2010 Úrvalsdeild Season

132 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Breidablik

44 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

12.48 points above expected

42 points · 29.52 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Fylkir Reykjavik

6.40 points below expected

24 points · 30.40 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Breidablik	22	13	5	4	44	47	23	+24	35.9	+8.14
2	FH Hafnarfjordur	22	13	5	4	44	48	31	+17	36.9	+7.09
3	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	22	13	3	6	42	36	27	+9	29.5	+12.48
4	KR Reykjavik	22	11	5	6	38	45	31	+14	35.7	+2.29
5	Fram Reykjavik	22	9	5	8	32	35	35	0	32.8	-0.84
6	Keflavik IF	22	8	6	8	30	30	32	-2	29.8	+0.21
7	Valur Reykjavik	22	7	7	8	28	34	41	-7	27.0	+0.96
8	Stjarnan	22	6	7	9	25	39	42	-3	29.8	-4.77
9	Fylkir Reykjavik	22	7	3	12	24	36	42	-6	30.4	-6.40
10	Grindavik	22	5	6	11	21	28	39	-11	25.5	-4.50
11	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	22	4	8	10	20	29	45	-16	21.7	-1.68
12	Selfoss	22	5	2	15	17	32	51	-19	23.2	-6.21

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
FH Hafnarfjordur	1452	44	36.91	+7.09	89.9%	14	27	33	37	41	47	60
Breidablik	1433	44	35.86	+8.14	92.7%	15	26	32	36	40	46	57
KR Reykjavik	1427	38	35.71	+2.29	67.5%	14	26	32	36	40	45	56
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1337	42	29.52	+12.48	98.2%	10	20	25	29	33	39	53
Fram Reykjavik	1333	32	32.84	-0.84	48.3%	13	23	29	33	37	43	56
Keflavik IF	1318	30	29.79	+0.21	55.1%	10	20	26	30	34	40	52
Fylkir Reykjavik	1307	24	30.40	-6.40	16.0%	10	21	26	30	34	40	52
Stjarnan	1299	25	29.77	-4.77	23.5%	10	20	26	30	34	40	52
Valur Reykjavik	1271	28	27.04	+0.96	60.6%	7	18	23	27	31	37	49
Grindavik	1264	21	25.50	-4.50	25.5%	6	16	21	25	29	35	47
Haukar Hafnarfjordur	1227	20	21.68	-1.68	42.5%	2	13	18	22	25	31	48
Selfoss	1216	17	23.21	-6.21	15.6%	4	14	19	23	27	33	48

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BRE	FH	FR	FR	GRI	HH	IV	KR	KI	SEL	STJ	VR
Breidablik	—	1-1-0 2.53	0-1-1 2.86	2-0-0 3.22	1-0-1 3.57	1-0-1 4.05	0-2-0 3.27	2-0-0 2.64	1-0-1 3.03	2-0-0 3.97	1-1-0 3.41	2-0-0 3.31
FH Hafnarfjordur	0-1-1 2.86	—	2-0-0 3.11	1-1-0 3.16	1-0-1 3.72	2-0-0 3.85	1-0-1 3.42	2-0-0 2.68	1-1-0 3.35	2-0-0 3.85	1-0-1 3.34	0-2-0 3.52
Fram Reykjavik	1-1-0 2.53	0-0-2 2.29	—	0-1-1 2.79	1-0-1 3.49	0-1-1 3.77	1-0-1 3.07	0-0-2 2.51	1-1-0 3.05	2-0-0 3.39	2-0-0 2.72	1-1-0 3.19
Fylkir Reykjavik	0-0-2 2.22	0-1-1 2.25	1-1-0 2.60	—	2-0-0 2.97	1-1-0 3.43	0-0-2 2.72	0-0-2 1.99	0-0-2 2.83	2-0-0 3.30	1-0-1 2.86	0-0-2 3.25
Grindavik	1-0-1 1.89	1-0-1 1.77	1-0-1 1.96	0-0-2 2.43	—	1-1-0 3.10	1-0-1 2.30	0-1-1 1.82	0-1-1 2.19	0-1-1 3.06	0-1-1 2.37	0-1-1 2.65
Haukar Hafnarfjordur	1-0-1 1.52	0-0-2 1.67	1-1-0 1.73	0-1-1 2.00	0-1-1 2.31	—	0-0-2 2.15	0-2-0 1.78	1-1-0 1.90	0-0-2 2.63	0-1-1 1.92	1-1-0 2.16
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	0-2-0 2.15	1-0-1 2.04	1-0-1 2.35	2-0-0 2.67	1-0-1 3.10	2-0-0 3.31	—	0-0-2 2.20	1-0-1 2.89	2-0-0 3.32	2-0-0 2.73	1-1-0 2.78
KR Reykjavik	0-0-2 2.75	0-0-2 2.72	2-0-0 2.90	2-0-0 3.45	1-1-0 3.65	0-2-0 3.70	2-0-0 3.21	—	1-1-0 3.03	1-0-1 3.65	1-1-0 3.11	1-0-1 3.46
Keflavik IF	1-0-1 2.36	0-1-1 2.10	0-1-1 2.35	2-0-0 2.56	1-1-0 3.23	0-1-1 3.55	1-0-1 2.50	0-1-1 2.37	—	1-0-1 3.32	0-1-1 2.71	2-0-0 2.73
Selfoss	0-0-2 1.58	0-0-2 1.68	0-0-2 2.05	0-0-2 2.13	1-1-0 2.34	2-0-0 2.76	0-0-2 2.10	1-0-1 1.82	1-0-1 2.10	—	0-1-1 2.26	0-0-2 2.42
Stjarnan	0-1-1 2.03	1-0-1 2.09	0-0-2 2.67	1-0-1 2.53	1-1-0 3.03	1-1-0 3.53	0-0-2 2.68	0-1-1 2.30	1-1-0 2.68	1-1-0 3.16	—	0-1-1 3.08
Valur Reykjavik	0-0-2 2.13	0-2-0 1.93	0-1-1 2.23	2-0-0 2.17	1-1-0 2.74	0-1-1 3.26	0-1-1 2.63	1-0-1 1.98	0-0-2 2.65	2-0-0 2.98	1-1-0 2.32	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	4.55%	4.55%	3.41%	1.14%	0.76%	17.42%
1	4.55%	10.61%	8.71%	5.30%	1.89%	0.38%	31.44%
2	4.55%	8.71%	8.33%	4.17%	1.89%	1.14%	28.79%
3	3.41%	5.30%	4.17%	1.52%	—	0.38%	14.77%
4	1.14%	1.89%	1.89%	—	—	—	4.92%
5+	0.76%	0.38%	1.14%	0.38%	—	—	2.65%
Total	17.42%	31.44%	28.79%	14.77%	4.92%	2.65%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.66
Mean allowed	1.66
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	1.22
Mean total goals/game	3.33
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.122
Sample size (games)	132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
1	4.55%	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
2	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	—	13.64%	—	—	—	18.18%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	36.36%	31.82%	22.73%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Breidablik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.14
Mean allowed	1.05
StdDev scored	1.46
StdDev allowed	1.00
Mean total goals/game	3.18
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.037
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
1	9.09%	13.64%	—	9.09%	—	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
Total	18.18%	40.91%	22.73%	18.18%	—	—	100%

