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2008 Úrvalsdeild Season

132 games

Final

Champion

FH Hafnarfjordur

47 points · 4th Title

Last Title: 2006.0

Relegated

IA Akranes

13 pts

HK Kopavogur · 18 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Keflavik IF

9.03 points above expected

46 points · 36.97 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

IA Akranes

12.68 points below expected

13 points · 25.68 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 FH Hafnarfjordur Champion 22 15 2 5 47 50 25 +25 40.38 +6.62
2 Keflavik IF 22 14 4 4 46 54 31 +23 36.97 +9.03
3 Fram Reykjavik 22 13 1 8 40 31 21 +10 32.34 +7.66
4 KR Reykjavik 22 12 3 7 39 38 23 +15 34.20 +4.80
5 Valur Reykjavik 22 11 2 9 35 34 28 +6 35.05 -0.05
6 Fjolnir 22 10 1 11 31 39 33 +6 31.09 -0.09
7 Grindavik 22 9 4 9 31 29 36 -7 28.52 +2.48
8 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 30 41 36 +5 34.61 -4.61
9 Fylkir Reykjavik 22 6 4 12 22 24 40 -16 28.30 -6.30
10 Throttur Reykjavik 22 5 7 10 22 28 46 -18 25.37 -3.37
11 HK Kopavogur Relegated 22 5 3 14 18 26 47 -21 20.87 -2.87
12 IA Akranes Relegated 22 2 7 13 13 18 46 -28 25.68 -12.68

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Keflavik IF 46 36.97 +9.03
2 Fram Reykjavik 40 32.34 +7.66
3 FH Hafnarfjordur 47 40.38 +6.62
4 KR Reykjavik 39 34.20 +4.80
5 Grindavik 31 28.52 +2.48

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 IA Akranes 13 25.68 -12.68
2 Fylkir Reykjavik 22 28.30 -6.30
3 Breidablik 30 34.61 -4.61
4 Throttur Reykjavik 22 25.37 -3.37
5 HK Kopavogur 18 20.87 -2.87

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 HK Kopavogur 3 Aug 17 – Aug 31 1 in 71
2 Keflavik IF 4 May 10 – May 25 1 in 26
3 Throttur Reykjavik 3 Jun 1 – Jun 15 1 in 19
4 KR Reykjavik 4 Jun 15 – Jul 6 1 in 19
5 Fylkir Reykjavik 3 May 19 – Jun 1 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Breidablik 4 Sep 17 – Sep 27 1 in 101
2 Fylkir Reykjavik 5 Jun 5 – Jul 7 1 in 99
3 Fjolnir 5 Jul 21 – Aug 17 1 in 99
4 IA Akranes 7 Jun 30 – Aug 11 1 in 80
5 FH Hafnarfjordur 2 Jul 6 – Jul 13 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Keflavik IF 12 Jun 30 – Sep 17 1 in 103
2 HK Kopavogur 4 Aug 11 – Aug 31 1 in 27
3 Valur Reykjavik 7 Jun 29 – Aug 11 1 in 18
4 Breidablik 8 Jun 30 – Aug 17 1 in 18
5 Grindavik 5 Jun 25 – Jul 21 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IA Akranes 14 May 25 – Aug 24 1 in 476
2 Fjolnir 8 Jul 21 – Sep 13 1 in 40
3 Fylkir Reykjavik 7 Jul 21 – Aug 27 1 in 22
4 HK Kopavogur 10 Jun 8 – Aug 11 1 in 22
5 Breidablik 4 Sep 17 – Sep 27 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
FH Hafnarfjordur 1481 47 +35 12 8.6 +3.4
Keflavik IF 1456 46 +15 9 8.9 +0.1
Fram Reykjavik 1401 40 +42 12 6.3 +5.7
KR Reykjavik 1429 39 +35 13 9.7 +3.3
Valur Reykjavik 1386 35 -51 3 8.4 -5.4
Fjolnir 1350 31 +38 9 7.3 +1.7
Grindavik 1299 31 -12 7 7.6 -0.6
Breidablik 1360 30 -40 3 8.0 -5.0
Fylkir Reykjavik 1235 22 -14 6 4.7 +1.3
Throttur Reykjavik 1209 22 -48 3 5.7 -2.7
HK Kopavogur 1215 18 +22 6 5.0 +1.0
IA Akranes 1181 13 -21 5 4.6 +0.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRE FH FJO FR FR GRI HK IA KR KI TR VR
Breidablik —
1-0-1
2.14
2-0-0
3.08
1-0-1
3.07
1-0-1
3.77
0-1-1
3.54
1-0-1
4.11
1-1-0
3.27
1-1-0
3.06
0-1-1
2.64
0-2-0
3.54
0-0-2
2.84
FH Hafnarfjordur
1-0-1
3.51
 —
1-1-0
3.77
1-0-1
3.65
1-0-1
4.22
1-0-1
3.85
2-0-0
3.85
2-0-0
3.71
2-0-0
3.50
1-0-1
2.97
1-1-0
3.85
2-0-0
3.21
Fjolnir
0-0-2
2.57
0-1-1
1.88
 —
0-0-2
2.66
2-0-0
2.93
1-0-1
3.27
2-0-0
3.68
2-0-0
3.64
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
1.99
1-0-1
3.14
0-0-2
2.43
Fram Reykjavik
1-0-1
2.57
1-0-1
2.00
2-0-0
2.98
 —
2-0-0
2.81
1-0-1
3.10
2-0-0
3.77
1-0-1
3.38
0-0-2
3.02
1-0-1
2.29
1-1-0
3.39
1-0-1
2.56
Fylkir Reykjavik
1-0-1
1.89
1-0-1
1.44
0-0-2
2.71
0-0-2
2.83
 —
1-0-1
2.64
1-1-0
3.52
1-1-0
3.01
0-0-2
2.32
0-1-1
2.19
0-1-1
2.99
1-0-1
1.94
Grindavik
1-1-0
2.11
1-0-1
1.80
1-0-1
2.37
1-0-1
2.55
1-0-1
3.01
 —
1-1-0
3.29
1-1-0
3.16
1-0-1
2.56
0-0-2
2.02
1-1-0
3.23
0-0-2
2.23
HK Kopavogur
1-0-1
1.55
0-0-2
1.82
0-0-2
1.97
0-0-2
1.88
0-1-1
2.13
0-1-1
2.36
 —
1-1-0
2.44
0-0-2
1.86
0-0-2
1.69
1-0-1
2.35
2-0-0
1.47
IA Akranes
0-1-1
2.38
0-0-2
1.95
0-0-2
2.02
1-0-1
2.27
0-1-1
2.63
0-1-1
2.49
0-1-1
3.21
 —
0-1-1
1.87
0-0-2
2.12
0-1-1
2.85
1-1-0
1.88
KR Reykjavik
0-1-1
2.59
0-0-2
2.15
1-0-1
2.78
2-0-0
2.63
2-0-0
3.33
1-0-1
3.09
2-0-0
3.80
1-1-0
3.79
 —
0-1-1
2.48
2-0-0
3.82
1-0-1
2.88
Keflavik IF
1-1-0
3.01
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
3.66
1-0-1
3.36
1-1-0
3.46
2-0-0
3.63
2-0-0
3.97
2-0-0
3.53
1-1-0
3.17
 —
1-0-1
3.65
1-1-0
2.55
Throttur Reykjavik
0-2-0
2.11
0-1-1
1.81
1-0-1
2.51
0-1-1
2.26
1-1-0
2.66
0-1-1
2.42
1-0-1
3.30
1-1-0
2.80
0-0-2
1.84
1-0-1
2.00
 —
0-0-2
2.11
Valur Reykjavik
2-0-0
2.81
0-0-2
2.44
2-0-0
3.22
1-0-1
3.09
1-0-1
3.71
2-0-0
3.42
0-0-2
4.20
0-1-1
3.78
1-0-1
2.77
0-1-1
3.10
2-0-0
3.55
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.74 +8.8
Allowed 0.79 -10.6
Differential 0.95 +6.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.82%8.71%5.30%1.14%0.38%25.38%
16.82%6.06%8.71%2.27%1.89%0.76%26.52%
28.71%8.71%5.30%2.65%0.76%0.76%26.89%
35.30%2.27%2.65%1.52%0.38%1.14%13.26%
