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2012 Úrvalsdeild Season

132 games

Final

Champion

FH Hafnarfjordur

49 points · 6th Title

Last Title: 2009.0

Relegated

Grindavik

12 pts

Selfoss · 21 pts

Biggest Overachiever

FH Hafnarfjordur

9.31 points above expected

49 points · 39.69 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Grindavik

10.97 points below expected

12 points · 22.97 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 FH Hafnarfjordur Champion 22 15 4 3 49 51 23 +28 39.69 +9.31
2 Breidablik 22 10 6 6 36 32 27 +5 29.44 +6.56
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 10 5 7 35 36 21 +15 34.31 +0.69
4 KR Reykjavik 22 10 5 7 35 39 32 +7 39.21 -4.21
5 Stjarnan 22 8 10 4 34 44 38 +6 36.09 -2.09
6 IA Akranes 22 9 5 8 32 32 36 -4 28.10 +3.90
7 Fylkir Reykjavik 22 8 7 7 31 30 39 -9 25.13 +5.87
8 Valur Reykjavik 22 9 1 12 28 34 34 0 30.49 -2.49
9 Keflavik IF 22 8 3 11 27 35 38 -3 28.94 -1.94
10 Fram Reykjavik 22 8 3 11 27 31 36 -5 28.28 -1.28
11 Selfoss Relegated 22 6 3 13 21 30 44 -14 23.24 -2.24
12 Grindavik Relegated 22 2 6 14 12 31 57 -26 22.97 -10.97

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 FH Hafnarfjordur 49 39.69 +9.31
2 Breidablik 36 29.44 +6.56
3 Fylkir Reykjavik 31 25.13 +5.87
4 IA Akranes 32 28.10 +3.90
5 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 35 34.31 +0.69

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Grindavik 12 22.97 -10.97
2 KR Reykjavik 35 39.21 -4.21
3 Valur Reykjavik 28 30.49 -2.49
4 Selfoss 21 23.24 -2.24
5 Stjarnan 34 36.09 -2.09

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6 May 29 – Jul 23 1 in 89
2 IA Akranes 4 May 6 – May 20 1 in 75
3 KR Reykjavik 5 May 15 – Jun 16 1 in 27
4 Breidablik 3 May 31 – Jun 20 1 in 23
5 Fram Reykjavik 2 Sep 23 – Sep 29 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IA Akranes 4 Jun 15 – Jul 5 1 in 25
2 Fram Reykjavik 4 Jun 2 – Jul 2 1 in 24
3 Stjarnan 2 Aug 8 – Aug 12 1 in 24
4 Selfoss 5 Jul 5 – Aug 8 1 in 22
5 Grindavik 4 Aug 20 – Sep 16 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IA Akranes 6 May 6 – Jun 2 1 in 30
2 Breidablik 6 Aug 26 – Sep 29 1 in 19
3 Selfoss 4 Aug 12 – Sep 2 1 in 15
4 Stjarnan 7 Jun 15 – Jul 29 1 in 14
5 Fylkir Reykjavik 4 Sep 16 – Sep 29 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KR Reykjavik 5 Aug 27 – Sep 23 1 in 83
2 Stjarnan 5 Jul 16 – Aug 12 1 in 41
3 Selfoss 10 May 24 – Aug 8 1 in 39
4 Grindavik 9 May 6 – Jul 1 1 in 20
5 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 May 6 – May 24 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
FH Hafnarfjordur 1408 49 +14 11 9.1 +1.9
Breidablik 1295 36 +54 13 6.8 +6.2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1350 35 +8 8 8.7 -0.7
KR Reykjavik 1350 35 -35 4 9.6 -5.6
Stjarnan 1331 34 +3 8 7.9 +0.1
IA Akranes 1239 32 +2 5 5.9 -0.9
Fylkir Reykjavik 1217 31 -1 8 6.3 +1.7
Valur Reykjavik 1262 28 -20 4 6.6 -2.6
Fram Reykjavik 1235 27 +9 10 6.1 +3.9
Keflavik IF 1242 27 -7 3 6.2 -3.2
Selfoss 1190 21 -10 6 5.5 +0.5
Grindavik 1139 12 -17 2 4.6 -2.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRE FH FR FR GRI IA IV KR KI SEL STJ VR
Breidablik —
0-0-2
1.91
0-0-2
2.97
0-2-0
3.20
2-0-0
3.32
0-1-1
2.87
1-1-0
2.22
2-0-0
1.79
1-0-1
2.93
1-1-0
2.97
1-1-0
2.13
2-0-0
2.56
FH Hafnarfjordur
2-0-0
3.65
 —
2-0-0
3.72
2-0-0
3.81
1-1-0
3.90
2-0-0
3.90
1-1-0
3.11
0-0-2
2.77
2-0-0
3.82
2-0-0
3.96
0-2-0
3.21
1-0-1
3.79
Fram Reykjavik
2-0-0
2.57
0-0-2
1.84
 —
1-0-1
2.90
1-1-0
3.10
2-0-0
2.66
1-0-1
1.87
0-1-1
1.68
0-0-2
2.78
0-0-2
3.13
0-1-1
1.88
1-0-1
2.45
Fylkir Reykjavik
0-2-0
2.34
0-0-2
1.76
1-0-1
2.63
 —
1-1-0
3.22
0-0-2
2.72
0-1-1
2.09
1-0-1
1.69
1-1-0
2.56
2-0-0
2.75
0-2-0
1.97
2-0-0
2.37
Grindavik
0-0-2
2.22
0-1-1
1.67
0-1-1
2.44
0-1-1
2.32
 —
0-1-1
2.21
0-0-2
1.66
0-1-1
1.41
0-0-2
2.46
0-1-1
2.67
1-0-1
1.73
1-0-1
1.97
IA Akranes
1-1-0
2.66
0-0-2
1.68
0-0-2
2.88
2-0-0
2.82
1-1-0
3.34
 —
0-1-1
2.27
1-0-1
1.75
2-0-0
2.62
2-0-0
2.96
0-1-1
2.11
0-1-1
2.49
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0-1-1
3.33
0-1-1
2.43
1-0-1
3.69
1-1-0
3.46
2-0-0
3.93
1-1-0
3.28
 —
1-0-1
2.22
0-0-2
3.26
1-0-1
3.63
1-1-0
2.59
2-0-0
3.22
KR Reykjavik
0-0-2
3.78
2-0-0
2.77
1-1-0
3.91
1-0-1
3.89
1-1-0
4.20
1-0-1
3.83
1-0-1
3.33
 —
1-1-0
3.60
1-0-1
4.07
0-2-0
3.12
1-0-1
3.60
Keflavik IF
1-0-1
2.61
0-0-2
1.75
2-0-0
2.76
0-1-1
2.98
2-0-0
3.08
0-0-2
2.92
2-0-0
2.29
0-1-1
1.96
 —
0-1-1
3.21
1-0-1
2.17
0-0-2
2.80
Selfoss
0-1-1
2.57
0-0-2
1.63
2-0-0
2.41
0-0-2
2.78
1-1-0
2.87
0-0-2
2.58
1-0-1
1.94
1-0-1
1.52
1-1-0
2.34
 —
0-0-2
1.78
0-0-2
2.23
Stjarnan
0-1-1
3.42
0-2-0
2.33
1-1-0
3.68
0-2-0
3.59
1-0-1
3.84
1-1-0
3.44
0-1-1
2.95
0-2-0
2.42
1-0-1
3.38
2-0-0
3.79
 —
2-0-0
3.15
Valur Reykjavik
0-0-2
2.98
1-0-1
1.78
1-0-1
3.09
0-0-2
3.17
1-0-1
3.58
1-1-0
3.05
0-0-2
2.32
1-0-1
1.97
2-0-0
2.74
2-0-0
3.31
0-0-2
2.39
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.53 +10.2
Allowed 0.77 -8.2
Differential 0.89 +6.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
01.52%7.58%6.44%1.52%3.79%0.76%21.59%
17.58%11.36%6.44%3.41%1.52%—30.30%
26.44%6.44%7.58%3.79%1.89%0.76%26.89%
31.52%3.41%3.79%1.52%1.14%—11.36%
