1893-94 Football League First Division Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Aston Villa

44 points · 1st Title

Relegated

Darwen

via playoff

Newton Heath · via playoff

Biggest Overachiever

Aston Villa

11.05 points above expected

44 points · 32.95 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Newton Heath

12.73 points below expected

14 points · 26.73 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Aston Villa	30	19	6	5	44	84	42	+42	33.0	+11.05
2	Sunderland	30	17	4	9	38	72	44	+28	36.1	+1.87
3	Derby County	30	16	4	10	36	73	62	+11	29.4	+6.59
4	Blackburn Rovers	30	16	2	12	34	69	53	+16	31.6	+2.35
5	Burnley	30	15	4	11	34	61	51	+10	30.6	+3.38
6	Everton	30	15	3	12	33	90	57	+33	33.2	-0.20
7	Nottingham Forest	30	14	4	12	32	57	48	+9	31.1	+0.89
8	West Brom	30	14	4	12	32	66	59	+7	30.6	+1.38
9	Wolverhampton	30	14	3	13	31	52	63	-11	29.0	+2.00
10	Sheffield United	30	13	5	12	31	47	61	-14	27.3	+3.72
11	Stoke City	30	13	3	14	29	65	79	-14	28.2	+0.84
12	The Wednesday	30	9	8	13	26	48	57	-9	28.0	-2.00
13	Bolton Wanderers	30	10	4	16	24	38	52	-14	29.3	-5.30
14	Preston North End	30	10	3	17	23	44	56	-12	31.5	-8.47
15	Darwen	30	7	5	18	19	37	83	-46	24.4	-5.37
16	Newton Heath	30	6	2	22	14	36	72	-36	26.7	-12.73

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Sunderland	2026	38	36.13	+1.87	66.0%	27	29	33	36	39	43	45
Aston Villa	2005	44	32.95	+11.05	100.0%	25	26	29	33	36	40	44
Everton	1984	33	33.20	-0.20	47.0%	23	25	30	34	36	40	43
West Brom	1947	32	30.62	+1.38	62.0%	17	23	27	31	34	37	41
Nottingham Forest	1930	32	31.11	+0.89	61.0%	16	23	28	31	34	39	42
Derby County	1925	36	29.41	+6.59	95.0%	19	22	27	29	32	36	41
Blackburn Rovers	1918	34	31.65	+2.35	74.0%	22	24	30	32	35	38	39
Burnley	1917	34	30.62	+3.38	78.0%	21	24	28	31	33	37	39
Preston North End	1898	23	31.47	-8.47	3.0%	23	24	29	31	34	37	40
Wolverhampton	1873	31	29.00	+2.00	69.0%	18	20	26	29	32	36	38
The Wednesday	1870	26	28.00	-2.00	32.0%	19	22	25	28	30	33	36
Stoke City	1866	29	28.16	+0.84	60.0%	17	20	25	28	32	34	39
Bolton Wanderers	1865	24	29.30	-5.30	15.0%	17	21	26	29	33	38	41
Sheffield United	1844	31	27.28	+3.72	81.0%	18	21	24	27	30	34	39
Newton Heath	1784	14	26.73	-12.73	0.0%	16	19	23	26	30	34	39
Darwen	1768	19	24.37	-5.37	13.0%	13	16	21	24	28	33	36

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AV	BR	BW	BUR	DAR	DC	EVE	NH	NF	PNE	SU	SC	SUN	TW	WB	WOL
Aston Villa	—	1-0-1 3.18	1-0-1 3.32	2-0-0 3.11	1-1-0 3.57	1-1-0 3.16	1-0-1 2.85	2-0-0 3.68	2-0-0 3.09	2-0-0 3.17	1-0-1 3.23	1-1-0 3.16	1-1-0 2.56	1-1-0 3.60	2-0-0 3.03	0-1-1 3.38
Blackburn Rovers	1-0-1 2.60	—	0-0-2 3.00	1-0-1 2.90	2-0-0 3.37	0-0-2 2.94	1-1-0 2.72	1-0-1 3.56	1-1-0 2.93	2-0-0 2.69	1-0-1 3.42	1-0-1 3.13	2-0-0 2.48	1-0-1 3.08	1-0-1 2.79	1-0-1 2.98
Bolton Wanderers	1-0-1 2.46	2-0-0 2.77	—	1-0-1 2.59	2-0-0 3.25	0-1-1 2.92	0-0-2 2.31	1-1-0 3.24	0-1-1 2.70	0-0-2 2.68	0-0-2 3.06	1-0-1 3.03	1-0-1 2.04	0-1-1 3.11	0-0-2 2.70	1-0-1 2.95
Burnley	0-0-2 2.66	1-0-1 2.87	1-0-1 3.18	—	1-1-0 3.58	1-1-0 3.00	1-0-1 2.78	1-0-1 3.12	1-0-1 2.99	2-0-0 2.73	1-0-1 3.31	1-0-1 3.14	1-1-0 2.49	1-0-1 3.29	1-1-0 2.95	1-0-1 3.14
Darwen	0-1-1 2.21	0-0-2 2.40	0-0-2 2.52	0-1-1 2.19	—	0-0-2 2.21	0-1-1 1.98	2-0-0 2.58	0-0-2 2.29	1-0-1 2.31	0-1-1 2.66	1-0-1 2.59	0-0-2 1.61	1-0-1 2.61	1-1-0 2.38	1-0-1 2.43
Derby County	0-1-1 2.61	2-0-0 2.83	1-1-0 2.85	0-1-1 2.77	2-0-0 3.56	—	2-0-0 2.65	2-0-0 3.17	0-0-2 2.69	1-0-1 2.69	2-0-0 3.02	1-0-1 2.95	0-0-2 2.31	0-1-1 3.02	1-0-1 2.87	2-0-0 2.90
Everton	1-0-1 2.92	0-1-1 3.05	2-0-0 3.46	1-0-1 2.99	1-1-0 3.79	0-0-2 3.12	—	2-0-0 3.40	1-0-1 3.07	1-0-1 3.08	1-0-1 3.28	1-0-1 3.44	1-0-1 2.61	1-1-0 3.31	1-0-1 3.08	1-0-1 3.27
Newton Heath	0-0-2 2.10	1-0-1 2.21	0-1-1 2.53	1-0-1 2.65	0-0-2 3.19	0-0-2 2.60	0-0-2 2.37	—	0-1-1 2.52	0-0-2 2.41	0-0-2 2.80	1-0-1 2.47	0-0-2 1.93	1-0-1 2.81	1-0-1 2.73	1-0-1 2.82
Nottingham Forest	0-0-2 2.68	0-1-1 2.84	1-1-0 3.07	1-0-1 2.78	2-0-0 3.49	2-0-0 3.08	1-0-1 2.70	1-1-0 3.25	—	2-0-0 2.90	1-1-0 3.23	1-0-1 3.02	0-0-2 2.54	1-0-1 3.16	0-0-2 2.92	1-0-1 2.96
Preston North End	0-0-2 2.60	0-0-2 3.08	2-0-0 3.09	0-0-2 3.04	1-0-1 3.47	1-0-1 3.08	1-0-1 2.69	2-0-0 3.37	0-0-2 2.88	—	1-1-0 3.18	0-1-1 3.21	0-0-2 2.53	1-0-1 3.00	1-0-1 2.78	0-1-1 3.02
Sheffield United	1-0-1 2.54	1-0-1 2.36	2-0-0 2.71	1-0-1 2.46	1-1-0 3.11	0-0-2 2.75	1-0-1 2.49	2-0-0 2.97	0-1-1 2.54	0-1-1 2.59	—	0-1-1 2.76	1-0-1 2.20	1-1-0 2.89	0-0-2 2.74	2-0-0 2.65
Stoke City	0-1-1 2.61	1-0-1 2.64	1-0-1 2.74	1-0-1 2.63	1-0-1 3.18	1-0-1 2.82	1-0-1 2.33	1-0-1 3.30	1-0-1 2.75	1-1-0 2.56	1-1-0 3.01	—	1-0-1 2.10	1-0-1 2.93	1-0-1 2.58	0-0-2 2.87
Sunderland	0-1-1 3.21	0-0-2 3.29	1-0-1 3.73	0-1-1 3.28	2-0-0 4.17	2-0-0 3.46	1-0-1 3.15	2-0-0 3.84	2-0-0 3.23	2-0-0 3.25	1-0-1 3.58	1-0-1 3.67	—	0-2-0 3.50	2-0-0 3.35	1-0-1 3.46
The Wednesday	0-1-1 2.18	1-0-1 2.69	1-1-0 2.66	1-0-1 2.48	1-0-1 3.16	1-1-0 2.75	0-1-1 2.46	1-0-1 2.96	1-0-1 2.61	1-0-1 2.77	0-1-1 2.88	1-0-1 2.83	0-2-0 2.28	—	0-1-1 2.73	0-0-2 2.87
West Brom	0-0-2 2.74	1-0-1 2.98	2-0-0 3.06	0-1-1 2.82	0-1-1 3.39	1-0-1 2.90	1-0-1 2.69	1-0-1 3.04	2-0-0 2.85	1-0-1 2.99	2-0-0 3.04	1-0-1 3.18	0-0-2 2.42	1-1-0 3.04	—	1-1-0 2.92
Wolverhampton	1-1-0 2.40	1-0-1 2.79	1-0-1 2.82	1-0-1 2.63	1-0-1 3.34	0-0-2 2.87	1-0-1 2.51	1-0-1 2.95	1-0-1 2.81	1-1-0 2.75	0-0-2 3.12	2-0-0 2.90	1-0-1 2.31	2-0-0 2.89	0-1-1 2.85	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	1.67%	5.42%	4.38%	3.54%	1.88%	1.88%	18.75%
1	5.42%	5.83%	6.04%	4.79%	3.33%	2.71%	28.12%
2	4.38%	6.04%	2.92%	3.33%	2.71%	1.46%	20.83%
3	3.54%	4.79%	3.33%	2.92%	1.04%	0.83%	16.46%
4	1.88%	3.33%	2.71%	1.04%	—	—	8.96%
5+	1.88%	2.71%	1.46%	0.83%	—	—	6.88%
Total	18.75%	28.12%	20.83%	16.46%	8.96%	6.88%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.96
Mean allowed	1.96
StdDev scored	1.64
StdDev allowed	1.64
Mean total goals/game	3.91
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.106
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	10.00%
1	3.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
2	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	23.33%
3	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
4	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	20.00%
Total	23.33%	40.00%	13.33%	20.00%	3.33%	—	100%

