Home / Leagues / Iceland / Úrvalsdeild / 2001
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2001 Úrvalsdeild Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

IA Akranes

36 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

IA Akranes

7.77 points above expected

36 points · 28.23 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Breidablik

6.97 points below expected

14 points · 20.97 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 IA Akranes 18 11 3 4 36 29 16 +13 28.2 +7.77
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 18 11 3 4 36 23 15 +8 28.6 +7.39
3 FH Hafnarfjordur 18 9 5 4 32 23 16 +7 26.2 +5.79
4 Grindavik 18 9 0 9 27 27 29 -2 24.3 +2.71
5 Fylkir Reykjavik 18 7 4 7 25 26 23 +3 29.7 -4.66
6 Keflavik IF 18 6 5 7 23 27 30 -3 22.1 +0.86
7 KR Reykjavik 18 6 4 8 22 16 20 -4 27.8 -5.81
8 Fram Reykjavik 18 6 2 10 20 28 28 0 21.0 -1.01
9 Valur Reykjavik 18 5 4 9 19 19 26 -7 23.1 -4.08
10 Breidablik 18 4 2 12 14 17 32 -15 21.0 -6.97

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1406 36 28.61 +7.39 91.6% 8 19 25 29 32 38 50
IA Akranes 1398 36 28.23 +7.77 93.0% 6 19 24 28 32 37 49
FH Hafnarfjordur 1360 32 26.21 +5.79 86.8% 4 17 22 26 30 36 48
Fylkir Reykjavik 1347 25 29.66 -4.66 22.8% 9 21 26 30 33 39 50
KR Reykjavik 1346 22 27.81 -5.81 18.0% 7 19 24 28 32 37 49
Grindavik 1319 27 24.29 +2.71 71.9% 4 15 21 24 28 34 46
Fram Reykjavik 1311 20 21.01 -1.01 47.4% 3 12 17 21 25 30 43
Keflavik IF 1273 23 22.14 +0.86 60.1% 3 13 18 22 26 31 42
Valur Reykjavik 1263 19 23.08 -4.08 26.9% 3 14 19 23 27 32 44
Breidablik 1232 14 20.97 -6.97 12.1% 2 12 17 21 25 30 44

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRE FH FR FR GRI IA IV KR KI VR
Breidablik —
0-0-2
2.23
1-0-1
2.89
1-0-1
1.98
0-0-2
2.52
0-0-2
1.96
1-0-1
2.16
0-2-0
2.11
0-0-2
2.60
1-0-1
2.50
FH Hafnarfjordur
2-0-0
3.38
 —
1-1-0
3.29
1-1-0
2.46
1-0-1
2.98
0-1-1
2.67
0-1-1
2.56
2-0-0
2.50
0-1-1
3.26
2-0-0
3.15
Fram Reykjavik
1-0-1
2.70
0-1-1
2.31
 —
1-0-1
1.87
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.04
1-0-1
2.07
0-0-2
2.33
1-1-0
2.72
0-0-2
2.56
Fylkir Reykjavik
1-0-1
3.66
0-1-1
3.13
1-0-1
3.75
 —
1-0-1
3.48
1-0-1
2.92
1-0-1
2.84
1-1-0
2.73
0-1-1
3.62
1-1-0
3.50
Grindavik
2-0-0
3.07
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
3.17
1-0-1
2.13
 —
1-0-1
2.25
1-0-1
2.38
0-0-2
2.74
1-0-1
3.06
1-0-1
2.82
IA Akranes
2-0-0
3.65
1-1-0
2.92
1-0-1
3.57
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
3.35
 —
0-2-0
2.79
1-0-1
2.68
2-0-0
3.34
2-0-0
3.26
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1-0-1
3.45
1-1-0
3.03
1-0-1
3.54
1-0-1
2.75
1-0-1
3.22
0-2-0
2.81
 —
2-0-0
2.82
2-0-0
3.44
2-0-0
3.46
KR Reykjavik
0-2-0
3.49
0-0-2
3.09
2-0-0
3.26
0-1-1
2.86
2-0-0
2.85
1-0-1
2.92
0-0-2
2.77
 —
1-0-1
3.24
0-1-1
3.30
Keflavik IF
2-0-0
3.00
1-1-0
2.34
0-1-1
2.88
1-1-0
2.00
1-0-1
2.54
0-0-2
2.26
0-0-2
2.16
1-0-1
2.36
 —
0-2-0
2.71
Valur Reykjavik
1-0-1
3.09
0-0-2
2.44
2-0-0
3.04
0-1-1
2.10
1-0-1
2.77
0-0-2
2.35
0-0-2
2.14
1-1-0
2.29
0-2-0
2.88
 —

