1956 Mestaruussarja Season

90 games

Final

Champion

KuPS

27 points · 1st Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

KuPS

5.90 points above expected

27 points · 21.10 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

VIFK

5.94 points below expected

13 points · 18.94 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	KuPS Champion	18	11	5	2	27	31	12	+19	21.10	+5.90
2	HJK	18	9	3	6	21	39	28	+11	19.26	+1.74
3	Kiffen 08	18	7	6	5	20	32	18	+14	19.15	+0.85
4	Ilves-Kissat	18	9	2	7	20	33	36	-3	19.28	+0.72
5	Haka	18	6	5	7	17	18	18	0	18.46	-1.46
6	VPS	18	7	3	8	17	29	30	-1	18.65	-1.65
7	KTP	18	7	3	8	17	28	29	-1	18.31	-1.31
8	HPS Helsinki	18	7	2	9	16	28	34	-6	13.66	+2.34
9	VIFK	18	6	1	11	13	25	32	-7	18.94	-5.94
10	Pyrkiva Turku	18	6	0	12	12	20	46	-26	13.19	-1.19

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	KuPS	27	21.10	+5.90
2	HPS Helsinki	16	13.66	+2.34
3	HJK	21	19.26	+1.74
4	Kiffen 08	20	19.15	+0.85
5	Ilves-Kissat	20	19.28	+0.72

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	VIFK	13	18.94	-5.94
2	VPS	17	18.65	-1.65
3	Haka	17	18.46	-1.46
4	KTP	17	18.31	-1.31
5	Pyrkiva Turku	12	13.19	-1.19

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	HPS Helsinki	3	Aug 12 – Sep 2	1 in 39
2	HJK	4	Aug 19 – Sep 11	1 in 33
3	Pyrkiva Turku	2	Aug 19 – Sep 2	1 in 19
4	Ilves-Kissat	3	Aug 5 – Aug 19	1 in 17
5	KTP	3	Jul 29 – Aug 12	1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	VPS	4	Jul 29 – Aug 19	1 in 40
2	HPS Helsinki	5	Sep 6 – Oct 14	1 in 23
3	VIFK	4	May 6 – May 21	1 in 22
4	Pyrkiva Turku	5	May 12 – Jun 17	1 in 21
5	KTP	3	Aug 19 – Sep 9	1 in 21

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	KuPS	9	May 6 – Jul 29	1 in 61
2	HPS Helsinki	4	May 5 – May 23	1 in 48
3	KTP	6	Jun 3 – Aug 12	1 in 19
4	Haka	5	Jun 3 – Aug 5	1 in 15
5	Kiffen 08	5	Sep 9 – Oct 14	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kiffen 08	6	May 21 – Jul 27	1 in 41
2	VPS	6	Jun 21 – Sep 2	1 in 22
3	Haka	5	Sep 9 – Oct 14	1 in 18
4	KTP	5	Aug 19 – Sep 30	1 in 17
5	Ilves-Kissat	3	May 5 – May 13	1 in 7

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
KuPS	1246	27	+17	9	6.6	+2.4
HJK	1201	21	+13	7	5.5	+1.5
Kiffen 08	1204	20	+16	8	5.3	+2.7
Ilves-Kissat	1186	20	+16	7	5.9	+1.1
VPS	1156	17	+3	5	5.1	-0.1
KTP	1165	17	-2	4	4.8	-0.8
Haka	1159	17	-18	2	5.2	-3.2
HPS Helsinki	1053	16	-30	0	3.8	-3.8
VIFK	1151	13	-15	4	4.7	-0.7
Pyrkiva Turku	1039	12	-1	4	3.3	+0.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	HJK	HH	HAK	ILV	KTP	K0	KUP	PT	VIF	VPS
HJK	—	1-0-1 3.66	1-1-0 2.89	0-0-2 2.85	1-1-0 2.98	1-1-0 2.66	1-0-1 2.42	2-0-0 3.59	1-0-1 3.00	1-0-1 2.99
HPS Helsinki	1-0-1 1.99	—	1-1-0 1.99	1-0-1 1.79	1-0-1 2.06	1-0-1 1.87	0-1-1 1.70	1-0-1 2.82	1-0-1 2.10	0-0-2 2.08
Haka	0-1-1 2.76	0-1-1 3.66	—	2-0-0 2.77	0-1-1 2.93	1-1-0 2.68	0-1-1 2.48	1-0-1 3.62	0-0-2 2.98	2-0-0 2.77
Ilves-Kissat	2-0-0 2.80	1-0-1 3.86	0-0-2 2.87	—	1-0-1 2.85	0-1-1 2.81	1-0-1 2.35	2-0-0 3.67	2-0-0 2.87	0-1-1 3.07
KTP	0-1-1 2.66	1-0-1 3.59	1-1-0 2.71	1-0-1 2.80	—	1-1-0 2.69	0-0-2 2.48	1-0-1 3.64	2-0-0 2.79	0-0-2 2.83
Kiffen 08	0-1-1 2.98	1-0-1 3.79	0-1-1 2.97	1-1-0 2.83	0-1-1 2.96	—	0-2-0 2.59	2-0-0 3.75	2-0-0 2.97	1-0-1 2.91
KuPS	1-0-1 3.23	1-1-0 3.96	1-1-0 3.17	1-0-1 3.30	2-0-0 3.17	0-2-0 3.06	—	2-0-0 3.99	2-0-0 3.20	1-1-0 3.23
Pyrkiva Turku	0-0-2 2.06	1-0-1 2.83	1-0-1 2.04	0-0-2 1.99	1-0-1 2.01	0-0-2 1.90	0-0-2 1.67	—	1-0-1 1.96	2-0-0 2.12
VIFK	1-0-1 2.64	1-0-1 3.55	2-0-0 2.67	0-0-2 2.78	0-0-2 2.86	0-0-2 2.67	0-0-2 2.45	1-0-1 3.70	—	1-1-0 2.74
VPS	1-0-1 2.65	2-0-0 3.58	0-0-2 2.88	1-1-0 2.58	2-0-0 2.82	1-0-1 2.74	0-1-1 2.42	0-0-2 3.54	0-1-1 2.91	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.39	+4.4
Allowed	0.53	-3.1
Differential	0.77	+3.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.89%	7.78%	4.44%	2.22%	2.22%	1.11%	26.67%
1	7.78%	6.67%	7.78%	4.44%	2.22%	1.11%	30.00%
2	4.44%	7.78%	1.11%	5.00%	0.56%	—	18.89%
3	2.22%	4.44%	5.00%	—	1.67%	1.11%	14.44%
4	2.22%	2.22%	0.56%	1.67%	—	—	6.67%
5+	1.11%	1.11%	—	1.11%	—	—	3.33%
Total	26.67%	30.00%	18.89%	14.44%	6.67%	3.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.57	1.57	+0.00
SD	1.45	1.45	2.06
CV	0.92	0.92	—
Max	7	7	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 90

