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1996 1. deild Season

90 games

Final

Champion

GI Gota

39 points · 6th Title

Last Title: 1995.0

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

KI Klaksvik

6.09 points above expected

39 points · 32.91 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

TB Tvoroyri

5.99 points below expected

13 points · 18.99 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 GI Gota Champion 18 12 3 3 39 52 14 +38 37.92 +1.08
2 KI Klaksvik 18 11 6 1 39 47 16 +31 32.91 +6.09
3 HB Torshavn 18 10 2 6 32 47 29 +18 28.65 +3.35
4 B36 Torshavn 18 9 5 4 32 34 21 +13 26.91 +5.09
5 Vags Boltfelag 18 7 3 8 24 19 25 -6 21.95 +2.05
6 Fuglafjordur 18 6 5 7 23 26 32 -6 23.31 -0.31
7 B68 Toftir 18 5 3 10 18 23 34 -11 22.68 -4.68
8 B71 Sandoy 18 4 6 8 18 20 40 -20 18.75 -0.75
9 FS Vagar 18 4 1 13 13 20 47 -27 18.79 -5.79
10 TB Tvoroyri 18 3 4 11 13 21 51 -30 18.99 -5.99

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 KI Klaksvik 39 32.91 +6.09
2 B36 Torshavn 32 26.91 +5.09
3 HB Torshavn 32 28.65 +3.35
4 Vags Boltfelag 24 21.95 +2.05
5 GI Gota 39 37.92 +1.08

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 TB Tvoroyri 13 18.99 -5.99
2 FS Vagar 13 18.79 -5.79
3 B68 Toftir 18 22.68 -4.68
4 B71 Sandoy 18 18.75 -0.75
5 Fuglafjordur 23 23.31 -0.31

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 HB Torshavn 5 Sep 11 – Oct 13 1 in 26
2 Vags Boltfelag 3 May 5 – May 19 1 in 21
3 B36 Torshavn 3 May 27 – Jun 9 1 in 14
4 GI Gota 3 Apr 28 – May 12 1 in 10
5 KI Klaksvik 4 Sep 22 – Oct 19 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 B68 Toftir 4 May 5 – May 27 1 in 28
2 B71 Sandoy 3 Jun 20 – Aug 11 1 in 12
3 TB Tvoroyri 5 Aug 25 – Sep 29 1 in 12
4 GI Gota 1 Jun 9 – Jun 9 1 in 9
5 HB Torshavn 2 May 5 – May 12 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KI Klaksvik 13 Apr 28 – Sep 8 1 in 76
2 B36 Torshavn 8 Apr 28 – Jun 16 1 in 71
3 B71 Sandoy 4 Sep 15 – Oct 13 1 in 36
4 B68 Toftir 4 Jun 2 – Jun 23 1 in 11
5 TB Tvoroyri 4 Apr 28 – May 19 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 HB Torshavn 5 Apr 28 – Jun 2 1 in 17
2 TB Tvoroyri 10 Jun 9 – Sep 29 1 in 17
3 B68 Toftir 7 Apr 28 – Jun 9 1 in 14
4 B71 Sandoy 7 Jun 2 – Aug 18 1 in 10
5 B36 Torshavn 4 Jun 16 – Aug 18 1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
KI Klaksvik 1428 39 +56 12 10.1 +1.9
GI Gota 1453 39 +22 10 10.9 -0.9
HB Torshavn 1314 32 +58 12 9.1 +2.9
B36 Torshavn 1279 32 +66 12 9.3 +2.7
Vags Boltfelag 1074 24 -69 2 4.7 -2.7
Fuglafjordur 1131 23 +16 7 6.9 +0.1
B71 Sandoy 1053 18 +58 8 4.0 +4.0
B68 Toftir 1066 18 -94 3 6.9 -3.9
FS Vagar 990 13 -63 3 5.1 -2.1
TB Tvoroyri 929 13 -50 3 2.9 +0.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BT BT BS FV FUG GG HT KK TT VB
B36 Torshavn —
1-0-1
2.86
0-1-1
4.05
2-0-0
3.99
1-1-0
3.03
0-1-1
1.45
1-0-1
2.42
0-2-0
2.00
2-0-0
3.35
2-0-0
3.37
B68 Toftir
1-0-1
2.69
 —
0-0-2
3.18
2-0-0
3.07
0-1-1
2.41
0-0-2
1.60
0-1-1
2.24
0-1-1
1.45
1-0-1
3.35
1-0-1
2.59
B71 Sandoy
1-1-0
1.52
2-0-0
2.38
 —
1-1-0
2.63
0-0-2
2.51
0-1-1
1.37
0-0-2
1.95
0-0-2
1.26
0-2-0
2.78
0-1-1
2.48
FS Vagar
0-0-2
1.59
0-0-2
2.49
0-1-1
2.92
 —
1-0-1
2.41
0-0-2
1.75
1-0-1
1.51
0-0-2
1.38
1-0-1
2.85
1-0-1
2.36
Fuglafjordur
0-1-1
2.53
1-1-0
3.15
2-0-0
3.04
1-0-1
3.15
 —
0-1-1
1.10
1-0-1
2.17
0-0-2
1.94
1-1-0
3.04
0-1-1
2.88
GI Gota
1-1-0
4.12
2-0-0
3.99
1-1-0
4.25
2-0-0
3.85
1-1-0
4.50
 —
1-0-1
3.67
0-0-2
3.58
2-0-0
5.02
2-0-0
4.32
HB Torshavn
1-0-1
3.14
1-1-0
3.32
2-0-0
3.63
1-0-1
4.09
1-0-1
3.39
1-0-1
1.89
 —
1-1-0
2.06
2-0-0
4.11
0-0-2
3.50
KI Klaksvik
0-2-0
3.55
1-1-0
4.13
2-0-0
4.34
2-0-0
4.19
2-0-0
3.62
2-0-0
1.99
0-1-1
3.50
 —
1-1-0
3.81
1-1-0
4.24
TB Tvoroyri
0-0-2
2.23
1-0-1
2.22
0-2-0
2.78
1-0-1
2.70
0-1-1
2.51
0-0-2
0.63
0-0-2
1.47
0-1-1
1.78
 —
1-0-1
2.43
Vags Boltfelag
0-0-2
2.18
1-0-1
2.97
1-1-0
3.08
1-0-1
3.19
1-1-0
2.68
0-0-2
1.26
2-0-0
2.06
0-1-1
1.33
1-0-1
3.14
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.83 +6.9
Allowed 0.88 -7.5
Differential 0.98 +4.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.44%6.11%4.44%2.22%2.78%2.22%22.22%
16.11%12.22%7.22%5.56%0.56%3.33%35.00%
24.44%7.22%3.33%1.11%1.67%1.11%18.89%
32.22%5.56%1.11%1.11%1.11%—11.11%
42.78%0.56%1.67%1.11%——6.11%
5+2.22%3.33%1.11%———6.67%
Total22.22%35.00%18.89%11.11%6.11%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 1.72 +0.00
SD 1.68 1.68 2.60
CV 0.98 0.98 —
Max 9 9 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 90