43.79%1.52%1.89%1.14%——8.33%
5+0.76%—0.76%———1.52%
Total21.59%30.30%26.89%11.36%8.33%1.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.61 +0.00
SD 1.33 1.33 2.01
CV 0.83 0.83 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
19.09%22.73%————31.82%
213.64%4.55%—4.55%——22.73%
3——4.55%———4.55%
44.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
5+———————
Total31.82%36.36%13.64%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.23 +0.23
SD 1.34 1.19 1.80
CV 0.92 0.97 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
127.27%4.55%—9.09%——40.91%
24.55%9.09%13.64%———27.27%
39.09%—————9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%—9.09%———13.64%
Total45.45%13.64%31.82%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 1.05 +1.27
SD 2.03 1.09 2.27
CV 0.88 1.04 —
Max 8 3 +8
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—18.18%9.09%——4.55%31.82%
14.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
213.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%—36.36%
3——4.55%———4.55%
44.55%——4.55%——9.09%
5+———————
Total22.73%31.82%22.73%9.09%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.64 -0.23
SD 1.26 1.43 1.93
CV 0.89 0.88 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%——9.09%4.55%22.73%
14.55%18.18%9.09%———31.82%
29.09%13.64%9.09%———31.82%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%45.45%22.73%4.55%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.77 -0.41
SD 1.00 1.77 2.32
CV 0.73 1.00 —
Max 3 8 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%—9.09%—18.18%
1—4.55%18.18%4.55%13.64%—40.91%
24.55%—18.18%—4.55%—27.27%
3———4.55%4.55%—9.09%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+———————
Total4.55%9.09%40.91%13.64%31.82%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 2.59 -1.18
SD 1.05 1.18 1.56
CV 0.75 0.46 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
19.09%13.64%13.64%———36.36%
2—9.09%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
3—4.55%13.64%———18.18%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%31.82%40.91%—4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.64 -0.18
SD 1.18 1.53 1.94
CV 0.81 0.93 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%4.55%———27.27%
14.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
29.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
49.09%4.55%————13.64%
5+———————
Total36.36%36.36%22.73%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 0.95 +0.68
SD 1.40 0.90 1.76
CV 0.85 0.94 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
14.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
29.09%9.09%9.09%13.64%——40.91%
34.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%40.91%22.73%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.45 +0.32
SD 1.07 1.10 1.70
CV 0.60 0.76 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%9.09%9.09%—27.27%
19.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
24.55%4.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%—31.82%
3—4.55%————4.55%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total27.27%22.73%13.64%22.73%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.73 -0.14
SD 1.44 1.45 2.49
CV 0.90 0.84 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%9.09%—4.55%—27.27%
14.55%4.55%4.55%18.18%——31.82%
24.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%4.55%27.27%
3———4.55%——4.55%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+———————
Total13.64%27.27%22.73%22.73%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 2.00 -0.64
SD 1.22 1.38 1.89
CV 0.89 0.69 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
14.55%22.73%—4.55%4.55%—36.36%
24.55%4.55%18.18%———27.27%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—18.18%
4—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
5+———————
Total9.09%36.36%36.36%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.73 +0.27
SD 1.15 1.08 1.45
CV 0.58 0.62 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%18.18%4.55%——31.82%
19.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
2—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
3—9.09%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
49.09%4.55%————13.64%
5+———————
Total18.18%31.82%31.82%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.55 +0.00
SD 1.47 1.10 2.05
CV 0.95 0.71 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
FH Hafnarfjordur 1408 49 39.69 +9.31 96.0% 25 30 36 40 43 49 54
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1350 35 34.31 +0.69 51.0% 18 23 29 35 39 43 47
KR Reykjavik 1350 35 39.21 -4.21 25.0% 27 30 35 39 42 47 52
Stjarnan 1331 34 36.09 -2.09 41.0% 17 24 32 37 40 47 53
Breidablik 1295 36 29.44 +6.56 89.0% 19 21 25 29 32 39 47
Valur Reykjavik 1262 28 30.49 -2.49 30.0% 13 20 27 30 35 39 43
Keflavik IF 1242 27 28.94 -1.94 46.0% 15 19 25 29 33 38 42
IA Akranes 1239 32 28.10 +3.90 79.0% 15 17 25 28 32 37 39
Fram Reykjavik 1235 27 28.28 -1.28 45.0% 14 19 25 28 33 37 41
Fylkir Reykjavik 1217 31 25.13 +5.87 84.0% 10 15 21 25 30 35 38
Selfoss 1190 21 23.24 -2.24 34.0% 12 15 20 23 26 31 35
Grindavik 1139 12 22.97 -10.97 2.0% 10 14 19 22 27 32 38