FH Hafnarfjordur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.18
Mean allowed	1.41
StdDev scored	1.30
StdDev allowed	1.01
Mean total goals/game	3.59
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.086
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	18.18%
1	—	4.55%	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
2	9.09%	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	40.91%
3	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.64%	36.36%	31.82%	13.64%	4.55%	—	100%

Fram Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.59
Mean allowed	1.59
StdDev scored	1.01
StdDev allowed	1.05
Mean total goals/game	3.18
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.255
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
1	—	4.55%	18.18%	—	4.55%	—	27.27%
2	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	9.09%	4.55%	36.36%
3	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	9.09%	36.36%	31.82%	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	100%

Fylkir Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.64
Mean allowed	1.91
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	1.34
Mean total goals/game	3.55
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.050
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	27.27%
1	4.55%	18.18%	18.18%	—	—	—	40.91%
2	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%
3	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.64%	31.82%	36.36%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Grindavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	1.77
StdDev scored	1.12
StdDev allowed	1.31
Mean total goals/game	3.05
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.142
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	13.64%	—	4.55%	27.27%
1	—	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
2	9.09%	9.09%	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	—	50.00%
3	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.64%	27.27%	13.64%	36.36%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Haukar Hafnarfjordur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.32
Mean allowed	2.05
StdDev scored	0.95
StdDev allowed	1.36
Mean total goals/game	3.36
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.086
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
1	9.09%	13.64%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	31.82%
2	9.09%	18.18%	—	—	4.55%	—	31.82%
3	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	45.45%	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	—	100%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.64
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	1.00
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	2.86
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.127
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
1	13.64%	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
2	—	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
3	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	27.27%
4	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	22.73%	31.82%	18.18%	—	—	100%

KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.05
Mean allowed	1.41
StdDev scored	1.25
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	3.45
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.159
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
1	9.09%	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	—	36.36%
2	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	9.09%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	45.45%	22.73%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Keflavik IF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.36
Mean allowed	1.45
StdDev scored	1.09
StdDev allowed	1.26
Mean total goals/game	2.82
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.082
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	22.73%
1	—	4.55%	18.18%	13.64%	—	—	36.36%
2	—	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	22.73%
3	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	4.55%	9.09%	45.45%	36.36%	—	4.55%	100%

Selfoss — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.45
Mean allowed	2.32
StdDev scored	1.26
StdDev allowed	0.99
Mean total goals/game	3.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.234
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
1	—	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	36.36%
2	—	4.55%	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	18.18%	18.18%	36.36%	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Stjarnan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.77
Mean allowed	1.91
StdDev scored	1.34
StdDev allowed	1.38
Mean total goals/game	3.68
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.527
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	18.18%
1	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	40.91%
2	—	13.64%	13.64%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	9.09%	31.82%	36.36%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Valur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.55
Mean allowed	1.86
StdDev scored	1.37
StdDev allowed	1.21
Mean total goals/game	3.41
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.183
Games played	22

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	42	29.5	+12.48
2	Breidablik	44	35.9	+8.14
3	FH Hafnarfjordur	44	36.9	+7.09
4	KR Reykjavik	38	35.7	+2.29
5	Valur Reykjavik	28	27.0	+0.96

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Fylkir Reykjavik	24	30.4	-6.40
2	Selfoss	17	23.2	-6.21
3	Stjarnan	25	29.8	-4.77
4	Grindavik	21	25.5	-4.50
5	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	20	21.7	-1.68

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	5	Jun 25 – Jul 25	1 in 153
2	Valur Reykjavik	4	May 25 – Jun 14	1 in 109
3	KR Reykjavik	6	Jul 25 – Aug 26	1 in 105
4	FH Hafnarfjordur	6	Aug 22 – Sep 25	1 in 94
5	Breidablik	5	Jun 20 – Jul 18	1 in 85

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Grindavik	6	May 11 – Jun 6	1 in 183
2	Selfoss	6	May 31 – Jul 5	1 in 128
3	Fylkir Reykjavik	5	Aug 16 – Sep 12	1 in 92
4	Stjarnan	4	Aug 29 – Sep 19	1 in 55
5	Fram Reykjavik	3	Aug 5 – Aug 19	1 in 29

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Grindavik	7	Jul 8 – Aug 22	1 in 56
2	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	6	May 17 – Jun 13	1 in 25
3	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	4	Jun 27 – Jul 18	1 in 20
4	Valur Reykjavik	5	May 25 – Jun 20	1 in 13
5	KR Reykjavik	8	Jul 4 – Aug 26	1 in 9

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	16	May 11 – Aug 16	1 in 93
2	KR Reykjavik	5	May 11 – Jun 7	1 in 24
3	Selfoss	10	May 25 – Jul 25	1 in 23
4	Valur Reykjavik	8	Jun 20 – Aug 8	1 in 20
5	Fram Reykjavik	5	Jun 21 – Jul 17	1 in 17

