2009 Úrvalsdeild Season

132 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

FH Hafnarfjordur

51 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Fylkir Reykjavik

12.13 points above expected

43 points · 30.87 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Fjolnir

11.52 points below expected

15 points · 26.52 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	FH Hafnarfjordur	22	16	3	3	51	57	21	+36	41.2	+9.76
2	KR Reykjavik	22	15	3	4	48	58	31	+27	36.7	+11.34
3	Fylkir Reykjavik	22	13	4	5	43	41	26	+15	30.9	+12.13
4	Fram Reykjavik	22	10	4	8	34	40	32	+8	33.2	+0.82
5	Breidablik	22	10	4	8	34	38	33	+5	30.6	+3.36
6	Keflavik IF	22	8	9	5	33	38	37	+1	34.1	-1.12
7	Stjarnan	22	7	5	10	26	45	44	+1	31.6	-5.58
8	Valur Reykjavik	22	7	4	11	25	26	43	-17	29.2	-4.25
9	Grindavik	22	6	4	12	22	34	44	-10	25.9	-3.92
10	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	22	6	4	12	22	24	45	-21	24.1	-2.15
11	Throttur Reykjavik	22	4	4	14	16	23	48	-25	21.6	-5.59
12	Fjolnir	22	3	6	13	15	27	47	-20	26.5	-11.52

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
FH Hafnarfjordur	1498	51	41.24	+9.76	96.1%	19	31	37	41	45	51	61
KR Reykjavik	1471	48	36.66	+11.34	97.7%	15	27	33	37	41	46	60
Fram Reykjavik	1396	34	33.18	+0.82	58.9%	10	23	29	33	37	43	57
Fylkir Reykjavik	1389	43	30.87	+12.13	98.2%	10	21	27	31	35	41	58
Breidablik	1380	34	30.64	+3.36	73.6%	9	21	26	31	35	41	55
Keflavik IF	1355	33	34.12	-1.12	46.4%	11	24	30	34	38	44	57
Stjarnan	1317	26	31.58	-5.58	20.5%	9	22	27	32	36	42	52
Grindavik	1295	22	25.92	-3.92	29.0%	6	16	22	26	30	36	49
Valur Reykjavik	1272	25	29.25	-4.25	26.9%	4	19	25	29	33	39	53
Fjolnir	1250	15	26.52	-11.52	2.7%	7	17	22	27	30	36	50
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1240	22	24.15	-2.15	40.2%	6	15	20	24	28	34	47
Throttur Reykjavik	1217	16	21.59	-5.59	18.6%	4	12	18	21	25	31	43

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BRE	FH	FJO	FR	FR	GRI	IV	KR	KI	STJ	TR	VR
Breidablik	—	0-0-2 2.02	1-1-0 3.38	0-2-0 2.50	1-0-1 2.62	2-0-0 3.27	1-0-1 3.25	0-0-2 2.25	1-1-0 2.34	2-0-0 2.65	1-0-1 3.47	1-0-1 2.82
FH Hafnarfjordur	2-0-0 3.57	—	2-0-0 4.03	2-0-0 3.26	1-1-0 3.74	1-0-1 4.08	2-0-0 4.21	1-0-1 3.20	0-1-1 3.25	2-0-0 3.46	1-1-0 4.43	2-0-0 3.97
Fjolnir	0-1-1 2.15	0-0-2 1.56	—	0-0-2 2.10	0-1-1 2.28	1-1-0 3.02	0-0-2 3.08	0-0-2 2.23	0-1-1 2.18	1-1-0 2.08	0-1-1 3.37	1-0-1 2.51
Fram Reykjavik	0-2-0 3.02	0-0-2 2.26	2-0-0 3.45	—	0-1-1 2.92	2-0-0 3.30	1-1-0 3.43	1-0-1 2.31	1-0-1 2.48	1-0-1 2.88	1-0-1 3.93	1-0-1 3.13
Fylkir Reykjavik	1-0-1 2.89	0-1-1 1.83	1-1-0 3.26	1-1-0 2.60	—	1-0-1 3.21	2-0-0 3.55	1-1-0 2.23	1-0-1 2.33	1-0-1 2.70	2-0-0 3.75	2-0-0 2.57
Grindavik	0-0-2 2.26	1-0-1 1.53	0-1-1 2.50	0-0-2 2.23	1-0-1 2.32	—	0-1-1 3.00	0-0-2 2.10	0-1-1 2.23	1-0-1 2.36	2-0-0 3.06	1-1-0 2.34
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1-0-1 2.27	0-0-2 1.42	2-0-0 2.45	0-1-1 2.10	0-0-2 1.99	1-1-0 2.53	—	0-0-2 1.80	0-1-1 1.92	1-0-1 2.03	1-0-1 3.20	0-1-1 2.43
KR Reykjavik	2-0-0 3.28	1-0-1 2.34	2-0-0 3.29	1-0-1 3.21	0-1-1 3.30	2-0-0 3.45	2-0-0 3.77	—	2-0-0 3.09	1-1-0 3.28	1-1-0 3.93	1-0-1 3.74
Keflavik IF	0-1-1 3.18	1-1-0 2.30	1-1-0 3.36	1-0-1 3.04	1-0-1 3.19	1-1-0 3.29	1-1-0 3.62	0-0-2 2.42	—	0-2-0 2.86	1-1-0 3.82	1-1-0 3.12
Stjarnan	0-0-2 2.86	0-0-2 2.07	0-1-1 3.46	1-0-1 2.64	1-0-1 2.82	1-0-1 3.16	1-0-1 3.50	0-1-1 2.28	0-2-0 2.66	—	2-0-0 3.27	1-1-0 2.91
Throttur Reykjavik	1-0-1 2.07	0-1-1 1.23	1-1-0 2.16	1-0-1 1.67	0-0-2 1.83	0-0-2 2.46	1-0-1 2.32	0-1-1 1.66	0-1-1 1.75	0-0-2 2.28	—	0-0-2 2.07
Valur Reykjavik	1-0-1 2.69	0-0-2 1.63	1-0-1 3.00	1-0-1 2.38	0-0-2 2.94	0-1-1 3.18	1-1-0 3.11	1-0-1 1.81	0-1-1 2.39	0-1-1 2.60	2-0-0 3.48	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.79%	5.68%	3.79%	4.92%	1.14%	1.52%	20.83%
1	5.68%	9.09%	6.82%	6.06%	1.52%	1.89%	31.06%
2	3.79%	6.82%	4.55%	3.41%	1.14%	0.38%	20.08%
3	4.92%	6.06%	3.41%	2.27%	1.14%	0.38%	18.18%
4	1.14%	1.52%	1.14%	1.14%	0.76%	—	5.68%
5+	1.52%	1.89%	0.38%	0.38%	—	—	4.17%
Total	20.83%	31.06%	20.08%	18.18%	5.68%	4.17%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.71
Mean allowed	1.71
StdDev scored	1.40
StdDev allowed	1.40
Mean total goals/game	3.42
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.128
Sample size (games)	132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
1	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
2	4.55%	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	—	22.73%
3	13.64%	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	27.27%
4	—	—	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.36%	22.73%	9.09%	18.18%	13.64%	—	100%

