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2011 Úrvalsdeild Season

132 games

Final

Champion

KR Reykjavik

47 points · 11th Title

Last Title: 2003.0

Relegated

Vikingur Reykjavik

15 pts

Thor Akureyri · 21 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Stjarnan

6.87 points above expected

37 points · 30.13 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Vikingur Reykjavik

7.41 points below expected

15 points · 22.41 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 KR Reykjavik Champion 22 13 8 1 47 44 22 +22 41.17 +5.83
2 FH Hafnarfjordur 22 13 5 4 44 48 31 +17 37.15 +6.85
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 12 4 6 40 37 27 +10 34.43 +5.57
4 Stjarnan 22 10 7 5 37 51 35 +16 30.13 +6.87
5 Valur Reykjavik 22 10 6 6 36 28 23 +5 32.60 +3.40
6 Breidablik 22 7 6 9 27 34 42 -8 33.60 -6.60
7 Fylkir Reykjavik 22 7 4 11 25 34 44 -10 27.81 -2.81
8 Keflavik IF 22 7 3 12 24 27 32 -5 29.92 -5.92
9 Fram Reykjavik 22 6 6 10 24 20 28 -8 26.06 -2.06
10 Grindavik 22 5 8 9 23 26 37 -11 24.07 -1.07
11 Thor Akureyri Relegated 22 6 3 13 21 28 41 -13 23.44 -2.44
12 Vikingur Reykjavik Relegated 22 3 6 13 15 24 39 -15 22.41 -7.41

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Stjarnan 37 30.13 +6.87
2 FH Hafnarfjordur 44 37.15 +6.85
3 KR Reykjavik 47 41.17 +5.83
4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 40 34.43 +5.57
5 Valur Reykjavik 36 32.60 +3.40

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 15 22.41 -7.41
2 Breidablik 27 33.60 -6.60
3 Keflavik IF 24 29.92 -5.92
4 Fylkir Reykjavik 25 27.81 -2.81
5 Thor Akureyri 21 23.44 -2.44

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valur Reykjavik 5 May 22 – Jul 6 1 in 80
2 FH Hafnarfjordur 5 Jul 25 – Aug 21 1 in 27
3 Vikingur Reykjavik 2 Sep 19 – Sep 25 1 in 18
4 Thor Akureyri 3 Jul 18 – Aug 3 1 in 18
5 KR Reykjavik 4 May 29 – Jul 10 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Keflavik IF 4 May 22 – Jun 30 1 in 52
2 Fylkir Reykjavik 4 Sep 15 – Oct 1 1 in 18
3 Grindavik 3 May 8 – May 16 1 in 16
4 Fram Reykjavik 3 May 15 – May 29 1 in 15
5 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 Sep 25 – Oct 1 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Grindavik 7 Aug 3 – Sep 15 1 in 119
2 KR Reykjavik 16 May 3 – Aug 29 1 in 66
3 Stjarnan 9 Aug 3 – Sep 25 1 in 38
4 Valur Reykjavik 7 May 22 – Jul 17 1 in 20
5 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 8 Jul 24 – Sep 11 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 18 May 7 – Sep 15 1 in 257
2 Fram Reykjavik 10 May 2 – Jul 11 1 in 61
3 Valur Reykjavik 5 Jul 11 – Aug 7 1 in 12
4 Grindavik 6 Aug 22 – Sep 25 1 in 10
5 KR Reykjavik 3 Sep 11 – Sep 19 1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
KR Reykjavik 1416 47 +3 9 9.7 -0.7
FH Hafnarfjordur 1367 44 +38 13 8.4 +4.6
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1301 40 -38 4 7.9 -3.9
Stjarnan 1350 37 +34 10 8.2 +1.8
Valur Reykjavik 1260 36 -30 7 7.6 -0.6
Breidablik 1240 27 -26 7 7.3 -0.3
Fylkir Reykjavik 1192 25 -31 3 6.0 -3.0
Fram Reykjavik 1218 24 +36 13 6.4 +6.6
Keflavik IF 1204 24 -16 4 6.6 -2.6
Grindavik 1195 23 +11 5 4.7 +0.3
Thor Akureyri 1166 21 -10 3 5.3 -2.3
Vikingur Reykjavik 1145 15 +27 6 4.7 +1.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRE FH FR FR GRI IV KR KI STJ TA VR VR
Breidablik —
0-0-2
2.48
0-1-1
3.39
2-0-0
3.04
1-1-0
3.40
0-1-1
2.65
0-0-2
2.41
1-1-0
3.02
1-0-1
2.38
2-0-0
3.36
0-1-1
2.90
0-1-1
3.70
FH Hafnarfjordur
2-0-0
2.99
—
1-1-0
3.72
1-1-0
3.74
2-0-0
3.82
1-0-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.32
1-1-0
3.38
1-0-1
3.34
1-1-0
3.90
1-0-1
3.22
1-1-0
3.95
Fram Reykjavik
1-1-0
2.09
0-1-1
1.79
—
0-2-0
2.41
1-1-0
2.92
0-0-2
2.38
0-0-2
1.56
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
2.37
0-0-2
2.96
1-0-1
2.10
2-0-0
3.03
Fylkir Reykjavik
0-0-2
2.44
0-1-1
1.76
0-2-0
3.06
—
1-0-1
2.96
1-0-1
2.40
0-0-2
1.59
2-0-0
2.66
0-0-2
2.37
0-1-1
3.30
1-0-1
2.51
2-0-0
3.31
Grindavik
0-1-1
2.08
0-0-2
1.69
0-1-1
2.56
1-0-1
2.51
—
2-0-0
1.70
0-1-1
1.47
1-0-1
2.29
0-1-1
2.09
1-1-0
2.80
0-1-1
2.31
0-2-0
2.87
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1-1-0
2.82
1-0-1
2.48
2-0-0
3.09
1-0-1
3.08
0-0-2
3.81
—
0-2-0
2.12
2-0-0
3.05
1-0-1
3.01
1-0-1
3.81
1-1-0
2.82
2-0-0
3.78
KR Reykjavik
2-0-0
3.09
1-0-1
3.15
2-0-0
3.98
2-0-0
3.95
1-1-0
4.07
0-2-0
3.37
—
1-1-0
3.73
0-2-0
3.59
2-0-0
4.08
0-2-0
3.70
2-0-0
3.94
Keflavik IF
0-1-1
2.45
0-1-1
2.11
1-0-1
2.94
0-0-2
2.82
1-0-1
3.19
0-0-2
2.45
0-1-1
1.78
—
2-0-0
2.62
1-0-1
3.21
1-0-1
2.35
1-0-1
3.20
Stjarnan
1-0-1
3.09
1-0-1
2.14
1-1-0
3.13
2-0-0
3.11
1-1-0
3.39
1-0-1
2.47
0-2-0
1.92
0-0-2
2.86
—
2-0-0
3.03
1-1-0
2.73
0-2-0
3.26
Thor Akureyri
0-0-2
2.14
0-1-1
1.62
2-0-0
2.52
1-1-0
2.18
0-1-1
2.68
1-0-1
1.71
0-0-2
1.46
1-0-1
2.26
0-0-2
2.44
—
0-0-2
1.97
1-0-1
2.68
Valur Reykjavik
1-1-0
2.57
1-0-1
2.26
1-0-1
3.38
1-0-1
2.97
1-1-0
3.19
0-1-1
2.66
0-2-0
1.79
1-0-1
3.13
0-1-1
2.76
2-0-0
3.52
—
2-0-0
3.66
Vikingur Reykjavik
1-1-0
1.81
0-1-1
1.57
0-0-2
2.45
0-0-2
2.18
0-2-0
2.61
0-0-2
1.73
0-0-2
1.62
1-0-1
2.28
0-2-0
2.22
1-0-1
2.80
0-0-2
1.84
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.62 +8.1
