Home / Leagues / Iceland / Úrvalsdeild / 1986
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1986 Úrvalsdeild Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Fram Reykjavik

38 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Fram Reykjavik

8.51 points above expected

38 points · 29.49 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Breidablik

6.66 points below expected

16 points · 22.66 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Fram Reykjavik 18 11 5 2 38 39 13 +26 29.5 +8.51
2 Valur Reykjavik 18 12 2 4 38 31 11 +20 29.8 +8.22
3 IA Akranes 18 9 3 6 30 33 22 +11 29.4 +0.60
4 KR Reykjavik 18 7 8 3 29 21 10 +11 26.4 +2.64
5 Keflavik IF 18 9 1 8 28 25 27 -2 23.6 +4.41
6 Thor Akureyri 18 6 4 8 22 21 31 -10 25.2 -3.20
7 Vidir Gardur 18 5 4 9 19 21 25 -4 21.2 -2.21
8 FH Hafnarfjordur 18 5 4 9 19 24 36 -12 20.3 -1.33
9 Breidablik 18 4 4 10 16 18 35 -17 22.7 -6.66
10 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 18 3 3 12 12 20 43 -23 18.4 -6.44

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Fram Reykjavik 1253 38 29.49 +8.51 95.6% 9 21 26 29 33 38 50
Valur Reykjavik 1244 38 29.78 +8.22 94.9% 11 21 26 30 34 39 50
IA Akranes 1203 30 29.40 +0.60 58.0% 9 20 26 29 33 38 52
KR Reykjavik 1200 29 26.36 +2.64 71.5% 5 18 23 26 30 35 46
Keflavik IF 1134 28 23.59 +4.41 81.3% 4 15 20 24 27 33 44
Thor Akureyri 1099 22 25.20 -3.20 31.6% 8 16 22 25 29 34 46
Vidir Gardur 1089 19 21.21 -2.21 38.1% 3 13 18 21 25 30 46
Breidablik 1066 16 22.66 -6.66 12.7% 6 14 19 22 26 32 46
FH Hafnarfjordur 1045 19 20.33 -1.33 44.7% 3 12 17 20 24 29 43
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1032 12 18.44 -6.44 12.4% 1 10 15 18 22 27 43

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRE FH FR IA IV KR KI TA VR VG
Breidablik —
1-1-0
2.98
0-0-2
2.16
0-0-2
1.91
0-2-0
3.21
0-0-2
2.18
1-0-1
2.73
1-1-0
2.36
1-0-1
2.25
0-0-2
2.94
FH Hafnarfjordur
0-1-1
2.47
 —
0-1-1
1.82
0-0-2
1.92
1-0-1
2.94
0-2-0
2.16
1-0-1
2.35
1-0-1
2.18
0-0-2
1.85
2-0-0
2.61
Fram Reykjavik
2-0-0
3.35
1-1-0
3.73
 —
1-1-0
2.70
2-0-0
3.98
1-1-0
3.13
0-1-1
3.39
2-0-0
3.08
0-1-1
2.57
2-0-0
3.59
IA Akranes
2-0-0
3.60
2-0-0
3.58
0-1-1
2.75
 —
2-0-0
3.62
0-1-1
3.00
1-0-1
3.38
2-0-0
3.14
0-0-2
2.64
0-1-1
3.60
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0-2-0
2.25
1-0-1
2.51
0-0-2
1.59
0-0-2
1.89
 —
0-1-1
2.16
0-0-2
2.19
0-0-2
2.12
0-0-2
1.58
2-0-0
2.23
KR Reykjavik
2-0-0
3.29
0-2-0
3.32
0-1-1
2.32
1-1-0
2.45
1-1-0
3.31
 —
1-0-1
3.10
1-1-0
2.90
1-1-0
2.28
0-1-1
3.38
Keflavik IF
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
3.11
1-1-0
2.09
1-0-1
2.11
2-0-0
3.28
1-0-1
2.36
 —
0-0-2
2.85
1-0-1
2.19
1-0-1
2.96
Thor Akureyri
0-1-1
3.10
1-0-1
3.29
0-0-2
2.38
0-0-2
2.32
2-0-0
3.35
0-1-1
2.55
2-0-0
2.60
 —
1-0-1
2.40
0-2-0
3.16
Valur Reykjavik
1-0-1
3.21
2-0-0
3.68
1-1-0
2.88
2-0-0
2.81
2-0-0
4.01
0-1-1
3.19
1-0-1
3.30
1-0-1
3.06
 —
2-0-0
3.62
Vidir Gardur
2-0-0
2.52
0-0-2
2.84
0-0-2
1.92
1-1-0
1.91
0-0-2
3.23
1-1-0
2.10
1-0-1
2.49
0-2-0
2.30
0-0-2
1.89
 —