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%—5.56%——22.22%
1—16.67%—5.56%——22.22%
25.56%11.11%5.56%———22.22%
35.56%11.11%————16.67%
45.56%——5.56%——11.11%
5+—5.56%————5.56%
Total22.22%55.56%5.56%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.89 1.17 +0.72
SD 1.53 0.99 1.90
CV 0.81 0.84 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%—5.56%5.56%5.56%—22.22%
111.11%11.11%16.67%5.56%——44.44%
25.56%5.56%——5.56%—16.67%
3—5.56%——11.11%—16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.22%22.22%22.22%11.11%22.22%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.89 -0.61
SD 1.02 1.49 1.65
CV 0.80 0.79 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%5.56%—5.56%5.56%33.33%
15.56%22.22%—5.56%—5.56%38.89%
2—5.56%5.56%—5.56%—16.67%
3—5.56%————5.56%
4——5.56%———5.56%
5+———————
Total11.11%44.44%16.67%5.56%11.11%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 2.22 -1.11
SD 1.13 2.29 2.63
CV 1.02 1.03 —
Max 4 9 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.56%5.56%—5.56%11.11%27.78%
15.56%5.56%16.67%16.67%—5.56%50.00%
25.56%5.56%——5.56%—16.67%
3———————
4———————
5+—5.56%————5.56%
Total11.11%22.22%22.22%16.67%11.11%16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 2.61 -1.50
SD 1.18 1.97 2.68
CV 1.06 0.76 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%———5.56%5.56%16.67%
15.56%16.67%16.67%—5.56%5.56%50.00%
25.56%11.11%5.56%———22.22%
3—5.56%————5.56%
4———————
5+5.56%—————5.56%
Total22.22%33.33%22.22%—11.11%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.78 -0.33
SD 1.38 1.66 2.59
CV 0.96 0.94 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%————11.11%
15.56%11.11%5.56%———22.22%
2—5.56%—5.56%——11.11%
316.67%11.11%————27.78%
45.56%5.56%————11.11%
5+5.56%11.11%————16.67%
Total38.89%50.00%5.56%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.89 0.78 +2.11
SD 2.35 0.81 2.59
CV 0.81 1.04 —
Max 9 3 +8
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%11.11%———27.78%
15.56%—5.56%——5.56%16.67%
25.56%—————5.56%
3—5.56%5.56%5.56%——16.67%
4——11.11%5.56%——16.67%
5+5.56%5.56%5.56%———16.67%
Total22.22%22.22%38.89%11.11%—5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.61 1.61 +1.00
SD 2.59 1.29 2.85
CV 0.99 0.80 —
Max 9 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.56%————5.56%
15.56%22.22%————27.78%
25.56%11.11%5.56%———22.22%
3—5.56%—5.56%——11.11%
416.67%—————16.67%
5+5.56%5.56%5.56%———16.67%
Total33.33%50.00%11.11%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.61 0.89 +1.72
SD 1.72 0.83 1.99
CV 0.66 0.94 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%5.56%11.11%——27.78%
1—11.11%5.56%11.11%—11.11%38.89%
2—5.56%5.56%——11.11%22.22%
3—5.56%5.56%———11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total5.56%27.78%22.22%22.22%—22.22%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 2.83 -1.67
SD 0.99 2.33 2.40
CV 0.84 0.82 —
Max 3 9 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%11.11%—5.56%—27.78%
116.67%5.56%5.56%11.11%——38.89%
211.11%11.11%5.56%5.56%——33.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%22.22%22.22%16.67%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.39 -0.33
SD 0.80 1.29 1.64
CV 0.76 0.93 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 18

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
GI Gota 1453 39 37.92 +1.08 64.0% 27 29 35 38 41 46 48
KI Klaksvik 1428 39 32.91 +6.09 88.0% 21 23 29 32 37 42 47
HB Torshavn 1314 32 28.65 +3.35 77.0% 16 20 25 29 32 37 43
B36 Torshavn 1279 32 26.91 +5.09 90.0% 17 19 24 27 30 34 36
Fuglafjordur 1131 23 23.31 -0.31 50.0% 8 15 20 23 27 32 40
Vags Boltfelag 1074 24 21.95 +2.05 65.0% 3 11 18 22 26 31 36
B68 Toftir 1066 18 22.68 -4.68 21.0% 9 16 19 23 26 31 38
B71 Sandoy 1053 18 18.75 -0.75 48.0% 7 11 16 19 21 27 30
FS Vagar 990 13 18.79 -5.79 21.0% 7 9 14 18 23 29 32
TB Tvoroyri 929 13 18.99 -5.99 16.0% 8 10 15 19 23 27 31

