1981 Úrvalsdeild Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Vikingur Reykjavik

25 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Vikingur Reykjavik

5.39 points above expected

25 points · 19.61 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

FH Hafnarfjordur

7.94 points below expected

7 points · 14.94 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 18 11 3 4 25 30 23 +7 19.6 +5.39
2 Fram Reykjavik 18 7 9 2 23 24 17 +7 19.1 +3.93
3 IA Akranes 18 8 6 4 22 29 17 +12 21.0 +1.04
4 Breidablik 18 7 8 3 22 27 20 +7 18.6 +3.40
5 Valur Reykjavik 18 8 4 6 20 30 24 +6 22.4 -2.38
6 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 18 8 3 7 19 29 21 +8 19.2 -0.17
7 KA Akureyri 18 7 4 7 18 22 18 +4 16.2 +1.78
8 KR Reykjavik 18 3 6 9 12 13 25 -12 16.5 -4.48
9 Thor Akureyri 18 3 6 9 12 18 35 -17 12.6 -0.57
10 FH Hafnarfjordur 18 2 3 13 7 20 42 -22 14.9 -7.94

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
IA Akranes 1130 22 20.96 +1.04 67.9% 8 16 19 21 23 26 32
Valur Reykjavik 1118 20 22.38 -2.38 27.1% 9 17 20 22 25 28 33
Vikingur Reykjavik 1098 25 19.61 +5.39 96.5% 7 14 17 20 22 25 32
Fram Reykjavik 1098 23 19.07 +3.93 91.4% 7 14 17 19 21 24 31
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1093 19 19.17 -0.17 53.4% 6 14 17 19 21 24 31
Breidablik 1076 22 18.60 +3.40 88.2% 7 13 16 19 21 24 32
KA Akureyri 1042 18 16.22 +1.78 75.7% 5 11 14 16 18 22 28
KR Reykjavik 1004 12 16.48 -4.48 11.0% 4 11 14 16 19 22 28
FH Hafnarfjordur 948 7 14.94 -7.94 0.8% 4 10 13 15 17 20 29
Thor Akureyri 933 12 12.57 -0.57 49.5% 2 7 10 13 15 18 25

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRE FH FR IA IV KA KR TA VR VR
Breidablik
1-1-0
3.27
0-1-1
2.59
0-2-0
2.17
2-0-0
2.49
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
2.93
0-2-0
3.59
1-1-0
2.03
1-1-0
2.40
FH Hafnarfjordur
0-1-1
1.99
1-0-1
1.89
0-0-2
1.75
0-0-2
1.97
0-0-2
2.47
0-1-1
2.40
1-0-1
3.04
0-0-2
1.63
0-1-1
1.99
Fram Reykjavik
1-1-0
2.62
1-0-1
3.40
0-2-0
2.28
0-2-0
2.57
2-0-0
2.95
1-1-0
3.06
1-0-1
3.69
0-2-0
2.14
1-1-0
2.49
IA Akranes
0-2-0
3.06
2-0-0
3.59
0-2-0
2.95
2-0-0
2.85
1-0-1
3.40
0-1-1
3.40
1-1-0
3.93
1-0-1
2.30
1-0-1
2.74
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0-0-2
2.72
2-0-0
3.29
0-2-0
2.63
0-0-2
2.37
1-0-1
3.10
1-1-0
2.99
2-0-0
3.61
2-0-0
2.08
0-0-2
2.60
KA Akureyri
1-0-1
2.25
2-0-0
2.74
0-0-2
2.27
1-0-1
1.89
1-0-1
2.14
1-1-0
2.48
0-2-0
3.25
1-1-0
1.72
0-0-2
2.13
KR Reykjavik
1-0-1
2.29
1-1-0
2.81
0-1-1
2.17
1-1-0
1.89
0-1-1
2.23
0-1-1
2.74
0-1-1
3.31
0-0-2
1.86
0-0-2
2.01
Thor Akureyri
0-2-0
1.75
1-0-1
2.19
1-0-1
1.67
0-1-1
1.50
0-0-2
1.73
0-2-0
2.01
1-1-0
1.96
0-0-2
1.42
0-0-2
1.66
Valur Reykjavik
0-1-1
3.23
2-0-0
3.74
0-2-0
3.10
1-0-1
2.92
0-0-2
3.17
0-1-1
3.61
2-0-0
3.44
2-0-0
4.05
1-0-1
3.17
Vikingur Reykjavik
0-1-1
2.81
1-1-0
3.28
0-1-1
2.73
1-0-1
2.47
2-0-0
2.62
2-0-0
3.10
2-0-0
3.25
2-0-0
3.71
1-0-1
2.07

