2000 Úrvalsdeild Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

KR Reykjavik

37 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Fylkir Reykjavik

8.25 points above expected

35 points · 26.75 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Fram Reykjavik

4.55 points below expected

17 points · 21.55 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 KR Reykjavik 18 11 4 3 37 27 14 +13 34.2 +2.79
2 Fylkir Reykjavik 18 10 5 3 35 39 16 +23 26.8 +8.25
3 Grindavik 18 8 6 4 30 25 18 +7 23.0 +6.96
4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 18 8 5 5 29 29 17 +12 32.5 -3.51
5 IA Akranes 18 7 5 6 26 21 17 +4 26.2 -0.24
6 Keflavik IF 18 4 7 7 19 21 35 -14 21.1 -2.09
7 Breidablik 18 5 3 10 18 29 35 -6 20.7 -2.71
8 Fram Reykjavik 18 4 5 9 17 22 33 -11 21.6 -4.55
9 Stjarnan 18 4 5 9 17 18 31 -13 18.6 -1.64
10 IF Leiftur 18 3 7 8 16 24 39 -15 20.4 -4.37

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
KR Reykjavik 1525 37 34.21 +2.79 73.0% 14 26 31 34 38 43 52
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1469 29 32.51 -3.51 27.6% 13 24 29 32 36 41 51
Fylkir Reykjavik 1454 35 26.75 +8.25 95.2% 9 18 23 27 30 35 46
IA Akranes 1407 26 26.24 -0.24 52.1% 8 18 23 26 30 35 46
Grindavik 1373 30 23.04 +6.96 92.3% 6 15 20 23 26 32 43
Breidablik 1316 18 20.71 -2.71 34.5% 3 13 17 21 24 29 39
Fram Reykjavik 1293 17 21.55 -4.55 22.2% 5 13 18 21 25 30 42
IF Leiftur 1287 16 20.37 -4.37 22.4% 4 12 17 20 24 29 40
Keflavik IF 1276 19 21.09 -2.09 38.5% 4 13 18 21 24 30 41
Stjarnan 1272 17 18.64 -1.64 42.7% 4 11 15 18 22 27 39

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRE FR FR GRI IA IV IL KR KI STJ
Breidablik
1-1-0
2.66
0-1-1
2.15
0-0-2
2.46
0-0-2
2.12
1-0-1
1.52
2-0-0
2.59
0-0-2
1.50
1-0-1
2.66
0-1-1
3.02
Fram Reykjavik
0-1-1
2.71
0-0-2
2.10
1-0-1
2.58
0-1-1
2.14
0-1-1
1.75
1-0-1
2.83
1-0-1
1.58
0-2-0
2.69
1-0-1
3.09
Fylkir Reykjavik
1-1-0
3.24
2-0-0
3.36
1-0-1
3.20
2-0-0
2.83
0-1-1
2.13
1-1-0
2.99
0-1-1
2.03
1-1-0
3.42
2-0-0
3.51
Grindavik
2-0-0
2.94
1-0-1
2.79
1-0-1
2.18
1-0-1
2.38
2-0-0
1.88
0-2-0
3.09
0-1-1
1.71
0-2-0
2.88
1-1-0
3.18
IA Akranes
2-0-0
3.30
1-1-0
3.28
0-0-2
2.58
1-0-1
3.01
0-1-1
2.02
1-1-0
3.12
0-0-2
2.05
1-1-0
3.35
1-1-0
3.62
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1-0-1
4.02
1-1-0
3.72
1-1-0
3.33
0-0-2
3.58
1-1-0
3.41
1-1-0
4.07
0-1-1
2.46
2-0-0
3.80
1-0-1
4.17
IF Leiftur
0-0-2
2.83
1-0-1
2.55
0-1-1
2.38
0-2-0
2.34
0-1-1
2.27
0-1-1
1.48
0-1-1
1.37
2-0-0
2.64
0-1-1
2.65
KR Reykjavik
2-0-0
4.04
1-0-1
3.97
1-1-0
3.38
1-1-0
3.79
2-0-0
3.38
1-1-0
2.93
1-1-0
4.23
0-0-2
4.09
2-0-0
4.37
Keflavik IF
1-0-1
2.72
0-2-0
2.69
0-1-1
2.05
0-2-0
2.53
0-1-1
2.10
0-0-2
1.69
0-0-2
2.77
2-0-0
1.47
1-1-0
3.02
Stjarnan
1-1-0
2.38
1-0-1
2.32
0-0-2
1.98
0-1-1
2.27
0-1-1
1.85
1-0-1
1.40
1-1-0
2.74
0-0-2
1.27
0-1-1
2.39

