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2010 Úrvalsdeild Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Breidablik

44 points · 1st Title

Relegated

Selfoss

17 pts

Haukar Hafnarfjordur · 20 pts

Biggest Overachiever

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

12.28 points above expected

42 points · 29.72 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Fylkir Reykjavik

7.82 points below expected

24 points · 31.82 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Breidablik Champion 22 13 5 4 44 47 23 +24 37.79 +6.21
2 FH Hafnarfjordur 22 13 5 4 44 48 31 +17 37.85 +6.15
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 13 3 6 42 36 27 +9 29.72 +12.28
4 KR Reykjavik 22 11 5 6 38 45 31 +14 36.70 +1.30
5 Fram Reykjavik 22 9 5 8 32 35 35 0 33.85 -1.85
6 Keflavik IF 22 8 6 8 30 30 32 -2 29.72 +0.28
7 Valur Reykjavik 22 7 7 8 28 34 41 -7 26.55 +1.45
8 Stjarnan 22 6 7 9 25 39 42 -3 30.03 -5.03
9 Fylkir Reykjavik 22 7 3 12 24 36 42 -6 31.82 -7.82
10 Grindavik 22 5 6 11 21 28 39 -11 25.54 -4.54
11 Haukar Hafnarfjordur Relegated 22 4 8 10 20 29 45 -16 20.77 -0.77
12 Selfoss Relegated 22 5 2 15 17 32 51 -19 23.60 -6.60

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 42 29.72 +12.28
2 Breidablik 44 37.79 +6.21
3 FH Hafnarfjordur 44 37.85 +6.15
4 Valur Reykjavik 28 26.55 +1.45
5 KR Reykjavik 38 36.70 +1.30

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fylkir Reykjavik 24 31.82 -7.82
2 Selfoss 17 23.60 -6.60
3 Stjarnan 25 30.03 -5.03
4 Grindavik 21 25.54 -4.54
5 Fram Reykjavik 32 33.85 -1.85

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 Jun 25 – Jul 25 1 in 106
2 Valur Reykjavik 4 May 25 – Jun 14 1 in 103
3 FH Hafnarfjordur 6 Aug 22 – Sep 25 1 in 67
4 KR Reykjavik 6 Jul 25 – Aug 26 1 in 61
5 Breidablik 5 Jun 20 – Jul 18 1 in 56

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Grindavik 6 May 11 – Jun 6 1 in 120
2 Selfoss 6 May 31 – Jul 5 1 in 86
3 Fylkir Reykjavik 5 Aug 16 – Sep 12 1 in 68
4 Stjarnan 4 Aug 29 – Sep 19 1 in 40
5 Fram Reykjavik 3 Aug 5 – Aug 19 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Grindavik 7 Jul 8 – Aug 22 1 in 85
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6 May 17 – Jun 13 1 in 34
3 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 4 Jun 27 – Jul 18 1 in 28
4 Valur Reykjavik 5 May 25 – Jun 20 1 in 19
5 Keflavik IF 5 May 11 – May 31 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 16 May 11 – Aug 16 1 in 86
2 KR Reykjavik 5 May 11 – Jun 7 1 in 38
3 Selfoss 10 May 25 – Jul 25 1 in 29
4 Fram Reykjavik 5 Jun 21 – Jul 17 1 in 24
5 Valur Reykjavik 8 Jun 20 – Aug 8 1 in 23

