2015 Úrvalsdeild Season

132 games

Final

Champion

FH Hafnarfjordur

48 points · 7th Title

Last Title: 2012.0

Relegated

Keflavik IF

10 pts

Leiknir Reykjavik · 15 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Breidablik

10.99 points above expected

46 points · 35.01 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Leiknir Reykjavik

11.40 points below expected

15 points · 26.40 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	FH Hafnarfjordur Champion	22	15	3	4	48	47	26	+21	43.01	+4.99
2	Breidablik	22	13	7	2	46	34	13	+21	35.01	+10.99
3	KR Reykjavik	22	12	6	4	42	36	21	+15	39.54	+2.46
4	Stjarnan	22	9	6	7	33	32	24	+8	36.90	-3.90
5	Valur Reykjavik	22	9	6	7	33	38	31	+7	30.58	+2.42
6	Fjolnir	22	9	6	7	33	36	35	+1	29.30	+3.70
7	IA Akranes	22	7	8	7	29	31	31	0	25.13	+3.87
8	Fylkir Reykjavik	22	7	8	7	29	26	31	-5	26.86	+2.14
9	Vikingur Reykjavik	22	5	8	9	23	32	36	-4	25.28	-2.28
10	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	22	5	4	13	19	26	37	-11	21.35	-2.35
11	Leiknir Reykjavik Relegated	22	3	6	13	15	20	34	-14	26.40	-11.40
12	Keflavik IF Relegated	22	2	4	16	10	22	61	-39	21.05	-11.05

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
FH Hafnarfjordur	1582	48	43.01	+4.99	83.1%	23	33	39	43	47	52	64
Breidablik	1529	46	35.01	+10.99	97.8%	13	25	31	35	39	44	59
KR Reykjavik	1515	42	39.54	+2.46	68.6%	19	30	36	40	44	49	60
Stjarnan	1501	33	36.90	-3.90	27.8%	16	27	33	37	41	46	58
Valur Reykjavik	1422	33	30.58	+2.42	69.3%	8	21	27	30	34	40	51
Fjolnir	1395	33	29.30	+3.70	76.4%	10	20	25	29	33	39	53
IA Akranes	1388	29	25.13	+3.87	77.9%	6	16	21	25	29	35	47
Vikingur Reykjavik	1356	23	25.28	-2.28	38.1%	8	16	21	25	29	35	52
Fylkir Reykjavik	1350	29	26.86	+2.14	67.7%	8	18	23	27	31	36	48
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1322	19	21.35	-2.35	37.9%	2	13	18	21	25	30	43
Leiknir Reykjavik	1289	15	26.40	-11.40	2.2%	6	17	22	26	30	36	47
Keflavik IF	1196	10	21.05	-11.05	1.9%	5	12	17	21	25	30	42

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BRE	FH	FJO	FR	IA	IV	KR	KI	LR	STJ	VR	VR
Breidablik	—	1-1-0 2.02	2-0-0 3.38	0-1-1 3.30	2-0-0 3.51	1-0-1 4.09	0-2-0 2.21	1-1-0 3.67	1-1-0 3.56	2-0-0 2.55	2-0-0 3.08	1-1-0 3.71
FH Hafnarfjordur	0-1-1 3.42	—	2-0-0 3.90	0-1-1 4.31	2-0-0 4.09	2-0-0 4.46	1-0-1 3.15	2-0-0 4.36	2-0-0 4.11	1-1-0 3.18	1-0-1 3.94	2-0-0 4.18
Fjolnir	0-0-2 2.06	0-0-2 1.58	—	1-1-0 2.65	1-1-0 3.10	1-0-1 3.34	1-0-1 1.83	1-1-0 3.41	2-0-0 3.11	1-1-0 2.21	0-2-0 2.67	1-0-1 3.28
Fylkir Reykjavik	1-1-0 2.15	1-1-0 1.24	0-1-1 2.78	—	0-2-0 2.82	2-0-0 3.07	0-0-2 1.79	1-1-0 3.21	1-1-0 2.66	0-0-2 1.91	0-0-2 2.53	1-1-0 2.61
IA Akranes	0-0-2 1.95	0-0-2 1.42	0-1-1 2.33	0-2-0 2.60	—	2-0-0 3.04	0-2-0 1.52	2-0-0 3.25	2-0-0 2.50	0-1-1 1.70	1-0-1 2.11	0-2-0 2.63
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1-0-1 1.41	0-0-2 1.11	1-0-1 2.10	0-0-2 2.37	0-0-2 2.38	—	0-1-1 1.37	1-0-1 2.93	1-1-0 2.11	0-0-2 1.54	0-2-0 1.79	1-0-1 2.28
KR Reykjavik	0-2-0 3.23	1-0-1 2.29	1-0-1 3.63	2-0-0 3.69	0-2-0 3.97	1-1-0 4.15	—	2-0-0 4.27	2-0-0 3.88	1-0-1 3.02	0-1-1 3.57	2-0-0 3.82
Keflavik IF	0-1-1 1.82	0-0-2 1.19	0-1-1 2.03	0-1-1 2.23	0-0-2 2.18	1-0-1 2.51	0-0-2 1.27	—	1-1-0 2.04	0-0-2 1.34	0-0-2 1.70	0-0-2 2.70
Leiknir Reykjavik	0-1-1 1.92	0-0-2 1.40	0-0-2 2.31	0-1-1 2.76	0-0-2 2.94	0-1-1 3.33	0-0-2 1.60	0-1-1 3.40	—	1-1-0 1.73	1-0-1 2.36	1-1-0 2.67
Stjarnan	0-0-2 2.87	0-1-1 2.26	0-1-1 3.24	2-0-0 3.54	1-1-0 3.77	2-0-0 3.95	1-0-1 2.42	2-0-0 4.20	0-1-1 3.74	—	1-0-1 3.15	0-2-0 3.70
Valur Reykjavik	0-0-2 2.35	1-0-1 1.55	0-2-0 2.76	2-0-0 2.91	1-0-1 3.33	0-2-0 3.68	1-1-0 1.88	2-0-0 3.79	1-0-1 3.06	1-0-1 2.28	—	0-1-1 2.98
Vikingur Reykjavik	0-1-1 1.75	0-0-2 1.34	1-0-1 2.15	0-1-1 2.82	0-2-0 2.80	1-0-1 3.15	0-0-2 1.66	2-0-0 2.73	0-1-1 2.76	0-2-0 1.76	1-1-0 2.47	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.73	+13.6
Allowed	0.69	-8.5
Differential	0.91	+6.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.47%	5.68%	3.79%	2.27%	0.38%	26.14%
1	9.47%	14.39%	4.17%	4.55%	1.14%	0.38%	34.09%
2	5.68%	4.17%	5.30%	2.27%	1.52%	0.38%	19.32%
3	3.79%	4.55%	2.27%	2.27%	0.38%	—	13.26%
4	2.27%	1.14%	1.52%	0.38%	0.76%	—	6.06%
5+	0.38%	0.38%	0.38%	—	—	—	1.14%
Total	26.14%	34.09%	19.32%	13.26%	6.06%	1.14%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.44	1.44	+0.00
SD	1.29	1.29	1.90
CV	0.90	0.90	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
1	22.73%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	36.36%
2	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	54.55%	31.82%	13.64%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	0.59	+0.95
SD	1.18	0.73	1.40
CV	0.77	1.24	—
Max	4	2	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
1	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	45.45%	22.73%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.14	1.18	+0.95
SD	1.21	0.91	1.56
CV	0.56	0.77	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	18.18%	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
1	9.09%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	36.36%
2	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
3	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
4	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	27.27%	27.27%	13.64%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	1.59	+0.05
SD	1.40	1.26	1.89
CV	0.85	0.79	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	36.36%
1	13.64%	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
2	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
3	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	27.27%	18.18%	13.64%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.41	-0.23
SD	1.18	1.33	1.72
CV	1.00	0.95	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	27.27%
1	9.09%	18.18%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	36.36%
2	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	40.91%	9.09%	9.09%	13.64%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	1.41	+0.00
SD	1.33	1.37	1.57
CV	0.95	0.97	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	22.73%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	36.36%
1	—	9.09%	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	31.82%
2	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	31.82%	18.18%	27.27%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.68	-0.50
SD	1.22	1.21	1.92
CV	1.03	0.72	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	—	—	9.09%	—	—	18.18%
1	18.18%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	36.36%
2	13.64%	—	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	50.00%	18.18%	18.18%	13.64%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	0.95	+0.68
SD	1.33	1.13	1.84
CV	0.81	1.19	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	36.36%
1	—	13.64%	13.64%	9.09%	—	4.55%	40.91%
2	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	27.27%	22.73%	22.73%	18.18%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	2.77	-1.77
SD	1.02	1.74	2.18
CV	1.02	0.63	—
Max	3	7	+2
Min	0	1	-7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	18.18%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	40.91%
1	4.55%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	—	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	36.36%	22.73%	18.18%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.91	1.55	-0.64
SD	0.92	1.14	1.40
CV	1.01	0.74	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.64%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	22.73%
1	9.09%	22.73%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	40.91%
2	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	31.82%	45.45%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.09	+0.36
SD	1.53	1.11	2.28
CV	1.06	1.02	—
Max	7	4	+7
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	18.18%	—	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
1	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
2	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	9.09%	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	22.73%
4	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	36.36%	31.82%	13.64%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.73	1.41	+0.32
SD	1.32	0.96	1.49
CV	0.76	0.68	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
1	9.09%	18.18%	—	—	4.55%	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	4.55%	27.27%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	18.18%	40.91%	18.18%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.64	-0.18
SD	1.57	1.40	1.97
CV	1.08	0.85	—
Max	7	5	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Breidablik	46	35.01	+10.99
2	FH Hafnarfjordur	48	43.01	+4.99
3	IA Akranes	29	25.13	+3.87
4	Fjolnir	33	29.30	+3.70
5	KR Reykjavik	42	39.54	+2.46

