1999 1. deild Season

90 games

Final

Champion

KI Klaksvik

41 points · 17th Title

Last Title: 1991.0

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

GI Gota

7.42 points above expected

39 points · 31.58 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Fuglafjordur

6.34 points below expected

10 points · 16.34 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	KI Klaksvik Champion	18	13	2	3	41	38	19	+19	35.17	+5.83
2	GI Gota	18	12	3	3	39	46	24	+22	31.58	+7.42
3	B36 Torshavn	18	12	2	4	38	52	22	+30	34.63	+3.37
4	HB Torshavn	18	11	4	3	37	41	16	+25	38.57	-1.57
5	NSI Runavik	18	6	5	7	23	25	26	-1	26.44	-3.44
6	Vags Boltfelag	18	6	3	9	21	19	27	-8	21.60	-0.60
7	B68 Toftir	18	5	3	10	18	22	41	-19	21.70	-3.70
8	B71 Sandoy	18	3	5	10	14	26	45	-19	16.70	-2.70
9	Sumba	18	2	5	11	11	22	43	-21	10.78	+0.22
10	Fuglafjordur	18	2	4	12	10	20	48	-28	16.34	-6.34

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	GI Gota	39	31.58	+7.42
2	KI Klaksvik	41	35.17	+5.83
3	B36 Torshavn	38	34.63	+3.37
4	Sumba	11	10.78	+0.22
5	Vags Boltfelag	21	21.60	-0.60

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Fuglafjordur	10	16.34	-6.34
2	B68 Toftir	18	21.70	-3.70
3	NSI Runavik	23	26.44	-3.44
4	B71 Sandoy	14	16.70	-2.70
5	HB Torshavn	37	38.57	-1.57

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	KI Klaksvik	8	May 22 – Aug 15	1 in 75
2	Vags Boltfelag	2	Aug 22 – Aug 29	1 in 12
3	NSI Runavik	2	May 5 – May 17	1 in 11
4	B68 Toftir	3	May 22 – Jun 13	1 in 11
5	HB Torshavn	4	Sep 12 – Oct 2	1 in 6

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fuglafjordur	7	May 9 – Jul 6	1 in 31
2	NSI Runavik	4	Aug 22 – Sep 19	1 in 19
3	Sumba	8	Apr 25 – Jun 20	1 in 18
4	Vags Boltfelag	3	May 22 – Jun 12	1 in 8
5	B36 Torshavn	2	Sep 12 – Sep 19	1 in 7

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sumba	3	Aug 22 – Sep 12	1 in 52
2	Vags Boltfelag	5	Aug 22 – Sep 26	1 in 21
3	B71 Sandoy	4	Aug 22 – Sep 19	1 in 15
4	NSI Runavik	5	Apr 25 – May 22	1 in 13
5	B68 Toftir	4	May 22 – Jun 20	1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	HB Torshavn	3	Jun 20 – Aug 1	1 in 42
2	Fuglafjordur	11	May 9 – Aug 22	1 in 17
3	NSI Runavik	6	Aug 22 – Oct 2	1 in 17
4	Vags Boltfelag	5	May 22 – Jun 25	1 in 16
5	B68 Toftir	6	Aug 22 – Oct 2	1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
KI Klaksvik	1046	41	-9	9	10.3	-1.3
GI Gota	1010	39	+27	13	10.2	+2.8
B36 Torshavn	1058	38	-4	7	8.7	-1.7
HB Torshavn	1105	37	+26	13	11.3	+1.7
NSI Runavik	874	23	-39	1	6.6	-5.6
Vags Boltfelag	824	21	+22	10	6.9	+3.1
B68 Toftir	787	18	-30	1	6.3	-5.3
B71 Sandoy	728	14	-5	5	4.8	+0.2
Sumba	640	11	+15	6	2.2	+3.8
Fuglafjordur	682	10	-4	4	3.4	+0.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BT	BT	BS	FUG	GG	HT	KK	NR	SUM	VB
B36 Torshavn	—	2-0-0 4.26	1-1-0 4.76	2-0-0 4.77	1-0-1 3.22	0-0-2 2.57	1-0-1 2.77	2-0-0 3.93	2-0-0 5.01	1-1-0 4.26
B68 Toftir	0-0-2 1.37	—	1-0-1 3.52	1-0-1 3.60	0-0-2 1.73	0-1-1 1.12	0-0-2 1.48	0-1-1 2.33	2-0-0 4.13	1-1-0 2.79
B71 Sandoy	0-1-1 0.93	1-0-1 2.07	—	1-1-0 2.93	0-0-2 1.30	0-1-1 0.78	0-0-2 1.01	0-0-2 1.61	1-1-0 3.56	0-1-1 2.11
Fuglafjordur	0-0-2 0.92	1-0-1 2.00	0-1-1 2.65	—	0-0-2 1.10	0-0-2 0.77	0-0-2 0.89	0-2-0 1.55	1-1-0 3.43	0-0-2 2.07
GI Gota	1-0-1 2.37	2-0-0 3.89	2-0-0 4.35	2-0-0 4.57	—	0-0-2 2.02	1-1-0 2.27	1-1-0 3.31	1-1-0 4.91	2-0-0 3.92
HB Torshavn	2-0-0 3.02	1-1-0 4.54	1-1-0 4.95	2-0-0 4.96	2-0-0 3.58	—	0-1-1 3.16	1-0-1 4.02	1-1-0 5.19	1-0-1 4.54
KI Klaksvik	1-0-1 2.81	2-0-0 4.15	2-0-0 4.67	2-0-0 4.82	0-1-1 3.32	1-1-0 2.42	—	2-0-0 3.77	2-0-0 5.10	1-0-1 4.33
NSI Runavik	0-0-2 1.68	1-1-0 3.25	2-0-0 4.01	0-2-0 4.07	0-1-1 2.27	1-0-1 1.61	0-0-2 1.83	—	1-1-0 4.53	1-0-1 3.45
Sumba	0-0-2 0.72	0-0-2 1.49	0-1-1 2.03	0-1-1 2.16	0-1-1 0.81	0-1-1 0.57	0-0-2 0.65	0-1-1 1.13	—	2-0-0 1.46
Vags Boltfelag	0-1-1 1.38	0-1-1 2.79	1-1-0 3.48	2-0-0 3.52	0-0-2 1.68	1-0-1 1.12	1-0-1 1.30	1-0-1 2.14	0-0-2 4.17	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.78	+9.1
Allowed	0.84	-9.5
Differential	0.95	+5.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.78%	3.89%	4.44%	1.67%	2.22%	1.67%	21.67%
1	3.89%	7.78%	8.89%	5.56%	1.67%	3.33%	31.11%
2	4.44%	8.89%	3.33%	3.33%	1.67%	1.67%	23.33%
3	1.67%	5.56%	3.33%	1.11%	—	—	11.67%
4	2.22%	1.67%	1.67%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	1.67%	3.33%	1.67%	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	21.67%	31.11%	23.33%	11.67%	5.56%	6.67%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.73	1.73	+0.00
SD	1.55	1.55	2.37
CV	0.89	0.89	—
Max	7	7	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 90

