%

Wolverhampton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.57
Mean allowed	2.27
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	2.12
Mean total goals/game	3.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.189
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sunderland	48	38.2	+9.84
2	Everton	36	30.7	+5.31
3	Aston Villa	35	31.2	+3.81
4	Preston North End	37	33.8	+3.19
5	Stoke City	29	26.9	+2.07

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Newton Heath	18	28.6	-10.63
2	Notts County	24	30.0	-5.96
3	The Wednesday	27	30.4	-3.44
4	Accrington	23	25.7	-2.67
5	Nottingham Forest	28	30.5	-2.49

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Everton	8	Jan 14 – Apr 3	1 in 1,514
2	Nottingham Forest	7	Dec 24 – Feb 25	1 in 253
3	West Brom	4	Feb 11 – Apr 1	1 in 87
4	Preston North End	5	Sep 3 – Sep 24	1 in 59
5	Burnley	5	Mar 18 – Apr 8	1 in 47

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	West Brom	6	Nov 19 – Dec 26	1 in 734
2	The Wednesday	7	Jan 7 – Mar 18	1 in 568
3	Newton Heath	6	Jan 7 – Mar 6	1 in 55
4	Nottingham Forest	3	Sep 10 – Sep 24	1 in 51
5	Accrington	5	Jan 7 – Mar 4	1 in 45

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Stoke City	8	Oct 15 – Nov 26	1 in 591
2	Everton	8	Jan 14 – Apr 3	1 in 71
3	Blackburn Rovers	7	Jan 2 – Mar 11	1 in 40
4	Nottingham Forest	8	Dec 10 – Feb 25	1 in 27
5	West Brom	6	Sep 17 – Oct 15	1 in 22

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Blackburn Rovers	10	Sep 10 – Nov 12	1 in 342
2	Accrington	12	Jan 2 – Apr 15	1 in 307
3	The Wednesday	10	Jan 7 – Apr 1	1 in 178
4	West Brom	9	Nov 19 – Jan 2	1 in 86
5	Derby County	6	Sep 10 – Oct 19	1 in 78

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Sunderland	53.00%	21.00%	16.00%	3.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Preston North End	17.00%	14.00%	9.00%	11.00%	14.00%	6.00%	7.00%	9.00%	4.00%	4.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—
Everton	2.00%	7.00%	15.00%	11.00%	7.00%	10.00%	4.00%	6.00%	7.00%	8.00%	5.00%	3.00%	3.00%	7.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Aston Villa	5.00%	9.00%	9.00%	12.00%	6.00%	4.00%	10.00%	5.00%	7.00%	7.00%	6.00%	8.00%	6.00%	1.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Bolton Wanderers	4.00%	8.00%	5.00%	7.00%	14.00%	8.00%	6.00%	8.00%	5.00%	6.00%	13.00%	5.00%	3.00%	2.00%	4.00%	2.00%
Burnley	1.00%	2.00%	7.00%	2.00%	2.00%	13.00%	6.00%	7.00%	7.00%	5.00%	4.00%	13.00%	10.00%	14.00%	4.00%	3.00%
Stoke City	—	3.00%	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%	5.00%	2.00%	5.00%	7.00%	5.00%	13.00%	9.00%	7.00%	12.00%	13.00%	10.00%
Blackburn Rovers	—	1.00%	8.00%	10.00%	8.00%	4.00%	10.00%	2.00%	4.00%	9.00%	7.00%	3.00%	9.00%	9.00%	10.00%	6.00%
West Brom	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	5.00%	5.00%	8.00%	5.00%	5.00%	6.00%	7.00%	10.00%	12.00%	6.00%	6.00%	17.00%
Nottingham Forest	3.00%	5.00%	8.00%	8.00%	8.00%	7.00%	10.00%	8.00%	10.00%	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%	6.00%	5.00%	7.00%	3.00%
Wolverhampton	5.00%	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%	6.00%	8.00%	6.00%	7.00%	6.00%	7.00%	6.00%	8.00%	1.00%	9.00%	8.00%	11.00%
The Wednesday	4.00%	13.00%	4.00%	5.00%	4.00%	7.00%	6.00%	9.00%	10.00%	6.00%	8.00%	5.00%	10.00%	3.00%	3.00%	3.00%
Derby County	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	4.00%	6.00%	5.00%	9.00%	8.00%	10.00%	11.00%	6.00%	6.00%	9.00%	7.00%	7.00%	6.00%
Notts County	3.00%	5.00%	4.00%	9.00%	8.00%	9.00%	6.00%	10.00%	5.00%	5.00%	7.00%	9.00%	5.00%	4.00%	4.00%	7.00%
Accrington	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	4.00%	5.00%	5.00%	4.00%	4.00%	8.00%	14.00%	13.00%	17.00%	19.00%
Newton Heath	1.00%	4.00%	2.00%	6.00%	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	6.00%	7.00%	13.00%	8.00%	7.00%	4.00%	7.00%	9.00%	11.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Won relegation playoff	Lost relegation playoff
Blackburn Rovers	75.0%	20.0%	5.0%
Aston Villa	89.0%	5.0%	6.0%
Derby County	79.0%	15.0%	6.0%
Everton	86.0%	8.0%	6.0%
Bolton Wanderers	88.0%	5.0%	7.0%
Burnley	78.0%	15.0%	7.0%
Nottingham Forest	82.0%	11.0%	7.0%
The Wednesday	87.0%	6.0%	7.0%
Notts County	82.0%	9.0%	9.0%
West Brom	70.0%	20.0%	10.0%
Stoke City	65.0%	19.0%	16.0%
Newton Heath	72.0%	11.0%	17.0%
Preston North End	82.0%	1.0%	17.0%
Wolverhampton	67.0%	15.0%	18.0%
Accrington	51.0%	24.0%	25.0%
Sunderland	47.0%	—	53.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1892-09-03	Sunderland	L 0-6	1831	1956	50.1%	17.7%	32.1%	-21.8	0
1892-09-03	@ Accrington	W 6-0	1956	1831	32.1%	17.7%	50.1%	+21.8	3
1892-09-03	Newton Heath	W 4-3	1876	1888	63.2%	17.0%	19.7%	+1.6	3
1892-09-03	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 3-4	1888	1876	19.7%	17.0%	63.2%	-1.6	0
1892-09-03	Nottingham Forest	D 2-2	1884	1888	64.0%	16.9%	19.0%	-0.7	1
1892-09-03	@ Everton	D 2-2	1888	1884	19.0%	16.9%	64.0%	+0.7	1
1892-09-03	The Wednesday	L 0-1	1883	1888	63.9%	17.0%	19.2%	-5.2	0
1892-09-03	@ Notts County	W 1-0	1888	1883	19.2%	17.0%	63.9%	+5.2	3
1892-09-03	Bolton Wanderers	W 2-1	1922	1901	66.4%	16.6%	17.0%	+1.5	3
