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1906-07 I. Osztály Season

56 games

Final

Champion

Ferencvaros

24 points · 3rd Title

Last Title: 1905

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Magyar AC

4.07 points above expected

22 points · 17.93 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Typographia SC

4.82 points below expected

9 points · 13.82 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Ferencvaros Champion 14 11 2 1 24 70 20 +50 21.34 +2.66
2 Magyar AC 14 10 2 2 22 78 15 +63 17.93 +4.07
3 MTK Budapest 14 10 2 2 22 67 18 +49 21.71 +0.29
4 Budapesti AK 14 6 2 6 14 32 44 -12 10.98 +3.02
5 Typographia SC 14 3 3 8 9 25 62 -37 13.82 -4.82
6 Ujpest 14 2 4 8 8 16 38 -22 12.16 -4.16
7 Fovarosi TC 14 2 3 9 7 16 55 -39 8.03 -1.03
8 33FC 14 2 2 10 6 20 72 -52 6.03 -0.03

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Magyar AC 22 17.93 +4.07
2 Budapesti AK 14 10.98 +3.02
3 Ferencvaros 24 21.34 +2.66
4 MTK Budapest 22 21.71 +0.29
5 33FC 6 6.03 -0.03

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Typographia SC 9 13.82 -4.82
2 Ujpest 8 12.16 -4.16
3 Fovarosi TC 7 8.03 -1.03
4 33FC 6 6.03 -0.03
5 MTK Budapest 22 21.71 +0.29

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Budapesti AK 4 Mar 17 – May 12 1 in 834
2 Ferencvaros 10 Sep 16 – Mar 25 1 in 32
3 Magyar AC 6 Nov 11 – Mar 31 1 in 27
4 Fovarosi TC 1 Oct 21 – Oct 21 1 in 8
5 Typographia SC 2 Nov 25 – Mar 10 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ferencvaros 1 May 12 – May 12 1 in 26
2 Typographia SC 4 Mar 25 – May 26 1 in 23
3 Ujpest 5 Mar 10 – Apr 28 1 in 15
4 33FC 9 Oct 28 – Apr 28 1 in 12
5 Fovarosi TC 3 Sep 16 – Oct 14 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Budapesti AK 5 Mar 17 – May 30 1 in 100
2 Fovarosi TC 2 Oct 21 – Oct 28 1 in 8
3 Magyar AC 9 Nov 11 – May 26 1 in 8
4 Ferencvaros 12 Sep 16 – Apr 28 1 in 5
5 33FC 2 May 5 – May 30 1 in 4

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Typographia SC 6 Sep 16 – Nov 18 1 in 33
2 Ujpest 7 Mar 10 – May 30 1 in 19
3 Ferencvaros 2 May 12 – May 26 1 in 8
4 MTK Budapest 2 May 26 – May 30 1 in 5
5 Budapesti AK 3 Nov 25 – Mar 10 1 in 3

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Ferencvaros 1995 24 -54 6 7.3 -1.3
Magyar AC 2041 22 +151 9 7.1 +1.9
MTK Budapest 1916 22 +42 8 7.7 +0.3
Budapesti AK 1611 14 +270 9 3.6 +5.4
Typographia SC 1421 9 -120 2 4.1 -2.1
Ujpest 1358 8 -74 2 4.2 -2.2
Fovarosi TC 1237 7 -61 3 2.7 +0.3
33FC 1262 6 +46 3 2.5 +0.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team 33F BA FER FT MB MA TS UJP
33FC —
0-0-2
1.32
0-0-2
0.45
2-0-0
2.01
0-0-2
0.48
0-0-2
0.69
0-1-1
0.90
0-1-1
1.88
Budapesti AK
2-0-0
4.31
 —
1-0-1
0.57
1-1-0
3.58
0-1-1
1.52
0-0-2
1.13
1-0-1
1.91
1-0-1
2.56
Ferencvaros
2-0-0
5.20
1-0-1
5.07
 —
2-0-0
5.06
1-1-0
2.87
1-1-0
3.65
2-0-0
5.00
2-0-0
4.58
Fovarosi TC
0-0-2
3.62
0-1-1
2.04
0-0-2
0.58
 —
0-0-2
0.46
0-0-2
1.18
2-0-0
1.03
0-2-0
1.49
MTK Budapest
2-0-0
5.16
1-1-0
4.11
0-1-1
2.75
2-0-0
5.19
 —
1-0-1
3.88
2-0-0
4.64
2-0-0
4.68
Magyar AC
2-0-0
4.94
2-0-0
4.50
0-1-1
1.97
2-0-0
4.46
1-0-1
1.74
 —
1-1-0
4.36
2-0-0
4.07
Typographia SC
1-1-0
4.73
1-0-1
3.71
0-0-2
0.64
0-0-2
4.60
0-0-2
0.99
0-1-1
1.28
 —
1-1-0
2.90
Ujpest
1-1-0
3.74
1-0-1
3.07
0-0-2
1.05
0-2-0
4.13
0-0-2
0.95
0-0-2
1.56
0-1-1
2.72
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.95 +2.8
Allowed 0.82 -3.2
Differential 0.95 +1.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—1.79%4.46%——8.04%14.29%
11.79%7.14%1.79%6.25%1.79%6.25%25.00%
24.46%1.79%8.93%1.79%0.89%3.57%21.43%
3—6.25%1.79%1.79%3.57%0.89%14.29%
4—1.79%0.89%3.57%——6.25%
5+8.04%6.25%3.57%0.89%——18.75%
Total14.29%25.00%21.43%14.29%6.25%18.75%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.89 2.89 +0.00
SD 3.05 3.05 5.07
CV 1.05 1.05 —
Max 15 15 +15
Min 0 0 -15

