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1993-94 Meistriliiga Season

133 games

Final

Champion

Flora

36 points · 1st Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Tevalte

5.93 points above expected

34 points · 28.07 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Tervis Parnu

5.21 points below expected

12 points · 17.21 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Norma Tallinn 22 17 2 3 36 69 11 +58 36.20 -0.20
2 Flora Champion 22 15 6 1 36 61 9 +52 32.43 +3.57
3 Tevalte 22 15 4 3 34 70 9 +61 28.07 +5.93
4 Nikol Tallinn 22 15 3 4 33 49 19 +30 28.78 +4.22
5 Narva Trans 22 12 6 4 30 50 16 +34 27.99 +2.01
6 Sadam Tallinn 22 11 3 8 25 38 26 +12 23.34 +1.66
7 Polevkivi Johvi 22 9 6 7 24 39 16 +23 27.22 -3.22
8 DAG Tartu 22 6 2 14 14 22 59 -37 13.04 +0.96
9 Tallinna Dnamo 22 5 2 15 12 25 54 -29 14.17 -2.17
10 Tervis Parnu 22 5 2 15 12 18 47 -29 17.21 -5.21
11 Merkuur 22 2 1 19 5 12 101 -89 9.40 -4.40
12 Sillame Kalev 22 1 1 20 3 11 97 -86 6.15 -3.15
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Flora 1 1 0 0 2 5 2 +3 — —
2 Norma Tallinn 1 0 0 1 0 2 5 -3 — —

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Tevalte 34 28.07 +5.93
2 Nikol Tallinn 33 28.78 +4.22
3 Flora 36 32.43 +3.57
4 Narva Trans 30 27.99 +2.01
5 Sadam Tallinn 25 23.34 +1.66

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Tervis Parnu 12 17.21 -5.21
2 Merkuur 5 9.40 -4.40
3 Polevkivi Johvi 24 27.22 -3.22
4 Sillame Kalev 3 6.15 -3.15
5 Tallinna Dnamo 12 14.17 -2.17

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Narva Trans 4 Apr 23 – May 10 1 in 39
2 Tevalte 4 Jul 30 – Aug 21 1 in 22
3 Nikol Tallinn 7 Aug 21 – Oct 13 1 in 22
4 Norma Tallinn 8 Aug 2 – Oct 2 1 in 11
5 Sadam Tallinn 3 Sep 18 – Oct 7 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Nikol Tallinn 2 Apr 23 – Apr 30 1 in 58
2 Tervis Parnu 9 Apr 23 – Jun 18 1 in 46
3 Merkuur 13 Oct 7 – Jun 27 1 in 30
4 Sillame Kalev 8 Jul 31 – Oct 2 1 in 18
5 Tallinna Dnamo 6 Sep 11 – Oct 16 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Flora 19 Aug 21 – Jun 27 1 in 101
2 Tevalte 13 Oct 7 – Jun 18 1 in 28
3 Narva Trans 8 Oct 13 – May 28 1 in 20
4 DAG Tartu 3 May 7 – May 14 1 in 13
5 Nikol Tallinn 9 Aug 13 – Oct 16 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Polevkivi Johvi 4 May 28 – Jun 17 1 in 16
2 Nikol Tallinn 3 Oct 16 – Apr 30 1 in 12
3 Tallinna Dnamo 8 Aug 21 – Oct 16 1 in 9
4 Tervis Parnu 9 Apr 23 – Jun 18 1 in 6
5 Flora 2 Sep 11 – Sep 16 1 in 6

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Flora 1505 38 +92 9 7.0 +2.0
Norma Tallinn 1326 36 -136 4 6.7 -2.7
Tevalte 1382 34 +95 9 7.0 +2.0
Nikol Tallinn 1262 33 +54 8 6.2 +1.8
Narva Trans 1272 26 -21 6 6.7 -0.7
Sadam Tallinn 1100 25 +73 7 6.2 +0.8
Polevkivi Johvi 1131 22 -29 4 5.9 -1.9
DAG Tartu 703 14 -111 0 1.9 -1.9
Tallinna Dnamo 872 12 +37 3 2.1 +0.9
Tervis Parnu 790 10 -31 2 3.5 -1.5
Sillame Kalev 542 3 +3 2 1.2 +0.8
Merkuur 493 3 -56 0 1.2 -1.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team DT FLO MER NT NT NT PJ ST SK TD TP TEV
DAG Tartu —
0-0-2
0.49
2-0-0
4.12
0-2-0
0.72
0-0-2
0.54
0-0-2
0.38
0-0-2
0.90
0-0-2
0.95
2-0-0
4.14
1-0-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.38
0-0-2
0.94
Flora
2-0-0
5.21
—
2-0-0
5.31
0-2-0
4.08
1-1-0
3.40
1-1-0
2.15
1-1-0
3.92
2-0-0
4.11
2-0-0
5.32
2-0-0
5.23
2-0-0
4.84
0-1-1
3.52
Merkuur
0-0-2
1.56
0-0-2
0.40
—
0-0-2
0.77
0-0-2
0.43
0-0-2
0.32
0-0-2
0.55
0-0-2
0.66
2-0-0
2.58
0-1-1
1.61
0-0-2
1.23
0-0-2
0.43
Narva Trans
0-2-0
4.97
0-2-0
1.60
2-0-0
4.92
—
0-0-2
2.57
1-0-1
1.00
2-0-0
2.70
1-0-1
3.85
2-0-0
5.28
2-0-0
4.93
1-1-0
4.15
1-1-0
2.05
Nikol Tallinn
2-0-0
5.16
0-1-1
2.28
2-0-0
5.27
2-0-0
3.12
—
0-0-2
1.44
2-0-0
3.51
1-1-0
3.70
2-0-0
5.22
1-0-1
4.90
2-0-0
4.65
1-1-0
2.62
Norma Tallinn
2-0-0
5.33
0-1-1
3.53
2-0-0
5.40
1-0-1
4.69
2-0-0
4.25
—
1-1-0
4.79
2-0-0
4.96
2-0-0
5.41
2-0-0
5.27
2-0-0
4.95
1-0-1
4.35
Polevkivi Johvi
2-0-0
4.79
0-1-1
1.76
2-0-0
5.15
0-0-2
2.99
0-0-2
2.17
0-1-1
0.90
—
0-2-0
3.33
2-0-0
5.27
1-1-0
4.90
2-0-0
4.16
0-1-1
2.76
Sadam Tallinn
2-0-0
4.74
0-0-2
1.58
2-0-0
5.04
1-0-1
1.84
0-1-1
1.98
0-0-2
0.73
0-2-0
2.35
—
2-0-0
5.00
2-0-0
4.10
2-0-0
3.78
0-0-2
1.72
Sillame Kalev
0-0-2
1.55
0-0-2
0.39
0-0-2
3.11
0-0-2
0.42
0-0-2
0.48
0-0-2
0.31
0-0-2
0.44
0-0-2
0.69
—
1-0-1
1.37
0-1-1
0.95
0-0-2
0.42
Tallinna Dnamo
1-0-1
3.03
0-0-2
0.47
1-1-0
4.08
0-0-2
0.76
1-0-1
0.80
0-0-2
0.44
0-1-1
0.79
0-0-2
1.59
1-0-1
4.32
—
1-0-1
2.20
0-0-2
0.74
Tervis Parnu
1-0-1
3.30
0-0-2
0.86
2-0-0
4.45
0-1-1
1.54
0-0-2
1.04
0-0-2
0.74
0-0-2
1.52
0-0-2
1.90
1-1-0
4.74
1-0-1
3.48
—
0-0-2
0.79
Tevalte
2-0-0
4.75
1-1-0
2.16
2-0-0
5.28
0-1-1
3.63
0-1-1
3.06
1-0-1
1.34
1-1-0
2.93
2-0-0
3.97
2-0-0
5.29
2-0-0
4.95
2-0-0
4.91
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.93 +5.5
Allowed 0.89 -3.5
Differential 0.96 +2.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.52%5.64%4.89%5.64%3.01%6.77%33.46%
15.64%5.26%5.64%1.88%1.50%3.76%23.68%
24.89%5.64%1.50%0.38%1.13%0.75%14.29%
35.64%1.88%0.38%———7.89%
43.01%1.50%1.13%———5.64%
5+6.77%3.76%0.75%——3.76%15.04%
Total33.46%23.68%14.29%7.89%5.64%15.04%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.73 +0.00
SD 2.53 2.53 3.99
CV 1.46 1.46 —
Max 24 24 +24
Min -1 -1 -24

