2012 1. deild karla Season

132 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Thor Akureyri

12.88 points above expected

50 points · 37.12 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

IF Hottur

12.83 points below expected

21 points · 33.83 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Thor Akureyri	22	16	2	4	50	40	20	+20	37.1	+12.88
2	Vikingur Olafsvik	22	13	3	6	42	36	21	+15	33.2	+8.78
3	Throttur Reykjavik	22	9	6	7	33	34	26	+8	25.1	+7.88
4	KA Akureyri	22	9	6	7	33	34	30	+4	26.6	+6.35
5	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	22	9	6	7	33	23	25	-2	31.5	+1.48
6	Vikingur Reykjavik	22	8	7	7	31	34	31	+3	33.3	-2.34
7	Fjolnir	22	7	8	7	29	39	26	+13	32.9	-3.89
8	Tindastll	22	8	3	11	27	34	42	-8	34.8	-7.79
9	B Bolungarvik	22	6	8	8	26	31	37	-6	23.7	+2.28
10	Leiknir Reykjavik	22	6	7	9	25	33	36	-3	27.5	-2.53
11	IF Hottur	22	5	6	11	21	30	41	-11	33.8	-12.83
12	IR Reykjavik	22	4	2	16	14	19	52	-33	22.0	-7.96

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Thor Akureyri	1206	50	37.12	+12.88	99.0%	15	27	33	37	41	47	59
Vikingur Olafsvik	1156	42	33.22	+8.78	93.8%	10	23	29	33	37	43	54
Vikingur Reykjavik	1134	31	33.34	-2.34	38.2%	9	23	29	33	37	43	56
Fjolnir	1099	29	32.89	-3.89	28.7%	12	23	29	33	37	43	55
Throttur Reykjavik	1097	33	25.12	+7.88	92.2%	5	16	21	25	29	35	49
IF Hottur	1075	21	33.83	-12.83	2.0%	11	24	30	34	38	44	55
Haukar Hafnarfjordur	1073	33	31.52	+1.48	63.7%	10	22	28	31	36	41	54
Tindastll	1070	27	34.79	-7.79	11.5%	11	25	31	35	39	45	59
KA Akureyri	1069	33	26.65	+6.35	87.5%	7	17	23	27	31	36	55
Leiknir Reykjavik	1055	25	27.53	-2.53	37.5%	9	18	23	27	32	38	50
B Bolungarvik	1017	26	23.72	+2.28	69.0%	4	14	20	24	28	33	49
IR Reykjavik	901	14	21.96	-7.96	9.0%	5	13	18	22	26	31	47

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BB	FJO	HH	IH	IR	KA	LR	TA	TR	TIN	VO	VR
B Bolungarvik	—	0-2-0 2.06	0-1-1 2.17	1-1-0 1.89	2-0-0 2.99	0-2-0 2.38	1-0-1 2.38	0-0-2 1.74	1-1-0 2.48	1-0-1 1.78	0-0-2 1.92	0-1-1 1.94
Fjolnir	0-2-0 3.42	—	1-0-1 2.89	0-1-1 2.77	2-0-0 3.39	1-0-1 3.23	1-1-0 3.36	0-1-1 2.44	0-1-1 3.42	1-0-1 2.67	0-1-1 2.71	1-1-0 2.63
Haukar Hafnarfjordur	1-1-0 3.30	1-0-1 2.56	—	0-2-0 2.48	2-0-0 3.63	0-1-1 3.10	1-1-0 3.14	1-0-1 2.43	0-1-1 3.46	2-0-0 2.23	0-0-2 2.65	1-0-1 2.53
IF Hottur	0-1-1 3.63	1-1-0 2.70	0-2-0 2.99	—	1-0-1 3.76	1-0-1 3.26	0-0-2 3.32	0-0-2 2.10	1-1-0 3.67	0-0-2 2.78	0-0-2 2.98	1-1-0 2.65
IR Reykjavik	0-0-2 2.46	0-0-2 2.13	0-0-2 1.87	1-0-1 1.76	—	1-0-1 2.57	1-0-1 1.99	0-1-1 1.54	0-1-1 2.39	1-0-1 1.64	0-0-2 1.69	0-0-2 1.91
KA Akureyri	0-2-0 3.08	1-0-1 2.23	1-1-0 2.35	1-0-1 2.23	1-0-1 2.88	—	1-0-1 2.67	1-0-1 1.95	1-0-1 2.90	0-2-0 2.02	1-0-1 2.21	1-1-0 2.07
Leiknir Reykjavik	1-0-1 3.08	0-1-1 2.12	0-1-1 2.33	2-0-0 2.15	1-0-1 3.52	1-0-1 2.78	—	0-0-2 2.19	0-1-1 2.88	0-1-1 2.15	1-1-0 2.09	0-2-0 2.11
Thor Akureyri	2-0-0 3.79	1-1-0 3.02	1-0-1 3.02	2-0-0 3.40	1-1-0 4.03	1-0-1 3.55	2-0-0 3.28	—	1-0-1 3.73	2-0-0 3.26	2-0-0 2.91	1-0-1 3.11
Throttur Reykjavik	0-1-1 2.96	1-1-0 2.06	1-1-0 2.02	0-1-1 1.85	1-1-0 3.10	1-0-1 2.55	1-1-0 2.56	1-0-1 1.79	—	1-0-1 2.11	1-0-1 2.08	1-0-1 2.08
Tindastll	1-0-1 3.76	1-0-1 2.78	0-0-2 3.23	2-0-0 2.67	1-0-1 3.92	0-2-0 3.46	1-1-0 3.32	0-0-2 2.21	1-0-1 3.39	—	0-0-2 3.09	1-0-1 2.93
Vikingur Olafsvik	2-0-0 3.58	1-1-0 2.75	2-0-0 2.82	2-0-0 2.46	2-0-0 3.88	1-0-1 3.27	0-1-1 3.38	0-0-2 2.54	1-0-1 3.40	2-0-0 2.38	—	0-1-1 2.90
Vikingur Reykjavik	1-1-0 3.56	0-1-1 2.83	1-0-1 2.93	0-1-1 2.80	2-0-0 3.59	0-1-1 3.41	0-2-0 3.36	1-0-1 2.35	1-0-1 3.40	1-0-1 2.52	1-1-0 2.55	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.85%	7.95%	4.55%	2.27%	1.89%	1.14%	27.65%
1	7.95%	6.06%	9.47%	3.79%	0.76%	1.89%	29.92%
2	4.55%	9.47%	6.82%	1.89%	0.38%	1.52%	24.62%
3	2.27%	3.79%	1.89%	1.52%	0.38%	—	9.85%
4	1.89%	0.76%	0.38%	0.38%	—	—	3.41%
5+	1.14%	1.89%	1.52%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	27.65%	29.92%	24.62%	9.85%	3.41%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.47
Mean allowed	1.47
StdDev scored	1.37
StdDev allowed	1.37
Mean total goals/game	2.93
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.043
Sample size (games)	132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	31.82%
1	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	22.73%
2	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	4.55%	31.82%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	27.27%	18.18%	27.27%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

