2012 Úrvalsdeild Season

132 games

Final

Champion

FH Hafnarfjordur

49 points · 6th Title

Last Title: 2009.0

Relegated

Grindavik

12 pts

Selfoss · 21 pts

Biggest Overachiever

FH Hafnarfjordur

9.29 points above expected

49 points · 39.71 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Grindavik

10.71 points below expected

12 points · 22.71 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	FH Hafnarfjordur Champion	22	15	4	3	49	51	23	+28	39.71	+9.29
2	Breidablik	22	10	6	6	36	32	27	+5	28.96	+7.04
3	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	22	10	5	7	35	36	21	+15	35.10	-0.10
4	KR Reykjavik	22	10	5	7	35	39	32	+7	40.12	-5.12
5	Stjarnan	22	8	10	4	34	44	38	+6	35.94	-1.94
6	IA Akranes	22	9	5	8	32	32	36	-4	27.58	+4.42
7	Fylkir Reykjavik	22	8	7	7	31	30	39	-9	26.06	+4.94
8	Valur Reykjavik	22	9	1	12	28	34	34	0	30.41	-2.41
9	Keflavik IF	22	8	3	11	27	35	38	-3	28.42	-1.42
10	Fram Reykjavik	22	8	3	11	27	31	36	-5	26.90	+0.10
11	Selfoss Relegated	22	6	3	13	21	30	44	-14	24.59	-3.59
12	Grindavik Relegated	22	2	6	14	12	31	57	-26	22.71	-10.71

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
FH Hafnarfjordur	1416	49	39.71	+9.29	94.7%	20	30	36	40	44	50	60
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1358	35	35.10	-0.10	52.4%	12	25	31	35	39	45	57
KR Reykjavik	1357	35	40.12	-5.12	22.6%	15	30	36	40	44	50	62
Stjarnan	1339	34	35.94	-1.94	41.1%	13	26	32	36	40	46	57
Breidablik	1303	36	28.96	+7.04	88.8%	9	19	25	29	33	39	54
Valur Reykjavik	1270	28	30.41	-2.41	38.0%	8	20	26	30	34	41	56
Keflavik IF	1250	27	28.42	-1.42	44.6%	7	19	24	28	32	39	52
IA Akranes	1246	32	27.58	+4.42	78.9%	6	18	23	28	32	38	51
Fram Reykjavik	1243	27	26.90	+0.10	55.1%	6	17	23	27	31	37	48
Fylkir Reykjavik	1225	31	26.06	+4.94	81.8%	5	16	22	26	30	36	50
Selfoss	1197	21	24.59	-3.59	30.5%	4	15	21	24	29	35	47
Grindavik	1147	12	22.71	-10.71	3.3%	4	13	19	22	27	33	46

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BRE	FH	FR	FR	GRI	IA	IV	KR	KI	SEL	STJ	VR
Breidablik	—	0-0-2 1.91	0-0-2 2.97	0-2-0 3.20	2-0-0 3.32	0-1-1 2.87	1-1-0 2.22	2-0-0 1.79	1-0-1 2.93	1-1-0 2.97	1-1-0 2.13	2-0-0 2.56
FH Hafnarfjordur	2-0-0 3.65	—	2-0-0 3.72	2-0-0 3.81	1-1-0 3.90	2-0-0 3.90	1-1-0 3.11	0-0-2 2.77	2-0-0 3.82	2-0-0 3.96	0-2-0 3.21	1-0-1 3.79
Fram Reykjavik	2-0-0 2.57	0-0-2 1.84	—	1-0-1 2.90	1-1-0 3.10	2-0-0 2.66	1-0-1 1.87	0-1-1 1.68	0-0-2 2.78	0-0-2 3.13	0-1-1 1.88	1-0-1 2.45
Fylkir Reykjavik	0-2-0 2.34	0-0-2 1.76	1-0-1 2.63	—	1-1-0 3.22	0-0-2 2.72	0-1-1 2.09	1-0-1 1.69	1-1-0 2.56	2-0-0 2.75	0-2-0 1.97	2-0-0 2.37
Grindavik	0-0-2 2.22	0-1-1 1.67	0-1-1 2.44	0-1-1 2.32	—	0-1-1 2.21	0-0-2 1.66	0-1-1 1.41	0-0-2 2.46	0-1-1 2.67	1-0-1 1.73	1-0-1 1.97
IA Akranes	1-1-0 2.66	0-0-2 1.68	0-0-2 2.88	2-0-0 2.82	1-1-0 3.34	—	0-1-1 2.27	1-0-1 1.75	2-0-0 2.62	2-0-0 2.96	0-1-1 2.11	0-1-1 2.49
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	0-1-1 3.33	0-1-1 2.43	1-0-1 3.69	1-1-0 3.46	2-0-0 3.93	1-1-0 3.28	—	1-0-1 2.22	0-0-2 3.26	1-0-1 3.63	1-1-0 2.59	2-0-0 3.22
KR Reykjavik	0-0-2 3.78	2-0-0 2.77	1-1-0 3.90	1-0-1 3.89	1-1-0 4.20	1-0-1 3.83	1-0-1 3.33	—	1-1-0 3.60	1-0-1 4.07	0-2-0 3.12	1-0-1 3.60
Keflavik IF	1-0-1 2.61	0-0-2 1.75	2-0-0 2.76	0-1-1 2.98	2-0-0 3.08	0-0-2 2.92	2-0-0 2.29	0-1-1 1.96	—	0-1-1 3.21	1-0-1 2.17	0-0-2 2.80
Selfoss	0-1-1 2.57	0-0-2 1.63	2-0-0 2.41	0-0-2 2.78	1-1-0 2.87	0-0-2 2.58	1-0-1 1.93	1-0-1 1.52	1-1-0 2.34	—	0-0-2 1.78	0-0-2 2.23
Stjarnan	0-1-1 3.42	0-2-0 2.33	1-1-0 3.68	0-2-0 3.59	1-0-1 3.84	1-1-0 3.44	0-1-1 2.95	0-2-0 2.42	1-0-1 3.38	2-0-0 3.79	—	2-0-0 3.15
Valur Reykjavik	0-0-2 2.98	1-0-1 1.78	1-0-1 3.09	0-0-2 3.17	1-0-1 3.58	1-1-0 3.05	0-0-2 2.32	1-0-1 1.97	2-0-0 2.74	2-0-0 3.31	0-0-2 2.39	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.53	+10.2
Allowed	0.77	-8.2
Differential	0.89	+6.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	1.52%	7.58%	6.44%	1.52%	3.79%	0.76%	21.59%
1	7.58%	11.36%	6.44%	3.41%	1.52%	—	30.30%
2	6.44%	6.44%	7.58%	3.79%	1.89%	0.76%	26.89%
3	1.52%	3.41%	3.79%	1.52%	1.14%	—	11.36%
4	3.79%	1.52%	1.89%	1.14%	—	—	8.33%
5+	0.76%	—	0.76%	—	—	—	1.52%
Total	21.59%	30.30%	26.89%	11.36%	8.33%	1.52%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.61	1.61	+0.00
SD	1.33	1.33	2.01
CV	0.83	0.83	—
Max	8	8	+8
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	27.27%
1	9.09%	22.73%	—	—	—	—	31.82%
2	13.64%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	36.36%	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.23	+0.23
SD	1.34	1.19	1.80
CV	0.92	0.97	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
1	27.27%	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	40.91%
2	4.55%	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	—	13.64%
Total	45.45%	13.64%	31.82%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.32	1.05	+1.27
SD	2.03	1.09	2.27
CV	0.88	1.04	—
Max	8	3	+8
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	31.82%
1	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
2	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	36.36%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	31.82%	22.73%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	1.64	-0.23
SD	1.26	1.43	1.93
CV	0.89	0.88	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	22.73%
1	4.55%	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	—	31.82%
2	9.09%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	31.82%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.64%	45.45%	22.73%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.77	-0.41
SD	1.00	1.77	2.32
CV	0.73	1.00	—
Max	3	8	+2
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	18.18%
1	—	4.55%	18.18%	4.55%	13.64%	—	40.91%
2	4.55%	—	18.18%	—	4.55%	—	27.27%
3	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	4.55%	9.09%	40.91%	13.64%	31.82%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	2.59	-1.18
SD	1.05	1.18	1.56
CV	0.75	0.46	—
Max	4	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
1	9.09%	13.64%	13.64%	—	—	—	36.36%
2	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	18.18%
3	—	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	31.82%	40.91%	—	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.64	-0.18
SD	1.18	1.53	1.94
CV	0.81	0.93	—
Max	4	7	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	27.27%
1	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
2	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.36%	36.36%	22.73%	4.55%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	0.95	+0.68
SD	1.40	0.90	1.76
CV	0.85	0.94	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
1	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
2	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	40.91%
3	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	40.91%	22.73%	13.64%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.77	1.45	+0.32
SD	1.07	1.10	1.70
CV	0.60	0.76	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	27.27%
1	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	31.82%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	27.27%	22.73%	13.64%	22.73%	13.64%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.59	1.73	-0.14
SD	1.44	1.45	2.49
CV	0.90	0.84	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.64%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	27.27%
1	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	18.18%	—	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	27.27%
3	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.64%	27.27%	22.73%	22.73%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	2.00	-0.64
SD	1.22	1.38	1.89
CV	0.89	0.69	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
1	4.55%	22.73%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	36.36%
2	4.55%	4.55%	18.18%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
4	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	36.36%	36.36%	9.09%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	1.73	+0.27
SD	1.15	1.08	1.45
CV	0.58	0.62	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
1	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
2	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
3	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
4	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	31.82%	31.82%	13.64%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	1.55	+0.00
SD	1.47	1.10	2.05
CV	0.95	0.71	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	FH Hafnarfjordur	49	39.71	+9.29
2	Breidablik	36	28.96	+7.04
3	Fylkir Reykjavik	31	26.06	+4.94
4	IA Akranes	32	27.58	+4.42
5	Fram Reykjavik	27	26.90	+0.10