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Breidablik	22.83%	19.38%	15.32%	12.69%	8.85%	6.90%	4.62%	3.76%	2.70%	1.59%	0.97%	0.39%
FH Hafnarfjordur	28.38%	20.26%	15.00%	11.21%	7.99%	5.81%	4.36%	3.23%	1.65%	1.27%	0.62%	0.22%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	3.59%	6.03%	7.91%	9.21%	11.47%	11.25%	11.34%	10.88%	10.11%	8.18%	6.30%	3.73%
KR Reykjavik	21.13%	18.57%	15.51%	12.63%	9.30%	7.45%	5.71%	3.97%	2.83%	1.73%	0.83%	0.34%
Fram Reykjavik	9.55%	11.55%	13.20%	12.60%	11.45%	10.71%	9.18%	7.70%	6.03%	4.19%	2.64%	1.20%
Keflavik IF	3.70%	5.71%	7.53%	9.80%	11.19%	11.42%	11.67%	11.23%	9.73%	8.21%	6.34%	3.47%
Valur Reykjavik	1.53%	2.88%	4.05%	5.52%	7.25%	8.96%	10.97%	12.20%	13.03%	12.96%	12.45%	8.20%
Stjarnan	3.66%	6.09%	7.77%	9.03%	11.17%	11.30%	11.41%	11.01%	9.85%	8.63%	6.29%	3.79%
Fylkir Reykjavik	4.49%	6.83%	8.69%	10.20%	10.91%	11.49%	11.22%	10.61%	9.41%	7.77%	5.56%	2.82%
Grindavik	0.77%	1.64%	3.01%	3.95%	5.40%	7.20%	9.02%	11.06%	13.05%	15.34%	15.52%	14.04%
Haukar Hafnarfjordur	0.18%	0.31%	0.79%	0.99%	2.00%	3.07%	4.48%	6.21%	10.00%	14.56%	21.07%	36.34%
Selfoss	0.19%	0.75%	1.22%	2.17%	3.02%	4.44%	6.02%	8.14%	11.61%	15.57%	21.41%	25.46%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
FH Hafnarfjordur	99.2%	0.8%
KR Reykjavik	98.8%	1.2%
Breidablik	98.6%	1.4%
Fram Reykjavik	96.2%	3.8%
Fylkir Reykjavik	91.6%	8.4%
Keflavik IF	90.2%	9.8%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	90.0%	10.0%
Stjarnan	89.9%	10.1%
Valur Reykjavik	79.3%	20.6%
Grindavik	70.4%	29.6%
Selfoss	53.1%	46.9%
Haukar Hafnarfjordur	42.6%	57.4%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2010-05-10	FH Hafnarfjordur	D 2-2	1290	1399	24.3%	28.3%	47.3%	+0.7	1
2010-05-10	@ Valur Reykjavik	D 2-2	1399	1290	47.3%	28.3%	24.3%	-0.7	1
2010-05-11	Keflavik IF	L 0-1	1343	1330	39.6%	30.3%	30.1%	-7.7	0
2010-05-11	@ Breidablik	W 1-0	1330	1343	30.1%	30.3%	39.6%	+7.7	3
2010-05-11	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 2-0	1351	1275	48.8%	27.8%	23.4%	+9.6	3
2010-05-11	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 0-2	1275	1351	23.4%	27.8%	48.8%	-9.7	0
2010-05-11	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	D 2-2	1382	1272	53.6%	25.7%	20.8%	-1.0	1
2010-05-11	@ KR Reykjavik	D 2-2	1272	1382	20.8%	25.7%	53.6%	+1.0	1
2010-05-11	Fylkir Reykjavik	L 1-3	1281	1346	29.0%	30.1%	40.9%	-10.1	0
2010-05-11	@ Selfoss	W 3-1	1346	1281	40.9%	30.1%	29.0%	+10.1	3
2010-05-11	Grindavik	W 4-0	1313	1303	39.1%	30.4%	30.5%	+23.0	3
2010-05-11	@ Stjarnan	L 0-4	1303	1313	30.5%	30.4%	39.1%	-23.0	0
2010-05-16	Fram Reykjavik	D 2-2	1335	1361	34.0%	30.7%	35.3%	+0.0	1
2010-05-16	@ Breidablik	D 2-2	1361	1335	35.3%	30.7%	34.0%	-0.0	4
2010-05-16	Stjarnan	W 3-1	1356	1336	40.7%	30.1%	29.2%	+10.1	6
2010-05-16	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	L 1-3	1336	1356	29.2%	30.1%	40.7%	-10.1	3
2010-05-16	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-1	1273	1398	22.9%	27.4%	49.7%	-5.0	1
2010-05-16	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	W 1-0	1398	1273	49.7%	27.4%	22.9%	+5.0	4
2010-05-16	Selfoss	L 1-2	1381	1271	53.6%	25.7%	20.8%	-9.0	1
2010-05-16	@ KR Reykjavik	W 2-1	1271	1381	20.8%	25.7%	53.6%	+9.0	3
2010-05-17	Keflavik IF	L 0-1	1280	1338	29.8%	30.2%	39.9%	-6.3	0
2010-05-17	@ Grindavik	W 1-0	1338	1280	39.9%	30.2%	29.8%	+6.3	6
2010-05-17	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 1-1	1291	1265	41.4%	30.0%	28.6%	-0.5	2
2010-05-17	@ Valur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1265	1291	28.6%	30.0%	41.4%	+0.5	1
2010-05-20	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 2-3	1403	1266	57.4%	23.7%	18.9%	-9.0	4
2010-05-20	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	W 3-2	1266	1403	18.9%	23.7%	57.4%	+9.0	4
2010-05-20	Grindavik	W 2-0	1361	1274	50.3%	27.2%	22.5%	+9.3	7
2010-05-20	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 0-2	1274	1361	22.5%	27.2%	50.3%	-9.3	0
2010-05-20	Fylkir Reykjavik	W 2-1	1344	1366	34.5%	30.7%	34.8%	+6.7	9
2010-05-20	@ Keflavik IF	L 1-2	1366	1344	34.8%	30.7%	34.5%	-6.7	6
2010-05-20	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	W 3-0	1280	1268	39.5%	30.3%	30.2%	+17.4	6
2010-05-20	@ Selfoss	L 0-3	1268	1280	30.2%	30.3%	39.5%	-17.4	1
2010-05-20	KR Reykjavik	D 2-2	1325	1372	31.1%	30.5%	38.4%	+0.2	4
2010-05-20	@ Stjarnan	D 2-2	1372	1325	38.4%	30.5%	31.1%	-0.2	2
2010-05-20	Breidablik	L 0-2	1290	1335	31.4%	30.5%	38.1%	-12.4	2
2010-05-20	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 2-0	1335	1290	38.1%	30.5%	31.4%	+12.4	4
