1987 Úrvalsdeild Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Valur Reykjavik

37 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Thor Akureyri

5.62 points above expected

29 points · 23.38 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

KR Reykjavik

5.53 points below expected

25 points · 30.53 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Valur Reykjavik 18 10 7 1 37 30 10 +20 32.4 +4.56
2 Fram Reykjavik 18 9 5 4 32 33 21 +12 30.7 +1.32
3 IA Akranes 18 9 3 6 30 36 30 +6 28.2 +1.75
4 Thor Akureyri 18 9 2 7 29 33 33 0 23.4 +5.62
5 KR Reykjavik 18 7 4 7 25 28 22 +6 30.5 -5.53
6 KA Akureyri 18 5 6 7 21 18 17 +1 17.2 +3.81
7 Keflavik IF 18 5 6 7 21 22 30 -8 23.0 -1.97
8 IF Volsungur 18 4 5 9 17 20 32 -12 18.4 -1.44
9 Vidir Gardur 18 3 8 7 17 20 33 -13 20.2 -3.22
10 FH Hafnarfjordur 18 4 4 10 16 22 34 -12 18.2 -2.22

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Valur Reykjavik 1142 37 32.44 +4.56 83.4% 13 24 29 32 36 41 50
Fram Reykjavik 1110 32 30.68 +1.32 63.1% 8 22 27 31 34 39 52
IA Akranes 1062 30 28.25 +1.75 66.9% 9 20 25 28 32 37 47
KR Reykjavik 1051 25 30.53 -5.53 16.9% 10 22 27 31 34 39 48
Thor Akureyri 997 29 23.38 +5.62 88.2% 4 15 20 23 27 32 43
Keflavik IF 983 21 22.97 -1.97 39.2% 7 15 19 23 26 32 42
Vidir Gardur 928 17 20.22 -3.22 29.9% 3 12 17 20 24 29 40
KA Akureyri 927 21 17.19 +3.81 80.8% 2 10 14 17 20 26 36
FH Hafnarfjordur 923 16 18.22 -2.22 37.1% 4 10 15 18 21 27 38
IF Volsungur 911 17 18.44 -1.44 44.2% 3 11 15 18 22 27 37

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FH FR IA IV KA KR KI TA VR VG
FH Hafnarfjordur
0-0-2
1.54
1-0-1
1.76
0-1-1
2.58
0-1-1
2.76
1-0-1
1.65
1-0-1
2.03
1-0-1
1.97
0-1-1
1.41
0-1-1
2.50
Fram Reykjavik
2-0-0
4.04
1-1-0
2.80
2-0-0
3.98
1-0-1
4.11
0-1-1
2.61
1-1-0
3.53
0-0-2
3.47
1-1-0
2.34
1-1-0
3.78
IA Akranes
1-0-1
3.70
0-1-1
2.44
2-0-0
3.55
1-1-0
3.83
2-0-0
2.36
2-0-0
3.16
1-0-1
3.25
0-0-2
2.19
0-1-1
3.78
IF Volsungur
1-1-0
2.64
0-0-2
1.58
0-0-2
1.85
0-1-1
2.74
0-0-2
1.61
1-0-1
2.17
1-0-1
2.12
0-2-0
1.39
1-1-0
2.41
KA Akureyri
1-1-0
2.48
1-0-1
1.50
0-1-1
1.67
1-1-0
2.49
0-0-2
1.48
0-2-0
2.06
0-1-1
2.00
0-0-2
1.41
2-0-0
2.07
KR Reykjavik
1-0-1
3.87
1-1-0
2.62
0-0-2
2.88
2-0-0
3.92
2-0-0
4.14
0-1-1
3.52
1-0-1
3.45
0-1-1
2.30
0-1-1
3.87
Keflavik IF
1-0-1
3.30
0-1-1
1.87
0-0-2
2.13
1-0-1
3.11
0-2-0
3.26
1-1-0
1.88
1-1-0
2.48
0-0-2
1.93
1-1-0
2.98
Thor Akureyri
1-0-1
3.38
2-0-0
1.90
1-0-1
2.06
1-0-1
3.17
1-1-0
3.33
1-0-1
1.92
0-1-1
2.76
0-0-2
1.85
2-0-0
2.99
Valur Reykjavik
1-1-0
4.24
0-1-1
2.90
2-0-0
3.09
0-2-0
4.28
2-0-0
4.24
1-1-0
2.96
2-0-0
3.44
2-0-0
3.55
0-2-0
3.73
Vidir Gardur
1-1-0
2.74
0-1-1
1.71
1-1-0
1.71
0-1-1
2.83
0-0-2
3.25
1-1-0
1.65
0-1-1
2.28
0-0-2
2.30
0-2-0
1.74

