Home / Leagues / Faroe Islands / 1. deild / 1997
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1997 1. deild Season

90 games

Final

Champion

B36 Torshavn

48 points · 6th Title

Last Title: 1996.0

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

B36 Torshavn

9.84 points above expected

48 points · 38.16 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

B71 Sandoy

6.98 points below expected

7 points · 13.98 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 B36 Torshavn Champion 18 16 0 2 48 58 24 +34 38.16 +9.84
2 HB Torshavn 18 12 5 1 41 61 19 +42 37.97 +3.03
3 GI Gota 18 10 5 3 35 46 25 +21 37.05 -2.05
4 Vags Boltfelag 18 11 2 5 35 32 18 +14 27.69 +7.31
5 KI Klaksvik 18 8 2 8 26 48 31 +17 32.11 -6.11
6 NSI Runavik 18 6 4 8 22 26 33 -7 18.01 +3.99
7 Fuglafjordur 18 5 2 11 17 27 50 -23 19.24 -2.24
8 B68 Toftir 18 4 3 11 15 23 40 -17 18.85 -3.85
9 FS Vagar 18 2 3 13 9 16 53 -37 11.31 -2.31
10 B71 Sandoy 18 1 4 13 7 12 56 -44 13.98 -6.98

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 B36 Torshavn 48 38.16 +9.84
2 Vags Boltfelag 35 27.69 +7.31
3 NSI Runavik 22 18.01 +3.99
4 HB Torshavn 41 37.97 +3.03
5 GI Gota 35 37.05 -2.05

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 B71 Sandoy 7 13.98 -6.98
2 KI Klaksvik 26 32.11 -6.11
3 B68 Toftir 15 18.85 -3.85
4 FS Vagar 9 11.31 -2.31
5 Fuglafjordur 17 19.24 -2.24

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vags Boltfelag 3 Apr 25 – May 25 1 in 21
2 B36 Torshavn 9 Jun 15 – Sep 21 1 in 21
3 HB Torshavn 6 Aug 16 – Sep 29 1 in 19
4 FS Vagar 1 Aug 24 – Aug 24 1 in 5
5 NSI Runavik 2 May 19 – May 25 1 in 5

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FS Vagar 10 Apr 25 – Aug 2 1 in 58
2 B68 Toftir 5 May 4 – Jun 1 1 in 38
3 Fuglafjordur 5 Aug 10 – Sep 14 1 in 32
4 B71 Sandoy 6 Apr 25 – Jun 1 1 in 27
5 Vags Boltfelag 2 Sep 14 – Sep 21 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 NSI Runavik 5 Aug 2 – Aug 31 1 in 48
2 Vags Boltfelag 5 Apr 25 – Jun 1 1 in 17
3 HB Torshavn 10 Apr 25 – Aug 2 1 in 13
4 FS Vagar 2 Sep 28 – Oct 4 1 in 8
5 B68 Toftir 2 Jun 15 – Jun 22 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fuglafjordur 9 Jun 15 – Sep 14 1 in 56
2 B68 Toftir 8 May 4 – Jun 29 1 in 22
3 GI Gota 2 Jun 22 – Jun 25 1 in 11
4 FS Vagar 12 Apr 25 – Aug 16 1 in 6
5 B71 Sandoy 10 Jun 25 – Oct 4 1 in 5

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
B36 Torshavn 1305 48 -8 12 11.6 +0.4
HB Torshavn 1321 41 +67 13 10.8 +2.2
GI Gota 1198 35 -5 10 10.4 -0.4
Vags Boltfelag 1078 35 +41 9 9.4 -0.4
KI Klaksvik 1112 26 +47 10 10.5 -0.5
NSI Runavik 815 22 -94 3 6.0 -3.0
Fuglafjordur 758 17 -7 4 2.2 +1.8
B68 Toftir 804 15 -25 4 3.6 +0.4
FS Vagar 719 9 +27 5 3.1 +1.9
B71 Sandoy 672 7 -45 1 3.2 -2.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BT BT BS FV FUG GG HT KK NR VB
B36 Torshavn —
2-0-0
4.42
2-0-0
5.22
2-0-0
5.12
2-0-0
4.65
2-0-0
2.55
0-0-2
2.96
2-0-0
3.90
2-0-0
4.80
2-0-0
4.33
B68 Toftir
0-0-2
1.24
 —
1-1-0
3.67
2-0-0
3.74
1-0-1
2.89
0-1-1
0.76
0-0-2
0.76
0-1-1
1.05
0-0-2
3.18
0-0-2
1.70
B71 Sandoy
0-0-2
0.48
0-1-1
1.98
 —
1-1-0
2.93
0-1-1
2.07
0-0-2
0.61
0-0-2
0.68
0-0-2
0.99
0-1-1
2.66
0-0-2
1.40
FS Vagar
0-0-2
0.57
0-0-2
1.91
0-1-1
2.72
 —
1-0-1
1.43
0-1-1
0.51
0-0-2
0.46
0-1-1
0.76
0-0-2
1.49
1-0-1
0.83
Fuglafjordur
0-0-2
1.03
1-0-1
2.76
1-1-0
3.58
1-0-1
4.22
 —
0-0-2
1.35
0-1-1
0.64
1-0-1
1.43
1-0-1
2.49
0-0-2
1.84
GI Gota
0-0-2
3.09
1-1-0
4.92
2-0-0
5.08
1-1-0
5.19
2-0-0
4.31
 —
0-1-1
2.62
2-0-0
3.62
1-1-0
4.71
1-1-0
3.79
HB Torshavn
2-0-0
2.69
2-0-0
4.92
2-0-0
5.00
2-0-0
5.25
1-1-0
5.05
1-1-0
3.02
 —
2-0-0
2.85
0-2-0
4.75
0-1-1
4.10
KI Klaksvik
0-0-2
1.75
1-1-0
4.61
2-0-0
4.68
1-1-0
4.92
1-0-1
4.23
0-0-2
2.03
0-0-2
2.80
 —
2-0-0
3.86
1-0-1
3.60
NSI Runavik
0-0-2
0.87
2-0-0
2.47
1-1-0
2.98
2-0-0
4.17
1-0-1
3.16
0-1-1
0.96
0-2-0
0.92
0-0-2
1.79
 —
0-0-2
1.59
Vags Boltfelag
0-0-2
1.33
2-0-0
3.95
2-0-0
4.26
1-0-1
4.84
2-0-0
3.81
0-1-1
1.87
1-1-0
1.55
1-0-1
2.05
2-0-0
4.06
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.83 +7.3
Allowed 0.83 -9.0
Differential 0.92 +4.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.44%4.44%6.11%3.33%2.22%2.78%23.33%
14.44%6.67%6.11%2.78%2.22%2.78%25.00%
26.11%6.11%4.44%2.22%2.78%2.22%23.89%
33.33%2.78%2.22%1.11%—1.11%10.56%
42.22%2.22%2.78%——0.56%7.78%
5+2.78%2.78%2.22%1.11%0.56%—9.44%
Total23.33%25.00%23.89%10.56%7.78%9.44%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.94 1.94 +0.00
SD 1.85 1.85 2.84
CV 0.96 0.96 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 90

