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2009 Úrvalsdeild Season

132 games

Final

Champion

FH Hafnarfjordur

51 points · 5th Title

Last Title: 2008.0

Relegated

Fjolnir

15 pts

Throttur Reykjavik · 16 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Fylkir Reykjavik

10.96 points above expected

43 points · 32.04 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Fjolnir

11.31 points below expected

15 points · 26.31 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 FH Hafnarfjordur Champion 22 16 3 3 51 57 21 +36 43.35 +7.65
2 KR Reykjavik 22 15 3 4 48 58 31 +27 38.46 +9.54
3 Fylkir Reykjavik 22 13 4 5 43 41 26 +15 32.04 +10.96
4 Fram Reykjavik 22 10 4 8 34 40 32 +8 34.10 -0.10
5 Breidablik 22 10 4 8 34 38 33 +5 30.16 +3.84
6 Keflavik IF 22 8 9 5 33 38 37 +1 34.59 -1.59
7 Stjarnan 22 7 5 10 26 45 44 +1 32.59 -6.59
8 Valur Reykjavik 22 7 4 11 25 26 43 -17 28.94 -3.94
9 Grindavik 22 6 4 12 22 34 44 -10 25.39 -3.39
10 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 6 4 12 22 24 45 -21 24.07 -2.07
11 Throttur Reykjavik Relegated 22 4 4 14 16 23 48 -25 18.90 -2.90
12 Fjolnir Relegated 22 3 6 13 15 27 47 -20 26.31 -11.31

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fylkir Reykjavik 43 32.04 +10.96
2 KR Reykjavik 48 38.46 +9.54
3 FH Hafnarfjordur 51 43.35 +7.65
4 Breidablik 34 30.16 +3.84
5 Fram Reykjavik 34 34.10 -0.10

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fjolnir 15 26.31 -11.31
2 Stjarnan 26 32.59 -6.59
3 Valur Reykjavik 25 28.94 -3.94
4 Grindavik 22 25.39 -3.39
5 Throttur Reykjavik 16 18.90 -2.90

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FH Hafnarfjordur 11 May 14 – Jul 9 1 in 1,055
2 Grindavik 3 Aug 6 – Aug 22 1 in 61
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 Jul 23 – Aug 23 1 in 53
4 KR Reykjavik 6 Aug 22 – Sep 26 1 in 35
5 Valur Reykjavik 4 May 28 – Jun 22 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fjolnir 5 May 28 – Jun 28 1 in 63
2 Breidablik 3 Jul 20 – Jul 26 1 in 21
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 May 10 – May 23 1 in 14
4 Stjarnan 3 Jul 26 – Aug 9 1 in 14
5 Keflavik IF 2 Aug 6 – Aug 9 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FH Hafnarfjordur 14 May 14 – Aug 6 1 in 45
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6 Jul 12 – Aug 23 1 in 37
3 Grindavik 5 Jul 19 – Aug 22 1 in 32
4 Breidablik 5 Aug 6 – Aug 31 1 in 22
5 Fylkir Reykjavik 7 Aug 9 – Sep 26 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Stjarnan 9 Jul 26 – Sep 26 1 in 80
2 Fjolnir 9 Jul 27 – Sep 26 1 in 26
3 Keflavik IF 6 Jul 27 – Aug 29 1 in 25
4 Fram Reykjavik 6 May 14 – Jun 14 1 in 23
5 Grindavik 6 Aug 26 – Sep 26 1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
FH Hafnarfjordur 1519 51 -33 8 10.9 -2.9
KR Reykjavik 1502 48 +66 15 9.6 +5.4
Fylkir Reykjavik 1404 43 +23 11 8.6 +2.4
Breidablik 1388 34 +67 12 7.3 +4.7
Fram Reykjavik 1412 34 -3 9 9.0 +0.0
Keflavik IF 1344 33 +26 8 7.8 +0.2
Stjarnan 1300 26 -38 2 6.5 -4.5
Valur Reykjavik 1238 25 -45 2 5.1 -3.1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1217 22 -47 2 5.0 -3.0
Grindavik 1285 22 -56 1 6.7 -5.7
Throttur Reykjavik 1185 16 +10 5 3.4 +1.6
Fjolnir 1217 15 -19 3 4.7 -1.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRE FH FJO FR FR GRI IV KR KI STJ TR VR
Breidablik —
0-0-2
1.88
1-1-0
3.57
0-2-0
2.37
1-0-1
2.53
2-0-0
3.38
1-0-1
3.26
0-0-2
2.12
1-1-0
2.21
2-0-0
2.59
1-0-1
3.69
1-0-1
2.88
FH Hafnarfjordur
2-0-0
3.73
 —
2-0-0
4.30
2-0-0
3.36
1-1-0
3.87
1-0-1
4.32
2-0-0
4.37
1-0-1
3.31
0-1-1
3.36
2-0-0
3.61
1-1-0
4.65
2-0-0
4.20
Fjolnir
0-1-1
2.00
0-0-2
1.31
 —
0-0-2
1.89
0-1-1
2.13
1-1-0
3.13
0-0-2
3.07
0-0-2
2.11
0-1-1
2.09
1-1-0
1.87
0-1-1
3.58
1-0-1
2.50
Fram Reykjavik
0-2-0
3.20
0-0-2
2.21
2-0-0
3.70
 —
0-1-1
3.01
2-0-0
3.43
1-1-0
3.57
1-0-1
2.23
1-0-1
2.46
1-0-1
2.95
1-0-1
4.19
1-0-1
3.37
Fylkir Reykjavik
1-0-1
3.04
0-1-1
1.72
1-1-0
3.45
1-1-0
2.56
 —
1-0-1
3.34
2-0-0
3.70
1-1-0
2.11
1-0-1
2.23
1-0-1
2.70
2-0-0
4.00
2-0-0
2.56
Grindavik
0-0-2
2.19
1-0-1
1.29
0-1-1
2.44
0-0-2
2.14
1-0-1
2.24
 —
0-1-1
3.01
0-0-2
1.92
0-1-1
2.24
1-0-1
2.25
2-0-0
3.17
1-1-0
2.29
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1-0-1
2.31
0-0-2
1.25
2-0-0
2.50
0-1-1
2.00
0-0-2
1.88
1-1-0
2.56
 —
0-0-2
1.64
0-1-1
1.86
1-0-1
1.92
1-0-1
3.49
0-1-1
2.52
KR Reykjavik
2-0-0
3.45
1-0-1
2.28
2-0-0
3.47
1-0-1
3.34
0-1-1
3.46
2-0-0
3.66
2-0-0
3.95
 —
2-0-0
3.27
1-1-0
3.38
1-1-0
4.20
1-0-1
4.02
Keflavik IF
0-1-1
3.36
1-1-0
2.22
1-1-0
3.49
1-0-1
3.11
1-0-1
3.34
1-1-0
3.33
1-1-0
3.72
0-0-2
2.30
 —
0-2-0
2.84
1-1-0
4.01
1-1-0
3.28
Stjarnan
0-0-2
2.98
0-0-2
1.97
0-1-1
3.71
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
3.32
1-0-1
3.66
0-1-1
2.20
0-2-0
2.73
 —
2-0-0
3.45
1-1-0
3.05
Throttur Reykjavik
1-0-1
1.89
0-1-1
0.99
1-1-0
2.00
1-0-1
1.42
0-0-2
1.60
0-0-2
2.40
1-0-1
2.08
0-1-1
1.40
0-1-1
1.58
0-0-2
2.13
 —
0-0-2
1.95
Valur Reykjavik
1-0-1
2.68
0-0-2
1.41
1-0-1
3.07
1-0-1
2.20
0-0-2
3.00
0-1-1
3.28
1-1-0
3.05
1-0-1
1.57
0-1-1
2.29
0-1-1
2.52
2-0-0
3.63
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.78 +8.9
Allowed 0.91 -12.8