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	—	11.11%	—	—	—	22.22%
1	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
2	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	33.33%
3	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	11.11%	—	22.22%
4	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	27.78%	22.22%	27.78%	11.11%	11.11%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.17	1.56	+0.61
SD	1.62	1.34	1.97
CV	0.75	0.86	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	22.22%
1	11.11%	11.11%	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	33.33%
2	5.56%	11.11%	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	27.78%
3	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	16.67%	38.89%	11.11%	11.11%	16.67%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.56	1.89	-0.33
SD	1.46	1.57	2.11
CV	0.94	0.83	—
Max	6	5	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	22.22%	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	50.00%
1	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	22.22%
2	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
3	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	50.00%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.00	+0.00
SD	1.28	0.84	1.50
CV	1.28	0.84	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	22.22%
1	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	33.33%
2	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
3	—	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	5.56%	22.22%
4	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%
Total	27.78%	16.67%	16.67%	22.22%	5.56%	11.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.83	2.00	-0.17
SD	1.58	1.81	2.33
CV	0.86	0.91	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
1	11.11%	5.56%	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	—	44.44%
2	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
3	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	22.22%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	16.67%	33.33%	11.11%	11.11%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.56	1.61	-0.06
SD	1.20	1.33	1.92
CV	0.77	0.83	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	27.78%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	38.89%
1	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	16.67%
2	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
3	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
Total	44.44%	33.33%	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.78	1.00	+0.78
SD	2.13	1.24	2.18
CV	1.20	1.24	—
Max	7	4	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	22.22%
1	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
2	16.67%	22.22%	—	5.56%	—	—	44.44%
3	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	50.00%	38.89%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.72	0.67	+1.06
SD	1.18	0.84	1.39
CV	0.68	1.26	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	27.78%
1	11.11%	—	11.11%	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	50.00%
2	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
3	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	16.67%	22.22%	27.78%	11.11%	11.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	2.56	-1.44
SD	1.08	1.72	2.20
CV	0.97	0.67	—
Max	4	6	+1
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	27.78%
1	11.11%	5.56%	16.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	5.56%	—	—	16.67%	—	—	22.22%
3	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	27.78%	22.22%	27.78%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	1.78	-0.39
SD	1.29	1.22	1.79
CV	0.93	0.68	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	11.11%	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	—	5.56%	50.00%
2	—	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%
3	—	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	16.67%	38.89%	27.78%	11.11%	—	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.61	1.67	-0.06
SD	1.42	1.61	2.31
CV	0.88	0.97	—
Max	5	7	+5
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 18

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
KuPS	1246	27	21.10	+5.90	96.0%	11	15	19	21	23	27	30
Kiffen 08	1204	20	19.15	+0.85	65.0%	8	14	16	19	22	25	29
HJK	1201	21	19.26	+1.74	75.0%	11	13	17	19	21	25	27
Ilves-Kissat	1186	20	19.28	+0.72	59.0%	10	12	17	19	22	25	28
KTP	1165	17	18.31	-1.31	43.0%	11	13	16	18	21	24	26
Haka	1159	17	18.46	-1.46	43.0%	10	12	16	19	21	25	27
VPS	1156	17	18.65	-1.65	43.0%	8	11	16	19	22	25	27
VIFK	1151	13	18.94	-5.94	9.0%	7	12	16	19	21	25	27
HPS Helsinki	1053	16	13.66	+2.34	73.0%	3	7	11	13	17	20	23
Pyrkiva Turku	1039	12	13.19	-1.19	42.0%	7	7	10	13	16	19	23

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 9.5% * Slight Edge: 9.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 20% * Strong Edge: 20% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+12.22%

Slight Edge

47.78%16.67%35.56%

Elo Value

Home Edge

139 Elo

0.007 goals per Elo point

042.68400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.30 goals

Neutral

-2+0.31+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.21 * Runaway: 0.21 and up.

Title-Race Openness

6.7

Wide Open

134510

Champion Preseason Odds

24%

KuPS, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.33/gm

Runaway

00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.94 * Some Luck: 2.94 to 4.42 * Lucky: 4.42 to 5.89 * Wild Swing: 5.89 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.85 * Close: 1.85 to 2.78 * Off: 2.78 to 3.71 * Way Off: 3.71 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

2.96 points

Some Luck

03.689

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.20

Pinpoint

02.325

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

96.00%

KuPS

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

9.00%

VIFK

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.7 * Strong Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 62.5% * Slight Edge: 62.5% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82.5% * Clear Edge: 82.5% to 90% * Strong Edge: 90% to 93% * Dominant: 93% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 57.5% * Frequent: 57.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 21.5% * Frequent: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.12

Balanced

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 64.79

1.11

Coin-Flip Parity

0.951.41.71.92.5

Interquartile Edge

56%

Even

50%62.5%70%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

77%

Even

50%77%100%

Close Games

Expected

61%

Frequent

0%53%100%

Blowouts

Expected

19%

Occasional

0%23%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.33 * Slight Separation: 0.33 to 0.37 * Notable Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.21 * Some Carryover: 0.21 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23% * As Expected: 23% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19.5% * As Expected: 19.5% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25.5% * Very Shaky: 25.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.61

Predictable

00.602

Matchup Imbalance

0.26

Very Even

00.330.410.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.66

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.65

Near-Lock

00.210.460.591

Upset Rate

Expected

33%

Very Upset-Prone

0%30%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

35%

Very Shaky

0%27%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.16 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.16 to 0.24 * Above Noise: 0.24 to 0.32 * Well Above Noise: 0.32 and up.