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.56%————5.56%
15.56%—————5.56%
25.56%27.78%—5.56%——38.89%
35.56%—5.56%———11.11%
45.56%—11.11%———16.67%
5+—5.56%5.56%11.11%——22.22%
Total22.22%38.89%22.22%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.22 1.33 +1.89
SD 2.02 1.03 1.71
CV 0.63 0.77 —
Max 8 3 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%5.56%11.11%——27.78%
1—5.56%16.67%5.56%5.56%5.56%38.89%
2—11.11%5.56%——5.56%22.22%
3—5.56%————5.56%
4———————
5+—5.56%————5.56%
Total5.56%33.33%27.78%16.67%5.56%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 2.22 -0.94
SD 1.27 1.56 2.15
CV 1.00 0.70 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%5.56%11.11%——16.67%50.00%
15.56%5.56%11.11%5.56%—11.11%38.89%
2—————5.56%5.56%
3—————5.56%5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.22%11.11%22.22%5.56%—38.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 3.11 -2.44
SD 0.84 2.76 2.64
CV 1.26 0.89 —
Max 3 9 +1
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%11.11%44.44%
15.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%33.33%
2——5.56%—5.56%5.56%16.67%
3———————
4——5.56%———5.56%
5+———————
Total11.11%16.67%22.22%11.11%16.67%22.22%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 2.94 -2.06
SD 1.08 2.10 2.36
CV 1.21 0.71 —
Max 4 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%—11.11%5.56%5.56%—27.78%
15.56%—5.56%11.11%—5.56%27.78%
2—5.56%—5.56%5.56%—16.67%
35.56%5.56%—5.56%—5.56%22.22%
4——5.56%———5.56%
5+———————
Total16.67%11.11%22.22%27.78%11.11%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.78 -1.28
SD 1.29 2.44 2.72
CV 0.86 0.88 —
Max 4 9 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%—11.11%———16.67%
15.56%11.11%————16.67%
25.56%—11.11%——5.56%22.22%
3—5.56%————5.56%
411.11%11.11%5.56%———27.78%
5+—5.56%——5.56%—11.11%
Total27.78%33.33%27.78%—5.56%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.56 1.39 +1.17
SD 1.95 1.38 2.33
CV 0.76 0.99 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
15.56%16.67%5.56%———27.78%
211.11%—5.56%———16.67%
35.56%—11.11%5.56%——22.22%
4———————
5+16.67%5.56%11.11%———33.33%
Total38.89%22.22%33.33%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.39 1.06 +2.33
SD 2.40 1.00 2.74
CV 0.71 0.95 —
Max 9 3 +9
Min 1 0 -1

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.11%5.56%5.56%——22.22%
1—5.56%5.56%———11.11%
25.56%5.56%5.56%—11.11%—27.78%
3——5.56%———5.56%
45.56%————5.56%11.11%
5+11.11%5.56%5.56%———22.22%
Total22.22%27.78%27.78%5.56%11.11%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.67 1.72 +0.94
SD 2.45 1.49 3.11
CV 0.92 0.86 —
Max 9 5 +8
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——11.11%5.56%5.56%—22.22%
1—11.11%5.56%—5.56%—22.22%
216.67%5.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%—44.44%
3—11.11%————11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%27.78%27.78%11.11%16.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.83 -0.39
SD 0.98 1.34 1.97
CV 0.68 0.73 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%——5.56%—16.67%
111.11%5.56%5.56%—5.56%—27.78%
216.67%5.56%—5.56%——27.78%
316.67%—————16.67%
4—11.11%————11.11%
5+———————
Total50.00%27.78%5.56%5.56%11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.78 1.00 +0.78
SD 1.26 1.37 2.13
CV 0.71 1.37 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 18

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
HB Torshavn 1321 41 37.97 +3.03 80.0% 26 30 35 38 41 46 49
B36 Torshavn 1305 48 38.16 +9.84 98.0% 26 29 34 39 42 46 49
GI Gota 1198 35 37.05 -2.05 36.0% 25 29 34 37 40 45 46
KI Klaksvik 1112 26 32.11 -6.11 15.0% 17 23 29 32 36 41 45
Vags Boltfelag 1078 35 27.69 +7.31 92.0% 11 20 24 27 31 37 40
NSI Runavik 815 22 18.01 +3.99 82.0% 6 10 15 17 22 26 32
B68 Toftir 804 15 18.85 -3.85 27.0% 8 10 15 19 22 26 32
Fuglafjordur 758 17 19.24 -2.24 36.0% 8 11 17 19 23 27 31
FS Vagar 719 9 11.31 -2.31 28.0% 3 5 9 11 14 18 19
B71 Sandoy 672 7 13.98 -6.98 6.0% 3 7 11 13 17 21 23

