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1937-38 League of Ireland Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Shamrock Rovers

32 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Shamrock Rovers

6.47 points above expected

32 points · 25.53 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sligo Rovers

5.34 points below expected

19 points · 24.34 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Shamrock Rovers 22 14 4 4 32 71 47 +24 25.53 +6.47
2 Waterford 22 13 5 4 31 76 40 +36 26.52 +4.48
3 Dundalk 22 13 4 5 30 53 29 +24 25.45 +4.55
4 Brideville 22 12 5 5 29 51 35 +16 24.05 +4.95
5 St. James Gate 22 13 1 8 27 65 40 +25 26.93 +0.07
6 Sligo Rovers 22 7 5 10 19 55 61 -6 24.34 -5.34
7 Shelbourne 22 6 6 10 18 36 47 -11 22.41 -4.41
8 Bray Unknowns 22 8 2 12 18 37 56 -19 17.08 +0.92
9 Bohemian 22 7 3 12 17 55 60 -5 21.29 -4.29
10 Limerick 22 6 5 11 17 34 43 -9 18.49 -1.49
11 Drumconda 22 5 3 14 13 32 67 -35 17.14 -4.14
12 Cork FC 22 6 1 15 13 38 78 -40 14.77 -1.77

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Shamrock Rovers 32 25.53 +6.47
2 Brideville 29 24.05 +4.95
3 Dundalk 30 25.45 +4.55
4 Waterford 31 26.52 +4.48
5 Bray Unknowns 18 17.08 +0.92

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sligo Rovers 19 24.34 -5.34
2 Shelbourne 18 22.41 -4.41
3 Bohemian 17 21.29 -4.29
4 Drumconda 13 17.14 -4.14
5 Cork FC 13 14.77 -1.77

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Brideville 5 Feb 20 – Mar 27 1 in 94
2 Drumconda 2 Apr 3 – Apr 9 1 in 90
3 Dundalk 6 Dec 19 – Jan 23 1 in 52
4 St. James Gate 4 Dec 5 – Dec 27 1 in 29
5 Cork FC 2 Feb 13 – Feb 20 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shelbourne 5 Mar 19 – Apr 12 1 in 454
2 Cork FC 8 Dec 5 – Jan 23 1 in 134
3 Bohemian 5 Dec 18 – Jan 15 1 in 113
4 Drumconda 5 Feb 20 – Mar 27 1 in 40
5 Dundalk 3 Jan 30 – Feb 20 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Waterford 14 Dec 5 – Mar 20 1 in 217
2 Shamrock Rovers 10 Jan 30 – Apr 16 1 in 76
3 Brideville 10 Feb 13 – Apr 24 1 in 65
4 Shelbourne 7 Dec 27 – Feb 19 1 in 36
5 Sligo Rovers 7 Dec 27 – Jan 30 1 in 33

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bohemian 7 Dec 5 – Jan 15 1 in 63
2 Shelbourne 6 Dec 19 – Jan 22 1 in 44
3 Drumconda 10 Jan 9 – Mar 27 1 in 42
4 Dundalk 4 Jan 30 – Mar 6 1 in 23
5 Cork FC 8 Dec 5 – Jan 23 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Shamrock Rovers 1400 32 +3 7 6.5 +0.5
Waterford 1548 31 +44 6 6.4 -0.4
Dundalk 1491 30 +60 9 6.5 +2.5
Brideville 1448 29 +20 7 6.2 +0.8
St. James Gate 1328 27 -123 4 6.9 -2.9
Sligo Rovers 1251 19 -61 3 4.7 -1.7
Bray Unknowns 1161 18 +36 5 2.8 +2.2
Shelbourne 1221 18 -69 2 5.1 -3.1
Bohemian 1279 17 +24 6 5.2 +0.8
Limerick 1194 17 -32 1 3.3 -2.3
Drumconda 1182 13 +94 6 3.8 +2.2
Cork FC 1078 13 +21 4 2.5 +1.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOH BU BRI COR DRU DUN LIM SR SHE SR SJG WAT
Bohemian —
1-0-1
3.34
0-0-2
2.36
2-0-0
3.69
2-0-0
3.15
0-2-0
2.50
1-0-1
3.05
0-0-2
2.00
0-0-2
2.89
1-0-1
2.58
0-0-2
2.32
0-1-1
2.29
Bray Unknowns
1-0-1
2.31
 —
0-0-2
1.91
1-0-1
3.29
1-0-1
2.73
1-1-0
2.27
1-0-1
2.66
1-0-1
1.46
0-0-2
2.47
0-1-1
2.28
1-0-1
1.31
1-0-1
1.03
Brideville
2-0-0
3.29
2-0-0
3.74
 —
2-0-0
3.90
0-1-1
3.25
0-1-1
2.64
1-1-0
3.97
0-2-0
2.71
1-0-1
2.72
2-0-0
2.62
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.35
Cork FC
0-0-2
1.96
1-0-1
2.35
0-0-2
1.75
 —
2-0-0
2.65
0-0-2
1.54
1-0-1
2.00
0-0-2
1.16
2-0-0
2.40
0-1-1
1.91
0-0-2
1.08
0-0-2
2.08
Drumconda
0-0-2
2.50
1-0-1
2.92
1-1-0
2.41
0-0-2
3.00
 —
0-0-2
1.25
0-1-1
2.59
0-0-2
1.41
0-1-1
2.20
1-0-1
1.96
2-0-0
1.35
0-0-2
2.30
Dundalk
0-2-0
3.15
0-1-1
3.39
1-1-0
3.01
2-0-0
4.12
2-0-0
4.41
 —
2-0-0
4.06
2-0-0
2.93
2-0-0
2.90
1-0-1
2.98
0-0-2
3.06
1-0-1
2.80
Limerick
1-0-1
2.60
1-0-1
2.99
0-1-1
1.68
1-0-1
3.65
1-1-0
3.06
0-0-2
1.59
 —
0-0-2
2.30
1-1-0
2.07
0-1-1
2.31
1-0-1
2.15
0-1-1
2.00
Shamrock Rovers
2-0-0
3.65
1-0-1
4.19
0-2-0
2.94
2-0-0
4.50
2-0-0
4.25
0-0-2
2.72
2-0-0
3.35
 —
1-1-0
2.93
2-0-0
2.62
1-0-1
2.67
1-1-0
2.51
Shelbourne
2-0-0
2.76
2-0-0
3.18
1-0-1
2.93
0-0-2
3.26
1-1-0
3.45
0-0-2
2.74
0-1-1
3.58
0-1-1
2.72
 —
0-1-1
2.65
0-1-1
2.16
0-1-1
2.14
Sligo Rovers
1-0-1
3.06
1-1-0
3.37
0-0-2
3.03
1-1-0
3.73
1-0-1
3.69
1-0-1
2.67
1-1-0
3.34
0-0-2
3.02
1-1-0
2.99
 —
0-0-2
2.26
0-1-1
2.28
St. James Gate
2-0-0
3.34
1-0-1
4.34
1-0-1
3.20
2-0-0
4.58
0-0-2
4.32
2-0-0
2.59
1-0-1
3.51
1-0-1
2.98
1-1-0
3.49
2-0-0
3.39
 —
0-0-2
2.48
Waterford
1-1-0
3.35
1-0-1
4.63
1-0-1
3.30
2-0-0
3.59
2-0-0
3.37
1-0-1
2.85
1-1-0
3.64
0-1-1
3.14
1-1-0
3.51
1-1-0
3.38
2-0-0
3.17
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.66 +3.9
Allowed 0.64 -4.0
Differential 0.91 +2.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%2.65%1.89%4.55%1.89%1.14%15.15%
12.65%5.30%3.41%4.92%3.79%5.30%25.38%
21.89%3.41%6.06%4.92%2.27%1.52%20.08%
34.55%4.92%4.92%—1.14%1.14%16.67%
41.89%3.79%2.27%1.14%0.76%1.14%10.98%
5+1.14%5.30%1.52%1.14%1.14%1.52%11.74%
Total15.15%25.38%20.08%16.67%10.98%11.74%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.28 2.28 +0.00
SD 1.82 1.82 2.76
CV 0.80 0.80 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1—4.55%9.09%4.55%—13.64%31.82%
24.55%—9.09%13.64%9.09%—36.36%
3——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