Probability calibration

0.99

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.64

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.086

Well Within Noise

00.1580.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
KuPS	24.00%	22.00%	19.00%	9.00%	8.00%	7.00%	7.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—
HJK	12.00%	13.00%	11.00%	11.00%	19.00%	12.00%	12.00%	4.00%	3.00%	3.00%
Kiffen 08	15.00%	12.00%	13.00%	14.00%	10.00%	11.00%	10.00%	5.00%	8.00%	2.00%
Ilves-Kissat	12.00%	14.00%	9.00%	17.00%	10.00%	10.00%	8.00%	6.00%	11.00%	3.00%
Haka	7.00%	7.00%	13.00%	12.00%	13.00%	8.00%	11.00%	19.00%	8.00%	2.00%
VPS	16.00%	10.00%	7.00%	7.00%	13.00%	8.00%	14.00%	12.00%	8.00%	5.00%
KTP	6.00%	7.00%	15.00%	10.00%	7.00%	14.00%	17.00%	9.00%	11.00%	4.00%
HPS Helsinki	—	1.00%	3.00%	5.00%	4.00%	12.00%	5.00%	14.00%	22.00%	34.00%
VIFK	8.00%	13.00%	10.00%	12.00%	11.00%	13.00%	10.00%	11.00%	5.00%	7.00%
Pyrkiva Turku	—	1.00%	—	3.00%	5.00%	5.00%	6.00%	18.00%	22.00%	40.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
KuPS	98.00%	2.00%
HJK	94.00%	6.00%
Haka	90.00%	10.00%
Kiffen 08	90.00%	10.00%
VIFK	88.00%	12.00%
VPS	87.00%	13.00%
Ilves-Kissat	86.00%	14.00%
KTP	85.00%	15.00%
HPS Helsinki	44.00%	56.00%
Pyrkiva Turku	38.00%	62.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1956-05-05	Ilves-Kissat	W 1-0	44.5	1044	1193	29.80%	17.36%	52.84%	-0.77	+5.1	2
1956-05-05	@ HPS Helsinki	L 0-1	44.5	1193	1044	52.84%	17.36%	29.80%	+0.77	-5.1	0
1956-05-06	Pyrkiva Turku	W 4-1	34.3	1168	1096	58.80%	17.31%	23.89%	+0.83	+6.0	2
1956-05-06	@ Haka	L 1-4	34.3	1096	1168	23.89%	17.31%	58.80%	-0.83	-5.9	0
1956-05-06	VIFK	W 3-0	32.7	1177	1185	48.96%	17.64%	33.40%	+0.25	+9.5	2
1956-05-06	@ Kiffen 08	L 0-3	32.7	1185	1177	33.40%	17.64%	48.96%	-0.25	-9.5	0
1956-05-06	KuPS	L 1-2	47.3	1170	1195	46.59%	17.67%	35.74%	+0.12	-4.3	0
1956-05-06	@ KTP	W 2-1	47.3	1195	1170	35.74%	17.67%	46.59%	-0.12	+4.3	2
1956-05-06	HJK	W 3-2	48.0	1160	1173	48.30%	17.65%	34.05%	+0.21	+3.1	2
1956-05-06	@ VPS	L 2-3	48.0	1173	1160	34.05%	17.65%	48.30%	-0.21	-3.1	0
1956-05-10	Haka	D 0-0	51.4	1170	1174	49.46%	17.63%	32.90%	+0.28	-0.4	1
1956-05-10	@ HJK	D 0-0	51.4	1174	1170	32.90%	17.63%	49.46%	-0.28	+0.4	3
1956-05-10	Kiffen 08	D 0-0	51.4	1188	1186	50.23%	17.62%	32.15%	+0.32	-0.5	1
1956-05-10	@ Ilves-Kissat	D 0-0	51.4	1186	1188	32.15%	17.62%	50.23%	-0.32	+0.5	3
1956-05-10	HPS Helsinki	L 1-2	52.0	1165	1049	63.45%	16.98%	19.57%	+1.14	-5.7	0
1956-05-10	@ KTP	W 2-1	52.0	1049	1165	19.57%	16.98%	63.45%	-1.14	+5.7	4
1956-05-10	VPS	W 1-0	41.5	1090	1164	39.83%	17.65%	42.52%	-0.22	+4.2	2
1956-05-10	@ Pyrkiva Turku	L 0-1	41.5	1164	1090	42.52%	17.65%	39.83%	+0.22	-4.2	2
1956-05-10	KuPS	L 0-2	39.3	1175	1199	46.75%	17.67%	35.59%	+0.13	-8.6	0
1956-05-10	@ VIFK	W 2-0	39.3	1199	1175	35.59%	17.67%	46.75%	-0.13	+8.6	4
1956-05-12	Pyrkiva Turku	W 4-0	28.0	1187	1094	60.98%	17.17%	21.85%	+0.97	+8.5	5
1956-05-12	@ Kiffen 08	L 0-4	28.0	1094	1187	21.85%	17.17%	60.98%	-0.97	-8.5	2
1956-05-13	KTP	L 1-2	48.8	1175	1160	51.94%	17.58%	30.48%	+0.41	-4.7	3
1956-05-13	@ Haka	W 2-1	48.8	1160	1175	30.48%	17.58%	51.94%	-0.41	+4.7	2
1956-05-13	VIFK	W 1-0	38.4	1170	1167	50.42%	17.62%	31.97%	+0.33	+3.3	3
1956-05-13	@ HJK	L 0-1	38.4	1167	1170	31.97%	17.62%	50.42%	-0.33	-3.3	0
1956-05-13	HPS Helsinki	D 1-1	55.3	1208	1055	66.89%	16.63%	16.48%	+1.41	-1.2	5
1956-05-13	@ KuPS	D 1-1	55.3	1055	1208	16.48%	16.63%	66.89%	-1.41	+1.2	5
1956-05-13	Ilves-Kissat	W 5-0	32.6	1159	1187	46.21%	17.67%	36.12%	+0.10	+16.2	4
1956-05-13	@ VPS	L 0-5	32.6	1187	1159	36.12%	17.67%	46.21%	-0.10	-16.2	1
1956-05-21	Kiffen 08	W 2-1	44.0	1170	1195	46.62%	17.67%	35.72%	+0.13	+3.4	5
1956-05-21	@ Haka	L 1-2	44.0	1195	1170	35.72%	17.67%	46.62%	-0.13	-3.4	5
