1998 1. deild Season

90 games

Final

Champion

HB Torshavn

45 points · 15th Title

Last Title: 1990.0

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

HB Torshavn

5.87 points above expected

45 points · 39.13 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

TB Tvoroyri

7.59 points below expected

8 points · 15.59 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	HB Torshavn Champion	18	14	3	1	45	57	19	+38	39.13	+5.87
2	KI Klaksvik	18	11	5	2	38	54	24	+30	32.41	+5.59
3	B36 Torshavn	18	11	4	3	37	59	24	+35	35.33	+1.67
4	GI Gota	18	8	4	6	28	48	30	+18	29.66	-1.66
5	NSI Runavik	18	8	4	6	28	37	28	+9	24.05	+3.95
6	B68 Toftir	18	6	4	8	22	39	39	0	18.72	+3.28
7	Vags Boltfelag	18	5	6	7	21	27	40	-13	24.95	-3.95
8	Fuglafjordur	18	1	8	9	11	25	47	-22	15.65	-4.65
9	Sumba	18	2	3	13	9	18	73	-55	13.54	-4.54
10	TB Tvoroyri	18	1	5	12	8	21	61	-40	15.59	-7.59

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	HB Torshavn	45	39.13	+5.87
2	KI Klaksvik	38	32.41	+5.59
3	NSI Runavik	28	24.05	+3.95
4	B68 Toftir	22	18.72	+3.28
5	B36 Torshavn	37	35.33	+1.67

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	TB Tvoroyri	8	15.59	-7.59
2	Fuglafjordur	11	15.65	-4.65
3	Sumba	9	13.54	-4.54
4	Vags Boltfelag	21	24.95	-3.95
5	GI Gota	28	29.66	-1.66

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	B36 Torshavn	7	Aug 3 – Sep 20	1 in 108
2	NSI Runavik	2	May 3 – May 10	1 in 40
3	GI Gota	4	Sep 13 – Oct 3	1 in 13
4	HB Torshavn	5	Aug 9 – Sep 13	1 in 7
5	TB Tvoroyri	1	Aug 30 – Aug 30	1 in 5

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sumba	6	Jun 14 – Aug 15	1 in 18
2	GI Gota	3	Aug 15 – Aug 30	1 in 10
3	HB Torshavn	1	Aug 3 – Aug 3	1 in 7
4	Fuglafjordur	4	Jun 10 – Aug 2	1 in 5
5	TB Tvoroyri	4	Sep 12 – Oct 3	1 in 5

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fuglafjordur	4	May 16 – Jun 7	1 in 16
2	B36 Torshavn	9	Jun 21 – Sep 20	1 in 11
3	GI Gota	7	Jun 1 – Aug 8	1 in 9
4	NSI Runavik	5	Jun 1 – Jun 28	1 in 6
5	KI Klaksvik	7	Aug 15 – Oct 3	1 in 5

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	TB Tvoroyri	13	May 2 – Aug 22	1 in 65
2	Vags Boltfelag	5	Aug 30 – Oct 3	1 in 11
3	GI Gota	4	May 17 – Jun 7	1 in 10
4	Fuglafjordur	10	May 3 – Aug 2	1 in 9
5	Sumba	14	Jun 1 – Oct 3	1 in 8

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
HB Torshavn	1181	45	+29	13	11.5	+1.5
KI Klaksvik	1074	38	+55	13	9.8	+3.2
B36 Torshavn	1074	37	+9	12	10.4	+1.6
GI Gota	1000	28	+82	12	8.4	+3.6
NSI Runavik	889	28	-1	7	8.7	-1.7
B68 Toftir	817	22	+5	6	4.9	+1.1
Vags Boltfelag	818	21	-69	2	6.2	-4.2
Fuglafjordur	671	11	-55	2	4.3	-2.3
Sumba	557	9	-39	1	2.2	-1.2
TB Tvoroyri	640	8	-16	3	3.0	-0.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BT	BT	FUG	GG	HT	KK	NR	SUM	TT	VB
B36 Torshavn	—	2-0-0 4.32	1-1-0 4.60	0-1-1 3.56	1-0-1 2.12	1-1-0 3.01	1-0-1 3.99	2-0-0 4.65	2-0-0 4.62	1-1-0 3.84
B68 Toftir	0-0-2 1.22	—	0-2-0 3.21	0-1-1 1.58	0-1-1 0.85	0-0-2 1.61	1-0-1 2.10	2-0-0 2.83	2-0-0 3.17	1-0-1 2.13
Fuglafjordur	0-1-1 0.99	0-2-0 2.27	—	0-0-2 1.38	0-0-2 0.59	0-1-1 1.16	0-2-0 1.66	1-0-1 2.58	0-1-1 2.72	0-1-1 1.77
GI Gota	1-1-0 1.91	1-1-0 3.92	2-0-0 4.15	—	0-0-2 1.45	0-1-1 2.18	1-0-1 3.78	1-1-0 4.20	2-0-0 4.48	0-0-2 3.60
HB Torshavn	1-0-1 3.37	1-1-0 4.76	2-0-0 5.09	2-0-0 4.07	—	1-1-0 3.55	2-0-0 4.22	2-0-0 5.10	2-0-0 4.76	1-1-0 4.44
KI Klaksvik	0-1-1 2.45	2-0-0 3.92	1-1-0 4.40	1-1-0 3.30	0-1-1 1.94	—	1-1-0 3.65	2-0-0 4.86	2-0-0 4.02	2-0-0 3.73
NSI Runavik	1-0-1 1.52	1-0-1 3.37	0-2-0 3.85	1-0-1 1.71	0-0-2 1.31	0-1-1 1.84	—	2-0-0 3.97	1-1-0 4.11	2-0-0 2.33
Sumba	0-0-2 0.94	0-0-2 2.65	1-0-1 2.89	0-1-1 1.36	0-0-2 0.60	0-0-2 0.77	0-0-2 1.53	—	1-1-0 2.37	0-1-1 1.39
TB Tvoroyri	0-0-2 0.96	0-0-2 2.33	1-1-0 2.77	0-0-2 1.08	0-0-2 0.84	0-0-2 1.52	0-1-1 1.42	0-1-1 3.10	—	0-2-0 1.84
Vags Boltfelag	0-1-1 1.67	1-0-1 3.34	1-1-0 3.72	2-0-0 1.89	0-1-1 1.12	0-0-2 1.76	0-0-2 3.17	1-1-0 4.12	0-2-0 3.66	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.90	+8.0
Allowed	0.85	-6.8
Differential	0.92	+3.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	2.22%	2.78%	2.22%	2.22%	3.89%	18.89%
1	2.22%	10.00%	3.89%	3.89%	3.33%	3.89%	27.22%
2	2.78%	3.89%	8.89%	3.33%	0.56%	3.33%	22.78%
3	2.22%	3.89%	3.33%	1.11%	1.67%	—	12.22%
4	2.22%	3.33%	0.56%	1.67%	—	—	7.78%
5+	3.89%	3.89%	3.33%	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	18.89%	27.22%	22.78%	12.22%	7.78%	11.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.14	2.14	+0.00
SD	2.07	2.07	3.29
CV	0.97	0.97	—
Max	11	11	+10
Min	0	0	-10

