2002 1. deild Season

90 games

Final

Champion

HB Torshavn

41 points · 16th Title

Last Title: 1998.0

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

NSI Runavik

8.99 points above expected

36 points · 27.01 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Skala IF

8.81 points below expected

13 points · 21.81 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	HB Torshavn Champion	18	13	2	3	41	52	19	+33	33.79	+7.21
2	NSI Runavik	18	11	3	4	36	38	21	+17	27.01	+8.99
3	KI Klaksvik	18	10	3	5	33	45	25	+20	28.57	+4.43
4	B36 Torshavn	18	9	5	4	32	55	27	+28	32.90	-0.90
5	GI Gota	18	10	2	6	32	33	30	+3	26.99	+5.01
6	B68 Toftir	18	7	5	6	26	28	28	0	24.73	+1.27
7	Vagur	18	6	4	8	22	18	24	-6	29.22	-7.22
8	Skala IF	18	3	4	11	13	23	41	-18	21.81	-8.81
9	EB-Streymur	18	3	3	12	12	19	42	-23	17.41	-5.41
10	TB Tvoroyri	18	1	3	14	6	18	72	-54	10.28	-4.28

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	NSI Runavik	36	27.01	+8.99
2	HB Torshavn	41	33.79	+7.21
3	GI Gota	32	26.99	+5.01
4	KI Klaksvik	33	28.57	+4.43
5	B68 Toftir	26	24.73	+1.27

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Skala IF	13	21.81	-8.81
2	Vagur	22	29.22	-7.22
3	EB-Streymur	12	17.41	-5.41
4	TB Tvoroyri	6	10.28	-4.28
5	B36 Torshavn	32	32.90	-0.90

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	GI Gota	3	Jun 23 – Jul 7	1 in 30
2	HB Torshavn	6	Aug 25 – Oct 5	1 in 21
3	NSI Runavik	4	Aug 4 – Sep 2	1 in 15
4	B36 Torshavn	4	Aug 4 – Sep 3	1 in 11
5	Skala IF	2	Sep 29 – Oct 5	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Skala IF	5	May 20 – Jun 16	1 in 99
2	EB-Streymur	4	May 9 – Jun 2	1 in 16
3	Vagur	2	Jun 9 – Jun 16	1 in 16
4	B36 Torshavn	2	Jun 23 – Jun 29	1 in 12
5	HB Torshavn	2	Aug 4 – Aug 11	1 in 9

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	NSI Runavik	7	May 9 – Jun 16	1 in 112
2	KI Klaksvik	12	Jun 2 – Sep 22	1 in 74
3	B36 Torshavn	9	Jul 7 – Oct 5	1 in 14
4	HB Torshavn	7	May 5 – Jun 16	1 in 14
5	GI Gota	3	Jun 23 – Jul 7	1 in 7

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Skala IF	14	May 5 – Sep 2	1 in 537
2	B68 Toftir	6	Jul 7 – Sep 15	1 in 29
3	Vagur	4	Jun 2 – Jun 23	1 in 13
4	TB Tvoroyri	17	May 9 – Oct 5	1 in 9
5	B36 Torshavn	3	Jun 23 – Jul 7	1 in 7

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
HB Torshavn	1257	41	+106	15	10.9	+4.1
NSI Runavik	1135	36	-12	9	9.1	-0.1
KI Klaksvik	1166	33	+7	7	9.5	-2.5
GI Gota	1049	32	+19	10	8.1	+1.9
B36 Torshavn	1230	32	+71	9	9.8	-0.8
B68 Toftir	1039	26	+24	6	6.2	-0.2
Vagur	943	22	-135	6	6.3	-0.3
Skala IF	922	13	+78	9	5.3	+3.7
EB-Streymur	781	12	-64	1	3.1	-2.1
TB Tvoroyri	569	6	-95	0	1.9	-1.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BT	BT	EB-	GG	HT	KK	NR	SI	TT	VAG
B36 Torshavn	—	2-0-0 3.43	1-1-0 4.70	0-1-1 3.85	1-0-1 2.72	1-1-0 3.42	0-1-1 3.43	1-1-0 3.31	2-0-0 4.87	1-0-1 3.47
B68 Toftir	0-0-2 2.17	—	1-1-0 3.81	0-1-1 2.37	0-1-1 1.90	1-0-1 2.61	1-1-0 2.49	1-0-1 3.94	1-1-0 4.15	2-0-0 2.04
EB-Streymur	0-1-1 0.94	0-1-1 1.79	—	0-0-2 1.43	1-0-1 0.79	0-0-2 1.54	0-0-2 2.00	1-0-1 1.98	1-1-0 3.98	0-0-2 1.58
GI Gota	1-1-0 1.75	1-1-0 3.23	2-0-0 4.18	—	0-0-2 2.18	0-0-2 2.28	0-0-2 3.44	2-0-0 3.13	2-0-0 4.71	2-0-0 2.09
HB Torshavn	1-0-1 2.88	1-1-0 3.70	1-0-1 4.86	2-0-0 3.43	—	1-0-1 3.53	2-0-0 2.93	2-0-0 4.49	2-0-0 5.21	1-1-0 3.12
KI Klaksvik	0-1-1 2.18	1-0-1 3.00	2-0-0 4.07	2-0-0 3.33	1-0-1 2.07	—	1-0-1 3.21	1-1-0 3.52	2-0-0 4.23	0-1-1 3.82
NSI Runavik	1-1-0 2.18	0-1-1 3.12	2-0-0 3.61	2-0-0 2.16	0-0-2 2.67	1-0-1 2.39	—	2-0-0 3.42	2-0-0 4.98	1-1-0 2.20
Skala IF	0-1-1 2.30	1-0-1 1.67	1-0-1 3.63	0-0-2 2.48	0-0-2 1.14	0-1-1 2.09	0-0-2 2.19	—	1-1-0 4.23	0-1-1 1.96
TB Tvoroyri	0-0-2 0.79	0-1-1 1.48	0-1-1 1.63	0-0-2 0.92	0-0-2 0.48	0-0-2 1.40	0-0-2 0.68	0-1-1 1.39	—	1-0-1 0.93
Vagur	1-0-1 2.14	0-0-2 3.56	2-0-0 4.03	0-0-2 3.51	0-1-1 2.48	1-1-0 1.79	0-1-1 3.41	1-1-0 3.65	1-0-1 4.71	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.70	+6.9
Allowed	0.74	-6.4
Differential	0.90	+4.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	3.89%	3.33%	3.33%	4.44%	2.78%	23.33%
1	3.89%	7.78%	8.89%	3.89%	1.67%	1.67%	27.78%
2	3.33%	8.89%	3.33%	3.89%	—	1.67%	21.11%
3	3.33%	3.89%	3.89%	2.22%	0.56%	0.56%	14.44%
4	4.44%	1.67%	—	0.56%	—	—	6.67%
5+	2.78%	1.67%	1.67%	0.56%	—	—	6.67%
Total	23.33%	27.78%	21.11%	14.44%	6.67%	6.67%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.83	1.83	+0.00
SD	1.74	1.74	2.73
CV	0.95	0.95	—
Max	9	9	+8
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 90