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 22% * Strong Edge: 22% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+23.33%
Strong Edge
51.11%21.11%27.78%
Elo Value
Home Edge
132 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
082.59400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.48 goals
Neutral
-2+0.62+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.11 * Tight Race: 0.11 to 0.22 * Comfortable: 0.22 to 0.38 * Runaway: 0.38 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.0
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
66%
GI Gota, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.300.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.21 * Some Luck: 4.21 to 6.31 * Lucky: 6.31 to 8.41 * Wild Swing: 8.41 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.25 * Close: 1.25 to 1.87 * Off: 1.87 to 2.5 * Way Off: 2.5 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.14 points
As Expected
05.2613
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.80
Pinpoint
01.564
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
90.00%
B36 Torshavn
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
16.00%
TB Tvoroyri
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.45 * Moderate Separation: 1.45 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68.5% * Slight Edge: 68.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 88% * Wide Edge: 88% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 44.5% * Some Drama: 44.5% to 50.5% * Frequent: 50.5% to 57% * Very Frequent: 57% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 20% * Occasional: 20% to 25% * Frequent: 25% to 33.5% * Very Frequent: 33.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Even
00.190.280.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 184.07
1.73
Moderate Separation
0.851.451.82.153.25
Interquartile Edge
81%
Clear Edge
50%68.5%79%88%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
95%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
52%
Frequent
0%44%100%
Blowouts
Expected
24%
Occasional
0%33%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.49 * Notable Separation: 0.49 to 0.56 * Lopsided: 0.56 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.4 * Some Carryover: 0.4 to 0.61 * Strong Carryover: 0.61 to 0.77 * Near-Lock: 0.77 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.40
Slight Separation
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.64
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.23
Weak Carryover
00.40.610.771
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.17 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.17 to 0.25 * Above Noise: 0.25 to 0.34 * Well Above Noise: 0.34 and up.
Probability calibration
0.78
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.11
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.094
Well Within Noise
00.1700.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
GI Gota66.00%22.00%8.00%4.00%——————
KI Klaksvik23.00%40.00%13.00%12.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%——
HB Torshavn9.00%16.00%26.00%15.00%15.00%4.00%9.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%
B36 Torshavn—8.00%22.00%27.00%17.00%12.00%5.00%6.00%3.00%—
Vags Boltfelag1.00%4.00%9.00%9.00%12.00%11.00%20.00%11.00%10.00%13.00%
Fuglafjordur1.00%4.00%7.00%13.00%18.00%17.00%11.00%12.00%10.00%7.00%
B68 Toftir—2.00%6.00%9.00%19.00%23.00%13.00%15.00%6.00%7.00%
B71 Sandoy——3.00%4.00%2.00%12.00%12.00%22.00%26.00%19.00%
FS Vagar—3.00%4.00%5.00%8.00%5.00%12.00%14.00%26.00%23.00%
TB Tvoroyri—1.00%2.00%2.00%3.00%13.00%16.00%15.00%18.00%30.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
B36 Torshavn 97.00% 3.00% —
GI Gota 100% — —
KI Klaksvik 100% — —
HB Torshavn 98.00% 1.00% 1.00%
B68 Toftir 87.00% 6.00% 7.00%
Fuglafjordur 83.00% 10.00% 7.00%
Vags Boltfelag 77.00% 10.00% 13.00%
B71 Sandoy 55.00% 26.00% 19.00%
FS Vagar 51.00% 26.00% 23.00%
TB Tvoroyri 52.00% 18.00% 30.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1996-04-28 GI Gota L 1-344.7 1169 1245 39.75% 22.39% 37.86%+0.05 -31.2 0
1996-04-28 @ FS Vagar W 3-144.7 1245 1169 37.86% 22.39% 39.75%-0.05 +31.2 3
1996-04-28 B71 Sandoy W 1-040.8 1138 1194 42.58% 22.37% 35.05%+0.20 +17.3 3
1996-04-28 @ Fuglafjordur L 0-140.8 1194 1138 35.05% 22.37% 42.58%-0.20 -17.3 0
1996-04-28 B68 Toftir D 0-049.2 1231 1190 54.78% 21.96% 23.26%+0.93 -3.7 1
1996-04-28 @ HB Torshavn D 0-049.2 1190 1231 23.26% 21.96% 54.78%-0.93 +3.7 1