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Leiknir Reykjavik	15	26.40	-11.40
2	Keflavik IF	10	21.05	-11.05
3	Stjarnan	33	36.90	-3.90
4	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	19	21.35	-2.35
5	Vikingur Reykjavik	23	25.28	-2.28

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Breidablik	5	May 20 – Jun 14	1 in 80
2	Valur Reykjavik	3	May 31 – Jun 14	1 in 35
3	FH Hafnarfjordur	7	Jul 28 – Sep 13	1 in 31
4	Stjarnan	4	Sep 14 – Oct 3	1 in 31
5	Fjolnir	3	May 31 – Jun 15	1 in 25

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fjolnir	4	Jun 22 – Jul 19	1 in 56
2	Leiknir Reykjavik	4	Sep 13 – Oct 3	1 in 44
3	Valur Reykjavik	3	Jul 25 – Aug 10	1 in 25
4	Vikingur Reykjavik	4	May 26 – Jun 14	1 in 22
5	Stjarnan	2	May 31 – Jun 7	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fjolnir	8	Jul 26 – Sep 20	1 in 32
2	Valur Reykjavik	8	May 25 – Jul 20	1 in 28
3	Breidablik	10	Jul 27 – Oct 3	1 in 28
4	IA Akranes	6	Aug 24 – Oct 3	1 in 20
5	Vikingur Reykjavik	6	Jul 19 – Aug 25	1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Stjarnan	5	May 17 – Jun 7	1 in 29
2	Keflavik IF	14	Jun 14 – Sep 26	1 in 23
3	Leiknir Reykjavik	8	May 31 – Jul 26	1 in 20
4	Vikingur Reykjavik	7	May 10 – Jun 14	1 in 11
5	KR Reykjavik	3	Aug 30 – Sep 20	1 in 10

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
FH Hafnarfjordur	51.99%	23.97%	12.55%	6.24%	2.84%	1.31%	0.63%	0.33%	0.09%	0.03%	0.02%	—
Breidablik	8.34%	14.89%	19.38%	19.07%	13.49%	9.76%	6.42%	3.96%	2.33%	1.45%	0.67%	0.24%
KR Reykjavik	23.92%	28.92%	19.28%	12.48%	7.27%	3.92%	2.18%	1.10%	0.60%	0.26%	0.07%	—
Stjarnan	11.93%	19.57%	22.44%	17.77%	11.42%	7.25%	4.24%	2.63%	1.42%	0.84%	0.43%	0.06%
Valur Reykjavik	1.66%	4.75%	9.13%	13.07%	16.20%	14.75%	12.90%	9.94%	7.09%	5.26%	3.54%	1.71%
Fjolnir	1.05%	3.48%	6.45%	10.37%	13.98%	14.32%	13.72%	11.49%	10.00%	7.21%	5.24%	2.69%
IA Akranes	0.25%	0.70%	1.99%	4.36%	6.35%	9.69%	11.18%	13.62%	14.34%	14.82%	12.84%	9.86%
Fylkir Reykjavik	0.28%	1.48%	3.24%	5.92%	9.52%	11.77%	13.65%	13.55%	12.77%	12.20%	9.77%	5.85%
Vikingur Reykjavik	0.20%	0.78%	2.01%	3.63%	6.80%	9.68%	11.78%	13.70%	14.55%	13.79%	13.48%	9.60%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	0.02%	0.15%	0.37%	0.97%	1.91%	3.99%	6.14%	8.44%	11.84%	15.86%	21.21%	29.10%
Leiknir Reykjavik	0.34%	1.18%	2.79%	5.11%	8.35%	10.32%	12.34%	13.69%	14.43%	12.94%	11.10%	7.41%
Keflavik IF	0.02%	0.13%	0.37%	1.01%	1.87%	3.24%	4.82%	7.55%	10.54%	15.34%	21.63%	33.48%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+10.61%

Slight Edge

41.67%27.27%31.06%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 36.99 Elo pts.