1892-09-03	@ Preston North End	L 1-2	1901	1922	17.0%	16.6%	66.4%	-1.5	0
1892-09-03	Derby County	L 1-3	1802	1866	57.6%	17.5%	24.9%	-7.7	0
1892-09-03	@ Stoke City	W 3-1	1866	1802	24.9%	17.5%	57.6%	+7.7	3
1892-09-03	Burnley	W 1-0	1886	1871	65.8%	16.7%	17.5%	+1.7	3
1892-09-03	@ Wolverhampton	L 0-1	1871	1886	17.5%	16.7%	65.8%	-1.7	0
1892-09-05	Aston Villa	L 0-2	1869	1899	61.5%	17.2%	21.3%	-9.5	0
1892-09-05	@ Burnley	W 2-0	1899	1869	21.3%	17.2%	61.5%	+9.5	3
1892-09-10	Everton	W 4-1	1908	1884	66.7%	16.5%	16.7%	+3.7	6
1892-09-10	@ Aston Villa	L 1-4	1884	1908	16.7%	16.5%	66.7%	-3.7	1
1892-09-10	West Brom	W 3-1	1900	1858	68.3%	16.2%	15.4%	+2.4	3
1892-09-10	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 1-3	1858	1900	15.4%	16.2%	68.3%	-2.4	0
1892-09-10	Preston North End	L 1-2	1873	1924	59.1%	17.4%	23.5%	-4.6	3
1892-09-10	@ Derby County	W 2-1	1924	1873	23.5%	17.4%	59.1%	+4.6	6
1892-09-10	Stoke City	L 3-4	1889	1794	72.7%	15.2%	12.1%	-5.2	1
1892-09-10	@ Nottingham Forest	W 4-3	1794	1889	12.1%	15.2%	72.7%	+5.1	3
1892-09-10	Accrington	W 5-2	1893	1809	71.8%	15.5%	12.7%	+2.4	6
1892-09-10	@ The Wednesday	L 2-5	1809	1893	12.7%	15.5%	71.8%	-2.4	0
1892-09-10	Notts County	D 2-2	1978	1878	73.1%	15.1%	11.8%	-0.9	4
1892-09-10	@ Sunderland	D 2-2	1878	1978	11.8%	15.1%	73.1%	+0.9	1
1892-09-10	Blackburn Rovers	W 4-2	1887	1878	65.3%	16.8%	17.9%	+2.5	6
1892-09-10	@ Wolverhampton	L 2-4	1878	1887	17.9%	16.8%	65.3%	-2.5	3
1892-09-10	Burnley	D 1-1	1887	1860	66.9%	16.5%	16.6%	-1.0	1
1892-09-10	@ Newton Heath	D 1-1	1860	1887	16.6%	16.5%	66.9%	+1.0	1
1892-09-12	The Wednesday	W 4-1	1929	1896	67.5%	16.4%	16.1%	+3.5	9
1892-09-12	@ Preston North End	L 1-4	1896	1929	16.1%	16.4%	67.5%	-3.5	6
1892-09-12	Aston Villa	L 0-1	1799	1912	51.7%	17.7%	30.6%	-4.3	3
1892-09-12	@ Stoke City	W 1-0	1912	1799	30.6%	17.7%	51.7%	+4.3	9
1892-09-17	Everton	D 2-2	1876	1880	64.0%	16.9%	19.1%	-0.7	4
1892-09-17	@ Blackburn Rovers	D 2-2	1880	1876	19.1%	16.9%	64.0%	+0.7	2
1892-09-17	The Wednesday	W 1-0	1902	1892	65.4%	16.8%	17.9%	+1.7	6
1892-09-17	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 0-1	1892	1902	17.9%	16.8%	65.4%	-1.7	6
1892-09-17	Derby County	D 1-1	1879	1869	65.4%	16.8%	17.9%	-0.9	2
1892-09-17	@ Notts County	D 1-1	1869	1879	17.9%	16.8%	65.4%	+0.9	4
1892-09-17	Accrington	D 2-2	1795	1807	63.2%	17.0%	19.8%	-0.6	4
1892-09-17	@ Stoke City	D 2-2	1807	1795	19.8%	17.0%	63.2%	+0.6	1
1892-09-17	Wolverhampton	W 2-1	1855	1890	60.9%	17.3%	21.8%	+1.9	3
1892-09-17	@ West Brom	L 1-2	1890	1855	21.8%	17.3%	60.9%	-1.9	6
1892-09-17	Sunderland	L 1-6	1916	1977	57.9%	17.5%	24.6%	-17.4	9
1892-09-17	@ Aston Villa	W 6-1	1977	1916	24.6%	17.5%	57.9%	+17.4	7
1892-09-17	Newton Heath	W 4-1	1861	1886	61.9%	17.2%	20.9%	+4.5	4
1892-09-17	@ Burnley	L 1-4	1886	1861	20.9%	17.2%	61.9%	-4.5	1
1892-09-17	Nottingham Forest	W 1-0	1932	1884	68.9%	16.2%	15.0%	+1.4	12
1892-09-17	@ Preston North End	L 0-1	1884	1932	15.0%	16.2%	68.9%	-1.4	1
1892-09-19	Aston Villa	W 3-2	1857	1899	60.1%	17.3%	22.5%	+1.9	6
1892-09-19	@ West Brom	L 2-3	1899	1857	22.5%	17.3%	60.1%	-1.9	9
1892-09-24	The Wednesday	W 4-2	1808	1891	55.4%	17.6%	27.0%	+3.6	4
1892-09-24	@ Accrington	L 2-4	1891	1808	27.0%	17.6%	55.4%	-3.6	6
1892-09-24	West Brom	D 1-1	1870	1859	65.4%	16.7%	17.8%	-0.9	5
1892-09-24	@ Derby County	D 1-1	1859	1870	17.8%	16.7%	65.4%	+1.0	7
1892-09-24	Newton Heath	W 6-0	1881	1881	64.4%	16.9%	18.7%	+9.2	5
1892-09-24	@ Everton	L 0-6	1881	1881	18.7%	16.9%	64.4%	-9.2	1
1892-09-24	Blackburn Rovers	W 5-0	1995	1875	74.5%	14.7%	10.7%	+4.5	10
1892-09-24	@ Sunderland	L 0-5	1875	1995	10.7%	14.7%	74.5%	-4.5	4
1892-09-24	Notts County	W 3-0	1888	1878	65.4%	16.8%	17.9%	+4.6	9
1892-09-24	@ Wolverhampton	L 0-3	1878	1888	17.9%	16.8%	65.4%	-4.6	2
1892-09-24	Stoke City	W 3-2	1865	1794	70.8%	15.7%	13.5%	+1.1	7
1892-09-24	@ Burnley	L 2-3	1794	1865	13.5%	15.7%	70.8%	-1.1	4
1892-09-24	Preston North End	L 1-2	1882	1933	59.1%	17.4%	23.5%	-4.6	1
1892-09-24	@ Nottingham Forest	W 2-1	1933	1882	23.5%	17.4%	59.1%	+4.6	15
1892-09-24	Aston Villa	W 5-0	1904	1897	65.1%	16.8%	18.1%	+7.5	9
1892-09-24	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 0-5	1897	1904	18.1%	16.8%	65.1%	-7.5	9
1892-10-01	Accrington	D 3-3	1870	1811	69.8%	16.0%	14.2%	-0.7	5
1892-10-01	@ Blackburn Rovers	D 3-3	1811	1870	14.2%	16.0%	69.8%	+0.7	5
1892-10-01	Wolverhampton	W 3-1	1912	1892	66.2%	16.6%	17.1%	+2.6	12
1892-10-01	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 1-3	1892	1912	17.1%	16.6%	66.2%	-2.6	9
1892-10-01	Nottingham Forest	L 2-3	1869	1878	63.5%	17.0%	19.5%	-4.7	5
1892-10-01	@ Derby County	W 3-2	1878	1869	19.5%	17.0%	63.5%	+4.7	4
1892-10-01	Aston Villa	W 1-0	1890	1889	64.5%	16.9%	18.6%	+1.8	8
1892-10-01	@ Everton	L 0-1	1889	1890	18.6%	16.9%	64.5%	-1.8	9
1892-10-01	Preston North End	W 3-1	1873	1938	57.5%	17.5%	25.0%	+3.8	5
1892-10-01	@ Notts County	L 1-3	1938	1873	25.0%	17.5%	57.5%	-3.8	15
1892-10-01	Newton Heath	D 0-0	1860	1872	63.2%	17.0%	19.7%	-1.0	8
1892-10-01	@ West Brom	D 0-0	1872	1860	19.7%	17.0%	63.2%	+1.0	2
1892-10-01	Burnley	W 2-0	1887	1867	66.4%	16.6%	17.0%	+3.0	9
1892-10-01	@ The Wednesday	L 0-2	1867	1887	17.0%	16.6%	66.4%	-3.0	7