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Grindavik	12	22.71	-10.71
2	KR Reykjavik	35	40.12	-5.12
3	Selfoss	21	24.59	-3.59
4	Valur Reykjavik	28	30.41	-2.41
5	Stjarnan	34	35.94	-1.94

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	6	May 29 – Jul 23	1 in 89
2	IA Akranes	4	May 6 – May 20	1 in 76
3	KR Reykjavik	5	May 15 – Jun 16	1 in 27
4	Breidablik	3	May 31 – Jun 20	1 in 23
5	Fram Reykjavik	2	Sep 23 – Sep 29	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	IA Akranes	4	Jun 15 – Jul 5	1 in 25
2	Fram Reykjavik	4	Jun 2 – Jul 2	1 in 24
3	Stjarnan	2	Aug 8 – Aug 12	1 in 24
4	Selfoss	5	Jul 5 – Aug 8	1 in 22
5	Grindavik	4	Aug 20 – Sep 16	1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	IA Akranes	6	May 6 – Jun 2	1 in 31
2	Breidablik	6	Aug 26 – Sep 29	1 in 19
3	Selfoss	4	Aug 12 – Sep 2	1 in 15
4	Stjarnan	7	Jun 15 – Jul 29	1 in 14
5	Fylkir Reykjavik	4	Sep 16 – Sep 29	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	KR Reykjavik	5	Aug 27 – Sep 23	1 in 83
2	Stjarnan	5	Jul 16 – Aug 12	1 in 41
3	Selfoss	10	May 24 – Aug 8	1 in 39
4	Grindavik	9	May 6 – Jul 1	1 in 20
5	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	5	May 6 – May 24	1 in 16

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
FH Hafnarfjordur	33.87%	24.17%	15.70%	10.57%	6.23%	3.85%	2.30%	1.62%	1.02%	0.46%	0.12%	0.09%
Breidablik	1.53%	3.85%	6.49%	8.66%	10.82%	11.89%	12.02%	11.66%	10.72%	9.73%	7.59%	5.04%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	11.63%	15.23%	17.37%	15.03%	12.44%	9.17%	6.24%	4.69%	3.72%	2.46%	1.31%	0.71%
KR Reykjavik	33.50%	24.45%	15.56%	10.82%	6.38%	3.88%	2.46%	1.56%	0.71%	0.38%	0.23%	0.07%
Stjarnan	13.12%	16.52%	17.72%	15.70%	12.01%	8.40%	6.48%	4.27%	2.54%	1.54%	1.18%	0.52%
IA Akranes	0.92%	2.07%	4.54%	6.97%	8.70%	10.31%	11.11%	12.02%	12.17%	11.77%	10.97%	8.45%
Fylkir Reykjavik	0.47%	1.76%	2.75%	4.33%	6.35%	8.38%	10.15%	11.56%	12.83%	13.66%	14.26%	13.50%
Valur Reykjavik	2.60%	5.48%	8.02%	10.64%	12.14%	13.18%	11.69%	10.48%	9.23%	7.35%	5.47%	3.72%
Keflavik IF	1.20%	3.30%	5.50%	7.56%	9.81%	11.09%	11.83%	11.97%	11.85%	10.21%	8.89%	6.79%
Fram Reykjavik	0.68%	1.91%	3.69%	5.41%	7.78%	9.43%	10.84%	12.73%	13.16%	12.13%	11.87%	10.37%
Selfoss	0.34%	0.79%	1.73%	2.75%	4.53%	6.10%	9.01%	9.94%	11.90%	15.99%	17.97%	18.95%
Grindavik	0.14%	0.47%	0.93%	1.56%	2.81%	4.32%	5.87%	7.50%	10.15%	14.32%	20.14%	31.79%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+8.33%

Slight Edge

43.18%21.97%34.85%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 29.02 Elo pts.

