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2001 1. deild Season

90 games

Final

Champion

B36 Torshavn

46 points · 7th Title

Last Title: 2000.0

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

B36 Torshavn

8.59 points above expected

46 points · 37.41 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

HB Torshavn

10.61 points below expected

23 points · 33.61 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 B36 Torshavn Champion 18 15 1 2 46 55 15 +40 37.41 +8.59
2 GI Gota 18 13 3 2 42 53 20 +33 34.36 +7.64
3 B68 Toftir 18 9 4 5 31 39 25 +14 26.05 +4.95
4 Vags Boltfelag 18 9 3 6 30 43 24 +19 30.31 -0.31
5 NSI Runavik 18 8 4 6 28 23 21 +2 26.54 +1.46
6 KI Klaksvik 18 8 1 9 25 27 38 -11 23.18 +1.82
7 HB Torshavn 18 7 2 9 23 34 25 +9 33.61 -10.61
8 EB-Streymur 18 5 1 12 16 20 34 -14 22.38 -6.38
9 B71 Sandoy 18 3 1 14 10 17 52 -35 15.13 -5.13
10 FS Vagar 18 3 0 15 9 19 76 -57 10.97 -1.97

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 B36 Torshavn 46 37.41 +8.59
2 GI Gota 42 34.36 +7.64
3 B68 Toftir 31 26.05 +4.95
4 KI Klaksvik 25 23.18 +1.82
5 NSI Runavik 28 26.54 +1.46

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 HB Torshavn 23 33.61 -10.61
2 EB-Streymur 16 22.38 -6.38
3 B71 Sandoy 10 15.13 -5.13
4 FS Vagar 9 10.97 -1.97
5 Vags Boltfelag 30 30.31 -0.31

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 GI Gota 10 Apr 29 – Jul 6 1 in 619
2 B36 Torshavn 13 May 27 – Sep 23 1 in 169
3 KI Klaksvik 3 May 11 – May 27 1 in 15
4 NSI Runavik 3 Sep 16 – Sep 29 1 in 12
5 FS Vagar 1 May 11 – May 11 1 in 4

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 HB Torshavn 3 Jul 8 – Aug 19 1 in 49
2 B71 Sandoy 4 May 6 – May 27 1 in 19
3 Vags Boltfelag 3 May 11 – May 27 1 in 19
4 FS Vagar 7 May 16 – Jul 1 1 in 16
5 EB-Streymur 3 Apr 29 – May 11 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 GI Gota 11 Apr 29 – Aug 5 1 in 97
2 NSI Runavik 6 Aug 19 – Sep 29 1 in 39
3 Vags Boltfelag 6 Aug 19 – Sep 29 1 in 33
4 B36 Torshavn 13 May 27 – Sep 23 1 in 21
5 B68 Toftir 6 Jul 1 – Aug 26 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 HB Torshavn 6 Jul 8 – Sep 12 1 in 194
2 Vags Boltfelag 4 Jul 1 – Aug 11 1 in 38
3 B71 Sandoy 8 May 6 – Jul 1 1 in 22
4 GI Gota 3 Aug 5 – Aug 26 1 in 12
5 NSI Runavik 2 Apr 29 – May 11 1 in 6

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
B36 Torshavn 1108 46 +3 12 11.2 +0.8
GI Gota 1034 42 -4 10 11.1 -1.1
B68 Toftir 950 31 +7 8 8.5 -0.5
Vags Boltfelag 991 30 +49 11 7.6 +3.4
NSI Runavik 912 28 +44 11 7.4 +3.6
KI Klaksvik 830 25 +2 7 7.5 -0.5
HB Torshavn 931 23 -15 6 8.2 -2.2
EB-Streymur 784 16 -29 3 5.1 -2.1
B71 Sandoy 634 10 -10 3 2.3 +0.7
FS Vagar 565 9 -39 0 2.1 -2.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BT BT BS EB- FV GG HT KK NR VB
B36 Torshavn —
2-0-0
4.05
2-0-0
4.57
2-0-0
4.18
2-0-0
5.06
1-0-1
3.10
2-0-0
3.57
2-0-0
4.54
1-1-0
3.63
1-0-1
3.75
B68 Toftir
0-0-2
1.72
 —
2-0-0
3.94
2-0-0
3.37
2-0-0
4.50
0-1-1
2.06
1-0-1
1.93
1-1-0
3.48
1-1-0
2.66
0-1-1
2.23
B71 Sandoy
0-0-2
1.20
0-0-2
1.83
 —
2-0-0
2.07
0-0-2
3.62
0-0-2
0.89
1-1-0
1.07
0-0-2
1.70
0-0-2
1.69
0-0-2
1.24
EB-Streymur
0-0-2
1.59
0-0-2
2.40
0-0-2
3.70
 —
2-0-0
3.85
0-1-1
1.75
0-0-2
2.12
2-0-0
2.37
1-0-1
2.31
0-0-2
1.79
FS Vagar
0-0-2
0.72
0-0-2
1.27
2-0-0
2.14
0-0-2
1.91
 —
0-0-2
0.69
0-0-2
0.71
0-0-2
1.35
0-0-2
1.43
1-0-1
1.02
GI Gota
1-0-1
2.67
1-1-0
3.70
2-0-0
4.88
1-1-0
4.02
2-0-0
5.09
 —
2-0-0
3.04
2-0-0
3.51
1-0-1
3.99
1-1-0
3.37
HB Torshavn
0-0-2
2.20
1-0-1
3.84
0-1-1
4.70
2-0-0
3.65
2-0-0
5.07
0-0-2
2.73
 —
1-0-1
3.89
0-1-1
3.59
1-0-1
3.27
KI Klaksvik
0-0-2
1.23
0-1-1
2.29
2-0-0
4.06
0-0-2
3.40
2-0-0
4.42
0-0-2
2.26
1-0-1
1.88
 —
1-0-1
2.72
2-0-0
1.88
NSI Runavik
0-1-1
2.13
0-1-1
3.10
2-0-0
4.08
1-0-1
3.45
2-0-0
4.34
1-0-1
1.77
1-1-0
2.18
1-0-1
3.05
 —
0-1-1
2.53
Vags Boltfelag
1-0-1
2.02
1-1-0
3.53
2-0-0
4.53
2-0-0
3.98
1-0-1
4.76
0-1-1
2.40
1-0-1
2.49
0-0-2
3.89
1-1-0
3.24
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.86 +8.1
Allowed 0.69 -5.5
Differential 0.89 +3.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%5.56%5.56%1.11%2.22%3.33%21.11%
15.56%5.56%10.56%3.33%2.78%2.78%30.56%
25.56%10.56%2.22%4.44%1.11%1.67%25.56%
31.11%3.33%4.44%———8.89%
42.22%2.78%1.11%———6.11%
5+3.33%2.78%1.67%———7.78%
Total21.11%30.56%25.56%8.89%6.11%7.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 1.83 +0.00
SD 1.89 1.89 2.99
CV 1.03 1.03 —
Max 15 15 +15
Min 0 0 -15