Games Played: 56

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%———7.14%14.29%
1—7.14%7.14%7.14%—28.57%50.00%
27.14%—7.14%——7.14%21.43%
3—————7.14%7.14%
4———7.14%——7.14%
5+———————
Total7.14%14.29%14.29%14.29%—50.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 5.14 -3.71
SD 1.09 4.17 4.38
CV 0.76 0.81 —
Max 4 14 +2
Min 0 0 -13

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.14%——7.14%14.29%
1—7.14%—7.14%7.14%—21.43%
27.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%—7.14%35.71%
3———————
4——7.14%14.29%——21.43%
5+———7.14%——7.14%
Total7.14%14.29%21.43%35.71%7.14%14.29%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.29 3.14 -0.86
SD 1.90 2.51 3.37
CV 0.83 0.80 —
Max 7 9 +4
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1———————
214.29%—7.14%———21.43%
3—7.14%14.29%7.14%7.14%—35.71%
4———————
5+14.29%14.29%14.29%———42.86%
Total28.57%21.43%35.71%7.14%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 5.00 1.43 +3.57
SD 3.64 1.22 4.15
CV 0.73 0.86 —
Max 15 4 +15
Min 2 0 -1

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——14.29%——21.43%35.71%
1—21.43%——7.14%7.14%35.71%
2—7.14%———7.14%14.29%
3————7.14%—7.14%
4———7.14%——7.14%
5+———————
Total—28.57%14.29%7.14%14.29%35.71%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 3.93 -2.79
SD 1.23 2.89 3.40
CV 1.08 0.74 —
Max 4 9 +1
Min 0 1 -9

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.14%———7.14%
17.14%——7.14%——14.29%
2——14.29%———14.29%
3—7.14%————7.14%
4———————
5+14.29%28.57%14.29%———57.14%
Total21.43%35.71%35.71%7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 4.79 1.29 +3.50
SD 3.42 0.91 3.80
CV 0.72 0.71 —
Max 11 3 +10
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1———7.14%——7.14%
27.14%—7.14%7.14%——21.43%
3—14.29%—7.14%——21.43%
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+35.71%7.14%————42.86%
Total42.86%28.57%7.14%21.43%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 5.57 1.07 +4.50
SD 4.33 1.21 5.10
CV 0.78 1.13 —
Max 14 3 +14
Min 1 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—————14.29%14.29%
1—7.14%7.14%7.14%—7.14%28.57%
2——14.29%—7.14%7.14%28.57%
3—14.29%——7.14%—21.43%
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+———————
Total—28.57%21.43%7.14%14.29%28.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.79 4.43 -2.64
SD 1.19 4.62 5.49
CV 0.67 1.04 —
Max 4 15 +3
Min 0 1 -15

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%7.14%——14.29%28.57%
17.14%14.29%—14.29%—7.14%42.86%
2——14.29%———14.29%
3—7.14%——7.14%—14.29%
4———————
5+———————
Total7.14%28.57%21.43%14.29%7.14%21.43%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 2.71 -1.57
SD 1.03 2.09 2.53
CV 0.90 0.77 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 14

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Magyar AC 2041 22 17.93 +4.07 98.0% 11 14 17 18 19 22 24
Ferencvaros 1995 24 21.34 +2.66 89.0% 11 17 19 21 23 26 28
MTK Budapest 1916 22 21.71 +0.29 63.0% 14 17 21 22 23 25 27
Budapesti AK 1611 14 10.98 +3.02 90.0% 4 5 9 11 13 15 17
Typographia SC 1421 9 13.82 -4.82 5.0% 6 9 12 14 15 18 20
Ujpest 1358 8 12.16 -4.16 12.0% 5 7 10 12 14 17 19
33FC 1262 6 6.03 -0.03 61.0% 1 3 4 6 8 10 13
Fovarosi TC 1237 7 8.03 -1.03 45.0% 2 4 6 8 10 12 15