41.14%1.89%0.76%0.38%0.76%—4.92%
5+0.38%0.76%0.76%1.14%——3.03%
Total25.38%26.52%26.89%13.26%4.92%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.56 +0.00
SD 1.33 1.33 1.95
CV 0.85 0.85 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
1—9.09%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
24.55%13.64%13.64%4.55%——36.36%
34.55%————4.55%9.09%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total13.64%40.91%27.27%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.64 +0.23
SD 1.49 1.33 2.05
CV 0.80 0.81 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%————9.09%
14.55%—4.55%—9.09%—18.18%
222.73%9.09%————31.82%
313.64%—4.55%4.55%——22.73%
49.09%———4.55%—13.64%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total50.00%18.18%13.64%4.55%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 1.14 +1.14
SD 1.32 1.46 2.01
CV 0.58 1.28 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
19.09%—13.64%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
24.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
313.64%4.55%—4.55%4.55%—27.27%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total27.27%27.27%22.73%13.64%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.50 +0.27
SD 1.45 1.30 2.07
CV 0.82 0.87 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%18.18%4.55%——31.82%
19.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
218.18%13.64%————31.82%
39.09%4.55%————13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total36.36%36.36%22.73%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 0.95 +0.45
SD 1.22 0.90 1.90
CV 0.87 0.94 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%18.18%18.18%——50.00%
1—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
24.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
3—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%27.27%36.36%27.27%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.82 -0.73
SD 1.23 0.96 1.64
CV 1.13 0.53 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%13.64%——27.27%
122.73%4.55%—9.09%——36.36%
24.55%9.09%13.64%———27.27%
3—————4.55%4.55%
4———————
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total27.27%22.73%18.18%27.27%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.64 -0.32
SD 1.36 1.40 1.73
CV 1.03 0.85 —
Max 6 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——13.64%4.55%9.09%—27.27%
14.55%9.09%22.73%4.55%—4.55%45.45%
2—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
3———————
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+———————
Total9.09%18.18%45.45%13.64%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 2.14 -0.95
SD 1.14 1.36 2.08
CV 0.96 0.63 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—18.18%4.55%——31.82%
19.09%18.18%9.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%54.55%
2——4.55%4.55%—4.55%13.64%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%18.18%31.82%13.64%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 2.09 -1.27
SD 0.66 1.63 1.55
CV 0.81 0.78 —
Max 2 6 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%———9.09%
19.09%4.55%22.73%———36.36%
222.73%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—36.36%
39.09%4.55%————13.64%
4———————
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total45.45%13.64%36.36%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.05 +0.68
SD 1.12 1.13 1.64
CV 0.65 1.08 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
19.09%4.55%9.09%———22.73%
24.55%13.64%9.09%9.09%——36.36%
34.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+4.55%——4.55%——9.09%
Total22.73%31.82%27.27%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.45 1.41 +1.05
SD 1.22 1.05 1.53
CV 0.50 0.75 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 1 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%50.00%
1—9.09%————9.09%
2—4.55%9.09%——4.55%18.18%
3——9.09%———9.09%
4—4.55%—4.55%4.55%—13.64%
5+———————
Total9.09%31.82%27.27%13.64%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 2.09 -0.82
SD 1.52 1.44 1.92
CV 1.19 0.69 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%18.18%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
14.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
218.18%9.09%——4.55%—31.82%
39.09%—4.55%——4.55%18.18%
4———————
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total36.36%31.82%13.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.27 +0.27
SD 1.37 1.42 1.78
CV 0.89 1.12 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
FH Hafnarfjordur 1481 47 40.38 +6.62 86.0% 26 31 35 41 45 50 52
Keflavik IF 1456 46 36.97 +9.03 94.0% 22 25 32 37 42 47 48
KR Reykjavik 1429 39 34.20 +4.80 83.0% 19 22 31 35 38 44 52
Fram Reykjavik 1401 40 32.34 +7.66 87.0% 19 21 27 31 36 47 52
Valur Reykjavik 1386 35 35.05 -0.05 51.0% 18 24 30 35 39 46 54
Breidablik 1360 30 34.61 -4.61 29.0% 20 23 30 34 39 46 51
Fjolnir 1350 31 31.09 -0.09 50.0% 15 19 26 31 35 42 47
Grindavik 1299 31 28.52 +2.48 72.0% 12 18 25 29 32 40 42
Fylkir Reykjavik 1235 22 28.30 -6.30 15.0% 15 19 24 27 32 39 47
HK Kopavogur 1215 18 20.87 -2.87 38.0% 7 12 16 21 25 30 35
Throttur Reykjavik 1209 22 25.37 -3.37 31.0% 11 17 21 26 30 34 38
IA Akranes 1181 13 25.68 -12.68 6.0% 9 13 21 26 30 35 41

