1988 Úrvalsdeild Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Fram Reykjavik

49 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Fram Reykjavik

14.77 points above expected

49 points · 34.23 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

IF Leiftur

15.83 points below expected

9 points · 24.83 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Fram Reykjavik	18	16	1	1	49	38	8	+30	34.2	+14.77
2	Valur Reykjavik	18	13	2	3	41	36	15	+21	32.7	+8.28
3	IA Akranes	18	9	5	4	32	32	25	+7	28.3	+3.71
4	KA Akureyri	18	8	3	7	27	31	29	+2	22.2	+4.77
5	KR Reykjavik	18	7	3	8	24	26	25	+1	27.4	-3.43
6	Thor Akureyri	18	6	6	6	24	25	28	-3	24.7	-0.70
7	Keflavik IF	18	4	6	8	18	22	32	-10	22.7	-4.67
8	Vikingur Reykjavik	18	5	3	10	18	20	31	-11	17.6	+0.36
9	IF Leiftur	18	1	6	11	9	12	26	-14	24.8	-15.83
10	IF Volsungur	18	2	3	13	9	13	36	-23	18.4	-9.39

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Fram Reykjavik	1249	49	34.23	+14.77	99.9%	14	25	31	34	38	43	51
Valur Reykjavik	1218	41	32.72	+8.28	95.2%	13	24	29	33	36	41	52
IA Akranes	1109	32	28.29	+3.71	77.8%	7	19	25	28	32	37	50
KR Reykjavik	1076	24	27.43	-3.43	29.7%	6	18	24	27	31	36	45
KA Akureyri	1045	27	22.23	+4.77	84.1%	4	14	19	22	26	31	42
Thor Akureyri	1038	24	24.70	-0.70	48.8%	7	16	21	25	28	34	45
Keflavik IF	1004	18	22.67	-4.67	21.9%	3	14	19	23	26	32	41
IF Leiftur	1000	9	24.83	-15.83	0.1%	5	16	21	25	28	34	44
Vikingur Reykjavik	946	18	17.64	+0.36	57.5%	0	9	14	18	21	26	39
IF Volsungur	912	9	18.39	-9.39	3.8%	2	10	15	18	22	27	44

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	FR	IA	IL	IV	KA	KR	KI	TA	VR	VR
Fram Reykjavik	—	2-0-0 3.46	2-0-0 4.02	1-0-1 4.63	2-0-0 3.92	2-0-0 3.47	1-1-0 3.89	2-0-0 3.61	2-0-0 2.86	2-0-0 4.44
IA Akranes	0-0-2 2.18	—	1-1-0 3.01	2-0-0 3.66	0-1-1 3.52	1-1-0 2.92	1-1-0 3.44	1-1-0 3.19	1-0-1 2.43	2-0-0 3.91
IF Leiftur	0-0-2 1.62	0-1-1 2.60	—	0-1-1 3.48	1-0-1 2.91	0-1-1 2.41	0-1-1 3.00	0-1-1 2.88	0-1-1 2.18	0-0-2 3.67
IF Volsungur	1-0-1 1.08	0-0-2 1.98	1-1-0 2.14	—	0-0-2 2.33	0-0-2 1.89	0-0-2 2.47	0-1-1 2.14	0-0-2 1.54	0-1-1 2.79
KA Akureyri	0-0-2 1.73	1-1-0 2.09	1-0-1 2.72	2-0-0 3.28	—	1-0-1 2.15	1-1-0 2.73	0-1-1 2.58	0-0-2 1.72	2-0-0 3.20
KR Reykjavik	0-0-2 2.13	0-1-1 2.68	1-1-0 3.20	2-0-0 3.74	1-0-1 3.47	—	2-0-0 3.15	0-0-2 3.17	0-0-2 2.22	1-1-0 3.73
Keflavik IF	0-1-1 1.77	0-1-1 2.18	1-1-0 2.61	2-0-0 3.14	0-1-1 2.88	0-0-2 2.46	—	0-2-0 2.63	0-0-2 1.67	1-0-1 3.28
Thor Akureyri	0-0-2 2.03	0-1-1 2.41	1-1-0 2.73	1-1-0 3.49	1-1-0 3.03	2-0-0 2.44	0-2-0 2.97	—	0-0-2 2.03	1-0-1 3.55
Valur Reykjavik	0-0-2 2.73	1-0-1 3.18	1-1-0 3.44	2-0-0 4.13	2-0-0 3.93	2-0-0 3.41	2-0-0 3.97	2-0-0 3.59	—	1-1-0 4.35
Vikingur Reykjavik	0-0-2 1.24	0-0-2 1.74	2-0-0 1.96	1-1-0 2.82	0-0-2 2.41	0-1-1 1.90	1-0-1 2.32	1-0-1 2.07	0-1-1 1.34	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	7.78%	4.44%	3.33%	2.22%	—	23.33%
1	7.78%	12.22%	8.89%	7.22%	0.56%	—	36.67%
2	4.44%	8.89%	3.33%	2.78%	0.56%	0.56%	20.56%
3	3.33%	7.22%	2.78%	—	1.11%	—	14.44%
4	2.22%	0.56%	0.56%	1.11%	—	—	4.44%
5+	—	—	0.56%	—	—	—	0.56%
Total	23.33%	36.67%	20.56%	14.44%	4.44%	0.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.42
Mean allowed	1.42
StdDev scored	1.16
StdDev allowed	1.16
Mean total goals/game	2.83
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.052
Sample size (games)	90