Games Played: 133

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%18.18%9.09%9.09%45.45%
14.55%4.55%—4.55%4.55%4.55%22.73%
2—13.64%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total4.55%27.27%13.64%22.73%18.18%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.68 -1.68
SD 1.15 1.62 2.36
CV 1.15 0.60 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.70%—————8.70%
18.70%17.39%4.35%———30.43%
28.70%—————8.70%
38.70%—————8.70%
413.04%4.35%————17.39%
5+13.04%8.70%4.35%———26.09%
Total60.87%30.43%8.70%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.87 0.48 +2.39
SD 2.03 0.67 2.17
CV 0.71 1.39 —
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 23

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——13.64%4.55%31.82%54.55%
1——13.64%——22.73%36.36%
2———————
3———————
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—————4.55%4.55%
Total4.55%4.55%13.64%13.64%4.55%59.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.50 4.55 -4.05
SD 0.96 3.04 3.24
CV 1.93 0.67 —
Max 4 10 +3
Min -1 -1 -10

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
113.64%13.64%4.55%———31.82%
24.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
34.55%—————4.55%
4———————
5+13.64%4.55%———9.09%27.27%
Total40.91%31.82%13.64%4.55%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 0.64 +1.55
SD 3.17 1.00 3.43
CV 1.45 1.57 —
Max 11 3 +11
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
118.18%4.55%—4.55%——27.27%
24.55%9.09%————13.64%
34.55%—————4.55%
44.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
5+4.55%9.09%————13.64%
Total45.45%31.82%13.64%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 0.86 +1.36
SD 2.14 0.99 2.38
CV 0.96 1.15 —
Max 8 3 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.70%————8.70%
14.35%8.70%—4.35%——17.39%
213.04%4.35%———4.35%21.74%
313.04%8.70%————21.74%
48.70%—————8.70%
5+17.39%4.35%————21.74%
Total56.52%34.78%—4.35%—4.35%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.09 0.70 +2.39
SD 2.31 1.18 2.92
CV 0.75 1.70 —
Max 8 5 +8
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 23

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%13.64%9.09%———40.91%
14.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
2———————
39.09%—————9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+9.09%4.55%4.55%——4.55%22.73%
Total45.45%27.27%22.73%——4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 0.68 +1.05
SD 2.49 0.89 2.72
CV 1.44 1.31 —
Max 9 2 +9
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%45.45%
14.55%—4.55%———9.09%
29.09%4.55%————13.64%
313.64%—————13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+9.09%4.55%————13.64%
Total50.00%22.73%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.18 +0.55
SD 2.05 1.76 3.22
CV 1.19 1.49 —
Max 6 7 +6
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——9.09%—27.27%40.91%
1——9.09%4.55%9.09%9.09%31.82%
2—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
3———————
4———————
5+—————18.18%18.18%
Total4.55%4.55%9.09%18.18%9.09%54.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.32 4.23 -3.91
SD 0.89 5.43 5.44
CV 2.81 1.29 —
Max 2 24 +1
Min -1 -1 -24

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%9.09%—9.09%4.55%36.36%
1—4.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%9.09%36.36%
24.55%4.55%——4.55%—13.64%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total9.09%27.27%27.27%4.55%18.18%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 2.45 -1.32
SD 1.28 1.79 2.46
CV 1.13 0.73 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%27.27%9.09%9.09%4.55%59.09%
1——4.55%———4.55%
24.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%4.55%22.73%
34.55%—————4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+—————4.55%4.55%
Total18.18%9.09%36.36%9.09%13.64%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 2.09 -1.32
SD 1.27 1.77 2.36
CV 1.64 0.85 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min -1 -1 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%4.55%————22.73%
19.09%—4.55%———13.64%
29.09%18.18%————27.27%
39.09%4.55%————13.64%
4———————
5+13.64%4.55%———4.55%22.73%
Total59.09%31.82%4.55%——4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.14 0.36 +2.77
SD 5.29 0.66 5.34
CV 1.69 1.81 —
Max 24 2 +24
Min -1 -1 -1

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Flora 1505 36 32.43 +3.57 93.0% 25 27 31 33 34 37 40
Tevalte 1382 34 28.07 +5.93 97.0% 18 22 26 29 30 33 37
Norma Tallinn 1326 36 36.20 -0.20 51.0% 28 31 34 36 38 41 43
Narva Trans 1272 30 27.99 +2.01 80.0% 19 23 26 28 30 33 39
Nikol Tallinn 1262 33 28.78 +4.22 92.0% 18 21 27 29 31 34 35
Polevkivi Johvi 1131 24 27.22 -3.22 18.0% 20 21 25 27 29 33 39
Sadam Tallinn 1100 25 23.34 +1.66 70.0% 15 17 21 23 26 29 31
Tallinna Dnamo 872 12 14.17 -2.17 29.0% 7 9 12 14 16 19 24
Tervis Parnu 790 12 17.21 -5.21 9.0% 11 12 15 17 19 23 26
DAG Tartu 703 14 13.04 +0.96 73.0% 4 8 11 13 15 19 22
Sillame Kalev 542 3 6.15 -3.15 16.0% 0 2 4 6 7 12 15
Merkuur 493 5 9.40 -4.40 9.0% 3 5 8 9 11 14 16

