2000 1. deild Season

90 games

Final

Champion

Vags Boltfelag

40 points · 1st Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Vags Boltfelag

14.05 points above expected

40 points · 25.95 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

B36 Torshavn

6.77 points below expected

28 points · 34.77 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Vags Boltfelag Champion	18	12	4	2	40	40	22	+18	25.95	+14.05
2	HB Torshavn	18	11	5	2	38	40	21	+19	36.46	+1.54
3	B68 Toftir	18	10	1	7	31	43	38	+5	25.30	+5.70
4	NSI Runavik	18	9	3	6	30	43	29	+14	27.34	+2.66
5	KI Klaksvik	18	9	3	6	30	42	28	+14	32.65	-2.65
6	B36 Torshavn	18	9	1	8	28	49	27	+22	34.77	-6.77
7	GI Gota	18	8	2	8	26	41	38	+3	27.33	-1.33
8	B71 Sandoy	18	4	2	12	14	25	33	-8	18.63	-4.63
9	FS Vagar	18	3	2	13	11	22	54	-32	16.12	-5.12
10	Sumba	18	3	1	14	10	16	71	-55	12.60	-2.60

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Vags Boltfelag	40	25.95	+14.05
2	B68 Toftir	31	25.30	+5.70
3	NSI Runavik	30	27.34	+2.66
4	HB Torshavn	38	36.46	+1.54
5	GI Gota	26	27.33	-1.33

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	B36 Torshavn	28	34.77	-6.77
2	FS Vagar	11	16.12	-5.12
3	B71 Sandoy	14	18.63	-4.63
4	KI Klaksvik	30	32.65	-2.65
5	Sumba	10	12.60	-2.60

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Vags Boltfelag	6	Jun 4 – Aug 13	1 in 146
2	NSI Runavik	4	Jun 25 – Aug 20	1 in 63
3	B68 Toftir	4	Aug 5 – Aug 27	1 in 29
4	KI Klaksvik	5	May 19 – Jun 18	1 in 18
5	HB Torshavn	5	Jun 7 – Aug 6	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	B36 Torshavn	4	Jun 10 – Aug 5	1 in 125
2	GI Gota	4	May 28 – Jun 18	1 in 72
3	KI Klaksvik	3	Jun 25 – Aug 13	1 in 23
4	FS Vagar	5	Aug 6 – Sep 10	1 in 19
5	NSI Runavik	4	May 14 – Jun 4	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Vags Boltfelag	10	May 7 – Aug 13	1 in 558
2	NSI Runavik	6	Jun 10 – Aug 20	1 in 28
3	KI Klaksvik	7	May 7 – Jun 18	1 in 15
4	B68 Toftir	4	Aug 5 – Aug 27	1 in 9
5	B71 Sandoy	2	Apr 30 – May 7	1 in 5

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	B36 Torshavn	4	Jun 10 – Aug 5	1 in 27
2	NSI Runavik	6	Apr 30 – Jun 4	1 in 19
3	GI Gota	4	May 28 – Jun 18	1 in 18
4	KI Klaksvik	4	Apr 24 – May 14	1 in 15
5	FS Vagar	7	Apr 24 – Jun 7	1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Vags Boltfelag	1012	40	+74	13	7.5	+5.5
HB Torshavn	1103	38	+28	9	10.1	-1.1
B68 Toftir	910	31	-31	4	6.3	-2.3
KI Klaksvik	1005	30	-34	10	10.1	-0.1
NSI Runavik	993	30	-20	9	9.0	-0.0
B36 Torshavn	1030	28	+0	4	7.9	-3.9
GI Gota	959	26	+19	9	7.0	+2.0
B71 Sandoy	808	14	+19	6	6.0	-0.0
FS Vagar	703	11	-61	3	4.9	-1.9
Sumba	643	10	+5	4	2.7	+1.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BT	BT	BS	FV	GG	HT	KK	NR	SUM	VB
B36 Torshavn	—	1-0-1 3.92	1-0-1 4.53	2-0-0 4.45	1-0-1 3.51	0-1-1 2.69	0-0-2 3.25	2-0-0 3.45	2-0-0 4.91	0-0-2 3.55
B68 Toftir	1-0-1 1.80	—	2-0-0 3.59	1-0-1 3.55	1-0-1 2.84	1-1-0 1.72	1-0-1 2.15	1-0-1 2.76	2-0-0 4.05	0-0-2 2.83
B71 Sandoy	1-0-1 1.20	0-0-2 2.13	—	1-0-1 3.47	0-1-1 1.82	0-0-2 1.24	0-0-2 1.48	0-1-1 1.80	1-0-1 3.73	1-0-1 2.04
FS Vagar	0-0-2 1.28	1-0-1 2.17	1-0-1 2.25	—	1-0-1 1.44	0-0-2 1.00	0-0-2 1.03	0-1-1 1.90	0-0-2 3.62	0-1-1 1.71
GI Gota	1-0-1 2.21	1-0-1 2.88	1-1-0 3.90	1-0-1 4.29	—	0-0-2 2.12	0-1-1 2.54	2-0-0 2.84	2-0-0 4.44	0-0-2 3.01
HB Torshavn	1-1-0 3.03	0-1-1 4.00	2-0-0 4.49	2-0-0 4.73	2-0-0 3.60	—	2-0-0 3.27	0-1-1 3.99	2-0-0 5.14	0-2-0 3.99
KI Klaksvik	2-0-0 2.47	1-0-1 3.56	2-0-0 4.24	2-0-0 4.71	1-1-0 3.18	0-0-2 2.45	—	0-0-2 3.84	1-1-0 4.77	0-1-1 3.60
NSI Runavik	0-0-2 2.27	1-0-1 2.96	1-1-0 3.92	1-1-0 3.82	0-0-2 2.87	1-1-0 1.73	2-0-0 1.88	—	2-0-0 4.34	1-0-1 3.07
Sumba	0-0-2 0.83	0-0-2 1.68	1-0-1 1.99	2-0-0 2.10	0-0-2 1.29	0-0-2 0.61	0-1-1 0.96	0-0-2 1.39	—	0-0-2 1.68
Vags Boltfelag	2-0-0 2.16	2-0-0 2.89	1-0-1 3.68	1-1-0 4.01	2-0-0 2.70	0-2-0 1.74	1-1-0 2.12	1-0-1 2.65	2-0-0 4.04	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.70	+8.2
Allowed	0.68	-5.7
Differential	0.77	+3.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.22%	6.11%	3.33%	2.22%	1.67%	2.78%	18.33%
1	6.11%	3.33%	8.89%	4.44%	2.78%	3.89%	29.44%
2	3.33%	8.89%	5.56%	2.22%	0.56%	1.11%	21.67%
3	2.22%	4.44%	2.22%	2.22%	1.11%	1.67%	13.89%
4	1.67%	2.78%	0.56%	1.11%	—	0.56%	6.67%
5+	2.78%	3.89%	1.11%	1.67%	0.56%	—	10.00%
Total	18.33%	29.44%	21.67%	13.89%	6.67%	10.00%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.01	2.01	+0.00
SD	1.80	1.80	2.78
CV	0.90	0.90	—
Max	11	11	+10
Min	0	0	-10

