1989 Úrvalsdeild Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

KA Akureyri

34 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

FH Hafnarfjordur

10.61 points above expected

32 points · 21.39 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Keflavik IF

5.37 points below expected

15 points · 20.37 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 KA Akureyri 18 9 7 2 34 29 15 +14 25.9 +8.12
2 FH Hafnarfjordur 18 9 5 4 32 27 17 +10 21.4 +10.61
3 Fram Reykjavik 18 10 2 6 32 22 16 +6 31.8 +0.21
4 KR Reykjavik 18 8 5 5 29 28 22 +6 25.8 +3.18
5 Valur Reykjavik 18 8 4 6 28 21 15 +6 31.4 -3.45
6 IA Akranes 18 8 2 8 26 20 21 -1 26.0 +0.01
7 Thor Akureyri 18 4 6 8 18 20 30 -10 21.5 -3.51
8 Vikingur Reykjavik 18 4 5 9 17 24 31 -7 20.3 -3.32
9 Fylkir Reykjavik 18 5 2 11 17 18 31 -13 20.6 -3.65
10 Keflavik IF 18 3 6 9 15 18 29 -11 20.4 -5.37

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Fram Reykjavik 1226 32 31.79 +0.21 54.9% 13 23 28 32 35 41 50
Valur Reykjavik 1215 28 31.45 -3.45 28.9% 12 23 28 31 35 40 49
KA Akureyri 1201 34 25.88 +8.12 94.8% 5 17 22 26 29 35 45
KR Reykjavik 1176 29 25.82 +3.18 75.5% 7 17 22 26 29 35 49
IA Akranes 1149 26 25.99 +0.01 54.3% 7 17 22 26 30 35 46
FH Hafnarfjordur 1140 32 21.39 +10.61 98.1% 3 13 18 21 25 30 45
Thor Akureyri 1083 18 21.51 -3.51 29.8% 2 13 18 21 25 31 43
Fylkir Reykjavik 1067 17 20.65 -3.65 27.7% 2 12 17 21 24 30 43
Keflavik IF 1052 15 20.37 -5.37 17.6% 3 12 17 20 24 29 43
Vikingur Reykjavik 1050 17 20.32 -3.32 30.7% 2 12 17 20 24 29 41

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FH FR FR IA KA KR KI TA VR VR
FH Hafnarfjordur
1-1-0
1.70
1-0-1
2.97
1-1-0
2.27
0-2-0
2.26
0-0-2
2.36
2-0-0
2.63
2-0-0
2.70
1-0-1
1.65
1-1-0
2.87
Fram Reykjavik
0-1-1
3.81
2-0-0
3.82
1-0-1
3.28
0-0-2
3.58
1-0-1
3.18
1-1-0
3.84
1-0-1
3.82
2-0-0
2.62
2-0-0
3.87
Fylkir Reykjavik
1-0-1
2.48
0-0-2
1.69
0-0-2
2.38
1-0-1
2.09
0-1-1
2.31
0-1-1
2.77
2-0-0
2.51
1-0-1
1.66
0-0-2
2.78
IA Akranes
0-1-1
3.19
1-0-1
2.15
2-0-0
3.07
1-0-1
2.64
2-0-0
2.71
2-0-0
3.36
0-0-2
3.30
0-0-2
2.20
0-1-1
3.36
KA Akureyri
0-2-0
3.17
2-0-0
1.89
1-0-1
3.38
1-0-1
2.77
1-1-0
2.71
2-0-0
3.46
0-2-0
3.09
1-1-0
2.27
1-1-0
3.17
KR Reykjavik
2-0-0
3.06
1-0-1
2.24
1-1-0
3.11
0-0-2
2.70
0-1-1
2.70
2-0-0
3.19
1-1-0
3.37
0-1-1
2.30
1-1-0
3.29
Keflavik IF
0-0-2
2.80
0-1-1
1.68
1-1-0
2.63
0-0-2
2.08
0-0-2
1.99
0-0-2
2.23
0-2-0
2.56
0-2-0
1.75
2-0-0
2.50
Thor Akureyri
0-0-2
2.73
1-0-1
1.69
0-0-2
2.92
2-0-0
2.14
0-2-0
2.35
0-1-1
2.08
0-2-0
2.85
0-0-2
1.81
1-1-0
2.99
Valur Reykjavik
1-0-1
3.87
0-0-2
2.79
1-0-1
3.85
2-0-0
3.22
0-1-1
3.20
1-1-0
3.11
0-2-0
3.77
2-0-0
3.68
1-0-1
3.90
Vikingur Reykjavik
0-1-1
2.54
0-0-2
1.66
2-0-0
2.63
1-1-0
2.09
0-1-1
2.25
0-1-1
2.15
0-0-2
2.91
0-1-1
2.43
1-0-1
1.63