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.78%9.44%9.44%2.78%1.11%—30.56%
19.44%4.44%8.33%5.00%——27.22%
29.44%8.33%5.56%2.22%2.22%—27.78%
32.78%5.00%2.22%——0.56%10.56%
41.11%—2.22%———3.33%
5+———0.56%——0.56%
Total30.56%27.22%27.78%10.56%3.33%0.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.31
Mean allowed1.31
StdDev scored1.14
StdDev allowed1.14
Mean total goals/game2.61
Correlation (home vs away score)0.008
Sample size (games)90
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%11.11%5.56%——27.78%
116.67%5.56%22.22%5.56%——50.00%
2—5.56%—5.56%11.11%—22.22%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total22.22%16.67%33.33%16.67%11.11%—100%

Breidablik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.94
Mean allowed1.78
StdDev scored0.73
StdDev allowed1.31
Mean total goals/game2.72
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.358
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%5.56%———27.78%
111.11%5.56%—5.56%——22.22%
211.11%22.22%11.11%———44.44%
35.56%—————5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total38.89%38.89%16.67%5.56%——100%

FH Hafnarfjordur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.28
Mean allowed0.89
StdDev scored0.96
StdDev allowed0.90
Mean total goals/game2.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.030
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—27.78%————27.78%
15.56%5.56%11.11%———22.22%
2—5.56%5.56%11.11%5.56%—27.78%
35.56%11.11%————16.67%
4———————
5+———5.56%——5.56%
Total11.11%50.00%16.67%16.67%5.56%—100%

Fram Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.56
Mean allowed1.56
StdDev scored1.38
StdDev allowed1.10
Mean total goals/game3.11
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.328
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%5.56%5.56%11.11%——38.89%
15.56%—5.56%5.56%——16.67%
25.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%——22.22%
3—5.56%————5.56%
411.11%—5.56%———16.67%
5+———————
Total38.89%16.67%22.22%22.22%——100%

Fylkir Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.44
Mean allowed1.28
StdDev scored1.50
StdDev allowed1.23
Mean total goals/game2.72
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.166
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%—27.78%
1——11.11%11.11%——22.22%
216.67%11.11%————27.78%
35.56%5.56%5.56%———16.67%
4——5.56%———5.56%
5+———————
Total22.22%22.22%33.33%16.67%5.56%—100%

Grindavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.50
Mean allowed1.61
StdDev scored1.25
StdDev allowed1.20
Mean total goals/game3.11
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.493
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%—5.56%——16.67%
116.67%—11.11%———27.78%
222.22%—11.11%———33.33%
35.56%11.11%5.56%———22.22%
4———————
5+———————
Total50.00%16.67%27.78%5.56%——100%

IA Akranes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.61
Mean allowed0.89
StdDev scored1.04
StdDev allowed1.02
Mean total goals/game2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.099
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%——5.56%—22.22%
127.78%——11.11%——38.89%
216.67%5.56%5.56%———27.78%
35.56%5.56%————11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total61.11%16.67%5.56%11.11%5.56%—100%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.28
Mean allowed0.83
StdDev scored0.96
StdDev allowed1.29
Mean total goals/game2.11
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.198
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%11.11%16.67%———44.44%
15.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%——22.22%
216.67%11.11%——5.56%—33.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total38.89%27.78%22.22%5.56%5.56%—100%

KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.89
Mean allowed1.11
StdDev scored0.90
StdDev allowed1.18
Mean total goals/game2.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.012
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.11%22.22%———33.33%
1—11.11%————11.11%
2—16.67%16.67%———33.33%
3—11.11%———5.56%16.67%
4——5.56%———5.56%
5+———————
Total—50.00%44.44%——5.56%100%

Keflavik IF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.50
Mean allowed1.67
StdDev scored1.29
StdDev allowed0.97
Mean total goals/game3.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.187
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%22.22%———38.89%
15.56%11.11%16.67%5.56%——38.89%
25.56%—————5.56%
3——11.11%———11.11%
4——5.56%———5.56%
5+———————
Total22.22%16.67%55.56%5.56%——100%

Valur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.06
Mean allowed1.44
StdDev scored1.21
StdDev allowed0.92
Mean total goals/game2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.187
Games played18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 IA Akranes 36 28.2 +7.77
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 36 28.6 +7.39
3 FH Hafnarfjordur 32 26.2 +5.79
4 Grindavik 27 24.3 +2.71
5 Keflavik IF 23 22.1 +0.86