1956-05-21	VIFK	W 3-2	47.2	1171	1163	51.05%	17.60%	31.35%	+0.36	+2.9	3
1956-05-21	@ Ilves-Kissat	L 2-3	47.2	1163	1171	31.35%	17.60%	51.05%	-0.36	-2.9	0
1956-05-21	Pyrkiva Turku	W 2-1	38.7	1207	1086	63.90%	16.94%	19.17%	+1.18	+2.0	7
1956-05-21	@ KuPS	L 1-2	38.7	1086	1207	19.17%	16.94%	63.90%	-1.18	-2.0	2
1956-05-21	KTP	W 4-1	36.5	1176	1164	51.45%	17.59%	30.96%	+0.39	+7.5	6
1956-05-21	@ VPS	L 1-4	36.5	1164	1176	30.96%	17.59%	51.45%	-0.39	-7.5	2
1956-05-23	HPS Helsinki	L 0-2	44.1	1173	1056	63.52%	16.97%	19.51%	+1.15	-11.5	3
1956-05-23	@ HJK	W 2-0	44.1	1056	1173	19.51%	16.97%	63.52%	-1.15	+11.5	7
1956-05-26	KuPS	D 0-0	51.4	1192	1209	47.71%	17.66%	34.63%	+0.18	-0.3	6
1956-05-26	@ Kiffen 08	D 0-0	51.4	1209	1192	34.63%	17.66%	47.71%	-0.18	+0.3	8
1956-05-27	VPS	L 2-3	47.9	1067	1183	34.03%	17.53%	48.44%	-0.53	-3.1	7
1956-05-27	@ HPS Helsinki	W 3-2	47.9	1183	1067	48.44%	17.53%	34.03%	+0.53	+3.1	8
1956-05-27	HJK	L 1-2	48.0	1157	1162	49.40%	17.63%	32.96%	+0.27	-4.5	2
1956-05-27	@ KTP	W 2-1	48.0	1162	1157	32.96%	17.63%	49.40%	-0.27	+4.5	5
1956-05-27	Ilves-Kissat	L 0-1	40.0	1084	1174	37.47%	17.61%	44.92%	-0.34	-3.8	2
1956-05-27	@ Pyrkiva Turku	W 1-0	40.0	1174	1084	44.92%	17.61%	37.47%	+0.34	+3.8	5
1956-05-27	Haka	W 1-0	39.0	1160	1173	48.27%	17.65%	34.07%	+0.21	+3.5	2
1956-05-27	@ VIFK	L 0-1	39.0	1173	1160	34.07%	17.65%	48.27%	-0.21	-3.5	5
1956-06-02	HJK	D 0-0	51.4	1191	1166	53.25%	17.55%	29.21%	+0.49	-0.6	7
1956-06-02	@ Kiffen 08	D 0-0	51.4	1166	1191	29.21%	17.55%	53.25%	-0.49	+0.6	6
1956-06-03	Haka	L 1-2	48.6	1178	1170	51.07%	17.60%	31.33%	+0.37	-4.7	5
1956-06-03	@ Ilves-Kissat	W 2-1	48.6	1170	1178	31.33%	17.60%	51.07%	-0.37	+4.7	7
1956-06-03	Pyrkiva Turku	W 3-0	29.7	1152	1080	58.83%	17.30%	23.87%	+0.83	+7.0	4
1956-06-03	@ KTP	L 0-3	29.7	1080	1152	23.87%	17.30%	58.83%	-0.83	-7.0	2
1956-06-03	VPS	W 3-2	46.7	1209	1186	52.97%	17.55%	29.48%	+0.47	+2.8	10
1956-06-03	@ KuPS	L 2-3	46.7	1186	1209	29.48%	17.55%	52.97%	-0.47	-2.8	8
1956-06-03	HPS Helsinki	W 4-1	33.4	1164	1064	61.75%	17.11%	21.13%	+1.02	+5.3	4
1956-06-03	@ VIFK	L 1-4	33.4	1064	1164	21.13%	17.11%	61.75%	-1.02	-5.3	7
1956-06-16	Haka	D 1-1	55.0	1059	1174	34.05%	17.53%	48.43%	-0.52	+0.3	8
1956-06-16	@ HPS Helsinki	D 1-1	55.0	1174	1059	48.43%	17.53%	34.05%	+0.52	-0.3	8
1956-06-17	KuPS	L 0-2	38.5	1167	1212	43.83%	17.68%	38.50%	-0.02	-8.2	6
1956-06-17	@ HJK	W 2-0	38.5	1212	1167	38.50%	17.68%	43.83%	+0.02	+8.2	12
1956-06-17	Ilves-Kissat	W 3-1	40.3	1160	1173	48.17%	17.65%	34.17%	+0.21	+5.8	6
1956-06-17	@ KTP	L 1-3	40.3	1173	1160	34.17%	17.65%	48.17%	-0.21	-5.7	5
1956-06-17	VIFK	L 1-3	41.0	1073	1169	36.66%	17.59%	45.74%	-0.38	-6.1	2
1956-06-17	@ Pyrkiva Turku	W 3-1	41.0	1169	1073	45.74%	17.59%	36.66%	+0.38	+6.1	6
1956-06-17	Kiffen 08	W 1-0	38.8	1183	1191	49.03%	17.64%	33.33%	+0.25	+3.4	10
1956-06-17	@ VPS	L 0-1	38.8	1191	1183	33.33%	17.64%	49.03%	-0.25	-3.5	7
1956-06-21	KTP	D 1-1	55.1	1187	1165	52.84%	17.56%	29.60%	+0.47	-0.5	8
1956-06-21	@ Kiffen 08	D 1-1	55.1	1165	1187	29.60%	17.56%	52.84%	-0.47	+0.5	7
1956-06-21	VPS	D 1-1	55.1	1175	1187	48.47%	17.65%	33.89%	+0.22	-0.3	7
1956-06-21	@ VIFK	D 1-1	55.1	1187	1175	33.89%	17.65%	48.47%	-0.22	+0.3	11
1956-06-24	KuPS	D 0-0	51.4	1174	1220	43.73%	17.68%	38.59%	-0.02	-0.1	9
1956-06-24	@ Haka	D 0-0	51.4	1220	1174	38.59%	17.68%	43.73%	+0.02	+0.1	13
1956-06-24	Pyrkiva Turku	L 0-1	43.4	1059	1067	48.98%	17.64%	33.38%	+0.25	-4.8	8
1956-06-24	@ HPS Helsinki	W 1-0	43.4	1067	1059	33.38%	17.64%	48.98%	-0.25	+4.8	4
1956-06-24	HJK	W 4-3	50.3	1168	1159	51.18%	17.60%	31.22%	+0.37	+2.8	7
1956-06-24	@ Ilves-Kissat	L 3-4	50.3	1159	1168	31.22%	17.60%	51.18%	-0.37	-2.8	6
1956-07-27	Kiffen 08	W 3-2	52.9	1054	1187	31.88%	17.45%	50.67%	-0.65	+4.4	10
1956-07-27	@ HPS Helsinki	L 2-3	52.9	1187	1054	50.67%	17.45%	31.88%	+0.65	-4.4	8