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%7.22%4.44%4.44%1.11%30.56%
17.22%11.11%7.78%3.89%1.67%2.22%33.89%
24.44%7.78%1.11%1.67%0.56%0.56%16.11%
34.44%3.89%1.67%3.33%13.33%
41.11%1.67%0.56%3.33%
5+2.22%0.56%2.78%
Total30.56%33.89%16.11%13.33%3.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.34
Mean allowed1.34
StdDev scored1.32
StdDev allowed1.32
Mean total goals/game2.69
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.005
Sample size (games)90
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%5.56%27.78%
111.11%11.11%5.56%5.56%33.33%
211.11%11.11%
35.56%5.56%11.11%22.22%
4
5+5.56%5.56%
Total38.89%33.33%5.56%22.22%100%

Breidablik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.50
Mean allowed1.11
StdDev scored1.42
StdDev allowed1.18
Mean total goals/game2.61
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.244
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%27.78%
15.56%5.56%16.67%11.11%5.56%5.56%50.00%
25.56%11.11%16.67%
3
4
5+5.56%5.56%
Total11.11%11.11%33.33%27.78%11.11%5.56%100%

FH Hafnarfjordur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.11
Mean allowed2.33
StdDev scored1.18
StdDev allowed1.33
Mean total goals/game3.44
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.137
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%5.56%27.78%
15.56%22.22%5.56%33.33%
211.11%5.56%16.67%
316.67%5.56%22.22%
4
5+
Total38.89%50.00%5.56%5.56%100%

Fram Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.33
Mean allowed0.94
StdDev scored1.14
StdDev allowed1.26
Mean total goals/game2.28
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.260
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%11.11%5.56%38.89%
15.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
25.56%5.56%11.11%
35.56%11.11%5.56%22.22%
45.56%5.56%
5+5.56%5.56%
Total44.44%33.33%11.11%5.56%5.56%100%

IA Akranes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.61
Mean allowed0.94
StdDev scored1.75
StdDev allowed1.16
Mean total goals/game2.56
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.133
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%5.56%22.22%
111.11%11.11%16.67%38.89%
211.11%11.11%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
416.67%16.67%
5+
Total22.22%50.00%16.67%11.11%100%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.61
Mean allowed1.17
StdDev scored1.42
StdDev allowed0.92
Mean total goals/game2.78
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.082
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%5.56%5.56%33.33%
116.67%16.67%11.11%44.44%
2
311.11%5.56%16.67%
4
5+5.56%5.56%
Total33.33%38.89%22.22%5.56%100%

KA Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.22
Mean allowed1.00
StdDev scored1.40
StdDev allowed0.91
Mean total goals/game2.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.186
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%5.56%16.67%5.56%44.44%
116.67%11.11%11.11%38.89%
25.56%11.11%16.67%
3
4
5+
Total22.22%33.33%27.78%16.67%100%

KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.72
Mean allowed1.39
StdDev scored0.75
StdDev allowed1.04
Mean total goals/game2.11
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.080
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%11.11%27.78%
15.56%16.67%11.11%5.56%11.11%5.56%55.56%
25.56%5.56%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
4
5+
Total22.22%27.78%11.11%22.22%11.11%5.56%100%

Thor Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.00
Mean allowed1.94
StdDev scored0.91
StdDev allowed1.70
Mean total goals/game2.94
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.000
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%5.56%11.11%5.56%38.89%
15.56%5.56%11.11%
25.56%11.11%5.56%22.22%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
45.56%5.56%11.11%
5+5.56%5.56%
Total33.33%27.78%22.22%11.11%5.56%100%

Valur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.67
Mean allowed1.33
StdDev scored1.78
StdDev allowed1.37
Mean total goals/game3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.096
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%16.67%
111.11%5.56%16.67%
25.56%27.78%5.56%5.56%5.56%50.00%
311.11%5.56%16.67%
4
5+
Total38.89%33.33%11.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%100%

Vikingur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.67
Mean allowed1.28
StdDev scored0.97
StdDev allowed1.64
Mean total goals/game2.94
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.173
Games played18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 25 19.6 +5.39
2 Fram Reykjavik 23 19.1 +3.93
3 Breidablik 22 18.6 +3.40
4 KA Akureyri 18 16.2 +1.78
5 IA Akranes 22 21.0 +1.04

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 FH Hafnarfjordur 7 14.9 -7.94
2 KR Reykjavik 12 16.5 -4.48
3 Valur Reykjavik 20 22.4 -2.38
4 Thor Akureyri 12 12.6 -0.57
5 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 19 19.2 -0.17