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 4.5% * Slight Edge: 4.5% to 11% * Clear Edge: 11% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+4.55%
Slight Edge
43.94%16.67%39.39%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 15.80 Elo pts.
142 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.21 goals
Neutral
-2+0.11+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.4
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
39%
FH Hafnarfjordur, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.16 * Some Luck: 5.16 to 7.74 * Lucky: 7.74 to 10.32 * Wild Swing: 10.32 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.8 * Close: 1.8 to 2.7 * Off: 2.7 to 3.6 * Way Off: 3.6 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.94 * A Surprise: 0.94 to 1.5 * Several Surprises: 1.5 to 2.07 * Many Surprises: 2.07 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.15 points
Some Luck
06.4516
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.33
Pinpoint
02.255
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
94.00%
Keflavik IF
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
6.00%
IA Akranes
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 2
As Expected
00.92

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Wide Separation: 1.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 69% * Clear Edge: 69% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 94% * Dominant: 94% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55% * Some Drama: 55% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Top-Heavy
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 103.45
1.68
Strong Separation
0.71.351.652.5
Interquartile Edge
74%
Clear Edge
50%63%69%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
85%
Clear Edge
50%89%100%
Close Games
Expected
54%
Few
0%56%100%
Blowouts
Expected
21%
Frequent
0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.36 * Notable Separation: 0.36 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.33 * Some Carryover: 0.33 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.75 * Near-Lock: 0.75 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24.5% * Upset-Prone: 24.5% to 29% * Very Upset-Prone: 29% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.25
Very Even
00.280.360.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.89
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.10
Weak Carryover
00.330.590.751
Upset Rate
Expected
30%
Very Upset-Prone
0%31%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Shaky
0%26%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.91
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.91
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.040
Well Within Noise
00.1420.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
FH Hafnarfjordur39.00%19.00%15.00%7.00%9.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%———
Keflavik IF19.00%17.00%17.00%10.00%10.00%7.00%5.00%7.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%
Fram Reykjavik9.00%10.00%5.00%13.00%11.00%7.00%7.00%15.00%8.00%8.00%6.00%1.00%
KR Reykjavik7.00%14.00%11.00%18.00%14.00%9.00%11.00%4.00%3.00%6.00%1.00%2.00%
Valur Reykjavik11.00%12.00%16.00%14.00%11.00%8.00%5.00%4.00%11.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%
Fjolnir2.00%4.00%14.00%12.00%10.00%13.00%12.00%6.00%6.00%12.00%7.00%2.00%
Grindavik1.00%3.00%3.00%7.00%5.00%15.00%15.00%14.00%10.00%10.00%11.00%6.00%
Breidablik11.00%13.00%14.00%10.00%7.00%13.00%7.00%7.00%7.00%4.00%7.00%—
Fylkir Reykjavik1.00%4.00%3.00%6.00%9.00%5.00%11.00%12.00%17.00%16.00%9.00%7.00%
Throttur Reykjavik—2.00%——6.00%6.00%11.00%13.00%15.00%19.00%14.00%14.00%
HK Kopavogur———1.00%1.00%3.00%6.00%5.00%7.00%10.00%16.00%51.00%
IA Akranes—2.00%2.00%2.00%7.00%10.00%6.00%11.00%11.00%10.00%25.00%14.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
FH Hafnarfjordur 100% —
Keflavik IF 98.00% 2.00%
KR Reykjavik 97.00% 3.00%
Valur Reykjavik 95.00% 5.00%
Breidablik 93.00% 7.00%
Fram Reykjavik 93.00% 7.00%
Fjolnir 91.00% 9.00%
Fylkir Reykjavik 84.00% 16.00%
Grindavik 83.00% 17.00%
Throttur Reykjavik 72.00% 28.00%
IA Akranes 61.00% 39.00%
HK Kopavogur 33.00% 67.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2008-05-10 Breidablik D 1-157.6 1347 1356 42.57% 17.67% 39.76%+0.05 -0.1 1
2008-05-10 @ IA Akranes D 1-157.6 1356 1347 39.76% 17.67% 42.57%-0.05 +0.2 1
2008-05-10 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-432.7 1297 1364 34.36% 17.61% 48.03%-0.36 -31.8 0
2008-05-10 @ HK Kopavogur W 4-032.7 1364 1297 48.03% 17.61% 34.36%+0.36 +31.8 3
2008-05-10 Fjolnir L 0-336.6 1323 1309 45.76% 17.65% 36.59%+0.21 -30.9 0
2008-05-10 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 3-036.6 1309 1323 36.59% 17.65% 45.76%-0.21 +30.9 3
2008-05-10 Fram Reykjavik L 0-337.5 1348 1320 47.64% 17.62% 34.74%+0.31 -32.0 0
2008-05-10 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-037.5 1320 1348 34.74% 17.62% 47.64%-0.31 +32.0 3
2008-05-10 Grindavik W 3-143.1 1315 1323 42.74% 17.67% 39.59%+0.06 +16.3 3
2008-05-10 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-343.1 1323 1315 39.59% 17.67% 42.74%-0.06 -16.3 0
2008-05-10 Valur Reykjavik W 5-352.2 1321 1378 35.75% 17.64% 46.61%-0.29 +15.8 3
2008-05-10 @ Keflavik IF L 3-552.2 1378 1321 46.61% 17.64% 35.75%+0.29 -15.8 0
2008-05-14 Grindavik W 3-032.5 1362 1307 51.36% 17.54% 31.10%+0.50 +22.3 3
2008-05-14 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-332.5 1307 1362 31.10% 17.54% 51.36%-0.50 -22.4 0
2008-05-15 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-145.7 1337 1316 46.71% 17.64% 35.65%+0.26 +8.6 6
