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2013 Úrvalsdeild Season

132 games

Final

Champion

KR Reykjavik

52 points · 12th Title

Last Title: 2011.0

Relegated

IA Akranes

11 pts

Vikingur Olafsvik · 17 pts

Biggest Overachiever

KR Reykjavik

11.11 points above expected

52 points · 40.89 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

IA Akranes

12.49 points below expected

11 points · 23.49 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 KR Reykjavik Champion 22 17 1 4 52 50 27 +23 40.89 +11.11
2 FH Hafnarfjordur 22 14 5 3 47 47 22 +25 40.18 +6.82
3 Stjarnan 22 13 4 5 43 34 25 +9 36.08 +6.92
4 Breidablik 22 11 6 5 39 37 27 +10 35.08 +3.92
5 Valur Reykjavik 22 8 9 5 33 45 31 +14 33.30 -0.30
6 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 8 5 9 29 26 28 -2 34.56 -5.56
7 Fylkir Reykjavik 22 7 5 10 26 33 33 0 26.03 -0.03
8 Keflavik IF 22 7 3 12 24 33 47 -14 24.31 -0.31
9 Thor Akureyri 22 6 6 10 24 31 44 -13 24.65 -0.65
10 Fram Reykjavik 22 6 4 12 22 26 37 -11 25.80 -3.80
11 Vikingur Olafsvik Relegated 22 3 8 11 17 21 35 -14 21.72 -4.72
12 IA Akranes Relegated 22 3 2 17 11 29 56 -27 23.49 -12.49

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 KR Reykjavik 52 40.89 +11.11
2 Stjarnan 43 36.08 +6.92
3 FH Hafnarfjordur 47 40.18 +6.82
4 Breidablik 39 35.08 +3.92
5 Fylkir Reykjavik 26 26.03 -0.03

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 IA Akranes 11 23.49 -12.49
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 29 34.56 -5.56
3 Vikingur Olafsvik 17 21.72 -4.72
4 Fram Reykjavik 22 25.80 -3.80
5 Thor Akureyri 24 24.65 -0.65

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fylkir Reykjavik 4 Jul 21 – Aug 11 1 in 160
2 KR Reykjavik 7 Jul 28 – Sep 16 1 in 56
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 Aug 25 – Sep 16 1 in 15
4 Breidablik 3 Jun 10 – Jun 24 1 in 9
5 Stjarnan 3 May 27 – Jun 16 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IA Akranes 6 May 26 – Jul 3 1 in 125
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 Jul 21 – Aug 11 1 in 46
3 Fram Reykjavik 3 Jul 22 – Aug 7 1 in 29
4 Fylkir Reykjavik 5 May 26 – Jun 30 1 in 28
5 Vikingur Olafsvik 4 May 5 – May 20 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Breidablik 12 May 27 – Aug 29 1 in 119
2 Fylkir Reykjavik 7 Jul 3 – Aug 19 1 in 52
3 Stjarnan 11 May 12 – Jul 28 1 in 52
4 Vikingur Olafsvik 5 Jun 30 – Jul 28 1 in 44
5 Valur Reykjavik 7 May 6 – Jun 18 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fylkir Reykjavik 11 May 6 – Jul 15 1 in 63
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6 Jul 21 – Aug 22 1 in 39
3 Thor Akureyri 10 Jul 14 – Sep 18 1 in 27
4 Valur Reykjavik 6 Aug 11 – Sep 16 1 in 23
5 IA Akranes 8 Jul 29 – Sep 22 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
KR Reykjavik 1396 52 -37 9 10.0 -1.0
FH Hafnarfjordur 1451 47 +37 11 9.8 +1.2
Stjarnan 1346 43 -11 9 8.2 +0.8
Breidablik 1344 39 +18 7 7.5 -0.5
Valur Reykjavik 1341 33 +44 8 6.3 +1.7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1276 29 -31 6 8.2 -2.2
Fylkir Reykjavik 1278 26 +28 9 6.2 +2.8
Thor Akureyri 1199 24 +11 8 6.3 +1.7
Keflavik IF 1206 24 +8 7 5.7 +1.3
Fram Reykjavik 1186 22 -6 4 4.5 -0.5
Vikingur Olafsvik 1162 17 +6 4 4.4 -0.4
IA Akranes 1120 11 -42 3 5.2 -2.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRE FH FR FR IA IV KR KI STJ TA VR VO
Breidablik —
0-1-1
2.20
0-1-1
3.55
1-0-1
3.62
1-1-0
3.67
1-0-1
2.66
1-1-0
1.95
2-0-0
3.72
1-0-1
2.61
2-0-0
3.50
1-1-0
2.82
1-1-0
3.96
FH Hafnarfjordur
1-1-0
3.34
 —
2-0-0
4.06
2-0-0
3.98
2-0-0
4.14
1-1-0
3.25
0-0-2
2.94
2-0-0
3.85
1-0-1
3.20
2-0-0
4.03
0-2-0
3.52
1-1-0
4.35
Fram Reykjavik
1-1-0
2.00
0-0-2
1.51
 —
0-1-1
3.11
1-0-1
3.02
0-0-2
2.02
1-0-1
1.54
1-0-1
2.87
0-0-2
1.96
1-1-0
2.95
0-1-1
2.31
1-0-1
3.39
Fylkir Reykjavik
1-0-1
1.93
0-0-2
1.60
1-1-0
2.43
 —
1-1-0
3.31
0-0-2
2.14
0-0-2
1.46
1-1-0
2.89
1-0-1
1.97
0-1-1
3.22
1-0-1
2.16
1-1-0
3.13
IA Akranes
0-1-1
1.88
0-0-2
1.44
1-0-1
2.52
0-1-1
2.24
 —
1-0-1
1.88
1-0-1
1.22
0-0-2
2.66
0-0-2
1.75
0-0-2
2.43
0-0-2
2.26
0-0-2
3.02
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1-0-1
2.88
0-1-1
2.29
2-0-0
3.53
2-0-0
3.40
1-0-1
3.68
 —
0-0-2
2.44
0-1-1
3.64
1-0-1
2.55
1-0-1
3.63
0-1-1
2.91
0-2-0
3.93
KR Reykjavik
0-1-1
3.60
2-0-0
2.59
1-0-1
4.03
2-0-0
4.11
1-0-1
4.38
2-0-0
3.10
 —
2-0-0
3.74
1-0-1
2.96
2-0-0
4.01
2-0-0
3.57
2-0-0
4.48
Keflavik IF
0-0-2
1.83
0-0-2
1.71
1-0-1
2.67
0-1-1
2.65
2-0-0
2.88
1-1-0
1.91
0-0-2
1.82
 —
0-0-2
1.74
0-1-1
2.94
1-0-1
1.96
2-0-0
2.96
Stjarnan
1-0-1
2.92
1-0-1
2.33
2-0-0
3.59
1-0-1
3.58
2-0-0
3.81
1-0-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.58
2-0-0
3.82
 —
1-1-0
3.98
0-2-0
2.96
1-1-0
3.92
Thor Akureyri
0-0-2
2.05
0-0-2
1.55
0-1-1
2.59
1-1-0
2.31
2-0-0
3.11
1-0-1
1.92
0-0-2
1.56
1-1-0
2.59
0-1-1
1.59
 —
0-1-1
1.91
1-1-0
2.94
Valur Reykjavik
0-1-1
2.72
0-2-0
2.03
1-1-0
3.23
1-0-1
3.39
2-0-0
3.29
1-1-0
2.63
0-0-2
1.98
1-0-1
3.59
0-2-0
2.58
1-1-0
3.64
 —
1-1-0
3.84
Vikingur Olafsvik
0-1-1
1.61
0-1-1
1.25
1-0-1
2.16
0-1-1
2.41
2-0-0
2.52
0-2-0
1.63
0-0-2
1.13
0-0-2
2.57
0-1-1
1.65
0-1-1
2.60
0-1-1
1.72
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.65 +11.2
Allowed 0.66 -10.0
