1979 Úrvalsdeild Season

92 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

IA Akranes

26 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

KR Reykjavik

6.20 points above expected

22 points · 15.80 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Haukar Hafnarfjordur

11.52 points below expected

5 points · 16.52 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 18 10 4 4 24 26 13 +13
2 Valur Reykjavik 18 9 5 4 23 35 22 +13
3 IA Akranes 18 10 3 5 23 27 17 +10
4 Keflavik IF 18 8 6 4 22 26 18 +8
5 KR Reykjavik 18 9 4 5 22 29 24 +5
6 Fram Reykjavik 18 4 9 5 17 25 23 +2
7 Vikingur Reykjavik 18 6 4 8 16 26 25 +1
8 Throttur Reykjavik 18 6 4 8 16 27 31 -4
9 KA Akureyri 18 3 6 9 12 21 36 -15
10 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 18 1 3 14 5 12 45 -33
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 IA Akranes 20 11 4 5 26 30 18 +12 21.8 +4.23
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 18 10 4 4 24 26 13 +13 19.4 +4.63
3 Valur Reykjavik 20 9 6 5 24 36 25 +11 22.6 +1.43
4 Keflavik IF 18 8 6 4 22 26 18 +8 19.4 +2.64
5 KR Reykjavik 18 9 4 5 22 29 24 +5 15.8 +6.20
6 Fram Reykjavik 18 4 9 5 17 25 23 +2 17.0 -0.03
7 Vikingur Reykjavik 18 6 4 8 16 26 25 +1 17.6 -1.63
8 Throttur Reykjavik 18 6 4 8 16 27 31 -4 16.2 -0.23
9 KA Akureyri 18 3 6 9 12 21 36 -15 13.7 -1.73
10 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 18 1 3 14 5 12 45 -33 16.5 -11.52

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Valur Reykjavik 1226 24 22.57 +1.43 60.2% 10 17 20 23 25 28 35
IA Akranes 1224 26 21.77 +4.23 69.6% 8 16 20 22 24 27 32
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1173 24 19.37 +4.63 93.9% 6 14 17 19 22 25 33
Keflavik IF 1157 22 19.36 +2.64 82.7% 6 14 17 19 22 25 31
Vikingur Reykjavik 1110 16 17.63 -1.63 37.0% 5 12 15 18 20 23 30
KR Reykjavik 1108 22 15.80 +6.20 97.7% 3 10 13 16 18 21 28
Fram Reykjavik 1103 17 17.03 -0.03 55.9% 6 12 15 17 19 23 32
Throttur Reykjavik 1091 16 16.23 -0.23 53.5% 5 11 14 16 19 22 29
Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1028 5 16.52 -11.52 0.0% 4 11 14 16 19 22 29
KA Akureyri 1020 12 13.73 -1.73 36.4% 3 8 11 14 16 19 26

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FR HH IA IV KA KR KI TR VR VR
Fram Reykjavik
1-1-0
2.69
0-2-0
2.01
1-1-0
2.31
0-2-0
3.28
0-0-2
2.91
1-1-0
2.28
0-1-1
2.85
0-1-1
1.94
1-0-1
2.61
Haukar Hafnarfjordur
0-1-1
2.71
1-0-1
1.95
0-0-2
2.21
0-1-1
3.27
0-0-2
2.96
0-1-1
2.15
0-0-2
2.65
0-0-2
1.85
0-0-2
2.55
IA Akranes
0-2-0
3.45
1-0-1
3.52
0-0-2
3.06
2-0-0
3.87
2-0-0
3.64
1-1-0
3.14
2-0-0
3.52
2-1-1
5.23
1-0-1
3.34
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0-1-1
3.12
2-0-0
3.20
2-0-0
2.37
1-0-1
3.45
0-1-1
3.27
0-1-1
2.74
2-0-0
3.08
2-0-0
2.13
1-1-0
3.04
KA Akureyri
0-2-0
2.16
1-1-0
2.16
0-0-2
1.63
1-0-1
2.01
0-1-1
2.35
0-1-1
1.88
0-0-2
2.46
0-1-1
1.43
1-0-1
2.12
KR Reykjavik
2-0-0
2.50
2-0-0
2.48
0-0-2
1.83
1-1-0
2.16
1-1-0
3.08
1-0-1
2.17
0-1-1
2.79
0-1-1
1.74
2-0-0
2.47
Keflavik IF
0-1-1
3.14
1-1-0
3.30
0-1-1
2.28
1-1-0
2.67
1-1-0
3.59
1-0-1
3.25
1-1-0
3.18
1-0-1
2.28
2-0-0
2.88
Throttur Reykjavik
1-1-0
2.56
2-0-0
2.76
0-0-2
1.94
0-0-2
2.35
2-0-0
2.96
1-1-0
2.62
0-1-1
2.25
0-0-2
1.77
0-1-1
2.49
Valur Reykjavik
1-1-0
3.52
2-0-0
3.61
1-1-2
5.60
0-0-2
3.31
1-1-0
4.10
1-1-0
3.74
1-0-1
3.16
2-0-0
3.70
0-2-0
3.51
Vikingur Reykjavik
1-0-1
2.81
2-0-0
2.87
1-0-1
2.10
0-1-1
2.38
1-0-1
3.30
0-0-2
2.94
0-0-2
2.54
1-1-0
2.92
0-2-0
1.95