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.56%3.89%1.67%0.56%1.67%28.33%
110.56%8.89%8.33%1.67%1.67%1.67%32.78%
23.89%8.33%6.67%1.67%0.56%1.11%22.22%
31.67%1.67%1.67%3.33%0.56%8.89%
40.56%1.67%0.56%0.56%3.33%
5+1.67%1.67%1.11%4.44%
Total28.33%32.78%22.22%8.89%3.33%4.44%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.42
Mean allowed1.42
StdDev scored1.39
StdDev allowed1.39
Mean total goals/game2.83
Correlation (home vs away score)0.069
Sample size (games)90
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%27.78%
15.56%5.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%33.33%
25.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
4
5+5.56%5.56%11.11%
Total22.22%22.22%16.67%22.22%11.11%5.56%100%

Breidablik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.61
Mean allowed1.94
StdDev scored1.72
StdDev allowed1.55
Mean total goals/game3.56
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.075
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%5.56%27.78%
111.11%16.67%5.56%5.56%38.89%
211.11%5.56%16.67%
311.11%5.56%16.67%
4
5+
Total5.56%50.00%22.22%11.11%5.56%5.56%100%

Fram Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.22
Mean allowed1.83
StdDev scored1.06
StdDev allowed1.42
Mean total goals/game3.06
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.026
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%
116.67%16.67%11.11%44.44%
25.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%27.78%
3
45.56%5.56%
5+5.56%11.11%16.67%
Total38.89%38.89%16.67%5.56%100%

Fylkir Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.17
Mean allowed0.89
StdDev scored1.86
StdDev allowed0.90
Mean total goals/game3.06
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.059
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%5.56%5.56%27.78%
111.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%27.78%
25.56%11.11%11.11%27.78%
311.11%11.11%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total44.44%22.22%22.22%11.11%100%

Grindavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.39
Mean allowed1.00
StdDev scored1.20
StdDev allowed1.08
Mean total goals/game2.39
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.227
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%22.22%5.56%38.89%
116.67%5.56%22.22%
25.56%5.56%16.67%27.78%
35.56%5.56%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total33.33%38.89%27.78%100%

IA Akranes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.17
Mean allowed0.94
StdDev scored1.20
StdDev allowed0.80
Mean total goals/game2.11
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.193
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%11.11%33.33%
111.11%11.11%5.56%27.78%
25.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
35.56%5.56%
45.56%5.56%
5+5.56%5.56%11.11%
Total33.33%38.89%27.78%100%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.61
Mean allowed0.94
StdDev scored1.82
StdDev allowed0.80
Mean total goals/game2.56
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.056
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%16.67%5.56%38.89%
15.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%22.22%
25.56%11.11%5.56%22.22%
35.56%5.56%
45.56%5.56%
5+5.56%5.56%
Total16.67%27.78%27.78%11.11%16.67%100%

IF Leiftur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.33
Mean allowed2.17
StdDev scored1.50
StdDev allowed2.01
Mean total goals/game3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.196
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%11.11%
127.78%16.67%5.56%50.00%
25.56%11.11%5.56%22.22%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total44.44%38.89%11.11%5.56%100%

KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.50
Mean allowed0.78
StdDev scored1.04
StdDev allowed0.88
Mean total goals/game2.28
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.257
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%27.78%
116.67%11.11%11.11%38.89%
211.11%5.56%5.56%22.22%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
4
5+
Total27.78%11.11%33.33%5.56%11.11%11.11%100%

Keflavik IF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.17
Mean allowed1.94
StdDev scored0.99
StdDev allowed1.70
Mean total goals/game3.11
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.217
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%16.67%11.11%5.56%44.44%
15.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%22.22%
25.56%16.67%22.22%
311.11%11.11%
4
5+
Total16.67%38.89%16.67%16.67%5.56%5.56%100%

Stjarnan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.00
Mean allowed1.72
StdDev scored1.08
StdDev allowed1.41
Mean total goals/game2.72
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.193
Games played18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fylkir Reykjavik 35 26.8 +8.25
2 Grindavik 30 23.0 +6.96
3 KR Reykjavik 37 34.2 +2.79
4 IA Akranes 26 26.2 -0.24
5 Stjarnan 17 18.6 -1.64

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fram Reykjavik 17 21.6 -4.55
2 IF Leiftur 16 20.4 -4.37
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 29 32.5 -3.51
4 Breidablik 18 20.7 -2.71
5 Keflavik IF 19 21.1 -2.09