Differential 0.90 +7.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.79%7.58%3.79%2.27%1.89%0.76%20.08%
17.58%12.88%8.33%6.06%2.65%—37.50%
23.79%8.33%4.55%2.65%1.14%0.38%20.83%
32.27%6.06%2.65%0.76%0.38%0.38%12.50%
41.89%2.65%1.14%0.38%—0.76%6.82%
5+0.76%—0.38%0.38%0.76%—2.27%
Total20.08%37.50%20.83%12.50%6.82%2.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.56 +0.00
SD 1.28 1.28 1.83
CV 0.82 0.82 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%————13.64%
19.09%13.64%4.55%—9.09%—36.36%
24.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+———————
Total27.27%45.45%13.64%4.55%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.23 +0.45
SD 1.17 1.19 1.65
CV 0.70 0.97 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
113.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
29.09%18.18%4.55%—4.55%—36.36%
34.55%——4.55%——9.09%
413.64%—————13.64%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total45.45%27.27%13.64%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 1.00 +1.14
SD 1.39 1.20 1.81
CV 0.65 1.20 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
14.55%18.18%9.09%———31.82%
2—18.18%—9.09%——27.27%
3————4.55%—4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total4.55%54.55%18.18%13.64%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.68 -0.50
SD 1.10 1.09 1.54
CV 0.93 0.65 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%18.18%————22.73%
1—9.09%9.09%4.55%9.09%—31.82%
2—9.09%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
39.09%9.09%————18.18%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%50.00%18.18%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.50 +0.00
SD 1.19 1.14 1.77
CV 0.79 0.76 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—22.73%4.55%——4.55%31.82%
1—4.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%—27.27%
24.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%27.27%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4—————9.09%9.09%
5+———————
Total4.55%36.36%13.64%18.18%9.09%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 2.55 -1.23
SD 1.25 1.79 1.66
CV 0.95 0.70 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
122.73%18.18%13.64%9.09%——63.64%
2————4.55%—4.55%
3—9.09%————9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%36.36%22.73%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.27 -0.09
SD 1.01 1.12 1.48
CV 0.85 0.88 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———4.55%——4.55%
14.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
29.09%18.18%————27.27%
39.09%18.18%4.55%———31.82%
4—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
5+———————
Total22.73%45.45%18.18%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 1.23 +1.05
SD 1.12 0.97 1.68
CV 0.49 0.79 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%9.09%9.09%—31.82%
1—4.55%13.64%4.55%——22.73%
29.09%—9.09%4.55%——22.73%
3—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+————4.55%—4.55%
Total9.09%13.64%45.45%18.18%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.14 -0.64
SD 1.44 1.13 1.92
CV 0.96 0.53 —
Max 5 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
122.73%18.18%13.64%———54.55%
24.55%4.55%————9.09%
3—13.64%13.64%———27.27%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%40.91%27.27%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.14 +0.41
SD 1.01 0.99 1.40
CV 0.65 0.87 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—9.09%——13.64%
19.09%13.64%4.55%13.64%9.09%—50.00%
2—9.09%13.64%———22.73%
3—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%36.36%18.18%22.73%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 2.00 -0.59
SD 1.01 1.35 1.74
CV 0.72 0.67 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
1—27.27%4.55%9.09%——40.91%
24.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
3—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+4.55%——4.55%4.55%—13.64%
Total22.73%40.91%13.64%18.18%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 1.41 +0.64
SD 1.76 1.18 1.94
CV 0.86 0.84 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%9.09%9.09%—4.55%4.55%45.45%
14.55%13.64%13.64%4.55%——36.36%
2——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
3———————
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total27.27%22.73%27.27%13.64%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 1.59 -0.64
SD 1.33 1.40 1.92
CV 1.39 0.88 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
FH Hafnarfjordur 1451 47 40.18 +6.82 88.0% 28 29 36 40 44 50 56
KR Reykjavik 1396 52 40.89 +11.11 99.0% 28 30 37 41 46 49 53
Stjarnan 1346 43 36.08 +6.92 87.0% 20 25 32 35 40 46 55
Breidablik 1344 39 35.08 +3.92 71.0% 18 24 31 36 40 44 47
Valur Reykjavik 1341 33 33.30 -0.30 50.0% 17 23 29 33 37 43 49
Fylkir Reykjavik 1278 26 26.03 -0.03 55.0% 11 17 22 26 30 35 42
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1276 29 34.56 -5.56 22.0% 20 26 30 35 39 43 46
Keflavik IF 1206 24 24.31 -0.31 55.0% 12 15 21 24 28 34 38
Thor Akureyri 1199 24 24.65 -0.65 48.0% 9 16 21 25 28 33 41
Fram Reykjavik 1186 22 25.80 -3.80 25.0% 15 17 22 26 30 34 45
Vikingur Olafsvik 1162 17 21.72 -4.72 25.0% 11 13 17 22 25 31 36
IA Akranes 1120 11 23.49 -12.49 1.0% 8 15 20 23 27 32 38