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.78%12.22%0.56%3.33%1.67%1.67%27.22%
112.22%8.89%8.33%3.33%2.78%1.67%37.22%
20.56%8.33%4.44%3.33%——16.67%
33.33%3.33%3.33%—0.56%—10.56%
41.67%2.78%—0.56%——5.00%
5+1.67%1.67%————3.33%
Total27.22%37.22%16.67%10.56%5.00%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.41
Mean allowed1.41
StdDev scored1.36
StdDev allowed1.36
Mean total goals/game2.81
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.132
Sample size (games)90
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—16.67%———11.11%27.78%
111.11%11.11%16.67%5.56%5.56%—50.00%
2—5.56%11.11%———16.67%
35.56%—————5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%33.33%27.78%5.56%5.56%11.11%100%

Breidablik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.00
Mean allowed1.94
StdDev scored0.84
StdDev allowed1.83
Mean total goals/game2.94
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.383
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%———5.56%22.22%
15.56%5.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%38.89%
2—11.11%11.11%5.56%——27.78%
3—5.56%————5.56%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+———————
Total11.11%38.89%22.22%11.11%5.56%11.11%100%

FH Hafnarfjordur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.33
Mean allowed2.00
StdDev scored1.08
StdDev allowed1.64
Mean total goals/game3.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.165
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%————22.22%
15.56%11.11%————16.67%
2—16.67%5.56%———22.22%
311.11%5.56%————16.67%
45.56%5.56%————11.11%
5+—11.11%————11.11%
Total33.33%61.11%5.56%———100%

Fram Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.17
Mean allowed0.72
StdDev scored1.79
StdDev allowed0.57
Mean total goals/game2.89
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.105
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%5.56%———22.22%
111.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%——27.78%
2—5.56%5.56%5.56%——16.67%
35.56%5.56%5.56%———16.67%
4—11.11%————11.11%
5+—5.56%————5.56%
Total22.22%44.44%22.22%11.11%——100%

IA Akranes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.83
Mean allowed1.22
StdDev scored1.54
StdDev allowed0.94
Mean total goals/game3.06
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.013
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—16.67%—11.11%5.56%—33.33%
1—11.11%5.56%5.56%11.11%5.56%38.89%
2—5.56%5.56%———11.11%
3—5.56%5.56%—5.56%—16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total—38.89%16.67%16.67%22.22%5.56%100%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.11
Mean allowed2.39
StdDev scored1.08
StdDev allowed1.38
Mean total goals/game3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.031
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
027.78%5.56%————33.33%
111.11%16.67%11.11%———38.89%
25.56%5.56%————11.11%
35.56%5.56%————11.11%
45.56%—————5.56%
5+———————
Total55.56%33.33%11.11%———100%

KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.17
Mean allowed0.56
StdDev scored1.20
StdDev allowed0.70
Mean total goals/game1.72
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.023
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.11%—5.56%5.56%—22.22%
122.22%5.56%5.56%———33.33%
2—16.67%—16.67%——33.33%
3——5.56%———5.56%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+———————
Total22.22%38.89%11.11%22.22%5.56%—100%

Keflavik IF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.39
Mean allowed1.50
StdDev scored1.09
StdDev allowed1.25
Mean total goals/game2.89
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.022
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%16.67%—11.11%——38.89%
1—11.11%5.56%5.56%—5.56%27.78%
2—16.67%————16.67%
3——11.11%———11.11%
4———5.56%——5.56%
5+———————
Total11.11%44.44%16.67%22.22%—5.56%100%

Thor Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.17
Mean allowed1.72
StdDev scored1.25
StdDev allowed1.27
Mean total goals/game2.89
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.216
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%—5.56%——22.22%
138.89%5.56%5.56%———50.00%
2———————
3—5.56%5.56%———11.11%
45.56%—————5.56%
5+11.11%—————11.11%
Total61.11%22.22%11.11%5.56%——100%

Valur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.72
Mean allowed0.61
StdDev scored1.93
StdDev allowed0.92
Mean total goals/game2.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.230
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%——5.56%—27.78%
116.67%5.56%16.67%5.56%5.56%—50.00%
2——5.56%5.56%——11.11%
35.56%—————5.56%
4———————
5+5.56%—————5.56%
Total38.89%16.67%22.22%11.11%11.11%—100%

Vidir Gardur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.17
Mean allowed1.39
StdDev scored1.25
StdDev allowed1.42
Mean total goals/game2.56
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.171
Games played18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fram Reykjavik 38 29.5 +8.51
2 Valur Reykjavik 38 29.8 +8.22
3 Keflavik IF 28 23.6 +4.41
4 KR Reykjavik 29 26.4 +2.64
5 IA Akranes 30 29.4 +0.60