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
1	22.22%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	27.78%
2	22.22%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	27.78%
3	16.67%	—	11.11%	—	—	—	27.78%
4	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	66.67%	22.22%	11.11%	—	—	—	100%

Fram Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.11
Mean allowed	0.44
StdDev scored	1.13
StdDev allowed	0.70
Mean total goals/game	2.56
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.156
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%	—	11.11%
1	5.56%	16.67%	—	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
2	11.11%	16.67%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	44.44%
3	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	38.89%	5.56%	22.22%	5.56%	—	100%

IA Akranes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.78
Mean allowed	1.39
StdDev scored	1.11
StdDev allowed	1.29
Mean total goals/game	3.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.059
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	38.89%
1	—	22.22%	27.78%	5.56%	—	—	55.56%
2	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	44.44%	33.33%	11.11%	—	—	100%

IF Leiftur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.67
Mean allowed	1.44
StdDev scored	0.59
StdDev allowed	0.86
Mean total goals/game	2.11
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.193
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	33.33%
1	11.11%	5.56%	22.22%	22.22%	—	—	61.11%
2	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%	5.56%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	11.11%	27.78%	27.78%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

IF Volsungur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.72
Mean allowed	2.00
StdDev scored	0.57
StdDev allowed	1.46
Mean total goals/game	2.72
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.352
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
1	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	33.33%
2	—	16.67%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	33.33%
3	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	16.67%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	38.89%	22.22%	11.11%	11.11%	—	100%

KA Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.72
Mean allowed	1.61
StdDev scored	1.07
StdDev allowed	1.24
Mean total goals/game	3.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.046
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
1	5.56%	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	33.33%
2	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
3	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	22.22%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	33.33%	27.78%	16.67%	—	—	100%

KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.44
Mean allowed	1.39
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.04
Mean total goals/game	2.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.471
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
1	—	27.78%	5.56%	22.22%	—	—	55.56%
2	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	50.00%	22.22%	27.78%	—	—	100%

Keflavik IF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.22
Mean allowed	1.78
StdDev scored	0.88
StdDev allowed	0.88
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.466
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
1	—	22.22%	—	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
2	5.56%	22.22%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	38.89%
3	—	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	55.56%	11.11%	11.11%	11.11%	—	100%

Thor Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.39
Mean allowed	1.56
StdDev scored	0.98
StdDev allowed	1.20
Mean total goals/game	2.94
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.306
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	27.78%
1	16.67%	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%
2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
3	5.56%	27.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	38.89%
4	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.89%	44.44%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Valur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.00
Mean allowed	0.83
StdDev scored	1.57
StdDev allowed	0.86
Mean total goals/game	2.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.480
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	—	44.44%
1	5.56%	—	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
2	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
3	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	16.67%	27.78%	33.33%	11.11%	11.11%	—	100%

Vikingur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.11
Mean allowed	1.72
StdDev scored	1.41
StdDev allowed	1.23
Mean total goals/game	2.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.117
Games played	18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Fram Reykjavik	49	34.2	+14.77
2	Valur Reykjavik	41	32.7	+8.28
3	KA Akureyri	27	22.2	+4.77
4	IA Akranes	32	28.3	+3.71
5	Vikingur Reykjavik	18	17.6	+0.36

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	IF Leiftur	9	24.8	-15.83
2	IF Volsungur	9	18.4	-9.39
3	Keflavik IF	18	22.7	-4.67
4	KR Reykjavik	24	27.4	-3.43
5	Thor Akureyri	24	24.7	-0.70

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fram Reykjavik	11	Jun 16 – Sep 3	1 in 617
2	Valur Reykjavik	8	Jul 24 – Sep 24	1 in 56
3	KR Reykjavik	3	May 19 – Jun 9	1 in 8
4	IF Volsungur	1	Jul 10 – Jul 10	1 in 6
5	KA Akureyri	2	May 21 – Jun 3	1 in 6

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	IF Leiftur	7	Jun 29 – Aug 21	1 in 447
2	IF Volsungur	6	Jul 15 – Sep 3	1 in 53
3	KR Reykjavik	3	Jun 24 – Jul 11	1 in 11
4	IA Akranes	2	Jun 29 – Jul 9	1 in 8
5	Fram Reykjavik	1	Sep 10 – Sep 10	1 in 6