B Bolungarvik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.41
Mean allowed	1.68
StdDev scored	1.37
StdDev allowed	1.43
Mean total goals/game	3.09
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.119
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	22.73%
1	—	9.09%	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	31.82%	27.27%	31.82%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Fjolnir — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.77
Mean allowed	1.18
StdDev scored	1.66
StdDev allowed	1.01
Mean total goals/game	2.95
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.026
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	—	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	36.36%
1	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
2	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	31.82%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	45.45%	13.64%	27.27%	9.09%	4.55%	—	100%

Haukar Hafnarfjordur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.05
Mean allowed	1.14
StdDev scored	0.95
StdDev allowed	1.25
Mean total goals/game	2.18
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.327
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	22.73%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	36.36%
1	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	22.73%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	27.27%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	27.27%	22.73%	18.18%	18.18%	4.55%	9.09%	100%

IF Hottur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.36
Mean allowed	1.86
StdDev scored	1.50
StdDev allowed	1.81
Mean total goals/game	3.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.160
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	18.18%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	50.00%
1	—	—	13.64%	—	—	13.64%	27.27%
2	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	4.55%	27.27%	36.36%	9.09%	4.55%	18.18%	100%

IR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.86
Mean allowed	2.36
StdDev scored	1.13
StdDev allowed	1.53
Mean total goals/game	3.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.053
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
1	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	27.27%	27.27%	31.82%	9.09%	4.55%	—	100%

KA Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.55
Mean allowed	1.36
StdDev scored	1.34
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	2.91
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.011
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
1	4.55%	13.64%	22.73%	4.55%	—	4.55%	50.00%
2	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	18.18%	27.27%	40.91%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Leiknir Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	1.64
StdDev scored	1.30
StdDev allowed	1.26
Mean total goals/game	3.14
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.088
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
1	18.18%	—	—	—	—	—	18.18%
2	4.55%	27.27%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	40.91%
3	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	31.82%	50.00%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	100%

Thor Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.82
Mean allowed	0.91
StdDev scored	1.30
StdDev allowed	0.81
Mean total goals/game	2.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.119
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
1	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	40.91%
2	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	31.82%	36.36%	13.64%	18.18%	—	—	100%

Throttur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.55
Mean allowed	1.18
StdDev scored	1.50
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	2.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.092
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	18.18%	9.09%	—	4.55%	9.09%	45.45%
1	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
2	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
3	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	9.09%	40.91%	31.82%	—	9.09%	9.09%	100%

Tindastll — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.55
Mean allowed	1.91
StdDev scored	1.82
StdDev allowed	1.54
Mean total goals/game	3.45
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.202
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
1	18.18%	9.09%	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	45.45%
2	9.09%	18.18%	—	—	—	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
4	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.91%	36.36%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	100%

Vikingur Olafsvik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.64
Mean allowed	0.95
StdDev scored	1.09
StdDev allowed	1.09
Mean total goals/game	2.59
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.214
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
1	9.09%	13.64%	—	9.09%	—	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	9.09%	22.73%
3	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	36.36%	31.82%	9.09%	13.64%	—	9.09%	100%

Vikingur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.55
Mean allowed	1.41
StdDev scored	1.30
StdDev allowed	1.68
Mean total goals/game	2.95
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.024
Games played	22

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Thor Akureyri	50	37.1	+12.88
2	Vikingur Olafsvik	42	33.2	+8.78
3	Throttur Reykjavik	33	25.1	+7.88
4	KA Akureyri	33	26.6	+6.35
5	B Bolungarvik	26	23.7	+2.28

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	IF Hottur	21	33.8	-12.83
2	IR Reykjavik	14	22.0	-7.96
3	Tindastll	27	34.8	-7.79
4	Fjolnir	29	32.9	-3.89
5	Leiknir Reykjavik	25	27.5	-2.53

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Thor Akureyri	11	Aug 2 – Sep 22	1 in 3,957
2	Throttur Reykjavik	4	Jul 29 – Aug 16	1 in 191
3	Vikingur Olafsvik	3	Jul 21 – Aug 1	1 in 29
4	IR Reykjavik	2	Jun 2 – Jun 9	1 in 25
5	Fjolnir	3	May 25 – Jun 9	1 in 23

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	IR Reykjavik	11	Jul 21 – Sep 22	1 in 784
2	Fjolnir	5	Aug 25 – Sep 22	1 in 242
3	Tindastll	3	Jul 21 – Aug 1	1 in 58
4	IF Hottur	3	Aug 1 – Aug 11	1 in 26
5	Thor Akureyri	2	Jun 21 – Jun 29	1 in 15

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fjolnir	11	May 12 – Jul 17	1 in 132
2	Thor Akureyri	11	Aug 2 – Sep 22	1 in 32
3	IR Reykjavik	4	Jun 2 – Jun 21	1 in 19
4	Throttur Reykjavik	5	Jun 16 – Jul 12	1 in 17
5	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	5	May 12 – Jun 9	1 in 10

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	IF Hottur	9	Jun 22 – Aug 11	1 in 124
2	IR Reykjavik	11	Jul 21 – Sep 22	1 in 15
3	Thor Akureyri	4	Jun 16 – Jul 9	1 in 13
4	Vikingur Reykjavik	5	May 25 – Jun 22	1 in 13
5	Fjolnir	5	Aug 25 – Sep 22	1 in 12