173 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.14 goals

Neutral

-2+0.17+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.9

Top-Heavy

124610

Champion Preseason Odds

34%

FH Hafnarfjordur, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.59/gm

Comfortable

00.200.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.84 * Some Luck: 4.84 to 7.26 * Lucky: 7.26 to 9.68 * Wild Swing: 9.68 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.73 * Close: 1.73 to 2.59 * Off: 2.59 to 3.45 * Way Off: 3.45 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.11 * A Surprise: 1.11 to 1.78 * Several Surprises: 1.78 to 2.45 * Many Surprises: 2.45 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.36 points

Some Luck

06.0515

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.83

02.165

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

94.68%

FH Hafnarfjordur

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

3.32%

Grindavik

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

0 of 2

As Expected

01.12

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.

Gini Index

0.15

Even

00.120.180.260.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.28

Moderate Separation

01.003

Interquartile Edge

65%

Slight Edge

50%60%70%80%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

82%

Strong Edge

50%82%100%

Close Games

Expected

60%

Very Frequent

0%54%100%

Blowouts

Expected

17%

Frequent

0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.62

Predictable

00.622

Matchup Imbalance

0.27

Notable Separation

00.10.180.280.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.80

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.76

Strong Carryover

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

33%

Upset-Prone

0%28%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

23%

As Expected

0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.