164 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.33 goals

Neutral

-2+0.23+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.9

Top-Heavy

124610

Champion Preseason Odds

52%

FH Hafnarfjordur, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.09/gm

Photo Finish

00.220.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.56 * Some Luck: 4.56 to 6.84 * Lucky: 6.84 to 9.12 * Wild Swing: 9.12 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.44 * Close: 1.44 to 2.16 * Off: 2.16 to 2.88 * Way Off: 2.88 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.95 * A Surprise: 0.95 to 1.51 * Several Surprises: 1.51 to 2.08 * Many Surprises: 2.08 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.25 points

Some Luck

05.7014

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

Pinpoint

01.804

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

97.76%

Breidablik

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

1.93%

Keflavik IF

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

1 of 2

A Surprise

00.92

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.

Gini Index

0.21

Top-Heavy

00.120.180.260.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.69

Strong Separation

01.003

Interquartile Edge

72%

Clear Edge

50%60%70%80%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

90%

Strong Edge

50%90%100%

Close Games

Expected

60%

Very Frequent

0%57%100%

Blowouts

Expected

17%

Frequent

0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.60

Predictable

00.612

Matchup Imbalance

0.35

Lopsided

00.10.180.280.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.22

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.70

Strong Carryover

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

20%

Chalky

0%23%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

21%

As Expected

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.