Allowed 0.45 -9.2
Differential 0.93 +7.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.30%5.30%5.30%1.89%0.76%0.38%18.94%
15.30%15.15%10.61%4.17%1.89%0.76%37.88%
25.30%10.61%4.55%3.79%0.76%1.14%26.14%
31.89%4.17%3.79%—0.38%0.38%10.61%
40.76%1.89%0.76%0.38%——3.79%
5+0.38%0.76%1.14%0.38%——2.65%
Total18.94%37.88%26.14%10.61%3.79%2.65%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.52 +0.00
SD 1.23 1.23 1.75
CV 0.81 0.81 —
Max 7 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
1—22.73%4.55%—4.55%—31.82%
2—18.18%4.55%9.09%—4.55%36.36%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
5+———————
Total—59.09%13.64%13.64%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.91 -0.36
SD 1.14 1.38 1.76
CV 0.74 0.72 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 1 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
19.09%13.64%—4.55%——27.27%
24.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
34.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
Total18.18%40.91%27.27%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 1.41 +0.77
SD 1.74 1.05 1.95
CV 0.80 0.75 —
Max 7 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%18.18%4.55%4.55%——36.36%
113.64%13.64%13.64%———40.91%
2—9.09%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%45.45%22.73%4.55%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.27 -0.36
SD 0.87 1.16 1.29
CV 0.95 0.91 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—4.55%4.55%——18.18%
1—4.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%—27.27%
2—22.73%4.55%13.64%——40.91%
3—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%36.36%13.64%31.82%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 2.00 -0.45
SD 1.06 1.31 1.63
CV 0.68 0.65 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%—9.09%4.55%——27.27%
1—18.18%13.64%4.55%4.55%—40.91%
29.09%4.55%4.55%——4.55%22.73%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total22.73%27.27%31.82%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.68 -0.50
SD 1.05 1.62 1.85
CV 0.89 0.96 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%———9.09%
19.09%13.64%9.09%———31.82%
213.64%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%—40.91%
3—18.18%————18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%45.45%22.73%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.23 +0.45
SD 0.89 1.02 1.44
CV 0.53 0.83 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
1—27.27%4.55%———31.82%
29.09%13.64%4.55%———27.27%
39.09%4.55%18.18%———31.82%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%45.45%27.27%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.00 +1.00
SD 1.02 0.76 1.23
CV 0.51 0.76 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
19.09%13.64%31.82%———54.55%
24.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%31.82%50.00%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.45 -0.23
SD 0.97 0.80 1.19
CV 0.79 0.55 —
Max 4 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——4.55%——9.09%
14.55%18.18%4.55%———27.27%
2—4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
3——13.64%—4.55%—18.18%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+4.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
Total18.18%31.82%31.82%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 1.59 +0.73
SD 1.55 1.18 2.00
CV 0.67 0.74 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
14.55%4.55%18.18%9.09%9.09%4.55%50.00%
24.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
34.55%—————4.55%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total18.18%22.73%31.82%13.64%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.86 -0.59
SD 1.32 1.39 2.15
CV 1.03 0.75 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%———4.55%18.18%
113.64%22.73%4.55%4.55%——45.45%
213.64%9.09%—4.55%——27.27%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.36%45.45%4.55%9.09%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.05 +0.23
SD 0.88 1.25 1.72
CV 0.69 1.20 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%9.09%———31.82%
1—9.09%18.18%13.64%—4.55%45.45%
24.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
3———————
4———————
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total18.18%22.73%36.36%18.18%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.77 -0.68
SD 1.31 1.38 1.73
CV 1.20 0.78 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
KR Reykjavik 1416 47 41.17 +5.83 84.0% 26 29 37 41 45 50 58
FH Hafnarfjordur 1367 44 37.15 +6.85 93.0% 23 26 33 38 41 45 57
Stjarnan 1350 37 30.13 +6.87 93.0% 15 22 26 30 34 38 43
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1301 40 34.43 +5.57 83.0% 22 25 30 34 39 43 48
Valur Reykjavik 1260 36 32.60 +3.40 77.0% 18 20 29 33 36 44 48
Breidablik 1240 27 33.60 -6.60 11.0% 21 24 29 33 38 43 45
Fram Reykjavik 1218 24 26.06 -2.06 38.0% 11 17 22 26 30 36 40
Keflavik IF 1204 24 29.92 -5.92 14.0% 16 21 26 29 33 40 45
Grindavik 1195 23 24.07 -1.07 49.0% 11 15 20 24 28 32 37
Fylkir Reykjavik 1192 25 27.81 -2.81 35.0% 11 16 23 28 32 37 41
Thor Akureyri 1166 21 23.44 -2.44 38.0% 9 16 21 24 26 31 36
Vikingur Reykjavik 1145 15 22.41 -7.41 13.0% 8 12 18 22 26 32 44