Probability calibration

0.36

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.95

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.091

Well Within Noise

00.1440.4

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
FH Hafnarfjordur	99.79%	0.21%
KR Reykjavik	99.70%	0.30%
Stjarnan	98.30%	1.70%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	97.98%	2.02%
Valur Reykjavik	90.81%	9.19%
Breidablik	87.37%	12.63%
Keflavik IF	84.32%	15.68%
IA Akranes	80.58%	19.42%
Fram Reykjavik	77.76%	22.24%
Fylkir Reykjavik	72.24%	27.76%
Selfoss	63.08%	36.92%
Grindavik	48.07%	51.93%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2012-05-06	Grindavik	D 1-1	1345	1238	56.7%	21.4%	21.9%	-1.1	1
2012-05-06	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	D 1-1	1238	1345	21.9%	21.4%	56.7%	+1.2	1
2012-05-06	IA Akranes	L 0-1	1265	1246	45.6%	23.0%	31.4%	-6.8	0
2012-05-06	@ Breidablik	W 1-0	1246	1265	31.4%	23.0%	45.6%	+6.8	3
2012-05-06	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 2-1	1227	1304	32.2%	23.1%	44.7%	+6.3	3
2012-05-06	@ Selfoss	L 1-2	1304	1227	44.7%	23.1%	32.2%	-6.3	0
2012-05-06	Keflavik IF	D 1-1	1236	1245	41.6%	23.2%	35.1%	-0.2	1
2012-05-06	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	D 1-1	1245	1236	35.1%	23.2%	41.6%	+0.2	1
2012-05-06	Stjarnan	D 2-2	1378	1338	48.4%	22.8%	28.8%	-0.5	1
2012-05-06	@ KR Reykjavik	D 2-2	1338	1378	28.8%	22.8%	48.4%	+0.5	1
2012-05-07	Valur Reykjavik	L 0-1	1252	1278	39.2%	23.3%	37.5%	-6.0	0
2012-05-07	@ Fram Reykjavik	W 1-0	1278	1252	37.5%	23.3%	39.2%	+6.0	3
2012-05-10	Breidablik	D 0-0	1297	1259	48.2%	22.8%	29.0%	-0.7	1
2012-05-10	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 0-0	1259	1297	29.0%	22.8%	48.2%	+0.7	1
2012-05-10	Fram Reykjavik	W 1-0	1344	1246	55.6%	21.7%	22.7%	+3.8	4
2012-05-10	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-1	1246	1344	22.7%	21.7%	55.6%	-3.8	0
2012-05-10	Fylkir Reykjavik	D 2-2	1338	1236	56.1%	21.6%	22.3%	-0.8	2
2012-05-10	@ Stjarnan	D 2-2	1236	1338	22.3%	21.6%	56.1%	+0.8	2
2012-05-10	Keflavik IF	L 0-4	1239	1246	42.0%	23.2%	34.8%	-22.6	1
2012-05-10	@ Grindavik	W 4-0	1246	1239	34.8%	23.2%	42.0%	+22.6	4
2012-05-10	KR Reykjavik	W 3-2	1252	1377	26.5%	22.4%	51.1%	+6.6	6
2012-05-10	@ IA Akranes	L 2-3	1377	1252	51.1%	22.4%	26.5%	-6.6	1
2012-05-10	Selfoss	W 3-1	1284	1233	49.8%	22.6%	27.6%	+7.4	6
2012-05-10	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 1-3	1233	1284	27.6%	22.6%	49.8%	-7.4	3
2012-05-14	Stjarnan	L 0-1	1268	1337	33.2%	23.2%	43.6%	-5.3	4
2012-05-14	@ Keflavik IF	W 1-0	1337	1268	43.6%	23.2%	33.2%	+5.3	5
2012-05-15	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-1	1226	1347	26.8%	22.5%	50.7%	-4.4	3
2012-05-15	@ Selfoss	W 1-0	1347	1226	50.7%	22.5%	26.8%	+4.4	7
2012-05-15	Grindavik	W 4-3	1242	1217	46.4%	23.0%	30.6%	+4.3	3
2012-05-15	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 3-4	1217	1242	30.6%	23.0%	46.4%	-4.3	1
2012-05-15	IA Akranes	L 0-1	1237	1259	39.8%	23.3%	36.9%	-6.0	2
2012-05-15	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	W 1-0	1259	1237	36.9%	23.3%	39.8%	+6.1	9
2012-05-15	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 3-2	1371	1297	52.7%	22.2%	25.1%	+3.7	4
2012-05-15	@ KR Reykjavik	L 2-3	1297	1371	25.1%	22.2%	52.7%	-3.7	1
2012-05-15	Valur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1259	1292	38.3%	23.3%	38.4%	+5.9	4
2012-05-15	@ Breidablik	L 0-1	1292	1259	38.4%	23.3%	38.3%	-5.9	6
2012-05-20	Breidablik	W 3-0	1352	1265	54.3%	21.9%	23.8%	+10.8	10
2012-05-20	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-3	1265	1352	23.8%	21.9%	54.3%	-10.8	4
2012-05-20	Fylkir Reykjavik	D 1-1	1293	1231	51.2%	22.4%	26.4%	-0.8	2
2012-05-20	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 1-1	1231	1293	26.4%	22.4%	51.2%	+0.8	3
2012-05-20	Keflavik IF	W 3-2	1265	1263	43.2%	23.2%	33.6%	+4.8	12
2012-05-20	@ IA Akranes	L 2-3	1263	1265	33.6%	23.2%	43.2%	-4.8	4
2012-05-20	KR Reykjavik	L 0-1	1286	1374	30.7%	23.0%	46.3%	-4.9	6
2012-05-20	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1374	1286	46.3%	23.0%	30.7%	+4.9	7
2012-05-21	Selfoss	L 0-2	1246	1221	46.3%	23.0%	30.7%	-12.9	3
2012-05-21	@ Fram Reykjavik	W 2-0	1221	1246	30.7%	23.0%	46.3%	+12.9	6
2012-05-21	Stjarnan	L 1-4	1212	1342	25.9%	22.3%	51.8%	-9.8	1
2012-05-21	@ Grindavik	W 4-1	1342	1212	51.8%	22.3%	25.9%	+9.8	8
2012-05-23	FH Hafnarfjordur	W 2-0	1379	1363	45.2%	23.1%	31.8%	+9.6	10
2012-05-23	@ KR Reykjavik	L 0-2	1363	1379	31.8%	23.1%	45.2%	-9.5	10
2012-05-24	Fram Reykjavik	L 0-2	1254	1234	45.8%	23.0%	31.2%	-12.8	4
2012-05-24	@ Breidablik	W 2-0	1234	1254	31.2%	23.0%	45.8%	+12.8	6
2012-05-24	Grindavik	D 3-3	1234	1202	47.2%	22.9%	29.9%	-0.3	7
2012-05-24	@ Selfoss	D 3-3	1202	1234	29.9%	22.9%	47.2%	+0.3	2
2012-05-24	IA Akranes	D 1-1	1352	1270	53.8%	22.0%	24.2%	-1.0	9
2012-05-24	@ Stjarnan	D 1-1	1270	1352	24.2%	22.0%	53.8%	+1.0	13
2012-05-24	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 1-0	1258	1292	38.1%	23.3%	38.6%	+5.9	7
2012-05-24	@ Keflavik IF	L 0-1	1292	1258	38.6%	23.3%	38.1%	-5.9	2
2012-05-24	Valur Reykjavik	W 3-1	1232	1281	36.0%	23.3%	40.8%	+10.1	6
2012-05-24	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	L 1-3	1281	1232	40.8%	23.3%	36.0%	-10.1	6