Aston Villa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.80
Mean allowed	1.40
StdDev scored	2.04
StdDev allowed	1.16
Mean total goals/game	4.20
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.140
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
1	6.67%	—	10.00%	3.33%	—	6.67%	26.67%
2	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	16.67%
3	6.67%	—	10.00%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	3.33%	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	—	16.67%
5+	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
Total	26.67%	20.00%	26.67%	13.33%	3.33%	10.00%	100%

Blackburn Rovers — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.30
Mean allowed	1.77
StdDev scored	1.66
StdDev allowed	1.57
Mean total goals/game	4.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.184
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	16.67%	—	6.67%	—	3.33%	26.67%
1	6.67%	10.00%	13.33%	—	—	3.33%	33.33%
2	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	30.00%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	36.67%	20.00%	10.00%	3.33%	10.00%	100%

Bolton Wanderers — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	1.73
StdDev scored	1.05
StdDev allowed	1.60
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.121
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	23.33%
1	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
2	—	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	20.00%
4	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	20.00%	43.33%	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	100%

Burnley — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.03
Mean allowed	1.70
StdDev scored	1.52
StdDev allowed	1.60
Mean total goals/game	3.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.038
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	23.33%
1	6.67%	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	10.00%	6.67%	43.33%
2	—	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	20.00%
3	—	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	—	13.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.00%	23.33%	13.33%	23.33%	16.67%	13.33%	100%

Darwen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	2.77
StdDev scored	0.97
StdDev allowed	2.13
Mean total goals/game	4.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.306
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	13.33%
1	3.33%	6.67%	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	20.00%
2	6.67%	16.67%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	30.00%
3	—	—	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	13.33%
4	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
Total	10.00%	33.33%	16.67%	23.33%	13.33%	3.33%	100%

Derby County — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.43
Mean allowed	2.07
StdDev scored	1.89
StdDev allowed	1.36
Mean total goals/game	4.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.105
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
1	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	23.33%
2	3.33%	—	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	16.67%
3	10.00%	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	23.33%
4	3.33%	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
5+	—	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
Total	20.00%	20.00%	26.67%	26.67%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Everton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.00
Mean allowed	1.90
StdDev scored	2.24
StdDev allowed	1.52
Mean total goals/game	4.90
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.172
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	6.67%	23.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	36.67%
1	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	40.00%
2	—	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	10.00%
3	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	6.67%	16.67%	36.67%	20.00%	13.33%	6.67%	100%

Newton Heath — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.20
Mean allowed	2.40
StdDev scored	1.52
StdDev allowed	1.38
Mean total goals/game	3.60
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.072
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	16.67%
1	6.67%	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%	—	3.33%	40.00%
2	13.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
4	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
5+	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	30.00%	20.00%	23.33%	20.00%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Nottingham Forest — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.90
Mean allowed	1.60
StdDev scored	1.73
StdDev allowed	1.48
Mean total goals/game	3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.219
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
1	10.00%	3.33%	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	36.67%
2	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%	3.33%	13.33%
3	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	23.33%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	20.00%	30.00%	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	100%

Preston North End — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.47
Mean allowed	1.87
StdDev scored	1.20
StdDev allowed	1.59
Mean total goals/game	3.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.088
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	20.00%
1	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	10.00%	—	40.00%
2	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
3	3.33%	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	23.33%
4	—	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	20.00%	26.67%	20.00%	13.33%	3.33%	100%

Sheffield United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.57
Mean allowed	2.03
StdDev scored	1.25
StdDev allowed	1.40
Mean total goals/game	3.60
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.208
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	16.67%
1	—	—	—	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	13.33%
2	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	6.67%	10.00%	26.67%
3	—	20.00%	—	10.00%	—	—	30.00%
4	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	10.00%	30.00%	6.67%	16.67%	20.00%	16.67%	100%

Stoke City — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.17
Mean allowed	2.63
StdDev scored	1.42
StdDev allowed	1.83
Mean total goals/game	4.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.588
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
1	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	20.00%
2	3.33%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
3	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	10.00%
4	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
5+	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
Total	23.33%	36.67%	26.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Sunderland — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.40
Mean allowed	1.47
StdDev scored	1.71
StdDev allowed	1.46
Mean total goals/game	3.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.202
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
1	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	43.33%
2	—	6.67%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
4	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	16.67%	36.67%	20.00%	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	100%

The Wednesday — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.60
Mean allowed	1.90
StdDev scored	1.33
StdDev allowed	1.77
Mean total goals/game	3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.208
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	3.33%	—	6.67%	—	—	13.33%
1	—	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	23.33%
2	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	23.33%
3	6.67%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	26.67%
4	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	20.00%	20.00%	30.00%	20.00%	3.33%	6.67%	100%

West Brom — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.20
Mean allowed	1.97
StdDev scored	1.69
StdDev allowed	1.67
Mean total goals/game	4.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.254
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	6.67%	26.67%
1	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	16.67%
2	6.67%	10.00%	—	3.33%	6.67%	—	26.67%
3	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	—	20.00%
4	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	23.33%	33.33%	6.67%	13.33%	13.33%	10.00%	100%

Wolverhampton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.73
Mean allowed	2.10
StdDev scored	1.41
StdDev allowed	2.16
Mean total goals/game	3.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.319
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Aston Villa	44	33.0	+11.05
2	Derby County	36	29.4	+6.59
3	Sheffield United	31	27.3	+3.72
4	Burnley	34	30.6	+3.38
5	Blackburn Rovers	34	31.6	+2.35

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Newton Heath	14	26.7	-12.73
2	Preston North End	23	31.5	-8.47
3	Darwen	19	24.4	-5.37
4	Bolton Wanderers	24	29.3	-5.30
5	The Wednesday	26	28.0	-2.00

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Nottingham Forest	5	Dec 2 – Jan 1	1 in 547
2	Derby County	4	Mar 17 – Mar 31	1 in 202
3	Sheffield United	6	Sep 9 – Oct 14	1 in 195
4	Aston Villa	6	Nov 11 – Dec 16	1 in 140
5	The Wednesday	5	Jan 13 – Mar 23	1 in 120

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Newton Heath	11	Nov 25 – Mar 10	1 in 3,355
2	Preston North End	6	Jan 1 – Feb 6	1 in 74
3	Sheffield United	5	Dec 9 – Jan 1	1 in 36
4	Blackburn Rovers	4	Mar 3 – Mar 24	1 in 25
5	Wolverhampton	3	Jan 13 – Feb 3	1 in 12

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Nottingham Forest	7	Nov 18 – Jan 1	1 in 131
2	Derby County	6	Mar 17 – Apr 14	1 in 110
3	Aston Villa	6	Oct 7 – Oct 30	1 in 94
4	West Brom	6	Sep 9 – Oct 7	1 in 65
5	Sheffield United	7	Sep 9 – Oct 16	1 in 44

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Newton Heath	11	Nov 25 – Mar 10	1 in 240
2	Preston North End	8	Nov 11 – Dec 16	1 in 174
3	The Wednesday	7	Oct 16 – Dec 2	1 in 63
4	Bolton Wanderers	5	Dec 16 – Jan 1	1 in 23
5	Darwen	7	Dec 16 – Jan 15	1 in 22