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.61%7.61%5.43%3.26%3.26%27.17%
17.61%16.30%3.80%4.89%1.09%2.17%35.87%
25.43%3.80%2.17%3.80%1.09%16.30%
33.26%4.89%3.80%1.09%13.04%
43.26%1.09%1.09%5.43%
5+2.17%2.17%
Total27.17%35.87%16.30%13.04%5.43%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.40
Mean allowed1.40
StdDev scored1.28
StdDev allowed1.28
Mean total goals/game2.80
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.129
Sample size (games)92
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
144.44%5.56%50.00%
25.56%11.11%16.67%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total22.22%55.56%5.56%11.11%5.56%100%

Fram Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.39
Mean allowed1.28
StdDev scored1.09
StdDev allowed1.27
Mean total goals/game2.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.167
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%22.22%5.56%50.00%
15.56%11.11%11.11%5.56%33.33%
25.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
3
4
5+
Total5.56%27.78%5.56%38.89%16.67%5.56%100%

Haukar Hafnarfjordur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.67
Mean allowed2.50
StdDev scored0.77
StdDev allowed1.38
Mean total goals/game3.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.111
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.00%10.00%5.00%30.00%
115.00%5.00%10.00%30.00%
25.00%5.00%10.00%
310.00%10.00%20.00%
45.00%5.00%10.00%
5+
Total40.00%30.00%30.00%100%

IA Akranes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.50
Mean allowed0.90
StdDev scored1.40
StdDev allowed0.85
Mean total goals/game2.40
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.266
Games played20
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%11.11%22.22%
116.67%11.11%5.56%33.33%
222.22%5.56%27.78%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total55.56%22.22%16.67%5.56%100%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.44
Mean allowed0.72
StdDev scored1.15
StdDev allowed0.96
Mean total goals/game2.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.362
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%27.78%
15.56%22.22%5.56%5.56%38.89%
25.56%5.56%11.11%22.22%
311.11%11.11%
4
5+
Total11.11%38.89%16.67%11.11%16.67%5.56%100%

KA Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.17
Mean allowed2.00
StdDev scored0.99
StdDev allowed1.50
Mean total goals/game3.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.040
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%16.67%
111.11%16.67%5.56%5.56%38.89%
216.67%5.56%22.22%
311.11%11.11%
45.56%5.56%11.11%
5+
Total27.78%33.33%27.78%5.56%5.56%100%

KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.61
Mean allowed1.33
StdDev scored1.24
StdDev allowed1.28
Mean total goals/game2.94
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.012
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%5.56%5.56%5.56%38.89%
15.56%11.11%16.67%
216.67%5.56%22.22%
35.56%5.56%
411.11%5.56%16.67%
5+
Total38.89%44.44%11.11%5.56%100%

Keflavik IF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.44
Mean allowed1.00
StdDev scored1.50
StdDev allowed1.19
Mean total goals/game2.44
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.165
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%16.67%
111.11%22.22%11.11%11.11%55.56%
25.56%5.56%11.11%
35.56%5.56%
4
5+11.11%11.11%
Total16.67%33.33%22.22%16.67%11.11%100%

Throttur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.50
Mean allowed1.72
StdDev scored1.47
StdDev allowed1.27
Mean total goals/game3.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.331
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.00%20.00%
15.00%15.00%5.00%5.00%30.00%
25.00%5.00%10.00%
315.00%5.00%10.00%5.00%35.00%
4
5+5.00%5.00%
Total30.00%30.00%25.00%15.00%100%

Valur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.80
Mean allowed1.25
StdDev scored1.40
StdDev allowed1.07
Mean total goals/game3.05
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.000
Games played20
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%5.56%5.56%33.33%
15.56%11.11%5.56%11.11%33.33%
25.56%5.56%
35.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
45.56%5.56%
5+5.56%5.56%
Total22.22%44.44%11.11%16.67%5.56%100%