2012-05-29	Stjarnan	W 4-1	1286	1351	33.7%	23.2%	43.1%	+14.9	5
2012-05-29	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 1-4	1351	1286	43.1%	23.2%	33.7%	-14.9	9
2012-05-31	Breidablik	L 0-2	1234	1242	41.8%	23.2%	34.9%	-11.9	7
2012-05-31	@ Selfoss	W 2-0	1242	1234	34.9%	23.2%	41.8%	+11.9	7
2012-05-31	Keflavik IF	W 4-0	1271	1264	43.8%	23.2%	33.1%	+18.7	9
2012-05-31	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 0-4	1264	1271	33.1%	23.2%	43.8%	-18.7	7
2012-06-02	Fylkir Reykjavik	W 8-0	1353	1242	57.2%	21.3%	21.4%	+24.7	13
2012-06-02	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-8	1242	1353	21.4%	21.3%	57.2%	-24.7	6
2012-06-02	IA Akranes	D 2-2	1203	1271	33.4%	23.2%	43.5%	+0.2	3
2012-06-02	@ Grindavik	D 2-2	1271	1203	43.5%	23.2%	33.4%	-0.2	14
2012-06-02	KR Reykjavik	L 1-2	1246	1389	24.6%	22.1%	53.3%	-3.8	6
2012-06-02	@ Fram Reykjavik	W 2-1	1389	1246	53.3%	22.1%	24.6%	+3.8	13
2012-06-14	Fram Reykjavik	W 1-0	1217	1242	39.3%	23.3%	37.4%	+5.8	9
2012-06-14	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	L 0-1	1242	1217	37.4%	23.3%	39.3%	-5.8	6
2012-06-15	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-4	1271	1301	38.6%	23.3%	38.1%	-21.1	14
2012-06-15	@ IA Akranes	W 4-0	1301	1271	38.1%	23.3%	38.6%	+21.1	8
2012-06-15	Valur Reykjavik	W 3-2	1336	1289	49.3%	22.7%	28.1%	+4.1	12
2012-06-15	@ Stjarnan	L 2-3	1289	1336	28.1%	22.7%	49.3%	-4.1	9
2012-06-16	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 2-4	1245	1378	25.7%	22.3%	52.0%	-6.2	7
2012-06-16	@ Keflavik IF	W 4-2	1378	1245	52.0%	22.3%	25.7%	+6.2	16
2012-06-16	Grindavik	W 2-0	1253	1203	49.7%	22.6%	27.7%	+8.5	10
2012-06-16	@ Breidablik	L 0-2	1203	1253	27.7%	22.6%	49.7%	-8.5	3
2012-06-16	Selfoss	W 3-1	1393	1222	63.8%	19.6%	16.7%	+4.6	16
2012-06-16	@ KR Reykjavik	L 1-3	1222	1393	16.7%	19.6%	63.8%	-4.6	7
2012-06-20	Fylkir Reykjavik	L 1-2	1218	1223	42.1%	23.2%	34.6%	-6.0	7
2012-06-20	@ Selfoss	W 2-1	1223	1218	34.6%	23.2%	42.1%	+6.0	12
2012-06-20	IA Akranes	W 2-1	1285	1249	47.8%	22.8%	29.4%	+4.5	12
2012-06-20	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1249	1285	29.4%	22.8%	47.8%	-4.5	14
2012-06-20	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 1-3	1195	1322	26.2%	22.4%	51.4%	-7.0	3
2012-06-20	@ Grindavik	W 3-1	1322	1195	51.4%	22.4%	26.2%	+7.0	11
2012-06-20	Keflavik IF	L 0-2	1237	1239	42.5%	23.2%	34.3%	-12.0	6
2012-06-20	@ Fram Reykjavik	W 2-0	1239	1237	34.3%	23.2%	42.5%	+12.0	10
2012-06-20	KR Reykjavik	W 2-1	1262	1397	25.4%	22.2%	52.4%	+7.2	13
2012-06-20	@ Breidablik	L 1-2	1397	1262	52.4%	22.2%	25.4%	-7.2	16
2012-06-20	Stjarnan	D 2-2	1384	1341	48.8%	22.7%	28.5%	-0.5	17
2012-06-20	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	D 2-2	1341	1384	28.5%	22.7%	48.8%	+0.5	13
2012-06-29	Valur Reykjavik	W 2-0	1329	1290	48.3%	22.8%	28.9%	+8.8	14
2012-06-29	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-2	1290	1329	28.9%	22.8%	48.3%	-8.8	12
2012-06-30	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 2-7	1245	1384	25.0%	22.2%	52.8%	-12.6	14
2012-06-30	@ IA Akranes	W 7-2	1384	1245	52.8%	22.2%	25.0%	+12.6	20
2012-07-01	Grindavik	W 4-1	1390	1188	67.0%	18.5%	14.5%	+5.6	19
2012-07-01	@ KR Reykjavik	L 1-4	1188	1390	14.5%	18.5%	67.0%	-5.6	3
2012-07-02	Breidablik	D 1-1	1229	1269	37.2%	23.3%	39.5%	+0.1	13
2012-07-02	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	D 1-1	1269	1229	39.5%	23.3%	37.2%	-0.1	14
2012-07-02	Fram Reykjavik	W 4-2	1341	1225	57.8%	21.2%	21.0%	+5.1	16
2012-07-02	@ Stjarnan	L 2-4	1225	1341	21.0%	21.2%	57.8%	-5.1	6
2012-07-02	Selfoss	D 2-2	1251	1212	48.3%	22.8%	28.9%	-0.5	11
2012-07-02	@ Keflavik IF	D 2-2	1212	1251	28.9%	22.8%	48.3%	+0.5	8
2012-07-05	Fylkir Reykjavik	W 2-1	1396	1229	63.4%	19.7%	17.0%	+2.7	22
2012-07-05	@ KR Reykjavik	L 1-2	1229	1396	17.0%	19.7%	63.4%	-2.7	13
2012-07-05	IA Akranes	W 2-0	1220	1232	41.1%	23.3%	35.6%	+10.5	9
2012-07-05	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 0-2	1232	1220	35.6%	23.3%	41.1%	-10.5	14
2012-07-05	Keflavik IF	L 0-4	1269	1251	45.4%	23.1%	31.5%	-24.1	14
2012-07-05	@ Breidablik	W 4-0	1251	1269	31.5%	23.1%	45.4%	+24.1	14
2012-07-05	Stjarnan	L 1-3	1212	1346	25.5%	22.3%	52.3%	-6.9	8
2012-07-05	@ Selfoss	W 3-1	1346	1212	52.3%	22.3%	25.5%	+6.9	19
2012-07-05	Valur Reykjavik	W 2-0	1182	1281	29.5%	22.9%	47.7%	+13.2	6
2012-07-05	@ Grindavik	L 0-2	1281	1182	47.7%	22.9%	29.5%	-13.2	12
2012-07-12	KR Reykjavik	D 1-1	1275	1398	26.6%	22.5%	50.9%	+0.8	15
2012-07-12	@ Keflavik IF	D 1-1	1398	1275	50.9%	22.5%	26.6%	-0.8	23
2012-07-15	FH Hafnarfjordur	W 3-1	1268	1396	26.1%	22.4%	51.5%	+12.2	15
2012-07-15	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 1-3	1396	1268	51.5%	22.4%	26.1%	-12.2	20
2012-07-15	Fram Reykjavik	W 3-2	1338	1230	56.9%	21.4%	21.7%	+3.2	17
2012-07-15	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 2-3	1230	1338	21.7%	21.4%	56.9%	-3.2	9
2012-07-16	Breidablik	D 1-1	1353	1245	56.9%	21.4%	21.7%	-1.2	20
2012-07-16	@ Stjarnan	D 1-1	1245	1353	21.7%	21.4%	56.9%	+1.2	15
2012-07-16	Grindavik	W 2-1	1226	1195	47.2%	22.9%	29.9%	+4.6	16
2012-07-16	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	L 1-2	1195	1226	29.9%	22.9%	47.2%	-4.5	6
2012-07-16	Selfoss	W 4-0	1222	1205	45.2%	23.1%	31.7%	+18.1	17