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Aston Villa	16.00%	10.00%	11.00%	10.00%	12.00%	3.00%	6.00%	5.00%	3.00%	7.00%	6.00%	4.00%	6.00%	—	1.00%	—
Sunderland	30.00%	25.00%	7.00%	9.00%	9.00%	7.00%	3.00%	1.00%	6.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—
Derby County	3.00%	3.00%	8.00%	2.00%	6.00%	6.00%	4.00%	9.00%	8.00%	13.00%	11.00%	9.00%	4.00%	7.00%	3.00%	4.00%
Blackburn Rovers	3.00%	13.00%	9.00%	13.00%	5.00%	10.00%	10.00%	5.00%	10.00%	3.00%	3.00%	5.00%	3.00%	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Burnley	4.00%	7.00%	8.00%	10.00%	7.00%	8.00%	8.00%	6.00%	8.00%	5.00%	9.00%	2.00%	6.00%	8.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Everton	19.00%	13.00%	14.00%	6.00%	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	11.00%	6.00%	4.00%	2.00%	2.00%	4.00%	4.00%	—	—
Nottingham Forest	7.00%	7.00%	5.00%	5.00%	12.00%	9.00%	8.00%	9.00%	6.00%	7.00%	5.00%	6.00%	7.00%	4.00%	2.00%	1.00%
West Brom	3.00%	5.00%	13.00%	12.00%	5.00%	8.00%	5.00%	5.00%	8.00%	9.00%	7.00%	6.00%	5.00%	3.00%	3.00%	3.00%
Wolverhampton	1.00%	2.00%	7.00%	8.00%	4.00%	7.00%	9.00%	3.00%	8.00%	7.00%	8.00%	5.00%	11.00%	6.00%	7.00%	7.00%
Sheffield United	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	5.00%	5.00%	4.00%	4.00%	6.00%	6.00%	11.00%	12.00%	14.00%	15.00%	9.00%
Stoke City	—	—	4.00%	7.00%	4.00%	5.00%	8.00%	9.00%	6.00%	2.00%	9.00%	11.00%	8.00%	10.00%	11.00%	6.00%
The Wednesday	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	8.00%	3.00%	5.00%	9.00%	10.00%	8.00%	11.00%	10.00%	8.00%	10.00%	10.00%	3.00%
Bolton Wanderers	8.00%	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%	6.00%	4.00%	8.00%	7.00%	2.00%	10.00%	9.00%	8.00%	7.00%	10.00%	6.00%	6.00%
Preston North End	5.00%	8.00%	3.00%	8.00%	9.00%	11.00%	10.00%	8.00%	8.00%	6.00%	7.00%	5.00%	5.00%	3.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Darwen	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	4.00%	5.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	6.00%	1.00%	8.00%	8.00%	7.00%	18.00%	37.00%
Newton Heath	—	1.00%	3.00%	3.00%	1.00%	4.00%	4.00%	8.00%	6.00%	6.00%	5.00%	8.00%	5.00%	10.00%	16.00%	20.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Won relegation playoff	Lost relegation playoff
Blackburn Rovers	89.0%	6.0%	5.0%
Preston North End	88.0%	7.0%	5.0%
West Brom	88.0%	7.0%	5.0%
Burnley	84.0%	9.0%	7.0%
Nottingham Forest	86.0%	6.0%	8.0%
Derby County	83.0%	8.0%	9.0%
The Wednesday	77.0%	14.0%	9.0%
Wolverhampton	79.0%	12.0%	9.0%
Stoke City	73.0%	17.0%	10.0%
Aston Villa	83.0%	1.0%	16.0%
Bolton Wanderers	70.0%	14.0%	16.0%
Everton	77.0%	4.0%	19.0%
Sheffield United	61.0%	20.0%	19.0%
Newton Heath	54.0%	26.0%	20.0%
Sunderland	70.0%	—	30.0%
Darwen	38.0%	29.0%	33.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1893-09-02	West Brom	W 3-2	1921	1890	72.7%	11.4%	15.9%	+1.5	3
1893-09-02	@ Aston Villa	L 2-3	1890	1921	15.9%	11.4%	72.7%	-1.5	0
1893-09-02	Stoke City	W 4-1	1906	1881	72.2%	11.4%	16.4%	+3.9	3
1893-09-02	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 1-4	1881	1906	16.4%	11.4%	72.2%	-3.9	0
1893-09-02	Blackburn Rovers	L 2-3	1831	1902	62.9%	11.7%	25.4%	-5.2	0
1893-09-02	@ Darwen	W 3-2	1902	1831	25.4%	11.7%	62.9%	+5.2	3
1893-09-02	Sheffield United	L 2-3	1938	1857	76.4%	11.1%	12.5%	-6.3	0
1893-09-02	@ Everton	W 3-2	1857	1938	12.5%	11.1%	76.4%	+6.3	3
1893-09-02	Burnley	W 3-2	1871	1912	66.1%	11.6%	22.2%	+2.0	3
1893-09-02	@ Newton Heath	L 2-3	1912	1871	22.2%	11.6%	66.1%	-2.0	0
1893-09-02	Wolverhampton	W 7-1	1899	1890	70.8%	11.5%	17.7%	+7.8	3
1893-09-02	@ Nottingham Forest	L 1-7	1890	1899	17.7%	11.5%	70.8%	-7.8	0
1893-09-02	Derby County	W 1-0	1941	1895	73.9%	11.3%	14.8%	+1.5	3
1893-09-02	@ Preston North End	L 0-1	1895	1941	14.8%	11.3%	73.9%	-1.5	0
1893-09-02	Sunderland	D 2-2	1890	1998	58.6%	11.8%	29.7%	-0.5	1
1893-09-02	@ The Wednesday	D 2-2	1998	1890	29.7%	11.8%	58.6%	+0.5	1
1893-09-04	Darwen	W 5-1	1910	1826	76.6%	11.1%	12.3%	+3.8	3
1893-09-04	@ Burnley	L 1-5	1826	1910	12.3%	11.1%	76.6%	-3.8	0
1893-09-04	Nottingham Forest	W 4-0	1931	1907	72.2%	11.4%	16.4%	+6.0	3
1893-09-04	@ Everton	L 0-4	1907	1931	16.4%	11.4%	72.2%	-6.0	3
1893-09-04	Derby County	L 1-2	1863	1893	67.3%	11.6%	21.1%	-5.9	3
1893-09-04	@ Sheffield United	W 2-1	1893	1863	21.1%	11.6%	67.3%	+5.9	3
1893-09-04	The Wednesday	W 3-1	1883	1889	69.5%	11.5%	19.0%	+3.2	3
1893-09-04	@ Wolverhampton	L 1-3	1889	1883	19.0%	11.5%	69.5%	-3.1	1
1893-09-09	Preston North End	W 4-1	1914	1942	67.4%	11.6%	21.0%	+4.9	6
1893-09-09	@ Burnley	L 1-4	1942	1914	21.0%	11.6%	67.4%	-4.9	3
1893-09-09	Aston Villa	D 1-1	1998	1922	76.1%	11.2%	12.8%	-1.5	2
1893-09-09	@ Sunderland	D 1-1	1922	1998	12.8%	11.2%	76.1%	+1.5	4
1893-09-09	Newton Heath	W 3-1	1889	1873	71.5%	11.4%	17.1%	+2.9	3
1893-09-09	@ West Brom	L 1-3	1873	1889	17.1%	11.4%	71.5%	-2.9	3
1893-09-09	Bolton Wanderers	W 2-1	1886	1910	67.8%	11.6%	20.6%	+2.0	6
1893-09-09	@ Wolverhampton	L 1-2	1910	1886	20.6%	11.6%	67.8%	-2.0	3
1893-09-09	The Wednesday	W 5-1	1907	1886	71.9%	11.4%	16.7%	+5.1	6
1893-09-09	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 1-5	1886	1907	16.7%	11.4%	71.9%	-5.1	1
1893-09-09	Everton	W 7-3	1899	1937	66.4%	11.6%	21.9%	+5.1	6
1893-09-09	@ Derby County	L 3-7	1937	1899	21.9%	11.6%	66.4%	-5.1	3
1893-09-09	Darwen	W 2-1	1857	1822	73.1%	11.4%	15.6%	+1.5	6
1893-09-09	@ Sheffield United	L 1-2	1822	1857	15.6%	11.4%	73.1%	-1.5	0
1893-09-09	Nottingham Forest	W 2-1	1877	1901	67.9%	11.6%	20.5%	+1.9	3
1893-09-09	@ Stoke City	L 1-2	1901	1877	20.5%	11.6%	67.9%	-2.0	3
1893-09-11	Stoke City	W 5-1	1924	1879	73.8%	11.3%	14.9%	+4.6	7
1893-09-11	@ Aston Villa	L 1-5	1879	1924	14.9%	11.3%	73.8%	-4.5	3
1893-09-16	Blackburn Rovers	W 2-1	1908	1912	69.7%	11.5%	18.8%	+1.8	6
1893-09-16	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 1-2	1912	1908	18.8%	11.5%	69.7%	-1.8	6
1893-09-16	Sunderland	L 1-2	1938	1997	64.2%	11.7%	24.1%	-5.6	3
1893-09-16	@ Preston North End	W 2-1	1997	1938	24.1%	11.7%	64.2%	+5.6	5
1893-09-16	Newton Heath	L 0-1	1881	1870	71.0%	11.5%	17.5%	-6.6	1
1893-09-16	@ The Wednesday	W 1-0	1870	1881	17.5%	11.5%	71.0%	+6.6	6
1893-09-16	Stoke City	W 3-1	1820	1875	64.7%	11.7%	23.6%	+3.9	3
1893-09-16	@ Darwen	L 1-3	1875	1820	23.6%	11.7%	64.7%	-3.9	3
1893-09-16	West Brom	L 2-3	1904	1891	71.2%	11.5%	17.4%	-5.9	6
1893-09-16	@ Derby County	W 3-2	1891	1904	17.4%	11.5%	71.2%	+5.9	6
1893-09-16	Aston Villa	W 4-2	1932	1928	70.4%	11.5%	18.1%	+2.7	6
1893-09-16	@ Everton	L 2-4	1928	1932	18.1%	11.5%	70.4%	-2.7	7
1893-09-16	Burnley	W 5-0	1899	1919	68.2%	11.6%	20.2%	+9.0	6
1893-09-16	@ Nottingham Forest	L 0-5	1919	1899	20.2%	11.6%	68.2%	-9.0	6
1893-09-18	Darwen	W 2-1	1888	1824	75.2%	11.2%	13.6%	+1.3	9
1893-09-18	@ Wolverhampton	L 1-2	1824	1888	13.6%	11.2%	75.2%	-1.3	3
1893-09-23	Nottingham Forest	D 1-1	1876	1908	67.1%	11.6%	21.3%	-1.1	7
1893-09-23	@ Newton Heath	D 1-1	1908	1876	21.3%	11.6%	67.1%	+1.0	7
1893-09-23	Bolton Wanderers	W 4-2	1859	1910	65.1%	11.7%	23.2%	+3.4	9
1893-09-23	@ Sheffield United	L 2-4	1910	1859	23.2%	11.7%	65.1%	-3.4	6
1893-09-23	Everton	W 3-1	1926	1935	69.2%	11.5%	19.2%	+3.2	10
1893-09-23	@ Aston Villa	L 1-3	1935	1926	19.2%	11.5%	69.2%	-3.2	6
1893-09-23	Wolverhampton	W 3-0	1910	1889	71.9%	11.4%	16.7%	+4.7	9