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.22%7.22%4.44%1.67%2.22%27.78%
17.22%12.22%7.78%5.00%1.67%0.56%34.44%
24.44%7.78%1.11%1.67%1.67%1.67%18.33%
31.67%5.00%1.67%1.11%0.56%10.00%
41.67%1.67%0.56%1.11%5.00%
5+2.22%0.56%1.67%4.44%
Total27.78%34.44%18.33%10.00%5.00%4.44%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.46
Mean allowed1.46
StdDev scored1.43
StdDev allowed1.43
Mean total goals/game2.91
Correlation (home vs away score)0.056
Sample size (games)90
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%16.67%5.56%33.33%
15.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%27.78%
216.67%5.56%5.56%27.78%
35.56%5.56%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total11.11%44.44%11.11%16.67%11.11%5.56%100%

FH Hafnarfjordur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.22
Mean allowed1.89
StdDev scored1.17
StdDev allowed1.45
Mean total goals/game3.11
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.259
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%16.67%
111.11%11.11%5.56%5.56%33.33%
25.56%11.11%5.56%22.22%
35.56%11.11%16.67%
45.56%5.56%
5+5.56%5.56%
Total38.89%38.89%11.11%11.11%100%

Fram Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.83
Mean allowed1.17
StdDev scored1.54
StdDev allowed1.38
Mean total goals/game3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.069
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%16.67%
111.11%16.67%5.56%33.33%
216.67%16.67%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
45.56%5.56%11.11%
5+11.11%11.11%
Total22.22%16.67%44.44%5.56%11.11%100%

IA Akranes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.00
Mean allowed1.67
StdDev scored1.64
StdDev allowed1.24
Mean total goals/game3.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.492
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%5.56%5.56%5.56%33.33%
111.11%5.56%16.67%11.11%44.44%
25.56%5.56%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total27.78%16.67%27.78%16.67%5.56%5.56%100%

IF Volsungur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.11
Mean allowed1.78
StdDev scored1.18
StdDev allowed1.63
Mean total goals/game2.89
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.136
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%16.67%5.56%5.56%44.44%
111.11%16.67%11.11%38.89%
25.56%5.56%
35.56%5.56%
4
5+5.56%5.56%
Total33.33%44.44%16.67%5.56%100%

KA Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.00
Mean allowed0.94
StdDev scored1.50
StdDev allowed0.87
Mean total goals/game1.94
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.225
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%16.67%
15.56%22.22%11.11%5.56%44.44%
211.11%5.56%16.67%
35.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
4
5+5.56%5.56%
Total27.78%33.33%27.78%11.11%100%

KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.56
Mean allowed1.22
StdDev scored1.29
StdDev allowed1.00
Mean total goals/game2.78
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.373
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%5.56%5.56%27.78%
111.11%11.11%11.11%5.56%38.89%
25.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%22.22%
35.56%5.56%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total33.33%22.22%27.78%5.56%11.11%100%

Keflavik IF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.22
Mean allowed1.67
StdDev scored1.11
StdDev allowed1.94
Mean total goals/game2.89
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.254
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%27.78%
15.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
211.11%5.56%5.56%22.22%
316.67%16.67%
45.56%5.56%11.11%
5+5.56%5.56%
Total11.11%44.44%22.22%5.56%5.56%11.11%100%

Thor Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.83
Mean allowed1.83
StdDev scored1.58
StdDev allowed1.50
Mean total goals/game3.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.408
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%5.56%22.22%
15.56%22.22%27.78%
216.67%16.67%33.33%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
4
5+5.56%5.56%
Total44.44%55.56%100%

Valur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.67
Mean allowed0.56
StdDev scored1.64
StdDev allowed0.51
Mean total goals/game2.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.233
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%5.56%11.11%38.89%
122.22%16.67%38.89%
25.56%5.56%11.11%
3
45.56%5.56%
5+5.56%5.56%
Total27.78%27.78%5.56%27.78%11.11%100%

Vidir Gardur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.11
Mean allowed1.83
StdDev scored1.41
StdDev allowed1.79
Mean total goals/game2.94
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.101
Games played18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Thor Akureyri 29 23.4 +5.62
2 Valur Reykjavik 37 32.4 +4.56
3 KA Akureyri 21 17.2 +3.81
4 IA Akranes 30 28.2 +1.75
5 Fram Reykjavik 32 30.7 +1.32

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 KR Reykjavik 25 30.5 -5.53
2 Vidir Gardur 17 20.2 -3.22
3 FH Hafnarfjordur 16 18.2 -2.22
4 Keflavik IF 21 23.0 -1.97
5 IF Volsungur 17 18.4 -1.44