2008-05-15 @ Keflavik IF L 1-245.7 1316 1337 35.65% 17.64% 46.71%-0.26 -8.6 0
2008-05-15 HK Kopavogur W 2-033.7 1352 1265 55.38% 17.39% 27.23%+0.73 +13.7 6
2008-05-15 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-233.7 1265 1352 27.23% 17.39% 55.38%-0.73 -13.7 0
2008-05-15 IA Akranes W 2-036.7 1396 1347 50.47% 17.56% 31.97%+0.45 +15.8 6
2008-05-15 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-236.7 1347 1396 31.97% 17.56% 50.47%-0.45 -15.8 1
2008-05-15 KR Reykjavik W 2-146.4 1340 1332 44.94% 17.66% 37.40%+0.17 +9.0 6
2008-05-15 @ Fjolnir L 1-246.4 1332 1340 37.40% 17.66% 44.94%-0.17 -9.0 3
2008-05-15 Throttur Reykjavik D 0-053.0 1356 1292 52.50% 17.50% 30.00%+0.57 -1.4 2
2008-05-15 @ Breidablik D 0-053.0 1292 1356 30.00% 17.50% 52.50%-0.57 +1.4 1
2008-05-19 FH Hafnarfjordur D 4-469.4 1293 1412 27.97% 17.42% 54.60%-0.72 +0.8 2
2008-05-19 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 4-469.4 1412 1293 54.60% 17.42% 27.97%+0.72 -0.8 7
2008-05-19 Fjolnir L 0-140.3 1284 1349 34.77% 17.62% 47.60%-0.34 -9.0 0
2008-05-19 @ Grindavik W 1-040.3 1349 1284 47.60% 17.62% 34.77%+0.34 +9.0 9
2008-05-19 Keflavik IF L 1-243.8 1251 1345 30.91% 17.53% 51.56%-0.55 -7.6 0
2008-05-19 @ HK Kopavogur W 2-143.8 1345 1251 51.56% 17.53% 30.91%+0.55 +7.7 9
2008-05-19 Valur Reykjavik W 2-041.1 1307 1385 33.08% 17.59% 49.33%-0.43 +22.8 3
2008-05-19 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-241.1 1385 1307 49.33% 17.59% 33.08%+0.43 -22.8 3
2008-05-20 Breidablik L 1-247.1 1323 1355 39.23% 17.67% 43.10%-0.11 -9.4 3
2008-05-20 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-147.1 1355 1323 43.10% 17.67% 39.23%+0.11 +9.4 5
2008-05-20 Fram Reykjavik W 1-043.6 1331 1366 38.86% 17.67% 43.47%-0.13 +10.8 4
2008-05-20 @ IA Akranes L 0-143.6 1366 1331 43.47% 17.67% 38.86%+0.13 -10.8 6
2008-05-25 Fjolnir W 2-147.2 1362 1358 44.39% 17.66% 37.94%+0.14 +9.1 6
2008-05-25 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-247.2 1358 1362 37.94% 17.66% 44.39%-0.14 -9.1 9
2008-05-25 HK Kopavogur W 2-142.6 1330 1243 55.25% 17.40% 27.35%+0.72 +6.9 6
2008-05-25 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-242.6 1243 1330 27.35% 17.40% 55.25%-0.72 -6.9 0
2008-05-25 IA Akranes W 3-142.9 1353 1342 45.32% 17.65% 37.02%+0.19 +15.5 12
2008-05-25 @ Keflavik IF L 1-342.9 1342 1353 37.02% 17.65% 45.32%-0.19 -15.5 4
2008-05-25 KR Reykjavik W 2-034.5 1411 1313 56.54% 17.34% 26.12%+0.80 +13.2 10
2008-05-25 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-234.5 1313 1411 26.12% 17.34% 56.54%-0.80 -13.2 3
2008-05-25 Throttur Reykjavik W 1-039.1 1355 1294 52.10% 17.51% 30.38%+0.54 +8.0 9
2008-05-25 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-139.1 1294 1355 30.38% 17.51% 52.10%-0.54 -8.0 2
2008-05-26 Grindavik L 3-649.1 1364 1275 55.52% 17.39% 27.09%+0.74 -24.9 5
2008-05-26 @ Breidablik W 6-349.1 1275 1364 27.09% 17.39% 55.52%-0.74 +24.9 3
2008-06-01 Breidablik L 1-248.9 1349 1339 45.12% 17.66% 37.23%+0.18 -10.5 9
2008-06-01 @ Fjolnir W 2-148.9 1339 1349 37.23% 17.66% 45.12%-0.18 +10.5 8
2008-06-01 Fylkir Reykjavik L 2-353.0 1327 1337 42.37% 17.67% 39.95%+0.04 -9.5 4
2008-06-01 @ IA Akranes W 3-253.0 1337 1327 39.95% 17.67% 42.37%-0.04 +9.5 9
2008-06-01 Keflavik IF W 3-255.1 1286 1368 32.41% 17.57% 50.02%-0.47 +10.9 5
2008-06-01 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 2-355.1 1368 1286 50.02% 17.57% 32.41%+0.47 -10.9 12
2008-06-02 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-332.1 1300 1424 27.34% 17.40% 55.26%-0.76 -20.0 3
2008-06-02 @ Grindavik W 3-032.1 1424 1300 55.26% 17.40% 27.34%+0.76 +20.0 13
2008-06-02 Fram Reykjavik W 2-040.3 1300 1363 34.95% 17.63% 47.43%-0.33 +22.0 6
2008-06-02 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-240.3 1363 1300 47.43% 17.63% 34.95%+0.33 -22.0 9
2008-06-02 Valur Reykjavik W 4-252.0 1236 1371 26.14% 17.34% 56.52%-0.84 +20.0 3
2008-06-02 @ HK Kopavogur L 2-452.0 1371 1236 56.52% 17.34% 26.14%+0.84 -20.0 6
2008-06-05 Throttur Reykjavik L 2-355.2 1346 1297 50.56% 17.56% 31.88%+0.46 -11.0 9
2008-06-05 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-255.2 1297 1346 31.88% 17.56% 50.56%-0.46 +11.0 8
2008-06-08 Breidablik W 1-042.1 1351 1350 43.97% 17.67% 38.36%+0.12 +9.8 9
2008-06-08 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-142.1 1350 1351 38.36% 17.67% 43.97%-0.12 -9.8 8
2008-06-08 Fjolnir W 2-035.3 1444 1338 57.53% 17.29% 25.19%+0.86 +12.8 16
2008-06-08 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-235.3 1338 1444 25.19% 17.29% 57.53%-0.86 -12.8 9
2008-06-08 Grindavik L 0-145.4 1341 1280 52.08% 17.52% 30.41%+0.54 -12.7 9
2008-06-08 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-045.4 1280 1341 30.41% 17.52% 52.08%-0.54 +12.7 6
2008-06-08 IA Akranes D 1-156.4 1256 1317 35.26% 17.63% 47.11%-0.32 +0.6 4
2008-06-08 @ HK Kopavogur D 1-156.4 1317 1256 47.11% 17.63% 35.26%+0.32 -0.6 5
2008-06-08 KR Reykjavik W 4-245.9 1358 1322 48.70% 17.60% 33.70%+0.36 +12.8 15
2008-06-08 @ Keflavik IF L 2-445.9 1322 1358 33.70% 17.60% 48.70%-0.36 -12.8 6
2008-06-11 Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-042.1 1325 1335 42.39% 17.67% 39.94%+0.04 +10.1 12
2008-06-11 @ Fjolnir L 0-142.1 1335 1325 39.94% 17.67% 42.39%-0.04 -10.1 9
2008-06-15 Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-035.1 1309 1325 41.55% 17.68% 40.78%+0.00 +28.1 9
2008-06-15 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-335.1 1325 1309 40.78% 17.68% 41.55%+0.00 -28.1 9
2008-06-15 HK Kopavogur W 2-143.9 1308 1257 50.74% 17.55% 31.70%+0.47 +7.8 11