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	—	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	33.33%
2	—	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
3	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
4	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	11.11%	—	11.11%	—	—	—	22.22%
Total	16.67%	33.33%	33.33%	16.67%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	3.06	1.50	+1.56
SD	2.29	0.99	2.71
CV	0.75	0.66	—
Max	8	3	+6
Min	1	0	-2

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	22.22%
1	—	16.67%	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	27.78%
2	5.56%	22.22%	—	5.56%	—	—	33.33%
3	—	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%
4	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	50.00%	5.56%	16.67%	11.11%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.56	1.56	+0.00
SD	1.25	1.29	2.00
CV	0.80	0.83	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	11.11%	—	33.33%
1	5.56%	11.11%	16.67%	11.11%	—	—	44.44%
2	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%	11.11%
3	—	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	22.22%	22.22%	27.78%	11.11%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	2.33	-1.28
SD	1.11	1.68	2.16
CV	1.05	0.72	—
Max	4	7	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
1	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	16.67%
2	11.11%	27.78%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	50.00%
3	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	22.22%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	33.33%	16.67%	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.83	1.67	+0.17
SD	0.92	1.46	1.98
CV	0.50	0.87	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
1	—	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	16.67%
2	11.11%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
3	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
4	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
5+	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
Total	44.44%	22.22%	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.89	1.06	+1.83
SD	2.00	1.16	2.04
CV	0.69	1.10	—
Max	9	3	+6
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
1	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	22.22%
2	—	—	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	16.67%
3	—	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
4	11.11%	—	—	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	33.33%	22.22%	22.22%	16.67%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.50	1.39	+1.11
SD	1.79	1.29	2.49
CV	0.72	0.93	—
Max	7	4	+7
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	22.22%
1	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
2	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
3	—	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	—	22.22%
4	11.11%	—	—	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	27.78%	38.89%	27.78%	—	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.11	1.17	+0.94
SD	1.71	1.04	2.15
CV	0.81	0.89	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	11.11%	—	5.56%	11.11%	11.11%	44.44%
1	—	5.56%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
2	—	—	11.11%	—	—	—	11.11%
3	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	11.11%	22.22%	33.33%	11.11%	11.11%	11.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.28	2.28	-1.00
SD	1.96	1.64	3.09
CV	1.54	0.72	—
Max	8	6	+8
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	33.33%
1	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	38.89%
2	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	11.11%	22.22%
3	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	5.56%	16.67%	16.67%	11.11%	38.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	4.00	-3.00
SD	0.91	2.74	2.63
CV	0.91	0.69	—
Max	3	9	+1
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	22.22%	11.11%	—	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	50.00%
1	11.11%	—	16.67%	—	—	—	27.78%
2	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
3	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	38.89%	27.78%	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.33	-0.33
SD	1.53	1.64	2.45
CV	1.53	1.23	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 18

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
HB Torshavn	1257	41	33.79	+7.21	98.0%	23	26	30	33	37	40	46
B36 Torshavn	1230	32	32.90	-0.90	45.0%	21	23	29	34	37	40	44
KI Klaksvik	1166	33	28.57	+4.43	80.0%	12	20	24	29	33	37	49
NSI Runavik	1135	36	27.01	+8.99	98.0%	15	19	23	27	30	36	42
GI Gota	1049	32	26.99	+5.01	83.0%	14	17	23	26	31	37	41
B68 Toftir	1039	26	24.73	+1.27	62.0%	9	16	21	24	28	33	37
Vagur	943	22	29.22	-7.22	8.0%	16	20	26	29	33	38	41
Skala IF	922	13	21.81	-8.81	4.0%	11	15	19	22	24	29	33
EB-Streymur	781	12	17.41	-5.41	14.0%	1	8	14	17	21	28	32
TB Tvoroyri	569	6	10.28	-4.28	19.0%	1	3	7	10	13	17	24

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 22% * Strong Edge: 22% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+12.22%

Slight Edge

46.67%18.89%34.44%

Elo Value

Home Edge

141 Elo

0.007 goals per Elo point

042.68400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.74 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.30+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.11 * Tight Race: 0.11 to 0.22 * Comfortable: 0.22 to 0.38 * Runaway: 0.38 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.7

Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

35%

HB Torshavn, 2nd of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.28/gm

Comfortable

00.200.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.17 * Some Luck: 4.17 to 6.25 * Lucky: 6.25 to 8.34 * Wild Swing: 8.34 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.17 * Close: 1.17 to 1.76 * Off: 1.76 to 2.34 * Way Off: 2.34 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.98 points

Some Luck

05.2113

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.20

01.463

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

98.00%

HB Torshavn

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

4.00%

Skala IF

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.45 * Moderate Separation: 1.45 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68.5% * Slight Edge: 68.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 88% * Wide Edge: 88% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 44.5% * Some Drama: 44.5% to 50.5% * Frequent: 50.5% to 57% * Very Frequent: 57% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 20% * Occasional: 20% to 25% * Frequent: 25% to 33.5% * Very Frequent: 33.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.24

Top-Heavy

00.190.280.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 213.63

2.01

Strong Separation

0.851.451.82.153.25

Interquartile Edge

79%

Clear Edge

50%68.5%79%88%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 98%

98%

Dominant

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

53%

Frequent

0%42%100%

Blowouts

Expected

32%

Frequent

0%36%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.49 * Notable Separation: 0.49 to 0.56 * Lopsided: 0.56 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.4 * Some Carryover: 0.4 to 0.61 * Strong Carryover: 0.61 to 0.77 * Near-Lock: 0.77 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.56

Predictable

00.552

Matchup Imbalance

0.44

Slight Separation

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.51

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

0.08

Weak Carryover

00.40.610.771

Upset Rate

Expected

28%

Very Upset-Prone

0%22%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

22%

Shaky Favorites

0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.17 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.17 to 0.25 * Above Noise: 0.25 to 0.34 * Well Above Noise: 0.34 and up.