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
2	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	22.22%
3	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
5+	—	16.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
Total	27.78%	38.89%	22.22%	5.56%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.89	1.22	+1.67
SD	1.97	1.11	2.35
CV	0.68	0.91	—
Max	6	4	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	38.89%
1	—	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	5.56%	22.22%
2	11.11%	—	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	22.22%
3	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	16.67%	22.22%	11.11%	5.56%	22.22%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	2.28	-1.06
SD	1.26	1.87	2.44
CV	1.03	0.82	—
Max	4	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	16.67%
1	5.56%	11.11%	11.11%	11.11%	—	11.11%	50.00%
2	—	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	22.22%
3	—	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	16.67%	16.67%	22.22%	22.22%	5.56%	16.67%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.44	2.50	-1.06
SD	1.38	2.01	2.65
CV	0.96	0.80	—
Max	6	7	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	27.78%
1	—	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	38.89%
2	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	11.11%	—	27.78%
3	—	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.56%	27.78%	16.67%	11.11%	27.78%	11.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	2.67	-1.56
SD	0.90	1.68	1.89
CV	0.81	0.63	—
Max	3	6	+1
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	16.67%
1	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
2	—	22.22%	—	—	—	—	22.22%
3	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	5.56%	16.67%	—	—	—	22.22%
Total	11.11%	55.56%	27.78%	—	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.56	1.33	+1.22
SD	2.01	0.91	2.21
CV	0.79	0.68	—
Max	7	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
1	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
2	22.22%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	38.89%
3	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	44.44%	27.78%	22.22%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.28	0.89	+1.39
SD	1.78	0.96	2.03
CV	0.78	1.08	—
Max	7	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	5.56%	—	11.11%	—	—	—	16.67%
2	—	22.22%	—	—	—	—	22.22%
3	5.56%	11.11%	16.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	27.78%	38.89%	33.33%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.11	1.06	+1.06
SD	1.41	0.80	1.63
CV	0.67	0.76	—
Max	5	2	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
1	11.11%	16.67%	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	44.44%
2	—	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%
3	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	33.33%	22.22%	16.67%	22.22%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	1.44	-0.06
SD	1.46	1.34	2.21
CV	1.05	0.93	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
1	5.56%	16.67%	16.67%	11.11%	—	5.56%	55.56%
2	—	5.56%	11.11%	11.11%	—	5.56%	33.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.56%	27.78%	27.78%	27.78%	—	11.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	2.39	-1.17
SD	0.65	1.75	1.72
CV	0.53	0.73	—
Max	2	7	+1
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	11.11%	—	5.56%	38.89%
2	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	38.89%	22.22%	11.11%	—	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	1.50	-0.44
SD	1.00	1.47	1.82
CV	0.95	0.98	—
Max	3	6	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 18

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
HB Torshavn	1105	37	38.57	-1.57	41.0%	24	32	35	39	42	45	50
B36 Torshavn	1058	38	34.63	+3.37	76.0%	24	26	31	34	38	41	46
KI Klaksvik	1046	41	35.17	+5.83	90.0%	24	27	32	35	39	43	46
GI Gota	1010	39	31.58	+7.42	95.0%	19	22	28	31	35	39	43
NSI Runavik	874	23	26.44	-3.44	26.0%	12	17	23	26	30	35	39
Vags Boltfelag	824	21	21.60	-0.60	46.0%	11	13	19	22	25	28	33
B68 Toftir	787	18	21.70	-3.70	27.0%	9	13	18	21	25	31	36
B71 Sandoy	728	14	16.70	-2.70	36.0%	5	9	13	16	21	25	28
Fuglafjordur	682	10	16.34	-6.34	10.0%	5	8	13	16	20	25	29
Sumba	640	11	10.78	+0.22	56.0%	2	4	8	11	14	16	19

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 22% * Strong Edge: 22% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+15.56%

Clear Edge

47.78%20.00%32.22%

Elo Value

Home Edge

149 Elo

0.007 goals per Elo point

054.49400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.54 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.37+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.11 * Tight Race: 0.11 to 0.22 * Comfortable: 0.22 to 0.38 * Runaway: 0.38 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.8

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

21%

KI Klaksvik, 2nd of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.11/gm

Tight Race

00.220.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.86 * Some Luck: 3.86 to 5.79 * Lucky: 5.79 to 7.71 * Wild Swing: 7.71 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.81 * Close: 0.81 to 1.22 * Off: 1.22 to 1.62 * Way Off: 1.62 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

4.20 points

Some Luck

04.8212

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

01.012.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

95.00%

GI Gota

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

10.00%

Fuglafjordur

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.45 * Moderate Separation: 1.45 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68.5% * Slight Edge: 68.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 88% * Wide Edge: 88% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 44.5% * Some Drama: 44.5% to 50.5% * Frequent: 50.5% to 57% * Very Frequent: 57% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 20% * Occasional: 20% to 25% * Frequent: 25% to 33.5% * Very Frequent: 33.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.26

Top-Heavy

00.190.280.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 169.53

2.15

Strong Separation

0.851.451.82.153.25

Interquartile Edge

84%

Clear Edge

50%68.5%79%88%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 96%

94%

Strong Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

52%

Frequent

0%47%100%

Blowouts

Expected

24%

Occasional

0%30%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.49 * Notable Separation: 0.49 to 0.56 * Lopsided: 0.56 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.4 * Some Carryover: 0.4 to 0.61 * Strong Carryover: 0.61 to 0.77 * Near-Lock: 0.77 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.49

Highly Predictable

00.522

Matchup Imbalance

0.49

Slight Separation

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.73

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.84

Near-Lock

00.40.610.771

Upset Rate

Expected

14%

Chalky

0%21%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

10%

Solid Favorites

0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.17 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.17 to 0.25 * Above Noise: 0.25 to 0.33 * Well Above Noise: 0.33 and up.