1996-04-28 B36 Torshavn D 1-152.6 1188 1120 57.75% 21.75% 20.50%+1.14 -4.0 1
1996-04-28 @ KI Klaksvik D 1-152.6 1120 1188 20.50% 21.75% 57.75%-1.14 +4.0 1
1996-04-28 Vags Boltfelag W 3-245.8 1141 1103 54.50% 21.98% 23.53%+0.91 +11.2 3
1996-04-28 @ TB Tvoroyri L 2-345.8 1103 1141 23.53% 21.98% 54.50%-0.91 -11.2 0
1996-05-05 B68 Toftir W 4-353.4 1124 1194 40.65% 22.38% 36.96%+0.10 +15.8 4
1996-05-05 @ B36 Torshavn L 3-453.4 1194 1124 36.96% 22.38% 40.65%-0.10 -15.8 1
1996-05-05 TB Tvoroyri D 0-049.1 1177 1152 52.96% 22.06% 24.98%+0.81 -3.2 1
1996-05-05 @ B71 Sandoy D 0-049.1 1152 1177 24.98% 22.06% 52.96%-0.81 +3.2 4
1996-05-05 HB Torshavn W 5-136.2 1276 1227 55.68% 21.90% 22.42%+0.99 +35.7 6
1996-05-05 @ GI Gota L 1-536.2 1227 1276 22.42% 21.90% 55.68%-0.99 -35.7 1
1996-05-05 Fuglafjordur W 5-136.5 1184 1156 53.41% 22.04% 24.55%+0.84 +38.6 4
1996-05-05 @ KI Klaksvik L 1-536.5 1156 1184 24.55% 22.04% 53.41%-0.84 -38.6 3
1996-05-05 FS Vagar W 2-038.1 1092 1137 43.98% 22.35% 33.67%+0.28 +31.6 3
1996-05-05 @ Vags Boltfelag L 0-238.1 1137 1092 33.67% 22.35% 43.98%-0.28 -31.6 0
1996-05-12 GI Gota L 0-336.1 1178 1312 31.78% 22.31% 45.90%-0.39 -43.9 1
1996-05-12 @ B68 Toftir W 3-036.1 1312 1178 45.90% 22.31% 31.78%+0.39 +43.9 9
1996-05-12 B71 Sandoy D 1-152.4 1106 1174 40.89% 22.38% 36.73%+0.11 -0.4 1
1996-05-12 @ FS Vagar D 1-152.4 1174 1106 36.73% 22.38% 40.89%-0.11 +0.4 2
1996-05-12 B36 Torshavn D 1-152.4 1117 1140 47.07% 22.29% 30.65%+0.45 -1.7 4
1996-05-12 @ Fuglafjordur D 1-152.4 1140 1117 30.65% 22.29% 47.07%-0.45 +1.7 5
1996-05-12 Vags Boltfelag L 1-251.6 1191 1123 57.72% 21.76% 20.53%+1.14 -24.9 1
1996-05-12 @ HB Torshavn W 2-151.6 1123 1191 20.53% 21.76% 57.72%-1.14 +24.9 6
1996-05-12 KI Klaksvik D 1-152.5 1155 1223 40.95% 22.38% 36.67%+0.11 -0.4 5
1996-05-12 @ TB Tvoroyri D 1-152.5 1223 1155 36.67% 22.38% 40.95%-0.11 +0.4 5
1996-05-19 GI Gota D 0-049.4 1141 1355 22.42% 21.90% 55.68%-0.99 +3.9 6
1996-05-19 @ B36 Torshavn D 0-049.4 1355 1141 55.68% 21.90% 22.42%+0.99 -3.9 10
1996-05-19 TB Tvoroyri D 2-256.9 1115 1155 44.82% 22.33% 32.84%+0.33 -0.9 5
1996-05-19 @ Fuglafjordur D 2-256.9 1155 1115 32.84% 22.33% 44.82%-0.33 +0.9 6
1996-05-19 FS Vagar W 4-029.7 1223 1105 62.52% 21.28% 16.20%+1.52 +32.2 8
1996-05-19 @ KI Klaksvik L 0-429.7 1105 1223 16.20% 21.28% 62.52%-1.52 -32.2 1
1996-05-19 B68 Toftir W 2-035.8 1148 1134 51.70% 22.12% 26.18%+0.73 +25.8 9
1996-05-19 @ Vags Boltfelag L 0-235.8 1134 1148 26.18% 22.12% 51.70%-0.73 -25.8 1
1996-05-27 B71 Sandoy L 1-345.0 1108 1174 41.18% 22.38% 36.44%+0.13 -32.1 1
1996-05-27 @ B68 Toftir W 3-145.0 1174 1108 36.44% 22.38% 41.18%-0.13 +32.1 5
1996-05-27 Fuglafjordur W 2-144.3 1073 1114 44.58% 22.34% 33.08%+0.31 +15.6 4
1996-05-27 @ FS Vagar L 1-244.3 1114 1073 33.08% 22.34% 44.58%-0.31 -15.6 5
1996-05-27 Vags Boltfelag W 1-033.8 1351 1174 67.30% 20.57% 12.13%+1.97 +6.8 13
1996-05-27 @ GI Gota L 0-133.8 1174 1351 12.13% 20.57% 67.30%-1.97 -6.9 9
1996-05-27 KI Klaksvik D 3-361.2 1166 1256 37.86% 22.39% 39.76%-0.05 +0.1 2
1996-05-27 @ HB Torshavn D 3-361.2 1256 1166 39.76% 22.39% 37.86%+0.05 -0.1 9
1996-05-27 B36 Torshavn L 0-341.6 1156 1145 51.26% 22.14% 26.60%+0.70 -64.8 6
1996-05-27 @ TB Tvoroyri W 3-041.6 1145 1156 26.60% 22.14% 51.26%-0.70 +64.8 9
1996-06-02 Vags Boltfelag W 2-141.3 1210 1167 55.04% 21.94% 23.01%+0.95 +11.6 12
1996-06-02 @ B36 Torshavn L 1-241.3 1167 1210 23.01% 21.94% 55.04%-0.95 -11.5 9
1996-06-02 GI Gota L 1-936.3 1206 1358 29.43% 22.25% 48.32%-0.53 -85.2 5
1996-06-02 @ B71 Sandoy W 9-136.3 1358 1206 48.32% 22.25% 29.43%+0.53 +85.2 16
1996-06-02 HB Torshavn W 2-039.0 1099 1166 40.95% 22.38% 36.66%+0.11 +33.8 8
1996-06-02 @ Fuglafjordur L 0-239.0 1166 1099 36.66% 22.38% 40.95%-0.11 -33.9 2
1996-06-02 B68 Toftir D 1-152.9 1255 1076 67.42% 20.55% 12.03%+1.98 -6.2 10
1996-06-02 @ KI Klaksvik D 1-152.9 1076 1255 12.03% 20.55% 67.42%-1.98 +6.2 2
1996-06-02 FS Vagar W 3-140.8 1091 1089 50.25% 22.18% 27.57%+0.64 +23.3 9
1996-06-02 @ TB Tvoroyri L 1-340.8 1089 1091 27.57% 22.18% 50.25%-0.64 -23.3 4
1996-06-09 Fuglafjordur D 1-152.3 1082 1133 43.33% 22.36% 34.31%+0.24 -0.9 3
1996-06-09 @ B68 Toftir D 1-152.3 1133 1082 34.31% 22.36% 43.33%-0.24 +0.9 9
1996-06-09 B36 Torshavn L 1-243.0 1065 1222 28.92% 22.23% 48.85%-0.56 -14.0 4
1996-06-09 @ FS Vagar W 2-143.0 1222 1065 48.85% 22.23% 28.92%+0.56 +14.0 15
1996-06-09 KI Klaksvik L 1-256.1 1444 1249 68.48% 20.34% 11.17%+2.09 -29.4 16
1996-06-09 @ GI Gota W 2-156.1 1249 1444 11.17% 20.34% 68.48%-2.09 +29.4 13