Games Played: 90

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	—	16.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
2	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%	16.67%
3	5.56%	—	16.67%	—	—	—	22.22%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	11.11%	—	16.67%	—	—	—	27.78%
Total	27.78%	27.78%	38.89%	—	—	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	3.28	1.33	+1.94
SD	3.03	1.24	3.33
CV	0.92	0.93	—
Max	10	5	+10
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
1	—	—	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	27.78%
2	—	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
3	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%
5+	11.11%	—	—	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	16.67%	16.67%	22.22%	27.78%	11.11%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.17	2.17	+0.00
SD	1.62	1.47	2.45
CV	0.75	0.68	—
Max	6	5	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	27.78%
1	—	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	33.33%
2	—	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	11.11%	27.78%
3	—	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	16.67%	22.22%	22.22%	16.67%	5.56%	16.67%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	2.61	-1.22
SD	1.46	2.59	2.98
CV	1.05	0.99	—
Max	6	10	+6
Min	0	0	-9

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
1	5.56%	11.11%	—	16.67%	—	—	33.33%
2	—	—	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	16.67%
3	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
Total	16.67%	33.33%	22.22%	22.22%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.67	1.67	+1.00
SD	2.66	1.19	3.27
CV	1.00	0.71	—
Max	11	4	+10
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
1	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
2	—	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
3	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
4	11.11%	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
5+	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	27.78%	50.00%	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	3.17	1.06	+2.11
SD	2.15	0.94	2.30
CV	0.68	0.89	—
Max	10	3	+9
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	—	—	—	5.56%	—	16.67%
1	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
2	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
3	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
5+	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
Total	27.78%	33.33%	22.22%	11.11%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	3.00	1.33	+1.67
SD	2.40	1.19	2.87
CV	0.80	0.89	—
Max	10	4	+10
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	16.67%
1	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	33.33%
2	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
3	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	27.78%	33.33%	16.67%	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.06	1.56	+0.50
SD	1.76	1.54	2.75
CV	0.86	0.99	—
Max	6	5	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	16.67%	27.78%
1	5.56%	11.11%	11.11%	—	11.11%	11.11%	50.00%
2	—	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%	16.67%
3	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.56%	11.11%	27.78%	5.56%	11.11%	38.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	4.06	-3.06
SD	0.84	3.04	3.33
CV	0.84	0.75	—
Max	3	11	+1
Min	0	0	-10

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	—	11.11%	—	16.67%	38.89%
1	—	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	16.67%
2	—	5.56%	22.22%	5.56%	—	—	33.33%
3	—	—	—	—	11.11%	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.56%	11.11%	22.22%	22.22%	16.67%	22.22%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.17	3.39	-2.22
SD	1.10	2.35	2.84
CV	0.94	0.69	—
Max	3	10	+1
Min	0	0	-10

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	16.67%
1	—	22.22%	11.11%	—	5.56%	5.56%	44.44%
2	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	22.22%
3	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	16.67%	33.33%	22.22%	—	11.11%	16.67%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	2.22	-0.72
SD	1.25	2.16	2.65
CV	0.83	0.97	—
Max	5	8	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 18

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
HB Torshavn	1181	45	39.13	+5.87	96.0%	27	31	36	39	43	45	48
B36 Torshavn	1074	37	35.33	+1.67	66.0%	21	25	32	35	39	43	47
KI Klaksvik	1074	38	32.41	+5.59	91.0%	23	24	29	32	35	41	45
GI Gota	1000	28	29.66	-1.66	39.0%	14	18	26	30	34	38	44
NSI Runavik	889	28	24.05	+3.95	81.0%	13	17	21	24	27	32	35
Vags Boltfelag	818	21	24.95	-3.95	22.0%	14	16	22	25	27	34	36
B68 Toftir	817	22	18.72	+3.28	79.0%	7	11	15	19	22	27	31
Fuglafjordur	671	11	15.65	-4.65	28.0%	5	8	11	16	19	24	29
TB Tvoroyri	640	8	15.59	-7.59	5.0%	5	8	12	15	19	24	30
Sumba	557	9	13.54	-4.54	12.0%	4	7	11	14	16	20	22

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 22% * Strong Edge: 22% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+21.11%

Clear Edge

47.78%25.56%26.67%

Elo Value

Home Edge

118 Elo

0.008 goals per Elo point

074.47300

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.52 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.63+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.11 * Tight Race: 0.11 to 0.22 * Comfortable: 0.22 to 0.38 * Runaway: 0.38 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.2

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

64%

HB Torshavn, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.39/gm

Runaway

00.250.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.86 * Some Luck: 3.86 to 5.79 * Lucky: 5.79 to 7.72 * Wild Swing: 7.72 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.84 * Close: 0.84 to 1.26 * Off: 1.26 to 1.68 * Way Off: 1.68 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

4.61 points

Some Luck

04.8212

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.80

Pinpoint

01.052.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

96.00%

HB Torshavn

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

5.00%

TB Tvoroyri

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.45 * Moderate Separation: 1.45 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68.5% * Slight Edge: 68.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 88% * Wide Edge: 88% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 44.5% * Some Drama: 44.5% to 50.5% * Frequent: 50.5% to 57% * Very Frequent: 57% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 20% * Occasional: 20% to 25% * Frequent: 25% to 33.5% * Very Frequent: 33.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.28

Lopsided

00.190.280.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 209.13

2.32

Wide Separation

0.851.451.82.153.25

Interquartile Edge

88%

Wide Edge

50%68.5%79%88%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 98%

97%

Strong Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

48%

Some Drama

0%35%100%

Blowouts

Expected

38%

Very Frequent

0%45%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.49 * Notable Separation: 0.49 to 0.56 * Lopsided: 0.56 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.4 * Some Carryover: 0.4 to 0.61 * Strong Carryover: 0.61 to 0.77 * Near-Lock: 0.77 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.50

Highly Predictable

00.542

Matchup Imbalance

0.53

Notable Separation

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.02

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.66

Strong Carryover

00.40.610.771

Upset Rate

Expected

14%

Chalky

0%17%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

12%

Solid Favorites

0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.17 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.17 to 0.25 * Above Noise: 0.25 to 0.33 * Well Above Noise: 0.33 and up.