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fylkir Reykjavik 3 May 28 – Jun 6 1 in 19
2 Keflavik IF 2 May 18 – May 21 1 in 16
3 IF Leiftur 2 Sep 10 – Sep 16 1 in 11
4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 Jul 30 – Aug 28 1 in 10
5 KR Reykjavik 3 May 27 – Jun 6 1 in 8

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Stjarnan 5 May 22 – Jun 10 1 in 68
2 Keflavik IF 3 Jun 26 – Jul 20 1 in 16
3 Fram Reykjavik 3 Jul 30 – Aug 9 1 in 14
4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 Sep 10 – Sep 16 1 in 12
5 Breidablik 3 Jun 1 – Jun 10 1 in 8

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fylkir Reykjavik 9 May 19 – Jul 10 1 in 66
2 Stjarnan 6 Aug 3 – Sep 10 1 in 36
3 Grindavik 7 May 16 – Jun 22 1 in 35
4 Fram Reykjavik 3 Jun 12 – Jun 29 1 in 10
5 Keflavik IF 3 May 18 – May 29 1 in 6

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 Jun 5 – Jul 10 1 in 30
2 KR Reykjavik 4 Jun 10 – Jun 29 1 in 23
3 IF Leiftur 8 May 18 – Jul 16 1 in 16
4 Fram Reykjavik 7 Jul 30 – Sep 16 1 in 15
5 Keflavik IF 7 Jul 30 – Sep 16 1 in 11