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Breidablik 14 21.0 -6.97
2 KR Reykjavik 22 27.8 -5.81
3 Fylkir Reykjavik 25 29.7 -4.66
4 Valur Reykjavik 19 23.1 -4.08
5 Fram Reykjavik 20 21.0 -1.01

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fram Reykjavik 4 Jul 29 – Aug 19 1 in 137
2 IA Akranes 6 Jul 15 – Aug 27 1 in 72
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 Aug 12 – Sep 16 1 in 52
4 Grindavik 3 May 27 – Jun 20 1 in 14
5 Keflavik IF 2 May 17 – May 20 1 in 10

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fylkir Reykjavik 6 Aug 13 – Sep 22 1 in 1,853
2 Fram Reykjavik 5 May 17 – Jun 18 1 in 58
3 KR Reykjavik 4 Jul 29 – Aug 19 1 in 51
4 Breidablik 5 Jul 2 – Aug 2 1 in 49
5 Valur Reykjavik 4 Jul 26 – Aug 20 1 in 17

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fylkir Reykjavik 10 May 27 – Aug 1 1 in 49
2 Fram Reykjavik 4 Jul 29 – Aug 19 1 in 17
3 FH Hafnarfjordur 6 Jul 29 – Sep 9 1 in 17
4 IA Akranes 7 Jul 10 – Aug 27 1 in 13
5 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6 Aug 12 – Sep 23 1 in 12

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fylkir Reykjavik 6 Aug 13 – Sep 22 1 in 80
2 Breidablik 10 May 27 – Aug 2 1 in 57
3 Valur Reykjavik 8 Jul 26 – Sep 22 1 in 26
4 Keflavik IF 5 Jul 9 – Aug 12 1 in 9
5 KR Reykjavik 4 Jul 29 – Aug 19 1 in 9