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Breidablik 16 22.7 -6.66
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 12 18.4 -6.44
3 Thor Akureyri 22 25.2 -3.20
4 Vidir Gardur 19 21.2 -2.21
5 FH Hafnarfjordur 19 20.3 -1.33

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fram Reykjavik 8 Jun 10 – Jul 20 1 in 500
2 Keflavik IF 3 Jul 6 – Jul 17 1 in 27
3 KR Reykjavik 3 Aug 16 – Sep 7 1 in 20
4 IA Akranes 4 Aug 8 – Sep 6 1 in 19
5 Valur Reykjavik 4 Jul 27 – Aug 22 1 in 13

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Breidablik 4 Jun 6 – Jun 19 1 in 58
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 Jun 6 – Jun 23 1 in 41
3 Vidir Gardur 4 Jun 19 – Jul 4 1 in 38
4 IA Akranes 3 Jun 24 – Jul 3 1 in 29
5 Thor Akureyri 3 Aug 16 – Sep 6 1 in 27

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fram Reykjavik 10 Jun 6 – Jul 27 1 in 32
2 KR Reykjavik 7 Jul 19 – Sep 13 1 in 24
3 Valur Reykjavik 9 May 23 – Jul 13 1 in 23
4 Vidir Gardur 5 May 20 – Jun 14 1 in 21
5 Keflavik IF 6 Jul 6 – Aug 17 1 in 18

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KR Reykjavik 6 Jun 20 – Jul 19 1 in 27
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 8 May 17 – Jun 23 1 in 13
3 Thor Akureyri 5 Jul 26 – Sep 6 1 in 11
4 Breidablik 7 Jul 6 – Aug 25 1 in 11
5 Fram Reykjavik 3 Jul 27 – Aug 17 1 in 9

