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1936-37 League of Ireland Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Sligo Rovers

34 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Bray Unknowns

7.43 points above expected

24 points · 16.57 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Cork FC

5.78 points below expected

17 points · 22.78 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sligo Rovers 22 16 2 4 34 68 30 +38 28.43 +5.57
2 Waterford 22 12 0 10 24 59 49 +10 24.53 -0.53
3 Dundalk 22 10 4 8 24 41 34 +7 22.20 +1.80
4 Bray Unknowns 22 10 4 8 24 30 39 -9 16.57 +7.43
5 St. James Gate 22 9 5 8 23 63 43 +20 22.23 +0.77
6 Drumconda 22 10 3 9 23 41 47 -6 19.87 +3.13
7 Bohemian 22 10 2 10 22 54 56 -2 25.76 -3.76
8 Shelbourne 22 9 3 10 21 53 48 +5 17.77 +3.23
9 Shamrock Rovers 22 8 3 11 19 46 55 -9 22.44 -3.44
10 Dolphin 22 7 4 11 18 33 59 -26 22.74 -4.74
11 Cork FC 22 7 3 12 17 51 60 -9 22.78 -5.78
12 Brideville 22 6 3 13 15 32 51 -19 18.68 -3.68

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Bray Unknowns 24 16.57 +7.43
2 Sligo Rovers 34 28.43 +5.57
3 Shelbourne 21 17.77 +3.23
4 Drumconda 23 19.87 +3.13
5 Dundalk 24 22.20 +1.80

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Cork FC 17 22.78 -5.78
2 Dolphin 18 22.74 -4.74
3 Bohemian 22 25.76 -3.76
4 Brideville 15 18.68 -3.68
5 Shamrock Rovers 19 22.44 -3.44

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sligo Rovers 11 Nov 8 – Jan 24 1 in 1,238
2 Waterford 8 Dec 20 – Feb 21 1 in 622
3 Drumconda 4 Feb 28 – Mar 21 1 in 107
4 Dundalk 5 Nov 29 – Dec 27 1 in 73
5 Shamrock Rovers 4 Nov 15 – Dec 12 1 in 36

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bohemian 4 Nov 28 – Dec 19 1 in 98
2 Dolphin 5 Mar 27 – Apr 18 1 in 62
3 Waterford 4 Apr 4 – Apr 22 1 in 53
4 Sligo Rovers 2 Jan 31 – Feb 14 1 in 29
5 St. James Gate 3 Dec 20 – Jan 3 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Drumconda 8 Feb 14 – Apr 4 1 in 368
2 Sligo Rovers 11 Nov 8 – Jan 24 1 in 80
3 St. James Gate 7 Mar 14 – Apr 22 1 in 65
4 Waterford 8 Dec 20 – Feb 21 1 in 62
5 Brideville 4 Feb 6 – Mar 7 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cork FC 6 Feb 20 – Mar 29 1 in 29
2 Dolphin 6 Mar 20 – Apr 18 1 in 24
3 Bohemian 4 Nov 28 – Dec 19 1 in 21
4 Dundalk 6 Mar 6 – Apr 4 1 in 18
5 Shamrock Rovers 5 Dec 20 – Jan 27 1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Sligo Rovers 1493 34 +16 8 6.6 +1.4
Bray Unknowns 1258 24 +30 7 3.6 +3.4
Dundalk 1362 24 +13 6 4.5 +1.5
Waterford 1346 24 -65 2 5.7 -3.7
St. James Gate 1406 23 +86 9 5.0 +4.0
Drumconda 1296 23 -17 5 5.3 -0.3
Bohemian 1346 22 -61 2 5.1 -3.1
Shelbourne 1327 21 +56 7 4.7 +2.3
Shamrock Rovers 1287 19 -16 4 5.8 -1.8
Dolphin 1261 18 -83 0 4.8 -4.8
Cork FC 1328 17 +49 7 4.7 +2.3
Brideville 1230 15 -13 3 4.4 -1.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOH BU BRI COR DOL DRU DUN SR SHE SR SJG WAT
Bohemian —
1-1-0
4.06
2-0-0
3.75
0-0-2
3.31
2-0-0
3.21
1-0-1
3.47
1-0-1
3.28
0-0-2
3.40
0-1-1
3.91
1-0-1
2.53
1-0-1
3.36
1-0-1
3.13
Bray Unknowns
0-1-1
1.65
 —
2-0-0
2.63
2-0-0
1.98
2-0-0
1.97
0-1-1
2.62
0-0-2
2.33
1-1-0
2.29
1-0-1
2.73
0-0-2
1.33
0-1-1
2.31
2-0-0
2.20
Brideville
0-0-2
1.96
0-0-2
3.08
 —
0-1-1
2.57
0-0-2
2.37
1-1-0
2.84
0-0-2
2.04
2-0-0
2.22
2-0-0
2.78
1-0-1
1.64
0-1-1
2.16
0-0-2
2.07
Cork FC
2-0-0
2.41
0-0-2
3.74
1-1-0
3.14
 —
1-0-1
3.06
0-0-2
3.32
0-1-1
2.67
1-0-1
2.72
0-1-1
3.52
0-0-2
1.77
2-0-0
2.80
0-0-2
2.46
Dolphin
0-0-2
2.50
0-0-2
3.74
2-0-0
3.34
1-0-1
2.65
 —
0-1-1
3.03
2-0-0
2.93
0-1-1
3.04
1-0-1
3.39
0-1-1
2.13
0-1-1
2.95
1-0-1
2.75
Drumconda
1-0-1
2.25
1-1-0
3.09
0-1-1
2.87
2-0-0
2.40
1-1-0
2.68
 —
1-0-1
2.47
1-0-1
2.45
0-0-2
3.02
1-0-1
2.08
1-0-1
2.52
1-0-1
2.50
Dundalk
1-0-1
2.43
2-0-0
3.39
2-0-0
3.68
1-1-0
3.04
0-0-2
2.78
1-0-1
3.24
 —
1-0-1
2.86
0-1-1
3.43
0-1-1
1.94
1-1-0
2.91
1-0-1
2.41
Shamrock Rovers
2-0-0
2.31
0-1-1
3.42
0-0-2
3.49
1-0-1
2.99
1-1-0
2.67
1-0-1
3.26
1-0-1
2.86
 —
1-0-1
3.51
0-0-2
2.10
0-1-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.66
Shelbourne
1-1-0
1.81
1-0-1
2.98
0-0-2
2.93
1-1-0
2.20
1-0-1
2.32
2-0-0
2.70
1-1-0
2.28
1-0-1
2.20
 —
0-0-2
1.69
0-0-2
2.44
1-0-1
2.23
Sligo Rovers
1-0-1
3.18
2-0-0
4.39
1-0-1
4.07
2-0-0
3.95
1-1-0
3.58
1-0-1
3.64
1-1-0
3.78
2-0-0
3.61
2-0-0
4.03
 —
2-0-0
3.48
1-0-1
3.47
St. James Gate
1-0-1
2.36
1-1-0
3.40
1-1-0
3.55
0-0-2
2.91
1-1-0
2.77
1-0-1
3.19
0-1-1
2.80
1-1-0
3.10
2-0-0
3.28
0-0-2
2.23
 —
1-0-1
2.53
Waterford
1-0-1
2.58
0-0-2
3.51
2-0-0
3.65
2-0-0
3.25
1-0-1
2.96
1-0-1
3.22
1-0-1
3.30
1-0-1
3.05
1-0-1
3.48
1-0-1
2.24
1-0-1
3.18
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.32 +2.2
Allowed 0.65 -4.1
Differential 0.72 +2.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.27%3.41%7.20%1.14%1.14%1.52%16.67%
13.41%3.03%4.92%4.55%2.27%1.14%19.32%
27.20%4.92%5.30%4.92%3.41%5.30%31.06%
31.14%4.55%4.92%2.27%2.27%—15.15%
41.14%2.27%3.41%2.27%0.76%—9.85%
5+1.52%1.14%5.30%———7.95%
Total16.67%19.32%31.06%15.15%9.85%7.95%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.16 2.16 +0.00
SD 1.72 1.72 2.57
CV 0.80 0.80 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———4.55%——4.55%
14.55%——4.55%4.55%—13.64%
24.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%40.91%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%—22.73%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+——9.09%———9.09%