1892-10-01	Stoke City	W 3-1	1999	1793	80.2%	12.6%	7.1%	+1.1	13
1892-10-01	@ Sunderland	L 1-3	1793	1999	7.1%	12.6%	80.2%	-1.1	4
1892-10-03	Nottingham Forest	D 2-2	1890	1882	65.2%	16.8%	18.1%	-0.7	10
1892-10-03	@ The Wednesday	D 2-2	1882	1890	18.1%	16.8%	65.2%	+0.7	5
1892-10-06	Bolton Wanderers	D 2-2	1877	1914	60.6%	17.3%	22.1%	-0.6	6
1892-10-06	@ Notts County	D 2-2	1914	1877	22.1%	17.3%	60.6%	+0.6	13
1892-10-08	Bolton Wanderers	D 1-1	1812	1915	52.9%	17.7%	29.3%	-0.4	6
1892-10-08	@ Accrington	D 1-1	1915	1812	29.3%	17.7%	52.9%	+0.4	14
1892-10-08	Sunderland	L 1-4	1892	2000	52.3%	17.7%	30.0%	-10.0	8
1892-10-08	@ Everton	W 4-1	2000	1892	30.0%	17.7%	52.3%	+10.0	16
1892-10-08	West Brom	L 2-4	1873	1859	65.7%	16.7%	17.6%	-7.8	2
1892-10-08	@ Newton Heath	W 4-2	1859	1873	17.6%	16.7%	65.7%	+7.9	11
1892-10-08	Blackburn Rovers	W 2-1	1934	1870	70.2%	15.9%	13.9%	+1.2	18
1892-10-08	@ Preston North End	L 1-2	1870	1934	13.9%	15.9%	70.2%	-1.2	5
1892-10-08	Aston Villa	W 2-1	1890	1887	64.6%	16.9%	18.5%	+1.6	12
1892-10-08	@ Wolverhampton	L 1-2	1887	1890	18.5%	16.9%	64.6%	-1.6	9
1892-10-08	Derby County	W 2-1	1864	1864	64.4%	16.9%	18.7%	+1.7	10
1892-10-08	@ Burnley	L 1-2	1864	1864	18.7%	16.9%	64.4%	-1.7	5
1892-10-08	Nottingham Forest	W 3-0	1876	1883	63.7%	17.0%	19.3%	+5.0	9
1892-10-08	@ Notts County	L 0-3	1883	1876	19.3%	17.0%	63.7%	-5.0	5
1892-10-10	Stoke City	W 3-2	1886	1792	72.6%	15.3%	12.1%	+1.0	12
1892-10-10	@ Aston Villa	L 2-3	1792	1886	12.1%	15.3%	72.6%	-1.0	4
1892-10-15	The Wednesday	L 0-2	1869	1889	62.3%	17.1%	20.5%	-9.6	5
1892-10-15	@ Blackburn Rovers	W 2-0	1889	1869	20.5%	17.1%	62.3%	+9.6	13
1892-10-15	Wolverhampton	W 10-1	1865	1891	61.7%	17.2%	21.1%	+12.4	5
1892-10-15	@ Newton Heath	L 1-10	1891	1865	21.1%	17.2%	61.7%	-12.4	12
1892-10-15	Accrington	W 4-2	2010	1811	79.8%	12.8%	7.4%	+1.0	19
1892-10-15	@ Sunderland	L 2-4	1811	2010	7.4%	12.8%	79.8%	-1.0	6
1892-10-15	Everton	W 3-0	1867	1882	62.9%	17.1%	20.0%	+5.1	14
1892-10-15	@ West Brom	L 0-3	1882	1867	20.0%	17.1%	62.9%	-5.1	8
1892-10-15	Stoke City	D 4-4	1915	1791	74.9%	14.6%	10.5%	-0.7	15
1892-10-15	@ Bolton Wanderers	D 4-4	1791	1915	10.5%	14.6%	74.9%	+0.7	5
1892-10-15	Burnley	W 2-0	1936	1865	70.7%	15.8%	13.5%	+2.4	21
1892-10-15	@ Preston North End	L 0-2	1865	1936	13.5%	15.8%	70.7%	-2.4	10
1892-10-15	Nottingham Forest	W 1-0	1887	1878	65.3%	16.8%	18.0%	+1.7	15
1892-10-15	@ Aston Villa	L 0-1	1878	1887	18.0%	16.8%	65.3%	-1.7	5
1892-10-19	Notts County	L 4-5	1862	1881	62.5%	17.1%	20.4%	-4.4	5
1892-10-19	@ Derby County	W 5-4	1881	1862	20.4%	17.1%	62.5%	+4.4	12
1892-10-19	Everton	L 3-4	1877	1877	64.5%	16.9%	18.6%	-4.6	5
1892-10-19	@ Newton Heath	W 4-3	1877	1877	18.6%	16.9%	64.5%	+4.6	11
1892-10-20	Bolton Wanderers	W 2-0	1876	1914	60.5%	17.3%	22.2%	+3.9	8
1892-10-20	@ Nottingham Forest	L 0-2	1914	1876	22.2%	17.3%	60.5%	-3.9	15
1892-10-22	Blackburn Rovers	W 3-0	1858	1859	64.3%	16.9%	18.8%	+4.8	8
1892-10-22	@ Derby County	L 0-3	1859	1858	18.8%	16.9%	64.3%	-4.8	5
1892-10-22	Accrington	D 1-1	1881	1810	70.8%	15.7%	13.5%	-1.2	12
1892-10-22	@ Everton	D 1-1	1810	1881	13.5%	15.7%	70.8%	+1.1	7
1892-10-22	West Brom	W 8-1	2011	1872	75.9%	14.3%	9.8%	+4.6	22
1892-10-22	@ Sunderland	L 1-8	1872	2011	9.8%	14.3%	75.9%	-4.6	14
1892-10-22	Bolton Wanderers	L 1-2	1879	1911	61.2%	17.2%	21.6%	-4.7	12
1892-10-22	@ Wolverhampton	W 2-1	1911	1879	21.6%	17.2%	61.2%	+4.7	18
1892-10-22	Notts County	W 3-0	1863	1886	62.1%	17.2%	20.7%	+5.3	13
1892-10-22	@ Burnley	L 0-3	1886	1863	20.7%	17.2%	62.1%	-5.3	12
1892-10-22	Aston Villa	W 4-1	1938	1889	69.0%	16.1%	14.9%	+3.3	24
1892-10-22	@ Preston North End	L 1-4	1889	1938	14.9%	16.1%	69.0%	-3.3	15
1892-10-22	Newton Heath	W 1-0	1899	1873	66.9%	16.5%	16.6%	+1.6	16
1892-10-22	@ The Wednesday	L 0-1	1873	1899	16.6%	16.5%	66.9%	-1.6	5
1892-10-22	Nottingham Forest	W 3-0	1792	1880	54.7%	17.7%	27.7%	+6.9	8
1892-10-22	@ Stoke City	L 0-3	1880	1792	27.7%	17.7%	54.7%	-6.9	8
1892-10-29	Preston North End	D 0-0	1854	1941	54.9%	17.6%	27.5%	-0.6	6
1892-10-29	@ Blackburn Rovers	D 0-0	1941	1854	27.5%	17.6%	54.9%	+0.6	25
1892-10-29	Accrington	L 1-3	1868	1812	69.6%	16.0%	14.4%	-9.2	13
1892-10-29	@ Burnley	W 3-1	1812	1868	14.4%	16.0%	69.6%	+9.2	10
1892-10-29	Everton	W 4-1	1915	1880	67.7%	16.4%	15.9%	+3.5	21
1892-10-29	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 1-4	1880	1915	15.9%	16.4%	67.7%	-3.5	12
1892-10-29	Newton Heath	D 1-1	1873	1871	64.6%	16.9%	18.5%	-0.9	9
1892-10-29	@ Nottingham Forest	D 1-1	1871	1873	18.5%	16.9%	64.6%	+0.9	6
1892-10-29	Sunderland	W 3-2	1901	2016	51.4%	17.7%	30.9%	+2.5	19
1892-10-29	@ The Wednesday	L 2-3	2016	1901	30.9%	17.7%	51.4%	-2.5	22
1892-10-29	Wolverhampton	W 2-1	1798	1874	56.2%	17.6%	26.2%	+2.3	11
1892-10-29	@ Stoke City	L 1-2	1874	1798	26.2%	17.6%	56.2%	-2.3	12
1892-10-29	Notts County	W 4-2	1867	1880	63.1%	17.0%	19.8%	+2.7	17
1892-10-29	@ West Brom	L 2-4	1880	1867	19.8%	17.0%	63.1%	-2.7	12
1892-10-29	Derby County	W 6-1	1885	1863	66.6%	16.6%	16.9%	+5.8	18
1892-10-29	@ Aston Villa	L 1-6	1863	1885	16.9%	16.6%	66.6%	-5.8	8
1892-11-05	Preston North End	L 1-2	1821	1942	50.6%	17.7%	31.6%	-4.0	10