Differential 0.93 +5.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.79%5.68%3.79%4.92%1.14%1.52%20.83%
15.68%9.09%6.82%6.06%1.52%1.89%31.06%
23.79%6.82%4.55%3.41%1.14%0.38%20.08%
34.92%6.06%3.41%2.27%1.14%0.38%18.18%
41.14%1.52%1.14%1.14%0.76%—5.68%
5+1.52%1.89%0.38%0.38%——4.17%
Total20.83%31.06%20.08%18.18%5.68%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 1.71 +0.00
SD 1.40 1.40 2.11
CV 0.82 0.82 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
113.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
24.55%9.09%—9.09%——22.73%
313.64%4.55%—4.55%4.55%—27.27%
4————4.55%—4.55%
5+———————
Total36.36%22.73%9.09%18.18%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.50 +0.23
SD 1.20 1.50 1.80
CV 0.70 1.00 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
1—4.55%————4.55%
29.09%13.64%4.55%—4.55%—31.82%
313.64%—9.09%———22.73%
44.55%9.09%————13.64%
5+9.09%4.55%————13.64%
Total40.91%36.36%13.64%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.59 0.95 +1.64
SD 1.53 1.09 2.13
CV 0.59 1.14 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
1—13.64%13.64%31.82%4.55%—63.64%
24.55%—4.55%———9.09%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%18.18%27.27%40.91%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 2.14 -0.91
SD 0.87 1.08 1.44
CV 0.71 0.51 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
1—9.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
24.55%9.09%————13.64%
34.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total18.18%40.91%22.73%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.45 +0.36
SD 1.40 1.10 1.87
CV 0.77 0.76 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%————13.64%
19.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
29.09%13.64%9.09%9.09%——40.91%
34.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%36.36%27.27%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.18 +0.68
SD 1.08 0.96 1.21
CV 0.58 0.81 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%—27.27%
1—18.18%—13.64%——31.82%
2—4.55%—9.09%——13.64%
34.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total4.55%40.91%13.64%31.82%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 2.00 -0.45
SD 1.44 1.15 2.02
CV 0.93 0.58 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%9.09%18.18%—4.55%40.91%
19.09%13.64%4.55%——4.55%31.82%
2——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
3—13.64%————13.64%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%36.36%18.18%27.27%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 2.05 -0.95
SD 1.23 1.50 2.10
CV 1.13 0.73 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——4.55%——9.09%
14.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
29.09%13.64%4.55%—4.55%—31.82%
34.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
Total27.27%31.82%22.73%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.64 1.41 +1.23
SD 1.71 1.26 1.93
CV 0.65 0.89 —
Max 7 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%4.55%—4.55%18.18%
118.18%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—36.36%
2——18.18%———18.18%
34.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
4————4.55%—4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total27.27%18.18%31.82%9.09%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.68 +0.05
SD 1.49 1.46 2.08
CV 0.86 0.87 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
1—13.64%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%40.91%
2—4.55%—4.55%4.55%—13.64%
39.09%4.55%—4.55%—4.55%22.73%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total18.18%36.36%9.09%18.18%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 2.00 +0.05
SD 1.56 1.83 2.59
CV 0.76 0.91 —
Max 6 7 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%—4.55%4.55%31.82%
14.55%4.55%18.18%4.55%—13.64%45.45%
2—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
3—4.55%————4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%22.73%27.27%9.09%4.55%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 2.18 -1.14
SD 1.05 1.82 2.27
CV 1.00 0.83 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%9.09%13.64%—4.55%36.36%
19.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
24.55%9.09%4.55%——4.55%22.73%
3—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%31.82%18.18%27.27%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.95 -0.77
SD 1.18 1.43 1.90
CV 1.00 0.73 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
FH Hafnarfjordur 1519 51 43.35 +7.65 95.0% 28 32 39 44 48 51 56
KR Reykjavik 1502 48 38.46 +9.54 95.0% 27 30 34 38 43 48 54
Fram Reykjavik 1412 34 34.10 -0.10 52.0% 20 25 29 33 39 44 51
Fylkir Reykjavik 1404 43 32.04 +10.96 98.0% 14 22 28 32 37 41 51
Breidablik 1388 34 30.16 +3.84 75.0% 17 21 26 30 34 39 42
Keflavik IF 1344 33 34.59 -1.59 43.0% 18 24 31 35 38 44 48
Stjarnan 1300 26 32.59 -6.59 12.0% 13 22 28 33 37 42 46
Grindavik 1285 22 25.39 -3.39 36.0% 9 17 21 25 29 35 41
Valur Reykjavik 1238 25 28.94 -3.94 27.0% 9 20 25 29 33 39 42
Fjolnir 1217 15 26.31 -11.31 1.0% 12 16 22 27 30 36 38
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1217 22 24.07 -2.07 45.0% 11 14 19 24 28 34 47
Throttur Reykjavik 1185 16 18.90 -2.90 32.0% 9 11 15 18 22 29 38

