1894-95 Football League First Division Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Sunderland

47 points · 3rd Title

Last Title: 1892-93

Relegated

Liverpool

via playoff

Biggest Overachiever

Sunderland

10.91 points above expected

47 points · 36.09 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

West Brom

5.95 points below expected

24 points · 29.95 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sunderland 30 21 5 4 47 80 37 +43 36.1 +10.91
2 Everton 30 18 6 6 42 82 50 +32 35.6 +6.42
3 Aston Villa 30 17 5 8 39 82 43 +39 34.2 +4.80
4 Preston North End 30 15 5 10 35 62 46 +16 30.9 +4.07
5 Blackburn Rovers 30 11 10 9 32 59 49 +10 30.5 +1.52
6 Sheffield United 30 14 4 12 32 57 55 +2 29.0 +3.00
7 Nottingham Forest 30 13 5 12 31 50 56 -6 30.6 +0.40
8 The Wednesday 30 12 4 14 28 50 55 -5 29.3 -1.27
9 Burnley 30 11 4 15 26 44 56 -12 31.3 -5.28
10 Bolton Wanderers 30 9 7 14 25 61 62 -1 27.7 -2.67
11 Wolverhampton 30 9 7 14 25 43 63 -20 26.6 -1.64
12 Small Heath Birmingham 30 9 7 14 25 50 74 -24 27.1 -2.08
13 West Brom 30 10 4 16 24 51 66 -15 29.9 -5.95
14 Stoke City 30 9 6 15 24 50 67 -17 26.3 -2.33
15 Derby County 30 7 9 14 23 45 68 -23 28.4 -5.39
16 Liverpool 30 7 8 15 22 51 70 -19 26.5 -4.51

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sunderland 2096 47 36.09 +10.91 100.0% 27 29 33 35 39 43 45
Aston Villa 2067 39 34.20 +4.80 89.0% 24 27 31 34 36 41 47
Everton 2050 42 35.58 +6.42 96.0% 23 28 33 36 39 42 45
Preston North End 1994 35 30.93 +4.07 85.0% 21 24 27 31 34 38 41
Blackburn Rovers 1963 32 30.48 +1.52 69.0% 19 23 27 31 33 37 44
Nottingham Forest 1942 31 30.60 +0.40 56.0% 19 22 28 31 33 36 44
Sheffield United 1936 32 29.00 +3.00 74.0% 18 21 25 29 33 37 38
Burnley 1922 26 31.28 -5.28 13.0% 22 24 29 31 34 37 40
The Wednesday 1920 28 29.27 -1.27 44.0% 18 22 27 29 32 37 40
West Brom 1918 24 29.95 -5.95 14.0% 17 23 27 30 33 38 40
Bolton Wanderers 1916 25 27.67 -2.67 33.0% 14 19 25 27 31 36 38
Derby County 1903 23 28.39 -5.39 12.0% 20 22 25 29 32 33 38
Stoke City 1897 24 26.33 -2.33 32.0% 18 19 23 26 29 34 37
Small Heath Birmingham 1892 25 27.08 -2.08 34.0% 17 19 24 27 30 34 37
Wolverhampton 1888 25 26.64 -1.64 42.0% 18 19 24 27 29 35 37
Liverpool 1878 22 26.51 -4.51 17.0% 16 19 24 26 29 32 39

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AV BR BW BUR DC EVE LIV NF PNE SU SHB SC SUN TW WB WOL
Aston Villa
2-0-0
3.14
1-0-1
3.70
1-1-0
3.37
2-0-0
3.30
0-1-1
2.93
2-0-0
3.34
1-0-1
3.15
2-0-0
3.19
1-0-1
3.16
1-1-0
3.29
1-0-1
3.58
0-1-1
2.76
1-0-1
3.28
1-0-1
3.04
1-1-0
3.70
Blackburn Rovers
0-0-2
2.52
2-0-0
3.06
1-0-1
2.81
0-2-0
3.25
1-0-1
2.43
0-2-0
3.11
1-1-0
2.78
0-2-0
2.78
1-0-1
2.98
1-1-0
3.19
1-0-1
3.23
0-1-1
2.39
1-0-1
2.92
1-0-1
3.01
1-1-0
3.31
Bolton Wanderers
1-0-1
1.97
0-0-2
2.59
0-1-1
2.57
1-1-0
2.67
0-0-2
2.20
2-0-0
2.94
1-1-0
2.52
0-1-1
2.58
1-0-1
2.77
0-0-2
2.82
0-1-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.15
0-1-1
2.64
1-1-0
2.68
1-0-1
2.87
Burnley
0-1-1
2.30
1-0-1
2.84
1-1-0
3.09
2-0-0
3.02
0-0-2
2.40
1-1-0
3.10
0-0-2
2.81
1-0-1
2.90
0-1-1
3.02
1-0-1
3.15
0-0-2
3.23
0-0-2
2.21
1-0-1
2.93
2-0-0
2.92
1-0-1
3.30
Derby County
0-0-2
2.37
0-2-0
2.41
0-1-1
2.98
0-0-2
2.63
1-1-0
2.04
0-0-2
2.97
1-0-1
2.69
1-0-1
2.56
2-0-0
2.71
2-0-0
2.84
0-1-1
3.04
0-0-2
2.36
0-1-1
2.83
0-2-0
2.59
0-1-1
3.00
Everton
1-1-0
2.72
1-0-1
3.23
2-0-0
3.47
2-0-0
3.26
0-1-1
3.63
1-1-0
3.73
2-0-0
3.14
2-0-0
3.29
0-1-1
3.54
1-1-0
3.39
2-0-0
3.43
0-1-1
2.72
1-0-1
3.35
2-0-0
3.15
1-0-1
3.81
Liverpool
0-0-2
2.32
0-2-0
2.54
0-0-2
2.72
0-1-1
2.55
2-0-0
2.69
0-1-1
1.94
1-0-1
2.35
0-1-1
2.34
0-2-0
2.52
1-0-1
2.57
1-0-1
2.81
0-0-2
1.85
1-0-1
2.47
1-0-1
2.48
0-1-1
2.75
Nottingham Forest
1-0-1
2.50
0-1-1
2.88
0-1-1
3.13
2-0-0
2.84
1-0-1
2.97
0-0-2
2.51
1-0-1
3.30
0-0-2
2.78
1-0-1
2.90
2-0-0
3.12
2-0-0
3.17
1-1-0
2.35
1-1-0
2.90
1-0-1
2.97
0-1-1
3.21
Preston North End
0-0-2
2.45
0-2-0
2.88
1-1-0
3.08
1-0-1
2.76
1-0-1
3.09
0-0-2
2.37
1-1-0
3.31
2-0-0
2.88
2-0-0
2.92
0-1-1
3.04
1-0-1
3.31
1-0-1
2.31
1-0-1
2.99
2-0-0
3.08
2-0-0
3.04
Sheffield United
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.68
1-0-1
2.88
1-1-0
2.64
0-0-2
2.94
1-1-0
2.12
0-2-0
3.14
1-0-1
2.75
0-0-2
2.73
0-0-2
3.02
2-0-0
3.03
1-0-1
1.99
2-0-0
2.72
1-0-1
2.61
2-0-0
2.94
Small Heath Birmingham
0-1-1
2.37
0-1-1
2.46
2-0-0
2.83
1-0-1
2.50
0-0-2
2.82
0-1-1
2.26
1-0-1
3.08
0-0-2
2.53
1-1-0
2.62
2-0-0
2.64
1-1-0
3.00
0-1-1
1.93
0-1-1
2.56
0-0-2
2.66
1-0-1
2.94
Stoke City
1-0-1
2.10
1-0-1
2.42
1-1-0
2.66
2-0-0
2.42
1-1-0
2.62
0-0-2
2.25
1-0-1
2.84
0-0-2
2.50
1-0-1
2.35
0-0-2
2.63
0-1-1
2.65
0-0-2
1.85
1-0-1
2.54
0-1-1
2.49
0-2-0
2.75
Sunderland
1-1-0
2.89
1-1-0
3.27
1-0-1
3.52
2-0-0
3.44
2-0-0
3.30
1-1-0
2.94
2-0-0
3.83
0-1-1
3.31
1-0-1
3.35
1-0-1
3.69
1-1-0
3.73
2-0-0
3.82
2-0-0
3.47
2-0-0
3.30
2-0-0
3.76
The Wednesday
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
2.73
1-1-0
3.01
1-0-1
2.72
1-1-0
2.83
1-0-1
2.31
1-0-1
3.19
0-1-1
2.75
1-0-1
2.67
0-0-2
2.92
1-1-0
3.09
1-0-1
3.12
0-0-2
2.19
1-0-1
2.98
1-0-1
3.05
West Brom
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.64
0-1-1
2.98
0-0-2
2.73
0-2-0
3.06
0-0-2
2.51
1-0-1
3.18
1-0-1
2.68
0-0-2
2.58
1-0-1
3.04
2-0-0
3.00
1-1-0
3.17
0-0-2
2.36
1-0-1
2.68
1-0-1
3.19
Wolverhampton
0-1-1
1.97
0-1-1
2.35
1-0-1
2.78
1-0-1
2.35
1-1-0
2.65
1-0-1
1.87
1-1-0
2.90
1-1-0
2.44
0-0-2
2.62
0-0-2
2.72
1-0-1
2.71
0-2-0
2.90
0-0-2
1.91
1-0-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.46

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.92%3.75%3.96%3.75%1.25%3.33%18.96%
13.75%5.83%6.88%5.00%2.92%1.88%26.25%
23.96%6.88%7.92%2.92%2.29%0.62%24.58%
33.75%5.00%2.92%2.08%0.83%0.42%15.00%
41.25%2.92%2.29%0.83%1.25%0.21%8.75%
5+3.33%1.88%0.62%0.42%0.21%6.46%
Total18.96%26.25%24.58%15.00%8.75%6.46%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.91
Mean allowed1.91
StdDev scored1.54
StdDev allowed1.54
Mean total goals/game3.82
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.154
Sample size (games)240
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%
13.33%10.00%3.33%16.67%
23.33%10.00%10.00%3.33%3.33%30.00%
33.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%20.00%
46.67%6.67%3.33%16.67%
5+13.33%13.33%
Total30.00%30.00%20.00%6.67%13.33%100%