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.78%11.11%6.67%3.33%1.11%30.00%
111.11%8.89%6.11%4.44%1.67%0.56%32.78%
26.67%6.11%6.67%2.78%22.22%
33.33%4.44%2.78%1.11%11.67%
41.11%1.67%2.78%
5+0.56%0.56%
Total30.00%32.78%22.22%11.67%2.78%0.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.26
Mean allowed1.26
StdDev scored1.13
StdDev allowed1.13
Mean total goals/game2.52
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.077
Sample size (games)90
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%5.56%5.56%5.56%33.33%
15.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
25.56%11.11%5.56%22.22%
311.11%11.11%22.22%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total44.44%22.22%27.78%5.56%100%

FH Hafnarfjordur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.50
Mean allowed0.94
StdDev scored1.34
StdDev allowed1.00
Mean total goals/game2.44
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.110
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%16.67%27.78%
122.22%5.56%11.11%38.89%
216.67%5.56%22.22%
35.56%5.56%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total50.00%22.22%16.67%11.11%100%

Fram Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.22
Mean allowed0.89
StdDev scored1.11
StdDev allowed1.08
Mean total goals/game2.11
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.321
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%22.22%5.56%11.11%44.44%
15.56%16.67%5.56%27.78%
25.56%5.56%11.11%
316.67%16.67%
4
5+
Total11.11%44.44%22.22%5.56%16.67%100%

Fylkir Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.00
Mean allowed1.72
StdDev scored1.14
StdDev allowed1.27
Mean total goals/game2.72
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.243
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%16.67%27.78%
122.22%5.56%11.11%5.56%44.44%
211.11%5.56%16.67%
311.11%11.11%
4
5+
Total38.89%22.22%27.78%5.56%5.56%100%

IA Akranes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.11
Mean allowed1.17
StdDev scored0.96
StdDev allowed1.20
Mean total goals/game2.28
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.119
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%5.56%5.56%27.78%
111.11%16.67%27.78%
25.56%11.11%16.67%
311.11%5.56%16.67%
45.56%5.56%
5+5.56%5.56%
Total33.33%55.56%5.56%5.56%100%

KA Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.61
Mean allowed0.83
StdDev scored1.50
StdDev allowed0.79
Mean total goals/game2.44
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.341
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%16.67%
111.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%33.33%
25.56%5.56%16.67%27.78%
311.11%5.56%5.56%22.22%
4
5+
Total33.33%27.78%27.78%5.56%5.56%100%

KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.56
Mean allowed1.22
StdDev scored1.04
StdDev allowed1.17
Mean total goals/game2.78
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.059
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%5.56%5.56%33.33%
15.56%11.11%16.67%11.11%44.44%
211.11%11.11%
311.11%11.11%
4
5+
Total16.67%22.22%44.44%16.67%100%

Keflavik IF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.00
Mean allowed1.61
StdDev scored0.97
StdDev allowed0.98
Mean total goals/game2.61
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.310
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%5.56%11.11%27.78%
15.56%16.67%11.11%33.33%
25.56%11.11%11.11%11.11%38.89%
3
4
5+
Total16.67%33.33%16.67%33.33%100%

Thor Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.11
Mean allowed1.67
StdDev scored0.83
StdDev allowed1.14
Mean total goals/game2.78
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.021
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%5.56%27.78%
122.22%11.11%5.56%5.56%44.44%
211.11%5.56%16.67%
35.56%5.56%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total44.44%33.33%16.67%5.56%100%

Valur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.17
Mean allowed0.83
StdDev scored1.10
StdDev allowed0.92
Mean total goals/game2.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.145
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%5.56%5.56%33.33%
111.11%5.56%16.67%
25.56%11.11%11.11%11.11%38.89%
35.56%5.56%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total11.11%44.44%16.67%22.22%5.56%100%

Vikingur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.33
Mean allowed1.72
StdDev scored1.19
StdDev allowed1.27
Mean total goals/game3.06
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.052
Games played18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 FH Hafnarfjordur 32 21.4 +10.61
2 KA Akureyri 34 25.9 +8.12
3 KR Reykjavik 29 25.8 +3.18
4 Fram Reykjavik 32 31.8 +0.21
5 IA Akranes 26 26.0 +0.01

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Keflavik IF 15 20.4 -5.37
2 Fylkir Reykjavik 17 20.6 -3.65
3 Thor Akureyri 18 21.5 -3.51
4 Valur Reykjavik 28 31.4 -3.45
5 Vikingur Reykjavik 17 20.3 -3.32