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 4.5% * Slight Edge: 4.5% to 11% * Clear Edge: 11% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.88%
Clear Edge
46.21%20.45%33.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge
150 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
045.00400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.28 goals
Neutral
-2+0.30+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.5
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
59%
FH Hafnarfjordur, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Tight Race
00.230.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.76 * Some Luck: 4.76 to 7.14 * Lucky: 7.14 to 9.52 * Wild Swing: 9.52 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.54 * Close: 1.54 to 2.32 * Off: 2.32 to 3.09 * Way Off: 3.09 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.89 * A Surprise: 0.89 to 1.42 * Several Surprises: 1.42 to 1.96 * Many Surprises: 1.96 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.44 points
Some Luck
05.9515
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.33
Pinpoint
01.934
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
Fylkir Reykjavik
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
Fjolnir
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 2
A Surprise
00.92

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Wide Separation: 1.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 69% * Clear Edge: 69% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 94% * Dominant: 94% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55% * Some Drama: 55% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Top-Heavy
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 112.35
1.88
Wide Separation
0.71.351.652.5
Interquartile Edge
73%
Clear Edge
50%63%69%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
87%
Clear Edge
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Few
0%52%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Very Frequent
0%24%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.36 * Notable Separation: 0.36 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.33 * Some Carryover: 0.33 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.75 * Near-Lock: 0.75 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24.5% * Upset-Prone: 24.5% to 29% * Very Upset-Prone: 29% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.32
Slight Separation
00.280.360.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.19
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.54
Some Carryover
00.330.590.751
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
As Expected
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
As Expected
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.85
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.18
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.072
Well Within Noise
00.1390.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
FH Hafnarfjordur59.00%22.00%6.00%3.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%————
KR Reykjavik20.00%28.00%14.00%14.00%12.00%7.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%———
Fylkir Reykjavik5.00%8.00%12.00%10.00%18.00%14.00%8.00%10.00%7.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%
Fram Reykjavik8.00%11.00%17.00%12.00%9.00%9.00%11.00%10.00%9.00%3.00%—1.00%
Breidablik—4.00%9.00%11.00%13.00%9.00%11.00%14.00%12.00%7.00%9.00%1.00%
Keflavik IF5.00%13.00%16.00%15.00%15.00%9.00%12.00%5.00%3.00%5.00%2.00%—
Stjarnan3.00%6.00%13.00%15.00%12.00%12.00%11.00%13.00%5.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%
Valur Reykjavik—4.00%4.00%11.00%3.00%17.00%12.00%8.00%16.00%14.00%7.00%4.00%
Grindavik——4.00%2.00%8.00%4.00%11.00%9.00%14.00%19.00%20.00%9.00%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar—1.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%5.00%11.00%11.00%12.00%18.00%21.00%16.00%
Throttur Reykjavik——1.00%——3.00%2.00%4.00%9.00%7.00%19.00%55.00%
Fjolnir—3.00%3.00%4.00%4.00%8.00%8.00%13.00%12.00%18.00%15.00%12.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
FH Hafnarfjordur 100% —
KR Reykjavik 100% —
Fram Reykjavik 99.00% 1.00%
Keflavik IF 98.00% 2.00%
Stjarnan 96.00% 4.00%
Fylkir Reykjavik 95.00% 5.00%
Breidablik 90.00% 10.00%
Valur Reykjavik 89.00% 11.00%
Fjolnir 73.00% 27.00%
Grindavik 71.00% 29.00%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 63.00% 37.00%
Throttur Reykjavik 26.00% 74.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2009-05-10 Fjolnir W 2-144.2 1378 1337 50.79% 21.36% 27.85%+0.57 +7.6 3
2009-05-10 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-244.2 1337 1378 27.85% 21.36% 50.79%-0.57 -7.6 0
2009-05-10 Grindavik W 3-142.5 1296 1311 43.36% 21.65% 34.99%+0.20 +15.8 3
2009-05-10 @ Stjarnan L 1-342.5 1311 1296 34.99% 21.65% 43.36%-0.20 -15.8 0
2009-05-10 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-034.6 1361 1297 53.73% 21.15% 25.12%+0.73 +13.8 3
2009-05-10 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-234.6 1297 1361 25.12% 21.15% 53.73%-0.73 -13.9 0
2009-05-10 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-141.9 1342 1269 54.80% 21.06% 24.14%+0.79 +6.7 3
2009-05-10 @ Breidablik L 1-241.9 1269 1342 24.14% 21.06% 54.80%-0.79 -6.7 0
2009-05-10 Valur Reykjavik W 1-043.4 1281 1354 35.13% 21.66% 43.21%-0.19 +11.4 3
2009-05-10 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-143.4 1354 1281 43.21% 21.66% 35.13%+0.19 -11.4 0
2009-05-11 FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-042.9 1386 1399 43.59% 21.65% 34.76%+0.21 +9.6 3
2009-05-11 @ Keflavik IF L 0-142.9 1399 1386 34.76% 21.65% 43.59%-0.21 -9.6 0
2009-05-13 Breidablik L 0-141.2 1283 1349 36.14% 21.67% 42.18%-0.14 -9.9 0