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Fram Reykjavik25.23%19.63%16.47%12.79%9.29%6.46%4.55%3.09%1.74%0.75%
Valur Reykjavik26.92%20.42%15.85%12.07%8.60%6.66%4.44%2.60%1.63%0.81%
IA Akranes22.10%20.36%16.71%12.82%10.23%6.84%4.84%3.22%2.02%0.86%
KR Reykjavik9.97%12.46%13.78%14.60%13.29%11.32%9.68%7.19%5.02%2.69%
Keflavik IF3.83%6.72%8.49%10.71%12.75%13.89%12.72%12.77%10.86%7.26%
Thor Akureyri6.27%9.41%11.19%12.44%13.38%13.13%12.28%9.73%7.59%4.58%
Vidir Gardur1.45%3.16%4.94%7.10%9.24%11.57%14.93%15.98%16.78%14.85%
FH Hafnarfjordur1.04%2.24%3.57%5.72%7.87%10.51%12.76%16.43%19.18%20.68%
Breidablik2.80%4.57%6.92%8.51%10.77%12.38%13.63%14.92%14.18%11.32%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar0.39%1.03%2.08%3.24%4.58%7.24%10.17%14.07%21.00%36.20%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Valur Reykjavik 97.6% 2.4%
Fram Reykjavik 97.5% 2.5%
IA Akranes 97.1% 2.9%
KR Reykjavik 92.3% 7.7%
Thor Akureyri 87.8% 12.2%
Keflavik IF 81.9% 18.1%
Breidablik 74.5% 25.5%
Vidir Gardur 68.4% 31.6%
FH Hafnarfjordur 60.1% 39.9%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 42.8% 57.2%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1986-05-17 Keflavik IF W 1-0 1139 1144 38.1% 27.7% 34.2% +6.2 3
1986-05-17 @ Breidablik L 0-1 1144 1139 34.2% 27.7% 38.1% -6.2 0
1986-05-17 Fram Reykjavik D 0-0 1178 1156 42.0% 27.3% 30.7% -0.4 1
1986-05-17 @ IA Akranes D 0-0 1156 1178 30.7% 27.3% 42.0% +0.4 1
1986-05-17 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-0 1139 1112 42.8% 27.2% 30.0% +20.1 3
1986-05-17 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-4 1112 1139 30.0% 27.2% 42.8% -20.1 0
1986-05-17 Valur Reykjavik W 2-1 1152 1175 35.6% 27.8% 36.6% +6.2 3
1986-05-17 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-2 1175 1152 36.6% 27.8% 35.6% -6.1 0
1986-05-17 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-3 1091 1077 40.8% 27.5% 31.7% -11.6 0
1986-05-17 @ Vidir Gardur W 3-1 1077 1091 31.7% 27.5% 40.8% +11.5 3
1986-05-20 Keflavik IF W 2-1 1089 1138 32.0% 27.5% 40.5% +6.6 6
1986-05-20 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-2 1138 1089 40.5% 27.5% 32.0% -6.6 0
1986-05-20 IA Akranes L 0-3 1092 1177 27.8% 26.7% 45.6% -14.4 0
1986-05-20 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-0 1177 1092 45.6% 26.7% 27.8% +14.4 4
1986-05-20 Breidablik L 0-1 1169 1145 42.3% 27.3% 30.4% -7.3 0
1986-05-20 @ Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 1145 1169 30.4% 27.3% 42.3% +7.3 6
1986-05-20 KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1079 1160 28.3% 26.8% 44.9% +0.6 1
1986-05-20 @ Vidir Gardur D 0-0 1160 1079 44.9% 26.8% 28.3% -0.7 4
1986-05-21 Thor Akureyri W 2-1 1157 1159 38.6% 27.7% 33.7% +5.8 4
1986-05-21 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 1159 1157 33.7% 27.7% 38.6% -5.8 3
1986-05-23 Vidir Gardur L 0-1 1192 1080 54.6% 23.7% 21.6% -8.8 4
1986-05-23 @ IA Akranes W 1-0 1080 1192 21.6% 23.7% 54.6% +8.8 4
1986-05-23 Valur Reykjavik L 0-4 1132 1162 34.6% 27.7% 37.6% -22.4 0
1986-05-23 @ Keflavik IF W 4-0 1162 1132 37.6% 27.7% 34.6% +22.4 3
1986-05-23 FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-1 1159 1095 47.9% 26.1% 26.0% -0.8 5
1986-05-23 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1095 1159 26.0% 26.1% 47.9% +0.8 7
1986-05-31 Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 1096 1184 27.5% 26.6% 45.9% -5.2 7
1986-05-31 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-0 1184 1096 45.9% 26.6% 27.5% +5.2 6
1986-05-31 Breidablik D 1-1 1078 1153 28.9% 27.0% 44.1% +0.5 1
1986-05-31 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1153 1078 44.1% 27.0% 28.9% -0.5 7
1986-05-31 IA Akranes D 1-1 1158 1183 35.3% 27.8% 36.9% +0.1 6
1986-05-31 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1183 1158 36.9% 27.8% 35.3% -0.1 5
1986-05-31 Thor Akureyri D 0-0 1089 1153 30.2% 27.3% 42.6% +0.5 5
1986-05-31 @ Vidir Gardur D 0-0 1153 1089 42.6% 27.3% 30.2% -0.5 4