Total13.64%13.64%22.73%22.73%18.18%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.45 2.55 -0.09
SD 1.26 1.74 2.33
CV 0.51 0.68 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%31.82%
19.09%——4.55%4.55%4.55%22.73%
29.09%13.64%4.55%———27.27%
3—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%31.82%9.09%13.64%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.77 -0.41
SD 1.22 1.77 2.38
CV 0.89 1.00 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%9.09%——4.55%22.73%
14.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
213.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%50.00%
3———4.55%4.55%—9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%22.73%18.18%9.09%22.73%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 2.32 -0.86
SD 0.96 1.86 2.01
CV 0.66 0.80 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
14.55%4.55%9.09%13.64%——31.82%
2——4.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%27.27%
3——9.09%4.55%4.55%—18.18%
4—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total4.55%9.09%36.36%31.82%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 2.73 -0.41
SD 1.70 1.55 2.34
CV 0.73 0.57 —
Max 8 7 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%4.55%22.73%
113.64%4.55%——4.55%—22.73%
29.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%13.64%40.91%
3———4.55%4.55%—9.09%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%13.64%9.09%13.64%18.18%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.68 -1.18
SD 1.10 2.57 2.70
CV 0.73 0.96 —
Max 4 9 +2
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%———9.09%
14.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%—27.27%
24.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%36.36%
3—9.09%13.64%———22.73%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%22.73%27.27%18.18%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 2.14 -0.27
SD 1.04 1.49 1.72
CV 0.56 0.70 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%18.18%———22.73%
1—4.55%9.09%—4.55%—18.18%
213.64%4.55%13.64%———31.82%
3—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total13.64%27.27%54.55%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.55 +0.32
SD 1.64 0.91 1.96
CV 0.88 0.59 —
Max 7 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%——4.55%22.73%
1———13.64%—4.55%18.18%
2——4.55%9.09%—4.55%18.18%
34.55%—9.09%———13.64%
44.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total13.64%9.09%36.36%22.73%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 2.50 -0.41
SD 1.63 1.79 2.72
CV 0.78 0.72 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——18.18%———18.18%
1—4.55%13.64%———18.18%
24.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%—9.09%31.82%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—4.55%18.18%———22.73%
Total4.55%22.73%59.09%4.55%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.41 2.18 +0.23
SD 2.06 1.71 2.83
CV 0.86 0.78 —
Max 7 8 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
218.18%——4.55%—4.55%27.27%
39.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
44.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
5+9.09%4.55%————13.64%
Total40.91%22.73%18.18%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.09 1.36 +1.73
SD 1.90 1.84 2.88
CV 0.61 1.35 —
Max 9 8 +9
Min 1 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
1———4.55%——4.55%
24.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
3———4.55%4.55%—9.09%
4——9.09%—4.55%—13.64%
5+9.09%4.55%9.09%———22.73%
Total18.18%18.18%31.82%13.64%18.18%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.86 1.95 +0.91
SD 2.36 1.36 2.91
CV 0.82 0.70 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
1——9.09%4.55%—4.55%18.18%
24.55%——4.55%4.55%—13.64%
3—9.09%13.64%———22.73%
4—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
5+——13.64%———13.64%
Total4.55%18.18%50.00%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.68 2.23 +0.45
SD 2.34 1.38 2.91
CV 0.87 0.62 —
Max 8 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sligo Rovers 1493 34 28.43 +5.57 91.0% 16 22 26 28 31 36 37
St. James Gate 1406 23 22.23 +0.77 63.0% 12 16 19 22 25 28 30
Dundalk 1362 24 22.20 +1.80 77.0% 14 17 20 22 24 28 32
Waterford 1346 24 24.53 -0.53 50.0% 13 18 22 24 27 31 35
Bohemian 1346 22 25.76 -3.76 19.0% 15 20 23 26 28 33 35
Cork FC 1328 17 22.78 -5.78 7.0% 12 15 21 23 25 29 31
Shelbourne 1327 21 17.77 +3.23 81.0% 10 11 15 18 20 24 28
Drumconda 1296 23 19.87 +3.13 82.0% 11 13 17 20 23 26 32
Shamrock Rovers 1287 19 22.44 -3.44 19.0% 15 17 20 22 25 28 31
Dolphin 1261 18 22.74 -4.74 16.0% 14 15 20 23 25 29 32
Bray Unknowns 1258 24 16.57 +7.43 96.0% 8 10 14 17 19 23 27
Brideville 1230 15 18.68 -3.68 22.0% 7 12 16 18 21 27 32

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+19.70%
Strong Edge
53.03%13.64%33.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge
169 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
069.34500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.77 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.41+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.4
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
49%
Sligo Rovers, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.45/gm