Games Played: 90

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%—————5.56%
116.67%—5.56%5.56%——27.78%
211.11%16.67%————27.78%
3—5.56%5.56%———11.11%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+11.11%5.56%5.56%———22.22%
Total44.44%33.33%16.67%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.06 0.83 +2.22
SD 3.35 0.92 3.59
CV 1.10 1.11 —
Max 15 3 +15
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.56%11.11%———16.67%
15.56%11.11%—5.56%5.56%—27.78%
2—16.67%11.11%———27.78%
3———————
45.56%—5.56%———11.11%
5+5.56%11.11%————16.67%
Total16.67%44.44%27.78%5.56%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.17 1.39 +0.78
SD 1.86 1.04 2.44
CV 0.86 0.75 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%11.11%5.56%—11.11%38.89%
15.56%—11.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%33.33%
2—5.56%—5.56%5.56%5.56%22.22%
3——5.56%———5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.11%11.11%27.78%16.67%11.11%22.22%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 2.89 -1.94
SD 0.94 1.97 2.18
CV 0.99 0.68 —
Max 3 7 +1
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—22.22%11.11%—11.11%—44.44%
15.56%5.56%11.11%5.56%—5.56%33.33%
2———————
3—5.56%5.56%———11.11%
45.56%—5.56%———11.11%
5+———————
Total11.11%33.33%33.33%5.56%11.11%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.89 -0.78
SD 1.41 1.37 2.18
CV 1.27 0.72 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——11.11%5.56%—11.11%27.78%
15.56%—11.11%5.56%11.11%11.11%44.44%
2—5.56%—5.56%—11.11%22.22%
3——5.56%———5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total5.56%5.56%27.78%16.67%11.11%33.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 4.22 -3.17
SD 0.87 3.51 3.75
CV 0.83 0.83 —
Max 3 15 +1
Min 0 0 -15

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.56%————5.56%
1—11.11%—5.56%——16.67%
25.56%16.67%5.56%———27.78%
35.56%5.56%11.11%———22.22%
45.56%5.56%————11.11%
5+5.56%5.56%5.56%———16.67%
Total22.22%50.00%22.22%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.94 1.11 +1.83
SD 2.07 0.83 2.33
CV 0.70 0.75 —
Max 8 3 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%5.56%———22.22%
15.56%—22.22%———27.78%
25.56%5.56%—16.67%——27.78%
3—5.56%————5.56%
45.56%5.56%————11.11%
5+——5.56%———5.56%
Total27.78%22.22%33.33%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.89 1.39 +0.50
SD 1.97 1.09 2.15
CV 1.04 0.79 —
Max 8 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——5.56%—11.11%5.56%22.22%
1——11.11%——5.56%16.67%
216.67%22.22%5.56%5.56%5.56%—55.56%
3———————
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+———————
Total16.67%27.78%22.22%5.56%16.67%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.11 -0.61
SD 1.04 1.68 2.45
CV 0.70 0.79 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%———5.56%27.78%
15.56%11.11%16.67%———33.33%
211.11%11.11%————22.22%
35.56%—11.11%———16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%27.78%——5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.17 +0.11
SD 1.07 1.25 1.75
CV 0.84 1.07 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
15.56%16.67%16.67%—5.56%—44.44%
25.56%5.56%—11.11%——22.22%
3—11.11%————11.11%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+11.11%5.56%————16.67%
Total22.22%44.44%16.67%11.11%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.39 1.33 +1.06
SD 1.75 1.14 2.46
CV 0.73 0.85 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 1 0 -3

Games Played: 18

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
B36 Torshavn 1108 46 37.41 +8.59 97.0% 18 29 34 37 41 46 50
GI Gota 1034 42 34.36 +7.64 93.0% 21 25 31 35 38 43 45
Vags Boltfelag 991 30 30.31 -0.31 48.0% 18 22 26 31 33 39 41
B68 Toftir 950 31 26.05 +4.95 87.0% 15 18 23 26 29 34 39
HB Torshavn 931 23 33.61 -10.61 4.0% 23 24 30 33 37 43 46
NSI Runavik 912 28 26.54 +1.46 62.0% 13 16 23 27 30 35 42
KI Klaksvik 830 25 23.18 +1.82 65.0% 11 14 19 23 27 32 41
EB-Streymur 784 16 22.38 -6.38 17.0% 11 14 18 22 26 30 34
B71 Sandoy 634 10 15.13 -5.13 17.0% 4 7 12 15 18 23 31
FS Vagar 565 9 10.97 -1.97 32.0% 1 5 8 11 14 17 20