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
IA Akranes18.85%16.02%14.12%13.19%10.66%8.61%6.99%5.70%3.80%2.06%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar19.88%16.51%14.18%12.49%11.06%8.41%6.66%5.39%3.31%2.11%
FH Hafnarfjordur9.80%12.08%12.51%13.10%11.35%11.53%9.75%8.35%6.82%4.71%
Grindavik5.13%7.19%9.38%9.62%11.46%12.42%12.92%11.75%11.18%8.95%
Fylkir Reykjavik23.69%18.39%15.29%12.52%9.27%7.28%5.59%4.15%2.34%1.48%
Keflavik IF2.47%3.99%5.31%7.40%9.19%11.64%12.84%14.37%15.29%17.50%
KR Reykjavik14.06%14.88%13.55%12.29%11.64%9.83%8.51%6.92%5.22%3.10%
Fram Reykjavik1.46%2.99%4.36%6.15%8.07%9.92%12.41%15.14%18.01%21.49%
Valur Reykjavik3.36%5.17%7.12%8.05%10.25%11.38%12.68%13.32%15.06%13.61%
Breidablik1.30%2.78%4.18%5.19%7.05%8.98%11.65%14.91%18.97%24.99%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Fylkir Reykjavik 96.2% 3.8%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 94.6% 5.4%
IA Akranes 94.1% 5.9%
KR Reykjavik 91.7% 8.3%
FH Hafnarfjordur 88.5% 11.5%
Grindavik 79.9% 20.1%
Valur Reykjavik 71.3% 28.7%
Keflavik IF 67.2% 32.8%
Fram Reykjavik 60.5% 39.5%
Breidablik 56.0% 44.0%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2001-05-15 KR Reykjavik W 1-0 1359 1382 44.2% 20.5% 35.3% +6.7 3
2001-05-15 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-1 1382 1359 35.3% 20.5% 44.2% -6.7 0
2001-05-17 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1297 1368 37.5% 20.6% 41.9% +7.7 3
2001-05-17 @ Breidablik L 0-1 1368 1297 41.9% 20.6% 37.5% -7.7 0
2001-05-17 Valur Reykjavik L 2-3 1289 1300 45.9% 20.4% 33.7% -7.4 0
2001-05-17 @ Fram Reykjavik W 3-2 1300 1289 33.7% 20.4% 45.9% +7.4 3
2001-05-17 Keflavik IF L 1-2 1321 1281 52.7% 19.8% 27.5% -8.8 0
2001-05-17 @ Grindavik W 2-1 1281 1321 27.5% 19.8% 52.7% +8.8 3
2001-05-17 FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-2 1338 1322 49.5% 20.2% 30.4% -0.6 1
2001-05-17 @ IA Akranes D 2-2 1322 1338 30.4% 20.2% 49.5% +0.6 1
2001-05-20 Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1305 1281 50.5% 20.1% 29.4% +5.7 6
2001-05-20 @ Breidablik L 0-1 1281 1305 29.4% 20.1% 50.5% -5.7 0
2001-05-20 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-1 1289 1365 36.7% 20.6% 42.8% +7.3 6
2001-05-20 @ Keflavik IF L 1-2 1365 1289 42.8% 20.6% 36.7% -7.3 3
2001-05-20 Grindavik W 1-0 1307 1312 46.6% 20.4% 33.0% +6.3 6
2001-05-20 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 1312 1307 33.0% 20.4% 46.6% -6.3 0
2001-05-21 FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-0 1360 1323 52.3% 19.9% 27.8% -1.1 1
2001-05-21 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-0 1323 1360 27.8% 19.9% 52.3% +1.1 2
2001-05-21 IA Akranes W 2-1 1375 1337 52.4% 19.9% 27.8% +5.1 3
2001-05-21 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-2 1337 1375 27.8% 19.9% 52.4% -5.1 1
2001-05-27 KR Reykjavik W 2-0 1324 1380 39.4% 20.6% 39.9% +13.9 5
2001-05-27 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-2 1380 1324 39.9% 20.6% 39.4% -13.9 3
2001-05-27 Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 1358 1313 53.3% 19.7% 27.0% -1.2 4
2001-05-27 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 0-0 1313 1358 27.0% 19.7% 53.3% +1.2 7
2001-05-27 Breidablik W 2-1 1306 1311 46.7% 20.4% 32.9% +5.9 3
2001-05-27 @ Grindavik L 1-2 1311 1306 32.9% 20.4% 46.7% -5.9 6
2001-05-27 Keflavik IF W 2-0 1332 1297 52.0% 19.9% 28.1% +10.3 4
2001-05-27 @ IA Akranes L 0-2 1297 1332 28.1% 19.9% 52.0% -10.3 6
2001-05-29 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-1 1276 1359 35.7% 20.5% 43.8% -6.7 0
2001-05-29 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1359 1276 43.8% 20.5% 35.7% +6.7 4
2001-06-09 Grindavik L 1-2 1269 1312 41.3% 20.6% 38.1% -7.1 0
2001-06-09 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 1312 1269 38.1% 20.6% 41.3% +7.1 6
2001-06-09 KR Reykjavik W 1-0 1366 1366 47.3% 20.4% 32.4% +6.2 7
2001-06-09 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-1 1366 1366 32.4% 20.4% 47.3% -6.2 3
2001-06-10 Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-2 1305 1357 40.0% 20.6% 39.3% -13.9 6
