2015 Úrvalsdeild Season

132 games

Final

Champion

FH Hafnarfjordur

48 points · 7th Title

Last Title: 2012.0

Relegated

Keflavik IF

10 pts

Leiknir Reykjavik · 15 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Breidablik

10.83 points above expected

46 points · 35.17 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Keflavik IF

11.85 points below expected

10 points · 21.85 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	FH Hafnarfjordur Champion	22	15	3	4	48	47	26	+21	41.85	+6.15
2	Breidablik	22	13	7	2	46	34	13	+21	35.17	+10.83
3	KR Reykjavik	22	12	6	4	42	36	21	+15	38.42	+3.58
4	Stjarnan	22	9	6	7	33	32	24	+8	37.16	-4.16
5	Valur Reykjavik	22	9	6	7	33	38	31	+7	31.33	+1.67
6	Fjolnir	22	9	6	7	33	36	35	+1	29.62	+3.38
7	IA Akranes	22	7	8	7	29	31	31	0	24.61	+4.39
8	Fylkir Reykjavik	22	7	8	7	29	26	31	-5	27.58	+1.42
9	Vikingur Reykjavik	22	5	8	9	23	32	36	-4	24.14	-1.14
10	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	22	5	4	13	19	26	37	-11	22.06	-3.06
11	Leiknir Reykjavik Relegated	22	3	6	13	15	20	34	-14	26.29	-11.29
12	Keflavik IF Relegated	22	2	4	16	10	22	61	-39	21.85	-11.85

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Breidablik	46	35.17	+10.83
2	FH Hafnarfjordur	48	41.85	+6.15
3	IA Akranes	29	24.61	+4.39
4	KR Reykjavik	42	38.42	+3.58
5	Fjolnir	33	29.62	+3.38

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Keflavik IF	10	21.85	-11.85
2	Leiknir Reykjavik	15	26.29	-11.29
3	Stjarnan	33	37.16	-4.16
4	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	19	22.06	-3.06
5	Vikingur Reykjavik	23	24.14	-1.14

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Breidablik	5	May 20 – Jun 14	1 in 80
2	Valur Reykjavik	3	May 31 – Jun 14	1 in 35
3	FH Hafnarfjordur	7	Jul 28 – Sep 13	1 in 31
4	Stjarnan	4	Sep 14 – Oct 3	1 in 31
5	Fjolnir	3	May 31 – Jun 15	1 in 25

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fjolnir	4	Jun 22 – Jul 19	1 in 56
2	Leiknir Reykjavik	4	Sep 13 – Oct 3	1 in 44
3	Valur Reykjavik	3	Jul 25 – Aug 10	1 in 25
4	Vikingur Reykjavik	4	May 26 – Jun 14	1 in 22
5	Stjarnan	2	May 31 – Jun 7	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fjolnir	8	Jul 26 – Sep 20	1 in 32
2	Valur Reykjavik	8	May 25 – Jul 20	1 in 28
3	Breidablik	10	Jul 27 – Oct 3	1 in 28
4	IA Akranes	6	Aug 24 – Oct 3	1 in 20
5	Vikingur Reykjavik	6	Jul 19 – Aug 25	1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Stjarnan	5	May 17 – Jun 7	1 in 29
2	Keflavik IF	14	Jun 14 – Sep 26	1 in 23
3	Leiknir Reykjavik	8	May 31 – Jul 26	1 in 20
4	Vikingur Reykjavik	7	May 10 – Jun 14	1 in 11
5	KR Reykjavik	3	Aug 30 – Sep 20	1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
FH Hafnarfjordur	1578	48	-11	9	10.3	-1.3
Breidablik	1526	46	+24	11	8.7	+2.3
KR Reykjavik	1511	42	-17	8	9.5	-1.5
Stjarnan	1498	33	+63	13	8.0	+5.0
Fjolnir	1392	33	-4	7	6.2	+0.8
Valur Reykjavik	1419	33	-14	5	7.4	-2.4
IA Akranes	1385	29	+46	11	6.4	+4.6
Fylkir Reykjavik	1346	29	+21	8	5.5	+2.5
Vikingur Reykjavik	1352	23	-20	2	5.0	-3.0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1318	19	+1	4	5.3	-1.3
Leiknir Reykjavik	1286	15	-38	1	5.6	-4.6
Keflavik IF	1192	10	-52	3	4.1	-1.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BRE	FH	FJO	FR	IA	IV	KR	KI	LR	STJ	VR	VR
Breidablik	—	1-1-0 2.02	2-0-0 3.38	0-1-1 3.30	2-0-0 3.51	1-0-1 4.09	0-2-0 2.21	1-1-0 3.67	1-1-0 3.56	2-0-0 2.55	2-0-0 3.08	1-1-0 3.71
FH Hafnarfjordur	0-1-1 3.42	—	2-0-0 3.90	0-1-1 4.31	2-0-0 4.08	2-0-0 4.46	1-0-1 3.15	2-0-0 4.36	2-0-0 4.11	1-1-0 3.18	1-0-1 3.94	2-0-0 4.18
Fjolnir	0-0-2 2.06	0-0-2 1.58	—	1-1-0 2.65	1-1-0 3.10	1-0-1 3.34	1-0-1 1.83	1-1-0 3.41	2-0-0 3.12	1-1-0 2.21	0-2-0 2.67	1-0-1 3.28
Fylkir Reykjavik	1-1-0 2.15	1-1-0 1.24	0-1-1 2.78	—	0-2-0 2.82	2-0-0 3.07	0-0-2 1.79	1-1-0 3.21	1-1-0 2.66	0-0-2 1.91	0-0-2 2.53	1-1-0 2.61
IA Akranes	0-0-2 1.95	0-0-2 1.42	0-1-1 2.32	0-2-0 2.60	—	2-0-0 3.04	0-2-0 1.52	2-0-0 3.25	2-0-0 2.50	0-1-1 1.70	1-0-1 2.11	0-2-0 2.63
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1-0-1 1.42	0-0-2 1.11	1-0-1 2.10	0-0-2 2.37	0-0-2 2.38	—	0-1-1 1.37	1-0-1 2.93	1-1-0 2.11	0-0-2 1.54	0-2-0 1.79	1-0-1 2.28
KR Reykjavik	0-2-0 3.23	1-0-1 2.29	1-0-1 3.63	2-0-0 3.68	0-2-0 3.97	1-1-0 4.15	—	2-0-0 4.27	2-0-0 3.88	1-0-1 3.02	0-1-1 3.57	2-0-0 3.82
Keflavik IF	0-1-1 1.82	0-0-2 1.19	0-1-1 2.03	0-1-1 2.23	0-0-2 2.19	1-0-1 2.51	0-0-2 1.27	—	1-1-0 2.04	0-0-2 1.34	0-0-2 1.70	0-0-2 2.70
Leiknir Reykjavik	0-1-1 1.92	0-0-2 1.40	0-0-2 2.31	0-1-1 2.76	0-0-2 2.94	0-1-1 3.33	0-0-2 1.60	0-1-1 3.40	—	1-1-0 1.73	1-0-1 2.36	1-1-0 2.67
Stjarnan	0-0-2 2.88	0-1-1 2.26	0-1-1 3.24	2-0-0 3.54	1-1-0 3.77	2-0-0 3.95	1-0-1 2.42	2-0-0 4.20	0-1-1 3.74	—	1-0-1 3.15	0-2-0 3.70
Valur Reykjavik	0-0-2 2.35	1-0-1 1.55	0-2-0 2.76	2-0-0 2.91	1-0-1 3.33	0-2-0 3.68	1-1-0 1.88	2-0-0 3.79	1-0-1 3.06	1-0-1 2.28	—	0-1-1 2.98
Vikingur Reykjavik	0-1-1 1.75	0-0-2 1.34	1-0-1 2.15	0-1-1 2.82	0-2-0 2.80	1-0-1 3.15	0-0-2 1.66	2-0-0 2.73	0-1-1 2.76	0-2-0 1.76	1-1-0 2.47	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.73	+13.6
Allowed	0.69	-8.5
Differential	0.91	+6.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.47%	5.68%	3.79%	2.27%	0.38%	26.14%
1	9.47%	14.39%	4.17%	4.55%	1.14%	0.38%	34.09%
2	5.68%	4.17%	5.30%	2.27%	1.52%	0.38%	19.32%
3	3.79%	4.55%	2.27%	2.27%	0.38%	—	13.26%
4	2.27%	1.14%	1.52%	0.38%	0.76%	—	6.06%
5+	0.38%	0.38%	0.38%	—	—	—	1.14%
Total	26.14%	34.09%	19.32%	13.26%	6.06%	1.14%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.44	1.44	+0.00
SD	1.29	1.29	1.90
CV	0.90	0.90	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
1	22.73%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	36.36%
2	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	54.55%	31.82%	13.64%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	0.59	+0.95
SD	1.18	0.73	1.40
CV	0.77	1.24	—
Max	4	2	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
1	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	45.45%	22.73%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.14	1.18	+0.95
SD	1.21	0.91	1.56
CV	0.56	0.77	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	18.18%	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
1	9.09%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	36.36%
2	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
3	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
4	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	27.27%	27.27%	13.64%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	1.59	+0.05
SD	1.40	1.26	1.89
CV	0.85	0.79	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	36.36%
1	13.64%	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
2	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
3	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	27.27%	18.18%	13.64%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.41	-0.23
SD	1.18	1.33	1.72
CV	1.00	0.95	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	27.27%
1	9.09%	18.18%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	36.36%
2	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	40.91%	9.09%	9.09%	13.64%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	1.41	+0.00
SD	1.33	1.37	1.57
CV	0.95	0.97	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	22.73%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	36.36%
1	—	9.09%	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	31.82%
2	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	31.82%	18.18%	27.27%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.68	-0.50
SD	1.22	1.21	1.92
CV	1.03	0.72	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	—	—	9.09%	—	—	18.18%
1	18.18%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	36.36%
2	13.64%	—	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	50.00%	18.18%	18.18%	13.64%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	0.95	+0.68
SD	1.33	1.13	1.84
CV	0.81	1.19	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	36.36%
1	—	13.64%	13.64%	9.09%	—	4.55%	40.91%
2	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	27.27%	22.73%	22.73%	18.18%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	2.77	-1.77
SD	1.02	1.74	2.18
CV	1.02	0.63	—
Max	3	7	+2
Min	0	1	-7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	18.18%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	40.91%
1	4.55%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	—	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	36.36%	22.73%	18.18%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.91	1.55	-0.64
SD	0.92	1.14	1.40
CV	1.01	0.74	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.64%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	22.73%
1	9.09%	22.73%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	40.91%
2	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	31.82%	45.45%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.09	+0.36
SD	1.53	1.11	2.28
CV	1.06	1.02	—
Max	7	4	+7
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	18.18%	—	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
1	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
2	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	9.09%	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	22.73%
4	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	36.36%	31.82%	13.64%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.73	1.41	+0.32
SD	1.32	0.96	1.49
CV	0.76	0.68	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
1	9.09%	18.18%	—	—	4.55%	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	4.55%	27.27%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	18.18%	40.91%	18.18%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.64	-0.18
SD	1.57	1.40	1.97
CV	1.08	0.85	—
Max	7	5	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
FH Hafnarfjordur	1578	48	41.85	+6.15	90.0%	30	31	38	42	46	52	56
Breidablik	1526	46	35.17	+10.83	98.0%	21	24	31	35	39	45	48
KR Reykjavik	1511	42	38.42	+3.58	76.0%	23	30	34	39	42	46	49
Stjarnan	1498	33	37.16	-4.16	25.0%	27	29	33	37	41	45	52
Valur Reykjavik	1419	33	31.33	+1.67	66.0%	16	23	27	32	35	41	48
Fjolnir	1392	33	29.62	+3.38	74.0%	15	20	26	30	34	37	41
IA Akranes	1385	29	24.61	+4.39	74.0%	7	14	20	24	30	36	39
Vikingur Reykjavik	1352	23	24.14	-1.14	46.0%	11	12	19	24	28	35	39
Fylkir Reykjavik	1346	29	27.58	+1.42	70.0%	14	17	25	27	31	38	40
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1318	19	22.06	-3.06	28.0%	8	14	19	21	25	31	35
Leiknir Reykjavik	1286	15	26.29	-11.29	0.0%	16	19	23	26	29	33	39
Keflavik IF	1192	10	21.85	-11.85	1.0%	7	14	18	22	25	29	35