1956-07-29	VPS	W 3-1	40.3	1174	1187	48.26%	17.65%	34.08%	+0.21	+5.7	11
1956-07-29	@ Haka	L 1-3	40.3	1187	1174	34.08%	17.65%	48.26%	-0.21	-5.7	11
1956-07-29	Ilves-Kissat	W 4-0	29.5	1220	1170	56.24%	17.43%	26.32%	+0.67	+10.0	15
1956-07-29	@ KuPS	L 0-4	29.5	1170	1220	26.32%	17.43%	56.24%	-0.67	-10.0	7
1956-07-29	HJK	L 0-6	33.9	1072	1156	38.34%	17.63%	44.03%	-0.30	-20.3	4
1956-07-29	@ Pyrkiva Turku	W 6-0	33.9	1156	1072	44.03%	17.63%	38.34%	+0.30	+20.3	8
1956-07-29	KTP	L 2-3	53.2	1175	1166	51.20%	17.60%	31.20%	+0.37	-4.4	7
1956-07-29	@ VIFK	W 3-2	53.2	1166	1175	31.20%	17.60%	51.20%	-0.37	+4.4	9
1956-08-03	HPS Helsinki	W 3-1	35.5	1182	1059	64.15%	16.91%	18.94%	+1.20	+3.4	10
1956-08-03	@ Kiffen 08	L 1-3	35.5	1059	1182	18.94%	16.91%	64.15%	-1.20	-3.4	10
1956-08-05	Pyrkiva Turku	W 3-1	35.4	1176	1051	64.23%	16.91%	18.86%	+1.20	+3.4	10
1956-08-05	@ HJK	L 1-3	35.4	1051	1176	18.86%	16.91%	64.23%	-1.20	-3.4	4
1956-08-05	KuPS	W 1-0	41.5	1160	1230	40.32%	17.65%	42.03%	-0.20	+4.2	9
1956-08-05	@ Ilves-Kissat	L 0-1	41.5	1230	1160	42.03%	17.65%	40.32%	+0.20	-4.2	15
1956-08-05	VIFK	W 1-0	38.5	1170	1170	49.97%	17.62%	32.40%	+0.30	+3.4	11
1956-08-05	@ KTP	L 0-1	38.5	1170	1170	32.40%	17.62%	49.97%	-0.30	-3.4	7
1956-08-05	Haka	L 0-1	43.9	1181	1180	50.22%	17.62%	32.16%	+0.32	-4.9	11
1956-08-05	@ VPS	W 1-0	43.9	1180	1181	32.16%	17.62%	50.22%	-0.32	+4.9	13
1956-08-12	Ilves-Kissat	L 2-3	53.4	1179	1165	51.93%	17.58%	30.49%	+0.41	-4.5	10
1956-08-12	@ HJK	W 3-2	53.4	1165	1179	30.49%	17.58%	51.93%	-0.41	+4.5	11
1956-08-12	Kiffen 08	W 1-0	39.0	1174	1186	48.38%	17.65%	33.97%	+0.22	+3.5	13
1956-08-12	@ KTP	L 0-1	39.0	1186	1174	33.97%	17.65%	48.38%	-0.22	-3.5	10
1956-08-12	Haka	W 3-0	30.9	1226	1185	55.24%	17.48%	27.29%	+0.60	+7.9	17
1956-08-12	@ KuPS	L 0-3	30.9	1185	1226	27.29%	17.48%	55.24%	-0.60	-7.9	13
1956-08-12	HPS Helsinki	L 1-6	39.5	1048	1055	49.03%	17.64%	33.32%	+0.25	-17.4	4
1956-08-12	@ Pyrkiva Turku	W 6-1	39.5	1055	1048	33.32%	17.64%	49.03%	-0.25	+17.4	12
1956-08-12	VIFK	L 0-2	40.6	1177	1167	51.23%	17.60%	31.17%	+0.37	-9.4	11
1956-08-12	@ VPS	W 2-0	40.6	1167	1177	31.17%	17.60%	51.23%	-0.37	+9.4	9
1956-08-15	HPS Helsinki	L 0-1	47.2	1177	1073	62.19%	17.08%	20.73%	+1.05	-6.0	13
1956-08-15	@ Haka	W 1-0	47.2	1073	1177	20.73%	17.08%	62.19%	-1.05	+6.0	14
1956-08-19	KTP	W 2-0	35.3	1169	1177	48.94%	17.64%	33.42%	+0.25	+6.5	13
1956-08-19	@ Ilves-Kissat	L 0-2	35.3	1177	1169	33.42%	17.64%	48.94%	-0.25	-6.5	13
1956-08-19	VPS	W 7-1	33.9	1182	1167	51.97%	17.58%	30.45%	+0.42	+13.8	12
1956-08-19	@ Kiffen 08	L 1-7	33.9	1167	1182	30.45%	17.58%	51.97%	-0.42	-13.8	11
1956-08-19	HJK	L 2-3	55.1	1234	1175	57.33%	17.38%	25.29%	+0.73	-4.9	17
1956-08-19	@ KuPS	W 3-2	55.1	1175	1234	25.29%	17.38%	57.33%	-0.73	+4.9	12
1956-08-19	Pyrkiva Turku	L 2-3	57.3	1176	1031	66.22%	16.70%	17.08%	+1.36	-5.7	9
1956-08-19	@ VIFK	W 3-2	57.3	1031	1176	17.08%	16.70%	66.22%	-1.36	+5.7	6
1956-08-30	Kiffen 08	W 4-1	37.7	1180	1196	47.83%	17.66%	34.51%	+0.19	+8.2	14
1956-08-30	@ HJK	L 1-4	37.7	1196	1180	34.51%	17.66%	47.83%	-0.19	-8.2	12
1956-09-02	Ilves-Kissat	W 3-1	40.0	1171	1176	49.38%	17.64%	32.99%	+0.27	+5.6	15
1956-09-02	@ Haka	L 1-3	40.0	1176	1171	32.99%	17.64%	49.38%	-0.27	-5.6	13
1956-09-02	VIFK	W 2-1	46.7	1079	1171	37.22%	17.61%	45.17%	-0.36	+4.2	16
1956-09-02	@ HPS Helsinki	L 1-2	46.7	1171	1079	45.17%	17.61%	37.22%	+0.36	-4.2	9
1956-09-02	KTP	W 4-3	56.1	1036	1171	31.64%	17.44%	50.92%	-0.66	+4.3	8
1956-09-02	@ Pyrkiva Turku	L 3-4	56.1	1171	1036	50.92%	17.44%	31.64%	+0.66	-4.3	13
1956-09-02	KuPS	D 1-1	55.1	1153	1229	39.50%	17.64%	42.86%	-0.24	+0.1	12
1956-09-02	@ VPS	D 1-1	55.1	1229	1153	42.86%	17.64%	39.50%	+0.24	-0.1	18
1956-09-06	HJK	L 2-4	44.6	1083	1188	35.46%	17.57%	46.98%	-0.45	-5.3	16