1893-09-23	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 0-3	1889	1910	16.7%	11.4%	71.9%	-4.7	9
1893-09-23	Derby County	W 3-1	1871	1898	67.5%	11.6%	20.9%	+3.5	6
1893-09-23	@ Stoke City	L 1-3	1898	1871	20.9%	11.6%	67.5%	-3.5	6
1893-09-23	The Wednesday	D 1-1	2002	1874	79.3%	10.8%	9.8%	-1.6	6
1893-09-23	@ Sunderland	D 1-1	1874	2002	9.8%	10.8%	79.3%	+1.6	2
1893-09-23	Burnley	D 1-1	1897	1910	69.0%	11.6%	19.5%	-1.1	7
1893-09-23	@ West Brom	D 1-1	1910	1897	19.5%	11.6%	69.0%	+1.1	7
1893-09-23	Darwen	W 4-1	1932	1823	78.2%	10.9%	10.8%	+2.6	6
1893-09-23	@ Preston North End	L 1-4	1823	1932	10.8%	10.9%	78.2%	-2.6	3
1893-09-25	West Brom	L 2-4	1876	1896	68.2%	11.6%	20.2%	-9.2	2
1893-09-25	@ The Wednesday	W 4-2	1896	1876	20.2%	11.6%	68.2%	+9.2	10
1893-09-30	Preston North End	L 0-3	1906	1935	67.4%	11.6%	21.0%	-17.1	6
1893-09-30	@ Bolton Wanderers	W 3-0	1935	1906	21.0%	11.6%	67.4%	+17.1	9
1893-09-30	Sheffield United	L 3-4	1884	1862	72.0%	11.4%	16.6%	-5.8	9
1893-09-30	@ Wolverhampton	W 4-3	1862	1884	16.6%	11.4%	72.0%	+5.8	12
1893-09-30	Derby County	D 1-1	1929	1895	73.0%	11.4%	15.7%	-1.3	11
1893-09-30	@ Aston Villa	D 1-1	1895	1929	15.7%	11.4%	73.0%	+1.3	7
1893-09-30	Stoke City	W 4-0	1911	1874	73.1%	11.3%	15.5%	+5.7	10
1893-09-30	@ Burnley	L 0-4	1874	1911	15.5%	11.3%	73.1%	-5.7	6
1893-09-30	Sunderland	W 7-1	1932	2001	63.1%	11.7%	25.2%	+10.9	9
1893-09-30	@ Everton	L 1-7	2001	1932	25.2%	11.7%	63.1%	-10.9	6
1893-09-30	West Brom	L 2-3	1909	1905	70.4%	11.5%	18.1%	-5.8	7
1893-09-30	@ Nottingham Forest	W 3-2	1905	1909	18.1%	11.5%	70.4%	+5.8	13
1893-09-30	Newton Heath	W 1-0	1820	1875	64.7%	11.7%	23.7%	+2.4	6
1893-09-30	@ Darwen	L 0-1	1875	1820	23.7%	11.7%	64.7%	-2.4	7
1893-09-30	Blackburn Rovers	W 4-2	1867	1915	65.4%	11.7%	22.9%	+3.4	5
1893-09-30	@ The Wednesday	L 2-4	1915	1867	22.9%	11.7%	65.4%	-3.4	9
1893-10-02	Aston Villa	W 3-0	1868	1928	64.2%	11.7%	24.1%	+6.6	15
1893-10-02	@ Sheffield United	L 0-3	1928	1868	24.1%	11.7%	64.2%	-6.6	11
1893-10-05	Bolton Wanderers	W 1-0	1903	1889	71.3%	11.5%	17.3%	+1.8	10
1893-10-05	@ Nottingham Forest	L 0-1	1889	1903	17.3%	11.5%	71.3%	-1.8	6
1893-10-07	Preston North End	W 1-0	1911	1952	66.2%	11.6%	22.1%	+2.2	12
1893-10-07	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 0-1	1952	1911	22.1%	11.6%	66.2%	-2.2	9
1893-10-07	Newton Heath	W 2-0	1896	1873	72.1%	11.4%	16.5%	+3.2	10
1893-10-07	@ Derby County	L 0-2	1873	1896	16.5%	11.4%	72.1%	-3.2	7
1893-10-07	Darwen	W 1-0	1887	1823	75.3%	11.2%	13.5%	+1.4	9
1893-10-07	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 0-1	1823	1887	13.5%	11.2%	75.3%	-1.4	6
1893-10-07	Everton	W 2-1	1916	1942	67.6%	11.6%	20.8%	+2.0	13
1893-10-07	@ Burnley	L 1-2	1942	1916	20.8%	11.6%	67.6%	-2.0	9
1893-10-07	Sunderland	W 1-0	1875	1990	57.7%	11.8%	30.5%	+3.0	18
1893-10-07	@ Sheffield United	L 0-1	1990	1875	30.5%	11.8%	57.7%	-3.0	6
1893-10-07	Wolverhampton	D 0-0	1911	1878	72.9%	11.4%	15.8%	-1.5	14
1893-10-07	@ West Brom	D 0-0	1878	1911	15.8%	11.4%	72.9%	+1.5	10
1893-10-07	Aston Villa	L 1-2	1905	1921	68.6%	11.6%	19.9%	-6.0	10
1893-10-07	@ Nottingham Forest	W 2-1	1921	1905	19.9%	11.6%	68.6%	+6.0	14
1893-10-07	The Wednesday	W 4-1	1869	1870	70.0%	11.5%	18.5%	+4.3	9
1893-10-07	@ Stoke City	L 1-4	1870	1869	18.5%	11.5%	70.0%	-4.3	5
1893-10-14	West Brom	W 4-1	1870	1910	66.2%	11.6%	22.1%	+5.2	10
1893-10-14	@ Newton Heath	L 1-4	1910	1870	22.1%	11.6%	66.2%	-5.1	14
1893-10-14	Burnley	L 1-2	1949	1918	72.7%	11.4%	15.9%	-6.3	9
1893-10-14	@ Preston North End	W 2-1	1918	1949	15.9%	11.4%	72.7%	+6.3	16
1893-10-14	Sheffield United	L 0-1	1889	1878	71.0%	11.5%	17.5%	-6.6	9
1893-10-14	@ Bolton Wanderers	W 1-0	1878	1889	17.5%	11.5%	71.0%	+6.6	21
1893-10-14	Blackburn Rovers	D 2-2	1940	1914	72.4%	11.4%	16.2%	-1.0	10
1893-10-14	@ Everton	D 2-2	1914	1940	16.2%	11.4%	72.4%	+1.0	13
1893-10-14	Stoke City	W 4-0	1987	1873	78.5%	10.9%	10.6%	+3.9	9
1893-10-14	@ Sunderland	L 0-4	1873	1987	10.6%	10.9%	78.5%	-3.9	9
1893-10-14	Aston Villa	D 1-1	1821	1927	58.9%	11.8%	29.3%	-0.7	7
1893-10-14	@ Darwen	D 1-1	1927	1821	29.3%	11.8%	58.9%	+0.7	15
1893-10-14	Derby County	W 4-0	1866	1899	66.9%	11.6%	21.5%	+7.8	8
1893-10-14	@ The Wednesday	L 0-4	1899	1866	21.5%	11.6%	66.9%	-7.8	10
1893-10-14	Nottingham Forest	W 3-1	1880	1899	68.3%	11.6%	20.1%	+3.3	13
1893-10-14	@ Wolverhampton	L 1-3	1899	1880	20.1%	11.6%	68.3%	-3.3	10
1893-10-16	The Wednesday	D 1-1	1884	1873	71.0%	11.5%	17.5%	-1.2	22
1893-10-16	@ Sheffield United	D 1-1	1873	1884	17.5%	11.5%	71.0%	+1.2	9
1893-10-16	Aston Villa	D 3-3	1869	1928	64.3%	11.7%	24.0%	-0.6	10
1893-10-16	@ Stoke City	D 3-3	1928	1869	24.0%	11.7%	64.3%	+0.6	16
1893-10-21	Sunderland	W 4-3	1915	1991	62.4%	11.7%	25.9%	+2.2	16
1893-10-21	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 3-4	1991	1915	25.9%	11.7%	62.4%	-2.2	9
1893-10-21	Newton Heath	W 4-1	1925	1875	74.2%	11.3%	14.5%	+3.4	19
1893-10-21	@ Burnley	L 1-4	1875	1925	14.5%	11.3%	74.2%	-3.4	10
1893-10-21	Wolverhampton	W 2-0	1882	1883	70.0%	11.5%	18.5%	+3.5	12
1893-10-21	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 0-2	1883	1882	18.5%	11.5%	70.0%	-3.5	13
1893-10-21	Darwen	W 8-1	1939	1821	78.8%	10.9%	10.3%	+5.3	13
1893-10-21	@ Everton	L 1-8	1821	1939	10.3%	10.9%	78.8%	-5.3	7
1893-10-21	Stoke City	W 2-0	1895	1869	72.4%	11.4%	16.2%	+3.1	13
1893-10-21	@ Nottingham Forest	L 0-2	1869	1895	16.2%	11.4%	72.4%	-3.1	10
1893-10-21	The Wednesday	D 3-3	1891	1875	71.5%	11.4%	17.0%	-0.8	11
1893-10-21	@ Derby County	D 3-3	1875	1891	17.0%	11.4%	71.5%	+0.8	10
1893-10-21	Aston Villa	L 3-6	1905	1928	67.9%	11.6%	20.5%	-11.6	14
1893-10-21	@ West Brom	W 6-3	1928	1905	20.5%	11.6%	67.9%	+11.6	19
1893-10-28	Blackburn Rovers	W 3-1	1865	1917	65.0%	11.7%	23.3%	+3.8	13
1893-10-28	@ Stoke City	L 1-3	1917	1865	23.3%	11.7%	65.0%	-3.8	16
1893-10-28	Newton Heath	W 2-0	1880	1872	70.8%	11.5%	17.7%	+3.4	16
1893-10-28	@ Wolverhampton	L 0-2	1872	1880	17.7%	11.5%	70.8%	-3.4	10
1893-10-28	Bolton Wanderers	L 1-3	1815	1886	63.0%	11.7%	25.3%	-9.5	7
1893-10-28	@ Darwen	W 3-1	1886	1815	25.3%	11.7%	63.0%	+9.5	15
1893-10-28	Preston North End	L 2-3	1945	1943	70.2%	11.5%	18.3%	-5.8	13
1893-10-28	@ Everton	W 3-2	1943	1945	18.3%	11.5%	70.2%	+5.8	12
1893-10-28	West Brom	L 0-2	1883	1893	69.2%	11.5%	19.3%	-12.1	22
1893-10-28	@ Sheffield United	W 2-0	1893	1883	19.3%	11.5%	69.2%	+12.1	17
1893-10-28	Derby County	W 5-0	1989	1891	77.5%	11.0%	11.5%	+5.2	12
1893-10-28	@ Sunderland	L 0-5	1891	1989	11.5%	11.0%	77.5%	-5.2	11
1893-10-28	The Wednesday	W 1-0	1899	1876	72.1%	11.4%	16.5%	+1.7	16
1893-10-28	@ Nottingham Forest	L 0-1	1876	1899	16.5%	11.4%	72.1%	-1.7	10
1893-10-28	Burnley	W 4-0	1940	1928	71.1%	11.5%	17.4%	+6.4	22
1893-10-28	@ Aston Villa	L 0-4	1928	1940	17.4%	11.5%	71.1%	-6.4	19
1893-10-30	Sheffield United	W 4-0	1946	1871	76.0%	11.2%	12.8%	+4.7	25
1893-10-30	@ Aston Villa	L 0-4	1871	1946	12.8%	11.2%	76.0%	-4.7	22
1893-11-04	Bolton Wanderers	W 1-0	1949	1895	74.5%	11.3%	14.2%	+1.5	15
1893-11-04	@ Preston North End	L 0-1	1895	1949	14.2%	11.3%	74.5%	-1.5	15
1893-11-04	Everton	D 1-1	1874	1939	63.6%	11.7%	24.7%	-0.9	11
1893-11-04	@ The Wednesday	D 1-1	1939	1874	24.7%	11.7%	63.6%	+0.9	14
1893-11-04	Wolverhampton	W 6-0	1994	1883	78.3%	10.9%	10.7%	+5.8	15