Breidablik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.73
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.20
StdDev allowed	1.50
Mean total goals/game	3.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.132
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
1	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
2	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	31.82%
3	13.64%	—	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
4	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
Total	40.91%	36.36%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	100%

FH Hafnarfjordur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.59
Mean allowed	0.95
StdDev scored	1.53
StdDev allowed	1.09
Mean total goals/game	3.55
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.297
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
1	—	13.64%	13.64%	31.82%	4.55%	—	63.64%
2	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	18.18%	27.27%	40.91%	4.55%	—	100%

Fjolnir — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	2.14
StdDev scored	0.87
StdDev allowed	1.08
Mean total goals/game	3.36
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.085
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
1	—	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
3	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	18.18%	40.91%	22.73%	13.64%	4.55%	—	100%

Fram Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.82
Mean allowed	1.45
StdDev scored	1.40
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	3.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.098
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
1	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
2	9.09%	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	40.91%
3	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	36.36%	27.27%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Fylkir Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.86
Mean allowed	1.18
StdDev scored	1.08
StdDev allowed	0.96
Mean total goals/game	3.05
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.301
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	27.27%
1	—	18.18%	—	13.64%	—	—	31.82%
2	—	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	13.64%
3	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	4.55%	40.91%	13.64%	31.82%	9.09%	—	100%

Grindavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.55
Mean allowed	2.00
StdDev scored	1.44
StdDev allowed	1.15
Mean total goals/game	3.55
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.201
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	9.09%	18.18%	—	4.55%	40.91%
1	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	31.82%
2	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
3	—	13.64%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	36.36%	18.18%	27.27%	—	9.09%	100%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.09
Mean allowed	2.05
StdDev scored	1.23
StdDev allowed	1.50
Mean total goals/game	3.14
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.183
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
1	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
2	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	31.82%
3	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
4	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
Total	27.27%	31.82%	22.73%	9.09%	9.09%	—	100%

KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.64
Mean allowed	1.41
StdDev scored	1.71
StdDev allowed	1.26
Mean total goals/game	4.05
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.183
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	18.18%
1	18.18%	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	36.36%
2	—	—	18.18%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	27.27%	18.18%	31.82%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Keflavik IF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.73
Mean allowed	1.68
StdDev scored	1.49
StdDev allowed	1.46
Mean total goals/game	3.41
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.002
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
1	—	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	40.91%
2	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	13.64%
3	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	22.73%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	18.18%	36.36%	9.09%	18.18%	9.09%	9.09%	100%

Stjarnan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.05
Mean allowed	2.00
StdDev scored	1.56
StdDev allowed	1.83
Mean total goals/game	4.05
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.167
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	31.82%
1	4.55%	4.55%	18.18%	4.55%	—	13.64%	45.45%
2	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	22.73%	27.27%	9.09%	4.55%	18.18%	100%

Throttur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.05
Mean allowed	2.18
StdDev scored	1.05
StdDev allowed	1.82
Mean total goals/game	3.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.205
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	9.09%	13.64%	—	4.55%	36.36%
1	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
2	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	22.73%
3	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.64%	31.82%	18.18%	27.27%	—	9.09%	100%

Valur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.18
Mean allowed	1.95
StdDev scored	1.18
StdDev allowed	1.43
Mean total goals/game	3.14
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.051
Games played	22

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Fylkir Reykjavik	43	30.9	+12.13
2	KR Reykjavik	48	36.7	+11.34
3	FH Hafnarfjordur	51	41.2	+9.76
4	Breidablik	34	30.6	+3.36
5	Fram Reykjavik	34	33.2	+0.82

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Fjolnir	15	26.5	-11.52
2	Throttur Reykjavik	16	21.6	-5.59
3	Stjarnan	26	31.6	-5.58
4	Valur Reykjavik	25	29.2	-4.25
5	Grindavik	22	25.9	-3.92

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	FH Hafnarfjordur	11	May 14 – Jul 9	1 in 2,110
2	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	4	Jul 23 – Aug 23	1 in 63
3	KR Reykjavik	6	Aug 22 – Sep 26	1 in 55
4	Grindavik	3	Aug 6 – Aug 22	1 in 51
5	Valur Reykjavik	4	May 28 – Jun 22	1 in 31

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fjolnir	5	May 28 – Jun 28	1 in 90
2	Breidablik	3	Jul 20 – Jul 26	1 in 21
3	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	4	May 10 – May 23	1 in 18
4	Stjarnan	3	Jul 26 – Aug 9	1 in 15
5	Grindavik	3	May 10 – May 18	1 in 12

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	FH Hafnarfjordur	14	May 14 – Aug 6	1 in 64
2	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	6	Jul 12 – Aug 23	1 in 30
3	Grindavik	5	Jul 19 – Aug 22	1 in 25
4	Fylkir Reykjavik	7	Aug 9 – Sep 26	1 in 20
5	Breidablik	5	Aug 6 – Aug 31	1 in 16

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Stjarnan	9	Jul 26 – Sep 26	1 in 67
2	Fjolnir	9	Jul 27 – Sep 26	1 in 29
3	Keflavik IF	6	Jul 27 – Aug 29	1 in 21
4	Fram Reykjavik	6	May 14 – Jun 14	1 in 19
5	Grindavik	6	Aug 26 – Sep 26	1 in 13