Probability calibration

0.84

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.43

Very Underconfident

0.4347821.001.56522

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.070

Well Within Noise

00.1660.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
KI Klaksvik	21.00%	31.00%	23.00%	17.00%	6.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—
GI Gota	6.00%	14.00%	22.00%	38.00%	11.00%	5.00%	1.00%	3.00%	—	—
B36 Torshavn	20.00%	25.00%	29.00%	18.00%	5.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—
HB Torshavn	52.00%	26.00%	13.00%	7.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
NSI Runavik	—	4.00%	10.00%	13.00%	34.00%	18.00%	12.00%	8.00%	1.00%	—
Vags Boltfelag	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	16.00%	29.00%	30.00%	11.00%	7.00%	3.00%
B68 Toftir	1.00%	—	1.00%	4.00%	18.00%	21.00%	24.00%	19.00%	11.00%	1.00%
B71 Sandoy	—	—	—	—	5.00%	13.00%	18.00%	21.00%	25.00%	18.00%
Sumba	—	—	—	—	—	—	3.00%	9.00%	27.00%	61.00%
Fuglafjordur	—	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	8.00%	12.00%	29.00%	29.00%	17.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
B36 Torshavn	100%	—	—
GI Gota	100%	—	—
HB Torshavn	100%	—	—
KI Klaksvik	100%	—	—
NSI Runavik	99.00%	1.00%	—
B68 Toftir	88.00%	11.00%	1.00%
Vags Boltfelag	90.00%	7.00%	3.00%
Fuglafjordur	54.00%	29.00%	17.00%
B71 Sandoy	57.00%	25.00%	18.00%
Sumba	12.00%	27.00%	61.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1999-04-25	B71 Sandoy	W 2-1	36.1	966	737	71.74%	16.38%	11.88%	+1.90	+2.0	3
1999-04-25	@ GI Gota	L 1-2	36.1	737	966	11.88%	16.38%	71.74%	-1.90	-2.0	0
1999-04-25	Vags Boltfelag	W 2-0	28.5	1080	832	73.30%	15.82%	10.88%	+2.03	+3.6	3
1999-04-25	@ HB Torshavn	L 0-2	28.5	832	1080	10.88%	15.82%	73.30%	-2.03	-3.6	0
1999-04-25	B68 Toftir	W 5-0	26.8	1014	834	67.45%	17.74%	14.81%	+1.57	+11.6	3
1999-04-25	@ KI Klaksvik	L 0-5	26.8	834	1014	14.81%	17.74%	67.45%	-1.57	-11.6	0
1999-04-25	Fuglafjordur	D 0-0	50.2	882	741	63.74%	18.70%	17.56%	+1.31	-1.9	1
1999-04-25	@ NSI Runavik	D 0-0	50.2	741	882	17.56%	18.70%	63.74%	-1.31	+1.9	1
1999-04-25	B36 Torshavn	L 1-6	28.2	647	1018	10.24%	15.43%	74.34%	-2.12	-6.5	0
1999-04-25	@ Sumba	W 6-1	28.2	1018	647	74.34%	15.43%	10.24%	+2.12	+6.5	3
1999-04-30	NSI Runavik	D 0-0	49.4	823	880	38.97%	21.21%	39.82%	-0.02	+0.0	1
1999-04-30	@ B68 Toftir	D 0-0	49.4	880	823	39.82%	21.21%	38.97%	+0.02	-0.0	2
1999-04-30	KI Klaksvik	L 1-2	37.3	735	1026	14.70%	17.69%	67.61%	-1.58	-2.5	0
1999-04-30	@ B71 Sandoy	W 2-1	37.3	1026	735	67.61%	17.69%	14.70%	+1.58	+2.5	6
1999-04-30	Sumba	W 2-1	39.7	743	641	59.58%	19.56%	20.86%	+1.05	+3.5	4
1999-04-30	@ Fuglafjordur	L 1-2	39.7	641	743	20.86%	19.56%	59.58%	-1.05	-3.5	0
1999-04-30	GI Gota	W 2-0	32.1	1084	968	61.12%	19.27%	19.62%	+1.15	+6.5	6
1999-04-30	@ HB Torshavn	L 0-2	32.1	968	1084	19.62%	19.27%	61.12%	-1.15	-6.5	3
1999-04-30	B36 Torshavn	D 0-0	49.8	829	1025	22.25%	19.85%	57.90%	-0.95	+1.4	1
1999-04-30	@ Vags Boltfelag	D 0-0	49.8	1025	829	57.90%	19.85%	22.25%	+0.95	-1.4	4
1999-05-05	B71 Sandoy	W 4-0	27.8	880	733	64.36%	18.55%	17.09%	+1.36	+10.9	5
1999-05-05	@ NSI Runavik	L 0-4	27.8	733	880	17.09%	18.55%	64.36%	-1.36	-10.9	0
1999-05-09	Fuglafjordur	W 4-2	37.0	1023	746	75.47%	14.98%	9.55%	+2.23	+2.4	7
1999-05-09	@ B36 Torshavn	L 2-4	37.0	746	1023	9.55%	14.98%	75.47%	-2.23	-2.4	4
1999-05-09	Vags Boltfelag	W 3-1	36.5	962	830	62.75%	18.92%	18.33%	+1.25	+5.3	6
1999-05-09	@ GI Gota	L 1-3	36.5	830	962	18.33%	18.92%	62.75%	-1.25	-5.3	1
1999-05-09	HB Torshavn	D 0-0	49.5	1028	1091	38.24%	21.20%	40.55%	-0.05	+0.1	7
1999-05-09	@ KI Klaksvik	D 0-0	49.5	1091	1028	40.55%	21.20%	38.24%	+0.05	-0.1	7
1999-05-09	B68 Toftir	L 2-3	45.5	637	823	23.28%	20.03%	56.69%	-0.88	-3.6	0
1999-05-09	@ Sumba	W 3-2	45.5	823	637	56.69%	20.03%	23.28%	+0.88	+3.6	4
1999-05-16	B36 Torshavn	L 1-2	40.1	826	1026	21.96%	19.79%	58.25%	-0.97	-3.6	4