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fram Reykjavik	15	May 16 – Sep 3	1 in 115
2	Thor Akureyri	8	Jun 4 – Jul 15	1 in 64
3	IA Akranes	7	May 15 – Jun 24	1 in 24
4	KA Akureyri	4	Jul 24 – Aug 21	1 in 8
5	Valur Reykjavik	8	Jul 24 – Sep 24	1 in 7

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	IF Leiftur	11	Jun 29 – Sep 24	1 in 145
2	Keflavik IF	8	May 19 – Jul 11	1 in 38
3	KR Reykjavik	6	Aug 15 – Sep 24	1 in 24
4	IF Volsungur	8	May 15 – Jun 29	1 in 20
5	Thor Akureyri	6	May 21 – Jun 20	1 in 11

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Fram Reykjavik	45.73%	25.08%	13.24%	7.31%	4.17%	2.25%	1.31%	0.50%	0.28%	0.13%
Valur Reykjavik	30.28%	28.58%	16.80%	10.60%	6.29%	3.57%	2.33%	0.94%	0.40%	0.21%
IA Akranes	9.13%	14.89%	19.05%	17.33%	13.32%	10.37%	7.74%	4.56%	2.53%	1.08%
KA Akureyri	1.00%	3.04%	5.82%	8.58%	12.00%	13.79%	15.79%	16.60%	13.58%	9.80%
KR Reykjavik	6.61%	12.75%	16.72%	16.84%	14.61%	12.05%	8.69%	5.89%	3.92%	1.92%
Thor Akureyri	2.80%	5.87%	10.26%	13.17%	14.70%	14.86%	14.12%	11.43%	8.06%	4.73%
Keflavik IF	1.25%	3.08%	6.04%	8.63%	11.85%	14.53%	15.71%	16.44%	13.24%	9.23%
Vikingur Reykjavik	0.12%	0.41%	1.21%	2.35%	3.90%	6.63%	9.89%	15.61%	24.51%	35.37%
IF Leiftur	2.91%	5.71%	9.39%	12.50%	14.47%	15.02%	13.93%	12.32%	8.85%	4.90%
IF Volsungur	0.17%	0.59%	1.47%	2.69%	4.69%	6.93%	10.49%	15.71%	24.63%	32.63%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Fram Reykjavik	99.6%	0.4%
Valur Reykjavik	99.4%	0.6%
IA Akranes	96.4%	3.6%
KR Reykjavik	94.2%	5.8%
Thor Akureyri	87.2%	12.8%
IF Leiftur	86.2%	13.8%
Keflavik IF	77.5%	22.5%
KA Akureyri	76.6%	23.4%
IF Volsungur	42.7%	57.3%
Vikingur Reykjavik	40.1%	59.9%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1988-05-15	IA Akranes	D 0-0	1079	1095	51.7%	20.1%	28.1%	-1.0	1
1988-05-15	@ IF Leiftur	D 0-0	1095	1079	28.1%	20.1%	51.7%	+1.0	1
1988-05-15	IF Volsungur	W 3-1	1042	996	59.5%	18.8%	21.8%	+7.0	3
1988-05-15	@ Keflavik IF	L 1-3	996	1042	21.8%	18.8%	59.5%	-7.0	0
1988-05-15	Vikingur Reykjavik	D 2-2	1088	954	69.0%	16.0%	15.0%	-1.7	1
1988-05-15	@ KR Reykjavik	D 2-2	954	1088	15.0%	16.0%	69.0%	+1.7	1
1988-05-16	Valur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1129	1154	50.6%	20.3%	29.1%	+5.6	3
1988-05-16	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 0-1	1154	1129	29.1%	20.3%	50.6%	-5.6	0
1988-05-19	KR Reykjavik	L 1-3	1049	1087	48.9%	20.4%	30.6%	-14.1	3
1988-05-19	@ Keflavik IF	W 3-1	1087	1049	30.6%	20.4%	48.9%	+14.1	4
1988-05-20	Valur Reykjavik	D 0-0	1078	1148	44.5%	20.7%	34.8%	-0.4	2
1988-05-20	@ IF Leiftur	D 0-0	1148	1078	34.8%	20.7%	44.5%	+0.4	1
1988-05-21	IA Akranes	L 1-2	989	1096	39.2%	20.8%	40.0%	-6.8	0
1988-05-21	@ IF Volsungur	W 2-1	1096	989	40.0%	20.8%	39.2%	+6.8	4
1988-05-21	Fram Reykjavik	L 0-1	1050	1134	42.4%	20.8%	36.8%	-7.7	0
1988-05-21	@ Thor Akureyri	W 1-0	1134	1050	36.8%	20.8%	42.4%	+7.7	6
1988-05-21	KA Akureyri	L 0-1	956	1011	46.6%	20.6%	32.8%	-8.3	1
1988-05-21	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1011	956	32.8%	20.6%	46.6%	+8.3	3