Runaway
00.130.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.13 * Some Luck: 3.13 to 4.69 * Lucky: 4.69 to 6.26 * Wild Swing: 6.26 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.83 * Close: 1.83 to 2.74 * Off: 2.74 to 3.66 * Way Off: 3.66 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.14 points
Some Luck
03.9110
Average Finish Error
Expected
3.67
Way Off
02.295
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
96.00%
Bray Unknowns
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
7.00%
Cork FC
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.11
Balanced
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 71.73
1.11
Coin-Flip Parity
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
60%
Even
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
82%
Even
50%81%100%
Close Games
Expected
45%
Few
0%44%100%
Blowouts
Expected
25%
Very Frequent
0%33%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.34
Very Even
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.10
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
-0.19
Weak Carryover
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
30%
Very Upset-Prone
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
32%
Very Shaky
0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.23
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.25
Overconfident
0.02264121.001.97736
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.110
Well Within Noise
00.1290.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Sligo Rovers49.00%25.00%10.00%4.00%5.00%4.00%1.00%—1.00%—1.00%—
Waterford11.00%16.00%15.00%16.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%10.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%
Dundalk4.00%6.00%7.00%11.00%11.00%13.00%12.00%12.00%10.00%6.00%6.00%2.00%
Bray Unknowns——2.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%8.00%7.00%12.00%11.00%20.00%35.00%
St. James Gate2.00%10.00%12.00%11.00%8.00%12.00%12.00%9.00%9.00%8.00%6.00%1.00%
Drumconda1.00%4.00%5.00%6.00%2.00%10.00%7.00%15.00%11.00%18.00%10.00%11.00%
Bohemian19.00%19.00%9.00%15.00%13.00%10.00%7.00%6.00%—1.00%1.00%—
Shelbourne——3.00%3.00%3.00%8.00%7.00%8.00%7.00%19.00%23.00%19.00%
Shamrock Rovers2.00%7.00%9.00%12.00%13.00%10.00%16.00%6.00%16.00%6.00%1.00%2.00%
Dolphin3.00%6.00%16.00%7.00%13.00%11.00%7.00%10.00%6.00%7.00%10.00%4.00%
Cork FC5.00%5.00%11.00%11.00%17.00%8.00%12.00%10.00%9.00%4.00%5.00%3.00%
Brideville4.00%2.00%1.00%3.00%5.00%4.00%3.00%7.00%15.00%19.00%15.00%22.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Bohemian 100%
Bray Unknowns 100%
Brideville 100%
Cork FC 100%
Dolphin 100%
Drumconda 100%
Dundalk 100%
Shamrock Rovers 100%
Shelbourne 100%
Sligo Rovers 100%
St. James Gate 100%
Waterford 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1936-11-07 Bohemian L 2-446.6 1287 1409 40.16% 14.44% 45.39%-0.31 -11.3 0
1936-11-07 @ Brideville W 4-246.6 1409 1287 45.39% 14.44% 40.16%+0.31 +11.3 2
1936-11-07 St. James Gate D 3-364.7 1386 1350 60.96% 14.38% 24.67%+0.63 -1.0 1
1936-11-07 @ Dolphin D 3-364.7 1350 1386 24.67% 14.38% 60.96%-0.63 +1.0 1
1936-11-07 Dundalk W 2-142.8 1266 1328 48.72% 14.46% 36.81%+0.05 +6.8 2
1936-11-07 @ Shelbourne L 1-242.8 1328 1266 36.81% 14.46% 48.72%-0.05 -6.8 0
1936-11-08 Bray Unknowns L 1-253.4 1378 1214 72.36% 14.05% 13.59%+1.38 -12.7 0
1936-11-08 @ Cork FC W 2-153.4 1214 1378 13.59% 14.05% 72.36%-1.38 +12.7 2
1936-11-08 Shamrock Rovers W 3-246.6 1302 1341 51.76% 14.46% 33.78%+0.18 +6.0 2
1936-11-08 @ Drumconda L 2-346.6 1341 1302 33.78% 14.46% 51.76%-0.18 -6.0 0
1936-11-08 Waterford W 3-032.1 1342 1338 57.19% 14.42% 28.38%+0.43 +15.6 2
1936-11-08 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-332.1 1338 1342 28.38% 14.42% 57.19%-0.43 -15.6 0
1936-11-14 Brideville L 0-242.1 1273 1276 56.36% 14.43% 29.21%+0.39 -19.7 2
1936-11-14 @ Shelbourne W 2-042.1 1276 1273 29.21% 14.43% 56.36%-0.39 +19.7 2
1936-11-15 Bohemian D 3-363.6 1227 1420 30.70% 14.35% 54.95%-0.73 +0.7 3
1936-11-15 @ Bray Unknowns D 3-363.6 1420 1227 54.95% 14.35% 30.70%+0.73 -0.7 3
1936-11-15 Dolphin L 0-144.0 1321 1385 48.34% 14.46% 37.20%+0.03 -9.1 0
1936-11-15 @ Dundalk W 1-044.0 1385 1321 37.20% 14.46% 48.34%-0.03 +9.1 3
1936-11-15 Sligo Rovers L 1-345.2 1308 1357 50.43% 14.46% 35.11%+0.12 -15.4 2
1936-11-15 @ Drumconda W 3-145.2 1357 1308 35.11% 14.46% 50.43%-0.12 +15.4 4
1936-11-15 Cork FC L 3-457.6 1351 1365 54.94% 14.44% 30.62%+0.33 -8.9 1
1936-11-15 @ St. James Gate W 4-357.6 1365 1351 30.62% 14.44% 54.94%-0.33 +8.9 2
1936-11-15 Shamrock Rovers L 2-353.1 1322 1335 55.08% 14.44% 30.48%+0.33 -9.2 0
1936-11-15 @ Waterford W 3-253.1 1335 1322 30.48% 14.44% 55.08%-0.33 +9.2 2
1936-11-21 Waterford W 3-136.2 1420 1313 67.89% 14.22% 17.89%+1.04 +6.1 5
1936-11-21 @ Bohemian L 1-336.2 1313 1420 17.89% 14.22% 67.89%-1.04 -6.1 0
1936-11-22 Drumconda W 2-140.3 1295 1293 57.00% 14.42% 28.57%+0.42 +5.4 4
1936-11-22 @ Brideville L 1-240.3 1293 1295 28.57% 14.42% 57.00%-0.42 -5.4 2
1936-11-22 Shelbourne D 1-155.3 1374 1253 69.11% 14.18% 16.70%+1.13 -2.4 3
1936-11-22 @ Cork FC D 1-155.3 1253 1374 16.70% 14.18% 69.11%-1.13 +2.4 3
1936-11-22 Bray Unknowns L 1-449.0 1394 1228 72.60% 14.04% 13.36%+1.40 -31.1 3
1936-11-22 @ Dolphin W 4-149.0 1228 1394 13.36% 14.04% 72.60%-1.40 +31.1 5