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 20.5% * Clear Edge: 20.5% to 27% * Strong Edge: 27% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+10.71%
No Edge
46.43%17.86%35.71%
Elo Value
Home Edge
93 Elo
0.011 goals per Elo point
037.37250
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.64 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.40+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 4th * Longshot: 5th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.1
Top-Heavy
12348
Champion Preseason Odds
48%
Ferencvaros, 2nd of 8
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Tight Race
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.08 * Some Luck: 2.08 to 3.11 * Lucky: 3.11 to 4.15 * Wild Swing: 4.15 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.53 * Close: 0.53 to 0.8 * Off: 0.8 to 1.07 * Way Off: 1.07 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 8 * As Expected: 8 to 12.8 * Several Outliers: 12.8 to 17.6 * Many Outliers: 17.6 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.05 points
Some Luck
02.596
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Off
00.671.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 93.75%
98.00%
Magyar AC
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected
5.00%
Typographia SC
06.25%50
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 8
Minimal Outliers
00.88

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.6 * Moderate Separation: 1.6 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65.5% * Slight Edge: 65.5% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 88.5% * Clear Edge: 88.5% to 92.5% * Strong Edge: 92.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50% * Some Drama: 50% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 20% * Frequent: 20% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.28
Lopsided
00.150.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 335.27
2.23
Wide Separation
11.61.852.152.75
Interquartile Edge
97%
Wide Edge
50%65.5%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 100%
99%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
36%
Few
0%23%100%
Blowouts
Expected
41%
Very Frequent
0%63%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.47 * Notable Separation: 0.47 to 0.53 * Lopsided: 0.53 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.45 * Some Carryover: 0.45 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.72 * Near-Lock: 0.72 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.47
Highly Predictable
00.482
Matchup Imbalance
0.60
Lopsided
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.38
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.81
Near-Lock
00.450.590.721
Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Chalky
0%16%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
As Expected
0%11%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.18 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.18 to 0.27 * Above Noise: 0.27 to 0.36 * Well Above Noise: 0.36 and up.
Probability calibration
0.23
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.80