1988-06-02	IF Volsungur	W 3-0	1101	982	67.4%	16.6%	16.1%	+8.6	7
1988-06-02	@ KR Reykjavik	L 0-3	982	1101	16.1%	16.6%	67.4%	-8.6	0
1988-06-03	Valur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1103	1149	47.9%	20.5%	31.6%	+6.0	7
1988-06-03	@ IA Akranes	L 0-1	1149	1103	31.6%	20.5%	47.9%	-6.0	1
1988-06-03	Keflavik IF	W 2-1	1019	1035	51.8%	20.1%	28.1%	+5.1	6
1988-06-03	@ KA Akureyri	L 1-2	1035	1019	28.1%	20.1%	51.8%	-5.1	3
1988-06-03	Thor Akureyri	W 4-2	1143	1042	65.5%	17.2%	17.3%	+5.0	4
1988-06-03	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 2-4	1042	1143	17.3%	17.2%	65.5%	-5.0	0
1988-06-04	Thor Akureyri	D 1-1	1078	1037	58.8%	18.9%	22.3%	-1.5	3
1988-06-04	@ IF Leiftur	D 1-1	1037	1078	22.3%	18.9%	58.8%	+1.5	1
1988-06-05	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 3-0	1142	947	74.6%	13.8%	11.6%	+6.0	9
1988-06-05	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 0-3	947	1142	11.6%	13.8%	74.6%	-6.0	1
1988-06-08	Valur Reykjavik	L 1-3	974	1148	30.3%	20.4%	49.3%	-9.5	0
1988-06-08	@ IF Volsungur	W 3-1	1148	974	49.3%	20.4%	30.3%	+9.5	7
1988-06-08	Fram Reykjavik	D 1-1	1030	1148	37.6%	20.8%	41.5%	+0.1	4
1988-06-08	@ Keflavik IF	D 1-1	1148	1030	41.5%	20.8%	37.6%	-0.1	10
1988-06-08	IA Akranes	D 1-1	1039	1109	44.4%	20.7%	34.9%	-0.4	2
1988-06-08	@ Thor Akureyri	D 1-1	1109	1039	34.9%	20.7%	44.4%	+0.4	8
1988-06-08	IF Leiftur	W 2-1	941	1076	35.4%	20.8%	43.9%	+7.5	4
1988-06-08	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1076	941	43.9%	20.8%	35.4%	-7.5	3
1988-06-09	KA Akureyri	W 2-0	1109	1024	63.9%	17.7%	18.5%	+6.9	10
1988-06-09	@ KR Reykjavik	L 0-2	1024	1109	18.5%	17.7%	63.9%	-6.9	6
1988-06-12	Keflavik IF	D 1-1	1069	1030	58.6%	19.0%	22.4%	-1.5	4
1988-06-12	@ IF Leiftur	D 1-1	1030	1069	22.4%	19.0%	58.6%	+1.5	5
1988-06-13	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 4-0	1110	949	71.5%	15.1%	13.4%	+9.3	11
1988-06-13	@ IA Akranes	L 0-4	949	1110	13.4%	15.1%	71.5%	-9.3	4
1988-06-13	IF Volsungur	W 1-0	1017	964	60.3%	18.6%	21.1%	+4.2	9
1988-06-13	@ KA Akureyri	L 0-1	964	1017	21.1%	18.6%	60.3%	-4.2	0
1988-06-16	KR Reykjavik	W 3-0	1148	1116	57.8%	19.1%	23.1%	+12.5	13
1988-06-16	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 0-3	1116	1148	23.1%	19.1%	57.8%	-12.5	10
1988-06-16	Thor Akureyri	D 1-1	1021	1038	51.7%	20.1%	28.2%	-0.9	10
1988-06-16	@ KA Akureyri	D 1-1	1038	1021	28.2%	20.1%	51.7%	+0.9	3
1988-06-20	Thor Akureyri	D 0-0	960	1039	43.2%	20.8%	36.0%	-0.3	1
1988-06-20	@ IF Volsungur	D 0-0	1039	960	36.0%	20.8%	43.2%	+0.3	4
1988-06-20	Fram Reykjavik	L 1-4	1020	1160	34.7%	20.7%	44.6%	-15.1	10
1988-06-20	@ KA Akureyri	W 4-1	1160	1020	44.6%	20.7%	34.7%	+15.1	16
1988-06-20	IA Akranes	D 1-1	1031	1119	42.0%	20.8%	37.1%	-0.2	6
1988-06-20	@ Keflavik IF	D 1-1	1119	1031	37.1%	20.8%	42.0%	+0.2	12
1988-06-20	IF Leiftur	W 2-1	1104	1067	58.3%	19.0%	22.6%	+4.2	13
1988-06-20	@ KR Reykjavik	L 1-2	1067	1104	22.6%	19.0%	58.3%	-4.2	4
1988-06-21	Valur Reykjavik	D 0-0	939	1157	25.4%	19.7%	54.9%	+1.3	5