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KR Reykjavik 3 Jun 19 – Jul 2 1 in 20
2 IA Akranes 3 Jun 9 – Jun 25 1 in 19
3 FH Hafnarfjordur 2 Jun 8 – Jun 16 1 in 18
4 Vikingur Reykjavik 2 Aug 13 – Aug 16 1 in 13
5 KA Akureyri 3 Aug 18 – Sep 2 1 in 10

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valur Reykjavik 4 Jul 31 – Aug 28 1 in 383
2 Vikingur Reykjavik 4 Aug 29 – Sep 16 1 in 28
3 Fylkir Reykjavik 3 Jun 9 – Jun 25 1 in 17
4 Thor Akureyri 3 Jun 16 – Jun 30 1 in 14
5 IA Akranes 2 May 25 – Jun 3 1 in 11

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FH Hafnarfjordur 8 Jul 1 – Aug 17 1 in 123
2 KA Akureyri 11 Jul 9 – Sep 16 1 in 93
3 Vikingur Reykjavik 5 Jul 24 – Aug 16 1 in 16
4 KR Reykjavik 5 Jun 19 – Jul 14 1 in 8
5 Thor Akureyri 3 Jul 10 – Jul 24 1 in 5

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valur Reykjavik 4 Jul 31 – Aug 28 1 in 18
2 Thor Akureyri 7 May 27 – Jul 10 1 in 14
3 Vikingur Reykjavik 7 Jun 25 – Aug 2 1 in 14
4 Fram Reykjavik 3 May 26 – Jun 8 1 in 10
5 KR Reykjavik 4 Jul 10 – Jul 27 1 in 7