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 1% * Slight Edge: 1% to 4.5% * Clear Edge: 4.5% to 7.5% * Strong Edge: 7.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+2.27%
Slight Edge
43.94%14.39%41.67%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 5.26 Elo pts.
132 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.27 goals
Neutral
-2+0.04+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.38 * Runaway: 0.38 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.8
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
16%
Flora, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.61 * Some Luck: 2.61 to 3.91 * Lucky: 3.91 to 5.22 * Wild Swing: 5.22 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.72 * Close: 0.72 to 1.07 * Off: 1.07 to 1.43 * Way Off: 1.43 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.48 points
Some Luck
03.268
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.67
Pinpoint
00.892
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
97.00%
Tevalte
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
9.00%
Tervis Parnu
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.27 * Even: 0.27 to 0.29 * Top-Heavy: 0.29 to 0.31 * Lopsided: 0.31 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.7 * Moderate Separation: 2.7 to 3 * Strong Separation: 3 to 3.3 * Wide Separation: 3.3 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 87.5% * Slight Edge: 87.5% to 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 93.5% * Wide Edge: 93.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 98% * Clear Edge: 98% to 99% * Strong Edge: 99% to 99.5% * Dominant: 99.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 43% * Some Drama: 43% to 46% * Frequent: 46% to 50.5% * Very Frequent: 50.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 28.5% * Occasional: 28.5% to 34% * Frequent: 34% to 39.5% * Very Frequent: 39.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.30
Top-Heavy
00.270.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 339.58
2.82
Moderate Separation
12.733.33.75
Interquartile Edge
95%
Wide Edge
50%87.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 100%
100%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
41%
Few
0%29%100%
Blowouts
Expected
43%
Very Frequent
0%54%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.54 * Slight Separation: 0.54 to 0.58 * Notable Separation: 0.58 to 0.63 * Lopsided: 0.63 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.7 * Some Carryover: 0.7 to 0.84 * Strong Carryover: 0.84 to 0.9 * Near-Lock: 0.9 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15% * Upset-Prone: 15% to 19% * Very Upset-Prone: 19% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 9% * As Expected: 9% to 11% * Shaky Favorites: 11% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.37
Highly Predictable
00.442
Matchup Imbalance
0.63
Notable Separation
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.15
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.91
Near-Lock
00.70.841
Upset Rate
Expected
12%
As Expected
0%16%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
7%
Solid Favorites
0%12%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.22
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.34
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.090
Well Within Noise
00.1130.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Norma Tallinn73.00%17.00%8.00%2.00%————————
Flora16.00%47.00%17.00%11.00%6.00%3.00%——————
Tevalte3.00%11.00%23.00%22.00%15.00%15.00%10.00%1.00%————
Nikol Tallinn2.00%11.00%25.00%22.00%21.00%11.00%7.00%1.00%————
Narva Trans4.00%8.00%11.00%27.00%21.00%20.00%7.00%2.00%————
Sadam Tallinn——3.00%7.00%12.00%14.00%52.00%11.00%1.00%———
Polevkivi Johvi2.00%6.00%13.00%9.00%24.00%34.00%10.00%2.00%————
DAG Tartu——————2.00%9.00%29.00%42.00%15.00%3.00%
Tallinna Dnamo——————3.00%21.00%42.00%21.00%12.00%1.00%
Tervis Parnu————1.00%3.00%9.00%52.00%20.00%15.00%——
Merkuur———————1.00%6.00%16.00%55.00%22.00%
Sillame Kalev————————2.00%6.00%18.00%74.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Flora 100% —
Norma Tallinn 100% —
Nikol Tallinn 99.00% 1.00%
Tevalte 99.00% 1.00%
Narva Trans 98.00% 2.00%
Polevkivi Johvi 98.00% 2.00%
Sadam Tallinn 88.00% 12.00%
Tervis Parnu 13.00% 87.00%
Tallinna Dnamo 3.00% 97.00%
DAG Tartu 2.00% 98.00%
Merkuur — 100%
Sillame Kalev — 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1993-07-30 Tevalte L 1-247.8 1133 1092 48.97% 15.74% 35.29%+0.35 -32.5 0
1993-07-30 @ Polevkivi Johvi W 2-147.8 1092 1133 35.29% 15.74% 48.97%-0.35 +32.5 2
1993-07-31 Sillame Kalev W 3-139.6 859 730 59.86% 15.69% 24.45%+1.02 +30.8 2
1993-07-31 @ DAG Tartu L 1-339.6 730 859 24.45% 15.69% 59.86%-1.02 -30.8 0
1993-07-31 Merkuur W 10-028.3 1057 763 73.52% 15.50% 10.98%+2.27 +76.9 2
1993-07-31 @ Narva Trans L 0-1028.3 763 1057 10.98% 15.50% 73.52%-2.27 -76.9 0
1993-08-02 Tervis Parnu W 4-030.9 1315 1033 72.76% 15.52% 11.72%+2.17 +34.3 2