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 22% * Strong Edge: 22% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
-1.11%
No Edge
41.11%16.67%42.22%
Elo Value
Home Edge: -3.86 Elo pts.
162 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.10 goals
Neutral
-2-0.02+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.11 * Tight Race: 0.11 to 0.22 * Comfortable: 0.22 to 0.38 * Runaway: 0.38 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.5
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
33%
B36 Torshavn, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.39/gm
Runaway
00.210.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.81 * Some Luck: 3.81 to 5.71 * Lucky: 5.71 to 7.61 * Wild Swing: 7.61 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.81 * Close: 0.81 to 1.21 * Off: 1.21 to 1.61 * Way Off: 1.61 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.39 points
Some Luck
04.7612
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.80
Pinpoint
01.012.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
98.00%
B36 Torshavn
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
6.00%
B71 Sandoy
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.45 * Moderate Separation: 1.45 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68.5% * Slight Edge: 68.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 88% * Wide Edge: 88% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 44.5% * Some Drama: 44.5% to 50.5% * Frequent: 50.5% to 57% * Very Frequent: 57% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 20% * Occasional: 20% to 25% * Frequent: 25% to 33.5% * Very Frequent: 33.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.29
Lopsided
00.190.280.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 250.72
2.37
Wide Separation
0.851.451.82.153.25
Interquartile Edge
91%
Wide Edge
50%68.5%79%88%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
43%
Few
0%40%100%
Blowouts
Expected
33%
Frequent
0%38%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.49 * Notable Separation: 0.49 to 0.56 * Lopsided: 0.56 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.4 * Some Carryover: 0.4 to 0.61 * Strong Carryover: 0.61 to 0.77 * Near-Lock: 0.77 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.48
Highly Predictable
00.492
Matchup Imbalance
0.55
Notable Separation
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.23
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.66
Strong Carryover
00.40.610.771
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
As Expected
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
As Expected
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.16 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.16 to 0.24 * Above Noise: 0.24 to 0.32 * Well Above Noise: 0.32 and up.
Probability calibration
0.99
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.18
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.067
Well Within Noise
00.1590.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
B36 Torshavn33.00%31.00%22.00%11.00%3.00%—————
HB Torshavn32.00%30.00%21.00%15.00%2.00%—————
GI Gota26.00%27.00%27.00%16.00%3.00%1.00%————
Vags Boltfelag1.00%4.00%5.00%26.00%44.00%13.00%5.00%—1.00%1.00%
KI Klaksvik8.00%8.00%24.00%31.00%22.00%5.00%—1.00%1.00%—
NSI Runavik————5.00%25.00%21.00%30.00%11.00%8.00%
Fuglafjordur————12.00%27.00%24.00%21.00%12.00%4.00%
B68 Toftir——1.00%1.00%7.00%23.00%31.00%19.00%11.00%7.00%
FS Vagar—————3.00%3.00%12.00%28.00%54.00%
B71 Sandoy————2.00%3.00%16.00%17.00%36.00%26.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
B36 Torshavn 100% — —
GI Gota 100% — —
HB Torshavn 100% — —
KI Klaksvik 99.00% 1.00% —
Vags Boltfelag 98.00% 1.00% 1.00%
Fuglafjordur 84.00% 12.00% 4.00%
B68 Toftir 82.00% 11.00% 7.00%
NSI Runavik 81.00% 11.00% 8.00%
B71 Sandoy 38.00% 36.00% 26.00%
FS Vagar 18.00% 28.00% 54.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1997-04-25 FS Vagar W 5-137.8 911 860 48.28% 17.65% 34.07%+0.29 +64.4 3
1997-04-25 @ B68 Toftir L 1-537.8 860 911 34.07% 17.65% 48.28%-0.29 -64.3 0
1997-04-25 Fuglafjordur L 1-243.2 900 952 33.93% 17.65% 48.42%-0.35 -20.3 0
1997-04-25 @ B71 Sandoy W 2-143.2 952 900 48.42% 17.65% 33.93%+0.35 +20.3 3
1997-04-25 B36 Torshavn L 0-244.3 1172 1049 57.31% 17.52% 25.17%+0.74 -64.0 0
1997-04-25 @ GI Gota W 2-044.3 1049 1172 25.17% 17.52% 57.31%-0.74 +63.9 3
1997-04-25 NSI Runavik D 2-258.0 1071 809 69.96% 16.98% 13.06%+1.60 -6.2 1