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 4.5% * Slight Edge: 4.5% to 11% * Clear Edge: 11% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+8.33%
Slight Edge
43.18%21.97%34.85%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 29.02 Elo pts.
173 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.14 goals
Neutral
-2+0.17+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.3
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
44%
FH Hafnarfjordur, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.59/gm
Runaway
00.190.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.64 * Some Luck: 4.64 to 6.96 * Lucky: 6.96 to 9.28 * Wild Swing: 9.28 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.68 * Close: 1.68 to 2.52 * Off: 2.52 to 3.36 * Way Off: 3.36 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.05 * A Surprise: 1.05 to 1.68 * Several Surprises: 1.68 to 2.31 * Many Surprises: 2.31 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.31 points
Some Luck
05.8014
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.83
Close
02.105
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
96.00%
FH Hafnarfjordur
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
2.00%
Grindavik
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 2
As Expected
01.12

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Wide Separation: 1.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 69% * Clear Edge: 69% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 94% * Dominant: 94% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55% * Some Drama: 55% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Balanced
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 77.15
1.43
Moderate Separation
0.71.351.652.5
Interquartile Edge
65%
Slight Edge
50%63%69%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
82%
Clear Edge
50%82%100%
Close Games
Expected
60%
Some Drama
0%54%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Occasional
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.36 * Notable Separation: 0.36 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.33 * Some Carryover: 0.33 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.75 * Near-Lock: 0.75 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24.5% * Upset-Prone: 24.5% to 29% * Very Upset-Prone: 29% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.27
Very Even
00.280.360.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.86
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.76
Near-Lock
00.330.590.751
Upset Rate
Expected
33%
Very Upset-Prone
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Shaky Favorites
0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.36
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.95
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.091
Well Within Noise
00.1440.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
FH Hafnarfjordur44.00%23.00%7.00%11.00%8.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%———
Breidablik1.00%4.00%3.00%7.00%20.00%9.00%13.00%11.00%11.00%14.00%7.00%—
IBV Vestmannaeyjar9.00%18.00%16.00%16.00%10.00%7.00%6.00%8.00%4.00%1.00%5.00%—
KR Reykjavik28.00%22.00%21.00%10.00%8.00%5.00%2.00%4.00%————
Stjarnan16.00%14.00%22.00%12.00%9.00%10.00%4.00%5.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%
IA Akranes—1.00%10.00%7.00%7.00%11.00%11.00%14.00%13.00%10.00%7.00%9.00%
Fylkir Reykjavik—1.00%2.00%5.00%3.00%9.00%10.00%7.00%12.00%16.00%15.00%20.00%
Valur Reykjavik1.00%7.00%8.00%10.00%11.00%20.00%14.00%10.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%4.00%
Keflavik IF1.00%6.00%3.00%13.00%8.00%9.00%13.00%11.00%14.00%9.00%9.00%4.00%
Fram Reykjavik—3.00%7.00%6.00%9.00%12.00%11.00%17.00%11.00%7.00%11.00%6.00%
Selfoss———2.00%3.00%1.00%8.00%5.00%17.00%18.00%25.00%21.00%
Grindavik—1.00%1.00%1.00%4.00%4.00%6.00%7.00%10.00%17.00%15.00%34.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
FH Hafnarfjordur 100% —
KR Reykjavik 100% —
Stjarnan 96.00% 4.00%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 95.00% 5.00%
Breidablik 93.00% 7.00%
Valur Reykjavik 92.00% 8.00%
Keflavik IF 87.00% 13.00%
IA Akranes 84.00% 16.00%
Fram Reykjavik 83.00% 17.00%
Fylkir Reykjavik 65.00% 35.00%
Selfoss 54.00% 46.00%
Grindavik 51.00% 49.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2012-05-06 Grindavik D 1-153.6 1337 1230 56.70% 21.44% 21.85%+0.79 -1.2 1
2012-05-06 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-153.6 1230 1337 21.85% 21.44% 56.70%-0.79 +1.2 1
2012-05-06 IA Akranes L 0-143.1 1258 1238 45.60% 23.03% 31.37%+0.28 -6.8 0
2012-05-06 @ Breidablik W 1-043.1 1238 1258 31.37% 23.03% 45.60%-0.28 +6.8 3
2012-05-06 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-147.9 1219 1296 32.24% 23.10% 44.66%-0.28 +6.2 3
2012-05-06 @ Selfoss L 1-247.9 1296 1219 44.66% 23.10% 32.24%+0.28 -6.3 0
2012-05-06 Keflavik IF D 1-152.6 1229 1238 41.62% 23.25% 35.13%+0.12 -0.2 1
2012-05-06 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-152.6 1238 1229 35.13% 23.25% 41.62%-0.12 +0.2 1
2012-05-06 Stjarnan D 2-259.9 1370 1330 48.37% 22.78% 28.85%+0.40 -0.5 1
2012-05-06 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-259.9 1330 1370 28.85% 22.78% 48.37%-0.40 +0.5 1
2012-05-07 Valur Reykjavik L 0-141.4 1244 1270 39.16% 23.30% 37.54%+0.02 -6.0 0
2012-05-07 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-041.4 1270 1244 37.54% 23.30% 39.16%-0.02 +6.0 3
2012-05-10 Breidablik D 0-049.1 1289 1251 48.15% 22.80% 29.05%+0.39 -0.7 1
2012-05-10 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-049.1 1251 1289 29.05% 22.80% 48.15%-0.39 +0.7 1