Aston Villa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.73
Mean allowed1.43
StdDev scored1.46
StdDev allowed1.36
Mean total goals/game4.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.375
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%3.33%6.67%20.00%
13.33%16.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%36.67%
23.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%
33.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%20.00%
43.33%3.33%
5+3.33%6.67%10.00%
Total20.00%33.33%20.00%20.00%3.33%3.33%100%

Blackburn Rovers — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.97
Mean allowed1.63
StdDev scored2.03
StdDev allowed1.30
Mean total goals/game3.60
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.136
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%3.33%6.67%16.67%
13.33%6.67%16.67%10.00%36.67%
23.33%13.33%3.33%20.00%
33.33%3.33%
46.67%3.33%10.00%
5+6.67%3.33%3.33%13.33%
Total10.00%23.33%36.67%16.67%6.67%6.67%100%

Bolton Wanderers — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.03
Mean allowed2.07
StdDev scored1.87
StdDev allowed1.31
Mean total goals/game4.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.452
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%26.67%
16.67%3.33%6.67%3.33%20.00%
210.00%10.00%3.33%3.33%6.67%33.33%
36.67%3.33%6.67%3.33%20.00%
4
5+
Total23.33%30.00%10.00%16.67%13.33%6.67%100%

Burnley — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.47
Mean allowed1.87
StdDev scored1.11
StdDev allowed1.61
Mean total goals/game3.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.138
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%3.33%10.00%3.33%6.67%30.00%
110.00%10.00%3.33%3.33%3.33%30.00%
23.33%13.33%3.33%20.00%
33.33%3.33%
410.00%3.33%13.33%
5+3.33%3.33%
Total6.67%26.67%40.00%10.00%6.67%10.00%100%

Derby County — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.50
Mean allowed2.27
StdDev scored1.48
StdDev allowed1.72
Mean total goals/game3.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.217
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%6.67%
13.33%3.33%6.67%
210.00%13.33%3.33%3.33%30.00%
36.67%13.33%6.67%3.33%30.00%
46.67%10.00%3.33%20.00%
5+3.33%3.33%6.67%
Total10.00%40.00%33.33%6.67%10.00%100%

Everton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.73
Mean allowed1.67
StdDev scored1.34
StdDev allowed1.09
Mean total goals/game4.40
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.181
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%13.33%10.00%26.67%
13.33%3.33%6.67%6.67%20.00%
23.33%16.67%6.67%3.33%30.00%
33.33%6.67%10.00%
43.33%3.33%6.67%
5+3.33%3.33%6.67%
Total13.33%13.33%26.67%33.33%13.33%100%

Liverpool — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.70
Mean allowed2.33
StdDev scored1.49
StdDev allowed1.47
Mean total goals/game4.03
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.504
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%3.33%6.67%3.33%20.00%
13.33%3.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%20.00%
23.33%20.00%3.33%10.00%3.33%40.00%
310.00%3.33%3.33%16.67%
4
5+3.33%3.33%
Total23.33%30.00%10.00%20.00%10.00%6.67%100%

Nottingham Forest — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.67
Mean allowed1.87
StdDev scored1.18
StdDev allowed1.66
Mean total goals/game3.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.111
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%3.33%10.00%
16.67%6.67%13.33%3.33%3.33%33.33%
26.67%6.67%6.67%3.33%23.33%
33.33%10.00%3.33%16.67%
43.33%3.33%6.67%
5+3.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%
Total23.33%30.00%30.00%3.33%13.33%100%

Preston North End — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.07
Mean allowed1.53
StdDev scored1.46
StdDev allowed1.28
Mean total goals/game3.60
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.054
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%20.00%
16.67%3.33%3.33%6.67%20.00%
26.67%10.00%3.33%3.33%3.33%26.67%
310.00%3.33%6.67%20.00%
43.33%6.67%10.00%
5+3.33%3.33%
Total23.33%20.00%33.33%6.67%10.00%6.67%100%

Sheffield United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.90
Mean allowed1.83
StdDev scored1.40
StdDev allowed1.58
Mean total goals/game3.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.320
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%6.67%3.33%13.33%
16.67%6.67%13.33%6.67%6.67%6.67%46.67%
26.67%3.33%6.67%16.67%
33.33%3.33%6.67%
46.67%3.33%6.67%16.67%
5+
Total20.00%10.00%33.33%10.00%13.33%13.33%100%

Small Heath Birmingham — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.67
Mean allowed2.47
StdDev scored1.30
StdDev allowed2.13
Mean total goals/game4.13
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.021
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%13.33%6.67%33.33%
16.67%13.33%20.00%
26.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%23.33%
33.33%3.33%
46.67%3.33%10.00%
5+3.33%6.67%10.00%
Total10.00%30.00%16.67%30.00%3.33%10.00%100%

Stoke City — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.67
Mean allowed2.23
StdDev scored1.69
StdDev allowed1.59
Mean total goals/game3.90
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.419
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%6.67%
16.67%3.33%3.33%13.33%
213.33%13.33%6.67%33.33%
310.00%6.67%10.00%26.67%
43.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%
5+3.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%
Total30.00%36.67%23.33%10.00%100%

Sunderland — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.67
Mean allowed1.23
StdDev scored1.75
StdDev allowed1.19
Mean total goals/game3.90
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.226
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%20.00%
13.33%3.33%6.67%16.67%30.00%
26.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%6.67%26.67%
33.33%6.67%3.33%13.33%
43.33%3.33%6.67%
5+3.33%3.33%
Total23.33%23.33%16.67%26.67%6.67%3.33%100%

The Wednesday — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.67
Mean allowed1.83
StdDev scored1.32
StdDev allowed1.51
Mean total goals/game3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.236
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%6.67%26.67%
16.67%10.00%3.33%6.67%6.67%33.33%
23.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%13.33%
36.67%3.33%10.00%
43.33%3.33%6.67%
5+6.67%3.33%10.00%
Total16.67%23.33%20.00%16.67%10.00%13.33%100%

West Brom — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.70
Mean allowed2.20
StdDev scored1.70
StdDev allowed1.65
Mean total goals/game3.90
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.309
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%3.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%23.33%
16.67%3.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%10.00%36.67%
26.67%3.33%6.67%16.67%
310.00%6.67%3.33%20.00%
43.33%3.33%
5+
Total20.00%20.00%23.33%16.67%10.00%10.00%100%

Wolverhampton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.43
Mean allowed2.10
StdDev scored1.17
StdDev allowed1.67
Mean total goals/game3.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.041
Games played30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sunderland 47 36.1 +10.91
2 Everton 42 35.6 +6.42
3 Aston Villa 39 34.2 +4.80
4 Preston North End 35 30.9 +4.07
5 Sheffield United 32 29.0 +3.00

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 West Brom 24 29.9 -5.95
2 Derby County 23 28.4 -5.39
3 Burnley 26 31.3 -5.28
4 Liverpool 22 26.5 -4.51
5 Bolton Wanderers 25 27.7 -2.67

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Everton 8 Sep 1 – Oct 13 1 in 332
2 Stoke City 4 Mar 30 – Apr 20 1 in 179
3 Nottingham Forest 4 Oct 6 – Nov 3 1 in 70
4 Aston Villa 6 Nov 24 – Dec 26 1 in 47
5 The Wednesday 4 Sep 3 – Sep 22 1 in 23

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Burnley 7 Mar 16 – Apr 20 1 in 524
2 West Brom 6 Dec 22 – Jan 5 1 in 343
3 Derby County 4 Sep 15 – Oct 13 1 in 138
4 Nottingham Forest 5 Sep 8 – Oct 4 1 in 82
5 Wolverhampton 3 Sep 1 – Sep 8 1 in 42

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Preston North End 6 Sep 29 – Oct 27 1 in 76
2 Sunderland 10 Oct 6 – Dec 26 1 in 55
3 Aston Villa 9 Nov 24 – Jan 12 1 in 54
4 Stoke City 6 Mar 23 – Apr 20 1 in 34
5 Nottingham Forest 6 Oct 6 – Nov 17 1 in 33

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Derby County 9 Dec 26 – Mar 2 1 in 400
2 Burnley 9 Jan 26 – Apr 20 1 in 95
3 Bolton Wanderers 10 Oct 6 – Dec 8 1 in 88
4 Liverpool 9 Sep 1 – Oct 13 1 in 79
5 Wolverhampton 8 Nov 3 – Dec 22 1 in 71