2012-07-16	@ IA Akranes	L 0-4	1205	1222	31.7%	23.1%	45.2%	-18.1	8
2012-07-21	KR Reykjavik	D 1-1	1352	1398	36.4%	23.3%	40.3%	+0.1	21
2012-07-21	@ Stjarnan	D 1-1	1398	1352	40.3%	23.3%	36.4%	-0.1	24
2012-07-22	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-1	1191	1384	19.9%	20.8%	59.3%	-3.3	6
2012-07-22	@ Grindavik	W 1-0	1384	1191	59.3%	20.8%	19.9%	+3.3	23
2012-07-23	Breidablik	D 1-1	1240	1246	42.0%	23.2%	34.8%	-0.2	18
2012-07-23	@ IA Akranes	D 1-1	1246	1240	34.8%	23.2%	42.0%	+0.2	16
2012-07-23	Fram Reykjavik	L 0-2	1280	1227	50.1%	22.6%	27.4%	-13.8	15
2012-07-23	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 2-0	1227	1280	27.4%	22.6%	50.1%	+13.8	12
2012-07-23	Fylkir Reykjavik	L 0-2	1276	1231	49.0%	22.7%	28.3%	-13.5	15
2012-07-23	@ Keflavik IF	W 2-0	1231	1276	28.3%	22.7%	49.0%	+13.5	19
2012-07-23	Selfoss	W 1-0	1341	1187	62.0%	20.1%	17.9%	+3.0	20
2012-07-23	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-1	1187	1341	17.9%	20.1%	62.0%	-3.0	8
2012-07-29	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 1-0	1246	1344	29.6%	22.9%	47.5%	+7.0	19
2012-07-29	@ Breidablik	L 0-1	1344	1246	47.5%	22.9%	29.6%	-7.0	20
2012-07-29	Stjarnan	D 3-3	1244	1352	28.4%	22.7%	48.8%	+0.4	20
2012-07-29	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	D 3-3	1352	1244	48.8%	22.7%	28.4%	-0.4	22
2012-07-29	Valur Reykjavik	L 0-1	1184	1266	31.5%	23.1%	45.4%	-5.0	8
2012-07-29	@ Selfoss	W 1-0	1266	1184	45.4%	23.1%	31.5%	+5.0	18
2012-07-30	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-1	1241	1387	24.2%	22.0%	53.8%	-4.0	12
2012-07-30	@ Fram Reykjavik	W 1-0	1387	1241	53.8%	22.0%	24.2%	+4.0	26
2012-07-30	Grindavik	W 2-1	1262	1187	52.8%	22.2%	25.0%	+3.9	18
2012-07-30	@ Keflavik IF	L 1-2	1187	1262	25.0%	22.2%	52.8%	-3.9	6
2012-07-30	IA Akranes	W 2-0	1398	1240	62.4%	20.0%	17.6%	+5.6	27
2012-07-30	@ KR Reykjavik	L 0-2	1240	1398	17.6%	20.0%	62.4%	-5.6	18
2012-08-08	Breidablik	L 3-4	1271	1253	45.4%	23.1%	31.6%	-5.9	18
2012-08-08	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 4-3	1253	1271	31.6%	23.1%	45.4%	+5.9	22
2012-08-08	Fram Reykjavik	D 2-2	1183	1237	35.4%	23.3%	41.4%	+0.1	7
2012-08-08	@ Grindavik	D 2-2	1237	1183	41.4%	23.3%	35.4%	-0.1	13
2012-08-08	Fylkir Reykjavik	W 2-1	1234	1245	41.4%	23.3%	35.4%	+5.2	21
2012-08-08	@ IA Akranes	L 1-2	1245	1234	35.4%	23.3%	41.4%	-5.2	20
2012-08-08	Keflavik IF	L 1-3	1352	1266	54.1%	21.9%	23.9%	-12.7	22
2012-08-08	@ Stjarnan	W 3-1	1266	1352	23.9%	21.9%	54.1%	+12.7	21
2012-08-08	KR Reykjavik	W 2-0	1337	1403	33.7%	23.2%	43.1%	+12.2	23
2012-08-08	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-2	1403	1337	43.1%	23.2%	33.7%	-12.2	27
2012-08-08	Selfoss	W 5-2	1391	1179	67.9%	18.1%	14.0%	+4.6	29
2012-08-08	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 2-5	1179	1391	14.0%	18.1%	67.9%	-4.6	8
2012-08-12	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-1	1259	1396	25.2%	22.2%	52.6%	-4.2	22
2012-08-12	@ Breidablik	W 1-0	1396	1259	52.6%	22.2%	25.2%	+4.2	32
2012-08-12	Fram Reykjavik	W 4-2	1174	1236	34.2%	23.2%	42.6%	+9.3	11
2012-08-12	@ Selfoss	L 2-4	1236	1174	42.6%	23.2%	34.2%	-9.3	13
2012-08-12	Grindavik	L 3-4	1339	1183	62.2%	20.1%	17.8%	-7.7	22
2012-08-12	@ Stjarnan	W 4-3	1183	1339	17.8%	20.1%	62.2%	+7.7	10
2012-08-12	IA Akranes	L 2-3	1279	1239	48.3%	22.8%	28.9%	-6.3	21
2012-08-12	@ Keflavik IF	W 3-2	1239	1279	28.9%	22.8%	48.3%	+6.3	24
2012-08-12	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-4	1240	1350	28.2%	22.7%	49.1%	-16.4	20
2012-08-12	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	W 4-0	1350	1240	49.1%	22.7%	28.2%	+16.4	26
2012-08-12	Valur Reykjavik	L 2-3	1391	1265	58.9%	20.9%	20.2%	-7.5	27
2012-08-12	@ KR Reykjavik	W 3-2	1265	1391	20.2%	20.9%	58.9%	+7.5	21
2012-08-20	Breidablik	W 3-2	1227	1255	38.9%	23.3%	37.8%	+5.2	16
2012-08-20	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 2-3	1255	1227	37.8%	23.3%	38.9%	-5.2	22
2012-08-20	Fylkir Reykjavik	L 1-2	1273	1223	49.6%	22.6%	27.8%	-6.8	21
2012-08-20	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1223	1273	27.8%	22.6%	49.6%	+6.8	23
2012-08-20	Keflavik IF	L 0-1	1366	1272	55.1%	21.8%	23.1%	-7.9	26
2012-08-20	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 1-0	1272	1366	23.1%	21.8%	55.1%	+7.9	24
2012-08-20	Selfoss	L 0-4	1191	1184	43.9%	23.1%	32.9%	-23.4	10
2012-08-20	@ Grindavik	W 4-0	1184	1191	32.9%	23.1%	43.9%	+23.4	14
2012-08-23	KR Reykjavik	L 1-3	1400	1383	45.2%	23.1%	31.8%	-10.9	32
2012-08-23	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	W 3-1	1383	1400	31.8%	23.1%	45.2%	+10.9	30
2012-08-23	Stjarnan	L 1-2	1246	1331	31.1%	23.0%	45.9%	-4.7	24
2012-08-23	@ IA Akranes	W 2-1	1331	1246	45.9%	23.0%	31.1%	+4.7	25
2012-08-26	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-1	1230	1389	22.9%	21.7%	55.3%	-3.8	23
2012-08-26	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	W 1-0	1389	1230	55.3%	21.7%	22.9%	+3.8	35
2012-08-26	Grindavik	W 2-1	1241	1168	52.6%	22.2%	25.2%	+3.9	27
2012-08-26	@ IA Akranes	L 1-2	1168	1241	25.2%	22.2%	52.6%	-3.9	10
2012-08-26	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 1-1	1336	1358	39.8%	23.3%	37.0%	-0.1	26
2012-08-26	@ Stjarnan	D 1-1	1358	1336	37.0%	23.3%	39.8%	+0.1	27
2012-08-26	Selfoss	D 1-1	1250	1207	48.7%	22.7%	28.5%	-0.6	23