1936-11-22 Dundalk W 4-135.2 1345 1312 60.54% 14.38% 25.08%+0.61 +11.8 4
1936-11-22 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-435.2 1312 1345 25.08% 14.38% 60.54%-0.61 -11.8 0
1936-11-22 St. James Gate W 4-242.4 1373 1342 60.34% 14.39% 25.28%+0.59 +7.5 6
1936-11-22 @ Sligo Rovers L 2-442.4 1342 1373 25.28% 14.39% 60.34%-0.59 -7.5 1
1936-11-28 Shamrock Rovers L 2-552.6 1426 1356 64.40% 14.31% 21.29%+0.82 -23.8 5
1936-11-28 @ Bohemian W 5-252.6 1356 1426 21.29% 14.31% 64.40%-0.82 +23.8 6
1936-11-28 Shelbourne W 6-234.7 1334 1255 65.32% 14.29% 20.38%+0.88 +10.7 3
1936-11-28 @ St. James Gate L 2-634.7 1255 1334 20.38% 14.29% 65.32%-0.88 -10.7 3
1936-11-29 Dundalk L 1-344.7 1259 1300 51.50% 14.46% 34.04%+0.17 -15.7 5
1936-11-29 @ Bray Unknowns W 3-144.7 1300 1259 34.04% 14.46% 51.50%-0.17 +15.7 2
1936-11-29 Drumconda L 1-252.0 1372 1287 65.81% 14.28% 19.90%+0.91 -11.5 3
1936-11-29 @ Cork FC W 2-152.0 1287 1372 19.90% 14.28% 65.81%-0.91 +11.5 4
1936-11-29 Waterford L 2-355.6 1363 1307 63.06% 14.34% 22.60%+0.74 -10.4 3
1936-11-29 @ Dolphin W 3-255.6 1307 1363 22.60% 14.34% 63.06%-0.74 +10.4 2
1936-11-29 Brideville W 4-134.0 1380 1301 65.39% 14.29% 20.32%+0.88 +9.7 8
1936-11-29 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-434.0 1301 1380 20.32% 14.29% 65.39%-0.88 -9.7 4
1936-12-05 Bohemian W 3-249.4 1316 1402 45.28% 14.46% 40.26%-0.10 +6.9 4
1936-12-05 @ Dundalk L 2-349.4 1402 1316 40.26% 14.46% 45.28%+0.10 -6.9 5
1936-12-05 Sligo Rovers L 0-236.8 1245 1390 36.96% 14.42% 48.62%-0.45 -13.6 3
1936-12-05 @ Shelbourne W 2-036.8 1390 1245 48.62% 14.42% 36.96%+0.45 +13.6 10
1936-12-06 Bray Unknowns L 0-244.7 1317 1243 64.86% 14.30% 20.83%+0.85 -22.6 2
1936-12-06 @ Waterford W 2-044.7 1243 1317 20.83% 14.30% 64.86%-0.85 +22.6 7
1936-12-12 Sligo Rovers L 3-459.3 1395 1404 55.68% 14.44% 29.89%+0.36 -9.0 5
1936-12-12 @ Bohemian W 4-359.3 1404 1395 29.89% 14.44% 55.68%-0.36 +9.0 12
1936-12-12 Shelbourne W 3-240.5 1380 1231 71.34% 14.10% 14.57%+1.29 +2.8 8
1936-12-12 @ Shamrock Rovers L 2-340.5 1231 1380 14.57% 14.10% 71.34%-1.29 -2.8 3
1936-12-13 St. James Gate D 0-052.4 1266 1345 46.31% 14.46% 39.22%-0.06 -0.3 8
1936-12-13 @ Bray Unknowns D 0-052.4 1345 1266 39.22% 14.46% 46.31%+0.06 +0.3 4
1936-12-13 Brideville W 1-035.4 1353 1291 63.63% 14.33% 22.04%+0.78 +4.5 5
1936-12-13 @ Dolphin L 0-135.4 1291 1353 22.04% 14.33% 63.63%-0.78 -4.5 4
1936-12-13 Drumconda W 3-137.4 1323 1299 59.49% 14.40% 26.11%+0.55 +8.6 6
1936-12-13 @ Dundalk L 1-337.4 1299 1323 26.11% 14.40% 59.49%-0.55 -8.6 4
1936-12-19 Bohemian W 3-144.6 1228 1386 35.29% 14.40% 50.31%-0.52 +15.4 5
1936-12-19 @ Shelbourne L 1-344.6 1386 1228 50.31% 14.40% 35.29%+0.52 -15.4 5
1936-12-20 Bray Unknowns L 0-145.9 1286 1265 59.19% 14.40% 26.41%+0.53 -11.0 4
1936-12-20 @ Brideville W 1-045.9 1265 1286 26.41% 14.40% 59.19%-0.53 +11.0 10
1936-12-20 Shamrock Rovers W 3-247.2 1360 1383 53.85% 14.45% 31.70%+0.27 +5.6 5
1936-12-20 @ Cork FC L 2-347.2 1383 1360 31.70% 14.45% 53.85%-0.27 -5.6 8
1936-12-20 Waterford L 1-443.9 1290 1295 56.18% 14.43% 29.39%+0.38 -24.1 4
1936-12-20 @ Drumconda W 4-143.9 1295 1290 29.39% 14.43% 56.18%-0.38 +24.1 4
1936-12-20 Dolphin W 9-032.2 1413 1357 62.95% 14.34% 22.71%+0.74 +35.9 14
1936-12-20 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-932.2 1357 1413 22.71% 14.34% 62.95%-0.74 -35.9 5
1936-12-20 Dundalk L 0-243.7 1345 1331 58.38% 14.41% 27.21%+0.49 -20.4 4
1936-12-20 @ St. James Gate W 2-043.7 1331 1345 27.21% 14.41% 58.38%-0.49 +20.4 8
1936-12-26 Brideville W 6-235.8 1319 1275 61.69% 14.37% 23.95%+0.67 +12.4 6
1936-12-26 @ Waterford L 2-635.8 1275 1319 23.95% 14.37% 61.69%-0.67 -12.4 4
1936-12-27 St. James Gate W 1-036.4 1371 1325 61.96% 14.36% 23.68%+0.68 +4.8 7
1936-12-27 @ Bohemian L 0-136.4 1325 1371 23.68% 14.36% 61.96%-0.68 -4.8 4
1936-12-27 Drumconda L 0-145.5 1276 1266 57.94% 14.42% 27.65%+0.47 -10.7 10
1936-12-27 @ Bray Unknowns W 1-045.5 1266 1276 27.65% 14.42% 57.94%-0.47 +10.7 6
1936-12-27 Shelbourne W 2-137.7 1321 1244 65.21% 14.30% 20.49%+0.87 +4.0 7
1936-12-27 @ Dolphin L 1-237.7 1244 1321 20.49% 14.30% 65.21%-0.87 -4.0 5
1936-12-27 Cork FC W 7-237.4 1352 1366 54.98% 14.44% 30.58%+0.33 +18.6 10
1936-12-27 @ Dundalk L 2-737.4 1366 1352 30.58% 14.44% 54.98%-0.33 -18.6 5
1936-12-27 Sligo Rovers L 1-642.1 1377 1448 47.42% 14.46% 38.12%-0.01 -32.6 8
1936-12-27 @ Shamrock Rovers W 6-142.1 1448 1377 38.12% 14.46% 47.42%+0.01 +32.6 16
1936-12-31 Cork FC W 3-139.4 1331 1347 54.75% 14.44% 30.80%+0.32 +10.0 8
1936-12-31 @ Waterford L 1-339.4 1347 1331 30.80% 14.44% 54.75%-0.32 -10.0 5
1937-01-02 Bray Unknowns W 4-136.3 1240 1266 53.46% 14.45% 32.09%+0.26 +14.7 7
1937-01-02 @ Shelbourne L 1-436.3 1266 1240 32.09% 14.45% 53.46%-0.26 -14.7 10
1937-01-03 Shamrock Rovers W 2-037.4 1263 1345 45.95% 14.46% 39.59%-0.07 +14.4 6
1937-01-03 @ Brideville L 0-237.4 1345 1263 39.59% 14.46% 45.95%+0.07 -14.4 8
1937-01-03 Bohemian W 4-244.9 1337 1376 51.84% 14.46% 33.71%+0.18 +9.7 7
1937-01-03 @ Cork FC L 2-444.9 1376 1337 33.71% 14.46% 51.84%-0.18 -9.7 7
1937-01-03 Dolphin D 0-052.4 1277 1325 50.52% 14.46% 35.02%+0.12 -0.8 7
1937-01-03 @ Drumconda D 0-052.4 1325 1277 35.02% 14.46% 50.52%-0.12 +0.8 8
1937-01-03 Dundalk W 2-034.7 1481 1370 68.25% 14.21% 17.54%+1.07 +6.9 18