Probability calibration

0.59

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.15

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.083

Well Within Noise

00.1460.4

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
FH Hafnarfjordur	99.98%	0.02%
KR Reykjavik	99.93%	0.07%
Stjarnan	99.51%	0.49%
Breidablik	99.09%	0.91%
Valur Reykjavik	94.75%	5.25%
Fjolnir	92.07%	7.93%
Fylkir Reykjavik	84.38%	15.62%
Leiknir Reykjavik	81.49%	18.51%
IA Akranes	77.30%	22.70%
Vikingur Reykjavik	76.92%	23.08%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	49.69%	50.31%
Keflavik IF	44.89%	55.11%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2015-05-03	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 1-0	1376	1322	47.9%	27.9%	24.1%	+6.8	3
2015-05-03	@ Fjolnir	L 0-1	1322	1376	24.1%	27.9%	47.9%	-6.8	0
2015-05-03	Leiknir Reykjavik	L 0-3	1369	1375	39.9%	28.8%	31.3%	-27.4	0
2015-05-03	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 3-0	1375	1369	31.3%	28.8%	39.9%	+27.4	3
2015-05-03	Stjarnan	L 0-1	1353	1509	21.4%	27.2%	51.4%	-6.2	0
2015-05-03	@ IA Akranes	W 1-0	1509	1353	51.4%	27.2%	21.4%	+6.2	3
2015-05-03	Vikingur Reykjavik	L 1-3	1369	1348	43.6%	28.5%	27.8%	-17.5	0
2015-05-03	@ Keflavik IF	W 3-1	1348	1369	27.8%	28.5%	43.6%	+17.5	3
2015-05-04	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-3	1491	1542	33.5%	28.9%	37.6%	-14.4	0
2015-05-04	@ KR Reykjavik	W 3-1	1542	1491	37.6%	28.9%	33.5%	+14.4	3
2015-05-07	Breidablik	D 1-1	1375	1417	34.8%	28.9%	36.3%	+0.1	1
2015-05-07	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	D 1-1	1417	1375	36.3%	28.9%	34.8%	-0.1	1
2015-05-10	Keflavik IF	W 2-0	1557	1351	64.7%	22.7%	12.6%	+6.9	6
2015-05-10	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-2	1351	1557	12.6%	22.7%	64.7%	-6.9	0
2015-05-10	Stjarnan	L 0-2	1315	1515	17.7%	25.9%	56.5%	-9.8	0
2015-05-10	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 2-0	1515	1315	56.5%	25.9%	17.7%	+9.8	6
2015-05-10	Valur Reykjavik	D 2-2	1365	1341	44.0%	28.5%	27.5%	-0.6	4
2015-05-10	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	D 2-2	1341	1365	27.5%	28.5%	44.0%	+0.6	1
2015-05-11	Fylkir Reykjavik	D 1-1	1382	1375	41.8%	28.7%	29.5%	-0.6	4
2015-05-11	@ Fjolnir	D 1-1	1375	1382	29.5%	28.7%	41.8%	+0.6	2
2015-05-11	IA Akranes	L 0-1	1402	1346	48.2%	27.9%	23.9%	-11.6	3
2015-05-11	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 1-0	1346	1402	23.9%	27.9%	48.2%	+11.6	3
2015-05-11	KR Reykjavik	D 2-2	1417	1477	32.4%	28.9%	38.8%	+0.2	2
2015-05-11	@ Breidablik	D 2-2	1477	1417	38.8%	28.9%	32.4%	-0.2	1
2015-05-17	Breidablik	D 1-1	1345	1417	30.6%	28.8%	40.6%	+0.5	1
2015-05-17	@ Keflavik IF	D 1-1	1417	1345	40.6%	28.8%	30.6%	-0.5	3
2015-05-17	FH Hafnarfjordur	W 2-0	1342	1564	16.1%	25.0%	58.9%	+25.8	4
2015-05-17	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 0-2	1564	1342	58.9%	25.0%	16.1%	-25.8	6
2015-05-17	Fjolnir	W 2-0	1477	1382	52.9%	26.9%	20.2%	+11.1	4
2015-05-17	@ KR Reykjavik	L 0-2	1382	1477	20.2%	26.9%	52.9%	-11.1	4
2015-05-17	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 3-0	1376	1305	50.0%	27.5%	22.5%	+17.6	5
2015-05-17	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	L 0-3	1305	1376	22.5%	27.5%	50.0%	-17.7	0
2015-05-17	Leiknir Reykjavik	D 1-1	1525	1391	57.3%	25.6%	17.1%	-2.2	7
2015-05-17	@ Stjarnan	D 1-1	1391	1525	17.1%	25.6%	57.3%	+2.2	4
2015-05-17	Vikingur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1358	1365	39.8%	28.8%	31.4%	-0.4	4
2015-05-17	@ IA Akranes	D 1-1	1365	1358	31.4%	28.8%	39.8%	+0.4	5
2015-05-20	IA Akranes	W 4-1	1538	1358	62.2%	23.8%	14.0%	+9.5	9
2015-05-20	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-4	1358	1538	14.0%	23.8%	62.2%	-9.5	4
2015-05-20	Keflavik IF	W 1-0	1371	1345	44.3%	28.4%	27.3%	+7.6	7
2015-05-20	@ Fjolnir	L 0-1	1345	1371	27.3%	28.4%	44.3%	-7.6	1
2015-05-20	KR Reykjavik	L 1-3	1393	1488	27.9%	28.5%	43.5%	-12.6	5
2015-05-20	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	W 3-1	1488	1393	43.5%	28.5%	27.9%	+12.6	7
2015-05-20	Leiknir Reykjavik	D 2-2	1287	1393	26.6%	28.3%	45.0%	+0.7	1
2015-05-20	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 2-2	1393	1287	45.0%	28.3%	26.6%	-0.7	5
2015-05-20	Stjarnan	D 2-2	1365	1522	21.3%	27.2%	51.5%	+1.2	6
2015-05-20	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	D 2-2	1522	1365	51.5%	27.2%	21.3%	-1.2	8
2015-05-20	Valur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1417	1368	47.3%	28.0%	24.6%	+7.0	6
2015-05-20	@ Breidablik	L 0-1	1368	1417	24.6%	28.0%	47.3%	-7.0	4
2015-05-25	Fjolnir	D 3-3	1361	1378	38.3%	28.9%	32.8%	-0.2	5
2015-05-25	@ Valur Reykjavik	D 3-3	1378	1361	32.8%	28.9%	38.3%	+0.2	8
2015-05-25	Fylkir Reykjavik	L 1-3	1337	1381	34.6%	28.9%	36.4%	-14.8	1
2015-05-25	@ Keflavik IF	W 3-1	1381	1337	36.4%	28.9%	34.6%	+14.8	8
2015-05-25	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 1-0	1500	1288	65.3%	22.4%	12.3%	+3.5	10
2015-05-25	@ KR Reykjavik	L 0-1	1288	1500	12.3%	22.4%	65.3%	-3.5	1
2015-05-26	Breidablik	L 0-1	1348	1424	30.2%	28.7%	41.0%	-8.2	4
2015-05-26	@ IA Akranes	W 1-0	1424	1348	41.0%	28.7%	30.2%	+8.2	9
2015-05-26	FH Hafnarfjordur	D 1-1	1521	1547	37.1%	28.9%	34.0%	-0.2	9
2015-05-26	@ Stjarnan	D 1-1	1547	1521	34.0%	28.9%	37.1%	+0.2	10
2015-05-26	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 2-0	1392	1366	44.3%	28.4%	27.3%	+14.2	8
2015-05-26	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	L 0-2	1366	1392	27.3%	28.4%	44.3%	-14.2	6
2015-05-31	IA Akranes	W 2-0	1379	1340	46.0%	28.2%	25.8%	+13.6	11
2015-05-31	@ Fjolnir	L 0-2	1340	1379	25.8%	28.2%	46.0%	-13.6	4