2009-05-13 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-041.2 1349 1283 42.18% 21.67% 36.14%+0.14 +9.9 6
2009-05-14 Fjolnir W 3-141.9 1343 1329 47.30% 21.54% 31.17%+0.39 +14.4 3
2009-05-14 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-341.9 1329 1343 31.17% 21.54% 47.30%-0.39 -14.4 0
2009-05-14 Fram Reykjavik W 2-146.0 1390 1375 47.40% 21.53% 31.06%+0.40 +8.3 3
2009-05-14 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-246.0 1375 1390 31.06% 21.53% 47.40%-0.40 -8.3 3
2009-05-14 Keflavik IF W 2-041.6 1292 1395 31.23% 21.54% 47.24%-0.39 +23.3 6
2009-05-14 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-241.6 1395 1292 47.24% 21.54% 31.23%+0.39 -23.2 3
2009-05-14 KR Reykjavik L 0-434.0 1295 1385 32.96% 21.60% 45.44%-0.30 -33.0 0
2009-05-14 @ Grindavik W 4-034.0 1385 1295 45.44% 21.60% 32.96%+0.30 +33.0 6
2009-05-14 Stjarnan L 0-636.0 1262 1312 38.48% 21.69% 39.83%-0.03 -54.6 0
2009-05-14 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 6-036.0 1312 1262 39.83% 21.69% 38.48%+0.03 +54.6 6
2009-05-17 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-031.0 1366 1273 57.00% 20.84% 22.16%+0.92 +18.0 9
2009-05-17 @ Stjarnan L 0-331.0 1273 1366 22.16% 20.84% 57.00%-0.92 -18.0 0
2009-05-17 Throttur Reykjavik D 0-051.3 1418 1207 68.15% 18.95% 12.90%+1.71 -3.8 7
2009-05-17 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-051.3 1207 1418 12.90% 18.95% 68.15%-1.71 +3.8 1
2009-05-18 FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-353.8 1359 1398 40.01% 21.69% 38.29%+0.04 -9.6 6
2009-05-18 @ Breidablik W 3-253.8 1398 1359 38.29% 21.69% 40.01%-0.04 +9.6 6
2009-05-18 Fylkir Reykjavik D 0-051.2 1367 1315 52.13% 21.27% 26.59%+0.64 -1.7 4
2009-05-18 @ Fram Reykjavik D 0-051.2 1315 1367 26.59% 21.27% 52.13%-0.64 +1.7 7
2009-05-18 Grindavik W 3-247.6 1315 1262 52.26% 21.26% 26.48%+0.65 +6.9 3
2009-05-18 @ Fjolnir L 2-347.6 1262 1315 26.48% 21.26% 52.26%-0.65 -6.9 0
2009-05-18 Valur Reykjavik W 3-034.9 1372 1357 47.45% 21.53% 31.02%+0.40 +24.0 6
2009-05-18 @ Keflavik IF L 0-334.9 1357 1372 31.02% 21.53% 47.45%-0.40 -24.0 3
2009-05-23 Fjolnir D 1-153.6 1211 1322 30.29% 21.50% 48.22%-0.44 +1.0 2
2009-05-23 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 1-153.6 1322 1211 48.22% 21.50% 30.29%+0.44 -1.0 4
2009-05-23 Fram Reykjavik W 1-040.7 1396 1365 49.53% 21.43% 29.04%+0.51 +8.3 9
2009-05-23 @ Keflavik IF L 0-140.7 1365 1396 29.04% 21.43% 49.53%-0.51 -8.3 4
2009-05-23 KR Reykjavik L 0-138.0 1255 1414 24.63% 21.10% 54.27%-0.76 -7.2 0
2009-05-23 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-038.0 1414 1255 54.27% 21.10% 24.63%+0.76 +7.2 10
2009-05-23 Stjarnan W 5-139.3 1408 1384 48.58% 21.48% 29.94%+0.46 +25.4 9
2009-05-23 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-539.3 1384 1408 29.94% 21.48% 48.58%-0.46 -25.4 9
2009-05-24 Breidablik W 3-143.7 1317 1349 40.96% 21.69% 37.35%+0.08 +16.6 10
2009-05-24 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-343.7 1349 1317 37.35% 21.69% 40.96%-0.08 -16.6 6
2009-05-25 Grindavik D 1-154.0 1333 1255 55.26% 21.02% 23.72%+0.82 -1.8 4
2009-05-25 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-154.0 1255 1333 23.72% 21.02% 55.26%-0.82 +1.8 1
2009-05-28 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-252.0 1422 1433 43.87% 21.64% 34.49%+0.22 -10.9 10
2009-05-28 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-152.0 1433 1422 34.49% 21.64% 43.87%-0.22 +10.9 12
2009-05-28 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-144.5 1359 1334 48.79% 21.47% 29.74%+0.47 +8.0 12
2009-05-28 @ Stjarnan L 1-244.5 1334 1359 29.74% 21.47% 48.79%-0.47 -8.0 10
2009-05-28 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-348.0 1321 1248 54.70% 21.07% 24.23%+0.79 -22.9 4
2009-05-28 @ Fjolnir W 3-148.0 1248 1321 24.23% 21.07% 54.70%-0.79 +22.9 3
2009-05-28 Keflavik IF D 4-467.6 1333 1405 35.40% 21.66% 42.94%-0.18 +0.2 7
2009-05-28 @ Breidablik D 4-467.6 1405 1333 42.94% 21.66% 35.40%+0.18 -0.2 10
2009-05-28 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-142.3 1257 1212 51.35% 21.32% 27.33%+0.60 +7.4 4
2009-05-28 @ Grindavik L 1-242.3 1212 1257 27.33% 21.32% 51.35%-0.60 -7.4 2
2009-05-28 Valur Reykjavik L 1-250.2 1357 1331 48.86% 21.47% 29.67%+0.47 -12.0 4
2009-05-28 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-150.2 1331 1357 29.67% 21.47% 48.86%-0.47 +12.0 7
2009-06-01 Breidablik D 1-154.6 1345 1333 47.08% 21.54% 31.37%+0.38 -0.9 5
2009-06-01 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-154.6 1333 1345 31.37% 21.54% 47.08%-0.38 +0.9 8
2009-06-01 Fjolnir W 3-030.6 1444 1298 62.47% 20.10% 17.43%+1.27 +14.5 15
2009-06-01 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-330.6 1298 1444 17.43% 20.10% 62.47%-1.27 -14.5 4
2009-06-01 Grindavik W 3-141.2 1271 1265 46.26% 21.57% 32.16%+0.34 +14.8 6
2009-06-01 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-341.2 1265 1271 32.16% 21.57% 46.26%-0.34 -14.8 4
2009-06-01 KR Reykjavik D 2-260.7 1326 1411 33.63% 21.62% 44.75%-0.27 +0.5 11
2009-06-01 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 2-260.7 1411 1326 44.75% 21.62% 33.63%+0.27 -0.5 11
2009-06-01 Stjarnan D 1-156.1 1404 1367 50.38% 21.38% 28.24%+0.55 -1.3 11
2009-06-01 @ Keflavik IF D 1-156.1 1367 1404 28.24% 21.38% 50.38%-0.55 +1.3 13
2009-06-01 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-139.5 1343 1205 61.75% 20.22% 18.04%+1.22 +5.1 10
2009-06-01 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-239.5 1205 1343 18.04% 20.22% 61.75%-1.22 -5.1 2
2009-06-13 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-343.9 1283 1326 39.46% 21.69% 38.85%+0.01 -17.4 4
2009-06-13 @ Fjolnir W 3-143.9 1326 1283 38.85% 21.69% 39.46%-0.01 +17.4 14
2009-06-14 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-330.9 1250 1458 19.78% 20.51% 59.71%-1.09 -16.3 4