1892-11-05	@ Accrington	W 2-1	1942	1821	31.6%	17.7%	50.6%	+4.0	28
1892-11-05	Blackburn Rovers	D 4-4	1872	1854	66.2%	16.6%	17.2%	-0.5	7
1892-11-05	@ Newton Heath	D 4-4	1854	1872	17.2%	16.6%	66.2%	+0.5	7
1892-11-05	Nottingham Forest	D 2-2	1872	1873	64.3%	16.9%	18.8%	-0.7	13
1892-11-05	@ Wolverhampton	D 2-2	1873	1872	18.8%	16.9%	64.3%	+0.7	10
1892-11-05	Everton	L 1-6	1857	1877	62.4%	17.1%	20.4%	-18.7	8
1892-11-05	@ Derby County	W 6-1	1877	1857	20.4%	17.1%	62.4%	+18.7	15
1892-11-05	Stoke City	L 0-1	1878	1801	71.2%	15.6%	13.1%	-5.8	12
1892-11-05	@ Notts County	W 1-0	1801	1878	13.1%	15.6%	71.2%	+5.8	14
1892-11-05	Burnley	W 2-0	2013	1859	77.0%	13.9%	9.1%	+1.6	25
1892-11-05	@ Sunderland	L 0-2	1859	2013	9.1%	13.9%	77.0%	-1.6	13
1892-11-05	Bolton Wanderers	W 4-2	1903	1919	62.8%	17.1%	20.1%	+2.8	22
1892-11-05	@ The Wednesday	L 2-4	1919	1903	20.1%	17.1%	62.8%	-2.7	21
1892-11-05	West Brom	W 5-2	1891	1870	66.4%	16.6%	17.0%	+3.2	21
1892-11-05	@ Aston Villa	L 2-5	1870	1891	17.0%	16.6%	66.4%	-3.2	17
1892-11-07	Bolton Wanderers	W 1-0	1867	1916	59.3%	17.4%	23.3%	+2.2	20
1892-11-07	@ West Brom	L 0-1	1916	1867	23.3%	17.4%	59.3%	-2.2	21
1892-11-12	Wolverhampton	D 3-3	1854	1871	62.7%	17.1%	20.2%	-0.5	8
1892-11-12	@ Blackburn Rovers	D 3-3	1871	1854	20.2%	17.1%	62.7%	+0.5	14
1892-11-12	Accrington	W 4-0	1869	1817	69.2%	16.1%	14.7%	+5.0	23
1892-11-12	@ West Brom	L 0-4	1817	1869	14.7%	16.1%	69.2%	-5.0	10
1892-11-12	Burnley	W 1-0	1838	1857	62.5%	17.1%	20.4%	+1.9	11
1892-11-12	@ Derby County	L 0-1	1857	1838	20.4%	17.1%	62.5%	-1.9	13
1892-11-12	Stoke City	D 2-2	1895	1807	72.2%	15.4%	12.4%	-0.9	16
1892-11-12	@ Everton	D 2-2	1807	1895	12.4%	15.4%	72.2%	+0.9	15
1892-11-12	Notts County	L 1-3	1872	1872	64.4%	16.9%	18.7%	-8.6	7
1892-11-12	@ Newton Heath	W 3-1	1872	1872	18.7%	16.9%	64.4%	+8.6	15
1892-11-12	Aston Villa	L 4-5	1873	1894	62.3%	17.1%	20.6%	-4.4	10
1892-11-12	@ Nottingham Forest	W 5-4	1894	1873	20.6%	17.1%	62.3%	+4.4	24
1892-11-14	Preston North End	W 2-1	1807	1946	48.4%	17.7%	33.9%	+2.8	18
1892-11-14	@ Stoke City	L 1-2	1946	1807	33.9%	17.7%	48.4%	-2.8	28
1892-11-19	Blackburn Rovers	L 0-3	1906	1854	69.2%	16.1%	14.7%	-15.4	22
1892-11-19	@ The Wednesday	W 3-0	1854	1906	14.7%	16.1%	69.2%	+15.4	11
1892-11-19	Accrington	W 5-3	1872	1812	69.9%	15.9%	14.2%	+1.8	17
1892-11-19	@ Wolverhampton	L 3-5	1812	1872	14.2%	15.9%	69.9%	-1.9	10
1892-11-19	Preston North End	L 2-4	1914	1943	61.5%	17.2%	21.3%	-7.4	21
1892-11-19	@ Bolton Wanderers	W 4-2	1943	1914	21.3%	17.2%	61.5%	+7.4	31
1892-11-19	West Brom	W 8-1	1880	1874	65.0%	16.8%	18.2%	+8.6	18
1892-11-19	@ Notts County	L 1-8	1874	1880	18.2%	16.8%	65.0%	-8.5	23
1892-11-19	Burnley	W 4-1	1810	1855	59.7%	17.4%	22.9%	+4.9	21
1892-11-19	@ Stoke City	L 1-4	1855	1810	22.9%	17.4%	59.7%	-4.9	13
1892-11-19	Nottingham Forest	W 1-0	2015	1869	76.4%	14.1%	9.5%	+0.9	28
1892-11-19	@ Sunderland	L 0-1	1869	2015	9.5%	14.1%	76.4%	-0.9	10
1892-11-19	Aston Villa	W 2-0	1863	1899	60.8%	17.3%	22.0%	+3.9	10
1892-11-19	@ Newton Heath	L 0-2	1899	1863	22.0%	17.3%	60.8%	-3.9	24
1892-11-26	Newton Heath	D 2-2	1810	1867	58.4%	17.5%	24.1%	-0.5	11
1892-11-26	@ Accrington	D 2-2	1867	1810	24.1%	17.5%	58.4%	+0.5	11
1892-11-26	Bolton Wanderers	W 3-0	1869	1906	60.6%	17.3%	22.1%	+5.6	14
1892-11-26	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 0-3	1906	1869	22.1%	17.3%	60.6%	-5.7	21
1892-11-26	Wolverhampton	D 2-2	1840	1874	61.0%	17.3%	21.7%	-0.6	12
1892-11-26	@ Derby County	D 2-2	1874	1840	21.7%	17.3%	61.0%	+0.6	18
1892-11-26	The Wednesday	L 3-5	1894	1890	64.8%	16.8%	18.4%	-7.3	16
1892-11-26	@ Everton	W 5-3	1890	1894	18.4%	16.8%	64.8%	+7.3	25
1892-11-26	Preston North End	W 3-1	1895	1950	58.6%	17.5%	24.0%	+3.6	27
1892-11-26	@ Aston Villa	L 1-3	1950	1895	24.0%	17.5%	58.6%	-3.6	31
1892-11-26	Nottingham Forest	D 1-1	1850	1868	62.7%	17.1%	20.2%	-0.8	14
1892-11-26	@ Burnley	D 1-1	1868	1850	20.2%	17.1%	62.7%	+0.8	11
1892-11-26	Sunderland	W 3-1	1889	2016	49.9%	17.7%	32.4%	+4.7	21
1892-11-26	@ Notts County	L 1-3	2016	1889	32.4%	17.7%	49.9%	-4.7	28
1892-11-26	Stoke City	L 1-2	1866	1815	69.0%	16.1%	14.8%	-5.3	23
1892-11-26	@ West Brom	W 2-1	1815	1866	14.8%	16.1%	69.0%	+5.3	24
1892-12-01	The Wednesday	W 2-0	1869	1898	61.5%	17.2%	21.3%	+3.8	14
1892-12-01	@ Nottingham Forest	L 0-2	1898	1869	21.3%	17.2%	61.5%	-3.8	25
1892-12-03	Blackburn Rovers	D 0-0	1850	1875	61.9%	17.2%	20.9%	-0.9	15
1892-12-03	@ Burnley	D 0-0	1875	1850	20.9%	17.2%	61.9%	+0.9	15
1892-12-03	Accrington	D 3-3	1840	1809	67.2%	16.4%	16.3%	-0.6	13
1892-12-03	@ Derby County	D 3-3	1809	1840	16.3%	16.4%	67.2%	+0.6	12
1892-12-03	Everton	W 5-0	1947	1887	69.8%	16.0%	14.2%	+5.9	34
1892-12-03	@ Preston North End	L 0-5	1887	1947	14.2%	16.0%	69.8%	-5.9	16
1892-12-03	Newton Heath	W 4-1	1901	1867	67.5%	16.4%	16.1%	+3.5	24
1892-12-03	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 1-4	1867	1901	16.1%	16.4%	67.5%	-3.5	11
1892-12-03	Stoke City	W 1-0	1874	1820	69.3%	16.1%	14.6%	+1.4	21
1892-12-03	@ Wolverhampton	L 0-1	1820	1874	14.6%	16.1%	69.3%	-1.4	24
1892-12-03	Sunderland	L 0-5	1873	2011	48.4%	17.7%	33.9%	-17.8	14
1892-12-03	@ Nottingham Forest	W 5-0	2011	1873	33.9%	17.7%	48.4%	+17.8	31