Probability calibration

0.98

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.80

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.117

Well Within Noise

00.1680.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
HB Torshavn	35.00%	23.00%	19.00%	14.00%	6.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—
NSI Runavik	4.00%	8.00%	14.00%	17.00%	17.00%	13.00%	12.00%	13.00%	2.00%	—
KI Klaksvik	9.00%	14.00%	17.00%	17.00%	10.00%	10.00%	11.00%	9.00%	2.00%	1.00%
B36 Torshavn	36.00%	22.00%	15.00%	10.00%	3.00%	6.00%	5.00%	3.00%	—	—
GI Gota	5.00%	10.00%	12.00%	12.00%	14.00%	18.00%	18.00%	5.00%	6.00%	—
B68 Toftir	3.00%	7.00%	3.00%	11.00%	18.00%	16.00%	14.00%	18.00%	8.00%	2.00%
Vagur	8.00%	15.00%	16.00%	16.00%	14.00%	15.00%	9.00%	4.00%	3.00%	—
Skala IF	—	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	12.00%	12.00%	24.00%	29.00%	15.00%	2.00%
EB-Streymur	—	—	2.00%	—	6.00%	7.00%	6.00%	17.00%	48.00%	14.00%
TB Tvoroyri	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	16.00%	81.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
B36 Torshavn	100%	—	—
GI Gota	94.00%	6.00%	—
HB Torshavn	100%	—	—
NSI Runavik	98.00%	2.00%	—
Vagur	97.00%	3.00%	—
KI Klaksvik	97.00%	2.00%	1.00%
B68 Toftir	90.00%	8.00%	2.00%
Skala IF	83.00%	15.00%	2.00%
EB-Streymur	38.00%	48.00%	14.00%
TB Tvoroyri	3.00%	16.00%	81.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2002-05-05	B36 Torshavn	L 2-3	46.0	932	1077	26.58%	19.86%	53.57%	-0.72	-14.0	0
2002-05-05	@ KI Klaksvik	W 3-2	46.0	1077	932	53.57%	19.86%	26.58%	+0.72	+14.0	3
2002-05-05	GI Gota	D 1-1	52.8	1000	1041	40.23%	20.04%	39.73%	+0.01	-0.0	1
2002-05-05	@ B68 Toftir	D 1-1	52.8	1041	1000	39.73%	20.04%	40.23%	-0.01	+0.1	1
2002-05-05	NSI Runavik	W 4-0	34.0	995	979	48.04%	19.98%	31.98%	+0.41	+65.7	3
2002-05-05	@ HB Torshavn	L 0-4	34.0	979	995	31.98%	19.98%	48.04%	-0.41	-65.7	0
2002-05-05	Skala IF	W 1-0	48.1	920	1146	18.42%	19.47%	62.11%	-1.29	+32.6	3
2002-05-05	@ EB-Streymur	L 0-1	48.1	1146	920	62.11%	19.47%	18.42%	+1.29	-32.6	0
2002-05-05	Vagur	W 1-0	49.5	858	1146	13.60%	19.03%	67.37%	-1.73	+35.4	3
2002-05-05	@ TB Tvoroyri	L 0-1	49.5	1146	858	67.37%	19.03%	13.60%	+1.73	-35.4	0
2002-05-09	B36 Torshavn	D 1-1	52.9	1113	1091	48.91%	19.96%	31.13%	+0.46	-2.1	1
2002-05-09	@ Skala IF	D 1-1	52.9	1091	1113	31.13%	19.96%	48.91%	-0.46	+2.1	4
2002-05-09	B68 Toftir	L 1-4	39.4	893	1000	31.25%	19.97%	48.78%	-0.45	-41.6	3
2002-05-09	@ TB Tvoroyri	W 4-1	39.4	1000	893	48.78%	19.97%	31.25%	+0.45	+41.6	4
2002-05-09	GI Gota	W 3-2	53.5	913	1041	28.66%	19.91%	51.43%	-0.60	+24.4	3
2002-05-09	@ NSI Runavik	L 2-3	53.5	1041	913	51.43%	19.91%	28.66%	+0.60	-24.4	1
2002-05-09	KI Klaksvik	W 4-1	35.4	1060	918	62.34%	19.45%	18.20%	+1.31	+26.0	6
2002-05-09	@ HB Torshavn	L 1-4	35.4	918	1060	18.20%	19.45%	62.34%	-1.31	-26.0	0
2002-05-09	Vagur	L 0-1	37.1	953	1110	25.17%	19.81%	55.02%	-0.81	-15.0	3
2002-05-09	@ EB-Streymur	W 1-0	37.1	1110	953	55.02%	19.81%	25.17%	+0.81	+15.0	3
2002-05-20	EB-Streymur	W 2-1	40.0	1041	938	58.48%	19.67%	21.85%	+1.03	+12.5	7
2002-05-20	@ B68 Toftir	L 1-2	40.0	938	1041	21.85%	19.67%	58.48%	-1.03	-12.5	3
2002-05-20	HB Torshavn	L 1-2	47.6	1093	1086	46.85%	20.00%	33.15%	+0.35	-23.7	4
2002-05-20	@ B36 Torshavn	W 2-1	47.6	1086	1093	33.15%	20.00%	46.85%	-0.35	+23.7	9
2002-05-20	NSI Runavik	D 0-0	49.9	1125	938	66.21%	19.14%	14.65%	+1.63	-7.4	4
2002-05-20	@ Vagur	D 0-0	49.9	938	1125	14.65%	19.14%	66.21%	-1.63	+7.4	4
2002-05-20	Skala IF	W 2-1	47.7	1016	1111	32.81%	19.99%	47.20%	-0.37	+23.8	4
2002-05-20	@ GI Gota	L 1-2	47.7	1111	1016	47.20%	19.99%	32.81%	+0.37	-23.8	1
2002-05-20	TB Tvoroyri	W 7-0	33.0	892	852	51.20%	19.92%	28.88%	+0.59	+102.2	3
2002-05-20	@ KI Klaksvik	L 0-7	33.0	852	892	28.88%	19.92%	51.20%	-0.59	-102.2	3
2002-05-26	B36 Torshavn	L 2-8	31.2	749	1069	11.60%	18.76%	69.64%	-1.96	-26.5	3
2002-05-26	@ TB Tvoroyri	W 8-2	31.2	1069	749	69.64%	18.76%	11.60%	+1.96	+26.5	7