2008-06-15 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-243.9 1257 1308 31.70% 17.55% 50.74%-0.47 -7.8 4
2008-06-15 Keflavik IF L 0-140.1 1293 1370 33.06% 17.59% 49.35%-0.43 -8.6 6
2008-06-15 @ Grindavik W 1-040.1 1370 1293 49.35% 17.59% 33.06%+0.43 +8.6 18
2008-06-15 Valur Reykjavik D 0-053.3 1317 1361 37.55% 17.66% 44.79%-0.20 +0.4 6
2008-06-15 @ IA Akranes D 0-053.3 1361 1317 44.79% 17.66% 37.55%+0.20 -0.4 10
2008-06-16 FH Hafnarfjordur W 4-146.6 1340 1457 28.18% 17.43% 54.38%-0.71 +30.5 11
2008-06-16 @ Breidablik L 1-446.6 1457 1340 54.38% 17.43% 28.18%+0.71 -30.4 16
2008-06-16 Fram Reykjavik L 0-143.6 1335 1329 44.76% 17.66% 37.59%+0.16 -11.1 12
2008-06-16 @ Fjolnir W 1-043.6 1329 1335 37.59% 17.66% 44.76%-0.16 +11.1 12
2008-06-23 Breidablik W 2-148.6 1340 1371 39.42% 17.67% 42.91%-0.11 +10.1 15
2008-06-23 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-248.6 1371 1340 42.91% 17.67% 39.42%+0.11 -10.1 11
2008-06-23 Fjolnir L 1-250.9 1379 1324 51.23% 17.54% 31.23%+0.50 -11.8 18
2008-06-23 @ Keflavik IF W 2-150.9 1324 1379 31.23% 17.54% 51.23%-0.50 +11.8 15
2008-06-23 KR Reykjavik L 0-332.0 1249 1337 31.68% 17.55% 50.77%-0.51 -22.7 4
2008-06-23 @ HK Kopavogur W 3-032.0 1337 1249 50.77% 17.55% 31.68%+0.51 +22.7 12
2008-06-23 Throttur Reykjavik D 1-156.8 1317 1316 44.00% 17.67% 38.33%+0.12 -0.3 7
2008-06-23 @ IA Akranes D 1-156.8 1316 1317 38.33% 17.67% 44.00%-0.12 +0.3 12
2008-06-24 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-142.4 1360 1426 34.56% 17.62% 47.82%-0.35 -8.9 10
2008-06-24 @ Valur Reykjavik W 1-042.4 1426 1360 47.82% 17.62% 34.56%+0.35 +8.9 19
2008-06-25 Grindavik L 0-143.2 1297 1284 45.62% 17.65% 36.73%+0.20 -11.3 9
2008-06-25 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-043.2 1284 1297 36.73% 17.65% 45.62%-0.20 +11.3 9
2008-06-29 Fram Reykjavik W 2-145.1 1435 1350 55.10% 17.40% 27.49%+0.71 +6.9 22
2008-06-29 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-245.1 1350 1435 27.49% 17.40% 55.10%-0.71 -6.9 15
2008-06-29 HK Kopavogur D 2-261.6 1296 1227 53.07% 17.48% 29.45%+0.60 -1.0 10
2008-06-29 @ Grindavik D 2-261.6 1227 1296 29.45% 17.48% 53.07%-0.60 +1.0 5
2008-06-29 Valur Reykjavik L 0-334.9 1316 1351 38.78% 17.67% 43.55%-0.14 -27.0 12
2008-06-29 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 3-034.9 1351 1316 43.55% 17.67% 38.78%+0.14 +26.9 13
2008-06-30 IA Akranes W 2-036.0 1360 1317 49.76% 17.58% 32.66%+0.42 +16.0 15
2008-06-30 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-236.0 1317 1360 32.66% 17.58% 49.76%-0.42 -16.0 7
2008-06-30 Keflavik IF D 2-263.3 1360 1367 42.87% 17.67% 39.46%+0.06 -0.1 12
2008-06-30 @ Breidablik D 2-263.3 1367 1360 39.46% 17.67% 42.87%-0.06 +0.1 19
2008-07-06 FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-047.3 1367 1442 33.39% 17.60% 49.02%-0.42 +12.0 22
2008-07-06 @ Keflavik IF L 0-147.3 1442 1367 49.02% 17.60% 33.39%+0.42 -12.0 22
2008-07-06 Fram Reykjavik W 2-036.9 1378 1343 48.69% 17.60% 33.71%+0.36 +16.5 16
2008-07-06 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-236.9 1343 1378 33.71% 17.60% 48.69%-0.36 -16.5 15
2008-07-06 KR Reykjavik L 0-139.7 1289 1376 31.82% 17.56% 50.62%-0.50 -8.3 12
2008-07-06 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 1-039.7 1376 1289 50.62% 17.56% 31.82%+0.50 +8.3 18
2008-07-07 Breidablik L 0-235.9 1286 1360 33.46% 17.60% 48.95%-0.41 -16.4 9
2008-07-07 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-035.9 1360 1286 48.95% 17.60% 33.46%+0.41 +16.4 15
2008-07-07 Fjolnir L 1-634.1 1228 1336 29.16% 17.47% 53.37%-0.65 -28.2 5
2008-07-07 @ HK Kopavogur W 6-134.1 1336 1228 53.37% 17.47% 29.16%+0.65 +28.2 18
2008-07-07 Grindavik L 1-248.0 1301 1295 44.68% 17.66% 37.66%+0.15 -10.4 7
2008-07-07 @ IA Akranes W 2-148.0 1295 1301 37.66% 17.66% 44.68%-0.15 +10.4 13
2008-07-10 Valur Reykjavik L 1-249.6 1385 1395 42.35% 17.67% 39.97%+0.04 -10.0 18
2008-07-10 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-149.6 1395 1385 39.97% 17.67% 42.35%-0.04 +10.0 19
2008-07-13 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-254.3 1430 1270 63.39% 16.88% 19.73%+1.24 -14.4 22
2008-07-13 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-154.3 1270 1430 19.73% 16.88% 63.39%-1.24 +14.4 12
2008-07-13 IA Akranes W 2-034.5 1364 1290 53.69% 17.46% 28.85%+0.63 +14.4 21
2008-07-13 @ Fjolnir L 0-234.5 1290 1364 28.85% 17.46% 53.69%-0.63 -14.4 7
2008-07-14 HK Kopavogur W 2-139.6 1377 1199 64.99% 16.74% 18.27%+1.36 +4.8 18
2008-07-14 @ Breidablik L 1-239.6 1199 1377 18.27% 16.74% 64.99%-1.36 -4.8 5
2008-07-14 Keflavik IF L 0-237.4 1326 1379 36.35% 17.65% 46.00%-0.26 -17.6 15
2008-07-14 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-037.4 1379 1326 46.00% 17.65% 36.35%+0.26 +17.6 25
2008-07-14 Throttur Reykjavik D 2-261.9 1305 1281 47.18% 17.63% 35.19%+0.28 -0.5 14
2008-07-14 @ Grindavik D 2-261.9 1281 1305 35.19% 17.63% 47.18%-0.28 +0.5 13
2008-07-19 Keflavik IF D 1-159.3 1405 1397 44.93% 17.66% 37.41%+0.17 -0.4 20
2008-07-19 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-159.3 1397 1405 37.41% 17.66% 44.93%-0.17 +0.4 26
2008-07-20 HK Kopavogur W 4-026.0 1416 1195 68.85% 16.29% 14.86%+1.67 +14.8 25
2008-07-20 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-426.0 1195 1416 14.86% 16.29% 68.85%-1.67 -14.8 5
2008-07-20 IA Akranes W 6-133.5 1381 1276 57.49% 17.29% 25.22%+0.85 +24.8 21
2008-07-20 @ Breidablik L 1-633.5 1276 1381 25.22% 17.29% 57.49%-0.85 -24.8 7
2008-07-21 Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-033.1 1309 1284 47.29% 17.63% 35.08%+0.29 +24.8 18