1893-11-04	@ Sunderland	L 0-6	1883	1994	10.7%	10.9%	78.3%	-5.8	16
1893-11-04	Nottingham Forest	W 3-1	1922	1900	71.9%	11.4%	16.6%	+2.8	22
1893-11-04	@ Burnley	L 1-3	1900	1922	16.6%	11.4%	71.9%	-2.8	16
1893-11-04	Sheffield United	W 2-1	1886	1866	71.8%	11.4%	16.8%	+1.6	14
1893-11-04	@ Derby County	L 1-2	1866	1886	16.8%	11.4%	71.8%	-1.6	22
1893-11-04	Darwen	L 0-1	1868	1806	75.1%	11.2%	13.7%	-6.9	10
1893-11-04	@ Newton Heath	W 1-0	1806	1868	13.7%	11.2%	75.1%	+7.0	10
1893-11-04	Stoke City	W 4-2	1905	1869	73.1%	11.4%	15.5%	+2.3	20
1893-11-04	@ West Brom	L 2-4	1869	1905	15.5%	11.4%	73.1%	-2.3	13
1893-11-04	Aston Villa	W 2-0	1913	1951	66.5%	11.6%	21.9%	+4.2	19
1893-11-04	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 0-2	1951	1913	21.9%	11.6%	66.5%	-4.2	25
1893-11-06	Bolton Wanderers	W 5-2	1907	1894	71.3%	11.5%	17.3%	+3.5	23
1893-11-06	@ West Brom	L 2-5	1894	1907	17.3%	11.5%	71.3%	-3.5	15
1893-11-11	Blackburn Rovers	L 0-1	1950	1917	72.9%	11.4%	15.7%	-6.7	15
1893-11-11	@ Preston North End	W 1-0	1917	1950	15.7%	11.4%	72.9%	+6.7	22
1893-11-11	Wolverhampton	W 1-0	1861	1877	68.6%	11.6%	19.9%	+2.0	13
1893-11-11	@ Newton Heath	L 0-1	1877	1861	19.9%	11.6%	68.6%	-2.0	16
1893-11-11	Derby County	L 1-2	1940	1887	74.4%	11.3%	14.3%	-6.5	14
1893-11-11	@ Everton	W 2-1	1887	1940	14.3%	11.3%	74.4%	+6.5	17
1893-11-11	Burnley	W 4-2	1867	1925	64.4%	11.7%	23.9%	+3.5	16
1893-11-11	@ Stoke City	L 2-4	1925	1867	23.9%	11.7%	64.4%	-3.5	22
1893-11-11	West Brom	W 2-1	1813	1911	59.8%	11.8%	28.4%	+2.7	13
1893-11-11	@ Darwen	L 1-2	1911	1813	28.4%	11.8%	59.8%	-2.7	23
1893-11-11	Sunderland	W 2-1	1947	2000	64.9%	11.7%	23.4%	+2.2	28
1893-11-11	@ Aston Villa	L 1-2	2000	1947	23.4%	11.7%	64.9%	-2.2	15
1893-11-13	Preston North End	W 2-1	1870	1944	62.7%	11.7%	25.6%	+2.4	19
1893-11-13	@ Stoke City	L 1-2	1944	1870	25.6%	11.7%	62.7%	-2.4	15
1893-11-13	Sheffield United	L 1-2	1873	1865	70.8%	11.5%	17.7%	-6.2	11
1893-11-13	@ The Wednesday	W 2-1	1865	1873	17.7%	11.5%	70.8%	+6.2	25
1893-11-18	Burnley	W 3-2	1924	1921	70.3%	11.5%	18.2%	+1.7	25
1893-11-18	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 2-3	1921	1924	18.2%	11.5%	70.3%	-1.7	22
1893-11-18	Sheffield United	D 1-1	1897	1871	72.4%	11.4%	16.2%	-1.3	17
1893-11-18	@ Nottingham Forest	D 1-1	1871	1897	16.2%	11.4%	72.4%	+1.3	26
1893-11-18	Darwen	W 2-1	1894	1815	76.2%	11.1%	12.6%	+1.2	20
1893-11-18	@ Derby County	L 1-2	1815	1894	12.6%	11.1%	76.2%	-1.2	13
1893-11-18	Aston Villa	L 0-1	1890	1949	64.3%	11.7%	24.0%	-6.0	15
1893-11-18	@ Bolton Wanderers	W 1-0	1949	1890	24.0%	11.7%	64.3%	+5.9	31
1893-11-20	Preston North End	D 1-1	1872	1941	63.1%	11.7%	25.1%	-0.9	27
1893-11-20	@ Sheffield United	D 1-1	1941	1872	25.1%	11.7%	63.1%	+0.9	16
1893-11-25	Newton Heath	W 3-1	1871	1863	70.8%	11.5%	17.7%	+3.0	30
1893-11-25	@ Sheffield United	L 1-3	1863	1871	17.7%	11.5%	70.8%	-3.0	13
1893-11-25	West Brom	W 2-1	1997	1908	77.0%	11.1%	12.0%	+1.2	18
1893-11-25	@ Sunderland	L 1-2	1908	1997	12.0%	11.1%	77.0%	-1.2	23
1893-11-25	Burnley	W 4-3	1933	1919	71.3%	11.5%	17.2%	+1.5	17
1893-11-25	@ Everton	L 3-4	1919	1933	17.2%	11.5%	71.3%	-1.5	22
1893-11-25	Stoke City	W 4-2	1875	1873	70.3%	11.5%	18.2%	+2.7	19
1893-11-25	@ Wolverhampton	L 2-4	1873	1875	18.2%	11.5%	70.3%	-2.7	19
1893-11-25	Blackburn Rovers	D 0-0	1896	1926	67.3%	11.6%	21.1%	-1.2	18
1893-11-25	@ Nottingham Forest	D 0-0	1926	1896	21.1%	11.6%	67.3%	+1.2	26
1893-11-25	Preston North End	W 2-0	1955	1942	71.2%	11.5%	17.3%	+3.3	34
1893-11-25	@ Aston Villa	L 0-2	1942	1955	17.3%	11.5%	71.2%	-3.3	16
1893-11-27	The Wednesday	D 2-2	1907	1867	73.5%	11.3%	15.2%	-1.0	24
1893-11-27	@ West Brom	D 2-2	1867	1907	15.2%	11.3%	73.5%	+1.0	12
1893-12-02	Bolton Wanderers	L 0-1	1927	1884	73.6%	11.3%	15.0%	-6.8	26
1893-12-02	@ Blackburn Rovers	W 1-0	1884	1927	15.0%	11.3%	73.6%	+6.8	18
1893-12-02	Everton	L 0-3	1860	1935	62.5%	11.7%	25.8%	-15.8	13
1893-12-02	@ Newton Heath	W 3-0	1935	1860	25.8%	11.7%	62.5%	+15.8	20
1893-12-02	Sunderland	W 1-0	1918	1998	61.8%	11.7%	26.4%	+2.6	25
1893-12-02	@ Burnley	L 0-1	1998	1918	26.4%	11.7%	61.8%	-2.6	18
1893-12-02	Nottingham Forest	L 0-2	1939	1895	73.7%	11.3%	14.9%	-12.9	16
1893-12-02	@ Preston North End	W 2-0	1895	1939	14.9%	11.3%	73.7%	+12.9	21
1893-12-02	Darwen	W 3-1	1870	1814	74.7%	11.3%	14.1%	+2.4	22
1893-12-02	@ Stoke City	L 1-3	1814	1870	14.1%	11.3%	74.7%	-2.4	13
1893-12-02	Wolverhampton	L 1-4	1868	1878	69.1%	11.5%	19.3%	-14.8	12
1893-12-02	@ The Wednesday	W 4-1	1878	1868	19.3%	11.5%	69.1%	+14.8	22
1893-12-02	Aston Villa	L 0-3	1895	1958	63.8%	11.7%	24.5%	-16.1	20
1893-12-02	@ Derby County	W 3-0	1958	1895	24.5%	11.7%	63.8%	+16.2	37
1893-12-04	Preston North End	W 2-0	1906	1926	68.2%	11.6%	20.2%	+3.9	27
1893-12-04	@ West Brom	L 0-2	1926	1906	20.2%	11.6%	68.2%	-3.8	16
1893-12-04	Everton	W 2-0	1893	1951	64.4%	11.7%	24.0%	+4.5	25
1893-12-04	@ Wolverhampton	L 0-2	1951	1893	24.0%	11.7%	64.4%	-4.5	20
1893-12-06	Newton Heath	W 4-1	1996	1844	80.6%	10.7%	8.7%	+2.1	21
1893-12-06	@ Sunderland	L 1-4	1844	1996	8.7%	10.7%	80.6%	-2.1	13
1893-12-07	Stoke City	W 4-1	1853	1873	68.3%	11.6%	20.2%	+4.7	15
1893-12-07	@ The Wednesday	L 1-4	1873	1853	20.2%	11.6%	68.3%	-4.7	22
1893-12-09	Newton Heath	W 2-0	1891	1842	74.1%	11.3%	14.6%	+2.8	21
1893-12-09	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 0-2	1842	1891	14.6%	11.3%	74.1%	-2.8	13
1893-12-09	Blackburn Rovers	L 2-3	1998	1920	76.2%	11.1%	12.7%	-6.3	21
1893-12-09	@ Sunderland	W 3-2	1920	1998	12.7%	11.1%	76.2%	+6.3	29
1893-12-09	West Brom	W 3-0	1920	1910	71.0%	11.5%	17.5%	+4.9	28
1893-12-09	@ Burnley	L 0-3	1910	1920	17.5%	11.5%	71.0%	-4.9	27
1893-12-09	Nottingham Forest	L 3-4	1879	1908	67.3%	11.6%	21.1%	-5.4	20
1893-12-09	@ Derby County	W 4-3	1908	1879	21.1%	11.6%	67.3%	+5.4	24
1893-12-09	Everton	L 0-3	1874	1946	62.8%	11.7%	25.5%	-15.9	30
1893-12-09	@ Sheffield United	W 3-0	1946	1874	25.5%	11.7%	62.8%	+15.9	23
1893-12-09	Preston North End	D 0-0	1897	1922	67.8%	11.6%	20.6%	-1.2	26
1893-12-09	@ Wolverhampton	D 0-0	1922	1897	20.6%	11.6%	67.8%	+1.2	17
1893-12-09	The Wednesday	W 3-0	1974	1858	78.7%	10.9%	10.4%	+2.9	40
1893-12-09	@ Aston Villa	L 0-3	1858	1974	10.4%	10.9%	78.7%	-2.9	15
1893-12-11	The Wednesday	W 2-1	1812	1855	65.9%	11.6%	22.4%	+2.1	16
1893-12-11	@ Darwen	L 1-2	1855	1812	22.4%	11.6%	65.9%	-2.1	15
1893-12-16	Bolton Wanderers	W 2-1	1853	1894	66.1%	11.6%	22.3%	+2.1	18
1893-12-16	@ The Wednesday	L 1-2	1894	1853	22.3%	11.6%	66.1%	-2.1	21
1893-12-16	Everton	W 4-3	1926	1962	66.7%	11.6%	21.7%	+1.9	32
1893-12-16	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 3-4	1962	1926	21.7%	11.6%	66.7%	-1.9	23
1893-12-16	Wolverhampton	L 1-3	1923	1896	72.4%	11.4%	16.2%	-10.9	17
1893-12-16	@ Preston North End	W 3-1	1896	1923	16.2%	11.4%	72.4%	+10.9	29
1893-12-16	Burnley	D 2-2	1992	1925	75.4%	11.2%	13.4%	-1.1	22
1893-12-16	@ Sunderland	D 2-2	1925	1992	13.4%	11.2%	75.4%	+1.1	29
1893-12-16	Darwen	D 2-2	1905	1814	77.1%	11.1%	11.8%	-1.1	28
1893-12-16	@ West Brom	D 2-2	1814	1905	11.8%	11.1%	77.1%	+1.1	17
1893-12-16	Sheffield United	W 5-0	1868	1858	70.9%	11.5%	17.6%	+7.9	25
1893-12-16	@ Stoke City	L 0-5	1858	1868	17.6%	11.5%	70.9%	-7.9	30