2015-05-31	Keflavik IF	W 4-0	1504	1323	62.3%	23.7%	14.0%	+14.6	13
2015-05-31	@ KR Reykjavik	L 0-4	1323	1504	14.0%	23.7%	62.3%	-14.6	1
2015-05-31	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 4-2	1547	1406	58.1%	25.3%	16.6%	+7.1	13
2015-05-31	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 2-4	1406	1547	16.6%	25.3%	58.1%	-7.1	8
2015-05-31	Stjarnan	W 3-0	1432	1521	28.6%	28.6%	42.8%	+28.9	12
2015-05-31	@ Breidablik	L 0-3	1521	1432	42.8%	28.6%	28.6%	-29.0	9
2015-05-31	Valur Reykjavik	L 0-3	1395	1360	45.5%	28.3%	26.2%	-30.4	8
2015-05-31	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	W 3-0	1360	1395	26.2%	28.3%	45.5%	+30.4	8
2015-05-31	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 3-2	1285	1352	31.3%	28.8%	39.9%	+9.0	4
2015-05-31	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 2-3	1352	1285	39.9%	28.8%	31.3%	-9.0	6
2015-06-07	Breidablik	L 0-2	1399	1461	32.1%	28.8%	39.1%	-16.1	8
2015-06-07	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 2-0	1461	1399	39.1%	28.8%	32.1%	+16.1	15
2015-06-07	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-1	1343	1555	16.8%	25.4%	57.7%	-4.9	6
2015-06-07	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1555	1343	57.7%	25.4%	16.8%	+4.9	16
2015-06-07	Fjolnir	L 1-3	1492	1392	53.5%	26.7%	19.8%	-20.7	9
2015-06-07	@ Stjarnan	W 3-1	1392	1492	19.8%	26.7%	53.5%	+20.7	14
2015-06-07	Fylkir Reykjavik	D 0-0	1326	1365	35.3%	28.9%	35.8%	+0.0	5
2015-06-07	@ IA Akranes	D 0-0	1365	1326	35.8%	28.9%	35.3%	-0.0	9
2015-06-07	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 3-1	1308	1293	42.8%	28.6%	28.6%	+12.8	4
2015-06-07	@ Keflavik IF	L 1-3	1293	1308	28.6%	28.6%	42.8%	-12.8	4
2015-06-07	KR Reykjavik	W 3-0	1391	1518	24.2%	27.9%	47.9%	+31.6	11
2015-06-07	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 0-3	1518	1391	47.9%	27.9%	24.2%	-31.6	13
2015-06-14	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-4	1281	1560	12.7%	22.7%	64.6%	-8.5	4
2015-06-14	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 4-1	1560	1281	64.6%	22.7%	12.7%	+8.5	19
2015-06-14	Valur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1321	1422	27.1%	28.4%	44.5%	-7.1	4
2015-06-14	@ Keflavik IF	W 2-1	1422	1321	44.5%	28.4%	27.1%	+7.1	14
2015-06-14	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 4-1	1477	1338	57.9%	25.4%	16.7%	+11.3	18
2015-06-14	@ Breidablik	L 1-4	1338	1477	16.7%	25.4%	57.9%	-11.3	6
2015-06-15	IA Akranes	D 1-1	1487	1326	60.2%	24.6%	15.3%	-2.5	14
2015-06-15	@ KR Reykjavik	D 1-1	1326	1487	15.3%	24.6%	60.2%	+2.4	6
2015-06-15	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 3-0	1413	1383	44.8%	28.4%	26.9%	+20.4	17
2015-06-15	@ Fjolnir	L 0-3	1383	1413	26.9%	28.4%	44.8%	-20.4	8
2015-06-15	Stjarnan	L 0-2	1365	1471	26.5%	28.3%	45.1%	-13.9	9
2015-06-15	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	W 2-0	1471	1365	45.1%	28.3%	26.5%	+13.9	12
2015-06-21	Breidablik	D 1-1	1568	1489	51.1%	27.3%	21.6%	-1.5	20
2015-06-21	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	D 1-1	1489	1568	21.6%	27.3%	51.1%	+1.5	19
2015-06-21	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 1-1	1429	1272	59.9%	24.7%	15.5%	-2.4	15
2015-06-21	@ Valur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1272	1429	15.5%	24.7%	59.9%	+2.4	5
2015-06-22	Fjolnir	W 2-0	1327	1433	26.5%	28.3%	45.1%	+20.8	9
2015-06-22	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	L 0-2	1433	1327	45.1%	28.3%	26.5%	-20.8	17
2015-06-22	Fylkir Reykjavik	D 1-1	1363	1351	42.4%	28.6%	29.0%	-0.7	9
2015-06-22	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	D 1-1	1351	1363	29.0%	28.6%	42.4%	+0.7	10
2015-06-22	Keflavik IF	W 4-2	1329	1314	42.8%	28.6%	28.6%	+11.5	9
2015-06-22	@ IA Akranes	L 2-4	1314	1329	28.6%	28.6%	42.8%	-11.4	4
2015-06-22	KR Reykjavik	L 0-1	1485	1484	40.9%	28.7%	30.3%	-10.2	12
2015-06-22	@ Stjarnan	W 1-0	1484	1485	30.3%	28.7%	40.9%	+10.2	17
2015-06-26	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1352	1348	41.3%	28.7%	29.9%	+8.1	13
2015-06-26	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	L 0-1	1348	1352	29.9%	28.7%	41.3%	-8.1	9
2015-06-28	Breidablik	W 2-0	1275	1490	16.5%	25.3%	58.2%	+25.6	8
2015-06-28	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-2	1490	1275	58.2%	25.3%	16.5%	-25.6	19
2015-06-28	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-3	1412	1566	21.6%	27.3%	51.1%	-10.2	17
2015-06-28	@ Fjolnir	W 3-1	1566	1412	51.1%	27.3%	21.6%	+10.2	23
2015-06-28	IA Akranes	W 4-2	1427	1340	52.0%	27.1%	20.9%	+8.8	18
2015-06-28	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 2-4	1340	1427	20.9%	27.1%	52.0%	-8.8	9
2015-06-28	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 1-0	1495	1362	57.2%	25.6%	17.2%	+5.0	20
2015-06-28	@ KR Reykjavik	L 0-1	1362	1495	17.2%	25.6%	57.2%	-5.0	9
2015-06-29	Stjarnan	L 1-2	1302	1475	19.9%	26.7%	53.4%	-5.5	4
2015-06-29	@ Keflavik IF	W 2-1	1475	1302	53.4%	26.7%	19.9%	+5.4	15
2015-07-10	Valur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1481	1436	46.7%	28.1%	25.1%	-10.7	15
2015-07-10	@ Stjarnan	W 2-1	1436	1481	25.1%	28.1%	46.7%	+10.7	21
2015-07-12	Fylkir Reykjavik	D 2-2	1577	1360	65.8%	22.2%	12.1%	-2.2	24
2015-07-12	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	D 2-2	1360	1577	12.1%	22.2%	65.8%	+2.2	14
2015-07-12	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 3-1	1331	1300	45.0%	28.4%	26.7%	+12.1	12
2015-07-12	@ IA Akranes	L 1-3	1300	1331	26.7%	28.4%	45.0%	-12.1	8
2015-07-12	KR Reykjavik	L 0-3	1339	1500	21.0%	27.1%	51.9%	-16.6	9
2015-07-12	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	W 3-0	1500	1339	51.9%	27.1%	21.0%	+16.6	23