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 4.5% * Slight Edge: 4.5% to 11% * Clear Edge: 11% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.88%
Clear Edge
43.94%25.00%31.06%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 45.00 Elo pts.
189 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.30 goals
Neutral
-2+0.24+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.4
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
49%
KR Reykjavik, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Tight Race
00.210.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.62 * Some Luck: 4.62 to 6.93 * Lucky: 6.93 to 9.24 * Wild Swing: 9.24 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.63 * Close: 1.63 to 2.45 * Off: 2.45 to 3.26 * Way Off: 3.26 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.03 * A Surprise: 1.03 to 1.65 * Several Surprises: 1.65 to 2.27 * Many Surprises: 2.27 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.19 points
Some Luck
05.7814
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.50
Pinpoint
02.045
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
93.00%
FH Hafnarfjordur
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
11.00%
Breidablik
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 2
As Expected
01.02

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Wide Separation: 1.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 69% * Clear Edge: 69% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 94% * Dominant: 94% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55% * Some Drama: 55% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Even
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 86.04
1.64
Moderate Separation
0.71.351.652.5
Interquartile Edge
66%
Slight Edge
50%63%69%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
83%
Clear Edge
50%85%100%
Close Games
Expected
65%
Very Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Rare
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.36 * Notable Separation: 0.36 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.33 * Some Carryover: 0.33 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.75 * Near-Lock: 0.75 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24.5% * Upset-Prone: 24.5% to 29% * Very Upset-Prone: 29% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.29
Slight Separation
00.280.360.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.81
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.70
Strong Carryover
00.330.590.751
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Upset-Prone
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
As Expected
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.87
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.30
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.074
Well Within Noise
00.1470.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
KR Reykjavik49.00%20.00%16.00%8.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%———
FH Hafnarfjordur19.00%28.00%19.00%11.00%9.00%4.00%2.00%3.00%—3.00%2.00%—
IBV Vestmannaeyjar8.00%20.00%11.00%16.00%16.00%8.00%6.00%9.00%4.00%2.00%——
Stjarnan1.00%4.00%14.00%10.00%10.00%14.00%14.00%13.00%7.00%7.00%4.00%2.00%
Valur Reykjavik7.00%11.00%9.00%16.00%14.00%9.00%12.00%7.00%4.00%6.00%5.00%—
Breidablik9.00%8.00%16.00%12.00%12.00%19.00%13.00%4.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%—
Fylkir Reykjavik2.00%2.00%3.00%7.00%12.00%10.00%12.00%5.00%16.00%13.00%8.00%10.00%
Keflavik IF4.00%4.00%6.00%11.00%9.00%9.00%14.00%13.00%12.00%9.00%6.00%3.00%
Fram Reykjavik1.00%1.00%5.00%4.00%6.00%8.00%9.00%17.00%15.00%11.00%12.00%11.00%
Grindavik——1.00%2.00%6.00%9.00%6.00%9.00%12.00%17.00%19.00%19.00%
Thor Akureyri———2.00%3.00%4.00%6.00%6.00%20.00%14.00%25.00%20.00%
Vikingur Reykjavik—2.00%—1.00%2.00%5.00%4.00%12.00%7.00%15.00%17.00%35.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 100% —
KR Reykjavik 100% —
Breidablik 98.00% 2.00%
FH Hafnarfjordur 98.00% 2.00%
Valur Reykjavik 95.00% 5.00%
Stjarnan 94.00% 6.00%
Keflavik IF 91.00% 9.00%
Fylkir Reykjavik 82.00% 18.00%
Fram Reykjavik 77.00% 23.00%
Grindavik 62.00% 38.00%
Thor Akureyri 55.00% 45.00%
Vikingur Reykjavik 48.00% 52.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2011-05-02 FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-043.3 1223 1318 29.98% 26.27% 43.75%-0.27 +10.5 3
2011-05-02 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-143.3 1318 1223 43.75% 26.27% 29.98%+0.27 -10.5 0
2011-05-02 Fram Reykjavik W 1-039.3 1258 1258 43.04% 26.31% 30.64%+0.24 +8.0 3
2011-05-02 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-139.3 1258 1258 30.64% 26.31% 43.04%-0.24 -8.0 0
2011-05-02 Grindavik L 2-354.2 1246 1222 46.31% 26.05% 27.64%+0.37 -9.8 0
2011-05-02 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-254.2 1222 1246 27.64% 26.05% 46.31%-0.37 +9.8 3
2011-05-02 Stjarnan W 4-244.7 1248 1239 44.36% 26.22% 29.42%+0.29 +11.3 3
2011-05-02 @ Keflavik IF L 2-444.7 1239 1248 29.42% 26.22% 44.36%-0.29 -11.3 0
2011-05-03 KR Reykjavik L 2-354.2 1316 1313 43.55% 26.28% 30.17%+0.26 -9.3 0
2011-05-03 @ Breidablik W 3-254.2 1313 1316 30.17% 26.28% 43.55%-0.26 +9.3 3
2011-05-03 Thor Akureyri W 2-034.8 1210 1203 44.04% 26.25% 29.71%+0.28 +14.7 3
2011-05-03 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-234.8 1203 1210 29.71% 26.25% 44.04%-0.28 -14.7 0
2011-05-07 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-249.3 1266 1236 47.00% 25.98% 27.02%+0.40 -10.5 3
2011-05-07 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-149.3 1236 1266 27.02% 25.98% 47.00%-0.40 +10.5 3
2011-05-07 Thor Akureyri L 0-144.9 1250 1188 50.99% 25.45% 23.56%+0.56 -11.9 0
2011-05-07 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-044.9 1188 1250 23.56% 25.45% 50.99%-0.56 +11.9 3