1893-12-16	Aston Villa	L 1-3	1839	1977	54.8%	11.8%	33.4%	-8.3	13
1893-12-16	@ Newton Heath	W 3-1	1977	1839	33.4%	11.8%	54.8%	+8.3	43
1893-12-23	Stoke City	W 5-2	1873	1876	69.8%	11.5%	18.6%	+3.8	23
1893-12-23	@ Derby County	L 2-5	1876	1873	18.6%	11.5%	69.8%	-3.8	25
1893-12-23	Newton Heath	W 2-0	1912	1831	76.4%	11.1%	12.4%	+2.4	20
1893-12-23	@ Preston North End	L 0-2	1831	1912	12.4%	11.1%	76.4%	-2.4	13
1893-12-23	Sunderland	L 2-3	1904	1991	61.2%	11.7%	27.1%	-5.1	28
1893-12-23	@ West Brom	W 3-2	1991	1904	27.1%	11.7%	61.2%	+5.1	25
1893-12-23	Blackburn Rovers	W 1-0	1926	1928	69.9%	11.5%	18.6%	+1.9	32
1893-12-23	@ Burnley	L 0-1	1928	1926	18.6%	11.5%	69.9%	-1.9	32
1893-12-23	Nottingham Forest	L 0-4	1815	1913	59.8%	11.8%	28.5%	-19.8	17
1893-12-23	@ Darwen	W 4-0	1913	1815	28.5%	11.8%	59.8%	+19.8	27
1893-12-23	The Wednesday	W 8-1	1960	1855	78.0%	11.0%	11.0%	+5.7	26
1893-12-23	@ Everton	L 1-8	1855	1960	11.0%	11.0%	78.0%	-5.7	18
1893-12-23	Aston Villa	W 3-0	1907	1986	62.1%	11.7%	26.2%	+7.2	32
1893-12-23	@ Wolverhampton	L 0-3	1986	1907	26.2%	11.7%	62.1%	-7.1	43
1893-12-25	The Wednesday	D 1-1	1892	1849	73.7%	11.3%	15.0%	-1.4	22
1893-12-25	@ Bolton Wanderers	D 1-1	1849	1892	15.0%	11.3%	73.7%	+1.4	19
1893-12-25	Darwen	W 4-1	1926	1795	79.5%	10.8%	9.7%	+2.3	35
1893-12-25	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 1-4	1795	1926	9.7%	10.8%	79.5%	-2.3	17
1893-12-25	Sheffield United	W 4-1	1928	1850	76.2%	11.1%	12.7%	+3.0	35
1893-12-25	@ Burnley	L 1-4	1850	1928	12.7%	11.1%	76.2%	-3.0	30
1893-12-25	Stoke City	D 3-3	1915	1872	73.7%	11.3%	15.0%	-0.8	21
1893-12-25	@ Preston North End	D 3-3	1872	1915	15.0%	11.3%	73.7%	+0.8	26
1893-12-26	Bolton Wanderers	W 6-1	1877	1890	68.8%	11.6%	19.6%	+7.3	26
1893-12-26	@ Derby County	L 1-6	1890	1877	19.6%	11.6%	68.8%	-7.3	22
1893-12-26	Blackburn Rovers	W 5-1	1914	1929	68.8%	11.6%	19.7%	+6.0	35
1893-12-26	@ Wolverhampton	L 1-5	1929	1914	19.7%	11.6%	68.8%	-6.0	35
1893-12-26	Sheffield United	W 3-1	1899	1847	74.3%	11.3%	14.4%	+2.4	31
1893-12-26	@ West Brom	L 1-3	1847	1899	14.4%	11.3%	74.3%	-2.4	30
1893-12-26	Darwen	W 9-0	1978	1793	82.3%	10.4%	7.3%	+5.8	46
1893-12-26	@ Aston Villa	L 0-9	1793	1978	7.3%	10.4%	82.3%	-5.8	17
1893-12-26	Burnley	L 0-1	1850	1931	61.8%	11.7%	26.5%	-5.7	19
1893-12-26	@ The Wednesday	W 1-0	1931	1850	26.5%	11.7%	61.8%	+5.7	38
1893-12-27	West Brom	L 0-8	1920	1901	71.7%	11.4%	16.9%	-45.7	35
1893-12-27	@ Wolverhampton	W 8-0	1901	1920	16.9%	11.4%	71.7%	+45.7	34
1893-12-30	Derby County	W 4-2	1933	1884	74.1%	11.3%	14.6%	+2.2	30
1893-12-30	@ Nottingham Forest	L 2-4	1884	1933	14.6%	11.3%	74.1%	-2.2	26
1893-12-30	West Brom	W 7-1	1966	1947	71.7%	11.4%	16.8%	+7.4	29
1893-12-30	@ Everton	L 1-7	1947	1966	16.8%	11.4%	71.7%	-7.4	34
1893-12-30	Bolton Wanderers	W 2-1	1996	1883	78.4%	10.9%	10.7%	+1.0	28
1893-12-30	@ Sunderland	L 1-2	1883	1996	10.7%	10.9%	78.4%	-1.0	22
1893-12-30	Wolverhampton	L 0-3	1873	1874	69.9%	11.5%	18.6%	-17.7	26
1893-12-30	@ Stoke City	W 3-0	1874	1873	18.6%	11.5%	69.9%	+17.7	38
1894-01-01	Nottingham Forest	L 0-2	1845	1935	60.7%	11.7%	27.5%	-10.6	30
1894-01-01	@ Sheffield United	W 2-0	1935	1845	27.5%	11.7%	60.7%	+10.6	33
1894-01-01	Derby County	D 1-1	1882	1882	70.1%	11.5%	18.4%	-1.2	23
1894-01-01	@ Bolton Wanderers	D 1-1	1882	1882	18.4%	11.5%	70.1%	+1.2	27
1894-01-01	Preston North End	W 6-3	1997	1914	76.5%	11.1%	12.3%	+2.3	31
1894-01-01	@ Sunderland	L 3-6	1914	1997	12.3%	11.1%	76.5%	-2.3	21
1894-01-01	Everton	D 3-3	1787	1973	48.3%	11.8%	39.9%	-0.1	18
1894-01-01	@ Darwen	D 3-3	1973	1787	39.9%	11.8%	48.3%	+0.1	30
1894-01-06	Blackburn Rovers	W 2-1	1939	1923	71.5%	11.4%	17.0%	+1.6	37
1894-01-06	@ West Brom	L 1-2	1923	1939	17.0%	11.4%	71.5%	-1.6	35
1894-01-06	Burnley	W 2-0	1881	1937	64.6%	11.7%	23.8%	+4.5	26
1894-01-06	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 0-2	1937	1881	23.8%	11.7%	64.6%	-4.5	38
1894-01-06	Preston North End	W 2-1	1883	1911	67.4%	11.6%	21.0%	+2.0	30
1894-01-06	@ Derby County	L 1-2	1911	1883	21.0%	11.6%	67.4%	-2.0	21
1894-01-06	Newton Heath	W 2-0	1973	1829	80.2%	10.7%	9.0%	+1.8	33
1894-01-06	@ Everton	L 0-2	1829	1973	9.0%	10.7%	80.2%	-1.8	13
1894-01-06	Sheffield United	D 3-3	1787	1834	65.5%	11.7%	22.9%	-0.6	19
1894-01-06	@ Darwen	D 3-3	1834	1787	22.9%	11.7%	65.5%	+0.6	31
1894-01-06	Sunderland	W 2-1	1892	1999	58.8%	11.8%	29.5%	+2.8	41
1894-01-06	@ Wolverhampton	L 1-2	1999	1892	29.5%	11.8%	58.8%	-2.7	31
1894-01-06	Aston Villa	D 2-2	1845	1984	54.6%	11.8%	33.6%	-0.3	20
1894-01-06	@ The Wednesday	D 2-2	1984	1845	33.6%	11.8%	54.6%	+0.3	47
1894-01-13	The Wednesday	L 1-2	1827	1844	68.5%	11.6%	20.0%	-6.0	13
1894-01-13	@ Newton Heath	W 2-1	1844	1827	20.0%	11.6%	68.5%	+6.0	23
1894-01-13	Sunderland	L 1-2	1946	1996	65.2%	11.7%	23.2%	-5.7	33
1894-01-13	@ Nottingham Forest	W 2-1	1996	1946	23.2%	11.7%	65.2%	+5.7	34
1894-01-13	West Brom	W 3-0	1921	1941	68.2%	11.6%	20.2%	+5.6	38
1894-01-13	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 0-3	1941	1921	20.2%	11.6%	68.2%	-5.6	37
1894-01-13	Everton	L 2-4	1909	1975	63.5%	11.7%	24.8%	-8.6	21
1894-01-13	@ Preston North End	W 4-2	1975	1909	24.8%	11.7%	63.5%	+8.6	36
1894-01-13	Bolton Wanderers	W 5-0	1855	1885	67.2%	11.6%	21.2%	+9.4	29
1894-01-13	@ Stoke City	L 0-5	1885	1855	21.2%	11.6%	67.2%	-9.4	26
1894-01-13	Wolverhampton	W 3-2	1835	1895	64.1%	11.7%	24.2%	+2.2	34
1894-01-13	@ Sheffield United	L 2-3	1895	1835	24.2%	11.7%	64.1%	-2.2	41
1894-01-15	Darwen	W 5-0	1850	1786	75.2%	11.2%	13.6%	+6.1	26
1894-01-15	@ The Wednesday	L 0-5	1786	1850	13.6%	11.2%	75.2%	-6.1	19
1894-01-15	Sheffield United	W 4-1	1927	1837	77.0%	11.1%	11.9%	+2.8	41
1894-01-15	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 1-4	1837	1927	11.9%	11.1%	77.0%	-2.8	34
1894-01-18	Everton	W 3-2	1940	1984	65.9%	11.7%	22.5%	+2.0	36
1894-01-18	@ Nottingham Forest	L 2-3	1984	1940	22.5%	11.7%	65.9%	-2.0	36
1894-01-18	Aston Villa	L 2-5	1901	1985	61.5%	11.7%	26.8%	-11.4	21
1894-01-18	@ Preston North End	W 5-2	1985	1901	26.8%	11.7%	61.5%	+11.4	50
1894-01-20	West Brom	W 3-1	1865	1936	62.9%	11.7%	25.4%	+4.1	32
1894-01-20	@ Stoke City	L 1-3	1936	1865	25.4%	11.7%	62.9%	-4.1	37
1894-01-20	Derby County	L 2-4	1893	1885	70.7%	11.5%	17.8%	-9.5	41
1894-01-20	@ Wolverhampton	W 4-2	1885	1893	17.8%	11.5%	70.7%	+9.6	33
1894-01-20	Sheffield United	W 4-1	2002	1834	81.4%	10.5%	8.0%	+1.9	37
1894-01-20	@ Sunderland	L 1-4	1834	2002	8.0%	10.5%	81.4%	-1.9	34
1894-02-03	Nottingham Forest	W 6-1	1930	1942	68.9%	11.6%	19.5%	+7.2	44
1894-02-03	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 1-6	1942	1930	19.5%	11.6%	68.9%	-7.2	36
1894-02-03	Bolton Wanderers	W 2-1	1933	1876	74.7%	11.2%	14.1%	+1.4	41
1894-02-03	@ Burnley	L 1-2	1876	1933	14.1%	11.2%	74.7%	-1.4	26
1894-02-03	Preston North End	W 2-1	1780	1890	58.5%	11.8%	29.8%	+2.8	22
1894-02-03	@ Darwen	L 1-2	1890	1780	29.8%	11.8%	58.5%	-2.8	21
1894-02-03	Everton	W 3-1	1931	1982	65.2%	11.7%	23.2%	+3.8	40
1894-02-03	@ West Brom	L 1-3	1982	1931	23.2%	11.7%	65.2%	-3.8	36
1894-02-03	Newton Heath	W 5-1	1996	1821	81.8%	10.5%	7.7%	+2.4	53
1894-02-03	@ Aston Villa	L 1-5	1821	1996	7.7%	10.5%	81.8%	-2.4	13
1894-02-03	Wolverhampton	W 4-1	1895	1883	71.1%	11.5%	17.4%	+4.1	36
1894-02-03	@ Derby County	L 1-4	1883	1895	17.4%	11.5%	71.1%	-4.1	41