1993-08-02 @ Norma Tallinn L 0-430.9 1033 1315 11.72% 15.52% 72.76%-2.17 -34.3 0
1993-08-03 Sadam Tallinn W 3-033.3 1236 1033 66.99% 15.63% 17.38%+1.58 +37.9 2
1993-08-03 @ Flora L 0-333.3 1033 1236 17.38% 15.63% 66.99%-1.58 -37.9 0
1993-08-03 Nikol Tallinn L 0-431.5 932 1195 14.03% 15.56% 70.41%-1.95 -40.6 0
1993-08-03 @ Tallinna Dnamo W 4-031.5 1195 932 70.41% 15.56% 14.03%+1.95 +40.6 2
1993-08-07 Nikol Tallinn W 3-036.8 1349 1235 58.11% 15.70% 26.18%+0.90 +54.9 4
1993-08-07 @ Norma Tallinn L 0-336.8 1235 1349 26.18% 15.70% 58.11%-0.90 -54.9 2
1993-08-07 Tallinna Dnamo W 4-139.6 995 892 56.96% 15.71% 27.33%+0.83 +48.1 2
1993-08-07 @ Sadam Tallinn L 1-439.6 892 995 27.33% 15.71% 56.96%-0.83 -48.1 0
1993-08-07 Flora L 0-328.6 699 1274 2.64% 14.89% 82.47%-4.31 -6.1 0
1993-08-07 @ Sillame Kalev W 3-028.6 1274 699 82.47% 14.89% 2.64%+4.31 +6.1 4
1993-08-07 Narva Trans D 2-257.5 999 1134 25.66% 15.70% 58.64%-0.98 +4.1 1
1993-08-07 @ Tervis Parnu D 2-257.5 1134 999 58.64% 15.70% 25.66%+0.98 -4.1 3
1993-08-07 DAG Tartu W 2-033.4 1125 890 69.53% 15.59% 14.88%+1.82 +22.6 4
1993-08-07 @ Tevalte L 0-233.4 890 1125 14.88% 15.59% 69.53%-1.82 -22.6 2
1993-08-13 Norma Tallinn L 0-332.6 1130 1404 13.22% 15.55% 71.23%-2.04 -29.4 3
1993-08-13 @ Narva Trans W 3-032.6 1404 1130 71.23% 15.55% 13.22%+2.04 +29.4 6
1993-08-13 Sadam Tallinn D 0-051.4 1181 1043 60.71% 15.69% 23.60%+1.08 -6.9 3
1993-08-13 @ Nikol Tallinn D 0-051.4 1043 1181 23.60% 15.69% 60.71%-1.08 +6.9 3
1993-08-14 Merkuur W 2-138.7 868 686 65.16% 15.65% 19.19%+1.42 +14.3 4
1993-08-14 @ DAG Tartu L 1-238.7 686 868 19.19% 15.65% 65.16%-1.42 -14.3 0
1993-08-14 Tevalte L 1-251.3 1280 1147 60.24% 15.69% 24.06%+1.05 -39.5 4
1993-08-14 @ Flora W 2-151.3 1147 1280 24.06% 15.69% 60.24%-1.05 +39.5 6
1993-08-14 Tervis Parnu W 4-035.7 1100 1003 56.18% 15.71% 28.10%+0.78 +76.3 2
1993-08-14 @ Polevkivi Johvi L 0-435.7 1003 1100 28.10% 15.71% 56.18%-0.78 -76.3 1
1993-08-15 Sillame Kalev W 3-243.0 844 693 62.09% 15.68% 22.24%+1.18 +15.5 2
1993-08-15 @ Tallinna Dnamo L 2-343.0 693 844 22.24% 15.68% 62.09%-1.18 -15.5 0
1993-08-21 Polevkivi Johvi W 1-045.5 1100 1177 32.75% 15.73% 51.52%-0.54 +36.1 5
1993-08-21 @ Narva Trans L 0-145.5 1177 1100 51.52% 15.73% 32.75%+0.54 -36.1 2
1993-08-21 Nikol Tallinn L 1-531.5 678 1174 4.07% 15.11% 80.83%-3.72 -10.2 0
1993-08-21 @ Sillame Kalev W 5-131.5 1174 678 80.83% 15.11% 4.07%+3.72 +10.3 5
1993-08-21 Flora L 0-626.6 671 1241 2.72% 14.91% 82.38%-4.27 -12.1 0
1993-08-21 @ Merkuur W 6-026.6 1241 671 82.38% 14.91% 2.72%+4.27 +12.1 6
1993-08-21 Tallinna Dnamo W 2-135.7 1187 859 75.32% 15.45% 9.23%+2.52 +7.2 8
1993-08-21 @ Tevalte L 1-235.7 859 1187 9.23% 15.45% 75.32%-2.52 -7.2 2
1993-08-22 Sadam Tallinn W 7-028.0 1433 1050 77.79% 15.34% 6.87%+2.94 +34.9 8
1993-08-22 @ Norma Tallinn L 0-728.0 1050 1433 6.87% 15.34% 77.79%-2.94 -34.9 3
1993-08-22 DAG Tartu W 4-037.7 927 882 49.53% 15.74% 34.74%+0.38 +91.8 3
1993-08-22 @ Tervis Parnu L 0-437.7 882 927 34.74% 15.74% 49.53%-0.38 -91.8 4
1993-08-27 Tevalte W 2-145.9 1184 1194 41.89% 15.74% 42.37%-0.03 +28.6 7
1993-08-27 @ Nikol Tallinn L 1-245.9 1194 1184 42.37% 15.74% 41.89%+0.03 -28.6 8
1993-08-27 Norma Tallinn L 1-237.0 1140 1468 10.05% 15.46% 74.49%-2.44 -7.8 2
1993-08-27 @ Polevkivi Johvi W 2-137.0 1468 1140 74.49% 15.46% 10.05%+2.44 +7.8 10
1993-08-28 Narva Trans D 2-257.5 790 1136 9.13% 15.43% 75.44%-2.58 +8.7 5
1993-08-28 @ DAG Tartu D 2-257.5 1136 790 75.44% 15.43% 9.13%+2.58 -8.7 6
1993-08-28 Tervis Parnu W 2-033.5 1253 1018 69.51% 15.59% 14.90%+1.81 +22.7 8
1993-08-28 @ Flora L 0-233.5 1018 1253 14.90% 15.59% 69.51%-1.81 -22.6 3
1993-08-28 Sillame Kalev W 3-030.5 1015 667 76.31% 15.41% 8.29%+2.68 +18.9 5
1993-08-28 @ Sadam Tallinn L 0-330.5 667 1015 8.29% 15.41% 76.31%-2.68 -18.9 0
1993-08-28 Merkuur D 0-051.4 852 659 66.11% 15.64% 18.25%+1.50 -9.1 3
1993-08-28 @ Tallinna Dnamo D 0-051.4 659 852 18.25% 15.64% 66.11%-1.50 +9.1 1
1993-09-03 Polevkivi Johvi L 0-329.4 668 1133 4.84% 15.18% 79.98%-3.48 -11.2 1
1993-09-03 @ Merkuur W 3-029.4 1133 668 79.98% 15.18% 4.84%+3.48 +11.2 4
1993-09-11 Flora D 1-154.4 1128 1275 24.24% 15.69% 60.07%-1.08 +6.0 7
1993-09-11 @ Narva Trans D 1-154.4 1275 1128 60.07% 15.69% 24.24%+1.08 -6.0 9
1993-09-11 Sillame Kalev W 7-025.3 1476 649 85.42% 13.99% 0.58%+6.31 +3.0 12
1993-09-11 @ Norma Tallinn L 0-725.3 649 1476 0.58% 13.99% 85.42%-6.31 -3.0 0
1993-09-11 DAG Tartu W 3-030.5 1144 799 76.17% 15.41% 8.42%+2.65 +19.2 6
1993-09-11 @ Polevkivi Johvi L 0-330.5 799 1144 8.42% 15.41% 76.17%-2.65 -19.2 5
1993-09-11 Nikol Tallinn L 0-527.2 657 1213 2.93% 14.95% 82.12%-4.17 -10.9 1
1993-09-11 @ Merkuur W 5-027.2 1213 657 82.12% 14.95% 2.93%+4.17 +11.0 9
1993-09-11 Tallinna Dnamo W 2-035.6 996 843 62.37% 15.68% 21.96%+1.20 +32.3 5
1993-09-11 @ Tervis Parnu L 0-235.6 843 996 21.96% 15.68% 62.37%-1.20 -32.3 3
1993-09-11 Sadam Tallinn W 1-037.2 1165 1034 60.03% 15.69% 24.28%+1.03 +18.7 10