1956-09-06	@ HPS Helsinki	W 4-2	44.6	1188	1083	46.98%	17.57%	35.46%	+0.45	+5.3	16
1956-09-09	Haka	D 0-0	51.4	1188	1176	51.51%	17.59%	30.90%	+0.39	-0.5	13
1956-09-09	@ Kiffen 08	D 0-0	51.4	1176	1188	30.90%	17.59%	51.51%	-0.39	+0.5	16
1956-09-09	VPS	L 1-3	45.5	1166	1153	51.67%	17.59%	30.74%	+0.40	-8.2	13
1956-09-09	@ KTP	W 3-1	45.5	1153	1166	30.74%	17.59%	51.67%	-0.40	+8.2	14
1956-09-09	KuPS	L 1-2	40.6	1041	1229	25.27%	17.09%	57.64%	-1.05	-2.5	8
1956-09-09	@ Pyrkiva Turku	W 2-1	40.6	1229	1041	57.64%	17.09%	25.27%	+1.05	+2.5	20
1956-09-09	Ilves-Kissat	L 0-4	36.5	1167	1170	49.57%	17.63%	32.80%	+0.28	-17.2	9
1956-09-09	@ VIFK	W 4-0	36.5	1170	1167	32.80%	17.63%	49.57%	-0.28	+17.2	15
1956-09-11	VPS	W 2-1	41.8	1193	1162	54.04%	17.52%	28.44%	+0.53	+2.8	18
1956-09-11	@ HJK	L 1-2	41.8	1162	1193	28.44%	17.52%	54.04%	-0.53	-2.8	14
1956-09-19	Pyrkiva Turku	L 1-2	52.1	1159	1038	63.87%	16.94%	19.19%	+1.17	-5.8	14
1956-09-19	@ VPS	W 2-1	52.1	1038	1159	19.19%	16.94%	63.87%	-1.17	+5.8	10
1956-09-23	VIFK	L 0-1	44.8	1177	1149	53.52%	17.54%	28.94%	+0.50	-5.2	16
1956-09-23	@ Haka	W 1-0	44.8	1149	1177	28.94%	17.54%	53.52%	-0.50	+5.2	11
1956-09-23	KTP	D 2-2	59.9	1196	1158	54.82%	17.49%	27.69%	+0.58	-0.4	19
1956-09-23	@ HJK	D 2-2	59.9	1158	1196	27.69%	17.49%	54.82%	-0.58	+0.5	14
1956-09-23	Pyrkiva Turku	W 3-1	34.9	1187	1044	65.99%	16.73%	17.28%	+1.34	+3.1	17
1956-09-23	@ Ilves-Kissat	L 1-3	34.9	1044	1187	17.28%	16.73%	65.99%	-1.34	-3.1	10
1956-09-23	Kiffen 08	D 0-0	51.5	1232	1187	55.57%	17.46%	26.97%	+0.62	-0.7	21
1956-09-23	@ KuPS	D 0-0	51.5	1187	1232	26.97%	17.46%	55.57%	-0.62	+0.7	14
1956-09-23	HPS Helsinki	W 1-0	35.7	1153	1078	59.16%	17.29%	23.55%	+0.85	+2.5	16
1956-09-23	@ VPS	L 0-1	35.7	1078	1153	23.55%	17.29%	59.16%	-0.85	-2.5	16
1956-09-30	KuPS	L 0-2	33.8	1075	1231	29.00%	17.32%	53.68%	-0.81	-5.7	16
1956-09-30	@ HPS Helsinki	W 2-0	33.8	1231	1075	53.68%	17.32%	29.00%	+0.81	+5.7	23
1956-09-30	VPS	D 1-1	55.1	1190	1156	54.41%	17.51%	28.08%	+0.56	-0.6	18
1956-09-30	@ Ilves-Kissat	D 1-1	55.1	1156	1190	28.08%	17.51%	54.41%	-0.56	+0.6	17
1956-09-30	Haka	D 0-0	51.3	1159	1172	48.26%	17.65%	34.09%	+0.21	-0.3	15
1956-09-30	@ KTP	D 0-0	51.3	1172	1159	34.09%	17.65%	48.26%	-0.21	+0.3	17
1956-09-30	Kiffen 08	L 0-2	34.1	1041	1188	30.01%	17.37%	52.62%	-0.75	-5.9	10
1956-09-30	@ Pyrkiva Turku	W 2-0	34.1	1188	1041	52.62%	17.37%	30.01%	+0.75	+5.9	16
1956-09-30	HJK	W 4-3	52.3	1155	1196	44.42%	17.68%	37.91%	+0.01	+3.4	13
1956-09-30	@ VIFK	L 3-4	52.3	1196	1155	37.91%	17.68%	44.42%	-0.01	-3.4	19
1956-10-06	KTP	L 0-4	32.8	1069	1158	37.66%	17.62%	44.72%	-0.33	-13.6	16
1956-10-06	@ HPS Helsinki	W 4-0	32.8	1158	1069	44.72%	17.62%	37.66%	+0.33	+13.6	17
1956-10-07	HJK	L 0-2	39.5	1172	1192	47.29%	17.66%	35.04%	+0.16	-8.7	17
1956-10-07	@ Haka	W 2-0	39.5	1192	1172	35.04%	17.66%	47.29%	-0.16	+8.7	21
1956-10-07	Ilves-Kissat	W 6-3	41.5	1194	1190	50.57%	17.61%	31.82%	+0.34	+6.1	18
1956-10-07	@ Kiffen 08	L 3-6	41.5	1190	1194	31.82%	17.61%	50.57%	-0.34	-6.1	18
1956-10-07	VIFK	W 2-1	40.2	1237	1158	59.52%	17.26%	23.21%	+0.87	+2.4	25
1956-10-07	@ KuPS	L 1-2	40.2	1158	1237	23.21%	17.26%	59.52%	-0.87	-2.4	13
1956-10-14	HPS Helsinki	W 5-3	41.6	1184	1056	64.55%	16.87%	18.57%	+1.23	+2.8	20
1956-10-14	@ Ilves-Kissat	L 3-5	41.6	1056	1184	18.57%	16.87%	64.55%	-1.23	-2.8	16
1956-10-14	KTP	W 3-0	30.0	1239	1172	58.23%	17.34%	24.43%	+0.79	+7.2	27
1956-10-14	@ KuPS	L 0-3	30.0	1172	1239	24.43%	17.34%	58.23%	-0.79	-7.2	17
1956-10-14	Haka	W 2-1	48.1	1035	1163	32.37%	17.47%	50.16%	-0.62	+4.6	12
1956-10-14	@ Pyrkiva Turku	L 1-2	48.1	1163	1035	50.16%	17.47%	32.37%	+0.62	-4.6	17
1956-10-14	Kiffen 08	L 1-2	46.4	1156	1200	43.92%	17.68%	38.40%	-0.01	-4.1	13
1956-10-14	@ VIFK	W 2-1	46.4	1200	1156	38.40%	17.68%	43.92%	+0.01	+4.1	20