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 7 May 31 – Jun 28 1 in 1,657
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 Jul 29 – Aug 20 1 in 66
3 Fram Reykjavik 3 Jul 16 – Jul 29 1 in 27
4 Thor Akureyri 2 Aug 20 – Sep 2 1 in 21
5 FH Hafnarfjordur 2 Jun 20 – Jun 23 1 in 13

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FH Hafnarfjordur 7 Jul 27 – Sep 12 1 in 492
2 Valur Reykjavik 3 Aug 7 – Aug 20 1 in 108
3 KA Akureyri 3 Jun 20 – Jun 28 1 in 54
4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 Jun 20 – Jun 27 1 in 42
5 Vikingur Reykjavik 2 Jul 26 – Jul 30 1 in 10

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fram Reykjavik 11 Jun 24 – Sep 12 1 in 47
2 Breidablik 10 May 8 – Jul 6 1 in 42
3 Vikingur Reykjavik 11 May 14 – Jul 18 1 in 28
4 KA Akureyri 5 Jul 6 – Aug 7 1 in 9
5 Thor Akureyri 3 Jun 8 – Jun 20 1 in 6

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KR Reykjavik 12 May 16 – Jul 29 1 in 46
2 IA Akranes 6 May 30 – Jun 24 1 in 20
3 FH Hafnarfjordur 10 Jun 27 – Sep 12 1 in 14
4 Thor Akureyri 12 Jun 5 – Aug 16 1 in 11
5 Breidablik 5 Jul 6 – Aug 8 1 in 9