1937-01-03 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-234.7 1370 1481 17.54% 14.21% 68.25%-1.07 -6.9 10
1937-01-03 Waterford L 2-352.8 1320 1341 54.07% 14.45% 31.48%+0.28 -9.0 4
1937-01-03 @ St. James Gate W 3-252.8 1341 1320 31.48% 14.45% 54.07%-0.28 +9.0 10
1937-01-16 Dolphin W 5-239.1 1366 1326 61.29% 14.37% 24.34%+0.65 +9.9 9
1937-01-16 @ Bohemian L 2-539.1 1326 1366 24.34% 14.37% 61.29%-0.65 -9.9 8
1937-01-16 Shelbourne L 2-548.4 1276 1254 59.30% 14.40% 26.30%+0.54 -22.0 7
1937-01-16 @ Drumconda W 5-248.4 1254 1276 26.30% 14.40% 59.30%-0.54 +22.0 9
1937-01-17 Shamrock Rovers D 0-052.2 1251 1330 46.27% 14.46% 39.26%-0.06 -0.3 11
1937-01-17 @ Bray Unknowns D 0-052.2 1330 1251 39.26% 14.46% 46.27%+0.06 +0.3 9
1937-01-17 Cork FC W 3-244.1 1488 1347 70.74% 14.12% 15.14%+1.25 +2.9 20
1937-01-17 @ Sligo Rovers L 2-344.1 1347 1488 15.14% 14.12% 70.74%-1.25 -2.9 7
1937-01-17 Brideville W 6-028.5 1311 1277 60.61% 14.38% 25.01%+0.61 +26.6 6
1937-01-17 @ St. James Gate L 0-628.5 1277 1311 25.01% 14.38% 60.61%-0.61 -26.7 6
1937-01-23 Drumconda W 3-241.3 1376 1254 69.15% 14.18% 16.67%+1.13 +3.1 11
1937-01-23 @ Bohemian L 2-341.3 1254 1376 16.67% 14.18% 69.15%-1.13 -3.1 7
1937-01-24 Sligo Rovers L 0-529.9 1251 1491 25.22% 14.24% 60.54%-1.01 -22.6 11
1937-01-24 @ Bray Unknowns W 5-029.9 1491 1251 60.54% 14.24% 25.22%+1.01 +22.6 22
1937-01-24 Cork FC W 2-035.7 1316 1344 53.25% 14.45% 32.30%+0.25 +12.1 10
1937-01-24 @ Dolphin L 0-235.7 1344 1316 32.30% 14.45% 53.25%-0.25 -12.0 7
1937-01-24 Brideville W 4-238.9 1363 1251 68.38% 14.21% 17.41%+1.08 +5.3 12
1937-01-24 @ Dundalk L 2-438.9 1251 1363 17.41% 14.21% 68.38%-1.08 -5.3 6
1937-01-24 Shelbourne W 8-232.5 1350 1276 64.83% 14.31% 20.86%+0.85 +15.4 12
1937-01-24 @ Waterford L 2-832.5 1276 1350 20.86% 14.31% 64.83%-0.85 -15.4 9
1937-01-27 St. James Gate D 4-467.0 1331 1338 55.87% 14.43% 29.70%+0.37 -0.6 10
1937-01-27 @ Shamrock Rovers D 4-467.0 1338 1331 29.70% 14.43% 55.87%-0.37 +0.6 7
1937-01-30 Brideville W 2-030.3 1379 1246 70.12% 14.15% 15.74%+1.20 +6.2 13
1937-01-30 @ Bohemian L 0-230.3 1246 1379 15.74% 14.15% 70.12%-1.20 -6.2 6
1937-01-31 Cork FC W 3-142.1 1228 1332 42.82% 14.46% 42.73%-0.20 +13.3 13
1937-01-31 @ Bray Unknowns L 1-342.1 1332 1228 42.73% 14.46% 42.82%+0.20 -13.3 7
1937-01-31 Shelbourne D 2-259.3 1369 1261 67.97% 14.22% 17.80%+1.05 -1.7 13
1937-01-31 @ Dundalk D 2-259.3 1261 1369 17.80% 14.22% 67.97%-1.05 +1.7 10
1937-01-31 Drumconda W 4-239.6 1330 1251 65.33% 14.29% 20.38%+0.88 +6.2 12
1937-01-31 @ Shamrock Rovers L 2-439.6 1251 1330 20.38% 14.29% 65.33%-0.88 -6.2 7
1937-01-31 Dolphin W 4-242.5 1338 1328 57.90% 14.42% 27.68%+0.47 +8.1 9
1937-01-31 @ St. James Gate L 2-442.5 1328 1338 27.68% 14.42% 57.90%-0.47 -8.1 10
1937-01-31 Sligo Rovers W 8-245.6 1366 1513 36.64% 14.42% 48.95%-0.46 +32.8 14
1937-01-31 @ Waterford L 2-845.6 1513 1366 48.95% 14.42% 36.64%+0.46 -32.8 22
1937-02-06 Shelbourne W 2-034.5 1239 1263 53.81% 14.45% 31.75%+0.27 +11.9 8
1937-02-06 @ Brideville L 0-234.5 1263 1239 31.75% 14.45% 53.81%-0.27 -11.9 10
1937-02-13 Bray Unknowns W 4-025.9 1385 1241 70.92% 14.12% 14.96%+1.26 +11.3 15
1937-02-13 @ Bohemian L 0-425.9 1241 1385 14.96% 14.12% 70.92%-1.26 -11.3 13
1937-02-14 St. James Gate W 1-038.7 1318 1346 53.23% 14.45% 32.32%+0.25 +6.4 9
1937-02-14 @ Cork FC L 0-138.7 1346 1318 32.32% 14.45% 53.23%-0.25 -6.4 9
1937-02-14 Dundalk W 2-036.7 1320 1367 50.74% 14.46% 34.80%+0.13 +12.9 12
1937-02-14 @ Dolphin L 0-236.7 1367 1320 34.80% 14.46% 50.74%-0.13 -12.9 13
1937-02-14 Waterford L 1-345.5 1336 1398 48.65% 14.46% 36.89%+0.04 -14.9 12
1937-02-14 @ Shamrock Rovers W 3-145.5 1398 1336 36.89% 14.46% 48.65%-0.04 +14.9 16
1937-02-14 Drumconda L 2-360.3 1481 1245 76.83% 13.76% 9.41%+1.81 -12.8 22
1937-02-14 @ Sligo Rovers W 3-260.3 1245 1481 9.41% 13.76% 76.83%-1.81 +12.8 9
1937-02-20 Cork FC W 6-240.1 1251 1325 47.00% 14.46% 38.54%-0.03 +18.9 12
1937-02-20 @ Shelbourne L 2-640.1 1325 1251 38.54% 14.46% 47.00%+0.03 -18.9 9
1937-02-21 Dolphin W 1-041.0 1230 1333 42.93% 14.46% 42.61%-0.20 +8.1 15
1937-02-21 @ Bray Unknowns L 0-141.0 1333 1230 42.61% 14.46% 42.93%+0.20 -8.1 12
1937-02-21 Shamrock Rovers W 3-137.6 1354 1321 60.52% 14.38% 25.10%+0.60 +8.3 15
1937-02-21 @ Dundalk L 1-337.6 1321 1354 25.10% 14.38% 60.52%-0.60 -8.3 12
1937-02-21 Brideville D 1-154.6 1258 1251 57.51% 14.42% 28.07%+0.45 -1.3 10
1937-02-21 @ Drumconda D 1-154.6 1251 1258 28.07% 14.42% 57.51%-0.45 +1.3 9
1937-02-21 Sligo Rovers L 0-436.0 1340 1468 39.39% 14.44% 46.17%-0.35 -27.2 9
1937-02-21 @ St. James Gate W 4-036.0 1468 1340 46.17% 14.44% 39.39%+0.35 +27.2 24
1937-02-21 Bohemian W 4-350.9 1413 1396 58.72% 14.41% 26.87%+0.51 +4.7 18
1937-02-21 @ Waterford L 3-450.9 1396 1413 26.87% 14.41% 58.72%-0.51 -4.7 15
1937-02-27 St. James Gate L 1-247.1 1270 1313 51.22% 14.46% 34.32%+0.15 -9.0 12
1937-02-27 @ Shelbourne W 2-147.1 1313 1270 34.32% 14.46% 51.22%-0.15 +9.0 11
1937-02-28 Sligo Rovers W 2-151.7 1252 1495 24.96% 14.23% 60.81%-1.03 +10.6 11
1937-02-28 @ Brideville L 1-251.7 1495 1252 60.81% 14.23% 24.96%+1.03 -10.6 24
1937-02-28 Bray Unknowns W 2-030.4 1362 1238 69.36% 14.18% 16.46%+1.15 +6.5 17
1937-02-28 @ Dundalk L 0-230.4 1238 1362 16.46% 14.18% 69.36%-1.15 -6.5 15
