1990 Úrvalsdeild Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Fram Reykjavik

38 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

13.84 points above expected

37 points · 23.16 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

IA Akranes

11.18 points below expected

11 points · 22.18 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Fram Reykjavik 18 12 2 4 38 39 16 +23 31.9 +6.09
2 KR Reykjavik 18 12 2 4 38 31 17 +14 28.5 +9.53
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 18 11 4 3 37 39 32 +7 23.2 +13.84
4 Valur Reykjavik 18 10 3 5 33 29 21 +8 29.9 +3.07
5 Stjarnan 18 8 2 8 26 25 27 -2 22.6 +3.42
6 FH Hafnarfjordur 18 7 2 9 23 24 29 -5 24.3 -1.29
7 Vikingur Reykjavik 18 4 7 7 19 17 24 -7 23.4 -4.45
8 KA Akureyri 18 5 1 12 16 18 28 -10 25.0 -8.97
9 Thor Akureyri 18 4 3 11 15 13 24 -11 20.3 -5.30
10 IA Akranes 18 3 2 13 11 19 36 -17 22.2 -11.18

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Fram Reykjavik 1296 38 31.91 +6.09 87.8% 11 23 28 32 36 41 49
KR Reykjavik 1246 38 28.47 +9.53 96.2% 7 19 25 28 32 38 49
Valur Reykjavik 1212 33 29.93 +3.07 73.4% 10 21 26 30 34 39 50
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1186 37 23.16 +13.84 99.3% 5 14 19 23 27 33 46
Stjarnan 1144 26 22.58 +3.42 75.9% 4 14 19 22 26 32 43
FH Hafnarfjordur 1114 23 24.29 -1.29 45.1% 5 15 20 24 28 34 46
KA Akureyri 1111 16 24.97 -8.97 6.7% 6 16 21 25 29 34 46
Vikingur Reykjavik 1080 19 23.45 -4.45 24.4% 5 14 20 23 27 33 46
Thor Akureyri 1073 15 20.30 -5.30 19.3% 4 12 17 20 24 29 41
IA Akranes 1054 11 22.18 -11.18 2.4% 4 13 18 22 26 31 43

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FH FR IA IV KA KR STJ TA VR VR
FH Hafnarfjordur
1-1-0
1.81
2-0-0
3.07
0-0-2
2.99
1-0-1
2.74
0-0-2
2.41
2-0-0
2.86
1-0-1
3.34
0-0-2
2.15
0-1-1
2.92
Fram Reykjavik
0-1-1
3.79
2-0-0
3.48
1-0-1
3.55
2-0-0
3.42
2-0-0
3.22
1-0-1
3.73
1-1-0
3.91
2-0-0
3.04
1-0-1
3.81
IA Akranes
0-0-2
2.51
0-0-2
2.11
0-0-2
2.62
1-0-1
2.41
0-0-2
2.04
0-1-1
2.69
2-0-0
2.95
0-0-2
2.25
0-1-1
2.61
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2-0-0
2.58
1-0-1
2.04
2-0-0
2.95
1-1-0
2.61
1-1-0
2.15
1-1-0
2.93
2-0-0
2.91
0-0-2
2.16
1-1-0
2.79
KA Akureyri
1-0-1
2.84
0-0-2
2.17
1-0-1
3.17
0-1-1
2.97
0-0-2
2.17
1-0-1
3.03
0-0-2
3.43
0-0-2
2.44
2-0-0
2.79
KR Reykjavik
2-0-0
3.16
0-0-2
2.36
2-0-0
3.55
0-1-1
3.44
2-0-0
3.42
2-0-0
3.21
2-0-0
3.63
1-0-1
2.53
1-1-0
3.23
Stjarnan
0-0-2
2.72
1-0-1
1.87
1-1-0
2.89
0-1-1
2.64
1-0-1
2.54
0-0-2
2.37
2-0-0
2.80
2-0-0
1.93
1-0-1
2.78
Thor Akureyri
1-0-1
2.24
0-1-1
1.70
0-0-2
2.62
0-0-2
2.66
2-0-0
2.15
0-0-2
1.96
0-0-2
2.77
0-1-1
1.72
1-1-0
2.40
Valur Reykjavik
2-0-0
3.44
0-0-2
2.54
2-0-0
3.34
2-0-0
3.42
2-0-0
3.13
1-0-1
3.05
0-0-2
3.67
1-1-0
3.89
0-2-0
3.49
Vikingur Reykjavik
1-1-0
2.65
1-0-1
1.79
1-1-0
2.97
0-1-1
2.78
0-0-2
2.78
0-1-1
2.34
1-0-1
2.79
0-1-1
3.17
0-2-0
2.10