1997-04-25 @ HB Torshavn D 2-258.0 809 1071 13.06% 16.98% 69.96%-1.60 +6.2 1
1997-04-25 KI Klaksvik W 1-049.6 913 1146 15.08% 17.12% 67.79%-1.46 +40.1 3
1997-04-25 @ Vags Boltfelag L 0-149.6 1146 913 67.79% 17.12% 15.08%+1.46 -40.1 0
1997-05-04 B68 Toftir W 2-140.0 1113 975 58.83% 17.48% 23.69%+0.82 +14.9 6
1997-05-04 @ B36 Torshavn L 1-240.0 975 1113 23.69% 17.48% 58.83%-0.82 -14.9 3
1997-05-04 GI Gota L 0-430.7 972 1108 23.79% 17.48% 58.72%-0.87 -56.6 3
1997-05-04 @ Fuglafjordur W 4-030.7 1108 972 58.72% 17.48% 23.79%+0.87 +56.6 3
1997-05-04 FS Vagar W 6-025.6 1106 795 73.06% 16.71% 10.23%+1.89 +37.9 3
1997-05-04 @ KI Klaksvik L 0-625.6 795 1106 10.23% 16.71% 73.06%-1.89 -37.9 0
1997-05-04 B71 Sandoy W 3-146.1 815 879 32.36% 17.63% 50.01%-0.42 +48.8 4
1997-05-04 @ NSI Runavik L 1-346.1 879 815 50.01% 17.63% 32.36%+0.42 -48.8 0
1997-05-11 Fuglafjordur L 1-345.4 960 915 47.45% 17.65% 34.89%+0.25 -46.6 3
1997-05-11 @ B68 Toftir W 3-145.4 915 960 34.89% 17.65% 47.45%-0.25 +46.6 6
1997-05-11 Vags Boltfelag L 0-234.7 831 953 25.32% 17.52% 57.16%-0.78 -31.5 0
1997-05-11 @ B71 Sandoy W 2-034.7 953 831 57.16% 17.52% 25.32%+0.78 +31.5 6
1997-05-11 B36 Torshavn L 0-131.3 758 1127 7.52% 16.33% 76.15%-2.31 -5.4 0
1997-05-11 @ FS Vagar W 1-031.3 1127 758 76.15% 16.33% 7.52%+2.31 +5.4 9
1997-05-11 NSI Runavik W 2-030.1 1165 864 72.49% 16.77% 10.74%+1.83 +14.3 6
1997-05-11 @ GI Gota L 0-230.1 864 1165 10.74% 16.77% 72.49%-1.83 -14.3 4
1997-05-11 KI Klaksvik W 3-040.7 1065 1144 30.49% 17.61% 51.90%-0.51 +84.6 4
1997-05-11 @ HB Torshavn L 0-340.7 1144 1065 51.90% 17.61% 30.49%+0.51 -84.6 3
1997-05-19 FS Vagar W 3-030.0 962 752 65.87% 17.23% 16.90%+1.27 +31.8 9
1997-05-19 @ Fuglafjordur L 0-330.0 752 962 16.90% 17.23% 65.87%-1.27 -31.9 0
1997-05-19 B71 Sandoy W 5-025.0 1150 799 75.23% 16.46% 8.31%+2.14 +26.1 7
1997-05-19 @ HB Torshavn L 0-525.0 799 1150 8.31% 16.46% 75.23%-2.14 -26.1 0
1997-05-19 B36 Torshavn L 2-444.5 1059 1133 31.16% 17.62% 51.22%-0.48 -29.2 3
1997-05-19 @ KI Klaksvik W 4-244.5 1133 1059 51.22% 17.62% 31.16%+0.48 +29.2 12
1997-05-19 B68 Toftir W 2-148.0 850 914 32.37% 17.63% 49.99%-0.42 +28.2 7
1997-05-19 @ NSI Runavik L 1-248.0 914 850 49.99% 17.63% 32.37%+0.42 -28.2 3
1997-05-25 Fuglafjordur W 8-335.7 1162 994 62.03% 17.39% 20.59%+1.01 +38.4 15
1997-05-25 @ B36 Torshavn L 3-835.7 994 1162 20.59% 17.39% 62.03%-1.01 -38.4 9
1997-05-25 Vags Boltfelag L 0-137.8 886 985 28.02% 17.57% 54.40%-0.63 -18.3 3
1997-05-25 @ B68 Toftir W 1-037.8 985 886 54.40% 17.57% 28.02%+0.63 +18.3 9
1997-05-25 KI Klaksvik L 0-526.7 773 1030 13.40% 17.01% 69.60%-1.61 -41.3 0
1997-05-25 @ B71 Sandoy W 5-026.7 1030 773 69.60% 17.01% 13.40%+1.61 +41.3 6
1997-05-25 NSI Runavik L 1-337.6 720 878 21.61% 17.42% 60.97%-1.00 -23.7 0
1997-05-25 @ FS Vagar W 3-137.6 878 720 60.97% 17.42% 21.61%+1.00 +23.7 10
1997-05-25 HB Torshavn D 1-153.9 1179 1176 41.65% 17.68% 40.67%+0.00 -0.1 7
1997-05-25 @ GI Gota D 1-153.9 1176 1179 40.67% 17.68% 41.65%+0.00 +0.1 8
1997-05-28 HB Torshavn D 1-153.9 1003 1176 20.10% 17.37% 62.53%-1.09 +6.0 10
1997-05-28 @ Vags Boltfelag D 1-153.9 1176 1003 62.53% 17.37% 20.10%+1.09 -6.0 9
1997-06-01 GI Gota L 0-130.3 732 1179 5.00% 15.75% 79.26%-2.79 -3.6 0
1997-06-01 @ B71 Sandoy W 1-030.3 1179 732 79.26% 15.75% 5.00%+2.79 +3.6 10
1997-06-01 B68 Toftir W 6-129.3 1170 867 72.60% 16.76% 10.64%+1.84 +27.5 12
1997-06-01 @ HB Torshavn L 1-629.3 867 1170 10.64% 16.76% 72.60%-1.84 -27.5 3
1997-06-01 Fuglafjordur L 0-146.3 1071 955 56.43% 17.54% 26.04%+0.69 -33.4 6
1997-06-01 @ KI Klaksvik W 1-046.3 955 1071 26.04% 17.54% 56.43%-0.69 +33.4 12
1997-06-01 B36 Torshavn L 1-236.0 902 1200 10.87% 16.78% 72.35%-1.87 -7.2 10
1997-06-01 @ NSI Runavik W 2-136.0 1200 902 72.35% 16.78% 10.87%+1.87 +7.2 18
1997-06-01 FS Vagar W 4-132.0 1009 697 73.16% 16.70% 10.14%+1.90 +16.6 13
1997-06-01 @ Vags Boltfelag L 1-432.0 697 1009 10.14% 16.70% 73.16%-1.90 -16.6 0
1997-06-11 B36 Torshavn W 1-042.4 1198 1208 39.72% 17.67% 42.60%-0.09 +26.0 15
1997-06-11 @ HB Torshavn L 0-142.4 1208 1198 42.60% 17.67% 39.72%+0.09 -26.0 18
1997-06-15 Vags Boltfelag W 4-030.1 1182 1025 60.82% 17.42% 21.75%+0.94 +52.3 21
1997-06-15 @ B36 Torshavn L 0-430.1 1025 1182 21.75% 17.42% 60.82%-0.94 -52.3 13
1997-06-15 B71 Sandoy D 0-050.8 840 728 55.93% 17.55% 26.52%+0.67 -4.5 4
1997-06-15 @ B68 Toftir D 0-050.8 728 840 26.52% 17.55% 55.93%-0.67 +4.5 1