1986-06-01 Keflavik IF L 0-1 1163 1109 46.5% 26.5% 27.0% -7.8 4
1986-06-01 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1109 1163 27.0% 26.5% 46.5% +7.8 3
1986-06-06 Vidir Gardur L 0-1 1152 1089 47.9% 26.1% 26.0% -8.0 7
1986-06-06 @ Breidablik W 1-0 1089 1152 26.0% 26.1% 47.9% +8.0 8
1986-06-06 FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-0 1183 1091 51.9% 24.8% 23.3% +4.5 8
1986-06-06 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 1091 1183 23.3% 24.8% 51.9% -4.5 7
1986-06-06 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1117 1078 44.4% 26.9% 28.6% +5.4 6
1986-06-06 @ Keflavik IF L 0-1 1078 1117 28.6% 26.9% 44.4% -5.4 1
1986-06-06 KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1152 1158 38.1% 27.7% 34.2% -6.7 4
1986-06-06 @ Thor Akureyri W 1-0 1158 1152 34.2% 27.7% 38.1% +6.7 9
1986-06-06 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1189 1155 43.8% 27.0% 29.1% -0.5 7
1986-06-06 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1155 1189 29.1% 27.0% 43.8% +0.5 5
1986-06-10 Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1144 1155 37.3% 27.8% 35.0% -6.6 7
1986-06-10 @ Breidablik W 1-0 1155 1144 35.0% 27.8% 37.3% +6.6 8
1986-06-10 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-3 1146 1073 49.2% 25.7% 25.1% +4.2 7
1986-06-10 @ Thor Akureyri L 3-4 1073 1146 25.1% 25.7% 49.2% -4.2 1
1986-06-14 Fram Reykjavik L 1-6 1087 1162 28.9% 27.0% 44.2% -19.8 7
1986-06-14 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 6-1 1162 1087 44.2% 27.0% 28.9% +19.8 11
1986-06-14 Thor Akureyri W 5-1 1187 1150 44.3% 27.0% 28.8% +16.1 11
1986-06-14 @ IA Akranes L 1-5 1150 1187 28.8% 27.0% 44.3% -16.1 7
1986-06-14 Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 1069 1189 24.3% 25.3% 50.4% -4.6 1
1986-06-14 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1189 1069 50.4% 25.3% 24.3% +4.7 10
1986-06-14 Keflavik IF W 3-0 1097 1122 35.3% 27.8% 37.0% +18.0 11
1986-06-14 @ Vidir Gardur L 0-3 1122 1097 37.0% 27.8% 35.3% -18.0 6
1986-06-15 Breidablik W 3-1 1165 1138 42.8% 27.2% 30.0% +9.2 12
1986-06-15 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-3 1138 1165 30.0% 27.2% 42.8% -9.1 7
1986-06-19 IA Akranes L 1-4 1128 1204 28.9% 27.0% 44.1% -12.6 7
1986-06-19 @ Breidablik W 4-1 1204 1128 44.1% 27.0% 28.9% +12.6 14
1986-06-19 Vidir Gardur W 1-0 1193 1115 50.0% 25.4% 24.5% +4.7 13
1986-06-19 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 1115 1193 24.5% 25.4% 50.0% -4.7 11
1986-06-20 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-0 1182 1064 55.4% 23.4% 21.2% +11.1 14
1986-06-20 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-3 1064 1182 21.2% 23.4% 55.4% -11.1 1
1986-06-20 KR Reykjavik W 2-1 1104 1174 29.5% 27.1% 43.3% +7.0 9
1986-06-20 @ Keflavik IF L 1-2 1174 1104 43.3% 27.1% 29.5% -7.0 12
1986-06-20 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-1 1134 1067 48.4% 25.9% 25.6% +4.6 10
1986-06-20 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-2 1067 1134 25.6% 25.9% 48.4% -4.6 7
1986-06-23 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-1 1062 1053 40.2% 27.6% 32.2% +13.7 10
1986-06-23 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-4 1053 1062 32.2% 27.6% 40.2% -13.7 1
1986-06-23 Fram Reykjavik L 0-4 1110 1193 28.1% 26.8% 45.2% -19.0 11
1986-06-23 @ Vidir Gardur W 4-0 1193 1110 45.2% 26.8% 28.1% +19.0 17
1986-06-24 Keflavik IF L 1-2 1216 1111 53.7% 24.1% 22.2% -8.2 14
1986-06-24 @ IA Akranes W 2-1 1111 1216 22.2% 24.1% 53.7% +8.2 12
1986-06-24 Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 1167 1198 34.5% 27.7% 37.8% +0.1 13
1986-06-24 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1198 1167 37.8% 27.7% 34.5% -0.1 14
1986-06-24 Breidablik D 1-1 1138 1116 42.1% 27.3% 30.6% -0.4 11
1986-06-24 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-1 1116 1138 30.6% 27.3% 42.1% +0.4 8
1986-06-27 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-1 1116 1076 44.7% 26.9% 28.4% +5.1 11
1986-06-27 @ Breidablik L 1-2 1076 1116 28.4% 26.9% 44.7% -5.1 10