Vikingur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.44
Mean allowed1.39
StdDev scored1.54
StdDev allowed1.20
Mean total goals/game2.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.227
Games played18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 KR Reykjavik 22 15.8 +6.20
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 24 19.4 +4.63
3 IA Akranes 26 21.8 +4.23
4 Keflavik IF 22 19.4 +2.64
5 Valur Reykjavik 24 22.6 +1.43

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 5 16.5 -11.52
2 KA Akureyri 12 13.7 -1.73
3 Vikingur Reykjavik 16 17.6 -1.63
4 Throttur Reykjavik 16 16.2 -0.23
5 Fram Reykjavik 17 17.0 -0.03

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valur Reykjavik 7 Jul 1 – Aug 12 1 in 96
2 Keflavik IF 3 Aug 30 – Sep 15 1 in 20
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 Aug 18 – Aug 30 1 in 17
4 KR Reykjavik 2 Jun 11 – Jun 16 1 in 14
5 Vikingur Reykjavik 2 Jul 1 – Jul 9 1 in 12

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fram Reykjavik 4 Jul 15 – Aug 1 1 in 75
2 Vikingur Reykjavik 3 Aug 2 – Aug 16 1 in 63
3 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 5 Aug 18 – Sep 15 1 in 49
4 IA Akranes 2 Jun 30 – Jul 9 1 in 16
5 Valur Reykjavik 2 Jun 12 – Jun 16 1 in 13

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fram Reykjavik 8 May 14 – Jul 8 1 in 57
2 Vikingur Reykjavik 7 Jun 16 – Jul 29 1 in 38
3 Throttur Reykjavik 4 Aug 1 – Aug 21 1 in 11
4 Keflavik IF 6 May 16 – Jun 24 1 in 8
5 Valur Reykjavik 8 Jun 25 – Aug 12 1 in 8

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 14 Jun 19 – Sep 15 1 in 223
2 Fram Reykjavik 8 Jun 26 – Aug 11 1 in 31
3 KA Akureyri 9 Jun 10 – Aug 2 1 in 15
4 Valur Reykjavik 4 Sep 8 – Oct 2 1 in 13
5 Vikingur Reykjavik 4 Aug 2 – Aug 22 1 in 7