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 4.5% * Slight Edge: 4.5% to 11% * Clear Edge: 11% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+10.61%

Slight Edge

41.67%27.27%31.06%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 36.99 Elo pts.

164 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.33 goals

Neutral

-2+0.23+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.3

Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

46%

FH Hafnarfjordur, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.09/gm

Tight Race

00.200.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.45 * Some Luck: 4.45 to 6.67 * Lucky: 6.67 to 8.9 * Wild Swing: 8.9 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.44 * Close: 1.44 to 2.16 * Off: 2.16 to 2.88 * Way Off: 2.88 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.98 * A Surprise: 0.98 to 1.57 * Several Surprises: 1.57 to 2.16 * Many Surprises: 2.16 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.45 points

Some Luck

05.5614

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

Pinpoint

01.804

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

98.00%

Breidablik

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

0.00%

Leiknir Reykjavik

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

1 of 2

A Surprise

01.02

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Wide Separation: 1.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 69% * Clear Edge: 69% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 94% * Dominant: 94% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55% * Some Drama: 55% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.

Gini Index

0.21

Lopsided

00.160.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 112.08

1.95

Wide Separation

0.71.351.652.5

Interquartile Edge

72%

Clear Edge

50%63%69%75.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

90%

Strong Edge

50%90%100%

Close Games

Expected

60%

Some Drama

0%57%100%

Blowouts

Expected

17%

Occasional

0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.36 * Notable Separation: 0.36 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.33 * Some Carryover: 0.33 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.75 * Near-Lock: 0.75 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24.5% * Upset-Prone: 24.5% to 29% * Very Upset-Prone: 29% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.60

Predictable

00.612

Matchup Imbalance

0.35

Slight Separation

00.280.360.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.58

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

0.70

Strong Carryover

00.330.590.751

Upset Rate

Expected

20%

Chalky

0%23%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

21%

As Expected

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.