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1956-08-19	17.08%	Pyrkiva Turku	1031	3	@ VIFK	1176	2
2	1956-09-19	19.19%	Pyrkiva Turku	1038	2	@ VPS	1159	1
3	1956-05-23	19.51%	HPS Helsinki	1056	2	@ HJK	1173	0
4	1956-05-10	19.57%	HPS Helsinki	1049	2	@ KTP	1165	1
5	1956-08-15	20.73%	HPS Helsinki	1073	1	@ Haka	1177	0
6	1956-08-19	25.29%	HJK	1175	3	@ KuPS	1234	2
7	1956-09-23	28.94%	VIFK	1149	1	@ Haka	1177	0
8	1956-05-05	29.80%	@ HPS Helsinki	1044	1	Ilves-Kissat	1193	0
9	1956-05-13	30.48%	KTP	1160	2	@ Haka	1175	1
10	1956-08-12	30.49%	Ilves-Kissat	1165	3	@ HJK	1179	2
11	1956-09-09	30.74%	VPS	1153	3	@ KTP	1166	1
12	1956-08-12	31.17%	VIFK	1167	2	@ VPS	1177	0
13	1956-07-29	31.20%	KTP	1166	3	@ VIFK	1175	2
14	1956-06-03	31.33%	Haka	1170	2	@ Ilves-Kissat	1178	1
15	1956-09-02	31.64%	@ Pyrkiva Turku	1036	4	KTP	1171	3
16	1956-07-27	31.88%	@ HPS Helsinki	1054	3	Kiffen 08	1187	2
17	1956-08-05	32.16%	Haka	1180	1	@ VPS	1181	0
18	1956-10-14	32.37%	@ Pyrkiva Turku	1035	2	Haka	1163	1
19	1956-09-09	32.80%	Ilves-Kissat	1170	4	@ VIFK	1167	0
20	1956-05-27	32.96%	HJK	1162	2	@ KTP	1157	1
21	1956-08-12	33.32%	HPS Helsinki	1055	6	@ Pyrkiva Turku	1048	1
22	1956-06-24	33.38%	Pyrkiva Turku	1067	1	@ HPS Helsinki	1059	0
23	1956-10-07	35.04%	HJK	1192	2	@ Haka	1172	0
24	1956-05-10	35.59%	KuPS	1199	2	@ VIFK	1175	0
25	1956-05-06	35.74%	KuPS	1195	2	@ KTP	1170	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1956-07-29	20.28	HJK	6	1156	44.03%	@ Pyrkiva Turku	0	1072	38.34%	17.63%
2	1956-08-12	17.43	HPS Helsinki	6	1055	33.32%	@ Pyrkiva Turku	1	1048	49.03%	17.64%
3	1956-09-09	17.24	Ilves-Kissat	4	1170	32.80%	@ VIFK	0	1167	49.57%	17.63%
4	1956-05-13	16.25	@ VPS	5	1159	46.21%	Ilves-Kissat	0	1187	36.12%	17.67%
5	1956-08-19	13.77	@ Kiffen 08	7	1182	51.97%	VPS	1	1167	30.45%	17.58%
6	1956-10-06	13.65	KTP	4	1158	44.72%	@ HPS Helsinki	0	1069	37.66%	17.62%
7	1956-05-23	11.46	HPS Helsinki	2	1056	19.51%	@ HJK	0	1173	63.52%	16.97%
8	1956-07-29	10.04	@ KuPS	4	1220	56.24%	Ilves-Kissat	0	1170	26.32%	17.43%
9	1956-05-06	9.45	@ Kiffen 08	3	1177	48.96%	VIFK	0	1185	33.40%	17.64%
10	1956-08-12	9.37	VIFK	2	1167	31.17%	@ VPS	0	1177	51.23%	17.60%
11	1956-10-07	8.72	HJK	2	1192	35.04%	@ Haka	0	1172	47.29%	17.66%
12	1956-05-10	8.63	KuPS	2	1199	35.59%	@ VIFK	0	1175	46.75%	17.67%
13	1956-05-12	8.50	@ Kiffen 08	4	1187	60.98%	Pyrkiva Turku	0	1094	21.85%	17.17%
14	1956-08-30	8.19	@ HJK	4	1180	47.83%	Kiffen 08	1	1196	34.51%	17.66%
15	1956-06-17	8.17	KuPS	2	1212	38.50%	@ HJK	0	1167	43.83%	17.68%
16	1956-09-09	8.17	VPS	3	1153	30.74%	@ KTP	1	1166	51.67%	17.59%
17	1956-08-12	7.94	@ KuPS	3	1226	55.24%	Haka	0	1185	27.29%	17.48%
18	1956-05-21	7.47	@ VPS	4	1176	51.45%	KTP	1	1164	30.96%	17.59%
19	1956-10-14	7.19	@ KuPS	3	1239	58.23%	KTP	0	1172	24.43%	17.34%
20	1956-06-03	7.04	@ KTP	3	1152	58.83%	Pyrkiva Turku	0	1080	23.87%	17.30%
21	1956-08-19	6.51	@ Ilves-Kissat	2	1169	48.94%	KTP	0	1177	33.42%	17.64%
22	1956-10-07	6.13	@ Kiffen 08	6	1194	50.57%	Ilves-Kissat	3	1190	31.82%	17.61%
23	1956-06-17	6.09	VIFK	3	1169	45.74%	@ Pyrkiva Turku	1	1073	36.66%	17.59%
24	1956-08-15	5.96	HPS Helsinki	1	1073	20.73%	@ Haka	0	1177	62.19%	17.08%
25	1956-05-06	5.95	@ Haka	4	1168	58.80%	Pyrkiva Turku	1	1096	23.89%	17.31%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1956-09-23	59.9	@ HJK	2	1196	54.82%	KTP	2	1158	27.69%	17.49%
2	1956-08-19	57.3	Pyrkiva Turku	3	1031	17.08%	@ VIFK	2	1176	66.22%	16.70%
3	1956-09-02	56.1	@ Pyrkiva Turku	4	1036	31.64%	KTP	3	1171	50.92%	17.44%