2011-05-07 Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-048.1 1228 1225 43.40% 26.29% 30.31%+0.25 -0.7 1
2011-05-07 @ Stjarnan D 0-048.1 1225 1228 30.31% 26.29% 43.40%-0.25 +0.7 4
2011-05-08 Breidablik W 4-138.9 1308 1307 43.17% 26.31% 30.53%+0.24 +18.4 3
2011-05-08 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-438.9 1307 1308 30.53% 26.31% 43.17%-0.24 -18.4 0
2011-05-08 Keflavik IF D 1-153.0 1322 1260 51.13% 25.42% 23.45%+0.57 -1.4 4
2011-05-08 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-153.0 1260 1322 23.45% 25.42% 51.13%-0.57 +1.4 4
2011-05-08 Valur Reykjavik L 0-238.8 1231 1234 42.75% 26.33% 30.91%+0.23 -19.4 3
2011-05-08 @ Grindavik W 2-038.8 1234 1231 30.91% 26.33% 42.75%-0.23 +19.4 6
2011-05-11 FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-152.7 1261 1326 33.93% 26.47% 39.60%-0.11 +0.3 5
2011-05-11 @ Keflavik IF D 1-152.7 1326 1261 39.60% 26.47% 33.93%+0.11 -0.3 4
2011-05-11 Fram Reykjavik D 0-048.2 1247 1238 44.23% 26.23% 29.54%+0.28 -0.8 4
2011-05-11 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 0-048.2 1238 1247 29.54% 26.23% 44.23%-0.28 +0.8 1
2011-05-11 Grindavik W 2-141.5 1289 1212 52.84% 25.13% 22.03%+0.64 +5.7 3
2011-05-11 @ Breidablik L 1-241.5 1212 1289 22.03% 25.13% 52.84%-0.64 -5.7 3
2011-05-11 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-142.9 1253 1255 42.78% 26.33% 30.89%+0.23 -10.3 6
2011-05-11 @ Valur Reykjavik W 1-042.9 1255 1253 30.89% 26.33% 42.78%-0.23 +10.3 6
2011-05-11 KR Reykjavik L 0-235.3 1226 1321 30.01% 26.27% 43.72%-0.26 -14.8 4
2011-05-11 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-035.3 1321 1226 43.72% 26.27% 30.01%+0.26 +14.8 7
2011-05-11 Stjarnan L 0-141.7 1200 1227 39.38% 26.47% 34.14%+0.10 -9.7 3
2011-05-11 @ Thor Akureyri W 1-041.7 1227 1200 34.14% 26.47% 39.38%-0.10 +9.6 4
2011-05-15 Breidablik D 1-152.6 1265 1294 39.04% 26.48% 34.48%+0.09 -0.2 7
2011-05-15 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-152.6 1294 1265 34.48% 26.48% 39.04%-0.09 +0.2 4
2011-05-15 Stjarnan L 2-545.1 1239 1237 43.36% 26.29% 30.34%+0.25 -20.8 1
2011-05-15 @ Fram Reykjavik W 5-245.1 1237 1239 30.34% 26.29% 43.36%-0.25 +20.8 7
2011-05-15 Valur Reykjavik W 2-144.3 1246 1243 43.46% 26.29% 30.25%+0.25 +7.5 7
2011-05-15 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-244.3 1243 1246 30.25% 26.29% 43.46%-0.25 -7.5 6
2011-05-16 Keflavik IF L 0-236.6 1206 1261 35.30% 26.50% 38.20%-0.05 -16.8 3
2011-05-16 @ Grindavik W 2-036.6 1261 1206 38.20% 26.50% 35.30%+0.05 +16.8 8
2011-05-16 Thor Akureyri W 3-135.8 1336 1191 60.34% 23.31% 16.35%+1.01 +7.5 10
2011-05-16 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-335.8 1191 1336 16.35% 23.31% 60.34%-1.01 -7.5 3
2011-05-16 Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-153.1 1326 1211 57.18% 24.19% 18.64%+0.85 -2.0 5
2011-05-16 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-153.1 1211 1326 18.64% 24.19% 57.18%-0.85 +2.0 5
2011-05-22 Fram Reykjavik W 1-038.4 1235 1218 45.40% 26.14% 28.46%+0.33 +7.5 9
2011-05-22 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-138.4 1218 1235 28.46% 26.14% 45.40%-0.33 -7.5 1
2011-05-22 Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-139.5 1295 1253 48.52% 25.80% 25.68%+0.46 +11.3 7
2011-05-22 @ Breidablik L 1-339.5 1253 1295 25.68% 25.80% 48.52%-0.46 -11.3 7
2011-05-22 Grindavik D 0-048.1 1213 1190 46.22% 26.06% 27.72%+0.36 -1.0 6
2011-05-22 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-048.1 1190 1213 27.72% 26.06% 46.22%-0.36 +1.0 4
2011-05-22 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-239.7 1278 1265 44.82% 26.19% 29.00%+0.31 -20.1 8
2011-05-22 @ Keflavik IF W 2-039.7 1265 1278 29.00% 26.19% 44.82%-0.31 +20.1 10
2011-05-22 KR Reykjavik D 1-152.8 1257 1343 31.18% 26.35% 42.48%-0.22 +0.6 8
2011-05-22 @ Stjarnan D 1-152.8 1343 1257 42.48% 26.35% 31.18%+0.22 -0.5 11
2011-05-29 Breidablik W 2-038.1 1243 1306 34.20% 26.48% 39.32%-0.10 +18.2 12
2011-05-29 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-238.1 1306 1243 39.32% 26.48% 34.20%+0.10 -18.2 7
2011-05-29 KR Reykjavik L 1-243.0 1210 1342 25.61% 25.79% 48.60%-0.46 -6.5 1
2011-05-29 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-143.0 1342 1210 48.60% 25.79% 25.61%+0.46 +6.5 14
2011-05-29 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-032.5 1285 1212 52.44% 25.20% 22.36%+0.63 +11.6 13
2011-05-29 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-232.5 1212 1285 22.36% 25.20% 52.44%-0.63 -11.6 6
2011-05-30 Keflavik IF W 2-145.1 1242 1258 40.83% 26.43% 32.74%+0.15 +7.9 10
2011-05-30 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-245.1 1258 1242 32.74% 26.43% 40.83%-0.15 -7.9 8
2011-05-30 Stjarnan W 3-030.9 1324 1258 51.56% 25.35% 23.09%+0.59 +17.3 8
2011-05-30 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-330.9 1258 1324 23.09% 25.35% 51.56%-0.59 -17.3 8
2011-05-30 Thor Akureyri W 4-137.7 1191 1183 44.06% 26.25% 29.70%+0.28 +18.0 7
2011-05-30 @ Grindavik L 1-437.7 1183 1191 29.70% 26.25% 44.06%-0.28 -18.0 3
2011-06-06 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-342.5 1200 1250 36.12% 26.51% 37.37%-0.02 -14.8 6
2011-06-06 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-142.5 1250 1200 37.37% 26.51% 36.12%+0.02 +14.8 13
2011-06-06 Grindavik W 2-143.0 1241 1209 47.32% 25.94% 26.74%+0.41 +6.8 11
2011-06-06 @ Stjarnan L 1-243.0 1209 1241 26.74% 25.94% 47.32%-0.41 -6.8 7
2011-06-07 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-036.3 1349 1341 44.12% 26.24% 29.64%+0.28 +14.7 17
2011-06-07 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-236.3 1341 1349 29.64% 26.24% 44.12%-0.28 -14.7 8
2011-06-07 Fram Reykjavik D 1-152.7 1288 1204 53.68% 24.97% 21.35%+0.68 -1.7 8
2011-06-07 @ Breidablik D 1-152.7 1204 1288 21.35% 24.97% 53.68%-0.68 +1.7 2