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Sunderland32.00%19.00%10.00%12.00%9.00%7.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%
Everton24.00%21.00%15.00%13.00%6.00%6.00%6.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%
Aston Villa19.00%13.00%17.00%10.00%10.00%9.00%5.00%1.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%4.00%
Preston North End9.00%6.00%5.00%5.00%12.00%6.00%7.00%8.00%11.00%7.00%9.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%3.00%4.00%
Blackburn Rovers2.00%7.00%7.00%10.00%5.00%8.00%9.00%9.00%5.00%9.00%6.00%10.00%3.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%
Sheffield United1.00%2.00%11.00%6.00%6.00%6.00%8.00%4.00%6.00%8.00%7.00%5.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%6.00%
Nottingham Forest2.00%6.00%6.00%14.00%8.00%9.00%6.00%10.00%7.00%5.00%9.00%2.00%7.00%4.00%1.00%4.00%
The Wednesday2.00%3.00%6.00%5.00%5.00%4.00%7.00%10.00%12.00%3.00%12.00%9.00%6.00%6.00%6.00%4.00%
Burnley4.00%4.00%6.00%7.00%9.00%15.00%12.00%9.00%9.00%7.00%2.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%
Bolton Wanderers1.00%2.00%5.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%6.00%7.00%5.00%8.00%6.00%7.00%14.00%12.00%4.00%10.00%
Wolverhampton2.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%3.00%2.00%4.00%6.00%12.00%8.00%7.00%9.00%14.00%17.00%10.00%
Small Heath Birmingham1.00%2.00%2.00%4.00%6.00%3.00%4.00%9.00%9.00%6.00%12.00%10.00%9.00%8.00%15.00%
West Brom3.00%9.00%2.00%3.00%8.00%6.00%10.00%10.00%4.00%9.00%5.00%9.00%7.00%4.00%7.00%4.00%
Stoke City2.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%3.00%6.00%7.00%3.00%11.00%6.00%8.00%16.00%17.00%12.00%
Derby County2.00%2.00%5.00%8.00%3.00%8.00%6.00%8.00%7.00%10.00%8.00%9.00%8.00%6.00%10.00%
Liverpool1.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%4.00%4.00%7.00%4.00%7.00%5.00%11.00%10.00%10.00%15.00%17.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Won relegation playoff Lost relegation playoff
Blackburn Rovers 88.0% 8.0% 4.0%
Nottingham Forest 89.0% 6.0% 5.0%
West Brom 82.0% 12.0% 6.0%
Small Heath Birmingham 68.0% 25.0% 7.0%
The Wednesday 82.0% 11.0% 7.0%
Sheffield United 77.0% 14.0% 9.0%
Burnley 88.0% 2.0% 10.0%
Preston North End 83.0% 7.0% 10.0%
Derby County 76.0% 13.0% 11.0%
Bolton Wanderers 73.0% 15.0% 12.0%
Aston Villa 81.0% 19.0%
Stoke City 55.0% 26.0% 19.0%
Wolverhampton 59.0% 21.0% 20.0%
Everton 74.0% 1.0% 25.0%
Liverpool 57.0% 18.0% 25.0%
Sunderland 68.0% 32.0%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1894-09-01 Small Heath Birmingham W 2-1 2000 1917 71.9% 16.2% 11.9% +1.4 3
1894-09-01 @ Aston Villa L 1-2 1917 2000 11.9% 16.2% 71.9% -1.4 0
1894-09-01 Liverpool D 1-1 1954 1911 68.7% 16.8% 14.4% -1.4 1
1894-09-01 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1911 1954 14.4% 16.8% 68.7% +1.4 1
1894-09-01 Stoke City D 2-2 1925 1924 65.1% 17.4% 17.5% -0.9 1
1894-09-01 @ Bolton Wanderers D 2-2 1924 1925 17.5% 17.4% 65.1% +0.9 1
1894-09-01 The Wednesday W 3-1 1991 1928 70.4% 16.5% 13.1% +2.7 3
1894-09-01 @ Everton L 1-3 1928 1991 13.1% 16.5% 70.4% -2.7 0
1894-09-01 Burnley W 2-1 1960 1953 65.6% 17.3% 17.1% +2.0 3
1894-09-01 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-2 1953 1960 17.1% 17.3% 65.6% -2.0 0
1894-09-01 West Brom W 2-1 1909 1969 58.8% 17.9% 23.2% +2.7 3
1894-09-01 @ Sheffield United L 1-2 1969 1909 23.2% 17.9% 58.8% -2.7 0
1894-09-01 Derby County W 8-0 2013 1957 69.8% 16.6% 13.6% +11.8 3
1894-09-01 @ Sunderland L 0-8 1957 2013 13.6% 16.6% 69.8% -11.8 0
1894-09-01 Preston North End L 1-3 1926 1944 63.3% 17.6% 19.1% -11.1 0
1894-09-01 @ Wolverhampton W 3-1 1944 1926 19.1% 17.6% 63.3% +11.1 3
1894-09-03 Liverpool D 3-3 1951 1913 68.4% 16.9% 14.8% -0.9 1
1894-09-03 @ Burnley D 3-3 1913 1951 14.8% 16.9% 68.4% +0.9 2
1894-09-03 Small Heath Birmingham W 5-0 1994 1915 71.6% 16.2% 12.2% +6.8 6
1894-09-03 @ Everton L 0-5 1915 1994 12.2% 16.2% 71.6% -6.8 0
1894-09-03 Preston North End W 3-1 1926 1955 62.1% 17.7% 20.2% +4.1 3
1894-09-03 @ The Wednesday L 1-3 1955 1926 20.2% 17.7% 62.1% -4.1 3
1894-09-03 Sheffield United L 0-3 1915 1912 65.3% 17.3% 17.3% -19.2 0
1894-09-03 @ Wolverhampton W 3-0 1912 1915 17.3% 17.3% 65.3% +19.2 6
1894-09-08 Bolton Wanderers W 2-0 1908 1924 63.4% 17.6% 19.0% +4.4 3
1894-09-08 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 0-2 1924 1908 19.0% 17.6% 63.4% -4.4 1
1894-09-08 Nottingham Forest W 4-2 1945 1962 63.4% 17.6% 19.1% +3.5 3
1894-09-08 @ Derby County L 2-4 1962 1945 19.1% 17.6% 63.4% -3.4 3
1894-09-08 Aston Villa L 1-2 1914 2001 55.8% 18.1% 26.2% -5.7 2
1894-09-08 @ Liverpool W 2-1 2001 1914 26.2% 18.1% 55.8% +5.7 6
1894-09-08 Blackburn Rovers W 4-1 1930 1953 62.8% 17.6% 19.6% +5.6 6
1894-09-08 @ The Wednesday L 1-4 1953 1930 19.6% 17.6% 62.8% -5.6 1
1894-09-08 Burnley W 3-0 2025 1950 71.3% 16.3% 12.4% +4.3 6
1894-09-08 @ Sunderland L 0-3 1950 2025 12.4% 16.3% 71.3% -4.3 1
1894-09-08 Sheffield United W 2-1 1951 1931 66.8% 17.1% 16.1% +1.9 6
1894-09-08 @ Preston North End L 1-2 1931 1951 16.1% 17.1% 66.8% -1.9 6
1894-09-08 Everton L 1-3 1925 2001 57.1% 18.0% 24.9% -10.1 1
1894-09-08 @ Stoke City W 3-1 2001 1925 24.9% 18.0% 57.1% +10.1 9
1894-09-08 Wolverhampton W 5-1 1967 1896 71.0% 16.4% 12.7% +4.7 3
1894-09-08 @ West Brom L 1-5 1896 1967 12.7% 16.4% 71.0% -4.8 0
1894-09-13 Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1908 1920 63.8% 17.5% 18.6% -6.5 2
1894-09-13 @ Liverpool W 2-1 1920 1908 18.6% 17.5% 63.8% +6.5 4
1894-09-15 Sunderland L 1-2 2007 2029 62.8% 17.6% 19.5% -6.4 6
1894-09-15 @ Aston Villa W 2-1 2029 2007 19.5% 17.6% 62.8% +6.4 9
1894-09-15 Stoke City W 6-0 1947 1915 67.8% 17.0% 15.2% +10.0 4
1894-09-15 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-6 1915 1947 15.2% 17.0% 67.8% -10.0 1
1894-09-15 Preston North End L 1-2 1926 1953 62.4% 17.7% 19.9% -6.3 4
1894-09-15 @ Bolton Wanderers W 2-1 1953 1926 19.9% 17.7% 62.4% +6.3 9
1894-09-15 The Wednesday L 1-2 1949 1935 66.2% 17.2% 16.6% -6.7 3
1894-09-15 @ Derby County W 2-1 1935 1949 16.6% 17.2% 66.2% +6.7 9
1894-09-15 Nottingham Forest W 6-1 2011 1959 69.5% 16.7% 13.8% +6.3 12
1894-09-15 @ Everton L 1-6 1959 2011 13.8% 16.7% 69.5% -6.4 3
1894-09-15 Burnley D 2-2 1929 1946 63.3% 17.6% 19.1% -0.9 7
1894-09-15 @ Sheffield United D 2-2 1946 1929 19.1% 17.6% 63.3% +0.9 2
1894-09-15 Small Heath Birmingham W 2-1 1891 1913 62.9% 17.6% 19.5% +2.3 3
1894-09-15 @ Wolverhampton L 1-2 1913 1891 19.5% 17.6% 62.9% -2.3 3
1894-09-15 Liverpool W 5-0 1972 1901 70.9% 16.4% 12.7% +7.0 6
1894-09-15 @ West Brom L 0-5 1901 1972 12.7% 16.4% 70.9% -7.0 2
1894-09-22 Aston Villa L 0-2 1942 2001 59.1% 17.9% 23.0% -12.0 3
1894-09-22 @ Derby County W 2-0 2001 1942 23.0% 17.9% 59.1% +12.0 9
1894-09-22 Blackburn Rovers D 2-2 1894 1957 58.6% 17.9% 23.4% -0.7 3
1894-09-22 @ Liverpool D 2-2 1957 1894 23.4% 17.9% 58.6% +0.7 5
1894-09-22 West Brom W 3-0 2035 1979 69.9% 16.6% 13.5% +4.6 12
1894-09-22 @ Sunderland L 0-3 1979 2035 13.5% 16.6% 69.9% -4.6 6
1894-09-22 Wolverhampton W 2-1 1947 1894 69.6% 16.7% 13.8% +1.6 5
1894-09-22 @ Burnley L 1-2 1894 1947 13.8% 16.7% 69.6% -1.6 3
1894-09-22 Everton L 2-3 1953 2017 58.4% 18.0% 23.7% -5.6 3
1894-09-22 @ Nottingham Forest W 3-2 2017 1953 23.7% 18.0% 58.4% +5.6 15
1894-09-22 Small Heath Birmingham L 0-1 1959 1911 69.2% 16.7% 14.0% -7.4 9