Games Played: 90

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
1	—	—	22.22%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
2	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	16.67%
3	—	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
Total	11.11%	44.44%	33.33%	5.56%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.72	1.50	+1.22
SD	2.63	0.99	3.14
CV	0.97	0.66	—
Max	11	4	+10
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%
1	—	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	—	27.78%
2	11.11%	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
3	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	16.67%
4	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	11.11%	38.89%	11.11%	22.22%	11.11%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.39	2.11	+0.28
SD	1.58	1.75	2.59
CV	0.66	0.83	—
Max	6	7	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	16.67%	—	—	5.56%	—	22.22%
1	5.56%	5.56%	27.78%	5.56%	—	—	44.44%
2	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
3	11.11%	—	—	—	—	5.56%	16.67%
4	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	22.22%	38.89%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	1.83	-0.44
SD	1.20	1.34	1.76
CV	0.86	0.73	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	16.67%	5.56%	—	5.56%	33.33%
1	—	—	—	11.11%	11.11%	11.11%	33.33%
2	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.56%	11.11%	27.78%	22.22%	11.11%	22.22%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	3.00	-1.78
SD	1.22	1.71	2.10
CV	0.99	0.57	—
Max	4	6	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	16.67%
1	11.11%	—	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	33.33%
2	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%	5.56%
4	—	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	22.22%
Total	22.22%	5.56%	33.33%	27.78%	—	11.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.28	2.11	+0.17
SD	2.08	1.53	2.33
CV	0.91	0.72	—
Max	7	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
1	16.67%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	27.78%
2	5.56%	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	5.56%	33.33%
3	—	11.11%	—	—	5.56%	—	16.67%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	33.33%	44.44%	11.11%	—	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.22	1.17	+1.06
SD	1.40	1.38	1.83
CV	0.63	1.19	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	22.22%
1	—	—	11.11%	—	—	5.56%	16.67%
2	—	22.22%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
3	—	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%
4	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%	—	11.11%
Total	16.67%	50.00%	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.33	1.56	+0.78
SD	2.28	1.50	2.86
CV	0.98	0.97	—
Max	9	6	+9
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	16.67%
1	5.56%	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
2	—	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
3	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	22.22%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
Total	22.22%	38.89%	11.11%	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.39	1.61	+0.78
SD	1.91	1.46	2.73
CV	0.80	0.91	—
Max	6	5	+6
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	11.11%	33.33%
1	11.11%	—	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	22.22%	50.00%
2	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%	11.11%
3	—	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	—	11.11%	22.22%	11.11%	38.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.89	3.94	-3.06
SD	0.83	2.92	3.19
CV	0.94	0.74	—
Max	3	11	+2
Min	0	0	-10

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	—	16.67%
1	11.11%	—	—	—	—	—	11.11%
2	—	22.22%	16.67%	—	—	—	38.89%
3	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
Total	27.78%	38.89%	22.22%	5.56%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.22	1.22	+1.00
SD	1.63	1.11	2.00
CV	0.73	0.91	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 18

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
HB Torshavn	1103	38	36.46	+1.54	60.0%	23	27	33	37	40	45	47
B36 Torshavn	1030	28	34.77	-6.77	15.0%	23	25	31	35	39	44	46
Vags Boltfelag	1012	40	25.95	+14.05	100.0%	11	16	21	26	30	36	39
KI Klaksvik	1005	30	32.65	-2.65	37.0%	21	24	29	32	36	40	46
NSI Runavik	993	30	27.34	+2.66	73.0%	14	18	24	28	31	36	41
GI Gota	959	26	27.33	-1.33	43.0%	12	15	23	28	32	37	39
B68 Toftir	910	31	25.30	+5.70	85.0%	14	16	22	25	29	35	43
B71 Sandoy	808	14	18.63	-4.63	21.0%	2	9	16	19	21	28	33
FS Vagar	703	11	16.12	-5.12	21.0%	5	8	12	15	20	26	29
Sumba	643	10	12.60	-2.60	32.0%	1	5	9	12	15	21	27

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 22% * Strong Edge: 22% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+11.11%

Slight Edge

48.89%13.33%37.78%

Elo Value

Home Edge

112 Elo

0.009 goals per Elo point

038.76300

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.70 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.35+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.11 * Tight Race: 0.11 to 0.22 * Comfortable: 0.22 to 0.38 * Runaway: 0.38 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.2

Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

Vags Boltfelag, 6th of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.11/gm

Tight Race

00.230.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.42 * Some Luck: 4.42 to 6.62 * Lucky: 6.62 to 8.83 * Wild Swing: 8.83 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.06 * Close: 1.06 to 1.59 * Off: 1.59 to 2.12 * Way Off: 2.12 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.90 points

Some Luck

05.5214

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.80

Off

01.323

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

100.00%

Vags Boltfelag

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

15.00%

B36 Torshavn

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.45 * Moderate Separation: 1.45 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68.5% * Slight Edge: 68.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 88% * Wide Edge: 88% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 44.5% * Some Drama: 44.5% to 50.5% * Frequent: 50.5% to 57% * Very Frequent: 57% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 20% * Occasional: 20% to 25% * Frequent: 25% to 33.5% * Very Frequent: 33.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.22

Even

00.190.280.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 150.68

1.79

Moderate Separation

0.851.451.82.153.25

Interquartile Edge

73%

Slight Edge

50%68.5%79%88%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 95%

93%

Clear Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

51%

Frequent

0%41%100%

Blowouts

Expected

30%

Frequent

0%37%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.49 * Notable Separation: 0.49 to 0.56 * Lopsided: 0.56 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.4 * Some Carryover: 0.4 to 0.61 * Strong Carryover: 0.61 to 0.77 * Near-Lock: 0.77 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.53

Highly Predictable

00.532

Matchup Imbalance

0.39

Very Even

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.04

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.58

Some Carryover

00.40.610.771

Upset Rate

Expected

30%

Very Upset-Prone

0%26%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

23%

Shaky Favorites

0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.17 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.17 to 0.25 * Above Noise: 0.25 to 0.33 * Well Above Noise: 0.33 and up.