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
FH Hafnarfjordur 1461 44 +51 15 8.8 +6.2
Breidablik 1439 44 +36 13 9.0 +4.0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1332 42 -8 9 7.7 +1.3
KR Reykjavik 1436 38 -1 7 8.5 -1.5
Fram Reykjavik 1329 32 -2 9 7.4 +1.6
Keflavik IF 1309 30 +2 6 6.3 -0.3
Valur Reykjavik 1255 28 +1 6 6.7 -0.7
Stjarnan 1286 25 -55 1 6.0 -5.0
Fylkir Reykjavik 1301 24 +4 6 6.3 -0.3
Grindavik 1252 21 -44 2 6.7 -4.7
Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1208 20 +25 10 5.0 +5.0
Selfoss 1201 17 -9 3 4.5 -1.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRE FH FR FR GRI HH IV KR KI SEL STJ VR
Breidablik —
1-1-0
2.58
0-1-1
2.92
2-0-0
3.31
1-0-1
3.70
1-0-1
4.20
0-2-0
3.41
2-0-0
2.65
1-0-1
3.18
2-0-0
4.07
1-1-0
3.56
2-0-0
3.50
FH Hafnarfjordur
0-1-1
2.93
 —
2-0-0
3.19
1-1-0
3.25
1-0-1
3.85
2-0-0
4.02
1-0-1
3.53
2-0-0
2.68
1-1-0
3.48
2-0-0
3.95
1-0-1
3.48
0-2-0
3.72
Fram Reykjavik
1-1-0
2.58
0-0-2
2.32
 —
0-1-1
2.86
1-0-1
3.66
0-1-1
3.94
1-0-1
3.20
0-0-2
2.52
1-1-0
3.22
2-0-0
3.51
2-0-0
2.82
1-1-0
3.35
Fylkir Reykjavik
0-0-2
2.21
0-1-1
2.26
1-1-0
2.64
 —
2-0-0
3.06
1-1-0
3.60
0-0-2
2.80
0-0-2
1.92
0-0-2
2.96
2-0-0
3.43
1-0-1
2.99
0-0-2
3.45
Grindavik
1-0-1
1.83
1-0-1
1.69
1-0-1
1.86
0-0-2
2.44
 —
1-1-0
3.24
1-0-1
2.31
0-1-1
1.72
0-1-1
2.19
0-1-1
3.13
0-1-1
2.40
0-1-1
2.77
Haukar Hafnarfjordur
1-0-1
1.38
0-0-2
1.54
1-1-0
1.61
0-1-1
1.92
0-1-1
2.27
 —
0-0-2
2.07
0-2-0
1.62
1-1-0
1.83
0-0-2
2.59
0-1-1
1.83
1-1-0
2.14
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0-2-0
2.11
1-0-1
2.00
1-0-1
2.31
2-0-0
2.71
1-0-1
3.20
2-0-0
3.45
 —
0-0-2
2.15
1-0-1
3.01
2-0-0
3.42
2-0-0
2.80
1-1-0
2.90
KR Reykjavik
0-0-2
2.85
0-0-2
2.82
2-0-0
2.99
2-0-0
3.60
1-1-0
3.81
0-2-0
3.93
2-0-0
3.36
 —
1-1-0
3.20
1-0-1
3.81
1-1-0
3.28
1-0-1
3.67
Keflavik IF
1-0-1
2.32
0-1-1
2.04
0-1-1
2.29
2-0-0
2.54
1-1-0
3.33
0-1-1
3.70
1-0-1
2.50
0-1-1
2.31
 —
1-0-1
3.40
0-1-1
2.76
2-0-0
2.79
Selfoss
0-0-2
1.50
0-0-2
1.61
0-0-2
2.01
0-0-2
2.09
1-1-0
2.37
2-0-0
2.91
0-0-2
2.09
1-0-1
1.72
1-0-1
2.11
 —
0-1-1
2.29
0-0-2
2.50
Stjarnan
0-1-1
1.96
1-0-1
2.04
0-0-2
2.68
1-0-1
2.52
1-1-0
3.11
1-1-0
3.70
0-0-2
2.71
0-1-1
2.24
1-1-0
2.74
1-1-0
3.22
 —
0-1-1
3.21
Valur Reykjavik
0-0-2
2.03
0-2-0
1.81
0-1-1
2.17
2-0-0
2.07
1-1-0
2.74
0-1-1
3.37
0-1-1
2.61
1-0-1
1.85
0-0-2
2.71
2-0-0
3.00
1-1-0
2.30
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.62 +11.0
Allowed 0.85 -10.9
Differential 0.93 +6.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%4.55%4.55%3.41%1.14%0.76%17.42%
14.55%10.61%8.71%5.30%1.89%0.38%31.44%
24.55%8.71%8.33%4.17%1.89%1.14%28.79%
33.41%5.30%4.17%1.52%—0.38%14.77%
41.14%1.89%1.89%———4.92%
5+0.76%0.38%1.14%0.38%——2.65%
Total17.42%31.44%28.79%14.77%4.92%2.65%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.66 1.66 +0.00
SD 1.22 1.22 1.83
CV 0.73 0.73 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
14.55%13.64%—4.55%——22.73%
213.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
34.55%9.09%————13.64%
44.55%—13.64%———18.18%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total36.36%31.82%22.73%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 1.05 +1.09
SD 1.46 1.00 1.80
CV 0.68 0.96 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
19.09%13.64%—9.09%——31.82%
24.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
34.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
4—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total18.18%40.91%22.73%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 1.41 +0.77
SD 1.30 1.01 1.57
CV 0.59 0.72 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%—9.09%——18.18%
1—4.55%13.64%—4.55%—22.73%
29.09%13.64%13.64%4.55%——40.91%
3—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%36.36%31.82%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.59 +0.00
SD 1.01 1.05 1.63
CV 0.63 0.66 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%—4.55%——18.18%
1—4.55%18.18%—4.55%—27.27%
24.55%9.09%9.09%—9.09%4.55%36.36%
34.55%9.09%————13.64%
4———————
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total9.09%36.36%31.82%4.55%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.91 -0.27
SD 1.22 1.34 1.86
CV 0.74 0.70 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%9.09%—4.55%—27.27%
14.55%18.18%18.18%———40.91%
2————4.55%4.55%9.09%
34.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%31.82%36.36%4.55%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.77 -0.50
SD 1.12 1.31 1.60
CV 0.88 0.74 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%—13.64%—4.55%27.27%
1—13.64%—4.55%——18.18%
29.09%9.09%13.64%13.64%4.55%—50.00%
3———4.55%——4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%27.27%13.64%36.36%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 2.05 -0.73
SD 0.95 1.36 1.72
CV 0.72 0.67 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
19.09%13.64%—4.55%4.55%—31.82%
29.09%18.18%——4.55%—31.82%
39.09%4.55%9.09%———22.73%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%45.45%13.64%4.55%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.23 +0.41
SD 1.00 1.19 1.65
CV 0.61 0.97 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
113.64%—13.64%4.55%——31.82%
2—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
39.09%4.55%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
4—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
5+———————
Total27.27%22.73%31.82%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 1.41 +0.64
SD 1.25 1.10 1.53
CV 0.61 0.78 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
19.09%18.18%9.09%———36.36%
24.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
3—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%45.45%22.73%4.55%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.45 -0.09
SD 1.09 1.26 1.60
CV 0.80 0.87 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%13.64%——22.73%
1—4.55%18.18%13.64%——36.36%
2—4.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%22.73%
34.55%—9.09%———13.64%
4———————
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total4.55%9.09%45.45%36.36%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 2.32 -0.86
SD 1.26 0.99 1.78
CV 0.87 0.43 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
1—9.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%36.36%
2—4.55%18.18%4.55%——27.27%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total18.18%18.18%36.36%13.64%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.91 -0.14
SD 1.34 1.38 2.38
CV 0.76 0.72 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%——4.55%18.18%
14.55%13.64%4.55%13.64%4.55%—40.91%
2—13.64%13.64%———27.27%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4———————
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total9.09%31.82%36.36%13.64%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.86 -0.32
SD 1.37 1.21 1.99
CV 0.89 0.65 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
FH Hafnarfjordur 1461 44 37.85 +6.15 90.0% 25 28 35 38 42 47 53
Breidablik 1439 44 37.79 +6.21 84.0% 13 28 34 38 42 50 53
KR Reykjavik 1436 38 36.70 +1.30 67.0% 21 27 32 37 40 46 54
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1332 42 29.72 +12.28 100.0% 17 19 25 29 34 40 42
Fram Reykjavik 1329 32 33.85 -1.85 41.0% 21 24 30 34 38 43 50
Keflavik IF 1309 30 29.72 +0.28 56.0% 19 20 26 29 33 40 43
Fylkir Reykjavik 1301 24 31.82 -7.82 15.0% 17 22 27 31 36 43 50
Stjarnan 1286 25 30.03 -5.03 20.0% 14 19 26 30 35 40 44
Valur Reykjavik 1255 28 26.55 +1.45 63.0% 13 17 23 26 30 37 44
Grindavik 1252 21 25.54 -4.54 22.0% 10 15 22 26 29 35 39
Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1208 20 20.77 -0.77 48.0% 7 12 17 21 24 28 33
Selfoss 1201 17 23.60 -6.60 9.0% 11 15 20 23 27 33 38

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 4.5% * Slight Edge: 4.5% to 11% * Clear Edge: 11% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+5.30%
Slight Edge
40.91%23.48%35.61%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 18.44 Elo pts.
174 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.20 goals
Neutral
-2+0.11+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.5
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
31%
Breidablik, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.71 * Some Luck: 4.71 to 7.07 * Lucky: 7.07 to 9.43 * Wild Swing: 9.43 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.7 * Close: 1.7 to 2.55 * Off: 2.55 to 3.4 * Way Off: 3.4 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.94 * A Surprise: 0.94 to 1.5 * Several Surprises: 1.5 to 2.07 * Many Surprises: 2.07 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.67 points
Some Luck
05.8915
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.67
Pinpoint
02.135
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
9.00%
Selfoss
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 2
As Expected
00.92