1894-09-22 @ Preston North End W 1-0 1911 1959 14.0% 16.7% 69.2% +7.4 6
1894-09-22 Bolton Wanderers W 2-1 1942 1920 67.0% 17.1% 15.9% +1.9 12
1894-09-22 @ The Wednesday L 1-2 1920 1942 15.9% 17.1% 67.0% -1.9 4
1894-09-22 Sheffield United L 1-3 1905 1928 62.7% 17.6% 19.6% -11.0 1
1894-09-22 @ Stoke City W 3-1 1928 1905 19.6% 17.6% 62.7% +11.0 10
1894-09-29 The Wednesday W 3-1 1958 1944 66.2% 17.2% 16.6% +3.4 8
1894-09-29 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-3 1944 1958 16.6% 17.2% 66.2% -3.4 12
1894-09-29 Nottingham Forest W 3-2 1939 1947 64.2% 17.5% 18.3% +2.0 13
1894-09-29 @ Sheffield United L 2-3 1947 1939 18.3% 17.5% 64.2% -2.0 3
1894-09-29 Aston Villa W 4-1 1894 2013 52.0% 18.2% 29.9% +8.2 4
1894-09-29 @ Stoke City L 1-4 2013 1894 29.9% 18.2% 52.0% -8.2 9
1894-09-29 Preston North End D 4-4 1918 1952 61.7% 17.7% 20.6% -0.6 7
1894-09-29 @ Small Heath Birmingham D 4-4 1952 1918 20.6% 17.7% 61.7% +0.6 10
1894-09-29 Sunderland W 4-1 1918 2040 51.6% 18.2% 30.3% +8.2 7
1894-09-29 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-4 2040 1918 30.3% 18.2% 51.6% -8.2 12
1894-09-29 Derby County W 2-0 1948 1930 66.6% 17.2% 16.2% +3.8 8
1894-09-29 @ Burnley L 0-2 1930 1948 16.2% 17.2% 66.6% -3.8 3
1894-09-29 West Brom W 4-1 2023 1974 69.2% 16.7% 14.0% +4.1 18
1894-09-29 @ Everton L 1-4 1974 2023 14.0% 16.7% 69.2% -4.1 6
1894-09-29 Liverpool W 3-1 1892 1894 64.8% 17.4% 17.8% +3.6 6
1894-09-29 @ Wolverhampton L 1-3 1894 1892 17.8% 17.4% 64.8% -3.6 3
1894-10-04 Preston North End L 0-2 1945 1952 64.3% 17.5% 18.3% -13.0 3
1894-10-04 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-0 1952 1945 18.3% 17.5% 64.3% +13.0 13
1894-10-06 Aston Villa W 2-1 1932 2004 57.5% 18.0% 24.5% +2.8 6
1894-10-06 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-2 2004 1932 24.5% 18.0% 57.5% -2.8 9
1894-10-06 Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1965 1961 65.4% 17.3% 17.3% -1.2 14
1894-10-06 @ Preston North End D 1-1 1961 1965 17.3% 17.3% 65.4% +1.3 9
1894-10-06 Stoke City W 3-1 2032 1902 75.2% 15.3% 9.5% +1.9 15
1894-10-06 @ Sunderland L 1-3 1902 2032 9.5% 15.3% 75.2% -1.9 4
1894-10-06 Wolverhampton W 4-3 1917 1896 66.9% 17.1% 15.9% +1.7 10
1894-10-06 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 3-4 1896 1917 15.9% 17.1% 66.9% -1.8 6
1894-10-06 Everton L 1-3 1926 2027 54.2% 18.1% 27.7% -9.6 7
1894-10-06 @ Bolton Wanderers W 3-1 2027 1926 27.7% 18.1% 54.2% +9.6 21
1894-10-06 Sheffield United D 2-2 1890 1941 59.9% 17.9% 22.3% -0.7 4
1894-10-06 @ Liverpool D 2-2 1941 1890 22.3% 17.9% 59.9% +0.7 14
1894-10-06 Burnley W 4-3 1941 1952 63.9% 17.5% 18.6% +2.0 15
1894-10-06 @ The Wednesday L 3-4 1952 1941 18.6% 17.5% 63.9% -2.0 8
1894-10-08 Blackburn Rovers W 3-0 1942 1962 63.0% 17.6% 19.4% +6.6 17
1894-10-08 @ Sheffield United L 0-3 1962 1942 19.4% 17.6% 63.0% -6.6 9
1894-10-13 West Brom W 3-1 2002 1970 67.8% 17.0% 15.2% +3.1 12
1894-10-13 @ Aston Villa L 1-3 1970 2002 15.2% 17.0% 67.8% -3.1 6
1894-10-13 Sunderland L 1-2 1926 2034 53.4% 18.1% 28.5% -5.5 3
1894-10-13 @ Derby County W 2-1 2034 1926 28.5% 18.1% 53.4% +5.5 18
1894-10-13 Bolton Wanderers W 2-1 1956 1917 68.4% 16.9% 14.7% +1.7 12
1894-10-13 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-2 1917 1956 14.7% 16.9% 68.4% -1.7 7
1894-10-13 Small Heath Birmingham W 3-1 1950 1919 67.7% 17.0% 15.3% +3.1 11
1894-10-13 @ Burnley L 1-3 1919 1950 15.3% 17.0% 67.7% -3.1 10
1894-10-13 Liverpool W 3-0 2037 1889 76.3% 15.0% 8.8% +3.0 24
1894-10-13 @ Everton L 0-3 1889 2037 8.8% 15.0% 76.3% -3.0 4
1894-10-13 Nottingham Forest L 0-3 1900 1935 61.6% 17.7% 20.7% -18.1 4
1894-10-13 @ Stoke City W 3-0 1935 1900 20.7% 17.7% 61.6% +18.1 9
1894-10-13 The Wednesday W 2-0 1894 1943 60.1% 17.8% 22.0% +5.1 9
1894-10-13 @ Wolverhampton L 0-2 1943 1894 22.0% 17.8% 60.1% -5.1 15
1894-10-13 Preston North End L 0-1 1948 1964 63.5% 17.6% 19.0% -6.8 17
1894-10-13 @ Sheffield United W 1-0 1964 1948 19.0% 17.6% 63.5% +6.8 17
1894-10-20 Derby County D 2-2 1967 1921 69.0% 16.8% 14.2% -1.1 7
1894-10-20 @ West Brom D 2-2 1921 1967 14.2% 16.8% 69.0% +1.1 4
1894-10-20 Aston Villa D 2-2 1916 2005 55.6% 18.1% 26.3% -0.5 11
1894-10-20 @ Small Heath Birmingham D 2-2 2005 1916 26.3% 18.1% 55.6% +0.5 13
1894-10-20 Everton W 4-3 1957 2040 56.4% 18.1% 25.6% +2.7 15
1894-10-20 @ Blackburn Rovers L 3-4 2040 1957 25.6% 18.1% 56.4% -2.7 24
1894-10-20 Burnley D 1-1 1915 1953 61.2% 17.8% 21.0% -1.0 8
1894-10-20 @ Bolton Wanderers D 1-1 1953 1915 21.0% 17.8% 61.2% +1.0 12
1894-10-20 Wolverhampton W 2-0 1971 1899 71.0% 16.4% 12.6% +3.0 20
1894-10-20 @ Preston North End L 0-2 1899 1971 12.6% 16.4% 71.0% -3.0 9
1894-10-20 Stoke City W 2-0 1886 1882 65.4% 17.3% 17.3% +4.1 7
1894-10-20 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1882 1886 17.3% 17.3% 65.4% -4.1 4
1894-10-22 Aston Villa W 2-1 1942 2005 58.5% 17.9% 23.6% +2.7 20
1894-10-22 @ Sheffield United L 1-2 2005 1942 23.6% 17.9% 58.5% -2.7 13
1894-10-27 West Brom D 1-1 1922 1966 60.7% 17.8% 21.5% -1.0 5
1894-10-27 @ Derby County D 1-1 1966 1922 21.5% 17.8% 60.7% +1.0 8
1894-10-27 Nottingham Forest L 0-1 1954 1953 65.1% 17.4% 17.5% -7.0 12
1894-10-27 @ Burnley W 1-0 1953 1954 17.5% 17.4% 65.1% +7.0 12
1894-10-27 Liverpool W 5-0 2003 1890 74.0% 15.7% 10.4% +5.7 16
1894-10-27 @ Aston Villa L 0-5 1890 2003 10.4% 15.7% 74.0% -5.8 7
1894-10-27 Preston North End D 1-1 1960 1974 63.6% 17.5% 18.8% -1.2 16
1894-10-27 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1974 1960 18.8% 17.5% 63.6% +1.2 21
1894-10-27 Sunderland D 2-2 2037 2039 64.8% 17.4% 17.8% -0.9 25
1894-10-27 @ Everton D 2-2 2039 2037 17.8% 17.4% 64.8% +0.9 19
1894-10-27 Small Heath Birmingham D 2-2 1878 1915 61.3% 17.8% 21.0% -0.8 5
1894-10-27 @ Stoke City D 2-2 1915 1878 21.0% 17.8% 61.3% +0.8 12
1894-10-27 Bolton Wanderers W 4-2 1896 1914 63.2% 17.6% 19.2% +3.5 12
1894-10-27 @ Wolverhampton L 2-4 1914 1896 19.2% 17.6% 63.2% -3.5 8
1894-10-27 Sheffield United L 2-3 1937 1944 64.3% 17.5% 18.2% -6.2 15
1894-10-27 @ The Wednesday W 3-2 1944 1937 18.2% 17.5% 64.3% +6.2 23
1894-11-03 Wolverhampton W 2-0 2040 1900 75.8% 15.1% 9.0% +2.1 22
1894-11-03 @ Sunderland L 0-2 1900 2040 9.0% 15.1% 75.8% -2.1 12
1894-11-03 Derby County W 2-1 1960 1921 68.4% 16.9% 14.7% +1.7 15
1894-11-03 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-2 1921 1960 14.7% 16.9% 68.4% -1.7 5
1894-11-03 Everton D 4-4 1916 2036 51.9% 18.2% 30.0% -0.3 13
1894-11-03 @ Small Heath Birmingham D 4-4 2036 1916 30.0% 18.2% 51.9% +0.3 26
1894-11-03 Blackburn Rovers L 1-3 1911 1959 60.2% 17.8% 22.0% -10.6 8
1894-11-03 @ Bolton Wanderers W 3-1 1959 1911 22.0% 17.8% 60.2% +10.6 19
1894-11-03 Burnley L 0-3 1885 1947 58.6% 17.9% 23.4% -17.3 7
1894-11-03 @ Liverpool W 3-0 1947 1885 23.4% 17.9% 58.6% +17.3 15
1894-11-03 Aston Villa W 1-0 1931 2008 57.0% 18.0% 25.0% +3.0 18
1894-11-03 @ The Wednesday L 0-1 2008 1931 25.0% 18.0% 57.0% -3.0 16
1894-11-03 Sheffield United W 1-0 1967 1950 66.5% 17.2% 16.4% +2.0 11
1894-11-03 @ West Brom L 0-1 1950 1967 16.4% 17.2% 66.5% -2.0 23
1894-11-05 Bolton Wanderers D 1-1 1969 1900 70.8% 16.4% 12.8% -1.5 12
1894-11-05 @ West Brom D 1-1 1900 1969 12.8% 16.4% 70.8% +1.5 9
1894-11-10 Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1897 1962 58.4% 17.9% 23.6% -0.9 13