Probability calibration

0.18

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.93

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.097

Well Within Noise

00.1660.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Vags Boltfelag	2.00%	11.00%	6.00%	13.00%	15.00%	24.00%	14.00%	8.00%	2.00%	5.00%
HB Torshavn	44.00%	25.00%	15.00%	8.00%	5.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
B68 Toftir	2.00%	5.00%	6.00%	11.00%	15.00%	20.00%	21.00%	13.00%	7.00%	—
NSI Runavik	3.00%	3.00%	14.00%	20.00%	20.00%	20.00%	9.00%	9.00%	2.00%	—
KI Klaksvik	13.00%	24.00%	26.00%	18.00%	11.00%	5.00%	—	3.00%	—	—
B36 Torshavn	31.00%	22.00%	20.00%	12.00%	7.00%	8.00%	—	—	—	—
GI Gota	5.00%	10.00%	13.00%	12.00%	19.00%	12.00%	16.00%	7.00%	4.00%	2.00%
B71 Sandoy	—	—	—	5.00%	5.00%	2.00%	20.00%	36.00%	19.00%	13.00%
FS Vagar	—	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	7.00%	11.00%	15.00%	39.00%	24.00%
Sumba	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	7.00%	9.00%	27.00%	56.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
B36 Torshavn	100%	—	—
B68 Toftir	93.00%	7.00%	—
HB Torshavn	100%	—	—
KI Klaksvik	100%	—	—
NSI Runavik	98.00%	2.00%	—
GI Gota	94.00%	4.00%	2.00%
Vags Boltfelag	93.00%	2.00%	5.00%
B71 Sandoy	68.00%	19.00%	13.00%
FS Vagar	37.00%	39.00%	24.00%
Sumba	17.00%	27.00%	56.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2000-04-24	GI Gota	W 3-1	39.4	1017	985	52.71%	14.09%	33.20%	+0.63	+15.4	3
2000-04-24	@ B36 Torshavn	L 1-3	39.4	985	1017	33.20%	14.09%	52.71%	-0.63	-15.4	0
2000-04-24	FS Vagar	W 2-0	35.5	859	833	52.03%	14.09%	33.87%	+0.58	+18.1	3
2000-04-24	@ B68 Toftir	L 0-2	35.5	833	859	33.87%	14.09%	52.03%	-0.58	-18.1	0
2000-04-24	HB Torshavn	L 0-1	33.9	834	1049	21.31%	13.80%	64.89%	-1.56	-6.3	0
2000-04-24	@ B71 Sandoy	W 1-0	33.9	1049	834	64.89%	13.80%	21.31%	+1.56	+6.3	3
2000-04-24	NSI Runavik	L 0-1	45.6	1004	912	60.08%	13.95%	25.97%	+1.16	-16.1	0
2000-04-24	@ KI Klaksvik	W 1-0	45.6	912	1004	25.97%	13.95%	60.08%	-1.16	+16.1	3
2000-04-24	Vags Boltfelag	L 1-2	41.9	791	882	35.59%	14.11%	50.30%	-0.47	-9.5	0
2000-04-24	@ Sumba	W 2-1	41.9	882	791	50.30%	14.11%	35.59%	+0.47	+9.5	3
2000-04-30	B36 Torshavn	L 1-3	37.7	878	1033	27.57%	13.99%	58.44%	-1.04	-13.1	3
2000-04-30	@ B68 Toftir	W 3-1	37.7	1033	878	58.44%	13.99%	27.57%	+1.04	+13.1	6
2000-04-30	NSI Runavik	D 3-3	62.4	814	928	32.69%	14.08%	53.23%	-0.67	+0.8	1
2000-04-30	@ FS Vagar	D 3-3	62.4	928	814	53.23%	14.08%	32.69%	+0.67	-0.8	4
2000-04-30	Sumba	W 2-0	30.2	970	781	69.71%	13.57%	16.72%	+2.03	+9.5	3
2000-04-30	@ GI Gota	L 0-2	30.2	781	970	16.72%	13.57%	69.71%	-2.03	-9.5	0
2000-04-30	KI Klaksvik	W 1-0	36.3	1055	988	57.18%	14.01%	28.81%	+0.94	+8.3	6
2000-04-30	@ HB Torshavn	L 0-1	36.3	988	1055	28.81%	14.01%	57.18%	-0.94	-8.3	0
2000-04-30	B71 Sandoy	L 0-1	44.6	892	828	56.72%	14.02%	29.26%	+0.91	-15.2	3
2000-04-30	@ Vags Boltfelag	W 1-0	44.6	828	892	29.26%	14.02%	56.72%	-0.91	+15.2	3
2000-05-06	FS Vagar	W 6-1	28.9	1046	815	73.01%	13.35%	13.65%	+2.40	+15.1	9
2000-05-06	@ B36 Torshavn	L 1-6	28.9	815	1046	13.65%	13.35%	73.01%	-2.40	-15.1	1
2000-05-07	GI Gota	D 2-2	58.3	843	979	29.85%	14.03%	56.12%	-0.87	+1.2	4
2000-05-07	@ B71 Sandoy	D 2-2	58.3	979	843	56.12%	14.03%	29.85%	+0.87	-1.2	4
2000-05-07	Vags Boltfelag	D 2-2	58.3	979	876	61.32%	13.92%	24.76%	+1.26	-1.8	1
2000-05-07	@ KI Klaksvik	D 2-2	58.3	876	979	24.76%	13.92%	61.32%	-1.26	+1.8	4
2000-05-07	HB Torshavn	D 1-1	54.2	927	1063	29.86%	14.03%	56.10%	-0.87	+1.7	5
2000-05-07	@ NSI Runavik	D 1-1	54.2	1063	927	56.10%	14.03%	29.86%	+0.87	-1.7	7
2000-05-07	B68 Toftir	L 1-4	38.2	772	864	35.42%	14.11%	50.47%	-0.48	-23.1	0
2000-05-07	@ Sumba	W 4-1	38.2	864	772	50.47%	14.11%	35.42%	+0.48	+23.1	6
2000-05-14	Sumba	W 11-1	26.4	1061	749	78.12%	12.83%	9.05%	+3.13	+19.3	12
2000-05-14	@ B36 Torshavn	L 1-11	26.4	749	1061	9.05%	12.83%	78.12%	-3.13	-19.4	0