1993-09-11 @ Tevalte L 0-137.2 1034 1165 24.28% 15.69% 60.03%-1.03 -18.7 5
1993-09-16 Norma Tallinn L 0-328.2 780 1479 1.31% 14.50% 84.19%-5.26 -3.0 5
1993-09-16 @ DAG Tartu W 3-028.2 1479 780 84.19% 14.50% 1.31%+5.26 +3.0 14
1993-09-16 Polevkivi Johvi D 0-051.7 1269 1163 57.25% 15.71% 27.04%+0.85 -5.5 10
1993-09-16 @ Flora D 0-051.7 1163 1269 27.04% 15.71% 57.25%-0.85 +5.5 7
1993-09-18 Tervis Parnu W 4-240.9 1224 1028 66.37% 15.63% 18.00%+1.52 +20.9 11
1993-09-18 @ Nikol Tallinn L 2-440.9 1028 1224 18.00% 15.63% 66.37%-1.52 -20.9 5
1993-09-18 Merkuur W 3-030.2 1016 646 77.24% 15.37% 7.40%+2.84 +16.9 7
1993-09-18 @ Sadam Tallinn L 0-330.2 646 1016 7.40% 15.37% 77.24%-2.84 -16.9 1
1993-09-18 Tevalte L 1-233.8 646 1184 3.22% 14.99% 81.78%-4.04 -2.6 0
1993-09-18 @ Sillame Kalev W 2-133.8 1184 646 81.78% 14.99% 3.22%+4.04 +2.6 12
1993-09-18 Narva Trans L 1-632.5 810 1134 10.30% 15.47% 74.23%-2.41 -31.0 3
1993-09-18 @ Tallinna Dnamo W 6-132.5 1134 810 74.23% 15.47% 10.30%+2.41 +31.0 9
1993-09-25 Sadam Tallinn L 0-240.9 1007 1033 39.69% 15.74% 44.57%-0.15 -54.2 5
1993-09-25 @ Tervis Parnu W 2-040.9 1033 1007 44.57% 15.74% 39.69%+0.15 +54.2 9
1993-10-02 Flora L 1-432.5 777 1264 4.27% 15.13% 80.60%-3.65 -8.3 5
1993-10-02 @ DAG Tartu W 4-132.5 1264 777 80.60% 15.13% 4.27%+3.65 +8.3 12
1993-10-02 Tevalte W 1-034.6 1482 1186 73.60% 15.50% 10.90%+2.28 +8.9 16
1993-10-02 @ Norma Tallinn L 0-134.6 1186 1482 10.90% 15.50% 73.60%-2.28 -9.0 12
1993-10-02 Tallinna Dnamo W 1-031.8 1169 779 78.02% 15.33% 6.65%+2.99 +5.6 9
1993-10-02 @ Polevkivi Johvi L 0-131.8 779 1169 6.65% 15.33% 78.02%-2.99 -5.6 3
1993-10-02 Sillame Kalev W 4-144.3 629 643 41.33% 15.74% 42.92%-0.06 +70.9 3
1993-10-02 @ Merkuur L 1-444.3 643 629 42.92% 15.74% 41.33%+0.06 -70.9 0
1993-10-07 Norma Tallinn D 1-157.1 1272 1491 17.39% 15.62% 66.99%-1.62 +8.5 13
1993-10-07 @ Flora D 1-157.1 1491 1272 66.99% 15.62% 17.39%+1.62 -8.5 17
1993-10-07 Polevkivi Johvi W 1-039.6 1244 1174 52.86% 15.73% 31.41%+0.57 +23.5 13
1993-10-07 @ Nikol Tallinn L 0-139.6 1174 1244 31.41% 15.73% 52.86%-0.57 -23.5 9
1993-10-07 Narva Trans W 1-045.5 1087 1165 32.56% 15.73% 51.71%-0.55 +36.2 11
1993-10-07 @ Sadam Tallinn L 0-145.5 1165 1087 51.71% 15.73% 32.56%+0.55 -36.2 9
1993-10-07 Tervis Parnu D 0-051.5 572 953 7.59% 15.37% 77.04%-2.85 +13.8 1
1993-10-07 @ Sillame Kalev D 0-051.5 953 572 77.04% 15.37% 7.59%+2.85 -13.8 6
1993-10-07 DAG Tartu L 2-448.7 774 768 44.10% 15.74% 40.15%+0.08 -45.9 3
1993-10-07 @ Tallinna Dnamo W 4-248.7 768 774 40.15% 15.74% 44.10%-0.08 +45.9 7
1993-10-07 Merkuur W 10-127.5 1178 700 80.76% 15.13% 4.12%+3.66 +22.0 14
1993-10-07 @ Tevalte L 1-1027.5 700 1178 4.12% 15.13% 80.76%-3.66 -22.0 3
1993-10-10 Nikol Tallinn L 0-137.6 1128 1268 25.11% 15.69% 59.19%-1.02 -19.3 9
1993-10-10 @ Narva Trans W 1-037.6 1268 1128 59.19% 15.69% 25.11%+1.02 +19.3 15
1993-10-12 Tallinna Dnamo W 5-131.0 1281 728 82.36% 14.92% 2.72%+4.23 +6.9 15
1993-10-12 @ Flora L 1-531.0 728 1281 2.72% 14.92% 82.36%-4.23 -6.9 3
1993-10-12 Merkuur W 7-128.3 1483 678 85.25% 14.08% 0.66%+6.14 +2.4 19
1993-10-12 @ Norma Tallinn L 1-728.3 678 1483 0.66% 14.08% 85.25%-6.14 -2.4 3
1993-10-12 Sadam Tallinn D 0-051.5 1151 1123 47.19% 15.74% 37.07%+0.25 -1.8 10
1993-10-12 @ Polevkivi Johvi D 0-051.5 1123 1151 37.07% 15.74% 47.19%-0.25 +1.8 12
1993-10-12 Tevalte L 0-233.2 939 1200 14.19% 15.57% 70.24%-1.93 -21.6 6
1993-10-12 @ Tervis Parnu W 2-033.2 1200 939 70.24% 15.57% 14.19%+1.93 +21.6 16
1993-10-13 Nikol Tallinn L 0-329.3 814 1287 4.61% 15.16% 80.22%-3.54 -10.7 7
1993-10-13 @ DAG Tartu W 3-029.3 1287 814 80.22% 15.16% 4.61%+3.54 +10.7 17
1993-10-13 Sillame Kalev W 11-025.7 1109 586 81.79% 15.01% 3.20%+4.00 +25.3 11
1993-10-13 @ Narva Trans L 0-1125.7 586 1109 3.20% 15.01% 81.79%-4.00 -25.4 1
1993-10-16 Flora D 1-155.0 1298 1287 44.80% 15.74% 39.46%+0.12 -0.8 18
1993-10-16 @ Nikol Tallinn D 1-155.0 1287 1298 39.46% 15.74% 44.80%-0.12 +0.8 16
1993-10-16 DAG Tartu W 3-030.9 1125 804 75.00% 15.46% 9.54%+2.47 +21.6 14
1993-10-16 @ Sadam Tallinn L 0-330.9 804 1125 9.54% 15.46% 75.00%-2.47 -21.6 7
1993-10-16 Polevkivi Johvi L 1-530.9 561 1149 2.44% 14.85% 82.70%-4.42 -6.2 1
1993-10-16 @ Sillame Kalev W 5-130.9 1149 561 82.70% 14.85% 2.44%+4.42 +6.2 12
1993-10-16 Norma Tallinn L 1-332.2 721 1485 0.91% 14.27% 84.81%-5.75 -1.3 3
1993-10-16 @ Tallinna Dnamo W 3-132.2 1485 721 84.81% 14.27% 0.91%+5.75 +1.3 21
1993-10-16 Tervis Parnu L 1-237.6 676 918 15.56% 15.59% 68.85%-1.79 -11.8 3
1993-10-16 @ Merkuur W 2-137.6 918 676 68.85% 15.59% 15.56%+1.79 +11.8 8
1993-10-16 Narva Trans D 0-051.5 1221 1134 54.93% 15.72% 29.35%+0.70 -4.7 17
1993-10-16 @ Tevalte D 0-051.5 1134 1221 29.35% 15.72% 54.93%-0.70 +4.7 12
1994-04-23 Tallinna Dnamo L 0-253.6 1297 720 82.78% 14.85% 2.37%+4.41 -110.2 18
1994-04-23 @ Nikol Tallinn W 2-053.6 720 1297 2.37% 14.85% 82.78%-4.41 +110.2 5
1994-04-23 DAG Tartu L 1-238.0 554 782 16.69% 15.61% 67.70%-1.68 -12.6 1