Probability calibration

0.59

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.15

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.083

Well Within Noise

00.1460.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
FH Hafnarfjordur	46.00%	24.00%	17.00%	5.00%	5.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Breidablik	10.00%	18.00%	16.00%	21.00%	11.00%	10.00%	6.00%	3.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	—
KR Reykjavik	25.00%	25.00%	17.00%	12.00%	7.00%	7.00%	5.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	—
Stjarnan	14.00%	23.00%	22.00%	12.00%	17.00%	7.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Valur Reykjavik	3.00%	5.00%	8.00%	16.00%	19.00%	11.00%	10.00%	14.00%	7.00%	4.00%	1.00%	2.00%
Fjolnir	2.00%	—	6.00%	16.00%	13.00%	18.00%	14.00%	14.00%	6.00%	7.00%	2.00%	2.00%
IA Akranes	—	1.00%	2.00%	6.00%	7.00%	8.00%	12.00%	7.00%	7.00%	14.00%	22.00%	14.00%
Fylkir Reykjavik	—	4.00%	3.00%	6.00%	7.00%	12.00%	12.00%	19.00%	15.00%	10.00%	5.00%	7.00%
Vikingur Reykjavik	—	—	4.00%	3.00%	3.00%	11.00%	10.00%	10.00%	12.00%	18.00%	12.00%	17.00%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	4.00%	10.00%	18.00%	13.00%	25.00%	24.00%
Leiknir Reykjavik	—	—	4.00%	1.00%	7.00%	7.00%	13.00%	17.00%	19.00%	18.00%	8.00%	6.00%
Keflavik IF	—	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	5.00%	8.00%	4.00%	13.00%	13.00%	25.00%	28.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Breidablik	100%	—
FH Hafnarfjordur	100%	—
KR Reykjavik	100%	—
Stjarnan	100%	—
Valur Reykjavik	97.00%	3.00%
Fjolnir	96.00%	4.00%
Fylkir Reykjavik	88.00%	12.00%
Leiknir Reykjavik	86.00%	14.00%
Vikingur Reykjavik	71.00%	29.00%
IA Akranes	64.00%	36.00%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	51.00%	49.00%
Keflavik IF	47.00%	53.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2015-05-03	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 1-0	39.8	1372	1318	47.94%	27.92%	24.14%	+0.56	+6.8	3
2015-05-03	@ Fjolnir	L 0-1	39.8	1318	1372	24.14%	27.92%	47.94%	-0.56	-6.8	0
2015-05-03	Leiknir Reykjavik	L 0-3	40.1	1365	1372	39.87%	28.81%	31.32%	+0.19	-27.4	0
2015-05-03	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 3-0	40.1	1372	1365	31.32%	28.81%	39.87%	-0.19	+27.4	3
2015-05-03	Stjarnan	L 0-1	42.0	1349	1505	21.37%	27.23%	51.40%	-0.73	-6.2	0
2015-05-03	@ IA Akranes	W 1-0	42.0	1505	1349	51.40%	27.23%	21.37%	+0.73	+6.2	3
2015-05-03	Vikingur Reykjavik	L 1-3	48.3	1366	1344	43.66%	28.51%	27.83%	+0.36	-17.5	0
2015-05-03	@ Keflavik IF	W 3-1	48.3	1344	1366	27.83%	28.51%	43.66%	-0.36	+17.5	3
2015-05-04	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-3	54.3	1488	1539	33.55%	28.91%	37.55%	-0.09	-14.4	0
2015-05-04	@ KR Reykjavik	W 3-1	54.3	1539	1488	37.55%	28.91%	33.55%	+0.09	+14.4	3
2015-05-07	Breidablik	D 1-1	54.6	1371	1414	34.78%	28.93%	36.30%	-0.03	+0.1	1
2015-05-07	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	D 1-1	54.6	1414	1371	36.30%	28.93%	34.78%	+0.03	-0.1	1
2015-05-10	Keflavik IF	W 2-0	36.1	1553	1348	64.67%	22.68%	12.65%	+1.48	+6.9	6
2015-05-10	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-2	36.1	1348	1553	12.65%	22.68%	64.67%	-1.48	-6.9	0
2015-05-10	Stjarnan	L 0-2	36.3	1311	1511	17.67%	25.85%	56.48%	-1.00	-9.8	0
2015-05-10	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 2-0	36.3	1511	1311	56.48%	25.85%	17.67%	+1.00	+9.8	6
2015-05-10	Valur Reykjavik	D 2-2	58.9	1362	1338	44.04%	28.47%	27.49%	+0.37	-0.6	4
2015-05-10	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	D 2-2	58.9	1338	1362	27.49%	28.47%	44.04%	-0.37	+0.6	1
2015-05-11	Fylkir Reykjavik	D 1-1	54.0	1379	1372	41.81%	28.68%	29.51%	+0.27	-0.6	4
2015-05-11	@ Fjolnir	D 1-1	54.0	1372	1379	29.51%	28.68%	41.81%	-0.27	+0.6	2
2015-05-11	IA Akranes	L 0-1	47.7	1399	1343	48.19%	27.87%	23.94%	+0.57	-11.6	3
2015-05-11	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 1-0	47.7	1343	1399	23.94%	27.87%	48.19%	-0.57	+11.6	3
2015-05-11	KR Reykjavik	D 2-2	62.9	1414	1473	32.37%	28.87%	38.76%	-0.14	+0.2	2
2015-05-11	@ Breidablik	D 2-2	62.9	1473	1414	38.76%	28.87%	32.37%	+0.14	-0.2	1
2015-05-17	Breidablik	D 1-1	54.1	1341	1414	30.64%	28.77%	40.59%	-0.22	+0.5	1
2015-05-17	@ Keflavik IF	D 1-1	54.1	1414	1341	40.59%	28.77%	30.64%	+0.22	-0.5	3
2015-05-17	FH Hafnarfjordur	W 2-0	50.6	1338	1560	16.10%	25.05%	58.86%	-1.13	+25.8	4
2015-05-17	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 0-2	50.6	1560	1338	58.86%	25.05%	16.10%	+1.13	-25.8	6
2015-05-17	Fjolnir	W 2-0	38.2	1473	1379	52.89%	26.87%	20.24%	+0.80	+11.1	4
2015-05-17	@ KR Reykjavik	L 0-2	38.2	1379	1473	20.24%	26.87%	52.89%	-0.80	-11.1	4
2015-05-17	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 3-0	33.6	1372	1302	50.00%	27.53%	22.47%	+0.66	+17.6	5
2015-05-17	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	L 0-3	33.6	1302	1372	22.47%	27.53%	50.00%	-0.66	-17.6	0
2015-05-17	Leiknir Reykjavik	D 1-1	59.0	1521	1387	57.33%	25.57%	17.10%	+1.04	-2.2	7
2015-05-17	@ Stjarnan	D 1-1	59.0	1387	1521	17.10%	25.57%	57.33%	-1.04	+2.2	4
2015-05-17	Vikingur Reykjavik	D 1-1	53.5	1355	1361	39.84%	28.82%	31.35%	+0.19	-0.4	4
2015-05-17	@ IA Akranes	D 1-1	53.5	1361	1355	31.35%	28.82%	39.84%	-0.19	+0.4	5
2015-05-20	IA Akranes	W 4-1	39.5	1534	1354	62.21%	23.75%	14.04%	+1.33	+9.5	9
2015-05-20	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-4	39.5	1354	1534	14.04%	23.75%	62.21%	-1.33	-9.5	4