1996-06-09 TB Tvoroyri W 7-135.0 1133 1114 52.19% 22.10% 25.71%+0.76 +58.2 5
1996-06-09 @ HB Torshavn L 1-735.0 1114 1133 25.71% 22.10% 52.19%-0.76 -58.2 9
1996-06-09 B71 Sandoy W 1-037.3 1155 1121 54.07% 22.00% 23.92%+0.88 +12.7 12
1996-06-09 @ Vags Boltfelag L 0-137.3 1121 1155 23.92% 22.00% 54.07%-0.88 -12.7 5
1996-06-15 HB Torshavn W 1-044.2 1051 1191 31.05% 22.30% 46.65%-0.43 +21.8 7
1996-06-15 @ FS Vagar L 0-144.2 1191 1051 46.65% 22.30% 31.05%+0.43 -21.8 5
1996-06-16 B71 Sandoy D 2-257.3 1236 1108 63.32% 21.18% 15.50%+1.59 -3.9 16
1996-06-16 @ B36 Torshavn D 2-257.3 1108 1236 15.50% 21.18% 63.32%-1.59 +3.9 6
1996-06-16 GI Gota D 1-153.2 1134 1414 16.42% 21.31% 62.27%-1.50 +5.0 10
1996-06-16 @ Fuglafjordur D 1-153.2 1414 1134 62.27% 21.31% 16.42%+1.50 -5.0 17
1996-06-16 Vags Boltfelag D 2-257.5 1279 1168 61.84% 21.36% 16.80%+1.46 -3.6 14
1996-06-16 @ KI Klaksvik D 2-257.5 1168 1279 16.80% 21.36% 61.84%-1.46 +3.6 13
1996-06-16 B68 Toftir L 0-242.0 1056 1081 46.73% 22.29% 30.97%+0.43 -41.2 9
1996-06-16 @ TB Tvoroyri W 2-042.0 1081 1056 30.97% 22.29% 46.73%-0.43 +41.2 6
1996-06-20 HB Torshavn L 0-240.8 1112 1169 42.48% 22.37% 35.16%+0.20 -38.0 6
1996-06-20 @ B71 Sandoy W 2-040.8 1169 1112 35.16% 22.37% 42.48%-0.20 +38.0 8
1996-06-23 FS Vagar W 2-140.9 1123 1073 55.73% 21.90% 22.37%+1.00 +11.3 9
1996-06-23 @ B68 Toftir L 1-240.9 1073 1123 22.37% 21.90% 55.73%-1.00 -11.3 7
1996-06-23 KI Klaksvik L 0-632.0 1074 1275 23.81% 22.00% 54.20%-0.89 -66.1 6
1996-06-23 @ B71 Sandoy W 6-032.0 1275 1074 54.20% 22.00% 23.81%+0.89 +66.1 17
1996-06-23 TB Tvoroyri W 3-132.4 1409 1015 78.89% 17.00% 4.11%+3.60 +3.7 20
1996-06-23 @ GI Gota L 1-332.4 1015 1409 4.11% 17.00% 78.89%-3.60 -3.7 9
1996-06-23 B36 Torshavn W 3-142.1 1207 1232 46.79% 22.29% 30.92%+0.44 +25.6 11
1996-06-23 @ HB Torshavn L 1-342.1 1232 1207 30.92% 22.29% 46.79%-0.44 -25.6 16
1996-06-23 Fuglafjordur W 2-141.5 1172 1139 53.93% 22.01% 24.06%+0.88 +12.0 16
1996-06-23 @ Vags Boltfelag L 1-241.5 1139 1172 24.06% 22.01% 53.93%-0.88 -12.0 10
1996-08-11 KI Klaksvik D 1-152.9 1206 1341 31.63% 22.31% 46.06%-0.40 +1.4 17
1996-08-11 @ B36 Torshavn D 1-152.9 1341 1206 46.06% 22.31% 31.63%+0.40 -1.4 18
1996-08-11 Fuglafjordur L 1-342.7 1008 1127 33.80% 22.35% 43.85%-0.27 -27.5 6
1996-08-11 @ B71 Sandoy W 3-142.7 1127 1008 43.85% 22.35% 33.80%+0.27 +27.5 13
1996-08-11 FS Vagar W 7-025.7 1413 1062 77.09% 17.80% 5.11%+3.28 +17.3 23
1996-08-11 @ GI Gota L 0-725.7 1062 1413 5.11% 17.80% 77.09%-3.28 -17.3 7
1996-08-11 TB Tvoroyri W 1-033.4 1184 1011 66.93% 20.64% 12.44%+1.93 +7.0 19
1996-08-11 @ Vags Boltfelag L 0-133.4 1011 1184 12.44% 20.64% 66.93%-1.93 -7.0 9
1996-08-13 HB Torshavn L 3-453.3 1134 1233 36.51% 22.38% 41.11%-0.12 -15.6 9
1996-08-13 @ B68 Toftir W 4-353.3 1233 1134 41.11% 22.38% 36.51%+0.12 +15.6 14
1996-08-18 B36 Torshavn W 1-042.2 1118 1208 37.83% 22.39% 39.79%-0.05 +19.1 12
1996-08-18 @ B68 Toftir L 0-142.2 1208 1118 39.79% 22.39% 37.83%+0.05 -19.1 17
1996-08-18 Vags Boltfelag W 2-042.3 1045 1191 30.17% 22.27% 47.55%-0.48 +41.8 10
1996-08-18 @ FS Vagar L 0-242.3 1191 1045 47.55% 22.27% 30.17%+0.48 -41.8 19
1996-08-18 KI Klaksvik L 1-242.3 1154 1340 25.48% 22.09% 52.43%-0.78 -12.6 13
1996-08-18 @ Fuglafjordur W 2-142.3 1340 1154 52.43% 22.09% 25.48%+0.78 +12.6 21
1996-08-18 GI Gota W 3-256.0 1248 1430 25.88% 22.11% 52.01%-0.75 +21.5 17
1996-08-18 @ HB Torshavn L 2-356.0 1430 1248 52.01% 22.11% 25.88%+0.75 -21.5 23
1996-08-18 B71 Sandoy D 1-152.4 1004 981 52.81% 22.07% 25.12%+0.80 -2.9 10
1996-08-18 @ TB Tvoroyri D 1-152.4 981 1004 25.12% 22.07% 52.81%-0.80 +2.9 7
1996-08-25 Fuglafjordur W 4-031.8 1188 1141 55.48% 21.92% 22.61%+0.98 +43.2 20
1996-08-25 @ B36 Torshavn L 0-431.8 1141 1188 22.61% 21.92% 55.48%-0.98 -43.2 13
1996-08-25 FS Vagar W 2-146.8 984 1086 35.94% 22.38% 41.69%-0.15 +18.7 10
1996-08-25 @ B71 Sandoy L 1-246.8 1086 984 41.69% 22.38% 35.94%+0.15 -18.7 10
1996-08-25 B68 Toftir W 2-136.3 1409 1137 73.21% 19.17% 7.62%+2.68 +4.1 26
1996-08-25 @ GI Gota L 1-236.3 1137 1409 7.62% 19.17% 73.21%-2.68 -4.1 12
1996-08-25 TB Tvoroyri W 5-234.3 1352 1001 77.09% 17.80% 5.11%+3.28 +5.7 24
1996-08-25 @ KI Klaksvik L 2-534.3 1001 1352 5.11% 17.80% 77.09%-3.28 -5.7 10
1996-08-25 HB Torshavn W 1-043.6 1149 1270 33.51% 22.35% 44.14%-0.29 +20.8 22
1996-08-25 @ Vags Boltfelag L 0-143.6 1270 1149 44.14% 22.35% 33.51%+0.29 -20.8 17
1996-09-08 Vags Boltfelag W 3-142.4 1133 1170 45.22% 22.33% 32.45%+0.35 +26.6 15
1996-09-08 @ B68 Toftir L 1-342.4 1170 1133 32.45% 22.33% 45.22%-0.35 -26.6 22