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.137
Well Within Noise
00.1820.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Ferencvaros48.00%28.00%21.00%2.00%—1.00%——
Magyar AC3.00%27.00%59.00%9.00%2.00%———
MTK Budapest49.00%42.00%8.00%—1.00%———
Budapesti AK——2.00%14.00%33.00%33.00%13.00%5.00%
Typographia SC—1.00%6.00%48.00%27.00%13.00%4.00%1.00%
Ujpest—2.00%4.00%23.00%30.00%26.00%8.00%7.00%
Fovarosi TC———4.00%5.00%19.00%50.00%22.00%
33FC————2.00%8.00%25.00%65.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
33FC 100%
Budapesti AK 100%
Ferencvaros 100%
Fovarosi TC 100%
MTK Budapest 100%
Magyar AC 100%
Typographia SC 100%
Ujpest 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1906-09-16 Fovarosi TC W 6-250.8 1774 1428 75.56% 18.47% 5.97%+4.10 +20.0 2
1906-09-16 @ Ferencvaros L 2-650.8 1428 1774 5.97% 18.47% 75.56%-4.10 -20.0 0
1906-09-16 Typographia SC D 1-161.4 1332 1678 10.93% 18.64% 70.44%-3.30 +15.5 1
1906-09-16 @ 33FC D 1-161.4 1678 1332 70.44% 18.64% 10.93%+3.30 -15.5 1
1906-09-16 Budapesti AK W 9-257.3 1733 1678 55.08% 18.92% 26.01%+0.99 +124.8 2
1906-09-16 @ MTK Budapest L 2-957.3 1678 1733 26.01% 18.92% 55.08%-0.99 -124.8 0
1906-09-23 Ujpest L 1-358.5 1553 1626 38.14% 18.94% 42.92%-0.38 -68.5 0
1906-09-23 @ Budapesti AK W 3-158.5 1626 1553 42.92% 18.94% 38.14%+0.38 +68.5 2
1906-09-23 Magyar AC W 3-257.3 1794 1594 68.25% 18.76% 12.98%+2.53 +14.7 4
1906-09-23 @ Ferencvaros L 2-357.3 1594 1794 12.98% 18.76% 68.25%-2.53 -14.7 0
1906-09-23 Typographia SC W 7-255.6 1857 1662 67.96% 18.77% 13.27%+2.49 +51.3 4
1906-09-23 @ MTK Budapest L 2-755.6 1662 1857 13.27% 18.77% 67.96%-2.49 -51.3 1
1906-09-30 Ujpest W 2-054.1 1808 1694 61.32% 18.87% 19.81%+1.62 +45.3 6
1906-09-30 @ Ferencvaros L 0-254.1 1694 1808 19.81% 18.87% 61.32%-1.62 -45.4 2
1906-09-30 Magyar AC L 1-447.7 1407 1579 25.45% 18.88% 55.67%-1.44 -69.0 0
1906-09-30 @ Fovarosi TC W 4-147.7 1579 1407 55.67% 18.88% 25.45%+1.44 +69.0 2
1906-09-30 33FC W 2-141.5 1484 1348 63.37% 18.84% 17.79%+1.86 +20.6 2
1906-09-30 @ Budapesti AK L 1-241.5 1348 1484 17.79% 18.84% 63.37%-1.86 -20.6 1
1906-10-14 Budapesti AK W 2-049.0 1648 1505 63.96% 18.84% 17.20%+1.93 +40.0 4
1906-10-14 @ Magyar AC L 0-249.0 1505 1648 17.20% 18.84% 63.96%-1.93 -40.0 2
1906-10-14 33FC L 3-453.9 1338 1327 49.73% 18.94% 31.33%+0.52 -45.8 0
1906-10-14 @ Fovarosi TC W 4-353.9 1327 1338 31.33% 18.94% 49.73%-0.52 +45.8 3
1906-10-14 MTK Budapest W 2-060.7 1854 1909 40.68% 18.94% 40.38%-0.19 +82.8 8
1906-10-14 @ Ferencvaros L 0-260.7 1909 1854 40.38% 18.94% 40.68%+0.19 -82.8 4
1906-10-21 Ujpest W 6-153.2 1826 1649 66.65% 18.79% 14.55%+2.29 +66.7 6
1906-10-21 @ MTK Budapest L 1-653.2 1649 1826 14.55% 18.79% 66.65%-2.29 -66.7 2
1906-10-21 Budapesti AK W 3-254.2 1936 1465 78.88% 18.12% 3.00%+5.45 +3.6 10
1906-10-21 @ Ferencvaros L 2-354.2 1465 1936 3.00% 18.12% 78.88%-5.45 -3.6 2
1906-10-21 Typographia SC W 2-158.8 1293 1611 12.57% 18.69% 68.75%-3.01 +68.0 2
1906-10-21 @ Fovarosi TC L 1-258.8 1611 1293 68.75% 18.69% 12.57%+3.01 -68.0 1
1906-10-28 33FC W 6-147.4 1892 1373 79.74% 17.97% 2.30%+5.96 +11.3 8