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Vikingur Reykjavik11.66%14.55%14.19%15.29%13.23%10.77%8.97%6.27%3.70%1.37%
Fram Reykjavik8.94%12.07%13.56%14.24%13.56%12.78%10.44%7.34%4.83%2.24%
IA Akranes22.32%21.18%16.85%12.02%9.90%7.36%4.95%3.30%1.50%0.62%
Breidablik6.86%10.25%11.69%13.49%14.25%14.01%12.15%8.80%5.92%2.58%
Valur Reykjavik36.93%21.36%15.34%10.19%6.91%4.37%2.68%1.52%0.50%0.20%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar9.30%12.56%14.36%14.86%13.67%11.72%9.83%7.36%4.60%1.74%
KA Akureyri1.61%3.28%5.79%7.51%10.08%13.22%15.89%17.28%15.80%9.54%
KR Reykjavik1.62%3.02%5.28%7.41%10.44%12.89%15.93%17.99%16.09%9.33%
Thor Akureyri0.08%0.33%0.69%1.17%2.13%3.98%6.29%12.02%22.85%50.46%
FH Hafnarfjordur0.68%1.40%2.25%3.82%5.83%8.90%12.87%18.12%24.21%21.92%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Valur Reykjavik 99.3% 0.7%
IA Akranes 97.9% 2.1%
Vikingur Reykjavik 94.9% 5.1%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 93.7% 6.3%
Fram Reykjavik 92.9% 7.1%
Breidablik 91.5% 8.5%
KA Akureyri 74.7% 25.3%
KR Reykjavik 74.6% 25.4%
FH Hafnarfjordur 53.9% 46.1%
Thor Akureyri 26.7% 73.3%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1981-05-08 Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 1049 1071 28.7% 39.6% 31.8% +5.2 3
1981-05-08 @ Breidablik L 0-1 1071 1049 31.8% 39.6% 28.7% -5.2 0
1981-05-09 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1075 1076 31.7% 39.6% 28.7% -0.1 1
1981-05-09 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1076 1075 28.7% 39.6% 31.7% +0.1 1
1981-05-10 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-0 1046 1021 35.4% 39.2% 25.4% +8.6 3
1981-05-10 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1021 1046 25.4% 39.2% 35.4% -8.6 0
1981-05-14 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-1 1066 1012 39.6% 38.1% 22.3% +3.9 3
1981-05-14 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 1012 1066 22.3% 38.1% 39.6% -3.9 0
1981-05-15 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1054 1075 28.9% 39.6% 31.5% +0.1 4
1981-05-15 @ Breidablik D 1-1 1075 1054 31.5% 39.6% 28.9% -0.1 2
1981-05-16 Thor Akureyri W 4-1 1076 953 49.7% 33.1% 17.2% +7.4 4
1981-05-16 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-4 953 1076 17.2% 33.1% 49.7% -7.4 0
1981-05-16 IA Akranes L 0-1 1011 1102 21.3% 36.9% 41.9% -3.9 0
1981-05-16 @ KA Akureyri W 1-0 1102 1011 41.9% 36.9% 21.3% +3.9 3
1981-05-16 KR Reykjavik W 3-0 1135 1054 43.5% 36.5% 20.0% +10.3 3
1981-05-16 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-3 1054 1135 20.0% 36.5% 43.5% -10.3 3
1981-05-20 Valur Reykjavik L 2-3 1009 1145 18.1% 33.2% 48.7% -3.0 0
1981-05-20 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-2 1145 1009 48.7% 33.2% 18.1% +3.0 6
1981-05-20 Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-0 1075 1070 32.5% 39.6% 27.9% -0.1 3
1981-05-20 @ Fram Reykjavik D 0-0 1070 1075 27.9% 39.6% 32.5% +0.1 4
1981-05-20 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-0 1106 1084 35.1% 39.3% 25.7% +12.5 6
1981-05-20 @ IA Akranes L 0-3 1084 1106 25.7% 39.3% 35.1% -12.5 4
1981-05-21 KA Akureyri L 0-1 1044 1008 37.1% 38.9% 24.1% -5.8 3
1981-05-21 @ KR Reykjavik W 1-0 1008 1044 24.1% 38.9% 37.1% +5.8 3
1981-05-22 Breidablik D 1-1 946 1054 19.9% 35.6% 44.5% +0.7 1
1981-05-22 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-1 1054 946 44.5% 35.6% 19.9% -0.7 5
1981-05-29 FH Hafnarfjordur W 5-1 1013 1006 32.9% 39.6% 27.5% +14.3 6
1981-05-29 @ KA Akureyri L 1-5 1006 1013 27.5% 39.6% 32.9% -14.3 0
1981-05-30 IA Akranes D 0-0 1054 1119 23.6% 38.3% 38.1% +0.5 6
1981-05-30 @ Breidablik D 0-0 1119 1054 38.1% 38.3% 23.6% -0.5 7
1981-05-30 Thor Akureyri L 0-1 1075 946 50.4% 32.6% 17.0% -7.0 3
1981-05-30 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 946 1075 17.0% 32.6% 50.4% +7.0 4
1981-05-30 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1071 1038 36.6% 39.0% 24.5% -0.3 5
1981-05-30 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1038 1071 24.5% 39.0% 36.6% +0.3 4
1981-05-31 Valur Reykjavik W 3-2 1070 1148 22.4% 37.6% 40.0% +5.4 7