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Thor Akureyri 5 Jun 28 – Jul 26 1 in 202
2 FH Hafnarfjordur 2 Jul 17 – Jul 27 1 in 28
3 Valur Reykjavik 5 May 31 – Jun 21 1 in 27
4 Vidir Gardur 2 Sep 5 – Sep 12 1 in 27
5 KA Akureyri 2 Jun 10 – Jun 15 1 in 22

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KR Reykjavik 5 Aug 16 – Sep 12 1 in 1,055
2 Keflavik IF 4 Jul 4 – Jul 26 1 in 82
3 FH Hafnarfjordur 4 Jun 10 – Jun 28 1 in 35
4 Thor Akureyri 3 May 29 – Jun 10 1 in 26
5 IF Volsungur 4 Jul 26 – Aug 8 1 in 16

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valur Reykjavik 11 Jul 6 – Sep 12 1 in 14
2 KA Akureyri 4 Jun 10 – Jun 28 1 in 13
3 IF Volsungur 5 Jun 14 – Jul 19 1 in 13
4 Keflavik IF 5 Aug 16 – Sep 12 1 in 10
5 Thor Akureyri 6 Jun 28 – Jul 29 1 in 8

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vidir Gardur 11 May 21 – Jul 26 1 in 48
2 KR Reykjavik 5 Aug 16 – Sep 12 1 in 18
3 Keflavik IF 7 Jun 28 – Aug 9 1 in 16
4 Valur Reykjavik 4 Jun 30 – Jul 20 1 in 15
5 Fram Reykjavik 3 Jun 8 – Jun 15 1 in 8