1906-10-28 @ MTK Budapest L 1-647.4 1373 1892 2.30% 17.97% 79.74%-5.96 -11.3 3
1906-10-28 Ujpest D 1-158.9 1361 1582 20.27% 18.83% 60.89%-1.97 +10.1 3
1906-10-28 @ Fovarosi TC D 1-158.9 1582 1361 60.89% 18.83% 20.27%+1.97 -10.1 3
1906-10-28 Magyar AC D 2-270.5 1543 1688 28.55% 18.91% 52.55%-1.16 +4.3 2
1906-10-28 @ Typographia SC D 2-270.5 1688 1543 52.55% 18.91% 28.55%+1.16 -4.3 5
1906-11-01 MTK Budapest L 1-357.0 1684 1904 20.45% 18.84% 60.71%-1.95 -40.4 5
1906-11-01 @ Magyar AC W 3-157.0 1904 1684 60.71% 18.84% 20.45%+1.95 +40.4 10
1906-11-01 Ujpest D 2-267.7 1547 1572 44.92% 18.94% 36.14%+0.13 -1.5 3
1906-11-01 @ Typographia SC D 2-267.7 1572 1547 36.14% 18.94% 44.92%-0.13 +1.5 4
1906-11-01 Fovarosi TC W 2-039.7 1461 1371 59.00% 18.89% 22.11%+1.37 +49.9 4
1906-11-01 @ Budapesti AK L 0-239.7 1371 1461 22.11% 18.89% 59.00%-1.37 -49.9 3
1906-11-11 Ferencvaros L 1-747.6 1362 1940 3.10% 18.02% 78.88%-5.79 -17.9 3
1906-11-11 @ 33FC W 7-147.6 1940 1362 78.88% 18.02% 3.10%+5.79 +18.0 12
1906-11-11 Magyar AC L 1-359.4 1574 1644 38.52% 18.94% 42.54%-0.35 -69.0 4
1906-11-11 @ Ujpest W 3-159.4 1644 1574 42.54% 18.94% 38.52%+0.35 +69.0 7
1906-11-18 Typographia SC W 15-046.3 1958 1546 77.55% 18.30% 4.15%+4.81 +70.3 14
1906-11-18 @ Ferencvaros L 0-1546.3 1546 1958 4.15% 18.30% 77.55%-4.81 -70.3 3
1906-11-18 33FC W 1-039.1 1505 1344 65.40% 18.82% 15.78%+2.12 +19.7 6
1906-11-18 @ Ujpest L 0-139.1 1344 1505 15.78% 18.82% 65.40%-2.12 -19.7 3
1906-11-25 33FC W 6-038.7 1713 1324 76.90% 18.36% 4.73%+4.56 +33.1 9
1906-11-25 @ Magyar AC L 0-638.7 1324 1713 4.73% 18.36% 76.90%-4.56 -33.1 3
1906-11-25 MTK Budapest L 0-544.5 1321 1944 2.41% 17.87% 79.72%-6.27 -14.3 3
1906-11-25 @ Fovarosi TC W 5-044.5 1944 1321 79.72% 17.87% 2.41%+6.27 +14.3 12
1906-11-25 Budapesti AK W 4-151.4 1475 1511 43.38% 18.94% 37.68%+0.01 +95.9 5
1906-11-25 @ Typographia SC L 1-451.4 1511 1475 37.68% 18.94% 43.38%-0.01 -95.9 4
1907-02-24 Budapesti AK D 1-153.2 1307 1416 33.20% 18.93% 47.88%-0.77 +3.4 4
1907-02-24 @ Fovarosi TC D 1-153.2 1416 1307 47.88% 18.93% 33.20%+0.77 -3.4 5
1907-03-03 Magyar AC L 1-1439.5 1291 1746 6.09% 18.39% 75.52%-4.47 -72.5 3
1907-03-03 @ 33FC W 14-139.5 1746 1291 75.52% 18.39% 6.09%+4.47 +72.5 11
1907-03-10 Magyar AC L 0-844.8 1412 1818 7.91% 18.51% 73.58%-3.95 -71.3 5
1907-03-10 @ Budapesti AK W 8-044.8 1818 1412 73.58% 18.51% 7.91%+3.95 +71.3 13
1907-03-10 Fovarosi TC W 9-043.1 1958 1310 81.39% 17.49% 1.12%+7.34 +11.6 14
1907-03-10 @ MTK Budapest L 0-943.1 1310 1958 1.12% 17.49% 81.39%-7.34 -11.6 4
1907-03-10 Typographia SC L 1-357.1 1524 1571 41.83% 18.94% 39.22%-0.10 -73.8 6
1907-03-10 @ Ujpest W 3-157.1 1571 1524 39.22% 18.94% 41.83%+0.10 +73.8 7
1907-03-17 Typographia SC W 4-263.8 1341 1645 13.50% 18.71% 67.79%-2.86 +103.8 7
1907-03-17 @ Budapesti AK L 2-463.8 1645 1341 67.79% 18.71% 13.50%+2.86 -103.8 7
1907-03-17 33FC W 9-247.2 2028 1219 82.76% 16.79% 0.45%+9.07 +2.5 16
1907-03-17 @ Ferencvaros L 2-947.2 1219 2028 0.45% 16.79% 82.76%-9.07 -2.5 3
1907-03-17 Fovarosi TC W 9-041.7 1890 1298 80.75% 17.71% 1.54%+6.73 +16.0 15