2012-05-10 Fram Reykjavik W 1-036.2 1336 1238 55.63% 21.67% 22.70%+0.73 +3.8 4
2012-05-10 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-136.2 1238 1336 22.70% 21.67% 55.63%-0.73 -3.8 0
2012-05-10 Fylkir Reykjavik D 2-259.0 1330 1228 56.11% 21.57% 22.32%+0.76 -0.8 2
2012-05-10 @ Stjarnan D 2-259.0 1228 1330 22.32% 21.57% 56.11%-0.76 +0.8 2
2012-05-10 Keflavik IF L 0-436.1 1231 1238 41.98% 23.24% 34.79%+0.13 -22.6 1
2012-05-10 @ Grindavik W 4-036.1 1238 1231 34.79% 23.24% 41.98%-0.13 +22.6 4
2012-05-10 KR Reykjavik W 3-255.5 1245 1369 26.48% 22.44% 51.07%-0.56 +6.6 6
2012-05-10 @ IA Akranes L 2-355.5 1369 1245 51.07% 22.44% 26.48%+0.56 -6.6 1
2012-05-10 Selfoss W 3-139.9 1276 1225 49.78% 22.61% 27.60%+0.46 +7.4 6
2012-05-10 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-339.9 1225 1276 27.60% 22.61% 49.78%-0.46 -7.4 3
2012-05-14 Stjarnan L 0-139.9 1260 1329 33.24% 23.16% 43.60%-0.23 -5.3 4
2012-05-14 @ Keflavik IF W 1-039.9 1329 1260 43.60% 23.16% 33.24%+0.23 +5.3 5
2012-05-15 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-137.6 1218 1340 26.83% 22.50% 50.67%-0.54 -4.4 3
2012-05-15 @ Selfoss W 1-037.6 1340 1218 50.67% 22.50% 26.83%+0.54 +4.4 7
2012-05-15 Grindavik W 4-352.1 1234 1209 46.40% 22.97% 30.63%+0.32 +4.3 3
2012-05-15 @ Fram Reykjavik L 3-452.1 1209 1234 30.63% 22.97% 46.40%-0.32 -4.3 1
2012-05-15 IA Akranes L 0-141.4 1229 1251 39.76% 23.29% 36.94%+0.04 -6.0 2
2012-05-15 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-041.4 1251 1229 36.94% 23.29% 39.76%-0.04 +6.0 9
2012-05-15 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-248.0 1363 1289 52.74% 22.19% 25.07%+0.60 +3.7 4
2012-05-15 @ KR Reykjavik L 2-348.0 1289 1363 25.07% 22.19% 52.74%-0.60 -3.7 1
2012-05-15 Valur Reykjavik W 1-041.2 1251 1284 38.31% 23.30% 38.38%-0.02 +5.9 4
2012-05-15 @ Breidablik L 0-141.2 1284 1251 38.38% 23.30% 38.31%+0.02 -5.9 6
2012-05-20 Breidablik W 3-031.4 1344 1257 54.28% 21.92% 23.79%+0.67 +10.8 10
2012-05-20 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-331.4 1257 1344 23.79% 21.92% 54.28%-0.67 -10.8 4
2012-05-20 Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-153.0 1285 1223 51.18% 22.43% 26.39%+0.53 -0.8 2
2012-05-20 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-153.0 1223 1285 26.39% 22.43% 51.18%-0.53 +0.8 3
2012-05-20 Keflavik IF W 3-250.0 1257 1255 43.20% 23.18% 33.62%+0.18 +4.8 12
2012-05-20 @ IA Akranes L 2-350.0 1255 1257 33.62% 23.18% 43.20%-0.18 -4.7 4
2012-05-20 KR Reykjavik L 0-139.5 1278 1367 30.70% 22.98% 46.32%-0.35 -4.9 6
2012-05-20 @ Valur Reykjavik W 1-039.5 1367 1278 46.32% 22.98% 30.70%+0.35 +4.9 7
2012-05-21 Selfoss L 0-239.9 1239 1214 46.33% 22.97% 30.70%+0.31 -12.9 3
2012-05-21 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-039.9 1214 1239 30.70% 22.97% 46.33%-0.31 +12.9 6
2012-05-21 Stjarnan L 1-437.1 1204 1335 25.90% 22.34% 51.76%-0.59 -9.9 1
2012-05-21 @ Grindavik W 4-137.1 1335 1204 51.76% 22.34% 25.90%+0.59 +9.9 8
2012-05-23 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-037.5 1371 1355 45.19% 23.06% 31.74%+0.26 +9.6 10
2012-05-23 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-237.5 1355 1371 31.74% 23.06% 45.19%-0.26 -9.6 10
2012-05-24 Fram Reykjavik L 0-239.8 1247 1226 45.77% 23.02% 31.21%+0.29 -12.8 4
2012-05-24 @ Breidablik W 2-039.8 1226 1247 31.21% 23.02% 45.77%-0.29 +12.8 6
2012-05-24 Grindavik D 3-362.6 1226 1195 47.26% 22.89% 29.85%+0.35 -0.3 7
2012-05-24 @ Selfoss D 3-362.6 1195 1226 29.85% 22.89% 47.26%-0.35 +0.4 2
2012-05-24 IA Akranes D 1-153.6 1344 1262 53.76% 22.02% 24.22%+0.65 -1.0 9
2012-05-24 @ Stjarnan D 1-153.6 1262 1344 24.22% 22.02% 53.76%-0.65 +1.0 13
2012-05-24 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-041.3 1250 1284 38.07% 23.30% 38.63%-0.03 +5.9 7
2012-05-24 @ Keflavik IF L 0-141.3 1284 1250 38.63% 23.30% 38.07%+0.03 -5.9 2
2012-05-24 Valur Reykjavik W 3-144.0 1224 1273 35.96% 23.27% 40.77%-0.11 +10.1 6
2012-05-24 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-344.0 1273 1224 40.77% 23.27% 35.96%+0.11 -10.1 6
2012-05-29 Stjarnan W 4-143.0 1278 1343 33.74% 23.19% 43.07%-0.21 +14.9 5
2012-05-29 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-443.0 1343 1278 43.07% 23.19% 33.74%+0.21 -14.9 9
2012-05-31 Breidablik L 0-238.7 1226 1234 41.81% 23.24% 34.95%+0.12 -11.9 7
2012-05-31 @ Selfoss W 2-038.7 1234 1226 34.95% 23.24% 41.81%-0.12 +11.9 7
2012-05-31 Keflavik IF W 4-033.6 1263 1256 43.79% 23.15% 33.06%+0.21 +18.7 9
2012-05-31 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-433.6 1256 1263 33.06% 23.15% 43.79%-0.21 -18.7 7
2012-06-02 Fylkir Reykjavik W 8-032.7 1345 1234 57.22% 21.33% 21.45%+0.81 +24.7 13
2012-06-02 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-832.7 1234 1345 21.45% 21.33% 57.22%-0.81 -24.7 6
2012-06-02 IA Akranes D 2-258.2 1195 1263 33.34% 23.17% 43.49%-0.23 +0.2 3
2012-06-02 @ Grindavik D 2-258.2 1263 1195 43.49% 23.17% 33.34%+0.23 -0.2 14
2012-06-02 KR Reykjavik L 1-242.2 1238 1381 24.59% 22.09% 53.32%-0.66 -3.8 6
2012-06-02 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-142.2 1381 1238 53.32% 22.09% 24.59%+0.66 +3.8 13
2012-06-14 Fram Reykjavik W 1-040.6 1209 1235 39.31% 23.30% 37.39%+0.02 +5.8 9
2012-06-14 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-140.6 1235 1209 37.39% 23.30% 39.31%-0.02 -5.8 6
2012-06-15 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-435.4 1263 1293 38.58% 23.30% 38.12%-0.01 -21.1 14
2012-06-15 @ IA Akranes W 4-035.4 1293 1263 38.12% 23.30% 38.58%+0.01 +21.1 8
2012-06-15 Valur Reykjavik W 3-248.7 1329 1281 49.28% 22.68% 28.05%+0.44 +4.1 12