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Valur Reykjavik38.59%24.60%16.63%9.92%5.35%2.66%1.43%0.53%0.24%0.05%
Fram Reykjavik23.88%23.66%19.95%14.44%8.83%4.45%2.75%1.23%0.60%0.21%
IA Akranes11.35%16.33%19.66%19.59%14.07%8.88%5.19%2.81%1.53%0.59%
Thor Akureyri2.08%4.71%8.24%13.10%17.68%17.55%14.44%10.70%7.24%4.26%
KR Reykjavik21.31%23.42%20.94%15.27%8.88%5.06%2.79%1.54%0.62%0.17%
KA Akureyri0.12%0.45%1.19%2.67%5.37%9.29%12.76%16.79%22.26%29.10%
Keflavik IF1.74%3.93%7.13%12.01%16.39%17.56%15.32%12.03%8.50%5.39%
IF Volsungur0.26%0.82%1.85%3.57%6.49%10.70%13.70%17.90%21.52%23.19%
Vidir Gardur0.53%1.39%2.80%6.25%10.50%14.36%17.15%17.37%16.44%13.21%
FH Hafnarfjordur0.14%0.69%1.61%3.18%6.44%9.49%14.47%19.10%21.05%23.83%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Valur Reykjavik 99.7% 0.3%
KR Reykjavik 99.2% 0.8%
Fram Reykjavik 99.2% 0.8%
IA Akranes 97.9% 2.1%
Thor Akureyri 88.5% 11.5%
Keflavik IF 86.1% 13.9%
Vidir Gardur 70.3% 29.6%
IF Volsungur 55.3% 44.7%
FH Hafnarfjordur 55.1% 44.9%
KA Akureyri 48.6% 51.4%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1987-05-21 IA Akranes L 0-1 948 1057 21.2% 30.9% 47.9% -4.0 0
1987-05-21 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-0 1057 948 47.9% 30.9% 21.2% +4.0 3
1987-05-21 Thor Akureyri L 1-3 1090 983 48.9% 30.2% 20.9% -12.1 0
1987-05-21 @ Fram Reykjavik W 3-1 983 1090 20.9% 30.2% 48.9% +12.1 3
1987-05-21 Keflavik IF L 2-4 937 1004 23.7% 35.6% 40.7% -6.8 0
1987-05-21 @ IF Volsungur W 4-2 1004 937 40.7% 35.6% 23.7% +6.8 3
1987-05-21 KR Reykjavik L 0-1 887 1063 18.7% 21.2% 60.1% -3.1 0
1987-05-21 @ KA Akureyri W 1-0 1063 887 60.1% 21.2% 18.7% +3.1 3
1987-05-21 Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 981 1083 21.6% 31.9% 46.5% +0.8 1
1987-05-21 @ Vidir Gardur D 1-1 1083 981 46.5% 31.9% 21.6% -0.8 1
1987-05-29 FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-0 1066 944 51.7% 28.0% 20.3% +10.1 6
1987-05-29 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-3 944 1066 20.3% 28.0% 51.7% -10.1 0
1987-05-29 IF Volsungur L 0-1 995 930 41.6% 35.1% 23.3% -6.8 3
1987-05-29 @ Thor Akureyri W 1-0 930 995 23.3% 35.1% 41.6% +6.8 3
1987-05-29 KA Akureyri L 0-1 982 884 47.3% 31.4% 21.4% -7.3 1
1987-05-29 @ Vidir Gardur W 1-0 884 982 21.4% 31.4% 47.3% +7.3 3
1987-05-30 Fram Reykjavik L 1-3 1061 1078 28.9% 38.6% 32.6% -8.9 3
1987-05-30 @ IA Akranes W 3-1 1078 1061 32.6% 38.6% 28.9% +8.9 3
1987-05-31 Keflavik IF W 7-1 1082 1011 42.5% 34.5% 22.9% +19.3 4
1987-05-31 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-7 1011 1082 22.9% 34.5% 42.5% -19.3 3
1987-06-06 Vidir Gardur D 0-0 934 975 26.1% 37.6% 36.3% +0.3 1
1987-06-06 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-0 975 934 36.3% 37.6% 26.1% -0.4 2
1987-06-06 IA Akranes L 1-2 937 1052 20.9% 30.0% 49.0% -3.7 3
1987-06-06 @ IF Volsungur W 2-1 1052 937 49.0% 30.0% 20.9% +3.7 6
1987-06-06 Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 892 1101 17.6% 16.4% 66.1% -2.6 3
1987-06-06 @ KA Akureyri W 1-0 1101 892 66.1% 16.4% 17.6% +2.7 7
1987-06-06 Thor Akureyri W 2-0 992 989 31.7% 38.6% 29.7% +10.5 6
1987-06-06 @ Keflavik IF L 0-2 989 992 29.7% 38.6% 31.7% -10.5 3
1987-06-08 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1087 1076 32.8% 38.5% 28.7% -0.1 4
1987-06-08 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1076 1087 28.7% 38.5% 32.8% +0.1 7
1987-06-10 Keflavik IF W 4-2 1056 1002 39.6% 36.2% 24.2% +6.9 9
1987-06-10 @ IA Akranes L 2-4 1002 1056 24.2% 36.2% 39.6% -6.9 6
1987-06-10 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-1 889 934 25.7% 37.4% 37.0% +6.0 6
1987-06-10 @ KA Akureyri L 1-2 934 889 37.0% 37.4% 25.7% -6.0 1
1987-06-10 Thor Akureyri W 2-0 1104 978 52.3% 27.5% 20.2% +6.9 10