2015-05-20	Keflavik IF	W 1-0	41.1	1367	1342	44.26%	28.44%	27.29%	+0.38	+7.5	7
2015-05-20	@ Fjolnir	L 0-1	41.1	1342	1367	27.29%	28.44%	44.26%	-0.38	-7.6	1
2015-05-20	KR Reykjavik	L 1-3	47.1	1390	1484	27.93%	28.52%	43.54%	-0.35	-12.6	5
2015-05-20	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	W 3-1	47.1	1484	1390	43.54%	28.52%	27.93%	+0.35	+12.6	7
2015-05-20	Leiknir Reykjavik	D 2-2	58.6	1284	1390	26.62%	28.35%	45.03%	-0.42	+0.7	1
2015-05-20	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 2-2	58.6	1390	1284	45.03%	28.35%	26.62%	+0.42	-0.7	5
2015-05-20	Stjarnan	D 2-2	63.2	1362	1519	21.25%	27.19%	51.55%	-0.73	+1.2	6
2015-05-20	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	D 2-2	63.2	1519	1362	51.55%	27.19%	21.25%	+0.73	-1.2	8
2015-05-20	Valur Reykjavik	W 1-0	41.4	1413	1364	47.33%	28.02%	24.65%	+0.53	+7.0	6
2015-05-20	@ Breidablik	L 0-1	41.4	1364	1413	24.65%	28.02%	47.33%	-0.53	-7.0	4
2015-05-25	Fjolnir	D 3-3	63.2	1357	1375	38.26%	28.88%	32.85%	+0.12	-0.2	5
2015-05-25	@ Valur Reykjavik	D 3-3	63.2	1375	1357	32.85%	28.88%	38.26%	-0.12	+0.2	8
2015-05-25	Fylkir Reykjavik	L 1-3	45.7	1334	1377	34.66%	28.93%	36.42%	-0.04	-14.8	1
2015-05-25	@ Keflavik IF	W 3-1	45.7	1377	1334	36.42%	28.93%	34.66%	+0.04	+14.8	8
2015-05-25	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 1-0	36.0	1497	1285	65.33%	22.38%	12.29%	+1.52	+3.5	10
2015-05-25	@ KR Reykjavik	L 0-1	36.0	1285	1497	12.29%	22.38%	65.33%	-1.52	-3.5	1
2015-05-26	Breidablik	L 0-1	43.0	1345	1420	30.25%	28.74%	41.01%	-0.24	-8.2	4
2015-05-26	@ IA Akranes	W 1-0	43.0	1420	1345	41.01%	28.74%	30.25%	+0.24	+8.2	9
2015-05-26	FH Hafnarfjordur	D 1-1	63.6	1518	1544	37.10%	28.91%	33.98%	+0.07	-0.1	9
2015-05-26	@ Stjarnan	D 1-1	63.6	1544	1518	33.98%	28.91%	37.10%	-0.07	+0.2	10
2015-05-26	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 2-0	38.5	1389	1363	44.29%	28.44%	27.27%	+0.38	+14.2	8
2015-05-26	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	L 0-2	38.5	1363	1389	27.27%	28.44%	44.29%	-0.38	-14.2	6
2015-05-31	IA Akranes	W 2-0	37.4	1375	1336	45.96%	28.23%	25.81%	+0.46	+13.6	11
2015-05-31	@ Fjolnir	L 0-2	37.4	1336	1375	25.81%	28.23%	45.96%	-0.46	-13.6	4
2015-05-31	Keflavik IF	W 4-0	32.0	1500	1319	62.28%	23.72%	14.00%	+1.33	+14.6	13
2015-05-31	@ KR Reykjavik	L 0-4	32.0	1319	1500	14.00%	23.72%	62.28%	-1.33	-14.6	1
2015-05-31	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 4-2	49.2	1544	1403	58.11%	25.31%	16.58%	+1.09	+7.1	13
2015-05-31	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 2-4	49.2	1403	1544	16.58%	25.31%	58.11%	-1.09	-7.1	8
2015-05-31	Stjarnan	W 3-0	46.5	1429	1518	28.58%	28.59%	42.82%	-0.32	+29.0	12
2015-05-31	@ Breidablik	L 0-3	46.5	1518	1429	42.82%	28.59%	28.58%	+0.32	-29.0	9
2015-05-31	Valur Reykjavik	L 0-3	41.8	1392	1357	45.48%	28.29%	26.23%	+0.44	-30.4	8
2015-05-31	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	W 3-0	41.8	1357	1392	26.23%	28.29%	45.48%	-0.44	+30.4	8
2015-05-31	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 3-2	54.4	1281	1349	31.33%	28.81%	39.86%	-0.19	+9.0	4
2015-05-31	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 2-3	54.4	1349	1281	39.86%	28.81%	31.33%	+0.19	-9.0	6
2015-06-07	Breidablik	L 0-2	42.4	1396	1458	32.11%	28.85%	39.03%	-0.15	-16.1	8
2015-06-07	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 2-0	42.4	1458	1396	39.03%	28.85%	32.11%	+0.15	+16.1	15
2015-06-07	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-1	41.2	1340	1551	16.83%	25.44%	57.74%	-1.07	-4.9	6
2015-06-07	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	W 1-0	41.2	1551	1340	57.74%	25.44%	16.83%	+1.07	+4.9	16
2015-06-07	Fjolnir	L 1-3	54.4	1489	1389	53.50%	26.71%	19.78%	+0.84	-20.7	9
2015-06-07	@ Stjarnan	W 3-1	54.4	1389	1489	19.78%	26.71%	53.50%	-0.84	+20.7	14
2015-06-07	Fylkir Reykjavik	D 0-0	48.7	1323	1362	35.28%	28.93%	35.79%	-0.01	+0.0	5
2015-06-07	@ IA Akranes	D 0-0	48.7	1362	1323	35.79%	28.93%	35.28%	+0.01	-0.0	9
2015-06-07	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 3-1	42.7	1305	1290	42.77%	28.60%	28.63%	+0.32	+12.8	4
2015-06-07	@ Keflavik IF	L 1-3	42.7	1290	1305	28.63%	28.60%	42.77%	-0.32	-12.8	4
2015-06-07	KR Reykjavik	W 3-0	46.3	1387	1515	24.19%	27.93%	47.88%	-0.55	+31.6	11
2015-06-07	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 0-3	46.3	1515	1387	47.88%	27.93%	24.19%	+0.55	-31.6	13
2015-06-14	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-4	37.1	1277	1556	12.67%	22.70%	64.63%	-1.48	-8.5	4
2015-06-14	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 4-1	37.1	1556	1277	64.63%	22.70%	12.67%	+1.48	+8.5	19
2015-06-14	Valur Reykjavik	L 1-2	46.7	1318	1419	27.10%	28.42%	44.48%	-0.39	-7.1	4
2015-06-14	@ Keflavik IF	W 2-1	46.7	1419	1318	44.48%	28.42%	27.10%	+0.39	+7.1	14
2015-06-14	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 4-1	38.5	1474	1335	57.90%	25.38%	16.72%	+1.07	+11.3	18
2015-06-14	@ Breidablik	L 1-4	38.5	1335	1474	16.72%	25.38%	57.90%	-1.07	-11.3	6
2015-06-15	IA Akranes	D 1-1	56.4	1483	1323	60.18%	24.56%	15.26%	+1.21	-2.4	14
2015-06-15	@ KR Reykjavik	D 1-1	56.4	1323	1483	15.26%	24.56%	60.18%	-1.21	+2.4	6
2015-06-15	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 3-0	37.0	1409	1380	44.77%	28.38%	26.85%	+0.41	+20.4	17
2015-06-15	@ Fjolnir	L 0-3	37.0	1380	1409	26.85%	28.38%	44.77%	-0.41	-20.4	8
2015-06-15	Stjarnan	L 0-2	39.9	1362	1468	26.52%	28.34%	45.14%	-0.42	-13.9	9