2008-07-21 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-333.1 1284 1309 35.08% 17.63% 47.29%-0.29 -24.8 12
2008-07-21 KR Reykjavik W 2-149.8 1305 1375 34.03% 17.61% 48.36%-0.38 +11.2 17
2008-07-21 @ Grindavik L 1-249.8 1375 1305 48.36% 17.61% 34.03%+0.38 -11.2 18
2008-07-21 Throttur Reykjavik L 3-460.2 1379 1281 56.53% 17.34% 26.13%+0.80 -11.9 21
2008-07-21 @ Fjolnir W 4-360.2 1281 1379 26.13% 17.34% 56.53%-0.80 +11.9 16
2008-07-27 FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-537.9 1251 1431 21.43% 17.03% 61.54%-1.15 -11.7 7
2008-07-27 @ IA Akranes W 5-237.9 1431 1251 61.54% 17.03% 21.43%+1.15 +11.7 28
2008-07-27 Valur Reykjavik L 3-547.9 1316 1404 31.61% 17.55% 50.83%-0.51 -11.4 17
2008-07-27 @ Grindavik W 5-347.9 1404 1316 50.83% 17.55% 31.61%+0.51 +11.4 23
2008-07-28 Breidablik D 2-263.0 1293 1406 28.62% 17.45% 53.93%-0.68 +1.0 17
2008-07-28 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 2-263.0 1406 1293 53.93% 17.45% 28.62%+0.68 -1.0 22
2008-07-28 Fram Reykjavik L 0-232.1 1180 1334 24.02% 17.22% 58.76%-0.97 -12.3 5
2008-07-28 @ HK Kopavogur W 2-032.1 1334 1180 58.76% 17.22% 24.02%+0.97 +12.3 21
2008-07-28 Keflavik IF D 3-366.8 1259 1397 25.73% 17.32% 56.95%-0.86 +1.1 13
2008-07-28 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 3-366.8 1397 1259 56.95% 17.32% 25.73%+0.86 -1.1 27
2008-07-29 Fjolnir W 2-038.6 1363 1367 43.34% 17.67% 38.99%+0.09 +18.6 21
2008-07-29 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-238.6 1367 1363 38.99% 17.67% 43.34%-0.09 -18.6 21
2008-08-06 HK Kopavogur W 3-243.3 1396 1167 69.45% 16.21% 14.34%+1.72 +3.6 30
2008-08-06 @ Keflavik IF L 2-343.3 1167 1396 14.34% 16.21% 69.45%-1.72 -3.6 5
2008-08-06 IA Akranes W 2-032.8 1346 1239 57.60% 17.28% 25.12%+0.86 +12.8 24
2008-08-06 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-232.8 1239 1346 25.12% 17.28% 57.60%-0.86 -12.8 7
2008-08-06 KR Reykjavik D 1-159.0 1405 1382 47.04% 17.63% 35.33%+0.27 -0.6 23
2008-08-06 @ Breidablik D 1-159.0 1382 1405 35.33% 17.63% 47.04%-0.27 +0.6 22
2008-08-06 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-033.1 1442 1294 62.13% 16.99% 20.88%+1.15 +10.8 31
2008-08-06 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-233.1 1294 1442 20.88% 16.99% 62.13%-1.15 -10.8 17
2008-08-07 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-032.0 1416 1260 62.88% 16.93% 20.19%+1.21 +10.5 26
2008-08-07 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-232.0 1260 1416 20.19% 16.93% 62.88%-1.21 -10.5 13
2008-08-07 Grindavik L 0-145.0 1348 1304 49.82% 17.58% 32.60%+0.42 -12.2 21
2008-08-07 @ Fjolnir W 1-045.0 1304 1348 32.60% 17.58% 49.82%-0.42 +12.2 20
2008-08-10 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-248.3 1383 1453 33.96% 17.61% 48.43%-0.39 -8.3 22
2008-08-10 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-148.3 1453 1383 48.43% 17.61% 33.96%+0.39 +8.3 34
2008-08-10 Fram Reykjavik D 1-156.9 1283 1359 33.35% 17.59% 49.05%-0.42 +0.9 18
2008-08-10 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 1-156.9 1359 1283 49.05% 17.59% 33.35%+0.42 -0.9 25
2008-08-11 Breidablik D 2-263.2 1316 1405 31.68% 17.55% 50.76%-0.51 +0.8 21
2008-08-11 @ Grindavik D 2-263.2 1405 1316 50.76% 17.55% 31.68%+0.51 -0.8 24
2008-08-11 Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-155.9 1164 1250 31.98% 17.56% 50.46%-0.49 +1.0 6
2008-08-11 @ HK Kopavogur D 1-155.9 1250 1164 50.46% 17.56% 31.98%+0.49 -1.0 14
2008-08-11 Keflavik IF L 1-434.4 1227 1400 22.06% 17.08% 60.85%-1.11 -13.9 7
2008-08-11 @ IA Akranes W 4-134.4 1400 1227 60.85% 17.08% 22.06%+1.11 +13.9 33
2008-08-11 Valur Reykjavik L 2-351.0 1336 1426 31.41% 17.55% 51.05%-0.52 -7.4 21
2008-08-11 @ Fjolnir W 3-251.0 1426 1336 51.05% 17.55% 31.41%+0.52 +7.4 29
2008-08-17 Fjolnir W 4-137.7 1404 1329 53.85% 17.45% 28.70%+0.64 +17.6 27
2008-08-17 @ Breidablik L 1-437.7 1329 1404 28.70% 17.45% 53.85%-0.64 -17.6 21
2008-08-17 Grindavik L 0-150.2 1462 1317 61.73% 17.02% 21.25%+1.13 -14.9 34
2008-08-17 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-050.2 1317 1462 21.25% 17.02% 61.73%-1.13 +14.8 24
2008-08-17 HK Kopavogur L 0-150.8 1434 1165 72.45% 15.74% 11.82%+2.00 -17.4 29
2008-08-17 @ Valur Reykjavik W 1-050.8 1165 1434 11.82% 15.74% 72.45%-2.00 +17.3 9
2008-08-17 IA Akranes D 2-261.4 1249 1213 48.78% 17.60% 33.62%+0.36 -0.6 15
2008-08-17 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 2-261.4 1213 1249 33.62% 17.60% 48.78%-0.36 +0.6 8
2008-08-17 KR Reykjavik L 0-239.4 1358 1374 41.46% 17.68% 40.87%-0.01 -19.6 25
2008-08-17 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-039.4 1374 1358 40.87% 17.68% 41.46%+0.01 +19.6 25
2008-08-17 Throttur Reykjavik W 5-030.1 1414 1284 60.14% 17.13% 22.73%+1.02 +27.3 36
2008-08-17 @ Keflavik IF L 0-530.1 1284 1414 22.73% 17.13% 60.14%-1.02 -27.3 18
2008-08-24 FH Hafnarfjordur D 3-368.1 1311 1447 26.00% 17.33% 56.66%-0.84 +1.1 22
2008-08-24 @ Fjolnir D 3-368.1 1447 1311 56.66% 17.33% 26.00%+0.84 -1.1 35
2008-08-24 Fram Reykjavik L 0-239.0 1332 1338 42.94% 17.67% 39.39%+0.07 -20.2 24
2008-08-24 @ Grindavik W 2-039.0 1338 1332 39.39% 17.67% 42.94%-0.07 +20.2 28
2008-08-24 Fylkir Reykjavik D 0-052.1 1257 1248 45.07% 17.66% 37.27%+0.17 -0.5 19
2008-08-24 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 0-052.1 1248 1257 37.27% 17.66% 45.07%-0.17 +0.5 16
2008-08-24 HK Kopavogur L 1-248.3 1213 1182 48.11% 17.61% 34.27%+0.33 -11.1 8
2008-08-24 @ IA Akranes W 2-148.3 1182 1213 34.27% 17.61% 48.11%-0.33 +11.1 12
2008-08-24 Keflavik IF D 2-265.5 1394 1441 37.16% 17.66% 45.19%-0.22 +0.3 26