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
KA Akureyri8.35%12.41%15.55%15.29%13.47%10.97%8.77%7.04%5.04%3.11%
FH Hafnarfjordur1.79%3.63%6.25%8.76%10.61%12.75%13.82%14.79%14.85%12.75%
Fram Reykjavik37.01%23.92%15.19%9.25%6.03%4.11%2.35%1.23%0.66%0.25%
KR Reykjavik7.82%12.11%14.21%14.86%13.69%11.75%9.57%7.45%5.43%3.11%
Valur Reykjavik33.33%25.17%16.18%9.77%6.76%3.95%2.41%1.43%0.73%0.27%
IA Akranes7.32%11.70%14.17%14.98%14.24%12.23%9.43%7.62%5.12%3.19%
Thor Akureyri1.71%3.28%6.03%7.72%10.07%11.90%13.49%15.22%14.90%15.68%
Vikingur Reykjavik0.78%2.58%4.11%6.53%8.44%10.84%12.95%15.18%17.65%20.94%
Fylkir Reykjavik0.98%2.74%4.23%6.72%8.84%10.75%13.82%14.89%17.20%19.83%
Keflavik IF0.91%2.46%4.08%6.12%7.85%10.75%13.39%15.15%18.42%20.87%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Fram Reykjavik 99.1% 0.9%
Valur Reykjavik 99.0% 1.0%
KA Akureyri 91.8% 8.2%
IA Akranes 91.7% 8.3%
KR Reykjavik 91.5% 8.5%
FH Hafnarfjordur 72.4% 27.6%
Thor Akureyri 69.4% 30.6%
Fylkir Reykjavik 63.0% 37.0%
Vikingur Reykjavik 61.4% 38.6%
Keflavik IF 60.7% 39.3%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1989-05-21 IA Akranes L 1-3 1143 1159 38.3% 29.8% 31.9% -12.5 0
1989-05-21 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-1 1159 1143 31.9% 29.8% 38.3% +12.5 3
1989-05-21 Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 1119 1067 48.0% 27.7% 24.3% +5.3 3
1989-05-21 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-1 1067 1119 24.3% 27.7% 48.0% -5.3 0
1989-05-22 KA Akureyri D 0-0 1058 1124 31.3% 29.7% 38.9% +0.3 1
1989-05-22 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-0 1124 1058 38.9% 29.7% 31.3% -0.3 1
1989-05-22 Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 1101 1222 25.1% 28.1% 46.8% +1.0 1
1989-05-22 @ Keflavik IF D 0-0 1222 1101 46.8% 28.1% 25.1% -1.0 1
1989-05-23 Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-0 1239 1127 56.3% 24.1% 19.6% +4.2 3
1989-05-23 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1127 1239 19.6% 24.1% 56.3% -4.2 0
1989-05-25 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-2 1102 1058 46.9% 28.0% 25.1% -8.3 1
1989-05-25 @ Keflavik IF W 2-1 1058 1102 25.1% 28.0% 46.9% +8.3 4
1989-05-25 IA Akranes W 2-0 1221 1171 47.7% 27.8% 24.5% +10.1 4
1989-05-25 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-2 1171 1221 24.5% 27.8% 47.7% -10.1 3
1989-05-26 Fram Reykjavik W 3-1 1124 1243 25.3% 28.1% 46.6% +14.3 4
1989-05-26 @ KA Akureyri L 1-3 1243 1124 46.6% 28.1% 25.3% -14.3 3
1989-05-26 KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1062 1130 31.0% 29.7% 39.3% -6.6 0
1989-05-26 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 1130 1062 39.3% 29.7% 31.0% +6.5 3
1989-05-27 Thor Akureyri W 3-1 1123 1125 40.4% 29.5% 30.1% +10.4 3
1989-05-27 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-3 1125 1123 30.1% 29.5% 40.4% -10.5 3
1989-06-03 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-2 1161 1055 55.6% 24.5% 20.0% -18.8 3
1989-06-03 @ IA Akranes W 2-0 1055 1161 20.0% 24.5% 55.6% +18.8 3
1989-06-03 KA Akureyri D 0-0 1114 1138 37.2% 29.9% 32.9% -0.2 4
1989-06-03 @ Thor Akureyri D 0-0 1138 1114 32.9% 29.9% 37.2% +0.2 5
1989-06-04 Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 1067 1231 21.4% 25.7% 52.9% -4.7 4
1989-06-04 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-0 1231 1067 52.9% 25.7% 21.4% +4.7 7
1989-06-04 Keflavik IF D 1-1 1228 1094 59.5% 22.4% 18.1% -1.7 4
1989-06-04 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1094 1228 18.1% 22.4% 59.5% +1.7 2
1989-06-05 Fylkir Reykjavik D 2-2 1137 1133 41.1% 29.4% 29.5% -0.3 4
1989-06-05 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-2 1133 1137 29.5% 29.4% 41.1% +0.3 4
1989-06-08 Fram Reykjavik W 2-0 1062 1227 21.3% 25.7% 53.0% +18.2 7
1989-06-08 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-2 1227 1062 53.0% 25.7% 21.3% -18.2 4
1989-06-08 Thor Akureyri D 1-1 1096 1114 38.0% 29.8% 32.2% -0.2 3
1989-06-08 @ Keflavik IF D 1-1 1114 1096 32.2% 29.8% 38.0% +0.2 5
1989-06-08 Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 1236 1074 63.1% 20.3% 16.6% +3.4 10