1987-06-10 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-2 978 1104 20.2% 27.5% 52.3% -6.9 3
1987-06-11 IF Volsungur W 2-0 1076 933 55.6% 24.9% 19.5% +6.4 10
1987-06-11 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-2 933 1076 19.5% 24.9% 55.6% -6.4 3
1987-06-11 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 975 1087 21.1% 30.5% 48.5% +0.9 3
1987-06-11 @ Vidir Gardur D 1-1 1087 975 48.5% 30.5% 21.1% -0.9 5
1987-06-14 Valur Reykjavik L 1-3 928 1111 18.5% 20.2% 61.3% -4.9 1
1987-06-14 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-1 1111 928 61.3% 20.2% 18.5% +4.9 13
1987-06-14 Vidir Gardur D 0-0 927 975 25.3% 37.1% 37.6% +0.4 4
1987-06-14 @ IF Volsungur D 0-0 975 927 37.6% 37.1% 25.3% -0.4 4
1987-06-14 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 995 1083 22.4% 33.6% 44.1% +0.7 7
1987-06-14 @ Keflavik IF D 1-1 1083 995 44.1% 33.6% 22.4% -0.7 11
1987-06-14 IA Akranes W 2-1 971 1063 22.1% 33.1% 44.8% +6.6 6
1987-06-14 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-2 1063 971 44.8% 33.1% 22.1% -6.6 9
1987-06-15 KA Akureyri L 0-1 1086 895 64.1% 17.9% 17.9% -8.5 5
1987-06-15 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 895 1086 17.9% 17.9% 64.1% +8.5 9
1987-06-18 Thor Akureyri W 5-0 1082 978 48.4% 30.5% 21.1% +17.4 14
1987-06-18 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-5 978 1082 21.1% 30.5% 48.4% -17.5 6
1987-06-19 Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 923 1077 19.4% 24.5% 56.1% -3.4 1
1987-06-19 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-0 1077 923 56.1% 24.5% 19.4% +3.4 8
1987-06-19 IF Volsungur D 1-1 903 927 28.1% 38.4% 33.6% +0.2 10
1987-06-19 @ KA Akureyri D 1-1 927 903 33.6% 38.4% 28.1% -0.2 5
1987-06-19 Keflavik IF L 1-3 975 996 28.3% 38.5% 33.2% -8.8 4
1987-06-19 @ Vidir Gardur W 3-1 996 975 33.2% 38.5% 28.3% +8.8 10
1987-06-21 IA Akranes W 2-1 1116 1056 40.6% 35.6% 23.7% +4.4 16
1987-06-21 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 1056 1116 23.7% 35.6% 40.6% -4.4 9
1987-06-28 KR Reykjavik W 2-1 1052 1100 25.4% 37.2% 37.4% +6.0 12
1987-06-28 @ IA Akranes L 1-2 1100 1052 37.4% 37.2% 25.4% -6.0 14
1987-06-28 FH Hafnarfjordur W 4-1 927 920 32.2% 38.6% 29.2% +12.7 8
1987-06-28 @ IF Volsungur L 1-4 920 927 29.2% 38.6% 32.2% -12.7 1
1987-06-28 KA Akureyri D 1-1 1005 904 47.9% 30.9% 21.2% -0.9 11
1987-06-28 @ Keflavik IF D 1-1 904 1005 21.2% 30.9% 47.9% +0.9 11
1987-06-28 Vidir Gardur W 5-0 961 966 30.4% 38.7% 30.9% +25.1 9
1987-06-28 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-5 966 961 30.9% 38.7% 30.4% -25.1 4
1987-06-30 Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 1081 1120 26.2% 37.7% 36.0% +6.2 11
1987-06-30 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1120 1081 36.0% 37.7% 26.2% -6.2 16
1987-07-03 IA Akranes D 0-0 941 1058 20.9% 29.9% 49.2% +1.0 5
1987-07-03 @ Vidir Gardur D 0-0 1058 941 49.2% 29.9% 20.9% -1.0 13
1987-07-04 Keflavik IF W 2-1 907 1004 21.8% 32.5% 45.7% +6.7 4
1987-07-04 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-2 1004 907 45.7% 32.5% 21.8% -6.7 11
1987-07-04 Thor Akureyri L 1-2 905 986 22.8% 34.3% 43.0% -4.2 11
1987-07-04 @ KA Akureyri W 2-1 986 905 43.0% 34.3% 22.8% +4.2 12
1987-07-06 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1114 1094 34.2% 38.2% 27.5% -0.2 17
1987-07-06 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1094 1114 27.5% 38.2% 34.2% +0.2 15
1987-07-12 KA Akureyri W 1-0 1057 900 57.9% 23.0% 19.1% +3.2 16
1987-07-12 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 900 1057 19.1% 23.0% 57.9% -3.2 11
1987-07-12 Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 939 1114 18.8% 21.5% 59.8% +1.5 9