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
IA Akranes27.71%24.65%16.58%11.42%7.80%5.26%3.23%1.86%1.01%0.48%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar10.63%15.14%16.58%15.31%12.47%10.06%7.95%5.72%4.02%2.12%
Valur Reykjavik40.60%22.62%13.89%9.40%5.46%3.94%1.98%1.37%0.58%0.16%
Keflavik IF9.48%14.44%15.84%15.20%13.64%10.61%8.52%6.04%4.29%1.94%
KR Reykjavik1.32%3.01%5.62%7.78%10.10%11.98%14.29%15.42%16.37%14.11%
Fram Reykjavik2.64%5.15%8.10%10.62%12.35%13.54%13.98%13.52%11.80%8.30%
Vikingur Reykjavik3.50%7.06%9.81%11.69%13.47%13.52%13.61%11.86%9.11%6.37%
Throttur Reykjavik1.95%3.37%5.77%7.55%9.82%12.96%14.06%15.67%15.94%12.91%
KA Akureyri0.36%0.88%1.84%2.72%4.52%6.53%8.96%13.15%21.98%39.06%
Haukar Hafnarfjordur1.81%3.68%5.97%8.31%10.37%11.60%13.42%15.39%14.90%14.55%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Valur Reykjavik 99.3% 0.7%
IA Akranes 98.5% 1.5%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 93.9% 6.1%
Keflavik IF 93.8% 6.2%
Vikingur Reykjavik 84.5% 15.5%
Fram Reykjavik 79.9% 20.1%
Throttur Reykjavik 71.2% 28.8%
Haukar Hafnarfjordur 70.5% 29.4%
KR Reykjavik 69.5% 30.5%
KA Akureyri 39.0% 61.0%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1979-05-12 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-1 1045 1142 34.6% 29.9% 35.5% +8.2 3
1979-05-12 @ KA Akureyri L 1-3 1142 1045 35.5% 29.9% 34.6% -8.2 0
1979-05-12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-2 1095 1129 43.0% 30.0% 27.0% -10.9 0
1979-05-12 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 2-0 1129 1095 27.0% 30.0% 43.0% +10.9 3
1979-05-14 Fram Reykjavik L 1-3 1113 1092 50.1% 28.8% 21.1% -10.7 0
1979-05-14 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-1 1092 1113 21.1% 28.8% 50.1% +10.7 3
1979-05-15 Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1064 1216 27.8% 28.7% 43.5% +0.4 1
1979-05-15 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1216 1064 43.5% 28.7% 27.8% -0.4 1
1979-05-16 IA Akranes D 0-0 1138 1207 38.4% 30.1% 31.4% -0.2 1
1979-05-16 @ Keflavik IF D 0-0 1207 1138 31.4% 30.1% 38.4% +0.2 1
1979-05-29 KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1134 1065 55.8% 27.0% 17.2% -7.1 0
1979-05-29 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 1-0 1065 1134 17.2% 27.0% 55.8% +7.1 4
1979-05-29 KA Akureyri W 3-2 1207 1054 65.1% 22.5% 12.4% +1.7 4
1979-05-29 @ IA Akranes L 2-3 1054 1207 12.4% 22.5% 65.1% -1.7 3
1979-05-29 Keflavik IF D 0-0 1140 1138 47.7% 29.3% 22.9% -0.8 4
1979-05-29 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-0 1138 1140 22.9% 29.3% 47.7% +0.8 2
1979-05-29 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-1 1103 1084 49.8% 28.9% 21.3% +3.2 3
1979-05-29 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 1084 1103 21.3% 28.9% 49.8% -3.2 0
1979-05-30 Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1102 1215 32.5% 29.7% 37.9% +0.1 4
1979-05-30 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1215 1102 37.9% 29.7% 32.5% -0.1 2
1979-06-02 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1052 1139 35.9% 30.0% 34.1% +4.9 6
1979-06-02 @ KA Akureyri L 0-1 1139 1052 34.1% 30.0% 35.9% -4.9 4
1979-06-02 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-0 1215 1127 58.0% 26.1% 15.9% +7.1 5
1979-06-02 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-3 1127 1215 15.9% 26.1% 58.0% -7.1 0
1979-06-04 Vikingur Reykjavik W 4-0 1138 1106 51.4% 28.5% 20.1% +11.6 5
1979-06-04 @ Keflavik IF L 0-4 1106 1138 20.1% 28.5% 51.4% -11.6 3
1979-06-04 IA Akranes L 1-3 1072 1209 29.5% 29.1% 41.4% -7.1 4
1979-06-04 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-1 1209 1072 41.4% 29.1% 29.5% +7.1 7
1979-06-06 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1081 1103 44.7% 29.8% 25.5% -0.5 1
1979-06-06 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 1-1 1103 1081 25.5% 29.8% 44.7% +0.5 5
1979-06-10 Throttur Reykjavik L 0-2 1057 1080 44.4% 29.8% 25.7% -11.2 6
1979-06-10 @ KA Akureyri W 2-0 1080 1057 25.7% 29.8% 44.4% +11.2 4
1979-06-11 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1150 1103 53.1% 28.0% 18.9% -1.0 6
1979-06-11 @ Keflavik IF D 1-1 1103 1150 18.9% 28.0% 53.1% +1.0 6