1997-06-15 HB Torshavn L 0-723.2 680 1224 2.99% 14.93% 82.08%-3.38 -12.8 0
1997-06-15 @ FS Vagar W 7-023.2 1224 680 82.08% 14.93% 2.99%+3.38 +12.8 18
1997-06-15 NSI Runavik L 0-243.3 989 894 53.85% 17.58% 28.57%+0.56 -60.3 12
1997-06-15 @ Fuglafjordur W 2-043.3 894 989 28.57% 17.58% 53.85%-0.56 +60.3 13
1997-06-15 KI Klaksvik W 4-241.9 1183 1038 59.63% 17.46% 22.91%+0.87 +22.4 13
1997-06-15 @ GI Gota L 2-441.9 1038 1183 22.91% 17.46% 59.63%-0.87 -22.4 6
1997-06-22 FS Vagar W 1-039.0 733 667 50.19% 17.63% 32.18%+0.38 +20.6 4
1997-06-22 @ B71 Sandoy L 0-139.0 667 733 32.18% 17.63% 50.19%-0.38 -20.6 0
1997-06-22 B68 Toftir D 1-154.2 1205 835 76.15% 16.33% 7.52%+2.26 -10.3 14
1997-06-22 @ GI Gota D 1-154.2 835 1205 7.52% 16.33% 76.15%-2.26 +10.3 5
1997-06-22 NSI Runavik W 4-033.4 1016 955 49.60% 17.64% 32.76%+0.35 +74.7 9
1997-06-22 @ KI Klaksvik L 0-433.4 955 1016 32.76% 17.64% 49.60%-0.35 -74.7 13
1997-06-22 Fuglafjordur W 2-037.6 973 929 47.41% 17.66% 34.94%+0.25 +41.6 16
1997-06-22 @ Vags Boltfelag L 0-237.6 929 973 34.94% 17.66% 47.41%-0.25 -41.6 12
1997-06-25 B71 Sandoy W 6-126.9 1234 753 80.33% 15.48% 4.19%+2.94 +10.9 24
1997-06-25 @ B36 Torshavn L 1-626.9 753 1234 4.19% 15.48% 80.33%-2.94 -10.9 4
1997-06-25 GI Gota D 0-051.0 1015 1195 19.46% 17.34% 63.20%-1.14 +7.0 17
1997-06-25 @ Vags Boltfelag D 0-051.0 1195 1015 63.20% 17.34% 19.46%+1.14 -7.0 15
1997-06-28 Vags Boltfelag L 1-436.1 880 1022 23.25% 17.47% 59.28%-0.90 -35.8 13
1997-06-28 @ NSI Runavik W 4-136.1 1022 880 59.28% 17.47% 23.25%+0.90 +35.8 20
1997-06-29 KI Klaksvik L 1-237.1 846 1090 14.25% 17.07% 68.69%-1.53 -9.4 5
1997-06-29 @ B68 Toftir W 2-137.1 1090 846 68.69% 17.07% 14.25%+1.53 +9.4 12
1997-06-29 GI Gota L 0-423.7 647 1188 3.03% 14.95% 82.02%-3.36 -7.7 0
1997-06-29 @ FS Vagar W 4-023.7 1188 647 82.02% 14.95% 3.03%+3.36 +7.7 18
1997-06-29 HB Torshavn L 2-339.3 887 1236 8.37% 16.47% 75.16%-2.18 -5.3 12
1997-06-29 @ Fuglafjordur W 3-239.3 1236 887 75.16% 16.47% 8.37%+2.18 +5.3 21
1997-08-02 B68 Toftir L 1-238.2 639 836 17.95% 17.28% 64.77%-1.24 -11.6 0
1997-08-02 @ FS Vagar W 2-138.2 836 639 64.77% 17.28% 17.95%+1.24 +11.6 8
1997-08-02 B71 Sandoy D 0-050.9 882 742 59.04% 17.48% 23.48%+0.84 -5.6 13
1997-08-02 @ Fuglafjordur D 0-050.9 742 882 23.48% 17.48% 59.04%-0.84 +5.6 5
1997-08-02 HB Torshavn D 1-154.3 844 1242 6.51% 16.13% 77.36%-2.48 +10.6 14
1997-08-02 @ NSI Runavik D 1-154.3 1242 844 77.36% 16.13% 6.51%+2.48 -10.6 22
1997-08-10 B36 Torshavn L 0-326.6 848 1245 6.53% 16.14% 77.34%-2.47 -12.8 8
1997-08-10 @ B68 Toftir W 3-026.6 1245 848 77.34% 16.14% 6.53%+2.47 +12.8 27
1997-08-10 NSI Runavik D 1-153.8 748 855 27.07% 17.56% 55.37%-0.68 +3.9 6
1997-08-10 @ B71 Sandoy D 1-153.8 855 748 55.37% 17.56% 27.07%+0.68 -3.9 15
1997-08-10 KI Klaksvik D 1-154.4 627 1100 4.38% 15.55% 80.07%-2.94 +11.4 1
1997-08-10 @ FS Vagar D 1-154.4 1100 627 80.07% 15.55% 4.38%+2.94 -11.4 13
1997-08-10 Fuglafjordur W 3-133.8 1196 876 73.58% 16.66% 9.77%+1.95 +11.3 21
1997-08-10 @ GI Gota L 1-333.8 876 1196 9.77% 16.66% 73.58%-1.95 -11.3 13
1997-08-10 Vags Boltfelag L 1-251.8 1231 1057 62.57% 17.37% 20.07%+1.05 -34.8 22
1997-08-10 @ HB Torshavn W 2-151.8 1057 1231 20.07% 17.37% 62.57%-1.05 +34.8 23
1997-08-13 GI Gota W 5-243.2 1258 1207 48.23% 17.65% 34.12%+0.29 +43.2 30
1997-08-13 @ B36 Torshavn L 2-543.2 1207 1258 34.12% 17.65% 48.23%-0.29 -43.2 21
1997-08-13 Vags Boltfelag W 3-249.7 1088 1092 40.59% 17.68% 41.73%-0.05 +22.9 16
1997-08-13 @ KI Klaksvik L 2-349.7 1092 1088 41.73% 17.68% 40.59%+0.05 -22.9 23
1997-08-16 FS Vagar W 4-234.4 1301 639 84.62% 13.81% 1.58%+4.06 +1.6 33
1997-08-16 @ B36 Torshavn L 2-434.4 639 1301 1.58% 13.81% 84.62%-4.06 -1.6 1
1997-08-16 B68 Toftir L 1-344.8 865 835 45.37% 17.67% 36.96%+0.16 -44.8 13
1997-08-16 @ Fuglafjordur W 3-144.8 835 865 36.96% 17.67% 45.37%-0.16 +44.8 11
1997-08-16 HB Torshavn L 0-236.1 1111 1196 29.70% 17.60% 52.70%-0.55 -36.2 16
1997-08-16 @ KI Klaksvik W 2-036.1 1196 1111 52.70% 17.60% 29.70%+0.55 +36.2 25
1997-08-16 GI Gota D 2-258.1 851 1164 10.11% 16.70% 73.19%-1.95 +7.0 16
1997-08-16 @ NSI Runavik D 2-258.1 1164 851 73.19% 16.70% 10.11%+1.95 -7.0 22
1997-08-16 B71 Sandoy W 2-029.8 1069 752 73.47% 16.67% 9.86%+1.94 +13.2 26
1997-08-16 @ Vags Boltfelag L 0-229.8 752 1069 9.86% 16.67% 73.47%-1.94 -13.2 6
1997-08-23 HB Torshavn L 0-924.4 739 1233 3.90% 15.37% 80.73%-3.07 -21.4 6
1997-08-23 @ B71 Sandoy W 9-024.4 1233 739 80.73% 15.37% 3.90%+3.07 +21.4 28