4—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
5+—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
Total4.55%18.18%27.27%22.73%13.64%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 2.73 -0.23
SD 1.71 1.61 2.79
CV 0.68 0.59 —
Max 7 6 +5
Min 1 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——13.64%4.55%4.55%27.27%
14.55%——9.09%4.55%4.55%22.73%
24.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
3—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
4——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total13.64%13.64%13.64%31.82%18.18%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 2.55 -0.86
SD 1.49 1.53 2.42
CV 0.89 0.60 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—————9.09%
1—4.55%9.09%—4.55%—18.18%
2—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
39.09%18.18%9.09%——4.55%40.91%
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+———————
Total22.73%31.82%31.82%4.55%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 1.59 +0.73
SD 1.21 1.59 1.98
CV 0.52 1.00 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%13.64%——18.18%
19.09%—4.55%4.55%13.64%9.09%40.91%
2———4.55%—9.09%13.64%
3——9.09%——4.55%13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+————4.55%4.55%9.09%
Total9.09%4.55%18.18%22.73%18.18%27.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 3.55 -1.82
SD 1.52 2.20 2.48
CV 0.88 0.62 —
Max 5 8 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%27.27%
1—4.55%4.55%—9.09%13.64%31.82%
24.55%—4.55%4.55%—4.55%18.18%
34.55%—9.09%———13.64%
4—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
5+———————
Total13.64%18.18%22.73%9.09%9.09%27.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 3.05 -1.59
SD 1.30 2.52 2.99
CV 0.89 0.83 —
Max 4 8 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%————4.55%13.64%
19.09%4.55%————13.64%
24.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%—27.27%
34.55%9.09%——4.55%—18.18%
413.64%4.55%————18.18%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total40.91%27.27%9.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.41 1.32 +1.09
SD 1.53 1.55 2.31
CV 0.64 1.18 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%—31.82%
1—9.09%—9.09%——18.18%
2—9.09%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
313.64%————4.55%18.18%
4——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
5+———————
Total18.18%27.27%13.64%27.27%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.95 -0.41
SD 1.37 1.46 1.99
CV 0.89 0.75 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0————4.55%—4.55%
14.55%———4.55%4.55%13.64%
2—4.55%13.64%—4.55%—22.73%
39.09%13.64%9.09%———31.82%
4———————
5+—13.64%——9.09%4.55%27.27%
Total13.64%31.82%22.73%—22.73%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.23 2.14 +1.09
SD 2.09 1.64 2.78
CV 0.65 0.77 —
Max 8 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
1—13.64%—9.09%—4.55%27.27%
2—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
4——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
5+—————4.55%4.55%
Total9.09%36.36%18.18%22.73%—13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 2.14 -0.50
SD 1.50 1.61 1.87
CV 0.92 0.75 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———4.55%4.55%—9.09%
14.55%13.64%4.55%9.09%—9.09%40.91%
2——4.55%4.55%—4.55%13.64%
3———————
4—4.55%4.55%——4.55%13.64%
5+—13.64%—4.55%—4.55%22.73%
Total4.55%31.82%13.64%22.73%4.55%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 2.77 -0.27
SD 2.09 2.00 3.07
CV 0.83 0.72 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
1—4.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%—27.27%
24.55%4.55%——4.55%—13.64%
3—9.09%————9.09%
4—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
5+9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
Total13.64%36.36%18.18%18.18%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.95 1.82 +1.14
SD 2.24 1.30 2.95
CV 0.76 0.71 —
Max 8 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%————4.55%
1—4.55%—4.55%4.55%4.55%18.18%
2——13.64%———13.64%
39.09%—9.09%———18.18%
44.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
5+4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
Total18.18%27.27%31.82%9.09%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.45 1.82 +1.64
SD 2.26 1.50 3.09
CV 0.65 0.83 —
Max 8 6 +8
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Waterford 1548 31 26.52 +4.48 92.0% 18 19 24 27 29 32 37
Dundalk 1491 30 25.45 +4.55 94.0% 16 19 23 26 28 31 34
Brideville 1448 29 24.05 +4.95 89.0% 15 16 21 24 27 31 34
Shamrock Rovers 1400 32 25.53 +6.47 96.0% 16 19 23 26 28 31 34
St. James Gate 1328 27 26.93 +0.07 57.0% 18 20 25 27 30 33 34
Bohemian 1279 17 21.29 -4.29 19.0% 12 14 18 22 24 27 31
Sligo Rovers 1251 19 24.34 -5.34 11.0% 12 18 21 24 27 31 33
Shelbourne 1221 18 22.41 -4.41 19.0% 14 17 19 22 25 29 30
Limerick 1194 17 18.49 -1.49 37.0% 11 12 16 19 21 23 25
Drumconda 1182 13 17.14 -4.14 14.0% 9 12 15 17 19 22 25
Bray Unknowns 1161 18 17.08 +0.92 63.0% 4 11 15 17 20 23 25
Cork FC 1078 13 14.77 -1.77 35.0% 6 8 13 15 17 21 24

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+31.82%
Strong Edge
57.58%16.67%25.76%
Elo Value
Home Edge
142 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0114.52400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.90 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.80+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.6