2012-06-15 @ Stjarnan L 2-348.7 1281 1329 28.05% 22.68% 49.28%-0.44 -4.1 9
2012-06-16 FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-444.2 1238 1370 25.66% 22.30% 52.04%-0.60 -6.2 7
2012-06-16 @ Keflavik IF W 4-244.2 1370 1238 52.04% 22.30% 25.66%+0.60 +6.2 16
2012-06-16 Grindavik W 2-034.2 1246 1195 49.72% 22.62% 27.66%+0.46 +8.5 10
2012-06-16 @ Breidablik L 0-234.2 1195 1246 27.66% 22.62% 49.72%-0.46 -8.5 3
2012-06-16 Selfoss W 3-136.2 1385 1214 63.76% 19.57% 16.67%+1.16 +4.6 16
2012-06-16 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-336.2 1214 1385 16.67% 19.57% 63.76%-1.16 -4.6 7
2012-06-20 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-247.0 1210 1215 42.12% 23.23% 34.65%+0.14 -6.0 7
2012-06-20 @ Selfoss W 2-147.0 1215 1210 34.65% 23.23% 42.12%-0.14 +6.0 12
2012-06-20 IA Akranes W 2-143.3 1277 1242 47.77% 22.84% 29.39%+0.38 +4.5 12
2012-06-20 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-243.3 1242 1277 29.39% 22.84% 47.77%-0.38 -4.5 14
2012-06-20 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-339.4 1187 1314 26.17% 22.39% 51.44%-0.57 -7.0 3
2012-06-20 @ Grindavik W 3-139.4 1314 1187 51.44% 22.39% 26.17%+0.57 +7.0 11
2012-06-20 Keflavik IF L 0-238.9 1229 1231 42.53% 23.21% 34.26%+0.15 -12.0 6
2012-06-20 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-038.9 1231 1229 34.26% 23.21% 42.53%-0.15 +12.0 10
2012-06-20 KR Reykjavik W 2-150.8 1254 1389 25.35% 22.24% 52.40%-0.62 +7.2 13
2012-06-20 @ Breidablik L 1-250.8 1389 1254 52.40% 22.24% 25.35%+0.62 -7.2 16
2012-06-20 Stjarnan D 2-260.0 1376 1333 48.80% 22.73% 28.47%+0.42 -0.5 17
2012-06-20 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-260.0 1333 1376 28.47% 22.73% 48.80%-0.42 +0.5 13
2012-06-29 Valur Reykjavik W 2-035.3 1321 1282 48.27% 22.79% 28.94%+0.40 +8.8 14
2012-06-29 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-235.3 1282 1321 28.94% 22.79% 48.27%-0.40 -8.8 12
2012-06-30 FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-736.5 1237 1376 25.02% 22.18% 52.80%-0.63 -12.6 14
2012-06-30 @ IA Akranes W 7-236.5 1376 1237 52.80% 22.18% 25.02%+0.63 +12.6 20
2012-07-01 Grindavik W 4-132.7 1382 1180 66.99% 18.48% 14.54%+1.34 +5.6 19
2012-07-01 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-432.7 1180 1382 14.54% 18.48% 66.99%-1.34 -5.6 3
2012-07-02 Breidablik D 1-152.7 1221 1261 37.17% 23.30% 39.54%-0.06 +0.1 13
2012-07-02 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-152.7 1261 1221 39.54% 23.30% 37.17%+0.06 -0.1 14
2012-07-02 Fram Reykjavik W 4-242.1 1333 1217 57.82% 21.19% 20.99%+0.84 +5.1 16
2012-07-02 @ Stjarnan L 2-442.1 1217 1333 20.99% 21.19% 57.82%-0.84 -5.1 6
2012-07-02 Selfoss D 2-258.3 1243 1204 48.30% 22.79% 28.91%+0.40 -0.5 11
2012-07-02 @ Keflavik IF D 2-258.3 1204 1243 28.91% 22.79% 48.30%-0.40 +0.5 8
2012-07-05 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-139.1 1388 1221 63.36% 19.70% 16.95%+1.13 +2.7 22
2012-07-05 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-239.1 1221 1388 16.95% 19.70% 63.36%-1.13 -2.7 13
2012-07-05 IA Akranes W 2-036.8 1212 1225 41.06% 23.27% 35.67%+0.09 +10.5 9
2012-07-05 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-236.8 1225 1212 35.67% 23.27% 41.06%-0.09 -10.5 14
2012-07-05 Keflavik IF L 0-437.2 1261 1243 45.42% 23.05% 31.54%+0.27 -24.1 14
2012-07-05 @ Breidablik W 4-037.2 1243 1261 31.54% 23.05% 45.42%-0.27 +24.1 14
2012-07-05 Stjarnan L 1-339.3 1204 1338 25.48% 22.27% 52.26%-0.61 -6.9 8
2012-07-05 @ Selfoss W 3-139.3 1338 1204 52.26% 22.27% 25.48%+0.61 +6.9 19
2012-07-05 Valur Reykjavik W 2-040.3 1174 1273 29.45% 22.85% 47.70%-0.41 +13.2 6
2012-07-05 @ Grindavik L 0-240.3 1273 1174 47.70% 22.85% 29.45%+0.41 -13.2 12
2012-07-12 KR Reykjavik D 1-153.9 1267 1391 26.62% 22.47% 50.91%-0.55 +0.8 15
2012-07-12 @ Keflavik IF D 1-153.9 1391 1267 50.91% 22.47% 26.62%+0.55 -0.8 23
2012-07-15 FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-147.9 1260 1388 26.08% 22.38% 51.54%-0.58 +12.2 15
2012-07-15 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-347.9 1388 1260 51.54% 22.38% 26.08%+0.58 -12.2 20
2012-07-15 Fram Reykjavik W 3-246.1 1330 1222 56.85% 21.41% 21.74%+0.79 +3.2 17
2012-07-15 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 2-346.1 1222 1330 21.74% 21.41% 56.85%-0.79 -3.2 9
2012-07-16 Breidablik D 1-153.7 1345 1237 56.84% 21.41% 21.74%+0.79 -1.2 20
2012-07-16 @ Stjarnan D 1-153.7 1237 1345 21.74% 21.41% 56.84%-0.79 +1.2 15
2012-07-16 Grindavik W 2-143.2 1218 1187 47.17% 22.90% 29.93%+0.35 +4.5 16
2012-07-16 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-243.2 1187 1218 29.93% 22.90% 47.17%-0.35 -4.5 6
2012-07-16 Selfoss W 4-032.9 1214 1197 45.21% 23.06% 31.73%+0.27 +18.1 17
2012-07-16 @ IA Akranes L 0-432.9 1197 1214 31.73% 23.06% 45.21%-0.27 -18.1 8
2012-07-21 KR Reykjavik D 1-154.7 1344 1390 36.38% 23.28% 40.33%-0.10 +0.1 21
2012-07-21 @ Stjarnan D 1-154.7 1390 1344 40.33% 23.28% 36.38%+0.10 -0.1 24
2012-07-22 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-135.0 1183 1376 19.85% 20.83% 59.32%-0.95 -3.3 6
2012-07-22 @ Grindavik W 1-035.0 1376 1183 59.32% 20.83% 19.85%+0.95 +3.3 23
2012-07-23 Breidablik D 1-152.6 1232 1238 42.02% 23.23% 34.74%+0.13 -0.2 18
2012-07-23 @ IA Akranes D 1-152.6 1238 1232 34.74% 23.23% 42.02%-0.13 +0.2 16
2012-07-23 Fram Reykjavik L 0-241.0 1272 1219 50.06% 22.58% 27.36%+0.48 -13.8 15
2012-07-23 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-041.0 1219 1272 27.36% 22.58% 50.06%-0.48 +13.8 12
2012-07-23 Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-240.8 1268 1223 48.97% 22.71% 28.32%+0.43 -13.5 15
2012-07-23 @ Keflavik IF W 2-040.8 1223 1268 28.32% 22.71% 48.97%-0.43 +13.5 19