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 22% * Strong Edge: 22% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+17.78%
Clear Edge
53.33%11.11%35.56%
Elo Value
Home Edge
113 Elo
0.009 goals per Elo point
062.43300
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.60 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.55+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.11 * Tight Race: 0.11 to 0.22 * Comfortable: 0.22 to 0.38 * Runaway: 0.38 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.0
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
50%
B36 Torshavn, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.22/gm
Comfortable
00.230.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.12 * Some Luck: 4.12 to 6.18 * Lucky: 6.18 to 8.24 * Wild Swing: 8.24 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.95 * Close: 0.95 to 1.43 * Off: 1.43 to 1.9 * Way Off: 1.9 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.88 points
Some Luck
05.1513
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.80
Pinpoint
01.192.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
97.00%
B36 Torshavn
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
4.00%
HB Torshavn
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.45 * Moderate Separation: 1.45 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68.5% * Slight Edge: 68.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 88% * Wide Edge: 88% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 44.5% * Some Drama: 44.5% to 50.5% * Frequent: 50.5% to 57% * Very Frequent: 57% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 20% * Occasional: 20% to 25% * Frequent: 25% to 33.5% * Very Frequent: 33.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.25
Top-Heavy
00.190.280.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 172.36
2.03
Strong Separation
0.851.451.82.153.25
Interquartile Edge
74%
Slight Edge
50%68.5%79%88%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
96%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
52%
Frequent
0%38%100%
Blowouts
Expected
28%
Frequent
0%41%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.49 * Notable Separation: 0.49 to 0.56 * Lopsided: 0.56 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.4 * Some Carryover: 0.4 to 0.61 * Strong Carryover: 0.61 to 0.77 * Near-Lock: 0.77 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.47
Highly Predictable
00.502
Matchup Imbalance
0.43
Slight Separation
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.26
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.47
Some Carryover
00.40.610.771
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
As Expected
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.16 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.16 to 0.24 * Above Noise: 0.24 to 0.32 * Well Above Noise: 0.32 and up.
Probability calibration
0.96
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.06
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.112
Well Within Noise
00.1580.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
B36 Torshavn50.00%20.00%17.00%8.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%——
GI Gota21.00%30.00%18.00%18.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%——
B68 Toftir1.00%7.00%8.00%11.00%18.00%25.00%16.00%13.00%1.00%—
Vags Boltfelag6.00%12.00%20.00%21.00%20.00%9.00%8.00%4.00%——
NSI Runavik1.00%5.00%13.00%14.00%23.00%15.00%17.00%11.00%1.00%—
KI Klaksvik1.00%4.00%1.00%6.00%11.00%21.00%19.00%22.00%13.00%2.00%
HB Torshavn20.00%22.00%19.00%15.00%9.00%8.00%6.00%1.00%——
EB-Streymur——3.00%7.00%11.00%15.00%25.00%23.00%13.00%3.00%
B71 Sandoy——1.00%—1.00%1.00%5.00%19.00%52.00%21.00%
FS Vagar——————1.00%5.00%20.00%74.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
B36 Torshavn 100% — —
B68 Toftir 99.00% 1.00% —
GI Gota 100% — —
HB Torshavn 100% — —
NSI Runavik 99.00% 1.00% —
Vags Boltfelag 100% — —
KI Klaksvik 85.00% 13.00% 2.00%
EB-Streymur 84.00% 13.00% 3.00%
B71 Sandoy 27.00% 52.00% 21.00%
FS Vagar 6.00% 20.00% 74.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2001-04-29 B36 Torshavn D 0-051.8 904 935 49.23% 11.78% 38.99%+0.28 -0.8 1
2001-04-29 @ NSI Runavik D 0-051.8 935 904 38.99% 11.78% 49.23%-0.28 +0.8 1
2001-04-29 B68 Toftir W 3-136.0 965 849 67.02% 11.60% 21.38%+1.59 +11.8 3
2001-04-29 @ HB Torshavn L 1-336.0 849 965 21.38% 11.60% 67.02%-1.59 -11.8 0
2001-04-29 EB-Streymur W 1-040.6 792 864 43.48% 11.79% 44.73%-0.08 +14.1 3