Probability calibration

0.55

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.30

Very Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.079

Well Within Noise

00.1670.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
HB Torshavn	64.00%	24.00%	5.00%	5.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
KI Klaksvik	10.00%	18.00%	38.00%	23.00%	8.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
B36 Torshavn	21.00%	41.00%	21.00%	12.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
GI Gota	3.00%	14.00%	24.00%	30.00%	13.00%	9.00%	5.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—
NSI Runavik	—	2.00%	4.00%	13.00%	31.00%	24.00%	12.00%	11.00%	2.00%	1.00%
B68 Toftir	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	8.00%	16.00%	29.00%	22.00%	13.00%	8.00%
Vags Boltfelag	2.00%	1.00%	6.00%	13.00%	29.00%	24.00%	16.00%	6.00%	3.00%	—
Fuglafjordur	—	—	1.00%	—	3.00%	9.00%	20.00%	21.00%	24.00%	22.00%
Sumba	—	—	—	—	—	3.00%	7.00%	18.00%	29.00%	43.00%
TB Tvoroyri	—	—	—	1.00%	5.00%	10.00%	9.00%	21.00%	28.00%	26.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
B36 Torshavn	100%	—	—
GI Gota	99.00%	1.00%	—
HB Torshavn	100%	—	—
KI Klaksvik	100%	—	—
Vags Boltfelag	97.00%	3.00%	—
NSI Runavik	97.00%	2.00%	1.00%
B68 Toftir	79.00%	13.00%	8.00%
Fuglafjordur	54.00%	24.00%	22.00%
TB Tvoroyri	46.00%	28.00%	26.00%
Sumba	28.00%	29.00%	43.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1998-05-02	Vags Boltfelag	D 2-2	53.0	817	911	34.45%	27.09%	38.46%	-0.16	+0.2	1
1998-05-02	@ TB Tvoroyri	D 2-2	53.0	911	817	38.46%	27.09%	34.45%	+0.16	-0.2	1
1998-05-03	HB Torshavn	L 0-1	43.4	1020	1072	40.39%	27.05%	32.57%	+0.19	-14.4	0
1998-05-03	@ B36 Torshavn	W 1-0	43.4	1072	1020	32.57%	27.05%	40.39%	-0.19	+14.3	3
1998-05-03	KI Klaksvik	D 0-0	47.1	709	948	18.21%	25.37%	56.42%	-1.39	+3.3	1
1998-05-03	@ Fuglafjordur	D 0-0	47.1	948	709	56.42%	25.37%	18.21%	+1.39	-3.3	1
1998-05-03	GI Gota	W 3-1	50.0	745	988	17.81%	25.27%	56.92%	-1.43	+31.2	3
1998-05-03	@ NSI Runavik	L 1-3	50.0	988	745	56.92%	25.27%	17.81%	+1.43	-31.2	0
1998-05-03	B68 Toftir	L 1-2	49.7	772	740	51.22%	26.22%	22.55%	+0.91	-16.4	0
1998-05-03	@ Sumba	W 2-1	49.7	740	772	22.55%	26.22%	51.22%	-0.91	+16.4	3
1998-05-10	GI Gota	L 0-1	37.5	756	957	21.60%	26.07%	52.33%	-1.08	-8.8	3
1998-05-10	@ B68 Toftir	W 1-0	37.5	957	756	52.33%	26.07%	21.60%	+1.08	+8.8	3
1998-05-10	TB Tvoroyri	W 4-3	42.3	1086	817	72.28%	20.03%	7.69%	+2.91	+2.8	6
1998-05-10	@ HB Torshavn	L 3-4	42.3	817	1086	7.69%	20.03%	72.28%	-2.91	-2.8	1
1998-05-10	B36 Torshavn	D 1-1	49.3	945	1006	39.07%	27.08%	33.86%	+0.11	-0.4	2
1998-05-10	@ KI Klaksvik	D 1-1	49.3	1006	945	33.86%	27.08%	39.07%	-0.11	+0.4	1
1998-05-10	Fuglafjordur	W 1-0	37.4	756	712	52.45%	26.05%	21.49%	+1.00	+8.8	3
1998-05-10	@ Sumba	L 0-1	37.4	712	756	21.49%	26.05%	52.45%	-1.00	-8.8	1
1998-05-10	NSI Runavik	L 0-5	44.4	911	776	61.73%	24.09%	14.18%	+1.77	-90.7	1
1998-05-10	@ Vags Boltfelag	W 5-0	44.4	776	911	14.18%	24.09%	61.73%	-1.77	+90.7	6
1998-05-16	B68 Toftir	D 2-2	53.0	704	747	41.50%	27.01%	31.49%	+0.26	-0.5	2
1998-05-16	@ Fuglafjordur	D 2-2	53.0	747	704	31.49%	27.01%	41.50%	-0.26	+0.5	4
1998-05-17	Sumba	W 6-2	35.0	1006	765	70.37%	20.92%	8.71%	+2.68	+9.2	4
1998-05-17	@ B36 Torshavn	L 2-6	35.0	765	1006	8.71%	20.92%	70.37%	-2.68	-9.2	3
1998-05-17	Vags Boltfelag	L 0-2	47.6	966	820	62.79%	23.78%	13.43%	+1.87	-39.3	3
1998-05-17	@ GI Gota	W 2-0	47.6	820	966	13.43%	23.78%	62.79%	-1.87	+39.4	4
1998-05-17	HB Torshavn	L 0-4	32.8	867	1089	19.67%	25.71%	54.63%	-1.25	-29.1	6
1998-05-17	@ NSI Runavik	W 4-0	32.8	1089	867	54.63%	25.71%	19.67%	+1.25	+29.1	9
1998-05-17	KI Klaksvik	L 1-3	42.3	815	944	29.65%	26.92%	43.43%	-0.47	-18.6	1
1998-05-17	@ TB Tvoroyri	W 3-1	42.3	944	815	43.43%	26.92%	29.65%	+0.47	+18.6	5
1998-05-24	Vags Boltfelag	W 2-1	46.8	748	859	32.00%	27.03%	40.97%	-0.31	+13.7	7