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 4.5% * Slight Edge: 4.5% to 11% * Clear Edge: 11% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+6.82%
Slight Edge
42.42%21.97%35.61%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 23.73 Elo pts.
171 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.08 goals
Neutral
-2+0.14+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.6
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
44%
KR Reykjavik, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Comfortable
00.200.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.68 * Some Luck: 4.68 to 7.02 * Lucky: 7.02 to 9.36 * Wild Swing: 9.36 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.52 * Close: 1.52 to 2.28 * Off: 2.28 to 3.05 * Way Off: 3.05 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.07 * A Surprise: 1.07 to 1.71 * Several Surprises: 1.71 to 2.35 * Many Surprises: 2.35 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.17 points
Some Luck
05.8515
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.67
Pinpoint
01.904
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
KR Reykjavik
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
IA Akranes
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 2
As Expected
01.12

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Wide Separation: 1.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 69% * Clear Edge: 69% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 94% * Dominant: 94% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55% * Some Drama: 55% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Lopsided
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 102.23
1.98
Wide Separation
0.71.351.652.5
Interquartile Edge
70%
Clear Edge
50%63%69%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
87%
Clear Edge
50%88%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Some Drama
0%59%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Occasional
0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.36 * Notable Separation: 0.36 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.33 * Some Carryover: 0.33 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.75 * Near-Lock: 0.75 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24.5% * Upset-Prone: 24.5% to 29% * Very Upset-Prone: 29% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.31
Slight Separation
00.280.360.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.15
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.79
Near-Lock
00.330.590.751
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Chalky
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
As Expected
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.23 * Above Noise: 0.23 to 0.3 * Well Above Noise: 0.3 and up.
Probability calibration
0.94
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.35
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.112
Well Within Noise
00.1500.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
KR Reykjavik44.00%22.00%9.00%10.00%7.00%5.00%2.00%—1.00%———
FH Hafnarfjordur24.00%31.00%20.00%10.00%6.00%6.00%3.00%—————
Stjarnan9.00%16.00%18.00%13.00%15.00%13.00%8.00%1.00%4.00%2.00%—1.00%
Breidablik12.00%8.00%17.00%22.00%11.00%12.00%6.00%2.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%
Valur Reykjavik5.00%6.00%10.00%18.00%21.00%15.00%5.00%8.00%5.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar5.00%15.00%21.00%10.00%13.00%10.00%14.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%—
Fylkir Reykjavik—1.00%3.00%4.00%5.00%11.00%14.00%14.00%19.00%9.00%14.00%6.00%
Keflavik IF———6.00%6.00%4.00%7.00%12.00%18.00%16.00%17.00%14.00%
Thor Akureyri—1.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%9.00%10.00%16.00%14.00%15.00%13.00%16.00%
Fram Reykjavik1.00%——2.00%8.00%10.00%15.00%19.00%7.00%18.00%12.00%8.00%
Vikingur Olafsvik————5.00%1.00%5.00%10.00%10.00%17.00%23.00%29.00%
IA Akranes———3.00%1.00%4.00%11.00%12.00%15.00%13.00%18.00%23.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
FH Hafnarfjordur 100% —
KR Reykjavik 100% —
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 99.00% 1.00%
Stjarnan 99.00% 1.00%
Valur Reykjavik 98.00% 2.00%
Breidablik 97.00% 3.00%
Fram Reykjavik 80.00% 20.00%
Fylkir Reykjavik 80.00% 20.00%
Thor Akureyri 71.00% 29.00%
Keflavik IF 69.00% 31.00%
IA Akranes 59.00% 41.00%
Vikingur Olafsvik 48.00% 52.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2013-05-05 Fram Reykjavik L 1-245.0 1205 1255 34.64% 23.26% 42.10%-0.15 -8.1 0
2013-05-05 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 2-145.0 1255 1205 42.10% 23.26% 34.64%+0.15 +8.1 3
2013-05-05 IA Akranes W 1-037.9 1324 1256 50.77% 22.76% 26.47%+0.54 +6.9 3
2013-05-05 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-137.9 1256 1324 26.47% 22.76% 50.77%-0.54 -6.9 0
2013-05-05 Thor Akureyri W 4-136.4 1288 1228 49.70% 22.86% 27.44%+0.49 +16.4 3
2013-05-05 @ Breidablik L 1-436.4 1228 1288 27.44% 22.86% 49.70%-0.49 -16.3 0
2013-05-06 Keflavik IF W 2-142.2 1351 1259 53.72% 22.45% 23.83%+0.68 +5.9 3
2013-05-06 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-242.2 1259 1351 23.83% 22.45% 53.72%-0.68 -5.9 0
2013-05-06 Stjarnan W 2-145.5 1320 1309 43.24% 23.23% 33.54%+0.20 +7.9 3
2013-05-06 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-245.5 1309 1320 33.54% 23.23% 43.24%-0.20 -7.9 0
2013-05-06 Valur Reykjavik L 1-246.1 1242 1270 37.83% 23.30% 38.87%-0.02 -8.6 0
2013-05-06 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-146.1 1270 1242 38.87% 23.30% 37.83%+0.02 +8.6 3
2013-05-12 Breidablik W 4-138.4 1330 1304 45.33% 23.14% 31.53%+0.29 +18.3 6
2013-05-12 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-438.4 1304 1330 31.53% 23.14% 45.33%-0.29 -18.3 3