1981-05-31 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-3 1148 1070 40.0% 37.6% 22.4% -5.4 6
1981-06-03 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-2 991 1071 22.3% 37.5% 40.2% -7.7 0
1981-06-03 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-0 1071 991 40.2% 37.5% 22.3% +7.7 8
1981-06-03 Fram Reykjavik D 0-0 1118 1068 39.1% 38.2% 22.6% -0.5 8
1981-06-03 @ IA Akranes D 0-0 1068 1118 22.6% 38.2% 39.1% +0.5 4
1981-06-03 KA Akureyri D 0-0 1143 1028 48.5% 33.8% 17.7% -1.0 7
1981-06-03 @ Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 1028 1143 17.7% 33.8% 48.5% +1.0 7
1981-06-04 Breidablik L 1-3 1038 1054 29.6% 39.6% 30.8% -8.2 4
1981-06-04 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-1 1054 1038 30.8% 39.6% 29.6% +8.2 9
1981-06-05 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-3 953 1076 19.0% 34.5% 46.5% -9.6 4
1981-06-05 @ Thor Akureyri W 3-0 1076 953 46.5% 34.5% 19.0% +9.6 10
1981-06-06 Valur Reykjavik L 0-4 1118 1142 28.4% 39.5% 32.0% -17.5 8
1981-06-06 @ IA Akranes W 4-0 1142 1118 32.0% 39.5% 28.4% +17.5 10
1981-06-08 KA Akureyri D 1-1 944 1029 21.8% 37.2% 41.0% +0.5 5
1981-06-08 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-1 1029 944 41.0% 37.2% 21.8% -0.5 8
1981-06-12 IA Akranes D 0-0 944 1100 17.1% 31.4% 51.5% +1.2 6
1981-06-12 @ Thor Akureyri D 0-0 1100 944 51.5% 31.4% 17.1% -1.1 9
1981-06-13 FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-0 1062 984 43.2% 36.6% 20.2% -0.8 10
1981-06-13 @ Breidablik D 0-0 984 1062 20.2% 36.6% 43.2% +0.7 1
1981-06-13 Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 1078 1159 22.1% 37.5% 40.4% +6.1 11
1981-06-13 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-1 1159 1078 40.4% 37.5% 22.1% -6.1 10
1981-06-14 KA Akureyri W 2-1 1085 1028 40.1% 37.9% 22.0% +3.8 13
1981-06-14 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 1028 1085 22.0% 37.9% 40.1% -3.8 8
1981-06-15 KR Reykjavik W 2-0 1068 1030 37.3% 38.8% 23.9% +8.2 7
1981-06-15 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-2 1030 1068 23.9% 38.8% 37.3% -8.2 4
1981-06-20 Fram Reykjavik W 5-1 984 1076 21.2% 36.8% 42.0% +18.6 4
1981-06-20 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-5 1076 984 42.0% 36.8% 21.2% -18.6 7
1981-06-20 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-1 1099 1089 33.3% 39.5% 27.2% -5.4 9
1981-06-20 @ IA Akranes W 1-0 1089 1099 27.2% 39.5% 33.3% +5.4 16
1981-06-20 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1024 1085 24.1% 38.5% 37.3% +5.8 11
1981-06-20 @ KA Akureyri L 0-1 1085 1024 37.3% 38.5% 24.1% -5.8 11
1981-06-20 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 1030 1094 23.7% 38.3% 38.0% -4.1 11
1981-06-20 @ KA Akureyri W 2-1 1094 1030 38.0% 38.3% 23.7% +4.1 19
1981-06-20 Thor Akureyri D 0-0 1022 946 42.9% 36.8% 20.3% -0.7 5
1981-06-20 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-0 946 1022 20.3% 36.8% 42.9% +0.7 7
1981-06-21 Breidablik D 0-0 1153 1061 45.1% 35.7% 19.2% -0.8 11
1981-06-21 @ Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 1061 1153 19.2% 35.7% 45.1% +0.8 11
1981-06-23 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-1 946 1003 24.5% 38.7% 36.8% -4.4 7
1981-06-23 @ Thor Akureyri W 1-0 1003 946 36.8% 38.7% 24.5% +4.4 7
1981-06-23 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1099 1079 34.7% 39.3% 26.0% +4.6 22
1981-06-23 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-1 1079 1099 26.0% 39.3% 34.7% -4.6 11
1981-06-24 KA Akureyri W 3-0 1062 1026 37.1% 38.9% 24.1% +12.0 14
1981-06-24 @ Breidablik L 0-3 1026 1062 24.1% 38.9% 37.1% -12.0 11
1981-06-24 Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1058 1153 21.0% 36.6% 42.4% +0.6 8
1981-06-24 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1153 1058 42.4% 36.6% 21.0% -0.6 12
1981-06-24 KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1094 1021 42.3% 37.0% 20.7% -0.7 10
1981-06-24 @ IA Akranes D 0-0 1021 1094 20.7% 37.0% 42.3% +0.7 6
1981-06-27 IA Akranes L 0-4 1007 1093 21.7% 37.2% 41.1% -14.3 7