1988-06-21	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	D 0-0	1157	939	54.9%	19.7%	25.4%	-1.3	8
1988-06-24	KR Reykjavik	W 2-0	1119	1108	55.2%	19.6%	25.1%	+9.3	15
1988-06-24	@ IA Akranes	L 0-2	1108	1119	25.1%	19.6%	55.2%	-9.3	13
1988-06-24	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1039	941	65.3%	17.2%	17.4%	+3.2	7
1988-06-24	@ Thor Akureyri	L 1-2	941	1039	17.4%	17.2%	65.3%	-3.2	5
1988-06-26	IF Volsungur	W 2-0	1175	960	76.4%	13.0%	10.6%	+3.7	19
1988-06-26	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 0-2	960	1175	10.6%	13.0%	76.4%	-3.7	1
1988-06-26	KA Akureyri	W 2-1	1063	1005	60.8%	18.5%	20.7%	+3.9	7
1988-06-26	@ IF Leiftur	L 1-2	1005	1063	20.7%	18.5%	60.8%	-3.9	10
1988-06-27	Keflavik IF	W 3-1	1156	1031	68.0%	16.4%	15.7%	+5.0	11
1988-06-27	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 1-3	1031	1156	15.7%	16.4%	68.0%	-5.0	6
1988-06-29	IF Leiftur	W 2-0	1179	1067	66.7%	16.8%	16.5%	+6.1	22
1988-06-29	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 0-2	1067	1179	16.5%	16.8%	66.7%	-6.1	7
1988-06-29	Vikingur Reykjavik	D 0-0	956	938	56.1%	19.5%	24.4%	-1.4	2
1988-06-29	@ IF Volsungur	D 0-0	938	956	24.4%	19.5%	56.1%	+1.4	6
1988-06-29	IA Akranes	W 3-2	1001	1128	36.4%	20.8%	42.8%	+6.9	13
1988-06-29	@ KA Akureyri	L 2-3	1128	1001	42.8%	20.8%	36.4%	-6.9	15
1988-06-30	Thor Akureyri	D 1-1	1026	1043	51.7%	20.1%	28.1%	-0.9	7
1988-06-30	@ Keflavik IF	D 1-1	1043	1026	28.1%	20.1%	51.7%	+0.9	8
1988-06-30	Valur Reykjavik	L 0-1	1099	1161	45.6%	20.7%	33.7%	-8.2	13
1988-06-30	@ KR Reykjavik	W 1-0	1161	1099	33.7%	20.7%	45.6%	+8.2	14
1988-07-09	Fram Reykjavik	L 0-4	1121	1185	45.3%	20.7%	34.0%	-29.0	15
1988-07-09	@ IA Akranes	W 4-0	1185	1121	34.0%	20.7%	45.3%	+29.0	25
1988-07-10	IF Volsungur	L 0-1	1061	954	66.1%	17.0%	16.9%	-11.2	7
1988-07-10	@ IF Leiftur	W 1-0	954	1061	16.9%	17.0%	66.1%	+11.2	5
1988-07-11	KR Reykjavik	W 2-0	1044	1090	47.7%	20.5%	31.8%	+11.5	11
1988-07-11	@ Thor Akureyri	L 0-2	1090	1044	31.8%	20.5%	47.7%	-11.5	13
1988-07-11	KA Akureyri	W 4-3	1169	1008	71.5%	15.1%	13.4%	+2.3	17
1988-07-11	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 3-4	1008	1169	13.4%	15.1%	71.5%	-2.3	13
1988-07-11	Keflavik IF	W 3-1	939	1025	42.2%	20.8%	37.0%	+11.2	9
1988-07-11	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	L 1-3	1025	939	37.0%	20.8%	42.2%	-11.2	7
1988-07-14	Fram Reykjavik	L 0-1	1171	1214	48.2%	20.5%	31.3%	-8.5	17
1988-07-14	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1214	1171	31.3%	20.5%	48.2%	+8.5	28
1988-07-15	Keflavik IF	L 1-2	966	1014	47.5%	20.5%	32.0%	-7.9	5
1988-07-15	@ IF Volsungur	W 2-1	1014	966	32.0%	20.5%	47.5%	+8.0	10
1988-07-15	KA Akureyri	W 3-2	1055	1006	59.8%	18.7%	21.5%	+3.8	14
1988-07-15	@ Thor Akureyri	L 2-3	1006	1055	21.5%	18.7%	59.8%	-3.8	13
1988-07-16	IF Leiftur	W 3-1	1092	1049	59.1%	18.9%	22.1%	+7.1	18
1988-07-16	@ IA Akranes	L 1-3	1049	1092	22.1%	18.9%	59.1%	-7.1	7
1988-07-17	KR Reykjavik	L 0-1	950	1079	36.2%	20.8%	43.0%	-6.8	9