2002-05-26	GI Gota	W 3-0	33.1	1110	1040	54.76%	19.82%	25.42%	+0.80	+41.4	12
2002-05-26	@ HB Torshavn	L 0-3	33.1	1040	1110	25.42%	19.82%	54.76%	-0.80	-41.4	4
2002-05-26	KI Klaksvik	W 2-0	35.3	1054	994	53.60%	19.86%	26.54%	+0.73	+29.6	10
2002-05-26	@ B68 Toftir	L 0-2	35.3	994	1054	26.54%	19.86%	53.60%	-0.73	-29.6	3
2002-05-26	NSI Runavik	L 1-2	46.5	925	945	43.23%	20.03%	36.74%	+0.16	-22.1	3
2002-05-26	@ EB-Streymur	W 2-1	46.5	945	925	36.74%	20.03%	43.23%	-0.16	+22.1	7
2002-05-26	Vagur	L 0-1	42.1	1087	1118	41.68%	20.03%	38.28%	+0.08	-22.8	1
2002-05-26	@ Skala IF	W 1-0	42.1	1118	1087	38.28%	20.03%	41.68%	-0.08	+22.8	7
2002-06-02	B68 Toftir	W 4-0	34.1	1096	1083	47.62%	19.98%	32.39%	+0.39	+66.4	10
2002-06-02	@ B36 Torshavn	L 0-4	34.1	1083	1096	32.39%	19.98%	47.62%	-0.39	-66.4	10
2002-06-02	EB-Streymur	W 3-1	39.7	964	903	53.74%	19.85%	26.41%	+0.73	+25.5	6
2002-06-02	@ KI Klaksvik	L 1-3	39.7	903	964	26.41%	19.85%	53.74%	-0.73	-25.5	3
2002-06-02	HB Torshavn	D 0-0	49.7	1141	1151	44.49%	20.02%	35.49%	+0.23	-1.2	8
2002-06-02	@ Vagur	D 0-0	49.7	1151	1141	35.49%	20.02%	44.49%	-0.23	+1.2	13
2002-06-02	Skala IF	W 3-1	46.1	967	1064	32.48%	19.99%	47.53%	-0.38	+41.5	10
2002-06-02	@ NSI Runavik	L 1-3	46.1	1064	967	47.53%	19.99%	32.48%	+0.38	-41.5	1
2002-06-02	TB Tvoroyri	W 2-0	29.7	999	723	72.22%	18.37%	9.41%	+2.25	+11.4	7
2002-06-02	@ GI Gota	L 0-2	29.7	723	999	9.41%	18.37%	72.22%	-2.25	-11.4	3
2002-06-05	NSI Runavik	D 1-1	52.9	1017	1009	47.07%	19.99%	32.94%	+0.36	-1.6	11
2002-06-05	@ B68 Toftir	D 1-1	52.9	1009	1017	32.94%	19.99%	47.07%	-0.36	+1.6	11
2002-06-09	EB-Streymur	D 1-1	52.9	711	878	24.18%	19.77%	56.04%	-0.87	+3.9	4
2002-06-09	@ TB Tvoroyri	D 1-1	52.9	878	711	56.04%	19.77%	24.18%	+0.87	-3.9	4
2002-06-09	HB Torshavn	D 1-1	52.9	1015	1153	27.49%	19.88%	52.63%	-0.67	+3.0	12
2002-06-09	@ B68 Toftir	D 1-1	52.9	1153	1015	52.63%	19.88%	27.49%	+0.67	-3.0	14
2002-06-09	NSI Runavik	L 1-3	50.7	1162	1010	63.19%	19.40%	17.42%	+1.38	-54.2	10
2002-06-09	@ B36 Torshavn	W 3-1	50.7	1010	1162	17.42%	19.40%	63.19%	-1.38	+54.2	14
2002-06-09	Skala IF	W 4-0	36.0	990	1023	41.37%	20.04%	38.59%	+0.07	+76.5	9
2002-06-09	@ KI Klaksvik	L 0-4	36.0	1023	990	38.59%	20.04%	41.37%	-0.07	-76.5	1
2002-06-09	Vagur	W 2-1	49.0	1010	1139	28.43%	19.91%	51.66%	-0.61	+25.8	10
2002-06-09	@ GI Gota	L 1-2	49.0	1139	1010	51.66%	19.91%	28.43%	+0.61	-25.8	8
2002-06-16	B68 Toftir	L 1-2	50.8	1114	1018	57.61%	19.71%	22.68%	+0.98	-28.6	8
2002-06-16	@ Vagur	W 2-1	50.8	1018	1114	22.68%	19.71%	57.61%	-0.98	+28.6	15
2002-06-16	EB-Streymur	W 7-2	32.5	1108	874	69.61%	18.76%	11.62%	+1.96	+22.7	13
2002-06-16	@ B36 Torshavn	L 2-7	32.5	874	1108	11.62%	18.76%	69.61%	-1.96	-22.7	4
2002-06-16	HB Torshavn	L 0-3	31.6	946	1150	20.43%	19.60%	59.97%	-1.14	-34.2	1
2002-06-16	@ Skala IF	W 3-0	31.6	1150	946	59.97%	19.60%	20.43%	+1.14	+34.2	17
2002-06-16	KI Klaksvik	L 1-3	44.4	1036	1066	41.74%	20.03%	38.22%	+0.09	-37.2	10
2002-06-16	@ GI Gota	W 3-1	44.4	1066	1036	38.22%	20.03%	41.74%	-0.09	+37.2	12
2002-06-16	TB Tvoroyri	W 5-1	29.7	1065	715	75.95%	17.59%	6.46%	+2.77	+12.4	17
2002-06-16	@ NSI Runavik	L 1-5	29.7	715	1065	6.46%	17.59%	75.95%	-2.77	-12.4	4
2002-06-22	HB Torshavn	W 2-1	54.3	851	1184	10.88%	18.65%	70.48%	-2.05	+34.9	7
2002-06-22	@ EB-Streymur	L 1-2	54.3	1184	851	70.48%	18.65%	10.88%	+2.05	-34.9	17
2002-06-23	GI Gota	L 2-3	56.4	1131	999	61.34%	19.52%	19.14%	+1.23	-28.8	13
2002-06-23	@ B36 Torshavn	W 3-2	56.4	999	1131	19.14%	19.52%	61.34%	-1.23	+28.8	13
2002-06-23	Skala IF	D 2-2	57.4	703	912	19.88%	19.56%	60.56%	-1.18	+3.8	5
2002-06-23	@ TB Tvoroyri	D 2-2	57.4	912	703	60.56%	19.56%	19.88%	+1.18	-3.8	2
2002-06-23	Vagur	D 0-0	49.7	1104	1085	48.43%	19.97%	31.60%	+0.43	-2.2	13
2002-06-23	@ KI Klaksvik	D 0-0	49.7	1085	1104	31.60%	19.97%	48.43%	-0.43	+2.2	9
2002-06-29	B36 Torshavn	W 2-1	44.4	1087	1102	43.96%	20.02%	36.02%	+0.20	+19.1	12