2010-05-24	FH Hafnarfjordur	W 2-0	1347	1394	31.2%	30.5%	38.4%	+14.3	7
2010-05-24	@ Breidablik	L 0-2	1394	1347	38.4%	30.5%	31.2%	-14.3	4
2010-05-24	Fram Reykjavik	D 2-2	1360	1370	36.2%	30.6%	33.2%	-0.1	7
2010-05-24	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	D 2-2	1370	1360	33.2%	30.6%	36.2%	+0.1	8
2010-05-24	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-3	1250	1275	34.2%	30.7%	35.1%	-19.1	1
2010-05-24	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	W 3-0	1275	1250	35.1%	30.7%	34.2%	+19.1	7
2010-05-25	Valur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1264	1278	35.8%	30.6%	33.5%	-6.8	0
2010-05-25	@ Grindavik	W 2-1	1278	1264	33.5%	30.6%	35.8%	+6.8	5
2010-05-25	Keflavik IF	D 0-0	1372	1351	40.8%	30.1%	29.1%	-0.5	3
2010-05-25	@ KR Reykjavik	D 0-0	1351	1372	29.1%	30.1%	40.8%	+0.5	10
2010-05-25	Stjarnan	D 2-2	1298	1326	33.7%	30.6%	35.6%	+0.1	7
2010-05-25	@ Selfoss	D 2-2	1326	1298	35.6%	30.6%	33.7%	-0.0	5
2010-05-30	Breidablik	D 1-1	1294	1362	28.6%	30.0%	41.4%	+0.5	8
2010-05-30	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 1-1	1362	1294	41.4%	30.0%	28.6%	-0.5	8
2010-05-31	Grindavik	W 2-1	1380	1258	55.3%	24.8%	19.9%	+4.0	7
2010-05-31	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-2	1258	1380	19.9%	24.8%	55.3%	-4.1	0
2010-05-31	Selfoss	W 2-1	1351	1298	45.5%	29.0%	25.6%	+5.2	13
2010-05-31	@ Keflavik IF	L 1-2	1298	1351	25.6%	29.0%	45.5%	-5.2	7
2010-05-31	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	D 2-2	1326	1231	51.3%	26.7%	22.0%	-0.9	6
2010-05-31	@ Stjarnan	D 2-2	1231	1326	22.0%	26.7%	51.3%	+0.9	2
2010-05-31	Fylkir Reykjavik	W 5-2	1284	1359	27.8%	29.8%	42.4%	+16.3	8
2010-05-31	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 2-5	1359	1284	42.4%	29.8%	27.8%	-16.3	7
2010-06-06	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 1-2	1254	1294	32.0%	30.6%	37.5%	-6.3	0
2010-06-06	@ Grindavik	W 2-1	1294	1254	37.5%	30.6%	32.0%	+6.3	11
2010-06-06	Fram Reykjavik	L 1-2	1292	1370	27.5%	29.7%	42.8%	-5.6	7
2010-06-06	@ Selfoss	W 2-1	1370	1292	42.8%	29.7%	27.5%	+5.6	11
2010-06-07	FH Hafnarfjordur	D 2-2	1343	1384	31.9%	30.5%	37.5%	+0.1	8
2010-06-07	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	D 2-2	1384	1343	37.5%	30.5%	31.9%	-0.1	8
2010-06-07	Breidablik	L 2-4	1232	1361	22.6%	27.2%	50.2%	-7.2	2
2010-06-07	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	W 4-2	1361	1232	50.2%	27.2%	22.6%	+7.2	11
2010-06-07	Valur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1372	1301	48.0%	28.1%	23.9%	-8.4	3
2010-06-07	@ KR Reykjavik	W 2-1	1301	1372	23.9%	28.1%	48.0%	+8.4	11
2010-06-07	Keflavik IF	W 4-0	1325	1356	33.2%	30.6%	36.2%	+26.0	9
2010-06-07	@ Stjarnan	L 0-4	1356	1325	36.2%	30.6%	33.2%	-26.0	13
2010-06-10	KR Reykjavik	L 2-3	1376	1363	39.5%	30.3%	30.2%	-6.9	11
2010-06-10	@ Fram Reykjavik	W 3-2	1363	1376	30.2%	30.3%	39.5%	+6.9	6
2010-06-13	Fylkir Reykjavik	W 1-0	1300	1343	31.7%	30.5%	37.8%	+7.5	14
2010-06-13	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-1	1343	1300	37.8%	30.5%	31.7%	-7.5	8
2010-06-14	Grindavik	L 2-3	1368	1247	55.1%	24.9%	20.0%	-8.8	11
2010-06-14	@ Breidablik	W 3-2	1247	1368	20.0%	24.9%	55.1%	+8.8	3
2010-06-14	KR Reykjavik	W 3-2	1384	1370	39.7%	30.3%	30.0%	+5.7	11
2010-06-14	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 2-3	1370	1384	30.0%	30.3%	39.7%	-5.7	6
2010-06-14	Stjarnan	W 2-1	1369	1351	40.4%	30.2%	29.4%	+5.9	14
2010-06-14	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 1-2	1351	1369	29.4%	30.2%	40.4%	-5.9	9
2010-06-14	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	D 1-1	1330	1225	52.9%	26.0%	21.1%	-1.3	14
2010-06-14	@ Keflavik IF	D 1-1	1225	1330	21.1%	26.0%	52.9%	+1.3	3
2010-06-14	Selfoss	W 2-1	1309	1287	40.9%	30.1%	29.0%	+5.8	14
2010-06-14	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1287	1309	29.0%	30.1%	40.9%	-5.8	7
2010-06-20	Breidablik	L 2-4	1336	1360	34.3%	30.7%	35.0%	-10.2	8
2010-06-20	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	W 4-2	1360	1336	35.0%	30.7%	34.3%	+10.2	14
2010-06-20	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 1-0	1365	1308	45.9%	28.8%	25.3%	+5.5	9
2010-06-20	@ KR Reykjavik	L 0-1	1308	1365	25.3%	28.8%	45.9%	-5.5	14
2010-06-20	Valur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1345	1315	42.0%	29.8%	28.1%	-0.5	10
2010-06-20	@ Stjarnan	D 1-1	1315	1345	28.1%	29.8%	42.0%	+0.5	15
2010-06-21	Grindavik	L 2-3	1226	1256	33.5%	30.6%	35.9%	-6.2	3
2010-06-21	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	W 3-2	1256	1226	35.9%	30.6%	33.5%	+6.2	6
2010-06-21	Fram Reykjavik	D 1-1	1329	1375	31.3%	30.5%	38.2%	+0.2	15