1998-05-24	@ B68 Toftir	L 1-2	46.8	859	748	40.97%	27.03%	32.00%	+0.31	-13.7	4
1998-05-24	B36 Torshavn	D 0-0	47.7	703	1015	13.01%	23.59%	63.40%	-2.01	+4.5	3
1998-05-24	@ Fuglafjordur	D 0-0	47.7	1015	703	63.40%	23.59%	13.01%	+2.01	-4.5	5
1998-05-24	GI Gota	W 3-0	30.3	1118	927	66.57%	22.50%	10.94%	+2.25	+12.7	12
1998-05-24	@ HB Torshavn	L 0-3	30.3	927	1118	10.94%	22.50%	66.57%	-2.25	-12.7	3
1998-05-24	NSI Runavik	W 4-1	35.9	963	838	60.87%	24.33%	14.80%	+1.69	+14.5	8
1998-05-24	@ KI Klaksvik	L 1-4	35.9	838	963	14.80%	24.33%	60.87%	-1.69	-14.5	6
1998-05-24	TB Tvoroyri	W 3-2	47.8	756	796	41.91%	26.99%	31.09%	+0.29	+10.6	6
1998-05-24	@ Sumba	L 2-3	47.8	796	756	31.09%	26.99%	41.91%	-0.29	-10.6	1
1998-06-01	B68 Toftir	W 2-1	35.2	1011	761	70.94%	20.66%	8.40%	+2.75	+3.3	8
1998-06-01	@ B36 Torshavn	L 1-2	35.2	761	1011	8.40%	20.66%	70.94%	-2.75	-3.3	7
1998-06-01	KI Klaksvik	D 2-2	53.0	914	977	38.76%	27.08%	34.16%	+0.10	-0.2	4
1998-06-01	@ GI Gota	D 2-2	53.0	977	914	34.16%	27.08%	38.76%	-0.10	+0.2	9
1998-06-01	Sumba	W 3-0	34.0	823	766	53.99%	25.82%	20.19%	+1.12	+22.8	9
1998-06-01	@ NSI Runavik	L 0-3	34.0	766	823	20.19%	25.82%	53.99%	-1.12	-22.8	6
1998-06-01	Fuglafjordur	D 2-2	53.5	786	708	56.21%	25.41%	18.37%	+1.29	-2.2	2
1998-06-01	@ TB Tvoroyri	D 2-2	53.5	708	786	18.37%	25.41%	56.21%	-1.29	+2.2	4
1998-06-01	HB Torshavn	D 1-1	50.1	846	1130	14.73%	24.31%	60.96%	-1.78	+3.6	5
1998-06-01	@ Vags Boltfelag	D 1-1	50.1	1130	846	60.96%	24.31%	14.73%	+1.78	-3.6	13
1998-06-07	TB Tvoroyri	W 7-0	27.7	1014	783	69.60%	21.27%	9.14%	+2.59	+23.1	11
1998-06-07	@ B36 Torshavn	L 0-7	27.7	783	1014	9.14%	21.27%	69.60%	-2.59	-23.1	2
1998-06-07	HB Torshavn	D 0-0	48.2	758	1127	10.05%	21.92%	68.03%	-2.50	+5.2	8
1998-06-07	@ B68 Toftir	D 0-0	48.2	1127	758	68.03%	21.92%	10.05%	+2.50	-5.2	14
1998-06-07	NSI Runavik	D 1-1	49.4	710	846	28.81%	26.87%	44.32%	-0.52	+1.1	5
1998-06-07	@ Fuglafjordur	D 1-1	49.4	846	710	44.32%	26.87%	28.81%	+0.52	-1.1	10
1998-06-07	Vags Boltfelag	W 2-1	38.1	977	849	61.18%	24.25%	14.58%	+1.72	+5.8	12
1998-06-07	@ KI Klaksvik	L 1-2	38.1	849	977	14.58%	24.25%	61.18%	-1.72	-5.8	5
1998-06-07	GI Gota	D 1-1	49.5	743	914	24.80%	26.52%	48.68%	-0.81	+1.8	7
1998-06-07	@ Sumba	D 1-1	49.5	914	743	48.68%	26.52%	24.80%	+0.81	-1.8	5
1998-06-10	Vags Boltfelag	L 2-5	44.6	711	843	29.29%	26.90%	43.81%	-0.49	-22.5	5
1998-06-10	@ Fuglafjordur	W 5-2	44.6	843	711	43.81%	26.90%	29.29%	+0.49	+22.5	8
1998-06-13	B36 Torshavn	W 2-0	44.8	845	1037	22.51%	26.22%	51.28%	-1.00	+32.9	13
1998-06-13	@ NSI Runavik	L 0-2	44.8	1037	845	51.28%	26.22%	22.51%	+1.00	-32.9	11
1998-06-13	B68 Toftir	L 0-5	40.7	760	763	46.84%	26.69%	26.47%	+0.60	-71.2	2
1998-06-13	@ TB Tvoroyri	W 5-0	40.7	763	760	26.47%	26.69%	46.84%	-0.60	+71.2	11
1998-06-14	Fuglafjordur	W 3-1	34.6	912	688	69.08%	21.49%	9.43%	+2.53	+6.5	8
1998-06-14	@ GI Gota	L 1-3	34.6	688	912	9.43%	21.49%	69.08%	-2.53	-6.4	5
1998-06-14	KI Klaksvik	W 4-0	30.6	1122	983	62.08%	23.99%	13.93%	+1.80	+21.1	17
1998-06-14	@ HB Torshavn	L 0-4	30.6	983	1122	13.93%	23.99%	62.08%	-1.80	-21.1	12
1998-06-14	Sumba	W 2-0	33.4	866	745	60.48%	24.44%	15.09%	+1.66	+12.0	11
1998-06-14	@ Vags Boltfelag	L 0-2	33.4	745	866	15.09%	24.44%	60.48%	-1.66	-12.0	7
1998-06-20	HB Torshavn	L 1-2	35.1	733	1143	8.34%	20.61%	71.04%	-2.84	-3.3	7
1998-06-20	@ Sumba	W 2-1	35.1	1143	733	71.04%	20.61%	8.34%	+2.84	+3.2	20
1998-06-21	GI Gota	D 1-1	49.9	1004	918	57.03%	25.25%	17.72%	+1.36	-3.0	12
1998-06-21	@ B36 Torshavn	D 1-1	49.9	918	1004	17.72%	25.25%	57.03%	-1.36	+3.0	9
1998-06-21	KI Klaksvik	L 1-5	40.2	835	962	29.90%	26.94%	43.17%	-0.45	-34.2	11
1998-06-21	@ B68 Toftir	W 5-1	40.2	962	835	43.17%	26.94%	29.90%	+0.45	+34.1	15
1998-06-21	NSI Runavik	D 2-2	53.3	689	878	22.84%	26.27%	50.90%	-0.97	+1.6	3
1998-06-21	@ TB Tvoroyri	D 2-2	53.3	878	689	50.90%	26.27%	22.84%	+0.97	-1.6	14
1998-06-27	TB Tvoroyri	W 3-0	29.3	922	691	69.62%	21.25%	9.12%	+2.59	+10.4	12