1894-11-10 @ Wolverhampton D 1-1 1962 1897 23.6% 17.9% 58.4% +0.9 16
1894-11-10 Preston North End W 4-1 2005 1975 67.7% 17.0% 15.3% +4.4 19
1894-11-10 @ Aston Villa L 1-4 1975 2005 15.3% 17.0% 67.7% -4.4 21
1894-11-10 Sunderland D 1-1 1969 2042 57.5% 18.0% 24.5% -0.8 20
1894-11-10 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 2042 1969 24.5% 18.0% 57.5% +0.8 23
1894-11-10 The Wednesday W 3-0 1965 1934 67.7% 17.0% 15.3% +5.3 18
1894-11-10 @ Burnley L 0-3 1934 1965 15.3% 17.0% 67.7% -5.3 18
1894-11-10 Small Heath Birmingham W 4-1 1967 1916 69.4% 16.7% 13.9% +4.0 15
1894-11-10 @ West Brom L 1-4 1916 1967 13.9% 16.7% 69.4% -4.0 13
1894-11-10 Liverpool W 3-1 1877 1867 65.8% 17.3% 16.9% +3.5 8
1894-11-10 @ Stoke City L 1-3 1867 1877 16.9% 17.3% 65.8% -3.5 7
1894-11-12 Sheffield United W 5-0 2010 1948 70.2% 16.5% 13.2% +7.3 22
1894-11-12 @ Aston Villa L 0-5 1948 2010 13.2% 16.5% 70.2% -7.3 23
1894-11-12 Preston North End W 2-1 1880 1971 55.5% 18.1% 26.5% +3.0 11
1894-11-12 @ Stoke City L 1-2 1971 1880 26.5% 18.1% 55.5% -3.0 21
1894-11-17 Derby County W 3-2 1968 1919 69.2% 16.7% 14.1% +1.6 24
1894-11-17 @ Preston North End L 2-3 1919 1968 14.1% 16.7% 69.2% -1.6 5
1894-11-17 Everton D 2-2 1864 2036 44.9% 18.1% 37.0% -0.1 8
1894-11-17 @ Liverpool D 2-2 2036 1864 37.0% 18.1% 44.9% +0.1 27
1894-11-17 Sheffield United W 3-0 1962 1941 66.9% 17.1% 16.0% +5.5 19
1894-11-17 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-3 1941 1962 16.0% 17.1% 66.9% -5.5 23
1894-11-17 Stoke City W 4-2 1912 1883 67.5% 17.0% 15.4% +2.8 16
1894-11-17 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 2-4 1883 1912 15.4% 17.0% 67.5% -2.8 11
1894-11-17 Burnley W 1-0 1969 1970 64.8% 17.4% 17.7% +2.2 23
1894-11-17 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1970 1969 17.7% 17.4% 64.8% -2.2 18
1894-11-17 Wolverhampton W 3-1 1929 1896 67.9% 17.0% 15.2% +3.1 21
1894-11-17 @ The Wednesday L 1-3 1896 1929 15.2% 17.0% 67.9% -3.1 13
1894-11-17 Bolton Wanderers W 4-0 2043 1902 75.9% 15.1% 9.0% +4.0 26
1894-11-17 @ Sunderland L 0-4 1902 2043 9.0% 15.1% 75.9% -4.0 9
1894-11-17 Aston Villa W 3-2 1971 2017 60.4% 17.8% 21.8% +2.4 18
1894-11-17 @ West Brom L 2-3 2017 1971 21.8% 17.8% 60.4% -2.4 22
1894-11-24 Preston North End W 2-1 1918 1969 59.8% 17.9% 22.3% +2.6 8
1894-11-24 @ Derby County L 1-2 1969 1918 22.3% 17.9% 59.8% -2.6 24
1894-11-24 Liverpool W 3-2 2047 1864 78.5% 14.2% 7.4% +0.8 29
1894-11-24 @ Sunderland L 2-3 1864 2047 7.4% 14.2% 78.5% -0.8 8
1894-11-24 Small Heath Birmingham L 1-2 1898 1915 63.3% 17.6% 19.1% -6.4 9
1894-11-24 @ Bolton Wanderers W 2-1 1915 1898 19.1% 17.6% 63.3% +6.4 19
1894-11-24 West Brom W 2-0 1968 1974 64.4% 17.4% 18.1% +4.2 21
1894-11-24 @ Burnley L 0-2 1974 1968 18.1% 17.4% 64.4% -4.3 18
1894-11-24 Blackburn Rovers W 2-1 2036 1971 70.6% 16.5% 13.0% +1.5 30
1894-11-24 @ Everton L 1-2 1971 2036 13.0% 16.5% 70.6% -1.5 23
1894-11-24 Stoke City D 0-0 1893 1881 66.1% 17.2% 16.6% -1.5 14
1894-11-24 @ Wolverhampton D 0-0 1881 1893 16.6% 17.2% 66.1% +1.4 12
1894-11-24 Nottingham Forest W 4-1 2015 1968 69.1% 16.8% 14.2% +4.1 25
1894-11-24 @ Aston Villa L 1-4 1968 2015 14.2% 16.8% 69.1% -4.1 19
1894-12-01 Everton L 1-4 1969 2038 57.9% 18.0% 24.1% -14.4 18
1894-12-01 @ West Brom W 4-1 2038 1969 24.1% 18.0% 57.9% +14.4 33
1894-12-01 Sheffield United W 4-2 1921 1936 63.6% 17.5% 18.9% +3.4 22
1894-12-01 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 2-4 1936 1921 18.9% 17.5% 63.6% -3.4 23
1894-12-01 Wolverhampton D 3-3 1863 1892 62.2% 17.7% 20.2% -0.7 9
1894-12-01 @ Liverpool D 3-3 1892 1863 20.2% 17.7% 62.2% +0.7 15
1894-12-01 Bolton Wanderers D 2-2 1967 1891 71.3% 16.3% 12.4% -1.2 25
1894-12-01 @ Preston North End D 2-2 1891 1967 12.4% 16.3% 71.3% +1.2 10
1894-12-01 Aston Villa L 1-3 1969 2019 60.0% 17.8% 22.1% -10.5 23
1894-12-01 @ Blackburn Rovers W 3-1 2019 1969 22.1% 17.8% 60.0% +10.6 28
1894-12-03 The Wednesday W 3-1 2029 1932 72.9% 15.9% 11.2% +2.3 31
1894-12-03 @ Aston Villa L 1-3 1932 2029 11.2% 15.9% 72.9% -2.3 21
1894-12-08 Small Heath Birmingham W 7-1 2048 1925 74.7% 15.4% 9.8% +5.3 32
1894-12-08 @ Sunderland L 1-7 1925 2048 9.8% 15.4% 74.7% -5.3 22
1894-12-08 West Brom W 5-3 1964 1955 65.8% 17.3% 16.9% +2.9 22
1894-12-08 @ Nottingham Forest L 3-5 1955 1964 16.9% 17.3% 65.8% -2.9 18
1894-12-08 The Wednesday L 0-2 1882 1930 60.2% 17.8% 21.9% -12.2 12
1894-12-08 @ Stoke City W 2-0 1930 1882 21.9% 17.8% 60.2% +12.2 24
1894-12-08 Preston North End W 2-1 1972 1966 65.6% 17.3% 17.1% +2.0 24
1894-12-08 @ Burnley L 1-2 1966 1972 17.1% 17.3% 65.6% -2.0 25
1894-12-08 Bolton Wanderers W 3-1 2052 1892 77.1% 14.7% 8.2% +1.7 36
1894-12-08 @ Everton L 1-3 1892 2052 8.2% 14.7% 77.1% -1.7 10
1894-12-08 Liverpool D 2-2 1932 1862 70.9% 16.4% 12.7% -1.2 24
1894-12-08 @ Sheffield United D 2-2 1862 1932 12.7% 16.4% 70.9% +1.1 10
1894-12-08 Derby County D 2-2 1893 1920 62.3% 17.7% 20.0% -0.8 16
1894-12-08 @ Wolverhampton D 2-2 1920 1893 20.0% 17.7% 62.3% +0.8 9
1894-12-08 Blackburn Rovers W 3-0 2032 1959 71.1% 16.4% 12.5% +4.3 34
1894-12-08 @ Aston Villa L 0-3 1959 2032 12.5% 16.4% 71.1% -4.3 23
1894-12-12 Burnley L 0-2 1921 1974 59.7% 17.9% 22.4% -12.1 9
1894-12-12 @ Derby County W 2-0 1974 1921 22.4% 17.9% 59.7% +12.1 27
1894-12-15 Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1942 1967 62.6% 17.6% 19.8% -1.2 25
1894-12-15 @ The Wednesday D 0-0 1967 1942 19.8% 17.6% 62.6% +1.2 23
1894-12-15 Stoke City W 3-2 1952 1870 71.8% 16.2% 12.0% +1.3 21
1894-12-15 @ West Brom L 2-3 1870 1952 12.0% 16.2% 71.8% -1.3 12
1894-12-15 Everton L 1-2 1964 2054 55.4% 18.1% 26.5% -5.6 25
1894-12-15 @ Preston North End W 2-1 2054 1964 26.5% 18.1% 55.4% +5.6 39
1894-12-15 Wolverhampton W 6-1 1891 1892 64.9% 17.4% 17.7% +8.1 13
1894-12-15 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-6 1892 1891 17.7% 17.4% 64.9% -8.1 16
1894-12-15 Sheffield United W 4-1 1909 1931 62.9% 17.6% 19.5% +5.6 12
1894-12-15 @ Derby County L 1-4 1931 1909 19.5% 17.6% 62.9% -5.6 24
1894-12-15 Small Heath Birmingham W 3-1 1864 1919 59.4% 17.9% 22.7% +4.5 13
1894-12-15 @ Liverpool L 1-3 1919 1864 22.7% 17.9% 59.4% -4.5 22
1894-12-15 Blackburn Rovers W 3-2 2053 1954 73.0% 15.9% 11.1% +1.2 35
1894-12-15 @ Sunderland L 2-3 1954 2053 11.1% 15.9% 73.0% -1.2 23
1894-12-22 Nottingham Forest L 1-2 1915 1968 59.6% 17.9% 22.5% -6.0 22
1894-12-22 @ Small Heath Birmingham W 2-1 1968 1915 22.5% 17.9% 59.6% +6.0 26
1894-12-22 West Brom W 3-0 1953 1953 65.0% 17.4% 17.6% +6.0 26
1894-12-22 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-3 1953 1953 17.6% 17.4% 65.0% -6.0 21
1894-12-22 Sheffield United L 2-4 1986 1925 70.2% 16.6% 13.3% -11.0 27
1894-12-22 @ Burnley W 4-2 1925 1986 13.3% 16.6% 70.2% +11.0 27
1894-12-22 Aston Villa L 0-4 1884 2036 47.6% 18.1% 34.2% -18.7 16
1894-12-22 @ Wolverhampton W 4-0 2036 1884 34.2% 18.1% 47.6% +18.7 37
1894-12-25 Liverpool W 1-0 1899 1868 67.7% 17.0% 15.3% +1.9 16
1894-12-25 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-1 1868 1899 15.3% 17.0% 67.7% -1.9 13
1894-12-25 Stoke City W 3-0 1958 1869 72.4% 16.1% 11.6% +4.0 28
1894-12-25 @ Preston North End L 0-3 1869 1958 11.6% 16.1% 72.4% -4.0 12
1894-12-25 Derby County L 1-4 1936 1915 66.9% 17.1% 15.9% -16.6 27
1894-12-25 @ Sheffield United W 4-1 1915 1936 15.9% 17.1% 66.9% +16.6 15