2010-06-21	@ Keflavik IF	D 1-1	1375	1329	38.2%	30.5%	31.3%	-0.3	15
2010-06-21	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-2	1281	1390	24.4%	28.4%	47.3%	-10.0	7
2010-06-21	@ Selfoss	W 2-0	1390	1281	47.3%	28.4%	24.4%	+10.0	14
2010-06-25	Selfoss	W 3-0	1302	1271	42.3%	29.8%	27.9%	+16.4	17
2010-06-25	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-3	1271	1302	27.9%	29.8%	42.3%	-16.4	7
2010-06-27	KR Reykjavik	W 2-1	1370	1370	37.7%	30.5%	31.8%	+6.2	17
2010-06-27	@ Breidablik	L 1-2	1370	1370	31.8%	30.5%	37.7%	-6.2	9
2010-06-27	Stjarnan	L 1-3	1400	1344	45.7%	28.9%	25.4%	-14.0	14
2010-06-27	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	W 3-1	1344	1400	25.4%	28.9%	45.7%	+14.0	13
2010-06-27	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	D 0-0	1374	1220	59.7%	22.3%	17.9%	-1.9	16
2010-06-27	@ Fram Reykjavik	D 0-0	1220	1374	17.9%	22.3%	59.7%	+1.9	4
2010-06-27	Fylkir Reykjavik	L 1-2	1262	1326	29.1%	30.1%	40.8%	-5.9	6
2010-06-27	@ Grindavik	W 2-1	1326	1262	40.8%	30.1%	29.1%	+5.8	11
2010-06-27	Keflavik IF	L 0-2	1315	1329	35.7%	30.6%	33.6%	-13.6	15
2010-06-27	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 2-0	1329	1315	33.6%	30.6%	35.7%	+13.6	18
2010-07-04	FH Hafnarfjordur	D 1-1	1343	1386	31.7%	30.5%	37.8%	+0.2	19
2010-07-04	@ Keflavik IF	D 1-1	1386	1343	37.8%	30.5%	31.7%	-0.2	15
2010-07-04	Grindavik	W 1-0	1364	1256	53.2%	25.9%	21.0%	+4.6	12
2010-07-04	@ KR Reykjavik	L 0-1	1256	1364	21.0%	25.9%	53.2%	-4.5	6
2010-07-04	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-2	1358	1319	43.4%	29.5%	27.0%	-15.6	13
2010-07-04	@ Stjarnan	W 2-0	1319	1358	27.0%	29.5%	43.4%	+15.6	20
2010-07-05	Valur Reykjavik	D 2-2	1373	1302	47.9%	28.1%	23.9%	-0.7	17
2010-07-05	@ Fram Reykjavik	D 2-2	1302	1373	23.9%	28.1%	47.9%	+0.7	16
2010-07-05	Fylkir Reykjavik	D 1-1	1222	1331	24.3%	28.3%	47.4%	+0.9	5
2010-07-05	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	D 1-1	1331	1222	47.4%	28.3%	24.3%	-0.9	12
2010-07-05	Breidablik	L 1-3	1255	1376	23.2%	27.7%	49.1%	-8.3	7
2010-07-05	@ Selfoss	W 3-1	1376	1255	49.1%	27.7%	23.2%	+8.3	20
2010-07-08	Stjarnan	W 4-0	1384	1343	43.8%	29.4%	26.8%	+20.7	23
2010-07-08	@ Breidablik	L 0-4	1343	1384	26.8%	29.4%	43.8%	-20.7	13
2010-07-08	Fram Reykjavik	W 4-1	1385	1372	39.7%	30.3%	30.0%	+14.7	18
2010-07-08	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-4	1372	1385	30.0%	30.3%	39.7%	-14.7	17
2010-07-08	Selfoss	D 1-1	1252	1246	38.5%	30.4%	31.0%	-0.3	7
2010-07-08	@ Grindavik	D 1-1	1246	1252	31.0%	30.4%	38.5%	+0.3	8
2010-07-08	Keflavik IF	W 2-1	1334	1343	36.5%	30.6%	32.9%	+6.4	23
2010-07-08	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 1-2	1343	1334	32.9%	30.6%	36.5%	-6.4	19
2010-07-08	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	D 2-2	1303	1223	49.2%	27.6%	23.2%	-0.8	17
2010-07-08	@ Valur Reykjavik	D 2-2	1223	1303	23.2%	27.6%	49.2%	+0.8	6
2010-07-17	Fram Reykjavik	W 1-0	1341	1357	35.4%	30.7%	34.0%	+7.0	26
2010-07-17	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-1	1357	1341	34.0%	30.7%	35.4%	-7.0	17
2010-07-18	Valur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1400	1302	51.8%	26.5%	21.7%	-1.2	19
2010-07-18	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	D 1-1	1302	1400	21.7%	26.5%	51.8%	+1.2	18
2010-07-18	Selfoss	W 5-2	1331	1247	49.8%	27.4%	22.8%	+10.0	15
2010-07-18	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	L 2-5	1247	1331	22.8%	27.4%	49.8%	-10.0	8
2010-07-18	KR Reykjavik	D 3-3	1224	1368	21.4%	26.2%	52.4%	+0.8	7
2010-07-18	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	D 3-3	1368	1224	52.4%	26.2%	21.4%	-0.8	13
2010-07-18	Breidablik	L 0-2	1337	1405	28.6%	30.0%	41.5%	-11.5	19
2010-07-18	@ Keflavik IF	W 2-0	1405	1337	41.5%	30.0%	28.6%	+11.5	26
2010-07-19	Stjarnan	D 1-1	1252	1322	28.3%	29.9%	41.8%	+0.5	8
2010-07-19	@ Grindavik	D 1-1	1322	1252	41.8%	29.9%	28.3%	-0.5	14
2010-07-25	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	W 3-1	1399	1224	62.5%	20.7%	16.8%	+5.6	22
2010-07-25	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-3	1224	1399	16.8%	20.7%	62.5%	-5.6	7
2010-07-25	Breidablik	W 3-1	1350	1417	28.8%	30.0%	41.2%	+13.0	20
2010-07-25	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 1-3	1417	1350	41.2%	30.0%	28.8%	-13.0	26
2010-07-25	Valur Reykjavik	W 3-1	1348	1303	44.2%	29.3%	26.5%	+9.4	29
2010-07-25	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 1-3	1303	1348	26.5%	29.3%	44.2%	-9.3	18
2010-07-25	KR Reykjavik	L 0-3	1237	1368	22.4%	27.1%	50.5%	-13.4	8
2010-07-25	@ Selfoss	W 3-0	1368	1237	50.5%	27.1%	22.4%	+13.4	16