1987-07-12 @ IF Volsungur D 0-0 1114 939 59.8% 21.5% 18.8% -1.5 18
1987-07-12 Vidir Gardur D 1-1 1094 942 57.1% 23.7% 19.3% -1.2 16
1987-07-12 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-1 942 1094 19.3% 23.7% 57.1% +1.2 6
1987-07-12 FH Hafnarfjordur W 4-2 990 914 43.4% 34.0% 22.6% +6.4 15
1987-07-12 @ Thor Akureyri L 2-4 914 990 22.6% 34.0% 43.4% -6.4 4
1987-07-15 Fram Reykjavik L 0-2 997 1087 22.2% 33.3% 44.4% -8.1 11
1987-07-15 @ Keflavik IF W 2-0 1087 997 44.4% 33.3% 22.2% +8.1 14
1987-07-17 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-2 1060 908 57.2% 23.6% 19.2% -7.6 16
1987-07-17 @ IA Akranes W 2-1 908 1060 19.2% 23.6% 57.2% +7.6 7
1987-07-19 IF Volsungur L 0-1 989 941 38.7% 36.6% 24.6% -6.5 11
1987-07-19 @ Keflavik IF W 1-0 941 989 24.6% 36.6% 38.7% +6.5 12
1987-07-19 KA Akureyri W 2-0 1093 897 65.0% 17.2% 17.8% +5.1 19
1987-07-19 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-2 897 1093 17.8% 17.2% 65.0% -5.1 11
1987-07-19 Fram Reykjavik W 4-1 996 1095 21.7% 32.2% 46.1% +16.6 18
1987-07-19 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-4 1095 996 46.1% 32.2% 21.7% -16.6 14
1987-07-20 Vidir Gardur D 1-1 1112 943 60.2% 21.1% 18.7% -1.3 19
1987-07-20 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 943 1112 18.7% 21.1% 60.2% +1.3 7
1987-07-26 IA Akranes D 4-4 1078 1052 35.2% 38.0% 26.8% -0.1 15
1987-07-26 @ Fram Reykjavik D 4-4 1052 1078 26.8% 38.0% 35.2% +0.1 17
1987-07-26 Thor Akureyri L 0-1 947 1013 23.9% 35.8% 40.3% -4.7 12
1987-07-26 @ IF Volsungur W 1-0 1013 947 40.3% 35.8% 23.9% +4.7 21
1987-07-26 Vidir Gardur W 6-0 892 945 24.9% 36.9% 38.2% +33.8 14
1987-07-26 @ KA Akureyri L 0-6 945 892 38.2% 36.9% 24.9% -33.8 7
1987-07-26 Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 983 1111 20.4% 28.3% 51.3% -3.5 11
1987-07-26 @ Keflavik IF W 2-1 1111 983 51.3% 28.3% 20.4% +3.5 22
1987-07-27 KR Reykjavik W 2-1 915 1098 18.5% 20.2% 61.3% +7.9 10
1987-07-27 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-2 1098 915 61.3% 20.2% 18.5% -7.9 19
1987-07-29 IF Volsungur W 2-1 1052 943 49.4% 29.8% 20.8% +3.7 20
1987-07-29 @ IA Akranes L 1-2 943 1052 20.8% 29.8% 49.4% -3.7 12
1987-07-29 Keflavik IF D 2-2 1017 979 37.1% 37.3% 25.6% -0.3 22
1987-07-29 @ Thor Akureyri D 2-2 979 1017 25.6% 37.3% 37.1% +0.3 12
1987-07-29 KA Akureyri W 2-1 1114 926 63.7% 18.2% 18.0% +2.7 25
1987-07-29 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 926 1114 18.0% 18.2% 63.7% -2.7 14
1987-07-30 Fram Reykjavik W 3-2 1090 1078 32.9% 38.5% 28.5% +4.8 22
1987-07-30 @ KR Reykjavik L 2-3 1078 1090 28.5% 38.5% 32.9% -4.8 15
1987-07-30 FH Hafnarfjordur W 5-2 911 923 29.5% 38.6% 31.9% +11.6 10
1987-07-30 @ Vidir Gardur L 2-5 923 911 31.9% 38.6% 29.5% -11.6 10
1987-08-05 IF Volsungur W 6-0 1073 939 53.9% 26.2% 19.9% +18.5 18
1987-08-05 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-6 939 1073 19.9% 26.2% 53.9% -18.5 12
1987-08-07 Valur Reykjavik L 0-3 1017 1117 21.7% 32.1% 46.2% -11.3 22
1987-08-07 @ Thor Akureyri W 3-0 1117 1017 46.2% 32.1% 21.7% +11.3 28
1987-08-08 KR Reykjavik L 1-3 921 1095 18.8% 21.5% 59.8% -5.0 12
1987-08-08 @ IF Volsungur W 3-1 1095 921 59.8% 21.5% 18.8% +5.0 25
1987-08-09 KA Akureyri D 0-0 912 923 29.6% 38.6% 31.8% +0.1 11
1987-08-09 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-0 923 912 31.8% 38.6% 29.6% -0.1 15
1987-08-09 IA Akranes L 2-5 979 1056 23.1% 34.8% 42.2% -9.0 12
1987-08-09 @ Keflavik IF W 5-2 1056 979 42.2% 34.8% 23.1% +9.0 23
1987-08-10 Vidir Gardur W 3-1 1092 922 60.3% 21.0% 18.7% +5.0 21
1987-08-10 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-3 922 1092 18.7% 21.0% 60.3% -5.0 10
1987-08-16 Thor Akureyri W 5-2 1065 1006 40.5% 35.7% 23.8% +9.3 26