1989-06-08 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 1074 1236 16.6% 20.3% 63.1% -3.4 3
1989-06-09 IA Akranes L 0-1 1134 1142 39.4% 29.7% 30.9% -7.8 4
1989-06-09 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-0 1142 1134 30.9% 29.7% 39.4% +7.8 6
1989-06-09 KR Reykjavik W 4-1 1138 1136 40.9% 29.5% 29.7% +14.6 8
1989-06-09 @ KA Akureyri L 1-4 1136 1138 29.7% 29.5% 40.9% -14.6 4
1989-06-16 KA Akureyri W 2-0 1150 1153 40.3% 29.6% 30.2% +12.1 9
1989-06-16 @ IA Akranes L 0-2 1153 1150 30.2% 29.6% 40.3% -12.1 8
1989-06-16 FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-3 1114 1080 45.5% 28.5% 26.1% -7.7 5
1989-06-16 @ Thor Akureyri W 3-2 1080 1114 26.1% 28.5% 45.5% +7.7 10
1989-06-18 Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 1209 1239 36.2% 29.9% 33.9% +7.0 7
1989-06-18 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1239 1209 33.9% 29.9% 36.2% -7.0 10
1989-06-19 Keflavik IF W 3-0 1122 1095 44.4% 28.7% 26.9% +16.0 7
1989-06-19 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-3 1095 1122 26.9% 28.7% 44.4% -16.0 3
1989-06-20 Fylkir Reykjavik W 4-0 1071 1126 32.7% 29.9% 37.4% +26.8 6
1989-06-20 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-4 1126 1071 37.4% 29.9% 32.7% -26.8 4
1989-06-25 KR Reykjavik L 0-3 1088 1138 33.5% 29.9% 36.6% -19.0 10
1989-06-25 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-0 1138 1088 36.6% 29.9% 33.5% +19.0 10
1989-06-25 Vikingur Reykjavik D 3-3 1141 1098 46.8% 28.1% 25.1% -0.5 9
1989-06-25 @ KA Akureyri D 3-3 1098 1141 25.1% 28.1% 46.8% +0.5 7
1989-06-25 IA Akranes L 1-3 1079 1162 29.2% 29.4% 41.4% -10.2 3
1989-06-25 @ Keflavik IF W 3-1 1162 1079 41.4% 29.4% 29.2% +10.2 12
1989-06-25 Fylkir Reykjavik W 4-1 1232 1099 59.3% 22.5% 18.2% +9.0 13
1989-06-25 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-4 1099 1232 18.2% 22.5% 59.3% -9.0 4
1989-06-26 Thor Akureyri W 2-0 1216 1106 56.0% 24.2% 19.7% +8.1 10
1989-06-26 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-2 1106 1216 19.7% 24.2% 56.0% -8.1 5
1989-06-29 KA Akureyri W 1-0 1090 1140 33.5% 29.9% 36.6% +7.4 7
1989-06-29 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-1 1140 1090 36.6% 29.9% 33.5% -7.4 9
1989-06-30 Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 1098 1241 23.1% 27.0% 49.9% -5.1 5
1989-06-30 @ Thor Akureyri W 1-0 1241 1098 49.9% 27.0% 23.1% +5.1 16
1989-07-01 FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-0 1173 1069 55.2% 24.6% 20.1% -1.6 13
1989-07-01 @ IA Akranes D 0-0 1069 1173 20.1% 24.6% 55.2% +1.6 11
1989-07-01 Keflavik IF L 2-3 1098 1069 44.8% 28.7% 26.6% -7.6 7
1989-07-01 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-2 1069 1098 26.6% 28.7% 44.8% +7.6 6
1989-07-02 Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1157 1224 31.2% 29.7% 39.1% +7.7 13
1989-07-02 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1224 1157 39.1% 29.7% 31.2% -7.7 10
1989-07-09 Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-2 1071 1090 37.8% 29.8% 32.4% -0.2 12
1989-07-09 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-2 1090 1071 32.4% 29.8% 37.8% +0.1 8
1989-07-09 Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-0 1077 1098 37.6% 29.9% 32.5% +6.8 9
1989-07-09 @ Keflavik IF L 0-1 1098 1077 32.5% 29.9% 37.6% -6.8 7
1989-07-09 KA Akureyri L 0-1 1246 1133 56.6% 23.9% 19.4% -10.1 16
1989-07-09 @ Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 1133 1246 19.4% 23.9% 56.6% +10.1 12
1989-07-10 IA Akranes W 4-1 1216 1171 47.0% 28.0% 25.0% +12.6 13
1989-07-10 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-4 1171 1216 25.0% 28.0% 47.0% -12.6 13
1989-07-10 KR Reykjavik D 2-2 1093 1164 30.6% 29.6% 39.7% +0.3 6
1989-07-10 @ Thor Akureyri D 2-2 1164 1093 39.7% 29.6% 30.6% -0.3 14
1989-07-12 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-4 1091 1070 43.5% 29.0% 27.5% -29.9 7
1989-07-12 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 4-0 1070 1091 27.5% 29.0% 43.5% +29.9 15
1989-07-13 Thor Akureyri L 1-2 1158 1094 49.8% 27.0% 23.2% -8.7 13