2013-05-12 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-330.2 1212 1357 23.30% 22.37% 54.33%-0.71 -16.9 0
2013-05-12 @ Thor Akureyri W 3-030.2 1357 1212 54.33% 22.37% 23.30%+0.71 +16.8 6
2013-05-12 KR Reykjavik L 0-235.4 1253 1327 31.41% 23.14% 45.46%-0.30 -14.9 0
2013-05-12 @ Keflavik IF W 2-035.4 1327 1253 45.46% 23.14% 31.41%+0.30 +14.9 6
2013-05-12 Vikingur Olafsvik W 3-246.3 1301 1197 55.10% 22.27% 22.63%+0.75 +5.4 3
2013-05-12 @ Stjarnan L 2-346.3 1197 1301 22.63% 22.27% 55.10%-0.75 -5.4 0
2013-05-13 Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-153.7 1263 1234 45.73% 23.12% 31.15%+0.31 -0.7 4
2013-05-13 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-153.7 1234 1263 31.15% 23.12% 45.73%-0.31 +0.7 1
2013-05-13 Valur Reykjavik L 1-342.4 1249 1278 37.49% 23.30% 39.21%-0.04 -14.9 0
2013-05-13 @ IA Akranes W 3-142.4 1278 1249 39.21% 23.30% 37.49%+0.04 +14.9 6
2013-05-16 Fram Reykjavik D 1-153.9 1293 1262 45.99% 23.11% 30.90%+0.32 -0.8 7
2013-05-16 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-153.9 1262 1293 30.90% 23.11% 45.99%-0.32 +0.8 5
2013-05-16 IA Akranes W 4-136.7 1286 1234 48.75% 22.93% 28.32%+0.44 +16.8 6
2013-05-16 @ Breidablik L 1-436.7 1234 1286 28.32% 22.93% 48.75%-0.44 -16.8 0
2013-05-16 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-155.4 1374 1349 45.17% 23.15% 31.68%+0.29 -0.7 7
2013-05-16 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-155.4 1349 1374 31.68% 23.15% 45.17%-0.29 +0.7 7
2013-05-16 Keflavik IF L 1-341.4 1191 1238 35.12% 23.27% 41.61%-0.13 -14.1 0
2013-05-16 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 3-141.4 1238 1191 41.61% 23.27% 35.12%+0.13 +14.1 3
2013-05-16 Stjarnan L 0-139.4 1234 1306 31.78% 23.15% 45.07%-0.28 -8.0 1
2013-05-16 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-039.4 1306 1234 45.07% 23.15% 31.78%+0.28 +8.0 6
2013-05-16 Thor Akureyri W 3-028.4 1342 1195 59.80% 21.50% 18.69%+1.00 +13.8 9
2013-05-16 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-328.4 1195 1342 18.69% 21.50% 59.80%-1.00 -13.8 0
2013-05-20 Fylkir Reykjavik D 2-259.0 1252 1226 45.24% 23.15% 31.61%+0.29 -0.5 4
2013-05-20 @ Keflavik IF D 2-259.0 1226 1252 31.61% 23.15% 45.24%-0.29 +0.5 2
2013-05-20 KR Reykjavik L 0-239.4 1349 1356 40.78% 23.28% 35.93%+0.10 -18.3 7
2013-05-20 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-039.4 1356 1349 35.93% 23.28% 40.78%-0.10 +18.3 12
2013-05-20 Vikingur Olafsvik W 1-039.8 1181 1177 42.32% 23.25% 34.43%+0.16 +8.5 3
2013-05-20 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-139.8 1177 1181 34.43% 23.25% 42.32%-0.16 -8.5 0
2013-05-21 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-140.5 1303 1373 31.94% 23.16% 44.90%-0.27 -8.0 6
2013-05-21 @ Breidablik W 1-040.5 1373 1303 44.90% 23.16% 31.94%+0.27 +8.0 10
2013-05-21 Fram Reykjavik W 2-038.1 1217 1263 35.23% 23.27% 41.50%-0.13 +18.6 3
2013-05-21 @ IA Akranes L 0-238.1 1263 1217 41.50% 23.27% 35.23%+0.13 -18.6 5
2013-05-21 Valur Reykjavik D 1-154.2 1314 1292 44.71% 23.17% 32.12%+0.27 -0.6 7
2013-05-21 @ Stjarnan D 1-154.2 1292 1314 32.12% 23.17% 44.71%-0.27 +0.6 8
2013-05-26 IA Akranes W 2-031.4 1381 1236 59.63% 21.54% 18.83%+0.99 +9.6 13
2013-05-26 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-231.4 1236 1381 18.83% 21.54% 59.63%-0.99 -9.6 3
2013-05-26 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-050.0 1169 1331 21.57% 22.10% 56.34%-0.81 +2.0 1
2013-05-26 @ Vikingur Olafsvik D 0-050.0 1331 1169 56.34% 22.10% 21.57%+0.81 -2.0 8
2013-05-26 Keflavik IF W 4-031.7 1293 1251 47.38% 23.03% 29.59%+0.38 +27.0 11
2013-05-26 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-431.7 1251 1293 29.59% 23.03% 47.38%-0.38 -27.0 4
2013-05-26 Thor Akureyri L 1-442.0 1227 1190 46.79% 23.06% 30.15%+0.36 -25.1 2
2013-05-26 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 4-142.0 1190 1227 30.15% 23.06% 46.79%-0.36 +25.1 6
2013-05-27 Breidablik D 1-154.9 1374 1295 52.21% 22.62% 25.17%+0.61 -1.4 13
2013-05-27 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-154.9 1295 1374 25.17% 22.62% 52.21%-0.61 +1.4 7
2013-05-27 Stjarnan L 0-139.6 1244 1314 32.11% 23.17% 44.72%-0.27 -8.0 5
2013-05-27 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-039.6 1314 1244 44.72% 23.17% 32.11%+0.27 +8.0 10
2013-06-02 Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-136.9 1329 1202 57.68% 21.88% 20.44%+0.88 +8.9 11
2013-06-02 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-336.9 1202 1329 20.44% 21.88% 57.68%-0.88 -8.9 2
2013-06-09 Stjarnan L 1-339.8 1226 1322 28.80% 22.97% 48.23%-0.42 -12.0 3
2013-06-09 @ IA Akranes W 3-139.8 1322 1226 48.23% 22.97% 28.80%+0.42 +12.0 13
2013-06-09 Valur Reykjavik L 3-545.7 1215 1320 27.66% 22.88% 49.46%-0.48 -9.8 6
2013-06-09 @ Thor Akureyri W 5-345.7 1320 1215 49.46% 22.88% 27.66%+0.48 +9.8 14
2013-06-10 Fram Reykjavik L 1-246.6 1225 1236 40.06% 23.29% 36.64%+0.07 -9.0 4
2013-06-10 @ Keflavik IF W 2-146.6 1236 1225 36.64% 23.29% 40.06%-0.07 +9.0 8
2013-06-10 KR Reykjavik L 2-451.0 1391 1373 44.17% 23.19% 32.64%+0.24 -15.1 13
2013-06-10 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 4-251.0 1373 1391 32.64% 23.19% 44.17%-0.24 +15.1 16
2013-06-10 Vikingur Olafsvik W 2-031.3 1296 1171 57.49% 21.92% 20.60%+0.87 +10.4 10
2013-06-10 @ Breidablik L 0-231.3 1171 1296 20.60% 21.92% 57.49%-0.87 -10.4 1
2013-06-16 Breidablik L 0-137.6 1193 1306 26.69% 22.79% 50.52%-0.53 -6.9 2
2013-06-16 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-037.6 1306 1193 50.52% 22.79% 26.69%+0.53 +6.9 13
2013-06-16 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-427.3 1160 1376 17.03% 21.07% 61.90%-1.12 -16.5 1
2013-06-16 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 4-027.3 1376 1160 61.90% 21.07% 17.03%+1.12 +16.5 16