1999-05-16	@ B68 Toftir	W 2-1	40.1	1026	826	58.25%	19.79%	21.96%	+0.97	+3.6	10
1999-05-16	Sumba	W 2-1	40.2	722	634	58.04%	19.82%	22.13%	+0.96	+3.7	3
1999-05-16	@ B71 Sandoy	L 1-2	40.2	634	722	22.13%	19.82%	58.04%	-0.96	-3.7	0
1999-05-16	KI Klaksvik	W 2-1	46.1	967	1028	38.41%	21.21%	40.38%	-0.05	+6.1	9
1999-05-16	@ GI Gota	L 1-2	46.1	1028	967	40.38%	21.21%	38.41%	+0.05	-6.1	7
1999-05-16	Fuglafjordur	W 3-1	38.2	825	744	57.20%	19.96%	22.85%	+0.91	+6.5	4
1999-05-16	@ Vags Boltfelag	L 1-3	38.2	744	825	22.85%	19.96%	57.20%	-0.91	-6.5	4
1999-05-17	NSI Runavik	L 1-3	51.3	1091	891	69.23%	17.21%	13.56%	+1.71	-16.9	7
1999-05-17	@ HB Torshavn	W 3-1	51.3	891	1091	13.56%	17.21%	69.23%	-1.71	+16.9	8
1999-05-22	B71 Sandoy	W 6-1	27.3	1029	726	77.37%	14.18%	8.45%	+2.41	+5.2	13
1999-05-22	@ B36 Torshavn	L 1-6	27.3	726	1029	8.45%	14.18%	77.37%	-2.41	-5.2	3
1999-05-22	B68 Toftir	L 2-4	46.5	737	823	35.05%	21.14%	43.81%	-0.21	-8.5	4
1999-05-22	@ Fuglafjordur	W 4-2	46.5	823	737	43.81%	21.14%	35.05%	+0.21	+8.5	7
1999-05-22	Vags Boltfelag	W 2-1	37.1	1022	831	68.46%	17.44%	14.09%	+1.65	+2.4	10
1999-05-22	@ KI Klaksvik	L 1-2	37.1	831	1022	14.09%	17.44%	68.46%	-1.65	-2.3	4
1999-05-22	GI Gota	D 1-1	52.9	908	973	37.90%	21.20%	40.90%	-0.07	+0.1	9
1999-05-22	@ NSI Runavik	D 1-1	52.9	973	908	40.90%	21.20%	37.90%	+0.07	-0.1	10
1999-05-22	HB Torshavn	L 0-3	24.4	630	1074	7.32%	13.25%	79.43%	-2.61	-3.4	0
1999-05-22	@ Sumba	W 3-0	24.4	1074	630	79.43%	13.25%	7.32%	+2.61	+3.3	10
1999-05-30	Sumba	W 7-2	28.1	973	627	80.16%	12.91%	6.93%	+2.69	+3.5	13
1999-05-30	@ GI Gota	L 2-7	28.1	627	973	6.93%	12.91%	80.16%	-2.69	-3.5	0
1999-05-30	B36 Torshavn	W 4-2	43.9	1077	1034	52.58%	20.55%	26.87%	+0.65	+6.8	13
1999-05-30	@ HB Torshavn	L 2-4	43.9	1034	1077	26.87%	20.55%	52.58%	-0.65	-6.8	13
1999-05-30	NSI Runavik	W 3-0	29.9	1024	908	61.15%	19.26%	19.59%	+1.15	+9.5	13
1999-05-30	@ KI Klaksvik	L 0-3	29.9	908	1024	19.59%	19.26%	61.15%	-1.15	-9.5	9
1999-05-30	B68 Toftir	L 0-2	40.8	829	831	46.69%	21.02%	32.29%	+0.35	-13.8	4
1999-05-30	@ Vags Boltfelag	W 2-0	40.8	831	829	32.29%	21.02%	46.69%	-0.35	+13.8	10
1999-06-12	Vags Boltfelag	W 1-0	36.0	899	815	57.50%	19.91%	22.59%	+0.93	+4.0	12
1999-06-12	@ NSI Runavik	L 0-1	36.0	815	899	22.59%	19.91%	57.50%	-0.93	-4.0	4
1999-06-13	GI Gota	W 4-0	31.1	1028	976	53.66%	20.43%	25.91%	+0.71	+16.0	16
1999-06-13	@ B36 Torshavn	L 0-4	31.1	976	1028	25.91%	20.43%	53.66%	-0.71	-16.1	13
1999-06-13	B71 Sandoy	W 2-0	31.8	845	720	62.04%	19.08%	18.88%	+1.20	+6.3	13
1999-06-13	@ B68 Toftir	L 0-2	31.8	720	845	18.88%	19.08%	62.04%	-1.20	-6.3	3
1999-06-13	HB Torshavn	L 0-1	31.3	729	1084	11.00%	15.89%	73.12%	-2.02	-1.9	4
1999-06-13	@ Fuglafjordur	W 1-0	31.3	1084	729	73.12%	15.89%	11.00%	+2.02	+1.9	16
1999-06-13	KI Klaksvik	L 2-3	39.3	623	1034	8.52%	14.24%	77.24%	-2.39	-1.3	0
1999-06-13	@ Sumba	W 3-2	39.3	1034	623	77.24%	14.24%	8.52%	+2.39	+1.3	16
1999-06-16	Fuglafjordur	W 2-1	36.0	960	727	72.11%	16.25%	11.64%	+1.93	+1.9	16
1999-06-16	@ GI Gota	L 1-2	36.0	727	960	11.64%	16.25%	72.11%	-1.93	-1.9	4
1999-06-20	B68 Toftir	D 1-1	54.4	1086	851	72.18%	16.23%	11.59%	+1.94	-2.2	17
1999-06-20	@ HB Torshavn	D 1-1	54.4	851	1086	11.59%	16.23%	72.18%	-1.94	+2.2	14
1999-06-20	B36 Torshavn	W 3-2	48.7	1035	1044	45.87%	21.06%	33.07%	+0.31	+4.9	19
1999-06-20	@ KI Klaksvik	L 2-3	48.7	1044	1035	33.07%	21.06%	45.87%	-0.31	-5.0	16
1999-06-20	Sumba	W 1-0	30.5	902	622	75.74%	14.87%	9.39%	+2.25	+1.6	15
1999-06-20	@ NSI Runavik	L 0-1	30.5	622	902	9.39%	14.87%	75.74%	-2.25	-1.6	0
1999-06-20	B71 Sandoy	D 1-1	53.4	811	714	59.04%	19.66%	21.30%	+1.02	-1.4	5
1999-06-20	@ Vags Boltfelag	D 1-1	53.4	714	811	21.30%	19.66%	59.04%	-1.02	+1.4	4
1999-06-23	GI Gota	L 2-5	42.5	854	962	32.03%	21.00%	46.97%	-0.36	-10.8	14
1999-06-23	@ B68 Toftir	W 5-2	42.5	962	854	46.97%	21.00%	32.03%	+0.36	+10.8	19
1999-06-25	Vags Boltfelag	W 1-0	46.4	620	810	22.88%	19.96%	57.16%	-0.91	+8.7	3