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.44%11.11%6.67%2.22%2.78%27.22%
111.11%5.56%8.89%3.33%1.11%1.11%31.11%
26.67%8.89%5.56%2.22%1.11%24.44%
32.22%3.33%2.22%1.67%9.44%
42.78%1.11%1.11%1.67%6.67%
5+1.11%1.11%
Total27.22%31.11%24.44%9.44%6.67%1.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.41
Mean allowed1.41
StdDev scored1.25
StdDev allowed1.25
Mean total goals/game2.82
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.062
Sample size (games)90
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%5.56%27.78%
111.11%5.56%11.11%5.56%33.33%
216.67%5.56%5.56%27.78%
35.56%5.56%
4
5+5.56%5.56%
Total11.11%38.89%33.33%11.11%5.56%100%

FH Hafnarfjordur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.33
Mean allowed1.61
StdDev scored1.28
StdDev allowed1.04
Mean total goals/game2.94
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.162
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%11.11%
122.22%5.56%5.56%33.33%
25.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
35.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
416.67%16.67%
5+5.56%5.56%
Total55.56%16.67%16.67%5.56%5.56%100%

Fram Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.17
Mean allowed0.89
StdDev scored1.62
StdDev allowed1.23
Mean total goals/game3.06
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.010
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%22.22%5.56%38.89%
15.56%16.67%5.56%27.78%
25.56%5.56%11.11%22.22%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
4
5+
Total11.11%16.67%44.44%16.67%11.11%100%

IA Akranes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.06
Mean allowed2.00
StdDev scored1.06
StdDev allowed1.14
Mean total goals/game3.06
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.196
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%
111.11%11.11%5.56%27.78%
25.56%16.67%11.11%5.56%38.89%
3
45.56%5.56%16.67%27.78%
5+
Total22.22%27.78%16.67%16.67%16.67%100%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.17
Mean allowed1.78
StdDev scored1.29
StdDev allowed1.44
Mean total goals/game3.94
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.084
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%11.11%5.56%5.56%44.44%
15.56%5.56%16.67%27.78%
25.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
35.56%5.56%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total16.67%38.89%27.78%5.56%11.11%100%

KA Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.00
Mean allowed1.56
StdDev scored1.19
StdDev allowed1.20
Mean total goals/game2.56
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.330
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%16.67%
111.11%5.56%5.56%22.22%
216.67%11.11%5.56%33.33%
35.56%16.67%5.56%27.78%
4
5+
Total33.33%44.44%16.67%5.56%100%

KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.72
Mean allowed0.94
StdDev scored1.07
StdDev allowed0.87
Mean total goals/game2.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.206
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%22.22%
111.11%5.56%11.11%11.11%38.89%
211.11%5.56%16.67%
311.11%5.56%5.56%22.22%
4
5+
Total38.89%33.33%11.11%5.56%11.11%100%

Stjarnan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.39
Mean allowed1.50
StdDev scored1.09
StdDev allowed1.89
Mean total goals/game2.89
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.071
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%16.67%16.67%5.56%55.56%
15.56%16.67%5.56%27.78%
211.11%11.11%
3
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total22.22%33.33%33.33%11.11%100%

Thor Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.72
Mean allowed1.33
StdDev scored1.07
StdDev allowed0.97
Mean total goals/game2.06
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.019
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
116.67%5.56%11.11%33.33%
211.11%11.11%5.56%5.56%33.33%
35.56%5.56%
45.56%5.56%11.11%
5+
Total33.33%27.78%27.78%11.11%100%

Valur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.61
Mean allowed1.17
StdDev scored1.20
StdDev allowed1.04
Mean total goals/game2.78
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.149
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%5.56%5.56%33.33%
111.11%16.67%5.56%5.56%38.89%
211.11%16.67%27.78%
3
4
5+
Total27.78%33.33%27.78%11.11%100%

Vikingur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.94
Mean allowed1.33
StdDev scored0.80
StdDev allowed1.24
Mean total goals/game2.28
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.099
Games played18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 37 23.2 +13.84
2 KR Reykjavik 38 28.5 +9.53
3 Fram Reykjavik 38 31.9 +6.09
4 Stjarnan 26 22.6 +3.42
5 Valur Reykjavik 33 29.9 +3.07

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 IA Akranes 11 22.2 -11.18
2 KA Akureyri 16 25.0 -8.97
3 Thor Akureyri 15 20.3 -5.30
4 Vikingur Reykjavik 19 23.4 -4.45
5 FH Hafnarfjordur 23 24.3 -1.29