2001-04-29 @ B71 Sandoy L 0-140.6 864 792 44.73% 11.79% 43.48%+0.08 -14.1 0
2001-04-29 FS Vagar W 6-027.0 907 728 72.67% 11.45% 15.88%+2.15 +28.5 3
2001-04-29 @ Vags Boltfelag L 0-627.0 728 907 15.88% 11.45% 72.67%-2.15 -28.4 0
2001-04-29 GI Gota L 1-248.2 912 882 57.41% 11.73% 30.85%+0.83 -16.8 0
2001-04-29 @ KI Klaksvik W 2-148.2 882 912 30.85% 11.73% 57.41%-0.83 +16.8 3
2001-05-06 B71 Sandoy W 4-134.2 936 806 68.30% 11.57% 20.12%+1.70 +15.7 4
2001-05-06 @ B36 Torshavn L 1-434.2 806 936 20.12% 11.57% 68.30%-1.70 -15.7 3
2001-05-06 EB-Streymur W 4-031.5 898 850 59.62% 11.71% 28.67%+0.99 +33.9 6
2001-05-06 @ GI Gota L 0-431.5 850 898 28.67% 11.71% 59.62%-0.99 -33.9 0
2001-05-06 HB Torshavn L 0-238.1 895 977 42.04% 11.78% 46.18%-0.17 -25.2 0
2001-05-06 @ KI Klaksvik W 2-038.1 977 895 46.18% 11.78% 42.04%+0.17 +25.2 6
2001-05-06 Vags Boltfelag L 1-440.1 837 936 39.72% 11.78% 48.50%-0.32 -29.4 0
2001-05-06 @ B68 Toftir W 4-140.1 936 837 48.50% 11.78% 39.72%+0.32 +29.4 6
2001-05-11 B36 Torshavn L 0-235.8 816 951 34.62% 11.76% 53.62%-0.65 -21.2 0
2001-05-11 @ EB-Streymur W 2-035.8 951 816 53.62% 11.76% 34.62%+0.65 +21.2 7
2001-05-11 B68 Toftir D 1-155.0 903 808 64.85% 11.64% 23.51%+1.40 -3.1 2
2001-05-11 @ NSI Runavik D 1-155.0 808 903 23.51% 11.64% 64.85%-1.40 +3.1 1
2001-05-11 FS Vagar L 0-146.5 791 699 64.48% 11.65% 23.87%+1.37 -19.9 3
2001-05-11 @ B71 Sandoy W 1-046.5 699 791 23.87% 11.65% 64.48%-1.37 +19.9 3
2001-05-11 GI Gota L 2-353.8 1002 932 62.13% 11.68% 26.19%+1.18 -17.2 6
2001-05-11 @ HB Torshavn W 3-253.8 932 1002 26.19% 11.68% 62.13%-1.18 +17.2 9
2001-05-11 KI Klaksvik L 1-250.4 965 870 64.82% 11.64% 23.54%+1.40 -18.9 6
2001-05-11 @ Vags Boltfelag W 2-150.4 870 965 23.54% 11.64% 64.82%-1.40 +18.9 3
2001-05-16 NSI Runavik L 1-239.6 719 900 28.94% 11.71% 59.34%-1.05 -9.0 3
2001-05-16 @ FS Vagar W 2-139.6 900 719 59.34% 11.71% 28.94%+1.05 +9.0 5
2001-05-20 B36 Torshavn W 3-141.0 949 973 50.31% 11.77% 37.92%+0.35 +19.9 12
2001-05-20 @ GI Gota L 1-341.0 973 949 37.92% 11.77% 50.31%-0.35 -19.9 7
2001-05-20 B71 Sandoy W 4-242.5 811 771 58.63% 11.72% 29.65%+0.91 +14.2 4
2001-05-20 @ B68 Toftir L 2-442.5 771 811 29.65% 11.72% 58.63%-0.91 -14.2 3
2001-05-20 EB-Streymur L 1-342.1 710 795 41.63% 11.78% 46.58%-0.20 -21.6 3
2001-05-20 @ FS Vagar W 3-142.1 795 710 46.58% 11.78% 41.63%+0.20 +21.6 3
2001-05-20 NSI Runavik W 2-142.2 889 909 50.79% 11.77% 37.43%+0.38 +11.4 6
2001-05-20 @ KI Klaksvik L 1-242.2 909 889 37.43% 11.77% 50.79%-0.38 -11.4 5
2001-05-20 Vags Boltfelag W 2-139.9 985 946 58.46% 11.72% 29.82%+0.90 +9.2 9
2001-05-20 @ HB Torshavn L 1-239.9 946 985 29.82% 11.72% 58.46%-0.90 -9.2 6
2001-05-27 B68 Toftir L 1-246.6 816 825 52.22% 11.77% 36.01%+0.47 -15.3 3
2001-05-27 @ EB-Streymur W 2-146.6 825 816 36.01% 11.77% 52.22%-0.47 +15.3 7
2001-05-27 FS Vagar W 15-026.4 953 688 78.40% 11.19% 10.40%+2.90 +45.5 10
2001-05-27 @ B36 Torshavn L 0-1526.4 688 953 10.40% 11.19% 78.40%-2.90 -45.5 3
2001-05-27 GI Gota L 1-245.7 937 969 49.03% 11.78% 39.19%+0.27 -14.5 6
2001-05-27 @ Vags Boltfelag W 2-145.7 969 937 39.19% 11.78% 49.03%-0.27 +14.5 15
2001-05-27 HB Torshavn W 2-145.5 897 994 39.88% 11.78% 48.33%-0.31 +14.3 8
2001-05-27 @ NSI Runavik L 1-245.5 994 897 48.33% 11.78% 39.88%+0.31 -14.3 9
2001-05-27 KI Klaksvik L 1-241.0 756 900 33.52% 11.75% 54.72%-0.72 -10.3 3
2001-05-27 @ B71 Sandoy W 2-141.0 900 756 54.72% 11.75% 33.52%+0.72 +10.3 9
2001-06-10 B36 Torshavn L 0-235.0 841 998 31.81% 11.74% 56.45%-0.84 -19.6 7
2001-06-10 @ B68 Toftir W 2-035.0 998 841 56.45% 11.74% 31.81%+0.84 +19.6 13
2001-06-10 B71 Sandoy D 0-051.9 980 746 76.57% 11.29% 12.13%+2.63 -5.6 10
2001-06-10 @ HB Torshavn D 0-051.9 746 980 12.13% 11.29% 76.57%-2.63 +5.6 4
2001-06-10 EB-Streymur L 0-442.8 911 801 66.39% 11.61% 21.99%+1.53 -73.3 9
2001-06-10 @ KI Klaksvik W 4-042.8 801 911 21.99% 11.61% 66.39%-1.53 +73.4 6
2001-06-10 FS Vagar W 8-228.2 984 643 82.11% 10.90% 6.98%+3.58 +8.7 18
2001-06-10 @ GI Gota L 2-828.2 643 984 6.98% 10.90% 82.11%-3.58 -8.7 3
2001-06-10 NSI Runavik W 5-032.4 922 912 54.85% 11.75% 33.40%+0.65 +48.0 9
2001-06-10 @ Vags Boltfelag L 0-532.4 912 922 33.40% 11.75% 54.85%-0.65 -48.0 8
2001-06-13 B68 Toftir L 1-634.2 634 821 28.21% 11.71% 60.08%-1.11 -34.1 3
2001-06-13 @ FS Vagar W 6-134.2 821 634 60.08% 11.71% 28.21%+1.11 +34.0 10
2001-06-17 GI Gota L 1-241.6 864 992 35.54% 11.76% 52.69%-0.59 -10.9 8