1999-06-25	@ Sumba	L 0-1	46.4	810	620	57.16%	19.96%	22.88%	+0.91	-8.7	5
1999-06-27	NSI Runavik	W 3-2	43.6	1039	904	63.06%	18.85%	18.08%	+1.27	+2.9	19
1999-06-27	@ B36 Torshavn	L 2-3	43.6	904	1039	18.08%	18.85%	63.06%	-1.27	-2.9	15
1999-06-27	HB Torshavn	D 2-2	59.5	715	1083	10.36%	15.51%	74.13%	-2.11	+1.8	5
1999-06-27	@ B71 Sandoy	D 2-2	59.5	1083	715	74.13%	15.51%	10.36%	+2.11	-1.8	18
1999-06-27	KI Klaksvik	L 0-1	32.3	725	1040	13.16%	17.02%	69.82%	-1.75	-2.3	4
1999-06-27	@ Fuglafjordur	W 1-0	32.3	1040	725	69.82%	17.02%	13.16%	+1.75	+2.3	22
1999-07-06	Fuglafjordur	W 6-0	33.6	717	723	46.28%	21.04%	32.68%	+0.33	+28.7	8
1999-07-06	@ B71 Sandoy	L 0-6	33.6	723	717	32.68%	21.04%	46.28%	-0.33	-28.7	4
1999-08-01	Sumba	W 3-1	30.2	1042	629	83.95%	10.99%	5.05%	+3.14	+1.3	22
1999-08-01	@ B36 Torshavn	L 1-3	30.2	629	1042	5.05%	10.99%	83.95%	-3.14	-1.3	3
1999-08-01	KI Klaksvik	L 2-3	45.0	843	1042	21.91%	19.78%	58.31%	-0.97	-3.5	14
1999-08-01	@ B68 Toftir	W 3-2	45.0	1042	843	58.31%	19.78%	21.91%	+0.97	+3.4	25
1999-08-01	GI Gota	L 2-5	38.1	746	973	19.43%	19.22%	61.35%	-1.16	-6.9	8
1999-08-01	@ B71 Sandoy	W 5-2	38.1	973	746	61.35%	19.22%	19.43%	+1.16	+6.9	22
1999-08-01	NSI Runavik	D 1-1	53.4	694	901	21.19%	19.63%	59.18%	-1.03	+1.4	5
1999-08-01	@ Fuglafjordur	D 1-1	53.4	901	694	59.18%	19.63%	21.19%	+1.03	-1.4	16
1999-08-01	HB Torshavn	W 1-0	48.6	801	1082	15.35%	17.95%	66.71%	-1.52	+10.0	8
1999-08-01	@ Vags Boltfelag	L 0-1	48.6	1082	801	66.71%	17.95%	15.35%	+1.52	-10.0	18
1999-08-07	Vags Boltfelag	W 6-1	28.9	1043	811	71.98%	16.30%	11.72%	+1.92	+7.5	25
1999-08-07	@ B36 Torshavn	L 1-6	28.9	811	1043	11.72%	16.30%	71.98%	-1.92	-7.5	8
1999-08-08	HB Torshavn	L 1-2	44.2	980	1072	34.22%	21.11%	44.67%	-0.25	-5.4	22
1999-08-08	@ GI Gota	W 2-1	44.2	1072	980	44.67%	21.11%	34.22%	+0.25	+5.4	21
1999-08-08	B71 Sandoy	W 3-1	32.1	1046	739	77.60%	14.08%	8.32%	+2.43	+2.3	28
1999-08-08	@ KI Klaksvik	L 1-3	32.1	739	1046	8.32%	14.08%	77.60%	-2.43	-2.3	8
1999-08-08	B68 Toftir	W 5-0	30.6	900	839	54.78%	20.30%	24.92%	+0.77	+19.1	19
1999-08-08	@ NSI Runavik	L 0-5	30.6	839	900	24.92%	20.30%	54.78%	-0.77	-19.1	14
1999-08-08	Fuglafjordur	D 2-2	57.8	628	695	37.52%	21.20%	41.28%	-0.09	+0.1	4
1999-08-08	@ Sumba	D 2-2	57.8	695	628	41.28%	21.20%	37.52%	+0.09	-0.1	6
1999-08-15	Sumba	W 3-1	34.8	820	628	68.62%	17.40%	13.98%	+1.66	+4.0	17
1999-08-15	@ B68 Toftir	L 1-3	34.8	628	820	13.98%	17.40%	68.62%	-1.66	-4.0	4
1999-08-15	NSI Runavik	L 2-3	45.6	737	919	23.59%	20.09%	56.33%	-0.86	-3.7	8
1999-08-15	@ B71 Sandoy	W 3-2	45.6	919	737	56.33%	20.09%	23.59%	+0.86	+3.7	22
1999-08-15	B36 Torshavn	L 1-4	31.2	695	1050	10.98%	15.88%	73.13%	-2.02	-4.4	6
1999-08-15	@ Fuglafjordur	W 4-1	31.2	1050	695	73.13%	15.88%	10.98%	+2.02	+4.4	28
1999-08-15	KI Klaksvik	L 1-2	49.1	1077	1048	50.83%	20.72%	28.45%	+0.56	-7.4	21
1999-08-15	@ HB Torshavn	W 2-1	49.1	1048	1077	28.45%	20.72%	50.83%	-0.56	+7.4	31
1999-08-15	GI Gota	L 1-3	38.9	804	975	24.76%	20.27%	54.97%	-0.78	-7.0	8
1999-08-15	@ Vags Boltfelag	W 3-1	38.9	975	804	54.97%	20.27%	24.76%	+0.78	+7.0	25
1999-08-22	B68 Toftir	W 4-0	25.6	1055	824	71.87%	16.34%	11.79%	+1.91	+7.4	31
1999-08-22	@ B36 Torshavn	L 0-4	25.6	824	1055	11.79%	16.34%	71.87%	-1.91	-7.4	17
1999-08-22	Vags Boltfelag	L 1-2	43.6	691	796	32.40%	21.02%	46.58%	-0.34	-5.1	6
1999-08-22	@ Fuglafjordur	W 2-1	43.6	796	691	46.58%	21.02%	32.40%	+0.34	+5.1	11
1999-08-22	GI Gota	D 0-0	49.8	1056	982	56.41%	20.08%	23.52%	+0.86	-1.3	32
1999-08-22	@ KI Klaksvik	D 0-0	49.8	982	1056	23.52%	20.08%	56.41%	-0.86	+1.3	26
1999-08-22	HB Torshavn	L 0-2	34.9	923	1070	27.39%	20.61%	52.00%	-0.62	-8.9	22
1999-08-22	@ NSI Runavik	W 2-0	34.9	1070	923	52.00%	20.61%	27.39%	+0.62	+8.9	24
1999-08-22	B71 Sandoy	D 1-1	53.0	624	733	31.94%	21.00%	47.06%	-0.37	+0.5	5
1999-08-22	@ Sumba	D 1-1	53.0	733	624	47.06%	21.00%	31.94%	+0.37	-0.5	9
1999-08-29	Fuglafjordur	L 1-2	52.1	817	686	62.72%	18.93%	18.35%	+1.25	-8.9	17