1907-03-17 @ Magyar AC L 0-941.7 1298 1890 1.54% 17.71% 80.75%-6.73 -16.0 4
1907-03-24 Ferencvaros L 0-546.6 1450 2031 3.06% 18.01% 78.92%-5.81 -18.1 6
1907-03-24 @ Ujpest W 5-046.6 2031 1450 78.92% 18.01% 3.06%+5.81 +18.1 18
1907-03-24 33FC W 3-135.8 1541 1216 74.79% 18.52% 6.69%+3.88 +14.4 9
1907-03-24 @ Typographia SC L 1-335.8 1216 1541 6.69% 18.52% 74.79%-3.88 -14.4 3
1907-03-25 Ferencvaros L 1-352.2 1556 2049 4.95% 18.28% 76.77%-4.88 -10.8 9
1907-03-25 @ Typographia SC W 3-152.2 2049 1556 76.77% 18.28% 4.95%+4.88 +10.8 20
1907-03-31 Magyar AC L 1-368.0 1970 1906 56.16% 18.91% 24.93%+1.09 -95.9 14
1907-03-31 @ MTK Budapest W 3-168.0 1906 1970 24.93% 18.91% 56.16%-1.09 +95.9 17
1907-04-14 MTK Budapest L 1-1140.2 1202 1874 1.84% 17.69% 80.48%-6.80 -17.2 3
1907-04-14 @ 33FC W 11-140.2 1874 1202 80.48% 17.69% 1.84%+6.80 +17.2 16
1907-04-14 Fovarosi TC L 3-463.2 1545 1282 72.00% 18.65% 9.35%+3.21 -66.3 9
1907-04-14 @ Typographia SC W 4-363.2 1282 1545 9.35% 18.65% 72.00%-3.21 +66.3 6
1907-04-14 Budapesti AK L 3-457.1 1432 1445 46.65% 18.94% 34.41%+0.27 -43.3 6
1907-04-14 @ Ujpest W 4-357.1 1445 1432 34.41% 18.94% 46.65%-0.27 +43.3 9
1907-04-21 Ferencvaros D 3-376.3 2002 2060 40.24% 18.94% 40.81%-0.22 +0.1 18
1907-04-21 @ Magyar AC D 3-376.3 2060 2002 40.81% 18.94% 40.24%+0.22 -0.1 21
1907-04-21 MTK Budapest L 0-148.6 1389 1891 4.70% 18.26% 77.04%-4.98 -6.3 6
1907-04-21 @ Ujpest W 1-048.6 1891 1389 77.04% 18.26% 4.70%+4.98 +6.3 18
1907-04-28 Budapesti AK L 3-740.8 1185 1488 13.55% 18.71% 67.73%-2.85 -39.5 3
1907-04-28 @ 33FC W 7-340.8 1488 1185 67.73% 18.71% 13.55%+2.85 +39.5 11
1907-04-28 Ferencvaros L 1-748.0 1349 2059 1.48% 17.54% 80.98%-7.21 -8.6 6
1907-04-28 @ Fovarosi TC W 7-148.0 2059 1349 80.98% 17.54% 1.48%+7.21 +8.6 23
1907-04-28 Ujpest W 7-044.7 2002 1383 81.07% 17.61% 1.32%+7.02 +10.8 20
1907-04-28 @ Magyar AC L 0-744.7 1383 2002 1.32% 17.61% 81.07%-7.02 -10.8 6
1907-05-05 Fovarosi TC W 2-046.5 1145 1340 22.92% 18.86% 58.22%-1.69 +114.6 5
1907-05-05 @ 33FC L 0-246.5 1340 1145 58.22% 18.86% 22.92%+1.69 -114.6 6
1907-05-09 MTK Budapest L 1-550.9 1479 1898 7.39% 18.48% 74.13%-4.09 -28.9 9
1907-05-09 @ Typographia SC W 5-150.9 1898 1479 74.13% 18.48% 7.39%+4.09 +28.9 20
1907-05-12 Ferencvaros W 4-380.4 1527 2068 3.81% 18.14% 78.05%-5.39 +72.4 13
1907-05-12 @ Budapesti AK L 3-480.4 2068 1527 78.05% 18.14% 3.81%+5.39 -72.4 23
1907-05-12 Fovarosi TC D 1-151.9 1372 1226 64.23% 18.83% 16.93%+1.97 -11.9 7
1907-05-12 @ Ujpest D 1-151.9 1226 1372 16.93% 18.83% 64.23%-1.97 +11.9 7
1907-05-26 Typographia SC W 14-045.2 2012 1450 80.38% 17.82% 1.80%+6.42 +28.7 22
1907-05-26 @ Magyar AC L 0-1445.2 1450 2012 1.80% 17.82% 80.38%-6.42 -28.7 9
1907-05-26 Ferencvaros D 2-273.4 1927 1996 38.67% 18.94% 42.39%-0.34 +0.6 21
1907-05-26 @ MTK Budapest D 2-273.4 1996 1927 42.39% 18.94% 38.67%+0.34 -0.6 24
1907-05-30 Ujpest D 2-254.6 1260 1360 34.33% 18.93% 46.74%-0.68 +2.2 6
1907-05-30 @ 33FC D 2-254.6 1360 1260 46.74% 18.93% 34.33%+0.68 -2.2 8
1907-05-30 MTK Budapest D 2-273.2 1600 1927 11.99% 18.67% 69.34%-3.10 +11.1 14
1907-05-30 @ Budapesti AK D 2-273.2 1927 1600 69.34% 18.67% 11.99%+3.10 -11.1 22