1979-06-11 Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 1065 1094 43.6% 29.9% 26.4% +4.1 7
1979-06-11 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1094 1065 26.4% 29.9% 43.6% -4.1 3
1979-06-12 IA Akranes W 2-1 1120 1216 34.7% 29.9% 35.4% +4.7 3
1979-06-12 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-2 1216 1120 35.4% 29.9% 34.7% -4.7 7
1979-06-12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-2 1222 1134 57.9% 26.2% 16.0% -13.8 5
1979-06-12 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-0 1134 1222 16.0% 26.2% 57.9% +13.8 7
1979-06-16 Valur Reykjavik W 3-2 1211 1208 47.8% 29.3% 22.9% +3.2 10
1979-06-16 @ IA Akranes L 2-3 1208 1211 22.9% 29.3% 47.8% -3.2 5
1979-06-16 KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1148 1069 56.9% 26.6% 16.5% -13.7 7
1979-06-16 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-0 1069 1148 16.5% 26.6% 56.9% +13.7 10
1979-06-16 KA Akureyri W 4-0 1090 1045 52.9% 28.0% 19.1% +11.0 6
1979-06-16 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-4 1045 1090 19.1% 28.0% 52.9% -11.0 6
1979-06-18 Keflavik IF L 0-4 1091 1149 40.0% 30.1% 29.9% -19.6 4
1979-06-18 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 4-0 1149 1091 29.9% 30.1% 40.0% +19.6 9
1979-06-19 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-0 1104 1124 44.9% 29.8% 25.3% +10.8 9
1979-06-19 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-3 1124 1104 25.3% 29.8% 44.9% -10.8 3
1979-06-23 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 4-0 1135 1114 50.0% 28.8% 21.1% +12.1 10
1979-06-23 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-4 1114 1135 21.1% 28.8% 50.0% -12.1 3
1979-06-24 KA Akureyri W 2-1 1169 1034 63.0% 23.7% 13.3% +2.0 12
1979-06-24 @ Keflavik IF L 1-2 1034 1169 13.3% 23.7% 63.0% -2.0 6
1979-06-25 Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 1101 1205 33.7% 29.8% 36.5% +0.1 7
1979-06-25 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-0 1205 1101 36.5% 29.8% 33.7% -0.1 6
1979-06-26 IA Akranes D 1-1 1115 1214 34.3% 29.9% 35.9% +0.0 10
1979-06-26 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1214 1115 35.9% 29.9% 34.3% -0.0 11
1979-06-27 KR Reykjavik W 5-1 1072 1082 46.1% 29.6% 24.3% +11.3 7
1979-06-27 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-5 1082 1072 24.3% 29.6% 46.1% -11.3 10
1979-06-29 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1032 1115 36.6% 30.1% 33.4% -0.1 7
1979-06-29 @ KA Akureyri D 1-1 1115 1032 33.4% 30.1% 36.6% +0.1 11
1979-06-30 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-2 1214 1147 55.5% 27.1% 17.3% -13.4 11
1979-06-30 @ IA Akranes W 2-0 1147 1214 17.3% 27.1% 55.5% +13.4 13
1979-06-30 Keflavik IF W 3-2 1071 1171 34.2% 29.9% 35.9% +4.5 13
1979-06-30 @ KR Reykjavik L 2-3 1171 1071 35.9% 29.9% 34.2% -4.5 12
1979-07-01 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-3 1101 1101 47.4% 29.4% 23.2% -10.2 3
1979-07-01 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-1 1101 1101 23.2% 29.4% 47.4% +10.2 10
1979-07-01 Throttur Reykjavik W 3-1 1205 1083 61.7% 24.4% 14.0% +3.6 9
1979-07-01 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-3 1083 1205 14.0% 24.4% 61.7% -3.6 7
1979-07-08 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1115 1160 41.6% 30.1% 28.3% -0.3 12
1979-07-08 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1160 1115 28.3% 30.1% 41.6% +0.4 14
1979-07-08 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1032 1076 41.9% 30.1% 28.1% -0.4 8
1979-07-08 @ KA Akureyri D 1-1 1076 1032 28.1% 30.1% 41.9% +0.4 14
1979-07-09 Valur Reykjavik L 0-3 1166 1209 41.9% 30.1% 28.0% -15.6 12
1979-07-09 @ Keflavik IF W 3-0 1209 1166 28.0% 30.1% 41.9% +15.6 12
1979-07-09 IA Akranes W 1-0 1112 1201 35.7% 30.0% 34.4% +4.9 13
1979-07-09 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-1 1201 1112 34.4% 30.0% 35.7% -4.9 11
1979-07-10 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-2 1080 1091 46.0% 29.6% 24.4% +3.4 10
1979-07-10 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 2-3 1091 1080 24.4% 29.6% 46.0% -3.4 3
1979-07-13 Throttur Reykjavik W 4-0 1196 1083 60.7% 24.9% 14.4% +8.3 14
1979-07-13 @ IA Akranes L 0-4 1083 1196 14.4% 24.9% 60.7% -8.3 10