2009-06-14 @ Grindavik W 3-030.9 1458 1250 59.71% 20.51% 19.78%+1.09 +16.3 18
2009-06-14 Fram Reykjavik W 4-139.5 1368 1344 48.63% 21.48% 29.89%+0.46 +19.6 16
2009-06-14 @ Stjarnan L 1-439.5 1344 1368 29.89% 21.48% 48.63%-0.46 -19.6 5
2009-06-14 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-147.7 1200 1285 33.48% 21.62% 44.90%-0.27 +11.1 5
2009-06-14 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-247.7 1285 1200 44.90% 21.62% 33.48%+0.27 -11.1 6
2009-06-14 Keflavik IF W 4-142.0 1410 1403 46.42% 21.57% 32.01%+0.35 +20.8 14
2009-06-14 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-442.0 1403 1410 32.01% 21.57% 46.42%-0.35 -20.8 11
2009-06-15 Valur Reykjavik L 0-143.9 1334 1349 43.45% 21.65% 34.90%+0.20 -11.5 8
2009-06-15 @ Breidablik W 1-043.9 1349 1334 34.90% 21.65% 43.45%-0.20 +11.5 13
2009-06-21 Fjolnir W 3-138.0 1382 1266 59.47% 20.54% 19.99%+1.07 +9.8 14
2009-06-21 @ Keflavik IF L 1-338.0 1266 1382 19.99% 20.54% 59.47%-1.07 -9.8 4
2009-06-21 Grindavik L 2-357.2 1344 1234 58.80% 20.63% 20.57%+1.03 -13.4 14
2009-06-21 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-257.2 1234 1344 20.57% 20.63% 58.80%-1.03 +13.4 7
2009-06-21 KR Reykjavik W 3-040.3 1325 1431 30.83% 21.52% 47.64%-0.41 +34.0 8
2009-06-21 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-340.3 1431 1325 47.64% 21.52% 30.83%+0.41 -34.0 14
2009-06-21 Throttur Reykjavik W 4-026.0 1475 1211 72.13% 17.84% 10.03%+2.06 +10.9 21
2009-06-21 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-426.0 1211 1475 10.03% 17.84% 72.13%-2.06 -10.9 5
2009-06-22 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-033.6 1360 1274 56.17% 20.93% 22.91%+0.87 +12.8 16
2009-06-22 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-233.6 1274 1360 22.91% 20.93% 56.17%-0.87 -12.8 6
2009-06-22 Stjarnan W 2-148.5 1322 1388 36.28% 21.67% 42.04%-0.14 +10.5 11
2009-06-22 @ Breidablik L 1-248.5 1388 1322 42.04% 21.67% 36.28%+0.14 -10.5 16
2009-06-25 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-238.9 1359 1486 28.28% 21.39% 50.33%-0.55 -15.3 8
2009-06-25 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-038.9 1486 1359 50.33% 21.39% 28.28%+0.55 +15.3 24
2009-06-25 Grindavik W 2-031.7 1397 1247 62.81% 20.04% 17.15%+1.30 +9.8 17
2009-06-25 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-231.7 1247 1397 17.15% 20.04% 62.81%-1.30 -9.8 7
2009-06-25 Throttur Reykjavik W 3-243.4 1392 1200 66.62% 19.30% 14.08%+1.58 +3.8 17
2009-06-25 @ Keflavik IF L 2-343.4 1200 1392 14.08% 19.30% 66.62%-1.58 -3.8 5
2009-06-25 Valur Reykjavik W 3-035.6 1377 1373 46.05% 21.58% 32.37%+0.33 +24.9 19
2009-06-25 @ Stjarnan L 0-335.6 1373 1377 32.37% 21.58% 46.05%-0.33 -24.9 16
2009-06-28 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-330.8 1261 1501 17.17% 20.05% 62.78%-1.30 -14.2 6
2009-06-28 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-030.8 1501 1261 62.78% 20.05% 17.17%+1.30 +14.2 27
2009-06-28 Fram Reykjavik L 1-244.8 1256 1343 33.32% 21.61% 45.06%-0.28 -8.8 4
2009-06-28 @ Fjolnir W 2-144.8 1343 1256 45.06% 21.61% 33.32%+0.28 +8.8 11
2009-06-28 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-242.5 1196 1330 27.43% 21.33% 51.24%-0.60 -7.5 5
2009-06-28 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 2-142.5 1330 1196 51.24% 21.33% 27.43%+0.60 +7.5 17
2009-06-28 Keflavik IF D 1-154.3 1237 1396 24.71% 21.11% 54.17%-0.76 +1.7 8
2009-06-28 @ Grindavik D 1-154.3 1396 1237 54.17% 21.11% 24.71%+0.76 -1.7 18
2009-06-29 Breidablik W 3-248.6 1407 1333 54.78% 21.06% 24.16%+0.79 +6.3 20
2009-06-29 @ KR Reykjavik L 2-348.6 1333 1407 24.16% 21.06% 54.78%-0.79 -6.3 11
2009-07-01 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-030.6 1338 1247 56.68% 20.87% 22.44%+0.90 +18.2 20
2009-07-01 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-330.6 1247 1338 22.44% 20.87% 56.68%-0.90 -18.2 6
2009-07-02 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-535.0 1348 1515 23.78% 21.02% 55.19%-0.82 -30.9 16
2009-07-02 @ Valur Reykjavik W 5-035.0 1515 1348 55.19% 21.02% 23.78%+0.82 +30.9 30
2009-07-02 Fjolnir D 0-050.3 1327 1247 55.42% 21.00% 23.58%+0.83 -2.1 12
2009-07-02 @ Breidablik D 0-050.3 1247 1327 23.58% 21.00% 55.42%-0.83 +2.1 5
2009-07-02 KR Reykjavik D 1-157.0 1402 1413 43.96% 21.64% 34.40%+0.23 -0.5 20
2009-07-02 @ Stjarnan D 1-157.0 1413 1402 34.40% 21.64% 43.96%-0.23 +0.5 21
2009-07-09 Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-249.1 1546 1356 66.45% 19.34% 14.21%+1.57 +3.9 33
2009-07-09 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-349.1 1356 1546 14.21% 19.34% 66.45%-1.57 -3.9 20
2009-07-09 Stjarnan W 3-148.2 1250 1402 25.43% 21.18% 53.40%-0.71 +22.4 8
2009-07-09 @ Fjolnir L 1-348.2 1402 1250 53.40% 21.18% 25.43%+0.71 -22.4 20
2009-07-11 Valur Reykjavik L 3-461.8 1414 1317 57.35% 20.80% 21.85%+0.94 -12.8 21
2009-07-11 @ KR Reykjavik W 4-361.8 1317 1414 21.85% 20.80% 57.35%-0.94 +12.8 19
2009-07-12 Keflavik IF D 2-259.5 1229 1394 24.01% 21.05% 54.94%-0.80 +1.4 7
2009-07-12 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-259.5 1394 1229 54.94% 21.05% 24.01%+0.80 -1.4 19
2009-07-13 Breidablik L 0-140.0 1239 1325 33.53% 21.62% 44.85%-0.27 -9.3 8
2009-07-13 @ Grindavik W 1-040.0 1325 1239 44.85% 21.62% 33.53%+0.27 +9.4 15
2009-07-13 Fram Reykjavik L 1-338.7 1188 1352 24.17% 21.06% 54.77%-0.79 -11.6 5
2009-07-13 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 3-138.7 1352 1188 54.77% 21.06% 24.17%+0.79 +11.6 14
2009-07-18 Keflavik IF D 2-266.6 1550 1393 63.51% 19.92% 16.57%+1.35 -2.1 34
2009-07-18 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-266.6 1393 1550 16.57% 19.92% 63.51%-1.35 +2.1 20
2009-07-19 KR Reykjavik L 1-243.7 1272 1401 28.08% 21.37% 50.55%-0.56 -7.6 8