1999-08-29	@ B68 Toftir	W 2-1	52.1	686	817	18.35%	18.93%	62.72%	-1.25	+8.9	9
1999-08-29	B36 Torshavn	D 0-0	50.8	732	1062	12.32%	16.61%	71.07%	-1.85	+2.4	10
1999-08-29	@ B71 Sandoy	D 0-0	50.8	1062	732	71.07%	16.61%	12.32%	+1.85	-2.4	32
1999-08-29	NSI Runavik	W 4-1	36.4	983	914	55.81%	20.16%	24.03%	+0.83	+9.7	29
1999-08-29	@ GI Gota	L 1-4	36.4	914	983	24.03%	20.16%	55.81%	-0.83	-9.7	22
1999-08-29	Sumba	D 2-2	61.2	1079	624	86.02%	9.86%	4.12%	+3.42	-2.2	25
1999-08-29	@ HB Torshavn	D 2-2	61.2	624	1079	4.12%	9.86%	86.02%	-3.42	+2.2	6
1999-08-29	KI Klaksvik	W 2-1	52.4	802	1054	17.37%	18.64%	63.99%	-1.33	+9.1	14
1999-08-29	@ Vags Boltfelag	L 1-2	52.4	1054	802	63.99%	18.64%	17.37%	+1.33	-9.1	32
1999-09-12	HB Torshavn	L 0-2	40.3	1060	1076	44.77%	21.11%	34.12%	+0.26	-13.3	32
1999-09-12	@ B36 Torshavn	W 2-0	40.3	1076	1060	34.12%	21.11%	44.77%	-0.26	+13.3	28
1999-09-12	Vags Boltfelag	D 0-0	49.5	808	811	46.66%	21.02%	32.32%	+0.35	-0.5	18
1999-09-12	@ B68 Toftir	D 0-0	49.5	811	808	32.32%	21.02%	46.66%	-0.35	+0.5	15
1999-09-12	B71 Sandoy	D 3-3	62.1	695	735	41.43%	21.19%	37.37%	+0.10	-0.1	10
1999-09-12	@ Fuglafjordur	D 3-3	62.1	735	695	37.37%	21.19%	41.43%	-0.10	+0.1	11
1999-09-12	KI Klaksvik	L 1-3	40.0	904	1045	28.06%	20.68%	51.25%	-0.58	-7.9	22
1999-09-12	@ NSI Runavik	W 3-1	40.0	1045	904	51.25%	20.68%	28.06%	+0.58	+7.9	35
1999-09-12	GI Gota	D 1-1	54.6	626	993	10.45%	15.56%	73.98%	-2.09	+2.4	7
1999-09-12	@ Sumba	D 1-1	54.6	993	626	73.98%	15.56%	10.45%	+2.09	-2.3	30
1999-09-19	B68 Toftir	W 1-0	42.2	735	807	36.84%	21.19%	41.97%	-0.12	+6.7	14
1999-09-19	@ B71 Sandoy	L 0-1	42.2	807	735	41.97%	21.19%	36.84%	+0.12	-6.7	18
1999-09-19	B36 Torshavn	W 2-1	45.9	990	1047	39.13%	21.21%	39.66%	-0.01	+6.0	33
1999-09-19	@ GI Gota	L 1-2	45.9	1047	990	39.66%	21.21%	39.13%	+0.01	-6.0	32
1999-09-19	Fuglafjordur	W 4-0	22.3	1090	694	83.01%	11.49%	5.50%	+3.02	+3.2	31
1999-09-19	@ HB Torshavn	L 0-4	22.3	694	1090	5.50%	11.49%	83.01%	-3.02	-3.2	10
1999-09-19	Sumba	W 2-1	32.2	1053	629	84.56%	10.67%	4.77%	+3.22	+0.7	38
1999-09-19	@ KI Klaksvik	L 1-2	32.2	629	1053	4.77%	10.67%	84.56%	-3.22	-0.7	7
1999-09-19	NSI Runavik	W 2-0	39.9	811	896	35.13%	21.14%	43.73%	-0.21	+13.1	18
1999-09-19	@ Vags Boltfelag	L 0-2	39.9	896	811	43.73%	21.14%	35.13%	+0.21	-13.1	22
1999-09-26	KI Klaksvik	W 2-0	36.9	1040	1054	45.21%	21.09%	33.70%	+0.28	+10.6	35
1999-09-26	@ B36 Torshavn	L 0-2	36.9	1054	1040	33.70%	21.09%	45.21%	-0.28	-10.6	38
1999-09-26	HB Torshavn	L 1-5	31.1	801	1093	14.59%	17.65%	67.76%	-1.60	-7.7	18
1999-09-26	@ B68 Toftir	W 5-1	31.1	1093	801	67.76%	17.65%	14.59%	+1.60	+7.7	34
1999-09-26	Vags Boltfelag	L 1-3	42.3	742	824	35.44%	21.15%	43.40%	-0.19	-9.6	14
1999-09-26	@ B71 Sandoy	W 3-1	42.3	824	742	43.40%	21.15%	35.44%	+0.19	+9.6	21
1999-09-26	GI Gota	L 1-5	30.8	691	996	13.78%	17.31%	68.92%	-1.68	-7.3	10
1999-09-26	@ Fuglafjordur	W 5-1	30.8	996	691	68.92%	17.31%	13.78%	+1.68	+7.3	36
1999-09-26	NSI Runavik	D 1-1	53.7	628	883	17.18%	18.58%	64.23%	-1.35	+1.7	8
1999-09-26	@ Sumba	D 1-1	53.7	883	628	64.23%	18.58%	17.18%	+1.35	-1.7	23
1999-10-02	B68 Toftir	W 3-0	27.2	1003	793	70.19%	16.91%	12.91%	+1.78	+6.2	39
1999-10-02	@ GI Gota	L 0-3	27.2	793	1003	12.91%	16.91%	70.19%	-1.78	-6.2	18
1999-10-02	B71 Sandoy	W 7-1	25.6	1101	732	81.50%	12.26%	6.24%	+2.84	+4.4	37
1999-10-02	@ HB Torshavn	L 1-7	25.6	732	1101	6.24%	12.26%	81.50%	-2.84	-4.4	14
1999-10-02	Fuglafjordur	W 4-1	28.8	1043	684	80.95%	12.53%	6.52%	+2.78	+2.5	41
1999-10-02	@ KI Klaksvik	L 1-4	28.8	684	1043	6.52%	12.53%	80.95%	-2.78	-2.5	10
1999-10-02	B36 Torshavn	L 1-3	38.9	881	1051	24.91%	20.29%	54.80%	-0.77	-7.1	23
1999-10-02	@ NSI Runavik	W 3-1	38.9	1051	881	54.80%	20.29%	24.91%	+0.77	+7.1	38
1999-10-02	Sumba	L 1-2	53.6	834	630	69.64%	17.08%	13.28%	+1.74	-9.8	21
1999-10-02	@ Vags Boltfelag	W 2-1	53.6	630	834	13.28%	17.08%	69.64%	-1.74	+9.8	11