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Wide Separation: 1.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 69% * Clear Edge: 69% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 94% * Dominant: 94% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55% * Some Drama: 55% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Even
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 87.83
1.54
Moderate Separation
0.71.351.652.5
Interquartile Edge
64%
Slight Edge
50%63%69%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
82%
Clear Edge
50%85%100%
Close Games
Expected
58%
Some Drama
0%59%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Occasional
0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.36 * Notable Separation: 0.36 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.33 * Some Carryover: 0.33 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.75 * Near-Lock: 0.75 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24.5% * Upset-Prone: 24.5% to 29% * Very Upset-Prone: 29% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.27
Very Even
00.280.360.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.89
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.53
Some Carryover
00.330.590.751
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Upset-Prone
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.3 * Well Above Noise: 0.3 and up.
Probability calibration
1.00
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.00
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.031
Well Within Noise
00.1500.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Breidablik31.00%15.00%18.00%9.00%9.00%7.00%3.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%—1.00%
FH Hafnarfjordur27.00%24.00%16.00%10.00%5.00%6.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%———
IBV Vestmannaeyjar2.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%14.00%9.00%9.00%13.00%9.00%6.00%9.00%5.00%
KR Reykjavik19.00%18.00%16.00%17.00%11.00%6.00%9.00%1.00%1.00%—1.00%1.00%
Fram Reykjavik9.00%11.00%15.00%13.00%15.00%11.00%7.00%6.00%6.00%4.00%3.00%—
Keflavik IF3.00%6.00%5.00%10.00%11.00%8.00%10.00%17.00%10.00%13.00%7.00%—
Valur Reykjavik—4.00%2.00%7.00%6.00%5.00%15.00%7.00%17.00%12.00%12.00%13.00%
Stjarnan2.00%5.00%5.00%15.00%11.00%10.00%15.00%14.00%7.00%5.00%5.00%6.00%
Fylkir Reykjavik7.00%8.00%9.00%10.00%8.00%21.00%9.00%6.00%7.00%9.00%5.00%1.00%
Grindavik——5.00%1.00%5.00%10.00%8.00%14.00%13.00%19.00%13.00%12.00%
Haukar Hafnarfjordur—————1.00%5.00%5.00%17.00%13.00%20.00%39.00%
Selfoss—1.00%1.00%—5.00%6.00%4.00%8.00%10.00%18.00%25.00%22.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
FH Hafnarfjordur 100% —
Breidablik 99.00% 1.00%
KR Reykjavik 98.00% 2.00%
Fram Reykjavik 97.00% 3.00%
Fylkir Reykjavik 94.00% 6.00%
Keflavik IF 93.00% 7.00%
Stjarnan 89.00% 11.00%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 86.00% 14.00%
Grindavik 75.00% 25.00%
Valur Reykjavik 75.00% 25.00%
Selfoss 53.00% 47.00%
Haukar Hafnarfjordur 41.00% 59.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2010-05-10 FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-259.7 1269 1405 23.44% 23.78% 52.78%-0.67 +1.0 1
2010-05-10 @ Valur Reykjavik D 2-259.7 1405 1269 52.78% 23.78% 23.44%+0.67 -1.0 1
2010-05-11 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-340.9 1273 1348 30.19% 24.64% 45.17%-0.33 -11.4 0
2010-05-11 @ Selfoss W 3-140.9 1348 1273 45.17% 24.64% 30.19%+0.33 +11.4 3
2010-05-11 Grindavik W 4-033.4 1301 1294 41.54% 24.83% 33.63%+0.15 +27.3 3
2010-05-11 @ Stjarnan L 0-433.4 1294 1301 33.63% 24.83% 41.54%-0.15 -27.3 0
2010-05-11 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 2-259.7 1392 1251 58.30% 22.71% 18.99%+0.92 -1.4 1
2010-05-11 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-259.7 1251 1392 18.99% 22.71% 58.30%-0.92 +1.4 1
2010-05-11 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-032.5 1355 1259 53.06% 23.74% 23.20%+0.65 +10.6 3
2010-05-11 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-232.5 1259 1355 23.20% 23.74% 53.06%-0.65 -10.6 0
2010-05-11 Keflavik IF L 0-143.4 1342 1320 43.55% 24.74% 31.71%+0.23 -9.3 0
2010-05-11 @ Breidablik W 1-043.4 1320 1342 31.71% 24.74% 43.55%-0.23 +9.3 3
2010-05-16 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-136.5 1252 1404 21.87% 23.46% 54.67%-0.76 -5.3 1
2010-05-16 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 1-036.5 1404 1252 54.67% 23.46% 21.87%+0.76 +5.3 4
2010-05-16 Fram Reykjavik D 2-259.7 1333 1365 35.91% 24.89% 39.20%-0.08 +0.1 1
2010-05-16 @ Breidablik D 2-259.7 1365 1333 39.20% 24.89% 35.91%+0.08 -0.1 4
2010-05-16 Selfoss L 1-252.0 1391 1261 57.00% 23.00% 20.00%+0.85 -11.0 1
2010-05-16 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-152.0 1261 1391 20.00% 23.00% 57.00%-0.85 +11.0 3
2010-05-16 Stjarnan W 3-141.6 1360 1328 44.97% 24.66% 30.38%+0.29 +11.5 6
2010-05-16 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-341.6 1328 1360 30.38% 24.66% 44.97%-0.29 -11.5 3
2010-05-17 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-152.4 1270 1249 43.54% 24.74% 31.71%+0.23 -0.5 2
2010-05-17 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-152.4 1249 1270 31.71% 24.74% 43.54%-0.23 +0.5 1
2010-05-17 Keflavik IF L 0-139.4 1267 1330 31.81% 24.75% 43.44%-0.26 -7.3 0
2010-05-17 @ Grindavik W 1-039.4 1330 1267 43.44% 24.75% 31.81%+0.26 +7.3 6
2010-05-20 Breidablik L 0-235.3 1270 1333 31.83% 24.75% 43.42%-0.26 -13.8 2
2010-05-20 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-035.3 1333 1270 43.42% 24.75% 31.83%+0.26 +13.8 4