1997-08-24 KI Klaksvik W 2-137.7 1302 1075 67.34% 17.15% 15.52%+1.38 +10.1 36
1997-08-24 @ B36 Torshavn L 1-237.7 1075 1302 15.52% 17.15% 67.34%-1.38 -10.1 16
1997-08-24 NSI Runavik L 0-240.4 880 858 44.27% 17.67% 38.05%+0.11 -50.7 11
1997-08-24 @ B68 Toftir W 2-040.4 858 880 38.05% 17.67% 44.27%-0.11 +50.6 19
1997-08-24 Fuglafjordur W 4-254.0 637 820 19.23% 17.33% 63.44%-1.15 +54.7 4
1997-08-24 @ FS Vagar L 2-454.0 820 637 63.44% 17.33% 19.23%+1.15 -54.7 13
1997-08-24 Vags Boltfelag W 4-138.6 1157 1083 51.32% 17.62% 31.07%+0.43 +46.1 25
1997-08-24 @ GI Gota L 1-438.6 1083 1157 31.07% 17.62% 51.32%-0.43 -46.1 26
1997-08-31 B36 Torshavn L 1-233.0 765 1313 2.93% 14.90% 82.17%-3.40 -2.0 13
1997-08-31 @ Fuglafjordur W 2-133.0 1313 765 82.17% 14.90% 2.93%+3.40 +2.0 39
1997-08-31 B71 Sandoy W 5-234.8 1065 717 75.08% 16.48% 8.45%+2.12 +12.0 19
1997-08-31 @ KI Klaksvik L 2-534.8 717 1065 8.45% 16.48% 75.08%-2.12 -12.0 6
1997-08-31 FS Vagar W 2-031.9 909 692 66.45% 17.20% 16.35%+1.31 +21.3 22
1997-08-31 @ NSI Runavik L 0-231.9 692 909 16.35% 17.20% 66.45%-1.31 -21.3 4
1997-08-31 B68 Toftir W 3-030.1 1037 829 65.66% 17.24% 17.11%+1.26 +32.2 29
1997-08-31 @ Vags Boltfelag L 0-330.1 829 1037 17.11% 17.24% 65.66%-1.26 -32.2 11
1997-09-02 GI Gota W 2-037.7 1254 1203 48.28% 17.65% 34.07%+0.29 +40.7 31
1997-09-02 @ HB Torshavn L 0-237.7 1203 1254 34.07% 17.65% 48.28%-0.29 -40.7 25
1997-09-14 NSI Runavik W 3-238.8 1315 930 76.81% 16.22% 6.97%+2.35 +4.5 42
1997-09-14 @ B36 Torshavn L 2-338.8 930 1315 6.97% 16.22% 76.81%-2.35 -4.5 22
1997-09-14 HB Torshavn L 2-533.1 797 1295 3.83% 15.34% 80.84%-3.09 -5.5 11
1997-09-14 @ B68 Toftir W 5-233.1 1295 797 80.84% 15.34% 3.83%+3.09 +5.4 34
1997-09-14 Vags Boltfelag W 1-052.1 671 1069 6.49% 16.13% 77.38%-2.48 +45.9 7
1997-09-14 @ FS Vagar L 0-152.1 1069 671 77.38% 16.13% 6.49%+2.48 -45.9 29
1997-09-14 KI Klaksvik L 1-927.8 763 1077 10.07% 16.69% 73.23%-1.96 -40.4 13
1997-09-14 @ Fuglafjordur W 9-127.8 1077 763 73.23% 16.69% 10.07%+1.96 +40.4 22
1997-09-14 B71 Sandoy W 7-126.4 1162 705 79.58% 15.67% 4.75%+2.80 +14.7 28
1997-09-14 @ GI Gota L 1-726.4 705 1162 4.75% 15.67% 79.58%-2.80 -14.7 6
1997-09-21 B68 Toftir L 1-241.3 690 792 27.77% 17.57% 54.66%-0.65 -17.1 6
1997-09-21 @ B71 Sandoy W 2-141.3 792 690 54.66% 17.57% 27.77%+0.65 +17.1 14
1997-09-21 FS Vagar W 6-230.2 1300 717 83.02% 14.56% 2.41%+3.58 +4.3 37
1997-09-21 @ HB Torshavn L 2-630.2 717 1300 2.41% 14.56% 83.02%-3.58 -4.3 7
1997-09-21 GI Gota L 4-552.7 1117 1177 32.94% 17.64% 49.42%-0.39 -18.1 22
1997-09-21 @ KI Klaksvik W 5-452.7 1177 1117 49.42% 17.64% 32.94%+0.39 +18.1 31
1997-09-21 Fuglafjordur L 2-454.5 925 723 65.23% 17.26% 17.51%+1.23 -56.3 22
1997-09-21 @ NSI Runavik W 4-254.5 723 925 17.51% 17.26% 65.23%-1.23 +56.3 16
1997-09-21 B36 Torshavn L 1-236.2 1023 1319 11.01% 16.80% 72.20%-1.85 -7.3 29
1997-09-21 @ Vags Boltfelag W 2-136.2 1319 1023 72.20% 16.80% 11.01%+1.85 +7.3 45
1997-09-28 GI Gota L 1-430.9 809 1195 6.91% 16.21% 76.88%-2.41 -11.4 14
1997-09-28 @ B68 Toftir W 4-130.9 1195 809 76.88% 16.21% 6.91%+2.41 +11.4 34
1997-09-28 B71 Sandoy D 0-050.8 712 673 46.63% 17.66% 35.71%+0.22 -1.6 8
1997-09-28 @ FS Vagar D 0-050.8 673 712 35.71% 17.66% 46.63%-0.22 +1.6 7
1997-09-28 Vags Boltfelag L 0-329.4 779 1016 14.86% 17.11% 68.03%-1.48 -28.3 16
1997-09-28 @ Fuglafjordur W 3-029.4 1016 779 68.03% 17.11% 14.86%+1.48 +28.3 32
1997-09-28 KI Klaksvik L 0-231.6 869 1099 15.32% 17.14% 67.54%-1.44 -20.0 22
1997-09-28 @ NSI Runavik W 2-031.6 1099 869 67.54% 17.14% 15.32%+1.44 +20.0 25
1997-09-29 HB Torshavn L 2-351.6 1326 1304 44.28% 17.67% 38.05%+0.11 -24.0 45
1997-09-29 @ B36 Torshavn W 3-251.6 1304 1326 38.05% 17.67% 44.28%-0.11 +24.0 40
1997-10-04 B36 Torshavn L 3-634.3 675 1302 1.91% 14.15% 83.95%-3.90 -2.5 7
1997-10-04 @ B71 Sandoy W 6-334.3 1302 675 83.95% 14.15% 1.91%+3.90 +2.5 48
1997-10-04 FS Vagar D 2-258.5 1206 711 80.78% 15.35% 3.87%+3.04 -8.7 35
1997-10-04 @ GI Gota D 2-258.5 711 1206 3.87% 15.35% 80.78%-3.04 +8.7 9
1997-10-04 Fuglafjordur D 3-362.7 1328 751 82.89% 14.62% 2.49%+3.54 -7.5 41
1997-10-04 @ HB Torshavn D 3-362.7 751 1328 2.49% 14.62% 82.89%-3.54 +7.5 17
1997-10-04 B68 Toftir D 2-258.1 1119 797 73.71% 16.64% 9.65%+1.96 -7.1 26
1997-10-04 @ KI Klaksvik D 2-258.1 797 1119 9.65% 16.64% 73.71%-1.96 +7.1 15
1997-10-04 NSI Runavik W 3-030.4 1044 849 64.53% 17.29% 18.18%+1.18 +34.0 35
1997-10-04 @ Vags Boltfelag L 0-330.4 849 1044 18.18% 17.29% 64.53%-1.18 -34.0 22