2001-06-10 @ Breidablik W 2-0 1357 1305 39.3% 20.6% 40.0% +13.9 7
2001-06-10 FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-1 1286 1338 40.2% 20.6% 39.2% +11.9 9
2001-06-10 @ Keflavik IF L 1-3 1338 1286 39.2% 20.6% 40.2% -11.9 5
2001-06-11 IA Akranes L 0-2 1315 1342 43.5% 20.6% 35.9% -14.9 7
2001-06-11 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-0 1342 1315 35.9% 20.6% 43.5% +14.9 7
2001-06-18 Fram Reykjavik W 4-2 1371 1262 61.0% 18.3% 20.7% +6.0 10
2001-06-18 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 2-4 1262 1371 20.7% 18.3% 61.0% -6.0 0
2001-06-18 Breidablik W 3-1 1357 1291 56.0% 19.3% 24.7% +8.0 10
2001-06-18 @ IA Akranes L 1-3 1291 1357 24.7% 19.3% 56.0% -8.0 6
2001-06-18 Keflavik IF W 2-0 1360 1298 55.4% 19.4% 25.2% +9.4 6
2001-06-18 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1298 1360 25.2% 19.4% 55.4% -9.4 9
2001-06-19 Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 1326 1300 50.9% 20.0% 29.1% +5.7 8
2001-06-19 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-1 1300 1326 29.1% 20.0% 50.9% -5.7 7
2001-06-20 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-1 1319 1372 40.0% 20.6% 39.4% +11.9 9
2001-06-20 @ Grindavik L 1-3 1372 1319 39.4% 20.6% 40.0% -11.9 7
2001-06-21 Fylkir Reykjavik D 0-0 1369 1377 46.3% 20.4% 33.2% -0.6 7
2001-06-21 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1377 1369 33.2% 20.4% 46.3% +0.6 11
2001-06-24 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-2 1283 1332 40.5% 20.6% 38.8% -7.0 6
2001-06-24 @ Breidablik W 2-1 1332 1283 38.8% 20.6% 40.5% +7.0 11
2001-06-24 IA Akranes W 1-0 1256 1365 32.2% 20.3% 47.4% +8.5 3
2001-06-24 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1365 1256 47.4% 20.3% 32.2% -8.5 10
2001-06-24 Keflavik IF W 1-0 1360 1289 56.5% 19.2% 24.2% +4.8 10
2001-06-24 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-1 1289 1360 24.2% 19.2% 56.5% -4.8 9
2001-06-25 KR Reykjavik W 4-2 1294 1369 36.8% 20.6% 42.6% +11.3 10
2001-06-25 @ Valur Reykjavik L 2-4 1369 1294 42.6% 20.6% 36.8% -11.3 7
2001-06-27 Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1339 1264 56.9% 19.2% 23.9% +4.7 14
2001-06-27 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-1 1264 1339 23.9% 19.2% 56.9% -4.7 3
2001-06-27 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-0 1377 1365 49.1% 20.2% 30.7% +21.2 14
2001-06-27 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-4 1365 1377 30.7% 20.2% 49.1% -21.2 10
2001-06-27 Grindavik W 3-1 1357 1331 50.8% 20.1% 29.2% +9.3 13
2001-06-27 @ IA Akranes L 1-3 1331 1357 29.2% 20.1% 50.8% -9.3 9
2001-06-28 Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1284 1305 44.4% 20.5% 35.0% -0.4 10
2001-06-28 @ Keflavik IF D 1-1 1305 1284 35.0% 20.5% 44.4% +0.4 11
2001-06-28 Breidablik D 1-1 1357 1276 57.8% 19.0% 23.2% -1.4 8
2001-06-28 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1276 1357 23.2% 19.0% 57.8% +1.4 7
2001-07-01 KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1260 1356 33.9% 20.5% 45.6% -6.5 3
2001-07-01 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1356 1260 45.6% 20.5% 33.9% +6.5 11
2001-07-01 Valur Reykjavik W 2-0 1343 1306 52.4% 19.9% 27.8% +10.2 13
2001-07-01 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-2 1306 1343 27.8% 19.9% 52.4% -10.2 11
2001-07-02 Keflavik IF L 2-4 1277 1284 46.5% 20.4% 33.1% -12.2 7
2001-07-02 @ Breidablik W 4-2 1284 1277 33.1% 20.4% 46.5% +12.2 13
2001-07-02 IA Akranes W 2-1 1399 1366 51.7% 19.9% 28.3% +5.2 17
2001-07-02 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-2 1366 1399 28.3% 19.9% 51.7% -5.2 13
2001-07-09 Fylkir Reykjavik D 0-0 1343 1404 38.8% 20.6% 40.6% +0.1 15
2001-07-09 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-0 1404 1343 40.6% 20.6% 38.8% -0.1 18
2001-07-09 Fram Reykjavik D 2-2 1296 1253 53.0% 19.8% 27.2% -0.8 14
2001-07-09 @ Keflavik IF D 2-2 1253 1296 27.2% 19.8% 53.0% +0.8 4
2001-07-10 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-0 1361 1354 48.3% 20.3% 31.4% -0.7 14