1894-12-26 Sunderland L 0-2 1947 2055 53.4% 18.1% 28.5% -10.9 21
1894-12-26 @ West Brom W 2-0 2055 1947 28.5% 18.1% 53.4% +10.9 38
1894-12-26 Small Heath Birmingham W 2-0 1941 1909 67.8% 17.0% 15.2% +3.6 28
1894-12-26 @ The Wednesday L 0-2 1909 1941 15.2% 17.0% 67.8% -3.6 22
1894-12-26 Sheffield United W 3-2 1959 1920 68.5% 16.9% 14.7% +1.6 29
1894-12-26 @ Blackburn Rovers L 2-3 1920 1959 14.7% 16.9% 68.5% -1.6 27
1894-12-26 Bolton Wanderers D 2-2 1931 1901 67.7% 17.0% 15.3% -1.0 16
1894-12-26 @ Derby County D 2-2 1901 1931 15.3% 17.0% 67.7% +1.0 17
1894-12-26 Burnley W 1-0 1865 1975 53.1% 18.1% 28.8% +3.4 19
1894-12-26 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 1975 1865 28.8% 18.1% 53.1% -3.4 27
1894-12-26 Stoke City W 6-0 2055 1865 78.8% 14.0% 7.1% +4.6 40
1894-12-26 @ Aston Villa L 0-6 1865 2055 7.1% 14.0% 78.8% -4.6 12
1894-12-27 Sunderland W 2-1 1974 2065 55.3% 18.1% 26.6% +3.0 29
1894-12-27 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-2 2065 1974 26.6% 18.1% 55.3% -3.0 38
1894-12-27 Derby County D 1-1 1944 1930 66.3% 17.2% 16.5% -1.3 29
1894-12-27 @ The Wednesday D 1-1 1930 1944 16.5% 17.2% 66.3% +1.3 17
1894-12-27 West Brom W 3-1 1868 1936 58.0% 18.0% 24.0% +4.8 22
1894-12-27 @ Wolverhampton L 1-3 1936 1868 24.0% 18.0% 58.0% -4.8 21
1894-12-29 Sunderland W 1-0 1962 2062 54.2% 18.1% 27.7% +3.3 31
1894-12-29 @ Preston North End L 0-1 2062 1962 27.7% 18.1% 54.2% -3.3 38
1894-12-29 Burnley L 0-1 1932 1972 61.0% 17.8% 21.2% -6.6 21
1894-12-29 @ West Brom W 1-0 1972 1932 21.2% 17.8% 61.0% +6.6 30
1894-12-29 Liverpool W 3-0 1905 1866 68.4% 16.9% 14.7% +5.1 25
1894-12-29 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 0-3 1866 1905 14.7% 16.9% 68.4% -5.1 13
1894-12-29 Blackburn Rovers L 2-3 1977 1961 66.4% 17.2% 16.4% -6.4 29
1894-12-29 @ Nottingham Forest W 3-2 1961 1977 16.4% 17.2% 66.4% +6.4 32
1895-01-01 Everton W 3-0 1943 2060 52.2% 18.1% 29.6% +9.6 32
1895-01-01 @ The Wednesday L 0-3 2060 1943 29.6% 18.1% 52.2% -9.6 39
1895-01-01 Preston North End W 2-0 2059 1965 72.7% 16.0% 11.3% +2.7 41
1895-01-01 @ Sunderland L 0-2 1965 2059 11.3% 16.0% 72.7% -2.7 31
1895-01-01 Derby County W 6-0 1902 1931 62.1% 17.7% 20.2% +13.1 20
1895-01-01 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-6 1931 1902 20.2% 17.7% 62.1% -13.1 17
1895-01-01 Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1967 1971 64.6% 17.4% 17.9% -1.4 33
1895-01-01 @ Blackburn Rovers D 0-0 1971 1967 17.9% 17.4% 64.6% +1.4 30
1895-01-01 West Brom W 4-0 1861 1925 58.5% 17.9% 23.6% +10.3 16
1895-01-01 @ Liverpool L 0-4 1925 1861 23.6% 17.9% 58.5% -10.3 21
1895-01-02 Aston Villa D 4-4 2062 2059 65.2% 17.4% 17.4% -0.7 42
1895-01-02 @ Sunderland D 4-4 2059 2062 17.4% 17.4% 65.2% +0.7 41
1895-01-05 Everton W 1-0 1873 2050 44.3% 18.1% 37.6% +4.3 25
1895-01-05 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 2050 1873 37.6% 18.1% 44.3% -4.3 39
1895-01-05 Liverpool W 5-0 1953 1871 71.8% 16.2% 12.0% +6.7 35
1895-01-05 @ The Wednesday L 0-5 1871 1953 12.0% 16.2% 71.8% -6.7 16
1895-01-05 Nottingham Forest D 2-2 2061 1972 72.3% 16.1% 11.6% -1.2 43
1895-01-05 @ Sunderland D 2-2 1972 2061 11.6% 16.1% 72.3% +1.2 31
1895-01-05 Bolton Wanderers W 1-0 1978 1915 70.4% 16.5% 13.1% +1.7 33
1895-01-05 @ Burnley L 0-1 1915 1978 13.1% 16.5% 70.4% -1.7 20
1895-01-05 Derby County W 4-0 2060 1918 75.9% 15.1% 9.0% +4.0 44
1895-01-05 @ Aston Villa L 0-4 1918 2060 9.0% 15.1% 75.9% -4.0 17
1895-01-05 Small Heath Birmingham W 9-1 1966 1910 69.8% 16.6% 13.6% +9.7 36
1895-01-05 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-9 1910 1966 13.6% 16.6% 69.8% -9.7 25
1895-01-05 Preston North End L 4-5 1915 1962 60.2% 17.8% 21.9% -5.6 21
1895-01-05 @ West Brom W 5-4 1962 1915 21.9% 17.8% 60.2% +5.6 34
1895-01-07 Stoke City W 3-0 2046 1860 78.6% 14.1% 7.3% +2.5 42
1895-01-07 @ Everton L 0-3 1860 2046 7.3% 14.1% 78.6% -2.5 12
1895-01-07 The Wednesday D 2-2 1913 1959 60.4% 17.8% 21.8% -0.7 21
1895-01-07 @ Bolton Wanderers D 2-2 1959 1913 21.8% 17.8% 60.4% +0.7 36
1895-01-09 Liverpool L 0-1 1914 1865 69.3% 16.7% 14.0% -7.4 17
1895-01-09 @ Derby County W 1-0 1865 1914 14.0% 16.7% 69.3% +7.4 19
1895-01-12 Everton D 2-2 1907 2048 49.1% 18.2% 32.8% -0.3 18
1895-01-12 @ Derby County D 2-2 2048 1907 32.8% 18.2% 49.1% +0.3 43
1895-01-12 Nottingham Forest W 5-0 1872 1973 54.1% 18.1% 27.7% +14.6 22
1895-01-12 @ Liverpool L 0-5 1973 1872 27.7% 18.1% 54.1% -14.6 31
1895-01-12 The Wednesday W 1-0 1918 1960 60.8% 17.8% 21.4% +2.6 30
1895-01-12 @ Sheffield United L 0-1 1960 1918 21.4% 17.8% 60.8% -2.6 36
1895-01-12 Sunderland L 1-4 1878 2060 43.5% 18.1% 38.4% -11.1 25
1895-01-12 @ Wolverhampton W 4-1 2060 1878 38.4% 18.1% 43.5% +11.1 46
1895-01-12 Blackburn Rovers W 2-1 1980 1976 65.4% 17.3% 17.3% +2.0 36
1895-01-12 @ Burnley L 1-2 1976 1980 17.3% 17.3% 65.4% -2.0 36
1895-01-12 Aston Villa L 0-1 1968 2064 54.8% 18.1% 27.1% -5.9 34
1895-01-12 @ Preston North End W 1-0 2064 1968 27.1% 18.1% 54.8% +5.9 47
1895-01-12 Bolton Wanderers W 5-0 1857 1912 59.5% 17.9% 22.7% +12.2 15
1895-01-12 @ Stoke City L 0-5 1912 1857 22.7% 17.9% 59.5% -12.2 21
1895-01-14 Sheffield United W 6-2 1900 1921 63.0% 17.6% 19.4% +6.1 24
1895-01-14 @ Bolton Wanderers L 2-6 1921 1900 19.4% 17.6% 63.0% -6.1 30
1895-01-17 Aston Villa W 4-2 2049 2070 62.9% 17.6% 19.5% +3.5 46
1895-01-17 @ Everton L 2-4 2070 2049 19.5% 17.6% 62.9% -3.5 47
1895-01-19 Stoke City D 1-1 1907 1870 68.2% 16.9% 14.8% -1.4 19
1895-01-19 @ Derby County D 1-1 1870 1907 14.8% 16.9% 68.2% +1.4 16
1895-01-19 The Wednesday W 2-1 1959 1957 65.1% 17.4% 17.5% +2.1 34
1895-01-19 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-2 1957 1959 17.5% 17.4% 65.1% -2.1 36
1895-01-19 Wolverhampton W 1-0 1915 1866 69.2% 16.8% 14.1% +1.8 33
1895-01-19 @ Sheffield United L 0-1 1866 1915 14.1% 16.8% 69.2% -1.8 25
1895-01-26 Sheffield United D 1-1 2052 1916 75.5% 15.2% 9.3% -1.8 47
1895-01-26 @ Everton D 1-1 1916 2052 9.3% 15.2% 75.5% +1.8 34
1895-01-26 Burnley W 4-0 1962 1982 63.1% 17.6% 19.3% +8.6 37
1895-01-26 @ Preston North End L 0-4 1982 1962 19.3% 17.6% 63.1% -8.6 36
1895-01-26 Sunderland L 2-5 1871 2071 41.1% 18.0% 40.9% -9.2 16
1895-01-26 @ Stoke City W 5-2 2071 1871 40.9% 18.0% 41.1% +9.2 49
1895-01-26 Small Heath Birmingham W 2-0 1961 1900 70.1% 16.6% 13.3% +3.2 37
1895-01-26 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-2 1900 1961 13.3% 16.6% 70.1% -3.2 25
1895-01-26 Wolverhampton L 1-3 1905 1865 68.5% 16.9% 14.6% -12.0 19
1895-01-26 @ Derby County W 3-1 1865 1905 14.6% 16.9% 68.5% +12.0 28
1895-01-26 Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 1909 1974 58.4% 17.9% 23.6% +5.4 24
1895-01-26 @ West Brom L 0-2 1974 1909 23.6% 17.9% 58.4% -5.4 36
1895-01-26 Bolton Wanderers W 2-1 2066 1906 77.1% 14.7% 8.2% +1.0 50
1895-01-26 @ Aston Villa L 1-2 1906 2066 8.2% 14.7% 77.1% -1.0 24
1895-02-04 Wolverhampton D 0-0 1862 1877 63.6% 17.5% 18.9% -1.3 17
1895-02-04 @ Stoke City D 0-0 1877 1862 18.9% 17.5% 63.6% +1.3 29
1895-02-09 Sunderland D 1-1 1897 2080 43.5% 18.1% 38.5% -0.1 26
1895-02-09 @ Small Heath Birmingham D 1-1 2080 1897 38.5% 18.1% 43.5% +0.1 50
1895-02-09 Stoke City W 3-0 1918 1861 69.9% 16.6% 13.5% +4.6 37
1895-02-09 @ Sheffield United L 0-3 1861 1918 13.5% 16.6% 69.9% -4.6 17
1895-02-23 Preston North End W 4-2 2050 1971 71.6% 16.2% 12.1% +2.2 50