2013-06-16 IA Akranes W 4-240.1 1388 1214 62.51% 20.93% 16.55%+1.16 +6.6 19
2013-06-16 @ KR Reykjavik L 2-440.1 1214 1388 16.55% 20.93% 62.51%-1.16 -6.5 3
2013-06-16 Keflavik IF W 1-036.0 1334 1215 56.68% 22.04% 21.28%+0.83 +5.7 16
2013-06-16 @ Stjarnan L 0-136.0 1215 1334 21.28% 22.04% 56.68%-0.83 -5.7 4
2013-06-16 Thor Akureyri W 4-137.0 1245 1205 47.20% 23.04% 29.77%+0.37 +17.5 11
2013-06-16 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-437.0 1205 1245 29.77% 23.04% 47.20%-0.37 -17.5 6
2013-06-18 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-154.7 1330 1338 40.58% 23.29% 36.13%+0.09 -0.2 15
2013-06-18 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-154.7 1338 1330 36.13% 23.29% 40.58%-0.09 +0.2 12
2013-06-23 Fram Reykjavik W 1-037.8 1338 1263 51.68% 22.68% 25.64%+0.58 +6.7 15
2013-06-23 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-137.8 1263 1338 25.64% 22.68% 51.68%-0.58 -6.7 11
2013-06-23 Stjarnan D 1-154.0 1188 1339 22.63% 22.27% 55.10%-0.75 +1.7 7
2013-06-23 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-154.0 1339 1188 55.10% 22.27% 22.63%+0.75 -1.7 17
2013-06-23 Vikingur Olafsvik W 2-137.1 1395 1144 69.31% 19.02% 11.68%+1.61 +3.0 22
2013-06-23 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-237.1 1144 1395 11.68% 19.02% 69.31%-1.61 -3.0 1
2013-06-24 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-138.5 1392 1186 65.49% 20.18% 14.33%+1.35 +3.7 19
2013-06-24 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-238.5 1186 1392 14.33% 20.18% 65.49%-1.35 -3.7 2
2013-06-24 Keflavik IF L 2-352.1 1207 1210 41.39% 23.27% 35.34%+0.13 -8.8 3
2013-06-24 @ IA Akranes W 3-252.1 1210 1207 35.34% 23.27% 41.39%-0.13 +8.8 7
2013-06-24 Valur Reykjavik W 1-041.8 1313 1330 39.41% 23.30% 37.29%+0.04 +9.1 16
2013-06-24 @ Breidablik L 0-141.8 1330 1313 37.29% 23.30% 39.41%-0.04 -9.1 15
2013-06-30 Breidablik D 1-154.0 1256 1322 32.48% 23.19% 44.33%-0.25 +0.6 12
2013-06-30 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-154.0 1322 1256 44.33% 23.19% 32.48%+0.25 -0.6 17
2013-06-30 FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-155.3 1321 1396 31.34% 23.13% 45.53%-0.30 +0.7 16
2013-06-30 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-155.3 1396 1321 45.53% 23.13% 31.34%+0.30 -0.7 20
2013-06-30 IA Akranes W 1-042.4 1141 1199 33.60% 23.23% 43.18%-0.20 +10.2 4
2013-06-30 @ Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-142.4 1199 1141 43.18% 23.23% 33.60%+0.20 -10.2 3
2013-06-30 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-041.8 1338 1345 40.69% 23.29% 36.02%+0.10 +8.8 20
2013-06-30 @ Stjarnan L 0-141.8 1345 1338 36.02% 23.29% 40.69%-0.10 -8.8 15
2013-06-30 KR Reykjavik L 2-344.7 1182 1398 17.03% 21.07% 61.90%-1.12 -4.1 2
2013-06-30 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-244.7 1398 1182 61.90% 21.07% 17.03%+1.12 +4.1 25
2013-06-30 Thor Akureyri L 1-344.5 1219 1189 45.75% 23.12% 31.13%+0.31 -17.4 7
2013-06-30 @ Keflavik IF W 3-144.5 1189 1219 31.13% 23.12% 45.75%-0.31 +17.4 10
2013-07-03 Fram Reykjavik W 2-141.0 1395 1257 58.88% 21.68% 19.44%+0.95 +4.9 23
2013-07-03 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-241.0 1257 1395 19.44% 21.68% 58.88%-0.95 -4.9 12
2013-07-03 Fylkir Reykjavik D 0-049.3 1151 1178 37.84% 23.30% 38.86%-0.02 +0.0 5
2013-07-03 @ Vikingur Olafsvik D 0-049.3 1178 1151 38.86% 23.30% 37.84%+0.02 -0.0 3
2013-07-03 Thor Akureyri L 1-246.2 1188 1207 39.14% 23.30% 37.56%+0.03 -8.9 3
2013-07-03 @ IA Akranes W 2-146.2 1207 1188 37.56% 23.30% 39.14%-0.03 +8.9 13
2013-07-11 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-149.6 1346 1400 34.18% 23.24% 42.58%-0.18 +9.5 23
2013-07-11 @ Stjarnan L 1-249.6 1400 1346 42.58% 23.24% 34.18%+0.18 -9.5 23
2013-07-14 Breidablik L 1-242.4 1201 1322 25.89% 22.70% 51.41%-0.57 -6.4 7
2013-07-14 @ Keflavik IF W 2-142.4 1322 1201 51.41% 22.70% 25.89%+0.57 +6.4 20
2013-07-14 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-338.9 1216 1336 25.90% 22.70% 51.39%-0.57 -11.0 13
2013-07-14 @ Thor Akureyri W 3-138.9 1336 1216 51.39% 22.70% 25.90%+0.57 +11.0 18
2013-07-14 KR Reykjavik W 2-151.8 1252 1402 22.78% 22.30% 54.92%-0.74 +11.8 15
2013-07-14 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-251.8 1402 1252 54.92% 22.30% 22.78%+0.74 -11.8 25
2013-07-15 IA Akranes D 1-153.3 1178 1180 41.52% 23.27% 35.21%+0.13 -0.3 4
2013-07-15 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-153.3 1180 1178 35.21% 23.27% 41.52%-0.13 +0.3 4
2013-07-15 Vikingur Olafsvik D 0-050.2 1321 1151 62.14% 21.02% 16.84%+1.14 -2.7 17
2013-07-15 @ Valur Reykjavik D 0-050.2 1151 1321 16.84% 21.02% 62.14%-1.14 +2.7 6
2013-07-20 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-428.1 1195 1391 18.61% 21.48% 59.91%-1.01 -17.9 7
2013-07-20 @ Keflavik IF W 4-028.1 1391 1195 59.91% 21.48% 18.61%+1.01 +18.0 26
2013-07-21 Breidablik L 1-242.3 1205 1328 25.56% 22.67% 51.77%-0.59 -6.3 13
2013-07-21 @ Thor Akureyri W 2-142.3 1328 1205 51.77% 22.67% 25.56%+0.59 +6.3 23
2013-07-21 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-348.3 1319 1178 59.13% 21.63% 19.24%+0.96 -21.8 17
2013-07-21 @ Valur Reykjavik W 3-148.3 1178 1319 19.24% 21.63% 59.13%-0.96 +21.8 7
2013-07-21 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-151.5 1180 1347 21.13% 22.02% 56.86%-0.84 +12.1 7
2013-07-21 @ IA Akranes L 1-251.5 1347 1180 56.86% 22.02% 21.13%+0.84 -12.1 18
2013-07-21 KR Reykjavik W 3-145.2 1356 1390 36.86% 23.30% 39.84%-0.06 +15.6 26
2013-07-21 @ Stjarnan L 1-345.2 1390 1356 39.84% 23.30% 36.86%+0.06 -15.6 25
2013-07-22 Vikingur Olafsvik L 3-459.2 1264 1154 55.75% 22.18% 22.07%+0.78 -11.0 15
2013-07-22 @ Fram Reykjavik W 4-359.2 1154 1264 22.07% 22.18% 55.75%-0.78 +11.0 9
2013-07-27 Thor Akureyri W 1-033.6 1408 1198 65.85% 20.08% 14.06%+1.37 +3.8 29