2001-07-10 @ IA Akranes D 0-0 1354 1361 31.4% 20.3% 48.3% +0.7 14
2001-07-10 Breidablik W 2-0 1295 1265 51.4% 20.0% 28.6% +10.5 14
2001-07-10 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-2 1265 1295 28.6% 20.0% 51.4% -10.5 7
2001-07-15 IA Akranes L 0-1 1343 1360 45.1% 20.5% 34.4% -8.1 15
2001-07-15 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-0 1360 1343 34.4% 20.5% 45.1% +8.1 17
2001-07-15 Breidablik W 1-0 1354 1255 60.0% 18.6% 21.5% +4.3 17
2001-07-15 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-1 1255 1354 21.5% 18.6% 60.0% -4.3 7
2001-07-16 Grindavik L 0-2 1295 1322 43.7% 20.6% 35.8% -14.9 14
2001-07-16 @ Keflavik IF W 2-0 1322 1295 35.8% 20.6% 43.7% +14.9 12
2001-07-16 Fram Reykjavik W 3-2 1306 1254 54.2% 19.6% 26.2% +4.6 17
2001-07-16 @ Valur Reykjavik L 2-3 1254 1306 26.2% 19.6% 54.2% -4.6 4
2001-07-19 Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-4 1337 1404 37.9% 20.6% 41.5% -25.3 12
2001-07-19 @ Grindavik W 4-0 1404 1337 41.5% 20.6% 37.9% +25.3 21
2001-07-26 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-1 1335 1359 44.1% 20.5% 35.4% -8.0 15
2001-07-26 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-0 1359 1335 35.4% 20.5% 44.1% +8.0 20
2001-07-26 Keflavik IF D 2-2 1429 1280 65.4% 17.2% 17.5% -1.5 22
2001-07-26 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 2-2 1280 1429 17.5% 17.2% 65.4% +1.5 15
2001-07-26 Valur Reykjavik W 2-0 1311 1311 47.5% 20.3% 32.2% +11.6 15
2001-07-26 @ Grindavik L 0-2 1311 1311 32.2% 20.3% 47.5% -11.6 17
2001-07-29 Breidablik W 2-1 1249 1250 47.2% 20.4% 32.4% +5.9 7
2001-07-29 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 1250 1249 32.4% 20.4% 47.2% -5.8 7
2001-07-29 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-2 1323 1327 46.8% 20.4% 32.8% -7.9 15
2001-07-29 @ Grindavik W 2-1 1327 1323 32.8% 20.4% 46.8% +7.9 18
2001-07-29 KR Reykjavik W 2-0 1368 1362 48.1% 20.3% 31.6% +11.5 20
2001-07-29 @ IA Akranes L 0-2 1362 1368 31.6% 20.3% 48.1% -11.5 11
2001-08-01 Fram Reykjavik L 1-3 1367 1255 61.3% 18.2% 20.5% -17.3 20
2001-08-01 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-1 1255 1367 20.5% 18.2% 61.3% +17.3 10
2001-08-01 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-3 1299 1428 29.9% 20.1% 50.0% -9.5 17
2001-08-01 @ Valur Reykjavik W 3-1 1428 1299 50.0% 20.1% 29.9% +9.5 25
2001-08-02 Grindavik L 2-4 1245 1315 37.4% 20.6% 42.0% -10.2 7
2001-08-02 @ Breidablik W 4-2 1315 1245 42.0% 20.6% 37.4% +10.2 18
2001-08-02 IA Akranes L 0-1 1282 1380 33.7% 20.5% 45.8% -6.4 15
2001-08-02 @ Keflavik IF W 1-0 1380 1282 45.8% 20.5% 33.7% +6.4 23
2001-08-02 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-2 1351 1335 49.5% 20.2% 30.3% -8.3 11
2001-08-02 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-1 1335 1351 30.3% 20.2% 49.5% +8.3 21
2001-08-12 Keflavik IF D 2-2 1343 1275 56.2% 19.3% 24.5% -1.0 22
2001-08-12 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-2 1275 1343 24.5% 19.3% 56.2% +1.0 16
2001-08-12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-2 1343 1349 46.4% 20.4% 33.1% -15.7 11
2001-08-12 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-0 1349 1343 33.1% 20.4% 46.4% +15.7 23
2001-08-13 Breidablik L 0-1 1437 1234 70.8% 15.3% 13.9% -11.9 25
2001-08-13 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-0 1234 1437 13.9% 15.3% 70.8% +11.9 10
2001-08-13 Fram Reykjavik L 1-3 1325 1272 54.3% 19.6% 26.1% -15.6 18
2001-08-13 @ Grindavik W 3-1 1272 1325 26.1% 19.6% 54.3% +15.6 13
2001-08-13 Valur Reykjavik W 2-0 1386 1289 59.6% 18.6% 21.8% +8.2 26
2001-08-13 @ IA Akranes L 0-2 1289 1386 21.8% 18.6% 59.6% -8.2 17
2001-08-19 IA Akranes L 2-3 1246 1394 27.6% 19.8% 52.5% -4.8 10
2001-08-19 @ Breidablik W 3-2 1394 1246 52.5% 19.8% 27.6% +4.8 29
2001-08-19 Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-0 1288 1425 28.9% 20.0% 51.1% +24.8 16
2001-08-19 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-3 1425 1288 51.1% 20.0% 28.9% -24.8 25
2001-08-19 Grindavik W 3-0 1365 1310 54.6% 19.6% 25.9% +13.9 26