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
KR Reykjavik49.68%26.42%11.78%6.18%3.13%1.58%0.63%0.39%0.17%0.04%
Fylkir Reykjavik7.83%15.06%19.99%17.40%12.84%9.49%7.23%5.16%3.26%1.74%
Grindavik1.70%4.74%10.28%13.05%14.63%14.96%13.81%10.79%9.22%6.82%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar32.57%32.34%16.97%8.36%4.96%2.30%1.39%0.69%0.34%0.08%
IA Akranes5.40%11.90%17.46%18.10%15.12%11.64%8.15%6.30%3.99%1.94%
Keflavik IF0.58%2.19%5.52%8.24%10.74%12.41%14.74%15.62%15.69%14.27%
Breidablik0.65%2.21%5.09%8.12%10.60%12.64%13.86%15.74%15.87%15.22%
Fram Reykjavik0.91%2.84%6.15%9.06%12.01%13.63%14.15%14.69%14.20%12.36%
Stjarnan0.23%0.81%2.55%4.45%6.26%9.36%11.59%15.12%20.09%29.54%
IF Leiftur0.45%1.49%4.21%7.04%9.71%11.99%14.45%15.50%17.17%17.99%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
KR Reykjavik 99.8% 0.2%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 99.6% 0.4%
Fylkir Reykjavik 95.0% 5.0%
IA Akranes 94.1% 5.9%
Grindavik 84.0% 16.0%
Fram Reykjavik 73.4% 26.6%
Keflavik IF 70.0% 30.0%
Breidablik 68.9% 31.1%
IF Leiftur 64.8% 35.2%
Stjarnan 50.4% 49.6%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2000-05-16 Grindavik D 0-0 1292 1323 39.3% 31.7% 29.0% -0.5 1
2000-05-16 @ Stjarnan D 0-0 1323 1292 29.0% 31.7% 39.3% +0.5 1
2000-05-18 KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1341 1496 23.7% 29.6% 46.7% -5.8 0
2000-05-18 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1496 1341 46.7% 29.6% 23.7% +5.8 3
2000-05-18 IF Leiftur W 1-0 1392 1359 48.3% 29.0% 22.7% +5.5 3
2000-05-18 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 1359 1392 22.7% 29.0% 48.3% -5.5 0
2000-05-18 Breidablik W 1-0 1323 1321 43.9% 30.6% 25.5% +6.2 3
2000-05-18 @ Keflavik IF L 0-1 1321 1323 25.5% 30.6% 43.9% -6.2 0
2000-05-19 Fylkir Reykjavik D 2-2 1474 1350 61.4% 21.9% 16.7% -1.5 1
2000-05-19 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-2 1350 1474 16.7% 21.9% 61.4% +1.5 1
2000-05-21 Fram Reykjavik W 3-0 1323 1335 42.0% 31.1% 26.9% +17.7 4
2000-05-21 @ Grindavik L 0-3 1335 1323 26.9% 31.1% 42.0% -17.7 0
2000-05-21 Keflavik IF L 2-3 1502 1329 67.9% 17.7% 14.4% -11.0 3
2000-05-21 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-2 1329 1502 14.4% 17.7% 67.9% +11.0 6
2000-05-22 IA Akranes L 0-1 1315 1397 31.9% 32.0% 36.1% -7.3 0
2000-05-22 @ Breidablik W 1-0 1397 1315 36.1% 32.0% 31.9% +7.3 6
2000-05-22 IF Leiftur D 1-1 1351 1354 43.3% 30.8% 26.0% -0.7 2
2000-05-22 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-1 1354 1351 26.0% 30.8% 43.3% +0.7 1
2000-05-22 Stjarnan W 2-0 1473 1292 69.0% 17.0% 14.0% +5.6 4
2000-05-22 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-2 1292 1473 14.0% 17.0% 69.0% -5.6 1
2000-05-27 KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1405 1491 31.3% 32.0% 36.7% -13.7 6
2000-05-27 @ IA Akranes W 2-0 1491 1405 36.7% 32.0% 31.3% +13.7 6
2000-05-28 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1317 1479 23.1% 29.3% 47.6% +1.1 1
2000-05-28 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1479 1317 47.6% 29.3% 23.1% -1.0 5
2000-05-28 Breidablik L 2-6 1354 1308 50.4% 28.1% 21.5% -25.6 1
2000-05-28 @ IF Leiftur W 6-2 1308 1354 21.5% 28.1% 50.4% +25.6 3
2000-05-28 Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-1 1286 1350 34.4% 32.1% 33.5% -7.8 1
2000-05-28 @ Stjarnan W 1-0 1350 1286 33.5% 32.1% 34.4% +7.8 5
2000-05-29 Grindavik D 2-2 1340 1341 43.6% 30.7% 25.7% -0.6 7
2000-05-29 @ Keflavik IF D 2-2 1341 1340 25.7% 30.7% 43.6% +0.6 5
2000-05-31 IF Leiftur W 1-0 1505 1329 68.3% 17.5% 14.3% +3.0 9
2000-05-31 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1329 1505 14.3% 17.5% 68.3% -3.0 1
2000-06-01 Breidablik W 5-0 1358 1333 47.2% 29.4% 23.3% +25.1 8
2000-06-01 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-5 1333 1358 23.3% 29.4% 47.2% -25.1 3