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
15%
Shamrock Rovers, 3rd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.99 * Some Luck: 2.99 to 4.49 * Lucky: 4.49 to 5.99 * Wild Swing: 5.99 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.55 * Close: 1.55 to 2.33 * Off: 2.33 to 3.11 * Way Off: 3.11 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.05 points
Some Luck
03.749
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.33
Pinpoint
01.944
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
96.00%
Shamrock Rovers
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
11.00%
Sligo Rovers
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Even
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 145.76
1.68
Coin-Flip Parity
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
78%
Wide Edge
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
94%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
42%
Few
0%41%100%
Blowouts
Expected
39%
Very Frequent
0%37%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.53
Highly Predictable
00.522
Matchup Imbalance
0.51
Lopsided
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.15
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.17
Weak Carryover
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Chalky
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
As Expected
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.97
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.90
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.082
Well Within Noise
00.1270.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Shamrock Rovers15.00%16.00%18.00%12.00%12.00%12.00%6.00%5.00%—2.00%2.00%—
Waterford27.00%21.00%15.00%11.00%8.00%5.00%4.00%5.00%2.00%2.00%——
Dundalk10.00%21.00%15.00%15.00%10.00%10.00%11.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%——
Brideville11.00%7.00%9.00%17.00%19.00%6.00%12.00%6.00%7.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%
St. James Gate23.00%21.00%14.00%18.00%9.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%——
Sligo Rovers8.00%12.00%9.00%12.00%15.00%14.00%11.00%8.00%7.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%
Shelbourne5.00%1.00%14.00%7.00%10.00%11.00%10.00%15.00%12.00%10.00%4.00%1.00%
Bray Unknowns———1.00%1.00%5.00%5.00%10.00%18.00%20.00%23.00%17.00%
Bohemian1.00%1.00%6.00%6.00%11.00%16.00%19.00%10.00%12.00%8.00%5.00%5.00%
Limerick———1.00%1.00%13.00%12.00%21.00%12.00%17.00%12.00%11.00%
Drumconda————1.00%3.00%5.00%9.00%17.00%17.00%32.00%16.00%
Cork FC————3.00%—3.00%4.00%7.00%17.00%18.00%48.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Bohemian 100%
Bray Unknowns 100%
Brideville 100%
Cork FC 100%
Drumconda 100%
Dundalk 100%
Limerick 100%
Shamrock Rovers 100%
Shelbourne 100%
Sligo Rovers 100%
St. James Gate 100%
Waterford 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1937-11-13 Drumconda W 6-131.3 1305 1288 63.89% 17.55% 18.56%+0.93 +28.6 2
1937-11-13 @ Bohemian L 1-631.3 1288 1305 18.56% 17.55% 63.89%-0.93 -28.6 0
1937-11-14 St. James Gate W 3-138.8 1266 1331 55.29% 17.66% 27.05%+0.35 +17.8 2
1937-11-14 @ Brideville L 1-338.8 1331 1266 27.05% 17.66% 55.29%-0.35 -17.8 0
1937-11-14 Shelbourne W 5-449.5 1300 1299 62.34% 17.58% 20.09%+0.81 +7.2 2
1937-11-14 @ Cork FC L 4-549.5 1299 1300 20.09% 17.58% 62.34%-0.81 -7.2 0
1937-11-14 Sligo Rovers W 4-030.4 1311 1350 58.25% 17.63% 24.12%+0.53 +35.3 2
1937-11-14 @ Dundalk L 0-430.4 1350 1311 24.12% 17.63% 58.25%-0.53 -35.3 0
1937-11-14 Bray Unknowns W 4-240.7 1267 1272 61.80% 17.59% 20.61%+0.77 +12.6 2
1937-11-14 @ Limerick L 2-440.7 1272 1267 20.61% 17.59% 61.80%-0.77 -12.5 0
1937-11-14 Waterford W 6-132.4 1285 1306 60.15% 17.61% 22.24%+0.66 +33.6 2
1937-11-14 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-632.4 1306 1285 22.24% 17.61% 60.15%-0.66 -33.6 0
1937-11-20 Bohemian W 2-140.4 1292 1334 57.96% 17.64% 24.41%+0.51 +9.4 2
1937-11-20 @ Shelbourne L 1-240.4 1334 1292 24.41% 17.64% 57.96%-0.51 -9.4 2
1937-11-21 Cork FC W 5-134.2 1259 1307 57.25% 17.64% 25.11%+0.47 +30.5 2
1937-11-21 @ Bray Unknowns L 1-534.2 1307 1259 25.11% 17.64% 57.25%-0.47 -30.5 2
1937-11-21 Brideville W 3-243.5 1259 1284 59.79% 17.62% 22.60%+0.63 +8.3 2
1937-11-21 @ Drumconda L 2-343.5 1284 1259 22.60% 17.62% 59.79%-0.63 -8.3 2
1937-11-21 Shamrock Rovers L 4-755.2 1315 1318 61.93% 17.58% 20.49%+0.78 -39.8 0
1937-11-21 @ Sligo Rovers W 7-455.2 1318 1315 20.49% 17.58% 61.93%-0.78 +39.8 4
1937-11-21 Dundalk W 5-029.5 1313 1347 58.84% 17.63% 23.54%+0.57 +42.6 2
1937-11-21 @ St. James Gate L 0-529.5 1347 1313 23.54% 17.63% 58.84%-0.57 -42.6 2
1937-11-21 Limerick D 4-465.0 1272 1280 61.50% 17.59% 20.91%+0.75 -1.9 1
1937-11-21 @ Waterford D 4-465.0 1280 1272 20.91% 17.59% 61.50%-0.75 +1.9 3
1937-11-27 Bray Unknowns W 4-346.1 1324 1290 65.38% 17.51% 17.11%+1.05 +6.3 4
1937-11-27 @ Bohemian L 3-446.1 1290 1324 17.11% 17.51% 65.38%-1.05 -6.3 2
1937-11-27 Shelbourne W 3-135.8 1358 1302 67.18% 17.46% 15.36%+1.20 +10.8 6
1937-11-27 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-335.8 1302 1358 15.36% 17.46% 67.18%-1.20 -10.8 2
1937-11-28 Sligo Rovers W 3-242.8 1275 1275 62.28% 17.58% 20.14%+0.81 +7.5 4