1994-04-23 @ Sillame Kalev W 2-138.0 782 554 67.70% 15.61% 16.69%+1.68 +12.6 9
1994-04-23 Narva Trans L 0-527.8 664 1139 4.56% 15.16% 80.28%-3.56 -17.0 3
1994-04-23 @ Merkuur W 5-027.8 1139 664 80.28% 15.16% 4.56%+3.56 +17.0 14
1994-04-23 Norma Tallinn L 0-229.9 929 1486 2.91% 14.94% 82.15%-4.18 -4.6 8
1994-04-23 @ Tervis Parnu W 2-029.9 1486 929 82.15% 14.94% 2.91%+4.18 +4.6 23
1994-04-23 Polevkivi Johvi D 0-051.5 1217 1155 51.73% 15.73% 32.54%+0.51 -3.5 18
1994-04-23 @ Tevalte D 0-051.5 1155 1217 32.54% 15.73% 51.73%-0.51 +3.5 13
1994-04-24 Flora L 0-435.0 1146 1288 24.87% 15.69% 59.44%-1.04 -68.5 14
1994-04-24 @ Sadam Tallinn W 4-035.0 1288 1146 59.44% 15.69% 24.87%+1.04 +68.5 18
1994-04-29 Sadam Tallinn L 1-237.5 830 1078 15.10% 15.58% 69.31%-1.84 -11.5 5
1994-04-29 @ Tallinna Dnamo W 2-137.5 1078 830 69.31% 15.58% 15.10%+1.84 +11.5 16
1994-04-30 Tevalte L 0-131.6 794 1213 6.20% 15.29% 78.51%-3.13 -5.2 9
1994-04-30 @ DAG Tartu W 1-031.6 1213 794 78.51% 15.29% 6.20%+3.13 +5.2 20
1994-04-30 Sillame Kalev W 6-025.8 1357 542 85.33% 14.04% 0.63%+6.21 +2.7 20
1994-04-30 @ Flora L 0-625.8 542 1357 0.63% 14.04% 85.33%-6.21 -2.7 1
1994-04-30 Tervis Parnu W 3-032.6 1156 925 69.30% 15.59% 15.11%+1.79 +33.3 16
1994-04-30 @ Narva Trans L 0-332.6 925 1156 15.11% 15.59% 69.30%-1.79 -33.3 8
1994-04-30 Norma Tallinn L 1-337.3 1187 1491 11.36% 15.50% 73.13%-2.26 -15.2 18
1994-04-30 @ Nikol Tallinn W 3-137.3 1491 1187 73.13% 15.50% 11.36%+2.26 +15.2 25
1994-04-30 Merkuur W 9-026.0 1158 647 81.55% 15.04% 3.41%+3.92 +22.3 15
1994-04-30 @ Polevkivi Johvi L 0-926.0 647 1158 3.41% 15.04% 81.55%-3.92 -22.3 3
1994-05-06 Nikol Tallinn L 0-139.6 1089 1172 31.98% 15.73% 52.30%-0.58 -23.9 16
1994-05-06 @ Sadam Tallinn W 1-039.6 1172 1089 52.30% 15.73% 31.98%+0.58 +23.9 20
1994-05-07 Narva Trans L 0-154.1 1506 1189 74.77% 15.46% 9.77%+2.44 -52.4 25
1994-05-07 @ Norma Tallinn W 1-054.1 1189 1506 9.77% 15.46% 74.77%-2.44 +52.4 18
1994-05-07 Tallinna Dnamo W 2-154.4 539 819 12.88% 15.54% 71.58%-2.08 +47.1 3
1994-05-07 @ Sillame Kalev L 1-254.4 819 539 71.58% 15.54% 12.88%+2.08 -47.1 5
1994-05-07 DAG Tartu L 1-239.7 625 789 22.46% 15.67% 61.86%-1.21 -16.5 3
1994-05-07 @ Merkuur W 2-139.7 789 625 61.86% 15.67% 22.46%+1.21 +16.5 11
1994-05-07 Polevkivi Johvi L 2-537.9 891 1181 12.26% 15.53% 72.22%-2.15 -20.0 8
1994-05-07 @ Tervis Parnu W 5-237.9 1181 891 72.22% 15.53% 12.26%+2.15 +20.0 17
1994-05-10 Tervis Parnu W 1-044.9 806 871 34.15% 15.73% 50.12%-0.46 +35.2 13
1994-05-10 @ DAG Tartu L 0-144.9 871 806 50.12% 15.73% 34.15%+0.46 -35.2 8
1994-05-10 Merkuur W 4-027.1 1359 608 84.82% 14.28% 0.90%+5.73 +2.7 22
1994-05-10 @ Flora L 0-427.1 608 1359 0.90% 14.28% 84.82%-5.73 -2.7 3
1994-05-10 Sillame Kalev W 4-131.7 1196 586 83.26% 14.76% 1.98%+4.66 +3.9 22
1994-05-10 @ Nikol Tallinn L 1-431.7 586 1196 1.98% 14.76% 83.26%-4.66 -3.9 3
1994-05-10 Narva Trans L 0-240.5 1201 1242 37.50% 15.74% 46.76%-0.27 -51.6 17
1994-05-10 @ Polevkivi Johvi W 2-040.5 1242 1201 46.76% 15.74% 37.50%+0.27 +51.6 20
1994-05-10 Tevalte L 0-627.5 771 1218 5.32% 15.22% 79.45%-3.35 -23.5 5
1994-05-10 @ Tallinna Dnamo W 6-027.5 1218 771 79.45% 15.22% 5.32%+3.35 +23.5 22
1994-05-11 Norma Tallinn L 0-231.6 1065 1454 7.30% 15.35% 77.35%-2.90 -11.5 16
1994-05-11 @ Sadam Tallinn W 2-031.6 1454 1065 77.35% 15.35% 7.30%+2.90 +11.5 27
1994-05-14 DAG Tartu D 1-154.3 1293 841 80.09% 15.19% 4.72%+3.47 -13.6 21
1994-05-14 @ Narva Trans D 1-154.3 841 1293 4.72% 15.19% 80.09%-3.47 +13.6 14
1994-05-14 Polevkivi Johvi D 1-155.3 1465 1149 74.74% 15.47% 9.80%+2.44 -11.4 28
1994-05-14 @ Norma Tallinn D 1-155.3 1149 1465 9.80% 15.47% 74.74%-2.44 +11.4 18
1994-05-14 Sadam Tallinn L 0-627.3 582 1054 4.65% 15.17% 80.19%-3.53 -20.5 3
1994-05-14 @ Sillame Kalev W 6-027.3 1054 582 80.19% 15.17% 4.65%+3.53 +20.5 18
1994-05-14 Tallinna Dnamo L 1-537.9 606 748 24.81% 15.69% 59.50%-1.04 -56.9 3
1994-05-14 @ Merkuur W 5-137.9 748 606 59.50% 15.69% 24.81%+1.04 +57.0 7
1994-05-14 Flora L 0-626.9 836 1362 3.45% 15.03% 81.52%-3.95 -15.3 8
1994-05-14 @ Tervis Parnu W 6-026.9 1362 836 81.52% 15.03% 3.45%+3.95 +15.3 24
1994-05-15 Nikol Tallinn D 0-051.7 1242 1199 49.19% 15.74% 35.07%+0.36 -2.5 23
1994-05-15 @ Tevalte D 0-051.7 1199 1242 35.07% 15.74% 49.19%-0.36 +2.5 23
1994-05-21 Polevkivi Johvi L 0-529.9 854 1161 11.25% 15.50% 73.25%-2.28 -40.7 14
1994-05-21 @ DAG Tartu W 5-029.9 1161 854 73.25% 15.50% 11.25%+2.28 +40.7 20
1994-05-21 Merkuur W 8-127.9 1202 549 83.83% 14.62% 1.55%+4.99 +6.5 25
1994-05-21 @ Nikol Tallinn L 1-827.9 549 1202 1.55% 14.62% 83.83%-4.99 -6.6 3
1994-05-21 Tevalte L 0-334.9 1074 1239 22.44% 15.67% 61.88%-1.21 -47.8 18
1994-05-21 @ Sadam Tallinn W 3-034.9 1239 1074 61.88% 15.67% 22.44%+1.21 +47.8 25
1994-05-21 Norma Tallinn L 0-824.9 562 1454 0.45% 13.78% 85.77%-6.72 -2.5 3
1994-05-21 @ Sillame Kalev W 8-024.9 1454 562 85.77% 13.78% 0.45%+6.72 +2.6 30
1994-05-22 Tervis Parnu W 2-146.0 805 821 41.01% 15.74% 43.24%-0.08 +29.1 9