1989-07-13 @ IA Akranes W 2-1 1094 1158 23.2% 27.0% 49.8% +8.7 9
1989-07-13 Keflavik IF W 2-1 1143 1084 49.0% 27.3% 23.6% +4.9 15
1989-07-13 @ KA Akureyri L 1-2 1084 1143 23.6% 27.3% 49.0% -4.9 9
1989-07-13 Fram Reykjavik L 0-2 1091 1229 23.5% 27.2% 49.2% -9.8 8
1989-07-13 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-0 1229 1091 49.2% 27.2% 23.5% +9.7 16
1989-07-14 Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1164 1236 30.6% 29.6% 39.8% +0.3 15
1989-07-14 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1236 1164 39.8% 29.6% 30.6% -0.4 17
1989-07-21 Fram Reykjavik L 0-3 1061 1238 20.4% 24.9% 54.7% -12.2 7
1989-07-21 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-0 1238 1061 54.7% 24.9% 20.4% +12.2 19
1989-07-21 FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-1 1148 1100 47.4% 27.9% 24.7% -0.9 16
1989-07-21 @ KA Akureyri D 1-1 1100 1148 24.7% 27.9% 47.4% +0.9 16
1989-07-22 KR Reykjavik W 1-0 1150 1165 38.5% 29.8% 31.8% +6.7 16
1989-07-22 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 1165 1150 31.8% 29.8% 38.5% -6.7 15
1989-07-23 Keflavik IF D 2-2 1236 1079 62.5% 20.7% 16.8% -1.4 18
1989-07-23 @ Valur Reykjavik D 2-2 1079 1236 16.8% 20.7% 62.5% +1.4 10
1989-07-24 Thor Akureyri D 1-1 1081 1102 37.5% 29.9% 32.6% -0.2 9
1989-07-24 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-1 1102 1081 32.6% 29.9% 37.5% +0.2 10
1989-07-26 KA Akureyri L 1-3 1250 1147 55.2% 24.6% 20.1% -16.2 19
1989-07-26 @ Fram Reykjavik W 3-1 1147 1250 20.1% 24.6% 55.2% +16.2 19
1989-07-27 Keflavik IF W 2-1 1101 1080 43.6% 28.9% 27.4% +5.6 19
1989-07-27 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-2 1080 1101 27.4% 28.9% 43.6% -5.6 10
1989-07-27 Valur Reykjavik L 0-2 1156 1234 29.8% 29.5% 40.7% -12.0 16
1989-07-27 @ IA Akranes W 2-0 1234 1156 40.7% 29.5% 29.8% +12.0 21
1989-07-27 Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-2 1158 1081 51.6% 26.3% 22.1% -0.9 16
1989-07-27 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-2 1081 1158 22.1% 26.3% 51.6% +0.9 10
1989-07-28 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-3 1102 1049 48.3% 27.6% 24.1% -14.7 10
1989-07-28 @ Thor Akureyri W 3-1 1049 1102 24.1% 27.6% 48.3% +14.7 10
1989-07-31 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-1 1246 1107 60.1% 22.1% 17.8% -10.5 21
1989-07-31 @ Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 1107 1246 17.8% 22.1% 60.1% +10.5 22
1989-08-01 KR Reykjavik L 1-2 1063 1157 28.0% 29.1% 42.9% -5.7 10
1989-08-01 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-1 1157 1063 42.9% 29.1% 28.0% +5.7 19
1989-08-01 Thor Akureyri D 1-1 1163 1088 51.3% 26.4% 22.3% -1.2 20
1989-08-01 @ KA Akureyri D 1-1 1088 1163 22.3% 26.4% 51.3% +1.2 11
1989-08-01 Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1075 1234 21.7% 26.0% 52.3% -4.8 10
1989-08-01 @ Keflavik IF W 1-0 1234 1075 52.3% 26.0% 21.7% +4.8 22
1989-08-02 IA Akranes D 1-1 1082 1144 31.7% 29.8% 38.5% +0.3 11
1989-08-02 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-1 1144 1082 38.5% 29.8% 31.7% -0.2 17
1989-08-11 Keflavik IF D 2-2 1089 1070 43.4% 29.0% 27.7% -0.4 12
1989-08-11 @ Thor Akureyri D 2-2 1070 1089 27.7% 29.0% 43.4% +0.5 11
1989-08-12 Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-0 1144 1058 52.8% 25.8% 21.4% +4.7 20
1989-08-12 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 1058 1144 21.4% 25.8% 52.8% -4.7 10
1989-08-12 KA Akureyri D 0-0 1163 1162 40.7% 29.5% 29.8% -0.5 20
1989-08-12 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1162 1163 29.8% 29.5% 40.7% +0.5 21
1989-08-13 Valur Reykjavik W 2-1 1082 1236 22.2% 26.4% 51.5% +8.9 14
1989-08-13 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 1236 1082 51.5% 26.4% 22.2% -8.9 21
1989-08-14 FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-0 1239 1117 57.7% 23.4% 18.9% -1.8 23
1989-08-14 @ Fram Reykjavik D 0-0 1117 1239 18.9% 23.4% 57.7% +1.8 23
1989-08-16 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 1053 1091 35.2% 29.9% 34.9% -6.8 10
1989-08-16 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-1 1091 1053 34.9% 29.9% 35.2% +6.8 17