2002-06-29	@ Vagur	L 1-2	44.4	1102	1087	36.02%	20.02%	43.96%	-0.20	-19.1	13
2002-06-30	EB-Streymur	W 3-0	30.9	1028	886	62.26%	19.46%	18.28%	+1.30	+31.0	16
2002-06-30	@ GI Gota	L 0-3	30.9	886	1028	18.28%	19.46%	62.26%	-1.30	-31.0	7
2002-06-30	KI Klaksvik	L 0-1	42.4	1077	1101	42.60%	20.03%	37.37%	+0.13	-23.2	17
2002-06-30	@ NSI Runavik	W 1-0	42.4	1101	1077	37.37%	20.03%	42.60%	-0.13	+23.2	16
2002-06-30	TB Tvoroyri	W 9-3	28.8	1149	707	79.56%	16.45%	3.99%	+3.43	+8.2	20
2002-06-30	@ HB Torshavn	L 3-9	28.8	707	1149	3.99%	16.45%	79.56%	-3.43	-8.2	5
2002-07-03	B68 Toftir	L 1-2	41.7	908	1047	27.30%	19.88%	52.82%	-0.68	-15.2	2
2002-07-03	@ Skala IF	W 2-1	41.7	1047	908	52.82%	19.88%	27.30%	+0.68	+15.2	18
2002-07-07	B36 Torshavn	D 1-1	52.9	1054	1083	41.95%	20.03%	38.02%	+0.10	-0.4	18
2002-07-07	@ NSI Runavik	D 1-1	52.9	1083	1054	38.02%	20.03%	41.95%	-0.10	+0.5	14
2002-07-07	B68 Toftir	W 3-1	38.6	1157	1062	57.57%	19.71%	22.72%	+0.97	+22.4	23
2002-07-07	@ HB Torshavn	L 1-3	38.6	1062	1157	22.72%	19.71%	57.57%	-0.97	-22.4	18
2002-07-07	GI Gota	L 1-2	49.2	1106	1059	52.13%	19.90%	27.97%	+0.64	-26.0	12
2002-07-07	@ Vagur	W 2-1	49.2	1059	1106	27.97%	19.90%	52.13%	-0.64	+26.0	19
2002-07-07	KI Klaksvik	D 2-2	57.5	893	1125	17.89%	19.43%	62.67%	-1.34	+4.2	3
2002-07-07	@ Skala IF	D 2-2	57.5	1125	893	62.67%	19.43%	17.89%	+1.34	-4.2	17
2002-07-31	TB Tvoroyri	W 4-0	29.3	855	698	63.62%	19.36%	17.02%	+1.41	+38.0	10
2002-07-31	@ EB-Streymur	L 0-4	29.3	698	855	17.02%	19.36%	63.62%	-1.41	-37.9	5
2002-08-04	EB-Streymur	W 3-0	29.7	1080	893	66.20%	19.15%	14.66%	+1.63	+25.3	15
2002-08-04	@ Vagur	L 0-3	29.7	893	1080	14.66%	19.15%	66.20%	-1.63	-25.3	10
2002-08-04	HB Torshavn	W 3-2	50.9	1120	1179	37.65%	20.03%	42.32%	-0.12	+20.6	20
2002-08-04	@ KI Klaksvik	L 2-3	50.9	1179	1120	42.32%	20.03%	37.65%	+0.12	-20.6	23
2002-08-04	NSI Runavik	L 0-2	42.4	1085	1053	50.07%	19.94%	29.99%	+0.52	-50.2	19
2002-08-04	@ GI Gota	W 2-0	42.4	1053	1085	29.99%	19.94%	50.07%	-0.52	+50.2	21
2002-08-04	Skala IF	W 6-0	28.2	1083	897	66.09%	19.16%	14.76%	+1.62	+48.8	17
2002-08-04	@ B36 Torshavn	L 0-6	28.2	897	1083	14.76%	19.16%	66.09%	-1.62	-48.8	3
2002-08-04	TB Tvoroyri	D 0-0	50.4	1040	660	77.23%	17.24%	5.53%	+2.98	-10.7	19
2002-08-04	@ B68 Toftir	D 0-0	50.4	660	1040	5.53%	17.24%	77.23%	-2.98	+10.6	6
2002-08-11	B36 Torshavn	L 1-2	48.5	1159	1132	49.51%	19.95%	30.54%	+0.49	-24.8	23
2002-08-11	@ HB Torshavn	W 2-1	48.5	1132	1159	30.54%	19.95%	49.51%	-0.49	+24.8	20
2002-08-11	B68 Toftir	D 3-3	61.5	868	1029	24.72%	19.79%	55.48%	-0.84	+2.3	11
2002-08-11	@ EB-Streymur	D 3-3	61.5	1029	868	55.48%	19.79%	24.72%	+0.84	-2.3	20
2002-08-11	GI Gota	L 1-2	40.1	849	1034	22.14%	19.69%	58.18%	-1.01	-12.6	3
2002-08-11	@ Skala IF	W 2-1	40.1	1034	849	58.18%	19.69%	22.14%	+1.01	+12.6	22
2002-08-11	KI Klaksvik	L 1-3	32.6	671	1141	5.39%	17.18%	77.44%	-3.02	-5.7	6
2002-08-11	@ TB Tvoroyri	W 3-1	32.6	1141	671	77.44%	17.18%	5.39%	+3.02	+5.7	23
2002-08-11	Vagur	W 1-0	39.9	1104	1106	45.68%	20.01%	34.31%	+0.29	+19.5	24
2002-08-11	@ NSI Runavik	L 0-1	39.9	1106	1104	34.31%	20.01%	45.68%	-0.29	-19.5	15
2002-08-25	B68 Toftir	W 1-0	35.6	1147	1027	60.16%	19.59%	20.25%	+1.15	+12.4	26
2002-08-25	@ KI Klaksvik	L 0-1	35.6	1027	1147	20.25%	19.59%	60.16%	-1.15	-12.4	20
2002-08-25	EB-Streymur	W 4-0	27.1	1123	870	70.84%	18.59%	10.57%	+2.09	+24.3	27
2002-08-25	@ NSI Runavik	L 0-4	27.1	870	1123	10.57%	18.59%	70.84%	-2.09	-24.3	11
2002-08-25	HB Torshavn	L 3-4	51.7	1047	1134	33.83%	20.00%	46.16%	-0.31	-16.8	22
2002-08-25	@ GI Gota	W 4-3	51.7	1134	1047	46.16%	20.00%	33.83%	+0.31	+16.8	26
2002-08-25	Skala IF	D 0-0	50.0	1086	836	70.67%	18.62%	10.71%	+2.07	-8.7	16
2002-08-25	@ Vagur	D 0-0	50.0	836	1086	10.71%	18.62%	70.67%	-2.07	+8.7	4
2002-08-25	TB Tvoroyri	W 2-1	33.2	1157	665	81.12%	15.80%	3.08%	+3.78	+1.8	23
2002-08-25	@ B36 Torshavn	L 1-2	33.2	665	1157	3.08%	15.80%	81.12%	-3.78	-1.8	6
2002-09-01	GI Gota	L 0-3	27.8	664	1030	9.16%	18.32%	72.52%	-2.29	-16.2	6