2008-08-24 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-265.5 1441 1394 45.19% 17.66% 37.16%+0.22 -0.3 37
2008-08-24 Valur Reykjavik L 0-242.5 1421 1416 44.53% 17.66% 37.81%+0.15 -20.8 27
2008-08-24 @ Breidablik W 2-042.5 1416 1421 37.81% 17.66% 44.53%-0.15 +20.8 32
2008-08-27 Fjolnir W 3-141.2 1358 1312 50.15% 17.57% 32.28%+0.44 +13.8 31
2008-08-27 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-341.2 1312 1358 32.28% 17.57% 50.15%-0.44 -13.8 22
2008-08-27 KR Reykjavik L 0-233.2 1249 1394 24.90% 17.27% 57.82%-0.91 -12.7 16
2008-08-27 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-033.2 1394 1249 57.82% 17.27% 24.90%+0.91 +12.7 29
2008-08-31 Grindavik W 3-031.1 1441 1312 60.07% 17.14% 22.79%+1.02 +17.0 40
2008-08-31 @ Keflavik IF L 0-331.1 1312 1441 22.79% 17.14% 60.07%-1.02 -17.0 24
2008-08-31 IA Akranes L 0-150.5 1437 1202 69.94% 16.14% 13.92%+1.76 -16.8 32
2008-08-31 @ Valur Reykjavik W 1-050.5 1202 1437 13.92% 16.14% 69.94%-1.76 +16.8 11
2008-08-31 Throttur Reykjavik W 4-035.5 1193 1257 34.94% 17.63% 47.43%-0.33 +41.7 15
2008-08-31 @ HK Kopavogur L 0-435.5 1257 1193 47.43% 17.63% 34.94%+0.33 -41.7 19
2008-09-13 Fram Reykjavik W 3-035.2 1401 1372 47.75% 17.62% 34.63%+0.31 +24.5 30
2008-09-13 @ Breidablik L 0-335.2 1372 1401 34.63% 17.62% 47.75%-0.31 -24.5 31
2008-09-13 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-346.0 1295 1236 51.80% 17.52% 30.68%+0.53 -20.6 24
2008-09-13 @ Grindavik W 3-146.0 1236 1295 30.68% 17.52% 51.80%-0.53 +20.6 19
2008-09-13 HK Kopavogur W 2-140.3 1407 1235 64.47% 16.79% 18.74%+1.32 +4.9 32
2008-09-13 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-240.3 1235 1407 18.74% 16.79% 64.47%-1.32 -4.9 15
2008-09-13 Keflavik IF L 1-243.3 1298 1458 23.47% 17.18% 59.35%-1.01 -6.0 22
2008-09-13 @ Fjolnir W 2-143.3 1458 1298 59.35% 17.18% 23.47%+1.01 +6.0 43
2008-09-13 Valur Reykjavik W 3-037.6 1446 1420 47.33% 17.63% 35.05%+0.29 +24.8 38
2008-09-13 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-337.6 1420 1446 35.05% 17.63% 47.33%-0.29 -24.8 32
2008-09-14 IA Akranes W 4-138.8 1215 1219 43.23% 17.67% 39.10%+0.08 +22.9 22
2008-09-14 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-438.8 1219 1215 39.10% 17.67% 43.23%-0.08 -22.9 11
2008-09-17 Breidablik W 3-146.0 1464 1425 49.11% 17.59% 33.29%+0.38 +14.1 46
2008-09-17 @ Keflavik IF L 1-346.0 1425 1464 33.29% 17.59% 49.11%-0.38 -14.1 30
2008-09-17 FH Hafnarfjordur W 4-147.3 1348 1470 27.48% 17.40% 55.11%-0.75 +30.8 34
2008-09-17 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-447.3 1470 1348 55.11% 17.40% 27.48%+0.75 -30.8 38
2008-09-18 Fjolnir L 0-334.0 1257 1292 38.71% 17.67% 43.62%-0.14 -26.9 19
2008-09-18 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-034.0 1292 1257 43.62% 17.67% 38.71%+0.14 +26.9 25
2008-09-18 Grindavik L 0-236.3 1230 1274 37.55% 17.66% 44.79%-0.20 -18.1 15
2008-09-18 @ HK Kopavogur W 2-036.3 1274 1230 44.79% 17.66% 37.55%+0.20 +18.1 27
2008-09-18 KR Reykjavik D 0-052.9 1196 1412 18.17% 16.72% 65.11%-1.41 +3.1 12
2008-09-18 @ IA Akranes D 0-052.9 1412 1196 65.11% 16.72% 18.17%+1.41 -3.1 33
2008-09-18 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-031.5 1396 1238 63.10% 16.91% 19.99%+1.22 +10.4 35
2008-09-18 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-231.5 1238 1396 19.99% 16.91% 63.10%-1.22 -10.4 22
2008-09-21 Fylkir Reykjavik L 2-359.3 1411 1230 65.36% 16.70% 17.94%+1.39 -14.0 30
2008-09-21 @ Breidablik W 3-259.3 1230 1411 17.94% 16.70% 65.36%-1.39 +14.0 22
2008-09-21 HK Kopavogur W 3-137.9 1319 1212 57.65% 17.28% 25.06%+0.86 +11.0 28
2008-09-21 @ Fjolnir L 1-337.9 1212 1319 25.06% 17.28% 57.65%-0.86 -11.0 15
2008-09-21 IA Akranes D 1-156.1 1292 1199 56.04% 17.36% 26.60%+0.77 -1.7 28
2008-09-21 @ Grindavik D 1-156.1 1199 1292 26.60% 17.36% 56.04%-0.77 +1.7 13
2008-09-21 Keflavik IF W 3-258.9 1440 1478 38.38% 17.67% 43.95%-0.16 +9.8 41
2008-09-21 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-358.9 1478 1440 43.95% 17.67% 38.38%+0.16 -9.8 46
2008-09-21 Throttur Reykjavik W 5-236.3 1409 1227 65.37% 16.70% 17.93%+1.39 +9.9 36
2008-09-21 @ KR Reykjavik L 2-536.3 1227 1409 17.93% 16.70% 65.37%-1.39 -9.9 22
2008-09-21 Valur Reykjavik W 2-149.7 1378 1406 39.89% 17.67% 42.43%-0.08 +10.0 37
2008-09-21 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-249.7 1406 1378 42.43% 17.67% 39.89%+0.08 -10.0 35
2008-09-24 Breidablik W 3-035.9 1449 1397 50.95% 17.55% 31.50%+0.48 +22.6 44
2008-09-24 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-335.9 1397 1449 31.50% 17.55% 50.95%-0.48 -22.6 30
2008-09-27 Breidablik W 2-152.5 1201 1374 22.06% 17.08% 60.86%-1.11 +13.8 18
2008-09-27 @ HK Kopavogur L 1-252.5 1374 1201 60.86% 17.08% 22.06%+1.11 -13.8 30
2008-09-27 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-231.5 1244 1472 17.14% 16.61% 66.26%-1.50 -9.0 22
2008-09-27 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-031.5 1472 1244 66.26% 16.61% 17.14%+1.50 +9.0 47
2008-09-27 Fjolnir L 0-330.2 1201 1330 26.71% 17.37% 55.92%-0.80 -19.6 13
2008-09-27 @ IA Akranes W 3-030.2 1330 1201 55.92% 17.37% 26.71%+0.80 +19.6 31
2008-09-27 Fram Reykjavik L 1-255.0 1468 1388 54.37% 17.43% 28.19%+0.67 -12.4 46
2008-09-27 @ Keflavik IF W 2-155.0 1388 1468 28.19% 17.43% 54.37%-0.67 +12.4 40
2008-09-27 Grindavik L 0-139.3 1217 1291 33.61% 17.60% 48.79%-0.40 -8.7 22
2008-09-27 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 1-039.3 1291 1217 48.79% 17.60% 33.61%+0.40 +8.7 31
2008-09-27 KR Reykjavik L 0-144.9 1396 1419 40.56% 17.68% 41.76%-0.05 -10.2 35
2008-09-27 @ Valur Reykjavik W 1-044.9 1419 1396 41.76% 17.68% 40.56%+0.05 +10.2 39