2010-05-20 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-148.0 1337 1371 35.69% 24.89% 39.42%-0.09 +8.1 9
2010-05-20 @ Keflavik IF L 1-248.0 1371 1337 39.42% 24.89% 35.69%+0.09 -8.1 6
2010-05-20 Grindavik W 2-032.2 1365 1259 54.31% 23.53% 22.17%+0.71 +10.1 7
2010-05-20 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-232.2 1259 1365 22.17% 23.53% 54.31%-0.71 -10.1 0
2010-05-20 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-032.4 1272 1247 44.10% 24.71% 31.19%+0.25 +19.7 6
2010-05-20 @ Selfoss L 0-332.4 1247 1272 31.19% 24.71% 44.10%-0.25 -19.7 1
2010-05-20 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 2-358.6 1409 1249 60.25% 22.22% 17.53%+1.02 -11.0 4
2010-05-20 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-258.6 1249 1409 17.53% 22.22% 60.25%-1.02 +11.0 4
2010-05-20 KR Reykjavik D 2-259.7 1317 1380 31.81% 24.75% 43.44%-0.26 +0.4 4
2010-05-20 @ Stjarnan D 2-259.7 1380 1317 43.44% 24.75% 31.81%+0.26 -0.4 2
2010-05-24 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-039.9 1346 1398 33.33% 24.82% 41.85%-0.19 +17.0 7
2010-05-24 @ Breidablik L 0-239.9 1398 1346 41.85% 24.82% 33.33%+0.19 -17.0 4
2010-05-24 Fram Reykjavik D 2-260.3 1363 1375 38.86% 24.90% 36.25%+0.04 -0.1 7
2010-05-24 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 2-260.3 1375 1363 36.25% 24.90% 38.86%-0.04 +0.1 8
2010-05-24 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-333.7 1227 1260 35.85% 24.89% 39.26%-0.08 -21.9 1
2010-05-24 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-033.7 1260 1227 39.26% 24.89% 35.85%+0.08 +21.9 7
2010-05-25 Keflavik IF D 0-050.3 1379 1345 45.27% 24.63% 30.09%+0.30 -0.8 3
2010-05-25 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-050.3 1345 1379 30.09% 24.63% 45.27%-0.30 +0.8 10
2010-05-25 Stjarnan D 2-258.8 1292 1317 37.00% 24.90% 38.09%-0.04 +0.0 7
2010-05-25 @ Selfoss D 2-258.8 1317 1292 38.09% 24.90% 37.00%+0.04 -0.0 5
2010-05-25 Valur Reykjavik L 1-246.5 1249 1256 39.63% 24.88% 35.49%+0.07 -8.2 0
2010-05-25 @ Grindavik W 2-146.5 1256 1249 35.49% 24.88% 39.63%-0.07 +8.1 5
2010-05-30 Breidablik D 1-153.2 1282 1363 29.53% 24.59% 45.88%-0.36 +0.7 8
2010-05-30 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-153.2 1363 1282 45.88% 24.59% 29.53%+0.36 -0.7 8
2010-05-31 Fylkir Reykjavik W 5-247.2 1264 1363 27.38% 24.37% 48.24%-0.46 +20.2 8
2010-05-31 @ Valur Reykjavik L 2-547.2 1363 1264 48.24% 24.37% 27.38%+0.46 -20.2 7
2010-05-31 Grindavik W 2-140.3 1381 1241 58.16% 22.74% 19.10%+0.91 +4.4 7
2010-05-31 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-240.3 1241 1381 19.10% 22.74% 58.16%-0.91 -4.4 0
2010-05-31 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 2-258.8 1317 1205 54.99% 23.40% 21.61%+0.75 -1.2 6
2010-05-31 @ Stjarnan D 2-258.8 1205 1317 21.61% 23.40% 54.99%-0.75 +1.2 2
2010-05-31 Selfoss W 2-143.5 1346 1292 47.90% 24.41% 27.69%+0.42 +6.1 13
2010-05-31 @ Keflavik IF L 1-243.5 1292 1346 27.69% 24.41% 47.90%-0.42 -6.2 7
2010-06-06 Fram Reykjavik L 1-244.0 1286 1375 28.50% 24.49% 47.01%-0.41 -6.3 7
2010-06-06 @ Selfoss W 2-144.0 1375 1286 47.01% 24.49% 28.50%+0.41 +6.3 11
2010-06-06 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-244.9 1237 1283 34.03% 24.85% 41.12%-0.16 -7.2 0
2010-06-06 @ Grindavik W 2-144.9 1283 1237 41.12% 24.85% 34.03%+0.16 +7.2 11
2010-06-07 Breidablik L 2-442.3 1206 1363 21.41% 23.36% 55.23%-0.79 -7.6 2
2010-06-07 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 4-242.3 1363 1206 55.23% 23.36% 21.41%+0.79 +7.6 11
2010-06-07 FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-260.1 1343 1385 34.57% 24.86% 40.57%-0.14 +0.2 8
2010-06-07 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 2-260.1 1385 1343 40.57% 24.86% 34.57%+0.14 -0.2 8
2010-06-07 Keflavik IF W 4-035.9 1316 1352 35.41% 24.88% 39.70%-0.10 +31.0 9
2010-06-07 @ Stjarnan L 0-435.9 1352 1316 39.70% 24.88% 35.41%+0.10 -31.0 13
2010-06-07 Valur Reykjavik L 1-251.2 1378 1284 52.93% 23.76% 23.31%+0.65 -10.3 3
2010-06-07 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-151.2 1284 1378 23.31% 23.76% 52.93%-0.65 +10.3 11
2010-06-10 KR Reykjavik L 2-355.3 1382 1368 42.47% 24.80% 32.73%+0.18 -8.2 11
2010-06-10 @ Fram Reykjavik W 3-255.3 1368 1382 32.73% 24.80% 42.47%-0.18 +8.1 6
2010-06-13 Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-042.7 1290 1343 33.15% 24.81% 42.03%-0.20 +9.0 14
2010-06-13 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-142.7 1343 1290 42.03% 24.81% 33.15%+0.20 -9.0 8
2010-06-14 Grindavik L 2-357.7 1370 1229 58.27% 22.71% 19.02%+0.91 -10.6 11
2010-06-14 @ Breidablik W 3-257.7 1229 1370 19.02% 22.71% 58.27%-0.91 +10.6 3
2010-06-14 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 1-152.9 1321 1199 56.21% 23.16% 20.63%+0.81 -1.7 14
2010-06-14 @ Keflavik IF D 1-152.9 1199 1321 20.63% 23.16% 56.21%-0.81 +1.7 3
2010-06-14 KR Reykjavik W 3-252.8 1385 1376 41.82% 24.82% 33.36%+0.16 +6.8 11
2010-06-14 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-352.8 1376 1385 33.36% 24.82% 41.82%-0.16 -6.8 6
2010-06-14 Selfoss W 2-144.6 1295 1280 42.69% 24.79% 32.53%+0.19 +7.0 14
2010-06-14 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-244.6 1280 1295 32.53% 24.79% 42.69%-0.19 -7.0 7
2010-06-14 Stjarnan W 2-145.6 1374 1347 44.30% 24.70% 31.00%+0.26 +6.7 14
2010-06-14 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-245.6 1347 1374 31.00% 24.70% 44.30%-0.26 -6.7 9
2010-06-20 Breidablik L 2-448.5 1334 1360 36.93% 24.90% 38.17%-0.04 -12.0 8