2002-09-01	@ TB Tvoroyri	W 3-0	27.8	1030	664	72.52%	18.32%	9.16%	+2.29	+16.2	25
2002-09-01	Vagur	W 3-0	33.0	1151	1077	55.16%	19.81%	25.03%	+0.82	+40.9	29
2002-09-01	@ HB Torshavn	L 0-3	33.0	1077	1151	25.03%	19.81%	55.16%	-0.82	-40.9	16
2002-09-02	KI Klaksvik	L 0-4	27.6	846	1159	11.99%	18.82%	69.20%	-1.91	-27.4	11
2002-09-02	@ EB-Streymur	W 4-0	27.6	1159	846	69.20%	18.82%	11.99%	+1.91	+27.4	29
2002-09-02	NSI Runavik	L 0-4	27.8	845	1147	12.64%	18.91%	68.45%	-1.84	-28.8	4
2002-09-02	@ Skala IF	W 4-0	27.8	1147	845	68.45%	18.91%	12.64%	+1.84	+28.8	30
2002-09-03	B36 Torshavn	L 1-4	38.1	1014	1159	26.65%	19.86%	53.49%	-0.72	-36.4	20
2002-09-03	@ B68 Toftir	W 4-1	38.1	1159	1014	53.49%	19.86%	26.65%	+0.72	+36.4	26
2002-09-15	B68 Toftir	W 2-0	35.0	1046	978	54.61%	19.82%	25.56%	+0.79	+28.7	28
2002-09-15	@ GI Gota	L 0-2	35.0	978	1046	25.56%	19.82%	54.61%	-0.79	-28.6	20
2002-09-15	EB-Streymur	W 3-1	42.2	816	818	45.62%	20.01%	34.37%	+0.28	+31.8	7
2002-09-15	@ Skala IF	L 1-3	42.2	818	816	34.37%	20.01%	45.62%	-0.28	-31.8	11
2002-09-15	HB Torshavn	L 0-2	40.7	1176	1192	43.83%	20.02%	36.14%	+0.19	-44.7	30
2002-09-15	@ NSI Runavik	W 2-0	40.7	1192	1176	36.14%	20.02%	43.83%	-0.19	+44.7	32
2002-09-15	KI Klaksvik	D 3-3	61.7	1195	1186	47.12%	19.99%	32.89%	+0.36	-1.0	27
2002-09-15	@ B36 Torshavn	D 3-3	61.7	1186	1195	32.89%	19.99%	47.12%	-0.36	+1.0	30
2002-09-15	TB Tvoroyri	W 6-1	28.1	1037	647	77.62%	17.12%	5.26%	+3.05	+12.4	19
2002-09-15	@ Vagur	L 1-6	28.1	647	1037	5.26%	17.12%	77.62%	-3.05	-12.4	6
2002-09-22	B36 Torshavn	D 1-1	53.5	787	1194	7.43%	17.89%	74.68%	-2.58	+8.9	12
2002-09-22	@ EB-Streymur	D 1-1	53.5	1194	787	74.68%	17.89%	7.43%	+2.58	-8.9	28
2002-09-22	GI Gota	W 5-1	34.8	1187	1075	59.40%	19.63%	20.97%	+1.10	+38.1	33
2002-09-22	@ KI Klaksvik	L 1-5	34.8	1075	1187	20.97%	19.63%	59.40%	-1.10	-38.2	28
2002-09-22	NSI Runavik	L 2-5	34.0	635	1131	4.69%	16.85%	78.46%	-3.21	-6.0	6
2002-09-22	@ TB Tvoroyri	W 5-2	34.0	1131	635	78.46%	16.85%	4.69%	+3.21	+6.0	33
2002-09-22	Skala IF	W 5-0	24.7	1236	848	77.61%	17.12%	5.27%	+3.05	+15.0	35
2002-09-22	@ HB Torshavn	L 0-5	24.7	848	1236	5.27%	17.12%	77.61%	-3.05	-15.0	7
2002-09-22	Vagur	W 4-0	38.7	949	1049	32.15%	19.98%	47.87%	-0.40	+91.5	23
2002-09-22	@ B68 Toftir	L 0-4	38.7	1049	949	47.87%	19.98%	32.15%	+0.40	-91.5	19
2002-09-29	B36 Torshavn	D 2-2	57.4	1037	1185	26.21%	19.85%	53.94%	-0.75	+2.5	29
2002-09-29	@ GI Gota	D 2-2	57.4	1185	1037	53.94%	19.85%	26.21%	+0.75	-2.5	29
2002-09-29	B68 Toftir	L 1-2	50.8	1137	1041	57.75%	19.70%	22.54%	+0.98	-28.6	33
2002-09-29	@ NSI Runavik	W 2-1	50.8	1041	1137	22.54%	19.70%	57.75%	-0.98	+28.7	26
2002-09-29	EB-Streymur	W 2-0	27.4	1251	795	80.01%	16.27%	3.71%	+3.53	+4.5	38
2002-09-29	@ HB Torshavn	L 0-2	27.4	795	1251	3.71%	16.27%	80.01%	-3.53	-4.4	12
2002-09-29	KI Klaksvik	W 2-1	53.1	957	1226	14.99%	19.18%	65.83%	-1.60	+32.6	22
2002-09-29	@ Vagur	L 1-2	53.1	1226	957	65.83%	19.18%	14.99%	+1.60	-32.6	33
2002-09-29	TB Tvoroyri	W 8-0	28.5	833	629	67.45%	19.02%	13.53%	+1.74	+59.1	10
2002-09-29	@ Skala IF	L 0-8	28.5	629	833	13.53%	19.02%	67.45%	-1.74	-59.1	6
2002-10-05	GI Gota	L 1-2	38.3	791	1039	16.49%	19.32%	64.20%	-1.46	-9.7	12
2002-10-05	@ EB-Streymur	W 2-1	38.3	1039	791	64.20%	19.32%	16.49%	+1.46	+9.7	32
2002-10-05	HB Torshavn	L 2-3	36.9	570	1256	1.74%	14.28%	83.98%	-4.55	-1.0	6
2002-10-05	@ TB Tvoroyri	W 3-2	36.9	1256	570	83.98%	14.28%	1.74%	+4.55	+0.9	41
2002-10-05	NSI Runavik	L 2-3	55.0	1193	1109	56.40%	19.76%	23.84%	+0.90	-26.6	33
2002-10-05	@ KI Klaksvik	W 3-2	55.0	1109	1193	23.84%	19.76%	56.40%	-0.90	+26.6	36
2002-10-05	Skala IF	L 2-3	57.5	1070	892	65.42%	19.22%	15.36%	+1.56	-30.7	26
2002-10-05	@ B68 Toftir	W 3-2	57.5	892	1070	15.36%	19.22%	65.42%	-1.56	+30.7	13
2002-10-05	Vagur	W 6-0	28.1	1183	990	66.61%	19.11%	14.28%	+1.66	+47.3	32
2002-10-05	@ B36 Torshavn	L 0-6	28.1	990	1183	14.28%	19.11%	66.61%	-1.66	-47.3	22