2009-07-19 @ Fjolnir W 2-143.7 1401 1272 50.55% 21.37% 28.08%+0.56 +7.6 24
2009-07-19 Stjarnan W 4-252.3 1230 1379 25.71% 21.20% 53.09%-0.70 +20.0 11
2009-07-19 @ Grindavik L 2-452.3 1379 1230 53.09% 21.20% 25.71%+0.70 -20.0 20
2009-07-20 Breidablik W 4-039.0 1177 1334 24.87% 21.13% 54.00%-0.75 +49.6 8
2009-07-20 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-439.0 1334 1177 54.00% 21.13% 24.87%+0.75 -49.6 15
2009-07-20 Fram Reykjavik D 1-154.0 1230 1364 27.55% 21.34% 51.11%-0.59 +1.4 8
2009-07-20 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-154.0 1364 1230 51.11% 21.34% 27.55%+0.59 -1.4 15
2009-07-20 Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-143.6 1330 1352 42.41% 21.67% 35.92%+0.15 -11.3 19
2009-07-20 @ Valur Reykjavik W 1-043.6 1352 1330 35.92% 21.67% 42.41%-0.15 +11.3 23
2009-07-23 Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-040.6 1395 1363 49.64% 21.43% 28.94%+0.51 +8.3 23
2009-07-23 @ Keflavik IF L 0-140.6 1363 1395 28.94% 21.43% 49.64%-0.51 -8.3 23
2009-07-23 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 3-458.5 1284 1232 52.25% 21.26% 26.48%+0.65 -11.8 15
2009-07-23 @ Breidablik W 4-358.5 1232 1284 26.48% 21.26% 52.25%-0.65 +11.8 11
2009-07-23 Throttur Reykjavik W 5-132.9 1359 1226 61.15% 20.31% 18.55%+1.18 +16.7 23
2009-07-23 @ Stjarnan L 1-532.9 1226 1359 18.55% 20.31% 61.15%-1.18 -16.7 8
2009-07-23 Valur Reykjavik W 2-038.8 1264 1319 37.83% 21.69% 40.48%-0.06 +20.5 11
2009-07-23 @ Fjolnir L 0-238.8 1319 1264 40.48% 21.69% 37.83%+0.06 -20.5 19
2009-07-26 Breidablik W 2-139.6 1548 1273 72.90% 17.59% 9.51%+2.14 +2.7 37
2009-07-26 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-239.6 1273 1548 9.51% 17.59% 72.90%-2.14 -2.7 15
2009-07-26 Stjarnan W 1-045.5 1244 1376 27.66% 21.35% 50.99%-0.58 +13.2 14
2009-07-26 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-145.5 1376 1244 50.99% 21.35% 27.66%+0.58 -13.2 23
2009-07-27 Fjolnir D 1-153.6 1250 1285 40.56% 21.69% 37.75%+0.07 -0.2 12
2009-07-27 @ Grindavik D 1-153.6 1285 1250 37.75% 21.69% 40.56%-0.07 +0.2 12
2009-07-27 Fram Reykjavik W 2-146.1 1355 1362 44.46% 21.63% 33.91%+0.25 +8.9 26
2009-07-27 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-246.1 1362 1355 33.91% 21.63% 44.46%-0.25 -8.9 15
2009-07-27 Keflavik IF D 2-260.2 1298 1403 30.99% 21.53% 47.48%-0.40 +0.7 20
2009-07-27 @ Valur Reykjavik D 2-260.2 1403 1298 47.48% 21.53% 30.99%+0.40 -0.7 24
2009-07-27 KR Reykjavik L 1-533.9 1210 1408 20.69% 20.65% 58.66%-1.02 -18.4 8
2009-07-27 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 5-133.9 1408 1210 58.66% 20.65% 20.69%+1.02 +18.4 27
2009-08-05 Throttur Reykjavik L 1-348.3 1285 1191 57.04% 20.84% 22.13%+0.92 -23.8 12
2009-08-05 @ Fjolnir W 3-148.3 1191 1285 22.13% 20.84% 57.04%-0.92 +23.8 11
2009-08-06 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-441.6 1363 1551 21.70% 20.78% 57.51%-0.95 -14.9 23
2009-08-06 @ Stjarnan W 4-141.6 1551 1363 57.51% 20.78% 21.70%+0.95 +14.9 40
2009-08-06 Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-044.2 1270 1364 32.40% 21.58% 46.01%-0.33 +12.1 18
2009-08-06 @ Breidablik L 0-144.2 1364 1270 46.01% 21.58% 32.40%+0.33 -12.1 26
2009-08-06 Keflavik IF W 5-037.5 1353 1402 38.56% 21.69% 39.74%-0.03 +47.2 18
2009-08-06 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-537.5 1402 1353 39.74% 21.69% 38.56%+0.03 -47.2 24
2009-08-06 Valur Reykjavik W 3-143.6 1250 1299 38.53% 21.69% 39.78%-0.03 +17.5 15
2009-08-06 @ Grindavik L 1-343.6 1299 1250 39.78% 21.69% 38.53%+0.03 -17.5 20
2009-08-09 Breidablik L 0-340.8 1355 1282 54.75% 21.06% 24.19%+0.79 -38.5 24
2009-08-09 @ Keflavik IF W 3-040.8 1282 1355 24.19% 21.06% 54.75%-0.79 +38.5 21
2009-08-09 Fjolnir W 3-141.6 1257 1261 44.85% 21.62% 33.53%+0.27 +15.3 17
2009-08-09 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-341.6 1261 1257 33.53% 21.62% 44.85%-0.27 -15.3 12
2009-08-09 Fram Reykjavik L 1-244.2 1281 1401 29.23% 21.44% 49.33%-0.49 -7.9 20
2009-08-09 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-144.2 1401 1281 49.33% 21.44% 29.23%+0.49 +7.9 21
2009-08-09 Grindavik L 1-538.8 1215 1267 38.18% 21.69% 40.13%-0.05 -30.9 11
2009-08-09 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 5-138.8 1267 1215 40.13% 21.69% 38.18%+0.05 +30.9 18
2009-08-09 KR Reykjavik L 2-463.3 1566 1427 61.74% 20.22% 18.04%+1.22 -22.9 40
2009-08-09 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 4-263.3 1427 1566 18.04% 20.22% 61.74%-1.22 +22.9 30
2009-08-09 Stjarnan W 2-145.4 1352 1348 46.01% 21.58% 32.40%+0.33 +8.6 29
2009-08-09 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-245.4 1348 1352 32.40% 21.58% 46.01%-0.33 -8.6 23
2009-08-15 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-435.0 1246 1543 13.16% 19.03% 67.81%-1.68 -9.3 12
2009-08-15 @ Fjolnir W 4-135.0 1543 1246 67.81% 19.03% 13.16%+1.68 +9.3 43
2009-08-16 Fram Reykjavik D 3-365.0 1320 1408 33.19% 21.61% 45.21%-0.29 +0.4 22
2009-08-16 @ Breidablik D 3-365.0 1408 1320 45.21% 21.61% 33.19%+0.29 -0.4 22
2009-08-17 Fylkir Reykjavik L 2-456.1 1450 1360 56.56% 20.89% 22.55%+0.90 -21.1 30
2009-08-17 @ KR Reykjavik W 4-256.1 1360 1450 22.55% 20.89% 56.56%-0.90 +21.1 32
2009-08-17 Keflavik IF D 0-050.8 1339 1317 48.43% 21.49% 30.08%+0.45 -1.2 24
2009-08-17 @ Stjarnan D 0-050.8 1317 1339 30.08% 21.49% 48.43%-0.45 +1.2 25
2009-08-17 Valur Reykjavik L 0-139.4 1184 1273 33.04% 21.60% 45.36%-0.29 -9.2 11
2009-08-17 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 1-039.4 1273 1184 45.36% 21.60% 33.04%+0.29 +9.2 23
2009-08-22 Breidablik L 0-336.3 1283 1321 40.15% 21.69% 38.15%+0.05 -29.5 23
2009-08-22 @ Valur Reykjavik W 3-036.3 1321 1283 38.15% 21.69% 40.15%-0.05 +29.5 25
2009-08-22 Fjolnir D 2-259.8 1382 1237 62.35% 20.12% 17.53%+1.27 -2.0 33