2013-07-27 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-133.6 1198 1408 14.06% 20.08% 65.85%-1.37 -3.8 13
2013-07-28 Fram Reykjavik W 3-035.7 1200 1252 34.28% 23.25% 42.48%-0.17 +27.5 10
2013-07-28 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-335.7 1252 1200 42.48% 23.25% 34.28%+0.17 -27.5 15
2013-07-28 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-142.7 1334 1335 41.65% 23.27% 35.08%+0.14 +14.1 26
2013-07-28 @ Breidablik L 1-342.7 1335 1334 35.08% 23.27% 41.65%-0.14 -14.1 18
2013-07-28 Keflavik IF W 3-027.0 1374 1177 64.72% 20.39% 14.89%+1.30 +11.1 28
2013-07-28 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-327.0 1177 1374 14.89% 20.39% 64.72%-1.30 -11.1 7
2013-07-28 Stjarnan D 1-154.4 1165 1371 17.70% 21.26% 61.04%-1.07 +2.3 10
2013-07-28 @ Vikingur Olafsvik D 1-154.4 1371 1165 61.04% 21.26% 17.70%+1.07 -2.3 27
2013-07-29 IA Akranes W 6-444.7 1297 1192 55.17% 22.26% 22.57%+0.75 +8.0 20
2013-07-29 @ Valur Reykjavik L 4-644.7 1192 1297 22.57% 22.26% 55.17%-0.75 -8.0 7
2013-08-03 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-245.4 1321 1412 29.30% 23.01% 47.69%-0.40 -7.0 18
2013-08-03 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-145.4 1412 1321 47.69% 23.01% 29.30%+0.40 +7.0 32
2013-08-07 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-252.5 1369 1227 59.26% 21.61% 19.13%+0.97 -12.6 27
2013-08-07 @ Stjarnan W 2-152.5 1227 1369 19.13% 21.61% 59.26%-0.97 +12.6 13
2013-08-07 KR Reykjavik L 1-336.6 1194 1386 18.99% 21.57% 59.43%-0.98 -8.4 13
2013-08-07 @ Thor Akureyri W 3-136.6 1386 1194 59.43% 21.57% 18.99%+0.98 +8.4 31
2013-08-07 Valur Reykjavik L 0-432.0 1225 1305 30.75% 23.10% 46.15%-0.33 -27.8 15
2013-08-07 @ Fram Reykjavik W 4-032.0 1305 1225 46.15% 23.10% 30.75%+0.33 +27.8 23
2013-08-07 Vikingur Olafsvik W 2-035.9 1166 1167 41.55% 23.27% 35.18%+0.13 +16.3 10
2013-08-07 @ Keflavik IF L 0-235.9 1167 1166 35.18% 23.27% 41.55%-0.13 -16.3 10
2013-08-11 Breidablik D 0-052.3 1419 1349 51.10% 22.73% 26.16%+0.55 -1.4 33
2013-08-11 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-052.3 1349 1419 26.16% 22.73% 51.10%-0.55 +1.4 27
2013-08-11 IA Akranes W 1-039.5 1197 1184 43.54% 23.21% 33.24%+0.22 +8.3 18
2013-08-11 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-139.5 1184 1197 33.24% 23.21% 43.54%-0.22 -8.3 7
2013-08-11 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-140.0 1394 1314 52.25% 22.62% 25.13%+0.61 +10.7 34
2013-08-11 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-340.0 1314 1394 25.13% 22.62% 52.25%-0.61 -10.7 18
2013-08-11 Keflavik IF W 3-031.1 1240 1182 49.45% 22.88% 27.67%+0.48 +19.5 16
2013-08-11 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-331.1 1182 1240 27.67% 22.88% 49.45%-0.48 -19.5 10
2013-08-11 Stjarnan D 1-154.9 1333 1357 38.32% 23.30% 38.38%+0.00 +0.0 24
2013-08-11 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-154.9 1357 1333 38.38% 23.30% 38.32%+0.00 +0.0 28
2013-08-11 Thor Akureyri D 1-153.3 1151 1186 36.69% 23.29% 40.02%-0.07 +0.2 11
2013-08-11 @ Vikingur Olafsvik D 1-153.3 1186 1151 40.02% 23.29% 36.69%+0.07 -0.2 14
2013-08-18 FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-633.2 1176 1418 15.09% 20.46% 64.45%-1.28 -10.4 7
2013-08-18 @ IA Akranes W 6-233.2 1418 1176 64.45% 20.46% 15.09%+1.28 +10.4 36
2013-08-18 Valur Reykjavik W 2-042.4 1163 1333 20.86% 21.97% 57.17%-0.86 +24.4 13
2013-08-18 @ Keflavik IF L 0-242.4 1333 1163 57.17% 21.97% 20.86%+0.86 -24.4 24
2013-08-18 Vikingur Olafsvik D 1-154.1 1303 1151 60.32% 21.40% 18.28%+1.03 -2.2 19
2013-08-18 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-154.1 1151 1303 18.28% 21.40% 60.32%-1.03 +2.2 12
2013-08-19 Fylkir Reykjavik D 2-258.9 1186 1259 31.57% 23.14% 45.28%-0.29 +0.5 15
2013-08-19 @ Thor Akureyri D 2-258.9 1259 1186 45.28% 23.14% 31.57%+0.29 -0.5 17
2013-08-22 Breidablik D 2-259.6 1165 1350 19.55% 21.70% 58.75%-0.94 +1.5 8
2013-08-22 @ IA Akranes D 2-259.6 1350 1165 58.75% 21.70% 19.55%+0.94 -1.5 28
2013-08-22 Fram Reykjavik W 3-245.1 1357 1205 60.20% 21.43% 18.37%+1.02 +4.4 31
2013-08-22 @ Stjarnan L 2-345.1 1205 1357 18.37% 21.43% 60.20%-1.02 -4.4 18
2013-08-22 Keflavik IF D 1-153.9 1301 1187 56.20% 22.12% 21.69%+0.81 -1.8 20
2013-08-22 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-153.9 1187 1301 21.69% 22.12% 56.20%-0.81 +1.8 14
2013-08-25 Breidablik D 0-050.2 1153 1348 18.63% 21.49% 59.88%-1.01 +2.5 13
2013-08-25 @ Vikingur Olafsvik D 0-050.2 1348 1153 59.88% 21.49% 18.63%+1.01 -2.5 29
2013-08-25 FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-146.6 1405 1428 38.36% 23.30% 38.34%+0.00 +15.1 37
2013-08-25 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-346.6 1428 1405 38.34% 23.30% 38.36%+0.00 -15.1 36
2013-08-25 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-140.8 1259 1299 36.00% 23.28% 40.71%-0.10 -8.8 17
2013-08-25 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-040.8 1299 1259 40.71% 23.28% 36.00%+0.10 +8.8 23
2013-08-25 Thor Akureyri D 2-259.4 1308 1186 57.08% 21.98% 20.94%+0.85 -1.4 25
2013-08-25 @ Valur Reykjavik D 2-259.4 1186 1308 20.94% 21.98% 57.08%-0.85 +1.4 16
2013-08-26 IA Akranes W 1-033.6 1361 1167 64.39% 20.48% 15.13%+1.28 +4.1 34
2013-08-26 @ Stjarnan L 0-133.6 1167 1361 15.13% 20.48% 64.39%-1.28 -4.1 8
2013-08-26 Keflavik IF L 2-352.6 1201 1189 43.42% 23.22% 33.36%+0.21 -9.1 18
2013-08-26 @ Fram Reykjavik W 3-252.6 1189 1201 33.36% 23.22% 43.42%-0.21 +9.1 17
2013-08-29 Stjarnan W 2-147.6 1346 1365 39.02% 23.30% 37.68%+0.03 +8.6 32
2013-08-29 @ Breidablik L 1-247.6 1365 1346 37.68% 23.30% 39.02%-0.03 -8.6 34
2013-08-29 Valur Reykjavik W 3-139.1 1420 1307 56.10% 22.13% 21.77%+0.80 +9.5 40
2013-08-29 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-339.1 1307 1420 21.77% 22.13% 56.10%-0.80 -9.5 25