2015-06-15	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	W 2-0	39.9	1468	1362	45.14%	28.34%	26.52%	+0.42	+13.9	12
2015-06-21	Breidablik	D 1-1	63.6	1564	1485	51.08%	27.30%	21.62%	+0.71	-1.5	20
2015-06-21	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	D 1-1	63.6	1485	1564	21.62%	27.30%	51.08%	-0.71	+1.5	19
2015-06-21	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 1-1	54.4	1426	1269	59.85%	24.68%	15.47%	+1.19	-2.4	15
2015-06-21	@ Valur Reykjavik	D 1-1	54.4	1269	1426	15.47%	24.68%	59.85%	-1.19	+2.4	5
2015-06-22	Fjolnir	W 2-0	43.8	1323	1430	26.51%	28.33%	45.16%	-0.42	+20.8	9
2015-06-22	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	L 0-2	43.8	1430	1323	45.16%	28.33%	26.51%	+0.42	-20.8	17
2015-06-22	Fylkir Reykjavik	D 1-1	53.4	1359	1348	42.37%	28.64%	28.99%	+0.30	-0.7	9
2015-06-22	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	D 1-1	53.4	1348	1359	28.99%	28.64%	42.37%	-0.30	+0.7	10
2015-06-22	Keflavik IF	W 4-2	47.0	1325	1310	42.80%	28.60%	28.61%	+0.32	+11.5	9
2015-06-22	@ IA Akranes	L 2-4	47.0	1310	1325	28.61%	28.60%	42.80%	-0.32	-11.5	4
2015-06-22	KR Reykjavik	L 0-1	51.9	1482	1481	40.91%	28.75%	30.34%	+0.23	-10.2	12
2015-06-22	@ Stjarnan	W 1-0	51.9	1481	1482	30.34%	28.75%	40.91%	-0.23	+10.2	17
2015-06-26	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 1-0	41.8	1348	1344	41.34%	28.72%	29.94%	+0.25	+8.1	13
2015-06-26	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	L 0-1	41.8	1344	1348	29.94%	28.72%	41.34%	-0.25	-8.1	9
2015-06-28	Breidablik	W 2-0	46.9	1271	1487	16.55%	25.29%	58.16%	-1.09	+25.5	8
2015-06-28	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-2	46.9	1487	1271	58.16%	25.29%	16.55%	+1.09	-25.6	19
2015-06-28	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-3	48.2	1409	1563	21.58%	27.29%	51.13%	-0.71	-10.2	17
2015-06-28	@ Fjolnir	W 3-1	48.2	1563	1409	51.13%	27.29%	21.58%	+0.71	+10.2	23
2015-06-28	IA Akranes	W 4-2	45.9	1424	1337	51.97%	27.09%	20.93%	+0.76	+8.8	18
2015-06-28	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 2-4	45.9	1337	1424	20.93%	27.09%	51.97%	-0.76	-8.8	9
2015-06-28	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 1-0	40.1	1491	1359	57.17%	25.62%	17.20%	+1.03	+5.0	20
2015-06-28	@ KR Reykjavik	L 0-1	40.1	1359	1491	17.20%	25.62%	57.17%	-1.03	-5.0	9
2015-06-29	Stjarnan	L 1-2	44.7	1299	1472	19.88%	26.74%	53.38%	-0.83	-5.5	4
2015-06-29	@ Keflavik IF	W 2-1	44.7	1472	1299	53.38%	26.74%	19.88%	+0.83	+5.5	15
2015-07-10	Valur Reykjavik	L 1-2	56.8	1477	1432	46.74%	28.11%	25.15%	+0.50	-10.7	15
2015-07-10	@ Stjarnan	W 2-1	56.8	1432	1477	25.15%	28.11%	46.74%	-0.50	+10.7	21
2015-07-12	Fylkir Reykjavik	D 2-2	66.3	1573	1356	65.76%	22.18%	12.06%	+1.55	-2.2	24
2015-07-12	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	D 2-2	66.3	1356	1573	12.06%	22.18%	65.76%	-1.55	+2.2	14
2015-07-12	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 3-1	42.2	1328	1297	44.98%	28.36%	26.67%	+0.42	+12.1	12
2015-07-12	@ IA Akranes	L 1-3	42.2	1297	1328	26.67%	28.36%	44.98%	-0.42	-12.1	8
2015-07-12	KR Reykjavik	L 0-3	35.9	1336	1496	21.00%	27.12%	51.88%	-0.75	-16.6	9
2015-07-12	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	W 3-0	35.9	1496	1336	51.88%	27.12%	21.00%	+0.75	+16.6	23
2015-07-13	Fjolnir	W 2-0	39.6	1461	1399	48.94%	27.74%	23.32%	+0.60	+12.5	22
2015-07-13	@ Breidablik	L 0-2	39.6	1399	1461	23.32%	27.74%	48.94%	-0.60	-12.5	17
2015-07-13	Keflavik IF	D 1-1	53.0	1354	1294	48.70%	27.78%	23.51%	+0.59	-1.3	10
2015-07-13	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	D 1-1	53.0	1294	1354	23.51%	27.78%	48.70%	-0.59	+1.3	5
2015-07-18	IA Akranes	D 1-1	56.0	1467	1340	56.53%	25.83%	17.64%	+1.00	-2.1	16
2015-07-18	@ Stjarnan	D 1-1	56.0	1340	1467	17.64%	25.83%	56.53%	-1.00	+2.1	13
2015-07-19	Fjolnir	W 4-0	40.0	1285	1386	27.06%	28.41%	44.53%	-0.40	+39.0	11
2015-07-19	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-4	40.0	1386	1285	44.53%	28.41%	27.06%	+0.40	-39.0	17
2015-07-19	Keflavik IF	W 7-1	37.6	1319	1295	44.10%	28.46%	27.44%	+0.38	+32.8	12
2015-07-19	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	L 1-7	37.6	1295	1319	27.44%	28.46%	44.10%	-0.38	-32.8	5
2015-07-19	KR Reykjavik	L 1-3	60.5	1571	1513	48.45%	27.83%	23.72%	+0.58	-19.1	24
2015-07-19	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	W 3-1	60.5	1513	1571	23.72%	27.83%	48.45%	-0.58	+19.0	26
2015-07-20	Fylkir Reykjavik	L 0-1	51.3	1474	1359	55.23%	26.23%	18.54%	+0.93	-13.0	22
2015-07-20	@ Breidablik	W 1-0	51.3	1359	1474	18.54%	26.23%	55.23%	-0.93	+13.0	17
2015-07-20	Valur Reykjavik	L 0-1	43.0	1352	1443	28.37%	28.57%	43.06%	-0.33	-7.8	10
2015-07-20	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 1-0	43.0	1443	1352	43.06%	28.57%	28.37%	+0.33	+7.8	24
2015-07-25	Vikingur Reykjavik	L 0-1	50.2	1451	1352	53.38%	26.74%	19.88%	+0.83	-12.6	24
2015-07-25	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 1-0	50.2	1352	1451	19.88%	26.74%	53.38%	-0.83	+12.6	15
2015-07-26	Fjolnir	L 0-4	40.5	1372	1347	44.05%	28.47%	27.48%	+0.37	-38.7	17
2015-07-26	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	W 4-0	40.5	1347	1372	27.48%	28.47%	44.05%	-0.37	+38.7	20
2015-07-26	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 3-0	33.0	1464	1324	58.10%	25.31%	16.59%	+1.09	+13.3	19
2015-07-26	@ Stjarnan	L 0-3	33.0	1324	1464	16.59%	25.31%	58.10%	-1.09	-13.3	11
2015-07-26	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 2-1	47.2	1342	1345	40.42%	28.78%	30.80%	+0.21	+7.8	16