1937-11-28 @ Brideville L 2-342.8 1275 1275 20.14% 17.58% 62.28%-0.81 -7.5 0
1937-11-28 Drumconda W 1-035.2 1277 1267 63.16% 17.56% 19.28%+0.87 +8.1 4
1937-11-28 @ Cork FC L 0-135.2 1267 1277 19.28% 17.56% 63.16%-0.87 -8.1 2
1937-11-28 Waterford W 4-133.5 1304 1270 65.32% 17.51% 17.17%+1.04 +16.8 4
1937-11-28 @ Dundalk L 1-433.5 1270 1304 17.17% 17.51% 65.32%-1.04 -16.8 1
1937-11-28 St. James Gate W 2-141.6 1282 1356 54.24% 17.66% 28.10%+0.29 +10.6 5
1937-11-28 @ Limerick L 1-241.6 1356 1282 28.10% 17.66% 54.24%-0.29 -10.6 2
1937-12-04 Brideville W 2-138.6 1291 1283 63.01% 17.56% 19.42%+0.86 +7.7 4
1937-12-04 @ Shelbourne L 1-238.6 1283 1291 19.42% 17.56% 63.01%-0.86 -7.7 4
1937-12-05 Dundalk W 3-244.2 1284 1321 58.45% 17.63% 23.92%+0.54 +8.8 4
1937-12-05 @ Bray Unknowns L 2-344.2 1321 1284 23.92% 17.63% 58.45%-0.54 -8.8 4
1937-12-05 Limerick D 2-257.6 1259 1292 58.88% 17.63% 23.49%+0.57 -2.3 3
1937-12-05 @ Drumconda D 2-257.6 1292 1259 23.49% 17.63% 58.88%-0.57 +2.3 6
1937-12-05 Cork FC W 4-134.8 1268 1285 60.51% 17.61% 21.88%+0.68 +20.9 2
1937-12-05 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-434.8 1285 1268 21.88% 17.61% 60.51%-0.68 -20.9 4
1937-12-05 Shamrock Rovers W 4-136.4 1345 1369 59.88% 17.61% 22.51%+0.64 +21.5 4
1937-12-05 @ St. James Gate L 1-436.4 1369 1345 22.51% 17.61% 59.88%-0.64 -21.5 6
1937-12-05 Bohemian D 2-257.7 1253 1331 53.81% 17.67% 28.52%+0.26 -1.6 2
1937-12-05 @ Waterford D 2-257.7 1331 1253 28.52% 17.67% 53.81%-0.26 +1.6 5
1937-12-11 Dundalk D 2-258.2 1332 1312 64.15% 17.54% 18.31%+0.95 -3.0 6
1937-12-11 @ Bohemian D 2-258.2 1312 1332 18.31% 17.54% 64.15%-0.95 +3.0 5
1937-12-12 Shelbourne L 0-342.8 1292 1299 61.66% 17.59% 20.75%+0.76 -61.5 4
1937-12-12 @ Bray Unknowns W 3-042.8 1299 1292 20.75% 17.59% 61.66%-0.76 +61.5 6
1937-12-12 Cork FC W 4-133.9 1275 1264 63.30% 17.56% 19.14%+0.88 +18.6 6
1937-12-12 @ Brideville L 1-433.9 1264 1275 19.14% 17.56% 63.30%-0.88 -18.6 4
1937-12-12 Waterford L 1-446.9 1257 1252 62.76% 17.57% 19.67%+0.84 -52.8 3
1937-12-12 @ Drumconda W 4-146.9 1252 1257 19.67% 17.57% 62.76%-0.84 +52.8 4
1937-12-12 Shamrock Rovers L 0-341.8 1295 1347 56.73% 17.65% 25.62%+0.44 -56.6 6
1937-12-12 @ Limerick W 3-041.8 1347 1295 25.62% 17.65% 56.73%-0.44 +56.6 8
1937-12-12 St. James Gate L 1-249.5 1288 1366 53.73% 17.67% 28.60%+0.26 -18.5 2
1937-12-12 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-149.5 1366 1288 28.60% 17.67% 53.73%-0.26 +18.5 6
1937-12-18 St. James Gate L 1-348.8 1329 1385 56.37% 17.65% 25.98%+0.41 -33.5 6
1937-12-18 @ Bohemian W 3-148.8 1385 1329 25.98% 17.65% 56.37%-0.41 +33.6 8
1937-12-19 Bray Unknowns W 3-028.4 1294 1231 67.68% 17.44% 14.88%+1.24 +17.5 8
1937-12-19 @ Brideville L 0-328.4 1231 1294 14.88% 17.44% 67.68%-1.24 -17.5 4
1937-12-19 Waterford L 1-841.8 1246 1305 55.99% 17.65% 26.36%+0.39 -101.9 4
1937-12-19 @ Cork FC W 8-141.8 1305 1246 26.36% 17.65% 55.99%-0.39 +101.9 6
1937-12-19 Shelbourne W 3-138.8 1315 1360 57.58% 17.64% 24.78%+0.49 +16.5 7
1937-12-19 @ Dundalk L 1-338.8 1360 1315 24.78% 17.64% 57.58%-0.49 -16.5 6
1937-12-19 Drumconda W 8-127.3 1404 1204 75.69% 16.96% 7.35%+2.20 +16.4 10
1937-12-19 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-827.3 1204 1404 7.35% 16.96% 75.69%-2.20 -16.4 3
1937-12-27 Drumconda W 5-234.8 1332 1188 72.95% 17.19% 9.86%+1.81 +8.7 9
1937-12-27 @ Dundalk L 2-534.8 1188 1332 9.86% 17.19% 72.95%-1.81 -8.7 3
1937-12-27 Bray Unknowns L 2-457.7 1420 1213 76.00% 16.92% 7.07%+2.26 -40.8 10
1937-12-27 @ Shamrock Rovers W 4-257.7 1213 1420 7.07% 16.92% 76.00%-2.26 +40.8 6
1937-12-27 Limerick D 0-051.5 1343 1238 70.67% 17.32% 12.01%+1.54 -6.0 7
1937-12-27 @ Shelbourne D 0-051.5 1238 1343 12.01% 17.32% 70.67%-1.54 +6.0 7
1937-12-27 Bohemian W 6-132.4 1270 1296 59.66% 17.62% 22.72%+0.62 +34.2 4
1937-12-27 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-632.4 1296 1270 22.72% 17.62% 59.66%-0.62 -34.2 6
1937-12-27 Cork FC W 5-233.3 1419 1144 78.50% 16.59% 4.91%+2.73 +4.4 10
1937-12-27 @ St. James Gate L 2-533.3 1144 1419 4.91% 16.59% 78.50%-2.73 -4.4 4
1937-12-27 Brideville W 7-337.0 1406 1311 70.00% 17.35% 12.65%+1.47 +12.7 8
1937-12-27 @ Waterford L 3-737.0 1311 1406 12.65% 17.35% 70.00%-1.47 -12.7 8
1937-12-30 Sligo Rovers D 1-153.8 1244 1304 55.86% 17.65% 26.49%+0.38 -2.5 8
1937-12-30 @ Limerick D 1-153.8 1304 1244 26.49% 17.65% 55.86%-0.38 +2.5 5
1938-01-01 Waterford D 2-259.6 1338 1419 53.29% 17.67% 29.04%+0.23 -1.5 8
1938-01-01 @ Shelbourne D 2-259.6 1419 1338 29.04% 17.67% 53.29%-0.23 +1.5 9
1938-01-02 Sligo Rovers L 1-543.6 1254 1307 56.74% 17.65% 25.61%+0.44 -61.7 6
1938-01-02 @ Bray Unknowns W 5-143.6 1307 1254 25.61% 17.65% 56.74%-0.44 +61.7 7
1938-01-02 Shamrock Rovers D 2-258.5 1299 1379 53.38% 17.67% 28.96%+0.24 -1.5 9
1938-01-02 @ Brideville D 2-258.5 1379 1299 28.96% 17.67% 53.38%-0.24 +1.5 11
1938-01-02 Dundalk L 0-335.0 1139 1340 37.07% 17.62% 45.31%-0.61 -39.0 4
1938-01-02 @ Cork FC W 3-035.0 1340 1139 45.31% 17.62% 37.07%+0.61 +39.0 11
1938-01-02 St. James Gate W 2-042.3 1179 1423 31.39% 17.55% 51.06%-0.91 +35.3 5
1938-01-02 @ Drumconda L 0-242.3 1423 1179 51.06% 17.55% 31.39%+0.91 -35.3 10
1938-01-02 Bohemian W 2-139.1 1242 1262 60.26% 17.61% 22.13%+0.66 +8.6 10
1938-01-02 @ Limerick L 1-239.1 1262 1242 22.13% 17.61% 60.26%-0.66 -8.6 6