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Stjarnan 4 Aug 12 – Sep 1 1 in 58
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 Aug 20 – Sep 15 1 in 29
3 Fram Reykjavik 5 Jul 22 – Aug 20 1 in 27
4 KR Reykjavik 4 Aug 20 – Sep 15 1 in 18
5 Valur Reykjavik 4 Jun 15 – Jul 2 1 in 17

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IA Akranes 8 Jul 2 – Aug 20 1 in 389
2 Fram Reykjavik 3 Jun 18 – Jul 3 1 in 85
3 Vikingur Reykjavik 5 Aug 15 – Sep 15 1 in 76
4 KA Akureyri 4 May 20 – Jun 7 1 in 33
5 Thor Akureyri 5 Jul 16 – Aug 17 1 in 30

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 8 Jun 19 – Aug 11 1 in 97
2 Vikingur Reykjavik 8 Jun 18 – Aug 10 1 in 85
3 Fram Reykjavik 8 Jul 22 – Sep 15 1 in 12
4 Stjarnan 4 Aug 12 – Sep 1 1 in 9
5 KR Reykjavik 6 Jul 2 – Aug 9 1 in 9

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IA Akranes 8 Jul 2 – Aug 20 1 in 21
2 Thor Akureyri 8 Jul 11 – Sep 1 1 in 16
3 Fram Reykjavik 3 Jun 18 – Jul 3 1 in 13
4 Vikingur Reykjavik 5 Jul 2 – Jul 27 1 in 11
5 KA Akureyri 4 May 20 – Jun 7 1 in 6