1892-12-03	Aston Villa	W 5-3	1894	1898	64.0%	16.9%	19.1%	+2.5	28
1892-12-03	@ The Wednesday	L 3-5	1898	1894	19.1%	16.9%	64.0%	-2.5	27
1892-12-08	Burnley	W 3-1	1894	1849	68.6%	16.2%	15.2%	+2.4	24
1892-12-08	@ Notts County	L 1-3	1849	1894	15.2%	16.2%	68.6%	-2.4	15
1892-12-10	Derby County	D 3-3	1896	1839	69.7%	16.0%	14.4%	-0.7	29
1892-12-10	@ The Wednesday	D 3-3	1839	1896	14.4%	16.0%	69.7%	+0.7	14
1892-12-10	Notts County	W 4-2	1810	1896	55.0%	17.6%	27.3%	+3.6	15
1892-12-10	@ Accrington	L 2-4	1896	1810	27.3%	17.6%	55.0%	-3.6	24
1892-12-10	Blackburn Rovers	W 4-1	1896	1876	66.4%	16.6%	17.0%	+3.7	30
1892-12-10	@ Aston Villa	L 1-4	1876	1896	17.0%	16.6%	66.4%	-3.7	15
1892-12-10	Wolverhampton	W 3-2	1881	1876	65.0%	16.8%	18.2%	+1.5	19
1892-12-10	@ Everton	L 2-3	1876	1881	18.2%	16.8%	65.0%	-1.5	21
1892-12-10	Preston North End	L 0-1	1860	1953	54.2%	17.7%	28.1%	-4.5	23
1892-12-10	@ West Brom	W 1-0	1953	1860	28.1%	17.7%	54.2%	+4.5	37
1892-12-10	Bolton Wanderers	W 1-0	1864	1904	60.2%	17.3%	22.4%	+2.1	14
1892-12-10	@ Newton Heath	L 0-1	1904	1864	22.4%	17.3%	60.2%	-2.1	24
1892-12-10	Burnley	D 2-2	1855	1846	65.2%	16.8%	18.0%	-0.7	15
1892-12-10	@ Nottingham Forest	D 2-2	1846	1855	18.0%	16.8%	65.2%	+0.7	16
1892-12-17	West Brom	W 5-4	1814	1856	60.1%	17.3%	22.6%	+1.8	18
1892-12-17	@ Accrington	L 4-5	1856	1814	22.6%	17.3%	60.1%	-1.8	23
1892-12-17	Burnley	W 2-0	1872	1847	66.8%	16.5%	16.7%	+3.0	18
1892-12-17	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 0-2	1847	1872	16.7%	16.5%	66.8%	-3.0	16
1892-12-17	Everton	L 1-2	1892	1883	65.3%	16.8%	17.9%	-5.0	24
1892-12-17	@ Notts County	W 2-1	1883	1892	17.9%	16.8%	65.3%	+5.0	22
1892-12-17	Newton Heath	W 2-0	1874	1866	65.2%	16.8%	18.0%	+3.2	24
1892-12-17	@ Wolverhampton	L 0-2	1866	1874	18.0%	16.8%	65.2%	-3.2	14
1892-12-17	The Wednesday	W 2-0	1819	1896	56.1%	17.6%	26.3%	+4.5	27
1892-12-17	@ Stoke City	L 0-2	1896	1819	26.3%	17.6%	56.1%	-4.5	29
1892-12-17	Preston North End	W 2-0	2029	1957	70.8%	15.7%	13.5%	+2.4	34
1892-12-17	@ Sunderland	L 0-2	1957	2029	13.5%	15.7%	70.8%	-2.4	37
1892-12-17	Aston Villa	W 2-1	1840	1900	58.1%	17.5%	24.4%	+2.1	17
1892-12-17	@ Derby County	L 1-2	1900	1840	24.4%	17.5%	58.1%	-2.1	30
1892-12-24	Sunderland	L 1-3	1854	2031	43.1%	17.6%	39.3%	-6.0	23
1892-12-24	@ West Brom	W 3-1	2031	1854	39.3%	17.6%	43.1%	+6.0	37
1892-12-24	Notts County	W 1-0	1875	1887	63.2%	17.0%	19.8%	+1.9	21
1892-12-24	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 0-1	1887	1875	19.8%	17.0%	63.2%	-1.9	24
1892-12-24	Burnley	L 0-1	1888	1844	68.5%	16.2%	15.3%	-5.6	22
1892-12-24	@ Everton	W 1-0	1844	1888	15.3%	16.2%	68.5%	+5.6	19
1892-12-24	Wolverhampton	W 3-1	1854	1877	62.1%	17.2%	20.8%	+3.2	18
1892-12-24	@ Nottingham Forest	L 1-3	1877	1854	20.8%	17.2%	62.1%	-3.2	24
1892-12-24	Stoke City	W 1-0	1842	1824	66.2%	16.6%	17.2%	+1.6	20
1892-12-24	@ Derby County	L 0-1	1824	1842	17.2%	16.6%	66.2%	-1.6	27
1892-12-24	The Wednesday	L 1-5	1863	1891	61.5%	17.2%	21.3%	-15.0	14
1892-12-24	@ Newton Heath	W 5-1	1891	1863	21.3%	17.2%	61.5%	+15.0	32
1892-12-24	Bolton Wanderers	D 1-1	1898	1902	63.9%	16.9%	19.1%	-0.9	31
1892-12-24	@ Aston Villa	D 1-1	1902	1898	19.1%	16.9%	63.9%	+0.9	25
1892-12-26	Stoke City	W 5-2	1816	1822	63.8%	17.0%	19.2%	+3.6	21
1892-12-26	@ Accrington	L 2-5	1822	1816	19.2%	17.0%	63.8%	-3.6	27
1892-12-26	Newton Heath	W 2-1	1955	1848	73.6%	15.0%	11.4%	+1.0	40
1892-12-26	@ Preston North End	L 1-2	1848	1955	11.4%	15.0%	73.6%	-1.0	14
1892-12-26	Blackburn Rovers	L 1-2	1848	1877	61.5%	17.2%	21.3%	-4.8	23
1892-12-26	@ West Brom	W 2-1	1877	1848	21.3%	17.2%	61.5%	+4.8	24
1892-12-26	Sunderland	W 2-0	1874	2037	45.0%	17.7%	37.3%	+6.1	27
1892-12-26	@ Wolverhampton	L 0-2	2037	1874	37.3%	17.7%	45.0%	-6.1	37
1892-12-26	Bolton Wanderers	D 1-1	1843	1903	58.1%	17.5%	24.4%	-0.7	21
1892-12-26	@ Derby County	D 1-1	1903	1843	24.4%	17.5%	58.1%	+0.6	26
1892-12-27	West Brom	D 1-1	1880	1843	67.9%	16.3%	15.8%	-1.0	28
1892-12-27	@ Wolverhampton	D 1-1	1843	1880	15.8%	16.3%	67.9%	+1.0	24
1892-12-31	Wolverhampton	W 4-0	1819	1879	58.1%	17.5%	24.4%	+8.1	24
1892-12-31	@ Accrington	L 0-4	1879	1819	24.4%	17.5%	58.1%	-8.1	28
1892-12-31	Derby County	W 7-1	1847	1843	64.8%	16.8%	18.4%	+7.5	17
1892-12-31	@ Newton Heath	L 1-7	1843	1847	18.4%	16.8%	64.8%	-7.5	21
1892-12-31	Nottingham Forest	L 0-1	1881	1857	66.7%	16.5%	16.8%	-5.4	24
1892-12-31	@ Blackburn Rovers	W 1-0	1857	1881	16.8%	16.5%	66.7%	+5.4	21
1892-12-31	Aston Villa	L 1-4	1885	1897	63.3%	17.0%	19.7%	-12.0	24
1892-12-31	@ Notts County	W 4-1	1897	1885	19.7%	17.0%	63.3%	+12.0	34
1892-12-31	Stoke City	W 2-1	1956	1818	75.8%	14.3%	9.9%	+0.9	43
1892-12-31	@ Preston North End	L 1-2	1818	1956	9.9%	14.3%	75.8%	-0.9	27
1892-12-31	West Brom	W 5-0	1850	1844	64.9%	16.8%	18.2%	+7.6	22
1892-12-31	@ Burnley	L 0-5	1844	1850	18.2%	16.8%	64.9%	-7.6	24
1893-01-02	Blackburn Rovers	D 1-1	1827	1876	59.3%	17.4%	23.3%	-0.7	25
1893-01-02	@ Accrington	D 1-1	1876	1827	23.3%	17.4%	59.3%	+0.7	25
1893-01-02	West Brom	W 6-0	1906	1837	70.7%	15.8%	13.6%	+6.7	35
1893-01-02	@ The Wednesday	L 0-6	1837	1906	13.6%	15.8%	70.7%	-6.7	24
1893-01-02	Derby County	L 0-3	1904	1835	70.6%	15.8%	13.7%	-15.7	26