1998-06-27	@ GI Gota	L 0-3	29.3	691	922	9.12%	21.25%	69.62%	-2.59	-10.4	3
1998-06-27	Fuglafjordur	W 3-2	35.4	1146	682	83.33%	13.56%	3.11%	+4.57	+1.0	23
1998-06-27	@ HB Torshavn	L 2-3	35.4	682	1146	3.11%	13.56%	83.33%	-4.57	-1.0	5
1998-06-28	Sumba	W 4-1	32.5	996	730	72.14%	20.09%	7.76%	+2.89	+7.4	18
1998-06-28	@ KI Klaksvik	L 1-4	32.5	730	996	7.76%	20.09%	72.14%	-2.89	-7.4	7
1998-06-28	B68 Toftir	W 4-1	37.4	876	800	56.00%	25.46%	18.54%	+1.28	+17.8	17
1998-06-28	@ NSI Runavik	L 1-4	37.4	800	876	18.54%	25.46%	56.00%	-1.28	-17.8	11
1998-07-04	B36 Torshavn	D 1-1	49.3	878	1001	30.46%	26.97%	42.57%	-0.41	+0.9	12
1998-07-04	@ Vags Boltfelag	D 1-1	49.3	1001	878	42.57%	26.97%	30.46%	+0.41	-0.9	13
1998-08-02	Sumba	W 6-0	32.2	783	722	54.32%	25.76%	19.92%	+1.14	+43.0	14
1998-08-02	@ B68 Toftir	L 0-6	32.2	722	783	19.92%	25.76%	54.32%	-1.14	-43.0	7
1998-08-02	NSI Runavik	W 5-1	37.6	932	894	51.81%	26.15%	22.05%	+0.95	+26.7	15
1998-08-02	@ GI Gota	L 1-5	37.6	894	932	22.05%	26.15%	51.81%	-0.95	-26.7	17
1998-08-02	Fuglafjordur	W 2-0	28.9	1004	681	75.78%	18.21%	6.01%	+3.37	+4.5	21
1998-08-02	@ KI Klaksvik	L 0-2	28.9	681	1004	6.01%	18.21%	75.78%	-3.37	-4.5	5
1998-08-02	TB Tvoroyri	D 0-0	48.1	879	680	67.17%	22.26%	10.56%	+2.32	-5.1	13
1998-08-02	@ Vags Boltfelag	D 0-0	48.1	680	879	10.56%	22.26%	67.17%	-2.32	+5.1	4
1998-08-03	B36 Torshavn	L 2-3	56.4	1147	1000	62.83%	23.77%	13.40%	+1.87	-18.7	23
1998-08-03	@ HB Torshavn	W 3-2	56.4	1000	1147	13.40%	23.77%	62.83%	-1.87	+18.7	16
1998-08-08	B68 Toftir	D 2-2	53.9	959	826	61.61%	24.13%	14.26%	+1.76	-2.8	16
1998-08-08	@ GI Gota	D 2-2	53.9	826	959	14.26%	24.13%	61.61%	-1.76	+2.8	15
1998-08-09	KI Klaksvik	W 3-2	45.8	1019	1008	48.58%	26.53%	24.89%	+0.72	+8.9	19
1998-08-09	@ B36 Torshavn	L 2-3	45.8	1008	1019	24.89%	26.53%	48.58%	-0.72	-8.9	21
1998-08-09	Sumba	W 6-0	34.4	676	679	46.86%	26.69%	26.45%	+0.61	+54.5	8
1998-08-09	@ Fuglafjordur	L 0-6	34.4	679	676	26.45%	26.69%	46.86%	-0.61	-54.5	7
1998-08-09	Vags Boltfelag	W 4-1	40.2	867	874	46.43%	26.72%	26.84%	+0.58	+24.3	20
1998-08-09	@ NSI Runavik	L 1-4	40.2	874	867	26.84%	26.72%	46.43%	-0.58	-24.3	13
1998-08-09	HB Torshavn	L 1-4	32.2	685	1128	7.16%	19.51%	73.33%	-3.13	-6.7	4
1998-08-09	@ TB Tvoroyri	W 4-1	32.2	1128	685	73.33%	19.51%	7.16%	+3.13	+6.7	26
1998-08-15	Fuglafjordur	D 3-3	57.5	828	731	58.22%	24.99%	16.79%	+1.46	-2.0	16
1998-08-15	@ B68 Toftir	D 3-3	57.5	731	828	16.79%	24.99%	58.22%	-1.46	+2.0	9
1998-08-15	NSI Runavik	W 2-1	35.3	1135	892	70.51%	20.86%	8.63%	+2.69	+3.4	29
1998-08-15	@ HB Torshavn	L 1-2	35.3	892	1135	8.63%	20.86%	70.51%	-2.69	-3.4	20
1998-08-15	TB Tvoroyri	W 10-0	26.6	999	678	75.67%	18.27%	6.06%	+3.35	+20.6	24
1998-08-15	@ KI Klaksvik	L 0-10	26.6	678	999	6.06%	18.27%	75.67%	-3.35	-20.6	4
1998-08-15	B36 Torshavn	L 0-10	28.1	625	1028	8.60%	20.83%	70.57%	-2.79	-30.5	7
1998-08-15	@ Sumba	W 10-0	28.1	1028	625	70.57%	20.83%	8.60%	+2.79	+30.5	22
1998-08-15	GI Gota	W 3-1	45.5	849	956	32.67%	27.05%	40.28%	-0.27	+23.4	16
1998-08-15	@ Vags Boltfelag	L 1-3	45.5	956	849	40.28%	27.05%	32.67%	+0.27	-23.4	16
1998-08-22	Sumba	D 2-2	53.4	658	594	54.67%	25.70%	19.63%	+1.17	-2.0	5
1998-08-22	@ TB Tvoroyri	D 2-2	53.4	594	658	19.63%	25.70%	54.67%	-1.17	+2.0	8
1998-08-23	Fuglafjordur	W 7-2	31.8	1058	733	75.94%	18.12%	5.94%	+3.39	+7.2	25
1998-08-23	@ B36 Torshavn	L 2-7	31.8	733	1058	5.94%	18.12%	75.94%	-3.39	-7.2	9
1998-08-23	HB Torshavn	L 1-3	39.5	933	1138	21.15%	26.00%	52.85%	-1.11	-14.1	16
1998-08-23	@ GI Gota	W 3-1	39.5	1138	933	52.85%	26.00%	21.15%	+1.11	+14.1	32
1998-08-23	KI Klaksvik	D 0-0	46.7	888	1020	29.40%	26.91%	43.70%	-0.48	+1.1	21
1998-08-23	@ NSI Runavik	D 0-0	46.7	1020	888	43.70%	26.91%	29.40%	+0.48	-1.1	25
1998-08-23	B68 Toftir	W 3-1	39.5	873	826	52.78%	26.01%	21.21%	+1.02	+14.2	19
1998-08-23	@ Vags Boltfelag	L 1-3	39.5	826	873	21.21%	26.01%	52.78%	-1.02	-14.2	16
1998-08-30	B36 Torshavn	L 2-3	43.0	812	1066	17.03%	25.06%	57.91%	-1.52	-6.4	16