1986-06-27 Thor Akureyri L 2-3 1120 1138 36.3% 27.8% 36.0% -5.8 12
1986-06-27 @ Keflavik IF W 3-2 1138 1120 36.0% 27.8% 36.3% +5.8 14
1986-06-28 IA Akranes W 1-0 1198 1208 37.5% 27.7% 34.8% +6.3 17
1986-06-28 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 1208 1198 34.8% 27.7% 37.5% -6.3 14
1986-06-30 KR Reykjavik W 2-1 1212 1167 45.3% 26.7% 28.0% +5.0 20
1986-06-30 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 1167 1212 28.0% 26.7% 45.3% -5.0 13
1986-06-30 Vidir Gardur W 3-2 1039 1091 31.7% 27.5% 40.8% +6.3 4
1986-06-30 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 2-3 1091 1039 40.8% 27.5% 31.7% -6.3 11
1986-07-03 IA Akranes W 3-1 1217 1202 41.1% 27.5% 31.4% +9.5 23
1986-07-03 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-3 1202 1217 31.4% 27.5% 41.1% -9.5 14
1986-07-04 Vidir Gardur W 2-1 1071 1085 36.8% 27.8% 35.4% +6.0 13
1986-07-04 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-2 1085 1071 35.4% 27.8% 36.8% -6.0 11
1986-07-05 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1046 1162 24.6% 25.5% 50.0% +0.9 5
1986-07-05 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1162 1046 50.0% 25.5% 24.6% -0.9 14
1986-07-06 Breidablik W 1-0 1114 1121 37.8% 27.7% 34.5% +6.2 15
1986-07-06 @ Keflavik IF L 0-1 1121 1114 34.5% 27.7% 37.8% -6.2 11
1986-07-06 Thor Akureyri W 1-0 1204 1144 47.5% 26.2% 26.3% +5.0 20
1986-07-06 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 1144 1204 26.3% 26.2% 47.5% -5.0 14
1986-07-12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1192 1047 59.2% 21.6% 19.2% +3.6 17
1986-07-12 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 1047 1192 19.2% 21.6% 59.2% -3.6 5
1986-07-12 Fram Reykjavik L 0-3 1139 1226 27.5% 26.6% 45.9% -14.3 14
1986-07-12 @ Thor Akureyri W 3-0 1226 1139 45.9% 26.6% 27.5% +14.3 26
1986-07-13 Valur Reykjavik L 0-7 1115 1209 26.8% 26.4% 46.8% -30.9 11
1986-07-13 @ Breidablik W 7-0 1209 1115 46.8% 26.4% 26.8% +30.9 23
1986-07-13 FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-2 1120 1077 45.1% 26.8% 28.1% +4.8 18
1986-07-13 @ Keflavik IF L 2-3 1077 1120 28.1% 26.8% 45.1% -4.8 13
1986-07-14 Vidir Gardur L 0-1 1161 1079 50.6% 25.3% 24.2% -8.3 14
1986-07-14 @ KR Reykjavik W 1-0 1079 1161 24.2% 25.3% 50.6% +8.3 14
1986-07-17 Keflavik IF L 0-1 1240 1125 55.1% 23.5% 21.4% -8.9 23
1986-07-17 @ Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 1125 1240 21.4% 23.5% 55.1% +8.9 21
1986-07-18 IA Akranes D 2-2 1087 1196 25.4% 25.8% 48.8% +0.6 15
1986-07-18 @ Vidir Gardur D 2-2 1196 1087 48.8% 25.8% 25.4% -0.6 18
1986-07-19 KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1072 1153 28.2% 26.8% 45.0% +0.7 14
1986-07-19 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-0 1153 1072 45.0% 26.8% 28.2% -0.7 15
1986-07-19 Thor Akureyri L 1-2 1043 1124 28.2% 26.8% 45.0% -5.0 5
1986-07-19 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-1 1124 1043 45.0% 26.8% 28.2% +5.0 17
1986-07-20 Breidablik W 2-1 1241 1084 60.6% 20.9% 18.5% +3.2 29
1986-07-20 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 1084 1241 18.5% 20.9% 60.6% -3.2 11
1986-07-26 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-2 1081 1038 45.1% 26.8% 28.2% -0.4 12
1986-07-26 @ Breidablik D 2-2 1038 1081 28.2% 26.8% 45.1% +0.4 6
1986-07-26 KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1195 1152 45.0% 26.8% 28.2% -14.3 18
1986-07-26 @ IA Akranes W 2-0 1152 1195 28.2% 26.8% 45.0% +14.4 18
1986-07-26 Vidir Gardur D 1-1 1129 1088 44.8% 26.8% 28.3% -0.6 18
1986-07-26 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-1 1088 1129 28.3% 26.8% 44.8% +0.6 16
1986-07-27 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1134 1244 25.2% 25.7% 49.1% +0.8 22
1986-07-27 @ Keflavik IF D 1-1 1244 1134 49.1% 25.7% 25.2% -0.8 30
1986-07-27 FH Hafnarfjordur W 5-0 1231 1073 60.9% 20.8% 18.4% +15.1 26
1986-07-27 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-5 1073 1231 18.4% 20.8% 60.9% -15.1 14