2013-09-01 Fram Reykjavik D 1-153.4 1188 1192 41.16% 23.28% 35.57%+0.12 -0.3 17
2013-09-01 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-153.4 1192 1188 35.57% 23.28% 41.16%-0.12 +0.3 19
2013-09-01 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-445.0 1355 1250 55.16% 22.26% 22.57%+0.75 -28.9 32
2013-09-01 @ Breidablik W 4-145.0 1250 1355 22.57% 22.26% 55.16%-0.75 +28.9 20
2013-09-01 Stjarnan L 0-232.1 1198 1356 21.95% 22.16% 55.89%-0.79 -11.0 17
2013-09-01 @ Keflavik IF W 2-032.1 1356 1198 55.89% 22.16% 21.95%+0.79 +11.0 37
2013-09-01 Vikingur Olafsvik D 2-260.7 1413 1156 69.84% 18.83% 11.33%+1.65 -2.4 37
2013-09-01 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-260.7 1156 1413 11.33% 18.83% 69.84%-1.65 +2.4 14
2013-09-12 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-138.3 1279 1411 24.66% 22.56% 52.78%-0.63 -6.5 20
2013-09-12 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-038.3 1411 1279 52.78% 22.56% 24.66%+0.63 +6.5 40
2013-09-12 IA Akranes W 5-453.5 1187 1163 45.05% 23.15% 31.80%+0.28 +6.9 20
2013-09-12 @ Keflavik IF L 4-553.5 1163 1187 31.80% 23.15% 45.05%-0.28 -6.9 8
2013-09-12 KR Reykjavik L 0-133.1 1158 1429 13.22% 19.74% 67.05%-1.45 -3.6 14
2013-09-12 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 1-033.1 1429 1158 67.05% 19.74% 13.22%+1.45 +3.6 43
2013-09-12 Thor Akureyri W 3-135.4 1367 1188 63.06% 20.81% 16.13%+1.19 +7.2 40
2013-09-12 @ Stjarnan L 1-335.4 1188 1367 16.13% 20.81% 63.06%-1.19 -7.1 17
2013-09-13 Breidablik D 1-154.3 1297 1326 37.69% 23.30% 39.01%-0.03 +0.1 26
2013-09-13 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-154.3 1326 1297 39.01% 23.30% 37.69%+0.03 -0.1 33
2013-09-13 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-137.6 1192 1308 26.45% 22.76% 50.79%-0.54 -6.9 19
2013-09-13 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-037.6 1308 1192 50.79% 22.76% 26.45%+0.54 +6.9 26
2013-09-16 Fram Reykjavik L 1-252.0 1326 1185 59.08% 21.64% 19.28%+0.96 -12.6 33
2013-09-16 @ Breidablik W 2-152.0 1185 1326 19.28% 21.64% 59.08%-0.96 +12.6 22
2013-09-16 Fylkir Reykjavik W 4-134.5 1433 1272 61.15% 21.23% 17.62%+1.08 +11.0 46
2013-09-16 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-434.5 1272 1433 17.62% 21.23% 61.15%-1.08 -11.0 20
2013-09-16 Stjarnan W 1-044.1 1315 1375 33.33% 23.22% 43.45%-0.21 +10.2 29
2013-09-16 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-144.1 1375 1315 43.45% 23.22% 33.33%+0.21 -10.2 40
2013-09-16 Valur Reykjavik D 3-365.3 1417 1297 56.87% 22.01% 21.12%+0.84 -1.2 41
2013-09-16 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 3-365.3 1297 1417 21.12% 22.01% 56.87%-0.84 +1.2 27
2013-09-18 Keflavik IF D 2-258.7 1180 1194 39.83% 23.30% 36.87%+0.06 -0.1 18
2013-09-18 @ Thor Akureyri D 2-258.7 1194 1180 36.87% 23.30% 39.83%-0.06 +0.1 21
2013-09-18 Vikingur Olafsvik L 0-535.7 1156 1154 41.95% 23.26% 34.79%+0.15 -43.8 8
2013-09-18 @ IA Akranes W 5-035.7 1154 1156 34.79% 23.26% 41.95%-0.15 +43.8 17
2013-09-19 KR Reykjavik W 3-041.0 1313 1444 24.79% 22.57% 52.64%-0.63 +32.9 36
2013-09-19 @ Breidablik L 0-341.0 1444 1313 52.64% 22.57% 24.79%+0.63 -32.9 46
2013-09-19 Valur Reykjavik L 0-239.9 1325 1299 45.35% 23.14% 31.51%+0.29 -20.0 29
2013-09-19 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-039.9 1299 1325 31.51% 23.14% 45.35%-0.29 +20.0 30
2013-09-22 Breidablik W 3-251.2 1364 1346 44.27% 23.19% 32.54%+0.25 +7.3 43
2013-09-22 @ Stjarnan L 2-351.2 1346 1364 32.54% 23.19% 44.27%-0.25 -7.3 36
2013-09-22 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-230.6 1198 1416 16.81% 21.01% 62.18%-1.14 -8.6 22
2013-09-22 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-030.6 1416 1198 62.18% 21.01% 16.81%+1.14 +8.6 44
2013-09-22 IA Akranes W 1-037.2 1180 1112 50.78% 22.76% 26.45%+0.54 +6.9 21
2013-09-22 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-137.2 1112 1180 26.45% 22.76% 50.78%-0.54 -6.9 8
2013-09-22 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-250.2 1194 1305 26.97% 22.81% 50.21%-0.51 +16.8 24
2013-09-22 @ Keflavik IF L 2-450.2 1305 1194 50.21% 22.81% 26.97%+0.51 -16.8 29
2013-09-22 KR Reykjavik L 1-245.3 1319 1411 29.19% 23.00% 47.81%-0.40 -7.0 30
2013-09-22 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-145.3 1411 1319 47.81% 23.00% 29.19%+0.40 +7.0 49
2013-09-22 Vikingur Olafsvik W 2-142.6 1261 1198 50.17% 22.82% 27.01%+0.51 +6.6 23
2013-09-22 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-242.6 1198 1261 27.01% 22.82% 50.17%-0.51 -6.6 17
2013-09-25 KR Reykjavik W 3-150.9 1105 1418 10.95% 18.63% 70.43%-1.69 +25.4 11
2013-09-25 @ IA Akranes L 1-350.9 1418 1105 70.43% 18.63% 10.95%+1.69 -25.4 49
2013-09-28 Fram Reykjavik W 2-138.6 1392 1189 65.23% 20.25% 14.52%+1.33 +3.7 52
2013-09-28 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-238.6 1189 1392 14.52% 20.25% 65.23%-1.33 -3.7 22
2013-09-28 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-337.8 1131 1268 24.10% 22.49% 53.42%-0.67 -10.4 11
2013-09-28 @ IA Akranes W 3-137.8 1268 1131 53.42% 22.49% 24.10%+0.67 +10.3 26
2013-09-28 Keflavik IF W 3-245.8 1339 1211 57.76% 21.87% 20.37%+0.89 +4.9 39
2013-09-28 @ Breidablik L 2-345.8 1211 1339 20.37% 21.87% 57.76%-0.89 -4.9 24
2013-09-28 Stjarnan W 4-034.2 1425 1372 48.86% 22.92% 28.21%+0.45 +25.9 47
2013-09-28 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-434.2 1372 1425 28.21% 22.92% 48.86%-0.45 -25.9 43
2013-09-28 Thor Akureyri L 1-250.8 1288 1187 54.73% 22.32% 22.95%+0.73 -11.7 29
2013-09-28 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-150.8 1187 1288 22.95% 22.32% 54.73%-0.73 +11.7 24
2013-09-28 Valur Reykjavik L 0-531.1 1192 1312 25.97% 22.71% 51.32%-0.56 -29.8 17
2013-09-28 @ Vikingur Olafsvik W 5-031.1 1312 1192 51.32% 22.71% 25.97%+0.56 +29.8 33