2015-07-26	@ IA Akranes	L 1-2	47.2	1345	1342	30.80%	28.78%	40.42%	-0.21	-7.8	10
2015-07-27	Breidablik	D 0-0	57.1	1532	1461	50.08%	27.51%	22.40%	+0.66	-1.6	27
2015-07-27	@ KR Reykjavik	D 0-0	57.1	1461	1532	22.40%	27.51%	50.08%	-0.66	+1.6	23
2015-07-28	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-2	41.9	1262	1552	12.10%	22.21%	65.68%	-1.54	-3.3	5
2015-07-28	@ Keflavik IF	W 2-1	41.9	1552	1262	65.68%	22.21%	12.10%	+1.54	+3.3	27
2015-08-05	Fylkir Reykjavik	L 0-1	43.6	1310	1333	37.58%	28.90%	33.51%	+0.09	-9.6	11
2015-08-05	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 1-0	43.6	1333	1310	33.51%	28.90%	37.58%	-0.09	+9.6	20
2015-08-05	IA Akranes	D 1-1	53.5	1365	1350	42.79%	28.60%	28.61%	+0.32	-0.7	16
2015-08-05	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	D 1-1	53.5	1350	1365	28.61%	28.60%	42.79%	-0.32	+0.7	17
2015-08-05	Keflavik IF	W 4-0	29.4	1462	1259	64.49%	22.76%	12.75%	+1.47	+13.2	26
2015-08-05	@ Breidablik	L 0-4	29.4	1259	1462	12.75%	22.76%	64.49%	-1.47	-13.2	5
2015-08-05	KR Reykjavik	W 2-1	57.8	1386	1530	22.52%	27.54%	49.94%	-0.65	+11.3	23
2015-08-05	@ Fjolnir	L 1-2	57.8	1530	1386	49.94%	27.54%	22.52%	+0.65	-11.3	27
2015-08-05	Stjarnan	W 1-0	49.5	1337	1478	22.83%	27.62%	49.55%	-0.63	+11.9	13
2015-08-05	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	L 0-1	49.5	1478	1337	49.55%	27.62%	22.83%	+0.63	-11.9	19
2015-08-05	Valur Reykjavik	W 2-1	50.7	1555	1438	55.45%	26.17%	18.39%	+0.94	+5.1	30
2015-08-05	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-2	50.7	1438	1555	18.39%	26.17%	55.45%	-0.94	-5.1	24
2015-08-09	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-2	43.0	1349	1301	47.16%	28.05%	24.80%	+0.52	-21.5	13
2015-08-09	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 2-0	43.0	1301	1349	24.80%	28.05%	47.16%	-0.52	+21.5	14
2015-08-09	Vikingur Reykjavik	D 1-1	56.4	1466	1364	53.73%	26.65%	19.62%	+0.85	-1.8	20
2015-08-09	@ Stjarnan	D 1-1	56.4	1364	1466	19.62%	26.65%	53.73%	-0.85	+1.8	17
2015-08-10	Breidablik	L 0-1	48.2	1433	1475	34.81%	28.93%	36.26%	-0.03	-9.1	24
2015-08-10	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 1-0	48.2	1475	1433	36.26%	28.93%	34.81%	+0.03	+9.1	29
2015-08-10	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 2-3	52.2	1351	1560	16.97%	25.51%	57.53%	-1.05	-4.5	17
2015-08-10	@ IA Akranes	W 3-2	52.2	1560	1351	57.53%	25.51%	16.97%	+1.05	+4.5	33
2015-08-10	Fjolnir	D 1-1	53.1	1246	1397	21.77%	27.34%	50.88%	-0.70	+1.5	6
2015-08-10	@ Keflavik IF	D 1-1	53.1	1397	1246	50.88%	27.34%	21.77%	+0.70	-1.5	24
2015-08-10	Fylkir Reykjavik	W 2-0	35.8	1519	1343	61.81%	23.91%	14.27%	+1.30	+7.9	30
2015-08-10	@ KR Reykjavik	L 0-2	35.8	1343	1519	14.27%	23.91%	61.81%	-1.30	-7.9	20
2015-08-17	IA Akranes	W 3-1	41.6	1484	1346	57.81%	25.41%	16.78%	+1.07	+8.0	32
2015-08-17	@ Breidablik	L 1-3	41.6	1346	1484	16.78%	25.41%	57.81%	-1.07	-8.0	17
2015-08-17	Keflavik IF	D 3-3	62.2	1335	1247	52.06%	27.07%	20.86%	+0.76	-1.0	21
2015-08-17	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	D 3-3	62.2	1247	1335	20.86%	27.07%	52.06%	-0.76	+1.0	7
2015-08-17	Leiknir Reykjavik	D 1-1	53.3	1366	1327	45.97%	28.22%	25.81%	+0.46	-1.0	18
2015-08-17	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	D 1-1	53.3	1327	1366	25.81%	28.22%	45.97%	-0.46	+1.0	14
2015-08-17	Stjarnan	W 4-0	41.6	1565	1464	53.59%	26.69%	19.72%	+0.84	+20.5	36
2015-08-17	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-4	41.6	1464	1565	19.72%	26.69%	53.59%	-0.84	-20.5	20
2015-08-20	Valur Reykjavik	D 1-1	55.4	1396	1424	36.77%	28.92%	34.31%	+0.05	-0.1	25
2015-08-20	@ Fjolnir	D 1-1	55.4	1424	1396	34.31%	28.92%	36.77%	-0.05	+0.1	25
2015-08-21	KR Reykjavik	D 1-1	57.1	1322	1527	17.33%	25.69%	56.98%	-1.02	+2.1	15
2015-08-21	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 1-1	57.1	1527	1322	56.98%	25.69%	17.33%	+1.02	-2.1	31
2015-08-24	Breidablik	L 0-1	48.9	1444	1492	33.85%	28.91%	37.24%	-0.07	-8.9	20
2015-08-24	@ Stjarnan	W 1-0	48.9	1492	1444	37.24%	28.91%	33.85%	+0.07	+8.9	35
2015-08-24	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-1	40.5	1328	1585	13.88%	23.63%	62.49%	-1.34	-4.0	14
2015-08-24	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 1-0	40.5	1585	1328	62.49%	23.63%	13.88%	+1.34	+4.0	39
2015-08-24	Fjolnir	D 4-4	65.1	1338	1396	32.65%	28.88%	38.47%	-0.13	+0.1	18
2015-08-24	@ IA Akranes	D 4-4	65.1	1396	1338	38.47%	28.88%	32.65%	+0.13	-0.2	26
2015-08-24	Fylkir Reykjavik	W 4-2	45.7	1424	1334	52.42%	26.99%	20.59%	+0.78	+8.7	28
2015-08-24	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 2-4	45.7	1334	1424	20.59%	26.99%	52.42%	-0.78	-8.7	21
2015-08-25	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 1-0	40.3	1365	1324	46.20%	28.19%	25.61%	+0.47	+7.2	21
2015-08-25	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	L 0-1	40.3	1324	1365	25.61%	28.19%	46.20%	-0.47	-7.2	15
2015-08-25	KR Reykjavik	L 0-1	36.2	1248	1525	12.79%	22.80%	64.41%	-1.46	-3.7	7
2015-08-25	@ Keflavik IF	W 1-0	36.2	1525	1248	64.41%	22.80%	12.79%	+1.46	+3.7	34
2015-08-30	IA Akranes	D 0-0	48.5	1325	1338	38.90%	28.86%	32.24%	+0.14	-0.4	22
2015-08-30	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	D 0-0	48.5	1338	1325	32.24%	28.86%	38.90%	-0.14	+0.4	19
2015-08-30	Keflavik IF	W 3-0	32.7	1317	1244	50.27%	27.47%	22.25%	+0.67	+17.5	18