1986-08-08 IA Akranes L 1-4 1058 1181 24.0% 25.1% 50.9% -10.6 14
1986-08-08 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 4-1 1181 1058 50.9% 25.1% 24.0% +10.6 21
1986-08-08 Thor Akureyri D 0-0 1167 1129 44.3% 26.9% 28.7% -0.6 19
1986-08-08 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1129 1167 28.7% 26.9% 44.3% +0.6 19
1986-08-08 Breidablik W 5-0 1089 1080 40.1% 27.6% 32.4% +26.3 19
1986-08-08 @ Vidir Gardur L 0-5 1080 1089 32.4% 27.6% 40.1% -26.3 12
1986-08-09 Keflavik IF L 1-4 1038 1134 26.6% 26.3% 47.1% -11.7 6
1986-08-09 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-1 1134 1038 47.1% 26.3% 26.6% +11.7 25
1986-08-10 Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 1243 1246 38.4% 27.7% 33.9% -6.8 30
1986-08-10 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1246 1243 33.9% 27.7% 38.4% +6.8 29
1986-08-16 KR Reykjavik L 1-2 1054 1166 25.0% 25.7% 49.3% -4.5 12
1986-08-16 @ Breidablik W 2-1 1166 1054 49.3% 25.7% 25.0% +4.5 22
1986-08-16 IA Akranes L 1-3 1129 1191 30.5% 27.3% 42.2% -9.3 19
1986-08-16 @ Thor Akureyri W 3-1 1191 1129 42.2% 27.3% 30.5% +9.3 24
1986-08-16 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-1 1253 1027 69.5% 16.0% 14.5% +4.1 32
1986-08-16 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-3 1027 1253 14.5% 16.0% 69.5% -4.1 6
1986-08-17 FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-2 1236 1047 64.9% 18.6% 16.5% -1.3 31
1986-08-17 @ Fram Reykjavik D 2-2 1047 1236 16.5% 18.6% 64.9% +1.3 15
1986-08-17 Vidir Gardur W 2-1 1146 1115 43.4% 27.1% 29.5% +5.2 28
1986-08-17 @ Keflavik IF L 1-2 1115 1146 29.5% 27.1% 43.4% -5.2 19
1986-08-22 Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 1110 1257 21.9% 23.9% 54.2% -4.2 19
1986-08-22 @ Vidir Gardur W 1-0 1257 1110 54.2% 23.9% 21.9% +4.2 35
1986-08-23 Thor Akureyri W 1-0 1048 1120 29.3% 27.1% 43.7% +7.4 18
1986-08-23 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-1 1120 1048 43.7% 27.1% 29.3% -7.4 19
1986-08-23 Fram Reykjavik L 1-5 1023 1235 17.4% 19.7% 62.8% -9.5 6
1986-08-23 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 5-1 1235 1023 62.8% 19.7% 17.4% +9.5 34
1986-08-24 Keflavik IF W 1-0 1171 1151 41.7% 27.4% 31.0% +5.8 25
1986-08-24 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1151 1171 31.0% 27.4% 41.7% -5.8 28
1986-08-25 Breidablik W 2-1 1201 1050 59.9% 21.3% 18.9% +3.3 27
1986-08-25 @ IA Akranes L 1-2 1050 1201 18.9% 21.3% 59.9% -3.3 12
1986-09-06 Thor Akureyri W 3-0 1046 1113 29.9% 27.2% 42.9% +20.1 15
1986-09-06 @ Breidablik L 0-3 1113 1046 42.9% 27.2% 29.9% -20.1 19
1986-09-06 FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-1 1013 1056 32.9% 27.6% 39.5% +11.3 9
1986-09-06 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-3 1056 1013 39.5% 27.6% 32.9% -11.3 18
1986-09-06 IA Akranes L 2-3 1146 1204 30.9% 27.4% 41.7% -5.1 28
1986-09-06 @ Keflavik IF W 3-2 1204 1146 41.7% 27.4% 30.9% +5.1 30
1986-09-07 Vidir Gardur W 4-1 1244 1105 58.3% 22.1% 19.7% +8.6 37
1986-09-07 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-4 1105 1244 19.7% 22.1% 58.3% -8.6 19
1986-09-07 KR Reykjavik L 0-3 1261 1176 51.0% 25.1% 23.9% -22.9 35
1986-09-07 @ Valur Reykjavik W 3-0 1176 1261 23.9% 25.1% 51.0% +22.9 28
1986-09-13 Breidablik D 2-2 1045 1066 35.7% 27.8% 36.5% +0.0 19
1986-09-13 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-2 1066 1045 36.5% 27.8% 35.7% -0.0 16
1986-09-13 Valur Reykjavik L 2-3 1209 1239 34.7% 27.7% 37.6% -5.6 30
1986-09-13 @ IA Akranes W 3-2 1239 1209 37.6% 27.7% 34.7% +5.6 38
1986-09-13 Fram Reykjavik D 0-0 1199 1253 31.4% 27.5% 41.1% +0.4 29
1986-09-13 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1253 1199 41.1% 27.5% 31.4% -0.4 38
1986-09-13 Keflavik IF W 3-2 1093 1140 32.2% 27.6% 40.2% +6.3 22
1986-09-13 @ Thor Akureyri L 2-3 1140 1093 40.2% 27.6% 32.2% -6.3 28
1986-09-13 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-2 1097 1024 49.2% 25.7% 25.1% -7.7 19
1986-09-13 @ Vidir Gardur W 2-1 1024 1097 25.1% 25.7% 49.2% +7.7 12