1895-02-23 @ Everton L 2-4 1971 2050 12.1% 16.2% 71.6% -2.2 37
1895-02-23 West Brom L 1-2 1897 1915 63.3% 17.6% 19.1% -6.4 26
1895-02-23 @ Small Heath Birmingham W 2-1 1915 1897 19.1% 17.6% 63.3% +6.4 27
1895-02-23 Stoke City W 3-1 1964 1856 73.7% 15.7% 10.6% +2.2 40
1895-02-23 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-3 1856 1964 10.6% 15.7% 73.7% -2.2 17
1895-02-23 Blackburn Rovers D 3-3 1878 1968 55.5% 18.1% 26.5% -0.5 30
1895-02-23 @ Wolverhampton D 3-3 1968 1878 26.5% 18.1% 55.5% +0.5 37
1895-02-23 Aston Villa D 3-3 1973 2067 55.0% 18.1% 26.9% -0.4 37
1895-02-23 @ Burnley D 3-3 2067 1973 26.9% 18.1% 55.0% +0.4 51
1895-02-23 Sheffield United W 2-0 2080 1923 76.9% 14.8% 8.3% +1.9 53
1895-02-23 @ Sunderland L 0-2 1923 2080 8.3% 14.8% 76.9% -1.9 37
1895-02-26 Everton W 4-2 1921 2053 50.3% 18.2% 31.5% +5.4 40
1895-02-26 @ Sheffield United L 2-4 2053 1921 31.5% 18.2% 50.3% -5.4 50
1895-02-26 The Wednesday W 3-1 2082 1955 75.0% 15.4% 9.7% +2.0 56
1895-02-26 @ Sunderland L 1-3 1955 2082 9.7% 15.4% 75.0% -2.0 36
1895-02-26 West Brom W 5-0 1968 1921 69.1% 16.8% 14.1% +7.8 40
1895-02-26 @ Preston North End L 0-5 1921 1968 14.1% 16.8% 69.1% -7.8 27
1895-03-02 Derby County W 5-1 1887 1893 64.4% 17.5% 18.2% +6.8 25
1895-03-02 @ Liverpool L 1-5 1893 1887 18.2% 17.5% 64.4% -6.8 19
1895-03-02 Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1891 1969 56.9% 18.0% 25.1% -0.8 27
1895-03-02 @ Small Heath Birmingham D 1-1 1969 1891 25.1% 18.0% 56.9% +0.8 38
1895-03-09 Sunderland W 4-0 1926 2084 46.9% 18.1% 35.0% +14.4 43
1895-03-09 @ Sheffield United L 0-4 2084 1926 35.0% 18.1% 46.9% -14.4 56
1895-03-16 Everton L 2-4 1973 2047 57.3% 18.0% 24.7% -9.0 37
1895-03-16 @ Burnley W 4-2 2047 1973 24.7% 18.0% 57.3% +9.0 53
1895-03-16 Derby County L 3-5 1890 1886 65.3% 17.3% 17.4% -9.7 27
1895-03-16 @ Small Heath Birmingham W 5-3 1886 1890 17.4% 17.3% 65.3% +9.7 22
1895-03-16 Bolton Wanderers D 3-3 1966 1905 70.2% 16.6% 13.3% -0.9 41
1895-03-16 @ Nottingham Forest D 3-3 1905 1966 13.3% 16.6% 70.2% +0.9 25
1895-03-21 Burnley W 3-2 2056 1964 72.6% 16.0% 11.4% +1.3 56
1895-03-21 @ Everton L 2-3 1964 2056 11.4% 16.0% 72.6% -1.3 37
1895-03-23 Burnley W 1-0 1880 1963 56.4% 18.1% 25.6% +3.1 30
1895-03-23 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 0-1 1963 1880 25.6% 18.1% 56.4% -3.1 37
1895-03-23 Nottingham Forest W 3-1 1976 1965 66.0% 17.2% 16.7% +3.4 43
1895-03-23 @ Preston North End L 1-3 1965 1976 16.7% 17.2% 66.0% -3.4 41
1895-03-23 Derby County W 4-1 1854 1896 60.8% 17.8% 21.4% +6.1 20
1895-03-23 @ Stoke City L 1-4 1896 1854 21.4% 17.8% 60.8% -6.1 22
1895-03-23 Wolverhampton W 5-1 1969 1877 72.5% 16.0% 11.4% +4.3 41
1895-03-23 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-5 1877 1969 11.4% 16.0% 72.5% -4.3 30
1895-03-23 Aston Villa W 4-3 1906 2068 46.4% 18.1% 35.5% +3.6 28
1895-03-23 @ Bolton Wanderers L 3-4 2068 1906 35.5% 18.1% 46.4% -3.6 51
1895-03-23 Sunderland L 1-2 1953 2070 52.3% 18.1% 29.6% -5.4 36
1895-03-23 @ The Wednesday W 2-1 2070 1953 29.6% 18.1% 52.3% +5.4 59
1895-03-25 The Wednesday D 0-0 1883 1948 58.4% 18.0% 23.7% -1.0 31
1895-03-25 @ Small Heath Birmingham D 0-0 1948 1883 23.7% 18.0% 58.4% +1.0 37
1895-03-25 West Brom D 1-1 1860 1913 59.6% 17.9% 22.5% -1.0 21
1895-03-25 @ Stoke City D 1-1 1913 1860 22.5% 17.9% 59.6% +1.0 28
1895-03-25 Sunderland L 2-3 1893 2075 43.6% 18.1% 38.3% -4.3 25
1895-03-25 @ Liverpool W 3-2 2075 1893 38.3% 18.1% 43.6% +4.3 62
1895-03-30 The Wednesday W 4-2 1889 1949 58.9% 17.9% 23.2% +4.1 28
1895-03-30 @ Liverpool L 2-4 1949 1889 23.2% 17.9% 58.9% -4.1 37
1895-03-30 Burnley W 5-1 1859 1960 54.2% 18.1% 27.7% +9.8 24
1895-03-30 @ Stoke City L 1-5 1960 1859 27.7% 18.1% 54.2% -9.8 37
1895-03-30 Small Heath Birmingham W 4-1 1890 1882 65.7% 17.3% 17.0% +4.9 25
1895-03-30 @ Derby County L 1-4 1882 1890 17.0% 17.3% 65.7% -4.9 31
1895-04-01 West Brom W 3-2 1945 1914 67.7% 17.0% 15.3% +1.7 40
1895-04-01 @ The Wednesday L 2-3 1914 1945 15.3% 17.0% 67.7% -1.7 28
1895-04-06 Liverpool W 3-0 1962 1893 70.8% 16.4% 12.8% +4.4 44
1895-04-06 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-3 1893 1962 12.8% 16.4% 70.8% -4.4 28
1895-04-06 Burnley W 5-0 2064 1950 74.1% 15.6% 10.3% +5.7 54
1895-04-06 @ Aston Villa L 0-5 1950 2064 10.3% 15.6% 74.1% -5.7 37
1895-04-06 Blackburn Rovers D 0-0 1895 1974 56.8% 18.0% 25.2% -0.9 26
1895-04-06 @ Derby County D 0-0 1974 1895 25.2% 18.0% 56.8% +0.9 42
1895-04-08 Wolverhampton W 2-1 2057 1873 78.5% 14.2% 7.3% +0.9 59
1895-04-08 @ Everton L 1-2 1873 2057 7.3% 14.2% 78.5% -0.9 30
1895-04-12 Nottingham Forest W 4-1 1910 1966 59.3% 17.9% 22.8% +6.4 31
1895-04-12 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-4 1966 1910 22.8% 17.9% 59.3% -6.4 44
1895-04-12 Derby County D 0-0 1975 1894 71.7% 16.2% 12.1% -1.8 43
1895-04-12 @ Blackburn Rovers D 0-0 1894 1975 12.1% 16.2% 71.7% +1.8 27
1895-04-12 Liverpool D 2-2 1980 1889 72.5% 16.1% 11.5% -1.2 44
1895-04-12 @ Preston North End D 2-2 1889 1980 11.5% 16.1% 72.5% +1.2 29
1895-04-13 Derby County L 2-3 2058 1896 77.2% 14.6% 8.2% -7.3 59
1895-04-13 @ Everton W 3-2 1896 2058 8.2% 14.6% 77.2% +7.3 30
1895-04-13 The Wednesday W 3-1 1979 1947 67.8% 17.0% 15.2% +3.1 47
1895-04-13 @ Preston North End L 1-3 1947 1979 15.2% 17.0% 67.8% -3.1 40
1895-04-13 West Brom W 5-0 1916 1912 65.3% 17.3% 17.3% +9.5 34
1895-04-13 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-5 1912 1916 17.3% 17.3% 65.3% -9.5 28
1895-04-13 Sunderland L 0-3 1944 2080 49.8% 18.2% 32.0% -14.9 37
1895-04-13 @ Burnley W 3-0 2080 1944 32.0% 18.2% 49.8% +14.9 65
1895-04-13 Wolverhampton L 0-2 1960 1872 72.2% 16.1% 11.7% -14.5 44
1895-04-13 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-0 1872 1960 11.7% 16.1% 72.2% +14.5 33
1895-04-13 Small Heath Birmingham L 0-2 1941 1878 70.4% 16.5% 13.1% -14.2 43
1895-04-13 @ Sheffield United W 2-0 1878 1941 13.1% 16.5% 70.4% +14.2 34
1895-04-13 Blackburn Rovers W 5-1 1869 1973 53.8% 18.1% 28.1% +10.0 27
1895-04-13 @ Stoke City L 1-5 1973 1869 28.1% 18.1% 53.8% -10.0 43
1895-04-15 Wolverhampton D 2-2 2070 1887 78.4% 14.2% 7.4% -1.4 55
1895-04-15 @ Aston Villa D 2-2 1887 2070 7.4% 14.2% 78.4% +1.4 34
1895-04-15 Bolton Wanderers W 5-0 1927 1926 65.0% 17.4% 17.6% +9.7 46
1895-04-15 @ Sheffield United L 0-5 1926 1927 17.6% 17.4% 65.0% -9.7 34
1895-04-15 Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1903 1945 60.8% 17.8% 21.4% +2.6 31
1895-04-15 @ West Brom L 0-1 1945 1903 21.4% 17.8% 60.8% -2.6 44
1895-04-17 Stoke City L 2-4 1944 1879 70.5% 16.5% 13.0% -11.0 40
1895-04-17 @ The Wednesday W 4-2 1879 1944 13.0% 16.5% 70.5% +11.0 30
1895-04-20 Everton W 2-1 2094 2051 68.8% 16.8% 14.4% +1.7 68
1895-04-20 @ Sunderland L 1-2 2051 2094 14.4% 16.8% 68.8% -1.7 59
1895-04-20 Stoke City L 1-2 1929 1890 68.4% 16.9% 14.7% -6.9 37
1895-04-20 @ Burnley W 2-1 1890 1929 14.7% 16.9% 68.4% +6.9 33
1895-04-20 Preston North End L 2-5 1890 1982 55.3% 18.1% 26.6% -12.0 29
1895-04-20 @ Liverpool W 5-2 1982 1890 26.6% 18.1% 55.3% +11.9 50
1895-04-22 The Wednesday W 6-0 1906 1933 62.4% 17.7% 20.0% +12.9 34
1895-04-22 @ West Brom L 0-6 1933 1906 20.0% 17.7% 62.4% -12.9 40
1895-04-24 Everton D 2-2 2068 2049 66.7% 17.2% 16.1% -1.0 56
1895-04-24 @ Aston Villa D 2-2 2049 2068 16.1% 17.2% 66.7% +1.0 60