1989-08-17 Thor Akureyri W 3-0 1119 1088 45.0% 28.6% 26.4% +15.7 26
1989-08-17 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-3 1088 1119 26.4% 28.6% 45.0% -15.7 12
1989-08-17 KR Reykjavik L 1-3 1070 1162 28.2% 29.1% 42.7% -9.9 11
1989-08-17 @ Keflavik IF W 3-1 1162 1070 42.7% 29.1% 28.2% +9.9 23
1989-08-17 Fram Reykjavik L 0-2 1227 1237 39.1% 29.7% 31.1% -14.6 21
1989-08-17 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-0 1237 1227 31.1% 29.7% 39.1% +14.6 26
1989-08-18 IA Akranes W 1-0 1162 1149 42.6% 29.2% 28.3% +6.1 24
1989-08-18 @ KA Akureyri L 0-1 1149 1162 28.3% 29.2% 42.6% -6.1 20
1989-08-26 Keflavik IF W 1-0 1143 1060 52.3% 26.0% 21.7% +4.8 23
1989-08-26 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 1060 1143 21.7% 26.0% 52.3% -4.8 11
1989-08-27 Fram Reykjavik W 2-0 1073 1252 20.3% 24.8% 55.0% +18.7 15
1989-08-27 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-2 1252 1073 55.0% 24.8% 20.3% -18.7 26
1989-08-28 Valur Reykjavik W 3-1 1046 1212 21.2% 25.6% 53.2% +15.8 13
1989-08-28 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-3 1212 1046 53.2% 25.6% 21.2% -15.8 21
1989-08-29 KA Akureyri L 1-5 1098 1168 30.7% 29.6% 39.7% -19.4 17
1989-08-29 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 5-1 1168 1098 39.7% 29.6% 30.7% +19.4 27
1989-08-30 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-0 1172 1135 45.9% 28.3% 25.7% +10.6 26
1989-08-30 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1135 1172 25.7% 28.3% 45.9% -10.6 26
1989-09-02 IA Akranes W 3-2 1124 1147 37.3% 29.9% 32.8% +6.1 29
1989-09-02 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-3 1147 1124 32.8% 29.9% 37.3% -6.1 23
1989-09-02 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-1 1188 1062 58.3% 23.1% 18.7% +3.8 30
1989-09-02 @ KA Akureyri L 1-2 1062 1188 18.7% 23.1% 58.3% -3.8 13
1989-09-02 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-2 1056 1078 37.4% 29.9% 32.8% +6.1 14
1989-09-02 @ Keflavik IF L 2-3 1078 1056 32.8% 29.9% 37.4% -6.1 17
1989-09-02 Thor Akureyri W 3-0 1197 1091 55.5% 24.5% 20.0% +11.9 24
1989-09-02 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-3 1091 1197 20.0% 24.5% 55.5% -11.9 15
1989-09-03 KR Reykjavik W 2-1 1233 1183 47.8% 27.7% 24.4% +5.1 29
1989-09-03 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 1183 1233 24.4% 27.7% 47.8% -5.0 26
1989-09-09 Fram Reykjavik W 2-0 1141 1238 27.6% 29.0% 43.4% +15.7 26
1989-09-09 @ IA Akranes L 0-2 1238 1141 43.4% 29.0% 27.6% -15.7 29
1989-09-09 Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1192 1208 38.2% 29.8% 32.0% -0.2 31
1989-09-09 @ KA Akureyri D 1-1 1208 1192 32.0% 29.8% 38.2% +0.2 25
1989-09-09 Thor Akureyri W 3-2 1178 1079 54.5% 25.0% 20.5% +4.0 29
1989-09-09 @ KR Reykjavik L 2-3 1079 1178 20.5% 25.0% 54.5% -4.0 15
1989-09-10 Keflavik IF D 0-0 1058 1062 40.1% 29.6% 30.3% -0.4 14
1989-09-10 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 0-0 1062 1058 30.3% 29.6% 40.1% +0.4 15
1989-09-10 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-3 1072 1130 32.3% 29.8% 37.9% -18.5 17
1989-09-10 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-0 1130 1072 37.9% 29.8% 32.3% +18.5 32
1989-09-16 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-2 1149 1058 53.5% 25.5% 21.0% -9.2 32
1989-09-16 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-1 1058 1149 21.0% 25.5% 53.5% +9.2 17
1989-09-16 Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 1222 1054 64.1% 19.8% 16.2% +3.3 32
1989-09-16 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1054 1222 16.2% 19.8% 64.1% -3.3 17
1989-09-16 KA Akureyri L 0-2 1062 1191 24.3% 27.7% 48.0% -10.1 15
1989-09-16 @ Keflavik IF W 2-0 1191 1062 48.0% 27.7% 24.3% +10.1 34
1989-09-16 IA Akranes W 2-1 1075 1157 29.4% 29.4% 41.2% +7.6 18
1989-09-16 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-2 1157 1075 41.2% 29.4% 29.4% -7.6 26
1989-09-16 KR Reykjavik W 1-0 1209 1182 44.5% 28.7% 26.8% +5.8 28
1989-09-16 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 1182 1209 26.8% 28.7% 44.5% -5.8 29