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Fram Reykjavik38.93%21.80%13.41%8.98%6.04%4.75%2.73%1.73%1.16%0.47%
KR Reykjavik16.44%18.16%16.46%13.29%10.99%8.36%6.29%4.64%3.40%1.97%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar3.54%5.88%8.06%10.31%11.55%12.13%12.20%12.71%12.24%11.38%
Valur Reykjavik22.46%21.30%16.58%12.33%9.47%6.50%4.87%3.45%1.91%1.13%
Stjarnan2.59%4.82%7.02%9.22%10.16%11.83%13.03%13.36%14.43%13.54%
FH Hafnarfjordur4.45%7.74%9.72%11.25%11.80%12.14%12.39%11.10%10.92%8.49%
Vikingur Reykjavik3.24%5.96%8.49%9.95%11.33%11.71%13.28%12.48%12.19%11.37%
KA Akureyri5.50%8.77%10.49%11.74%12.06%12.38%11.03%10.40%10.13%7.50%
Thor Akureyri0.93%2.07%3.77%5.37%7.09%9.42%11.16%14.96%18.69%26.54%
IA Akranes1.92%3.50%6.00%7.56%9.51%10.78%13.02%15.17%14.93%17.61%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Fram Reykjavik 98.4% 1.6%
Valur Reykjavik 97.0% 3.0%
KR Reykjavik 94.6% 5.4%
KA Akureyri 82.4% 17.6%
FH Hafnarfjordur 80.6% 19.4%
Vikingur Reykjavik 76.4% 23.6%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 76.4% 23.6%
Stjarnan 72.0% 28.0%
IA Akranes 67.5% 32.5%
Thor Akureyri 54.8% 45.2%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1990-05-19 Fram Reykjavik L 0-4 1111 1188 30.1% 20.9% 49.0% -23.8 0
1990-05-19 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-0 1188 1111 49.0% 20.9% 30.1% +23.8 3
1990-05-19 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-1 1168 1122 46.9% 21.1% 32.0% +6.6 3
1990-05-19 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-2 1122 1168 32.0% 21.1% 46.9% -6.6 0
1990-05-19 Stjarnan L 0-2 1131 1120 42.0% 21.3% 36.6% -16.5 0
1990-05-19 @ Thor Akureyri W 2-0 1120 1131 36.6% 21.3% 42.0% +16.5 3
1990-05-20 KA Akureyri W 1-0 1153 1180 36.7% 21.3% 42.0% +8.8 3
1990-05-20 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-1 1180 1153 42.0% 21.3% 36.7% -8.8 0
1990-05-20 IA Akranes W 1-0 1186 1157 44.6% 21.2% 34.2% +7.4 3
1990-05-20 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 1157 1186 34.2% 21.2% 44.6% -7.4 0
1990-05-24 IA Akranes W 4-0 1212 1150 49.1% 20.9% 30.0% +23.8 6
1990-05-24 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-4 1150 1212 30.0% 20.9% 49.1% -23.8 0
1990-05-24 Thor Akureyri W 2-0 1087 1115 36.5% 21.3% 42.2% +16.5 3
1990-05-24 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-2 1115 1087 42.2% 21.3% 36.5% -16.6 0
1990-05-24 KR Reykjavik L 1-3 1137 1175 35.1% 21.3% 43.7% -12.4 3
1990-05-24 @ Stjarnan W 3-1 1175 1137 43.7% 21.3% 35.1% +12.4 6
1990-05-25 KA Akureyri W 2-0 1194 1171 43.6% 21.3% 35.1% +14.3 6
1990-05-25 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-2 1171 1194 35.1% 21.3% 43.6% -14.3 0
1990-05-25 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-0 1115 1162 33.9% 21.2% 44.9% +17.4 3
1990-05-25 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-2 1162 1115 44.9% 21.2% 33.9% -17.4 3
1990-06-02 Stjarnan W 5-1 1145 1124 43.3% 21.3% 35.4% +22.8 6
1990-06-02 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-5 1124 1145 35.4% 21.3% 43.3% -22.8 3
1990-06-02 KA Akureyri W 2-1 1126 1157 36.0% 21.3% 42.6% +8.4 3
1990-06-02 @ IA Akranes L 1-2 1157 1126 42.6% 21.3% 36.0% -8.4 0
1990-06-02 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-1 1187 1104 51.8% 20.6% 27.5% -10.4 6
1990-06-02 @ KR Reykjavik W 1-0 1104 1187 27.5% 20.6% 51.8% +10.4 6
1990-06-02 Fram Reykjavik D 0-0 1098 1236 23.4% 19.9% 56.7% +1.7 1
1990-06-02 @ Thor Akureyri D 0-0 1236 1098 56.7% 19.9% 23.4% -1.7 7
1990-06-02 Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-1 1208 1133 50.8% 20.7% 28.5% -1.0 7
1990-06-02 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1133 1208 28.5% 20.7% 50.8% +1.0 4
1990-06-05 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-1 1114 1167 33.1% 21.2% 45.7% +8.8 9
1990-06-05 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-2 1167 1114 45.7% 21.2% 33.1% -8.8 6
1990-06-05 Valur Reykjavik W 2-1 1101 1207 26.8% 20.5% 52.7% +10.0 6
1990-06-05 @ Stjarnan L 1-2 1207 1101 52.7% 20.5% 26.8% -10.0 7
1990-06-06 KR Reykjavik L 1-2 1100 1177 30.1% 20.9% 48.9% -6.3 1