1998-08-30	@ B68 Toftir	W 3-2	43.0	1066	812	57.91%	25.06%	17.03%	+1.52	+6.4	28
1998-08-30	TB Tvoroyri	L 1-2	50.7	726	656	55.37%	25.58%	19.06%	+1.22	-17.6	9
1998-08-30	@ Fuglafjordur	W 2-1	50.7	656	726	19.06%	25.58%	55.37%	-1.22	+17.6	8
1998-08-30	Vags Boltfelag	W 5-1	31.5	1152	887	72.08%	20.13%	7.80%	+2.88	+9.6	35
1998-08-30	@ HB Torshavn	L 1-5	31.5	887	1152	7.80%	20.13%	72.08%	-2.88	-9.6	19
1998-08-30	GI Gota	W 4-2	41.7	1019	918	58.51%	24.92%	16.57%	+1.48	+10.2	28
1998-08-30	@ KI Klaksvik	L 2-4	41.7	918	1019	16.57%	24.92%	58.51%	-1.48	-10.2	16
1998-08-30	NSI Runavik	L 1-6	33.7	596	889	14.19%	24.10%	61.71%	-1.85	-22.0	8
1998-08-30	@ Sumba	W 6-1	33.7	889	596	61.71%	24.10%	14.19%	+1.85	+21.9	24
1998-09-12	B36 Torshavn	L 0-3	29.1	674	1072	8.78%	20.98%	70.25%	-2.75	-10.0	8
1998-09-12	@ TB Tvoroyri	W 3-0	29.1	1072	674	70.25%	20.98%	8.78%	+2.75	+10.0	31
1998-09-13	Sumba	W 11-1	27.3	908	575	76.45%	17.84%	5.72%	+3.46	+15.8	19
1998-09-13	@ GI Gota	L 1-11	27.3	575	908	5.72%	17.84%	76.45%	-3.46	-15.8	8
1998-09-13	B68 Toftir	W 3-1	32.0	1162	806	77.77%	17.08%	5.15%	+3.65	+3.3	38
1998-09-13	@ HB Torshavn	L 1-3	32.0	806	1162	5.15%	17.08%	77.77%	-3.65	-3.3	16
1998-09-13	Fuglafjordur	D 1-1	50.8	911	708	67.53%	22.12%	10.35%	+2.36	-4.6	25
1998-09-13	@ NSI Runavik	D 1-1	50.8	708	911	10.35%	22.12%	67.53%	-2.36	+4.6	10
1998-09-13	KI Klaksvik	L 0-4	35.3	877	1029	26.96%	26.74%	46.31%	-0.65	-37.8	19
1998-09-13	@ Vags Boltfelag	W 4-0	35.3	1029	877	46.31%	26.74%	26.96%	+0.65	+37.8	31
1998-09-19	Vags Boltfelag	D 1-1	50.1	559	840	15.01%	24.41%	60.59%	-1.75	+3.6	9
1998-09-19	@ Sumba	D 1-1	50.1	840	559	60.59%	24.41%	15.01%	+1.75	-3.6	20
1998-09-20	NSI Runavik	W 2-0	32.0	1082	907	65.27%	22.97%	11.77%	+2.12	+9.4	34
1998-09-20	@ B36 Torshavn	L 0-2	32.0	907	1082	11.77%	22.97%	65.27%	-2.12	-9.4	25
1998-09-20	TB Tvoroyri	W 4-3	45.3	803	664	62.16%	23.97%	13.87%	+1.81	+5.1	19
1998-09-20	@ B68 Toftir	L 3-4	45.3	664	803	13.87%	23.97%	62.16%	-1.81	-5.1	8
1998-09-20	GI Gota	L 0-4	33.2	713	924	20.64%	25.90%	53.46%	-1.16	-30.3	10
1998-09-20	@ Fuglafjordur	W 4-0	33.2	924	713	53.46%	25.90%	20.64%	+1.16	+30.3	22
1998-09-20	HB Torshavn	D 2-2	53.1	1067	1165	33.75%	27.08%	39.17%	-0.20	+0.3	32
1998-09-20	@ KI Klaksvik	D 2-2	53.1	1165	1067	39.17%	27.08%	33.75%	+0.20	-0.3	39
1998-09-27	B36 Torshavn	W 5-2	49.1	954	1091	28.72%	26.87%	44.42%	-0.53	+30.9	25
1998-09-27	@ GI Gota	L 2-5	49.1	1091	954	44.42%	26.87%	28.72%	+0.53	-30.9	34
1998-09-27	Sumba	W 4-1	27.5	1165	562	88.78%	9.65%	1.57%	+5.74	+1.2	42
1998-09-27	@ HB Torshavn	L 1-4	27.5	562	1165	1.57%	9.65%	88.78%	-5.74	-1.2	9
1998-09-27	B68 Toftir	W 4-3	42.5	1067	808	71.64%	20.33%	8.02%	+2.83	+2.9	35
1998-09-27	@ KI Klaksvik	L 3-4	42.5	808	1067	8.02%	20.33%	71.64%	-2.83	-2.9	19
1998-09-27	TB Tvoroyri	W 1-0	32.1	897	658	70.21%	20.99%	8.79%	+2.66	+3.7	28
1998-09-27	@ NSI Runavik	L 0-1	32.1	658	897	8.79%	20.99%	70.21%	-2.66	-3.7	8
1998-09-27	Fuglafjordur	D 1-1	50.3	836	682	63.44%	23.58%	12.98%	+1.93	-4.0	21
1998-09-27	@ Vags Boltfelag	D 1-1	50.3	682	836	12.98%	23.58%	63.44%	-1.93	+4.0	11
1998-10-03	Vags Boltfelag	W 8-2	32.5	1060	832	69.43%	21.34%	9.23%	+2.57	+13.8	37
1998-10-03	@ B36 Torshavn	L 2-8	32.5	832	1060	9.23%	21.34%	69.43%	-2.57	-13.8	21
1998-10-03	NSI Runavik	W 3-2	50.2	805	901	34.08%	27.08%	38.84%	-0.18	+12.5	22
1998-10-03	@ B68 Toftir	L 2-3	50.2	901	805	38.84%	27.08%	34.08%	+0.18	-12.5	28
1998-10-03	HB Torshavn	L 1-10	27.7	686	1166	6.06%	18.27%	75.67%	-3.44	-15.2	11
1998-10-03	@ Fuglafjordur	W 10-1	27.7	1166	686	75.67%	18.27%	6.06%	+3.44	+15.2	45
1998-10-03	KI Klaksvik	L 2-5	34.5	561	1070	5.31%	17.29%	77.40%	-3.68	-4.1	9
1998-10-03	@ Sumba	W 5-2	34.5	1070	561	77.40%	17.29%	5.31%	+3.68	+4.1	38
1998-10-03	GI Gota	L 1-5	33.6	655	985	11.95%	23.07%	64.98%	-2.17	-15.1	8
1998-10-03	@ TB Tvoroyri	W 5-1	33.6	985	655	64.98%	23.07%	11.95%	+2.17	+15.1	28