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
FH Hafnarfjordur	50.36%	20.89%	11.48%	6.80%	4.15%	2.79%	1.51%	1.02%	0.59%	0.27%	0.12%	0.02%
KR Reykjavik	18.36%	21.64%	17.29%	12.98%	9.36%	6.77%	5.09%	3.66%	2.36%	1.36%	0.91%	0.22%
Fylkir Reykjavik	3.40%	8.24%	9.74%	10.97%	11.53%	11.74%	11.10%	10.22%	8.25%	6.77%	5.22%	2.82%
Fram Reykjavik	7.14%	11.92%	13.34%	13.02%	12.23%	11.08%	9.47%	7.66%	6.28%	4.11%	2.56%	1.19%
Breidablik	3.52%	6.50%	9.19%	10.36%	10.98%	11.62%	11.46%	10.96%	9.36%	7.31%	5.64%	3.10%
Keflavik IF	9.17%	13.82%	13.97%	13.11%	12.60%	10.47%	8.60%	6.78%	5.26%	3.45%	2.01%	0.76%
Stjarnan	4.31%	7.91%	10.82%	12.06%	11.96%	10.89%	10.94%	9.81%	8.30%	6.19%	4.27%	2.54%
Valur Reykjavik	2.03%	4.19%	6.11%	8.01%	9.93%	10.39%	11.26%	12.37%	11.64%	10.72%	8.13%	5.22%
Grindavik	0.63%	1.72%	2.86%	4.12%	5.62%	8.27%	8.88%	11.02%	14.15%	14.87%	15.06%	12.80%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	0.27%	1.01%	1.67%	2.57%	3.70%	5.51%	7.00%	9.14%	11.45%	16.14%	19.79%	21.75%
Throttur Reykjavik	0.10%	0.31%	0.61%	1.18%	1.86%	2.67%	4.49%	5.66%	9.07%	13.94%	22.03%	38.08%
Fjolnir	0.71%	1.85%	2.92%	4.82%	6.08%	7.80%	10.20%	11.70%	13.29%	14.87%	14.26%	11.50%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
FH Hafnarfjordur	99.9%	0.1%
KR Reykjavik	98.9%	1.1%
Keflavik IF	97.2%	2.8%
Fram Reykjavik	96.2%	3.8%
Stjarnan	93.2%	6.8%
Fylkir Reykjavik	92.0%	8.0%
Breidablik	91.3%	8.7%
Valur Reykjavik	86.7%	13.4%
Fjolnir	74.2%	25.8%
Grindavik	72.1%	27.9%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	58.5%	41.5%
Throttur Reykjavik	39.9%	60.1%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2009-05-10	Throttur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1349	1294	51.5%	23.0%	25.5%	+4.9	3
2009-05-10	@ Breidablik	L 1-2	1294	1349	25.5%	23.0%	51.5%	-4.9	0
2009-05-10	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 2-0	1358	1300	52.1%	22.9%	25.0%	+9.7	3
2009-05-10	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 0-2	1300	1358	25.0%	22.9%	52.1%	-9.6	0
2009-05-10	Valur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1303	1359	36.2%	24.5%	39.3%	+7.4	3
2009-05-10	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	L 0-1	1359	1303	39.3%	24.5%	36.2%	-7.4	0
2009-05-10	Fjolnir	W 2-1	1371	1342	48.2%	23.7%	28.1%	+5.4	3
2009-05-10	@ KR Reykjavik	L 1-2	1342	1371	28.1%	23.7%	48.2%	-5.4	0
2009-05-10	Grindavik	W 3-1	1308	1322	42.1%	24.4%	33.5%	+10.8	3
2009-05-10	@ Stjarnan	L 1-3	1322	1308	33.5%	24.4%	42.1%	-10.8	0
2009-05-11	FH Hafnarfjordur	W 1-0	1380	1393	42.3%	24.4%	33.4%	+6.6	3
2009-05-11	@ Keflavik IF	L 0-1	1393	1380	33.4%	24.4%	42.3%	-6.6	0
2009-05-13	Breidablik	L 0-1	1290	1354	35.1%	24.5%	40.4%	-6.8	0
2009-05-13	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 1-0	1354	1290	40.4%	24.5%	35.1%	+6.8	6
2009-05-14	Fram Reykjavik	W 2-1	1387	1368	46.7%	23.9%	29.4%	+5.6	3
2009-05-14	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-2	1368	1387	29.4%	23.9%	46.7%	-5.6	3
2009-05-14	Keflavik IF	W 2-0	1311	1386	33.5%	24.4%	42.2%	+14.8	6
2009-05-14	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	L 0-2	1386	1311	42.2%	24.4%	33.5%	-14.8	3
2009-05-14	KR Reykjavik	L 0-4	1312	1377	35.0%	24.5%	40.6%	-24.3	0
2009-05-14	@ Grindavik	W 4-0	1377	1312	40.6%	24.5%	35.0%	+24.3	6
2009-05-14	Stjarnan	L 0-6	1289	1319	40.0%	24.5%	35.5%	-39.5	0
2009-05-14	@ Throttur Reykjavik	W 6-0	1319	1289	35.5%	24.5%	40.0%	+39.5	6
2009-05-14	Fjolnir	W 3-1	1352	1336	46.3%	23.9%	29.8%	+9.8	3
2009-05-14	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 1-3	1336	1352	29.8%	23.9%	46.3%	-9.8	0
2009-05-17	Throttur Reykjavik	D 0-0	1401	1250	63.5%	19.2%	17.4%	-2.1	7
2009-05-17	@ KR Reykjavik	D 0-0	1250	1401	17.4%	19.2%	63.5%	+2.1	1
2009-05-17	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 3-0	1358	1283	54.2%	22.4%	23.4%	+13.2	9
2009-05-17	@ Stjarnan	L 0-3	1283	1358	23.4%	22.4%	54.2%	-13.2	0
2009-05-18	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 2-3	1360	1392	39.6%	24.5%	35.9%	-6.7	6
2009-05-18	@ Breidablik	W 3-2	1392	1360	35.9%	24.5%	39.6%	+6.7	6
2009-05-18	Grindavik	W 3-2	1326	1287	49.5%	23.4%	27.1%	+4.9	3
2009-05-18	@ Fjolnir	L 2-3	1287	1326	27.1%	23.4%	49.5%	-4.9	0
2009-05-18	Fylkir Reykjavik	D 0-0	1362	1325	49.2%	23.5%	27.3%	-1.0	4
2009-05-18	@ Fram Reykjavik	D 0-0	1325	1362	27.3%	23.5%	49.2%	+1.0	7
2009-05-18	Valur Reykjavik	W 3-0	1372	1361	45.6%	24.0%	30.4%	+16.6	6
2009-05-18	@ Keflavik IF	L 0-3	1361	1372	30.4%	24.0%	45.6%	-16.6	3