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1999-10-02	13.28%	Sumba	630	2	@ Vags Boltfelag	834	1
2	1999-05-17	13.56%	NSI Runavik	891	3	@ HB Torshavn	1091	1
3	1999-08-01	15.35%	@ Vags Boltfelag	801	1	HB Torshavn	1082	0
4	1999-08-29	17.37%	@ Vags Boltfelag	802	2	KI Klaksvik	1054	1
5	1999-08-29	18.35%	Fuglafjordur	686	2	@ B68 Toftir	817	1
6	1999-06-25	22.88%	@ Sumba	620	1	Vags Boltfelag	810	0
7	1999-08-15	28.45%	KI Klaksvik	1048	2	@ HB Torshavn	1077	1
8	1999-05-30	32.29%	B68 Toftir	831	2	@ Vags Boltfelag	829	0
9	1999-09-12	34.12%	HB Torshavn	1076	2	@ B36 Torshavn	1060	0
10	1999-09-19	35.13%	@ Vags Boltfelag	811	2	NSI Runavik	896	0
11	1999-09-19	36.84%	@ B71 Sandoy	735	1	B68 Toftir	807	0
12	1999-05-16	38.41%	@ GI Gota	967	2	KI Klaksvik	1028	1
13	1999-09-19	39.13%	@ GI Gota	990	2	B36 Torshavn	1047	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1999-07-06	28.68	@ B71 Sandoy	6	717	46.28%	Fuglafjordur	0	723	32.68%	21.04%
2	1999-08-08	19.11	@ NSI Runavik	5	900	54.78%	B68 Toftir	0	839	24.92%	20.30%
3	1999-05-17	16.89	NSI Runavik	3	891	13.56%	@ HB Torshavn	1	1091	69.23%	17.21%
4	1999-06-13	16.06	@ B36 Torshavn	4	1028	53.66%	GI Gota	0	976	25.91%	20.43%
5	1999-05-30	13.80	B68 Toftir	2	831	32.29%	@ Vags Boltfelag	0	829	46.69%	21.02%
6	1999-09-12	13.32	HB Torshavn	2	1076	34.12%	@ B36 Torshavn	0	1060	44.77%	21.11%
7	1999-09-19	13.06	@ Vags Boltfelag	2	811	35.13%	NSI Runavik	0	896	43.73%	21.14%
8	1999-04-25	11.58	@ KI Klaksvik	5	1014	67.45%	B68 Toftir	0	834	14.81%	17.74%
9	1999-05-05	10.86	@ NSI Runavik	4	880	64.36%	B71 Sandoy	0	733	17.09%	18.55%
10	1999-06-23	10.77	GI Gota	5	962	46.97%	@ B68 Toftir	2	854	32.03%	21.00%
11	1999-09-26	10.60	@ B36 Torshavn	2	1040	45.21%	KI Klaksvik	0	1054	33.70%	21.09%
12	1999-08-01	10.02	@ Vags Boltfelag	1	801	15.35%	HB Torshavn	0	1082	66.71%	17.95%
13	1999-10-02	9.80	Sumba	2	630	13.28%	@ Vags Boltfelag	1	834	69.64%	17.08%
14	1999-08-29	9.69	@ GI Gota	4	983	55.81%	NSI Runavik	1	914	24.03%	20.16%
15	1999-09-26	9.56	Vags Boltfelag	3	824	43.40%	@ B71 Sandoy	1	742	35.44%	21.15%
16	1999-05-30	9.50	@ KI Klaksvik	3	1024	61.15%	NSI Runavik	0	908	19.59%	19.26%
17	1999-08-29	9.11	@ Vags Boltfelag	2	802	17.37%	KI Klaksvik	1	1054	63.99%	18.64%
18	1999-08-29	8.94	Fuglafjordur	2	686	18.35%	@ B68 Toftir	1	817	62.72%	18.93%
19	1999-08-22	8.89	HB Torshavn	2	1070	52.00%	@ NSI Runavik	0	923	27.39%	20.61%
20	1999-06-25	8.73	@ Sumba	1	620	22.88%	Vags Boltfelag	0	810	57.16%	19.96%
21	1999-05-22	8.47	B68 Toftir	4	823	43.81%	@ Fuglafjordur	2	737	35.05%	21.14%
22	1999-09-12	7.86	KI Klaksvik	3	1045	51.25%	@ NSI Runavik	1	904	28.06%	20.68%
23	1999-09-26	7.71	HB Torshavn	5	1093	67.76%	@ B68 Toftir	1	801	14.59%	17.65%
24	1999-08-07	7.50	@ B36 Torshavn	6	1043	71.98%	Vags Boltfelag	1	811	11.72%	16.30%
25	1999-08-15	7.42	KI Klaksvik	2	1048	28.45%	@ HB Torshavn	1	1077	50.83%	20.72%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1999-09-12	62.1	@ Fuglafjordur	3	695	41.43%	B71 Sandoy	3	735	37.37%	21.19%
2	1999-08-29	61.2	@ HB Torshavn	2	1079	86.02%	Sumba	2	624	4.12%	9.86%
3	1999-06-27	59.5	@ B71 Sandoy	2	715	10.36%	HB Torshavn	2	1083	74.13%	15.51%
4	1999-08-08	57.8	@ Sumba	2	628	37.52%	Fuglafjordur	2	695	41.28%	21.20%
5	1999-09-12	54.6	@ Sumba	1	626	10.45%	GI Gota	1	993	73.98%	15.56%
6	1999-06-20	54.4	@ HB Torshavn	1	1086	72.18%	B68 Toftir	1	851	11.59%	16.23%
7	1999-09-26	53.7	@ Sumba	1	628	17.18%	NSI Runavik	1	883	64.23%	18.58%