2010-07-25	Fylkir Reykjavik	W 2-1	1321	1340	35.0%	30.7%	34.4%	+6.6	17
2010-07-25	@ Stjarnan	L 1-2	1340	1321	34.4%	30.7%	35.0%	-6.6	15
2010-07-26	Grindavik	D 1-1	1325	1252	48.3%	28.0%	23.7%	-1.0	20
2010-07-26	@ Keflavik IF	D 1-1	1252	1325	23.7%	28.0%	48.3%	+1.0	9
2010-08-04	Valur Reykjavik	W 5-0	1404	1294	53.5%	25.7%	20.8%	+19.9	29
2010-08-04	@ Breidablik	L 0-5	1294	1404	20.8%	25.7%	53.5%	-19.9	18
2010-08-05	Keflavik IF	L 1-2	1334	1324	39.1%	30.4%	30.5%	-7.2	15
2010-08-05	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	W 2-1	1324	1334	30.5%	30.4%	39.1%	+7.2	23
2010-08-05	Fram Reykjavik	W 3-0	1253	1363	24.2%	28.3%	47.5%	+24.2	12
2010-08-05	@ Grindavik	L 0-3	1363	1253	47.5%	28.3%	24.2%	-24.1	20
2010-08-05	Selfoss	L 2-3	1219	1223	37.1%	30.6%	32.3%	-6.6	7
2010-08-05	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	W 3-2	1223	1219	32.3%	30.6%	37.1%	+6.6	11
2010-08-05	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-3	1357	1404	31.1%	30.4%	38.4%	-10.7	29
2010-08-05	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 3-1	1404	1357	38.4%	30.4%	31.1%	+10.7	25
2010-08-05	Stjarnan	W 3-1	1381	1328	45.4%	29.0%	25.6%	+9.1	19
2010-08-05	@ KR Reykjavik	L 1-3	1328	1381	25.6%	29.0%	45.4%	-9.1	17
2010-08-08	Breidablik	D 1-1	1415	1423	36.5%	30.6%	32.9%	-0.1	26
2010-08-08	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	D 1-1	1423	1415	32.9%	30.6%	36.5%	+0.1	30
2010-08-08	Fylkir Reykjavik	L 1-2	1339	1327	39.5%	30.3%	30.1%	-7.3	20
2010-08-08	@ Fram Reykjavik	W 2-1	1327	1339	30.1%	30.3%	39.5%	+7.3	18
2010-08-08	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	W 3-2	1347	1212	56.9%	23.9%	19.1%	+3.7	32
2010-08-08	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 2-3	1212	1347	19.1%	23.9%	56.9%	-3.7	7
2010-08-08	KR Reykjavik	L 0-1	1332	1390	29.7%	30.2%	40.1%	-6.3	23
2010-08-08	@ Keflavik IF	W 1-0	1390	1332	40.1%	30.2%	29.7%	+6.3	22
2010-08-08	Selfoss	W 3-2	1319	1230	50.5%	27.1%	22.4%	+4.4	20
2010-08-08	@ Stjarnan	L 2-3	1230	1319	22.4%	27.1%	50.5%	-4.4	11
2010-08-08	Grindavik	D 0-0	1274	1277	37.2%	30.6%	32.2%	-0.2	19
2010-08-08	@ Valur Reykjavik	D 0-0	1277	1274	32.2%	30.6%	37.2%	+0.2	13
2010-08-16	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 1-1	1424	1350	48.3%	28.0%	23.7%	-1.0	31
2010-08-16	@ Breidablik	D 1-1	1350	1424	23.7%	28.0%	48.3%	+1.0	33
2010-08-16	Valur Reykjavik	L 0-1	1334	1274	46.5%	28.6%	24.9%	-8.7	18
2010-08-16	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	W 1-0	1274	1334	24.9%	28.6%	46.5%	+8.7	22
2010-08-16	Stjarnan	L 0-5	1209	1323	23.8%	28.0%	48.2%	-22.9	7
2010-08-16	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	W 5-0	1323	1209	48.2%	28.0%	23.8%	+22.9	23
2010-08-19	FH Hafnarfjordur	W 3-1	1277	1415	21.9%	26.7%	51.4%	+15.2	16
2010-08-19	@ Grindavik	L 1-3	1415	1277	51.4%	26.7%	21.9%	-15.2	26
2010-08-19	Fram Reykjavik	W 2-1	1396	1332	47.0%	28.4%	24.5%	+5.0	25
2010-08-19	@ KR Reykjavik	L 1-2	1332	1396	24.5%	28.4%	47.0%	-5.0	20
2010-08-19	Keflavik IF	W 3-2	1226	1325	25.2%	28.8%	46.0%	+7.7	14
2010-08-19	@ Selfoss	L 2-3	1325	1226	46.0%	28.8%	25.2%	-7.7	23
2010-08-22	Fylkir Reykjavik	W 4-2	1400	1325	48.5%	27.9%	23.6%	+7.5	29
2010-08-22	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 2-4	1325	1400	23.6%	27.9%	48.5%	-7.5	18
2010-08-22	Grindavik	L 0-1	1351	1293	46.2%	28.7%	25.1%	-8.6	33
2010-08-22	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 1-0	1293	1351	25.1%	28.7%	46.2%	+8.6	19
2010-08-23	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	L 0-2	1423	1186	70.7%	15.5%	13.8%	-21.7	31
2010-08-23	@ Breidablik	W 2-0	1186	1423	13.8%	15.5%	70.7%	+21.7	10
2010-08-23	Selfoss	W 3-1	1327	1233	51.2%	26.8%	22.0%	+7.8	23
2010-08-23	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 1-3	1233	1327	22.0%	26.8%	51.2%	-7.8	14
2010-08-23	Stjarnan	D 2-2	1318	1346	33.6%	30.6%	35.7%	+0.1	24
2010-08-23	@ Keflavik IF	D 2-2	1346	1318	35.7%	30.6%	33.6%	-0.1	24
2010-08-23	KR Reykjavik	L 1-4	1282	1401	23.4%	27.8%	48.8%	-11.8	22
2010-08-23	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 4-1	1401	1282	48.8%	27.8%	23.4%	+11.8	28
2010-08-26	KR Reykjavik	L 1-4	1318	1413	25.6%	29.0%	45.4%	-12.8	18
2010-08-26	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	W 4-1	1413	1318	45.4%	29.0%	25.6%	+12.8	31
2010-08-28	Keflavik IF	W 2-0	1207	1318	24.2%	28.3%	47.5%	+16.6	13
2010-08-28	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	L 0-2	1318	1207	47.5%	28.3%	24.2%	-16.6	24
2010-08-29	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 1-2	1305	1343	32.4%	30.6%	37.0%	-6.3	18