1979-07-14 Keflavik IF D 0-0 1088 1150 39.3% 30.1% 30.6% -0.2 4
1979-07-14 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 0-0 1150 1088 30.6% 30.1% 39.3% +0.2 13
1979-07-14 Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-1 1160 1117 52.8% 28.1% 19.1% -1.0 15
1979-07-14 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1117 1160 19.1% 28.1% 52.8% +1.0 14
1979-07-14 KA Akureyri W 5-1 1224 1032 69.2% 20.1% 10.7% +4.8 15
1979-07-14 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-5 1032 1224 10.7% 20.1% 69.2% -4.8 8
1979-07-15 Fram Reykjavik W 3-2 1076 1115 42.5% 30.0% 27.5% +3.7 17
1979-07-15 @ KR Reykjavik L 2-3 1115 1076 27.5% 30.0% 42.5% -3.7 12
1979-07-20 IA Akranes L 2-4 1027 1204 25.1% 27.8% 47.1% -5.5 8
1979-07-20 @ KA Akureyri W 4-2 1204 1027 47.1% 27.8% 25.1% +5.5 17
1979-07-21 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-1 1151 1159 46.3% 29.6% 24.1% +6.2 16
1979-07-21 @ Keflavik IF L 1-3 1159 1151 24.1% 29.6% 46.3% -6.2 15
1979-07-22 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 4-1 1080 1088 46.5% 29.6% 24.0% +8.7 20
1979-07-22 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-4 1088 1080 24.0% 29.6% 46.5% -8.7 4
1979-07-23 Fram Reykjavik W 3-2 1229 1111 61.3% 24.6% 14.2% +2.0 18
1979-07-23 @ Valur Reykjavik L 2-3 1111 1229 14.2% 24.6% 61.3% -2.0 12
1979-07-26 Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-1 1075 1118 41.9% 30.1% 28.0% -0.4 11
1979-07-26 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 1-1 1118 1075 28.0% 30.1% 41.9% +0.4 15
1979-07-27 Keflavik IF W 1-0 1210 1157 53.8% 27.7% 18.4% +3.0 20
1979-07-27 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 1157 1210 18.4% 27.7% 53.8% -3.0 16
1979-07-28 Throttur Reykjavik W 3-1 1153 1074 56.9% 26.6% 16.5% +4.4 18
1979-07-28 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-3 1074 1153 16.5% 26.6% 56.9% -4.4 11
1979-07-29 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-5 1109 1118 46.3% 29.6% 24.1% -18.3 12
1979-07-29 @ Fram Reykjavik W 5-1 1118 1109 24.1% 29.6% 46.3% +18.3 18
1979-07-29 KA Akureyri D 2-2 1079 1022 54.4% 27.6% 18.1% -0.8 5
1979-07-29 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 2-2 1022 1079 18.1% 27.6% 54.4% +0.8 9
1979-07-30 KR Reykjavik W 1-0 1231 1088 63.9% 23.2% 12.9% +2.0 21
1979-07-30 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 1088 1231 12.9% 23.2% 63.9% -2.0 20
1979-08-01 Throttur Reykjavik L 0-1 1091 1070 50.0% 28.9% 21.1% -6.5 12
1979-08-01 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1070 1091 21.1% 28.9% 50.0% +6.5 14
1979-08-02 Valur Reykjavik L 0-3 1078 1233 27.4% 28.6% 44.0% -11.2 5
1979-08-02 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-0 1233 1078 44.0% 28.6% 27.4% +11.2 24
1979-08-02 KR Reykjavik W 2-0 1213 1086 62.2% 24.1% 13.7% +4.1 23
1979-08-02 @ IA Akranes L 0-2 1086 1213 13.7% 24.1% 62.2% -4.1 20
1979-08-02 KA Akureyri W 3-0 1158 1022 63.1% 23.6% 13.3% +5.7 21
1979-08-02 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-3 1022 1158 13.3% 23.6% 63.1% -5.7 9
1979-08-02 Keflavik IF L 1-2 1136 1154 45.2% 29.8% 25.1% -5.7 18
1979-08-02 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-1 1154 1136 25.1% 29.8% 45.2% +5.7 19
1979-08-10 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-1 1017 1131 32.3% 29.6% 38.0% +8.6 12
1979-08-10 @ KA Akureyri L 1-3 1131 1017 38.0% 29.6% 32.3% -8.6 18
1979-08-11 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1067 1084 45.3% 29.8% 25.0% -0.6 6
1979-08-11 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 1-1 1084 1067 25.0% 29.8% 45.3% +0.5 13
1979-08-11 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-2 1082 1163 36.7% 30.1% 33.2% -0.1 21
1979-08-11 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-2 1163 1082 33.2% 30.1% 36.7% +0.1 22
1979-08-12 IA Akranes W 2-1 1244 1217 50.8% 28.6% 20.5% +3.1 27
1979-08-12 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 1217 1244 20.5% 28.6% 50.8% -3.1 23
1979-08-13 Throttur Reykjavik D 1-1 1160 1076 57.4% 26.4% 16.3% -1.2 20
1979-08-13 @ Keflavik IF D 1-1 1076 1160 16.3% 26.4% 57.4% +1.2 15
1979-08-16 KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1122 1082 52.3% 28.2% 19.5% -12.8 18