1938-01-08 Brideville L 2-354.1 1253 1297 57.67% 17.64% 24.69%+0.49 -18.8 6
1938-01-08 @ Bohemian W 3-254.1 1297 1253 24.69% 17.64% 57.67%-0.49 +18.8 11
1938-01-08 Shelbourne D 1-155.4 1388 1336 66.81% 17.47% 15.72%+1.17 -4.6 11
1938-01-08 @ St. James Gate D 1-155.4 1336 1388 15.72% 17.47% 66.81%-1.17 +4.5 9
1938-01-09 Limerick W 4-026.0 1379 1250 72.13% 17.24% 10.63%+1.71 +16.7 13
1938-01-09 @ Dundalk L 0-426.0 1250 1379 10.63% 17.24% 72.13%-1.71 -16.7 10
1938-01-09 Cork FC W 3-025.0 1381 1100 78.68% 16.55% 4.76%+2.77 +5.9 13
1938-01-09 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-325.0 1100 1381 4.76% 16.55% 78.68%-2.77 -5.9 4
1938-01-09 Drumconda W 7-127.9 1368 1215 73.50% 17.15% 9.35%+1.88 +17.9 9
1938-01-09 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-727.9 1215 1368 9.35% 17.15% 73.50%-1.88 -17.9 5
1938-01-09 Bray Unknowns W 3-026.2 1421 1193 76.86% 16.82% 6.31%+2.41 +7.8 11
1938-01-09 @ Waterford L 0-326.2 1193 1421 6.31% 16.82% 76.86%-2.41 -7.7 6
1938-01-15 Shamrock Rovers L 2-350.4 1234 1387 43.88% 17.66% 38.46%-0.27 -14.7 6
1938-01-15 @ Bohemian W 3-250.4 1387 1234 38.46% 17.66% 43.88%+0.27 +14.7 15
1938-01-15 Shelbourne D 1-153.7 1197 1341 45.12% 17.67% 37.21%-0.21 -0.6 6
1938-01-15 @ Drumconda D 1-153.7 1341 1197 37.21% 17.67% 45.12%+0.21 +0.6 10
1938-01-16 Brideville W 2-138.1 1396 1316 68.96% 17.39% 13.65%+1.37 +5.6 15
1938-01-16 @ Dundalk L 1-238.1 1316 1396 13.65% 17.39% 68.96%-1.37 -5.6 11
1938-01-16 Cork FC W 3-026.5 1233 1094 72.70% 17.20% 10.10%+1.78 +12.2 12
1938-01-16 @ Limerick L 0-326.5 1094 1233 10.10% 17.20% 72.70%-1.78 -12.2 4
1938-01-16 Waterford D 1-157.1 1386 1428 57.89% 17.64% 24.47%+0.51 -2.9 10
1938-01-16 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-157.1 1428 1386 24.47% 17.64% 57.89%-0.51 +2.9 12
1938-01-16 Bray Unknowns W 5-023.8 1383 1185 75.64% 16.96% 7.40%+2.20 +14.6 13
1938-01-16 @ St. James Gate L 0-523.8 1185 1383 7.40% 16.96% 75.64%-2.20 -14.6 6
1938-01-22 Sligo Rovers D 1-155.4 1341 1383 57.90% 17.64% 24.47%+0.51 -2.9 11
1938-01-22 @ Shelbourne D 1-155.4 1383 1341 24.47% 17.64% 57.90%-0.51 +2.9 11
1938-01-23 Drumconda W 2-138.9 1170 1196 59.66% 17.62% 22.72%+0.62 +8.8 8
1938-01-23 @ Bray Unknowns L 1-238.9 1196 1170 22.72% 17.62% 59.66%-0.62 -8.8 6
1938-01-23 Limerick W 3-134.8 1310 1246 67.82% 17.44% 14.75%+1.26 +10.4 13
1938-01-23 @ Brideville L 1-334.8 1246 1310 14.75% 17.44% 67.82%-1.26 -10.4 12
1938-01-23 Bohemian L 2-741.4 1082 1219 46.04% 17.67% 36.29%-0.16 -52.2 4
1938-01-23 @ Cork FC W 7-241.4 1219 1082 36.29% 17.67% 46.04%+0.16 +52.2 8
1938-01-23 Dundalk L 1-548.3 1402 1402 62.26% 17.58% 20.17%+0.80 -67.5 15
1938-01-23 @ Shamrock Rovers W 5-148.3 1402 1402 20.17% 17.58% 62.26%-0.80 +67.5 17
1938-01-23 St. James Gate W 4-243.4 1431 1398 65.31% 17.51% 17.18%+1.04 +10.7 14
1938-01-23 @ Waterford L 2-443.4 1398 1431 17.18% 17.51% 65.31%-1.04 -10.7 13
1938-01-29 Bohemian L 1-443.8 1187 1272 52.94% 17.67% 29.39%+0.21 -44.7 6
1938-01-29 @ Drumconda W 4-143.8 1272 1187 29.39% 17.67% 52.94%-0.21 +44.7 10
1938-01-30 Limerick W 2-034.1 1179 1235 56.31% 17.65% 26.04%+0.41 +19.9 10
1938-01-30 @ Bray Unknowns L 0-234.1 1235 1179 26.04% 17.65% 56.31%-0.41 -19.9 12
1938-01-30 Dundalk W 4-247.8 1386 1469 53.14% 17.67% 29.20%+0.22 +17.0 13
1938-01-30 @ Sligo Rovers L 2-447.8 1469 1386 29.20% 17.67% 53.14%-0.22 -17.0 17
1938-01-30 Brideville W 4-133.9 1387 1321 67.95% 17.43% 14.61%+1.27 +14.5 15
1938-01-30 @ St. James Gate L 1-433.9 1321 1387 14.61% 17.43% 67.95%-1.27 -14.5 13
1938-01-30 Shamrock Rovers D 2-260.1 1442 1334 70.84% 17.31% 11.85%+1.56 -4.0 15
1938-01-30 @ Waterford D 2-260.1 1334 1442 11.85% 17.31% 70.84%-1.56 +4.0 16
1938-02-12 Shelbourne L 2-453.3 1316 1338 60.06% 17.61% 22.33%+0.65 -31.9 10
1938-02-12 @ Bohemian W 4-253.3 1338 1316 22.33% 17.61% 60.06%-0.65 +31.9 13
1938-02-13 Drumconda D 0-051.1 1306 1142 74.01% 17.11% 8.88%+1.95 -6.7 14
1938-02-13 @ Brideville D 0-051.1 1142 1306 8.88% 17.11% 74.01%-1.95 +6.7 7
1938-02-13 Bray Unknowns W 4-139.9 1030 1199 41.58% 17.65% 40.77%-0.38 +35.6 6
1938-02-13 @ Cork FC L 1-439.9 1199 1030 40.77% 17.65% 41.58%+0.38 -35.6 10
1938-02-13 St. James Gate L 3-464.9 1452 1402 66.71% 17.47% 15.81%+1.16 -21.2 17
1938-02-13 @ Dundalk W 4-364.9 1402 1452 15.81% 17.47% 66.71%-1.16 +21.2 17
1938-02-13 Waterford L 0-335.1 1215 1438 34.14% 17.59% 48.27%-0.76 -36.4 12
1938-02-13 @ Limerick W 3-035.1 1438 1215 48.27% 17.59% 34.14%+0.76 +36.4 17
1938-02-13 Sligo Rovers W 3-140.4 1338 1403 55.26% 17.66% 27.08%+0.35 +17.8 18
1938-02-13 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-340.4 1403 1338 27.08% 17.66% 55.26%-0.35 -17.8 13
1938-02-19 Shamrock Rovers D 5-568.6 1370 1356 63.62% 17.55% 18.83%+0.91 -1.9 14
1938-02-19 @ Shelbourne D 5-568.6 1356 1370 18.83% 17.55% 63.62%-0.91 +1.9 19
1938-02-20 Bohemian W 4-350.5 1163 1284 48.23% 17.68% 34.10%-0.05 +11.6 12
1938-02-20 @ Bray Unknowns L 3-450.5 1284 1163 34.10% 17.68% 48.23%+0.05 -11.6 10
1938-02-20 Cork FC L 0-149.5 1149 1066 69.20% 17.38% 13.41%+1.39 -25.3 7
1938-02-20 @ Drumconda W 1-049.5 1066 1149 13.41% 17.38% 69.20%-1.39 +25.3 8
1938-02-20 Brideville L 1-352.2 1385 1299 69.37% 17.38% 13.25%+1.41 -41.4 13
1938-02-20 @ Sligo Rovers W 3-152.2 1299 1385 13.25% 17.38% 69.37%-1.41 +41.4 16