2000-05-14	B71 Sandoy	W 3-1	39.0	888	845	54.15%	14.07%	31.79%	+0.73	+14.8	9
2000-05-14	@ B68 Toftir	L 1-3	39.0	845	888	31.79%	14.07%	54.15%	-0.73	-14.8	4
2000-05-14	KI Klaksvik	D 0-0	51.3	978	978	48.51%	14.12%	37.37%	+0.35	-0.8	5
2000-05-14	@ GI Gota	D 0-0	51.3	978	978	37.37%	14.12%	48.51%	-0.35	+0.8	2
2000-05-14	NSI Runavik	W 3-1	42.8	878	929	41.24%	14.14%	44.62%	-0.11	+19.9	7
2000-05-14	@ Vags Boltfelag	L 1-3	42.8	929	878	44.62%	14.14%	41.24%	+0.11	-20.0	5
2000-05-19	B36 Torshavn	L 1-2	36.5	830	1080	18.00%	13.64%	68.36%	-1.89	-5.1	4
2000-05-19	@ B71 Sandoy	W 2-1	36.5	1080	830	68.36%	13.64%	18.00%	+1.89	+5.1	15
2000-05-19	Vags Boltfelag	D 2-2	58.4	1062	898	67.47%	13.69%	18.84%	+1.80	-2.4	8
2000-05-19	@ HB Torshavn	D 2-2	58.4	898	1062	18.84%	13.69%	67.47%	-1.80	+2.4	8
2000-05-19	B68 Toftir	W 4-1	35.9	978	902	58.21%	13.99%	27.79%	+1.02	+18.6	5
2000-05-19	@ KI Klaksvik	L 1-4	35.9	902	978	27.79%	13.99%	58.21%	-1.02	-18.6	9
2000-05-19	GI Gota	L 3-4	50.7	909	977	38.70%	14.13%	47.17%	-0.27	-9.4	5
2000-05-19	@ NSI Runavik	W 4-3	50.7	977	909	47.17%	14.13%	38.70%	+0.27	+9.4	8
2000-05-19	FS Vagar	W 1-0	41.9	729	800	38.40%	14.13%	47.47%	-0.29	+12.9	3
2000-05-19	@ Sumba	L 0-1	41.9	800	729	47.47%	14.13%	38.40%	+0.29	-12.9	1
2000-05-28	KI Klaksvik	L 1-2	49.1	1085	997	59.70%	13.96%	26.34%	+1.13	-15.1	15
2000-05-28	@ B36 Torshavn	W 2-1	49.1	997	1085	26.34%	13.96%	59.70%	-1.13	+15.1	8
2000-05-28	NSI Runavik	W 2-0	37.2	884	899	46.23%	14.14%	39.63%	+0.21	+20.8	12
2000-05-28	@ B68 Toftir	L 0-2	37.2	899	884	39.63%	14.14%	46.23%	-0.21	-20.8	5
2000-05-28	Vags Boltfelag	D 2-2	58.3	787	901	32.71%	14.08%	53.21%	-0.66	+1.0	2
2000-05-28	@ FS Vagar	D 2-2	58.3	901	787	53.21%	14.08%	32.71%	+0.66	-1.0	9
2000-05-28	HB Torshavn	L 1-2	42.7	987	1059	38.20%	14.13%	47.67%	-0.30	-10.1	8
2000-05-28	@ GI Gota	W 2-1	42.7	1059	987	47.67%	14.13%	38.20%	+0.30	+10.1	11
2000-05-28	B71 Sandoy	W 1-0	42.4	742	825	36.81%	14.12%	49.07%	-0.39	+13.3	6
2000-05-28	@ Sumba	L 0-1	42.4	825	742	49.07%	14.12%	36.81%	+0.39	-13.3	4
2000-06-04	FS Vagar	W 3-0	33.6	811	788	51.55%	14.10%	34.36%	+0.55	+26.7	7
2000-06-04	@ B71 Sandoy	L 0-3	33.6	788	811	34.36%	14.10%	51.55%	-0.55	-26.7	2
2000-06-04	B68 Toftir	L 3-4	59.3	1069	905	67.58%	13.68%	18.73%	+1.81	-15.8	11
2000-06-04	@ HB Torshavn	W 4-3	59.3	905	1069	18.73%	13.68%	67.58%	-1.81	+15.8	15
2000-06-04	Sumba	W 9-0	26.2	1012	756	74.79%	13.20%	12.01%	+2.63	+28.2	11
2000-06-04	@ KI Klaksvik	L 0-9	26.2	756	1012	12.01%	13.20%	74.79%	-2.63	-28.2	6
2000-06-04	B36 Torshavn	L 2-3	42.5	879	1070	23.55%	13.88%	62.57%	-1.36	-6.2	5
2000-06-04	@ NSI Runavik	W 3-2	42.5	1070	879	62.57%	13.88%	23.55%	+1.36	+6.2	18
2000-06-04	GI Gota	W 5-3	51.0	900	977	37.51%	14.13%	48.37%	-0.34	+18.1	12
2000-06-04	@ Vags Boltfelag	L 3-5	51.0	977	900	48.37%	14.13%	37.51%	+0.34	-18.1	8
2000-06-07	HB Torshavn	L 0-2	29.6	762	1053	14.77%	13.44%	71.79%	-2.25	-8.4	2
2000-06-07	@ FS Vagar	W 2-0	29.6	1053	762	71.79%	13.44%	14.77%	+2.25	+8.4	14
2000-06-10	HB Torshavn	L 1-3	44.6	1077	1062	50.41%	14.11%	35.48%	+0.48	-22.2	18
2000-06-10	@ B36 Torshavn	W 3-1	44.6	1062	1077	35.48%	14.11%	50.41%	-0.48	+22.2	17
2000-06-10	Vags Boltfelag	L 1-2	45.9	920	918	48.78%	14.12%	37.10%	+0.37	-12.5	15
2000-06-10	@ B68 Toftir	W 2-1	45.9	918	920	37.10%	14.12%	48.78%	-0.37	+12.5	15
2000-06-10	KI Klaksvik	L 0-4	28.7	838	1040	22.50%	13.84%	63.66%	-1.45	-23.8	7
2000-06-10	@ B71 Sandoy	W 4-0	28.7	1040	838	63.66%	13.84%	22.50%	+1.45	+23.8	14
2000-06-10	GI Gota	W 2-0	44.5	753	959	22.15%	13.83%	64.02%	-1.49	+32.2	5
2000-06-10	@ FS Vagar	L 0-2	44.5	959	753	64.02%	13.83%	22.15%	+1.49	-32.2	8
2000-06-10	NSI Runavik	L 0-6	30.1	727	872	28.78%	14.01%	57.20%	-0.95	-43.6	6
2000-06-10	@ Sumba	W 6-0	30.1	872	727	57.20%	14.01%	28.78%	+0.95	+43.5	8
2000-06-15	Sumba	W 5-1	27.2	1084	684	82.11%	12.16%	5.73%	+3.91	+5.2	20
2000-06-15	@ HB Torshavn	L 1-5	27.2	684	1084	5.73%	12.16%	82.11%	-3.91	-5.2	6