2010-08-29	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	W 2-1	1343	1305	37.0%	30.6%	32.4%	+6.3	36
2010-08-29	Breidablik	L 2-4	1301	1401	25.2%	28.8%	46.0%	-8.0	19
2010-08-29	@ Grindavik	W 4-2	1401	1301	46.0%	28.8%	25.2%	+8.0	34
2010-08-29	Fram Reykjavik	L 2-3	1346	1335	39.4%	30.3%	30.3%	-6.9	24
2010-08-29	@ Stjarnan	W 3-2	1335	1346	30.3%	30.3%	39.4%	+6.9	26
2010-08-30	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-1	1426	1407	40.5%	30.2%	29.4%	-7.9	31
2010-08-30	@ KR Reykjavik	W 1-0	1407	1426	29.4%	30.2%	40.5%	+7.9	32
2010-08-30	Valur Reykjavik	L 2-3	1225	1270	31.4%	30.5%	38.1%	-5.9	14
2010-08-30	@ Selfoss	W 3-2	1270	1225	38.1%	30.5%	31.4%	+5.9	25
2010-09-12	Fylkir Reykjavik	W 1-0	1409	1299	53.6%	25.7%	20.8%	+4.5	37
2010-09-12	@ Breidablik	L 0-1	1299	1409	20.8%	25.7%	53.6%	-4.5	18
2010-09-12	Selfoss	W 2-1	1415	1220	65.3%	18.9%	15.7%	+3.0	35
2010-09-12	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-2	1220	1415	15.7%	18.9%	65.3%	-3.0	14
2010-09-12	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	D 1-1	1293	1224	47.7%	28.2%	24.1%	-0.9	20
2010-09-12	@ Grindavik	D 1-1	1224	1293	24.1%	28.2%	47.7%	+0.9	14
2010-09-12	KR Reykjavik	L 2-4	1349	1418	28.4%	29.9%	41.6%	-8.9	36
2010-09-12	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 4-2	1418	1349	41.6%	29.9%	28.4%	+8.9	34
2010-09-12	Stjarnan	W 5-1	1276	1339	29.2%	30.1%	40.7%	+23.5	28
2010-09-12	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 1-5	1339	1276	40.7%	30.1%	29.2%	-23.5	24
2010-09-13	Keflavik IF	W 2-1	1342	1301	43.6%	29.5%	26.9%	+5.5	29
2010-09-13	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 1-2	1301	1342	26.9%	29.5%	43.6%	-5.5	24
2010-09-16	Grindavik	W 2-0	1294	1292	38.0%	30.5%	31.5%	+12.4	21
2010-09-16	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	L 0-2	1292	1294	31.5%	30.5%	38.0%	-12.4	20
2010-09-16	Fram Reykjavik	W 2-1	1225	1347	23.2%	27.6%	49.2%	+8.5	17
2010-09-16	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	L 1-2	1347	1225	49.2%	27.6%	23.2%	-8.5	29
2010-09-16	Valur Reykjavik	W 3-1	1296	1300	37.1%	30.6%	32.3%	+11.0	27
2010-09-16	@ Keflavik IF	L 1-3	1300	1296	32.3%	30.6%	37.1%	-10.9	28
2010-09-16	Breidablik	L 1-3	1427	1413	39.7%	30.3%	30.0%	-12.7	34
2010-09-16	@ KR Reykjavik	W 3-1	1413	1427	30.0%	30.3%	39.7%	+12.7	40
2010-09-16	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-2	1217	1340	23.1%	27.6%	49.4%	-9.5	14
2010-09-16	@ Selfoss	W 2-0	1340	1217	49.4%	27.6%	23.1%	+9.5	39
2010-09-16	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-4	1316	1418	24.9%	28.7%	46.4%	-12.5	24
2010-09-16	@ Stjarnan	W 4-1	1418	1316	46.4%	28.7%	24.9%	+12.6	38
2010-09-19	Selfoss	W 3-0	1426	1207	68.4%	17.0%	14.6%	+7.7	43
2010-09-19	@ Breidablik	L 0-3	1207	1426	14.6%	17.0%	68.4%	-7.7	14
2010-09-19	Keflavik IF	W 5-3	1431	1306	55.5%	24.7%	19.8%	+5.9	41
2010-09-19	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 3-5	1306	1431	19.8%	24.7%	55.5%	-5.9	27
2010-09-19	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	W 3-0	1306	1233	48.3%	28.0%	23.7%	+14.2	24
2010-09-19	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	L 0-3	1233	1306	23.7%	28.0%	48.3%	-14.2	17
2010-09-19	KR Reykjavik	D 3-3	1280	1414	22.1%	26.9%	51.0%	+0.7	21
2010-09-19	@ Grindavik	D 3-3	1414	1280	51.0%	26.9%	22.1%	-0.7	35
2010-09-19	Stjarnan	W 2-1	1349	1303	44.4%	29.3%	26.3%	+5.4	42
2010-09-19	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 1-2	1303	1349	26.3%	29.3%	44.4%	-5.4	24
2010-09-19	Fram Reykjavik	L 1-3	1289	1338	30.8%	30.4%	38.8%	-10.6	28
2010-09-19	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 3-1	1338	1289	38.8%	30.4%	30.8%	+10.6	32
2010-09-25	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-3	1349	1437	26.5%	29.3%	44.2%	-15.7	32
2010-09-25	@ Fram Reykjavik	W 3-0	1437	1349	44.2%	29.3%	26.5%	+15.7	44
2010-09-25	Valur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1219	1278	29.6%	30.2%	40.2%	+7.4	20
2010-09-25	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	L 1-2	1278	1219	40.2%	30.2%	29.6%	-7.4	28
2010-09-25	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 4-1	1301	1355	30.2%	30.3%	39.4%	+17.8	30
2010-09-25	@ Keflavik IF	L 1-4	1355	1301	39.4%	30.3%	30.2%	-17.8	42
2010-09-25	Fylkir Reykjavik	W 3-0	1414	1321	51.1%	26.8%	22.1%	+13.2	38
2010-09-25	@ KR Reykjavik	L 0-3	1321	1414	22.1%	26.8%	51.1%	-13.2	24
2010-09-25	Grindavik	W 5-2	1199	1281	27.1%	29.5%	43.3%	+16.5	17
2010-09-25	@ Selfoss	L 2-5	1281	1199	43.3%	29.5%	27.1%	-16.5	21
2010-09-25	Breidablik	D 0-0	1298	1434	22.0%	26.8%	51.2%	+1.3	25
2010-09-25	@ Stjarnan	D 0-0	1434	1298	51.2%	26.8%	22.0%	-1.3	44