1894-02-03	Stoke City	D 3-3	1832	1869	66.6%	11.6%	21.8%	-0.6	35
1894-02-03	@ Sheffield United	D 3-3	1869	1832	21.8%	11.6%	66.6%	+0.6	33
1894-02-06	Burnley	D 0-0	1783	1934	53.1%	11.8%	35.1%	-0.4	23
1894-02-06	@ Darwen	D 0-0	1934	1783	35.1%	11.8%	53.1%	+0.4	42
1894-02-06	Preston North End	W 3-0	1856	1887	67.2%	11.6%	21.2%	+5.8	29
1894-02-06	@ The Wednesday	L 0-3	1887	1856	21.2%	11.6%	67.2%	-5.8	21
1894-02-06	Everton	W 1-0	2004	1978	72.3%	11.4%	16.3%	+1.7	40
1894-02-06	@ Sunderland	L 0-1	1978	2004	16.3%	11.4%	72.3%	-1.7	36
1894-03-03	Sunderland	L 2-4	1819	2006	48.2%	11.8%	40.0%	-6.6	13
1894-03-03	@ Newton Heath	W 4-2	2006	1819	40.0%	11.8%	48.2%	+6.6	43
1894-03-03	Burnley	W 1-0	1879	1934	64.6%	11.7%	23.7%	+2.4	44
1894-03-03	@ Wolverhampton	L 0-1	1934	1879	23.7%	11.7%	64.6%	-2.4	42
1894-03-03	Bolton Wanderers	L 2-3	1998	1875	79.1%	10.9%	10.1%	-6.5	53
1894-03-03	@ Aston Villa	W 3-2	1875	1998	10.1%	10.9%	79.1%	+6.5	29
1894-03-03	West Brom	W 3-1	1881	1935	64.8%	11.7%	23.6%	+3.9	24
1894-03-03	@ Preston North End	L 1-3	1935	1881	23.6%	11.7%	64.8%	-3.9	40
1894-03-03	Everton	W 3-1	1869	1976	58.7%	11.8%	29.5%	+4.8	36
1894-03-03	@ Stoke City	L 1-3	1976	1869	29.5%	11.8%	58.7%	-4.8	36
1894-03-03	Blackburn Rovers	W 3-2	1832	1937	59.0%	11.8%	29.3%	+2.6	38
1894-03-03	@ Sheffield United	L 2-3	1937	1832	29.3%	11.8%	59.0%	-2.6	44
1894-03-05	Nottingham Forest	W 1-0	1862	1935	62.7%	11.7%	25.5%	+2.6	32
1894-03-05	@ The Wednesday	L 0-1	1935	1862	25.5%	11.7%	62.7%	-2.5	36
1894-03-07	Sunderland	L 1-4	1899	2012	58.0%	11.8%	30.3%	-12.4	36
1894-03-07	@ Derby County	W 4-1	2012	1899	30.3%	11.8%	58.0%	+12.4	46
1894-03-10	Sheffield United	L 0-2	1812	1834	68.0%	11.6%	20.4%	-11.8	13
1894-03-10	@ Newton Heath	W 2-0	1834	1812	20.4%	11.6%	68.0%	+11.9	41
1894-03-10	Derby County	W 3-1	1932	1887	73.9%	11.3%	14.8%	+2.5	45
1894-03-10	@ Burnley	L 1-3	1887	1932	14.8%	11.3%	73.9%	-2.5	36
1894-03-10	Wolverhampton	W 3-1	1783	1881	59.7%	11.8%	28.5%	+4.6	26
1894-03-10	@ Darwen	L 1-3	1881	1783	28.5%	11.8%	59.7%	-4.6	44
1894-03-12	Blackburn Rovers	W 5-1	1800	1934	55.3%	11.8%	32.9%	+9.6	16
1894-03-12	@ Newton Heath	L 1-5	1934	1800	32.9%	11.8%	55.3%	-9.6	44
1894-03-15	Darwen	W 4-1	1932	1787	80.3%	10.7%	9.0%	+2.1	39
1894-03-15	@ Nottingham Forest	L 1-4	1787	1932	9.0%	10.7%	80.3%	-2.1	26
1894-03-17	Derby County	L 2-6	1810	1884	62.6%	11.7%	25.7%	-14.7	16
1894-03-17	@ Newton Heath	W 6-2	1884	1810	25.7%	11.7%	62.6%	+14.6	39
1894-03-17	Nottingham Forest	W 2-0	2025	1935	77.0%	11.1%	11.9%	+2.3	49
1894-03-17	@ Sunderland	L 0-2	1935	2025	11.9%	11.1%	77.0%	-2.3	39
1894-03-23	Nottingham Forest	D 1-1	1881	1932	65.1%	11.7%	23.2%	-1.0	30
1894-03-23	@ Bolton Wanderers	D 1-1	1932	1881	23.2%	11.7%	65.1%	+1.0	40
1894-03-23	Stoke City	W 6-2	1795	1874	62.0%	11.7%	26.2%	+6.6	19
1894-03-23	@ Newton Heath	L 2-6	1874	1795	26.2%	11.7%	62.0%	-6.6	36
1894-03-23	Derby County	L 0-2	1925	1899	72.3%	11.4%	16.3%	-12.6	44
1894-03-23	@ Blackburn Rovers	W 2-0	1899	1925	16.3%	11.4%	72.3%	+12.6	42
1894-03-23	The Wednesday	L 0-1	1934	1865	75.6%	11.2%	13.2%	-7.0	45
1894-03-23	@ Burnley	W 1-0	1865	1934	13.2%	11.2%	75.6%	+7.0	35
1894-03-24	Bolton Wanderers	D 2-2	1802	1880	62.1%	11.7%	26.2%	-0.6	20
1894-03-24	@ Newton Heath	D 2-2	1880	1802	26.2%	11.7%	62.1%	+0.6	31
1894-03-24	Blackburn Rovers	W 2-1	1992	1912	76.3%	11.1%	12.5%	+1.2	56
1894-03-24	@ Aston Villa	L 1-2	1912	1992	12.5%	11.1%	76.3%	-1.2	44
1894-03-24	Wolverhampton	W 3-0	1972	1877	77.3%	11.0%	11.6%	+3.3	39
1894-03-24	@ Everton	L 0-3	1877	1972	11.6%	11.0%	77.3%	-3.3	44
1894-03-24	Preston North End	W 4-2	1933	1885	74.1%	11.3%	14.6%	+2.2	43
1894-03-24	@ Nottingham Forest	L 2-4	1885	1933	14.6%	11.3%	74.1%	-2.2	24
1894-03-24	Sunderland	W 2-0	1867	2027	52.0%	11.8%	36.2%	+6.6	39
1894-03-24	@ Stoke City	L 0-2	2027	1867	36.2%	11.8%	52.0%	-6.6	49
1894-03-24	Derby County	L 0-1	1931	1911	71.8%	11.4%	16.8%	-6.6	40
1894-03-24	@ West Brom	W 1-0	1911	1931	16.8%	11.4%	71.8%	+6.6	45
1894-03-26	Newton Heath	W 4-0	1911	1801	78.2%	10.9%	10.8%	+4.0	47
1894-03-26	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 0-4	1801	1911	10.8%	10.9%	78.2%	-4.0	20
1894-03-26	Bolton Wanderers	W 3-2	1975	1881	77.3%	11.1%	11.7%	+1.1	42
1894-03-26	@ Everton	L 2-3	1881	1975	11.7%	11.1%	77.3%	-1.1	31
1894-03-26	Burnley	W 1-0	1846	1927	61.8%	11.7%	26.5%	+2.6	44
1894-03-26	@ Sheffield United	L 0-1	1927	1846	26.5%	11.7%	61.8%	-2.6	45
1894-03-26	Wolverhampton	D 1-1	1993	1874	78.8%	10.9%	10.3%	-1.6	57
1894-03-26	@ Aston Villa	D 1-1	1874	1993	10.3%	10.9%	78.8%	+1.6	45
1894-03-26	The Wednesday	W 1-0	1883	1872	71.0%	11.5%	17.5%	+1.8	27
1894-03-26	@ Preston North End	L 0-1	1872	1883	17.5%	11.5%	71.0%	-1.8	35
1894-03-26	Nottingham Forest	W 3-0	1925	1935	69.1%	11.5%	19.4%	+5.4	43
1894-03-26	@ West Brom	L 0-3	1935	1925	19.4%	11.5%	69.1%	-5.4	43
1894-03-27	Darwen	W 4-0	2020	1785	84.3%	10.0%	5.7%	+2.1	52
1894-03-27	@ Sunderland	L 0-4	1785	2020	5.7%	10.0%	84.3%	-2.1	26
1894-03-31	Newton Heath	W 3-1	1874	1797	76.1%	11.1%	12.7%	+2.1	42
1894-03-31	@ Stoke City	L 1-3	1797	1874	12.7%	11.1%	76.1%	-2.1	20
1894-03-31	Blackburn Rovers	W 5-2	1918	1915	70.4%	11.5%	18.1%	+3.7	48
1894-03-31	@ Derby County	L 2-5	1915	1918	18.1%	11.5%	70.4%	-3.7	47
1894-04-02	Burnley	D 3-3	1922	1925	69.8%	11.5%	18.7%	-0.7	49
1894-04-02	@ Derby County	D 3-3	1925	1922	18.7%	11.5%	69.8%	+0.7	46
1894-04-07	West Brom	L 0-3	1880	1930	65.2%	11.7%	23.2%	-16.5	31
1894-04-07	@ Bolton Wanderers	W 3-0	1930	1880	23.2%	11.7%	65.2%	+16.5	46
1894-04-07	Aston Villa	L 3-6	1926	1991	63.5%	11.7%	24.8%	-10.9	46
1894-04-07	@ Burnley	W 6-3	1991	1926	24.8%	11.7%	63.5%	+10.9	60
1894-04-07	Sunderland	L 0-3	1783	2022	40.8%	11.7%	47.5%	-10.7	26
1894-04-07	@ Darwen	W 3-0	2022	1783	47.5%	11.7%	40.8%	+10.7	55
1894-04-07	Stoke City	W 6-2	1976	1876	77.6%	11.0%	11.3%	+3.0	45
1894-04-07	@ Everton	L 2-6	1876	1976	11.3%	11.0%	77.6%	-3.0	42
1894-04-07	Newton Heath	W 2-0	1930	1795	79.7%	10.8%	9.5%	+1.8	46
1894-04-07	@ Nottingham Forest	L 0-2	1795	1930	9.5%	10.8%	79.7%	-1.8	20
1894-04-07	Sheffield United	W 3-0	1884	1849	73.1%	11.4%	15.6%	+4.4	30
1894-04-07	@ Preston North End	L 0-3	1849	1884	15.6%	11.4%	73.1%	-4.4	44
1894-04-14	Nottingham Forest	W 3-1	2002	1932	75.7%	11.2%	13.1%	+2.2	63
1894-04-14	@ Aston Villa	L 1-3	1932	2002	13.1%	11.2%	75.7%	-2.2	46
1894-04-14	Stoke City	W 5-0	1911	1873	73.3%	11.3%	15.4%	+7.0	50
1894-04-14	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 0-5	1873	1911	15.4%	11.3%	73.3%	-7.0	42
1894-04-14	Wolverhampton	W 4-2	1915	1875	73.4%	11.3%	15.3%	+2.3	49
1894-04-14	@ Burnley	L 2-4	1875	1915	15.3%	11.3%	73.4%	-2.3	45
1894-04-14	Derby County	L 2-3	1772	1921	53.4%	11.8%	34.8%	-4.4	26
1894-04-14	@ Darwen	W 3-2	1921	1772	34.8%	11.8%	53.4%	+4.4	52
1894-04-14	Preston North End	L 1-3	1793	1889	60.1%	11.8%	28.1%	-9.1	20
1894-04-14	@ Newton Heath	W 3-1	1889	1793	28.1%	11.8%	60.1%	+9.1	33
1894-04-16	Everton	L 0-1	1863	1979	57.7%	11.8%	30.6%	-5.3	31
1894-04-16	@ Bolton Wanderers	W 1-0	1979	1863	30.6%	11.8%	57.7%	+5.3	48
1894-04-23	Sunderland	W 2-0	1858	2033	49.9%	11.8%	38.4%	+7.0	34
1894-04-23	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 0-2	2033	1858	38.4%	11.8%	49.9%	-7.0	55