2000-06-17	B71 Sandoy	D 1-1	54.3	916	814	61.19%	13.92%	24.89%	+1.25	-2.3	9
2000-06-17	@ NSI Runavik	D 1-1	54.3	814	916	24.89%	13.92%	61.19%	-1.25	+2.3	8
2000-06-18	B68 Toftir	L 1-2	46.5	926	908	50.94%	14.10%	34.96%	+0.51	-13.0	8
2000-06-18	@ GI Gota	W 2-1	46.5	908	926	34.96%	14.10%	50.94%	-0.51	+13.0	18
2000-06-18	FS Vagar	W 4-1	30.5	1064	785	76.19%	13.06%	10.75%	+2.83	+7.6	17
2000-06-18	@ KI Klaksvik	L 1-4	30.5	785	1064	10.75%	13.06%	76.19%	-2.83	-7.6	5
2000-06-18	B36 Torshavn	W 1-0	44.0	930	1054	31.33%	14.06%	54.61%	-0.76	+14.7	18
2000-06-18	@ Vags Boltfelag	L 0-1	44.0	1054	930	54.61%	14.06%	31.33%	+0.76	-14.7	18
2000-06-21	B71 Sandoy	W 1-0	30.7	1089	817	75.84%	13.09%	11.07%	+2.77	+3.4	23
2000-06-21	@ HB Torshavn	L 0-1	30.7	817	1089	11.07%	13.09%	75.84%	-2.77	-3.4	8
2000-06-24	B68 Toftir	W 3-2	52.6	778	921	29.01%	14.02%	56.97%	-0.93	+13.6	8
2000-06-24	@ FS Vagar	L 2-3	52.6	921	778	56.97%	14.02%	29.01%	+0.93	-13.6	18
2000-06-24	Sumba	W 3-0	26.5	945	679	75.43%	13.14%	11.44%	+2.72	+9.5	21
2000-06-24	@ Vags Boltfelag	L 0-3	26.5	679	945	11.44%	13.14%	75.43%	-2.72	-9.5	6
2000-06-25	B36 Torshavn	W 1-0	44.1	914	1040	31.08%	14.06%	54.86%	-0.78	+14.7	11
2000-06-25	@ GI Gota	L 0-1	44.1	1040	914	54.86%	14.06%	31.08%	+0.78	-14.7	18
2000-06-25	KI Klaksvik	W 2-1	48.8	914	1071	27.28%	13.98%	58.74%	-1.06	+14.8	12
2000-06-25	@ NSI Runavik	L 1-2	48.8	1071	914	58.74%	13.98%	27.28%	+1.06	-14.8	17
2000-08-05	B68 Toftir	L 1-2	50.0	1025	907	62.94%	13.87%	23.19%	+1.39	-15.9	18
2000-08-05	@ B36 Torshavn	W 2-1	50.0	907	1025	23.19%	13.87%	62.94%	-1.39	+15.9	21
2000-08-06	Vags Boltfelag	L 1-2	40.0	813	954	29.24%	14.02%	56.73%	-0.91	-8.0	8
2000-08-06	@ B71 Sandoy	W 2-1	40.0	954	813	56.73%	14.02%	29.24%	+0.91	+8.0	24
2000-08-06	HB Torshavn	L 1-2	44.3	1057	1093	43.31%	14.14%	42.54%	+0.02	-11.2	17
2000-08-06	@ KI Klaksvik	W 2-1	44.3	1093	1057	42.54%	14.14%	43.31%	-0.02	+11.2	26
2000-08-06	FS Vagar	W 3-1	35.7	928	791	64.93%	13.80%	21.27%	+1.57	+10.3	15
2000-08-06	@ NSI Runavik	L 1-3	35.7	791	928	21.27%	13.80%	64.93%	-1.57	-10.3	8
2000-08-06	GI Gota	L 2-5	36.3	669	928	17.29%	13.60%	69.11%	-1.96	-10.4	6
2000-08-06	@ Sumba	W 5-2	36.3	928	669	69.11%	13.60%	17.29%	+1.96	+10.4	14
2000-08-13	Sumba	W 5-1	29.3	923	659	75.31%	13.15%	11.54%	+2.70	+10.5	24
2000-08-13	@ B68 Toftir	L 1-5	29.3	659	923	11.54%	13.15%	75.31%	-2.70	-10.5	6
2000-08-13	B36 Torshavn	L 1-3	35.3	781	1009	20.01%	13.74%	66.25%	-1.69	-9.7	8
2000-08-13	@ FS Vagar	W 3-1	35.3	1009	781	66.25%	13.74%	20.01%	+1.69	+9.7	21
2000-08-13	B71 Sandoy	W 5-3	42.9	939	805	64.57%	13.81%	21.62%	+1.53	+8.8	17
2000-08-13	@ GI Gota	L 3-5	42.9	805	939	21.62%	13.81%	64.57%	-1.53	-8.8	8
2000-08-13	NSI Runavik	L 2-5	51.4	1104	939	67.64%	13.68%	18.68%	+1.82	-36.1	26
2000-08-13	@ HB Torshavn	W 5-2	51.4	939	1104	18.68%	13.68%	67.64%	-1.82	+36.1	18
2000-08-13	KI Klaksvik	W 1-0	42.4	962	1045	36.71%	14.12%	49.17%	-0.39	+13.3	27
2000-08-13	@ Vags Boltfelag	L 0-1	42.4	1045	962	49.17%	14.12%	36.71%	+0.39	-13.3	17
2000-08-20	B68 Toftir	L 2-3	44.4	796	934	29.73%	14.03%	56.24%	-0.88	-7.7	8
2000-08-20	@ B71 Sandoy	W 3-2	44.4	934	796	56.24%	14.03%	29.73%	+0.88	+7.7	27
2000-08-20	FS Vagar	W 4-1	30.2	1068	771	77.24%	12.94%	9.82%	+2.99	+6.9	29
2000-08-20	@ HB Torshavn	L 1-4	30.2	771	1068	9.82%	12.94%	77.24%	-2.99	-6.9	8
2000-08-20	GI Gota	W 2-1	39.2	1032	947	59.25%	13.97%	26.78%	+1.10	+7.4	20
2000-08-20	@ KI Klaksvik	L 1-2	39.2	947	1032	26.78%	13.97%	59.25%	-1.10	-7.4	17
2000-08-20	Vags Boltfelag	W 4-0	33.3	975	976	48.30%	14.13%	37.58%	+0.34	+37.7	21
2000-08-20	@ NSI Runavik	L 0-4	33.3	976	975	37.58%	14.13%	48.30%	-0.34	-37.7	27
2000-08-20	B36 Torshavn	L 0-4	24.7	648	1019	9.99%	12.96%	77.05%	-2.96	-10.9	6
2000-08-20	@ Sumba	W 4-0	24.7	1019	648	77.05%	12.96%	9.99%	+2.96	+10.9	24
2000-08-27	B71 Sandoy	L 2-4	55.4	1030	789	73.74%	13.29%	12.97%	+2.49	-28.8	24