2000-06-01 IA Akranes W 1-0 1341 1391 36.5% 32.0% 31.5% +7.3 8
2000-06-01 @ Grindavik L 0-1 1391 1341 31.5% 32.0% 36.5% -7.3 6
2000-06-01 Keflavik IF W 5-0 1478 1340 63.2% 20.8% 16.0% +15.9 8
2000-06-01 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-5 1340 1478 16.0% 20.8% 63.2% -15.9 7
2000-06-01 Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 1279 1318 37.9% 31.9% 30.2% -7.8 1
2000-06-01 @ Stjarnan W 2-1 1318 1279 30.2% 31.9% 37.9% +7.8 4
2000-06-05 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-0 1384 1493 28.4% 31.5% 40.1% +0.5 7
2000-06-05 @ IA Akranes D 0-0 1493 1384 40.1% 31.5% 28.4% -0.5 9
2000-06-06 KR Reykjavik L 1-2 1308 1508 20.2% 26.8% 53.0% -4.6 3
2000-06-06 @ Breidablik W 2-1 1508 1308 53.0% 26.8% 20.2% +4.6 12
2000-06-06 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-2 1326 1383 35.4% 32.1% 32.5% -7.5 4
2000-06-06 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 1383 1326 32.5% 32.1% 35.4% +7.5 11
2000-06-06 Grindavik D 0-0 1326 1349 40.4% 31.5% 28.2% -0.6 2
2000-06-06 @ IF Leiftur D 0-0 1349 1326 28.2% 31.5% 40.4% +0.6 9
2000-06-06 Stjarnan W 1-0 1324 1271 51.3% 27.7% 21.1% +5.1 10
2000-06-06 @ Keflavik IF L 0-1 1271 1324 21.1% 27.7% 51.3% -5.1 1
2000-06-10 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1391 1512 27.0% 31.2% 41.8% +0.6 12
2000-06-10 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-1 1512 1391 41.8% 31.2% 27.0% -0.6 13
2000-06-10 Breidablik W 3-0 1349 1304 50.2% 28.2% 21.6% +14.4 12
2000-06-10 @ Grindavik L 0-3 1304 1349 21.6% 28.2% 50.2% -14.4 3
2000-06-10 IF Leiftur D 0-0 1493 1325 67.2% 18.2% 14.6% -2.6 10
2000-06-10 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-0 1325 1493 14.6% 18.2% 67.2% +2.6 3
2000-06-10 IA Akranes L 0-1 1266 1384 27.4% 31.3% 41.4% -6.5 1
2000-06-10 @ Stjarnan W 1-0 1384 1266 41.4% 31.3% 27.4% +6.5 10
2000-06-12 Keflavik IF D 0-0 1319 1329 42.2% 31.1% 26.8% -0.7 5
2000-06-12 @ Fram Reykjavik D 0-0 1329 1319 26.8% 31.1% 42.2% +0.7 11
2000-06-22 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-0 1289 1490 20.1% 26.7% 53.2% +19.8 6
2000-06-22 @ Breidablik L 0-2 1490 1289 53.2% 26.7% 20.1% -19.8 10
2000-06-22 Fram Reykjavik D 2-2 1391 1318 54.1% 26.2% 19.7% -1.1 11
2000-06-22 @ IA Akranes D 2-2 1318 1391 19.7% 26.2% 54.1% +1.1 6
2000-06-22 Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-1 1330 1391 34.8% 32.1% 33.1% -0.1 12
2000-06-22 @ Keflavik IF D 1-1 1391 1330 33.1% 32.1% 34.8% +0.1 13
2000-06-22 Grindavik D 1-1 1512 1364 64.5% 19.9% 15.5% -2.2 14
2000-06-22 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1364 1512 15.5% 19.9% 64.5% +2.2 13
2000-06-25 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1471 1509 38.0% 31.9% 30.1% -0.3 11
2000-06-25 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1509 1471 30.1% 31.9% 38.0% +0.3 15
2000-06-26 IA Akranes L 0-2 1330 1390 35.0% 32.1% 32.9% -14.8 12
2000-06-26 @ Keflavik IF W 2-0 1390 1330 32.9% 32.1% 35.0% +14.8 14
2000-06-26 Breidablik W 2-1 1259 1309 36.4% 32.0% 31.5% +6.9 4
2000-06-26 @ Stjarnan L 1-2 1309 1259 31.5% 32.0% 36.4% -6.9 6
2000-06-27 Grindavik W 2-0 1391 1366 47.3% 29.4% 23.3% +10.7 16
2000-06-27 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-2 1366 1391 23.3% 29.4% 47.3% -10.7 13
2000-06-29 Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 1510 1319 70.2% 16.1% 13.6% -11.8 15
2000-06-29 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-1 1319 1510 13.6% 16.1% 70.2% +11.8 9
2000-07-08 Stjarnan W 3-0 1498 1266 75.4% 12.7% 11.9% +6.4 18
2000-07-08 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-3 1266 1498 11.9% 12.7% 75.4% -6.4 4
2000-07-10 Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1302 1331 39.5% 31.6% 28.9% +6.8 9