1988-07-17	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1079	950	43.0%	20.8%	36.2%	+6.8	16
1988-07-24	Thor Akureyri	W 1-0	1223	1059	71.8%	15.0%	13.2%	+2.5	31
1988-07-24	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 0-1	1059	1223	13.2%	15.0%	71.8%	-2.6	14
1988-07-24	IF Volsungur	W 2-1	1100	958	69.7%	15.8%	14.5%	+2.7	21
1988-07-24	@ IA Akranes	L 1-2	958	1100	14.5%	15.8%	69.7%	-2.7	5
1988-07-24	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1002	943	60.9%	18.4%	20.6%	+3.8	16
1988-07-24	@ KA Akureyri	L 1-2	943	1002	20.6%	18.4%	60.9%	-3.9	9
1988-07-24	IF Leiftur	W 1-0	1163	1042	67.5%	16.5%	15.9%	+3.1	20
1988-07-24	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 0-1	1042	1163	15.9%	16.5%	67.5%	-3.1	7
1988-07-25	Keflavik IF	W 3-0	1086	1022	61.5%	18.3%	20.2%	+11.0	19
1988-07-25	@ KR Reykjavik	L 0-3	1022	1086	20.2%	18.3%	61.5%	-11.0	10
1988-08-04	KR Reykjavik	L 1-3	955	1097	34.4%	20.7%	44.9%	-10.6	5
1988-08-04	@ IF Volsungur	W 3-1	1097	955	44.9%	20.7%	34.4%	+10.6	22
1988-08-04	KA Akureyri	D 1-1	1011	1006	54.5%	19.7%	25.8%	-1.1	11
1988-08-04	@ Keflavik IF	D 1-1	1006	1011	25.8%	19.7%	54.5%	+1.1	17
1988-08-04	IF Leiftur	W 2-1	1056	1039	56.0%	19.5%	24.5%	+4.5	17
1988-08-04	@ Thor Akureyri	L 1-2	1039	1056	24.5%	19.5%	56.0%	-4.5	7
1988-08-04	IA Akranes	W 3-1	1166	1102	61.5%	18.3%	20.2%	+6.5	23
1988-08-04	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 1-3	1102	1166	20.2%	18.3%	61.5%	-6.5	21
1988-08-08	Fram Reykjavik	L 0-2	940	1225	19.1%	17.9%	62.9%	-7.1	9
1988-08-08	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	W 2-0	1225	940	62.9%	17.9%	19.1%	+7.1	34
1988-08-14	IF Volsungur	W 3-1	1172	944	77.4%	12.5%	10.0%	+3.0	26
1988-08-14	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 1-3	944	1172	10.0%	12.5%	77.4%	-3.1	5
1988-08-15	Keflavik IF	W 2-0	1233	1010	77.0%	12.7%	10.3%	+3.6	37
1988-08-15	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 0-2	1010	1233	10.3%	12.7%	77.0%	-3.6	11
1988-08-15	Thor Akureyri	W 4-3	1096	1061	58.1%	19.1%	22.8%	+3.9	24
1988-08-15	@ IA Akranes	L 3-4	1061	1096	22.8%	19.1%	58.1%	-3.9	17
1988-08-15	Vikingur Reykjavik	L 0-1	1035	932	65.7%	17.1%	17.2%	-11.2	7
1988-08-15	@ IF Leiftur	W 1-0	932	1035	17.2%	17.1%	65.7%	+11.2	12
1988-08-15	KR Reykjavik	W 3-1	1007	1107	40.2%	20.8%	38.9%	+11.7	20
1988-08-15	@ KA Akureyri	L 1-3	1107	1007	38.9%	20.8%	40.2%	-11.7	22
1988-08-21	KA Akureyri	L 0-4	941	1019	43.4%	20.8%	35.8%	-28.0	5
1988-08-21	@ IF Volsungur	W 4-0	1019	941	35.8%	20.8%	43.4%	+28.0	23
1988-08-21	IF Leiftur	W 2-1	1006	1024	51.6%	20.1%	28.2%	+5.2	14
1988-08-21	@ Keflavik IF	L 1-2	1024	1006	28.2%	20.1%	51.6%	-5.2	7
1988-08-21	Fram Reykjavik	L 1-2	1096	1236	34.6%	20.7%	44.7%	-6.1	22
1988-08-21	@ KR Reykjavik	W 2-1	1236	1096	44.7%	20.7%	34.6%	+6.1	40
1988-08-21	Valur Reykjavik	L 0-3	1057	1175	37.6%	20.8%	41.6%	-19.1	17
1988-08-21	@ Thor Akureyri	W 3-0	1175	1057	41.6%	20.8%	37.6%	+19.1	29
1988-08-22	IA Akranes	L 1-2	944	1100	32.6%	20.6%	46.8%	-5.8	12
1988-08-22	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1100	944	46.8%	20.6%	32.6%	+5.9	27