2011-06-07 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-149.5 1165 1297 25.65% 25.79% 48.56%-0.46 +10.8 6
2011-06-07 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-249.5 1297 1165 48.56% 25.79% 25.65%+0.46 -10.8 13
2011-06-13 FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-258.2 1176 1327 23.64% 25.46% 50.90%-0.56 +1.0 7
2011-06-13 @ Thor Akureyri D 2-258.2 1327 1176 50.90% 25.46% 23.64%+0.56 -1.0 9
2011-06-24 Stjarnan W 2-143.0 1286 1247 48.20% 25.84% 25.96%+0.44 +6.6 16
2011-06-24 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-243.0 1247 1286 25.96% 25.84% 48.20%-0.44 -6.6 11
2011-06-26 KR Reykjavik L 0-330.6 1202 1364 22.50% 25.23% 52.27%-0.62 -17.0 7
2011-06-26 @ Grindavik W 3-030.6 1364 1202 52.27% 25.23% 22.50%+0.62 +17.0 20
2011-06-26 Thor Akureyri D 1-152.6 1265 1177 54.11% 24.88% 21.01%+0.70 -1.7 14
2011-06-26 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-152.6 1177 1265 21.01% 24.88% 54.11%-0.70 +1.7 8
2011-06-26 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-141.4 1261 1186 52.69% 25.16% 22.16%+0.64 +5.8 15
2011-06-26 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-241.4 1186 1261 22.16% 25.16% 52.69%-0.64 -5.8 6
2011-06-27 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-243.4 1206 1325 26.98% 25.97% 47.05%-0.40 -6.8 2
2011-06-27 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-143.4 1325 1206 47.05% 25.97% 26.98%+0.40 +6.8 12
2011-06-27 Keflavik IF W 2-143.1 1286 1250 47.82% 25.89% 26.30%+0.43 +6.7 11
2011-06-27 @ Breidablik L 1-243.1 1250 1286 26.30% 25.89% 47.82%-0.43 -6.7 8
2011-06-30 Valur Reykjavik L 0-238.1 1243 1267 39.84% 26.46% 33.70%+0.12 -18.3 8
2011-06-30 @ Keflavik IF W 2-038.1 1267 1243 33.70% 26.46% 39.84%-0.12 +18.4 18
2011-07-06 Breidablik D 2-258.0 1180 1293 27.81% 26.07% 46.12%-0.36 +0.7 7
2011-07-06 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-258.0 1293 1180 46.12% 26.07% 27.81%+0.36 -0.7 12
2011-07-06 Fram Reykjavik W 1-038.0 1225 1199 46.58% 26.02% 27.39%+0.38 +7.3 11
2011-07-06 @ Keflavik IF L 0-138.0 1199 1225 27.39% 26.02% 46.58%-0.38 -7.3 2
2011-07-06 Fylkir Reykjavik W 4-139.2 1241 1263 40.00% 26.46% 33.54%+0.12 +19.8 14
2011-07-06 @ Stjarnan L 1-439.2 1263 1241 33.54% 26.46% 40.00%-0.12 -19.8 14
2011-07-06 Grindavik W 7-232.9 1332 1185 60.62% 23.23% 16.16%+1.02 +13.9 15
2011-07-06 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-732.9 1185 1332 16.16% 23.23% 60.62%-1.02 -13.9 7
2011-07-06 Valur Reykjavik L 0-332.3 1179 1285 28.58% 26.15% 45.27%-0.33 -20.7 8
2011-07-06 @ Thor Akureyri W 3-032.3 1285 1179 45.27% 26.15% 28.58%+0.33 +20.7 21
2011-07-09 Thor Akureyri W 4-133.3 1292 1158 59.22% 23.64% 17.14%+0.95 +11.1 15
2011-07-09 @ Breidablik L 1-433.3 1158 1292 17.14% 23.64% 59.22%-0.95 -11.1 8
2011-07-10 FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-143.9 1293 1346 35.55% 26.50% 37.95%-0.04 +15.3 19
2011-07-10 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-343.9 1346 1293 37.95% 26.50% 35.55%+0.04 -15.3 15
2011-07-10 KR Reykjavik L 0-331.9 1243 1381 25.01% 25.70% 49.29%-0.49 -18.6 14
2011-07-10 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-031.9 1381 1243 49.29% 25.70% 25.01%+0.49 +18.6 23
2011-07-11 Grindavik D 1-152.1 1191 1171 45.82% 26.10% 28.08%+0.35 -0.9 3
2011-07-11 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-152.1 1171 1191 28.08% 26.10% 45.82%-0.35 +0.9 8
2011-07-11 Stjarnan D 1-152.8 1306 1260 49.02% 25.73% 25.25%+0.48 -1.2 22
2011-07-11 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-152.8 1260 1306 25.25% 25.73% 49.02%-0.48 +1.2 15
2011-07-11 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-142.2 1232 1181 49.83% 25.62% 24.55%+0.51 +6.3 14
2011-07-11 @ Keflavik IF L 1-242.2 1181 1232 24.55% 25.62% 49.83%-0.51 -6.3 7
2011-07-16 Breidablik W 3-251.7 1262 1303 37.25% 26.51% 36.24%+0.02 +8.1 18
2011-07-16 @ Stjarnan L 2-351.7 1303 1262 36.24% 26.51% 37.25%-0.02 -8.1 15
2011-07-17 Fylkir Reykjavik D 2-258.8 1331 1224 56.24% 24.41% 19.34%+0.80 -1.4 16
2011-07-17 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-258.8 1224 1331 19.34% 24.41% 56.24%-0.80 +1.5 15
2011-07-17 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-040.6 1172 1308 25.14% 25.72% 49.14%-0.48 +21.7 11
2011-07-17 @ Grindavik L 0-240.6 1308 1172 49.14% 25.72% 25.14%+0.48 -21.7 19
2011-07-17 Valur Reykjavik D 1-154.3 1399 1305 54.91% 24.71% 20.37%+0.74 -1.8 24
2011-07-17 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-154.3 1305 1399 20.37% 24.71% 54.91%-0.74 +1.8 23
2011-07-18 Fram Reykjavik L 0-142.1 1174 1191 40.82% 26.43% 32.75%+0.15 -9.9 7
2011-07-18 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-042.1 1191 1174 32.75% 26.43% 40.82%-0.15 +9.9 6
2011-07-18 Keflavik IF W 2-148.0 1147 1239 30.39% 26.30% 43.31%-0.25 +9.8 11
2011-07-18 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-248.0 1239 1147 43.31% 26.30% 30.39%+0.25 -9.8 14
2011-07-24 Breidablik W 4-030.4 1397 1295 55.79% 24.52% 19.69%+0.78 +19.7 27
2011-07-24 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-430.4 1295 1397 19.69% 24.52% 55.79%-0.78 -19.7 15
2011-07-24 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-440.5 1194 1226 38.55% 26.49% 34.96%+0.07 -21.9 11
2011-07-24 @ Grindavik W 4-140.5 1226 1194 34.96% 26.49% 38.55%-0.07 +21.9 18
2011-07-24 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-235.4 1200 1286 31.15% 26.35% 42.51%-0.22 -15.2 6
2011-07-24 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-035.4 1286 1200 42.51% 26.35% 31.15%+0.22 +15.2 22
2011-07-24 Keflavik IF L 2-354.9 1270 1229 48.45% 25.81% 25.74%+0.46 -10.2 18
2011-07-24 @ Stjarnan W 3-254.9 1229 1270 25.74% 25.81% 48.45%-0.46 +10.2 17
2011-07-24 Vikingur Reykjavik W 6-136.9 1157 1164 42.01% 26.37% 31.61%+0.20 +29.9 14
2011-07-24 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-636.9 1164 1157 31.61% 26.37% 42.01%-0.20 -29.9 7