2012-07-23 Selfoss W 1-034.0 1333 1179 62.04% 20.09% 17.87%+1.06 +3.0 20
2012-07-23 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-134.0 1179 1333 17.87% 20.09% 62.04%-1.06 -3.0 8
2012-07-29 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-044.0 1239 1336 29.59% 22.86% 47.55%-0.40 +7.0 19
2012-07-29 @ Breidablik L 0-144.0 1336 1239 47.55% 22.86% 29.59%+0.40 -7.0 20
2012-07-29 Stjarnan D 3-363.2 1237 1344 28.44% 22.73% 48.83%-0.46 +0.4 20
2012-07-29 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 3-363.2 1344 1237 48.83% 22.73% 28.44%+0.46 -0.4 22
2012-07-29 Valur Reykjavik L 0-138.8 1176 1258 31.54% 23.05% 45.41%-0.31 -5.0 8
2012-07-29 @ Selfoss W 1-038.8 1258 1176 45.41% 23.05% 31.54%+0.31 +5.0 18
2012-07-30 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-137.0 1233 1379 24.17% 22.01% 53.83%-0.68 -4.0 12
2012-07-30 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-037.0 1379 1233 53.83% 22.01% 24.17%+0.68 +4.0 26
2012-07-30 Grindavik W 2-141.5 1254 1179 52.84% 22.17% 24.99%+0.60 +3.9 18
2012-07-30 @ Keflavik IF L 1-241.5 1179 1254 24.99% 22.17% 52.84%-0.60 -3.9 6
2012-07-30 IA Akranes W 2-031.2 1390 1232 62.40% 19.98% 17.61%+1.08 +5.6 27
2012-07-30 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-231.2 1232 1390 17.61% 19.98% 62.40%-1.08 -5.6 18
2012-08-08 Breidablik L 3-456.7 1263 1246 45.35% 23.05% 31.60%+0.27 -5.9 18
2012-08-08 @ Valur Reykjavik W 4-356.7 1246 1263 31.60% 23.05% 45.35%-0.27 +5.9 22
2012-08-08 Fram Reykjavik D 2-258.1 1175 1229 35.36% 23.26% 41.38%-0.14 +0.1 7
2012-08-08 @ Grindavik D 2-258.1 1229 1175 41.38% 23.26% 35.36%+0.14 -0.1 13
2012-08-08 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-145.0 1226 1237 41.40% 23.26% 35.35%+0.11 +5.2 21
2012-08-08 @ IA Akranes L 1-245.0 1237 1226 35.35% 23.26% 41.40%-0.11 -5.2 20
2012-08-08 Keflavik IF L 1-348.2 1344 1258 54.15% 21.95% 23.90%+0.66 -12.7 22
2012-08-08 @ Stjarnan W 3-148.2 1258 1344 23.90% 21.95% 54.15%-0.66 +12.7 21
2012-08-08 KR Reykjavik W 2-041.0 1329 1395 33.66% 23.19% 43.16%-0.21 +12.2 23
2012-08-08 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-241.0 1395 1329 43.16% 23.19% 33.66%+0.21 -12.2 27
2012-08-08 Selfoss W 5-235.6 1383 1171 67.91% 18.13% 13.95%+1.40 +4.6 29
2012-08-08 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-535.6 1171 1383 13.95% 18.13% 67.91%-1.40 -4.6 8
2012-08-12 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-137.6 1251 1388 25.21% 22.22% 52.57%-0.62 -4.2 22
2012-08-12 @ Breidablik W 1-037.6 1388 1251 52.57% 22.22% 25.21%+0.62 +4.2 32
2012-08-12 Fram Reykjavik W 4-248.8 1166 1228 34.16% 23.21% 42.63%-0.19 +9.3 11
2012-08-12 @ Selfoss L 2-448.8 1228 1166 42.63% 23.21% 34.16%+0.19 -9.3 13
2012-08-12 Grindavik L 3-460.8 1331 1176 62.16% 20.06% 17.79%+1.07 -7.7 22
2012-08-12 @ Stjarnan W 4-360.8 1176 1331 17.79% 20.06% 62.16%-1.07 +7.7 10
2012-08-12 IA Akranes L 2-354.2 1271 1232 48.25% 22.79% 28.96%+0.40 -6.3 21
2012-08-12 @ Keflavik IF W 3-254.2 1232 1271 28.96% 22.79% 48.25%-0.40 +6.3 24
2012-08-12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-432.2 1232 1342 28.17% 22.69% 49.14%-0.47 -16.4 20
2012-08-12 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 4-032.2 1342 1232 49.14% 22.69% 28.17%+0.47 +16.4 26
2012-08-12 Valur Reykjavik L 2-357.7 1383 1257 58.88% 20.94% 20.18%+0.90 -7.5 27
2012-08-12 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-257.7 1257 1383 20.18% 20.94% 58.88%-0.90 +7.5 21
2012-08-20 Breidablik W 3-251.1 1219 1247 38.90% 23.30% 37.80%+0.01 +5.2 16
2012-08-20 @ Fram Reykjavik L 2-351.1 1247 1219 37.80% 23.30% 38.90%-0.01 -5.2 22
2012-08-20 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-249.2 1265 1215 49.60% 22.64% 27.76%+0.46 -6.8 21
2012-08-20 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-149.2 1215 1265 27.76% 22.64% 49.60%-0.46 +6.8 23
2012-08-20 Keflavik IF L 0-146.3 1358 1265 55.11% 21.77% 23.12%+0.71 -7.9 26
2012-08-20 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-046.3 1265 1358 23.12% 21.77% 55.11%-0.71 +7.9 24
2012-08-20 Selfoss L 0-436.5 1183 1176 43.92% 23.15% 32.94%+0.21 -23.4 10
2012-08-20 @ Grindavik W 4-036.5 1176 1183 32.94% 23.15% 43.92%-0.21 +23.4 14
2012-08-23 KR Reykjavik L 1-347.8 1392 1376 45.19% 23.06% 31.75%+0.26 -11.0 32
2012-08-23 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-147.8 1376 1392 31.75% 23.06% 45.19%-0.26 +10.9 30
2012-08-23 Stjarnan L 1-244.1 1238 1323 31.13% 23.01% 45.86%-0.33 -4.7 24
2012-08-23 @ IA Akranes W 2-144.1 1323 1238 45.86% 23.01% 31.13%+0.33 +4.7 25
2012-08-26 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-136.5 1222 1381 22.94% 21.73% 55.33%-0.75 -3.8 23
2012-08-26 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-036.5 1381 1222 55.33% 21.73% 22.94%+0.75 +3.8 35
2012-08-26 Grindavik W 2-141.5 1233 1160 52.65% 22.21% 25.15%+0.59 +3.9 27
2012-08-26 @ IA Akranes L 1-241.5 1160 1233 25.15% 22.21% 52.65%-0.59 -3.9 10
2012-08-26 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-153.9 1328 1350 39.76% 23.29% 36.95%+0.04 -0.1 26
2012-08-26 @ Stjarnan D 1-153.9 1350 1328 36.95% 23.29% 39.76%-0.04 +0.1 27
2012-08-26 Selfoss D 1-152.7 1242 1199 48.71% 22.74% 28.55%+0.42 -0.7 23
2012-08-26 @ Breidablik D 1-152.7 1199 1242 28.55% 22.74% 48.71%-0.42 +0.6 15
2012-08-27 Fram Reykjavik D 1-154.3 1386 1224 62.88% 19.84% 17.28%+1.11 -1.5 31
2012-08-27 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-154.3 1224 1386 17.28% 19.84% 62.88%-1.11 +1.5 17
2012-08-27 Valur Reykjavik L 0-437.1 1272 1258 44.88% 23.08% 32.03%+0.25 -23.8 24
2012-08-27 @ Keflavik IF W 4-037.1 1258 1272 32.03% 23.08% 44.88%-0.25 +23.9 24