1990-06-06 @ Thor Akureyri W 2-1 1177 1100 48.9% 20.9% 30.1% +6.3 9
1990-06-06 IA Akranes D 2-2 1134 1134 40.4% 21.3% 38.3% -0.1 5
1990-06-06 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-2 1134 1134 38.3% 21.3% 40.4% +0.1 4
1990-06-07 KA Akureyri W 4-0 1234 1148 52.1% 20.6% 27.3% +21.9 10
1990-06-07 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-4 1148 1234 27.3% 20.6% 52.1% -21.9 0
1990-06-12 Thor Akureyri L 0-1 1158 1094 49.4% 20.9% 29.7% -10.0 6
1990-06-12 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-0 1094 1158 29.7% 20.9% 49.4% +10.0 4
1990-06-12 Stjarnan D 0-0 1134 1111 43.6% 21.3% 35.1% -0.4 5
1990-06-12 @ IA Akranes D 0-0 1111 1134 35.1% 21.3% 43.6% +0.4 7
1990-06-12 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-0 1126 1133 39.4% 21.4% 39.2% +15.6 3
1990-06-12 @ KA Akureyri L 0-2 1133 1126 39.2% 21.4% 39.4% -15.6 5
1990-06-12 Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1183 1256 30.6% 21.0% 48.4% -6.8 9
1990-06-12 @ KR Reykjavik W 1-0 1256 1183 48.4% 21.0% 30.6% +6.8 13
1990-06-15 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-1 1197 1123 50.6% 20.8% 28.6% +14.8 10
1990-06-15 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-4 1123 1197 28.6% 20.8% 50.6% -14.8 9
1990-06-18 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-1 1263 1118 59.3% 19.4% 21.3% -11.7 13
1990-06-18 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1118 1263 21.3% 19.4% 59.3% +11.7 8
1990-06-19 IA Akranes W 2-1 1108 1134 36.8% 21.3% 41.9% +8.2 12
1990-06-19 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-2 1134 1108 41.9% 21.3% 36.8% -8.2 5
1990-06-19 FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-2 1176 1148 44.4% 21.2% 34.4% +6.7 12
1990-06-19 @ KR Reykjavik L 2-3 1148 1176 34.4% 21.2% 44.4% -6.7 6
1990-06-19 KA Akureyri L 1-3 1112 1142 36.1% 21.3% 42.5% -12.7 7
1990-06-19 @ Stjarnan W 3-1 1142 1112 42.5% 21.3% 36.1% +12.7 6
1990-06-19 Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 1104 1212 26.5% 20.5% 53.0% -5.6 4
1990-06-19 @ Thor Akureyri W 2-1 1212 1104 53.0% 20.5% 26.5% +5.6 13
1990-06-27 Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 1142 1251 26.4% 20.4% 53.2% +10.1 9
1990-06-27 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-2 1251 1142 53.2% 20.4% 26.4% -10.1 13
1990-06-27 Thor Akureyri W 3-1 1126 1098 44.3% 21.2% 34.4% +12.2 8
1990-06-27 @ IA Akranes L 1-3 1098 1126 34.4% 21.2% 44.3% -12.2 4
1990-06-27 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1155 1116 45.8% 21.2% 33.0% -0.6 7
1990-06-27 @ KA Akureyri D 1-1 1116 1155 33.0% 21.2% 45.8% +0.6 13
1990-06-27 KR Reykjavik W 2-1 1217 1183 45.3% 21.2% 33.5% +6.9 16
1990-06-27 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 1183 1217 33.5% 21.2% 45.3% -6.9 12
1990-06-29 Stjarnan W 1-0 1130 1099 44.7% 21.2% 34.1% +7.4 11
1990-06-29 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-1 1099 1130 34.1% 21.2% 44.7% -7.4 7
1990-07-02 Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 1152 1224 30.7% 21.0% 48.4% -6.8 9
1990-07-02 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-0 1224 1152 48.4% 21.0% 30.7% +6.8 19
1990-07-02 Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-2 1117 1137 37.6% 21.3% 41.1% +0.1 14
1990-07-02 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-2 1137 1117 41.1% 21.3% 37.6% -0.1 12
1990-07-02 IA Akranes W 2-0 1176 1138 45.8% 21.2% 33.0% +13.6 15
1990-07-02 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1138 1176 33.0% 21.2% 45.8% -13.6 8
1990-07-02 KA Akureyri W 2-1 1086 1154 31.2% 21.0% 47.8% +9.2 7
1990-07-02 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-2 1154 1086 47.8% 21.0% 31.2% -9.2 7
1990-07-03 Stjarnan L 1-3 1241 1092 59.8% 19.2% 20.9% -19.3 13
1990-07-03 @ Fram Reykjavik W 3-1 1092 1241 20.9% 19.2% 59.8% +19.3 10
1990-07-10 FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-3 1124 1145 37.4% 21.3% 41.2% -7.1 8
1990-07-10 @ IA Akranes W 3-2 1145 1124 41.2% 21.3% 37.4% +7.2 12