2011-07-25 Valur Reykjavik W 3-249.5 1329 1306 46.14% 26.07% 27.79%+0.36 +6.6 19
2011-07-25 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-349.5 1306 1329 27.79% 26.07% 46.14%-0.36 -6.6 23
2011-08-03 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-141.1 1275 1336 34.54% 26.48% 38.98%-0.08 -8.8 15
2011-08-03 @ Breidablik W 1-041.1 1336 1275 38.98% 26.48% 34.54%+0.08 +8.8 22
2011-08-03 Fram Reykjavik W 3-032.7 1187 1185 43.25% 26.30% 30.45%+0.25 +21.8 17
2011-08-03 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-332.7 1185 1187 30.45% 26.30% 43.25%-0.25 -21.8 6
2011-08-03 Grindavik D 1-153.0 1300 1172 58.62% 23.81% 17.58%+0.92 -2.2 24
2011-08-03 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-153.0 1172 1300 17.58% 23.81% 58.62%-0.92 +2.2 12
2011-08-03 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-342.6 1248 1302 35.49% 26.50% 38.01%-0.05 -14.6 18
2011-08-03 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-142.6 1302 1248 38.01% 26.50% 35.49%+0.05 +14.6 25
2011-08-03 Stjarnan D 1-152.2 1134 1260 26.39% 25.90% 47.72%-0.42 +1.1 8
2011-08-03 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-152.2 1260 1134 47.72% 25.90% 26.39%+0.42 -1.1 19
2011-08-07 Breidablik D 1-152.2 1174 1267 30.26% 26.29% 43.46%-0.25 +0.7 13
2011-08-07 @ Grindavik D 1-152.2 1267 1174 43.46% 26.29% 30.26%+0.25 -0.6 16
2011-08-07 Fylkir Reykjavik D 0-047.9 1163 1233 33.28% 26.45% 40.27%-0.13 +0.4 7
2011-08-07 @ Fram Reykjavik D 0-047.9 1233 1163 40.27% 26.45% 33.28%+0.13 -0.4 19
2011-08-07 Keflavik IF W 1-035.7 1345 1239 56.17% 24.43% 19.40%+0.80 +5.4 25
2011-08-07 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-135.7 1239 1345 19.40% 24.43% 56.17%-0.80 -5.4 17
2011-08-07 Thor Akureyri W 5-135.1 1259 1208 49.63% 25.65% 24.72%+0.50 +20.0 22
2011-08-07 @ Stjarnan L 1-535.1 1208 1259 24.72% 25.65% 49.63%-0.50 -20.0 17
2011-08-07 Valur Reykjavik D 1-153.0 1316 1298 45.56% 26.12% 28.32%+0.34 -0.9 26
2011-08-07 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-153.0 1298 1316 28.32% 26.12% 45.56%-0.34 +0.8 25
2011-08-07 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-241.0 1417 1136 72.59% 18.39% 9.02%+1.73 +2.2 30
2011-08-07 @ KR Reykjavik L 2-341.0 1136 1417 9.02% 18.39% 72.59%-1.73 -2.2 8
2011-08-15 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-336.2 1133 1350 17.69% 23.85% 58.46%-0.91 -8.1 8
2011-08-15 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-136.2 1350 1133 58.46% 23.85% 17.69%+0.91 +8.1 28
2011-08-15 Fram Reykjavik D 2-258.4 1279 1164 57.16% 24.19% 18.65%+0.85 -1.5 23
2011-08-15 @ Stjarnan D 2-258.4 1164 1279 18.65% 24.19% 57.16%-0.85 +1.5 8
2011-08-15 Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-138.5 1298 1233 51.52% 25.36% 23.12%+0.59 +10.4 28
2011-08-15 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-338.5 1233 1298 23.12% 25.36% 51.52%-0.59 -10.4 19
2011-08-15 Grindavik L 1-250.0 1234 1174 50.75% 25.49% 23.77%+0.55 -11.2 17
2011-08-15 @ Keflavik IF W 2-150.0 1174 1234 23.77% 25.49% 50.75%-0.55 +11.2 16
2011-08-15 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-246.5 1266 1315 36.12% 26.51% 37.38%-0.02 -8.5 16
2011-08-15 @ Breidablik W 2-146.5 1315 1266 37.38% 26.51% 36.12%+0.02 +8.5 29
2011-08-18 KR Reykjavik L 1-239.9 1188 1419 16.63% 23.43% 59.94%-0.99 -4.4 17
2011-08-18 @ Thor Akureyri W 2-139.9 1419 1188 59.94% 23.43% 16.63%+0.99 +4.4 33
2011-08-21 Keflavik IF W 2-140.8 1324 1223 55.69% 24.54% 19.77%+0.78 +5.2 32
2011-08-21 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-240.8 1223 1324 19.77% 24.54% 55.69%-0.78 -5.2 17
2011-08-21 Thor Akureyri W 2-029.4 1358 1184 63.28% 22.35% 14.36%+1.16 +7.6 31
2011-08-21 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-229.4 1184 1358 14.36% 22.35% 63.28%-1.16 -7.6 17
2011-08-22 Breidablik L 1-246.7 1223 1257 38.19% 26.50% 35.31%+0.05 -8.9 19
2011-08-22 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-146.7 1257 1223 35.31% 26.50% 38.19%-0.05 +8.9 19
2011-08-22 Stjarnan D 1-154.7 1424 1277 60.52% 23.26% 16.22%+1.02 -2.4 34
2011-08-22 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-154.7 1277 1424 16.22% 23.26% 60.52%-1.02 +2.4 24
2011-08-22 Valur Reykjavik W 3-146.4 1165 1309 24.37% 25.59% 50.03%-0.52 +19.1 11
2011-08-22 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-346.4 1309 1165 50.03% 25.59% 24.37%+0.52 -19.1 28
2011-08-22 Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-048.1 1186 1125 50.87% 25.47% 23.66%+0.56 -1.6 17
2011-08-22 @ Grindavik D 0-048.1 1125 1186 23.66% 25.47% 50.87%-0.56 +1.6 9
2011-08-25 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-260.6 1421 1329 54.64% 24.77% 20.59%+0.73 -1.3 35
2011-08-25 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-260.6 1329 1421 20.59% 24.77% 54.64%-0.73 +1.3 33
2011-08-28 Grindavik D 0-047.9 1176 1184 42.01% 26.37% 31.62%+0.20 -0.6 18
2011-08-28 @ Thor Akureyri D 0-047.9 1184 1176 31.62% 26.37% 42.01%-0.20 +0.6 18
2011-08-28 Valur Reykjavik D 1-152.5 1266 1290 39.82% 26.46% 33.72%+0.11 -0.3 20
2011-08-28 @ Breidablik D 1-152.5 1290 1266 33.72% 26.46% 39.82%-0.11 +0.3 29
2011-08-29 FH Hafnarfjordur W 4-037.4 1279 1366 31.07% 26.34% 42.59%-0.22 +36.7 27
2011-08-29 @ Stjarnan L 0-437.4 1366 1279 42.59% 26.34% 31.07%+0.22 -36.7 31
2011-08-29 Fram Reykjavik W 2-137.2 1420 1184 68.82% 20.16% 11.02%+1.49 +2.9 38
2011-08-29 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-237.2 1184 1420 11.02% 20.16% 68.82%-1.49 -2.9 11
2011-08-29 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-248.1 1217 1214 43.56% 26.28% 30.16%+0.26 -9.8 17
2011-08-29 @ Keflavik IF W 2-148.1 1214 1217 30.16% 26.28% 43.56%-0.26 +9.8 22
2011-08-29 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-336.6 1127 1330 18.74% 24.22% 57.04%-0.84 -8.6 9
2011-08-29 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-136.6 1330 1127 57.04% 24.22% 18.74%+0.84 +8.6 36