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2002-06-22	10.88%	@ EB-Streymur	851	2	HB Torshavn	1184	1
2	2002-05-05	13.60%	@ TB Tvoroyri	858	1	Vagur	1146	0
3	2002-09-29	14.99%	@ Vagur	957	2	KI Klaksvik	1226	1
4	2002-10-05	15.36%	Skala IF	892	3	@ B68 Toftir	1070	2
5	2002-06-09	17.42%	NSI Runavik	1010	3	@ B36 Torshavn	1162	1
6	2002-05-05	18.42%	@ EB-Streymur	920	1	Skala IF	1146	0
7	2002-06-23	19.14%	GI Gota	999	3	@ B36 Torshavn	1131	2
8	2002-09-29	22.54%	B68 Toftir	1041	2	@ NSI Runavik	1137	1
9	2002-06-16	22.68%	B68 Toftir	1018	2	@ Vagur	1114	1
10	2002-10-05	23.84%	NSI Runavik	1109	3	@ KI Klaksvik	1193	2
11	2002-07-07	27.97%	GI Gota	1059	2	@ Vagur	1106	1
12	2002-06-09	28.43%	@ GI Gota	1010	2	Vagur	1139	1
13	2002-05-09	28.66%	@ NSI Runavik	913	3	GI Gota	1041	2
14	2002-08-04	29.99%	NSI Runavik	1053	2	@ GI Gota	1085	0
15	2002-08-11	30.54%	B36 Torshavn	1132	2	@ HB Torshavn	1159	1
16	2002-09-22	32.15%	@ B68 Toftir	949	4	Vagur	1049	0
17	2002-06-02	32.48%	@ NSI Runavik	967	3	Skala IF	1064	1
18	2002-05-20	32.81%	@ GI Gota	1016	2	Skala IF	1111	1
19	2002-05-20	33.15%	HB Torshavn	1086	2	@ B36 Torshavn	1093	1
20	2002-09-15	36.14%	HB Torshavn	1192	2	@ NSI Runavik	1176	0
21	2002-05-26	36.74%	NSI Runavik	945	2	@ EB-Streymur	925	1
22	2002-06-30	37.37%	KI Klaksvik	1101	1	@ NSI Runavik	1077	0
23	2002-08-04	37.65%	@ KI Klaksvik	1120	3	HB Torshavn	1179	2
24	2002-06-16	38.22%	KI Klaksvik	1066	3	@ GI Gota	1036	1
25	2002-05-26	38.28%	Vagur	1118	1	@ Skala IF	1087	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2002-05-20	102.19	@ KI Klaksvik	7	892	51.20%	TB Tvoroyri	0	852	28.88%	19.92%
2	2002-09-22	91.54	@ B68 Toftir	4	949	32.15%	Vagur	0	1049	47.87%	19.98%
3	2002-06-09	76.54	@ KI Klaksvik	4	990	41.37%	Skala IF	0	1023	38.59%	20.04%
4	2002-06-02	66.36	@ B36 Torshavn	4	1096	47.62%	B68 Toftir	0	1083	32.39%	19.98%
5	2002-05-05	65.66	@ HB Torshavn	4	995	48.04%	NSI Runavik	0	979	31.98%	19.98%
6	2002-09-29	59.11	@ Skala IF	8	833	67.45%	TB Tvoroyri	0	629	13.53%	19.02%
7	2002-06-09	54.19	NSI Runavik	3	1010	17.42%	@ B36 Torshavn	1	1162	63.19%	19.40%
8	2002-08-04	50.20	NSI Runavik	2	1053	29.99%	@ GI Gota	0	1085	50.07%	19.94%
9	2002-08-04	48.75	@ B36 Torshavn	6	1083	66.09%	Skala IF	0	897	14.76%	19.16%
10	2002-10-05	47.30	@ B36 Torshavn	6	1183	66.61%	Vagur	0	990	14.28%	19.11%
11	2002-09-15	44.74	HB Torshavn	2	1192	36.14%	@ NSI Runavik	0	1176	43.83%	20.02%
12	2002-05-09	41.58	B68 Toftir	4	1000	48.78%	@ TB Tvoroyri	1	893	31.25%	19.97%
13	2002-06-02	41.52	@ NSI Runavik	3	967	32.48%	Skala IF	1	1064	47.53%	19.99%
14	2002-05-26	41.42	@ HB Torshavn	3	1110	54.76%	GI Gota	0	1040	25.42%	19.82%
15	2002-09-01	40.88	@ HB Torshavn	3	1151	55.16%	Vagur	0	1077	25.03%	19.81%
16	2002-09-22	38.15	@ KI Klaksvik	5	1187	59.40%	GI Gota	1	1075	20.97%	19.63%
17	2002-07-31	37.95	@ EB-Streymur	4	855	63.62%	TB Tvoroyri	0	698	17.02%	19.36%
18	2002-06-16	37.22	KI Klaksvik	3	1066	38.22%	@ GI Gota	1	1036	41.74%	20.03%
19	2002-09-03	36.37	B36 Torshavn	4	1159	53.49%	@ B68 Toftir	1	1014	26.65%	19.86%
20	2002-05-05	35.40	@ TB Tvoroyri	1	858	13.60%	Vagur	0	1146	67.37%	19.03%
21	2002-06-22	34.92	@ EB-Streymur	2	851	10.88%	HB Torshavn	1	1184	70.48%	18.65%
22	2002-06-16	34.24	HB Torshavn	3	1150	59.97%	@ Skala IF	0	946	20.43%	19.60%
23	2002-05-05	32.63	@ EB-Streymur	1	920	18.42%	Skala IF	0	1146	62.11%	19.47%
24	2002-09-29	32.60	@ Vagur	2	957	14.99%	KI Klaksvik	1	1226	65.83%	19.18%
25	2002-09-15	31.81	@ Skala IF	3	816	45.62%	EB-Streymur	1	818	34.37%	20.01%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2002-09-15	61.7	@ B36 Torshavn	3	1195	47.12%	KI Klaksvik	3	1186	32.89%	19.99%
2	2002-08-11	61.5	@ EB-Streymur	3	868	24.72%	B68 Toftir	3	1029	55.48%	19.79%