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1998-08-03	13.40%	B36 Torshavn	1000	3	@ HB Torshavn	1147	2
2	1998-05-17	13.43%	Vags Boltfelag	820	2	@ GI Gota	966	0
3	1998-05-10	14.18%	NSI Runavik	776	5	@ Vags Boltfelag	911	0
4	1998-05-03	17.81%	@ NSI Runavik	745	3	GI Gota	988	1
5	1998-08-30	19.06%	TB Tvoroyri	656	2	@ Fuglafjordur	726	1
6	1998-06-13	22.51%	@ NSI Runavik	845	2	B36 Torshavn	1037	0
7	1998-05-03	22.55%	B68 Toftir	740	2	@ Sumba	772	1
8	1998-06-13	26.47%	B68 Toftir	763	5	@ TB Tvoroyri	760	0
9	1998-09-27	28.72%	@ GI Gota	954	5	B36 Torshavn	1091	2
10	1998-05-24	32.00%	@ B68 Toftir	748	2	Vags Boltfelag	859	1
11	1998-05-03	32.57%	HB Torshavn	1072	1	@ B36 Torshavn	1020	0
12	1998-08-15	32.67%	@ Vags Boltfelag	849	3	GI Gota	956	1
13	1998-10-03	34.08%	@ B68 Toftir	805	3	NSI Runavik	901	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1998-05-10	90.66	NSI Runavik	5	776	14.18%	@ Vags Boltfelag	0	911	61.73%	24.09%
2	1998-06-13	71.23	B68 Toftir	5	763	26.47%	@ TB Tvoroyri	0	760	46.84%	26.69%
3	1998-08-09	54.50	@ Fuglafjordur	6	676	46.86%	Sumba	0	679	26.45%	26.69%
4	1998-08-02	43.02	@ B68 Toftir	6	783	54.32%	Sumba	0	722	19.92%	25.76%
5	1998-05-17	39.36	Vags Boltfelag	2	820	13.43%	@ GI Gota	0	966	62.79%	23.78%
6	1998-09-13	37.79	KI Klaksvik	4	1029	46.31%	@ Vags Boltfelag	0	877	26.96%	26.74%
7	1998-06-21	34.15	KI Klaksvik	5	962	43.17%	@ B68 Toftir	1	835	29.90%	26.94%
8	1998-06-13	32.90	@ NSI Runavik	2	845	22.51%	B36 Torshavn	0	1037	51.28%	26.22%
9	1998-05-03	31.24	@ NSI Runavik	3	745	17.81%	GI Gota	1	988	56.92%	25.27%
10	1998-09-27	30.93	@ GI Gota	5	954	28.72%	B36 Torshavn	2	1091	44.42%	26.87%
11	1998-08-15	30.46	B36 Torshavn	10	1028	70.57%	@ Sumba	0	625	8.60%	20.83%
12	1998-09-20	30.31	GI Gota	4	924	53.46%	@ Fuglafjordur	0	713	20.64%	25.90%
13	1998-05-17	29.06	HB Torshavn	4	1089	54.63%	@ NSI Runavik	0	867	19.67%	25.71%
14	1998-08-02	26.72	@ GI Gota	5	932	51.81%	NSI Runavik	1	894	22.05%	26.15%
15	1998-08-09	24.32	@ NSI Runavik	4	867	46.43%	Vags Boltfelag	1	874	26.84%	26.72%
16	1998-08-15	23.38	@ Vags Boltfelag	3	849	32.67%	GI Gota	1	956	40.28%	27.05%
17	1998-06-07	23.15	@ B36 Torshavn	7	1014	69.60%	TB Tvoroyri	0	783	9.14%	21.27%
18	1998-06-01	22.77	@ NSI Runavik	3	823	53.99%	Sumba	0	766	20.19%	25.82%
19	1998-06-10	22.55	Vags Boltfelag	5	843	43.81%	@ Fuglafjordur	2	711	29.29%	26.90%
20	1998-08-30	21.95	NSI Runavik	6	889	61.71%	@ Sumba	1	596	14.19%	24.10%
21	1998-06-14	21.12	@ HB Torshavn	4	1122	62.08%	KI Klaksvik	0	983	13.93%	23.99%
22	1998-08-15	20.56	@ KI Klaksvik	10	999	75.67%	TB Tvoroyri	0	678	6.06%	18.27%
23	1998-08-03	18.68	B36 Torshavn	3	1000	13.40%	@ HB Torshavn	2	1147	62.83%	23.77%
24	1998-05-17	18.58	KI Klaksvik	3	944	43.43%	@ TB Tvoroyri	1	815	29.65%	26.92%
25	1998-06-28	17.81	@ NSI Runavik	4	876	56.00%	B68 Toftir	1	800	18.54%	25.46%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1998-08-15	57.5	@ B68 Toftir	3	828	58.22%	Fuglafjordur	3	731	16.79%	24.99%
2	1998-08-03	56.4	B36 Torshavn	3	1000	13.40%	@ HB Torshavn	2	1147	62.83%	23.77%
3	1998-08-08	53.9	@ GI Gota	2	959	61.61%	B68 Toftir	2	826	14.26%	24.13%
4	1998-06-01	53.5	@ TB Tvoroyri	2	786	56.21%	Fuglafjordur	2	708	18.37%	25.41%
5	1998-08-22	53.4	@ TB Tvoroyri	2	658	54.67%	Sumba	2	594	19.63%	25.70%
6	1998-06-21	53.3	@ TB Tvoroyri	2	689	22.84%	NSI Runavik	2	878	50.90%	26.27%
7	1998-09-20	53.1	@ KI Klaksvik	2	1067	33.75%	HB Torshavn	2	1165	39.17%	27.08%