2012-08-26	@ Breidablik	D 1-1	1207	1250	28.5%	22.7%	48.7%	+0.6	15
2012-08-27	Fram Reykjavik	D 1-1	1394	1232	62.9%	19.8%	17.3%	-1.5	31
2012-08-27	@ KR Reykjavik	D 1-1	1232	1394	17.3%	19.8%	62.9%	+1.5	17
2012-08-27	Valur Reykjavik	L 0-4	1280	1266	44.9%	23.1%	32.0%	-23.8	24
2012-08-27	@ Keflavik IF	W 4-0	1266	1280	32.0%	23.1%	44.9%	+23.8	24
2012-08-30	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 2-0	1393	1358	47.7%	22.9%	29.5%	+9.0	38
2012-08-30	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-2	1358	1393	29.5%	22.9%	47.7%	-9.0	27
2012-09-02	IA Akranes	D 0-0	1349	1245	56.4%	21.5%	22.1%	-1.3	28
2012-09-02	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 0-0	1245	1349	22.1%	21.5%	56.4%	+1.3	28
2012-09-02	KR Reykjavik	W 1-0	1208	1393	20.6%	21.1%	58.4%	+8.3	18
2012-09-02	@ Selfoss	L 0-1	1393	1208	58.4%	21.1%	20.6%	-8.3	31
2012-09-02	Stjarnan	L 0-2	1290	1336	36.4%	23.3%	40.4%	-10.6	24
2012-09-02	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 2-0	1336	1290	40.4%	23.3%	36.4%	+10.7	29
2012-09-03	Breidablik	L 2-4	1164	1249	31.1%	23.0%	45.9%	-7.3	10
2012-09-03	@ Grindavik	W 4-2	1249	1164	45.9%	23.0%	31.1%	+7.3	26
2012-09-03	Fylkir Reykjavik	W 4-0	1234	1226	43.9%	23.1%	32.9%	+18.7	20
2012-09-03	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 0-4	1226	1234	32.9%	23.1%	43.9%	-18.7	23
2012-09-03	Keflavik IF	W 3-0	1402	1257	61.1%	20.4%	18.6%	+8.5	41
2012-09-03	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-3	1257	1402	18.6%	20.4%	61.1%	-8.5	24
2012-09-16	Breidablik	L 0-4	1385	1257	59.2%	20.9%	20.0%	-30.1	31
2012-09-16	@ KR Reykjavik	W 4-0	1257	1385	20.0%	20.9%	59.2%	+30.1	29
2012-09-16	FH Hafnarfjordur	D 2-2	1346	1410	33.9%	23.2%	42.9%	+0.2	30
2012-09-16	@ Stjarnan	D 2-2	1410	1346	42.9%	23.2%	33.9%	-0.2	42
2012-09-16	Fram Reykjavik	W 5-0	1248	1252	42.3%	23.2%	34.5%	+23.9	27
2012-09-16	@ Keflavik IF	L 0-5	1252	1248	34.5%	23.2%	42.3%	-23.9	20
2012-09-16	Grindavik	W 2-1	1348	1157	65.9%	18.9%	15.3%	+2.4	31
2012-09-16	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 1-2	1157	1348	15.3%	18.9%	65.9%	-2.4	10
2012-09-16	Selfoss	W 2-0	1208	1216	41.7%	23.2%	35.1%	+10.4	26
2012-09-16	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	L 0-2	1216	1208	35.1%	23.2%	41.7%	-10.3	18
2012-09-16	Valur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1246	1279	38.2%	23.3%	38.5%	+0.0	29
2012-09-16	@ IA Akranes	D 1-1	1279	1246	38.5%	23.3%	38.2%	-0.0	25
2012-09-20	Fylkir Reykjavik	D 1-1	1287	1218	52.1%	22.3%	25.6%	-0.9	30
2012-09-20	@ Breidablik	D 1-1	1218	1287	25.6%	22.3%	52.1%	+0.8	27
2012-09-20	IA Akranes	W 2-1	1410	1246	63.1%	19.8%	17.1%	+2.7	45
2012-09-20	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-2	1246	1410	17.1%	19.8%	63.1%	-2.7	29
2012-09-20	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-3	1279	1350	33.0%	23.2%	43.9%	-14.3	25
2012-09-20	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 3-0	1350	1279	43.9%	23.2%	33.0%	+14.3	34
2012-09-20	Keflavik IF	W 2-1	1206	1272	33.6%	23.2%	43.2%	+6.1	21
2012-09-20	@ Selfoss	L 1-2	1272	1206	43.2%	23.2%	33.6%	-6.1	27
2012-09-20	KR Reykjavik	D 2-2	1154	1354	19.3%	20.6%	60.1%	+1.0	11
2012-09-20	@ Grindavik	D 2-2	1354	1154	60.1%	20.6%	19.3%	-1.0	32
2012-09-20	Stjarnan	D 1-1	1229	1347	27.2%	22.6%	50.2%	+0.7	21
2012-09-20	@ Fram Reykjavik	D 1-1	1347	1229	50.2%	22.6%	27.2%	-0.7	31
2012-09-23	Breidablik	L 2-3	1266	1286	40.1%	23.3%	36.6%	-5.4	27
2012-09-23	@ Keflavik IF	W 3-2	1286	1266	36.6%	23.3%	40.1%	+5.4	33
2012-09-23	FH Hafnarfjordur	D 2-2	1365	1413	36.0%	23.3%	40.7%	+0.1	35
2012-09-23	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 2-2	1413	1365	40.7%	23.3%	36.0%	-0.1	46
2012-09-23	Fram Reykjavik	L 0-1	1243	1229	44.9%	23.1%	32.1%	-6.7	29
2012-09-23	@ IA Akranes	W 1-0	1229	1243	32.1%	23.1%	44.9%	+6.7	24
2012-09-23	Grindavik	W 4-1	1265	1155	57.0%	21.4%	21.6%	+8.3	28
2012-09-23	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 1-4	1155	1265	21.6%	21.4%	57.0%	-8.3	11
2012-09-23	KR Reykjavik	W 3-2	1219	1353	25.4%	22.3%	52.3%	+6.8	30
2012-09-23	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	L 2-3	1353	1219	52.3%	22.3%	25.4%	-6.8	32
2012-09-23	Selfoss	W 4-2	1346	1212	59.8%	20.7%	19.5%	+4.8	34
2012-09-23	@ Stjarnan	L 2-4	1212	1346	19.5%	20.7%	59.8%	-4.8	21
2012-09-29	Fylkir Reykjavik	D 2-2	1147	1226	32.0%	23.1%	45.0%	+0.3	12
2012-09-29	@ Grindavik	D 2-2	1226	1147	45.0%	23.1%	32.0%	-0.3	31
2012-09-29	IA Akranes	L 1-3	1207	1237	38.7%	23.3%	38.0%	-9.7	21
2012-09-29	@ Selfoss	W 3-1	1237	1207	38.0%	23.3%	38.7%	+9.7	32
2012-09-29	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 2-1	1236	1365	26.1%	22.4%	51.6%	+7.1	27
2012-09-29	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 1-2	1365	1236	51.6%	22.4%	26.1%	-7.1	35
2012-09-29	Keflavik IF	W 3-0	1347	1260	54.2%	21.9%	23.8%	+10.8	35
2012-09-29	@ KR Reykjavik	L 0-3	1260	1347	23.8%	21.9%	54.2%	-10.8	27
2012-09-29	Stjarnan	W 2-0	1291	1351	34.5%	23.2%	42.3%	+12.0	36
2012-09-29	@ Breidablik	L 0-2	1351	1291	42.3%	23.2%	34.5%	-12.0	34
2012-09-29	Valur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1413	1273	60.5%	20.5%	19.0%	+3.0	49
2012-09-29	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-2	1273	1413	19.0%	20.5%	60.5%	-3.0	28