2000-08-27	@ B36 Torshavn	W 4-2	55.4	789	1030	12.97%	13.29%	73.74%	-2.49	+28.8	11
2000-08-27	KI Klaksvik	W 6-1	40.4	941	1039	34.68%	14.10%	51.22%	-0.53	+50.5	30
2000-08-27	@ B68 Toftir	L 1-6	40.4	1039	941	51.22%	14.10%	34.68%	+0.53	-50.5	20
2000-08-27	Sumba	L 0-2	44.4	765	637	63.93%	13.83%	22.23%	+1.48	-32.2	8
2000-08-27	@ FS Vagar	W 2-0	44.4	637	765	22.23%	13.83%	63.93%	-1.48	+32.2	9
2000-08-27	NSI Runavik	W 1-0	42.0	940	1013	38.18%	14.13%	47.70%	-0.30	+13.0	20
2000-08-27	@ GI Gota	L 0-1	42.0	1013	940	47.70%	14.13%	38.18%	+0.30	-13.0	21
2000-08-27	HB Torshavn	D 0-0	51.3	938	1075	29.77%	14.03%	56.20%	-0.87	+1.9	28
2000-08-27	@ Vags Boltfelag	D 0-0	51.3	1075	938	56.20%	14.03%	29.77%	+0.87	-1.9	30
2000-09-10	Sumba	W 3-0	29.3	818	670	66.02%	13.75%	20.22%	+1.66	+16.5	14
2000-09-10	@ B71 Sandoy	L 0-3	29.3	670	818	20.22%	13.75%	66.02%	-1.66	-16.5	9
2000-09-10	GI Gota	W 5-0	28.3	1073	953	63.16%	13.86%	22.98%	+1.41	+29.9	33
2000-09-10	@ HB Torshavn	L 0-5	28.3	953	1073	22.98%	13.86%	63.16%	-1.41	-29.9	20
2000-09-10	B36 Torshavn	W 2-1	43.0	989	1001	46.74%	14.13%	39.13%	+0.24	+10.3	23
2000-09-10	@ KI Klaksvik	L 1-2	43.0	1001	989	39.13%	14.13%	46.74%	-0.24	-10.3	24
2000-09-10	B68 Toftir	W 3-0	34.3	1000	992	49.49%	14.12%	36.39%	+0.42	+28.0	24
2000-09-10	@ NSI Runavik	L 0-3	34.3	992	1000	36.39%	14.12%	49.49%	-0.42	-28.0	30
2000-09-10	FS Vagar	W 6-0	25.9	940	732	71.25%	13.47%	15.27%	+2.19	+24.1	31
2000-09-10	@ Vags Boltfelag	L 0-6	25.9	732	940	15.27%	13.47%	71.25%	-2.19	-24.1	8
2000-09-17	NSI Runavik	W 5-0	34.3	991	1028	43.19%	14.14%	42.67%	+0.02	+51.9	27
2000-09-17	@ B36 Torshavn	L 0-5	34.3	1028	991	42.67%	14.14%	43.19%	-0.02	-51.8	24
2000-09-17	HB Torshavn	D 1-1	54.2	964	1103	29.49%	14.03%	56.48%	-0.89	+1.7	31
2000-09-17	@ B68 Toftir	D 1-1	54.2	1103	964	56.48%	14.03%	29.49%	+0.89	-1.7	34
2000-09-17	B71 Sandoy	W 2-1	47.6	708	834	31.12%	14.06%	54.83%	-0.78	+13.9	11
2000-09-17	@ FS Vagar	L 1-2	47.6	834	708	54.83%	14.06%	31.12%	+0.78	-13.9	14
2000-09-17	Vags Boltfelag	L 2-3	48.3	923	964	42.64%	14.14%	43.22%	-0.02	-10.5	20
2000-09-17	@ GI Gota	W 3-2	48.3	964	923	43.22%	14.14%	42.64%	+0.02	+10.5	34
2000-09-17	KI Klaksvik	D 3-3	62.7	653	999	11.30%	13.12%	75.58%	-2.74	+2.7	10
2000-09-17	@ Sumba	D 3-3	62.7	999	653	75.58%	13.12%	11.30%	+2.74	-2.7	24
2000-09-24	FS Vagar	W 5-1	30.9	913	722	69.88%	13.56%	16.56%	+2.04	+14.9	23
2000-09-24	@ GI Gota	L 1-5	30.9	722	913	16.56%	13.56%	69.88%	-2.04	-14.9	11
2000-09-24	B36 Torshavn	D 2-2	58.3	1101	1042	56.10%	14.03%	29.86%	+0.87	-1.2	35
2000-09-24	@ HB Torshavn	D 2-2	58.3	1042	1101	29.86%	14.03%	56.10%	-0.87	+1.2	28
2000-09-24	B71 Sandoy	W 2-1	36.4	997	820	68.65%	13.63%	17.72%	+1.92	+5.0	27
2000-09-24	@ KI Klaksvik	L 1-2	36.4	820	997	17.72%	13.63%	68.65%	-1.92	-5.0	14
2000-09-24	Sumba	W 6-1	27.3	976	656	78.52%	12.77%	8.70%	+3.20	+9.7	27
2000-09-24	@ NSI Runavik	L 1-6	27.3	656	976	8.70%	12.77%	78.52%	-3.20	-9.7	10
2000-09-24	B68 Toftir	W 4-1	38.5	974	965	49.66%	14.12%	36.22%	+0.43	+23.5	37
2000-09-24	@ Vags Boltfelag	L 1-4	38.5	965	974	36.22%	14.12%	49.66%	-0.43	-23.6	31
2000-09-30	Vags Boltfelag	L 1-2	47.6	1044	998	54.49%	14.06%	31.45%	+0.75	-13.8	28
2000-09-30	@ B36 Torshavn	W 2-1	47.6	998	1044	31.45%	14.06%	54.49%	-0.75	+13.8	40
2000-09-30	GI Gota	L 3-7	45.8	942	928	50.35%	14.11%	35.54%	+0.47	-31.4	31
2000-09-30	@ B68 Toftir	W 7-3	45.8	928	942	35.54%	14.11%	50.35%	-0.47	+31.4	26
2000-09-30	NSI Runavik	L 1-2	38.9	815	985	25.86%	13.95%	60.19%	-1.17	-7.1	14
2000-09-30	@ B71 Sandoy	W 2-1	38.9	985	815	60.19%	13.95%	25.86%	+1.17	+7.1	30
2000-09-30	KI Klaksvik	L 4-5	45.5	707	1002	14.60%	13.42%	71.98%	-2.28	-3.8	11
2000-09-30	@ FS Vagar	W 5-4	45.5	1002	707	71.98%	13.42%	14.60%	+2.28	+3.8	30
2000-09-30	HB Torshavn	L 1-3	30.9	646	1100	6.50%	12.35%	81.15%	-3.70	-3.2	10
2000-09-30	@ Sumba	W 3-1	30.9	1100	646	81.15%	12.35%	6.50%	+3.70	+3.2	38