1987-08-16 @ IA Akranes L 2-5 1006 1065 23.8% 35.7% 40.5% -9.3 22
1987-08-16 Fram Reykjavik L 0-3 923 1097 18.8% 21.5% 59.7% -8.5 15
1987-08-16 @ KA Akureyri W 3-0 1097 923 59.7% 21.5% 18.8% +8.5 24
1987-08-16 Keflavik IF L 0-1 1100 970 53.0% 27.0% 20.0% -7.7 25
1987-08-16 @ KR Reykjavik W 1-0 970 1100 20.0% 27.0% 53.0% +7.7 15
1987-08-16 FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-1 1128 912 68.6% 14.4% 17.0% -1.6 29
1987-08-16 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 912 1128 17.0% 14.4% 68.6% +1.6 12
1987-08-16 IF Volsungur L 2-3 917 916 31.5% 38.7% 29.8% -5.1 10
1987-08-16 @ Vidir Gardur W 3-2 916 917 29.8% 38.7% 31.5% +5.1 15
1987-08-19 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-1 1105 913 64.4% 17.7% 17.9% +2.6 27
1987-08-19 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 913 1105 17.9% 17.7% 64.4% -2.6 12
1987-08-19 Valur Reykjavik L 0-2 1074 1127 25.0% 36.9% 38.1% -9.2 26
1987-08-19 @ IA Akranes W 2-0 1127 1074 38.1% 36.9% 25.0% +9.2 32
1987-08-19 KA Akureyri L 1-3 921 915 32.1% 38.6% 29.3% -9.5 15
1987-08-19 @ IF Volsungur W 3-1 915 921 29.3% 38.6% 32.1% +9.5 18
1987-08-19 Vidir Gardur D 0-0 978 912 41.7% 35.0% 23.3% -0.6 16
1987-08-19 @ Keflavik IF D 0-0 912 978 23.3% 35.0% 41.7% +0.6 11
1987-08-19 KR Reykjavik W 3-1 997 1092 21.9% 32.6% 45.5% +11.6 25
1987-08-19 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-3 1092 997 45.5% 32.6% 21.9% -11.6 25
1987-08-23 IF Volsungur D 3-3 911 911 31.1% 38.7% 30.2% -0.0 13
1987-08-23 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 3-3 911 911 30.2% 38.7% 31.1% +0.0 16
1987-08-23 Keflavik IF D 0-0 924 978 24.9% 36.8% 38.3% +0.5 19
1987-08-23 @ KA Akureyri D 0-0 978 924 38.3% 36.8% 24.9% -0.5 17
1987-08-23 IA Akranes L 2-3 1080 1065 33.5% 38.4% 28.1% -5.3 25
1987-08-23 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-2 1065 1080 28.1% 38.4% 33.5% +5.3 29
1987-08-23 Fram Reykjavik D 0-0 1136 1108 35.4% 37.9% 26.6% -0.3 33
1987-08-23 @ Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 1108 1136 26.6% 37.9% 35.4% +0.3 28
1987-08-23 Thor Akureyri L 1-3 913 1008 21.9% 32.6% 45.4% -6.9 11
1987-08-23 @ Vidir Gardur W 3-1 1008 913 45.4% 32.6% 21.9% +6.9 28
1987-09-05 Vidir Gardur L 3-4 1070 906 59.4% 21.8% 18.8% -7.2 29
1987-09-05 @ IA Akranes W 4-3 906 1070 18.8% 21.8% 59.4% +7.2 14
1987-09-05 Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 911 1108 18.0% 18.1% 63.9% -2.6 16
1987-09-05 @ IF Volsungur W 2-1 1108 911 63.9% 18.1% 18.0% +2.6 31
1987-09-05 FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-0 977 911 41.8% 35.0% 23.2% +4.5 20
1987-09-05 @ Keflavik IF L 0-1 911 977 23.2% 35.0% 41.8% -4.5 13
1987-09-05 Valur Reykjavik L 0-2 1075 1136 24.3% 36.2% 39.5% -9.0 25
1987-09-05 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-0 1136 1075 39.5% 36.2% 24.3% +9.0 36
1987-09-05 KA Akureyri D 1-1 1015 925 46.0% 32.3% 21.7% -0.8 29
1987-09-05 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-1 925 1015 21.7% 32.3% 46.0% +0.8 20
1987-09-12 Thor Akureyri W 4-1 906 1014 21.2% 31.0% 47.8% +16.9 16
1987-09-12 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-4 1014 906 47.8% 31.0% 21.2% -16.9 29
1987-09-12 Keflavik IF D 0-0 1111 982 53.0% 27.0% 20.0% -1.2 32
1987-09-12 @ Fram Reykjavik D 0-0 982 1111 20.0% 27.0% 53.0% +1.2 21
1987-09-12 IA Akranes D 0-0 925 1063 20.0% 26.9% 53.1% +1.2 21
1987-09-12 @ KA Akureyri D 0-0 1063 925 53.1% 26.9% 20.0% -1.2 30
1987-09-12 IF Volsungur D 0-0 1144 909 71.7% 12.0% 16.2% -2.0 37
1987-09-12 @ Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 909 1144 16.2% 12.0% 71.7% +1.9 17
1987-09-12 KR Reykjavik W 2-0 913 1066 19.5% 24.6% 55.9% +15.0 17
1987-09-12 @ Vidir Gardur L 0-2 1066 913 55.9% 24.6% 19.5% -15.0 25