1981-06-27 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 4-0 1093 1007 41.1% 37.2% 21.7% +14.3 13
1981-06-27 Breidablik L 1-2 1074 1074 31.8% 39.6% 28.6% -4.9 11
1981-06-27 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-1 1074 1074 28.6% 39.6% 31.8% +5.0 17
1981-06-27 Thor Akureyri W 6-1 1152 942 62.4% 24.0% 13.6% +8.1 15
1981-06-27 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-6 942 1152 13.6% 24.0% 62.4% -8.1 7
1981-06-28 Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1014 1058 25.9% 39.1% 35.0% -4.6 11
1981-06-28 @ KA Akureyri W 1-0 1058 1014 35.0% 39.1% 25.9% +4.6 11
1981-06-28 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 1022 1103 22.1% 37.5% 40.4% -3.8 6
1981-06-28 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-1 1103 1022 40.4% 37.5% 22.1% +3.8 25
1981-07-04 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 993 1018 28.3% 39.5% 32.2% +0.1 8
1981-07-04 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-1 1018 993 32.2% 39.5% 28.3% -0.1 7
1981-07-04 Fram Reykjavik D 3-3 1069 1063 32.7% 39.6% 27.7% -0.1 12
1981-07-04 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 3-3 1063 1069 27.7% 39.6% 32.7% +0.1 12
1981-07-05 IA Akranes L 0-2 1160 1107 39.4% 38.2% 22.4% -11.3 15
1981-07-05 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-0 1107 1160 22.4% 38.2% 39.4% +11.3 16
1981-07-06 Thor Akureyri D 1-1 1009 934 42.8% 36.8% 20.4% -0.6 12
1981-07-06 @ KA Akureyri D 1-1 934 1009 20.4% 36.8% 42.8% +0.6 8
1981-07-06 Breidablik D 0-0 1107 1079 35.8% 39.1% 25.1% -0.3 26
1981-07-06 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-0 1079 1107 25.1% 39.1% 35.8% +0.3 18
1981-07-15 Valur Reykjavik L 0-2 1018 1149 18.4% 33.8% 47.8% -6.4 7
1981-07-15 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-0 1149 1018 47.8% 33.8% 18.4% +6.4 18
1981-07-16 Breidablik W 3-1 1063 1080 29.5% 39.6% 30.9% +8.4 15
1981-07-16 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-3 1080 1063 30.9% 39.6% 29.5% -8.4 18
1981-07-18 Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-2 993 1107 19.6% 35.2% 45.2% +0.6 9
1981-07-18 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-2 1107 993 45.2% 35.2% 19.6% -0.6 27
1981-07-18 KA Akureyri L 0-1 1119 1009 47.8% 34.2% 18.0% -6.8 16
1981-07-18 @ IA Akranes W 1-0 1009 1119 18.0% 34.2% 47.8% +6.8 15
1981-07-18 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-4 934 1069 18.2% 33.4% 48.4% -7.7 8
1981-07-18 @ Thor Akureyri W 4-1 1069 934 48.4% 33.4% 18.2% +7.7 15
1981-07-24 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1016 1012 32.4% 39.6% 28.0% -0.1 16
1981-07-24 @ KA Akureyri D 1-1 1012 1016 28.0% 39.6% 32.4% +0.1 8
1981-07-25 Thor Akureyri D 3-3 1071 927 52.8% 31.0% 16.2% -0.7 19
1981-07-25 @ Breidablik D 3-3 927 1071 16.2% 31.0% 52.8% +0.7 9
1981-07-25 IA Akranes L 1-2 1077 1112 27.0% 39.3% 33.6% -4.5 15
1981-07-25 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-1 1112 1077 33.6% 39.3% 27.0% +4.5 19
1981-07-26 Fram Reykjavik L 1-3 1106 1072 36.8% 38.9% 24.3% -9.4 27
1981-07-26 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-1 1072 1106 24.3% 38.9% 36.8% +9.4 18
1981-07-27 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-1 1155 994 55.3% 29.3% 15.4% +2.6 21
1981-07-27 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 994 1155 15.4% 29.3% 55.3% -2.6 9
1981-07-29 Breidablik D 3-3 1116 1071 38.4% 38.5% 23.1% -0.3 20
1981-07-29 @ IA Akranes D 3-3 1071 1116 23.1% 38.5% 38.4% +0.3 20
1981-07-29 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-3 1012 1072 24.1% 38.5% 37.4% -7.1 8
1981-07-29 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-1 1072 1012 37.4% 38.5% 24.1% +7.1 18
1981-07-29 Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 927 1081 17.2% 31.6% 51.2% -2.9 9
1981-07-29 @ Thor Akureyri W 2-1 1081 927 51.2% 31.6% 17.2% +2.9 21
1981-07-30 KA Akureyri L 2-3 991 1015 28.4% 39.5% 32.0% -4.4 9
1981-07-30 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-2 1015 991 32.0% 39.5% 28.4% +4.4 19
1981-07-30 Vikingur Reykjavik W 4-2 1158 1097 40.6% 37.7% 21.6% +5.9 24