2009-08-22 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 2-259.8 1237 1382 17.53% 20.12% 62.35%-1.27 +2.0 13
2009-08-22 Grindavik L 0-348.5 1552 1298 71.41% 18.06% 10.53%+1.99 -49.1 43
2009-08-22 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-048.5 1298 1552 10.53% 18.06% 71.41%-1.99 +49.1 21
2009-08-22 KR Reykjavik L 1-245.5 1318 1429 30.30% 21.50% 48.21%-0.44 -8.1 25
2009-08-22 @ Keflavik IF W 2-145.5 1429 1318 48.21% 21.50% 30.30%+0.44 +8.1 33
2009-08-22 Stjarnan W 3-248.8 1408 1338 54.35% 21.10% 24.55%+0.77 +6.4 25
2009-08-22 @ Fram Reykjavik L 2-348.8 1338 1408 24.55% 21.10% 54.35%-0.77 -6.4 24
2009-08-23 Throttur Reykjavik W 1-035.8 1272 1175 57.40% 20.80% 21.80%+0.95 +6.5 20
2009-08-23 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-135.8 1175 1272 21.80% 20.80% 57.40%-0.95 -6.5 11
2009-08-26 Grindavik W 4-352.6 1414 1347 54.04% 21.12% 24.83%+0.75 +6.3 28
2009-08-26 @ Fram Reykjavik L 3-452.6 1347 1414 24.83% 21.12% 54.04%-0.75 -6.3 21
2009-08-26 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-029.8 1437 1278 63.61% 19.90% 16.49%+1.36 +13.7 36
2009-08-26 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-329.8 1278 1437 16.49% 19.90% 63.61%-1.36 -13.7 20
2009-08-29 Keflavik IF D 3-363.4 1239 1310 35.46% 21.66% 42.88%-0.18 +0.2 14
2009-08-29 @ Fjolnir D 3-363.4 1310 1239 42.88% 21.66% 35.46%+0.18 -0.2 26
2009-08-29 Valur Reykjavik D 1-153.5 1265 1253 47.01% 21.55% 31.44%+0.38 -0.9 21
2009-08-29 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-153.5 1253 1265 31.44% 21.55% 47.01%-0.38 +0.9 24
2009-08-30 Fram Reykjavik W 3-145.2 1450 1421 49.38% 21.44% 29.18%+0.50 +13.6 39
2009-08-30 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-345.2 1421 1450 29.18% 21.44% 49.38%-0.50 -13.6 28
2009-08-31 Breidablik L 1-345.6 1332 1350 42.88% 21.66% 35.46%+0.18 -18.6 24
2009-08-31 @ Stjarnan W 3-145.6 1350 1332 35.46% 21.66% 42.88%-0.18 +18.6 28
2009-08-31 FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-051.9 1169 1503 11.02% 18.27% 70.71%-1.93 +4.2 12
2009-08-31 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 0-051.9 1503 1169 70.71% 18.27% 11.02%+1.93 -4.2 44
2009-08-31 Fylkir Reykjavik L 2-353.2 1341 1380 40.04% 21.69% 38.27%+0.04 -9.6 21
2009-08-31 @ Grindavik W 3-253.2 1380 1341 38.27% 21.69% 40.04%-0.04 +9.6 36
2009-09-03 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-154.0 1331 1264 54.02% 21.13% 24.85%+0.75 -1.7 22
2009-09-03 @ Grindavik D 1-154.0 1264 1331 24.85% 21.13% 54.02%-0.75 +1.7 22
2009-09-13 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 5-028.2 1499 1266 69.88% 18.50% 11.62%+1.85 +15.7 47
2009-09-13 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-528.2 1266 1499 11.62% 18.50% 69.88%-1.85 -15.7 22
2009-09-13 Stjarnan D 3-363.4 1254 1313 37.17% 21.68% 41.14%-0.09 +0.1 25
2009-09-13 @ Valur Reykjavik D 3-363.4 1313 1254 41.14% 21.68% 37.17%+0.09 -0.1 25
2009-09-13 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-029.4 1389 1173 68.59% 18.84% 12.57%+1.74 +7.2 39
2009-09-13 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-229.4 1173 1389 12.57% 18.84% 68.59%-1.74 -7.2 12
2009-09-15 Fjolnir W 3-136.5 1407 1239 64.53% 19.73% 15.74%+1.42 +7.8 31
2009-09-15 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-336.5 1239 1407 15.74% 19.73% 64.53%-1.42 -7.8 14
2009-09-16 Grindavik W 1-041.1 1310 1329 42.74% 21.66% 35.59%+0.17 +9.8 29
2009-09-16 @ Keflavik IF L 0-141.1 1329 1310 35.59% 21.66% 42.74%-0.17 -9.8 22
2009-09-16 KR Reykjavik L 0-239.9 1369 1464 32.26% 21.58% 46.16%-0.33 -17.1 28
2009-09-16 @ Breidablik W 2-039.9 1464 1369 46.16% 21.58% 32.26%+0.33 +17.1 42
2009-09-19 Fylkir Reykjavik L 2-348.0 1250 1396 26.04% 21.23% 52.74%-0.68 -6.8 22
2009-09-19 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-248.0 1396 1250 52.74% 21.23% 26.04%+0.68 +6.8 42
2009-09-20 Breidablik L 0-235.2 1231 1352 29.05% 21.43% 49.52%-0.50 -15.7 14
2009-09-20 @ Fjolnir W 2-035.2 1352 1231 49.52% 21.43% 29.05%+0.50 +15.7 31
2009-09-20 Fram Reykjavik L 1-343.1 1320 1415 32.22% 21.58% 46.20%-0.34 -14.8 22
2009-09-20 @ Grindavik W 3-143.1 1415 1320 46.20% 21.58% 32.22%+0.34 +14.8 34
2009-09-20 Keflavik IF D 2-258.8 1165 1319 25.21% 21.16% 53.64%-0.73 +1.2 13
2009-09-20 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 2-258.8 1319 1165 53.64% 21.16% 25.21%+0.73 -1.2 30
2009-09-20 Stjarnan W 7-338.0 1481 1313 64.52% 19.73% 15.74%+1.42 +11.1 45
2009-09-20 @ KR Reykjavik L 3-738.0 1313 1481 15.74% 19.73% 64.52%-1.42 -11.1 25
2009-09-20 Valur Reykjavik W 2-030.7 1514 1254 71.84% 17.93% 10.23%+2.03 +5.9 50
2009-09-20 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-230.7 1254 1514 10.23% 17.93% 71.84%-2.03 -5.9 25
2009-09-26 FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-160.2 1403 1520 29.51% 21.46% 49.03%-0.48 +1.1 43
2009-09-26 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-160.2 1520 1403 49.03% 21.46% 29.51%+0.48 -1.1 51
2009-09-26 Fjolnir D 1-153.7 1302 1215 56.23% 20.92% 22.85%+0.88 -2.0 26
2009-09-26 @ Stjarnan D 1-153.7 1215 1302 22.85% 20.92% 56.23%-0.88 +2.0 15
2009-09-26 Grindavik W 3-032.3 1367 1305 53.48% 21.17% 25.35%+0.72 +20.3 34
2009-09-26 @ Breidablik L 0-332.3 1305 1367 25.35% 21.17% 53.48%-0.72 -20.3 22
2009-09-26 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 6-134.0 1318 1243 54.94% 21.05% 24.01%+0.80 +25.8 33
2009-09-26 @ Keflavik IF L 1-634.0 1243 1318 24.01% 21.05% 54.94%-0.80 -25.8 22
2009-09-26 KR Reykjavik L 2-539.0 1248 1492 16.83% 19.98% 63.20%-1.33 -10.2 25
2009-09-26 @ Valur Reykjavik W 5-239.0 1492 1248 63.20% 19.98% 16.83%+1.33 +10.2 48
2009-09-26 Throttur Reykjavik L 0-150.6 1430 1167 72.06% 17.86% 10.08%+2.05 -18.1 34
2009-09-26 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-050.6 1167 1430 10.08% 17.86% 72.06%-2.05 +18.1 16