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1907-05-12 3.81% @ Budapesti AK 1527 4 Ferencvaros 2068 3
2 1907-04-14 9.35% Fovarosi TC 1282 4 @ Typographia SC 1545 3
3 1906-10-21 12.57% @ Fovarosi TC 1293 2 Typographia SC 1611 1
4 1907-03-17 13.50% @ Budapesti AK 1341 4 Typographia SC 1645 2
5 1907-05-05 22.92% @ 33FC 1145 2 Fovarosi TC 1340 0
6 1907-03-31 24.93% Magyar AC 1906 3 @ MTK Budapest 1970 1
7 1906-10-14 31.33% 33FC 1327 4 @ Fovarosi TC 1338 3
8 1907-04-14 34.41% Budapesti AK 1445 4 @ Ujpest 1432 3
9 1907-03-10 39.22% Typographia SC 1571 3 @ Ujpest 1524 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1906-09-16 124.78 @ MTK Budapest 9 1733 55.08% Budapesti AK 2 1678 26.01% 18.92%
2 1907-05-05 114.62 @ 33FC 2 1145 22.92% Fovarosi TC 0 1340 58.22% 18.86%
3 1907-03-17 103.78 @ Budapesti AK 4 1341 13.50% Typographia SC 2 1645 67.79% 18.71%
4 1907-03-31 95.90 Magyar AC 3 1906 24.93% @ MTK Budapest 1 1970 56.16% 18.91%
5 1906-11-25 95.85 @ Typographia SC 4 1475 43.38% Budapesti AK 1 1511 37.68% 18.94%
6 1906-10-14 82.79 @ Ferencvaros 2 1854 40.68% MTK Budapest 0 1909 40.38% 18.94%
7 1907-03-10 73.80 Typographia SC 3 1571 39.22% @ Ujpest 1 1524 41.83% 18.94%
8 1907-03-03 72.50 Magyar AC 14 1746 75.52% @ 33FC 1 1291 6.09% 18.39%
9 1907-05-12 72.44 @ Budapesti AK 4 1527 3.81% Ferencvaros 3 2068 78.05% 18.14%
10 1907-03-10 71.27 Magyar AC 8 1818 73.58% @ Budapesti AK 0 1412 7.91% 18.51%
11 1906-11-18 70.28 @ Ferencvaros 15 1958 77.55% Typographia SC 0 1546 4.15% 18.30%
12 1906-11-11 69.00 Magyar AC 3 1644 42.54% @ Ujpest 1 1574 38.52% 18.94%
13 1906-09-30 68.99 Magyar AC 4 1579 55.67% @ Fovarosi TC 1 1407 25.45% 18.88%
14 1906-09-23 68.45 Ujpest 3 1626 42.92% @ Budapesti AK 1 1553 38.14% 18.94%
15 1906-10-21 68.01 @ Fovarosi TC 2 1293 12.57% Typographia SC 1 1611 68.75% 18.69%
16 1906-10-21 66.67 @ MTK Budapest 6 1826 66.65% Ujpest 1 1649 14.55% 18.79%
17 1907-04-14 66.29 Fovarosi TC 4 1282 9.35% @ Typographia SC 3 1545 72.00% 18.65%
18 1906-09-23 51.30 @ MTK Budapest 7 1857 67.96% Typographia SC 2 1662 13.27% 18.77%
19 1906-11-01 49.92 @ Budapesti AK 2 1461 59.00% Fovarosi TC 0 1371 22.11% 18.89%
20 1906-10-14 45.79 33FC 4 1327 31.33% @ Fovarosi TC 3 1338 49.73% 18.94%
21 1906-09-30 45.35 @ Ferencvaros 2 1808 61.32% Ujpest 0 1694 19.81% 18.87%
22 1907-04-14 43.26 Budapesti AK 4 1445 34.41% @ Ujpest 3 1432 46.65% 18.94%
23 1906-11-01 40.35 MTK Budapest 3 1904 60.71% @ Magyar AC 1 1684 20.45% 18.84%
24 1906-10-14 40.01 @ Magyar AC 2 1648 63.96% Budapesti AK 0 1505 17.20% 18.84%
25 1907-04-28 39.48 Budapesti AK 7 1488 67.73% @ 33FC 3 1185 13.55% 18.71%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1907-05-12 80.4 @ Budapesti AK 4 1527 3.81% Ferencvaros 3 2068 78.05% 18.14%
2 1907-04-21 76.3 @ Magyar AC 3 2002 40.24% Ferencvaros 3 2060 40.81% 18.94%
3 1907-05-26 73.4 @ MTK Budapest 2 1927 38.67% Ferencvaros 2 1996 42.39% 18.94%
4 1907-05-30 73.2 @ Budapesti AK 2 1600 11.99% MTK Budapest 2 1927 69.34% 18.67%
5 1906-10-28 70.5 @ Typographia SC 2 1543 28.55% Magyar AC 2 1688 52.55% 18.91%
6 1907-03-31 68.0 Magyar AC 3 1906 24.93% @ MTK Budapest 1 1970 56.16% 18.91%
7 1906-11-01 67.7 @ Typographia SC 2 1547 44.92% Ujpest 2 1572 36.14% 18.94%
8 1907-03-17 63.8 @ Budapesti AK 4 1341 13.50% Typographia SC 2 1645 67.79% 18.71%