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2000-08-27	12.97%	B71 Sandoy	789	4	@ B36 Torshavn	1030	2
2	2000-08-13	18.68%	NSI Runavik	939	5	@ HB Torshavn	1104	2
3	2000-06-04	18.73%	B68 Toftir	905	4	@ HB Torshavn	1069	3
4	2000-06-10	22.15%	@ FS Vagar	753	2	GI Gota	959	0
5	2000-08-27	22.23%	Sumba	637	2	@ FS Vagar	765	0
6	2000-08-05	23.19%	B68 Toftir	907	2	@ B36 Torshavn	1025	1
7	2000-04-24	25.97%	NSI Runavik	912	1	@ KI Klaksvik	1004	0
8	2000-05-28	26.34%	KI Klaksvik	997	2	@ B36 Torshavn	1085	1
9	2000-06-25	27.28%	@ NSI Runavik	914	2	KI Klaksvik	1071	1
10	2000-06-24	29.01%	@ FS Vagar	778	3	B68 Toftir	921	2
11	2000-04-30	29.26%	B71 Sandoy	828	1	@ Vags Boltfelag	892	0
12	2000-06-25	31.08%	@ GI Gota	914	1	B36 Torshavn	1040	0
13	2000-09-17	31.12%	@ FS Vagar	708	2	B71 Sandoy	834	1
14	2000-06-18	31.33%	@ Vags Boltfelag	930	1	B36 Torshavn	1054	0
15	2000-09-30	31.45%	Vags Boltfelag	998	2	@ B36 Torshavn	1044	1
16	2000-08-27	34.68%	@ B68 Toftir	941	6	KI Klaksvik	1039	1
17	2000-06-18	34.96%	B68 Toftir	908	2	@ GI Gota	926	1
18	2000-06-10	35.48%	HB Torshavn	1062	3	@ B36 Torshavn	1077	1
19	2000-09-30	35.54%	GI Gota	928	7	@ B68 Toftir	942	3
20	2000-08-13	36.71%	@ Vags Boltfelag	962	1	KI Klaksvik	1045	0
21	2000-05-28	36.81%	@ Sumba	742	1	B71 Sandoy	825	0
22	2000-06-10	37.10%	Vags Boltfelag	918	2	@ B68 Toftir	920	1
23	2000-06-04	37.51%	@ Vags Boltfelag	900	5	GI Gota	977	3
24	2000-08-27	38.18%	@ GI Gota	940	1	NSI Runavik	1013	0
25	2000-05-19	38.40%	@ Sumba	729	1	FS Vagar	800	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2000-09-17	51.85	@ B36 Torshavn	5	991	43.19%	NSI Runavik	0	1028	42.67%	14.14%
2	2000-08-27	50.47	@ B68 Toftir	6	941	34.68%	KI Klaksvik	1	1039	51.22%	14.10%
3	2000-06-10	43.55	NSI Runavik	6	872	57.20%	@ Sumba	0	727	28.78%	14.01%
4	2000-08-20	37.68	@ NSI Runavik	4	975	48.30%	Vags Boltfelag	0	976	37.58%	14.13%
5	2000-08-13	36.11	NSI Runavik	5	939	18.68%	@ HB Torshavn	2	1104	67.64%	13.68%
6	2000-06-10	32.24	@ FS Vagar	2	753	22.15%	GI Gota	0	959	64.02%	13.83%
7	2000-08-27	32.19	Sumba	2	637	22.23%	@ FS Vagar	0	765	63.93%	13.83%
8	2000-09-30	31.42	GI Gota	7	928	35.54%	@ B68 Toftir	3	942	50.35%	14.11%
9	2000-09-10	29.86	@ HB Torshavn	5	1073	63.16%	GI Gota	0	953	22.98%	13.86%
10	2000-08-27	28.77	B71 Sandoy	4	789	12.97%	@ B36 Torshavn	2	1030	73.74%	13.29%
11	2000-06-04	28.17	@ KI Klaksvik	9	1012	74.79%	Sumba	0	756	12.01%	13.20%
12	2000-09-10	28.05	@ NSI Runavik	3	1000	49.49%	B68 Toftir	0	992	36.39%	14.12%
13	2000-06-04	26.66	@ B71 Sandoy	3	811	51.55%	FS Vagar	0	788	34.36%	14.10%
14	2000-09-10	24.15	@ Vags Boltfelag	6	940	71.25%	FS Vagar	0	732	15.27%	13.47%
15	2000-06-10	23.76	KI Klaksvik	4	1040	63.66%	@ B71 Sandoy	0	838	22.50%	13.84%
16	2000-09-24	23.56	@ Vags Boltfelag	4	974	49.66%	B68 Toftir	1	965	36.22%	14.12%
17	2000-05-07	23.10	B68 Toftir	4	864	50.47%	@ Sumba	1	772	35.42%	14.11%
18	2000-06-10	22.25	HB Torshavn	3	1062	35.48%	@ B36 Torshavn	1	1077	50.41%	14.11%
19	2000-05-28	20.80	@ B68 Toftir	2	884	46.23%	NSI Runavik	0	899	39.63%	14.14%
20	2000-05-14	19.96	@ Vags Boltfelag	3	878	41.24%	NSI Runavik	1	929	44.62%	14.14%
21	2000-05-14	19.35	@ B36 Torshavn	11	1061	78.12%	Sumba	1	749	9.05%	12.83%
22	2000-05-19	18.61	@ KI Klaksvik	4	978	58.21%	B68 Toftir	1	902	27.79%	13.99%
23	2000-04-24	18.13	@ B68 Toftir	2	859	52.03%	FS Vagar	0	833	33.87%	14.09%
24	2000-06-04	18.12	@ Vags Boltfelag	5	900	37.51%	GI Gota	3	977	48.37%	14.13%
25	2000-09-10	16.47	@ B71 Sandoy	3	818	66.02%	Sumba	0	670	20.22%	13.75%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2000-09-17	62.7	@ Sumba	3	653	11.30%	KI Klaksvik	3	999	75.58%	13.12%
2	2000-04-30	62.4	@ FS Vagar	3	814	32.69%	NSI Runavik	3	928	53.23%	14.08%