8	1999-10-02	53.6	Sumba	2	630	13.28%	@ Vags Boltfelag	1	834	69.64%	17.08%
9	1999-06-20	53.4	@ Vags Boltfelag	1	811	59.04%	B71 Sandoy	1	714	21.30%	19.66%
10	1999-08-01	53.4	@ Fuglafjordur	1	694	21.19%	NSI Runavik	1	901	59.18%	19.63%
11	1999-08-22	53.0	@ Sumba	1	624	31.94%	B71 Sandoy	1	733	47.06%	21.00%
12	1999-05-22	52.9	@ NSI Runavik	1	908	37.90%	GI Gota	1	973	40.90%	21.20%
13	1999-08-29	52.4	@ Vags Boltfelag	2	802	17.37%	KI Klaksvik	1	1054	63.99%	18.64%
14	1999-08-29	52.1	Fuglafjordur	2	686	18.35%	@ B68 Toftir	1	817	62.72%	18.93%
15	1999-05-17	51.3	NSI Runavik	3	891	13.56%	@ HB Torshavn	1	1091	69.23%	17.21%
16	1999-08-29	50.8	@ B71 Sandoy	0	732	12.32%	B36 Torshavn	0	1062	71.07%	16.61%
17	1999-04-25	50.2	@ NSI Runavik	0	882	63.74%	Fuglafjordur	0	741	17.56%	18.70%
18	1999-04-30	49.8	@ Vags Boltfelag	0	829	22.25%	B36 Torshavn	0	1025	57.90%	19.85%
19	1999-08-22	49.8	@ KI Klaksvik	0	1056	56.41%	GI Gota	0	982	23.52%	20.08%
20	1999-05-09	49.5	@ KI Klaksvik	0	1028	38.24%	HB Torshavn	0	1091	40.55%	21.20%
21	1999-09-12	49.5	@ B68 Toftir	0	808	46.66%	Vags Boltfelag	0	811	32.32%	21.02%
22	1999-04-30	49.4	@ B68 Toftir	0	823	38.97%	NSI Runavik	0	880	39.82%	21.21%
23	1999-08-15	49.1	KI Klaksvik	2	1048	28.45%	@ HB Torshavn	1	1077	50.83%	20.72%
24	1999-06-20	48.7	@ KI Klaksvik	3	1035	45.87%	B36 Torshavn	2	1044	33.07%	21.06%
25	1999-08-01	48.6	@ Vags Boltfelag	1	801	15.35%	HB Torshavn	0	1082	66.71%	17.95%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1999-09-19	22.3	@ HB Torshavn	4	1090	83.01%	Fuglafjordur	0	694	5.50%	11.49%
2	1999-05-22	24.4	HB Torshavn	3	1074	79.43%	@ Sumba	0	630	7.32%	13.25%
3	1999-08-22	25.6	@ B36 Torshavn	4	1055	71.87%	B68 Toftir	0	824	11.79%	16.34%
4	1999-10-02	25.6	@ HB Torshavn	7	1101	81.50%	B71 Sandoy	1	732	6.24%	12.26%
5	1999-04-25	26.8	@ KI Klaksvik	5	1014	67.45%	B68 Toftir	0	834	14.81%	17.74%
6	1999-10-02	27.2	@ GI Gota	3	1003	70.19%	B68 Toftir	0	793	12.91%	16.91%
7	1999-05-22	27.3	@ B36 Torshavn	6	1029	77.37%	B71 Sandoy	1	726	8.45%	14.18%
8	1999-05-05	27.8	@ NSI Runavik	4	880	64.36%	B71 Sandoy	0	733	17.09%	18.55%
9	1999-05-30	28.1	@ GI Gota	7	973	80.16%	Sumba	2	627	6.93%	12.91%
10	1999-04-25	28.2	B36 Torshavn	6	1018	74.34%	@ Sumba	1	647	10.24%	15.43%
11	1999-04-25	28.5	@ HB Torshavn	2	1080	73.30%	Vags Boltfelag	0	832	10.88%	15.82%
12	1999-10-02	28.8	@ KI Klaksvik	4	1043	80.95%	Fuglafjordur	1	684	6.52%	12.53%
13	1999-08-07	28.9	@ B36 Torshavn	6	1043	71.98%	Vags Boltfelag	1	811	11.72%	16.30%
14	1999-05-30	29.9	@ KI Klaksvik	3	1024	61.15%	NSI Runavik	0	908	19.59%	19.26%
15	1999-08-01	30.2	@ B36 Torshavn	3	1042	83.95%	Sumba	1	629	5.05%	10.99%
16	1999-06-20	30.5	@ NSI Runavik	1	902	75.74%	Sumba	0	622	9.39%	14.87%
17	1999-08-08	30.6	@ NSI Runavik	5	900	54.78%	B68 Toftir	0	839	24.92%	20.30%
18	1999-09-26	30.8	GI Gota	5	996	68.92%	@ Fuglafjordur	1	691	13.78%	17.31%
19	1999-06-13	31.1	@ B36 Torshavn	4	1028	53.66%	GI Gota	0	976	25.91%	20.43%
20	1999-09-26	31.1	HB Torshavn	5	1093	67.76%	@ B68 Toftir	1	801	14.59%	17.65%
21	1999-08-15	31.2	B36 Torshavn	4	1050	73.13%	@ Fuglafjordur	1	695	10.98%	15.88%
22	1999-06-13	31.3	HB Torshavn	1	1084	73.12%	@ Fuglafjordur	0	729	11.00%	15.89%
23	1999-06-13	31.8	@ B68 Toftir	2	845	62.04%	B71 Sandoy	0	720	18.88%	19.08%
24	1999-04-30	32.1	@ HB Torshavn	2	1084	61.12%	GI Gota	0	968	19.62%	19.27%
25	1999-08-08	32.1	@ KI Klaksvik	3	1046	77.60%	B71 Sandoy	1	739	8.32%	14.08%