2015-07-13	Fjolnir	W 2-0	1464	1402	48.9%	27.7%	23.3%	+12.5	22
2015-07-13	@ Breidablik	L 0-2	1402	1464	23.3%	27.7%	48.9%	-12.5	17
2015-07-13	Keflavik IF	D 1-1	1357	1297	48.7%	27.8%	23.5%	-1.3	10
2015-07-13	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	D 1-1	1297	1357	23.5%	27.8%	48.7%	+1.3	5
2015-07-18	IA Akranes	D 1-1	1470	1343	56.5%	25.8%	17.6%	-2.1	16
2015-07-18	@ Stjarnan	D 1-1	1343	1470	17.6%	25.8%	56.5%	+2.1	13
2015-07-19	Fjolnir	W 4-0	1288	1390	27.1%	28.4%	44.5%	+39.0	11
2015-07-19	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-4	1390	1288	44.5%	28.4%	27.1%	-39.0	17
2015-07-19	Keflavik IF	W 7-1	1323	1298	44.1%	28.5%	27.4%	+32.8	12
2015-07-19	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	L 1-7	1298	1323	27.4%	28.5%	44.1%	-32.8	5
2015-07-19	KR Reykjavik	L 1-3	1574	1516	48.5%	27.8%	23.7%	-19.1	24
2015-07-19	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	W 3-1	1516	1574	23.7%	27.8%	48.5%	+19.0	26
2015-07-20	Fylkir Reykjavik	L 0-1	1477	1362	55.2%	26.2%	18.5%	-13.0	22
2015-07-20	@ Breidablik	W 1-0	1362	1477	18.5%	26.2%	55.2%	+13.0	17
2015-07-20	Valur Reykjavik	L 0-1	1356	1447	28.4%	28.6%	43.0%	-7.8	10
2015-07-20	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 1-0	1447	1356	43.0%	28.6%	28.4%	+7.8	24
2015-07-25	Vikingur Reykjavik	L 0-1	1454	1356	53.4%	26.7%	19.9%	-12.6	24
2015-07-25	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1356	1454	19.9%	26.7%	53.4%	+12.6	15
2015-07-26	Fjolnir	L 0-4	1375	1351	44.1%	28.5%	27.5%	-38.7	17
2015-07-26	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	W 4-0	1351	1375	27.5%	28.5%	44.1%	+38.7	20
2015-07-26	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 3-0	1468	1327	58.1%	25.3%	16.6%	+13.3	19
2015-07-26	@ Stjarnan	L 0-3	1327	1468	16.6%	25.3%	58.1%	-13.3	11
2015-07-26	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 2-1	1346	1348	40.4%	28.8%	30.8%	+7.8	16
2015-07-26	@ IA Akranes	L 1-2	1348	1346	30.8%	28.8%	40.4%	-7.8	10
2015-07-27	Breidablik	D 0-0	1535	1464	50.1%	27.5%	22.4%	-1.6	27
2015-07-27	@ KR Reykjavik	D 0-0	1464	1535	22.4%	27.5%	50.1%	+1.6	23
2015-07-28	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-2	1265	1555	12.1%	22.2%	65.7%	-3.3	5
2015-07-28	@ Keflavik IF	W 2-1	1555	1265	65.7%	22.2%	12.1%	+3.3	27
2015-08-05	Fylkir Reykjavik	L 0-1	1314	1336	37.6%	28.9%	33.5%	-9.6	11
2015-08-05	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 1-0	1336	1314	33.5%	28.9%	37.6%	+9.6	20
2015-08-05	IA Akranes	D 1-1	1368	1353	42.8%	28.6%	28.6%	-0.7	16
2015-08-05	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1353	1368	28.6%	28.6%	42.8%	+0.7	17
2015-08-05	Keflavik IF	W 4-0	1466	1262	64.5%	22.8%	12.7%	+13.2	26
2015-08-05	@ Breidablik	L 0-4	1262	1466	12.7%	22.8%	64.5%	-13.2	5
2015-08-05	KR Reykjavik	W 2-1	1389	1534	22.5%	27.5%	50.0%	+11.3	23
2015-08-05	@ Fjolnir	L 1-2	1534	1389	50.0%	27.5%	22.5%	-11.3	27
2015-08-05	Stjarnan	W 1-0	1340	1481	22.8%	27.6%	49.5%	+11.9	13
2015-08-05	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	L 0-1	1481	1340	49.5%	27.6%	22.8%	-11.9	19
2015-08-05	Valur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1559	1442	55.5%	26.2%	18.4%	+5.1	30
2015-08-05	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-2	1442	1559	18.4%	26.2%	55.5%	-5.1	24
2015-08-09	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-2	1352	1304	47.2%	28.1%	24.8%	-21.5	13
2015-08-09	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 2-0	1304	1352	24.8%	28.1%	47.2%	+21.5	14
2015-08-09	Vikingur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1469	1368	53.7%	26.7%	19.6%	-1.8	20
2015-08-09	@ Stjarnan	D 1-1	1368	1469	19.6%	26.7%	53.7%	+1.8	17
2015-08-10	Breidablik	L 0-1	1437	1479	34.8%	28.9%	36.3%	-9.1	24
2015-08-10	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1479	1437	36.3%	28.9%	34.8%	+9.1	29
2015-08-10	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 2-3	1354	1564	17.0%	25.5%	57.5%	-4.4	17
2015-08-10	@ IA Akranes	W 3-2	1564	1354	57.5%	25.5%	17.0%	+4.5	33
2015-08-10	Fjolnir	D 1-1	1249	1401	21.8%	27.3%	50.9%	+1.5	6
2015-08-10	@ Keflavik IF	D 1-1	1401	1249	50.9%	27.3%	21.8%	-1.5	24
2015-08-10	Fylkir Reykjavik	W 2-0	1522	1346	61.8%	23.9%	14.3%	+7.9	30
2015-08-10	@ KR Reykjavik	L 0-2	1346	1522	14.3%	23.9%	61.8%	-7.9	20
2015-08-17	IA Akranes	W 3-1	1488	1350	57.8%	25.4%	16.8%	+8.0	32
2015-08-17	@ Breidablik	L 1-3	1350	1488	16.8%	25.4%	57.8%	-8.0	17
2015-08-17	Keflavik IF	D 3-3	1338	1250	52.1%	27.1%	20.9%	-1.0	21
2015-08-17	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	D 3-3	1250	1338	20.9%	27.1%	52.1%	+1.0	7
2015-08-17	Leiknir Reykjavik	D 1-1	1369	1331	46.0%	28.2%	25.8%	-1.0	18
2015-08-17	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1331	1369	25.8%	28.2%	46.0%	+1.0	14
2015-08-17	Stjarnan	W 4-0	1568	1468	53.6%	26.7%	19.7%	+20.5	36
2015-08-17	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-4	1468	1568	19.7%	26.7%	53.6%	-20.5	20
2015-08-20	Valur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1399	1428	36.8%	28.9%	34.3%	-0.1	25
2015-08-20	@ Fjolnir	D 1-1	1428	1399	34.3%	28.9%	36.8%	+0.1	25
2015-08-21	KR Reykjavik	D 1-1	1326	1530	17.3%	25.7%	57.0%	+2.1	15
2015-08-21	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 1-1	1530	1326	57.0%	25.7%	17.3%	-2.1	31
2015-08-24	Breidablik	L 0-1	1447	1496	33.8%	28.9%	37.2%	-8.9	20
2015-08-24	@ Stjarnan	W 1-0	1496	1447	37.2%	28.9%	33.8%	+8.9	35
2015-08-24	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-1	1332	1589	13.9%	23.6%	62.5%	-4.0	14
2015-08-24	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 1-0	1589	1332	62.5%	23.6%	13.9%	+4.0	39