1893-01-02	@ Bolton Wanderers	W 3-0	1835	1904	13.7%	15.8%	70.6%	+15.7	24
1893-01-02	Wolverhampton	W 5-2	2031	1871	77.3%	13.8%	8.9%	+1.7	40
1893-01-02	@ Sunderland	L 2-5	1871	2031	8.9%	13.8%	77.3%	-1.6	28
1893-01-03	Everton	W 4-3	2033	1882	76.7%	14.0%	9.3%	+0.8	43
1893-01-03	@ Sunderland	L 3-4	1882	2033	9.3%	14.0%	76.7%	-0.8	22
1893-01-07	Notts County	W 6-0	1881	1873	65.2%	16.8%	18.0%	+8.9	25
1893-01-07	@ Everton	L 0-6	1873	1881	18.0%	16.8%	65.2%	-8.9	24
1893-01-07	Accrington	W 3-0	1863	1827	67.8%	16.4%	15.9%	+4.1	24
1893-01-07	@ Nottingham Forest	L 0-3	1827	1863	15.9%	16.4%	67.8%	-4.1	25
1893-01-07	Sunderland	L 1-2	1957	2033	56.1%	17.6%	26.3%	-4.4	43
1893-01-07	@ Preston North End	W 2-1	2033	1957	26.3%	17.6%	56.1%	+4.4	46
1893-01-07	Derby County	D 2-2	1877	1851	66.8%	16.5%	16.6%	-0.8	26
1893-01-07	@ Blackburn Rovers	D 2-2	1851	1877	16.6%	16.5%	66.8%	+0.8	25
1893-01-07	Newton Heath	W 7-1	1817	1854	60.6%	17.3%	22.1%	+8.9	30
1893-01-07	@ Stoke City	L 1-7	1854	1817	22.1%	17.3%	60.6%	-8.9	17
1893-01-07	Burnley	W 7-1	1830	1857	61.6%	17.2%	21.1%	+8.5	27
1893-01-07	@ West Brom	L 1-7	1857	1830	21.1%	17.2%	61.6%	-8.5	22
1893-01-07	The Wednesday	W 5-1	1909	1913	64.0%	16.9%	19.1%	+5.3	37
1893-01-07	@ Aston Villa	L 1-5	1913	1909	19.1%	16.9%	64.0%	-5.3	35
1893-01-12	Everton	W 2-1	1867	1890	62.0%	17.2%	20.8%	+1.8	27
1893-01-12	@ Nottingham Forest	L 1-2	1890	1867	20.8%	17.2%	62.0%	-1.8	25
1893-01-14	Burnley	L 0-4	1822	1849	61.8%	17.2%	21.1%	-18.1	25
1893-01-14	@ Accrington	W 4-0	1849	1822	21.1%	17.2%	61.8%	+18.1	25
1893-01-14	West Brom	W 1-0	1888	1839	69.0%	16.1%	14.9%	+1.4	28
1893-01-14	@ Everton	L 0-1	1839	1888	14.9%	16.1%	69.0%	-1.4	27
1893-01-14	Preston North End	L 0-5	1908	1952	59.8%	17.4%	22.8%	-21.7	35
1893-01-14	@ The Wednesday	W 5-0	1952	1908	22.8%	17.4%	59.8%	+21.7	46
1893-01-14	Nottingham Forest	L 1-3	1845	1869	62.1%	17.2%	20.8%	-8.3	17
1893-01-14	@ Newton Heath	W 3-1	1869	1845	20.8%	17.2%	62.1%	+8.3	30
1893-01-14	Blackburn Rovers	D 0-0	1865	1876	63.3%	17.0%	19.7%	-1.0	25
1893-01-14	@ Notts County	D 0-0	1876	1865	19.7%	17.0%	63.3%	+1.0	27
1893-01-14	Bolton Wanderers	W 6-0	1826	1888	57.9%	17.5%	24.6%	+11.9	33
1893-01-14	@ Stoke City	L 0-6	1888	1826	24.6%	17.5%	57.9%	-11.9	26
1893-01-14	Aston Villa	W 6-0	2038	1914	74.8%	14.6%	10.5%	+5.2	49
1893-01-14	@ Sunderland	L 0-6	1914	2038	10.5%	14.6%	74.8%	-5.2	37
1893-01-26	Newton Heath	W 4-0	1864	1837	66.9%	16.5%	16.6%	+5.6	28
1893-01-26	@ Notts County	L 0-4	1837	1864	16.6%	16.5%	66.9%	-5.6	17
1893-01-28	Derby County	W 1-0	1877	1852	66.8%	16.5%	16.7%	+1.6	33
1893-01-28	@ Nottingham Forest	L 0-1	1852	1877	16.7%	16.5%	66.8%	-1.6	25
1893-01-28	Everton	L 0-1	1838	1890	59.0%	17.4%	23.6%	-4.8	33
1893-01-28	@ Stoke City	W 1-0	1890	1838	23.6%	17.4%	59.0%	+4.9	31
1893-01-28	The Wednesday	W 4-2	2043	1886	77.1%	13.9%	9.0%	+1.2	52
1893-01-28	@ Sunderland	L 2-4	1886	2043	9.0%	13.9%	77.1%	-1.2	35
1893-01-28	West Brom	W 2-1	1877	1837	68.1%	16.3%	15.6%	+1.4	30
1893-01-28	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 1-2	1837	1877	15.6%	16.3%	68.1%	-1.4	27
1893-02-11	Newton Heath	W 5-1	1850	1831	66.2%	16.6%	17.2%	+4.8	28
1893-02-11	@ Derby County	L 1-5	1831	1850	17.2%	16.6%	66.2%	-4.8	17
1893-02-11	Accrington	W 2-0	1869	1804	70.3%	15.8%	13.9%	+2.5	31
1893-02-11	@ Notts County	L 0-2	1804	1869	13.9%	15.8%	70.3%	-2.5	25
1893-02-11	The Wednesday	W 2-0	1869	1885	62.9%	17.1%	20.1%	+3.5	31
1893-02-11	@ Wolverhampton	L 0-2	1885	1869	20.1%	17.1%	62.9%	-3.5	35
1893-02-11	Bolton Wanderers	W 3-0	1867	1876	63.5%	17.0%	19.5%	+5.0	28
1893-02-11	@ Burnley	L 0-3	1876	1867	19.5%	17.0%	63.5%	-5.0	26
1893-02-11	Preston North End	W 6-0	1895	1974	55.8%	17.6%	26.6%	+12.7	34
1893-02-11	@ Everton	L 0-6	1974	1895	26.6%	17.6%	55.8%	-12.7	46
1893-02-11	Aston Villa	D 2-2	1878	1909	61.3%	17.2%	21.5%	-0.6	31
1893-02-11	@ Blackburn Rovers	D 2-2	1909	1878	21.5%	17.2%	61.3%	+0.6	38
1893-02-11	West Brom	L 1-2	1833	1836	64.2%	16.9%	18.9%	-5.0	33
1893-02-11	@ Stoke City	W 2-1	1836	1833	18.9%	16.9%	64.2%	+5.0	30
1893-02-13	Everton	L 0-2	1881	1907	61.8%	17.2%	21.1%	-9.5	35
1893-02-13	@ The Wednesday	W 2-0	1907	1881	21.1%	17.2%	61.8%	+9.5	37
1893-02-14	Bolton Wanderers	D 3-3	2044	1871	78.2%	13.5%	8.3%	-0.9	53
1893-02-14	@ Sunderland	D 3-3	1871	2044	8.3%	13.5%	78.2%	+0.9	27
1893-02-25	Everton	L 0-3	1802	1917	51.4%	17.7%	30.9%	-11.7	25
1893-02-25	@ Accrington	W 3-0	1917	1802	30.9%	17.7%	51.4%	+11.7	40
1893-02-25	Derby County	W 2-1	1873	1855	66.1%	16.6%	17.2%	+1.5	34
1893-02-25	@ Wolverhampton	L 1-2	1855	1873	17.2%	16.6%	66.1%	-1.5	28
1893-02-25	Burnley	W 1-0	1872	1872	64.4%	16.9%	18.7%	+1.8	30
1893-02-25	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 0-1	1872	1872	18.7%	16.9%	64.4%	-1.8	28
1893-02-25	Notts County	W 3-1	1878	1872	65.1%	16.8%	18.1%	+2.8	36
1893-02-25	@ Nottingham Forest	L 1-3	1872	1878	18.1%	16.8%	65.1%	-2.8	31
1893-02-25	Stoke City	D 3-3	1878	1828	69.0%	16.1%	14.9%	-0.7	32
1893-02-25	@ Blackburn Rovers	D 3-3	1828	1878	14.9%	16.1%	69.0%	+0.7	34
1893-03-02	West Brom	L 3-4	1881	1841	68.2%	16.3%	15.5%	-4.8	36