9 1907-04-14 63.2 Fovarosi TC 4 1282 9.35% @ Typographia SC 3 1545 72.00% 18.65%
10 1906-09-16 61.4 @ 33FC 1 1332 10.93% Typographia SC 1 1678 70.44% 18.64%
11 1906-10-14 60.7 @ Ferencvaros 2 1854 40.68% MTK Budapest 0 1909 40.38% 18.94%
12 1906-11-11 59.4 Magyar AC 3 1644 42.54% @ Ujpest 1 1574 38.52% 18.94%
13 1906-10-28 58.9 @ Fovarosi TC 1 1361 20.27% Ujpest 1 1582 60.89% 18.83%
14 1906-10-21 58.8 @ Fovarosi TC 2 1293 12.57% Typographia SC 1 1611 68.75% 18.69%
15 1906-09-23 58.5 Ujpest 3 1626 42.92% @ Budapesti AK 1 1553 38.14% 18.94%
16 1906-09-16 57.3 @ MTK Budapest 9 1733 55.08% Budapesti AK 2 1678 26.01% 18.92%
17 1906-09-23 57.3 @ Ferencvaros 3 1794 68.25% Magyar AC 2 1594 12.98% 18.76%
18 1907-03-10 57.1 Typographia SC 3 1571 39.22% @ Ujpest 1 1524 41.83% 18.94%
19 1907-04-14 57.1 Budapesti AK 4 1445 34.41% @ Ujpest 3 1432 46.65% 18.94%
20 1906-11-01 57.0 MTK Budapest 3 1904 60.71% @ Magyar AC 1 1684 20.45% 18.84%
21 1906-09-23 55.6 @ MTK Budapest 7 1857 67.96% Typographia SC 2 1662 13.27% 18.77%
22 1907-05-30 54.6 @ 33FC 2 1260 34.33% Ujpest 2 1360 46.74% 18.93%
23 1906-10-21 54.2 @ Ferencvaros 3 1936 78.88% Budapesti AK 2 1465 3.00% 18.12%
24 1906-09-30 54.1 @ Ferencvaros 2 1808 61.32% Ujpest 0 1694 19.81% 18.87%
25 1906-10-14 53.9 33FC 4 1327 31.33% @ Fovarosi TC 3 1338 49.73% 18.94%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1907-03-24 35.8 @ Typographia SC 3 1541 74.79% 33FC 1 1216 6.69% 18.52%
2 1906-11-25 38.7 @ Magyar AC 6 1713 76.90% 33FC 0 1324 4.73% 18.36%
3 1906-11-18 39.1 @ Ujpest 1 1505 65.40% 33FC 0 1344 15.78% 18.82%
4 1907-03-03 39.5 Magyar AC 14 1746 75.52% @ 33FC 1 1291 6.09% 18.39%
5 1906-11-01 39.7 @ Budapesti AK 2 1461 59.00% Fovarosi TC 0 1371 22.11% 18.89%
6 1907-04-14 40.2 MTK Budapest 11 1874 80.48% @ 33FC 1 1202 1.84% 17.69%
7 1907-04-28 40.8 Budapesti AK 7 1488 67.73% @ 33FC 3 1185 13.55% 18.71%
8 1906-09-30 41.5 @ Budapesti AK 2 1484 63.37% 33FC 1 1348 17.79% 18.84%
9 1907-03-17 41.7 @ Magyar AC 9 1890 80.75% Fovarosi TC 0 1298 1.54% 17.71%
10 1907-03-10 43.1 @ MTK Budapest 9 1958 81.39% Fovarosi TC 0 1310 1.12% 17.49%
11 1906-11-25 44.5 MTK Budapest 5 1944 79.72% @ Fovarosi TC 0 1321 2.41% 17.87%
12 1907-04-28 44.7 @ Magyar AC 7 2002 81.07% Ujpest 0 1383 1.32% 17.61%
13 1907-03-10 44.8 Magyar AC 8 1818 73.58% @ Budapesti AK 0 1412 7.91% 18.51%
14 1907-05-26 45.2 @ Magyar AC 14 2012 80.38% Typographia SC 0 1450 1.80% 17.82%
15 1906-11-18 46.3 @ Ferencvaros 15 1958 77.55% Typographia SC 0 1546 4.15% 18.30%
16 1907-05-05 46.5 @ 33FC 2 1145 22.92% Fovarosi TC 0 1340 58.22% 18.86%
17 1907-03-24 46.6 Ferencvaros 5 2031 78.92% @ Ujpest 0 1450 3.06% 18.01%
18 1907-03-17 47.2 @ Ferencvaros 9 2028 82.76% 33FC 2 1219 0.45% 16.79%
19 1906-10-28 47.4 @ MTK Budapest 6 1892 79.74% 33FC 1 1373 2.30% 17.97%
20 1906-11-11 47.6 Ferencvaros 7 1940 78.88% @ 33FC 1 1362 3.10% 18.02%
21 1906-09-30 47.7 Magyar AC 4 1579 55.67% @ Fovarosi TC 1 1407 25.45% 18.88%
22 1907-04-28 48.0 Ferencvaros 7 2059 80.98% @ Fovarosi TC 1 1349 1.48% 17.54%
23 1907-04-21 48.6 MTK Budapest 1 1891 77.04% @ Ujpest 0 1389 4.70% 18.26%
24 1906-10-14 49.0 @ Magyar AC 2 1648 63.96% Budapesti AK 0 1505 17.20% 18.84%
25 1906-09-16 50.8 @ Ferencvaros 6 1774 75.56% Fovarosi TC 2 1428 5.97% 18.47%