2009-05-23	Stjarnan	W 5-1	1399	1371	47.9%	23.7%	28.4%	+17.1	9
2009-05-23	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-5	1371	1399	28.4%	23.7%	47.9%	-17.1	9
2009-05-23	KR Reykjavik	L 0-1	1270	1399	27.1%	23.4%	49.5%	-5.5	0
2009-05-23	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 1-0	1399	1270	49.5%	23.4%	27.1%	+5.5	10
2009-05-23	Fram Reykjavik	W 1-0	1388	1362	47.8%	23.7%	28.4%	+5.7	9
2009-05-23	@ Keflavik IF	L 0-1	1362	1388	28.4%	23.7%	47.8%	-5.8	4
2009-05-23	Fjolnir	D 1-1	1252	1331	33.0%	24.3%	42.6%	+0.4	2
2009-05-23	@ Throttur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1331	1252	42.6%	24.3%	33.0%	-0.4	4
2009-05-24	Breidablik	W 3-1	1326	1354	40.3%	24.5%	35.3%	+11.2	10
2009-05-24	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	L 1-3	1354	1326	35.3%	24.5%	40.3%	-11.2	6
2009-05-25	Grindavik	D 1-1	1345	1282	52.6%	22.8%	24.7%	-1.1	4
2009-05-25	@ Valur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1282	1345	24.7%	22.8%	52.6%	+1.1	1
2009-05-28	Keflavik IF	D 4-4	1343	1394	36.8%	24.5%	38.7%	+0.0	7
2009-05-28	@ Breidablik	D 4-4	1394	1343	38.7%	24.5%	36.8%	-0.0	10
2009-05-28	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 1-3	1331	1264	53.1%	22.6%	24.2%	-15.4	4
2009-05-28	@ Fjolnir	W 3-1	1264	1331	24.2%	22.6%	53.1%	+15.4	3
2009-05-28	Valur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1356	1344	45.8%	24.0%	30.2%	-7.9	4
2009-05-28	@ Fram Reykjavik	W 2-1	1344	1356	30.2%	24.0%	45.8%	+7.9	7
2009-05-28	Throttur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1284	1252	48.4%	23.6%	28.0%	+5.3	4
2009-05-28	@ Grindavik	L 1-2	1252	1284	28.0%	23.6%	48.4%	-5.3	2
2009-05-28	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-2	1404	1416	42.5%	24.3%	33.2%	-7.5	10
2009-05-28	@ KR Reykjavik	W 2-1	1416	1404	33.2%	24.3%	42.5%	+7.5	12
2009-05-28	Fylkir Reykjavik	W 2-1	1354	1337	46.5%	23.9%	29.6%	+5.6	12
2009-05-28	@ Stjarnan	L 1-2	1337	1354	29.6%	23.9%	46.5%	-5.6	10
2009-06-01	Fjolnir	W 3-0	1423	1316	58.3%	21.1%	20.6%	+11.6	15
2009-06-01	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-3	1316	1423	20.6%	21.1%	58.3%	-11.6	4
2009-06-01	Breidablik	D 1-1	1348	1343	44.9%	24.1%	31.0%	-0.5	5
2009-06-01	@ Fram Reykjavik	D 1-1	1343	1348	31.0%	24.1%	44.9%	+0.5	8
2009-06-01	KR Reykjavik	D 2-2	1332	1397	34.9%	24.5%	40.6%	+0.1	11
2009-06-01	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	D 2-2	1397	1332	40.6%	24.5%	34.9%	-0.2	11
2009-06-01	Grindavik	W 3-1	1280	1289	42.9%	24.3%	32.8%	+10.6	6
2009-06-01	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 1-3	1289	1280	32.8%	24.3%	42.9%	-10.6	4
2009-06-01	Stjarnan	D 1-1	1394	1360	48.8%	23.6%	27.6%	-0.8	11
2009-06-01	@ Keflavik IF	D 1-1	1360	1394	27.6%	23.6%	48.8%	+0.8	13
2009-06-01	Throttur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1352	1247	57.9%	21.2%	20.8%	+4.0	10
2009-06-01	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1247	1352	20.8%	21.2%	57.9%	-4.0	2
2009-06-13	Fylkir Reykjavik	L 1-3	1304	1332	40.2%	24.5%	35.4%	-12.3	4
2009-06-13	@ Fjolnir	W 3-1	1332	1304	35.4%	24.5%	40.2%	+12.4	14
2009-06-14	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-3	1278	1435	24.2%	22.6%	53.1%	-13.6	4
2009-06-14	@ Grindavik	W 3-0	1435	1278	53.1%	22.6%	24.2%	+13.6	18
2009-06-14	Keflavik IF	W 4-1	1397	1393	44.6%	24.1%	31.2%	+14.3	14
2009-06-14	@ KR Reykjavik	L 1-4	1393	1397	31.2%	24.1%	44.6%	-14.4	11
2009-06-14	Fram Reykjavik	W 4-1	1361	1347	46.0%	24.0%	30.0%	+13.9	16
2009-06-14	@ Stjarnan	L 1-4	1347	1361	30.0%	24.0%	46.0%	-13.9	5
2009-06-14	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 2-1	1243	1290	37.4%	24.5%	38.1%	+6.9	5
2009-06-14	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1290	1243	38.1%	24.5%	37.4%	-6.9	6
2009-06-15	Valur Reykjavik	L 0-1	1343	1356	42.4%	24.3%	33.3%	-7.9	8
2009-06-15	@ Breidablik	W 1-0	1356	1343	33.3%	24.3%	42.4%	+7.9	13
2009-06-21	Throttur Reykjavik	W 4-0	1449	1250	68.8%	16.8%	14.4%	+10.2	21
2009-06-21	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-4	1250	1449	14.4%	16.8%	68.8%	-10.2	5
2009-06-21	KR Reykjavik	W 3-0	1333	1411	33.3%	24.3%	42.4%	+21.6	8
2009-06-21	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 0-3	1411	1333	42.4%	24.3%	33.3%	-21.6	14
2009-06-21	Grindavik	L 2-3	1344	1265	54.8%	22.2%	23.0%	-8.7	14
2009-06-21	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	W 3-2	1265	1344	23.0%	22.2%	54.8%	+8.7	7
2009-06-21	Fjolnir	W 3-1	1379	1292	55.8%	21.9%	22.3%	+7.5	14
2009-06-21	@ Keflavik IF	L 1-3	1292	1379	22.3%	21.9%	55.8%	-7.5	4