1979-08-16 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-0 1082 1122 19.5% 28.2% 52.3% +12.8 24
1979-08-18 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 1-0 1214 1066 64.5% 22.9% 12.7% +2.0 26
1979-08-18 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 1066 1214 12.7% 22.9% 64.5% -2.0 6
1979-08-18 Valur Reykjavik W 2-0 1164 1247 36.4% 30.0% 33.6% +9.1 25
1979-08-18 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-2 1247 1164 33.6% 30.0% 36.4% -9.1 27
1979-08-18 KA Akureyri W 1-0 1078 1025 53.8% 27.8% 18.5% +3.0 18
1979-08-18 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-1 1025 1078 18.5% 27.8% 53.8% -3.0 12
1979-08-19 Keflavik IF W 4-0 1085 1158 37.8% 30.1% 32.1% +16.7 16
1979-08-19 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-4 1158 1085 32.1% 30.1% 37.8% -16.7 20
1979-08-21 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-1 1064 1173 33.1% 29.7% 37.2% -4.8 6
1979-08-21 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 1-0 1173 1064 37.2% 29.7% 33.1% +4.8 28
1979-08-21 Throttur Reykjavik D 1-1 1095 1081 49.2% 29.0% 21.7% -0.8 25
1979-08-21 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1081 1095 21.7% 29.0% 49.2% +0.8 19
1979-08-22 Fram Reykjavik D 0-0 1216 1101 60.9% 24.8% 14.4% -1.5 27
1979-08-22 @ IA Akranes D 0-0 1101 1216 14.4% 24.8% 60.9% +1.5 17
1979-08-22 Keflavik IF D 0-0 1022 1142 31.6% 29.5% 38.9% +0.2 13
1979-08-22 @ KA Akureyri D 0-0 1142 1022 38.9% 29.5% 31.6% -0.2 21
1979-08-22 Vikingur Reykjavik D 3-3 1238 1109 62.5% 23.9% 13.6% -0.9 28
1979-08-22 @ Valur Reykjavik D 3-3 1109 1238 13.6% 23.9% 62.5% +0.9 19
1979-08-29 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-0 1110 1060 53.6% 27.8% 18.6% +8.2 22
1979-08-29 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-3 1060 1110 18.6% 27.8% 53.6% -8.2 6
1979-08-30 IA Akranes W 1-0 1177 1214 42.7% 30.0% 27.3% +4.2 31
1979-08-30 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-1 1214 1177 27.3% 30.0% 42.7% -4.2 27
1979-08-30 KR Reykjavik W 1-0 1141 1094 53.2% 28.0% 18.9% +3.0 24
1979-08-30 @ Keflavik IF L 0-1 1094 1141 18.9% 28.0% 53.2% -3.0 25
1979-08-30 Valur Reykjavik L 2-3 1081 1237 27.3% 28.5% 44.1% -3.7 19
1979-08-30 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 3-2 1237 1081 44.1% 28.5% 27.3% +3.7 31
1979-09-01 KA Akureyri D 1-1 1103 1023 57.0% 26.5% 16.4% -1.2 18
1979-09-01 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1023 1103 16.4% 26.5% 57.0% +1.2 14
1979-09-08 Throttur Reykjavik L 1-5 1051 1078 44.1% 29.9% 26.1% -17.6 6
1979-09-08 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 5-1 1078 1051 26.1% 29.9% 44.1% +17.6 22
1979-09-08 Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 1210 1118 58.3% 26.0% 15.7% +2.5 30
1979-09-08 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 1118 1210 15.7% 26.0% 58.3% -2.5 22
1979-09-08 Fram Reykjavik L 0-2 1182 1102 57.0% 26.6% 16.5% -13.7 31
1979-09-08 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-0 1102 1182 16.5% 26.6% 57.0% +13.7 21
1979-09-08 Keflavik IF L 1-2 1241 1144 58.9% 25.7% 15.4% -7.0 31
1979-09-08 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-1 1144 1241 15.4% 25.7% 58.9% +7.0 27
1979-09-09 KA Akureyri W 4-2 1091 1024 55.5% 27.1% 17.3% +4.1 28
1979-09-09 @ KR Reykjavik L 2-4 1024 1091 17.3% 27.1% 55.5% -4.1 14
1979-09-14 KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1115 1095 49.9% 28.9% 21.2% -12.3 21
1979-09-14 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-0 1095 1115 21.2% 28.9% 49.9% +12.3 31
1979-09-15 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 4-1 1152 1034 61.2% 24.6% 14.2% +5.2 30
1979-09-15 @ Keflavik IF L 1-4 1034 1152 14.2% 24.6% 61.2% -5.2 6
1979-09-15 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-1 1116 1168 40.7% 30.1% 29.2% -5.5 22
1979-09-15 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 1168 1116 29.2% 30.1% 40.7% +5.6 34
1979-09-16 Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1020 1234 21.7% 26.1% 52.2% +0.9 15
1979-09-16 @ KA Akureyri D 1-1 1234 1020 52.2% 26.1% 21.7% -0.9 32
1979-09-16 IA Akranes L 1-2 1095 1212 31.9% 29.6% 38.5% -4.4 22
1979-09-16 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 2-1 1212 1095 38.5% 29.6% 31.9% +4.4 33