1981-07-30 @ Valur Reykjavik L 2-4 1097 1158 21.6% 37.7% 40.6% -5.9 27
1981-08-07 Valur Reykjavik W 3-0 1020 1164 17.7% 32.6% 49.7% +19.0 22
1981-08-07 @ KA Akureyri L 0-3 1164 1020 49.7% 32.6% 17.7% -19.0 24
1981-08-08 KR Reykjavik L 1-2 1071 1005 41.4% 37.4% 21.2% -5.8 20
1981-08-08 @ Breidablik W 2-1 1005 1071 21.2% 37.4% 41.4% +5.8 11
1981-08-08 FH Hafnarfjordur W 4-1 1080 987 45.2% 35.6% 19.1% +8.3 21
1981-08-08 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-4 987 1080 19.1% 35.6% 45.2% -8.3 9
1981-08-08 Thor Akureyri W 3-0 1091 924 56.0% 28.8% 15.2% +7.3 30
1981-08-08 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-3 924 1091 15.2% 28.8% 56.0% -7.4 9
1981-08-09 IA Akranes D 1-1 1084 1116 27.4% 39.4% 33.2% +0.2 22
1981-08-09 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1116 1084 33.2% 39.4% 27.4% -0.2 21
1981-08-16 Breidablik L 1-2 978 1065 21.6% 37.1% 41.2% -3.8 9
1981-08-16 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-1 1065 978 41.2% 37.1% 21.6% +3.8 23
1981-08-16 Thor Akureyri W 3-1 1116 917 60.8% 25.2% 14.0% +3.8 24
1981-08-16 @ IA Akranes L 1-3 917 1116 14.0% 25.2% 60.8% -3.8 9
1981-08-16 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-2 1145 1088 40.0% 38.0% 22.0% -11.4 24
1981-08-16 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-0 1088 1145 22.0% 38.0% 40.0% +11.4 24
1981-08-17 Fram Reykjavik D 0-0 1011 1084 22.8% 37.9% 39.3% +0.5 12
1981-08-17 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1084 1011 39.3% 37.9% 22.8% -0.5 23
1981-08-19 IA Akranes L 2-6 1098 1120 28.8% 39.6% 31.6% -12.5 30
1981-08-19 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 6-2 1120 1098 31.6% 39.6% 28.8% +12.5 27
1981-08-20 Valur Reykjavik W 5-1 1069 1133 23.7% 38.3% 38.0% +17.4 26
1981-08-20 @ Breidablik L 1-5 1133 1069 38.0% 38.3% 23.7% -17.4 24
1981-08-20 FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-1 1083 975 47.6% 34.3% 18.1% +5.5 26
1981-08-20 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-3 975 1083 18.1% 34.3% 47.6% -5.5 9
1981-08-20 KA Akureyri W 1-0 1099 1039 40.6% 37.8% 21.7% +4.0 27
1981-08-20 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-1 1039 1099 21.7% 37.8% 40.6% -4.0 22
1981-08-20 KR Reykjavik W 2-1 913 1011 20.7% 36.4% 42.9% +5.9 12
1981-08-20 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-2 1011 913 42.9% 36.4% 20.7% -5.9 12
1981-09-02 Thor Akureyri L 0-3 969 919 39.0% 38.3% 22.7% -16.3 9
1981-09-02 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-0 919 969 22.7% 38.3% 39.0% +16.3 15
1981-09-02 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 1103 1086 34.4% 39.4% 26.3% -5.2 27
1981-09-02 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-1 1086 1103 26.3% 39.4% 34.4% +5.2 33
1981-09-02 Breidablik W 3-0 1035 1086 25.1% 38.9% 36.0% +15.5 25
1981-09-02 @ KA Akureyri L 0-3 1086 1035 36.0% 38.9% 25.1% -15.5 26
1981-09-02 Fram Reykjavik D 0-0 1116 1089 35.7% 39.2% 25.2% -0.3 25
1981-09-02 @ Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 1089 1116 25.2% 39.2% 35.7% +0.3 27
1981-09-03 IA Akranes W 2-1 1005 1132 18.7% 34.1% 47.2% +6.3 15
1981-09-03 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-2 1132 1005 47.2% 34.1% 18.7% -6.3 27
1981-09-11 Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 936 1115 16.0% 29.0% 55.1% -2.6 15
1981-09-11 @ Thor Akureyri W 2-1 1115 936 55.1% 29.0% 16.0% +2.6 28
1981-09-12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1071 1098 28.0% 39.5% 32.5% +5.3 29
1981-09-12 @ Breidablik L 0-1 1098 1071 32.5% 39.5% 28.0% -5.3 27
1981-09-12 KA Akureyri W 2-0 1089 1050 37.5% 38.7% 23.8% +8.2 30
1981-09-12 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-2 1050 1089 23.8% 38.7% 37.5% -8.2 25
1981-09-12 FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-1 1126 953 57.0% 28.0% 15.0% +4.2 30
1981-09-12 @ IA Akranes L 1-3 953 1126 15.0% 28.0% 57.0% -4.3 9
1981-09-13 KR Reykjavik W 2-0 1091 1011 43.3% 36.6% 20.1% +7.1 36
1981-09-13 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-2 1011 1091 20.1% 36.6% 43.3% -7.1 15