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2013-09-25 10.95% @ IA Akranes 1105 3 KR Reykjavik 1418 1
2 2013-08-07 19.13% Fylkir Reykjavik 1227 2 @ Stjarnan 1369 1
3 2013-07-21 19.24% Fylkir Reykjavik 1178 3 @ Valur Reykjavik 1319 1
4 2013-09-16 19.28% Fram Reykjavik 1185 2 @ Breidablik 1326 1
5 2013-08-18 20.86% @ Keflavik IF 1163 2 Valur Reykjavik 1333 0
6 2013-07-21 21.13% @ IA Akranes 1180 2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1347 1
7 2013-07-22 22.07% Vikingur Olafsvik 1154 4 @ Fram Reykjavik 1264 3
8 2013-09-01 22.57% Fylkir Reykjavik 1250 4 @ Breidablik 1355 1
9 2013-07-14 22.78% @ Fram Reykjavik 1252 2 KR Reykjavik 1402 1
10 2013-09-28 22.95% Thor Akureyri 1187 2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1288 1
11 2013-09-19 24.79% @ Breidablik 1313 3 KR Reykjavik 1444 0
12 2013-09-22 26.97% @ Keflavik IF 1194 4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1305 2
13 2013-05-26 30.15% Thor Akureyri 1190 4 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1227 1
14 2013-06-30 31.13% Thor Akureyri 1189 3 @ Keflavik IF 1219 1
15 2013-09-19 31.51% Valur Reykjavik 1299 2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1325 0
16 2013-06-10 32.64% KR Reykjavik 1373 4 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1391 2
17 2013-09-16 33.33% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1315 1 Stjarnan 1375 0
18 2013-08-26 33.36% Keflavik IF 1189 3 @ Fram Reykjavik 1201 2
19 2013-06-30 33.60% @ Vikingur Olafsvik 1141 1 IA Akranes 1199 0
20 2013-07-11 34.18% @ Stjarnan 1346 2 FH Hafnarfjordur 1400 1
21 2013-07-28 34.28% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1200 3 Fram Reykjavik 1252 0
22 2013-09-18 34.79% Vikingur Olafsvik 1154 5 @ IA Akranes 1156 0
23 2013-05-21 35.23% @ IA Akranes 1217 2 Fram Reykjavik 1263 0
24 2013-06-24 35.34% Keflavik IF 1210 3 @ IA Akranes 1207 2
25 2013-05-20 35.93% KR Reykjavik 1356 2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1349 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2013-09-18 43.81 Vikingur Olafsvik 5 1154 34.79% @ IA Akranes 0 1156 41.95% 23.26%
2 2013-09-19 32.93 @ Breidablik 3 1313 24.79% KR Reykjavik 0 1444 52.64% 22.57%
3 2013-09-28 29.80 Valur Reykjavik 5 1312 51.32% @ Vikingur Olafsvik 0 1192 25.97% 22.71%
4 2013-09-01 28.94 Fylkir Reykjavik 4 1250 22.57% @ Breidablik 1 1355 55.16% 22.26%
5 2013-08-07 27.83 Valur Reykjavik 4 1305 46.15% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 1225 30.75% 23.10%
6 2013-07-28 27.48 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 3 1200 34.28% Fram Reykjavik 0 1252 42.48% 23.25%
7 2013-05-26 26.97 @ Valur Reykjavik 4 1293 47.38% Keflavik IF 0 1251 29.59% 23.03%
8 2013-09-28 25.93 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 4 1425 48.86% Stjarnan 0 1372 28.21% 22.92%
9 2013-09-25 25.43 @ IA Akranes 3 1105 10.95% KR Reykjavik 1 1418 70.43% 18.63%
10 2013-05-26 25.09 Thor Akureyri 4 1190 30.15% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1227 46.79% 23.06%
11 2013-08-18 24.40 @ Keflavik IF 2 1163 20.86% Valur Reykjavik 0 1333 57.17% 21.97%
12 2013-07-21 21.79 Fylkir Reykjavik 3 1178 19.24% @ Valur Reykjavik 1 1319 59.13% 21.63%
13 2013-09-19 19.96 Valur Reykjavik 2 1299 31.51% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1325 45.35% 23.14%
14 2013-08-11 19.53 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 3 1240 49.45% Keflavik IF 0 1182 27.67% 22.88%
15 2013-05-21 18.57 @ IA Akranes 2 1217 35.23% Fram Reykjavik 0 1263 41.50% 23.27%
16 2013-05-12 18.33 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 1330 45.33% Breidablik 1 1304 31.53% 23.14%
17 2013-05-20 18.31 KR Reykjavik 2 1356 35.93% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1349 40.78% 23.28%
18 2013-07-20 17.95 FH Hafnarfjordur 4 1391 59.91% @ Keflavik IF 0 1195 18.61% 21.48%
19 2013-06-16 17.49 @ Fram Reykjavik 4 1245 47.20% Thor Akureyri 1 1205 29.77% 23.04%
20 2013-06-30 17.41 Thor Akureyri 3 1189 31.13% @ Keflavik IF 1 1219 45.75% 23.12%
21 2013-05-12 16.86 FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1357 54.33% @ Thor Akureyri 0 1212 23.30% 22.37%
22 2013-09-22 16.85 @ Keflavik IF 4 1194 26.97% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1305 50.21% 22.81%
23 2013-05-16 16.79 @ Breidablik 4 1286 48.75% IA Akranes 1 1234 28.32% 22.93%
24 2013-06-16 16.51 FH Hafnarfjordur 4 1376 61.90% @ Vikingur Olafsvik 0 1160 17.03% 21.07%
25 2013-05-05 16.36 @ Breidablik 4 1288 49.70% Thor Akureyri 1 1228 27.44% 22.86%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2013-09-16 65.3 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1417 56.87% Valur Reykjavik 3 1297 21.12% 22.01%
2 2013-09-01 60.7 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1413 69.84% Vikingur Olafsvik 2 1156 11.33% 18.83%
3 2013-08-22 59.6 @ IA Akranes 2 1165 19.55% Breidablik 2 1350 58.75% 21.70%
4 2013-08-25 59.4 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 1308 57.08% Thor Akureyri 2 1186 20.94% 21.98%
5 2013-07-22 59.2 Vikingur Olafsvik 4 1154 22.07% @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1264 55.75% 22.18%
6 2013-05-20 59.0 @ Keflavik IF 2 1252 45.24% Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1226 31.61% 23.15%
7 2013-08-19 58.9 @ Thor Akureyri 2 1186 31.57% Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1259 45.28% 23.14%
8 2013-09-18 58.7 @ Thor Akureyri 2 1180 39.83% Keflavik IF 2 1194 36.87% 23.30%
9 2013-05-16 55.4 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1374 45.17% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1349 31.68% 23.15%
10 2013-06-30 55.3 @ Valur Reykjavik 1 1321 31.34% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1396 45.53% 23.13%
11 2013-05-27 54.9 @ KR Reykjavik 1 1374 52.21% Breidablik 1 1295 25.17% 22.62%
12 2013-08-11 54.9 @ Valur Reykjavik 1 1333 38.32% Stjarnan 1 1357 38.38% 23.30%
13 2013-06-18 54.7 @ Valur Reykjavik 1 1330 40.58% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1338 36.13% 23.29%
14 2013-07-28 54.4 @ Vikingur Olafsvik 1 1165 17.70% Stjarnan 1 1371 61.04% 21.26%
15 2013-09-13 54.3 @ Valur Reykjavik 1 1297 37.69% Breidablik 1 1326 39.01% 23.30%
16 2013-05-21 54.2 @ Stjarnan 1 1314 44.71% Valur Reykjavik 1 1292 32.12% 23.17%
17 2013-08-18 54.1 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1303 60.32% Vikingur Olafsvik 1 1151 18.28% 21.40%
18 2013-06-23 54.0 @ Thor Akureyri 1 1188 22.63% Stjarnan 1 1339 55.10% 22.27%
19 2013-06-30 54.0 @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1256 32.48% Breidablik 1 1322 44.33% 23.19%
20 2013-05-16 53.9 @ Valur Reykjavik 1 1293 45.99% Fram Reykjavik 1 1262 30.90% 23.11%
21 2013-08-22 53.9 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1301 56.20% Keflavik IF 1 1187 21.69% 22.12%
22 2013-05-13 53.7 @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1263 45.73% Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1234 31.15% 23.12%
23 2013-09-12 53.5 @ Keflavik IF 5 1187 45.05% IA Akranes 4 1163 31.80% 23.15%
24 2013-09-01 53.4 @ Thor Akureyri 1 1188 41.16% Fram Reykjavik 1 1192 35.57% 23.28%
25 2013-07-15 53.3 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1178 41.52% IA Akranes 1 1180 35.21% 23.27%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2013-07-28 27.0 @ KR Reykjavik 3 1374 64.72% Keflavik IF 0 1177 14.89% 20.39%
2 2013-06-16 27.3 FH Hafnarfjordur 4 1376 61.90% @ Vikingur Olafsvik 0 1160 17.03% 21.07%
3 2013-07-20 28.1 FH Hafnarfjordur 4 1391 59.91% @ Keflavik IF 0 1195 18.61% 21.48%
4 2013-05-16 28.4 @ KR Reykjavik 3 1342 59.80% Thor Akureyri 0 1195 18.69% 21.50%
5 2013-05-12 30.2 FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1357 54.33% @ Thor Akureyri 0 1212 23.30% 22.37%
6 2013-09-22 30.6 FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1416 62.18% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 1198 16.81% 21.01%
7 2013-08-11 31.1 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 3 1240 49.45% Keflavik IF 0 1182 27.67% 22.88%
8 2013-09-28 31.1 Valur Reykjavik 5 1312 51.32% @ Vikingur Olafsvik 0 1192 25.97% 22.71%
9 2013-06-10 31.3 @ Breidablik 2 1296 57.49% Vikingur Olafsvik 0 1171 20.60% 21.92%
10 2013-05-26 31.4 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1381 59.63% IA Akranes 0 1236 18.83% 21.54%
11 2013-05-26 31.7 @ Valur Reykjavik 4 1293 47.38% Keflavik IF 0 1251 29.59% 23.03%
12 2013-08-07 32.0 Valur Reykjavik 4 1305 46.15% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 1225 30.75% 23.10%
13 2013-09-01 32.1 Stjarnan 2 1356 55.89% @ Keflavik IF 0 1198 21.95% 22.16%
14 2013-09-12 33.1 KR Reykjavik 1 1429 67.05% @ Vikingur Olafsvik 0 1158 13.22% 19.74%
15 2013-08-18 33.2 FH Hafnarfjordur 6 1418 64.45% @ IA Akranes 2 1176 15.09% 20.46%
16 2013-07-27 33.6 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1408 65.85% Thor Akureyri 0 1198 14.06% 20.08%
17 2013-08-26 33.6 @ Stjarnan 1 1361 64.39% IA Akranes 0 1167 15.13% 20.48%
18 2013-09-28 34.2 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 4 1425 48.86% Stjarnan 0 1372 28.21% 22.92%
19 2013-09-16 34.5 @ KR Reykjavik 4 1433 61.15% Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1272 17.62% 21.23%
20 2013-05-12 35.4 KR Reykjavik 2 1327 45.46% @ Keflavik IF 0 1253 31.41% 23.14%
21 2013-09-12 35.4 @ Stjarnan 3 1367 63.06% Thor Akureyri 1 1188 16.13% 20.81%
22 2013-07-28 35.7 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 3 1200 34.28% Fram Reykjavik 0 1252 42.48% 23.25%
23 2013-09-18 35.7 Vikingur Olafsvik 5 1154 34.79% @ IA Akranes 0 1156 41.95% 23.26%
24 2013-08-07 35.9 @ Keflavik IF 2 1166 41.55% Vikingur Olafsvik 0 1167 35.18% 23.27%
25 2013-06-16 36.0 @ Stjarnan 1 1334 56.68% Keflavik IF 0 1215 21.28% 22.04%