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2009-09-26 10.08% Throttur Reykjavik 1167 1 @ Fram Reykjavik 1430 0
2 2009-08-22 10.53% Grindavik 1298 3 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1552 0
3 2009-08-09 18.04% KR Reykjavik 1427 4 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1566 2
4 2009-06-21 20.57% Grindavik 1234 3 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1344 2
5 2009-07-11 21.85% Valur Reykjavik 1317 4 @ KR Reykjavik 1414 3
6 2009-08-05 22.13% Throttur Reykjavik 1191 3 @ Fjolnir 1285 1
7 2009-08-17 22.55% Fylkir Reykjavik 1360 4 @ KR Reykjavik 1450 2
8 2009-08-09 24.19% Breidablik 1282 3 @ Keflavik IF 1355 0
9 2009-05-28 24.23% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1248 3 @ Fjolnir 1321 1
10 2009-07-20 24.87% @ Throttur Reykjavik 1177 4 Breidablik 1334 0
11 2009-07-09 25.43% @ Fjolnir 1250 3 Stjarnan 1402 1
12 2009-07-19 25.71% @ Grindavik 1230 4 Stjarnan 1379 2
13 2009-07-23 26.48% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1232 4 @ Breidablik 1284 3
14 2009-07-26 27.66% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1244 1 Stjarnan 1376 0
15 2009-05-28 29.67% Valur Reykjavik 1331 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1357 1
16 2009-06-21 30.83% @ Fram Reykjavik 1325 3 KR Reykjavik 1431 0
17 2009-05-14 31.23% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1292 2 Keflavik IF 1395 0
18 2009-08-06 32.40% @ Breidablik 1270 1 Fylkir Reykjavik 1364 0
19 2009-06-14 33.48% @ Throttur Reykjavik 1200 2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1285 1
20 2009-05-28 34.49% FH Hafnarfjordur 1433 2 @ KR Reykjavik 1422 1
21 2009-06-15 34.90% Valur Reykjavik 1349 1 @ Breidablik 1334 0
22 2009-05-10 35.13% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1281 1 Valur Reykjavik 1354 0
23 2009-08-31 35.46% Breidablik 1350 3 @ Stjarnan 1332 1
24 2009-07-20 35.92% Fylkir Reykjavik 1352 1 @ Valur Reykjavik 1330 0
25 2009-06-22 36.28% @ Breidablik 1322 2 Stjarnan 1388 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-05-14 54.64 Stjarnan 6 1312 39.83% @ Throttur Reykjavik 0 1262 38.48% 21.69%
2 2009-07-20 49.64 @ Throttur Reykjavik 4 1177 24.87% Breidablik 0 1334 54.00% 21.13%
3 2009-08-22 49.13 Grindavik 3 1298 10.53% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1552 71.41% 18.06%
4 2009-08-06 47.19 @ Fram Reykjavik 5 1353 38.56% Keflavik IF 0 1402 39.74% 21.69%
5 2009-08-09 38.47 Breidablik 3 1282 24.19% @ Keflavik IF 0 1355 54.75% 21.06%
6 2009-06-21 34.03 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1325 30.83% KR Reykjavik 0 1431 47.64% 21.52%
7 2009-05-14 32.98 KR Reykjavik 4 1385 45.44% @ Grindavik 0 1295 32.96% 21.60%
8 2009-08-09 30.91 Grindavik 5 1267 40.13% @ Throttur Reykjavik 1 1215 38.18% 21.69%
9 2009-07-02 30.87 FH Hafnarfjordur 5 1515 55.19% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1348 23.78% 21.02%
10 2009-08-22 29.55 Breidablik 3 1321 38.15% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1283 40.15% 21.69%
11 2009-09-26 25.78 @ Keflavik IF 6 1318 54.94% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1243 24.01% 21.05%
12 2009-05-23 25.39 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 5 1408 48.58% Stjarnan 1 1384 29.94% 21.48%
13 2009-06-25 24.88 @ Stjarnan 3 1377 46.05% Valur Reykjavik 0 1373 32.37% 21.58%
14 2009-05-18 24.03 @ Keflavik IF 3 1372 47.45% Valur Reykjavik 0 1357 31.02% 21.53%
15 2009-08-05 23.81 Throttur Reykjavik 3 1191 22.13% @ Fjolnir 1 1285 57.04% 20.84%
16 2009-05-14 23.26 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1292 31.23% Keflavik IF 0 1395 47.24% 21.54%
17 2009-08-09 22.93 KR Reykjavik 4 1427 18.04% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1566 61.74% 20.22%
18 2009-05-28 22.92 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1248 24.23% @ Fjolnir 1 1321 54.70% 21.07%
19 2009-07-09 22.42 @ Fjolnir 3 1250 25.43% Stjarnan 1 1402 53.40% 21.18%
20 2009-08-17 21.14 Fylkir Reykjavik 4 1360 22.55% @ KR Reykjavik 2 1450 56.56% 20.89%
21 2009-06-14 20.79 @ KR Reykjavik 4 1410 46.42% Keflavik IF 1 1403 32.01% 21.57%
22 2009-07-23 20.48 @ Fjolnir 2 1264 37.83% Valur Reykjavik 0 1319 40.48% 21.69%
23 2009-09-26 20.26 @ Breidablik 3 1367 53.48% Grindavik 0 1305 25.35% 21.17%
24 2009-07-19 19.96 @ Grindavik 4 1230 25.71% Stjarnan 2 1379 53.09% 21.20%
25 2009-06-14 19.64 @ Stjarnan 4 1368 48.63% Fram Reykjavik 1 1344 29.89% 21.48%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-05-28 67.6 @ Breidablik 4 1333 35.40% Keflavik IF 4 1405 42.94% 21.66%
2 2009-07-18 66.6 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1550 63.51% Keflavik IF 2 1393 16.57% 19.92%
3 2009-08-16 65.0 @ Breidablik 3 1320 33.19% Fram Reykjavik 3 1408 45.21% 21.61%
4 2009-08-29 63.4 @ Fjolnir 3 1239 35.46% Keflavik IF 3 1310 42.88% 21.66%
5 2009-09-13 63.4 @ Valur Reykjavik 3 1254 37.17% Stjarnan 3 1313 41.14% 21.68%
6 2009-08-09 63.3 KR Reykjavik 4 1427 18.04% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1566 61.74% 20.22%
7 2009-07-11 61.8 Valur Reykjavik 4 1317 21.85% @ KR Reykjavik 3 1414 57.35% 20.80%
8 2009-06-01 60.7 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1326 33.63% KR Reykjavik 2 1411 44.75% 21.62%
9 2009-07-27 60.2 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 1298 30.99% Keflavik IF 2 1403 47.48% 21.53%
10 2009-09-26 60.2 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1403 29.51% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1520 49.03% 21.46%
11 2009-08-22 59.8 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1382 62.35% Fjolnir 2 1237 17.53% 20.12%
12 2009-07-12 59.5 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1229 24.01% Keflavik IF 2 1394 54.94% 21.05%
13 2009-09-20 58.8 @ Throttur Reykjavik 2 1165 25.21% Keflavik IF 2 1319 53.64% 21.16%
14 2009-07-23 58.5 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 1232 26.48% @ Breidablik 3 1284 52.25% 21.26%
15 2009-06-21 57.2 Grindavik 3 1234 20.57% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1344 58.80% 20.63%
16 2009-07-02 57.0 @ Stjarnan 1 1402 43.96% KR Reykjavik 1 1413 34.40% 21.64%
17 2009-06-01 56.1 @ Keflavik IF 1 1404 50.38% Stjarnan 1 1367 28.24% 21.38%
18 2009-08-17 56.1 Fylkir Reykjavik 4 1360 22.55% @ KR Reykjavik 2 1450 56.56% 20.89%
19 2009-06-01 54.6 @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1345 47.08% Breidablik 1 1333 31.37% 21.54%
20 2009-06-28 54.3 @ Grindavik 1 1237 24.71% Keflavik IF 1 1396 54.17% 21.11%
21 2009-05-25 54.0 @ Valur Reykjavik 1 1333 55.26% Grindavik 1 1255 23.72% 21.02%
22 2009-07-20 54.0 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1230 27.55% Fram Reykjavik 1 1364 51.11% 21.34%
23 2009-09-03 54.0 @ Grindavik 1 1331 54.02% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1264 24.85% 21.13%
24 2009-05-18 53.8 FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1398 38.29% @ Breidablik 2 1359 40.01% 21.69%
25 2009-09-26 53.7 @ Stjarnan 1 1302 56.23% Fjolnir 1 1215 22.85% 20.92%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-06-21 26.0 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 4 1475 72.13% Throttur Reykjavik 0 1211 10.03% 17.84%
2 2009-09-13 28.2 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 5 1499 69.88% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1266 11.62% 18.50%
3 2009-09-13 29.4 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1389 68.59% Throttur Reykjavik 0 1173 12.57% 18.84%
4 2009-08-26 29.8 @ KR Reykjavik 3 1437 63.61% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1278 16.49% 19.90%
5 2009-06-01 30.6 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1444 62.47% Fjolnir 0 1298 17.43% 20.10%
6 2009-07-01 30.6 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 3 1338 56.68% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1247 22.44% 20.87%
7 2009-09-20 30.7 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1514 71.84% Valur Reykjavik 0 1254 10.23% 17.93%
8 2009-06-28 30.8 FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1501 62.78% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1261 17.17% 20.05%
9 2009-06-14 30.9 FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1458 59.71% @ Grindavik 0 1250 19.78% 20.51%
10 2009-05-17 31.0 @ Stjarnan 3 1366 57.00% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1273 22.16% 20.84%
11 2009-06-25 31.7 @ KR Reykjavik 2 1397 62.81% Grindavik 0 1247 17.15% 20.04%
12 2009-09-26 32.3 @ Breidablik 3 1367 53.48% Grindavik 0 1305 25.35% 21.17%
13 2009-07-23 32.9 @ Stjarnan 5 1359 61.15% Throttur Reykjavik 1 1226 18.55% 20.31%
14 2009-06-22 33.6 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 1360 56.17% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1274 22.91% 20.93%
15 2009-07-27 33.9 KR Reykjavik 5 1408 58.66% @ Throttur Reykjavik 1 1210 20.69% 20.65%
16 2009-05-14 34.0 KR Reykjavik 4 1385 45.44% @ Grindavik 0 1295 32.96% 21.60%
17 2009-09-26 34.0 @ Keflavik IF 6 1318 54.94% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1243 24.01% 21.05%
18 2009-05-10 34.6 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1361 53.73% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1297 25.12% 21.15%
19 2009-05-18 34.9 @ Keflavik IF 3 1372 47.45% Valur Reykjavik 0 1357 31.02% 21.53%
20 2009-07-02 35.0 FH Hafnarfjordur 5 1515 55.19% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1348 23.78% 21.02%
21 2009-08-15 35.0 FH Hafnarfjordur 4 1543 67.81% @ Fjolnir 1 1246 13.16% 19.03%
22 2009-09-20 35.2 Breidablik 2 1352 49.52% @ Fjolnir 0 1231 29.05% 21.43%
23 2009-06-25 35.6 @ Stjarnan 3 1377 46.05% Valur Reykjavik 0 1373 32.37% 21.58%
24 2009-08-23 35.8 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1272 57.40% Throttur Reykjavik 0 1175 21.80% 20.80%
25 2009-05-14 36.0 Stjarnan 6 1312 39.83% @ Throttur Reykjavik 0 1262 38.48% 21.69%