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Thor Akureyri	30.47%	18.83%	13.77%	10.25%	8.03%	6.48%	4.84%	3.09%	2.14%	1.30%	0.62%	0.18%
Vikingur Olafsvik	11.36%	12.48%	12.64%	12.16%	11.80%	10.18%	8.63%	7.59%	5.76%	3.84%	2.37%	1.19%
Throttur Reykjavik	0.77%	1.60%	2.54%	3.59%	5.18%	6.23%	9.35%	11.02%	13.03%	15.66%	16.11%	14.92%
KA Akureyri	1.16%	2.81%	3.37%	5.33%	6.71%	8.80%	9.44%	11.98%	13.16%	14.29%	12.68%	10.27%
Haukar Hafnarfjordur	6.19%	8.43%	9.48%	10.51%	11.52%	11.38%	11.01%	10.00%	8.02%	6.29%	4.78%	2.39%
Vikingur Reykjavik	11.13%	11.84%	12.56%	12.38%	11.32%	9.74%	9.51%	7.71%	5.93%	4.32%	2.43%	1.13%
Fjolnir	10.01%	12.06%	12.33%	12.56%	10.95%	10.72%	9.31%	7.73%	6.01%	3.85%	3.19%	1.28%
Tindastll	15.23%	14.96%	13.66%	11.79%	10.95%	9.26%	7.56%	6.33%	4.55%	2.84%	1.92%	0.95%
B Bolungarvik	0.38%	0.98%	1.46%	2.23%	3.01%	4.75%	6.73%	9.03%	12.80%	15.71%	20.59%	22.33%
Leiknir Reykjavik	1.83%	3.32%	4.71%	5.79%	7.12%	8.87%	10.40%	11.31%	13.34%	13.27%	11.66%	8.38%
IF Hottur	11.35%	12.30%	12.80%	12.30%	11.56%	10.53%	8.77%	7.64%	5.39%	3.91%	2.29%	1.16%
IR Reykjavik	0.12%	0.39%	0.68%	1.11%	1.85%	3.06%	4.45%	6.57%	9.87%	14.72%	21.36%	35.82%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Direct promotion	Same level	Direct relegation
Thor Akureyri	49.3%	49.9%	0.8%
Tindastll	30.2%	66.9%	2.9%
Vikingur Olafsvik	23.8%	72.6%	3.6%
IF Hottur	23.6%	72.9%	3.5%
Vikingur Reykjavik	23.0%	73.5%	3.6%
Fjolnir	22.1%	73.5%	4.5%
Haukar Hafnarfjordur	14.6%	78.2%	7.2%
Leiknir Reykjavik	5.1%	74.8%	20.0%
KA Akureyri	4.0%	73.1%	22.9%
Throttur Reykjavik	2.4%	66.6%	31.0%
B Bolungarvik	1.4%	55.7%	42.9%
IR Reykjavik	0.5%	42.3%	57.2%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2012-05-12	Tindastll	W 2-0	1092	1160	30.9%	27.5%	41.6%	+13.7	3
2012-05-12	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	L 0-2	1160	1092	41.6%	27.5%	30.9%	-13.7	0
2012-05-12	Vikingur Reykjavik	D 0-0	1015	1126	26.0%	26.2%	47.8%	+0.9	1
2012-05-12	@ B Bolungarvik	D 0-0	1126	1015	47.8%	26.2%	26.0%	-0.9	1
2012-05-12	KA Akureyri	W 3-2	1022	1034	38.6%	27.8%	33.6%	+5.5	3
2012-05-12	@ IR Reykjavik	L 2-3	1034	1022	33.6%	27.8%	38.6%	-5.5	0
2012-05-12	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 2-0	1132	1060	50.4%	25.4%	24.2%	+8.8	3
2012-05-12	@ Thor Akureyri	L 0-2	1060	1132	24.2%	25.4%	50.4%	-8.8	0
2012-05-12	IF Hottur	L 1-3	1020	1160	23.3%	24.9%	51.8%	-7.4	0
2012-05-12	@ Throttur Reykjavik	W 3-1	1160	1020	51.8%	24.9%	23.3%	+7.3	3
2012-05-12	Fjolnir	D 1-1	1084	1048	45.3%	26.8%	27.9%	-0.6	1
2012-05-12	@ Vikingur Olafsvik	D 1-1	1048	1084	27.9%	26.8%	45.3%	+0.6	1
2012-05-19	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	D 0-0	1167	1106	49.0%	25.9%	25.2%	-1.0	4
2012-05-19	@ IF Hottur	D 0-0	1106	1167	25.2%	25.9%	49.0%	+1.0	4
2012-05-19	KA Akureyri	L 1-3	1051	1028	43.5%	27.2%	29.3%	-12.2	0
2012-05-19	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 3-1	1028	1051	29.3%	27.2%	43.5%	+12.2	3
2012-05-19	Throttur Reykjavik	W 3-1	1140	1012	58.1%	22.2%	19.7%	+6.1	6
2012-05-19	@ Thor Akureyri	L 1-3	1012	1140	19.7%	22.2%	58.1%	-6.1	0
2012-05-19	Vikingur Olafsvik	L 0-1	1146	1083	49.2%	25.8%	25.0%	-8.2	0
2012-05-19	@ Tindastll	W 1-0	1083	1146	25.0%	25.8%	49.2%	+8.2	4
2012-05-19	IR Reykjavik	W 1-0	1126	1028	54.0%	24.0%	21.9%	+4.2	4
2012-05-19	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	L 0-1	1028	1126	21.9%	24.0%	54.0%	-4.2	3
2012-05-20	B Bolungarvik	D 2-2	1049	1016	44.9%	26.9%	28.2%	-0.4	2
2012-05-20	@ Fjolnir	D 2-2	1016	1049	28.2%	26.9%	44.9%	+0.4	2
2012-05-25	Fjolnir	L 0-5	1023	1048	36.7%	27.9%	35.5%	-29.1	3
2012-05-25	@ IR Reykjavik	W 5-0	1048	1023	35.5%	27.9%	36.7%	+29.1	5
2012-05-25	Vikingur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1040	1130	28.3%	27.0%	44.8%	+0.6	4
2012-05-25	@ KA Akureyri	D 1-1	1130	1040	44.8%	27.0%	28.3%	-0.6	5
2012-05-25	Leiknir Reykjavik	D 2-2	1006	1039	35.5%	27.9%	36.6%	+0.0	1
2012-05-25	@ Throttur Reykjavik	D 2-2	1039	1006	36.6%	27.9%	35.5%	-0.0	1
2012-05-26	Thor Akureyri	W 1-0	1107	1147	34.5%	27.9%	37.7%	+6.7	7
2012-05-26	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	L 0-1	1147	1107	37.7%	27.9%	34.5%	-6.7	6
2012-05-26	Tindastll	L 2-5	1017	1138	25.0%	25.8%	49.2%	-9.6	2
2012-05-26	@ B Bolungarvik	W 5-2	1138	1017	49.2%	25.8%	25.0%	+9.6	3
2012-05-26	IF Hottur	W 1-0	1091	1166	30.0%	27.3%	42.7%	+7.4	7
2012-05-26	@ Vikingur Olafsvik	L 0-1	1166	1091	42.7%	27.3%	30.0%	-7.4	4