1990-07-10 KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1145 1190 34.2% 21.2% 44.6% -7.4 7
1990-07-10 @ KA Akureyri W 1-0 1190 1145 44.6% 21.2% 34.2% +7.4 18
1990-07-10 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1111 1117 39.6% 21.4% 39.1% -0.0 11
1990-07-10 @ Stjarnan D 1-1 1117 1111 39.1% 21.4% 39.6% +0.0 15
1990-07-10 Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 1231 1222 41.7% 21.3% 36.9% -8.2 19
1990-07-10 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-1 1222 1231 36.9% 21.3% 41.7% +8.2 16
1990-07-11 Thor Akureyri D 0-0 1137 1095 46.3% 21.1% 32.6% -0.7 13
1990-07-11 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-0 1095 1137 32.6% 21.1% 46.3% +0.7 8
1990-07-14 Valur Reykjavik L 2-3 1117 1223 26.8% 20.5% 52.7% -5.4 8
1990-07-14 @ IA Akranes W 3-2 1223 1117 52.7% 20.5% 26.8% +5.4 22
1990-07-15 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1136 1197 32.1% 21.1% 46.8% +0.6 14
1990-07-15 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-1 1197 1136 46.8% 21.1% 32.1% -0.6 19
1990-07-16 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 3-4 1230 1117 55.5% 20.1% 24.4% -9.7 16
1990-07-16 @ Fram Reykjavik W 4-3 1117 1230 24.4% 20.1% 55.5% +9.7 18
1990-07-16 FH Hafnarfjordur W 4-0 1138 1152 38.3% 21.3% 40.3% +30.3 10
1990-07-16 @ KA Akureyri L 0-4 1152 1138 40.3% 21.3% 38.3% -30.3 12
1990-07-16 Thor Akureyri W 3-0 1111 1096 42.6% 21.3% 36.1% +21.2 14
1990-07-16 @ Stjarnan L 0-3 1096 1111 36.1% 21.3% 42.6% -21.2 8
1990-07-22 Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-1 1122 1137 38.3% 21.3% 40.4% +0.1 13
1990-07-22 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-1 1137 1122 40.4% 21.3% 38.3% -0.1 15
1990-07-22 Fram Reykjavik L 0-2 1112 1220 26.5% 20.5% 53.1% -11.2 8
1990-07-22 @ IA Akranes W 2-0 1220 1112 53.1% 20.5% 26.5% +11.2 19
1990-07-22 Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 1168 1228 32.2% 21.1% 46.7% -7.1 10
1990-07-22 @ KA Akureyri W 1-0 1228 1168 46.7% 21.1% 32.2% +7.1 25
1990-07-23 Stjarnan W 1-0 1196 1132 49.3% 20.9% 29.8% +6.6 22
1990-07-23 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1132 1196 29.8% 20.9% 49.3% -6.6 14
1990-07-26 Thor Akureyri W 1-0 1232 1074 60.7% 19.0% 20.2% +4.6 22
1990-07-26 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1074 1232 20.2% 19.0% 60.7% -4.6 8
1990-07-26 KR Reykjavik D 2-2 1127 1203 30.2% 20.9% 48.9% +0.6 19
1990-07-26 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-2 1203 1127 48.9% 20.9% 30.2% -0.6 23
1990-07-26 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-1 1126 1122 40.9% 21.3% 37.7% -8.6 14
1990-07-26 @ Stjarnan W 1-0 1122 1126 37.7% 21.3% 40.9% +8.6 16
1990-07-27 IA Akranes W 2-1 1161 1100 48.8% 20.9% 30.2% +6.3 13
1990-07-27 @ KA Akureyri L 1-2 1100 1161 30.2% 20.9% 48.8% -6.3 8
1990-07-27 Valur Reykjavik D 2-2 1137 1235 27.6% 20.6% 51.8% +0.8 16
1990-07-27 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-2 1235 1137 51.8% 20.6% 27.6% -0.8 26
1990-07-30 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-1 1070 1127 32.5% 21.1% 46.4% -7.1 8
1990-07-30 @ Thor Akureyri W 1-0 1127 1070 46.4% 21.1% 32.5% +7.1 22
1990-08-09 Thor Akureyri W 2-0 1202 1063 58.7% 19.5% 21.8% +9.4 26
1990-08-09 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1063 1202 21.8% 19.5% 58.7% -9.4 8
1990-08-10 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-2 1094 1138 34.4% 21.2% 44.4% -14.0 8
1990-08-10 @ IA Akranes W 2-0 1138 1094 44.4% 21.2% 34.4% +14.0 19
1990-08-11 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-2 1131 1135 39.9% 21.4% 38.8% -7.9 16
1990-08-11 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-1 1135 1131 38.8% 21.4% 39.9% +7.9 25
1990-08-12 Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1167 1236 31.1% 21.0% 47.9% -6.9 13
1990-08-12 @ KA Akureyri W 1-0 1236 1167 47.9% 21.0% 31.1% +6.9 25
1990-08-12 Stjarnan L 0-1 1234 1117 56.1% 20.0% 23.9% -11.2 26
1990-08-12 @ Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 1117 1234 23.9% 20.0% 56.1% +11.2 17
1990-08-15 KA Akureyri L 0-1 1152 1160 39.2% 21.4% 39.5% -8.3 19