2009-06-22	Stjarnan	W 2-1	1335	1375	38.5%	24.5%	37.0%	+6.7	11
2009-06-22	@ Breidablik	L 1-2	1375	1335	37.0%	24.5%	38.5%	-6.7	16
2009-06-22	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 2-0	1364	1284	54.8%	22.2%	23.0%	+8.9	16
2009-06-22	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 0-2	1284	1364	23.0%	22.2%	54.8%	-8.9	6
2009-06-25	Valur Reykjavik	W 3-0	1368	1372	43.5%	24.3%	32.2%	+17.5	19
2009-06-25	@ Stjarnan	L 0-3	1372	1368	32.2%	24.3%	43.5%	-17.5	16
2009-06-25	Throttur Reykjavik	W 3-2	1386	1240	62.9%	19.4%	17.7%	+3.2	17
2009-06-25	@ Keflavik IF	L 2-3	1240	1386	17.7%	19.4%	62.9%	-3.2	5
2009-06-25	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-2	1355	1459	30.0%	24.0%	46.1%	-11.3	8
2009-06-25	@ Fram Reykjavik	W 2-0	1459	1355	46.1%	24.0%	30.0%	+11.3	24
2009-06-25	Grindavik	W 2-0	1389	1273	59.3%	20.8%	19.9%	+7.7	17
2009-06-25	@ KR Reykjavik	L 0-2	1273	1389	19.9%	20.8%	59.3%	-7.7	7
2009-06-28	Fram Reykjavik	L 1-2	1284	1344	35.7%	24.5%	39.8%	-6.5	4
2009-06-28	@ Fjolnir	W 2-1	1344	1284	39.8%	24.5%	35.7%	+6.5	11
2009-06-28	Keflavik IF	D 1-1	1266	1390	27.7%	23.6%	48.8%	+0.8	8
2009-06-28	@ Grindavik	D 1-1	1390	1266	48.8%	23.6%	27.7%	-0.8	18
2009-06-28	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-3	1275	1470	20.8%	21.2%	58.0%	-11.7	6
2009-06-28	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 3-0	1470	1275	58.0%	21.2%	20.8%	+11.7	27
2009-06-28	Fylkir Reykjavik	L 1-2	1237	1336	30.5%	24.1%	45.4%	-5.8	5
2009-06-28	@ Throttur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1336	1237	45.4%	24.1%	30.5%	+5.7	17
2009-06-29	Breidablik	W 3-2	1397	1342	51.6%	23.0%	25.4%	+4.7	20
2009-06-29	@ KR Reykjavik	L 2-3	1342	1397	25.4%	23.0%	51.6%	-4.6	11
2009-07-01	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 3-0	1341	1263	54.6%	22.2%	23.1%	+13.0	20
2009-07-01	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	L 0-3	1263	1341	23.1%	22.2%	54.6%	-13.0	6
2009-07-02	Fjolnir	D 0-0	1337	1278	52.2%	22.9%	24.9%	-1.2	12
2009-07-02	@ Breidablik	D 0-0	1278	1337	24.9%	22.9%	52.2%	+1.2	5
2009-07-02	KR Reykjavik	D 1-1	1385	1402	41.9%	24.4%	33.8%	-0.3	20
2009-07-02	@ Stjarnan	D 1-1	1402	1385	33.8%	24.4%	41.9%	+0.3	21
2009-07-02	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-5	1355	1482	27.3%	23.5%	49.2%	-24.5	16
2009-07-02	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 5-0	1482	1355	49.2%	23.5%	27.3%	+24.5	30
2009-07-09	Fylkir Reykjavik	W 3-2	1506	1354	63.6%	19.1%	17.3%	+3.1	33
2009-07-09	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 2-3	1354	1506	17.3%	19.1%	63.6%	-3.2	20
2009-07-09	Stjarnan	W 3-1	1279	1385	29.7%	23.9%	46.4%	+13.8	8
2009-07-09	@ Fjolnir	L 1-3	1385	1279	46.4%	23.9%	29.7%	-13.8	20
2009-07-11	Valur Reykjavik	L 3-4	1402	1330	53.8%	22.5%	23.8%	-8.3	21
2009-07-11	@ KR Reykjavik	W 4-3	1330	1402	23.8%	22.5%	53.8%	+8.3	19
2009-07-12	Keflavik IF	D 2-2	1250	1389	26.0%	23.2%	50.8%	+0.7	7
2009-07-12	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 2-2	1389	1250	50.8%	23.2%	26.0%	-0.7	19
2009-07-13	Breidablik	L 0-1	1267	1336	34.3%	24.4%	41.3%	-6.7	8
2009-07-13	@ Grindavik	W 1-0	1336	1267	41.3%	24.4%	34.3%	+6.7	15
2009-07-13	Fram Reykjavik	L 1-3	1231	1350	28.1%	23.7%	48.2%	-9.3	5
2009-07-13	@ Throttur Reykjavik	W 3-1	1350	1231	48.2%	23.7%	28.1%	+9.3	14
2009-07-18	Keflavik IF	D 2-2	1509	1388	60.0%	20.5%	19.5%	-1.2	34
2009-07-18	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	D 2-2	1388	1509	19.5%	20.5%	60.0%	+1.2	20
2009-07-19	KR Reykjavik	L 1-2	1293	1394	30.3%	24.0%	45.7%	-5.7	8
2009-07-19	@ Fjolnir	W 2-1	1394	1293	45.7%	24.0%	30.3%	+5.7	24
2009-07-19	Stjarnan	W 4-2	1260	1371	29.0%	23.8%	47.1%	+12.5	11
2009-07-19	@ Grindavik	L 2-4	1371	1260	47.1%	23.8%	29.0%	-12.5	20
2009-07-20	Fram Reykjavik	D 1-1	1251	1360	29.4%	23.9%	46.8%	+0.7	8
2009-07-20	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 1-1	1360	1251	46.8%	23.9%	29.4%	-0.7	15
2009-07-20	Breidablik	W 4-0	1221	1343	27.9%	23.6%	48.4%	+31.4	8
2009-07-20	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 0-4	1343	1221	48.4%	23.6%	27.9%	-31.4	15
2009-07-20	Fylkir Reykjavik	L 0-1	1339	1351	42.4%	24.3%	33.3%	-7.9	19
2009-07-20	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1351	1339	33.3%	24.3%	42.4%	+7.9	23
2009-07-23	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 3-4	1311	1251	52.3%	22.8%	24.9%	-8.2	15
2009-07-23	@ Breidablik	W 4-3	1251	1311	24.9%	22.8%	52.3%	+8.2	11
2009-07-23	Valur Reykjavik	W 2-0	1287	1331	37.9%	24.5%	37.6%	+13.6	11