1893-03-02	@ Nottingham Forest	W 4-3	1841	1881	15.5%	16.3%	68.2%	+4.8	33
1893-03-04	Accrington	W 5-2	1874	1790	71.8%	15.5%	12.7%	+2.4	33
1893-03-04	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 2-5	1790	1874	12.7%	15.5%	71.8%	-2.4	25
1893-03-04	Sunderland	L 0-5	1827	2043	37.6%	17.3%	45.1%	-14.3	17
1893-03-04	@ Newton Heath	W 5-0	2043	1827	45.1%	17.3%	37.6%	+14.3	56
1893-03-06	Newton Heath	W 2-0	1909	1812	72.9%	15.2%	11.9%	+2.1	41
1893-03-06	@ Aston Villa	L 0-2	1812	1909	11.9%	15.2%	72.9%	-2.1	17
1893-03-11	Wolverhampton	L 0-1	1872	1875	64.1%	16.9%	18.9%	-5.2	35
1893-03-11	@ The Wednesday	W 1-0	1875	1872	18.9%	16.9%	64.1%	+5.2	37
1893-03-11	Derby County	W 3-1	2058	1853	80.1%	12.7%	7.2%	+1.1	59
1893-03-11	@ Sunderland	L 1-3	1853	2058	7.2%	12.7%	80.1%	-1.1	28
1893-03-11	Notts County	W 1-0	1829	1869	60.3%	17.3%	22.4%	+2.1	37
1893-03-11	@ Stoke City	L 0-1	1869	1829	22.4%	17.3%	60.3%	-2.1	31
1893-03-11	Blackburn Rovers	L 0-1	1876	1877	64.4%	16.9%	18.8%	-5.3	36
1893-03-11	@ Nottingham Forest	W 1-0	1877	1876	18.8%	16.9%	64.4%	+5.3	35
1893-03-18	Preston North End	W 4-2	1870	1961	54.4%	17.7%	27.9%	+3.7	31
1893-03-18	@ Burnley	L 2-4	1961	1870	27.9%	17.7%	54.4%	-3.7	46
1893-03-18	Nottingham Forest	D 1-1	1788	1871	55.3%	17.6%	27.0%	-0.5	26
1893-03-18	@ Accrington	D 1-1	1871	1788	27.0%	17.6%	55.3%	+0.5	37
1893-03-18	Notts County	W 3-1	1912	1867	68.6%	16.2%	15.2%	+2.4	44
1893-03-18	@ Aston Villa	L 1-3	1867	1912	15.2%	16.2%	68.6%	-2.3	31
1893-03-18	The Wednesday	W 3-0	1846	1866	62.3%	17.1%	20.6%	+5.3	36
1893-03-18	@ West Brom	L 0-3	1866	1846	20.6%	17.1%	62.3%	-5.3	35
1893-03-18	Everton	L 2-4	1880	1929	59.3%	17.4%	23.3%	-7.1	37
1893-03-18	@ Wolverhampton	W 4-2	1929	1880	23.3%	17.4%	59.3%	+7.1	43
1893-03-18	Blackburn Rovers	W 2-1	1876	1882	63.8%	17.0%	19.2%	+1.7	36
1893-03-18	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 1-2	1882	1876	19.2%	17.0%	63.8%	-1.7	35
1893-03-18	Sunderland	L 0-1	1831	2059	36.2%	17.2%	46.6%	-3.1	37
1893-03-18	@ Stoke City	W 1-0	2059	1831	46.6%	17.2%	36.2%	+3.1	62
1893-03-25	The Wednesday	D 2-2	1852	1861	63.5%	17.0%	19.5%	-0.7	29
1893-03-25	@ Derby County	D 2-2	1861	1852	19.5%	17.0%	63.5%	+0.6	36
1893-03-25	Accrington	W 6-4	1914	1787	75.0%	14.6%	10.4%	+1.3	47
1893-03-25	@ Aston Villa	L 4-6	1787	1914	10.4%	14.6%	75.0%	-1.3	26
1893-03-25	Notts County	W 4-1	1878	1864	65.7%	16.7%	17.6%	+3.8	39
1893-03-25	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 1-4	1864	1878	17.6%	16.7%	65.7%	-3.8	31
1893-03-31	The Wednesday	W 4-0	1874	1862	65.6%	16.7%	17.7%	+6.0	34
1893-03-31	@ Burnley	L 0-4	1862	1874	17.7%	16.7%	65.6%	-6.0	36
1893-03-31	Derby County	L 0-3	1786	1852	57.4%	17.5%	25.1%	-12.9	26
1893-03-31	@ Accrington	W 3-0	1852	1786	25.1%	17.5%	57.4%	+12.9	32
1893-03-31	Sunderland	D 2-2	1881	2062	42.5%	17.6%	39.9%	-0.0	36
1893-03-31	@ Blackburn Rovers	D 2-2	2062	1881	39.9%	17.6%	42.5%	+0.0	63
1893-03-31	Nottingham Forest	W 3-1	1882	1872	65.4%	16.8%	17.9%	+2.8	42
1893-03-31	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 1-3	1872	1882	17.9%	16.8%	65.4%	-2.8	37
1893-03-31	Stoke City	W 1-0	1810	1828	62.6%	17.1%	20.3%	+1.9	20
1893-03-31	@ Newton Heath	L 0-1	1828	1810	20.3%	17.1%	62.6%	-1.9	37
1893-03-31	Notts County	W 4-0	1957	1861	72.8%	15.2%	11.9%	+4.0	49
1893-03-31	@ Preston North End	L 0-4	1861	1957	11.9%	15.2%	72.8%	-4.0	31
1893-04-01	Preston North End	W 2-1	1812	1962	46.9%	17.7%	35.4%	+2.9	23
1893-04-01	@ Newton Heath	L 1-2	1962	1812	35.4%	17.7%	46.9%	-2.9	49
1893-04-01	Wolverhampton	W 2-0	1880	1873	65.1%	16.8%	18.1%	+3.2	37
1893-04-01	@ Burnley	L 0-2	1873	1880	18.1%	16.8%	65.1%	-3.2	37
1893-04-01	Derby County	W 3-1	1851	1865	63.0%	17.1%	19.9%	+3.0	39
1893-04-01	@ West Brom	L 1-3	1865	1851	19.9%	17.1%	63.0%	-3.0	32
1893-04-01	Sunderland	W 2-1	1885	2062	43.1%	17.6%	39.3%	+3.2	45
1893-04-01	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 1-2	2062	1885	39.3%	17.6%	43.1%	-3.2	63
1893-04-01	Blackburn Rovers	W 4-0	1936	1880	69.5%	16.0%	14.5%	+4.9	46
1893-04-01	@ Everton	L 0-4	1880	1936	14.5%	16.0%	69.5%	-4.9	36
1893-04-01	Stoke City	L 0-1	1856	1826	67.2%	16.4%	16.3%	-5.5	36
1893-04-01	@ The Wednesday	W 1-0	1826	1856	16.3%	16.4%	67.2%	+5.5	40
1893-04-03	Wolverhampton	W 5-0	1915	1869	68.7%	16.2%	15.2%	+6.3	50
1893-04-03	@ Aston Villa	L 0-5	1869	1915	15.2%	16.2%	68.7%	-6.3	37
1893-04-03	Bolton Wanderers	W 3-0	1941	1888	69.3%	16.1%	14.7%	+3.8	49
1893-04-03	@ Everton	L 0-3	1888	1941	14.7%	16.1%	69.3%	-3.8	45
1893-04-03	Accrington	D 0-0	1959	1773	79.0%	13.2%	7.9%	-1.6	50
1893-04-03	@ Preston North End	D 0-0	1773	1959	7.9%	13.2%	79.0%	+1.6	27
1893-04-03	Notts County	W 3-2	1850	1857	63.8%	17.0%	19.2%	+1.6	39
1893-04-03	@ The Wednesday	L 2-3	1857	1850	19.2%	17.0%	63.8%	-1.6	31
1893-04-03	Blackburn Rovers	D 2-2	1832	1876	59.9%	17.4%	22.8%	-0.5	41
1893-04-03	@ Stoke City	D 2-2	1876	1832	22.8%	17.4%	59.9%	+0.5	37
1893-04-03	Nottingham Forest	D 2-2	1854	1869	62.9%	17.1%	20.0%	-0.6	40
1893-04-03	@ West Brom	D 2-2	1869	1854	20.0%	17.1%	62.9%	+0.6	38
1893-04-04	Burnley	L 1-3	1922	1883	68.0%	16.3%	15.7%	-9.1	50
1893-04-04	@ Aston Villa	W 3-1	1883	1922	15.7%	16.3%	68.0%	+9.1	40