1937-02-28 Cork FC W 3-139.8 1256 1306 50.36% 14.46% 35.18%+0.12 +11.2 12
1937-02-28 @ Drumconda L 1-339.8 1306 1256 35.18% 14.46% 50.36%-0.12 -11.2 9
1937-02-28 Dolphin L 0-150.0 1418 1325 66.67% 14.26% 19.07%+0.96 -12.3 18
1937-02-28 @ Waterford W 1-050.0 1325 1418 19.07% 14.26% 66.67%-0.96 +12.4 14
1937-03-06 Dundalk W 2-141.6 1392 1369 59.40% 14.40% 26.20%+0.55 +5.0 17
1937-03-06 @ Bohemian L 1-241.6 1369 1392 26.20% 14.40% 59.40%-0.55 -5.0 17
1937-03-06 Shamrock Rovers D 2-259.4 1337 1313 59.56% 14.40% 26.04%+0.55 -1.1 15
1937-03-06 @ Dolphin D 2-259.4 1313 1337 26.04% 14.40% 59.56%-0.55 +1.1 13
1937-03-06 Drumconda L 1-348.2 1322 1268 62.83% 14.35% 22.82%+0.73 -19.0 11
1937-03-06 @ St. James Gate W 3-148.2 1268 1322 22.82% 14.35% 62.83%-0.73 +19.0 14
1937-03-07 Brideville D 3-363.0 1295 1263 60.41% 14.39% 25.20%+0.60 -1.0 10
1937-03-07 @ Cork FC D 3-363.0 1263 1295 25.20% 14.39% 60.41%-0.60 +1.0 12
1937-03-07 Shelbourne W 2-029.9 1484 1261 76.19% 13.81% 10.00%+1.74 +4.1 26
1937-03-07 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-229.9 1261 1484 10.00% 13.81% 76.19%-1.74 -4.0 12
1937-03-13 Shamrock Rovers W 5-241.7 1257 1314 49.28% 14.46% 36.25%+0.07 +14.1 14
1937-03-13 @ Shelbourne L 2-541.7 1314 1257 36.25% 14.46% 49.28%-0.07 -14.1 13
1937-03-14 Dolphin L 3-454.1 1264 1336 47.28% 14.46% 38.25%-0.02 -7.8 12
1937-03-14 @ Brideville W 4-354.1 1336 1264 38.25% 14.46% 47.28%+0.02 +7.8 17
1937-03-14 Waterford L 2-349.6 1294 1406 41.64% 14.45% 43.91%-0.25 -7.1 10
1937-03-14 @ Cork FC W 3-249.6 1406 1294 43.91% 14.45% 41.64%+0.25 +7.1 20
1937-03-14 Dundalk W 2-037.6 1287 1364 46.57% 14.46% 38.96%-0.05 +14.2 16
1937-03-14 @ Drumconda L 0-237.6 1364 1287 38.96% 14.46% 46.57%+0.05 -14.2 17
1937-03-14 Bohemian L 1-256.7 1488 1397 66.53% 14.26% 19.21%+0.95 -11.6 26
1937-03-14 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-156.7 1397 1488 19.21% 14.26% 66.53%-0.95 +11.6 19
1937-03-14 Bray Unknowns W 6-130.5 1303 1232 64.56% 14.31% 21.13%+0.83 +15.9 13
1937-03-14 @ St. James Gate L 1-630.5 1232 1303 21.13% 14.31% 64.56%-0.83 -15.9 15
1937-03-20 Shelbourne D 2-259.8 1408 1271 70.45% 14.13% 15.41%+1.23 -1.9 20
1937-03-20 @ Bohemian D 2-259.8 1271 1408 15.41% 14.13% 70.45%-1.23 +1.9 15
1937-03-20 Sligo Rovers D 1-158.2 1344 1477 38.68% 14.43% 46.88%-0.38 +0.3 18
1937-03-20 @ Dolphin D 1-158.2 1477 1344 46.88% 14.43% 38.68%+0.38 -0.3 27
1937-03-21 Brideville W 2-035.1 1216 1256 51.58% 14.46% 33.96%+0.17 +12.6 17
1937-03-21 @ Bray Unknowns L 0-235.1 1256 1216 33.96% 14.46% 51.58%-0.17 -12.6 12
1937-03-21 Cork FC W 4-241.8 1300 1287 58.30% 14.41% 27.29%+0.49 +8.0 15
1937-03-21 @ Shamrock Rovers L 2-441.8 1287 1300 27.29% 14.41% 58.30%-0.49 -8.0 10
1937-03-21 Drumconda L 1-253.4 1413 1301 68.34% 14.21% 17.45%+1.07 -11.9 20
1937-03-21 @ Waterford W 2-153.4 1301 1413 17.45% 14.21% 68.34%-1.07 +11.9 18
1937-03-26 St. James Gate D 2-259.6 1350 1319 60.32% 14.39% 25.29%+0.59 -1.2 18
1937-03-26 @ Dundalk D 2-259.6 1319 1350 25.29% 14.39% 60.32%-0.59 +1.2 14
1937-03-26 Waterford L 2-444.6 1244 1401 35.35% 14.40% 50.24%-0.52 -10.1 12
1937-03-26 @ Brideville W 4-244.6 1401 1244 50.24% 14.40% 35.35%+0.52 +10.1 22
1937-03-27 Dolphin W 2-037.1 1273 1344 47.34% 14.46% 38.19%-0.01 +14.0 17
1937-03-27 @ Shelbourne L 0-237.1 1344 1273 38.19% 14.46% 47.34%+0.01 -14.0 18
1937-03-27 Bohemian W 7-240.5 1320 1406 45.26% 14.46% 40.28%-0.10 +23.7 16
1937-03-27 @ St. James Gate L 2-740.5 1406 1320 40.28% 14.46% 45.26%+0.10 -23.7 20
1937-03-28 Dundalk W 2-033.9 1411 1349 63.70% 14.33% 21.97%+0.78 +8.5 24
1937-03-28 @ Waterford L 0-233.9 1349 1411 21.97% 14.33% 63.70%-0.78 -8.5 18
1937-03-28 Bray Unknowns D 2-258.8 1313 1228 65.85% 14.28% 19.87%+0.91 -1.5 19
1937-03-28 @ Drumconda D 2-258.8 1228 1313 19.87% 14.28% 65.85%-0.91 +1.6 18
1937-03-28 Shamrock Rovers W 2-031.7 1476 1308 72.73% 14.03% 13.24%+1.41 +5.3 29
1937-03-28 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-231.7 1308 1476 13.24% 14.03% 72.73%-1.41 -5.3 15
1937-03-29 Dundalk D 2-259.2 1279 1340 48.77% 14.46% 36.77%+0.05 -0.4 11
1937-03-29 @ Cork FC D 2-259.2 1340 1279 36.77% 14.46% 48.77%-0.05 +0.4 19
1937-03-31 Dolphin W 4-031.2 1303 1330 53.26% 14.45% 32.29%+0.25 +22.9 17
1937-03-31 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-431.2 1330 1303 32.29% 14.45% 53.26%-0.25 -22.9 18
1937-04-02 Cork FC L 2-351.0 1234 1278 51.01% 14.46% 34.53%+0.15 -8.5 12
1937-04-02 @ Brideville W 3-251.0 1278 1234 34.53% 14.46% 51.01%-0.15 +8.5 13
1937-04-03 Cork FC L 1-447.8 1383 1287 66.93% 14.25% 18.82%+0.98 -28.6 20
1937-04-03 @ Bohemian W 4-147.8 1287 1383 18.82% 14.25% 66.93%-0.98 +28.6 15
1937-04-04 Shelbourne W 2-142.2 1230 1287 49.42% 14.46% 36.11%+0.08 +6.6 20
1937-04-04 @ Bray Unknowns L 1-242.2 1287 1230 36.11% 14.46% 49.42%-0.08 -6.7 17
1937-04-04 Drumconda L 3-456.9 1307 1311 56.24% 14.43% 29.32%+0.39 -9.1 18
1937-04-04 @ Dolphin W 4-356.9 1311 1307 29.32% 14.43% 56.24%-0.39 +9.1 21
1937-04-04 Sligo Rovers D 1-158.3 1340 1482 37.51% 14.42% 48.06%-0.43 +0.4 20
1937-04-04 @ Dundalk D 1-158.3 1482 1340 48.06% 14.42% 37.51%+0.43 -0.5 30
1937-04-04 Brideville L 0-148.3 1326 1225 67.34% 14.24% 18.42%+1.01 -12.5 17
1937-04-04 @ Shamrock Rovers W 1-048.3 1225 1326 18.42% 14.24% 67.34%-1.01 +12.5 14
1937-04-04 St. James Gate L 2-455.1 1420 1344 65.04% 14.30% 20.66%+0.86 -17.6 24