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2010-08-23	13.79%	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	1186	2	@ Breidablik	1423	0
2	2010-05-20	18.94%	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1266	3	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	1403	2
3	2010-06-14	20.02%	Grindavik	1247	3	@ Breidablik	1368	2
4	2010-05-16	20.77%	Selfoss	1271	2	@ KR Reykjavik	1381	1
5	2010-08-19	21.90%	@ Grindavik	1277	3	FH Hafnarfjordur	1415	1
6	2010-09-16	23.16%	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	1225	2	Fram Reykjavik	1347	1
7	2010-06-07	23.93%	Valur Reykjavik	1301	2	@ KR Reykjavik	1372	1
8	2010-08-28	24.21%	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	1207	2	Keflavik IF	1318	0
9	2010-08-05	24.22%	@ Grindavik	1253	3	Fram Reykjavik	1363	0
10	2010-08-16	24.91%	Valur Reykjavik	1274	1	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	1334	0
11	2010-08-22	25.08%	Grindavik	1293	1	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1351	0
12	2010-08-19	25.21%	@ Selfoss	1226	3	Keflavik IF	1325	2
13	2010-06-27	25.39%	Stjarnan	1344	3	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	1400	1
14	2010-07-04	27.04%	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1319	2	@ Stjarnan	1358	0
15	2010-09-25	27.10%	@ Selfoss	1199	5	Grindavik	1281	2
16	2010-05-31	27.80%	@ Valur Reykjavik	1284	5	Fylkir Reykjavik	1359	2
17	2010-07-25	28.79%	@ Fram Reykjavik	1350	3	Breidablik	1417	1
18	2010-09-12	29.18%	@ Valur Reykjavik	1276	5	Stjarnan	1339	1
19	2010-08-30	29.38%	FH Hafnarfjordur	1407	1	@ KR Reykjavik	1426	0
20	2010-09-25	29.64%	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	1219	2	Valur Reykjavik	1278	1
21	2010-09-16	30.00%	Breidablik	1413	3	@ KR Reykjavik	1427	1
22	2010-05-11	30.12%	Keflavik IF	1330	1	@ Breidablik	1343	0
23	2010-08-08	30.15%	Fylkir Reykjavik	1327	2	@ Fram Reykjavik	1339	1
24	2010-06-10	30.16%	KR Reykjavik	1363	3	@ Fram Reykjavik	1376	2
25	2010-09-25	30.24%	@ Keflavik IF	1301	4	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1355	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2010-06-07	25.98	@ Stjarnan	4	1325	33.19%	Keflavik IF	0	1356	36.19%
2	2010-08-05	24.15	@ Grindavik	3	1253	24.22%	Fram Reykjavik	0	1363	47.52%
3	2010-09-12	23.53	@ Valur Reykjavik	5	1276	29.18%	Stjarnan	1	1339	40.70%
4	2010-05-11	22.99	@ Stjarnan	4	1313	39.11%	Grindavik	0	1303	30.52%
5	2010-08-16	22.91	Stjarnan	5	1323	48.16%	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	0	1209	23.81%
6	2010-08-23	21.68	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	2	1186	13.79%	@ Breidablik	0	1423	70.74%
7	2010-07-08	20.70	@ Breidablik	4	1384	43.77%	Stjarnan	0	1343	26.79%
8	2010-08-04	19.88	@ Breidablik	5	1404	53.50%	Valur Reykjavik	0	1294	20.80%
9	2010-05-24	19.14	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	3	1275	35.09%	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	0	1250	34.25%
10	2010-09-25	17.82	@ Keflavik IF	4	1301	30.24%	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1	1355	39.44%
11	2010-05-20	17.44	@ Selfoss	3	1280	39.53%	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	0	1268	30.16%
12	2010-08-28	16.63	@ Haukar Hafnarfjordur	2	1207	24.21%	Keflavik IF	0	1318	47.53%
13	2010-09-25	16.51	@ Selfoss	5	1199	27.10%	Grindavik	2	1281	43.34%
14	2010-06-25	16.40	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	3	1302	42.28%	Selfoss	0	1271	27.92%
15	2010-05-31	16.26	@ Valur Reykjavik	5	1284	27.80%	Fylkir Reykjavik	2	1359	42.43%
16	2010-09-25	15.67	FH Hafnarfjordur	3	1437	44.24%	@ Fram Reykjavik	0	1349	26.45%
17	2010-07-04	15.59	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	2	1319	27.04%	@ Stjarnan	0	1358	43.42%
18	2010-08-19	15.23	@ Grindavik	3	1277	21.90%	FH Hafnarfjordur	1	1415	51.42%
19	2010-07-08	14.66	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	4	1385	39.69%	Fram Reykjavik	1	1372	30.02%
20	2010-05-24	14.27	@ Breidablik	2	1347	31.16%	FH Hafnarfjordur	0	1394	38.38%
21	2010-09-19	14.19	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	3	1306	48.28%	Haukar Hafnarfjordur	0	1233	23.74%
22	2010-06-27	14.01	Stjarnan	3	1344	25.39%	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	1	1400	45.74%
23	2010-06-27	13.57	Keflavik IF	2	1329	33.64%	@ Valur Reykjavik	0	1315	35.72%
24	2010-07-25	13.40	KR Reykjavik	3	1368	50.46%	@ Selfoss	0	1237	22.44%
25	2010-09-25	13.18	@ KR Reykjavik	3	1414	51.12%	Fylkir Reykjavik	0	1321	22.06%