2012-05-31	Vikingur Reykjavik	D 0-0	1039	1129	28.2%	26.9%	44.9%	+0.7	2
2012-05-31	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	D 0-0	1129	1039	44.9%	26.9%	28.2%	-0.7	6
2012-05-31	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	D 1-1	1006	1113	26.4%	26.4%	47.2%	+0.8	2
2012-05-31	@ Throttur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1113	1006	47.2%	26.4%	26.4%	-0.7	8
2012-06-02	KA Akureyri	W 3-1	1077	1041	45.4%	26.8%	27.8%	+8.7	8
2012-06-02	@ Fjolnir	L 1-3	1041	1077	27.8%	26.8%	45.4%	-8.7	4
2012-06-02	B Bolungarvik	D 0-0	1159	1007	61.2%	20.6%	18.1%	-1.8	5
2012-06-02	@ IF Hottur	D 0-0	1007	1159	18.1%	20.6%	61.2%	+1.8	3
2012-06-02	Vikingur Olafsvik	W 2-1	1140	1098	46.2%	26.6%	27.2%	+4.9	9
2012-06-02	@ Thor Akureyri	L 1-2	1098	1140	27.2%	26.6%	46.2%	-4.9	7
2012-06-02	IR Reykjavik	L 2-4	1148	994	61.4%	20.5%	18.0%	-14.1	3
2012-06-02	@ Tindastll	W 4-2	994	1148	18.0%	20.5%	61.4%	+14.1	6
2012-06-09	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 2-1	1113	1040	50.6%	25.3%	24.1%	+4.4	11
2012-06-09	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	L 1-2	1040	1113	24.1%	25.3%	50.6%	-4.4	2
2012-06-09	IF Hottur	W 2-1	1008	1157	22.6%	24.4%	53.0%	+8.2	9
2012-06-09	@ IR Reykjavik	L 1-2	1157	1008	53.0%	24.4%	22.6%	-8.2	5
2012-06-09	Tindastll	D 2-2	1032	1133	27.0%	26.6%	46.4%	+0.5	5
2012-06-09	@ KA Akureyri	D 2-2	1133	1032	46.4%	26.6%	27.0%	-0.5	4
2012-06-09	Throttur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1094	1007	52.5%	24.6%	22.9%	+4.2	10
2012-06-09	@ Vikingur Olafsvik	L 1-2	1007	1094	22.9%	24.6%	52.5%	-4.2	2
2012-06-09	Fjolnir	L 2-6	1129	1086	46.3%	26.6%	27.1%	-19.8	6
2012-06-09	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	W 6-2	1086	1129	27.1%	26.6%	46.3%	+19.8	11
2012-06-11	Thor Akureyri	L 1-2	1009	1145	23.6%	25.1%	51.3%	-4.3	3
2012-06-11	@ B Bolungarvik	W 2-1	1145	1009	51.3%	25.1%	23.6%	+4.3	12
2012-06-15	KA Akureyri	W 2-0	1149	1033	56.5%	23.0%	20.6%	+7.4	8
2012-06-15	@ IF Hottur	L 0-2	1033	1149	20.6%	23.0%	56.5%	-7.4	5
2012-06-15	Fjolnir	D 0-0	1035	1106	30.5%	27.4%	42.0%	+0.5	3
2012-06-15	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	D 0-0	1106	1035	42.0%	27.4%	30.5%	-0.4	12
2012-06-16	Vikingur Olafsvik	L 0-2	1117	1098	43.0%	27.3%	29.7%	-14.0	11
2012-06-16	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	W 2-0	1098	1117	29.7%	27.3%	43.0%	+14.0	13
2012-06-16	IR Reykjavik	D 2-2	1149	1017	58.7%	21.9%	19.4%	-1.1	13
2012-06-16	@ Thor Akureyri	D 2-2	1017	1149	19.4%	21.9%	58.7%	+1.1	10
2012-06-16	B Bolungarvik	D 1-1	1003	1005	40.0%	27.7%	32.3%	-0.3	3
2012-06-16	@ Throttur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1005	1003	32.3%	27.7%	40.0%	+0.3	4
2012-06-16	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 3-1	1133	1109	43.7%	27.2%	29.1%	+9.0	7
2012-06-16	@ Tindastll	L 1-3	1109	1133	29.1%	27.2%	43.7%	-9.0	6
2012-06-21	Tindastll	W 2-0	1105	1142	35.0%	27.9%	37.2%	+12.5	15
2012-06-21	@ Fjolnir	L 0-2	1142	1105	37.2%	27.9%	35.0%	-12.6	7
2012-06-21	Throttur Reykjavik	D 0-0	1018	1002	42.4%	27.4%	30.2%	-0.5	11
2012-06-21	@ IR Reykjavik	D 0-0	1002	1018	30.2%	27.4%	42.4%	+0.5	4
2012-06-21	Thor Akureyri	W 3-2	1025	1148	24.9%	25.7%	49.4%	+7.4	8
2012-06-21	@ KA Akureyri	L 2-3	1148	1025	49.4%	25.7%	24.9%	-7.4	13
2012-06-22	Leiknir Reykjavik	L 0-1	1112	1036	51.0%	25.2%	23.8%	-8.4	13
2012-06-22	@ Vikingur Olafsvik	W 1-0	1036	1112	23.8%	25.2%	51.0%	+8.4	6
2012-06-22	IF Hottur	D 2-2	1100	1156	32.3%	27.7%	40.0%	+0.2	7
2012-06-22	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	D 2-2	1156	1100	40.0%	27.7%	32.3%	-0.2	9
2012-06-23	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	D 0-0	1005	1103	27.4%	26.7%	46.0%	+0.7	5
2012-06-23	@ B Bolungarvik	D 0-0	1103	1005	46.0%	26.7%	27.4%	-0.7	12
2012-06-29	IR Reykjavik	W 2-1	1102	1017	52.2%	24.7%	23.0%	+4.2	15
2012-06-29	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	L 1-2	1017	1102	23.0%	24.7%	52.2%	-4.2	11
2012-06-29	Vikingur Reykjavik	L 0-2	1141	1100	46.1%	26.7%	27.3%	-14.7	13
2012-06-29	@ Thor Akureyri	W 2-0	1100	1141	27.3%	26.7%	46.1%	+14.7	10
2012-06-30	Fjolnir	D 0-0	1156	1118	45.7%	26.8%	27.6%	-0.7	10
2012-06-30	@ IF Hottur	D 0-0	1118	1156	27.6%	26.8%	45.7%	+0.7	16
2012-06-30	Tindastll	D 1-1	1044	1129	28.8%	27.1%	44.1%	+0.5	7
2012-06-30	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	D 1-1	1129	1044	44.1%	27.1%	28.8%	-0.5	8
2012-06-30	KA Akureyri	W 2-1	1003	1033	36.0%	27.9%	36.2%	+6.2	7