1988-09-03	KA Akureyri	W 3-2	1242	1047	74.6%	13.8%	11.6%	+2.0	43
1988-09-03	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 2-3	1047	1242	11.6%	13.8%	74.6%	-2.0	23
1988-09-03	Keflavik IF	W 2-0	1105	1011	64.8%	17.4%	17.8%	+6.6	30
1988-09-03	@ IA Akranes	L 0-2	1011	1105	17.8%	17.4%	64.8%	-6.6	14
1988-09-03	KR Reykjavik	D 1-1	1018	1090	44.3%	20.8%	34.9%	-0.4	8
1988-09-03	@ IF Leiftur	D 1-1	1090	1018	34.9%	20.8%	44.3%	+0.4	23
1988-09-03	IF Volsungur	W 2-1	1038	913	68.0%	16.4%	15.7%	+2.9	20
1988-09-03	@ Thor Akureyri	L 1-2	913	1038	15.7%	16.4%	68.0%	-2.9	5
1988-09-04	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 4-0	1194	938	79.7%	11.4%	8.8%	+5.8	32
1988-09-04	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 0-4	938	1194	8.8%	11.4%	79.7%	-5.8	12
1988-09-10	Fram Reykjavik	W 1-0	910	1244	15.6%	16.4%	68.0%	+11.5	8
1988-09-10	@ IF Volsungur	L 0-1	1244	910	68.0%	16.4%	15.6%	-11.5	43
1988-09-10	IF Leiftur	W 2-1	1045	1018	57.2%	19.3%	23.5%	+4.4	26
1988-09-10	@ KA Akureyri	L 1-2	1018	1045	23.5%	19.3%	57.2%	-4.4	8
1988-09-10	Valur Reykjavik	L 1-3	1005	1200	27.8%	20.1%	52.1%	-8.8	14
1988-09-10	@ Keflavik IF	W 3-1	1200	1005	52.1%	20.1%	27.8%	+8.8	35
1988-09-10	Thor Akureyri	W 3-1	932	1041	39.0%	20.8%	40.2%	+12.0	15
1988-09-10	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	L 1-3	1041	932	40.2%	20.8%	39.0%	-12.0	20
1988-09-11	IA Akranes	D 1-1	1090	1112	51.0%	20.2%	28.8%	-0.9	24
1988-09-11	@ KR Reykjavik	D 1-1	1112	1090	28.8%	20.2%	51.0%	+0.9	31
1988-09-17	KA Akureyri	D 2-2	1113	1049	61.5%	18.3%	20.2%	-1.3	32
1988-09-17	@ IA Akranes	D 2-2	1049	1113	20.2%	18.3%	61.5%	+1.2	27
1988-09-17	Fram Reykjavik	L 0-3	1014	1233	25.3%	19.6%	55.1%	-13.6	8
1988-09-17	@ IF Leiftur	W 3-0	1233	1014	55.1%	19.6%	25.3%	+13.6	46
1988-09-17	Keflavik IF	D 2-2	1029	996	57.9%	19.1%	23.0%	-1.0	21
1988-09-17	@ Thor Akureyri	D 2-2	996	1029	23.0%	19.1%	57.9%	+1.0	15
1988-09-17	IF Volsungur	W 5-2	944	922	56.6%	19.4%	24.0%	+9.5	18
1988-09-17	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	L 2-5	922	944	24.0%	19.4%	56.6%	-9.5	8
1988-09-18	KR Reykjavik	W 3-2	1209	1089	67.5%	16.5%	16.0%	+2.8	38
1988-09-18	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 2-3	1089	1209	16.0%	16.5%	67.5%	-2.8	24
1988-09-24	IA Akranes	W 3-2	1246	1112	69.0%	16.0%	15.0%	+2.6	49
1988-09-24	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 2-3	1112	1246	15.0%	16.0%	69.0%	-2.6	32
1988-09-24	IF Leiftur	D 1-1	912	1000	42.0%	20.8%	37.2%	-0.2	9
1988-09-24	@ IF Volsungur	D 1-1	1000	912	37.2%	20.8%	42.0%	+0.2	9
1988-09-24	Valur Reykjavik	L 0-1	1051	1212	31.9%	20.5%	47.5%	-6.1	27
1988-09-24	@ KA Akureyri	W 1-0	1212	1051	47.5%	20.5%	31.9%	+6.1	41
1988-09-24	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 3-1	997	953	59.2%	18.9%	22.0%	+7.1	18
1988-09-24	@ Keflavik IF	L 1-3	953	997	22.0%	18.9%	59.2%	-7.1	18
1988-09-24	Thor Akureyri	L 1-2	1086	1028	60.9%	18.4%	20.7%	-9.9	24
1988-09-24	@ KR Reykjavik	W 2-1	1028	1086	20.7%	18.4%	60.9%	+9.8	24