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1986-07-17 21.38% Keflavik IF 1125 1 @ Valur Reykjavik 1240 0
2 1986-05-23 21.65% Vidir Gardur 1080 1 @ IA Akranes 1192 0
3 1986-06-24 22.23% Keflavik IF 1111 2 @ IA Akranes 1216 1
4 1986-09-07 23.92% KR Reykjavik 1176 3 @ Valur Reykjavik 1261 0
5 1986-07-14 24.18% Vidir Gardur 1079 1 @ KR Reykjavik 1161 0
6 1986-09-13 25.09% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1024 2 @ Vidir Gardur 1097 1
7 1986-06-06 26.03% Vidir Gardur 1089 1 @ Breidablik 1152 0
8 1986-06-01 27.02% Keflavik IF 1109 1 @ Fram Reykjavik 1163 0
9 1986-07-26 28.18% KR Reykjavik 1152 2 @ IA Akranes 1195 0
10 1986-08-23 29.27% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1048 1 Thor Akureyri 1120 0
11 1986-06-20 29.53% @ Keflavik IF 1104 2 KR Reykjavik 1174 1
12 1986-09-06 29.91% @ Breidablik 1046 3 Thor Akureyri 1113 0
13 1986-05-20 30.43% Breidablik 1145 1 @ Valur Reykjavik 1169 0
14 1986-05-17 31.68% FH Hafnarfjordur 1077 3 @ Vidir Gardur 1091 1
15 1986-06-30 31.68% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1039 3 Vidir Gardur 1091 2
16 1986-05-20 32.01% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1089 2 Keflavik IF 1138 1
17 1986-09-13 32.22% @ Thor Akureyri 1093 3 Keflavik IF 1140 2
18 1986-09-06 32.89% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1013 3 FH Hafnarfjordur 1056 1
19 1986-08-10 33.88% Valur Reykjavik 1246 1 @ Fram Reykjavik 1243 0
20 1986-06-06 34.21% KR Reykjavik 1158 1 @ Thor Akureyri 1152 0
21 1986-06-10 34.96% Fram Reykjavik 1155 1 @ Breidablik 1144 0
22 1986-06-14 35.26% @ Vidir Gardur 1097 3 Keflavik IF 1122 0
23 1986-05-17 35.65% @ Thor Akureyri 1152 2 Valur Reykjavik 1175 1
24 1986-06-27 35.97% Thor Akureyri 1138 3 @ Keflavik IF 1120 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1986-07-13 30.89 Valur Reykjavik 7 1209 46.83% @ Breidablik 0 1115 26.80%
2 1986-08-08 26.27 @ Vidir Gardur 5 1089 40.07% Breidablik 0 1080 32.36%
3 1986-09-07 22.88 KR Reykjavik 3 1176 23.92% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1261 50.97%
4 1986-05-23 22.43 Valur Reykjavik 4 1162 37.65% @ Keflavik IF 0 1132 34.61%
5 1986-09-06 20.10 @ Breidablik 3 1046 29.91% Thor Akureyri 0 1113 42.88%
6 1986-05-17 20.06 @ KR Reykjavik 4 1139 42.79% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1112 29.99%
7 1986-06-14 19.84 Fram Reykjavik 6 1162 44.17% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1087 28.86%
8 1986-06-23 18.98 Fram Reykjavik 4 1193 45.18% @ Vidir Gardur 0 1110 28.06%
9 1986-06-14 18.02 @ Vidir Gardur 3 1097 35.26% Keflavik IF 0 1122 36.99%
10 1986-06-14 16.15 @ IA Akranes 5 1187 44.28% Thor Akureyri 1 1150 28.77%
11 1986-07-27 15.07 @ Valur Reykjavik 5 1231 60.89% FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1073 18.35%
12 1986-05-20 14.40 IA Akranes 3 1177 45.55% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1092 27.77%
13 1986-07-26 14.35 KR Reykjavik 2 1152 28.18% @ IA Akranes 0 1195 45.03%
14 1986-07-12 14.27 Fram Reykjavik 3 1226 45.91% @ Thor Akureyri 0 1139 27.49%
15 1986-06-23 13.72 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 4 1062 40.20% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1053 32.24%
16 1986-06-19 12.56 IA Akranes 4 1204 44.13% @ Breidablik 1 1128 28.89%
17 1986-08-09 11.69 Keflavik IF 4 1134 47.09% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1038 26.60%
18 1986-05-17 11.56 FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1077 31.68% @ Vidir Gardur 1 1091 40.83%
19 1986-09-06 11.27 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1013 32.89% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1056 39.49%
20 1986-06-20 11.07 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1182 55.41% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1064 21.21%
21 1986-08-08 10.60 IA Akranes 4 1181 50.87% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1058 23.98%
22 1986-08-23 9.55 Fram Reykjavik 5 1235 62.85% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1023 17.42%
23 1986-07-03 9.51 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1217 41.09% IA Akranes 1 1202 31.45%
24 1986-08-16 9.28 IA Akranes 3 1191 42.24% @ Thor Akureyri 1 1129 30.46%
25 1986-06-15 9.15 @ KR Reykjavik 3 1165 42.82% Breidablik 1 1138 29.97%