2010-06-20 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 4-248.5 1360 1334 38.17% 24.90% 36.93%+0.04 +12.0 14
2010-06-20 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-038.0 1370 1299 49.98% 24.18% 25.84%+0.51 +6.2 9
2010-06-20 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-138.0 1299 1370 25.84% 24.18% 49.98%-0.51 -6.2 14
2010-06-20 Valur Reykjavik D 1-153.2 1340 1302 45.84% 24.59% 29.57%+0.33 -0.7 10
2010-06-20 @ Stjarnan D 1-153.2 1302 1340 29.57% 24.59% 45.84%-0.33 +0.7 15
2010-06-21 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-233.6 1272 1392 25.11% 24.07% 50.83%-0.58 -11.3 7
2010-06-21 @ Selfoss W 2-033.6 1392 1272 50.83% 24.07% 25.11%+0.58 +11.3 14
2010-06-21 Fram Reykjavik D 1-153.8 1319 1380 32.09% 24.76% 43.14%-0.24 +0.5 15
2010-06-21 @ Keflavik IF D 1-153.8 1380 1319 43.14% 24.76% 32.09%+0.24 -0.5 15
2010-06-21 Grindavik L 2-350.7 1200 1240 34.96% 24.87% 40.17%-0.12 -7.0 3
2010-06-21 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-250.7 1240 1200 40.17% 24.87% 34.96%+0.12 +7.0 6
2010-06-25 Selfoss W 3-032.3 1293 1261 44.98% 24.65% 30.36%+0.29 +19.3 17
2010-06-25 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-332.3 1261 1293 30.36% 24.65% 44.98%-0.29 -19.3 7
2010-06-27 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-243.9 1247 1322 30.28% 24.65% 45.07%-0.33 -6.6 6
2010-06-27 @ Grindavik W 2-143.9 1322 1247 45.07% 24.65% 30.28%+0.33 +6.6 11
2010-06-27 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 0-049.8 1380 1193 62.97% 21.45% 15.58%+1.18 -2.6 16
2010-06-27 @ Fram Reykjavik D 0-049.8 1193 1380 15.58% 21.45% 62.97%-1.18 +2.6 4
2010-06-27 Keflavik IF L 0-237.4 1302 1320 38.08% 24.90% 37.02%+0.00 -15.8 15
2010-06-27 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-037.4 1320 1302 37.02% 24.90% 38.08%+0.00 +15.8 18
2010-06-27 KR Reykjavik W 2-147.3 1372 1376 40.00% 24.88% 35.13%+0.08 +7.4 17
2010-06-27 @ Breidablik L 1-247.3 1376 1372 35.13% 24.88% 40.00%-0.08 -7.4 9
2010-06-27 Stjarnan L 1-347.9 1403 1339 49.20% 24.27% 26.53%+0.47 -16.8 14
2010-06-27 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-147.9 1339 1403 26.53% 24.27% 49.20%-0.47 +16.8 13
2010-07-04 FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-154.1 1336 1387 33.43% 24.83% 41.74%-0.19 +0.4 19
2010-07-04 @ Keflavik IF D 1-154.1 1387 1336 41.74% 24.83% 33.43%+0.19 -0.4 15
2010-07-04 Grindavik W 1-035.4 1368 1240 56.82% 23.04% 20.14%+0.84 +4.9 12
2010-07-04 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-135.4 1240 1368 20.14% 23.04% 56.82%-0.84 -4.9 6
2010-07-04 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-240.2 1356 1312 46.55% 24.53% 28.92%+0.36 -18.5 13
2010-07-04 @ Stjarnan W 2-040.2 1312 1356 28.92% 24.53% 46.55%-0.36 +18.5 20
2010-07-05 Breidablik L 1-338.6 1242 1379 23.27% 23.75% 52.98%-0.68 -9.2 7
2010-07-05 @ Selfoss W 3-138.6 1379 1242 52.98% 23.75% 23.27%+0.68 +9.2 20
2010-07-05 Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-152.7 1196 1329 23.71% 23.83% 52.46%-0.66 +1.3 5
2010-07-05 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 1-152.7 1329 1196 52.46% 23.83% 23.71%+0.66 -1.3 12
2010-07-05 Valur Reykjavik D 2-259.6 1377 1287 52.51% 23.83% 23.66%+0.63 -1.0 17
2010-07-05 @ Fram Reykjavik D 2-259.6 1287 1377 23.66% 23.83% 52.51%-0.63 +1.0 16
2010-07-08 Fram Reykjavik W 4-141.2 1386 1376 41.96% 24.82% 33.23%+0.16 +17.4 18
2010-07-08 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-441.2 1376 1386 33.23% 24.82% 41.96%-0.16 -17.4 17
2010-07-08 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 2-258.5 1288 1197 52.45% 23.83% 23.72%+0.62 -1.0 17
2010-07-08 @ Valur Reykjavik D 2-258.5 1197 1288 23.72% 23.83% 52.45%-0.62 +1.0 6
2010-07-08 Keflavik IF W 2-146.2 1331 1336 39.84% 24.88% 35.28%+0.08 +7.4 23
2010-07-08 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-246.2 1336 1331 35.28% 24.88% 39.84%-0.08 -7.5 19
2010-07-08 Selfoss D 1-152.2 1236 1233 40.96% 24.85% 34.18%+0.12 -0.3 7
2010-07-08 @ Grindavik D 1-152.2 1233 1236 34.18% 24.85% 40.96%-0.12 +0.3 8
2010-07-08 Stjarnan W 4-033.0 1388 1338 47.47% 24.45% 28.08%+0.40 +23.6 23
2010-07-08 @ Breidablik L 0-433.0 1338 1388 28.08% 24.45% 47.47%-0.40 -23.6 13
2010-07-17 Fram Reykjavik W 1-042.1 1338 1359 37.66% 24.90% 37.44%-0.01 +8.3 26
2010-07-17 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-142.1 1359 1338 37.44% 24.90% 37.66%+0.01 -8.3 17
2010-07-18 Breidablik L 0-236.0 1329 1412 29.28% 24.57% 46.16%-0.37 -12.9 19
2010-07-18 @ Keflavik IF W 2-036.0 1412 1329 46.16% 24.57% 29.28%+0.37 +12.9 26
2010-07-18 KR Reykjavik D 3-363.9 1198 1373 19.74% 22.93% 57.34%-0.90 +1.1 7
2010-07-18 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 3-363.9 1373 1198 57.34% 22.93% 19.74%+0.90 -1.1 13
2010-07-18 Selfoss W 5-239.1 1327 1233 52.95% 23.76% 23.29%+0.65 +11.3 15
2010-07-18 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 2-539.1 1233 1327 23.29% 23.76% 52.95%-0.65 -11.3 8
2010-07-18 Valur Reykjavik D 1-154.1 1404 1287 55.60% 23.29% 21.11%+0.78 -1.6 19
2010-07-18 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-154.1 1287 1404 21.11% 23.29% 55.60%-0.78 +1.6 18
2010-07-19 Stjarnan D 1-152.6 1235 1314 29.83% 24.61% 45.56%-0.35 +0.7 8
2010-07-19 @ Grindavik D 1-152.6 1314 1235 45.56% 24.61% 29.83%+0.35 -0.7 14
2010-07-25 Breidablik W 3-147.4 1351 1425 30.40% 24.66% 44.94%-0.32 +15.6 20
2010-07-25 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-347.4 1425 1351 44.94% 24.66% 30.40%+0.32 -15.6 26
2010-07-25 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-147.0 1313 1339 36.94% 24.90% 38.16%-0.04 +7.9 17