2001-06-17 @ NSI Runavik W 2-141.6 992 864 52.69% 11.76% 35.54%+0.59 +10.9 21
2001-06-17 HB Torshavn L 0-434.8 874 974 39.43% 11.78% 48.79%-0.34 -45.2 6
2001-06-17 @ EB-Streymur W 4-034.8 974 874 48.79% 11.78% 39.43%+0.34 +45.2 13
2001-06-17 KI Klaksvik W 5-027.1 1018 837 72.74% 11.45% 15.81%+2.16 +23.8 16
2001-06-17 @ B36 Torshavn L 0-527.1 837 1018 15.81% 11.45% 72.74%-2.16 -23.9 9
2001-06-17 Vags Boltfelag L 1-337.0 752 970 24.66% 11.66% 63.68%-1.39 -13.4 4
2001-06-17 @ B71 Sandoy W 3-137.0 970 752 63.68% 11.66% 24.66%+1.39 +13.4 12
2001-06-24 B36 Torshavn L 1-246.1 1020 1042 50.48% 11.77% 37.75%+0.36 -14.9 13
2001-06-24 @ HB Torshavn W 2-146.1 1042 1020 37.75% 11.77% 50.48%-0.36 +14.9 19
2001-06-24 EB-Streymur W 1-032.5 984 829 70.61% 11.52% 17.88%+1.93 +6.1 15
2001-06-24 @ Vags Boltfelag L 0-132.5 829 984 17.88% 11.52% 70.61%-1.93 -6.1 6
2001-06-24 FS Vagar W 2-029.4 814 600 75.20% 11.36% 13.44%+2.45 +8.7 12
2001-06-24 @ KI Klaksvik L 0-229.4 600 814 13.44% 11.36% 75.20%-2.45 -8.7 3
2001-06-24 NSI Runavik L 0-236.7 738 853 37.45% 11.77% 50.78%-0.46 -22.7 4
2001-06-24 @ B71 Sandoy W 2-036.7 853 738 50.78% 11.77% 37.45%+0.46 +22.7 11
2001-06-27 B68 Toftir W 2-030.9 1003 855 70.03% 11.53% 18.44%+1.87 +11.8 24
2001-06-27 @ GI Gota L 0-230.9 855 1003 18.44% 11.53% 70.03%-1.87 -11.8 10
2001-07-01 GI Gota L 0-727.4 716 1015 17.01% 11.49% 71.50%-2.11 -35.2 4
2001-07-01 @ B71 Sandoy W 7-027.4 1015 716 71.50% 11.49% 17.01%+2.11 +35.2 27
2001-07-01 HB Torshavn L 1-430.9 591 1005 9.65% 11.14% 79.21%-3.12 -7.7 3
2001-07-01 @ FS Vagar W 4-130.9 1005 591 79.21% 11.14% 9.65%+3.12 +7.7 16
2001-07-01 KI Klaksvik W 4-032.6 843 822 56.20% 11.74% 32.05%+0.74 +37.5 13
2001-07-01 @ B68 Toftir L 0-432.6 822 843 32.05% 11.74% 56.20%-0.74 -37.5 12
2001-07-01 NSI Runavik W 1-039.8 823 876 46.19% 11.78% 42.03%+0.09 +13.4 9
2001-07-01 @ EB-Streymur L 0-139.8 876 823 42.03% 11.78% 46.19%-0.09 -13.4 11
2001-07-01 Vags Boltfelag W 3-243.2 1056 990 61.74% 11.69% 26.58%+1.15 +7.9 22
2001-07-01 @ B36 Torshavn L 2-343.2 990 1056 26.58% 11.69% 61.74%-1.15 -7.9 15
2001-07-06 KI Klaksvik W 5-129.8 1050 785 78.47% 11.19% 10.34%+2.91 +10.7 30
2001-07-06 @ GI Gota L 1-529.8 785 1050 10.34% 11.19% 78.47%-2.91 -10.7 12
2001-07-07 NSI Runavik W 1-031.3 1064 862 74.40% 11.39% 14.21%+2.35 +4.9 25
2001-07-07 @ B36 Torshavn L 0-131.3 862 1064 14.21% 11.39% 74.40%-2.35 -4.9 11
2001-07-07 Vags Boltfelag W 3-258.6 584 982 10.43% 11.20% 78.38%-2.98 +21.7 6
2001-07-07 @ FS Vagar L 2-358.6 982 584 78.38% 11.20% 10.43%+2.98 -21.7 15
2001-07-08 B71 Sandoy L 1-252.1 836 680 70.72% 11.51% 17.77%+1.94 -20.6 9
2001-07-08 @ EB-Streymur W 2-152.1 680 836 17.77% 11.51% 70.72%-1.94 +20.6 7
2001-07-08 HB Torshavn W 2-146.9 881 1012 35.15% 11.76% 53.09%-0.61 +15.6 16
2001-07-08 @ B68 Toftir L 1-246.9 1012 881 53.09% 11.76% 35.15%+0.61 -15.6 16
2001-08-05 B36 Torshavn L 2-535.1 701 1069 12.14% 11.29% 76.57%-2.72 -8.4 7
2001-08-05 @ B71 Sandoy W 5-235.1 1069 701 76.57% 11.29% 12.14%+2.72 +8.4 28
2001-08-05 B68 Toftir D 1-155.0 960 896 61.40% 11.69% 26.91%+1.12 -2.6 16
2001-08-05 @ Vags Boltfelag D 1-155.0 896 960 26.91% 11.69% 61.40%-1.12 +2.6 17
2001-08-05 FS Vagar W 3-027.1 857 605 77.69% 11.24% 11.08%+2.79 +10.5 14
2001-08-05 @ NSI Runavik L 0-327.1 605 857 11.08% 11.24% 77.69%-2.79 -10.5 6
2001-08-05 GI Gota D 1-155.0 816 1061 21.90% 11.61% 66.49%-1.62 +3.4 10
2001-08-05 @ EB-Streymur D 1-155.0 1061 816 66.49% 11.61% 21.90%+1.62 -3.4 31
2001-08-05 KI Klaksvik L 1-253.6 997 774 75.84% 11.33% 12.83%+2.53 -22.1 16
2001-08-05 @ HB Torshavn W 2-153.6 774 997 12.83% 11.33% 75.84%-2.53 +22.1 15
2001-08-11 B71 Sandoy W 2-145.5 595 693 39.77% 11.78% 48.45%-0.31 +14.3 9
2001-08-11 @ FS Vagar L 1-245.5 693 595 48.45% 11.78% 39.77%+0.31 -14.3 7
2001-08-11 EB-Streymur W 5-129.9 1078 819 78.07% 11.21% 10.71%+2.85 +11.1 31
2001-08-11 @ B36 Torshavn L 1-529.9 819 1078 10.71% 11.21% 78.07%-2.85 -11.1 10
2001-08-11 NSI Runavik W 2-140.2 899 868 57.47% 11.73% 30.80%+0.83 +9.5 20
2001-08-11 @ B68 Toftir L 1-240.2 868 899 30.80% 11.73% 57.47%-0.83 -9.5 14
2001-08-11 Vags Boltfelag W 4-145.3 796 958 31.31% 11.74% 56.95%-0.88 +40.7 18
2001-08-11 @ KI Klaksvik L 1-445.3 958 796 56.95% 11.74% 31.31%+0.88 -40.7 16
2001-08-19 B68 Toftir L 0-529.4 678 909 23.42% 11.64% 64.94%-1.49 -34.6 7
2001-08-19 @ B71 Sandoy W 5-029.4 909 678 64.94% 11.64% 23.42%+1.49 +34.6 23
2001-08-19 FS Vagar W 3-239.4 808 609 74.15% 11.40% 14.45%+2.32 +4.4 13
2001-08-19 @ EB-Streymur L 2-339.4 609 808 14.45% 11.40% 74.15%-2.32 -4.4 9