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1895-04-13 8.15% Derby County 1896 3 @ Everton 2058 2
2 1895-04-13 11.69% Wolverhampton 1872 2 @ Nottingham Forest 1960 0
3 1895-04-17 13.01% Stoke City 1879 4 @ The Wednesday 1944 2
4 1895-04-13 13.11% Small Heath Birmingham 1878 2 @ Sheffield United 1941 0
5 1894-12-22 13.27% Sheffield United 1925 4 @ Burnley 1986 2
6 1895-01-09 13.98% Liverpool 1865 1 @ Derby County 1914 0
7 1894-09-22 14.04% Small Heath Birmingham 1911 1 @ Preston North End 1959 0
8 1895-01-26 14.59% Wolverhampton 1865 3 @ Derby County 1905 1
9 1895-04-20 14.68% Stoke City 1890 2 @ Burnley 1929 1
10 1894-12-25 15.94% Derby County 1915 4 @ Sheffield United 1936 1
11 1894-12-29 16.37% Blackburn Rovers 1961 3 @ Nottingham Forest 1977 2
12 1894-09-15 16.56% The Wednesday 1935 2 @ Derby County 1949 1
13 1894-09-03 17.33% Sheffield United 1912 3 @ Wolverhampton 1915 0
14 1895-03-16 17.36% Derby County 1886 5 @ Small Heath Birmingham 1890 3
15 1894-10-27 17.52% Nottingham Forest 1953 1 @ Burnley 1954 0
16 1894-10-27 18.21% Sheffield United 1944 3 @ The Wednesday 1937 2
17 1894-10-04 18.27% Preston North End 1952 2 @ Nottingham Forest 1945 0
18 1894-09-13 18.65% Bolton Wanderers 1920 2 @ Liverpool 1908 1
19 1894-10-13 18.98% Preston North End 1964 1 @ Sheffield United 1948 0
20 1894-11-24 19.10% Small Heath Birmingham 1915 2 @ Bolton Wanderers 1898 1
21 1895-02-23 19.12% West Brom 1915 2 @ Small Heath Birmingham 1897 1
22 1894-09-01 19.13% Preston North End 1944 3 @ Wolverhampton 1926 1
23 1894-09-15 19.53% Sunderland 2029 2 @ Aston Villa 2007 1
24 1894-09-22 19.63% Sheffield United 1928 3 @ Stoke City 1905 1
25 1894-09-15 19.94% Preston North End 1953 2 @ Bolton Wanderers 1926 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1894-09-03 19.20 Sheffield United 3 1912 17.33% @ Wolverhampton 0 1915 65.32%
2 1894-12-22 18.66 Aston Villa 4 2036 34.21% @ Wolverhampton 0 1884 47.63%
3 1894-10-13 18.14 Nottingham Forest 3 1935 20.69% @ Stoke City 0 1900 61.58%
4 1894-11-03 17.30 Burnley 3 1947 23.45% @ Liverpool 0 1885 58.61%
5 1894-12-25 16.57 Derby County 4 1915 15.94% @ Sheffield United 1 1936 66.94%
6 1895-04-13 14.88 Sunderland 3 2080 32.00% @ Burnley 0 1944 49.83%
7 1895-01-12 14.59 @ Liverpool 5 1872 54.15% Nottingham Forest 0 1973 27.73%
8 1895-04-13 14.53 Wolverhampton 2 1872 11.69% @ Nottingham Forest 0 1960 72.20%
9 1894-12-01 14.43 Everton 4 2038 24.08% @ West Brom 1 1969 57.94%
10 1895-03-09 14.42 @ Sheffield United 4 1926 46.87% Sunderland 0 2084 34.99%
11 1895-04-13 14.18 Small Heath Birmingham 2 1878 13.11% @ Sheffield United 0 1941 70.37%
12 1895-01-01 13.09 @ Bolton Wanderers 6 1902 62.08% Derby County 0 1931 20.23%
13 1894-10-04 13.02 Preston North End 2 1952 18.27% @ Nottingham Forest 0 1945 64.26%
14 1895-04-22 12.94 @ West Brom 6 1906 62.36% The Wednesday 0 1933 19.98%
15 1894-12-08 12.23 The Wednesday 2 1930 21.95% @ Stoke City 0 1882 60.21%
16 1895-01-12 12.22 @ Stoke City 5 1857 59.46% Bolton Wanderers 0 1912 22.65%
17 1894-12-12 12.12 Burnley 2 1974 22.45% @ Derby County 0 1921 59.67%
18 1894-09-22 12.00 Aston Villa 2 2001 23.02% @ Derby County 0 1942 59.07%
19 1895-01-26 11.99 Wolverhampton 3 1865 14.59% @ Derby County 1 1905 68.55%
20 1895-04-20 11.96 Preston North End 5 1982 26.62% @ Liverpool 2 1890 55.29%
21 1894-09-01 11.76 @ Sunderland 8 2013 69.79% Derby County 0 1957 13.58%
22 1895-01-12 11.14 Sunderland 4 2060 38.41% @ Wolverhampton 1 1878 43.53%
23 1894-09-01 11.11 Preston North End 3 1944 19.13% @ Wolverhampton 1 1926 63.29%
24 1894-09-22 11.01 Sheffield United 3 1928 19.63% @ Stoke City 1 1905 62.74%
25 1895-04-17 11.00 Stoke City 4 1879 13.01% @ The Wednesday 2 1944 70.50%