1990-08-15 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 1160 1152 39.5% 21.4% 39.2% +8.3 16
1990-08-16 KR Reykjavik W 3-0 1243 1212 44.8% 21.2% 33.9% +20.2 28
1990-08-16 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-3 1212 1243 33.9% 21.2% 44.8% -20.2 26
1990-08-16 Valur Reykjavik L 2-4 1142 1223 29.6% 20.9% 49.5% -9.6 25
1990-08-16 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-2 1223 1142 49.5% 20.9% 29.6% +9.6 29
1990-08-16 IA Akranes W 2-0 1128 1080 47.2% 21.1% 31.7% +13.2 20
1990-08-16 @ Stjarnan L 0-2 1080 1128 31.7% 21.1% 47.2% -13.2 8
1990-08-17 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-2 1053 1123 31.0% 21.0% 47.9% -6.5 8
1990-08-17 @ Thor Akureyri W 2-1 1123 1053 47.9% 21.0% 31.0% +6.5 19
1990-08-20 KR Reykjavik L 1-3 1129 1192 31.9% 21.1% 47.0% -11.4 19
1990-08-20 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-1 1192 1129 47.0% 21.1% 31.9% +11.4 29
1990-08-20 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 3-4 1067 1133 31.4% 21.1% 47.5% -6.0 8
1990-08-20 @ IA Akranes W 4-3 1133 1067 47.5% 21.1% 31.4% +6.1 28
1990-08-20 Stjarnan L 0-3 1169 1141 44.3% 21.2% 34.5% -25.0 16
1990-08-20 @ KA Akureyri W 3-0 1141 1169 34.5% 21.2% 44.3% +25.0 23
1990-08-20 Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1143 1263 25.3% 20.2% 54.5% -5.7 19
1990-08-20 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 1263 1143 54.5% 20.2% 25.3% +5.7 31
1990-08-21 Thor Akureyri D 0-0 1233 1047 63.9% 18.2% 17.9% -2.4 30
1990-08-21 @ Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 1047 1233 17.9% 18.2% 63.9% +2.4 9
1990-08-31 Valur Reykjavik W 3-0 1203 1230 36.5% 21.3% 42.1% +24.0 32
1990-08-31 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-3 1230 1203 42.1% 21.3% 36.5% -24.0 30
1990-09-01 FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-2 1269 1118 60.1% 19.2% 20.8% -1.4 32
1990-09-01 @ Fram Reykjavik D 2-2 1118 1269 20.8% 19.2% 60.1% +1.4 20
1990-09-01 Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 1166 1138 44.5% 21.2% 34.3% +7.4 26
1990-09-01 @ Stjarnan L 0-1 1138 1166 34.3% 21.2% 44.5% -7.4 19
1990-09-01 IA Akranes L 0-1 1049 1061 38.8% 21.4% 39.9% -8.2 9
1990-09-01 @ Thor Akureyri W 1-0 1061 1049 39.9% 21.4% 38.8% +8.2 11
1990-09-02 KA Akureyri W 4-2 1139 1144 39.8% 21.4% 38.9% +12.0 31
1990-09-02 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 2-4 1144 1139 38.9% 21.4% 39.8% -12.0 16
1990-09-08 KR Reykjavik L 1-3 1069 1227 21.5% 19.4% 59.1% -8.0 11
1990-09-08 @ IA Akranes W 3-1 1227 1069 59.1% 19.4% 21.5% +8.0 35
1990-09-08 Thor Akureyri L 1-2 1132 1041 52.7% 20.5% 26.8% -10.0 16
1990-09-08 @ KA Akureyri W 2-1 1041 1132 26.8% 20.5% 52.7% +10.0 12
1990-09-08 Fram Reykjavik L 1-6 1174 1268 28.1% 20.7% 51.2% -23.0 26
1990-09-08 @ Stjarnan W 6-1 1268 1174 51.2% 20.7% 28.1% +23.0 35
1990-09-08 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-0 1206 1119 52.3% 20.6% 27.1% +11.5 33
1990-09-08 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-2 1119 1206 27.1% 20.6% 52.3% -11.5 20
1990-09-08 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-4 1130 1151 37.5% 21.3% 41.2% -28.6 19
1990-09-08 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 4-0 1151 1130 41.2% 21.3% 37.5% +28.6 34
1990-09-15 IA Akranes W 2-1 1108 1061 47.0% 21.1% 31.9% +6.6 23
1990-09-15 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-2 1061 1108 31.9% 21.1% 47.0% -6.6 11
1990-09-15 Valur Reykjavik W 3-2 1291 1218 50.4% 20.8% 28.8% +5.7 38
1990-09-15 @ Fram Reykjavik L 2-3 1218 1291 28.8% 20.8% 50.4% -5.7 33
1990-09-15 Stjarnan W 4-3 1180 1151 44.5% 21.2% 34.3% +6.5 37
1990-09-15 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 3-4 1151 1180 34.3% 21.2% 44.5% -6.5 26
1990-09-15 KA Akureyri W 2-0 1235 1122 55.6% 20.1% 24.3% +10.4 38
1990-09-15 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1122 1235 24.3% 20.1% 55.6% -10.4 16
1990-09-15 Vikingur Reykjavik W 4-1 1051 1102 33.4% 21.2% 45.4% +21.5 15
1990-09-15 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-4 1102 1051 45.4% 21.2% 33.4% -21.5 19