2001-08-19 GI Gota W 3-138.9 1089 1058 57.48% 11.73% 30.79%+0.83 +16.5 34
2001-08-19 @ B36 Torshavn L 1-338.9 1058 1089 30.79% 11.73% 57.48%-0.83 -16.5 31
2001-08-19 HB Torshavn W 2-038.3 917 975 45.43% 11.79% 42.78%+0.04 +25.6 19
2001-08-19 @ Vags Boltfelag L 0-238.3 975 917 42.78% 11.79% 45.43%-0.04 -25.6 16
2001-08-19 KI Klaksvik W 3-244.8 858 837 56.24% 11.74% 32.02%+0.74 +9.4 17
2001-08-19 @ NSI Runavik L 2-344.8 837 858 32.02% 11.74% 56.24%-0.74 -9.4 18
2001-08-26 B36 Torshavn L 1-232.5 605 1105 6.11% 10.80% 83.09%-3.89 -2.0 9
2001-08-26 @ FS Vagar W 2-132.5 1105 605 83.09% 10.80% 6.11%+3.89 +2.0 37
2001-08-26 B71 Sandoy W 2-030.0 828 644 73.02% 11.44% 15.54%+2.19 +10.0 21
2001-08-26 @ KI Klaksvik L 0-230.0 644 828 15.54% 11.44% 73.02%-2.19 -10.0 7
2001-08-26 EB-Streymur W 1-033.1 943 813 68.43% 11.57% 20.00%+1.72 +6.8 26
2001-08-26 @ B68 Toftir L 0-133.1 813 943 20.00% 11.57% 68.43%-1.72 -6.8 13
2001-08-26 Vags Boltfelag D 1-155.0 1041 942 65.23% 11.63% 23.13%+1.43 -3.2 32
2001-08-26 @ GI Gota D 1-155.0 942 1041 23.13% 11.63% 65.23%-1.43 +3.2 20
2001-08-28 NSI Runavik D 0-051.8 949 868 63.40% 11.66% 24.94%+1.28 -3.2 17
2001-08-28 @ HB Torshavn D 0-051.8 868 949 24.94% 11.66% 63.40%-1.28 +3.2 18
2001-09-09 B68 Toftir W 1-032.4 1107 950 70.84% 11.51% 17.66%+1.95 +6.0 40
2001-09-09 @ B36 Torshavn L 0-132.4 950 1107 17.66% 11.51% 70.84%-1.95 -6.0 26
2001-09-09 GI Gota L 1-430.6 603 1038 8.62% 11.06% 80.32%-3.31 -6.9 9
2001-09-09 @ FS Vagar W 4-130.6 1038 603 80.32% 11.06% 8.62%+3.31 +6.9 35
2001-09-09 HB Torshavn W 3-256.9 634 946 16.00% 11.46% 72.54%-2.22 +20.1 10
2001-09-09 @ B71 Sandoy L 2-356.9 946 634 72.54% 11.46% 16.00%+2.22 -20.1 17
2001-09-09 KI Klaksvik W 4-245.3 806 838 49.11% 11.78% 39.11%+0.27 +18.3 16
2001-09-09 @ EB-Streymur L 2-445.3 838 806 39.11% 11.78% 49.11%-0.27 -18.3 21
2001-09-09 Vags Boltfelag D 1-154.9 871 946 43.03% 11.79% 45.18%-0.11 +0.1 19
2001-09-09 @ NSI Runavik D 1-154.9 946 871 45.18% 11.79% 43.03%+0.11 -0.1 21
2001-09-12 HB Torshavn W 3-241.5 1045 926 67.29% 11.59% 21.11%+1.61 +6.4 38
2001-09-12 @ GI Gota L 2-341.5 926 1045 21.11% 11.59% 67.29%-1.61 -6.4 17
2001-09-15 EB-Streymur W 1-034.2 920 824 64.91% 11.64% 23.46%+1.40 +7.9 20
2001-09-15 @ HB Torshavn L 0-134.2 824 920 23.46% 11.64% 64.91%-1.40 -7.9 16
2001-09-16 B36 Torshavn L 1-236.1 819 1113 17.47% 11.50% 71.03%-2.06 -5.6 21
2001-09-16 @ KI Klaksvik W 2-136.1 1113 819 71.03% 11.50% 17.47%+2.06 +5.6 43
2001-09-16 B71 Sandoy W 6-128.3 945 654 79.87% 11.10% 9.03%+3.15 +11.4 24
2001-09-16 @ Vags Boltfelag L 1-628.3 654 945 9.03% 11.10% 79.87%-3.15 -11.5 10
2001-09-16 FS Vagar W 5-128.6 944 596 82.41% 10.87% 6.72%+3.65 +7.0 29
2001-09-16 @ B68 Toftir L 1-528.6 596 944 6.72% 10.87% 82.41%-3.65 -7.0 9
2001-09-16 NSI Runavik L 0-148.9 1051 871 72.71% 11.45% 15.84%+2.15 -22.5 38
2001-09-16 @ GI Gota W 1-048.9 871 1051 15.84% 11.45% 72.71%-2.15 +22.5 22
2001-09-23 B71 Sandoy W 3-238.4 894 642 77.65% 11.24% 11.11%+2.79 +3.4 25
2001-09-23 @ NSI Runavik L 2-338.4 642 894 11.11% 11.24% 77.65%-2.79 -3.4 10
2001-09-23 GI Gota D 2-259.1 951 1029 42.59% 11.78% 45.62%-0.14 +0.2 30
2001-09-23 @ B68 Toftir D 2-259.1 1029 951 45.62% 11.78% 42.59%+0.14 -0.2 39
2001-09-23 HB Torshavn W 1-031.6 1119 927 73.60% 11.42% 14.98%+2.26 +5.1 46
2001-09-23 @ B36 Torshavn L 0-131.6 927 1119 14.98% 11.42% 73.60%-2.26 -5.1 20
2001-09-23 KI Klaksvik L 0-232.6 589 814 23.98% 11.65% 64.37%-1.44 -15.1 9
2001-09-23 @ FS Vagar W 2-032.6 814 589 64.37% 11.65% 23.98%+1.44 +15.1 24
2001-09-23 Vags Boltfelag L 1-339.8 816 957 33.95% 11.76% 54.30%-0.70 -18.0 16
2001-09-23 @ EB-Streymur W 3-139.8 957 816 54.30% 11.76% 33.95%+0.70 +18.0 27
2001-09-29 B36 Torshavn W 2-147.6 975 1124 32.88% 11.75% 55.37%-0.77 +16.2 30
2001-09-29 @ Vags Boltfelag L 1-247.6 1124 975 55.37% 11.75% 32.88%+0.77 -16.2 46
2001-09-29 B68 Toftir D 2-259.1 829 951 36.41% 11.77% 51.82%-0.53 +0.8 25
2001-09-29 @ KI Klaksvik D 2-259.1 951 829 51.82% 11.77% 36.41%+0.53 -0.8 31
2001-09-29 B71 Sandoy W 3-025.3 1028 639 83.92% 10.69% 5.38%+4.02 +5.1 42
2001-09-29 @ GI Gota L 0-325.3 639 1028 5.38% 10.69% 83.92%-4.02 -5.1 10
2001-09-29 EB-Streymur W 2-032.4 897 798 65.26% 11.63% 23.10%+1.43 +14.6 28
2001-09-29 @ NSI Runavik L 0-232.4 798 897 23.10% 11.63% 65.26%-1.43 -14.6 16
2001-09-29 FS Vagar W 8-228.2 922 574 82.42% 10.87% 6.70%+3.65 +8.4 23
2001-09-29 @ HB Torshavn L 2-828.2 574 922 6.70% 10.87% 82.42%-3.65 -8.4 9