2015-08-30	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-3	32.7	1244	1317	22.25%	27.47%	50.27%	-0.67	-17.5	7
2015-08-30	Leiknir Reykjavik	D 0-0	52.8	1501	1324	61.90%	23.88%	14.22%	+1.31	-2.9	36
2015-08-30	@ Breidablik	D 0-0	52.8	1324	1501	14.22%	23.88%	61.90%	-1.31	+2.9	15
2015-08-30	Stjarnan	D 1-1	55.7	1396	1435	35.24%	28.93%	35.83%	-0.01	+0.0	27
2015-08-30	@ Fjolnir	D 1-1	55.7	1435	1396	35.83%	28.93%	35.24%	+0.01	-0.0	21
2015-08-30	Valur Reykjavik	D 2-2	66.0	1528	1433	52.97%	26.85%	20.18%	+0.81	-1.3	35
2015-08-30	@ KR Reykjavik	D 2-2	66.0	1433	1528	20.18%	26.85%	52.97%	-0.81	+1.3	29
2015-08-30	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 1-0	41.2	1589	1372	65.81%	22.15%	12.04%	+1.55	+3.5	42
2015-08-30	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-1	41.2	1372	1589	12.04%	22.15%	65.81%	-1.55	-3.5	21
2015-09-13	Breidablik	D 2-2	62.5	1369	1498	23.96%	27.88%	48.16%	-0.57	+0.9	22
2015-09-13	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	D 2-2	62.5	1498	1369	48.16%	27.88%	23.96%	+0.57	-0.9	37
2015-09-13	Fjolnir	L 2-3	52.9	1327	1396	31.18%	28.81%	40.01%	-0.19	-7.5	15
2015-09-13	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 3-2	52.9	1396	1327	40.01%	28.81%	31.18%	+0.19	+7.5	30
2015-09-13	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 3-1	41.1	1593	1335	69.54%	20.30%	10.16%	+1.80	+4.6	45
2015-09-13	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-3	41.1	1335	1593	10.16%	20.30%	69.54%	-1.80	-4.7	18
2015-09-13	Keflavik IF	W 3-2	44.7	1434	1227	64.88%	22.58%	12.53%	+1.49	+3.2	32
2015-09-13	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 2-3	44.7	1227	1434	12.53%	22.58%	64.88%	-1.49	-3.2	7
2015-09-13	KR Reykjavik	D 0-0	53.2	1339	1527	18.58%	26.25%	55.17%	-0.92	+2.2	20
2015-09-13	@ IA Akranes	D 0-0	53.2	1527	1339	55.17%	26.25%	18.58%	+0.92	-2.2	36
2015-09-14	Fylkir Reykjavik	W 1-0	38.8	1435	1325	54.68%	26.39%	18.94%	+0.90	+5.5	24
2015-09-14	@ Stjarnan	L 0-1	38.8	1325	1435	18.94%	26.39%	54.68%	-0.90	-5.5	22
2015-09-20	FH Hafnarfjordur	W 2-1	62.9	1497	1597	27.29%	28.44%	44.27%	-0.38	+10.2	40
2015-09-20	@ Breidablik	L 1-2	62.9	1597	1497	44.27%	28.44%	27.29%	+0.38	-10.2	45
2015-09-20	IA Akranes	L 0-4	33.3	1224	1341	25.31%	28.14%	46.55%	-0.49	-25.5	7
2015-09-20	@ Keflavik IF	W 4-0	33.3	1341	1224	46.55%	28.14%	25.31%	+0.49	+25.5	23
2015-09-20	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 3-1	43.6	1319	1320	40.70%	28.76%	30.54%	+0.22	+13.5	25
2015-09-20	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	L 1-3	43.6	1320	1319	30.54%	28.76%	40.70%	-0.22	-13.5	15
2015-09-20	Stjarnan	L 0-3	49.4	1525	1440	51.72%	27.15%	21.13%	+0.74	-33.7	36
2015-09-20	@ KR Reykjavik	W 3-0	49.4	1440	1525	21.13%	27.15%	51.72%	-0.74	+33.7	27
2015-09-20	Valur Reykjavik	D 3-3	64.0	1330	1438	26.39%	28.32%	45.29%	-0.43	+0.6	19
2015-09-20	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 3-3	64.0	1438	1330	45.29%	28.32%	26.39%	+0.43	-0.6	33
2015-09-20	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 4-3	55.0	1403	1370	45.29%	28.32%	26.39%	+0.43	+6.4	33
2015-09-20	@ Fjolnir	L 3-4	55.0	1370	1403	26.39%	28.32%	45.29%	-0.43	-6.4	22
2015-09-26	Fjolnir	W 2-1	48.9	1587	1410	61.94%	23.86%	14.20%	+1.31	+3.9	48
2015-09-26	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-2	48.9	1410	1587	14.20%	23.86%	61.94%	-1.31	-3.9	33
2015-09-26	Fylkir Reykjavik	D 0-0	49.0	1363	1333	44.90%	28.37%	26.74%	+0.41	-1.0	23
2015-09-26	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	D 0-0	49.0	1333	1363	26.74%	28.37%	44.90%	-0.41	+1.0	26
2015-09-26	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 1-0	38.4	1508	1331	61.89%	23.88%	14.23%	+1.31	+4.1	43
2015-09-26	@ Breidablik	L 0-1	38.4	1331	1508	14.23%	23.88%	61.89%	-1.31	-4.2	19
2015-09-26	Keflavik IF	W 7-0	28.9	1474	1198	71.07%	19.48%	9.45%	+1.91	+15.8	30
2015-09-26	@ Stjarnan	L 0-7	28.9	1198	1474	9.45%	19.48%	71.07%	-1.91	-15.8	7
2015-09-26	KR Reykjavik	L 0-2	36.2	1306	1491	18.85%	26.35%	54.80%	-0.90	-10.4	15
2015-09-26	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 2-0	36.2	1491	1306	54.80%	26.35%	18.85%	+0.90	+10.4	39
2015-09-26	Valur Reykjavik	W 1-0	46.8	1366	1437	30.91%	28.79%	40.30%	-0.21	+10.1	26
2015-09-26	@ IA Akranes	L 0-1	46.8	1437	1366	40.30%	28.79%	30.91%	+0.21	-10.1	33
2015-10-03	Breidablik	L 0-2	42.5	1406	1512	26.54%	28.34%	45.12%	-0.42	-13.9	33
2015-10-03	@ Fjolnir	W 2-0	42.5	1512	1406	45.12%	28.34%	26.54%	+0.42	+13.9	46
2015-10-03	FH Hafnarfjordur	W 3-2	65.8	1334	1591	13.85%	23.62%	62.53%	-1.35	+12.9	29
2015-10-03	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	L 2-3	65.8	1591	1334	62.53%	23.62%	13.85%	+1.35	-12.9	48
2015-10-03	IA Akranes	L 1-2	48.4	1326	1376	33.70%	28.91%	37.39%	-0.08	-8.4	19
2015-10-03	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 2-1	48.4	1376	1326	37.39%	28.91%	33.70%	+0.08	+8.3	29
2015-10-03	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 3-2	55.3	1182	1296	25.74%	28.21%	46.05%	-0.47	+10.0	10
2015-10-03	@ Keflavik IF	L 2-3	55.3	1296	1182	46.05%	28.21%	25.74%	+0.47	-10.0	15
2015-10-03	Stjarnan	L 1-2	52.8	1427	1490	31.95%	28.85%	39.20%	-0.16	-8.0	33
2015-10-03	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 2-1	52.8	1490	1427	39.20%	28.85%	31.95%	+0.16	+8.0	33
2015-10-03	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 5-2	42.8	1502	1362	57.95%	25.36%	16.68%	+1.08	+9.8	42
2015-10-03	@ KR Reykjavik	L 2-5	42.8	1362	1502	16.68%	25.36%	57.95%	-1.08	-9.8	23