2010-07-25 @ Stjarnan L 1-247.0 1339 1313 38.16% 24.90% 36.94%+0.04 -7.9 15
2010-07-25 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-135.0 1402 1199 64.54% 20.95% 14.52%+1.27 +5.8 22
2010-07-25 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-335.0 1199 1402 14.52% 20.95% 64.54%-1.27 -5.9 7
2010-07-25 KR Reykjavik L 0-329.6 1222 1372 21.97% 23.48% 54.54%-0.76 -14.6 8
2010-07-25 @ Selfoss W 3-029.6 1372 1222 54.54% 23.48% 21.97%+0.76 +14.6 16
2010-07-25 Valur Reykjavik W 3-140.0 1347 1288 48.48% 24.35% 27.17%+0.44 +10.5 29
2010-07-25 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-340.0 1288 1347 27.17% 24.35% 48.48%-0.44 -10.5 18
2010-07-26 Grindavik D 1-152.8 1316 1236 51.18% 24.02% 24.80%+0.56 -1.2 20
2010-07-26 @ Keflavik IF D 1-152.8 1236 1316 24.80% 24.02% 51.18%-0.56 +1.2 9
2010-08-04 Valur Reykjavik W 5-030.6 1409 1278 57.23% 22.95% 19.83%+0.86 +21.4 29
2010-08-04 @ Breidablik L 0-530.6 1278 1409 19.83% 22.95% 57.23%-0.86 -21.5 18
2010-08-05 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-343.8 1357 1408 33.45% 24.83% 41.73%-0.19 -12.4 29
2010-08-05 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-143.8 1408 1357 41.73% 24.83% 33.45%+0.19 +12.4 25
2010-08-05 Fram Reykjavik W 3-038.8 1237 1366 24.09% 23.90% 52.00%-0.63 +29.5 12
2010-08-05 @ Grindavik L 0-338.8 1366 1237 52.00% 23.90% 24.09%+0.63 -29.5 20
2010-08-05 Keflavik IF L 1-248.3 1331 1315 42.84% 24.78% 32.38%+0.20 -8.7 15
2010-08-05 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-148.3 1315 1331 32.38% 24.78% 42.84%-0.20 +8.7 23
2010-08-05 Selfoss L 2-351.7 1194 1207 38.65% 24.90% 36.45%+0.03 -7.6 7
2010-08-05 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-251.7 1207 1194 36.45% 24.90% 38.65%-0.03 +7.6 11
2010-08-05 Stjarnan W 3-140.5 1387 1321 49.40% 24.25% 26.36%+0.48 +10.2 19
2010-08-05 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-340.5 1321 1387 26.36% 24.25% 49.40%-0.48 -10.2 17
2010-08-08 Breidablik D 1-156.7 1420 1431 39.11% 24.89% 36.00%+0.05 -0.1 26
2010-08-08 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-156.7 1431 1420 36.00% 24.89% 39.11%-0.05 +0.1 30
2010-08-08 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-248.3 1337 1322 42.60% 24.79% 32.61%+0.19 -8.6 20
2010-08-08 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-148.3 1322 1337 32.61% 24.79% 42.60%-0.19 +8.6 18
2010-08-08 Grindavik D 0-048.5 1256 1267 39.10% 24.89% 36.01%+0.05 -0.1 19
2010-08-08 @ Valur Reykjavik D 0-048.5 1267 1256 36.01% 24.89% 39.10%-0.05 +0.1 13
2010-08-08 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-245.0 1345 1186 60.17% 22.24% 17.59%+1.02 +3.9 32
2010-08-08 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 2-345.0 1186 1345 17.59% 22.24% 60.17%-1.02 -3.9 7
2010-08-08 KR Reykjavik L 0-140.2 1323 1397 30.45% 24.66% 44.89%-0.32 -7.0 23
2010-08-08 @ Keflavik IF W 1-040.2 1397 1323 44.89% 24.66% 30.45%+0.32 +7.0 22
2010-08-08 Selfoss W 3-247.1 1311 1215 53.16% 23.72% 23.11%+0.66 +5.0 20
2010-08-08 @ Stjarnan L 2-347.1 1215 1311 23.11% 23.72% 53.16%-0.66 -5.0 11
2010-08-16 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-155.3 1431 1349 51.46% 23.98% 24.56%+0.58 -1.2 31
2010-08-16 @ Breidablik D 1-155.3 1349 1431 24.56% 23.98% 51.46%-0.58 +1.2 33
2010-08-16 Stjarnan L 0-530.8 1182 1316 23.60% 23.81% 52.58%-0.66 -25.1 7
2010-08-16 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 5-030.8 1316 1182 52.58% 23.81% 23.60%+0.66 +25.1 23
2010-08-16 Valur Reykjavik L 0-144.7 1331 1256 50.53% 24.11% 25.36%+0.53 -10.5 18
2010-08-16 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-044.7 1256 1331 25.36% 24.11% 50.53%-0.53 +10.5 22
2010-08-19 FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-148.6 1267 1420 21.69% 23.42% 54.88%-0.77 +18.5 16
2010-08-19 @ Grindavik L 1-348.6 1420 1267 54.88% 23.42% 21.69%+0.77 -18.4 26
2010-08-19 Fram Reykjavik W 2-143.8 1404 1328 50.70% 24.08% 25.21%+0.54 +5.7 25
2010-08-19 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-243.8 1328 1404 25.21% 24.08% 50.70%-0.54 -5.7 20
2010-08-19 Keflavik IF W 3-255.1 1210 1316 26.54% 24.27% 49.18%-0.51 +9.2 14
2010-08-19 @ Selfoss L 2-355.1 1316 1210 49.18% 24.27% 26.54%+0.51 -9.2 23
2010-08-22 Fylkir Reykjavik W 4-244.9 1402 1320 51.37% 23.99% 24.63%+0.57 +8.6 29
2010-08-22 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-444.9 1320 1402 24.63% 23.99% 51.37%-0.57 -8.6 18
2010-08-22 Grindavik L 0-144.8 1350 1285 49.26% 24.26% 26.47%+0.48 -10.3 33
2010-08-22 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-044.8 1285 1350 26.47% 24.26% 49.26%-0.48 +10.3 19
2010-08-23 Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-245.0 1429 1157 70.73% 18.60% 10.68%+1.67 -26.4 31
2010-08-23 @ Breidablik W 2-045.0 1157 1429 10.68% 18.60% 70.73%-1.67 +26.4 10
2010-08-23 KR Reykjavik L 1-436.4 1267 1410 22.67% 23.63% 53.69%-0.72 -12.7 22
2010-08-23 @ Valur Reykjavik W 4-136.4 1410 1267 53.69% 23.63% 22.67%+0.72 +12.7 28
2010-08-23 Selfoss W 3-137.8 1322 1219 54.02% 23.58% 22.40%+0.70 +8.9 23
2010-08-23 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-337.8 1219 1322 22.40% 23.58% 54.02%-0.70 -8.9 14
2010-08-23 Stjarnan D 2-259.1 1307 1341 35.73% 24.89% 39.38%-0.09 +0.1 24
2010-08-23 @ Keflavik IF D 2-259.1 1341 1307 39.38% 24.89% 35.73%+0.09 -0.1 24
2010-08-26 KR Reykjavik L 1-438.3 1312 1422 26.05% 24.21% 49.74%-0.53 -14.3 18
2010-08-26 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 4-138.3 1422 1312 49.74% 24.21% 26.05%+0.53 +14.3 31