2011-09-11 Breidablik W 1-042.6 1182 1266 31.33% 26.36% 42.31%-0.21 +10.2 14
2011-09-11 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-142.6 1266 1182 42.31% 26.36% 31.33%+0.21 -10.2 20
2011-09-11 Keflavik IF L 0-145.7 1290 1207 53.53% 25.00% 21.47%+0.68 -12.4 29
2011-09-11 @ Valur Reykjavik W 1-045.7 1207 1290 21.47% 25.00% 53.53%-0.68 +12.4 20
2011-09-11 KR Reykjavik W 2-150.5 1329 1423 30.17% 26.28% 43.54%-0.26 +9.8 34
2011-09-11 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-250.5 1423 1329 43.54% 26.28% 30.17%+0.26 -9.8 38
2011-09-11 Stjarnan D 2-258.1 1185 1316 25.67% 25.80% 48.53%-0.46 +0.9 19
2011-09-11 @ Grindavik D 2-258.1 1316 1185 48.53% 25.80% 25.67%+0.46 -0.9 28
2011-09-11 Thor Akureyri W 3-135.2 1339 1176 62.20% 22.72% 15.08%+1.10 +6.9 39
2011-09-11 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-335.2 1176 1339 15.08% 22.72% 62.20%-1.10 -6.9 18
2011-09-11 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-140.2 1224 1118 56.12% 24.44% 19.44%+0.80 +5.1 25
2011-09-11 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-240.2 1118 1224 19.44% 24.44% 56.12%-0.80 -5.1 9
2011-09-15 Breidablik D 1-152.2 1220 1256 38.04% 26.50% 35.46%+0.05 -0.1 21
2011-09-15 @ Keflavik IF D 1-152.2 1256 1220 35.46% 26.50% 38.04%-0.05 +0.1 21
2011-09-15 Fram Reykjavik D 1-153.4 1339 1192 60.60% 23.23% 16.17%+1.02 -2.4 35
2011-09-15 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-153.4 1192 1339 16.17% 23.23% 60.60%-1.02 +2.4 15
2011-09-15 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-037.6 1169 1229 34.65% 26.49% 38.86%-0.08 +18.0 21
2011-09-15 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-237.6 1229 1169 38.86% 26.49% 34.65%+0.08 -18.0 25
2011-09-15 Grindavik D 1-154.6 1413 1185 68.14% 20.46% 11.40%+1.44 -3.1 39
2011-09-15 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-154.6 1185 1413 11.40% 20.46% 68.14%-1.44 +3.1 20
2011-09-15 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-251.9 1315 1346 38.79% 26.49% 34.72%+0.08 +7.8 31
2011-09-15 @ Stjarnan L 2-351.9 1346 1315 34.72% 26.49% 38.79%-0.08 -7.9 39
2011-09-15 Valur Reykjavik L 0-136.1 1113 1278 22.24% 25.17% 52.59%-0.63 -6.1 9
2011-09-15 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-036.1 1278 1113 52.59% 25.17% 22.24%+0.63 +6.1 32
2011-09-18 Thor Akureyri W 2-140.7 1284 1187 55.19% 24.65% 20.16%+0.75 +5.3 35
2011-09-18 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-240.7 1187 1284 20.16% 24.65% 55.19%-0.75 -5.3 21
2011-09-19 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-338.7 1189 1337 23.88% 25.51% 50.61%-0.55 -10.6 20
2011-09-19 @ Grindavik W 3-138.7 1337 1189 50.61% 25.51% 23.88%+0.55 +10.6 38
2011-09-19 Keflavik IF W 1-040.1 1194 1220 39.51% 26.47% 34.01%+0.10 +8.6 18
2011-09-19 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-140.1 1220 1194 34.01% 26.47% 39.51%-0.10 -8.7 21
2011-09-19 KR Reykjavik D 1-154.5 1338 1410 33.01% 26.44% 40.55%-0.14 +0.4 40
2011-09-19 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-154.5 1410 1338 40.55% 26.44% 33.01%+0.14 -0.4 40
2011-09-19 Stjarnan L 2-348.9 1211 1323 27.85% 26.07% 46.07%-0.36 -6.6 25
2011-09-19 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-248.9 1323 1211 46.07% 26.07% 27.85%+0.36 +6.6 34
2011-09-19 Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-646.9 1256 1107 60.77% 23.18% 16.05%+1.03 -34.9 21
2011-09-19 @ Breidablik W 6-246.9 1107 1256 16.05% 23.18% 60.77%-1.03 +34.9 12
2011-09-22 KR Reykjavik L 2-346.3 1211 1409 19.17% 24.36% 56.47%-0.81 -4.8 21
2011-09-22 @ Keflavik IF W 3-246.3 1409 1211 56.47% 24.36% 19.17%+0.81 +4.8 43
2011-09-25 Breidablik L 1-246.3 1182 1221 37.53% 26.50% 35.97%+0.03 -8.8 21
2011-09-25 @ Thor Akureyri W 2-146.3 1221 1182 35.97% 26.50% 37.53%-0.03 +8.8 24
2011-09-25 Fram Reykjavik L 1-246.9 1178 1203 39.61% 26.47% 33.92%+0.11 -9.1 20
2011-09-25 @ Grindavik W 2-146.9 1203 1178 33.92% 26.47% 39.61%-0.11 +9.1 21
2011-09-25 Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-243.2 1414 1204 66.62% 21.09% 12.29%+1.35 +3.1 46
2011-09-25 @ KR Reykjavik L 2-343.2 1204 1414 12.29% 21.09% 66.62%-1.35 -3.1 25
2011-09-25 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-246.0 1347 1338 44.27% 26.23% 29.50%+0.29 +11.3 41
2011-09-25 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-446.0 1338 1347 29.50% 26.23% 44.27%-0.29 -11.3 40
2011-09-25 Keflavik IF W 2-146.8 1142 1206 34.02% 26.47% 39.51%-0.10 +9.1 15
2011-09-25 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-246.8 1206 1142 39.51% 26.47% 34.02%+0.10 -9.1 21
2011-09-25 Valur Reykjavik W 5-032.9 1330 1289 48.42% 25.81% 25.77%+0.45 +30.6 37
2011-09-25 @ Stjarnan L 0-532.9 1289 1330 25.77% 25.81% 48.42%-0.45 -30.6 35
2011-10-01 FH Hafnarfjordur L 3-544.7 1201 1359 22.91% 25.32% 51.78%-0.60 -8.7 25
2011-10-01 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 5-344.7 1359 1201 51.78% 25.32% 22.91%+0.60 +8.7 44
2011-10-01 Grindavik L 0-243.6 1327 1169 61.71% 22.88% 15.41%+1.08 -26.4 40
2011-10-01 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-043.6 1169 1327 15.41% 22.88% 61.71%-1.08 +26.4 23
2011-10-01 KR Reykjavik D 0-049.7 1258 1417 22.79% 25.29% 51.91%-0.60 +1.7 36
2011-10-01 @ Valur Reykjavik D 0-049.7 1417 1258 51.91% 25.29% 22.79%+0.60 -1.7 47
2011-10-01 Stjarnan W 4-358.3 1230 1360 25.78% 25.81% 48.40%-0.45 +9.9 27
2011-10-01 @ Breidablik L 3-458.3 1360 1230 48.40% 25.81% 25.78%+0.45 -9.9 37
2011-10-01 Thor Akureyri W 2-143.2 1197 1173 46.33% 26.05% 27.62%+0.37 +6.9 24
2011-10-01 @ Keflavik IF L 1-243.2 1173 1197 27.62% 26.05% 46.33%-0.37 -6.9 21
2011-10-01 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-141.8 1212 1151 50.95% 25.45% 23.60%+0.56 +6.1 24
2011-10-01 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-241.8 1151 1212 23.60% 25.45% 50.95%-0.56 -6.1 15