2012-06-30	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1033	1003	36.2%	27.9%	36.0%	-6.2	8
2012-06-30	B Bolungarvik	W 4-0	1103	1006	54.0%	24.1%	22.0%	+15.2	16
2012-06-30	@ Vikingur Olafsvik	L 0-4	1006	1103	22.0%	24.1%	54.0%	-15.2	5
2012-07-04	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	D 2-2	1026	1106	29.4%	27.2%	43.4%	+0.4	9
2012-07-04	@ KA Akureyri	D 2-2	1106	1026	43.4%	27.2%	29.4%	-0.4	16
2012-07-04	Throttur Reykjavik	L 0-1	1115	1009	55.0%	23.6%	21.3%	-8.9	10
2012-07-04	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1009	1115	21.3%	23.6%	55.0%	+8.9	10
2012-07-05	Vikingur Olafsvik	L 0-1	1013	1118	26.6%	26.4%	47.0%	-5.1	11
2012-07-05	@ IR Reykjavik	W 1-0	1118	1013	47.0%	26.4%	26.6%	+5.1	19
2012-07-07	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 4-3	990	1045	32.6%	27.7%	39.7%	+6.1	8
2012-07-07	@ B Bolungarvik	L 3-4	1045	990	39.7%	27.7%	32.6%	-6.1	7
2012-07-07	IF Hottur	W 6-2	1129	1155	36.4%	27.9%	35.7%	+16.4	11
2012-07-07	@ Tindastll	L 2-6	1155	1129	35.7%	27.9%	36.4%	-16.4	10
2012-07-09	Thor Akureyri	D 0-0	1119	1126	39.2%	27.8%	33.1%	-0.2	17
2012-07-09	@ Fjolnir	D 0-0	1126	1119	33.1%	27.8%	39.2%	+0.2	14
2012-07-12	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 2-0	1106	1106	40.3%	27.7%	32.1%	+11.2	19
2012-07-12	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	L 0-2	1106	1106	32.1%	27.7%	40.3%	-11.3	10
2012-07-12	Fjolnir	D 3-3	1018	1118	27.1%	26.6%	46.3%	+0.4	11
2012-07-12	@ Throttur Reykjavik	D 3-3	1118	1018	46.3%	26.6%	27.1%	-0.4	18
2012-07-13	IR Reykjavik	W 2-1	996	1008	38.6%	27.8%	33.6%	+5.8	11
2012-07-13	@ B Bolungarvik	L 1-2	1008	996	33.6%	27.8%	38.6%	-5.8	11
2012-07-13	IF Hottur	W 6-1	1038	1139	27.1%	26.6%	46.3%	+28.6	10
2012-07-13	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	L 1-6	1139	1038	46.3%	26.6%	27.1%	-28.6	10
2012-07-13	KA Akureyri	L 0-1	1124	1027	53.8%	24.1%	22.1%	-8.8	19
2012-07-13	@ Vikingur Olafsvik	W 1-0	1027	1124	22.1%	24.1%	53.8%	+8.8	12
2012-07-17	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	W 4-0	1118	1117	40.3%	27.7%	32.0%	+21.3	21
2012-07-17	@ Fjolnir	L 0-4	1117	1118	32.0%	27.7%	40.3%	-21.3	19
2012-07-17	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 2-1	1002	1067	31.2%	27.6%	41.2%	+6.8	14
2012-07-17	@ IR Reykjavik	L 1-2	1067	1002	41.2%	27.6%	31.2%	-6.8	10
2012-07-17	B Bolungarvik	D 2-2	1036	1002	45.0%	26.9%	28.1%	-0.5	13
2012-07-17	@ KA Akureyri	D 2-2	1002	1036	28.1%	26.9%	45.0%	+0.4	12
2012-07-17	Throttur Reykjavik	W 3-1	1145	1018	57.9%	22.3%	19.8%	+6.2	14
2012-07-17	@ Tindastll	L 1-3	1018	1145	19.8%	22.3%	57.9%	-6.2	11
2012-07-17	Vikingur Olafsvik	W 2-1	1094	1115	37.3%	27.9%	34.8%	+6.0	13
2012-07-17	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1115	1094	34.8%	27.9%	37.3%	-6.0	19
2012-07-21	Vikingur Olafsvik	L 1-2	1139	1109	44.6%	27.0%	28.4%	-7.2	21
2012-07-21	@ Fjolnir	W 2-1	1109	1139	28.4%	27.0%	44.6%	+7.2	22
2012-07-21	Throttur Reykjavik	D 0-0	1110	1012	54.0%	24.0%	21.9%	-1.3	11
2012-07-21	@ IF Hottur	D 0-0	1012	1110	21.9%	24.0%	54.0%	+1.3	12
2012-07-21	IR Reykjavik	W 5-1	1035	1009	44.0%	27.1%	28.9%	+16.4	16
2012-07-21	@ KA Akureyri	L 1-5	1009	1035	28.9%	27.1%	44.0%	-16.4	14
2012-07-21	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	L 0-1	1151	1096	48.1%	26.1%	25.8%	-8.1	14
2012-07-21	@ Tindastll	W 1-0	1096	1151	25.8%	26.1%	48.1%	+8.1	22
2012-07-21	B Bolungarvik	W 3-0	1100	1003	54.0%	24.1%	22.0%	+11.6	16
2012-07-21	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	L 0-3	1003	1100	22.0%	24.1%	54.0%	-11.6	12
2012-07-22	Thor Akureyri	L 1-5	1060	1126	31.1%	27.5%	41.4%	-17.4	10
2012-07-22	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 5-1	1126	1060	41.4%	27.5%	31.1%	+17.4	17
2012-07-26	Vikingur Reykjavik	L 0-3	992	1112	25.2%	25.9%	49.0%	-13.3	14
2012-07-26	@ IR Reykjavik	W 3-0	1112	992	49.0%	25.9%	25.2%	+13.3	19
2012-07-27	Leiknir Reykjavik	L 1-2	1052	1043	41.5%	27.5%	31.0%	-6.8	16
2012-07-27	@ KA Akureyri	W 2-1	1043	1052	31.0%	27.5%	41.5%	+6.8	13
2012-07-28	IF Hottur	D 0-0	1104	1109	39.5%	27.7%	32.8%	-0.3	23
2012-07-28	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	D 0-0	1109	1104	32.8%	27.7%	39.5%	+0.3	12
2012-07-28	Fjolnir	D 2-2	991	1132	23.2%	24.9%	51.9%	+0.8	13
2012-07-28	@ B Bolungarvik	D 2-2	1132	991	51.9%	24.9%	23.2%	-0.8	22
2012-07-28	Tindastll	W 2-1	1116	1143	36.3%	27.9%	35.8%	+6.1	25
2012-07-28	@ Vikingur Olafsvik	L 1-2	1143	1116	35.8%	27.9%	36.3%	-6.1	14
2012-07-29	Thor Akureyri	W 1-0	1014	1144	24.2%	25.4%	50.4%	+8.4	15