2000-07-10 @ Breidablik L 0-1 1331 1302 28.9% 31.6% 39.5% -6.8 9
2000-07-10 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1355 1470 27.8% 31.4% 40.9% +8.7 16
2000-07-10 @ Grindavik L 0-1 1470 1355 40.9% 31.4% 27.8% -8.7 11
2000-07-10 Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-1 1404 1402 44.0% 30.6% 25.4% -9.2 14
2000-07-10 @ IA Akranes W 1-0 1402 1404 25.4% 30.6% 44.0% +9.2 19
2000-07-13 IF Leiftur W 3-1 1324 1328 43.1% 30.8% 26.1% +10.3 12
2000-07-13 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-3 1328 1324 26.1% 30.8% 43.1% -10.3 3
2000-07-16 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 2-3 1411 1461 36.4% 32.0% 31.6% -7.2 19
2000-07-16 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-2 1461 1411 31.6% 32.0% 36.4% +7.2 14
2000-07-16 IA Akranes D 2-2 1318 1395 32.5% 32.1% 35.4% +0.1 4
2000-07-16 @ IF Leiftur D 2-2 1395 1318 35.4% 32.1% 32.5% -0.1 15
2000-07-17 Keflavik IF W 2-1 1309 1315 42.8% 30.9% 26.3% +6.0 12
2000-07-17 @ Breidablik L 1-2 1315 1309 26.3% 30.9% 42.8% -6.0 12
2000-07-17 Stjarnan W 2-0 1364 1260 58.5% 23.7% 17.8% +7.9 19
2000-07-17 @ Grindavik L 0-2 1260 1364 17.8% 23.7% 58.5% -7.9 4
2000-07-20 Keflavik IF W 4-2 1318 1309 44.9% 30.3% 24.8% +8.8 7
2000-07-20 @ IF Leiftur L 2-4 1309 1318 24.8% 30.3% 44.9% -8.8 12
2000-07-22 IA Akranes W 1-0 1469 1395 54.2% 26.2% 19.6% +4.7 17
2000-07-22 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-1 1395 1469 19.6% 26.2% 54.2% -4.7 15
2000-07-23 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-7 1327 1404 32.5% 32.1% 35.4% -32.2 7
2000-07-23 @ IF Leiftur W 7-1 1404 1327 35.4% 32.1% 32.5% +32.2 22
2000-07-23 KR Reykjavik W 1-0 1300 1504 19.9% 26.5% 53.7% +10.6 15
2000-07-23 @ Keflavik IF L 0-1 1504 1300 53.7% 26.5% 19.9% -10.6 18
2000-07-23 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-0 1252 1473 18.8% 25.1% 56.1% +20.5 7
2000-07-23 @ Stjarnan L 0-2 1473 1252 56.1% 25.1% 18.8% -20.5 17
2000-07-24 Grindavik W 3-1 1334 1372 38.2% 31.8% 29.9% +11.5 15
2000-07-24 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-3 1372 1334 29.9% 31.8% 38.2% -11.5 19
2000-07-25 Breidablik W 3-1 1390 1315 54.5% 26.0% 19.5% +7.7 18
2000-07-25 @ IA Akranes L 1-3 1315 1390 19.5% 26.0% 54.5% -7.7 12
2000-07-30 IF Leiftur W 5-0 1307 1294 45.5% 30.1% 24.4% +26.2 15
2000-07-30 @ Breidablik L 0-5 1294 1307 24.4% 30.1% 45.5% -26.2 7
2000-07-30 Keflavik IF D 0-0 1360 1311 50.8% 27.9% 21.3% -1.4 20
2000-07-30 @ Grindavik D 0-0 1311 1360 21.3% 27.9% 50.8% +1.4 16
2000-07-30 Fram Reykjavik W 6-1 1453 1346 58.9% 23.4% 17.6% +15.0 20
2000-07-30 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-6 1346 1453 17.6% 23.4% 58.9% -15.0 15
2000-07-30 IA Akranes W 1-0 1494 1398 57.3% 24.4% 18.3% +4.3 21
2000-07-30 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1398 1494 18.3% 24.4% 57.3% -4.3 18
2000-07-31 Stjarnan W 5-1 1436 1272 66.7% 18.5% 14.8% +9.6 25
2000-07-31 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-5 1272 1436 14.8% 18.5% 66.7% -9.6 7
2000-08-03 Fylkir Reykjavik D 0-0 1333 1446 28.1% 31.4% 40.5% +0.6 16
2000-08-03 @ Breidablik D 0-0 1446 1333 40.5% 31.4% 28.1% -0.6 26
2000-08-03 Stjarnan L 1-2 1331 1263 53.4% 26.6% 20.0% -9.9 15
2000-08-03 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 1263 1331 20.0% 26.6% 53.4% +9.9 10
2000-08-03 Grindavik W 2-1 1394 1359 48.7% 28.8% 22.5% +5.2 21
2000-08-03 @ IA Akranes L 1-2 1359 1394 22.5% 28.8% 48.7% -5.2 20
2000-08-03 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-2 1312 1468 23.6% 29.6% 46.8% -5.4 16
2000-08-03 @ Keflavik IF W 2-1 1468 1312 46.8% 29.6% 23.6% +5.4 23
2000-08-09 Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1445 1321 61.3% 22.0% 16.7% +3.8 29
2000-08-09 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-1 1321 1445 16.7% 22.0% 61.3% -3.8 15