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1990-07-03 20.93% Stjarnan 1092 3 @ Fram Reykjavik 1241 1
2 1990-06-18 21.31% Vikingur Reykjavik 1118 1 @ Fram Reykjavik 1263 0
3 1990-08-12 23.94% Stjarnan 1117 1 @ Valur Reykjavik 1234 0
4 1990-07-16 24.39% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1117 4 @ Fram Reykjavik 1230 3
5 1990-06-27 26.39% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1142 2 Fram Reykjavik 1251 1
6 1990-09-08 26.76% Thor Akureyri 1041 2 @ KA Akureyri 1132 1
7 1990-06-05 26.81% @ Stjarnan 1101 2 Valur Reykjavik 1207 1
8 1990-06-02 27.54% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1104 1 @ KR Reykjavik 1187 0
9 1990-06-12 29.70% Thor Akureyri 1094 1 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1158 0
10 1990-07-02 31.16% @ Thor Akureyri 1086 2 KA Akureyri 1154 1
11 1990-06-05 33.08% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1114 2 FH Hafnarfjordur 1167 1
12 1990-09-15 33.43% @ Thor Akureyri 1051 4 Vikingur Reykjavik 1102 1
13 1990-05-25 33.91% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1115 2 FH Hafnarfjordur 1162 0
14 1990-08-20 34.48% Stjarnan 1141 3 @ KA Akureyri 1169 0
15 1990-06-02 36.05% @ IA Akranes 1126 2 KA Akureyri 1157 1
16 1990-05-24 36.52% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1087 2 Thor Akureyri 1115 0
17 1990-08-31 36.55% @ KR Reykjavik 1203 3 Valur Reykjavik 1230 0
18 1990-05-19 36.65% Stjarnan 1120 2 @ Thor Akureyri 1131 0
19 1990-05-20 36.67% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1153 1 KA Akureyri 1180 0
20 1990-06-19 36.81% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1108 2 IA Akranes 1134 1
21 1990-07-10 36.93% Fram Reykjavik 1222 2 @ Valur Reykjavik 1231 1
22 1990-07-26 37.70% FH Hafnarfjordur 1122 1 @ Stjarnan 1126 0
23 1990-07-16 38.33% @ KA Akureyri 1138 4 FH Hafnarfjordur 1152 0
24 1990-08-11 38.78% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1135 2 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1131 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1990-07-16 30.30 @ KA Akureyri 4 1138 38.33% FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1152 40.31%
2 1990-09-08 28.60 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 1151 41.19% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1130 37.47%
3 1990-08-20 25.02 Stjarnan 3 1141 34.48% @ KA Akureyri 0 1169 44.27%
4 1990-08-31 24.03 @ KR Reykjavik 3 1203 36.55% Valur Reykjavik 0 1230 42.13%
5 1990-05-19 23.84 Fram Reykjavik 4 1188 49.02% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1111 30.06%
6 1990-05-24 23.78 @ Fram Reykjavik 4 1212 49.11% IA Akranes 0 1150 29.97%
7 1990-09-08 22.97 Fram Reykjavik 6 1268 51.17% @ Stjarnan 1 1174 28.13%
8 1990-06-02 22.76 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 5 1145 43.32% Stjarnan 1 1124 35.39%
9 1990-06-07 21.90 @ Fram Reykjavik 4 1234 52.15% KA Akureyri 0 1148 27.27%
10 1990-09-15 21.53 @ Thor Akureyri 4 1051 33.43% Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1102 45.38%
11 1990-07-16 21.23 @ Stjarnan 3 1111 42.62% Thor Akureyri 0 1096 36.07%
12 1990-08-16 20.20 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1243 44.84% KR Reykjavik 0 1212 33.94%
13 1990-07-03 19.31 Stjarnan 3 1092 20.93% @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1241 59.83%
14 1990-05-25 17.41 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1115 33.91% FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1162 44.87%
15 1990-05-24 16.56 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1087 36.52% Thor Akureyri 0 1115 42.16%
16 1990-05-19 16.51 Stjarnan 2 1120 36.65% @ Thor Akureyri 0 1131 42.02%
17 1990-06-12 15.63 @ KA Akureyri 2 1126 39.42% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1133 39.22%
18 1990-06-15 14.75 @ Valur Reykjavik 4 1197 50.61% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1123 28.63%
19 1990-05-25 14.30 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 1194 43.64% KA Akureyri 0 1171 35.09%
20 1990-08-10 14.05 Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1138 44.40% @ IA Akranes 0 1094 34.36%
21 1990-07-02 13.59 @ KR Reykjavik 2 1176 45.83% IA Akranes 0 1138 33.01%
22 1990-08-16 13.16 @ Stjarnan 2 1128 47.18% IA Akranes 0 1080 31.74%
23 1990-06-19 12.68 KA Akureyri 3 1142 42.54% @ Stjarnan 1 1112 36.15%
24 1990-05-24 12.37 KR Reykjavik 3 1175 43.66% @ Stjarnan 1 1137 35.06%
25 1990-06-27 12.19 @ IA Akranes 3 1126 44.32% Thor Akureyri 1 1098 34.43%