2010-08-28 Keflavik IF W 2-040.4 1183 1307 24.66% 24.00% 51.35%-0.60 +20.1 13
2010-08-28 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 0-240.4 1307 1183 51.35% 24.00% 24.66%+0.60 -20.1 24
2010-08-29 Breidablik L 2-445.2 1296 1403 26.42% 24.26% 49.32%-0.51 -9.2 19
2010-08-29 @ Grindavik W 4-245.2 1403 1296 49.32% 24.26% 26.42%+0.51 +9.2 34
2010-08-29 Fram Reykjavik L 2-354.1 1341 1331 41.93% 24.82% 33.25%+0.16 -8.1 24
2010-08-29 @ Stjarnan W 3-254.1 1331 1341 33.25% 24.82% 41.93%-0.16 +8.1 26
2010-08-29 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-245.7 1297 1340 34.59% 24.86% 40.55%-0.14 -7.3 18
2010-08-29 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-145.7 1340 1297 40.55% 24.86% 34.59%+0.14 +7.4 36
2010-08-30 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-147.0 1437 1410 44.24% 24.70% 31.06%+0.26 -9.4 31
2010-08-30 @ KR Reykjavik W 1-047.0 1410 1437 31.06% 24.70% 44.24%-0.26 +9.4 32
2010-08-30 Valur Reykjavik L 2-350.6 1210 1254 34.37% 24.86% 40.77%-0.15 -6.9 14
2010-08-30 @ Selfoss W 3-250.6 1254 1210 40.77% 24.86% 34.37%+0.15 +6.9 25
2010-09-12 Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-036.6 1412 1290 56.21% 23.16% 20.63%+0.81 +5.0 37
2010-09-12 @ Breidablik L 0-136.6 1290 1412 20.63% 23.16% 56.21%-0.81 -5.1 18
2010-09-12 Haukar Hafnarfjordur D 1-152.5 1286 1204 51.55% 23.97% 24.48%+0.58 -1.2 20
2010-09-12 @ Grindavik D 1-152.5 1204 1286 24.48% 23.97% 51.55%-0.58 +1.2 14
2010-09-12 KR Reykjavik L 2-447.5 1347 1427 29.62% 24.60% 45.78%-0.36 -10.1 36
2010-09-12 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-247.5 1427 1347 45.78% 24.60% 29.62%+0.36 +10.1 34
2010-09-12 Selfoss W 2-138.0 1420 1203 65.85% 20.50% 13.65%+1.35 +3.2 35
2010-09-12 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-238.0 1203 1420 13.65% 20.50% 65.85%-1.35 -3.2 14
2010-09-12 Stjarnan W 5-141.4 1261 1333 30.67% 24.68% 44.65%-0.31 +28.3 28
2010-09-12 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-541.4 1333 1261 44.65% 24.68% 30.67%+0.31 -28.3 24
2010-09-13 Keflavik IF W 2-143.5 1339 1287 47.68% 24.43% 27.89%+0.41 +6.2 29
2010-09-13 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-243.5 1287 1339 27.89% 24.43% 47.68%-0.41 -6.2 24
2010-09-16 Breidablik L 1-348.8 1437 1417 43.37% 24.75% 31.88%+0.22 -15.1 34
2010-09-16 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-148.8 1417 1437 31.88% 24.75% 43.37%-0.22 +15.1 40
2010-09-16 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-437.9 1305 1423 25.23% 24.09% 50.68%-0.57 -13.9 24
2010-09-16 @ Stjarnan W 4-137.9 1423 1305 50.68% 24.09% 25.23%+0.57 +13.9 38
2010-09-16 Fram Reykjavik W 2-150.5 1205 1345 22.91% 23.68% 53.41%-0.70 +10.4 17
2010-09-16 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-250.5 1345 1205 53.41% 23.68% 22.91%+0.70 -10.4 29
2010-09-16 Grindavik W 2-036.0 1285 1285 40.54% 24.86% 34.60%+0.10 +14.7 21
2010-09-16 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-236.0 1285 1285 34.60% 24.86% 40.54%-0.10 -14.7 20
2010-09-16 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-232.1 1200 1337 23.29% 23.76% 52.95%-0.68 -10.6 14
2010-09-16 @ Selfoss W 2-032.1 1337 1200 52.95% 23.76% 23.29%+0.68 +10.6 39
2010-09-16 Valur Reykjavik W 3-142.3 1281 1289 39.39% 24.89% 35.72%+0.06 +13.0 27
2010-09-16 @ Keflavik IF L 1-342.3 1289 1281 35.72% 24.89% 39.39%-0.06 -13.0 28
2010-09-19 Fram Reykjavik L 1-341.5 1276 1335 32.35% 24.78% 42.87%-0.23 -12.1 28
2010-09-19 @ Valur Reykjavik W 3-141.5 1335 1276 42.87% 24.78% 32.35%+0.23 +12.1 32
2010-09-19 Haukar Hafnarfjordur W 3-030.1 1300 1215 51.74% 23.94% 24.32%+0.59 +16.0 24
2010-09-19 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-330.1 1215 1300 24.32% 23.94% 51.74%-0.59 -16.0 17
2010-09-19 Keflavik IF W 5-345.0 1437 1294 58.49% 22.66% 18.85%+0.93 +6.4 41
2010-09-19 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 3-545.0 1294 1437 18.85% 22.66% 58.49%-0.93 -6.4 27
2010-09-19 KR Reykjavik D 3-364.8 1270 1422 21.84% 23.45% 54.71%-0.77 +1.0 21
2010-09-19 @ Grindavik D 3-364.8 1422 1270 54.71% 23.45% 21.84%+0.77 -1.0 35
2010-09-19 Selfoss W 3-025.7 1432 1189 68.23% 19.62% 12.15%+1.50 +8.1 43
2010-09-19 @ Breidablik L 0-325.7 1189 1432 12.15% 19.62% 68.23%-1.50 -8.1 14
2010-09-19 Stjarnan W 2-143.4 1347 1291 48.27% 24.37% 27.36%+0.43 +6.1 42
2010-09-19 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-243.4 1291 1347 27.36% 24.37% 48.27%-0.43 -6.1 24
2010-09-25 Breidablik D 0-050.7 1284 1441 21.43% 23.36% 55.21%-0.79 +1.8 25
2010-09-25 @ Stjarnan D 0-050.7 1441 1284 55.21% 23.36% 21.43%+0.79 -1.8 44
2010-09-25 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-334.1 1347 1443 27.74% 24.41% 47.85%-0.45 -17.9 32
2010-09-25 @ Fram Reykjavik W 3-034.1 1443 1347 47.85% 24.41% 27.74%+0.45 +17.9 44
2010-09-25 Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-031.2 1421 1316 54.29% 23.53% 22.18%+0.71 +14.8 38
2010-09-25 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-331.2 1316 1421 22.18% 23.53% 54.29%-0.71 -14.8 24
2010-09-25 Grindavik W 5-246.0 1181 1271 28.43% 24.49% 47.09%-0.41 +19.8 17
2010-09-25 @ Selfoss L 2-546.0 1271 1181 47.09% 24.49% 28.43%+0.41 -19.8 21
2010-09-25 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-142.7 1287 1354 31.42% 24.73% 43.86%-0.27 +21.6 30
2010-09-25 @ Keflavik IF L 1-442.7 1354 1287 43.86% 24.73% 31.42%+0.27 -21.6 42
2010-09-25 Valur Reykjavik W 2-147.5 1199 1264 31.58% 24.73% 43.69%-0.27 +8.8 20
2010-09-25 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur L 1-247.5 1264 1199 43.69% 24.73% 31.58%+0.27 -8.8 28