3	2000-06-04	59.3	B68 Toftir	4	905	18.73%	@ HB Torshavn	3	1069	67.58%	13.68%
4	2000-05-19	58.4	@ HB Torshavn	2	1062	67.47%	Vags Boltfelag	2	898	18.84%	13.69%
5	2000-05-07	58.3	@ B71 Sandoy	2	843	29.85%	GI Gota	2	979	56.12%	14.03%
6	2000-05-07	58.3	@ KI Klaksvik	2	979	61.32%	Vags Boltfelag	2	876	24.76%	13.92%
7	2000-05-28	58.3	@ FS Vagar	2	787	32.71%	Vags Boltfelag	2	901	53.21%	14.08%
8	2000-09-24	58.3	@ HB Torshavn	2	1101	56.10%	B36 Torshavn	2	1042	29.86%	14.03%
9	2000-08-27	55.4	B71 Sandoy	4	789	12.97%	@ B36 Torshavn	2	1030	73.74%	13.29%
10	2000-06-17	54.3	@ NSI Runavik	1	916	61.19%	B71 Sandoy	1	814	24.89%	13.92%
11	2000-05-07	54.2	@ NSI Runavik	1	927	29.86%	HB Torshavn	1	1063	56.10%	14.03%
12	2000-09-17	54.2	@ B68 Toftir	1	964	29.49%	HB Torshavn	1	1103	56.48%	14.03%
13	2000-06-24	52.6	@ FS Vagar	3	778	29.01%	B68 Toftir	2	921	56.97%	14.02%
14	2000-08-13	51.4	NSI Runavik	5	939	18.68%	@ HB Torshavn	2	1104	67.64%	13.68%
15	2000-05-14	51.3	@ GI Gota	0	978	48.51%	KI Klaksvik	0	978	37.37%	14.12%
16	2000-08-27	51.3	@ Vags Boltfelag	0	938	29.77%	HB Torshavn	0	1075	56.20%	14.03%
17	2000-06-04	51.0	@ Vags Boltfelag	5	900	37.51%	GI Gota	3	977	48.37%	14.13%
18	2000-05-19	50.7	GI Gota	4	977	47.17%	@ NSI Runavik	3	909	38.70%	14.13%
19	2000-08-05	50.0	B68 Toftir	2	907	23.19%	@ B36 Torshavn	1	1025	62.94%	13.87%
20	2000-05-28	49.1	KI Klaksvik	2	997	26.34%	@ B36 Torshavn	1	1085	59.70%	13.96%
21	2000-06-25	48.8	@ NSI Runavik	2	914	27.28%	KI Klaksvik	1	1071	58.74%	13.98%
22	2000-09-17	48.3	Vags Boltfelag	3	964	43.22%	@ GI Gota	2	923	42.64%	14.14%
23	2000-09-17	47.6	@ FS Vagar	2	708	31.12%	B71 Sandoy	1	834	54.83%	14.06%
24	2000-09-30	47.6	Vags Boltfelag	2	998	31.45%	@ B36 Torshavn	1	1044	54.49%	14.06%
25	2000-06-18	46.5	B68 Toftir	2	908	34.96%	@ GI Gota	1	926	50.94%	14.10%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2000-08-20	24.7	B36 Torshavn	4	1019	77.05%	@ Sumba	0	648	9.99%	12.96%
2	2000-09-10	25.9	@ Vags Boltfelag	6	940	71.25%	FS Vagar	0	732	15.27%	13.47%
3	2000-06-04	26.2	@ KI Klaksvik	9	1012	74.79%	Sumba	0	756	12.01%	13.20%
4	2000-05-14	26.4	@ B36 Torshavn	11	1061	78.12%	Sumba	1	749	9.05%	12.83%
5	2000-06-24	26.5	@ Vags Boltfelag	3	945	75.43%	Sumba	0	679	11.44%	13.14%
6	2000-06-15	27.2	@ HB Torshavn	5	1084	82.11%	Sumba	1	684	5.73%	12.16%
7	2000-09-24	27.3	@ NSI Runavik	6	976	78.52%	Sumba	1	656	8.70%	12.77%
8	2000-09-10	28.3	@ HB Torshavn	5	1073	63.16%	GI Gota	0	953	22.98%	13.86%
9	2000-06-10	28.7	KI Klaksvik	4	1040	63.66%	@ B71 Sandoy	0	838	22.50%	13.84%
10	2000-05-06	28.9	@ B36 Torshavn	6	1046	73.01%	FS Vagar	1	815	13.65%	13.35%
11	2000-08-13	29.3	@ B68 Toftir	5	923	75.31%	Sumba	1	659	11.54%	13.15%
12	2000-09-10	29.3	@ B71 Sandoy	3	818	66.02%	Sumba	0	670	20.22%	13.75%
13	2000-06-07	29.6	HB Torshavn	2	1053	71.79%	@ FS Vagar	0	762	14.77%	13.44%
14	2000-06-10	30.1	NSI Runavik	6	872	57.20%	@ Sumba	0	727	28.78%	14.01%
15	2000-04-30	30.2	@ GI Gota	2	970	69.71%	Sumba	0	781	16.72%	13.57%
16	2000-08-20	30.2	@ HB Torshavn	4	1068	77.24%	FS Vagar	1	771	9.82%	12.94%
17	2000-06-18	30.5	@ KI Klaksvik	4	1064	76.19%	FS Vagar	1	785	10.75%	13.06%
18	2000-06-21	30.7	@ HB Torshavn	1	1089	75.84%	B71 Sandoy	0	817	11.07%	13.09%
19	2000-09-24	30.9	@ GI Gota	5	913	69.88%	FS Vagar	1	722	16.56%	13.56%
20	2000-09-30	30.9	HB Torshavn	3	1100	81.15%	@ Sumba	1	646	6.50%	12.35%
21	2000-08-20	33.3	@ NSI Runavik	4	975	48.30%	Vags Boltfelag	0	976	37.58%	14.13%
22	2000-06-04	33.6	@ B71 Sandoy	3	811	51.55%	FS Vagar	0	788	34.36%	14.10%
23	2000-04-24	33.9	HB Torshavn	1	1049	64.89%	@ B71 Sandoy	0	834	21.31%	13.80%
24	2000-09-10	34.3	@ NSI Runavik	3	1000	49.49%	B68 Toftir	0	992	36.39%	14.12%
25	2000-09-17	34.3	@ B36 Torshavn	5	991	43.19%	NSI Runavik	0	1028	42.67%	14.14%