3	2002-07-07	57.5	@ Skala IF	2	893	17.89%	KI Klaksvik	2	1125	62.67%	19.43%
4	2002-10-05	57.5	Skala IF	3	892	15.36%	@ B68 Toftir	2	1070	65.42%	19.22%
5	2002-06-23	57.4	@ TB Tvoroyri	2	703	19.88%	Skala IF	2	912	60.56%	19.56%
6	2002-09-29	57.4	@ GI Gota	2	1037	26.21%	B36 Torshavn	2	1185	53.94%	19.85%
7	2002-06-23	56.4	GI Gota	3	999	19.14%	@ B36 Torshavn	2	1131	61.34%	19.52%
8	2002-10-05	55.0	NSI Runavik	3	1109	23.84%	@ KI Klaksvik	2	1193	56.40%	19.76%
9	2002-06-22	54.3	@ EB-Streymur	2	851	10.88%	HB Torshavn	1	1184	70.48%	18.65%
10	2002-05-09	53.5	@ NSI Runavik	3	913	28.66%	GI Gota	2	1041	51.43%	19.91%
11	2002-09-22	53.5	@ EB-Streymur	1	787	7.43%	B36 Torshavn	1	1194	74.68%	17.89%
12	2002-09-29	53.1	@ Vagur	2	957	14.99%	KI Klaksvik	1	1226	65.83%	19.18%
13	2002-05-09	52.9	@ Skala IF	1	1113	48.91%	B36 Torshavn	1	1091	31.13%	19.96%
14	2002-06-05	52.9	@ B68 Toftir	1	1017	47.07%	NSI Runavik	1	1009	32.94%	19.99%
15	2002-06-09	52.9	@ TB Tvoroyri	1	711	24.18%	EB-Streymur	1	878	56.04%	19.77%
16	2002-06-09	52.9	@ B68 Toftir	1	1015	27.49%	HB Torshavn	1	1153	52.63%	19.88%
17	2002-07-07	52.9	@ NSI Runavik	1	1054	41.95%	B36 Torshavn	1	1083	38.02%	20.03%
18	2002-05-05	52.8	@ B68 Toftir	1	1000	40.23%	GI Gota	1	1041	39.73%	20.04%
19	2002-08-25	51.7	HB Torshavn	4	1134	46.16%	@ GI Gota	3	1047	33.83%	20.00%
20	2002-08-04	50.9	@ KI Klaksvik	3	1120	37.65%	HB Torshavn	2	1179	42.32%	20.03%
21	2002-06-16	50.8	B68 Toftir	2	1018	22.68%	@ Vagur	1	1114	57.61%	19.71%
22	2002-09-29	50.8	B68 Toftir	2	1041	22.54%	@ NSI Runavik	1	1137	57.75%	19.70%
23	2002-06-09	50.7	NSI Runavik	3	1010	17.42%	@ B36 Torshavn	1	1162	63.19%	19.40%
24	2002-08-04	50.4	@ B68 Toftir	0	1040	77.23%	TB Tvoroyri	0	660	5.53%	17.24%
25	2002-08-25	50.0	@ Vagur	0	1086	70.67%	Skala IF	0	836	10.71%	18.62%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2002-09-22	24.7	@ HB Torshavn	5	1236	77.61%	Skala IF	0	848	5.27%	17.12%
2	2002-08-25	27.1	@ NSI Runavik	4	1123	70.84%	EB-Streymur	0	870	10.57%	18.59%
3	2002-09-29	27.4	@ HB Torshavn	2	1251	80.01%	EB-Streymur	0	795	3.71%	16.27%
4	2002-09-02	27.6	KI Klaksvik	4	1159	69.20%	@ EB-Streymur	0	846	11.99%	18.82%
5	2002-09-01	27.8	GI Gota	3	1030	72.52%	@ TB Tvoroyri	0	664	9.16%	18.32%
6	2002-09-02	27.8	NSI Runavik	4	1147	68.45%	@ Skala IF	0	845	12.64%	18.91%
7	2002-09-15	28.1	@ Vagur	6	1037	77.62%	TB Tvoroyri	1	647	5.26%	17.12%
8	2002-10-05	28.1	@ B36 Torshavn	6	1183	66.61%	Vagur	0	990	14.28%	19.11%
9	2002-08-04	28.2	@ B36 Torshavn	6	1083	66.09%	Skala IF	0	897	14.76%	19.16%
10	2002-09-29	28.5	@ Skala IF	8	833	67.45%	TB Tvoroyri	0	629	13.53%	19.02%
11	2002-06-30	28.8	@ HB Torshavn	9	1149	79.56%	TB Tvoroyri	3	707	3.99%	16.45%
12	2002-07-31	29.3	@ EB-Streymur	4	855	63.62%	TB Tvoroyri	0	698	17.02%	19.36%
13	2002-06-02	29.7	@ GI Gota	2	999	72.22%	TB Tvoroyri	0	723	9.41%	18.37%
14	2002-06-16	29.7	@ NSI Runavik	5	1065	75.95%	TB Tvoroyri	1	715	6.46%	17.59%
15	2002-08-04	29.7	@ Vagur	3	1080	66.20%	EB-Streymur	0	893	14.66%	19.15%
16	2002-06-30	30.9	@ GI Gota	3	1028	62.26%	EB-Streymur	0	886	18.28%	19.46%
17	2002-05-26	31.2	B36 Torshavn	8	1069	69.64%	@ TB Tvoroyri	2	749	11.60%	18.76%
18	2002-06-16	31.6	HB Torshavn	3	1150	59.97%	@ Skala IF	0	946	20.43%	19.60%
19	2002-06-16	32.5	@ B36 Torshavn	7	1108	69.61%	EB-Streymur	2	874	11.62%	18.76%
20	2002-08-11	32.6	KI Klaksvik	3	1141	77.44%	@ TB Tvoroyri	1	671	5.39%	17.18%
21	2002-05-20	33.0	@ KI Klaksvik	7	892	51.20%	TB Tvoroyri	0	852	28.88%	19.92%
22	2002-09-01	33.0	@ HB Torshavn	3	1151	55.16%	Vagur	0	1077	25.03%	19.81%
23	2002-05-26	33.1	@ HB Torshavn	3	1110	54.76%	GI Gota	0	1040	25.42%	19.82%
24	2002-08-25	33.2	@ B36 Torshavn	2	1157	81.12%	TB Tvoroyri	1	665	3.08%	15.80%
25	2002-05-05	34.0	@ HB Torshavn	4	995	48.04%	NSI Runavik	0	979	31.98%	19.98%