1938-02-20 Limerick W 3-132.2 1423 1179 77.45% 16.75% 5.81%+2.52 +4.2 19
1938-02-20 @ St. James Gate L 1-332.2 1179 1423 5.81% 16.75% 77.45%-2.52 -4.2 12
1938-02-20 Dundalk W 3-247.5 1474 1431 66.14% 17.49% 16.37%+1.11 +6.2 19
1938-02-20 @ Waterford L 2-347.5 1431 1474 16.37% 17.49% 66.14%-1.11 -6.2 17
1938-03-05 Waterford L 2-349.6 1273 1481 36.14% 17.61% 46.25%-0.65 -12.5 10
1938-03-05 @ Bohemian W 3-249.6 1481 1273 46.25% 17.61% 36.14%+0.65 +12.5 21
1938-03-05 Shelbourne W 3-032.4 1341 1368 59.47% 17.62% 22.91%+0.61 +25.8 18
1938-03-05 @ Brideville L 0-332.4 1368 1341 22.91% 17.62% 59.47%-0.61 -25.8 14
1938-03-06 Sligo Rovers D 5-566.6 1091 1344 30.21% 17.53% 52.26%-0.97 +0.9 9
1938-03-06 @ Cork FC D 5-566.6 1344 1091 52.26% 17.53% 30.21%+0.97 -0.9 14
1938-03-06 Bray Unknowns D 0-051.8 1425 1175 77.65% 16.72% 5.63%+2.56 -7.5 18
1938-03-06 @ Dundalk D 0-051.8 1175 1425 5.63% 16.72% 77.65%-2.56 +7.5 13
1938-03-06 Drumconda W 3-028.3 1175 1124 66.74% 17.47% 15.79%+1.16 +18.5 14
1938-03-06 @ Limerick L 0-328.3 1124 1175 15.79% 17.47% 66.74%-1.16 -18.5 7
1938-03-06 St. James Gate W 2-143.6 1358 1427 54.78% 17.66% 27.56%+0.32 +10.5 21
1938-03-06 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-243.6 1427 1358 27.56% 17.66% 54.78%-0.32 -10.5 19
1938-03-12 Bray Unknowns W 3-132.9 1342 1183 73.82% 17.12% 9.05%+1.93 +6.5 16
1938-03-12 @ Shelbourne L 1-332.9 1183 1342 9.05% 17.12% 73.82%-1.93 -6.5 13
1938-03-13 Brideville L 1-240.5 1092 1367 27.58% 17.48% 54.94%-1.13 -10.4 9
1938-03-13 @ Cork FC W 2-140.5 1367 1092 54.94% 17.48% 27.58%+1.13 +10.4 20
1938-03-13 Drumconda W 8-023.7 1493 1105 81.42% 15.91% 2.67%+3.53 +8.2 23
1938-03-13 @ Waterford L 0-823.7 1105 1493 2.67% 15.91% 81.42%-3.53 -8.2 7
1938-03-19 Dundalk L 0-148.2 1349 1417 54.93% 17.66% 27.41%+0.33 -20.0 16
1938-03-19 @ Shelbourne W 1-048.2 1417 1349 27.41% 17.66% 54.93%-0.33 +20.0 20
1938-03-19 Bohemian W 5-130.1 1417 1260 73.63% 17.14% 9.23%+1.90 +12.2 21
1938-03-19 @ St. James Gate L 1-530.1 1260 1417 9.23% 17.14% 73.63%-1.90 -12.2 10
1938-03-20 Bohemian D 1-155.0 1437 1248 75.22% 17.00% 7.78%+2.13 -6.2 21
1938-03-20 @ Dundalk D 1-155.0 1248 1437 7.78% 17.00% 75.22%-2.13 +6.2 11
1938-03-20 Brideville L 0-433.5 1176 1377 37.05% 17.62% 45.33%-0.61 -50.9 13
1938-03-20 @ Bray Unknowns W 4-033.5 1377 1176 45.33% 17.62% 37.05%+0.61 +50.9 22
1938-03-20 Shamrock Rovers L 4-551.3 1097 1368 28.03% 17.49% 54.48%-1.10 -9.7 7
1938-03-20 @ Drumconda W 5-451.3 1368 1097 54.48% 17.49% 28.03%+1.10 +9.7 23
1938-03-20 Limerick W 5-340.5 1343 1193 73.29% 17.16% 9.54%+1.86 +5.8 16
1938-03-20 @ Sligo Rovers L 3-540.5 1193 1343 9.54% 17.16% 73.29%-1.86 -5.8 14
1938-03-20 Cork FC W 4-128.5 1501 1081 82.07% 15.70% 2.24%+3.75 +2.3 25
1938-03-20 @ Waterford L 1-428.5 1081 1501 2.24% 15.70% 82.07%-3.75 -2.3 9
1938-03-26 Sligo Rovers W 5-136.1 1254 1349 51.68% 17.67% 30.64%+0.14 +36.2 13
1938-03-26 @ Bohemian L 1-536.1 1349 1254 30.64% 17.67% 51.68%-0.14 -36.2 16
1938-03-27 Shamrock Rovers L 1-339.3 1125 1378 30.24% 17.53% 52.22%-0.97 -19.6 13
1938-03-27 @ Bray Unknowns W 3-139.3 1378 1125 52.22% 17.53% 30.24%+0.97 +19.6 25
1938-03-27 Waterford W 3-145.8 1428 1504 54.02% 17.66% 28.31%+0.27 +18.5 24
1938-03-27 @ Brideville L 1-345.8 1504 1428 28.31% 17.66% 54.02%-0.27 -18.5 25
1938-03-27 St. James Gate L 3-835.2 1079 1429 19.71% 17.27% 63.02%-1.65 -22.7 9
1938-03-27 @ Cork FC W 8-335.2 1429 1079 63.02% 17.27% 19.71%+1.65 +22.7 23
1938-03-27 Dundalk L 0-232.5 1088 1431 20.30% 17.29% 62.41%-1.61 -15.9 7
1938-03-27 @ Drumconda W 2-032.5 1431 1088 62.41% 17.29% 20.30%+1.61 +15.9 23
1938-03-27 Shelbourne W 3-035.1 1187 1329 45.44% 17.67% 36.89%-0.19 +38.9 16
1938-03-27 @ Limerick L 0-335.1 1329 1187 36.89% 17.67% 45.44%+0.19 -38.9 16
1938-03-30 Sligo Rovers W 7-130.2 1451 1313 72.68% 17.20% 10.11%+1.78 +19.3 25
1938-03-30 @ St. James Gate L 1-730.2 1313 1451 10.11% 17.20% 72.68%-1.78 -19.3 16
1938-04-02 Cork FC L 2-359.1 1290 1056 77.08% 16.80% 6.13%+2.44 -25.3 16
1938-04-02 @ Shelbourne W 3-259.1 1056 1290 6.13% 16.80% 77.08%-2.44 +25.3 11
1938-04-02 Limerick W 3-241.0 1291 1226 67.80% 17.44% 14.77%+1.26 +5.7 15
1938-04-02 @ Bohemian L 2-341.0 1226 1291 14.77% 17.44% 67.80%-1.26 -5.7 16
1938-04-03 Cork FC W 3-130.8 1447 1082 80.93% 16.06% 3.02%+3.37 +2.2 25
1938-04-03 @ Dundalk L 1-330.8 1082 1447 3.02% 16.06% 80.93%-3.37 -2.2 11
1938-04-03 Brideville D 2-261.6 1397 1446 57.12% 17.64% 25.24%+0.46 -2.0 26
1938-04-03 @ Shamrock Rovers D 2-261.6 1446 1397 25.24% 17.64% 57.12%-0.46 +2.0 25
1938-04-03 Bray Unknowns D 2-257.3 1293 1105 75.18% 17.01% 7.81%+2.12 -4.6 17
1938-04-03 @ Sligo Rovers D 2-257.3 1105 1293 7.81% 17.01% 75.18%-2.12 +4.6 14
1938-04-03 Drumconda L 1-452.2 1471 1072 81.66% 15.84% 2.50%+3.61 -69.2 25
1938-04-03 @ St. James Gate W 4-152.2 1072 1471 2.50% 15.84% 81.66%-3.61 +69.2 9
1938-04-03 Shelbourne W 6-129.2 1485 1265 76.56% 16.86% 6.58%+2.35 +10.8 27
1938-04-03 @ Waterford L 1-629.2 1265 1485 6.58% 16.86% 76.56%-2.35 -10.8 16
1938-04-06 Limerick W 1-032.2 1395 1221 74.56% 17.06% 8.38%+2.03 +3.7 28
1938-04-06 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-132.2 1221 1395 8.38% 17.06% 74.56%-2.03 -3.7 16
1938-04-09 Bohemian W 4-239.2 1449 1296 73.42% 17.15% 9.43%+1.87 +6.1 27