2009-07-23	@ Fjolnir	L 0-2	1331	1287	37.6%	24.5%	37.9%	-13.6	19
2009-07-23	Fylkir Reykjavik	W 1-0	1389	1359	48.3%	23.6%	28.1%	+5.7	23
2009-07-23	@ Keflavik IF	L 0-1	1359	1389	28.1%	23.6%	48.3%	-5.7	23
2009-07-23	Throttur Reykjavik	W 5-1	1359	1253	58.1%	21.2%	20.7%	+12.7	23
2009-07-23	@ Stjarnan	L 1-5	1253	1359	20.7%	21.2%	58.1%	-12.7	8
2009-07-26	Breidablik	W 2-1	1508	1303	69.5%	16.4%	14.1%	+2.6	37
2009-07-26	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-2	1303	1508	14.1%	16.4%	69.5%	-2.6	15
2009-07-26	Stjarnan	W 1-0	1259	1372	29.0%	23.8%	47.2%	+8.6	14
2009-07-26	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-1	1372	1259	47.2%	23.8%	29.0%	-8.6	23
2009-07-27	Fram Reykjavik	W 2-1	1354	1359	43.4%	24.3%	32.3%	+6.0	26
2009-07-27	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	L 1-2	1359	1354	32.3%	24.3%	43.4%	-6.0	15
2009-07-27	Fjolnir	D 1-1	1272	1301	40.2%	24.5%	35.4%	-0.2	12
2009-07-27	@ Grindavik	D 1-1	1301	1272	35.4%	24.5%	40.2%	+0.2	12
2009-07-27	KR Reykjavik	L 1-5	1240	1399	24.0%	22.6%	53.5%	-14.7	8
2009-07-27	@ Throttur Reykjavik	W 5-1	1399	1240	53.5%	22.6%	24.0%	+14.7	27
2009-07-27	Keflavik IF	D 2-2	1317	1395	33.3%	24.3%	42.4%	+0.3	20
2009-07-27	@ Valur Reykjavik	D 2-2	1395	1317	42.4%	24.3%	33.3%	-0.3	24
2009-08-05	Throttur Reykjavik	L 1-3	1301	1225	54.2%	22.4%	23.4%	-15.7	12
2009-08-05	@ Fjolnir	W 3-1	1225	1301	23.4%	22.4%	54.2%	+15.7	11
2009-08-06	Fylkir Reykjavik	W 1-0	1301	1360	35.8%	24.5%	39.7%	+7.5	18
2009-08-06	@ Breidablik	L 0-1	1360	1301	39.7%	24.5%	35.8%	-7.5	26
2009-08-06	Keflavik IF	W 5-0	1353	1395	38.2%	24.5%	37.3%	+31.5	18
2009-08-06	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 0-5	1395	1353	37.3%	24.5%	38.2%	-31.5	24
2009-08-06	Valur Reykjavik	W 3-1	1272	1318	37.7%	24.5%	37.8%	+11.8	15
2009-08-06	@ Grindavik	L 1-3	1318	1272	37.8%	24.5%	37.7%	-11.8	20
2009-08-06	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-4	1363	1511	25.1%	22.9%	52.0%	-11.9	23
2009-08-06	@ Stjarnan	W 4-1	1511	1363	52.0%	22.9%	25.1%	+11.9	40
2009-08-09	KR Reykjavik	L 2-4	1523	1414	58.4%	21.1%	20.5%	-14.9	40
2009-08-09	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	W 4-2	1414	1523	20.5%	21.1%	58.4%	+14.9	30
2009-08-09	Stjarnan	W 2-1	1352	1351	44.3%	24.2%	31.5%	+5.9	29
2009-08-09	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	L 1-2	1351	1352	31.5%	24.2%	44.3%	-5.9	23
2009-08-09	Fjolnir	W 3-1	1268	1285	41.8%	24.4%	33.9%	+10.8	17
2009-08-09	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 1-3	1285	1268	33.9%	24.4%	41.8%	-10.8	12
2009-08-09	Breidablik	L 0-3	1363	1308	51.6%	23.0%	25.4%	-25.3	24
2009-08-09	@ Keflavik IF	W 3-0	1308	1363	25.4%	23.0%	51.6%	+25.3	21
2009-08-09	Grindavik	L 1-5	1241	1284	38.1%	24.5%	37.4%	-21.7	11
2009-08-09	@ Throttur Reykjavik	W 5-1	1284	1241	37.4%	24.5%	38.1%	+21.6	18
2009-08-09	Fram Reykjavik	L 1-2	1306	1384	33.1%	24.3%	42.5%	-6.1	20
2009-08-09	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1384	1306	42.5%	24.3%	33.1%	+6.2	21
2009-08-15	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-4	1274	1508	17.9%	19.5%	62.6%	-8.4	12
2009-08-15	@ Fjolnir	W 4-1	1508	1274	62.6%	19.5%	17.9%	+8.4	43
2009-08-16	Fram Reykjavik	D 3-3	1333	1390	36.0%	24.5%	39.5%	+0.1	22
2009-08-16	@ Breidablik	D 3-3	1390	1333	39.5%	24.5%	36.0%	-0.1	22
2009-08-17	Fylkir Reykjavik	L 2-4	1429	1358	53.7%	22.5%	23.8%	-13.9	30
2009-08-17	@ KR Reykjavik	W 4-2	1358	1429	23.8%	22.5%	53.7%	+13.9	32
2009-08-17	Keflavik IF	D 0-0	1345	1338	45.2%	24.1%	30.8%	-0.6	24
2009-08-17	@ Stjarnan	D 0-0	1338	1345	30.8%	24.1%	45.2%	+0.6	25
2009-08-17	Valur Reykjavik	L 0-1	1220	1300	32.9%	24.3%	42.8%	-6.5	11
2009-08-17	@ Throttur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1300	1220	42.8%	24.3%	32.9%	+6.5	23
2009-08-22	Grindavik	L 0-3	1516	1306	70.1%	16.1%	13.8%	-32.1	43
2009-08-22	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	W 3-0	1306	1516	13.8%	16.1%	70.1%	+32.1	21
2009-08-22	Stjarnan	W 3-2	1390	1345	50.4%	23.3%	26.4%	+4.8	25
2009-08-22	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 2-3	1345	1390	26.4%	23.3%	50.4%	-4.8	24
2009-08-22	Fjolnir	D 2-2	1372	1266	58.1%	21.2%	20.7%	-1.1	33
2009-08-22	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	D 2-2	1266	1372	20.7%	21.2%	58.1%	+1.1	13
2009-08-22	KR Reykjavik	L 1-2	1338	1415	33.4%	24.4%	42.3%	-6.2	25
2009-08-22	@ Keflavik IF	W 2-1	1415	1338	42.3%	24.4%	33.4%	+6.2	33
2009-08-22	Breidablik	L 0-3	1306	1334	40.3%	24.5%	35.3%	-20.8	23