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1997-09-14 6.49% @ FS Vagar 671 1 Vags Boltfelag 1069 0
2 1997-04-25 15.08% @ Vags Boltfelag 913 1 KI Klaksvik 1146 0
3 1997-09-21 17.51% Fuglafjordur 723 4 @ NSI Runavik 925 2
4 1997-08-24 19.23% @ FS Vagar 637 4 Fuglafjordur 820 2
5 1997-08-10 20.07% Vags Boltfelag 1057 2 @ HB Torshavn 1231 1
6 1997-04-25 25.17% B36 Torshavn 1049 2 @ GI Gota 1172 0
7 1997-06-01 26.04% Fuglafjordur 955 1 @ KI Klaksvik 1071 0
8 1997-06-15 28.57% NSI Runavik 894 2 @ Fuglafjordur 989 0
9 1997-05-11 30.49% @ HB Torshavn 1065 3 KI Klaksvik 1144 0
10 1997-05-04 32.36% @ NSI Runavik 815 3 B71 Sandoy 879 1
11 1997-05-19 32.37% @ NSI Runavik 850 2 B68 Toftir 914 1
12 1997-05-11 34.89% Fuglafjordur 915 3 @ B68 Toftir 960 1
13 1997-08-16 36.96% B68 Toftir 835 3 @ Fuglafjordur 865 1
14 1997-08-24 38.05% NSI Runavik 858 2 @ B68 Toftir 880 0
15 1997-09-29 38.05% HB Torshavn 1304 3 @ B36 Torshavn 1326 2
16 1997-06-11 39.72% @ HB Torshavn 1198 1 B36 Torshavn 1208 0
17 1997-08-13 40.59% @ KI Klaksvik 1088 3 Vags Boltfelag 1092 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1997-05-11 84.63 @ HB Torshavn 3 1065 30.49% KI Klaksvik 0 1144 51.90% 17.61%
2 1997-06-22 74.72 @ KI Klaksvik 4 1016 49.60% NSI Runavik 0 955 32.76% 17.64%
3 1997-04-25 64.36 @ B68 Toftir 5 911 48.28% FS Vagar 1 860 34.07% 17.65%
4 1997-04-25 63.95 B36 Torshavn 2 1049 25.17% @ GI Gota 0 1172 57.31% 17.52%
5 1997-06-15 60.30 NSI Runavik 2 894 28.57% @ Fuglafjordur 0 989 53.85% 17.58%
6 1997-05-04 56.63 GI Gota 4 1108 58.72% @ Fuglafjordur 0 972 23.79% 17.48%
7 1997-09-21 56.28 Fuglafjordur 4 723 17.51% @ NSI Runavik 2 925 65.23% 17.26%
8 1997-08-24 54.73 @ FS Vagar 4 637 19.23% Fuglafjordur 2 820 63.44% 17.33%
9 1997-06-15 52.28 @ B36 Torshavn 4 1182 60.82% Vags Boltfelag 0 1025 21.75% 17.42%
10 1997-08-24 50.65 NSI Runavik 2 858 38.05% @ B68 Toftir 0 880 44.27% 17.67%
11 1997-05-04 48.80 @ NSI Runavik 3 815 32.36% B71 Sandoy 1 879 50.01% 17.63%
12 1997-05-11 46.58 Fuglafjordur 3 915 34.89% @ B68 Toftir 1 960 47.45% 17.65%
13 1997-08-24 46.09 @ GI Gota 4 1157 51.32% Vags Boltfelag 1 1083 31.07% 17.62%
14 1997-09-14 45.91 @ FS Vagar 1 671 6.49% Vags Boltfelag 0 1069 77.38% 16.13%
15 1997-08-16 44.80 B68 Toftir 3 835 36.96% @ Fuglafjordur 1 865 45.37% 17.67%
16 1997-08-13 43.23 @ B36 Torshavn 5 1258 48.23% GI Gota 2 1207 34.12% 17.65%
17 1997-06-22 41.58 @ Vags Boltfelag 2 973 47.41% Fuglafjordur 0 929 34.94% 17.66%
18 1997-05-25 41.31 KI Klaksvik 5 1030 69.60% @ B71 Sandoy 0 773 13.40% 17.01%
19 1997-09-02 40.70 @ HB Torshavn 2 1254 48.28% GI Gota 0 1203 34.07% 17.65%
20 1997-09-14 40.38 KI Klaksvik 9 1077 73.23% @ Fuglafjordur 1 763 10.07% 16.69%
21 1997-04-25 40.08 @ Vags Boltfelag 1 913 15.08% KI Klaksvik 0 1146 67.79% 17.12%
22 1997-05-25 38.40 @ B36 Torshavn 8 1162 62.03% Fuglafjordur 3 994 20.59% 17.39%
23 1997-05-04 37.93 @ KI Klaksvik 6 1106 73.06% FS Vagar 0 795 10.23% 16.71%
24 1997-08-16 36.20 HB Torshavn 2 1196 52.70% @ KI Klaksvik 0 1111 29.70% 17.60%
25 1997-06-28 35.81 Vags Boltfelag 4 1022 59.28% @ NSI Runavik 1 880 23.25% 17.47%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1997-10-04 62.7 @ HB Torshavn 3 1328 82.89% Fuglafjordur 3 751 2.49% 14.62%
2 1997-10-04 58.5 @ GI Gota 2 1206 80.78% FS Vagar 2 711 3.87% 15.35%
3 1997-08-16 58.1 @ NSI Runavik 2 851 10.11% GI Gota 2 1164 73.19% 16.70%
4 1997-10-04 58.1 @ KI Klaksvik 2 1119 73.71% B68 Toftir 2 797 9.65% 16.64%
5 1997-04-25 58.0 @ HB Torshavn 2 1071 69.96% NSI Runavik 2 809 13.06% 16.98%