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2012-08-12	17.79%	Grindavik	1183	4	@ Stjarnan	1339	3
2	2012-09-16	19.98%	Breidablik	1257	4	@ KR Reykjavik	1385	0
3	2012-08-12	20.18%	Valur Reykjavik	1265	3	@ KR Reykjavik	1391	2
4	2012-09-02	20.56%	@ Selfoss	1208	1	KR Reykjavik	1393	0
5	2012-08-20	23.12%	Keflavik IF	1272	1	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1366	0
6	2012-08-08	23.90%	Keflavik IF	1266	3	@ Stjarnan	1352	1
7	2012-06-20	25.35%	@ Breidablik	1262	2	KR Reykjavik	1397	1
8	2012-09-23	25.42%	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	1219	3	KR Reykjavik	1353	2
9	2012-09-29	26.06%	@ Fram Reykjavik	1236	2	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1365	1
10	2012-07-15	26.08%	@ Valur Reykjavik	1268	3	FH Hafnarfjordur	1396	1
11	2012-05-10	26.47%	@ IA Akranes	1252	3	KR Reykjavik	1377	2
12	2012-07-23	27.36%	Fram Reykjavik	1227	2	@ Valur Reykjavik	1280	0
13	2012-08-20	27.76%	Fylkir Reykjavik	1223	2	@ Valur Reykjavik	1273	1
14	2012-07-23	28.32%	Fylkir Reykjavik	1231	2	@ Keflavik IF	1276	0
15	2012-08-12	28.95%	IA Akranes	1239	3	@ Keflavik IF	1279	2
16	2012-07-05	29.46%	@ Grindavik	1182	2	Valur Reykjavik	1281	0
17	2012-07-29	29.58%	@ Breidablik	1246	1	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1344	0
18	2012-05-21	30.69%	Selfoss	1221	2	@ Fram Reykjavik	1246	0
19	2012-05-24	31.21%	Fram Reykjavik	1234	2	@ Breidablik	1254	0
20	2012-05-06	31.35%	IA Akranes	1246	1	@ Breidablik	1265	0
21	2012-07-05	31.54%	Keflavik IF	1251	4	@ Breidablik	1269	0
22	2012-08-08	31.60%	Breidablik	1253	4	@ Valur Reykjavik	1271	3
23	2012-08-23	31.75%	KR Reykjavik	1383	3	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	1400	1
24	2012-08-27	32.03%	Valur Reykjavik	1266	4	@ Keflavik IF	1280	0
25	2012-09-23	32.06%	Fram Reykjavik	1229	1	@ IA Akranes	1243	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2012-09-16	30.11	Breidablik	4	1257	19.98%	@ KR Reykjavik	0	1385	59.15%	20.87%
2	2012-06-02	24.71	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	8	1353	57.22%	Fylkir Reykjavik	0	1242	21.45%	21.33%
3	2012-07-05	24.08	Keflavik IF	4	1251	31.54%	@ Breidablik	0	1269	45.41%	23.05%
4	2012-09-16	23.91	@ Keflavik IF	5	1248	42.26%	Fram Reykjavik	0	1252	34.51%	23.23%
5	2012-08-27	23.85	Valur Reykjavik	4	1266	32.03%	@ Keflavik IF	0	1280	44.88%	23.09%
6	2012-08-20	23.43	Selfoss	4	1184	32.93%	@ Grindavik	0	1191	43.92%	23.14%
7	2012-05-10	22.60	Keflavik IF	4	1246	34.78%	@ Grindavik	0	1239	41.98%	23.24%
8	2012-06-15	21.14	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	4	1301	38.15%	@ IA Akranes	0	1271	38.55%	23.30%
9	2012-05-31	18.74	@ Valur Reykjavik	4	1271	43.79%	Keflavik IF	0	1264	33.06%	23.15%
10	2012-09-03	18.68	@ Fram Reykjavik	4	1234	43.94%	Fylkir Reykjavik	0	1226	32.92%	23.14%
11	2012-07-16	18.12	@ IA Akranes	4	1222	45.20%	Selfoss	0	1205	31.74%	23.06%
12	2012-08-12	16.41	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	4	1350	49.14%	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	0	1240	28.17%	22.69%
13	2012-05-29	14.89	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	4	1286	33.74%	Stjarnan	1	1351	43.07%	23.19%
14	2012-09-20	14.31	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	3	1350	43.89%	@ Valur Reykjavik	0	1279	32.96%	23.15%
15	2012-07-23	13.76	Fram Reykjavik	2	1227	27.36%	@ Valur Reykjavik	0	1280	50.06%	22.58%
16	2012-07-23	13.50	Fylkir Reykjavik	2	1231	28.32%	@ Keflavik IF	0	1276	48.97%	22.71%
17	2012-07-05	13.22	@ Grindavik	2	1182	29.46%	Valur Reykjavik	0	1281	47.69%	22.85%
18	2012-05-21	12.90	Selfoss	2	1221	30.69%	@ Fram Reykjavik	0	1246	46.33%	22.97%
19	2012-05-24	12.77	Fram Reykjavik	2	1234	31.21%	@ Breidablik	0	1254	45.77%	23.02%
20	2012-08-08	12.74	Keflavik IF	3	1266	23.90%	@ Stjarnan	1	1352	54.15%	21.95%
21	2012-06-30	12.63	FH Hafnarfjordur	7	1384	52.81%	@ IA Akranes	2	1245	25.01%	22.18%
22	2012-07-15	12.22	@ Valur Reykjavik	3	1268	26.08%	FH Hafnarfjordur	1	1396	51.54%	22.38%
23	2012-08-08	12.17	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	2	1337	33.66%	KR Reykjavik	0	1403	43.15%	23.19%
24	2012-06-20	12.03	Keflavik IF	2	1239	34.26%	@ Fram Reykjavik	0	1237	42.53%	23.21%
25	2012-09-29	11.98	@ Breidablik	2	1291	34.50%	Stjarnan	0	1351	42.27%	23.23%