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1979-09-28 IA Akranes D 0-0 1233 1217 49.5% 29.0% 21.6% -0.9 1
1979-09-28 @ Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 1217 1233 21.6% 29.0% 49.5% +0.9 1
1979-10-02 Valur Reykjavik W 3-1 1218 1232 45.6% 29.7% 24.7% +6.3 4
1979-10-02 @ IA Akranes L 1-3 1232 1218 24.7% 29.7% 45.6% -6.3 1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1979-09-08 15.41% Keflavik IF 1144 2 @ Valur Reykjavik 1241 1
2 1979-06-12 15.96% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1134 2 @ Valur Reykjavik 1222 0
3 1979-09-08 16.48% Fram Reykjavik 1102 2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1182 0
4 1979-06-16 16.50% KR Reykjavik 1069 2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1148 0
5 1979-05-29 17.21% KR Reykjavik 1065 1 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1134 0
6 1979-06-30 17.33% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1147 2 @ IA Akranes 1214 0
7 1979-08-16 19.47% KR Reykjavik 1082 2 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1122 0
8 1979-05-14 21.06% Fram Reykjavik 1092 3 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1113 1
9 1979-08-01 21.15% Throttur Reykjavik 1070 1 @ Fram Reykjavik 1091 0
10 1979-09-14 21.20% KR Reykjavik 1095 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1115 0
11 1979-07-01 23.15% Vikingur Reykjavik 1101 3 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1101 1
12 1979-07-29 24.10% Vikingur Reykjavik 1118 5 @ Fram Reykjavik 1109 1
13 1979-08-02 25.05% Keflavik IF 1154 2 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1136 1
14 1979-06-10 25.72% Throttur Reykjavik 1080 2 @ KA Akureyri 1057 0
15 1979-09-08 26.05% Throttur Reykjavik 1078 5 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1051 1
16 1979-05-12 26.97% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1129 2 @ Throttur Reykjavik 1095 0
17 1979-07-09 27.99% Valur Reykjavik 1209 3 @ Keflavik IF 1166 0
18 1979-09-15 29.20% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1168 1 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1116 0
19 1979-06-18 29.92% Keflavik IF 1149 4 @ Throttur Reykjavik 1091 0
20 1979-08-10 32.34% @ KA Akureyri 1017 3 Vikingur Reykjavik 1131 1
21 1979-06-30 34.23% @ KR Reykjavik 1071 3 Keflavik IF 1171 2
22 1979-05-12 34.63% @ KA Akureyri 1045 3 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1142 1
23 1979-06-12 34.70% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1120 2 IA Akranes 1216 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1979-06-18 19.59 Keflavik IF 4 1149 29.92% @ Throttur Reykjavik 0 1091 39.95%
2 1979-07-29 18.32 Vikingur Reykjavik 5 1118 24.10% @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1109 46.30%
3 1979-09-08 17.62 Throttur Reykjavik 5 1078 26.05% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 1051 44.06%
4 1979-08-19 16.73 @ Fram Reykjavik 4 1085 37.75% Keflavik IF 0 1158 32.14%
5 1979-07-09 15.56 Valur Reykjavik 3 1209 27.99% @ Keflavik IF 0 1166 41.95%
6 1979-06-12 13.84 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1134 15.96% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1222 57.87%
7 1979-06-16 13.67 KR Reykjavik 2 1069 16.50% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1148 56.94%
8 1979-09-08 13.67 Fram Reykjavik 2 1102 16.48% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1182 56.98%
9 1979-06-30 13.40 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1147 17.33% @ IA Akranes 0 1214 55.55%
10 1979-08-16 12.78 KR Reykjavik 2 1082 19.47% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1122 52.30%
11 1979-09-14 12.31 KR Reykjavik 2 1095 21.20% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 1115 49.93%
12 1979-06-23 12.10 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 1135 50.04% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1114 21.11%
13 1979-06-04 11.58 @ Keflavik IF 4 1138 51.43% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1106 20.09%
14 1979-06-27 11.32 @ Throttur Reykjavik 5 1072 46.11% KR Reykjavik 1 1082 24.26%
15 1979-06-10 11.22 Throttur Reykjavik 2 1080 25.72% @ KA Akureyri 0 1057 44.44%
16 1979-08-02 11.22 Valur Reykjavik 3 1233 44.01% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1078 27.43%
17 1979-06-16 11.03 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 4 1090 52.91% KA Akureyri 0 1045 19.06%
18 1979-05-12 10.94 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1129 26.97% @ Throttur Reykjavik 0 1095 43.05%
19 1979-06-19 10.75 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1104 44.87% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1124 25.33%
20 1979-05-14 10.69 Fram Reykjavik 3 1092 21.06% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1113 50.11%
21 1979-07-01 10.24 Vikingur Reykjavik 3 1101 23.15% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 1101 47.44%
22 1979-08-18 9.09 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1164 36.38% Valur Reykjavik 0 1247 33.58%
23 1979-07-22 8.69 @ KR Reykjavik 4 1080 46.45% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 1088 23.98%
24 1979-08-10 8.57 @ KA Akureyri 3 1017 32.34% Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1131 38.03%
25 1979-07-13 8.29 @ IA Akranes 4 1196 60.69% Throttur Reykjavik 0 1083 14.45%