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2008-08-17 11.82% HK Kopavogur 1165 1 @ Valur Reykjavik 1434 0
2 2008-08-31 13.92% IA Akranes 1202 1 @ Valur Reykjavik 1437 0
3 2008-09-21 17.94% Fylkir Reykjavik 1230 3 @ Breidablik 1411 2
4 2008-07-13 19.73% Fylkir Reykjavik 1270 2 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1430 1
5 2008-08-17 21.25% Grindavik 1317 1 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1462 0
6 2008-09-27 22.06% @ HK Kopavogur 1201 2 Breidablik 1374 1
7 2008-07-21 26.13% Throttur Reykjavik 1281 4 @ Fjolnir 1379 3
8 2008-06-02 26.14% @ HK Kopavogur 1236 4 Valur Reykjavik 1371 2
9 2008-05-26 27.09% Grindavik 1275 6 @ Breidablik 1364 3
10 2008-09-17 27.48% @ Fram Reykjavik 1348 4 FH Hafnarfjordur 1470 1
11 2008-06-16 28.18% @ Breidablik 1340 4 FH Hafnarfjordur 1457 1
12 2008-09-27 28.19% Fram Reykjavik 1388 2 @ Keflavik IF 1468 1
13 2008-06-08 30.41% Grindavik 1280 1 @ Fram Reykjavik 1341 0
14 2008-09-13 30.68% Fylkir Reykjavik 1236 3 @ Grindavik 1295 1
15 2008-06-23 31.23% Fjolnir 1324 2 @ Keflavik IF 1379 1
16 2008-06-05 31.88% Throttur Reykjavik 1297 3 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1346 2
17 2008-06-01 32.41% @ Throttur Reykjavik 1286 3 Keflavik IF 1368 2
18 2008-08-07 32.60% Grindavik 1304 1 @ Fjolnir 1348 0
19 2008-05-19 33.08% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1307 2 Valur Reykjavik 1385 0
20 2008-07-06 33.39% @ Keflavik IF 1367 1 FH Hafnarfjordur 1442 0
21 2008-07-21 34.03% @ Grindavik 1305 2 KR Reykjavik 1375 1
22 2008-08-24 34.27% HK Kopavogur 1182 2 @ IA Akranes 1213 1
23 2008-05-10 34.74% Fram Reykjavik 1320 3 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1348 0
24 2008-08-31 34.94% @ HK Kopavogur 1193 4 Throttur Reykjavik 1257 0
25 2008-06-02 34.95% @ KR Reykjavik 1300 2 Fram Reykjavik 1363 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-08-31 41.71 @ HK Kopavogur 4 1193 34.94% Throttur Reykjavik 0 1257 47.43% 17.63%
2 2008-05-10 32.05 Fram Reykjavik 3 1320 34.74% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1348 47.64% 17.62%
3 2008-05-10 31.80 FH Hafnarfjordur 4 1364 48.03% @ HK Kopavogur 0 1297 34.36% 17.61%
4 2008-05-10 30.94 Fjolnir 3 1309 36.59% @ Throttur Reykjavik 0 1323 45.76% 17.65%
5 2008-09-17 30.82 @ Fram Reykjavik 4 1348 27.48% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1470 55.11% 17.40%
6 2008-06-16 30.45 @ Breidablik 4 1340 28.18% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1457 54.38% 17.43%
7 2008-07-07 28.19 Fjolnir 6 1336 53.37% @ HK Kopavogur 1 1228 29.16% 17.47%
8 2008-06-15 28.09 @ KR Reykjavik 3 1309 41.55% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1325 40.78% 17.68%
9 2008-08-17 27.27 @ Keflavik IF 5 1414 60.14% Throttur Reykjavik 0 1284 22.73% 17.13%
10 2008-06-29 26.95 Valur Reykjavik 3 1351 43.55% @ Throttur Reykjavik 0 1316 38.78% 17.67%
11 2008-09-18 26.90 Fjolnir 3 1292 43.62% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1257 38.71% 17.67%
12 2008-05-26 24.88 Grindavik 6 1275 27.09% @ Breidablik 3 1364 55.52% 17.39%
13 2008-07-20 24.80 @ Breidablik 6 1381 57.49% IA Akranes 1 1276 25.22% 17.29%
14 2008-07-21 24.78 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1309 47.29% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1284 35.08% 17.63%
15 2008-09-13 24.76 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1446 47.33% Valur Reykjavik 0 1420 35.05% 17.63%
16 2008-09-13 24.51 @ Breidablik 3 1401 47.75% Fram Reykjavik 0 1372 34.63% 17.62%
17 2008-09-14 22.88 @ Throttur Reykjavik 4 1215 43.23% IA Akranes 1 1219 39.10% 17.67%
18 2008-05-19 22.75 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1307 33.08% Valur Reykjavik 0 1385 49.33% 17.59%
19 2008-06-23 22.72 KR Reykjavik 3 1337 50.77% @ HK Kopavogur 0 1249 31.68% 17.55%
20 2008-09-24 22.61 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1449 50.95% Breidablik 0 1397 31.50% 17.55%
21 2008-05-14 22.35 @ Valur Reykjavik 3 1362 51.36% Grindavik 0 1307 31.10% 17.54%
22 2008-06-02 21.98 @ KR Reykjavik 2 1300 34.95% Fram Reykjavik 0 1363 47.43% 17.63%
23 2008-08-24 20.82 Valur Reykjavik 2 1416 37.81% @ Breidablik 0 1421 44.53% 17.66%
24 2008-09-13 20.59 Fylkir Reykjavik 3 1236 30.68% @ Grindavik 1 1295 51.80% 17.52%
25 2008-08-24 20.19 Fram Reykjavik 2 1338 39.39% @ Grindavik 0 1332 42.94% 17.67%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-05-19 69.4 @ Throttur Reykjavik 4 1293 27.97% FH Hafnarfjordur 4 1412 54.60% 17.42%
2 2008-08-24 68.1 @ Fjolnir 3 1311 26.00% FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1447 56.66% 17.33%
3 2008-07-28 66.8 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 3 1259 25.73% Keflavik IF 3 1397 56.95% 17.32%
4 2008-08-24 65.5 @ KR Reykjavik 2 1394 37.16% Keflavik IF 2 1441 45.19% 17.66%
5 2008-06-30 63.3 @ Breidablik 2 1360 42.87% Keflavik IF 2 1367 39.46% 17.67%
6 2008-08-11 63.2 @ Grindavik 2 1316 31.68% Breidablik 2 1405 50.76% 17.55%
7 2008-07-28 63.0 @ Throttur Reykjavik 2 1293 28.62% Breidablik 2 1406 53.93% 17.45%
8 2008-07-14 61.9 @ Grindavik 2 1305 47.18% Throttur Reykjavik 2 1281 35.19% 17.63%
9 2008-06-29 61.6 @ Grindavik 2 1296 53.07% HK Kopavogur 2 1227 29.45% 17.48%
10 2008-08-17 61.4 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1249 48.78% IA Akranes 2 1213 33.62% 17.60%
11 2008-07-21 60.2 Throttur Reykjavik 4 1281 26.13% @ Fjolnir 3 1379 56.53% 17.34%
12 2008-07-19 59.3 @ Valur Reykjavik 1 1405 44.93% Keflavik IF 1 1397 37.41% 17.66%
13 2008-09-21 59.3 Fylkir Reykjavik 3 1230 17.94% @ Breidablik 2 1411 65.36% 16.70%
14 2008-08-06 59.0 @ Breidablik 1 1405 47.04% KR Reykjavik 1 1382 35.33% 17.63%
15 2008-09-21 58.9 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1440 38.38% Keflavik IF 2 1478 43.95% 17.67%
16 2008-05-10 57.6 @ IA Akranes 1 1347 42.57% Breidablik 1 1356 39.76% 17.67%
17 2008-08-10 56.9 @ Throttur Reykjavik 1 1283 33.35% Fram Reykjavik 1 1359 49.05% 17.59%
18 2008-06-23 56.8 @ IA Akranes 1 1317 44.00% Throttur Reykjavik 1 1316 38.33% 17.67%
19 2008-06-08 56.4 @ HK Kopavogur 1 1256 35.26% IA Akranes 1 1317 47.11% 17.63%
20 2008-09-21 56.1 @ Grindavik 1 1292 56.04% IA Akranes 1 1199 26.60% 17.36%
21 2008-08-11 55.9 @ HK Kopavogur 1 1164 31.98% Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1250 50.46% 17.56%
22 2008-06-05 55.2 Throttur Reykjavik 3 1297 31.88% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1346 50.56% 17.56%
23 2008-06-01 55.1 @ Throttur Reykjavik 3 1286 32.41% Keflavik IF 2 1368 50.02% 17.57%
24 2008-09-27 55.0 Fram Reykjavik 2 1388 28.19% @ Keflavik IF 1 1468 54.37% 17.43%
25 2008-07-13 54.3 Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1270 19.73% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1430 63.39% 16.88%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-07-20 26.0 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 4 1416 68.85% HK Kopavogur 0 1195 14.86% 16.29%
2 2008-08-17 30.1 @ Keflavik IF 5 1414 60.14% Throttur Reykjavik 0 1284 22.73% 17.13%
3 2008-09-27 30.2 Fjolnir 3 1330 55.92% @ IA Akranes 0 1201 26.71% 17.37%
4 2008-08-31 31.1 @ Keflavik IF 3 1441 60.07% Grindavik 0 1312 22.79% 17.14%
5 2008-09-18 31.5 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 1396 63.10% Throttur Reykjavik 0 1238 19.99% 16.91%
6 2008-09-27 31.5 FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1472 66.26% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1244 17.14% 16.61%
7 2008-06-23 32.0 KR Reykjavik 3 1337 50.77% @ HK Kopavogur 0 1249 31.68% 17.55%
8 2008-08-07 32.0 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 1416 62.88% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1260 20.19% 16.93%
9 2008-06-02 32.1 FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1424 55.26% @ Grindavik 0 1300 27.34% 17.40%
10 2008-07-28 32.1 Fram Reykjavik 2 1334 58.76% @ HK Kopavogur 0 1180 24.02% 17.22%
11 2008-05-14 32.5 @ Valur Reykjavik 3 1362 51.36% Grindavik 0 1307 31.10% 17.54%
12 2008-05-10 32.7 FH Hafnarfjordur 4 1364 48.03% @ HK Kopavogur 0 1297 34.36% 17.61%
13 2008-08-06 32.8 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1346 57.60% IA Akranes 0 1239 25.12% 17.28%
14 2008-07-21 33.1 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1309 47.29% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1284 35.08% 17.63%
15 2008-08-06 33.1 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1442 62.13% Throttur Reykjavik 0 1294 20.88% 16.99%
16 2008-08-27 33.2 KR Reykjavik 2 1394 57.82% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1249 24.90% 17.27%
17 2008-07-20 33.5 @ Breidablik 6 1381 57.49% IA Akranes 1 1276 25.22% 17.29%
18 2008-05-15 33.7 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1352 55.38% HK Kopavogur 0 1265 27.23% 17.39%
19 2008-09-18 34.0 Fjolnir 3 1292 43.62% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1257 38.71% 17.67%
20 2008-07-07 34.1 Fjolnir 6 1336 53.37% @ HK Kopavogur 1 1228 29.16% 17.47%
21 2008-08-11 34.4 Keflavik IF 4 1400 60.85% @ IA Akranes 1 1227 22.06% 17.08%
22 2008-05-25 34.5 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1411 56.54% KR Reykjavik 0 1313 26.12% 17.34%
23 2008-07-13 34.5 @ Fjolnir 2 1364 53.69% IA Akranes 0 1290 28.85% 17.46%
24 2008-06-29 34.9 Valur Reykjavik 3 1351 43.55% @ Throttur Reykjavik 0 1316 38.78% 17.67%
25 2008-06-15 35.1 @ KR Reykjavik 3 1309 41.55% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1325 40.78% 17.68%