2015-08-24	Fjolnir	D 4-4	1342	1399	32.7%	28.9%	38.5%	+0.2	18
2015-08-24	@ IA Akranes	D 4-4	1399	1342	38.5%	28.9%	32.7%	-0.2	26
2015-08-24	Fylkir Reykjavik	W 4-2	1428	1337	52.4%	27.0%	20.6%	+8.7	28
2015-08-24	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 2-4	1337	1428	20.6%	27.0%	52.4%	-8.7	21
2015-08-25	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 1-0	1368	1328	46.2%	28.2%	25.6%	+7.2	21
2015-08-25	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	L 0-1	1328	1368	25.6%	28.2%	46.2%	-7.2	15
2015-08-25	KR Reykjavik	L 0-1	1252	1528	12.8%	22.8%	64.4%	-3.7	7
2015-08-25	@ Keflavik IF	W 1-0	1528	1252	64.4%	22.8%	12.8%	+3.7	34
2015-08-30	IA Akranes	D 0-0	1328	1342	38.9%	28.9%	32.2%	-0.4	22
2015-08-30	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	D 0-0	1342	1328	32.2%	28.9%	38.9%	+0.4	19
2015-08-30	Keflavik IF	W 3-0	1321	1248	50.3%	27.5%	22.2%	+17.5	18
2015-08-30	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-3	1248	1321	22.2%	27.5%	50.3%	-17.5	7
2015-08-30	Leiknir Reykjavik	D 0-0	1505	1328	61.9%	23.9%	14.2%	-2.9	36
2015-08-30	@ Breidablik	D 0-0	1328	1505	14.2%	23.9%	61.9%	+2.9	15
2015-08-30	Stjarnan	D 1-1	1399	1438	35.2%	28.9%	35.8%	+0.0	27
2015-08-30	@ Fjolnir	D 1-1	1438	1399	35.8%	28.9%	35.2%	-0.0	21
2015-08-30	Valur Reykjavik	D 2-2	1532	1436	53.0%	26.9%	20.2%	-1.3	35
2015-08-30	@ KR Reykjavik	D 2-2	1436	1532	20.2%	26.9%	53.0%	+1.3	29
2015-08-30	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1593	1376	65.8%	22.1%	12.0%	+3.5	42
2015-08-30	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-1	1376	1593	12.0%	22.1%	65.8%	-3.5	21
2015-09-13	Breidablik	D 2-2	1372	1502	24.0%	27.9%	48.2%	+0.9	22
2015-09-13	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	D 2-2	1502	1372	48.2%	27.9%	24.0%	-0.9	37
2015-09-13	Fjolnir	L 2-3	1330	1399	31.2%	28.8%	40.0%	-7.5	15
2015-09-13	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 3-2	1399	1330	40.0%	28.8%	31.2%	+7.5	30
2015-09-13	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 3-1	1596	1338	69.5%	20.3%	10.2%	+4.6	45
2015-09-13	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-3	1338	1596	10.2%	20.3%	69.5%	-4.6	18
2015-09-13	Keflavik IF	W 3-2	1438	1230	64.9%	22.6%	12.5%	+3.2	32
2015-09-13	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 2-3	1230	1438	12.5%	22.6%	64.9%	-3.2	7
2015-09-13	KR Reykjavik	D 0-0	1342	1531	18.6%	26.2%	55.2%	+2.2	20
2015-09-13	@ IA Akranes	D 0-0	1531	1342	55.2%	26.2%	18.6%	-2.2	36
2015-09-14	Fylkir Reykjavik	W 1-0	1438	1328	54.7%	26.4%	18.9%	+5.5	24
2015-09-14	@ Stjarnan	L 0-1	1328	1438	18.9%	26.4%	54.7%	-5.5	22
2015-09-20	FH Hafnarfjordur	W 2-1	1501	1601	27.3%	28.4%	44.3%	+10.2	40
2015-09-20	@ Breidablik	L 1-2	1601	1501	44.3%	28.4%	27.3%	-10.2	45
2015-09-20	IA Akranes	L 0-4	1227	1344	25.3%	28.1%	46.6%	-25.5	7
2015-09-20	@ Keflavik IF	W 4-0	1344	1227	46.6%	28.1%	25.3%	+25.5	23
2015-09-20	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 3-1	1323	1323	40.7%	28.8%	30.5%	+13.5	25
2015-09-20	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	L 1-3	1323	1323	30.5%	28.8%	40.7%	-13.5	15
2015-09-20	Stjarnan	L 0-3	1528	1444	51.7%	27.2%	21.1%	-33.7	36
2015-09-20	@ KR Reykjavik	W 3-0	1444	1528	21.1%	27.2%	51.7%	+33.7	27
2015-09-20	Valur Reykjavik	D 3-3	1333	1441	26.4%	28.3%	45.3%	+0.6	19
2015-09-20	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 3-3	1441	1333	45.3%	28.3%	26.4%	-0.6	33
2015-09-20	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 4-3	1406	1373	45.3%	28.3%	26.4%	+6.4	33
2015-09-20	@ Fjolnir	L 3-4	1373	1406	26.4%	28.3%	45.3%	-6.4	22
2015-09-26	Fjolnir	W 2-1	1591	1413	62.0%	23.9%	14.2%	+3.9	48
2015-09-26	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	L 1-2	1413	1591	14.2%	23.9%	62.0%	-3.9	33
2015-09-26	Fylkir Reykjavik	D 0-0	1367	1336	44.9%	28.4%	26.7%	-1.0	23
2015-09-26	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	D 0-0	1336	1367	26.7%	28.4%	44.9%	+1.0	26
2015-09-26	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 1-0	1511	1334	61.9%	23.9%	14.2%	+4.2	43
2015-09-26	@ Breidablik	L 0-1	1334	1511	14.2%	23.9%	61.9%	-4.2	19
2015-09-26	Keflavik IF	W 7-0	1477	1202	71.1%	19.5%	9.4%	+15.8	30
2015-09-26	@ Stjarnan	L 0-7	1202	1477	9.4%	19.5%	71.1%	-15.8	7
2015-09-26	KR Reykjavik	L 0-2	1310	1495	18.8%	26.4%	54.8%	-10.4	15
2015-09-26	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 2-0	1495	1310	54.8%	26.4%	18.8%	+10.4	39
2015-09-26	Valur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1370	1440	30.9%	28.8%	40.3%	+10.1	26
2015-09-26	@ IA Akranes	L 0-1	1440	1370	40.3%	28.8%	30.9%	-10.1	33
2015-10-03	Breidablik	L 0-2	1409	1515	26.5%	28.3%	45.1%	-13.9	33
2015-10-03	@ Fjolnir	W 2-0	1515	1409	45.1%	28.3%	26.5%	+13.9	46
2015-10-03	FH Hafnarfjordur	W 3-2	1337	1594	13.9%	23.6%	62.5%	+12.8	29
2015-10-03	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	L 2-3	1594	1337	62.5%	23.6%	13.9%	-12.8	48
2015-10-03	IA Akranes	L 1-2	1330	1380	33.7%	28.9%	37.4%	-8.4	19
2015-10-03	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 2-1	1380	1330	37.4%	28.9%	33.7%	+8.4	29
2015-10-03	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 3-2	1186	1299	25.7%	28.2%	46.1%	+10.0	10
2015-10-03	@ Keflavik IF	L 2-3	1299	1186	46.1%	28.2%	25.7%	-10.0	15
2015-10-03	Stjarnan	L 1-2	1430	1493	31.9%	28.8%	39.2%	-8.0	33
2015-10-03	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1493	1430	39.2%	28.8%	31.9%	+8.0	33
2015-10-03	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 5-2	1505	1366	58.0%	25.4%	16.7%	+9.8	42
2015-10-03	@ KR Reykjavik	L 2-5	1366	1505	16.7%	25.4%	58.0%	-9.8	23