1996-09-08 KI Klaksvik L 1-337.1 1068 1358 15.67% 21.21% 63.13%-1.57 -14.2 10
1996-09-08 @ FS Vagar W 3-137.1 1358 1068 63.13% 21.21% 15.67%+1.57 +14.2 27
1996-09-08 Fuglafjordur L 1-245.1 996 1098 35.96% 22.38% 41.66%-0.15 -16.7 10
1996-09-08 @ TB Tvoroyri W 2-145.1 1098 996 41.66% 22.38% 35.96%+0.15 +16.7 16
1996-09-11 B36 Torshavn W 3-030.5 1413 1232 67.55% 20.52% 11.93%+1.99 +18.5 29
1996-09-11 @ GI Gota L 0-330.5 1232 1413 11.93% 20.52% 67.55%-1.99 -18.5 20
1996-09-11 B71 Sandoy W 4-238.4 1249 1002 71.80% 19.57% 8.62%+2.49 +7.2 20
1996-09-11 @ HB Torshavn L 2-438.4 1002 1249 8.62% 19.57% 71.80%-2.49 -7.2 10
1996-09-15 TB Tvoroyri W 3-134.5 1213 979 71.07% 19.76% 9.17%+2.40 +8.5 23
1996-09-15 @ B36 Torshavn L 1-334.5 979 1213 9.17% 19.76% 71.07%-2.40 -8.5 10
1996-09-15 B68 Toftir W 4-251.5 995 1160 27.89% 22.20% 49.91%-0.62 +33.8 13
1996-09-15 @ B71 Sandoy L 2-451.5 1160 995 49.91% 22.20% 27.89%+0.62 -33.8 15
1996-09-15 FS Vagar W 6-031.0 1115 1053 57.04% 21.81% 21.15%+1.09 +59.7 19
1996-09-15 @ Fuglafjordur L 0-631.0 1053 1115 21.15% 21.81% 57.04%-1.09 -59.7 10
1996-09-15 HB Torshavn L 0-149.7 1372 1256 62.35% 21.30% 16.35%+1.50 -28.5 27
1996-09-15 @ KI Klaksvik W 1-049.7 1256 1372 16.35% 21.30% 62.35%-1.50 +28.5 23
1996-09-15 GI Gota L 0-430.2 1143 1431 15.84% 21.23% 62.93%-1.55 -31.5 22
1996-09-15 @ Vags Boltfelag W 4-030.2 1431 1143 62.93% 21.23% 15.84%+1.55 +31.5 32
1996-09-22 KI Klaksvik L 0-431.9 1126 1344 22.05% 21.88% 56.07%-1.02 -42.3 15
1996-09-22 @ B68 Toftir W 4-031.9 1344 1126 56.07% 21.88% 22.05%+1.02 +42.3 30
1996-09-22 TB Tvoroyri W 5-136.6 994 970 52.78% 22.07% 25.15%+0.80 +39.4 13
1996-09-22 @ FS Vagar L 1-536.6 970 994 25.15% 22.07% 52.78%-0.80 -39.4 10
1996-09-22 B71 Sandoy D 1-154.5 1463 1029 80.40% 16.24% 3.36%+3.90 -8.8 33
1996-09-22 @ GI Gota D 1-154.5 1029 1463 3.36% 16.24% 80.40%-3.90 +8.8 14
1996-09-22 Fuglafjordur W 5-029.8 1284 1175 61.77% 21.37% 16.86%+1.45 +41.1 26
1996-09-22 @ HB Torshavn L 0-529.8 1175 1284 16.86% 21.37% 61.77%-1.45 -41.1 19
1996-09-22 B36 Torshavn L 1-343.1 1112 1222 34.95% 22.37% 42.68%-0.21 -28.2 22
1996-09-22 @ Vags Boltfelag W 3-143.1 1222 1112 42.68% 22.37% 34.95%+0.21 +28.2 26
1996-09-29 FS Vagar W 5-131.5 1250 1033 69.98% 20.02% 10.00%+2.26 +16.9 29
1996-09-29 @ B36 Torshavn L 1-531.5 1033 1250 10.00% 20.02% 69.98%-2.26 -16.9 13
1996-09-29 Vags Boltfelag D 1-152.3 1038 1084 43.96% 22.35% 33.69%+0.28 -1.0 15
1996-09-29 @ B71 Sandoy D 1-152.3 1084 1038 33.69% 22.35% 43.96%-0.28 +1.0 23
1996-09-29 B68 Toftir W 2-140.9 1134 1084 55.78% 21.90% 22.32%+1.00 +11.3 22
1996-09-29 @ Fuglafjordur L 1-240.9 1084 1134 22.32% 21.90% 55.78%-1.00 -11.3 15
1996-09-29 GI Gota W 1-045.8 1386 1454 40.89% 22.38% 36.73%+0.11 +18.0 33
1996-09-29 @ KI Klaksvik L 0-145.8 1454 1386 36.73% 22.38% 40.89%-0.11 -18.0 33
1996-09-29 HB Torshavn L 2-929.9 931 1326 9.40% 19.84% 70.77%-2.36 -21.9 10
1996-09-29 @ TB Tvoroyri W 9-229.9 1326 931 70.77% 19.84% 9.40%+2.36 +21.9 29
1996-10-13 TB Tvoroyri L 1-253.7 1073 909 66.24% 20.75% 13.01%+1.86 -28.5 15
1996-10-13 @ B68 Toftir W 2-153.7 909 1073 13.01% 20.75% 66.24%-1.86 +28.5 13
1996-10-13 B36 Torshavn W 1-047.3 1037 1267 20.80% 21.78% 57.42%-1.12 +26.3 18
1996-10-13 @ B71 Sandoy L 0-147.3 1267 1037 57.42% 21.78% 20.80%+1.12 -26.3 29
1996-10-13 Fuglafjordur W 4-132.5 1436 1145 74.26% 18.84% 6.90%+2.83 +9.0 36
1996-10-13 @ GI Gota L 1-432.5 1145 1436 6.90% 18.84% 74.26%-2.83 -9.0 22
1996-10-13 FS Vagar W 4-237.2 1347 1016 76.21% 18.15% 5.64%+3.13 +4.6 32
1996-10-13 @ HB Torshavn L 2-437.2 1016 1347 5.64% 18.15% 76.21%-3.13 -4.6 13
1996-10-13 KI Klaksvik L 0-232.0 1085 1404 13.60% 20.87% 65.53%-1.79 -14.4 23
1996-10-13 @ Vags Boltfelag W 2-032.0 1404 1085 65.53% 20.87% 13.60%+1.79 +14.4 36
1996-10-19 HB Torshavn W 2-041.7 1241 1352 34.75% 22.36% 42.89%-0.22 +38.3 32
1996-10-19 @ B36 Torshavn L 0-241.7 1352 1241 42.89% 22.36% 34.75%+0.22 -38.3 32
1996-10-19 B68 Toftir L 0-143.9 1012 1044 45.77% 22.32% 31.91%+0.38 -21.5 13
1996-10-19 @ FS Vagar W 1-043.9 1044 1012 31.91% 22.32% 45.77%-0.38 +21.5 18
1996-10-19 Vags Boltfelag D 0-049.1 1136 1070 57.48% 21.77% 20.75%+1.12 -4.4 23
1996-10-19 @ Fuglafjordur D 0-049.1 1070 1136 20.75% 21.77% 57.48%-1.12 +4.4 24
1996-10-19 B71 Sandoy W 4-025.5 1418 1063 77.29% 17.71% 5.00%+3.31 +10.0 39
1996-10-19 @ KI Klaksvik L 0-425.5 1063 1418 5.00% 17.71% 77.29%-3.31 -10.0 18
1996-10-19 GI Gota L 0-326.6 938 1445 5.34% 17.95% 76.71%-3.21 -8.2 13
1996-10-19 @ TB Tvoroyri W 3-026.6 1445 938 76.71% 17.95% 5.34%+3.21 +8.2 39