2001-08-19 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-3 1310 1365 25.9% 19.6% 54.6% -13.9 18
2001-08-19 KR Reykjavik W 3-1 1276 1327 40.2% 20.6% 39.1% +11.8 19
2001-08-19 @ Keflavik IF L 1-3 1327 1276 39.1% 20.6% 40.2% -11.8 11
2001-08-20 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-2 1281 1342 38.7% 20.6% 40.6% -6.8 17
2001-08-20 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-1 1342 1281 40.6% 20.6% 38.7% +6.8 25
2001-08-22 Grindavik W 2-0 1315 1296 50.0% 20.1% 29.9% +10.9 14
2001-08-22 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1296 1315 29.9% 20.1% 50.0% -10.9 18
2001-08-26 Breidablik W 3-0 1349 1241 60.9% 18.3% 20.8% +11.3 28
2001-08-26 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-3 1241 1349 20.8% 18.3% 60.9% -11.3 10
2001-08-26 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-2 1288 1379 34.6% 20.5% 44.9% -12.4 19
2001-08-26 @ Keflavik IF W 2-0 1379 1288 44.9% 20.5% 34.6% +12.4 29
2001-08-26 Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 1326 1275 54.1% 19.6% 26.2% -1.3 15
2001-08-26 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1275 1326 26.2% 19.6% 54.1% +1.2 18
2001-08-27 Grindavik L 2-3 1400 1285 61.7% 18.1% 20.1% -9.5 25
2001-08-27 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-2 1285 1400 20.1% 18.1% 61.7% +9.5 21
2001-08-27 Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1399 1313 58.4% 18.9% 22.7% +4.5 32
2001-08-27 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 1313 1399 22.7% 18.9% 58.4% -4.5 16
2001-09-08 KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1230 1325 34.1% 20.5% 45.4% +0.5 11
2001-09-08 @ Breidablik D 0-0 1325 1230 45.4% 20.5% 34.1% -0.5 16
2001-09-08 IA Akranes W 3-0 1295 1404 32.3% 20.4% 47.4% +23.2 24
2001-09-08 @ Grindavik L 0-3 1404 1295 47.4% 20.4% 32.3% -23.2 32
2001-09-08 Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-1 1391 1391 47.4% 20.3% 32.2% +10.1 32
2001-09-08 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-3 1391 1391 32.2% 20.3% 47.4% -10.1 25
2001-09-08 Keflavik IF D 1-1 1276 1276 47.3% 20.4% 32.3% -0.6 19
2001-09-08 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1276 1276 32.3% 20.4% 47.3% +0.6 20
2001-09-09 FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-1 1308 1361 40.0% 20.6% 39.4% -0.0 17
2001-09-09 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1361 1308 39.4% 20.6% 40.0% +0.0 29
2001-09-16 Grindavik L 0-2 1361 1318 53.0% 19.8% 27.2% -17.6 29
2001-09-16 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-0 1318 1361 27.2% 19.8% 53.0% +17.6 27
2001-09-16 Breidablik W 2-1 1276 1231 53.4% 19.7% 26.9% +5.0 23
2001-09-16 @ Keflavik IF L 1-2 1231 1276 26.9% 19.7% 53.4% -5.0 11
2001-09-16 Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 1324 1308 49.5% 20.2% 30.3% +5.5 19
2001-09-16 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-2 1308 1324 30.3% 20.2% 49.5% -5.5 17
2001-09-16 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-2 1275 1402 30.1% 20.2% 49.7% -5.5 19
2001-09-16 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-1 1402 1275 49.7% 20.2% 30.1% +5.5 35
2001-09-17 Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-0 1380 1381 47.3% 20.4% 32.3% +17.0 35
2001-09-17 @ IA Akranes L 0-3 1381 1380 32.3% 20.4% 47.3% -17.0 25
2001-09-22 Valur Reykjavik W 2-1 1226 1270 41.2% 20.6% 38.2% +6.7 14
2001-09-22 @ Breidablik L 1-2 1270 1226 38.2% 20.6% 41.2% -6.7 19
2001-09-22 Keflavik IF W 5-3 1303 1281 50.2% 20.1% 29.7% +7.9 20
2001-09-22 @ Fram Reykjavik L 3-5 1281 1303 29.7% 20.1% 50.2% -7.9 23
2001-09-22 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-2 1364 1343 50.1% 20.1% 29.7% -16.8 25
2001-09-22 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-0 1343 1364 29.7% 20.1% 50.1% +16.8 32
2001-09-22 KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1335 1330 48.1% 20.3% 31.6% -16.2 27
2001-09-22 @ Grindavik W 2-0 1330 1335 31.6% 20.3% 48.1% +16.2 22
2001-09-23 IA Akranes D 2-2 1407 1397 48.7% 20.2% 31.1% -0.5 36
2001-09-23 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-2 1397 1407 31.1% 20.2% 48.7% +0.5 36