1938-04-09 @ Brideville L 2-439.2 1296 1449 9.43% 17.15% 73.42%-1.87 -6.1 15
1938-04-09 Sligo Rovers W 3-035.1 1141 1289 44.54% 17.67% 37.79%-0.24 +39.7 11
1938-04-09 @ Drumconda L 0-335.1 1289 1141 37.79% 17.67% 44.54%+0.24 -39.7 17
1938-04-10 Waterford W 1-049.5 1110 1496 16.60% 17.14% 66.26%-1.90 +24.1 16
1938-04-10 @ Bray Unknowns L 0-149.5 1496 1110 66.26% 17.14% 16.60%+1.90 -24.1 27
1938-04-10 Shamrock Rovers L 2-343.2 1080 1399 22.65% 17.36% 59.99%-1.44 -8.3 11
1938-04-10 @ Cork FC W 3-243.2 1399 1080 59.99% 17.36% 22.65%+1.44 +8.3 30
1938-04-12 St. James Gate L 0-240.8 1254 1401 44.61% 17.67% 37.72%-0.23 -31.3 16
1938-04-12 @ Shelbourne W 2-040.8 1401 1254 37.72% 17.67% 44.61%+0.23 +31.4 27
1938-04-16 Bohemian W 6-130.0 1407 1290 71.42% 17.28% 11.30%+1.63 +18.1 32
1938-04-16 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-630.0 1290 1407 11.30% 17.28% 71.42%-1.63 -18.1 15
1938-04-16 Drumconda W 3-241.2 1223 1180 66.04% 17.49% 16.47%+1.10 +6.3 18
1938-04-16 @ Shelbourne L 2-341.2 1180 1223 16.47% 17.49% 66.04%-1.10 -6.3 11
1938-04-17 St. James Gate W 3-147.8 1134 1433 24.86% 17.42% 57.71%-1.29 +34.3 18
1938-04-17 @ Bray Unknowns L 1-347.8 1433 1134 57.71% 17.42% 24.86%+1.29 -34.3 27
1938-04-17 Dundalk D 0-057.1 1455 1449 62.79% 17.57% 19.64%+0.84 -4.2 28
1938-04-17 @ Brideville D 0-057.1 1449 1455 19.64% 17.57% 62.79%-0.84 +4.2 26
1938-04-17 Sligo Rovers W 5-235.3 1472 1249 76.65% 16.85% 6.50%+2.37 +5.8 29
1938-04-17 @ Waterford L 2-535.3 1249 1472 6.50% 16.85% 76.65%-2.37 -5.8 17
1938-04-18 Limerick W 3-247.4 1071 1217 44.87% 17.67% 37.46%-0.22 +12.8 13
1938-04-18 @ Cork FC L 2-347.4 1217 1071 37.46% 17.67% 44.87%+0.22 -12.9 16
1938-04-21 Dundalk L 0-139.4 1204 1453 30.69% 17.54% 51.77%-0.95 -12.1 16
1938-04-21 @ Limerick W 1-039.4 1453 1204 51.77% 17.54% 30.69%+0.95 +12.1 28
1938-04-23 Cork FC W 2-028.3 1272 1084 75.18% 17.01% 7.81%+2.12 +6.6 17
1938-04-23 @ Bohemian L 0-228.3 1084 1272 7.81% 17.01% 75.18%-2.12 -6.6 13
1938-04-24 Shamrock Rovers W 4-032.8 1465 1425 65.84% 17.50% 16.66%+1.08 +25.4 30
1938-04-24 @ Dundalk L 0-432.8 1425 1465 16.66% 17.50% 65.84%-1.08 -25.4 32
1938-04-24 Bray Unknowns W 3-242.1 1174 1168 62.81% 17.57% 19.63%+0.84 +7.4 13
1938-04-24 @ Drumconda L 2-342.1 1168 1174 19.63% 17.57% 62.81%-0.84 -7.4 18
1938-04-24 Brideville D 1-154.4 1192 1450 29.54% 17.52% 52.94%-1.01 +2.0 17
1938-04-24 @ Limerick D 1-154.4 1450 1192 52.94% 17.52% 29.54%+1.01 -2.0 29
1938-04-24 Shelbourne W 1-034.8 1243 1229 63.61% 17.55% 18.84%+0.91 +7.9 19
1938-04-24 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-134.8 1229 1243 18.84% 17.55% 63.61%-0.91 -7.9 18
1938-04-24 Waterford L 0-443.5 1399 1478 53.62% 17.67% 28.72%+0.25 -70.1 27
1938-04-24 @ St. James Gate W 4-043.5 1478 1399 28.72% 17.67% 53.62%-0.25 +70.1 31

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1938-04-03 2.50% Drumconda 1072 4 @ St. James Gate 1471 1
2 1938-04-02 6.13% Cork FC 1056 3 @ Shelbourne 1290 2
3 1937-12-27 7.07% Bray Unknowns 1213 4 @ Shamrock Rovers 1420 2
4 1938-02-20 13.25% Brideville 1299 3 @ Sligo Rovers 1385 1
5 1938-02-20 13.41% Cork FC 1066 1 @ Drumconda 1149 0
6 1938-02-13 15.81% St. James Gate 1402 4 @ Dundalk 1452 3
7 1938-04-10 16.60% @ Bray Unknowns 1110 1 Waterford 1496 0
8 1937-12-12 19.67% Waterford 1252 4 @ Drumconda 1257 1
9 1938-01-23 20.17% Dundalk 1402 5 @ Shamrock Rovers 1402 1
10 1937-11-21 20.49% Shamrock Rovers 1318 7 @ Sligo Rovers 1315 4
11 1937-12-12 20.75% Shelbourne 1299 3 @ Bray Unknowns 1292 0
12 1938-02-12 22.33% Shelbourne 1338 4 @ Bohemian 1316 2
13 1938-01-08 24.69% Brideville 1297 3 @ Bohemian 1253 2
14 1938-04-17 24.86% @ Bray Unknowns 1134 3 St. James Gate 1433 1
15 1938-01-02 25.61% Sligo Rovers 1307 5 @ Bray Unknowns 1254 1
16 1937-12-12 25.62% Shamrock Rovers 1347 3 @ Limerick 1295 0
17 1937-12-18 25.98% St. James Gate 1385 3 @ Bohemian 1329 1
18 1937-12-19 26.36% Waterford 1305 8 @ Cork FC 1246 1
19 1938-03-19 27.41% Dundalk 1417 1 @ Shelbourne 1349 0
20 1937-12-12 28.60% St. James Gate 1366 2 @ Sligo Rovers 1288 1
21 1938-04-24 28.72% Waterford 1478 4 @ St. James Gate 1399 0
22 1938-01-29 29.39% Bohemian 1272 4 @ Drumconda 1187 1
23 1938-01-02 31.39% @ Drumconda 1179 2 St. James Gate 1423 0
24 1938-01-23 36.29% Bohemian 1219 7 @ Cork FC 1082 2
25 1938-04-12 37.72% St. James Gate 1401 2 @ Shelbourne 1254 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1937-12-19 101.87 Waterford 8 1305 26.36% @ Cork FC 1 1246 55.99% 17.65%
2 1938-04-24 70.12 Waterford 4 1478 28.72% @ St. James Gate 0 1399 53.62% 17.67%
3 1938-04-03 69.20 Drumconda 4 1072 2.50% @ St. James Gate 1 1471 81.66% 15.84%
4 1938-01-23 67.55 Dundalk 5 1402 20.17% @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1402 62.26% 17.58%
5 1938-01-02 61.66 Sligo Rovers 5 1307 25.61% @ Bray Unknowns 1 1254 56.74% 17.65%
6 1937-12-12 61.45 Shelbourne 3 1299 20.75% @ Bray Unknowns 0 1292 61.66% 17.59%
7 1937-12-12 56.63 Shamrock Rovers 3 1347 25.62% @ Limerick 0 1295 56.73% 17.65%
8 1937-12-12 52.76 Waterford 4 1252 19.67% @ Drumconda 1 1257 62.76% 17.57%
9 1938-01-23 52.20 Bohemian 7 1219 36.29% @ Cork FC 2 1082 46.04% 17.67%
10 1938-03-20 50.92 Brideville 4 1377 45.33% @ Bray Unknowns 0 1176 37.05% 17.62%
11 1938-01-29 44.73 Bohemian 4 1272 29.39% @ Drumconda 1 1187 52.94% 17.67%