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1996-06-09 11.17% KI Klaksvik 1249 2 @ GI Gota 1444 1
2 1996-10-13 13.01% TB Tvoroyri 909 2 @ B68 Toftir 1073 1
3 1996-09-15 16.35% HB Torshavn 1256 1 @ KI Klaksvik 1372 0
4 1996-05-12 20.53% Vags Boltfelag 1123 2 @ HB Torshavn 1191 1
5 1996-10-13 20.80% @ B71 Sandoy 1037 1 B36 Torshavn 1267 0
6 1996-08-18 25.88% @ HB Torshavn 1248 3 GI Gota 1430 2
7 1996-05-27 26.60% B36 Torshavn 1145 3 @ TB Tvoroyri 1156 0
8 1996-09-15 27.89% @ B71 Sandoy 995 4 B68 Toftir 1160 2
9 1996-08-18 30.17% @ FS Vagar 1045 2 Vags Boltfelag 1191 0
10 1996-06-16 30.97% B68 Toftir 1081 2 @ TB Tvoroyri 1056 0
11 1996-06-15 31.05% @ FS Vagar 1051 1 HB Torshavn 1191 0
12 1996-10-19 31.91% B68 Toftir 1044 1 @ FS Vagar 1012 0
13 1996-08-25 33.51% @ Vags Boltfelag 1149 1 HB Torshavn 1270 0
14 1996-10-19 34.75% @ B36 Torshavn 1241 2 HB Torshavn 1352 0
15 1996-06-20 35.16% HB Torshavn 1169 2 @ B71 Sandoy 1112 0
16 1996-08-25 35.94% @ B71 Sandoy 984 2 FS Vagar 1086 1
17 1996-05-27 36.44% B71 Sandoy 1174 3 @ B68 Toftir 1108 1
18 1996-08-18 37.83% @ B68 Toftir 1118 1 B36 Torshavn 1208 0
19 1996-04-28 37.86% GI Gota 1245 3 @ FS Vagar 1169 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1996-06-02 85.18 GI Gota 9 1358 48.32% @ B71 Sandoy 1 1206 29.43% 22.25%
2 1996-06-23 66.09 KI Klaksvik 6 1275 54.20% @ B71 Sandoy 0 1074 23.81% 22.00%
3 1996-05-27 64.84 B36 Torshavn 3 1145 26.60% @ TB Tvoroyri 0 1156 51.26% 22.14%
4 1996-09-15 59.69 @ Fuglafjordur 6 1115 57.04% FS Vagar 0 1053 21.15% 21.81%
5 1996-06-09 58.17 @ HB Torshavn 7 1133 52.19% TB Tvoroyri 1 1114 25.71% 22.10%
6 1996-05-12 43.89 GI Gota 3 1312 45.90% @ B68 Toftir 0 1178 31.78% 22.31%
7 1996-08-25 43.19 @ B36 Torshavn 4 1188 55.48% Fuglafjordur 0 1141 22.61% 21.92%
8 1996-09-22 42.28 KI Klaksvik 4 1344 56.07% @ B68 Toftir 0 1126 22.05% 21.88%
9 1996-08-18 41.79 @ FS Vagar 2 1045 30.17% Vags Boltfelag 0 1191 47.55% 22.27%
10 1996-06-16 41.17 B68 Toftir 2 1081 30.97% @ TB Tvoroyri 0 1056 46.73% 22.29%
11 1996-09-22 41.10 @ HB Torshavn 5 1284 61.77% Fuglafjordur 0 1175 16.86% 21.37%
12 1996-09-22 39.40 @ FS Vagar 5 994 52.78% TB Tvoroyri 1 970 25.15% 22.07%
13 1996-05-05 38.62 @ KI Klaksvik 5 1184 53.41% Fuglafjordur 1 1156 24.55% 22.04%
14 1996-10-19 38.32 @ B36 Torshavn 2 1241 34.75% HB Torshavn 0 1352 42.89% 22.36%
15 1996-06-20 38.01 HB Torshavn 2 1169 35.16% @ B71 Sandoy 0 1112 42.48% 22.37%
16 1996-05-05 35.74 @ GI Gota 5 1276 55.68% HB Torshavn 1 1227 22.42% 21.90%
17 1996-06-02 33.85 @ Fuglafjordur 2 1099 40.95% HB Torshavn 0 1166 36.66% 22.38%
18 1996-09-15 33.77 @ B71 Sandoy 4 995 27.89% B68 Toftir 2 1160 49.91% 22.20%
19 1996-05-19 32.16 @ KI Klaksvik 4 1223 62.52% FS Vagar 0 1105 16.20% 21.28%
20 1996-05-27 32.11 B71 Sandoy 3 1174 36.44% @ B68 Toftir 1 1108 41.18% 22.38%
21 1996-05-05 31.64 @ Vags Boltfelag 2 1092 43.98% FS Vagar 0 1137 33.67% 22.35%
22 1996-09-15 31.50 GI Gota 4 1431 62.93% @ Vags Boltfelag 0 1143 15.84% 21.23%
23 1996-04-28 31.22 GI Gota 3 1245 37.86% @ FS Vagar 1 1169 39.75% 22.39%
24 1996-06-09 29.41 KI Klaksvik 2 1249 11.17% @ GI Gota 1 1444 68.48% 20.34%
25 1996-09-15 28.47 HB Torshavn 1 1256 16.35% @ KI Klaksvik 0 1372 62.35% 21.30%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1996-05-27 61.2 @ HB Torshavn 3 1166 37.86% KI Klaksvik 3 1256 39.76% 22.39%
2 1996-06-16 57.5 @ KI Klaksvik 2 1279 61.84% Vags Boltfelag 2 1168 16.80% 21.36%
3 1996-06-16 57.3 @ B36 Torshavn 2 1236 63.32% B71 Sandoy 2 1108 15.50% 21.18%
4 1996-05-19 56.9 @ Fuglafjordur 2 1115 44.82% TB Tvoroyri 2 1155 32.84% 22.33%