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2001-08-13 13.90% Breidablik 1234 1 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1437 0
2 2001-08-27 20.13% Grindavik 1285 3 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1400 2
3 2001-08-01 20.46% Fram Reykjavik 1255 3 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1367 1
4 2001-08-13 26.09% Fram Reykjavik 1272 3 @ Grindavik 1325 1
5 2001-09-16 27.19% Grindavik 1318 2 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1361 0
6 2001-05-17 27.46% Keflavik IF 1281 2 @ Grindavik 1321 1
7 2001-08-19 28.87% @ Fram Reykjavik 1288 3 Fylkir Reykjavik 1425 0
8 2001-09-22 29.74% FH Hafnarfjordur 1343 2 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1364 0
9 2001-08-02 30.32% FH Hafnarfjordur 1335 2 @ KR Reykjavik 1351 1
10 2001-09-22 31.61% KR Reykjavik 1330 2 @ Grindavik 1335 0
11 2001-06-24 32.24% @ Fram Reykjavik 1256 1 IA Akranes 1365 0
12 2001-09-08 32.29% @ Grindavik 1295 3 IA Akranes 1404 0
13 2001-07-29 32.82% FH Hafnarfjordur 1327 2 @ Grindavik 1323 1
14 2001-07-02 33.12% Keflavik IF 1284 4 @ Breidablik 1277 2
15 2001-08-12 33.14% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1349 2 @ KR Reykjavik 1343 0
16 2001-05-17 33.69% Valur Reykjavik 1300 3 @ Fram Reykjavik 1289 2
17 2001-07-15 34.45% IA Akranes 1360 1 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1343 0
18 2001-07-26 35.36% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1359 1 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1335 0
19 2001-07-16 35.78% Grindavik 1322 2 @ Keflavik IF 1295 0
20 2001-06-11 35.95% IA Akranes 1342 2 @ Valur Reykjavik 1315 0
21 2001-05-20 36.66% @ Keflavik IF 1289 2 Fylkir Reykjavik 1365 1
22 2001-06-25 36.82% @ Valur Reykjavik 1294 4 KR Reykjavik 1369 2
23 2001-05-17 37.46% @ Breidablik 1297 1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1368 0
24 2001-06-09 38.06% Grindavik 1312 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1269 1
25 2001-06-24 38.84% FH Hafnarfjordur 1332 2 @ Breidablik 1283 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2001-07-19 25.28 Fylkir Reykjavik 4 1404 41.48% @ Grindavik 0 1337 37.91%
2 2001-08-19 24.76 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1288 28.87% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1425 51.12%
3 2001-09-08 23.20 @ Grindavik 3 1295 32.29% IA Akranes 0 1404 47.36%
4 2001-06-27 21.21 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 4 1377 49.08% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1365 30.71%
5 2001-09-16 17.60 Grindavik 2 1318 27.19% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1361 53.04%
6 2001-08-01 17.29 Fram Reykjavik 3 1255 20.46% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1367 61.31%
7 2001-09-17 16.97 @ IA Akranes 3 1380 47.30% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1381 32.34%
8 2001-09-22 16.77 FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1343 29.74% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1364 50.14%
9 2001-09-22 16.18 KR Reykjavik 2 1330 31.61% @ Grindavik 0 1335 48.09%
10 2001-08-12 15.71 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1349 33.14% @ KR Reykjavik 0 1343 46.44%
11 2001-08-13 15.56 Fram Reykjavik 3 1272 26.09% @ Grindavik 1 1325 54.32%
12 2001-07-16 14.93 Grindavik 2 1322 35.78% @ Keflavik IF 0 1295 43.66%
13 2001-06-11 14.88 IA Akranes 2 1342 35.95% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1315 43.49%
14 2001-08-19 13.94 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1365 54.60% Grindavik 0 1310 25.85%
15 2001-06-10 13.92 Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1357 39.33% @ Breidablik 0 1305 40.04%
16 2001-05-27 13.89 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1324 39.43% KR Reykjavik 0 1380 39.94%
17 2001-08-26 12.38 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1379 44.85% @ Keflavik IF 0 1288 34.64%
18 2001-07-02 12.18 Keflavik IF 4 1284 33.12% @ Breidablik 2 1277 46.47%
19 2001-08-13 11.94 Breidablik 1 1234 13.90% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1437 70.75%
20 2001-06-20 11.91 @ Grindavik 3 1319 39.96% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1372 39.41%
21 2001-06-10 11.86 @ Keflavik IF 3 1286 40.15% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1338 39.22%
22 2001-08-19 11.84 @ Keflavik IF 3 1276 40.23% KR Reykjavik 1 1327 39.15%
23 2001-07-26 11.64 @ Grindavik 2 1311 47.48% Valur Reykjavik 0 1311 32.17%
24 2001-07-29 11.46 @ IA Akranes 2 1368 48.12% KR Reykjavik 0 1362 31.59%
25 2001-08-26 11.33 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1349 60.89% Breidablik 0 1241 20.78%