1994-05-22 @ Tallinna Dnamo L 1-246.0 821 805 43.24% 15.74% 41.01%+0.08 -29.1 8
1994-05-27 Sillame Kalev W 24-024.6 1287 559 84.61% 14.36% 1.02%+5.55 +17.2 27
1994-05-27 @ Tevalte L 0-2424.6 559 1287 1.02% 14.36% 84.61%-5.55 -17.2 3
1994-05-28 Tallinna Dnamo W 1-031.2 1280 834 79.90% 15.20% 4.90%+3.42 +4.1 23
1994-05-28 @ Narva Trans L 0-131.2 834 1280 4.90% 15.20% 79.90%-3.42 -4.1 9
1994-05-28 DAG Tartu W 4-027.5 1456 814 83.70% 14.65% 1.65%+4.91 +5.0 32
1994-05-28 @ Norma Tallinn L 0-427.5 814 1456 1.65% 14.65% 83.70%-4.91 -5.0 14
1994-05-28 Flora L 0-236.2 1201 1377 21.29% 15.66% 63.05%-1.30 -31.4 20
1994-05-28 @ Polevkivi Johvi W 2-036.2 1377 1201 63.05% 15.66% 21.29%+1.30 +31.4 26
1994-05-28 Sadam Tallinn L 1-531.6 542 1027 4.33% 15.13% 80.54%-3.63 -10.9 3
1994-05-28 @ Merkuur W 5-131.6 1027 542 80.54% 15.13% 4.33%+3.63 +10.9 20
1994-05-28 Nikol Tallinn L 0-230.7 792 1208 6.27% 15.29% 78.44%-3.12 -9.9 8
1994-05-28 @ Tervis Parnu W 2-030.7 1208 792 78.44% 15.29% 6.27%+3.12 +9.9 27
1994-06-03 Norma Tallinn W 3-153.5 1304 1461 23.23% 15.68% 61.08%-1.15 +69.3 29
1994-06-03 @ Tevalte L 1-353.5 1461 1304 61.08% 15.68% 23.23%+1.15 -69.3 32
1994-06-04 Narva Trans W 2-148.5 1218 1284 34.17% 15.73% 50.10%-0.46 +33.2 29
1994-06-04 @ Nikol Tallinn L 1-248.5 1284 1218 50.10% 15.73% 34.17%+0.46 -33.2 23
1994-06-04 Tervis Parnu W 2-032.9 1038 782 71.07% 15.56% 13.37%+1.98 +20.5 22
1994-06-04 @ Sadam Tallinn L 0-232.9 782 1038 13.37% 15.56% 71.07%-1.98 -20.5 8
1994-06-05 DAG Tartu W 5-130.9 1409 809 83.13% 14.79% 2.09%+4.59 +5.3 28
1994-06-05 @ Flora L 1-530.9 809 1409 2.09% 14.79% 83.13%-4.59 -5.3 14
1994-06-05 Polevkivi Johvi D 1-154.2 830 1170 9.44% 15.44% 75.12%-2.54 +11.6 10
1994-06-05 @ Tallinna Dnamo D 1-154.2 1170 830 75.12% 15.44% 9.44%+2.54 -11.6 21
1994-06-09 Flora D 0-054.7 1374 1414 37.56% 15.74% 46.70%-0.27 +1.6 30
1994-06-09 @ Tevalte D 0-054.7 1414 1374 46.70% 15.74% 37.56%+0.27 -1.6 29
1994-06-11 Tallinna Dnamo L 1-343.7 804 842 37.91% 15.74% 46.35%-0.25 -45.1 14
1994-06-11 @ DAG Tartu W 3-143.7 842 804 46.35% 15.74% 37.91%+0.25 +45.1 12
1994-06-11 Sadam Tallinn W 2-138.6 1251 1058 66.13% 15.64% 18.24%+1.50 +13.6 25
1994-06-11 @ Narva Trans L 1-238.6 1058 1251 18.24% 15.64% 66.13%-1.50 -13.6 22
1994-06-11 Nikol Tallinn L 0-139.3 1158 1252 30.58% 15.72% 53.70%-0.67 -23.0 21
1994-06-11 @ Polevkivi Johvi W 1-039.3 1252 1158 53.70% 15.72% 30.58%+0.67 +23.0 31
1994-06-12 Flora L 0-145.8 1392 1413 40.37% 15.74% 43.88%-0.12 -29.2 32
1994-06-12 @ Norma Tallinn W 1-045.8 1413 1392 43.88% 15.74% 40.37%+0.12 +29.2 31
1994-06-12 Tevalte L 0-625.7 531 1375 0.58% 13.97% 85.44%-6.36 -2.5 3
1994-06-12 @ Merkuur W 6-025.7 1375 531 85.44% 13.97% 0.58%+6.36 +2.6 32
1994-06-17 Polevkivi Johvi D 0-051.4 1044 1135 30.89% 15.72% 53.38%-0.65 +4.1 23
1994-06-17 @ Sadam Tallinn D 0-051.4 1135 1044 53.38% 15.72% 30.89%+0.65 -4.1 22
1994-06-18 DAG Tartu W 4-236.3 1275 758 81.65% 15.02% 3.33%+3.95 +4.1 33
1994-06-18 @ Nikol Tallinn L 2-436.3 758 1275 3.33% 15.02% 81.65%-3.95 -4.1 14
1994-06-18 Tervis Parnu W 3-028.4 1378 761 83.36% 14.74% 1.91%+4.71 +4.4 34
1994-06-18 @ Tevalte L 0-328.4 761 1378 1.91% 14.74% 83.36%-4.71 -4.4 8
1994-06-19 Flora L 0-428.1 887 1442 2.94% 14.95% 82.11%-4.17 -8.9 12
1994-06-19 @ Tallinna Dnamo W 4-028.1 1442 887 82.11% 14.95% 2.94%+4.17 +8.9 33
1994-06-19 Norma Tallinn L 0-526.3 529 1363 0.62% 14.01% 85.37%-6.28 -2.3 3
1994-06-19 @ Merkuur W 5-026.3 1363 529 85.37% 14.01% 0.62%+6.28 +2.3 34
1994-06-22 Narva Trans D 1-156.3 1451 1264 65.54% 15.64% 18.81%+1.45 -7.9 34
1994-06-22 @ Flora D 1-156.3 1264 1451 18.81% 15.64% 65.54%-1.45 +7.9 26
1994-06-27 Sadam Tallinn L 0-629.6 754 1048 11.95% 15.52% 72.53%-2.19 -51.2 14
1994-06-27 @ DAG Tartu W 6-029.6 1048 754 72.53% 15.52% 11.95%+2.19 +51.2 25
1994-06-27 Nikol Tallinn W 1-038.4 1443 1279 63.46% 15.67% 20.88%+1.28 +16.4 36
1994-06-27 @ Flora L 0-138.4 1279 1443 20.88% 15.67% 63.46%-1.28 -16.4 33
1994-06-27 Tallinna Dnamo W 2-030.0 1365 878 81.00% 15.10% 3.90%+3.73 +6.2 36
1994-06-27 @ Norma Tallinn L 0-230.0 878 1365 3.90% 15.10% 81.00%-3.73 -6.2 12
1994-06-27 Merkuur W 3-032.6 757 526 69.25% 15.59% 15.16%+1.79 +33.4 10
1994-06-27 @ Tervis Parnu L 0-332.6 526 757 15.16% 15.59% 69.25%-1.79 -33.4 3
1994-06-28 Narva Trans FL49.8 542 1272 1.10% 14.39% 84.50%-5.49 +0.0 3
1994-06-28 @ Sillame Kalev FW49.8 1272 542 84.50% 14.39% 1.10%+5.49 +0.0 28
1994-06-28 Merkuur FL49.4 542 493 50.09% 15.74% 34.17%+0.41 +0.0 3
1994-06-28 @ Sillame Kalev FW49.4 493 542 34.17% 15.74% 50.09%-0.41 +0.0 5
1994-06-28 Tevalte FW50.8 1272 1382 28.55% 15.71% 55.73%-0.79 +0.0 30
1994-06-28 @ Narva Trans FL50.8 1382 1272 55.73% 15.71% 28.55%+0.79 +0.0 34
1994-06-28 Sillame Kalev FW49.7 1131 542 82.97% 14.82% 2.22%+4.50 +0.0 24
1994-06-28 @ Polevkivi Johvi FL49.7 542 1131 2.22% 14.82% 82.97%-4.50 +0.0 3
1994-06-28 Sillame Kalev FW49.5 790 542 70.56% 15.57% 13.87%+1.92 +0.0 12
1994-06-28 @ Tervis Parnu FL49.5 542 790 13.87% 15.57% 70.56%-1.92 +0.0 3