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1981-05-30 16.97% Thor Akureyri 946 1 @ Fram Reykjavik 1075 0
2 1981-08-07 17.69% @ KA Akureyri 1020 3 Valur Reykjavik 1164 0
3 1981-07-18 18.00% KA Akureyri 1009 1 @ IA Akranes 1119 0
4 1981-09-03 18.66% @ KR Reykjavik 1005 2 IA Akranes 1132 1
5 1981-08-20 20.72% @ Thor Akureyri 913 2 KR Reykjavik 1011 1
6 1981-06-20 21.18% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 984 5 Fram Reykjavik 1076 1
7 1981-08-08 21.19% KR Reykjavik 1005 2 @ Breidablik 1071 1
8 1981-08-16 22.03% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1088 2 @ Valur Reykjavik 1145 0
9 1981-06-13 22.14% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1078 1 Valur Reykjavik 1159 0
10 1981-05-31 22.39% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1070 3 Valur Reykjavik 1148 2
11 1981-07-05 22.43% IA Akranes 1107 2 @ Valur Reykjavik 1160 0
12 1981-09-02 22.69% Thor Akureyri 919 3 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 969 0
13 1981-08-20 23.72% @ Breidablik 1069 5 Valur Reykjavik 1133 1
14 1981-05-21 24.08% KA Akureyri 1008 1 @ KR Reykjavik 1044 0
15 1981-06-20 24.15% @ KA Akureyri 1024 1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1085 0
16 1981-07-26 24.28% Fram Reykjavik 1072 3 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1106 1
17 1981-09-02 25.11% @ KA Akureyri 1035 3 Breidablik 1086 0
18 1981-09-02 26.26% Vikingur Reykjavik 1086 2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1103 1
19 1981-06-20 27.20% Vikingur Reykjavik 1089 1 @ IA Akranes 1099 0
20 1981-09-12 28.01% @ Breidablik 1071 1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1098 0
21 1981-06-27 28.57% Breidablik 1074 2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1074 1
22 1981-05-08 28.68% @ Breidablik 1049 1 Vikingur Reykjavik 1071 0
23 1981-07-16 29.49% @ Fram Reykjavik 1063 3 Breidablik 1080 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1981-08-07 18.95 @ KA Akureyri 3 1020 17.69% Valur Reykjavik 0 1164 49.71%
2 1981-06-20 18.59 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 5 984 21.18% Fram Reykjavik 1 1076 42.04%
3 1981-06-06 17.51 Valur Reykjavik 4 1142 32.01% @ IA Akranes 0 1118 28.45%
4 1981-08-20 17.42 @ Breidablik 5 1069 23.72% Valur Reykjavik 1 1133 37.95%
5 1981-09-02 16.34 Thor Akureyri 3 919 22.69% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 0 969 39.03%
6 1981-09-02 15.50 @ KA Akureyri 3 1035 25.11% Breidablik 0 1086 36.03%
7 1981-06-27 14.34 IA Akranes 4 1093 41.10% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1007 21.72%
8 1981-05-29 14.30 @ KA Akureyri 5 1013 32.93% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1006 27.51%
9 1981-05-20 12.54 @ IA Akranes 3 1106 35.08% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1084 25.65%
10 1981-08-19 12.47 IA Akranes 6 1120 31.64% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1098 28.79%
11 1981-06-24 12.00 @ Breidablik 3 1062 37.07% KA Akureyri 0 1026 24.08%
12 1981-08-16 11.43 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1088 22.03% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1145 40.03%
13 1981-07-05 11.33 IA Akranes 2 1107 22.43% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1160 39.42%
14 1981-05-16 10.29 @ Valur Reykjavik 3 1135 43.52% KR Reykjavik 0 1054 19.99%
15 1981-06-05 9.62 Vikingur Reykjavik 3 1076 46.50% @ Thor Akureyri 0 953 18.98%
16 1981-07-26 9.38 Fram Reykjavik 3 1072 24.28% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1106 36.81%
17 1981-05-10 8.58 @ KR Reykjavik 2 1046 35.36% FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1021 25.42%
18 1981-07-16 8.41 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1063 29.49% Breidablik 1 1080 30.89%
19 1981-08-08 8.30 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 1080 45.25% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 987 19.12%
20 1981-06-15 8.22 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1068 37.29% KR Reykjavik 0 1030 23.92%
21 1981-06-04 8.20 Breidablik 3 1054 30.75% @ KR Reykjavik 1 1038 29.62%
22 1981-09-12 8.19 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1089 37.47% KA Akureyri 0 1050 23.78%
23 1981-06-27 8.09 @ Valur Reykjavik 6 1152 62.37% Thor Akureyri 1 942 13.64%
24 1981-07-18 7.74 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 1069 48.37% @ Thor Akureyri 1 934 18.21%
25 1981-06-03 7.73 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1071 40.16% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 0 991 22.28%