2000-08-09 IF Leiftur D 2-2 1354 1268 55.9% 25.2% 18.9% -1.2 21
2000-08-09 @ Grindavik D 2-2 1268 1354 18.9% 25.2% 55.9% +1.2 8
2000-08-09 Breidablik W 3-2 1498 1334 66.7% 18.5% 14.8% +2.9 24
2000-08-09 @ KR Reykjavik L 2-3 1334 1498 14.8% 18.5% 66.7% -2.9 16
2000-08-09 Keflavik IF D 1-1 1273 1307 38.8% 31.8% 29.5% -0.4 11
2000-08-09 @ Stjarnan D 1-1 1307 1273 29.5% 31.8% 38.8% +0.4 17
2000-08-13 Stjarnan D 3-3 1269 1272 43.2% 30.8% 26.0% -0.4 9
2000-08-13 @ IF Leiftur D 3-3 1272 1269 26.0% 30.8% 43.2% +0.5 12
2000-08-20 Stjarnan D 0-0 1399 1273 61.6% 21.8% 16.6% -2.2 22
2000-08-20 @ IA Akranes D 0-0 1273 1399 16.6% 21.8% 61.6% +2.2 13
2000-08-20 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-1 1269 1473 19.9% 26.4% 53.7% -4.8 9
2000-08-20 @ IF Leiftur W 1-0 1473 1269 53.7% 26.4% 19.9% +4.8 26
2000-08-20 Fram Reykjavik D 3-3 1307 1317 42.2% 31.1% 26.7% -0.4 18
2000-08-20 @ Keflavik IF D 3-3 1317 1307 26.7% 31.1% 42.2% +0.4 16
2000-08-20 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-1 1501 1449 51.1% 27.7% 21.1% +4.8 27
2000-08-20 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-2 1449 1501 21.1% 27.7% 51.1% -4.9 29
2000-08-22 Grindavik L 3-4 1331 1352 40.6% 31.4% 28.0% -7.6 16
2000-08-22 @ Breidablik W 4-3 1352 1331 28.0% 31.4% 40.6% +7.6 24
2000-08-24 KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1264 1506 17.6% 23.4% 58.9% +2.1 10
2000-08-24 @ IF Leiftur D 0-0 1506 1264 58.9% 23.4% 17.6% -2.0 28
2000-08-27 Keflavik IF W 4-0 1444 1307 63.1% 20.8% 16.0% +12.9 32
2000-08-27 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-4 1307 1444 16.0% 20.8% 63.1% -12.9 18
2000-08-27 KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1360 1504 24.8% 30.2% 45.0% -6.0 24
2000-08-27 @ Grindavik W 1-0 1504 1360 45.0% 30.2% 24.8% +6.0 31
2000-08-27 IF Leiftur W 2-1 1275 1266 44.9% 30.3% 24.8% +5.7 16
2000-08-27 @ Stjarnan L 1-2 1266 1275 24.8% 30.3% 44.9% -5.7 10
2000-08-28 IA Akranes L 1-4 1317 1397 32.2% 32.1% 35.7% -17.1 16
2000-08-28 @ Fram Reykjavik W 4-1 1397 1317 35.7% 32.1% 32.2% +17.1 25
2000-08-28 Breidablik W 4-1 1478 1324 65.5% 19.3% 15.2% +7.7 29
2000-08-28 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-4 1324 1478 15.2% 19.3% 65.5% -7.7 16
2000-09-10 Stjarnan D 3-3 1316 1281 48.7% 28.8% 22.4% -0.7 17
2000-09-10 @ Breidablik D 3-3 1281 1316 22.4% 28.8% 48.7% +0.7 17
2000-09-10 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-1 1354 1457 29.2% 31.7% 39.1% +8.0 27
2000-09-10 @ Grindavik L 1-2 1457 1354 39.1% 31.7% 29.2% -8.0 32
2000-09-10 Keflavik IF D 2-2 1414 1294 60.7% 22.4% 16.9% -1.5 26
2000-09-10 @ IA Akranes D 2-2 1294 1414 16.9% 22.4% 60.7% +1.4 19
2000-09-10 Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 1260 1300 37.9% 31.9% 30.2% +6.7 13
2000-09-10 @ IF Leiftur L 1-2 1300 1260 30.2% 31.9% 37.9% -6.7 16
2000-09-10 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1510 1486 47.1% 29.5% 23.4% +5.7 34
2000-09-10 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1486 1510 23.4% 29.5% 47.1% -5.7 29
2000-09-16 Breidablik D 1-1 1294 1315 40.5% 31.4% 28.0% -0.5 17
2000-09-16 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1315 1294 28.0% 31.4% 40.5% +0.5 18
2000-09-16 IA Akranes W 2-1 1449 1412 49.0% 28.7% 22.3% +5.1 35
2000-09-16 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-2 1412 1449 22.3% 28.7% 49.0% -5.1 26
2000-09-16 Grindavik L 1-2 1480 1362 60.5% 22.5% 17.0% -10.8 29
2000-09-16 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-1 1362 1480 17.0% 22.5% 60.5% +10.8 30
2000-09-16 IF Leiftur L 2-5 1295 1267 47.7% 29.2% 23.1% -19.5 19
2000-09-16 @ Keflavik IF W 5-2 1267 1295 23.1% 29.2% 47.7% +19.5 16
2000-09-16 KR Reykjavik L 1-4 1281 1515 18.0% 24.1% 57.9% -9.8 17
2000-09-16 @ Stjarnan W 4-1 1515 1281 57.9% 24.1% 18.0% +9.8 37