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1894-03-03	10.06%	Bolton Wanderers	1875	3	@ Aston Villa	1998	2
2	1893-09-02	12.48%	Sheffield United	1857	3	@ Everton	1938	2
3	1893-12-09	12.65%	Blackburn Rovers	1920	3	@ Sunderland	1998	2
4	1894-03-23	13.18%	The Wednesday	1865	1	@ Burnley	1934	0
5	1893-11-04	13.66%	Darwen	1806	1	@ Newton Heath	1868	0
6	1893-11-11	14.31%	Derby County	1887	2	@ Everton	1940	1
7	1893-12-02	14.95%	Nottingham Forest	1895	2	@ Preston North End	1939	0
8	1893-12-02	15.05%	Bolton Wanderers	1884	1	@ Blackburn Rovers	1927	0
9	1893-11-11	15.74%	Blackburn Rovers	1917	1	@ Preston North End	1950	0
10	1893-10-14	15.90%	Burnley	1918	2	@ Preston North End	1949	1
11	1893-12-16	16.20%	Wolverhampton	1896	3	@ Preston North End	1923	1
12	1894-03-23	16.30%	Derby County	1899	2	@ Blackburn Rovers	1925	0
13	1893-09-30	16.60%	Sheffield United	1862	4	@ Wolverhampton	1884	3
14	1894-03-24	16.76%	Derby County	1911	1	@ West Brom	1931	0
15	1893-12-27	16.85%	West Brom	1901	8	@ Wolverhampton	1920	0
16	1893-09-16	17.36%	West Brom	1891	3	@ Derby County	1904	2
17	1893-09-16	17.49%	Newton Heath	1870	1	@ The Wednesday	1881	0
18	1893-10-14	17.49%	Sheffield United	1878	1	@ Bolton Wanderers	1889	0
19	1893-11-13	17.72%	Sheffield United	1865	2	@ The Wednesday	1873	1
20	1894-01-20	17.79%	Derby County	1885	4	@ Wolverhampton	1893	2
21	1893-09-30	18.13%	West Brom	1905	3	@ Nottingham Forest	1909	2
22	1893-10-28	18.27%	Preston North End	1943	3	@ Everton	1945	2
23	1893-12-30	18.56%	Wolverhampton	1874	3	@ Stoke City	1873	0
24	1893-10-28	19.29%	West Brom	1893	2	@ Sheffield United	1883	0
25	1893-12-02	19.32%	Wolverhampton	1878	4	@ The Wednesday	1868	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1893-12-27	45.68	West Brom	8	1901	16.85%	@ Wolverhampton	0	1920	71.72%
2	1893-12-23	19.81	Nottingham Forest	4	1913	28.46%	@ Darwen	0	1815	59.79%
3	1893-12-30	17.71	Wolverhampton	3	1874	18.56%	@ Stoke City	0	1873	69.93%
4	1893-09-30	17.07	Preston North End	3	1935	20.99%	@ Bolton Wanderers	0	1906	67.41%
5	1894-04-07	16.51	West Brom	3	1930	23.16%	@ Bolton Wanderers	0	1880	65.18%
6	1893-12-02	16.16	Aston Villa	3	1958	24.53%	@ Derby County	0	1895	63.77%
7	1893-12-09	15.92	Everton	3	1946	25.47%	@ Sheffield United	0	1874	62.82%
8	1893-12-02	15.84	Everton	3	1935	25.77%	@ Newton Heath	0	1860	62.51%
9	1893-12-02	14.76	Wolverhampton	4	1878	19.32%	@ The Wednesday	1	1868	69.14%
10	1894-03-17	14.65	Derby County	6	1884	25.73%	@ Newton Heath	2	1810	62.56%
11	1893-12-02	12.86	Nottingham Forest	2	1895	14.95%	@ Preston North End	0	1939	73.73%
12	1894-03-23	12.61	Derby County	2	1899	16.30%	@ Blackburn Rovers	0	1925	72.30%
13	1894-03-07	12.41	Sunderland	4	2012	30.26%	@ Derby County	1	1899	57.97%
14	1893-10-28	12.07	West Brom	2	1893	19.29%	@ Sheffield United	0	1883	69.17%
15	1894-03-10	11.85	Sheffield United	2	1834	20.42%	@ Newton Heath	0	1812	67.99%
16	1893-10-21	11.63	Aston Villa	6	1928	20.54%	@ West Brom	3	1905	67.88%
17	1894-01-18	11.38	Aston Villa	5	1985	26.78%	@ Preston North End	2	1901	61.49%
18	1893-12-16	10.93	Wolverhampton	3	1896	16.20%	@ Preston North End	1	1923	72.40%
19	1894-04-07	10.88	Aston Villa	6	1991	24.81%	@ Burnley	3	1926	63.49%
20	1893-09-30	10.86	@ Everton	7	1932	63.14%	Sunderland	1	2001	25.16%
21	1894-04-07	10.66	Sunderland	3	2022	47.54%	@ Darwen	0	1783	40.80%
22	1894-01-01	10.60	Nottingham Forest	2	1935	27.53%	@ Sheffield United	0	1845	60.73%
23	1894-03-12	9.58	@ Newton Heath	5	1800	55.34%	Blackburn Rovers	1	1934	32.88%
24	1894-01-20	9.56	Derby County	4	1885	17.79%	@ Wolverhampton	2	1893	70.74%
25	1893-10-28	9.52	Bolton Wanderers	3	1886	25.30%	@ Darwen	1	1815	63.00%