5 1996-06-09 56.1 KI Klaksvik 2 1249 11.17% @ GI Gota 1 1444 68.48% 20.34%
6 1996-08-18 56.0 @ HB Torshavn 3 1248 25.88% GI Gota 2 1430 52.01% 22.11%
7 1996-09-22 54.5 @ GI Gota 1 1463 80.40% B71 Sandoy 1 1029 3.36% 16.24%
8 1996-10-13 53.7 TB Tvoroyri 2 909 13.01% @ B68 Toftir 1 1073 66.24% 20.75%
9 1996-05-05 53.4 @ B36 Torshavn 4 1124 40.65% B68 Toftir 3 1194 36.96% 22.38%
10 1996-08-13 53.3 HB Torshavn 4 1233 41.11% @ B68 Toftir 3 1134 36.51% 22.38%
11 1996-06-16 53.2 @ Fuglafjordur 1 1134 16.42% GI Gota 1 1414 62.27% 21.31%
12 1996-06-02 52.9 @ KI Klaksvik 1 1255 67.42% B68 Toftir 1 1076 12.03% 20.55%
13 1996-08-11 52.9 @ B36 Torshavn 1 1206 31.63% KI Klaksvik 1 1341 46.06% 22.31%
14 1996-04-28 52.6 @ KI Klaksvik 1 1188 57.75% B36 Torshavn 1 1120 20.50% 21.75%
15 1996-05-12 52.5 @ TB Tvoroyri 1 1155 40.95% KI Klaksvik 1 1223 36.67% 22.38%
16 1996-05-12 52.4 @ FS Vagar 1 1106 40.89% B71 Sandoy 1 1174 36.73% 22.38%
17 1996-05-12 52.4 @ Fuglafjordur 1 1117 47.07% B36 Torshavn 1 1140 30.65% 22.29%
18 1996-08-18 52.4 @ TB Tvoroyri 1 1004 52.81% B71 Sandoy 1 981 25.12% 22.07%
19 1996-06-09 52.3 @ B68 Toftir 1 1082 43.33% Fuglafjordur 1 1133 34.31% 22.36%
20 1996-09-29 52.3 @ B71 Sandoy 1 1038 43.96% Vags Boltfelag 1 1084 33.69% 22.35%
21 1996-05-12 51.6 Vags Boltfelag 2 1123 20.53% @ HB Torshavn 1 1191 57.72% 21.76%
22 1996-09-15 51.5 @ B71 Sandoy 4 995 27.89% B68 Toftir 2 1160 49.91% 22.20%
23 1996-09-15 49.7 HB Torshavn 1 1256 16.35% @ KI Klaksvik 0 1372 62.35% 21.30%
24 1996-05-19 49.4 @ B36 Torshavn 0 1141 22.42% GI Gota 0 1355 55.68% 21.90%
25 1996-04-28 49.2 @ HB Torshavn 0 1231 54.78% B68 Toftir 0 1190 23.26% 21.96%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1996-10-19 25.5 @ KI Klaksvik 4 1418 77.29% B71 Sandoy 0 1063 5.00% 17.71%
2 1996-08-11 25.7 @ GI Gota 7 1413 77.09% FS Vagar 0 1062 5.11% 17.80%
3 1996-10-19 26.6 GI Gota 3 1445 76.71% @ TB Tvoroyri 0 938 5.34% 17.95%
4 1996-05-19 29.7 @ KI Klaksvik 4 1223 62.52% FS Vagar 0 1105 16.20% 21.28%
5 1996-09-22 29.8 @ HB Torshavn 5 1284 61.77% Fuglafjordur 0 1175 16.86% 21.37%
6 1996-09-29 29.9 HB Torshavn 9 1326 70.77% @ TB Tvoroyri 2 931 9.40% 19.84%
7 1996-09-15 30.2 GI Gota 4 1431 62.93% @ Vags Boltfelag 0 1143 15.84% 21.23%
8 1996-09-11 30.5 @ GI Gota 3 1413 67.55% B36 Torshavn 0 1232 11.93% 20.52%
9 1996-09-15 31.0 @ Fuglafjordur 6 1115 57.04% FS Vagar 0 1053 21.15% 21.81%
10 1996-09-29 31.5 @ B36 Torshavn 5 1250 69.98% FS Vagar 1 1033 10.00% 20.02%
11 1996-08-25 31.8 @ B36 Torshavn 4 1188 55.48% Fuglafjordur 0 1141 22.61% 21.92%
12 1996-09-22 31.9 KI Klaksvik 4 1344 56.07% @ B68 Toftir 0 1126 22.05% 21.88%
13 1996-06-23 32.0 KI Klaksvik 6 1275 54.20% @ B71 Sandoy 0 1074 23.81% 22.00%
14 1996-10-13 32.0 KI Klaksvik 2 1404 65.53% @ Vags Boltfelag 0 1085 13.60% 20.87%
15 1996-06-23 32.4 @ GI Gota 3 1409 78.89% TB Tvoroyri 1 1015 4.11% 17.00%
16 1996-10-13 32.5 @ GI Gota 4 1436 74.26% Fuglafjordur 1 1145 6.90% 18.84%
17 1996-08-11 33.4 @ Vags Boltfelag 1 1184 66.93% TB Tvoroyri 0 1011 12.44% 20.64%
18 1996-05-27 33.8 @ GI Gota 1 1351 67.30% Vags Boltfelag 0 1174 12.13% 20.57%
19 1996-08-25 34.3 @ KI Klaksvik 5 1352 77.09% TB Tvoroyri 2 1001 5.11% 17.80%
20 1996-09-15 34.5 @ B36 Torshavn 3 1213 71.07% TB Tvoroyri 1 979 9.17% 19.76%
21 1996-06-09 35.0 @ HB Torshavn 7 1133 52.19% TB Tvoroyri 1 1114 25.71% 22.10%
22 1996-05-19 35.8 @ Vags Boltfelag 2 1148 51.70% B68 Toftir 0 1134 26.18% 22.12%
23 1996-05-12 36.1 GI Gota 3 1312 45.90% @ B68 Toftir 0 1178 31.78% 22.31%
24 1996-05-05 36.2 @ GI Gota 5 1276 55.68% HB Torshavn 1 1227 22.42% 21.90%
25 1996-06-02 36.3 GI Gota 9 1358 48.32% @ B71 Sandoy 1 1206 29.43% 22.25%