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1989-07-31 17.82% FH Hafnarfjordur 1107 1 @ Valur Reykjavik 1246 0
2 1989-07-09 19.45% KA Akureyri 1133 1 @ Valur Reykjavik 1246 0
3 1989-06-03 19.96% Vikingur Reykjavik 1055 2 @ IA Akranes 1161 0
4 1989-07-26 20.13% KA Akureyri 1147 3 @ Fram Reykjavik 1250 1
5 1989-08-27 20.27% @ Thor Akureyri 1073 2 Fram Reykjavik 1252 0
6 1989-09-16 21.03% Fylkir Reykjavik 1058 2 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1149 1
7 1989-08-28 21.23% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1046 3 Valur Reykjavik 1212 1
8 1989-06-08 21.33% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1062 2 Fram Reykjavik 1227 0
9 1989-08-13 22.17% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1082 2 Valur Reykjavik 1236 1
10 1989-07-13 23.15% Thor Akureyri 1094 2 @ IA Akranes 1158 1
11 1989-07-28 24.14% Fylkir Reykjavik 1049 3 @ Thor Akureyri 1102 1
12 1989-05-25 25.08% FH Hafnarfjordur 1058 2 @ Keflavik IF 1102 1
13 1989-05-26 25.28% @ KA Akureyri 1124 3 Fram Reykjavik 1243 1
14 1989-06-16 26.07% FH Hafnarfjordur 1080 3 @ Thor Akureyri 1114 2
15 1989-07-01 26.59% Keflavik IF 1069 3 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1098 2
16 1989-07-12 27.51% FH Hafnarfjordur 1070 4 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1091 0
17 1989-09-09 27.62% @ IA Akranes 1141 2 Fram Reykjavik 1238 0
18 1989-09-16 29.37% @ Thor Akureyri 1075 2 IA Akranes 1157 1
19 1989-06-09 30.95% IA Akranes 1142 1 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1134 0
20 1989-08-17 31.15% Fram Reykjavik 1237 2 @ Valur Reykjavik 1227 0
21 1989-07-02 31.20% @ KR Reykjavik 1157 1 Fram Reykjavik 1224 0
22 1989-05-21 31.94% IA Akranes 1159 3 @ KR Reykjavik 1143 1
23 1989-06-20 32.73% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1071 4 Fylkir Reykjavik 1126 0
24 1989-06-29 33.45% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1090 1 KA Akureyri 1140 0
25 1989-08-16 34.87% Vikingur Reykjavik 1091 2 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1053 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1989-07-12 29.92 FH Hafnarfjordur 4 1070 27.51% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1091 43.53%
2 1989-06-20 26.83 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 4 1071 32.73% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1126 37.40%
3 1989-08-29 19.37 KA Akureyri 5 1168 39.66% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1098 30.68%
4 1989-06-25 18.99 KR Reykjavik 3 1138 36.61% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1088 33.47%
5 1989-06-03 18.82 Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1055 19.96% @ IA Akranes 0 1161 55.56%
6 1989-08-27 18.67 @ Thor Akureyri 2 1073 20.27% Fram Reykjavik 0 1252 54.96%
7 1989-09-10 18.49 FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1130 37.86% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1072 32.30%
8 1989-06-08 18.19 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1062 21.33% Fram Reykjavik 0 1227 52.96%
9 1989-07-26 16.23 KA Akureyri 3 1147 20.13% @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1250 55.24%
10 1989-06-19 15.97 @ KR Reykjavik 3 1122 44.40% Keflavik IF 0 1095 26.85%
11 1989-08-28 15.79 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 3 1046 21.23% Valur Reykjavik 1 1212 53.16%
12 1989-09-09 15.74 @ IA Akranes 2 1141 27.62% Fram Reykjavik 0 1238 43.39%
13 1989-08-17 15.73 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1119 45.03% Thor Akureyri 0 1088 26.38%
14 1989-07-28 14.73 Fylkir Reykjavik 3 1049 24.14% @ Thor Akureyri 1 1102 48.28%
15 1989-06-09 14.62 @ KA Akureyri 4 1138 40.86% KR Reykjavik 1 1136 29.66%
16 1989-08-17 14.60 Fram Reykjavik 2 1237 31.15% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1227 39.14%
17 1989-05-26 14.35 @ KA Akureyri 3 1124 25.28% Fram Reykjavik 1 1243 46.58%
18 1989-07-10 12.63 @ Fram Reykjavik 4 1216 47.04% IA Akranes 1 1171 24.97%
19 1989-05-21 12.45 IA Akranes 3 1159 31.94% @ KR Reykjavik 1 1143 38.26%
20 1989-07-21 12.18 Fram Reykjavik 3 1238 54.73% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1061 20.39%
21 1989-06-16 12.10 @ IA Akranes 2 1150 40.26% KA Akureyri 0 1153 30.17%
22 1989-07-27 11.98 Valur Reykjavik 2 1234 40.70% @ IA Akranes 0 1156 29.79%
23 1989-09-02 11.92 @ Valur Reykjavik 3 1197 55.46% Thor Akureyri 0 1091 20.01%
24 1989-08-30 10.60 @ KR Reykjavik 2 1172 45.94% FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1135 25.73%
25 1989-07-31 10.54 FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1107 17.82% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1246 60.13%