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2000-06-29 13.61% Fram Reykjavik 1319 2 @ KR Reykjavik 1510 1
2 2000-05-21 14.41% Keflavik IF 1329 3 @ KR Reykjavik 1502 2
3 2000-09-16 17.02% Grindavik 1362 2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1480 1
4 2000-07-23 18.77% @ Stjarnan 1252 2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1473 0
5 2000-07-23 19.88% @ Keflavik IF 1300 1 KR Reykjavik 1504 0
6 2000-08-03 20.01% Stjarnan 1263 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1331 1
7 2000-06-22 20.08% @ Breidablik 1289 2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1490 0
8 2000-05-28 21.53% Breidablik 1308 6 @ IF Leiftur 1354 2
9 2000-09-16 23.06% IF Leiftur 1267 5 @ Keflavik IF 1295 2
10 2000-07-10 25.45% Fylkir Reykjavik 1402 1 @ IA Akranes 1404 0
11 2000-07-10 27.77% @ Grindavik 1355 1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1470 0
12 2000-08-22 28.00% Grindavik 1352 4 @ Breidablik 1331 3
13 2000-09-10 29.17% @ Grindavik 1354 2 Fylkir Reykjavik 1457 1
14 2000-06-01 30.19% Fram Reykjavik 1318 2 @ Stjarnan 1279 1
15 2000-07-16 31.59% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1461 3 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1411 2
16 2000-06-06 32.53% Fylkir Reykjavik 1383 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1326 1
17 2000-06-26 32.92% IA Akranes 1390 2 @ Keflavik IF 1330 0
18 2000-05-28 33.48% Fylkir Reykjavik 1350 1 @ Stjarnan 1286 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2000-07-23 32.19 Fylkir Reykjavik 7 1404 35.43% @ IF Leiftur 1 1327 32.49%
2 2000-07-30 26.19 @ Breidablik 5 1307 45.53% IF Leiftur 0 1294 24.41%
3 2000-05-28 25.58 Breidablik 6 1308 21.53% @ IF Leiftur 2 1354 50.38%
4 2000-06-01 25.10 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 5 1358 47.24% Breidablik 0 1333 23.33%
5 2000-07-23 20.53 @ Stjarnan 2 1252 18.77% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1473 56.13%
6 2000-06-22 19.81 @ Breidablik 2 1289 20.08% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1490 53.24%
7 2000-09-16 19.46 IF Leiftur 5 1267 23.06% @ Keflavik IF 2 1295 47.69%
8 2000-05-21 17.70 @ Grindavik 3 1323 41.98% Fram Reykjavik 0 1335 26.91%
9 2000-08-28 17.11 IA Akranes 4 1397 35.69% @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1317 32.24%
10 2000-06-01 15.92 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 1478 63.18% Keflavik IF 0 1340 16.02%
11 2000-07-30 15.04 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6 1453 58.93% Fram Reykjavik 1 1346 17.61%
12 2000-06-26 14.78 IA Akranes 2 1390 32.92% @ Keflavik IF 0 1330 34.98%
13 2000-06-10 14.43 @ Grindavik 3 1349 50.23% Breidablik 0 1304 21.61%
14 2000-05-27 13.69 KR Reykjavik 2 1491 36.69% @ IA Akranes 0 1405 31.31%
15 2000-08-27 12.93 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 4 1444 63.15% Keflavik IF 0 1307 16.03%
16 2000-06-29 11.80 Fram Reykjavik 2 1319 13.61% @ KR Reykjavik 1 1510 70.25%
17 2000-07-24 11.48 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1334 38.22% Grindavik 1 1372 29.95%
18 2000-05-21 10.98 Keflavik IF 3 1329 14.41% @ KR Reykjavik 2 1502 67.86%
19 2000-09-16 10.78 Grindavik 2 1362 17.02% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1480 60.46%
20 2000-06-27 10.71 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1391 47.33% Grindavik 0 1366 23.28%
21 2000-07-23 10.56 @ Keflavik IF 1 1300 19.88% KR Reykjavik 0 1504 53.67%
22 2000-07-13 10.29 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1324 43.09% IF Leiftur 1 1328 26.09%
23 2000-08-03 9.92 Stjarnan 2 1263 20.01% @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1331 53.39%
24 2000-09-16 9.82 KR Reykjavik 4 1515 57.88% @ Stjarnan 1 1281 18.03%
25 2000-07-31 9.58 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 5 1436 66.71% Stjarnan 1 1272 14.79%