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2011-10-01 15.41% Grindavik 1169 2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1327 0
2 2011-09-19 16.05% Vikingur Reykjavik 1107 6 @ Breidablik 1256 2
3 2011-09-11 21.47% Keflavik IF 1207 1 @ Valur Reykjavik 1290 0
4 2011-05-07 23.56% Thor Akureyri 1188 1 @ Fram Reykjavik 1250 0
5 2011-08-15 23.77% Grindavik 1174 2 @ Keflavik IF 1234 1
6 2011-08-22 24.37% @ Fram Reykjavik 1165 3 Valur Reykjavik 1309 1
7 2011-07-17 25.14% @ Grindavik 1172 2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1308 0
8 2011-06-07 25.65% @ Thor Akureyri 1165 2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1297 1
9 2011-07-24 25.74% Keflavik IF 1229 3 @ Stjarnan 1270 2
10 2011-10-01 25.78% @ Breidablik 1230 4 Stjarnan 1360 3
11 2011-05-07 27.02% Fylkir Reykjavik 1236 2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1266 1
12 2011-05-02 27.64% Grindavik 1222 3 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1246 2
13 2011-05-22 29.00% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1265 2 @ Keflavik IF 1278 0
14 2011-05-02 29.98% @ Valur Reykjavik 1223 1 FH Hafnarfjordur 1318 0
15 2011-08-29 30.16% Fylkir Reykjavik 1214 2 @ Keflavik IF 1217 1
16 2011-05-03 30.17% KR Reykjavik 1313 3 @ Breidablik 1316 2
17 2011-09-11 30.17% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1329 2 KR Reykjavik 1423 1
18 2011-05-15 30.34% Stjarnan 1237 5 @ Fram Reykjavik 1239 2
19 2011-07-18 30.39% @ Thor Akureyri 1147 2 Keflavik IF 1239 1
20 2011-05-11 30.89% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1255 1 @ Valur Reykjavik 1253 0
21 2011-05-08 30.91% Valur Reykjavik 1234 2 @ Grindavik 1231 0
22 2011-08-29 31.07% @ Stjarnan 1279 4 FH Hafnarfjordur 1366 0
23 2011-09-11 31.33% @ Fram Reykjavik 1182 1 Breidablik 1266 0
24 2011-07-18 32.75% Fram Reykjavik 1191 1 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1174 0
25 2011-06-30 33.70% Valur Reykjavik 1267 2 @ Keflavik IF 1243 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-08-29 36.68 @ Stjarnan 4 1279 31.07% FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1366 42.59% 26.34%
2 2011-09-19 34.92 Vikingur Reykjavik 6 1107 16.05% @ Breidablik 2 1256 60.77% 23.18%
3 2011-09-25 30.64 @ Stjarnan 5 1330 48.42% Valur Reykjavik 0 1289 25.77% 25.81%
4 2011-07-24 29.87 @ Thor Akureyri 6 1157 42.01% Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1164 31.61% 26.37%
5 2011-10-01 26.37 Grindavik 2 1169 15.41% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1327 61.71% 22.88%
6 2011-07-24 21.93 Fylkir Reykjavik 4 1226 34.96% @ Grindavik 1 1194 38.55% 26.49%
7 2011-08-03 21.77 @ Thor Akureyri 3 1187 43.25% Fram Reykjavik 0 1185 30.45% 26.30%
8 2011-07-17 21.72 @ Grindavik 2 1172 25.14% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1308 49.14% 25.72%
9 2011-05-15 20.80 Stjarnan 5 1237 30.34% @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1239 43.36% 26.29%
10 2011-07-06 20.70 Valur Reykjavik 3 1285 45.27% @ Thor Akureyri 0 1179 28.58% 26.15%
11 2011-05-22 20.13 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1265 29.00% @ Keflavik IF 0 1278 44.82% 26.19%
12 2011-08-07 20.01 @ Stjarnan 5 1259 49.63% Thor Akureyri 1 1208 24.72% 25.65%
13 2011-07-06 19.77 @ Stjarnan 4 1241 40.00% Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1263 33.54% 26.46%
14 2011-07-24 19.66 @ KR Reykjavik 4 1397 55.79% Breidablik 0 1295 19.69% 24.52%
15 2011-05-08 19.39 Valur Reykjavik 2 1234 30.91% @ Grindavik 0 1231 42.75% 26.33%
16 2011-08-22 19.09 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1165 24.37% Valur Reykjavik 1 1309 50.03% 25.59%
17 2011-07-10 18.56 KR Reykjavik 3 1381 49.29% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1243 25.01% 25.70%
18 2011-05-08 18.39 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 4 1308 43.17% Breidablik 1 1307 30.53% 26.31%
19 2011-06-30 18.35 Valur Reykjavik 2 1267 33.70% @ Keflavik IF 0 1243 39.84% 26.46%
20 2011-05-29 18.17 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 1243 34.20% Breidablik 0 1306 39.32% 26.48%
21 2011-09-15 18.02 @ Thor Akureyri 2 1169 34.65% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1229 38.86% 26.49%
22 2011-05-30 18.00 @ Grindavik 4 1191 44.06% Thor Akureyri 1 1183 29.70% 26.25%
23 2011-05-30 17.34 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1324 51.56% Stjarnan 0 1258 23.09% 25.35%
24 2011-06-26 16.96 KR Reykjavik 3 1364 52.27% @ Grindavik 0 1202 22.50% 25.23%
25 2011-05-16 16.77 Keflavik IF 2 1261 38.20% @ Grindavik 0 1206 35.30% 26.50%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-08-25 60.6 @ KR Reykjavik 2 1421 54.64% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1329 20.59% 24.77%
2 2011-07-17 58.8 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1331 56.24% Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1224 19.34% 24.41%
3 2011-08-15 58.4 @ Stjarnan 2 1279 57.16% Fram Reykjavik 2 1164 18.65% 24.19%
4 2011-10-01 58.3 @ Breidablik 4 1230 25.78% Stjarnan 3 1360 48.40% 25.81%
5 2011-06-13 58.2 @ Thor Akureyri 2 1176 23.64% FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1327 50.90% 25.46%
6 2011-09-11 58.1 @ Grindavik 2 1185 25.67% Stjarnan 2 1316 48.53% 25.80%
7 2011-07-06 58.0 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1180 27.81% Breidablik 2 1293 46.12% 26.07%
8 2011-07-24 54.9 Keflavik IF 3 1229 25.74% @ Stjarnan 2 1270 48.45% 25.81%
9 2011-08-22 54.7 @ KR Reykjavik 1 1424 60.52% Stjarnan 1 1277 16.22% 23.26%
10 2011-09-15 54.6 @ KR Reykjavik 1 1413 68.14% Grindavik 1 1185 11.40% 20.46%
11 2011-09-19 54.5 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1338 33.01% KR Reykjavik 1 1410 40.55% 26.44%
12 2011-07-17 54.3 @ KR Reykjavik 1 1399 54.91% Valur Reykjavik 1 1305 20.37% 24.71%
13 2011-05-02 54.2 Grindavik 3 1222 27.64% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1246 46.31% 26.05%
14 2011-05-03 54.2 KR Reykjavik 3 1313 30.17% @ Breidablik 2 1316 43.55% 26.28%
15 2011-09-15 53.4 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1339 60.60% Fram Reykjavik 1 1192 16.17% 23.23%
16 2011-05-16 53.1 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1326 57.18% Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1211 18.64% 24.19%
17 2011-05-08 53.0 @ KR Reykjavik 1 1322 51.13% Keflavik IF 1 1260 23.45% 25.42%
18 2011-08-03 53.0 @ Valur Reykjavik 1 1300 58.62% Grindavik 1 1172 17.58% 23.81%
19 2011-08-07 53.0 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1316 45.56% Valur Reykjavik 1 1298 28.32% 26.12%
20 2011-05-22 52.8 @ Stjarnan 1 1257 31.18% KR Reykjavik 1 1343 42.48% 26.35%
21 2011-07-11 52.8 @ Valur Reykjavik 1 1306 49.02% Stjarnan 1 1260 25.25% 25.73%
22 2011-05-11 52.7 @ Keflavik IF 1 1261 33.93% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1326 39.60% 26.47%
23 2011-06-07 52.7 @ Breidablik 1 1288 53.68% Fram Reykjavik 1 1204 21.35% 24.97%
24 2011-05-15 52.6 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1265 39.04% Breidablik 1 1294 34.48% 26.48%
25 2011-06-26 52.6 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1265 54.11% Thor Akureyri 1 1177 21.01% 24.88%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-08-21 29.4 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1358 63.28% Thor Akureyri 0 1184 14.36% 22.35%
2 2011-07-24 30.4 @ KR Reykjavik 4 1397 55.79% Breidablik 0 1295 19.69% 24.52%
3 2011-06-26 30.6 KR Reykjavik 3 1364 52.27% @ Grindavik 0 1202 22.50% 25.23%
4 2011-05-30 30.9 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1324 51.56% Stjarnan 0 1258 23.09% 25.35%
5 2011-07-10 31.9 KR Reykjavik 3 1381 49.29% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1243 25.01% 25.70%
6 2011-07-06 32.3 Valur Reykjavik 3 1285 45.27% @ Thor Akureyri 0 1179 28.58% 26.15%
7 2011-05-29 32.5 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1285 52.44% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1212 22.36% 25.20%
8 2011-08-03 32.7 @ Thor Akureyri 3 1187 43.25% Fram Reykjavik 0 1185 30.45% 26.30%
9 2011-07-06 32.9 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 7 1332 60.62% Grindavik 2 1185 16.16% 23.23%
10 2011-09-25 32.9 @ Stjarnan 5 1330 48.42% Valur Reykjavik 0 1289 25.77% 25.81%
11 2011-07-09 33.3 @ Breidablik 4 1292 59.22% Thor Akureyri 1 1158 17.14% 23.64%
12 2011-05-03 34.8 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1210 44.04% Thor Akureyri 0 1203 29.71% 26.25%
13 2011-08-07 35.1 @ Stjarnan 5 1259 49.63% Thor Akureyri 1 1208 24.72% 25.65%
14 2011-09-11 35.2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1339 62.20% Thor Akureyri 1 1176 15.08% 22.72%
15 2011-05-11 35.3 KR Reykjavik 2 1321 43.72% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1226 30.01% 26.27%
16 2011-07-24 35.4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1286 42.51% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 1200 31.15% 26.35%
17 2011-08-07 35.7 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1345 56.17% Keflavik IF 0 1239 19.40% 24.43%
18 2011-05-16 35.8 @ KR Reykjavik 3 1336 60.34% Thor Akureyri 1 1191 16.35% 23.31%
19 2011-09-15 36.1 Valur Reykjavik 1 1278 52.59% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1113 22.24% 25.17%
20 2011-08-15 36.2 FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1350 58.46% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1133 17.69% 23.85%
21 2011-06-07 36.3 @ KR Reykjavik 2 1349 44.12% FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1341 29.64% 26.24%
22 2011-05-16 36.6 Keflavik IF 2 1261 38.20% @ Grindavik 0 1206 35.30% 26.50%
23 2011-08-29 36.6 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1330 57.04% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1127 18.74% 24.22%
24 2011-07-24 36.9 @ Thor Akureyri 6 1157 42.01% Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1164 31.61% 26.37%
25 2011-08-29 37.2 @ KR Reykjavik 2 1420 68.82% Fram Reykjavik 1 1184 11.02% 20.16%