2012-08-30 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-036.9 1385 1350 47.66% 22.85% 29.49%+0.37 +9.0 38
2012-08-30 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-236.9 1350 1385 29.49% 22.85% 47.66%-0.37 -9.0 27
2012-09-02 IA Akranes D 0-049.7 1341 1237 56.38% 21.51% 22.11%+0.77 -1.3 28
2012-09-02 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-049.7 1237 1341 22.11% 21.51% 56.38%-0.77 +1.3 28
2012-09-02 KR Reykjavik W 1-046.8 1200 1385 20.56% 21.06% 58.38%-0.90 +8.3 18
2012-09-02 @ Selfoss L 0-146.8 1385 1200 58.38% 21.06% 20.56%+0.90 -8.3 31
2012-09-02 Stjarnan L 0-237.7 1282 1328 36.36% 23.28% 40.36%-0.10 -10.7 24
2012-09-02 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-037.7 1328 1282 40.36% 23.28% 36.36%+0.10 +10.6 29
2012-09-03 Breidablik L 2-445.3 1156 1241 31.12% 23.01% 45.87%-0.33 -7.3 10
2012-09-03 @ Grindavik W 4-245.3 1241 1156 45.87% 23.01% 31.12%+0.33 +7.3 26
2012-09-03 Fylkir Reykjavik W 4-033.3 1226 1218 43.94% 23.14% 32.92%+0.21 +18.7 20
2012-09-03 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-433.3 1218 1226 32.92% 23.14% 43.94%-0.21 -18.7 23
2012-09-03 Keflavik IF W 3-029.7 1394 1249 61.08% 20.36% 18.56%+1.01 +8.5 41
2012-09-03 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-329.7 1249 1394 18.56% 20.36% 61.08%-1.01 -8.5 24
2012-09-16 Breidablik L 0-441.3 1377 1249 59.14% 20.87% 19.98%+0.91 -30.1 31
2012-09-16 @ KR Reykjavik W 4-041.3 1249 1377 19.98% 20.87% 59.14%-0.91 +30.1 29
2012-09-16 FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-260.4 1339 1403 33.89% 23.20% 42.91%-0.20 +0.2 30
2012-09-16 @ Stjarnan D 2-260.4 1403 1339 42.91% 23.20% 33.89%+0.20 -0.2 42
2012-09-16 Fram Reykjavik W 5-034.5 1240 1245 42.26% 23.23% 34.51%+0.14 +23.9 27
2012-09-16 @ Keflavik IF L 0-534.5 1245 1240 34.51% 23.23% 42.26%-0.14 -23.9 20
2012-09-16 Grindavik W 2-137.8 1340 1149 65.87% 18.87% 15.26%+1.28 +2.4 31
2012-09-16 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-237.8 1149 1340 15.26% 18.87% 65.87%-1.28 -2.4 10
2012-09-16 Selfoss W 2-036.5 1200 1208 41.68% 23.25% 35.07%+0.12 +10.3 26
2012-09-16 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-236.5 1208 1200 35.07% 23.25% 41.68%-0.12 -10.4 18
2012-09-16 Valur Reykjavik D 1-152.8 1238 1271 38.21% 23.30% 38.49%-0.02 +0.0 29
2012-09-16 @ IA Akranes D 1-152.8 1271 1238 38.49% 23.30% 38.21%+0.02 -0.0 25
2012-09-20 Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-153.0 1279 1210 52.06% 22.30% 25.64%+0.57 -0.9 30
2012-09-20 @ Breidablik D 1-153.0 1210 1279 25.64% 22.30% 52.06%-0.57 +0.8 27
2012-09-20 IA Akranes W 2-139.5 1402 1238 63.07% 19.78% 17.15%+1.12 +2.7 45
2012-09-20 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-239.5 1238 1402 17.15% 19.78% 63.07%-1.12 -2.7 29
2012-09-20 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-334.6 1271 1342 32.96% 23.15% 43.89%-0.24 -14.3 25
2012-09-20 @ Valur Reykjavik W 3-034.6 1342 1271 43.89% 23.15% 32.96%+0.24 +14.3 34
2012-09-20 Keflavik IF W 2-147.4 1198 1264 33.61% 23.18% 43.21%-0.22 +6.1 21
2012-09-20 @ Selfoss L 1-247.4 1264 1198 43.21% 23.18% 33.61%+0.22 -6.1 27
2012-09-20 KR Reykjavik D 2-259.1 1146 1346 19.27% 20.63% 60.09%-0.99 +1.0 11
2012-09-20 @ Grindavik D 2-259.1 1346 1146 60.09% 20.63% 19.27%+0.99 -1.0 32
2012-09-20 Stjarnan D 1-153.2 1221 1339 27.23% 22.56% 50.21%-0.52 +0.7 21
2012-09-20 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-153.2 1339 1221 50.21% 22.56% 27.23%+0.52 -0.7 31
2012-09-23 Breidablik L 2-352.0 1258 1278 40.06% 23.29% 36.65%+0.05 -5.5 27
2012-09-23 @ Keflavik IF W 3-252.0 1278 1258 36.65% 23.29% 40.06%-0.05 +5.4 33
2012-09-23 FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-260.7 1357 1405 36.01% 23.27% 40.72%-0.11 +0.1 35
2012-09-23 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-260.7 1405 1357 40.72% 23.27% 36.01%+0.11 -0.1 46
2012-09-23 Fram Reykjavik L 0-142.8 1236 1221 44.87% 23.09% 32.05%+0.25 -6.7 29
2012-09-23 @ IA Akranes W 1-042.8 1221 1236 32.05% 23.09% 44.87%-0.25 +6.7 24
2012-09-23 Grindavik W 4-135.1 1257 1147 57.05% 21.37% 21.58%+0.80 +8.3 28
2012-09-23 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-435.1 1147 1257 21.58% 21.37% 57.05%-0.80 -8.3 11
2012-09-23 KR Reykjavik W 3-255.5 1211 1345 25.42% 22.26% 52.32%-0.61 +6.8 30
2012-09-23 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 2-355.5 1345 1211 52.32% 22.26% 25.42%+0.61 -6.8 32
2012-09-23 Selfoss W 4-241.5 1338 1204 59.83% 20.70% 19.47%+0.95 +4.8 34
2012-09-23 @ Stjarnan L 2-441.5 1204 1338 19.47% 20.70% 59.83%-0.95 -4.8 21
2012-09-29 Fylkir Reykjavik D 2-258.0 1139 1218 31.97% 23.08% 44.95%-0.29 +0.3 12
2012-09-29 @ Grindavik D 2-258.0 1218 1139 44.95% 23.08% 31.97%+0.29 -0.3 31
2012-09-29 IA Akranes L 1-343.2 1199 1229 38.65% 23.30% 38.05%+0.00 -9.7 21
2012-09-29 @ Selfoss W 3-143.2 1229 1199 38.05% 23.30% 38.65%+0.00 +9.7 32
2012-09-29 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-150.1 1228 1357 26.06% 22.37% 51.57%-0.58 +7.1 27
2012-09-29 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-250.1 1357 1228 51.57% 22.37% 26.06%+0.58 -7.0 35
2012-09-29 Keflavik IF W 3-031.3 1339 1252 54.24% 21.93% 23.83%+0.67 +10.8 35
2012-09-29 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-331.3 1252 1339 23.83% 21.93% 54.24%-0.67 -10.8 27
2012-09-29 Stjarnan W 2-039.6 1283 1343 34.51% 23.23% 42.27%-0.18 +12.0 36
2012-09-29 @ Breidablik L 0-239.6 1343 1283 42.27% 23.23% 34.51%+0.18 -12.0 34
2012-09-29 Valur Reykjavik W 2-140.5 1405 1265 60.45% 20.54% 19.01%+0.98 +3.0 49
2012-09-29 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-240.5 1265 1405 19.01% 20.54% 60.45%-0.98 -3.0 28