1937-04-04 @ Waterford W 4-255.1 1344 1420 20.66% 14.30% 65.04%-0.86 +17.6 18
1937-04-07 St. James Gate L 0-241.7 1320 1361 51.54% 14.46% 34.00%+0.17 -18.2 21
1937-04-07 @ Drumconda W 2-041.7 1361 1320 34.00% 14.46% 51.54%-0.17 +18.1 20
1937-04-10 Bohemian L 2-546.3 1298 1354 49.52% 14.46% 36.02%+0.08 -18.6 18
1937-04-10 @ Dolphin W 5-246.3 1354 1298 36.02% 14.46% 49.52%-0.08 +18.6 22
1937-04-10 Drumconda W 5-240.4 1280 1302 53.93% 14.45% 31.62%+0.28 +12.6 19
1937-04-10 @ Shelbourne L 2-540.4 1302 1280 31.62% 14.45% 53.93%-0.28 -12.5 21
1937-04-11 St. James Gate D 2-259.2 1237 1379 37.45% 14.42% 48.12%-0.43 +0.3 15
1937-04-11 @ Brideville D 2-259.2 1379 1237 48.12% 14.42% 37.45%+0.43 -0.3 21
1937-04-11 Sligo Rovers L 3-452.8 1315 1481 34.21% 14.39% 51.39%-0.57 -5.9 15
1937-04-11 @ Cork FC W 4-352.8 1481 1315 51.39% 14.39% 34.21%+0.57 +5.9 32
1937-04-11 Waterford W 2-038.1 1341 1402 48.80% 14.46% 36.74%+0.05 +13.5 22
1937-04-11 @ Dundalk L 0-238.1 1402 1341 36.74% 14.46% 48.80%-0.05 -13.5 24
1937-04-11 Bray Unknowns L 1-348.7 1313 1237 65.09% 14.30% 20.61%+0.86 -19.7 17
1937-04-11 @ Shamrock Rovers W 3-148.7 1237 1313 20.61% 14.30% 65.09%-0.86 +19.7 22
1937-04-14 Bohemian W 3-035.3 1293 1373 46.28% 14.46% 39.26%-0.06 +20.8 19
1937-04-14 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-335.3 1373 1293 39.26% 14.46% 46.28%+0.06 -20.8 22
1937-04-17 Dundalk L 1-244.1 1238 1354 40.99% 14.45% 44.57%-0.28 -7.4 15
1937-04-17 @ Brideville W 2-144.1 1354 1238 44.57% 14.45% 40.99%+0.28 +7.4 24
1937-04-17 Bohemian W 3-247.5 1290 1352 48.64% 14.46% 36.89%+0.04 +6.4 23
1937-04-17 @ Drumconda L 2-347.5 1352 1290 36.89% 14.46% 48.64%-0.04 -6.4 22
1937-04-18 Dolphin W 8-233.6 1310 1280 60.20% 14.39% 25.42%+0.59 +18.5 17
1937-04-18 @ Cork FC L 2-833.6 1280 1310 25.42% 14.39% 60.20%-0.59 -18.5 18
1937-04-18 Bray Unknowns W 3-027.2 1487 1256 76.58% 13.78% 9.64%+1.78 +5.7 34
1937-04-18 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-327.2 1256 1487 9.64% 13.78% 76.58%-1.78 -5.7 22
1937-04-21 Waterford W 7-137.5 1292 1388 43.91% 14.46% 41.63%-0.16 +34.4 21
1937-04-21 @ Shelbourne L 1-737.5 1388 1292 41.63% 14.46% 43.91%+0.16 -34.4 24
1937-04-22 Waterford W 2-144.7 1251 1354 42.85% 14.46% 42.69%-0.20 +7.7 24
1937-04-22 @ Bray Unknowns L 1-244.7 1354 1251 42.69% 14.46% 42.85%+0.20 -7.7 24
1937-04-22 Shamrock Rovers W 7-029.2 1379 1314 63.93% 14.32% 21.75%+0.79 +27.1 23
1937-04-22 @ St. James Gate L 0-729.2 1314 1379 21.75% 14.32% 63.93%-0.79 -27.2 19

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1937-02-14 9.41% Drumconda 1245 3 @ Sligo Rovers 1481 2
2 1936-11-22 13.36% Bray Unknowns 1228 4 @ Dolphin 1394 1
3 1936-11-08 13.59% Bray Unknowns 1214 2 @ Cork FC 1378 1
4 1937-03-21 17.45% Drumconda 1301 2 @ Waterford 1413 1
5 1937-04-04 18.42% Brideville 1225 1 @ Shamrock Rovers 1326 0
6 1937-04-03 18.82% Cork FC 1287 4 @ Bohemian 1383 1
7 1937-02-28 19.07% Dolphin 1325 1 @ Waterford 1418 0
8 1937-03-14 19.21% Bohemian 1397 2 @ Sligo Rovers 1488 1
9 1936-11-29 19.90% Drumconda 1287 2 @ Cork FC 1372 1
10 1937-04-11 20.61% Bray Unknowns 1237 3 @ Shamrock Rovers 1313 1
11 1937-04-04 20.66% St. James Gate 1344 4 @ Waterford 1420 2
12 1936-12-06 20.83% Bray Unknowns 1243 2 @ Waterford 1317 0
13 1936-11-28 21.29% Shamrock Rovers 1356 5 @ Bohemian 1426 2
14 1936-11-29 22.60% Waterford 1307 3 @ Dolphin 1363 2
15 1937-03-06 22.82% Drumconda 1268 3 @ St. James Gate 1322 1
16 1937-02-28 24.96% @ Brideville 1252 2 Sligo Rovers 1495 1
17 1937-01-16 26.30% Shelbourne 1254 5 @ Drumconda 1276 2
18 1936-12-20 26.41% Bray Unknowns 1265 1 @ Brideville 1286 0
19 1936-12-20 27.21% Dundalk 1331 2 @ St. James Gate 1345 0
20 1936-12-27 27.65% Drumconda 1266 1 @ Bray Unknowns 1276 0
21 1936-11-14 29.21% Brideville 1276 2 @ Shelbourne 1273 0
22 1937-04-04 29.32% Drumconda 1311 4 @ Dolphin 1307 3
23 1936-12-20 29.39% Waterford 1295 4 @ Drumconda 1290 1
24 1936-12-12 29.89% Sligo Rovers 1404 4 @ Bohemian 1395 3
25 1936-11-15 30.48% Shamrock Rovers 1335 3 @ Waterford 1322 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1936-12-20 35.91 @ Sligo Rovers 9 1413 62.95% Dolphin 0 1357 22.71% 14.34%
2 1937-04-21 34.44 @ Shelbourne 7 1292 43.91% Waterford 1 1388 41.63% 14.46%
3 1937-01-31 32.84 @ Waterford 8 1366 36.64% Sligo Rovers 2 1513 48.95% 14.42%
4 1936-12-27 32.60 Sligo Rovers 6 1448 38.12% @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1377 47.42% 14.46%
5 1936-11-22 31.12 Bray Unknowns 4 1228 13.36% @ Dolphin 1 1394 72.60% 14.04%
6 1937-04-03 28.62 Cork FC 4 1287 18.82% @ Bohemian 1 1383 66.93% 14.25%
7 1937-02-21 27.19 Sligo Rovers 4 1468 46.17% @ St. James Gate 0 1340 39.39% 14.44%
8 1937-04-22 27.15 @ St. James Gate 7 1379 63.93% Shamrock Rovers 0 1314 21.75% 14.32%
9 1937-01-17 26.65 @ St. James Gate 6 1311 60.61% Brideville 0 1277 25.01% 14.38%
10 1936-12-20 24.10 Waterford 4 1295 29.39% @ Drumconda 1 1290 56.18% 14.43%
11 1936-11-28 23.84 Shamrock Rovers 5 1356 21.29% @ Bohemian 2 1426 64.40% 14.31%
12 1937-03-27 23.67 @ St. James Gate 7 1320 45.26% Bohemian 2 1406 40.28% 14.46%
13 1937-03-31 22.87 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1303 53.26% Dolphin 0 1330 32.29% 14.45%
14 1936-12-06 22.65 Bray Unknowns 2 1243 20.83% @ Waterford 0 1317 64.86% 14.30%