1893-04-04	Newton Heath	W 6-0	2059	1815	82.4%	11.7%	5.9%	+2.8	66
1893-04-04	@ Sunderland	L 0-6	1815	2059	5.9%	11.7%	82.4%	-2.8	23
1893-04-08	Sunderland	D 1-1	1862	2062	39.9%	17.4%	42.6%	+0.0	33
1893-04-08	@ Derby County	D 1-1	2062	1862	42.6%	17.4%	39.9%	-0.0	67
1893-04-08	Everton	W 3-0	1892	1944	58.9%	17.4%	23.6%	+6.0	43
1893-04-08	@ Burnley	L 0-3	1944	1892	23.6%	17.4%	58.9%	-6.0	49
1893-04-08	Accrington	D 3-3	1812	1775	67.9%	16.3%	15.8%	-0.7	24
1893-04-08	@ Newton Heath	D 3-3	1775	1812	15.8%	16.3%	67.9%	+0.7	28
1893-04-08	Wolverhampton	W 3-0	1855	1863	63.6%	17.0%	19.4%	+5.0	34
1893-04-08	@ Notts County	L 0-3	1863	1855	19.4%	17.0%	63.6%	-5.0	37
1893-04-10	Wolverhampton	W 4-0	1957	1858	73.0%	15.2%	11.8%	+4.0	53
1893-04-10	@ Preston North End	L 0-4	1858	1957	11.8%	15.2%	73.0%	-4.0	37
1893-04-13	West Brom	D 1-1	1961	1853	73.7%	15.0%	11.4%	-1.3	54
1893-04-13	@ Preston North End	D 1-1	1853	1961	11.4%	15.0%	73.7%	+1.3	41
1893-04-15	Preston North End	W 2-1	1854	1960	52.6%	17.7%	29.7%	+2.5	40
1893-04-15	@ Wolverhampton	L 1-2	1960	1854	29.7%	17.7%	52.6%	-2.5	54
1893-04-15	Aston Villa	D 1-1	1775	1912	48.5%	17.7%	33.7%	-0.3	29
1893-04-15	@ Accrington	D 1-1	1912	1775	33.7%	17.7%	48.5%	+0.3	51
1893-04-15	Sunderland	L 2-3	1898	2061	45.0%	17.7%	37.3%	-3.4	43
1893-04-15	@ Burnley	W 3-2	2061	1898	37.3%	17.7%	45.0%	+3.4	70
1893-04-15	Derby County	W 5-0	1938	1862	71.2%	15.6%	13.1%	+5.5	52
1893-04-15	@ Everton	L 0-5	1862	1938	13.1%	15.6%	71.2%	-5.5	33
1893-04-17	Derby County	L 0-1	1957	1856	73.1%	15.1%	11.7%	-5.9	54
1893-04-17	@ Preston North End	W 1-0	1856	1957	11.7%	15.1%	73.1%	+5.9	36

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1893-04-17	11.73%	Derby County	1856	1	@ Preston North End	1957	0
2	1892-09-10	12.06%	Stoke City	1794	4	@ Nottingham Forest	1889	3
3	1892-11-05	13.13%	Stoke City	1801	1	@ Notts County	1878	0
4	1893-01-02	13.65%	Derby County	1835	3	@ Bolton Wanderers	1904	0
5	1892-10-29	14.42%	Accrington	1812	3	@ Burnley	1868	1
6	1892-11-19	14.71%	Blackburn Rovers	1854	3	@ The Wednesday	1906	0
7	1892-11-26	14.84%	Stoke City	1815	2	@ West Brom	1866	1
8	1892-12-24	15.31%	Burnley	1844	1	@ Everton	1888	0
9	1893-03-02	15.53%	West Brom	1841	4	@ Nottingham Forest	1881	3
10	1893-04-04	15.68%	Burnley	1883	3	@ Aston Villa	1922	1
11	1893-04-01	16.33%	Stoke City	1826	1	@ The Wednesday	1856	0
12	1892-12-31	16.75%	Nottingham Forest	1857	1	@ Blackburn Rovers	1881	0
13	1892-10-08	17.56%	West Brom	1859	4	@ Newton Heath	1873	2
14	1892-12-17	17.90%	Everton	1883	2	@ Notts County	1892	1
15	1892-11-26	18.37%	The Wednesday	1890	5	@ Everton	1894	3
16	1892-10-19	18.64%	Everton	1877	4	@ Newton Heath	1877	3
17	1892-11-12	18.71%	Notts County	1872	3	@ Newton Heath	1872	1
18	1893-03-11	18.75%	Blackburn Rovers	1877	1	@ Nottingham Forest	1876	0
19	1893-02-11	18.90%	West Brom	1836	2	@ Stoke City	1833	1
20	1893-03-11	18.94%	Wolverhampton	1875	1	@ The Wednesday	1872	0
21	1892-09-03	19.17%	The Wednesday	1888	1	@ Notts County	1883	0
22	1892-10-01	19.49%	Nottingham Forest	1878	3	@ Derby County	1869	2
23	1892-12-31	19.68%	Aston Villa	1897	4	@ Notts County	1885	1
24	1892-10-19	20.36%	Notts County	1881	5	@ Derby County	1862	4
25	1892-11-05	20.44%	Everton	1877	6	@ Derby County	1857	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1892-09-03	21.83	Sunderland	6	1956	32.15%	@ Accrington	0	1831	50.11%
2	1893-01-14	21.65	Preston North End	5	1952	22.84%	@ The Wednesday	0	1908	59.78%
3	1892-11-05	18.69	Everton	6	1877	20.44%	@ Derby County	1	1857	62.44%
4	1893-01-14	18.11	Burnley	4	1849	21.06%	@ Accrington	0	1822	61.75%
5	1892-12-03	17.81	Sunderland	5	2011	33.90%	@ Nottingham Forest	0	1873	48.37%
6	1892-09-17	17.41	Sunderland	6	1977	24.56%	@ Aston Villa	1	1916	57.93%
7	1893-01-02	15.71	Derby County	3	1835	13.65%	@ Bolton Wanderers	0	1904	70.57%
8	1892-11-19	15.43	Blackburn Rovers	3	1854	14.71%	@ The Wednesday	0	1906	69.21%
9	1892-12-24	15.04	The Wednesday	5	1891	21.26%	@ Newton Heath	1	1863	61.52%
10	1893-03-04	14.33	Sunderland	5	2043	45.08%	@ Newton Heath	0	1827	37.62%
11	1893-03-31	12.94	Derby County	3	1852	25.07%	@ Accrington	0	1786	57.39%
12	1893-02-11	12.71	@ Everton	6	1895	55.83%	Preston North End	0	1974	26.55%
13	1892-10-15	12.45	@ Newton Heath	10	1865	61.74%	Wolverhampton	1	1891	21.06%
14	1892-12-31	11.97	Aston Villa	4	1897	19.68%	@ Notts County	1	1885	63.29%
15	1893-01-14	11.89	@ Stoke City	6	1826	57.86%	Bolton Wanderers	0	1888	24.63%
16	1893-02-25	11.68	Everton	3	1917	30.86%	@ Accrington	0	1802	51.40%
17	1892-10-08	10.00	Sunderland	4	2000	30.01%	@ Everton	1	1892	52.27%
18	1892-10-15	9.63	The Wednesday	2	1889	20.55%	@ Blackburn Rovers	0	1869	62.31%
19	1893-02-13	9.55	Everton	2	1907	21.05%	@ The Wednesday	0	1881	61.76%
20	1892-09-05	9.50	Aston Villa	2	1899	21.33%	@ Burnley	0	1869	61.45%
21	1892-10-29	9.25	Accrington	3	1812	14.42%	@ Burnley	1	1868	69.58%
22	1892-09-24	9.24	@ Everton	6	1881	64.38%	Newton Heath	0	1881	18.73%
23	1893-04-04	9.06	Burnley	3	1883	15.68%	@ Aston Villa	1	1922	68.01%
24	1893-01-07	8.91	@ Everton	6	1881	65.18%	Notts County	0	1873	18.04%
25	1893-01-07	8.87	@ Stoke City	7	1817	60.64%	Newton Heath	1	1854	22.06%