2012-07-29	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 0-1	1144	1014	50.4%	25.4%	24.2%	-8.4	17
2012-08-01	IR Reykjavik	W 3-0	1131	979	61.3%	20.6%	18.1%	+9.3	25
2012-08-01	@ Fjolnir	L 0-3	979	1131	18.1%	20.6%	61.3%	-9.3	14
2012-08-01	Vikingur Olafsvik	L 0-3	1109	1122	38.4%	27.8%	33.8%	-18.7	12
2012-08-01	@ IF Hottur	W 3-0	1122	1109	33.8%	27.8%	38.4%	+18.7	28
2012-08-01	B Bolungarvik	L 0-1	1137	992	60.4%	21.1%	18.5%	-9.5	14
2012-08-01	@ Tindastll	W 1-0	992	1137	18.5%	21.1%	60.4%	+9.5	16
2012-08-01	KA Akureyri	L 0-1	1125	1045	51.6%	25.0%	23.4%	-8.5	19
2012-08-01	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1045	1125	23.4%	25.0%	51.6%	+8.5	19
2012-08-02	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	W 2-1	1135	1104	44.7%	27.0%	28.3%	+5.1	20
2012-08-02	@ Thor Akureyri	L 1-2	1104	1135	28.3%	27.0%	44.7%	-5.1	23
2012-08-08	Thor Akureyri	L 1-2	1091	1140	33.2%	27.8%	39.0%	-5.8	12
2012-08-08	@ IF Hottur	W 2-1	1140	1091	39.0%	27.8%	33.2%	+5.8	23
2012-08-09	Throttur Reykjavik	L 0-3	1099	1022	51.1%	25.2%	23.8%	-23.1	23
2012-08-09	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	W 3-0	1022	1099	23.8%	25.2%	51.1%	+23.1	18
2012-08-09	Tindastll	L 0-4	970	1128	21.8%	23.9%	54.3%	-15.0	14
2012-08-09	@ IR Reykjavik	W 4-0	1128	970	54.3%	23.9%	21.8%	+15.0	17
2012-08-09	Leiknir Reykjavik	D 1-1	1117	1050	49.8%	25.6%	24.6%	-0.9	20
2012-08-09	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1050	1117	24.6%	25.6%	49.8%	+0.9	14
2012-08-10	Fjolnir	W 2-1	1053	1141	28.5%	27.0%	44.4%	+7.2	22
2012-08-10	@ KA Akureyri	L 1-2	1141	1053	44.4%	27.0%	28.5%	-7.2	25
2012-08-11	IF Hottur	W 3-1	1001	1085	29.0%	27.1%	43.9%	+12.3	19
2012-08-11	@ B Bolungarvik	L 1-3	1085	1001	43.9%	27.1%	29.0%	-12.3	12
2012-08-11	Thor Akureyri	L 1-2	1141	1146	39.5%	27.7%	32.8%	-6.6	28
2012-08-11	@ Vikingur Olafsvik	W 2-1	1146	1141	32.8%	27.7%	39.5%	+6.6	26
2012-08-12	Throttur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1051	1045	41.0%	27.6%	31.4%	-6.8	14
2012-08-12	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 2-1	1045	1051	31.4%	27.6%	41.0%	+6.8	21
2012-08-16	Vikingur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1133	1116	42.7%	27.3%	29.9%	-0.5	26
2012-08-16	@ Fjolnir	D 1-1	1116	1133	29.9%	27.3%	42.7%	+0.4	21
2012-08-16	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	D 2-2	1044	1076	35.7%	27.9%	36.4%	+0.0	15
2012-08-16	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	D 2-2	1076	1044	36.4%	27.9%	35.7%	-0.0	24
2012-08-16	Vikingur Olafsvik	W 4-1	1052	1134	29.1%	27.2%	43.7%	+17.3	24
2012-08-16	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 1-4	1134	1052	43.7%	27.2%	29.1%	-17.3	28
2012-08-16	KA Akureyri	D 0-0	1143	1060	51.9%	24.9%	23.3%	-1.2	18
2012-08-16	@ Tindastll	D 0-0	1060	1143	23.3%	24.9%	51.9%	+1.2	23
2012-08-17	IR Reykjavik	W 5-1	1073	955	56.7%	22.9%	20.4%	+11.7	15
2012-08-17	@ IF Hottur	L 1-5	955	1073	20.4%	22.9%	56.7%	-11.7	14
2012-08-17	B Bolungarvik	W 3-2	1153	1014	59.5%	21.5%	19.0%	+3.2	29
2012-08-17	@ Thor Akureyri	L 2-3	1014	1153	19.0%	21.5%	59.5%	-3.2	19
2012-08-21	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 2-1	1133	1044	52.8%	24.5%	22.7%	+4.1	29
2012-08-21	@ Fjolnir	L 1-2	1044	1133	22.7%	24.5%	52.8%	-4.1	15
2012-08-21	Throttur Reykjavik	W 2-0	1011	1069	32.0%	27.7%	40.3%	+13.3	22
2012-08-21	@ B Bolungarvik	L 0-2	1069	1011	40.3%	27.7%	32.0%	-13.3	24
2012-08-21	Thor Akureyri	L 1-2	943	1156	17.9%	20.4%	61.6%	-3.2	14
2012-08-21	@ IR Reykjavik	W 2-1	1156	943	61.6%	20.4%	17.9%	+3.2	32
2012-08-21	IF Hottur	W 4-1	1062	1084	37.0%	27.9%	35.1%	+14.8	26
2012-08-21	@ KA Akureyri	L 1-4	1084	1062	35.1%	27.9%	37.0%	-14.8	15
2012-08-21	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	W 2-0	1117	1076	46.1%	26.6%	27.2%	+9.8	31
2012-08-21	@ Vikingur Olafsvik	L 0-2	1076	1117	27.2%	26.6%	46.1%	-9.8	24
2012-08-21	Tindastll	W 5-0	1116	1142	36.6%	27.9%	35.5%	+28.4	24
2012-08-21	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	L 0-5	1142	1116	35.5%	27.9%	36.6%	-28.4	18
2012-08-24	Vikingur Olafsvik	D 1-1	1040	1127	28.6%	27.0%	44.4%	+0.5	16
2012-08-24	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	D 1-1	1127	1040	44.4%	27.0%	28.6%	-0.6	32
2012-08-24	IR Reykjavik	W 1-0	1056	940	56.4%	23.0%	20.6%	+4.0	27
2012-08-24	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 0-1	940	1056	20.6%	23.0%	56.4%	-3.9	14
2012-08-25	B Bolungarvik	W 3-0	1066	1024	46.2%	26.6%	27.2%	+14.2	27