6 1997-09-21 54.5 Fuglafjordur 4 723 17.51% @ NSI Runavik 2 925 65.23% 17.26%
7 1997-08-10 54.4 @ FS Vagar 1 627 4.38% KI Klaksvik 1 1100 80.07% 15.55%
8 1997-08-02 54.3 @ NSI Runavik 1 844 6.51% HB Torshavn 1 1242 77.36% 16.13%
9 1997-06-22 54.2 @ GI Gota 1 1205 76.15% B68 Toftir 1 835 7.52% 16.33%
10 1997-08-24 54.0 @ FS Vagar 4 637 19.23% Fuglafjordur 2 820 63.44% 17.33%
11 1997-05-25 53.9 @ GI Gota 1 1179 41.65% HB Torshavn 1 1176 40.67% 17.68%
12 1997-05-28 53.9 @ Vags Boltfelag 1 1003 20.10% HB Torshavn 1 1176 62.53% 17.37%
13 1997-08-10 53.8 @ B71 Sandoy 1 748 27.07% NSI Runavik 1 855 55.37% 17.56%
14 1997-09-21 52.7 GI Gota 5 1177 49.42% @ KI Klaksvik 4 1117 32.94% 17.64%
15 1997-09-14 52.1 @ FS Vagar 1 671 6.49% Vags Boltfelag 0 1069 77.38% 16.13%
16 1997-08-10 51.8 Vags Boltfelag 2 1057 20.07% @ HB Torshavn 1 1231 62.57% 17.37%
17 1997-09-29 51.6 HB Torshavn 3 1304 38.05% @ B36 Torshavn 2 1326 44.28% 17.67%
18 1997-06-25 51.0 @ Vags Boltfelag 0 1015 19.46% GI Gota 0 1195 63.20% 17.34%
19 1997-08-02 50.9 @ Fuglafjordur 0 882 59.04% B71 Sandoy 0 742 23.48% 17.48%
20 1997-06-15 50.8 @ B68 Toftir 0 840 55.93% B71 Sandoy 0 728 26.52% 17.55%
21 1997-09-28 50.8 @ FS Vagar 0 712 46.63% B71 Sandoy 0 673 35.71% 17.66%
22 1997-08-13 49.7 @ KI Klaksvik 3 1088 40.59% Vags Boltfelag 2 1092 41.73% 17.68%
23 1997-04-25 49.6 @ Vags Boltfelag 1 913 15.08% KI Klaksvik 0 1146 67.79% 17.12%
24 1997-05-19 48.0 @ NSI Runavik 2 850 32.37% B68 Toftir 1 914 49.99% 17.63%
25 1997-06-01 46.3 Fuglafjordur 1 955 26.04% @ KI Klaksvik 0 1071 56.43% 17.54%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1997-06-15 23.2 HB Torshavn 7 1224 82.08% @ FS Vagar 0 680 2.99% 14.93%
2 1997-06-29 23.7 GI Gota 4 1188 82.02% @ FS Vagar 0 647 3.03% 14.95%
3 1997-08-23 24.4 HB Torshavn 9 1233 80.73% @ B71 Sandoy 0 739 3.90% 15.37%
4 1997-05-19 25.0 @ HB Torshavn 5 1150 75.23% B71 Sandoy 0 799 8.31% 16.46%
5 1997-05-04 25.6 @ KI Klaksvik 6 1106 73.06% FS Vagar 0 795 10.23% 16.71%
6 1997-09-14 26.4 @ GI Gota 7 1162 79.58% B71 Sandoy 1 705 4.75% 15.67%
7 1997-08-10 26.6 B36 Torshavn 3 1245 77.34% @ B68 Toftir 0 848 6.53% 16.14%
8 1997-05-25 26.7 KI Klaksvik 5 1030 69.60% @ B71 Sandoy 0 773 13.40% 17.01%
9 1997-06-25 26.9 @ B36 Torshavn 6 1234 80.33% B71 Sandoy 1 753 4.19% 15.48%
10 1997-09-14 27.8 KI Klaksvik 9 1077 73.23% @ Fuglafjordur 1 763 10.07% 16.69%
11 1997-06-01 29.3 @ HB Torshavn 6 1170 72.60% B68 Toftir 1 867 10.64% 16.76%
12 1997-09-28 29.4 Vags Boltfelag 3 1016 68.03% @ Fuglafjordur 0 779 14.86% 17.11%
13 1997-08-16 29.8 @ Vags Boltfelag 2 1069 73.47% B71 Sandoy 0 752 9.86% 16.67%
14 1997-05-19 30.0 @ Fuglafjordur 3 962 65.87% FS Vagar 0 752 16.90% 17.23%
15 1997-05-11 30.1 @ GI Gota 2 1165 72.49% NSI Runavik 0 864 10.74% 16.77%
16 1997-06-15 30.1 @ B36 Torshavn 4 1182 60.82% Vags Boltfelag 0 1025 21.75% 17.42%
17 1997-08-31 30.1 @ Vags Boltfelag 3 1037 65.66% B68 Toftir 0 829 17.11% 17.24%
18 1997-09-21 30.2 @ HB Torshavn 6 1300 83.02% FS Vagar 2 717 2.41% 14.56%
19 1997-06-01 30.3 GI Gota 1 1179 79.26% @ B71 Sandoy 0 732 5.00% 15.75%
20 1997-10-04 30.4 @ Vags Boltfelag 3 1044 64.53% NSI Runavik 0 849 18.18% 17.29%
21 1997-05-04 30.7 GI Gota 4 1108 58.72% @ Fuglafjordur 0 972 23.79% 17.48%
22 1997-09-28 30.9 GI Gota 4 1195 76.88% @ B68 Toftir 1 809 6.91% 16.21%
23 1997-05-11 31.3 B36 Torshavn 1 1127 76.15% @ FS Vagar 0 758 7.52% 16.33%
24 1997-09-28 31.6 KI Klaksvik 2 1099 67.54% @ NSI Runavik 0 869 15.32% 17.14%
25 1997-08-31 31.9 @ NSI Runavik 2 909 66.45% FS Vagar 0 692 16.35% 17.20%