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1994-06-30 Norma Tallinn W 5-247.8 1459 1371 54.01% 15.72% 30.27%+0.66 +45.5 2
1994-06-30 @ Flora L 2-547.8 1371 1459 30.27% 15.72% 54.01%-0.66 -45.5 0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1994-04-23 2.37% Tallinna Dnamo 720 2 @ Nikol Tallinn 1297 0
2 1994-05-07 9.77% Narva Trans 1189 1 @ Norma Tallinn 1506 0
3 1994-05-07 12.88% @ Sillame Kalev 539 2 Tallinna Dnamo 819 1
4 1994-06-03 23.23% @ Tevalte 1304 3 Norma Tallinn 1461 1
5 1993-08-14 24.06% Tevalte 1147 2 @ Flora 1280 1
6 1993-10-07 32.56% @ Sadam Tallinn 1087 1 Narva Trans 1165 0
7 1993-08-21 32.75% @ Narva Trans 1100 1 Polevkivi Johvi 1177 0
8 1994-05-10 34.15% @ DAG Tartu 806 1 Tervis Parnu 871 0
9 1994-06-04 34.17% @ Nikol Tallinn 1218 2 Narva Trans 1284 1
10 1993-07-30 35.29% Tevalte 1092 2 @ Polevkivi Johvi 1133 1
11 1993-10-07 40.15% DAG Tartu 768 4 @ Tallinna Dnamo 774 2
12 1994-05-22 41.01% @ Tallinna Dnamo 805 2 Tervis Parnu 821 1
13 1993-10-02 41.33% @ Merkuur 629 4 Sillame Kalev 643 1
14 1993-08-27 41.89% @ Nikol Tallinn 1184 2 Tevalte 1194 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1994-04-23 110.23 Tallinna Dnamo 2 720 2.37% @ Nikol Tallinn 0 1297 82.78% 14.85%
2 1993-08-22 91.77 @ Tervis Parnu 4 927 49.53% DAG Tartu 0 882 34.74% 15.74%
3 1993-07-31 76.93 @ Narva Trans 10 1057 73.52% Merkuur 0 763 10.98% 15.50%
4 1993-08-14 76.31 @ Polevkivi Johvi 4 1100 56.18% Tervis Parnu 0 1003 28.10% 15.71%
5 1993-10-02 70.93 @ Merkuur 4 629 41.33% Sillame Kalev 1 643 42.92% 15.74%
6 1994-06-03 69.32 @ Tevalte 3 1304 23.23% Norma Tallinn 1 1461 61.08% 15.68%
7 1994-04-24 68.49 Flora 4 1288 59.44% @ Sadam Tallinn 0 1146 24.87% 15.69%
8 1994-05-14 56.95 Tallinna Dnamo 5 748 59.50% @ Merkuur 1 606 24.81% 15.69%
9 1993-08-07 54.88 @ Norma Tallinn 3 1349 58.11% Nikol Tallinn 0 1235 26.18% 15.70%
10 1993-09-25 54.21 Sadam Tallinn 2 1033 44.57% @ Tervis Parnu 0 1007 39.69% 15.74%
11 1994-05-07 52.40 Narva Trans 1 1189 9.77% @ Norma Tallinn 0 1506 74.77% 15.46%
12 1994-05-10 51.65 Narva Trans 2 1242 46.76% @ Polevkivi Johvi 0 1201 37.50% 15.74%
13 1994-06-27 51.17 Sadam Tallinn 6 1048 72.53% @ DAG Tartu 0 754 11.95% 15.52%
14 1993-08-07 48.07 @ Sadam Tallinn 4 995 56.96% Tallinna Dnamo 1 892 27.33% 15.71%
15 1994-05-21 47.82 Tevalte 3 1239 61.88% @ Sadam Tallinn 0 1074 22.44% 15.67%
16 1994-05-07 47.12 @ Sillame Kalev 2 539 12.88% Tallinna Dnamo 1 819 71.58% 15.54%
17 1993-10-07 45.92 DAG Tartu 4 768 40.15% @ Tallinna Dnamo 2 774 44.10% 15.74%
18 1994-06-30 45.52 @ Flora 5 1459 54.01% Norma Tallinn 2 1371 30.27% 15.72%
19 1994-06-11 45.15 Tallinna Dnamo 3 842 46.35% @ DAG Tartu 1 804 37.91% 15.74%
20 1994-05-21 40.69 Polevkivi Johvi 5 1161 73.25% @ DAG Tartu 0 854 11.25% 15.50%
21 1993-08-03 40.62 Nikol Tallinn 4 1195 70.41% @ Tallinna Dnamo 0 932 14.03% 15.56%
22 1993-08-14 39.48 Tevalte 2 1147 24.06% @ Flora 1 1280 60.24% 15.69%
23 1993-08-03 37.93 @ Flora 3 1236 66.99% Sadam Tallinn 0 1033 17.38% 15.63%
24 1993-10-07 36.21 @ Sadam Tallinn 1 1087 32.56% Narva Trans 0 1165 51.71% 15.73%
25 1993-08-21 36.08 @ Narva Trans 1 1100 32.75% Polevkivi Johvi 0 1177 51.52% 15.73%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1993-08-07 57.5 @ Tervis Parnu 2 999 25.66% Narva Trans 2 1134 58.64% 15.70%
2 1993-08-28 57.5 @ DAG Tartu 2 790 9.13% Narva Trans 2 1136 75.44% 15.43%
3 1993-10-07 57.1 @ Flora 1 1272 17.39% Norma Tallinn 1 1491 66.99% 15.62%
4 1994-06-22 56.3 @ Flora 1 1451 65.54% Narva Trans 1 1264 18.81% 15.64%
5 1994-05-14 55.3 @ Norma Tallinn 1 1465 74.74% Polevkivi Johvi 1 1149 9.80% 15.47%
6 1993-10-16 55.0 @ Nikol Tallinn 1 1298 44.80% Flora 1 1287 39.46% 15.74%
7 1994-06-09 54.7 @ Tevalte 0 1374 37.56% Flora 0 1414 46.70% 15.74%
8 1993-09-11 54.4 @ Narva Trans 1 1128 24.24% Flora 1 1275 60.07% 15.69%
9 1994-05-07 54.4 @ Sillame Kalev 2 539 12.88% Tallinna Dnamo 1 819 71.58% 15.54%
10 1994-05-14 54.3 @ Narva Trans 1 1293 80.09% DAG Tartu 1 841 4.72% 15.19%
11 1994-06-05 54.2 @ Tallinna Dnamo 1 830 9.44% Polevkivi Johvi 1 1170 75.12% 15.44%
12 1994-05-07 54.1 Narva Trans 1 1189 9.77% @ Norma Tallinn 0 1506 74.77% 15.46%
13 1994-04-23 53.6 Tallinna Dnamo 2 720 2.37% @ Nikol Tallinn 0 1297 82.78% 14.85%
14 1994-06-03 53.5 @ Tevalte 3 1304 23.23% Norma Tallinn 1 1461 61.08% 15.68%
15 1993-09-16 51.7 @ Flora 0 1269 57.25% Polevkivi Johvi 0 1163 27.04% 15.71%
16 1994-05-15 51.7 @ Tevalte 0 1242 49.19% Nikol Tallinn 0 1199 35.07% 15.74%
17 1993-10-07 51.5 @ Sillame Kalev 0 572 7.59% Tervis Parnu 0 953 77.04% 15.37%
18 1993-10-12 51.5 @ Polevkivi Johvi 0 1151 47.19% Sadam Tallinn 0 1123 37.07% 15.74%
19 1993-10-16 51.5 @ Tevalte 0 1221 54.93% Narva Trans 0 1134 29.35% 15.72%
20 1994-04-23 51.5 @ Tevalte 0 1217 51.73% Polevkivi Johvi 0 1155 32.54% 15.73%
21 1993-08-13 51.4 @ Nikol Tallinn 0 1181 60.71% Sadam Tallinn 0 1043 23.60% 15.69%
22 1993-08-28 51.4 @ Tallinna Dnamo 0 852 66.11% Merkuur 0 659 18.25% 15.64%
23 1994-06-17 51.4 @ Sadam Tallinn 0 1044 30.89% Polevkivi Johvi 0 1135 53.38% 15.72%
24 1993-08-14 51.3 Tevalte 2 1147 24.06% @ Flora 1 1280 60.24% 15.69%
25 1993-10-07 48.7 DAG Tartu 4 768 40.15% @ Tallinna Dnamo 2 774 44.10% 15.74%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1994-05-27 24.6 @ Tevalte 24 1287 84.61% Sillame Kalev 0 559 1.02% 14.36%
2 1994-05-21 24.9 Norma Tallinn 8 1454 85.77% @ Sillame Kalev 0 562 0.45% 13.78%
3 1993-09-11 25.3 @ Norma Tallinn 7 1476 85.42% Sillame Kalev 0 649 0.58% 13.99%
4 1993-10-13 25.7 @ Narva Trans 11 1109 81.79% Sillame Kalev 0 586 3.20% 15.01%
5 1994-06-12 25.7 Tevalte 6 1375 85.44% @ Merkuur 0 531 0.58% 13.97%
6 1994-04-30 25.8 @ Flora 6 1357 85.33% Sillame Kalev 0 542 0.63% 14.04%
7 1994-04-30 26.0 @ Polevkivi Johvi 9 1158 81.55% Merkuur 0 647 3.41% 15.04%
8 1994-06-19 26.3 Norma Tallinn 5 1363 85.37% @ Merkuur 0 529 0.62% 14.01%
9 1993-08-21 26.6 Flora 6 1241 82.38% @ Merkuur 0 671 2.72% 14.91%
10 1994-05-14 26.9 Flora 6 1362 81.52% @ Tervis Parnu 0 836 3.45% 15.03%
11 1994-05-10 27.1 @ Flora 4 1359 84.82% Merkuur 0 608 0.90% 14.28%
12 1993-09-11 27.2 Nikol Tallinn 5 1213 82.12% @ Merkuur 0 657 2.93% 14.95%
13 1994-05-14 27.3 Sadam Tallinn 6 1054 80.19% @ Sillame Kalev 0 582 4.65% 15.17%
14 1993-10-07 27.5 @ Tevalte 10 1178 80.76% Merkuur 1 700 4.12% 15.13%
15 1994-05-10 27.5 Tevalte 6 1218 79.45% @ Tallinna Dnamo 0 771 5.32% 15.22%
16 1994-05-28 27.5 @ Norma Tallinn 4 1456 83.70% DAG Tartu 0 814 1.65% 14.65%
17 1994-04-23 27.8 Narva Trans 5 1139 80.28% @ Merkuur 0 664 4.56% 15.16%
18 1994-05-21 27.9 @ Nikol Tallinn 8 1202 83.83% Merkuur 1 549 1.55% 14.62%
19 1993-08-22 28.0 @ Norma Tallinn 7 1433 77.79% Sadam Tallinn 0 1050 6.87% 15.34%
20 1994-06-19 28.1 Flora 4 1442 82.11% @ Tallinna Dnamo 0 887 2.94% 14.95%
21 1993-09-16 28.2 Norma Tallinn 3 1479 84.19% @ DAG Tartu 0 780 1.31% 14.50%
22 1993-07-31 28.3 @ Narva Trans 10 1057 73.52% Merkuur 0 763 10.98% 15.50%
23 1993-10-12 28.3 @ Norma Tallinn 7 1483 85.25% Merkuur 1 678 0.66% 14.08%
24 1994-06-18 28.4 @ Tevalte 3 1378 83.36% Tervis Parnu 0 761 1.91% 14.74%
25 1993-08-07 28.6 Flora 3 1274 82.47% @ Sillame Kalev 0 699 2.64% 14.89%