2009-08-22	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 3-0	1334	1306	35.3%	24.5%	40.3%	+20.8	25
2009-08-23	Throttur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1279	1213	53.0%	22.7%	24.3%	+5.0	20
2009-08-23	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-1	1213	1279	24.3%	22.7%	53.0%	-5.0	11
2009-08-26	Grindavik	W 4-3	1395	1338	51.9%	22.9%	25.1%	+4.5	28
2009-08-26	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 3-4	1338	1395	25.1%	22.9%	51.9%	-4.5	21
2009-08-26	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 3-0	1421	1284	61.9%	19.8%	18.3%	+10.2	36
2009-08-26	@ KR Reykjavik	L 0-3	1284	1421	18.3%	19.8%	61.9%	-10.2	20
2009-08-29	Keflavik IF	D 3-3	1267	1332	34.9%	24.4%	40.7%	+0.1	14
2009-08-29	@ Fjolnir	D 3-3	1332	1267	40.7%	24.4%	34.9%	-0.1	26
2009-08-29	Valur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1274	1285	42.5%	24.3%	33.2%	-0.4	21
2009-08-29	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 1-1	1285	1274	33.2%	24.3%	42.5%	+0.4	24
2009-08-30	Fram Reykjavik	W 3-1	1432	1400	48.5%	23.6%	27.9%	+9.2	39
2009-08-30	@ KR Reykjavik	L 1-3	1400	1432	27.9%	23.6%	48.5%	-9.2	28
2009-08-31	Fylkir Reykjavik	L 2-3	1333	1371	38.8%	24.5%	36.7%	-6.6	21
2009-08-31	@ Grindavik	W 3-2	1371	1333	36.7%	24.5%	38.8%	+6.6	36
2009-08-31	Breidablik	L 1-3	1340	1354	42.1%	24.4%	33.5%	-12.8	24
2009-08-31	@ Stjarnan	W 3-1	1354	1340	33.5%	24.4%	42.1%	+12.8	28
2009-08-31	FH Hafnarfjordur	D 0-0	1208	1484	15.2%	17.4%	67.4%	+2.4	12
2009-08-31	@ Throttur Reykjavik	D 0-0	1484	1208	67.4%	17.4%	15.2%	-2.4	44
2009-09-03	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 1-1	1327	1273	51.4%	23.0%	25.6%	-1.0	22
2009-09-03	@ Grindavik	D 1-1	1273	1327	25.6%	23.0%	51.4%	+1.0	22
2009-09-13	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 5-0	1482	1274	69.7%	16.3%	14.0%	+12.1	47
2009-09-13	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-5	1274	1482	14.0%	16.3%	69.7%	-12.1	22
2009-09-13	Throttur Reykjavik	W 2-0	1377	1210	65.3%	18.4%	16.3%	+6.2	39
2009-09-13	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	L 0-2	1210	1377	16.3%	18.4%	65.3%	-6.2	12
2009-09-13	Stjarnan	D 3-3	1286	1327	38.3%	24.5%	37.2%	-0.0	25
2009-09-13	@ Valur Reykjavik	D 3-3	1327	1286	37.2%	24.5%	38.3%	+0.0	25
2009-09-15	Fjolnir	W 3-1	1390	1267	60.2%	20.4%	19.3%	+6.5	31
2009-09-15	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 1-3	1267	1390	19.3%	20.4%	60.2%	-6.5	14
2009-09-16	KR Reykjavik	L 0-2	1367	1441	33.8%	24.4%	41.8%	-12.5	28
2009-09-16	@ Breidablik	W 2-0	1441	1367	41.8%	24.4%	33.8%	+12.5	42
2009-09-16	Grindavik	W 1-0	1332	1326	45.0%	24.1%	30.9%	+6.1	29
2009-09-16	@ Keflavik IF	L 0-1	1326	1332	30.9%	24.1%	45.0%	-6.1	22
2009-09-19	Fylkir Reykjavik	L 2-3	1262	1384	27.9%	23.6%	48.4%	-5.0	22
2009-09-19	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 3-2	1384	1262	48.4%	23.6%	27.9%	+5.1	42
2009-09-20	Valur Reykjavik	W 2-0	1494	1286	69.8%	16.3%	13.9%	+5.1	50
2009-09-20	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-2	1286	1494	13.9%	16.3%	69.8%	-5.1	25
2009-09-20	Breidablik	L 0-2	1261	1355	31.1%	24.1%	44.7%	-11.7	14
2009-09-20	@ Fjolnir	W 2-0	1355	1261	44.7%	24.1%	31.1%	+11.7	31
2009-09-20	Fram Reykjavik	L 1-3	1319	1397	33.3%	24.3%	42.4%	-10.7	22
2009-09-20	@ Grindavik	W 3-1	1397	1319	42.4%	24.3%	33.3%	+10.7	34
2009-09-20	Stjarnan	W 7-3	1453	1327	60.6%	20.3%	19.1%	+9.0	45
2009-09-20	@ KR Reykjavik	L 3-7	1327	1453	19.1%	20.3%	60.6%	-9.0	25
2009-09-20	Keflavik IF	D 2-2	1204	1338	26.5%	23.3%	50.1%	+0.7	13
2009-09-20	@ Throttur Reykjavik	D 2-2	1338	1204	50.1%	23.3%	26.5%	-0.7	30
2009-09-26	Grindavik	W 3-0	1366	1309	51.9%	22.9%	25.1%	+14.1	34
2009-09-26	@ Breidablik	L 0-3	1309	1366	25.1%	22.9%	51.9%	-14.1	22
2009-09-26	Throttur Reykjavik	L 0-1	1408	1205	69.2%	16.5%	14.2%	-11.6	34
2009-09-26	@ Fram Reykjavik	W 1-0	1205	1408	14.2%	16.5%	69.2%	+11.6	16
2009-09-26	FH Hafnarfjordur	D 1-1	1389	1499	29.2%	23.9%	46.9%	+0.7	43
2009-09-26	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	D 1-1	1499	1389	46.9%	23.9%	29.2%	-0.7	51
2009-09-26	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 6-1	1338	1257	54.9%	22.2%	22.9%	+17.2	33
2009-09-26	@ Keflavik IF	L 1-6	1257	1338	22.9%	22.2%	54.9%	-17.2	22
2009-09-26	Fjolnir	D 1-1	1318	1249	53.4%	22.6%	24.0%	-1.2	26
2009-09-26	@ Stjarnan	D 1-1	1249	1318	24.0%	22.6%	53.4%	+1.2	15
2009-09-26	KR Reykjavik	L 2-5	1281	1462	21.9%	21.8%	56.3%	-9.0	25
2009-09-26	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 5-2	1462	1281	56.3%	21.8%	21.9%	+9.0	48