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2015-10-03	13.85%	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	1337	3	FH Hafnarfjordur	1594	2
2	2015-05-17	16.09%	@ Valur Reykjavik	1342	2	FH Hafnarfjordur	1564	0
3	2015-06-28	16.54%	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1275	2	Breidablik	1490	0
4	2015-07-20	18.54%	Fylkir Reykjavik	1362	1	@ Breidablik	1477	0
5	2015-06-07	19.78%	Fjolnir	1392	3	@ Stjarnan	1492	1
6	2015-07-25	19.88%	Vikingur Reykjavik	1356	1	@ Valur Reykjavik	1454	0
7	2015-09-20	21.13%	Stjarnan	1444	3	@ KR Reykjavik	1528	0
8	2015-08-05	22.51%	@ Fjolnir	1389	2	KR Reykjavik	1534	1
9	2015-08-05	22.83%	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	1340	1	Stjarnan	1481	0
10	2015-07-19	23.72%	KR Reykjavik	1516	3	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	1574	1
11	2015-05-11	23.94%	IA Akranes	1346	1	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	1402	0
12	2015-06-07	24.19%	@ Valur Reykjavik	1391	3	KR Reykjavik	1518	0
13	2015-08-09	24.79%	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1304	2	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	1352	0
14	2015-07-10	25.15%	Valur Reykjavik	1436	2	@ Stjarnan	1481	1
15	2015-10-03	25.73%	@ Keflavik IF	1186	3	Leiknir Reykjavik	1299	2
16	2015-05-31	26.23%	Valur Reykjavik	1360	3	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	1395	0
17	2015-06-22	26.52%	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	1327	2	Fjolnir	1433	0
18	2015-07-19	27.06%	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1288	4	Fjolnir	1390	0
19	2015-09-20	27.29%	@ Breidablik	1501	2	FH Hafnarfjordur	1601	1
20	2015-07-26	27.47%	Fjolnir	1351	4	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	1375	0
21	2015-05-03	27.84%	Vikingur Reykjavik	1348	3	@ Keflavik IF	1369	1
22	2015-05-31	28.60%	@ Breidablik	1432	3	Stjarnan	1521	0
23	2015-06-22	30.34%	KR Reykjavik	1484	1	@ Stjarnan	1485	0
24	2015-09-26	30.91%	@ IA Akranes	1370	1	Valur Reykjavik	1440	0
25	2015-05-03	31.32%	Leiknir Reykjavik	1375	3	@ Valur Reykjavik	1369	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2015-07-19	38.99	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	4	1288	27.06%	Fjolnir	0	1390	44.53%	28.41%
2	2015-07-26	38.68	Fjolnir	4	1351	27.47%	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	0	1375	44.06%	28.47%
3	2015-09-20	33.70	Stjarnan	3	1444	21.13%	@ KR Reykjavik	0	1528	51.72%	27.15%
4	2015-07-19	32.79	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	7	1323	44.10%	Keflavik IF	1	1298	27.44%	28.46%
5	2015-06-07	31.63	@ Valur Reykjavik	3	1391	24.19%	KR Reykjavik	0	1518	47.88%	27.93%
6	2015-05-31	30.36	Valur Reykjavik	3	1360	26.23%	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	0	1395	45.48%	28.29%
7	2015-05-31	28.95	@ Breidablik	3	1432	28.60%	Stjarnan	0	1521	42.81%	28.60%
8	2015-05-03	27.42	Leiknir Reykjavik	3	1375	31.32%	@ Valur Reykjavik	0	1369	39.86%	28.81%
9	2015-05-17	25.81	@ Valur Reykjavik	2	1342	16.09%	FH Hafnarfjordur	0	1564	58.87%	25.04%
10	2015-06-28	25.56	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	2	1275	16.54%	Breidablik	0	1490	58.17%	25.29%
11	2015-09-20	25.45	IA Akranes	4	1344	46.55%	@ Keflavik IF	0	1227	25.31%	28.14%
12	2015-08-09	21.52	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	2	1304	24.79%	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	0	1352	47.16%	28.05%
13	2015-06-22	20.78	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	2	1327	26.52%	Fjolnir	0	1433	45.15%	28.33%
14	2015-06-07	20.67	Fjolnir	3	1392	19.78%	@ Stjarnan	1	1492	53.51%	26.71%
15	2015-08-17	20.53	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	4	1568	53.60%	Stjarnan	0	1468	19.72%	26.69%
16	2015-06-15	20.44	@ Fjolnir	3	1413	44.76%	Leiknir Reykjavik	0	1383	26.85%	28.38%
17	2015-07-19	19.05	KR Reykjavik	3	1516	23.72%	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	1	1574	48.46%	27.83%
18	2015-05-17	17.65	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	3	1376	50.00%	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	0	1305	22.47%	27.53%
19	2015-05-03	17.52	Vikingur Reykjavik	3	1348	27.84%	@ Keflavik IF	1	1369	43.65%	28.51%
20	2015-08-30	17.50	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	3	1321	50.27%	Keflavik IF	0	1248	22.25%	27.47%
21	2015-07-12	16.63	KR Reykjavik	3	1500	51.88%	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	0	1339	21.00%	27.12%
22	2015-06-07	16.12	Breidablik	2	1461	39.05%	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	0	1399	32.10%	28.85%
23	2015-09-26	15.84	@ Stjarnan	7	1477	71.08%	Keflavik IF	0	1202	9.44%	19.48%
24	2015-05-25	14.77	Fylkir Reykjavik	3	1381	36.42%	@ Keflavik IF	1	1337	34.65%	28.93%
25	2015-05-31	14.61	@ KR Reykjavik	4	1504	62.29%	Keflavik IF	0	1323	13.99%	23.72%