4	1956-05-13	55.3	@ KuPS	1	1208	66.89%	HPS Helsinki	1	1055	16.48%	16.63%
5	1956-06-21	55.1	@ Kiffen 08	1	1187	52.84%	KTP	1	1165	29.60%	17.56%
6	1956-06-21	55.1	@ VIFK	1	1175	48.47%	VPS	1	1187	33.89%	17.65%
7	1956-08-19	55.1	HJK	3	1175	25.29%	@ KuPS	2	1234	57.33%	17.38%
8	1956-09-02	55.1	@ VPS	1	1153	39.50%	KuPS	1	1229	42.86%	17.64%
9	1956-09-30	55.1	@ Ilves-Kissat	1	1190	54.41%	VPS	1	1156	28.08%	17.51%
10	1956-06-16	55.0	@ HPS Helsinki	1	1059	34.05%	Haka	1	1174	48.43%	17.53%
11	1956-08-12	53.4	Ilves-Kissat	3	1165	30.49%	@ HJK	2	1179	51.93%	17.58%
12	1956-07-29	53.2	KTP	3	1166	31.20%	@ VIFK	2	1175	51.20%	17.60%
13	1956-07-27	52.9	@ HPS Helsinki	3	1054	31.88%	Kiffen 08	2	1187	50.67%	17.45%
14	1956-09-30	52.3	@ VIFK	4	1155	44.42%	HJK	3	1196	37.91%	17.68%
15	1956-09-19	52.1	Pyrkiva Turku	2	1038	19.19%	@ VPS	1	1159	63.87%	16.94%
16	1956-05-10	52.0	HPS Helsinki	2	1049	19.57%	@ KTP	1	1165	63.45%	16.98%
17	1956-09-23	51.5	@ KuPS	0	1232	55.57%	Kiffen 08	0	1187	26.97%	17.46%
18	1956-05-10	51.4	@ HJK	0	1170	49.46%	Haka	0	1174	32.90%	17.63%
19	1956-05-10	51.4	@ Ilves-Kissat	0	1188	50.23%	Kiffen 08	0	1186	32.15%	17.62%
20	1956-05-26	51.4	@ Kiffen 08	0	1192	47.71%	KuPS	0	1209	34.63%	17.66%
21	1956-06-02	51.4	@ Kiffen 08	0	1191	53.25%	HJK	0	1166	29.21%	17.55%
22	1956-06-24	51.4	@ Haka	0	1174	43.73%	KuPS	0	1220	38.59%	17.68%
23	1956-09-09	51.4	@ Kiffen 08	0	1188	51.51%	Haka	0	1176	30.90%	17.59%
24	1956-09-30	51.3	@ KTP	0	1159	48.26%	Haka	0	1172	34.09%	17.65%
25	1956-06-24	50.3	@ Ilves-Kissat	4	1168	51.18%	HJK	3	1159	31.22%	17.60%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1956-05-12	28.0	@ Kiffen 08	4	1187	60.98%	Pyrkiva Turku	0	1094	21.85%	17.17%
2	1956-07-29	29.5	@ KuPS	4	1220	56.24%	Ilves-Kissat	0	1170	26.32%	17.43%
3	1956-06-03	29.7	@ KTP	3	1152	58.83%	Pyrkiva Turku	0	1080	23.87%	17.30%
4	1956-10-14	30.0	@ KuPS	3	1239	58.23%	KTP	0	1172	24.43%	17.34%
5	1956-08-12	30.9	@ KuPS	3	1226	55.24%	Haka	0	1185	27.29%	17.48%
6	1956-05-13	32.6	@ VPS	5	1159	46.21%	Ilves-Kissat	0	1187	36.12%	17.67%
7	1956-05-06	32.7	@ Kiffen 08	3	1177	48.96%	VIFK	0	1185	33.40%	17.64%
8	1956-10-06	32.8	KTP	4	1158	44.72%	@ HPS Helsinki	0	1069	37.66%	17.62%
9	1956-06-03	33.4	@ VIFK	4	1164	61.75%	HPS Helsinki	1	1064	21.13%	17.11%
10	1956-09-30	33.8	KuPS	2	1231	53.68%	@ HPS Helsinki	0	1075	29.00%	17.32%
11	1956-07-29	33.9	HJK	6	1156	44.03%	@ Pyrkiva Turku	0	1072	38.34%	17.63%
12	1956-08-19	33.9	@ Kiffen 08	7	1182	51.97%	VPS	1	1167	30.45%	17.58%
13	1956-09-30	34.1	Kiffen 08	2	1188	52.62%	@ Pyrkiva Turku	0	1041	30.01%	17.37%
14	1956-05-06	34.3	@ Haka	4	1168	58.80%	Pyrkiva Turku	1	1096	23.89%	17.31%
15	1956-09-23	34.9	@ Ilves-Kissat	3	1187	65.99%	Pyrkiva Turku	1	1044	17.28%	16.73%
16	1956-08-19	35.3	@ Ilves-Kissat	2	1169	48.94%	KTP	0	1177	33.42%	17.64%
17	1956-08-05	35.4	@ HJK	3	1176	64.23%	Pyrkiva Turku	1	1051	18.86%	16.91%
18	1956-08-03	35.5	@ Kiffen 08	3	1182	64.15%	HPS Helsinki	1	1059	18.94%	16.91%
19	1956-09-23	35.7	@ VPS	1	1153	59.16%	HPS Helsinki	0	1078	23.55%	17.29%
20	1956-05-21	36.5	@ VPS	4	1176	51.45%	KTP	1	1164	30.96%	17.59%
21	1956-09-09	36.5	Ilves-Kissat	4	1170	32.80%	@ VIFK	0	1167	49.57%	17.63%
22	1956-08-30	37.7	@ HJK	4	1180	47.83%	Kiffen 08	1	1196	34.51%	17.66%
23	1956-05-13	38.4	@ HJK	1	1170	50.42%	VIFK	0	1167	31.97%	17.62%
24	1956-06-17	38.5	KuPS	2	1212	38.50%	@ HJK	0	1167	43.83%	17.68%
25	1956-08-05	38.5	@ KTP	1	1170	49.97%	VIFK	0	1170	32.40%	17.62%