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2009-08-22	13.78%	Grindavik	1306	3	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	1516	0
2	2009-09-26	14.21%	Throttur Reykjavik	1205	1	@ Fram Reykjavik	1408	0
3	2009-08-09	20.52%	KR Reykjavik	1414	4	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	1523	2
4	2009-06-21	23.01%	Grindavik	1265	3	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	1344	2
5	2009-08-05	23.42%	Throttur Reykjavik	1225	3	@ Fjolnir	1301	1
6	2009-07-11	23.77%	Valur Reykjavik	1330	4	@ KR Reykjavik	1402	3
7	2009-08-17	23.82%	Fylkir Reykjavik	1358	4	@ KR Reykjavik	1429	2
8	2009-05-28	24.24%	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1264	3	@ Fjolnir	1331	1
9	2009-07-23	24.89%	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1251	4	@ Breidablik	1311	3
10	2009-08-09	25.40%	Breidablik	1308	3	@ Keflavik IF	1363	0
11	2009-07-20	27.93%	@ Throttur Reykjavik	1221	4	Breidablik	1343	0
12	2009-07-26	28.99%	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1259	1	Stjarnan	1372	0
13	2009-07-19	29.05%	@ Grindavik	1260	4	Stjarnan	1371	2
14	2009-07-09	29.66%	@ Fjolnir	1279	3	Stjarnan	1385	1
15	2009-05-28	30.17%	Valur Reykjavik	1344	2	@ Fram Reykjavik	1356	1
16	2009-05-28	33.16%	FH Hafnarfjordur	1416	2	@ KR Reykjavik	1404	1
17	2009-06-15	33.26%	Valur Reykjavik	1356	1	@ Breidablik	1343	0
18	2009-06-21	33.26%	@ Fram Reykjavik	1333	3	KR Reykjavik	1411	0
19	2009-07-20	33.27%	Fylkir Reykjavik	1351	1	@ Valur Reykjavik	1339	0
20	2009-05-14	33.47%	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	1311	2	Keflavik IF	1386	0
21	2009-08-31	33.54%	Breidablik	1354	3	@ Stjarnan	1340	1
22	2009-08-22	35.26%	Breidablik	1334	3	@ Valur Reykjavik	1306	0
23	2009-06-13	35.36%	Fylkir Reykjavik	1332	3	@ Fjolnir	1304	1
24	2009-05-14	35.54%	Stjarnan	1319	6	@ Throttur Reykjavik	1289	0
25	2009-08-06	35.77%	@ Breidablik	1301	1	Fylkir Reykjavik	1360	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2009-05-14	39.47	Stjarnan	6	1319	35.54%	@ Throttur Reykjavik	0	1289	39.98%
2	2009-08-22	32.13	Grindavik	3	1306	13.78%	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	0	1516	70.09%
3	2009-08-06	31.52	@ Fram Reykjavik	5	1353	38.20%	Keflavik IF	0	1395	37.28%
4	2009-07-20	31.39	@ Throttur Reykjavik	4	1221	27.93%	Breidablik	0	1343	48.45%
5	2009-08-09	25.29	Breidablik	3	1308	25.40%	@ Keflavik IF	0	1363	51.60%
6	2009-07-02	24.45	FH Hafnarfjordur	5	1482	49.19%	@ Valur Reykjavik	0	1355	27.32%
7	2009-05-14	24.34	KR Reykjavik	4	1377	40.58%	@ Grindavik	0	1312	34.96%
8	2009-08-09	21.65	Grindavik	5	1284	37.42%	@ Throttur Reykjavik	1	1241	38.06%
9	2009-06-21	21.60	@ Fram Reykjavik	3	1333	33.26%	KR Reykjavik	0	1411	42.39%
10	2009-08-22	20.76	Breidablik	3	1334	35.26%	@ Valur Reykjavik	0	1306	40.27%
11	2009-06-25	17.46	@ Stjarnan	3	1368	43.52%	Valur Reykjavik	0	1372	32.21%
12	2009-09-26	17.23	@ Keflavik IF	6	1338	54.89%	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1	1257	22.94%
13	2009-05-23	17.09	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	5	1399	47.91%	Stjarnan	1	1371	28.38%
14	2009-05-18	16.64	@ Keflavik IF	3	1372	45.56%	Valur Reykjavik	0	1361	30.39%
15	2009-08-05	15.71	Throttur Reykjavik	3	1225	23.42%	@ Fjolnir	1	1301	54.23%
16	2009-05-28	15.44	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	3	1264	24.24%	@ Fjolnir	1	1331	53.12%
17	2009-08-09	14.91	KR Reykjavik	4	1414	20.52%	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	2	1523	58.40%
18	2009-05-14	14.82	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	2	1311	33.47%	Keflavik IF	0	1386	42.16%
19	2009-07-27	14.68	KR Reykjavik	5	1399	53.47%	@ Throttur Reykjavik	1	1240	23.98%
20	2009-06-14	14.35	@ KR Reykjavik	4	1397	44.62%	Keflavik IF	1	1393	31.22%
21	2009-09-26	14.09	@ Breidablik	3	1366	51.94%	Grindavik	0	1309	25.14%
22	2009-08-17	13.93	Fylkir Reykjavik	4	1358	23.82%	@ KR Reykjavik	2	1429	53.69%
23	2009-06-14	13.88	@ Stjarnan	4	1361	46.02%	Fram Reykjavik	1	1347	30.00%
24	2009-07-09	13.84	@ Fjolnir	3	1279	29.66%	Stjarnan	1	1385	46.40%
25	2009-06-14	13.62	FH Hafnarfjordur	3	1435	53.12%	@ Grindavik	0	1278	24.24%