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2012-08-12 17.79% Grindavik 1176 4 @ Stjarnan 1331 3
2 2012-09-16 19.98% Breidablik 1249 4 @ KR Reykjavik 1377 0
3 2012-08-12 20.18% Valur Reykjavik 1257 3 @ KR Reykjavik 1383 2
4 2012-09-02 20.56% @ Selfoss 1200 1 KR Reykjavik 1385 0
5 2012-08-20 23.12% Keflavik IF 1265 1 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1358 0
6 2012-08-08 23.90% Keflavik IF 1258 3 @ Stjarnan 1344 1
7 2012-06-20 25.35% @ Breidablik 1254 2 KR Reykjavik 1389 1
8 2012-09-23 25.42% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1211 3 KR Reykjavik 1345 2
9 2012-09-29 26.06% @ Fram Reykjavik 1228 2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1357 1
10 2012-07-15 26.08% @ Valur Reykjavik 1260 3 FH Hafnarfjordur 1388 1
11 2012-05-10 26.48% @ IA Akranes 1245 3 KR Reykjavik 1369 2
12 2012-07-23 27.36% Fram Reykjavik 1219 2 @ Valur Reykjavik 1272 0
13 2012-08-20 27.76% Fylkir Reykjavik 1215 2 @ Valur Reykjavik 1265 1
14 2012-07-23 28.32% Fylkir Reykjavik 1223 2 @ Keflavik IF 1268 0
15 2012-08-12 28.96% IA Akranes 1232 3 @ Keflavik IF 1271 2
16 2012-07-05 29.45% @ Grindavik 1174 2 Valur Reykjavik 1273 0
17 2012-07-29 29.59% @ Breidablik 1239 1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1336 0
18 2012-05-21 30.70% Selfoss 1214 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1239 0
19 2012-05-24 31.21% Fram Reykjavik 1226 2 @ Breidablik 1247 0
20 2012-05-06 31.37% IA Akranes 1238 1 @ Breidablik 1258 0
21 2012-07-05 31.54% Keflavik IF 1243 4 @ Breidablik 1261 0
22 2012-08-08 31.60% Breidablik 1246 4 @ Valur Reykjavik 1263 3
23 2012-08-23 31.75% KR Reykjavik 1376 3 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1392 1
24 2012-08-27 32.03% Valur Reykjavik 1258 4 @ Keflavik IF 1272 0
25 2012-09-23 32.05% Fram Reykjavik 1221 1 @ IA Akranes 1236 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-09-16 30.12 Breidablik 4 1249 19.98% @ KR Reykjavik 0 1377 59.14% 20.87%
2 2012-06-02 24.72 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 8 1345 57.22% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1234 21.45% 21.33%
3 2012-07-05 24.08 Keflavik IF 4 1243 31.54% @ Breidablik 0 1261 45.42% 23.05%
4 2012-09-16 23.90 @ Keflavik IF 5 1240 42.26% Fram Reykjavik 0 1245 34.51% 23.23%
5 2012-08-27 23.85 Valur Reykjavik 4 1258 32.03% @ Keflavik IF 0 1272 44.88% 23.08%
6 2012-08-20 23.43 Selfoss 4 1176 32.94% @ Grindavik 0 1183 43.92% 23.15%
7 2012-05-10 22.59 Keflavik IF 4 1238 34.79% @ Grindavik 0 1231 41.98% 23.24%
8 2012-06-15 21.15 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 1293 38.12% @ IA Akranes 0 1263 38.58% 23.30%
9 2012-05-31 18.74 @ Valur Reykjavik 4 1263 43.79% Keflavik IF 0 1256 33.06% 23.15%
10 2012-09-03 18.67 @ Fram Reykjavik 4 1226 43.94% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1218 32.92% 23.14%
11 2012-07-16 18.12 @ IA Akranes 4 1214 45.21% Selfoss 0 1197 31.73% 23.06%
12 2012-08-12 16.41 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 1342 49.14% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1232 28.17% 22.69%
13 2012-05-29 14.89 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 1278 33.74% Stjarnan 1 1343 43.07% 23.19%
14 2012-09-20 14.31 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1342 43.89% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1271 32.96% 23.15%
15 2012-07-23 13.76 Fram Reykjavik 2 1219 27.36% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1272 50.06% 22.58%
16 2012-07-23 13.50 Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1223 28.32% @ Keflavik IF 0 1268 48.97% 22.71%
17 2012-07-05 13.22 @ Grindavik 2 1174 29.45% Valur Reykjavik 0 1273 47.70% 22.85%
18 2012-05-21 12.90 Selfoss 2 1214 30.70% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 1239 46.33% 22.97%
19 2012-05-24 12.78 Fram Reykjavik 2 1226 31.21% @ Breidablik 0 1247 45.77% 23.02%
20 2012-08-08 12.74 Keflavik IF 3 1258 23.90% @ Stjarnan 1 1344 54.15% 21.95%
21 2012-06-30 12.63 FH Hafnarfjordur 7 1376 52.80% @ IA Akranes 2 1237 25.02% 22.18%
22 2012-07-15 12.22 @ Valur Reykjavik 3 1260 26.08% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1388 51.54% 22.38%
23 2012-08-08 12.17 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1329 33.66% KR Reykjavik 0 1395 43.16% 23.19%
24 2012-06-20 12.04 Keflavik IF 2 1231 34.26% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 1229 42.53% 23.21%
25 2012-09-29 11.98 @ Breidablik 2 1283 34.51% Stjarnan 0 1343 42.27% 23.23%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-07-29 63.2 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 3 1237 28.44% Stjarnan 3 1344 48.83% 22.73%
2 2012-05-24 62.6 @ Selfoss 3 1226 47.26% Grindavik 3 1195 29.85% 22.89%
3 2012-08-12 60.8 Grindavik 4 1176 17.79% @ Stjarnan 3 1331 62.16% 20.06%
4 2012-09-23 60.7 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1357 36.01% FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1405 40.72% 23.27%
5 2012-09-16 60.4 @ Stjarnan 2 1339 33.89% FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1403 42.91% 23.20%
6 2012-06-20 60.0 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1376 48.80% Stjarnan 2 1333 28.47% 22.73%
7 2012-05-06 59.9 @ KR Reykjavik 2 1370 48.37% Stjarnan 2 1330 28.85% 22.78%
8 2012-09-20 59.1 @ Grindavik 2 1146 19.27% KR Reykjavik 2 1346 60.09% 20.63%
9 2012-05-10 59.0 @ Stjarnan 2 1330 56.11% Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1228 22.32% 21.57%
10 2012-07-02 58.3 @ Keflavik IF 2 1243 48.30% Selfoss 2 1204 28.91% 22.79%
11 2012-06-02 58.2 @ Grindavik 2 1195 33.34% IA Akranes 2 1263 43.49% 23.17%
12 2012-08-08 58.1 @ Grindavik 2 1175 35.36% Fram Reykjavik 2 1229 41.38% 23.26%
13 2012-09-29 58.0 @ Grindavik 2 1139 31.97% Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1218 44.95% 23.08%
14 2012-08-12 57.7 Valur Reykjavik 3 1257 20.18% @ KR Reykjavik 2 1383 58.88% 20.94%
15 2012-08-08 56.7 Breidablik 4 1246 31.60% @ Valur Reykjavik 3 1263 45.35% 23.05%
16 2012-05-10 55.5 @ IA Akranes 3 1245 26.48% KR Reykjavik 2 1369 51.07% 22.44%
17 2012-09-23 55.5 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 3 1211 25.42% KR Reykjavik 2 1345 52.32% 22.26%
18 2012-07-21 54.7 @ Stjarnan 1 1344 36.38% KR Reykjavik 1 1390 40.33% 23.28%
19 2012-08-27 54.3 @ KR Reykjavik 1 1386 62.88% Fram Reykjavik 1 1224 17.28% 19.84%
20 2012-08-12 54.2 IA Akranes 3 1232 28.96% @ Keflavik IF 2 1271 48.25% 22.79%
21 2012-07-12 53.9 @ Keflavik IF 1 1267 26.62% KR Reykjavik 1 1391 50.91% 22.47%
22 2012-08-26 53.9 @ Stjarnan 1 1328 39.76% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1350 36.95% 23.29%
23 2012-07-16 53.7 @ Stjarnan 1 1345 56.84% Breidablik 1 1237 21.74% 21.41%
24 2012-05-06 53.6 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1337 56.70% Grindavik 1 1230 21.85% 21.44%
25 2012-05-24 53.6 @ Stjarnan 1 1344 53.76% IA Akranes 1 1262 24.22% 22.02%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-09-03 29.7 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1394 61.08% Keflavik IF 0 1249 18.56% 20.36%
2 2012-07-30 31.2 @ KR Reykjavik 2 1390 62.40% IA Akranes 0 1232 17.61% 19.98%
3 2012-09-29 31.3 @ KR Reykjavik 3 1339 54.24% Keflavik IF 0 1252 23.83% 21.93%
4 2012-05-20 31.4 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1344 54.28% Breidablik 0 1257 23.79% 21.92%
5 2012-08-12 32.2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 1342 49.14% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1232 28.17% 22.69%
6 2012-06-02 32.7 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 8 1345 57.22% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1234 21.45% 21.33%
7 2012-07-01 32.7 @ KR Reykjavik 4 1382 66.99% Grindavik 1 1180 14.54% 18.48%
8 2012-07-16 32.9 @ IA Akranes 4 1214 45.21% Selfoss 0 1197 31.73% 23.06%
9 2012-09-03 33.3 @ Fram Reykjavik 4 1226 43.94% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1218 32.92% 23.14%
10 2012-05-31 33.6 @ Valur Reykjavik 4 1263 43.79% Keflavik IF 0 1256 33.06% 23.15%
11 2012-07-23 34.0 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1333 62.04% Selfoss 0 1179 17.87% 20.09%
12 2012-06-16 34.2 @ Breidablik 2 1246 49.72% Grindavik 0 1195 27.66% 22.62%
13 2012-09-16 34.5 @ Keflavik IF 5 1240 42.26% Fram Reykjavik 0 1245 34.51% 23.23%
14 2012-09-20 34.6 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1342 43.89% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1271 32.96% 23.15%
15 2012-07-22 35.0 FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1376 59.32% @ Grindavik 0 1183 19.85% 20.83%
16 2012-09-23 35.1 @ Valur Reykjavik 4 1257 57.05% Grindavik 1 1147 21.58% 21.37%
17 2012-06-29 35.3 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1321 48.27% Valur Reykjavik 0 1282 28.94% 22.79%
18 2012-06-15 35.4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 1293 38.12% @ IA Akranes 0 1263 38.58% 23.30%
19 2012-08-08 35.6 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 5 1383 67.91% Selfoss 2 1171 13.95% 18.13%
20 2012-05-10 36.1 Keflavik IF 4 1238 34.79% @ Grindavik 0 1231 41.98% 23.24%
21 2012-05-10 36.2 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1336 55.63% Fram Reykjavik 0 1238 22.70% 21.67%
22 2012-06-16 36.2 @ KR Reykjavik 3 1385 63.76% Selfoss 1 1214 16.67% 19.57%
23 2012-06-30 36.5 FH Hafnarfjordur 7 1376 52.80% @ IA Akranes 2 1237 25.02% 22.18%
24 2012-08-20 36.5 Selfoss 4 1176 32.94% @ Grindavik 0 1183 43.92% 23.15%
25 2012-08-26 36.5 FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1381 55.33% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1222 22.94% 21.73%