8	1998-05-02	53.0	@ TB Tvoroyri	2	817	34.45%	Vags Boltfelag	2	911	38.46%	27.09%
9	1998-05-16	53.0	@ Fuglafjordur	2	704	41.50%	B68 Toftir	2	747	31.49%	27.01%
10	1998-06-01	53.0	@ GI Gota	2	914	38.76%	KI Klaksvik	2	977	34.16%	27.08%
11	1998-09-13	50.8	@ NSI Runavik	1	911	67.53%	Fuglafjordur	1	708	10.35%	22.12%
12	1998-08-30	50.7	TB Tvoroyri	2	656	19.06%	@ Fuglafjordur	1	726	55.37%	25.58%
13	1998-09-27	50.3	@ Vags Boltfelag	1	836	63.44%	Fuglafjordur	1	682	12.98%	23.58%
14	1998-10-03	50.2	@ B68 Toftir	3	805	34.08%	NSI Runavik	2	901	38.84%	27.08%
15	1998-06-01	50.1	@ Vags Boltfelag	1	846	14.73%	HB Torshavn	1	1130	60.96%	24.31%
16	1998-09-19	50.1	@ Sumba	1	559	15.01%	Vags Boltfelag	1	840	60.59%	24.41%
17	1998-05-03	50.0	@ NSI Runavik	3	745	17.81%	GI Gota	1	988	56.92%	25.27%
18	1998-06-21	49.9	@ B36 Torshavn	1	1004	57.03%	GI Gota	1	918	17.72%	25.25%
19	1998-05-03	49.7	B68 Toftir	2	740	22.55%	@ Sumba	1	772	51.22%	26.22%
20	1998-06-07	49.5	@ Sumba	1	743	24.80%	GI Gota	1	914	48.68%	26.52%
21	1998-06-07	49.4	@ Fuglafjordur	1	710	28.81%	NSI Runavik	1	846	44.32%	26.87%
22	1998-05-10	49.3	@ KI Klaksvik	1	945	39.07%	B36 Torshavn	1	1006	33.86%	27.08%
23	1998-07-04	49.3	@ Vags Boltfelag	1	878	30.46%	B36 Torshavn	1	1001	42.57%	26.97%
24	1998-09-27	49.1	@ GI Gota	5	954	28.72%	B36 Torshavn	2	1091	44.42%	26.87%
25	1998-06-07	48.2	@ B68 Toftir	0	758	10.05%	HB Torshavn	0	1127	68.03%	21.92%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1998-08-15	26.6	@ KI Klaksvik	10	999	75.67%	TB Tvoroyri	0	678	6.06%	18.27%
2	1998-09-13	27.3	@ GI Gota	11	908	76.45%	Sumba	1	575	5.72%	17.84%
3	1998-09-27	27.5	@ HB Torshavn	4	1165	88.78%	Sumba	1	562	1.57%	9.65%
4	1998-06-07	27.7	@ B36 Torshavn	7	1014	69.60%	TB Tvoroyri	0	783	9.14%	21.27%
5	1998-10-03	27.7	HB Torshavn	10	1166	75.67%	@ Fuglafjordur	1	686	6.06%	18.27%
6	1998-08-15	28.1	B36 Torshavn	10	1028	70.57%	@ Sumba	0	625	8.60%	20.83%
7	1998-08-02	28.9	@ KI Klaksvik	2	1004	75.78%	Fuglafjordur	0	681	6.01%	18.21%
8	1998-09-12	29.1	B36 Torshavn	3	1072	70.25%	@ TB Tvoroyri	0	674	8.78%	20.98%
9	1998-06-27	29.3	@ GI Gota	3	922	69.62%	TB Tvoroyri	0	691	9.12%	21.25%
10	1998-05-24	30.3	@ HB Torshavn	3	1118	66.57%	GI Gota	0	927	10.94%	22.50%
11	1998-06-14	30.6	@ HB Torshavn	4	1122	62.08%	KI Klaksvik	0	983	13.93%	23.99%
12	1998-08-30	31.5	@ HB Torshavn	5	1152	72.08%	Vags Boltfelag	1	887	7.80%	20.13%
13	1998-08-23	31.8	@ B36 Torshavn	7	1058	75.94%	Fuglafjordur	2	733	5.94%	18.12%
14	1998-09-13	32.0	@ HB Torshavn	3	1162	77.77%	B68 Toftir	1	806	5.15%	17.08%
15	1998-09-20	32.0	@ B36 Torshavn	2	1082	65.27%	NSI Runavik	0	907	11.77%	22.97%
16	1998-09-27	32.1	@ NSI Runavik	1	897	70.21%	TB Tvoroyri	0	658	8.79%	20.99%
17	1998-08-02	32.2	@ B68 Toftir	6	783	54.32%	Sumba	0	722	19.92%	25.76%
18	1998-08-09	32.2	HB Torshavn	4	1128	73.33%	@ TB Tvoroyri	1	685	7.16%	19.51%
19	1998-06-28	32.5	@ KI Klaksvik	4	996	72.14%	Sumba	1	730	7.76%	20.09%
20	1998-10-03	32.5	@ B36 Torshavn	8	1060	69.43%	Vags Boltfelag	2	832	9.23%	21.34%
21	1998-05-17	32.8	HB Torshavn	4	1089	54.63%	@ NSI Runavik	0	867	19.67%	25.71%
22	1998-09-20	33.2	GI Gota	4	924	53.46%	@ Fuglafjordur	0	713	20.64%	25.90%
23	1998-06-14	33.4	@ Vags Boltfelag	2	866	60.48%	Sumba	0	745	15.09%	24.44%
24	1998-10-03	33.6	GI Gota	5	985	64.98%	@ TB Tvoroyri	1	655	11.95%	23.07%
25	1998-08-30	33.7	NSI Runavik	6	889	61.71%	@ Sumba	1	596	14.19%	24.10%