2012-08-25	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	L 0-3	1024	1066	27.2%	26.6%	46.2%	-14.2	22
2012-08-25	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 5-2	1069	1145	29.9%	27.3%	42.7%	+14.8	18
2012-08-25	@ IF Hottur	L 2-5	1145	1069	42.7%	27.3%	29.9%	-14.8	24
2012-08-25	KA Akureyri	W 1-0	1159	1076	51.9%	24.9%	23.2%	+4.5	35
2012-08-25	@ Thor Akureyri	L 0-1	1076	1159	23.2%	24.9%	51.9%	-4.5	26
2012-08-25	Fjolnir	W 2-1	1113	1137	36.8%	27.9%	35.3%	+6.0	21
2012-08-25	@ Tindastll	L 1-2	1137	1113	35.3%	27.9%	36.8%	-6.0	29
2012-08-28	Tindastll	W 4-0	1164	1119	46.6%	26.5%	26.9%	+18.5	38
2012-08-28	@ Thor Akureyri	L 0-4	1119	1164	26.9%	26.5%	46.6%	-18.5	21
2012-08-31	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	L 0-2	936	1080	22.9%	24.7%	52.3%	-8.4	14
2012-08-31	@ IR Reykjavik	W 2-0	1080	936	52.3%	24.7%	22.9%	+8.4	30
2012-08-31	Throttur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1072	1060	42.0%	27.5%	30.6%	+5.8	29
2012-08-31	@ KA Akureyri	L 0-1	1060	1072	30.6%	27.5%	42.0%	-5.8	27
2012-09-01	IF Hottur	L 1-2	1131	1084	46.9%	26.4%	26.6%	-7.5	29
2012-09-01	@ Fjolnir	W 2-1	1084	1131	26.6%	26.4%	46.9%	+7.5	21
2012-09-01	Vikingur Olafsvik	L 1-2	1010	1126	25.5%	26.0%	48.5%	-4.6	22
2012-09-01	@ B Bolungarvik	W 2-1	1126	1010	48.5%	26.0%	25.5%	+4.6	35
2012-09-01	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 2-1	1101	1040	48.8%	25.9%	25.3%	+4.6	24
2012-09-01	@ Tindastll	L 1-2	1040	1101	25.3%	25.9%	48.8%	-4.6	16
2012-09-01	Thor Akureyri	L 1-3	1130	1182	32.9%	27.8%	39.4%	-9.9	24
2012-09-01	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	W 3-1	1182	1130	39.4%	27.8%	32.9%	+9.9	41
2012-09-04	KA Akureyri	L 0-2	1088	1078	41.8%	27.5%	30.8%	-13.7	30
2012-09-04	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	W 2-0	1078	1088	30.8%	27.5%	41.8%	+13.7	32
2012-09-05	Tindastll	L 2-3	1092	1105	38.3%	27.8%	33.9%	-6.1	21
2012-09-05	@ IF Hottur	W 3-2	1105	1092	33.9%	27.8%	38.3%	+6.1	27
2012-09-06	Fjolnir	W 1-0	1192	1124	49.9%	25.6%	24.5%	+4.7	44
2012-09-06	@ Thor Akureyri	L 0-1	1124	1192	24.5%	25.6%	49.9%	-4.7	29
2012-09-08	B Bolungarvik	W 2-1	1036	1005	44.6%	27.0%	28.4%	+5.1	19
2012-09-08	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	L 1-2	1005	1036	28.4%	27.0%	44.6%	-5.1	22
2012-09-08	Vikingur Reykjavik	L 0-1	1054	1120	31.1%	27.5%	41.4%	-5.8	27
2012-09-08	@ Throttur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1120	1054	41.4%	27.5%	31.1%	+5.8	27
2012-09-08	IR Reykjavik	W 1-0	1131	928	67.8%	17.0%	15.2%	+2.7	38
2012-09-08	@ Vikingur Olafsvik	L 0-1	928	1131	15.2%	17.0%	67.8%	-2.7	14
2012-09-15	Throttur Reykjavik	L 1-3	1119	1048	50.2%	25.4%	24.3%	-13.6	29
2012-09-15	@ Fjolnir	W 3-1	1048	1119	24.3%	25.4%	50.2%	+13.6	30
2012-09-15	Leiknir Reykjavik	L 2-3	1086	1041	46.6%	26.5%	26.9%	-7.0	21
2012-09-15	@ IF Hottur	W 3-2	1041	1086	26.9%	26.5%	46.6%	+7.1	22
2012-09-15	B Bolungarvik	L 1-5	925	1000	30.0%	27.3%	42.7%	-16.9	14
2012-09-15	@ IR Reykjavik	W 5-1	1000	925	42.7%	27.3%	30.0%	+16.9	25
2012-09-15	Thor Akureyri	L 0-1	1111	1197	28.8%	27.1%	44.1%	-5.5	27
2012-09-15	@ Tindastll	W 1-0	1197	1111	44.1%	27.1%	28.8%	+5.5	47
2012-09-15	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	W 3-1	1126	1075	47.5%	26.3%	26.2%	+8.2	30
2012-09-15	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	L 1-3	1075	1126	26.2%	26.3%	47.5%	-8.2	30
2012-09-16	Vikingur Olafsvik	L 0-4	1091	1133	34.2%	27.8%	38.0%	-22.4	32
2012-09-16	@ KA Akureyri	W 4-0	1133	1091	38.0%	27.8%	34.2%	+22.4	41
2012-09-22	Fjolnir	W 1-0	1066	1105	34.7%	27.9%	37.5%	+6.7	33
2012-09-22	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	L 0-1	1105	1066	37.5%	27.9%	34.7%	-6.7	29
2012-09-22	KA Akureyri	D 0-0	1017	1069	32.9%	27.7%	39.4%	+0.2	26
2012-09-22	@ B Bolungarvik	D 0-0	1069	1017	39.4%	27.7%	32.9%	-0.2	33
2012-09-22	IR Reykjavik	W 2-0	1048	908	59.6%	21.5%	18.9%	+6.7	25
2012-09-22	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	L 0-2	908	1048	18.9%	21.5%	59.6%	-6.8	14
2012-09-22	IF Hottur	W 1-0	1202	1079	57.5%	22.5%	20.0%	+3.8	50
2012-09-22	@ Thor Akureyri	L 0-1	1079	1202	20.0%	22.5%	57.5%	-3.8	21
2012-09-22	Tindastll	W 6-0	1062	1106	33.9%	27.8%	38.2%	+35.6	33
2012-09-22	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 0-6	1106	1062	38.2%	27.8%	33.9%	-35.6	27
2012-09-22	Vikingur Reykjavik	D 3-3	1156	1134	43.4%	27.2%	29.4%	-0.3	42
2012-09-22	@ Vikingur Olafsvik	D 3-3	1134	1156	29.4%	27.2%	43.4%	+0.3	31