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2001-07-07 10.43% @ FS Vagar 584 3 Vags Boltfelag 982 2
2 2001-08-05 12.83% KI Klaksvik 774 2 @ HB Torshavn 997 1
3 2001-09-16 15.84% NSI Runavik 871 1 @ GI Gota 1051 0
4 2001-09-09 16.00% @ B71 Sandoy 634 3 HB Torshavn 946 2
5 2001-07-08 17.77% B71 Sandoy 680 2 @ EB-Streymur 836 1
6 2001-06-10 21.99% EB-Streymur 801 4 @ KI Klaksvik 911 0
7 2001-05-11 23.54% KI Klaksvik 870 2 @ Vags Boltfelag 965 1
8 2001-05-11 23.87% FS Vagar 699 1 @ B71 Sandoy 791 0
9 2001-05-11 26.19% GI Gota 932 3 @ HB Torshavn 1002 2
10 2001-04-29 30.85% GI Gota 882 2 @ KI Klaksvik 912 1
11 2001-08-11 31.31% @ KI Klaksvik 796 4 Vags Boltfelag 958 1
12 2001-09-29 32.88% @ Vags Boltfelag 975 2 B36 Torshavn 1124 1
13 2001-07-08 35.15% @ B68 Toftir 881 2 HB Torshavn 1012 1
14 2001-05-27 36.01% B68 Toftir 825 2 @ EB-Streymur 816 1
15 2001-06-24 37.75% B36 Torshavn 1042 2 @ HB Torshavn 1020 1
16 2001-05-27 39.19% GI Gota 969 2 @ Vags Boltfelag 937 1
17 2001-08-11 39.77% @ FS Vagar 595 2 B71 Sandoy 693 1
18 2001-05-27 39.88% @ NSI Runavik 897 2 HB Torshavn 994 1
19 2001-04-29 43.48% @ B71 Sandoy 792 1 EB-Streymur 864 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2001-06-10 73.35 EB-Streymur 4 801 21.99% @ KI Klaksvik 0 911 66.39% 11.61%
2 2001-06-10 47.97 @ Vags Boltfelag 5 922 54.85% NSI Runavik 0 912 33.40% 11.75%
3 2001-05-27 45.51 @ B36 Torshavn 15 953 78.40% FS Vagar 0 688 10.40% 11.19%
4 2001-06-17 45.18 HB Torshavn 4 974 48.79% @ EB-Streymur 0 874 39.43% 11.78%
5 2001-08-11 40.74 @ KI Klaksvik 4 796 31.31% Vags Boltfelag 1 958 56.95% 11.74%
6 2001-07-01 37.49 @ B68 Toftir 4 843 56.20% KI Klaksvik 0 822 32.05% 11.74%
7 2001-07-01 35.19 GI Gota 7 1015 71.50% @ B71 Sandoy 0 716 17.01% 11.49%
8 2001-08-19 34.60 B68 Toftir 5 909 64.94% @ B71 Sandoy 0 678 23.42% 11.64%
9 2001-06-13 34.05 B68 Toftir 6 821 60.08% @ FS Vagar 1 634 28.21% 11.71%
10 2001-05-06 33.85 @ GI Gota 4 898 59.62% EB-Streymur 0 850 28.67% 11.71%
11 2001-05-06 29.36 Vags Boltfelag 4 936 48.50% @ B68 Toftir 1 837 39.72% 11.78%
12 2001-04-29 28.45 @ Vags Boltfelag 6 907 72.67% FS Vagar 0 728 15.88% 11.45%
13 2001-08-19 25.61 @ Vags Boltfelag 2 917 45.43% HB Torshavn 0 975 42.78% 11.79%
14 2001-05-06 25.21 HB Torshavn 2 977 46.18% @ KI Klaksvik 0 895 42.04% 11.78%
15 2001-06-17 23.85 @ B36 Torshavn 5 1018 72.74% KI Klaksvik 0 837 15.81% 11.45%
16 2001-06-24 22.74 NSI Runavik 2 853 50.78% @ B71 Sandoy 0 738 37.45% 11.77%
17 2001-09-16 22.49 NSI Runavik 1 871 15.84% @ GI Gota 0 1051 72.71% 11.45%
18 2001-08-05 22.14 KI Klaksvik 2 774 12.83% @ HB Torshavn 1 997 75.84% 11.33%
19 2001-07-07 21.73 @ FS Vagar 3 584 10.43% Vags Boltfelag 2 982 78.38% 11.20%
20 2001-05-20 21.65 EB-Streymur 3 795 46.58% @ FS Vagar 1 710 41.63% 11.78%
21 2001-05-11 21.19 B36 Torshavn 2 951 53.62% @ EB-Streymur 0 816 34.62% 11.76%
22 2001-07-08 20.61 B71 Sandoy 2 680 17.77% @ EB-Streymur 1 836 70.72% 11.51%
23 2001-09-09 20.06 @ B71 Sandoy 3 634 16.00% HB Torshavn 2 946 72.54% 11.46%
24 2001-05-20 19.92 @ GI Gota 3 949 50.31% B36 Torshavn 1 973 37.92% 11.77%
25 2001-05-11 19.91 FS Vagar 1 699 23.87% @ B71 Sandoy 0 791 64.48% 11.65%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2001-09-23 59.1 @ B68 Toftir 2 951 42.59% GI Gota 2 1029 45.62% 11.78%
2 2001-09-29 59.1 @ KI Klaksvik 2 829 36.41% B68 Toftir 2 951 51.82% 11.77%
3 2001-07-07 58.6 @ FS Vagar 3 584 10.43% Vags Boltfelag 2 982 78.38% 11.20%
4 2001-09-09 56.9 @ B71 Sandoy 3 634 16.00% HB Torshavn 2 946 72.54% 11.46%