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1988-09-10	15.63%	@ IF Volsungur	910	1	Fram Reykjavik	1244	0
2	1988-07-10	16.90%	IF Volsungur	954	1	@ IF Leiftur	1061	0
3	1988-08-15	17.19%	Vikingur Reykjavik	932	1	@ IF Leiftur	1035	0
4	1988-09-24	20.66%	Thor Akureyri	1028	2	@ KR Reykjavik	1086	1
5	1988-05-19	30.63%	KR Reykjavik	1087	3	@ Keflavik IF	1049	1
6	1988-07-14	31.32%	Fram Reykjavik	1214	1	@ Valur Reykjavik	1171	0
7	1988-07-15	31.99%	Keflavik IF	1014	2	@ IF Volsungur	966	1
8	1988-05-21	32.82%	KA Akureyri	1011	1	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	956	0
9	1988-06-30	33.73%	Valur Reykjavik	1161	1	@ KR Reykjavik	1099	0
10	1988-07-09	33.97%	Fram Reykjavik	1185	4	@ IA Akranes	1121	0
11	1988-06-08	35.35%	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	941	2	IF Leiftur	1076	1
12	1988-08-21	35.82%	KA Akureyri	1019	4	@ IF Volsungur	941	0
13	1988-06-29	36.43%	@ KA Akureyri	1001	3	IA Akranes	1128	2
14	1988-05-21	36.75%	Fram Reykjavik	1134	1	@ Thor Akureyri	1050	0
15	1988-09-10	38.97%	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	932	3	Thor Akureyri	1041	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1988-07-09	29.04	Fram Reykjavik	4	1185	33.97%	@ IA Akranes	0	1121	45.34%
2	1988-08-21	28.01	KA Akureyri	4	1019	35.82%	@ IF Volsungur	0	941	43.39%
3	1988-08-21	19.11	Valur Reykjavik	3	1175	41.56%	@ Thor Akureyri	0	1057	37.60%
4	1988-06-20	15.08	Fram Reykjavik	4	1160	44.60%	@ KA Akureyri	1	1020	34.66%
5	1988-05-19	14.13	KR Reykjavik	3	1087	30.63%	@ Keflavik IF	1	1049	48.95%
6	1988-09-17	13.57	Fram Reykjavik	3	1233	55.11%	@ IF Leiftur	0	1014	25.26%
7	1988-06-16	12.48	@ Fram Reykjavik	3	1148	57.75%	KR Reykjavik	0	1116	23.10%
8	1988-09-10	12.01	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	3	932	38.97%	Thor Akureyri	1	1041	40.18%
9	1988-08-15	11.72	@ KA Akureyri	3	1007	40.22%	KR Reykjavik	1	1107	38.93%
10	1988-09-10	11.48	@ IF Volsungur	1	910	15.63%	Fram Reykjavik	0	1244	68.00%
11	1988-07-11	11.45	@ Thor Akureyri	2	1044	47.67%	KR Reykjavik	0	1090	31.79%
12	1988-07-11	11.25	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	3	939	42.17%	Keflavik IF	1	1025	37.00%
13	1988-07-10	11.21	IF Volsungur	1	954	16.90%	@ IF Leiftur	0	1061	66.11%
14	1988-08-15	11.15	Vikingur Reykjavik	1	932	17.19%	@ IF Leiftur	0	1035	65.68%
15	1988-07-25	10.95	@ KR Reykjavik	3	1086	61.49%	Keflavik IF	0	1022	20.21%
16	1988-08-04	10.60	KR Reykjavik	3	1097	44.87%	@ IF Volsungur	1	955	34.41%
17	1988-09-24	9.85	Thor Akureyri	2	1028	20.66%	@ KR Reykjavik	1	1086	60.89%
18	1988-06-08	9.53	Valur Reykjavik	3	1148	49.27%	@ IF Volsungur	1	974	30.33%
19	1988-09-17	9.46	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	5	944	56.59%	IF Volsungur	2	922	24.04%
20	1988-06-24	9.31	@ IA Akranes	2	1119	55.24%	KR Reykjavik	0	1108	25.15%
21	1988-06-13	9.28	@ IA Akranes	4	1110	71.51%	Vikingur Reykjavik	0	949	13.41%
22	1988-09-10	8.84	Valur Reykjavik	3	1200	52.09%	@ Keflavik IF	1	1005	27.83%
23	1988-06-02	8.64	@ KR Reykjavik	3	1101	67.37%	IF Volsungur	0	982	16.05%
24	1988-07-14	8.54	Fram Reykjavik	1	1214	31.32%	@ Valur Reykjavik	0	1171	48.18%
25	1988-05-21	8.30	KA Akureyri	1	1011	32.82%	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	0	956	46.56%