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2012-06-02	18.04%	IR Reykjavik	994	4	@ Tindastll	1148	2
2	2012-08-01	18.54%	B Bolungarvik	992	1	@ Tindastll	1137	0
3	2012-07-04	21.35%	Throttur Reykjavik	1009	1	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	1115	0
4	2012-07-13	22.05%	KA Akureyri	1027	1	@ Vikingur Olafsvik	1124	0
5	2012-06-09	22.55%	@ IR Reykjavik	1008	2	IF Hottur	1157	1
6	2012-08-01	23.40%	KA Akureyri	1045	1	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	1125	0
7	2012-08-09	23.75%	Throttur Reykjavik	1022	3	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	1099	0
8	2012-06-22	23.81%	Leiknir Reykjavik	1036	1	@ Vikingur Olafsvik	1112	0
9	2012-07-29	24.18%	@ Throttur Reykjavik	1014	1	Thor Akureyri	1144	0
10	2012-09-15	24.30%	Throttur Reykjavik	1048	3	@ Fjolnir	1119	1
11	2012-06-21	24.86%	@ KA Akureyri	1025	3	Thor Akureyri	1148	2
12	2012-05-19	25.00%	Vikingur Olafsvik	1083	1	@ Tindastll	1146	0
13	2012-07-21	25.76%	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	1096	1	@ Tindastll	1151	0
14	2012-09-01	26.64%	IF Hottur	1084	2	@ Fjolnir	1131	1
15	2012-09-15	26.86%	Leiknir Reykjavik	1041	3	@ IF Hottur	1086	2
16	2012-06-09	27.08%	Fjolnir	1086	6	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	1129	2
17	2012-07-13	27.11%	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	1038	6	IF Hottur	1139	1
18	2012-06-29	27.29%	Vikingur Reykjavik	1100	2	@ Thor Akureyri	1141	0
19	2012-07-21	28.42%	Vikingur Olafsvik	1109	2	@ Fjolnir	1139	1
20	2012-08-10	28.55%	@ KA Akureyri	1053	2	Fjolnir	1141	1
21	2012-08-11	29.00%	@ B Bolungarvik	1001	3	IF Hottur	1085	1
22	2012-08-16	29.11%	@ Throttur Reykjavik	1052	4	Vikingur Olafsvik	1134	1
23	2012-05-19	29.26%	KA Akureyri	1028	3	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	1051	1
24	2012-06-16	29.72%	Vikingur Olafsvik	1098	2	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	1117	0
25	2012-08-25	29.94%	@ IF Hottur	1069	5	Vikingur Reykjavik	1145	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2012-09-22	35.62	@ Throttur Reykjavik	6	1062	33.94%	Tindastll	0	1106	38.24%
2	2012-05-25	29.08	Fjolnir	5	1048	35.46%	@ IR Reykjavik	0	1023	36.66%
3	2012-07-13	28.62	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	6	1038	27.11%	IF Hottur	1	1139	46.29%
4	2012-08-21	28.41	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	5	1116	36.62%	Tindastll	0	1142	35.51%
5	2012-08-09	23.12	Throttur Reykjavik	3	1022	23.75%	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	0	1099	51.09%
6	2012-09-16	22.43	Vikingur Olafsvik	4	1133	37.96%	@ KA Akureyri	0	1091	34.21%
7	2012-07-17	21.33	@ Fjolnir	4	1118	40.33%	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	0	1117	32.01%
8	2012-06-09	19.84	Fjolnir	6	1086	27.08%	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	2	1129	46.33%
9	2012-08-01	18.68	Vikingur Olafsvik	3	1122	33.79%	@ IF Hottur	0	1109	38.40%
10	2012-08-28	18.47	@ Thor Akureyri	4	1164	46.55%	Tindastll	0	1119	26.91%
11	2012-07-22	17.38	Thor Akureyri	5	1126	41.36%	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	1	1060	31.11%
12	2012-08-16	17.34	@ Throttur Reykjavik	4	1052	29.11%	Vikingur Olafsvik	1	1134	43.73%
13	2012-09-15	16.87	B Bolungarvik	5	1000	42.66%	@ IR Reykjavik	1	925	30.00%
14	2012-07-07	16.36	@ Tindastll	6	1129	36.43%	IF Hottur	2	1155	35.69%
15	2012-07-21	16.36	@ KA Akureyri	5	1035	44.02%	IR Reykjavik	1	1009	28.88%
16	2012-06-30	15.16	@ Vikingur Olafsvik	4	1103	53.98%	B Bolungarvik	0	1006	21.96%
17	2012-08-09	15.04	Tindastll	4	1128	54.26%	@ IR Reykjavik	0	970	21.80%
18	2012-08-21	14.77	@ KA Akureyri	4	1062	36.98%	IF Hottur	1	1084	35.15%
19	2012-08-25	14.76	@ IF Hottur	5	1069	29.94%	Vikingur Reykjavik	2	1145	42.73%
20	2012-06-29	14.72	Vikingur Reykjavik	2	1100	27.29%	@ Thor Akureyri	0	1141	46.05%
21	2012-08-25	14.25	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	3	1066	46.21%	B Bolungarvik	0	1024	27.17%
22	2012-06-02	14.10	IR Reykjavik	4	994	18.04%	@ Tindastll	2	1148	61.42%
23	2012-06-16	13.98	Vikingur Olafsvik	2	1098	29.72%	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	0	1117	42.98%
24	2012-09-04	13.69	KA Akureyri	2	1078	30.75%	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	0	1088	41.78%
25	2012-05-12	13.66	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	2	1092	30.86%	Tindastll	0	1160	41.65%