5 2001-05-11 55.0 @ NSI Runavik 1 903 64.85% B68 Toftir 1 808 23.51% 11.64%
6 2001-08-05 55.0 @ Vags Boltfelag 1 960 61.40% B68 Toftir 1 896 26.91% 11.69%
7 2001-08-05 55.0 @ EB-Streymur 1 816 21.90% GI Gota 1 1061 66.49% 11.61%
8 2001-08-26 55.0 @ GI Gota 1 1041 65.23% Vags Boltfelag 1 942 23.13% 11.63%
9 2001-09-09 54.9 @ NSI Runavik 1 871 43.03% Vags Boltfelag 1 946 45.18% 11.79%
10 2001-05-11 53.8 GI Gota 3 932 26.19% @ HB Torshavn 2 1002 62.13% 11.68%
11 2001-08-05 53.6 KI Klaksvik 2 774 12.83% @ HB Torshavn 1 997 75.84% 11.33%
12 2001-07-08 52.1 B71 Sandoy 2 680 17.77% @ EB-Streymur 1 836 70.72% 11.51%
13 2001-06-10 51.9 @ HB Torshavn 0 980 76.57% B71 Sandoy 0 746 12.13% 11.29%
14 2001-04-29 51.8 @ NSI Runavik 0 904 49.23% B36 Torshavn 0 935 38.99% 11.78%
15 2001-08-28 51.8 @ HB Torshavn 0 949 63.40% NSI Runavik 0 868 24.94% 11.66%
16 2001-05-11 50.4 KI Klaksvik 2 870 23.54% @ Vags Boltfelag 1 965 64.82% 11.64%
17 2001-09-16 48.9 NSI Runavik 1 871 15.84% @ GI Gota 0 1051 72.71% 11.45%
18 2001-04-29 48.2 GI Gota 2 882 30.85% @ KI Klaksvik 1 912 57.41% 11.73%
19 2001-09-29 47.6 @ Vags Boltfelag 2 975 32.88% B36 Torshavn 1 1124 55.37% 11.75%
20 2001-07-08 46.9 @ B68 Toftir 2 881 35.15% HB Torshavn 1 1012 53.09% 11.76%
21 2001-05-27 46.6 B68 Toftir 2 825 36.01% @ EB-Streymur 1 816 52.22% 11.77%
22 2001-05-11 46.5 FS Vagar 1 699 23.87% @ B71 Sandoy 0 791 64.48% 11.65%
23 2001-06-24 46.1 B36 Torshavn 2 1042 37.75% @ HB Torshavn 1 1020 50.48% 11.77%
24 2001-05-27 45.7 GI Gota 2 969 39.19% @ Vags Boltfelag 1 937 49.03% 11.78%
25 2001-05-27 45.5 @ NSI Runavik 2 897 39.88% HB Torshavn 1 994 48.33% 11.78%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2001-09-29 25.3 @ GI Gota 3 1028 83.92% B71 Sandoy 0 639 5.38% 10.69%
2 2001-05-27 26.4 @ B36 Torshavn 15 953 78.40% FS Vagar 0 688 10.40% 11.19%
3 2001-04-29 27.0 @ Vags Boltfelag 6 907 72.67% FS Vagar 0 728 15.88% 11.45%
4 2001-06-17 27.1 @ B36 Torshavn 5 1018 72.74% KI Klaksvik 0 837 15.81% 11.45%
5 2001-08-05 27.1 @ NSI Runavik 3 857 77.69% FS Vagar 0 605 11.08% 11.24%
6 2001-07-01 27.4 GI Gota 7 1015 71.50% @ B71 Sandoy 0 716 17.01% 11.49%
7 2001-06-10 28.2 @ GI Gota 8 984 82.11% FS Vagar 2 643 6.98% 10.90%
8 2001-09-29 28.2 @ HB Torshavn 8 922 82.42% FS Vagar 2 574 6.70% 10.87%
9 2001-09-16 28.3 @ Vags Boltfelag 6 945 79.87% B71 Sandoy 1 654 9.03% 11.10%
10 2001-09-16 28.6 @ B68 Toftir 5 944 82.41% FS Vagar 1 596 6.72% 10.87%
11 2001-06-24 29.4 @ KI Klaksvik 2 814 75.20% FS Vagar 0 600 13.44% 11.36%
12 2001-08-19 29.4 B68 Toftir 5 909 64.94% @ B71 Sandoy 0 678 23.42% 11.64%
13 2001-07-06 29.8 @ GI Gota 5 1050 78.47% KI Klaksvik 1 785 10.34% 11.19%
14 2001-08-11 29.9 @ B36 Torshavn 5 1078 78.07% EB-Streymur 1 819 10.71% 11.21%
15 2001-08-26 30.0 @ KI Klaksvik 2 828 73.02% B71 Sandoy 0 644 15.54% 11.44%
16 2001-09-09 30.6 GI Gota 4 1038 80.32% @ FS Vagar 1 603 8.62% 11.06%
17 2001-06-27 30.9 @ GI Gota 2 1003 70.03% B68 Toftir 0 855 18.44% 11.53%
18 2001-07-01 30.9 HB Torshavn 4 1005 79.21% @ FS Vagar 1 591 9.65% 11.14%
19 2001-07-07 31.3 @ B36 Torshavn 1 1064 74.40% NSI Runavik 0 862 14.21% 11.39%
20 2001-05-06 31.5 @ GI Gota 4 898 59.62% EB-Streymur 0 850 28.67% 11.71%
21 2001-09-23 31.6 @ B36 Torshavn 1 1119 73.60% HB Torshavn 0 927 14.98% 11.42%
22 2001-06-10 32.4 @ Vags Boltfelag 5 922 54.85% NSI Runavik 0 912 33.40% 11.75%
23 2001-09-09 32.4 @ B36 Torshavn 1 1107 70.84% B68 Toftir 0 950 17.66% 11.51%
24 2001-09-29 32.4 @ NSI Runavik 2 897 65.26% EB-Streymur 0 798 23.10% 11.63%
25 2001-06-24 32.5 @ Vags Boltfelag 1 984 70.61% EB-Streymur 0 829 17.88% 11.52%