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2010-08-23 10.68% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1157 2 @ Breidablik 1429 0
2 2010-05-20 17.53% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1249 3 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1409 2
3 2010-06-14 19.02% Grindavik 1229 3 @ Breidablik 1370 2
4 2010-05-16 20.00% Selfoss 1261 2 @ KR Reykjavik 1391 1
5 2010-08-19 21.69% @ Grindavik 1267 3 FH Hafnarfjordur 1420 1
6 2010-09-16 22.91% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1205 2 Fram Reykjavik 1345 1
7 2010-06-07 23.31% Valur Reykjavik 1284 2 @ KR Reykjavik 1378 1
8 2010-08-05 24.09% @ Grindavik 1237 3 Fram Reykjavik 1366 0
9 2010-08-28 24.66% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1183 2 Keflavik IF 1307 0
10 2010-08-16 25.36% Valur Reykjavik 1256 1 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1331 0
11 2010-08-22 26.47% Grindavik 1285 1 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1350 0
12 2010-06-27 26.53% Stjarnan 1339 3 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1403 1
13 2010-08-19 26.54% @ Selfoss 1210 3 Keflavik IF 1316 2
14 2010-05-31 27.38% @ Valur Reykjavik 1264 5 Fylkir Reykjavik 1363 2
15 2010-09-25 28.43% @ Selfoss 1181 5 Grindavik 1271 2
16 2010-07-04 28.92% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1312 2 @ Stjarnan 1356 0
17 2010-07-25 30.40% @ Fram Reykjavik 1351 3 Breidablik 1425 1
18 2010-09-12 30.67% @ Valur Reykjavik 1261 5 Stjarnan 1333 1
19 2010-08-30 31.06% FH Hafnarfjordur 1410 1 @ KR Reykjavik 1437 0
20 2010-09-25 31.42% @ Keflavik IF 1287 4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1354 1
21 2010-09-25 31.58% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1199 2 Valur Reykjavik 1264 1
22 2010-05-11 31.71% Keflavik IF 1320 1 @ Breidablik 1342 0
23 2010-09-16 31.88% Breidablik 1417 3 @ KR Reykjavik 1437 1
24 2010-08-05 32.38% Keflavik IF 1315 2 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1331 1
25 2010-08-08 32.61% Fylkir Reykjavik 1322 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1337 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-06-07 30.95 @ Stjarnan 4 1316 35.41% Keflavik IF 0 1352 39.70% 24.88%
2 2010-08-05 29.54 @ Grindavik 3 1237 24.09% Fram Reykjavik 0 1366 52.00% 23.90%
3 2010-09-12 28.31 @ Valur Reykjavik 5 1261 30.67% Stjarnan 1 1333 44.65% 24.68%
4 2010-05-11 27.27 @ Stjarnan 4 1301 41.54% Grindavik 0 1294 33.63% 24.83%
5 2010-08-23 26.40 Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 1157 10.68% @ Breidablik 0 1429 70.73% 18.60%
6 2010-08-16 25.11 Stjarnan 5 1316 52.58% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1182 23.60% 23.81%
7 2010-07-08 23.61 @ Breidablik 4 1388 47.47% Stjarnan 0 1338 28.08% 24.45%
8 2010-05-24 21.93 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1260 39.26% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1227 35.85% 24.89%
9 2010-09-25 21.61 @ Keflavik IF 4 1287 31.42% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1354 43.86% 24.73%
10 2010-08-04 21.46 @ Breidablik 5 1409 57.23% Valur Reykjavik 0 1278 19.83% 22.95%
11 2010-05-31 20.24 @ Valur Reykjavik 5 1264 27.38% Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1363 48.24% 24.37%
12 2010-08-28 20.12 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 1183 24.66% Keflavik IF 0 1307 51.35% 24.00%
13 2010-09-25 19.84 @ Selfoss 5 1181 28.43% Grindavik 2 1271 47.09% 24.49%
14 2010-05-20 19.68 @ Selfoss 3 1272 44.10% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1247 31.19% 24.71%
15 2010-06-25 19.26 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1293 44.98% Selfoss 0 1261 30.36% 24.65%
16 2010-07-04 18.52 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1312 28.92% @ Stjarnan 0 1356 46.55% 24.53%
17 2010-08-19 18.45 @ Grindavik 3 1267 21.69% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1420 54.88% 23.42%
18 2010-09-25 17.89 FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1443 47.85% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 1347 27.74% 24.41%
19 2010-07-08 17.44 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 4 1386 41.96% Fram Reykjavik 1 1376 33.23% 24.82%
20 2010-05-24 17.00 @ Breidablik 2 1346 33.33% FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1398 41.85% 24.82%
21 2010-06-27 16.80 Stjarnan 3 1339 26.53% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1403 49.20% 24.27%
22 2010-09-19 16.01 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 3 1300 51.74% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1215 24.32% 23.94%
23 2010-06-27 15.80 Keflavik IF 2 1320 37.02% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1302 38.08% 24.90%
24 2010-07-25 15.59 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1351 30.40% Breidablik 1 1425 44.94% 24.66%
25 2010-09-16 15.14 Breidablik 3 1417 31.88% @ KR Reykjavik 1 1437 43.37% 24.75%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-09-19 64.8 @ Grindavik 3 1270 21.84% KR Reykjavik 3 1422 54.71% 23.45%
2 2010-07-18 63.9 @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 3 1198 19.74% KR Reykjavik 3 1373 57.34% 22.93%
3 2010-05-24 60.3 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1363 38.86% Fram Reykjavik 2 1375 36.25% 24.90%
4 2010-06-07 60.1 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1343 34.57% FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1385 40.57% 24.86%
5 2010-05-10 59.7 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 1269 23.44% FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1405 52.78% 23.78%
6 2010-05-11 59.7 @ KR Reykjavik 2 1392 58.30% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 1251 18.99% 22.71%
7 2010-05-16 59.7 @ Breidablik 2 1333 35.91% Fram Reykjavik 2 1365 39.20% 24.89%
8 2010-05-20 59.7 @ Stjarnan 2 1317 31.81% KR Reykjavik 2 1380 43.44% 24.75%
9 2010-07-05 59.6 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1377 52.51% Valur Reykjavik 2 1287 23.66% 23.83%
10 2010-08-23 59.1 @ Keflavik IF 2 1307 35.73% Stjarnan 2 1341 39.38% 24.89%
11 2010-05-25 58.8 @ Selfoss 2 1292 37.00% Stjarnan 2 1317 38.09% 24.90%
12 2010-05-31 58.8 @ Stjarnan 2 1317 54.99% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 1205 21.61% 23.40%
13 2010-05-20 58.6 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1249 17.53% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1409 60.25% 22.22%
14 2010-07-08 58.5 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 1288 52.45% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 2 1197 23.72% 23.83%
15 2010-06-14 57.7 Grindavik 3 1229 19.02% @ Breidablik 2 1370 58.27% 22.71%
16 2010-08-08 56.7 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1420 39.11% Breidablik 1 1431 36.00% 24.89%
17 2010-06-10 55.3 KR Reykjavik 3 1368 32.73% @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1382 42.47% 24.80%
18 2010-08-16 55.3 @ Breidablik 1 1431 51.46% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1349 24.56% 23.98%
19 2010-08-19 55.1 @ Selfoss 3 1210 26.54% Keflavik IF 2 1316 49.18% 24.27%
20 2010-07-04 54.1 @ Keflavik IF 1 1336 33.43% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1387 41.74% 24.83%
21 2010-07-18 54.1 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1404 55.60% Valur Reykjavik 1 1287 21.11% 23.29%
22 2010-08-29 54.1 Fram Reykjavik 3 1331 33.25% @ Stjarnan 2 1341 41.93% 24.82%
23 2010-06-21 53.8 @ Keflavik IF 1 1319 32.09% Fram Reykjavik 1 1380 43.14% 24.76%
24 2010-05-30 53.2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1282 29.53% Breidablik 1 1363 45.88% 24.59%
25 2010-06-20 53.2 @ Stjarnan 1 1340 45.84% Valur Reykjavik 1 1302 29.57% 24.59%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-09-19 25.7 @ Breidablik 3 1432 68.23% Selfoss 0 1189 12.15% 19.62%
2 2010-07-25 29.6 KR Reykjavik 3 1372 54.54% @ Selfoss 0 1222 21.97% 23.48%
3 2010-09-19 30.1 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 3 1300 51.74% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1215 24.32% 23.94%
4 2010-08-04 30.6 @ Breidablik 5 1409 57.23% Valur Reykjavik 0 1278 19.83% 22.95%
5 2010-08-16 30.8 Stjarnan 5 1316 52.58% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1182 23.60% 23.81%
6 2010-09-25 31.2 @ KR Reykjavik 3 1421 54.29% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1316 22.18% 23.53%
7 2010-09-16 32.1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1337 52.95% @ Selfoss 0 1200 23.29% 23.76%
8 2010-05-20 32.2 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1365 54.31% Grindavik 0 1259 22.17% 23.53%
9 2010-06-25 32.3 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1293 44.98% Selfoss 0 1261 30.36% 24.65%
10 2010-05-20 32.4 @ Selfoss 3 1272 44.10% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1247 31.19% 24.71%
11 2010-05-11 32.5 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1355 53.06% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1259 23.20% 23.74%
12 2010-07-08 33.0 @ Breidablik 4 1388 47.47% Stjarnan 0 1338 28.08% 24.45%
13 2010-05-11 33.4 @ Stjarnan 4 1301 41.54% Grindavik 0 1294 33.63% 24.83%
14 2010-06-21 33.6 FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1392 50.83% @ Selfoss 0 1272 25.11% 24.07%
15 2010-05-24 33.7 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1260 39.26% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1227 35.85% 24.89%
16 2010-09-25 34.1 FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1443 47.85% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 1347 27.74% 24.41%
17 2010-07-25 35.0 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1402 64.54% Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 1199 14.52% 20.95%
18 2010-05-20 35.3 Breidablik 2 1333 43.42% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1270 31.83% 24.75%
19 2010-07-04 35.4 @ KR Reykjavik 1 1368 56.82% Grindavik 0 1240 20.14% 23.04%
20 2010-06-07 35.9 @ Stjarnan 4 1316 35.41% Keflavik IF 0 1352 39.70% 24.88%
21 2010-07-18 36.0 Breidablik 2 1412 46.16% @ Keflavik IF 0 1329 29.28% 24.57%
22 2010-09-16 36.0 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1285 40.54% Grindavik 0 1285 34.60% 24.86%
23 2010-08-23 36.4 KR Reykjavik 4 1410 53.69% @ Valur Reykjavik 1 1267 22.67% 23.63%
24 2010-05-16 36.5 FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1404 54.67% @ Haukar Hafnarfjordur 0 1252 21.87% 23.46%
25 2010-09-12 36.6 @ Breidablik 1 1412 56.21% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1290 20.63% 23.16%