15 1937-01-24 22.55 Sligo Rovers 5 1491 60.54% @ Bray Unknowns 0 1251 25.22% 14.24%
16 1937-01-16 21.98 Shelbourne 5 1254 26.30% @ Drumconda 2 1276 59.30% 14.40%
17 1937-04-14 20.76 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1293 46.28% Bohemian 0 1373 39.26% 14.46%
18 1936-12-20 20.42 Dundalk 2 1331 27.21% @ St. James Gate 0 1345 58.38% 14.41%
19 1936-11-14 19.74 Brideville 2 1276 29.21% @ Shelbourne 0 1273 56.36% 14.43%
20 1937-04-11 19.68 Bray Unknowns 3 1237 20.61% @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1313 65.09% 14.30%
21 1937-03-06 19.00 Drumconda 3 1268 22.82% @ St. James Gate 1 1322 62.83% 14.35%
22 1937-02-20 18.87 @ Shelbourne 6 1251 47.00% Cork FC 2 1325 38.54% 14.46%
23 1936-12-27 18.61 @ Dundalk 7 1352 54.98% Cork FC 2 1366 30.58% 14.44%
24 1937-04-10 18.56 Bohemian 5 1354 36.02% @ Dolphin 2 1298 49.52% 14.46%
25 1937-04-18 18.47 @ Cork FC 8 1310 60.20% Dolphin 2 1280 25.42% 14.39%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1937-01-27 67.0 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1331 55.87% St. James Gate 4 1338 29.70% 14.43%
2 1936-11-07 64.7 @ Dolphin 3 1386 60.96% St. James Gate 3 1350 24.67% 14.38%
3 1936-11-15 63.6 @ Bray Unknowns 3 1227 30.70% Bohemian 3 1420 54.95% 14.35%
4 1937-03-07 63.0 @ Cork FC 3 1295 60.41% Brideville 3 1263 25.20% 14.39%
5 1937-02-14 60.3 Drumconda 3 1245 9.41% @ Sligo Rovers 2 1481 76.83% 13.76%
6 1937-03-20 59.8 @ Bohemian 2 1408 70.45% Shelbourne 2 1271 15.41% 14.13%
7 1937-03-26 59.6 @ Dundalk 2 1350 60.32% St. James Gate 2 1319 25.29% 14.39%
8 1937-03-06 59.4 @ Dolphin 2 1337 59.56% Shamrock Rovers 2 1313 26.04% 14.40%
9 1936-12-12 59.3 Sligo Rovers 4 1404 29.89% @ Bohemian 3 1395 55.68% 14.44%
10 1937-01-31 59.3 @ Dundalk 2 1369 67.97% Shelbourne 2 1261 17.80% 14.22%
11 1937-03-29 59.2 @ Cork FC 2 1279 48.77% Dundalk 2 1340 36.77% 14.46%
12 1937-04-11 59.2 @ Brideville 2 1237 37.45% St. James Gate 2 1379 48.12% 14.42%
13 1937-03-28 58.8 @ Drumconda 2 1313 65.85% Bray Unknowns 2 1228 19.87% 14.28%
14 1937-04-04 58.3 @ Dundalk 1 1340 37.51% Sligo Rovers 1 1482 48.06% 14.42%
15 1937-03-20 58.2 @ Dolphin 1 1344 38.68% Sligo Rovers 1 1477 46.88% 14.43%
16 1936-11-15 57.6 Cork FC 4 1365 30.62% @ St. James Gate 3 1351 54.94% 14.44%
17 1937-04-04 56.9 Drumconda 4 1311 29.32% @ Dolphin 3 1307 56.24% 14.43%
18 1937-03-14 56.7 Bohemian 2 1397 19.21% @ Sligo Rovers 1 1488 66.53% 14.26%
19 1936-11-29 55.6 Waterford 3 1307 22.60% @ Dolphin 2 1363 63.06% 14.34%
20 1936-11-22 55.3 @ Cork FC 1 1374 69.11% Shelbourne 1 1253 16.70% 14.18%
21 1937-04-04 55.1 St. James Gate 4 1344 20.66% @ Waterford 2 1420 65.04% 14.30%
22 1937-02-21 54.6 @ Drumconda 1 1258 57.51% Brideville 1 1251 28.07% 14.42%
23 1937-03-14 54.1 Dolphin 4 1336 38.25% @ Brideville 3 1264 47.28% 14.46%
24 1936-11-08 53.4 Bray Unknowns 2 1214 13.59% @ Cork FC 1 1378 72.36% 14.05%
25 1937-03-21 53.4 Drumconda 2 1301 17.45% @ Waterford 1 1413 68.34% 14.21%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1937-02-13 25.9 @ Bohemian 4 1385 70.92% Bray Unknowns 0 1241 14.96% 14.12%
2 1937-04-18 27.2 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1487 76.58% Bray Unknowns 0 1256 9.64% 13.78%
3 1937-01-17 28.5 @ St. James Gate 6 1311 60.61% Brideville 0 1277 25.01% 14.38%
4 1937-04-22 29.2 @ St. James Gate 7 1379 63.93% Shamrock Rovers 0 1314 21.75% 14.32%
5 1937-01-24 29.9 Sligo Rovers 5 1491 60.54% @ Bray Unknowns 0 1251 25.22% 14.24%
6 1937-03-07 29.9 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1484 76.19% Shelbourne 0 1261 10.00% 13.81%
7 1937-01-30 30.3 @ Bohemian 2 1379 70.12% Brideville 0 1246 15.74% 14.15%
8 1937-02-28 30.4 @ Dundalk 2 1362 69.36% Bray Unknowns 0 1238 16.46% 14.18%
9 1937-03-14 30.5 @ St. James Gate 6 1303 64.56% Bray Unknowns 1 1232 21.13% 14.31%
10 1937-03-31 31.2 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1303 53.26% Dolphin 0 1330 32.29% 14.45%
11 1937-03-28 31.7 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1476 72.73% Shamrock Rovers 0 1308 13.24% 14.03%
12 1936-11-08 32.1 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1342 57.19% Waterford 0 1338 28.38% 14.42%
13 1936-12-20 32.2 @ Sligo Rovers 9 1413 62.95% Dolphin 0 1357 22.71% 14.34%
14 1937-01-24 32.5 @ Waterford 8 1350 64.83% Shelbourne 2 1276 20.86% 14.31%
15 1937-04-18 33.6 @ Cork FC 8 1310 60.20% Dolphin 2 1280 25.42% 14.39%
16 1937-03-28 33.9 @ Waterford 2 1411 63.70% Dundalk 0 1349 21.97% 14.33%
17 1936-11-29 34.0 @ Sligo Rovers 4 1380 65.39% Brideville 1 1301 20.32% 14.29%
18 1937-02-06 34.5 @ Brideville 2 1239 53.81% Shelbourne 0 1263 31.75% 14.45%
19 1936-11-28 34.7 @ St. James Gate 6 1334 65.32% Shelbourne 2 1255 20.38% 14.29%
20 1937-01-03 34.7 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1481 68.25% Dundalk 0 1370 17.54% 14.21%
21 1937-03-21 35.1 @ Bray Unknowns 2 1216 51.58% Brideville 0 1256 33.96% 14.46%
22 1936-11-22 35.2 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1345 60.54% Dundalk 1 1312 25.08% 14.38%
23 1937-04-14 35.3 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1293 46.28% Bohemian 0 1373 39.26% 14.46%
24 1936-12-13 35.4 @ Dolphin 1 1353 63.63% Brideville 0 1291 22.04% 14.33%
25 1937-01-24 35.7 @ Dolphin 2 1316 53.25% Cork FC 0 1344 32.30% 14.45%