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1987-06-15 17.95% KA Akureyri 895 1 @ Fram Reykjavik 1086 0
2 1987-07-27 18.50% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 915 2 KR Reykjavik 1098 1
3 1987-09-05 18.84% Vidir Gardur 906 4 @ IA Akranes 1070 3
4 1987-07-17 19.24% FH Hafnarfjordur 908 2 @ IA Akranes 1060 1
5 1987-09-12 19.48% @ Vidir Gardur 913 2 KR Reykjavik 1066 0
6 1987-08-16 20.04% Keflavik IF 970 1 @ KR Reykjavik 1100 0
7 1987-05-21 20.95% Thor Akureyri 983 3 @ Fram Reykjavik 1090 1
8 1987-09-12 21.23% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 906 4 Thor Akureyri 1014 1
9 1987-05-29 21.36% KA Akureyri 884 1 @ Vidir Gardur 982 0
10 1987-07-19 21.71% @ Thor Akureyri 996 4 Fram Reykjavik 1095 1
11 1987-07-04 21.82% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 907 2 Keflavik IF 1004 1
12 1987-08-19 21.89% @ Thor Akureyri 997 3 KR Reykjavik 1092 1
13 1987-06-14 22.12% @ Thor Akureyri 971 2 IA Akranes 1063 1
14 1987-05-29 23.28% IF Volsungur 930 1 @ Thor Akureyri 995 0
15 1987-07-19 24.65% IF Volsungur 941 1 @ Keflavik IF 989 0
16 1987-07-26 24.94% @ KA Akureyri 892 6 Vidir Gardur 945 0
17 1987-06-28 25.38% @ IA Akranes 1052 2 KR Reykjavik 1100 1
18 1987-06-10 25.65% @ KA Akureyri 889 2 FH Hafnarfjordur 934 1
19 1987-06-30 26.24% @ Fram Reykjavik 1081 1 Valur Reykjavik 1120 0
20 1987-08-23 28.10% IA Akranes 1065 3 @ KR Reykjavik 1080 2
21 1987-08-19 29.26% KA Akureyri 915 3 @ IF Volsungur 921 1
22 1987-07-30 29.49% @ Vidir Gardur 911 5 FH Hafnarfjordur 923 2
23 1987-08-16 29.84% IF Volsungur 916 3 @ Vidir Gardur 917 2
24 1987-06-28 30.39% @ Thor Akureyri 961 5 Vidir Gardur 966 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1987-07-26 33.81 @ KA Akureyri 6 892 24.94% Vidir Gardur 0 945 38.20%
2 1987-06-28 25.11 @ Thor Akureyri 5 961 30.39% Vidir Gardur 0 966 30.91%
3 1987-05-31 19.30 @ Valur Reykjavik 7 1082 42.52% Keflavik IF 1 1011 22.92%
4 1987-08-05 18.46 @ Fram Reykjavik 6 1073 53.89% IF Volsungur 0 939 19.86%
5 1987-06-18 17.45 @ KR Reykjavik 5 1082 48.42% Thor Akureyri 0 978 21.06%
6 1987-09-12 16.90 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 4 906 21.23% Thor Akureyri 1 1014 47.76%
7 1987-07-19 16.57 @ Thor Akureyri 4 996 21.71% Fram Reykjavik 1 1095 46.06%
8 1987-09-12 15.00 @ Vidir Gardur 2 913 19.48% KR Reykjavik 0 1066 55.87%
9 1987-06-28 12.68 @ IF Volsungur 4 927 32.21% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 920 29.19%
10 1987-05-21 12.10 Thor Akureyri 3 983 20.95% @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1090 48.86%
11 1987-08-19 11.63 @ Thor Akureyri 3 997 21.89% KR Reykjavik 1 1092 45.49%
12 1987-07-30 11.61 @ Vidir Gardur 5 911 29.49% FH Hafnarfjordur 2 923 31.87%
13 1987-08-07 11.34 Valur Reykjavik 3 1117 46.24% @ Thor Akureyri 0 1017 21.66%
14 1987-06-06 10.46 @ Keflavik IF 2 992 31.69% Thor Akureyri 0 989 29.66%
15 1987-05-29 10.11 @ KR Reykjavik 3 1066 51.69% FH Hafnarfjordur 0 944 20.30%
16 1987-08-19 9.52 KA Akureyri 3 915 29.26% @ IF Volsungur 1 921 32.12%
17 1987-08-16 9.30 @ IA Akranes 5 1065 40.54% Thor Akureyri 2 1006 23.76%
18 1987-08-19 9.20 Valur Reykjavik 2 1127 38.13% @ IA Akranes 0 1074 24.98%
19 1987-08-09 9.00 IA Akranes 5 1056 42.19% @ Keflavik IF 2 979 23.06%
20 1987-09-05 8.96 Valur Reykjavik 2 1136 39.48% @ KR Reykjavik 0 1075 24.27%
21 1987-05-30 8.90 Fram Reykjavik 3 1078 32.58% @ IA Akranes 1 1061 28.86%
22 1987-06-19 8.79 Keflavik IF 3 996 33.21% @ Vidir Gardur 1 975 28.33%
23 1987-06-15 8.55 KA Akureyri 1 895 17.95% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 1086 64.15%
24 1987-08-16 8.48 Fram Reykjavik 3 1097 59.70% @ KA Akureyri 0 923 18.78%
25 1987-07-15 8.10 Fram Reykjavik 2 1087 44.44% @ Keflavik IF 0 997 22.23%