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2015-10-03	13.85%	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	1334	3	FH Hafnarfjordur	1591	2
2	2015-05-17	16.10%	@ Valur Reykjavik	1338	2	FH Hafnarfjordur	1560	0
3	2015-06-28	16.55%	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1271	2	Breidablik	1487	0
4	2015-07-20	18.54%	Fylkir Reykjavik	1359	1	@ Breidablik	1474	0
5	2015-06-07	19.78%	Fjolnir	1389	3	@ Stjarnan	1489	1
6	2015-07-25	19.88%	Vikingur Reykjavik	1352	1	@ Valur Reykjavik	1451	0
7	2015-09-20	21.13%	Stjarnan	1440	3	@ KR Reykjavik	1525	0
8	2015-08-05	22.52%	@ Fjolnir	1386	2	KR Reykjavik	1530	1
9	2015-08-05	22.83%	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	1337	1	Stjarnan	1478	0
10	2015-07-19	23.72%	KR Reykjavik	1513	3	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	1571	1
11	2015-05-11	23.94%	IA Akranes	1343	1	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	1399	0
12	2015-06-07	24.19%	@ Valur Reykjavik	1387	3	KR Reykjavik	1515	0
13	2015-08-09	24.80%	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1301	2	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	1349	0
14	2015-07-10	25.15%	Valur Reykjavik	1432	2	@ Stjarnan	1477	1
15	2015-10-03	25.74%	@ Keflavik IF	1182	3	Leiknir Reykjavik	1296	2
16	2015-05-31	26.23%	Valur Reykjavik	1357	3	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	1392	0
17	2015-06-22	26.51%	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	1323	2	Fjolnir	1430	0
18	2015-07-19	27.06%	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1285	4	Fjolnir	1386	0
19	2015-09-20	27.29%	@ Breidablik	1497	2	FH Hafnarfjordur	1597	1
20	2015-07-26	27.48%	Fjolnir	1347	4	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	1372	0
21	2015-05-03	27.83%	Vikingur Reykjavik	1344	3	@ Keflavik IF	1366	1
22	2015-05-31	28.58%	@ Breidablik	1429	3	Stjarnan	1518	0
23	2015-06-22	30.34%	KR Reykjavik	1481	1	@ Stjarnan	1482	0
24	2015-09-26	30.91%	@ IA Akranes	1366	1	Valur Reykjavik	1437	0
25	2015-05-03	31.32%	Leiknir Reykjavik	1372	3	@ Valur Reykjavik	1365	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2015-07-19	39.00	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	4	1285	27.06%	Fjolnir	0	1386	44.53%	28.41%
2	2015-07-26	38.67	Fjolnir	4	1347	27.48%	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	0	1372	44.05%	28.47%
3	2015-09-20	33.70	Stjarnan	3	1440	21.13%	@ KR Reykjavik	0	1525	51.72%	27.15%
4	2015-07-19	32.79	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	7	1319	44.10%	Keflavik IF	1	1295	27.44%	28.46%
5	2015-06-07	31.64	@ Valur Reykjavik	3	1387	24.19%	KR Reykjavik	0	1515	47.88%	27.93%
6	2015-05-31	30.36	Valur Reykjavik	3	1357	26.23%	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	0	1392	45.48%	28.29%
7	2015-05-31	28.96	@ Breidablik	3	1429	28.58%	Stjarnan	0	1518	42.82%	28.59%
8	2015-05-03	27.42	Leiknir Reykjavik	3	1372	31.32%	@ Valur Reykjavik	0	1365	39.87%	28.81%
9	2015-05-17	25.81	@ Valur Reykjavik	2	1338	16.10%	FH Hafnarfjordur	0	1560	58.86%	25.05%
10	2015-06-28	25.56	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	2	1271	16.55%	Breidablik	0	1487	58.16%	25.29%
11	2015-09-20	25.46	IA Akranes	4	1341	46.55%	@ Keflavik IF	0	1224	25.31%	28.14%
12	2015-08-09	21.52	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	2	1301	24.80%	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	0	1349	47.16%	28.05%
13	2015-06-22	20.78	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	2	1323	26.51%	Fjolnir	0	1430	45.16%	28.33%
14	2015-06-07	20.66	Fjolnir	3	1389	19.78%	@ Stjarnan	1	1489	53.50%	26.71%
15	2015-08-17	20.53	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	4	1565	53.59%	Stjarnan	0	1464	19.72%	26.69%
16	2015-06-15	20.43	@ Fjolnir	3	1409	44.77%	Leiknir Reykjavik	0	1380	26.85%	28.38%
17	2015-07-19	19.05	KR Reykjavik	3	1513	23.72%	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	1	1571	48.45%	27.83%
18	2015-05-17	17.65	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	3	1372	50.00%	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	0	1302	22.47%	27.53%
19	2015-05-03	17.53	Vikingur Reykjavik	3	1344	27.83%	@ Keflavik IF	1	1366	43.66%	28.51%
20	2015-08-30	17.50	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	3	1317	50.27%	Keflavik IF	0	1244	22.25%	27.47%
21	2015-07-12	16.63	KR Reykjavik	3	1496	51.88%	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	0	1336	21.00%	27.12%
22	2015-06-07	16.13	Breidablik	2	1458	39.03%	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	0	1396	32.11%	28.85%
23	2015-09-26	15.84	@ Stjarnan	7	1474	71.07%	Keflavik IF	0	1198	9.45%	19.48%
24	2015-05-25	14.77	Fylkir Reykjavik	3	1377	36.42%	@ Keflavik IF	1	1334	34.66%	28.93%
25	2015-05-31	14.62	@ KR Reykjavik	4	1500	62.28%	Keflavik IF	0	1319	14.00%	23.72%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2015-07-12	66.3	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	2	1573	65.76%	Fylkir Reykjavik	2	1356	12.06%	22.18%
2	2015-08-30	66.0	@ KR Reykjavik	2	1528	52.97%	Valur Reykjavik	2	1433	20.18%	26.85%
3	2015-10-03	65.8	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	3	1334	13.85%	FH Hafnarfjordur	2	1591	62.53%	23.62%
4	2015-08-24	65.1	@ IA Akranes	4	1338	32.65%	Fjolnir	4	1396	38.47%	28.88%
5	2015-09-20	64.0	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	3	1330	26.39%	Valur Reykjavik	3	1438	45.29%	28.32%
6	2015-05-26	63.6	@ Stjarnan	1	1518	37.10%	FH Hafnarfjordur	1	1544	33.98%	28.91%
7	2015-06-21	63.6	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	1	1564	51.08%	Breidablik	1	1485	21.62%	27.30%
8	2015-05-20	63.2	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	2	1362	21.25%	Stjarnan	2	1519	51.55%	27.19%
9	2015-05-25	63.2	@ Valur Reykjavik	3	1357	38.26%	Fjolnir	3	1375	32.85%	28.88%
10	2015-05-11	62.9	@ Breidablik	2	1414	32.37%	KR Reykjavik	2	1473	38.76%	28.87%
11	2015-09-20	62.9	@ Breidablik	2	1497	27.29%	FH Hafnarfjordur	1	1597	44.27%	28.44%
12	2015-09-13	62.5	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	2	1369	23.96%	Breidablik	2	1498	48.16%	27.88%
13	2015-08-17	62.2	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	3	1335	52.06%	Keflavik IF	3	1247	20.86%	27.07%
14	2015-07-19	60.5	KR Reykjavik	3	1513	23.72%	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	1	1571	48.45%	27.83%
15	2015-05-17	59.0	@ Stjarnan	1	1521	57.33%	Leiknir Reykjavik	1	1387	17.10%	25.57%
16	2015-05-10	58.9	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	2	1362	44.04%	Valur Reykjavik	2	1338	27.49%	28.47%
17	2015-05-20	58.6	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	2	1284	26.62%	Leiknir Reykjavik	2	1390	45.03%	28.35%
18	2015-08-05	57.8	@ Fjolnir	2	1386	22.52%	KR Reykjavik	1	1530	49.94%	27.54%
19	2015-07-27	57.1	@ KR Reykjavik	0	1532	50.08%	Breidablik	0	1461	22.40%	27.51%
20	2015-08-21	57.1	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1	1322	17.33%	KR Reykjavik	1	1527	56.98%	25.69%
21	2015-07-10	56.8	Valur Reykjavik	2	1432	25.15%	@ Stjarnan	1	1477	46.74%	28.11%
22	2015-06-15	56.4	@ KR Reykjavik	1	1483	60.18%	IA Akranes	1	1323	15.26%	24.56%
23	2015-08-09	56.4	@ Stjarnan	1	1466	53.73%	Vikingur Reykjavik	1	1364	19.62%	26.65%
24	2015-07-18	56.0	@ Stjarnan	1	1467	56.53%	IA Akranes	1	1340	17.64%	25.83%
25	2015-08-30	55.7	@ Fjolnir	1	1396	35.24%	Stjarnan	1	1435	35.83%	28.93%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2015-09-26	28.9	@ Stjarnan	7	1474	71.07%	Keflavik IF	0	1198	9.45%	19.48%
2	2015-08-05	29.4	@ Breidablik	4	1462	64.49%	Keflavik IF	0	1259	12.75%	22.76%
3	2015-05-31	32.0	@ KR Reykjavik	4	1500	62.28%	Keflavik IF	0	1319	14.00%	23.72%
4	2015-08-30	32.7	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	3	1317	50.27%	Keflavik IF	0	1244	22.25%	27.47%
5	2015-07-26	33.0	@ Stjarnan	3	1464	58.10%	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	0	1324	16.59%	25.31%
6	2015-09-20	33.3	IA Akranes	4	1341	46.55%	@ Keflavik IF	0	1224	25.31%	28.14%
7	2015-05-17	33.6	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	3	1372	50.00%	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	0	1302	22.47%	27.53%
8	2015-08-10	35.8	@ KR Reykjavik	2	1519	61.81%	Fylkir Reykjavik	0	1343	14.27%	23.91%
9	2015-07-12	35.9	KR Reykjavik	3	1496	51.88%	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	0	1336	21.00%	27.12%
10	2015-05-25	36.0	@ KR Reykjavik	1	1497	65.33%	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	0	1285	12.29%	22.38%
11	2015-05-10	36.1	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	2	1553	64.67%	Keflavik IF	0	1348	12.65%	22.68%
12	2015-08-25	36.2	KR Reykjavik	1	1525	64.41%	@ Keflavik IF	0	1248	12.79%	22.80%
13	2015-09-26	36.2	KR Reykjavik	2	1491	54.80%	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	0	1306	18.85%	26.35%
14	2015-05-10	36.3	Stjarnan	2	1511	56.48%	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	0	1311	17.67%	25.85%
15	2015-06-15	37.0	@ Fjolnir	3	1409	44.77%	Leiknir Reykjavik	0	1380	26.85%	28.38%
16	2015-06-14	37.1	FH Hafnarfjordur	4	1556	64.63%	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1	1277	12.67%	22.70%
17	2015-05-31	37.4	@ Fjolnir	2	1375	45.96%	IA Akranes	0	1336	25.81%	28.23%
18	2015-07-19	37.6	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	7	1319	44.10%	Keflavik IF	1	1295	27.44%	28.46%
19	2015-05-17	38.2	@ KR Reykjavik	2	1473	52.89%	Fjolnir	0	1379	20.24%	26.87%
20	2015-09-26	38.4	@ Breidablik	1	1508	61.89%	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	0	1331	14.23%	23.88%
21	2015-05-26	38.5	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	2	1389	44.29%	Vikingur Reykjavik	0	1363	27.27%	28.44%
22	2015-06-14	38.5	@ Breidablik	4	1474	57.90%	Vikingur Reykjavik	1	1335	16.72%	25.38%
23	2015-09-14	38.8	@ Stjarnan	1	1435	54.68%	Fylkir Reykjavik	0	1325	18.94%	26.39%
24	2015-05-20	39.5	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	4	1534	62.21%	IA Akranes	1	1354	14.04%	23.75%
25	2015-07-13	39.6	@ Breidablik	2	1461	48.94%	Fjolnir	0	1399	23.32%	27.74%