12 1937-11-21 42.62 @ St. James Gate 5 1313 58.84% Dundalk 0 1347 23.54% 17.63%
13 1938-02-20 41.38 Brideville 3 1299 13.25% @ Sligo Rovers 1 1385 69.37% 17.38%
14 1937-12-27 40.79 Bray Unknowns 4 1213 7.07% @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1420 76.00% 16.92%
15 1937-11-21 39.75 Shamrock Rovers 7 1318 20.49% @ Sligo Rovers 4 1315 61.93% 17.58%
16 1938-04-09 39.66 @ Drumconda 3 1141 44.54% Sligo Rovers 0 1289 37.79% 17.67%
17 1938-01-02 39.00 Dundalk 3 1340 45.31% @ Cork FC 0 1139 37.07% 17.62%
18 1938-03-27 38.87 @ Limerick 3 1187 45.44% Shelbourne 0 1329 36.89% 17.67%
19 1938-02-13 36.39 Waterford 3 1438 48.27% @ Limerick 0 1215 34.14% 17.59%
20 1938-03-26 36.20 @ Bohemian 5 1254 51.68% Sligo Rovers 1 1349 30.64% 17.67%
21 1938-02-13 35.60 @ Cork FC 4 1030 41.58% Bray Unknowns 1 1199 40.77% 17.65%
22 1937-11-14 35.32 @ Dundalk 4 1311 58.25% Sligo Rovers 0 1350 24.12% 17.63%
23 1938-01-02 35.29 @ Drumconda 2 1179 31.39% St. James Gate 0 1423 51.06% 17.55%
24 1938-04-17 34.26 @ Bray Unknowns 3 1134 24.86% St. James Gate 1 1433 57.71% 17.42%
25 1937-12-27 34.22 @ Sligo Rovers 6 1270 59.66% Bohemian 1 1296 22.72% 17.62%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1938-02-19 68.6 @ Shelbourne 5 1370 63.62% Shamrock Rovers 5 1356 18.83% 17.55%
2 1938-03-06 66.6 @ Cork FC 5 1091 30.21% Sligo Rovers 5 1344 52.26% 17.53%
3 1937-11-21 65.0 @ Waterford 4 1272 61.50% Limerick 4 1280 20.91% 17.59%
4 1938-02-13 64.9 St. James Gate 4 1402 15.81% @ Dundalk 3 1452 66.71% 17.47%
5 1938-04-03 61.6 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1397 57.12% Brideville 2 1446 25.24% 17.64%
6 1938-01-30 60.1 @ Waterford 2 1442 70.84% Shamrock Rovers 2 1334 11.85% 17.31%
7 1938-01-01 59.6 @ Shelbourne 2 1338 53.29% Waterford 2 1419 29.04% 17.67%
8 1938-04-02 59.1 Cork FC 3 1056 6.13% @ Shelbourne 2 1290 77.08% 16.80%
9 1938-01-02 58.5 @ Brideville 2 1299 53.38% Shamrock Rovers 2 1379 28.96% 17.67%
10 1937-12-11 58.2 @ Bohemian 2 1332 64.15% Dundalk 2 1312 18.31% 17.54%
11 1937-12-05 57.7 @ Waterford 2 1253 53.81% Bohemian 2 1331 28.52% 17.67%
12 1937-12-27 57.7 Bray Unknowns 4 1213 7.07% @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1420 76.00% 16.92%
13 1937-12-05 57.6 @ Drumconda 2 1259 58.88% Limerick 2 1292 23.49% 17.63%
14 1938-04-03 57.3 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1293 75.18% Bray Unknowns 2 1105 7.81% 17.01%
15 1938-01-16 57.1 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1386 57.89% Waterford 1 1428 24.47% 17.64%
16 1938-04-17 57.1 @ Brideville 0 1455 62.79% Dundalk 0 1449 19.64% 17.57%
17 1938-01-08 55.4 @ St. James Gate 1 1388 66.81% Shelbourne 1 1336 15.72% 17.47%
18 1938-01-22 55.4 @ Shelbourne 1 1341 57.90% Sligo Rovers 1 1383 24.47% 17.64%
19 1937-11-21 55.2 Shamrock Rovers 7 1318 20.49% @ Sligo Rovers 4 1315 61.93% 17.58%
20 1938-03-20 55.0 @ Dundalk 1 1437 75.22% Bohemian 1 1248 7.78% 17.00%
21 1938-04-24 54.4 @ Limerick 1 1192 29.54% Brideville 1 1450 52.94% 17.52%
22 1938-01-08 54.1 Brideville 3 1297 24.69% @ Bohemian 2 1253 57.67% 17.64%
23 1937-12-30 53.8 @ Limerick 1 1244 55.86% Sligo Rovers 1 1304 26.49% 17.65%
24 1938-01-15 53.7 @ Drumconda 1 1197 45.12% Shelbourne 1 1341 37.21% 17.67%
25 1938-02-12 53.3 Shelbourne 4 1338 22.33% @ Bohemian 2 1316 60.06% 17.61%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1938-03-13 23.7 @ Waterford 8 1493 81.42% Drumconda 0 1105 2.67% 15.91%
2 1938-01-16 23.8 @ St. James Gate 5 1383 75.64% Bray Unknowns 0 1185 7.40% 16.96%
3 1938-01-09 25.0 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1381 78.68% Cork FC 0 1100 4.76% 16.55%
4 1938-01-09 26.0 @ Dundalk 4 1379 72.13% Limerick 0 1250 10.63% 17.24%
5 1938-01-09 26.2 @ Waterford 3 1421 76.86% Bray Unknowns 0 1193 6.31% 16.82%
6 1938-01-16 26.5 @ Limerick 3 1233 72.70% Cork FC 0 1094 10.10% 17.20%
7 1937-12-19 27.3 @ Shamrock Rovers 8 1404 75.69% Drumconda 1 1204 7.35% 16.96%
8 1938-01-09 27.9 @ Sligo Rovers 7 1368 73.50% Drumconda 1 1215 9.35% 17.15%
9 1938-03-06 28.3 @ Limerick 3 1175 66.74% Drumconda 0 1124 15.79% 17.47%
10 1938-04-23 28.3 @ Bohemian 2 1272 75.18% Cork FC 0 1084 7.81% 17.01%
11 1937-12-19 28.4 @ Brideville 3 1294 67.68% Bray Unknowns 0 1231 14.88% 17.44%
12 1938-03-20 28.5 @ Waterford 4 1501 82.07% Cork FC 1 1081 2.24% 15.70%
13 1938-04-03 29.2 @ Waterford 6 1485 76.56% Shelbourne 1 1265 6.58% 16.86%
14 1937-11-21 29.5 @ St. James Gate 5 1313 58.84% Dundalk 0 1347 23.54% 17.63%
15 1938-04-16 30.0 @ Shamrock Rovers 6 1407 71.42% Bohemian 1 1290 11.30% 17.28%
16 1938-03-19 30.1 @ St. James Gate 5 1417 73.63% Bohemian 1 1260 9.23% 17.14%
17 1938-03-30 30.2 @ St. James Gate 7 1451 72.68% Sligo Rovers 1 1313 10.11% 17.20%
18 1937-11-14 30.4 @ Dundalk 4 1311 58.25% Sligo Rovers 0 1350 24.12% 17.63%
19 1938-04-03 30.8 @ Dundalk 3 1447 80.93% Cork FC 1 1082 3.02% 16.06%
20 1937-11-13 31.3 @ Bohemian 6 1305 63.89% Drumconda 1 1288 18.56% 17.55%
21 1938-02-20 32.2 @ St. James Gate 3 1423 77.45% Limerick 1 1179 5.81% 16.75%
22 1938-04-06 32.2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1395 74.56% Limerick 0 1221 8.38% 17.06%
23 1937-11-14 32.4 @ Shamrock Rovers 6 1285 60.15% Waterford 1 1306 22.24% 17.61%
24 1937-12-27 32.4 @ Sligo Rovers 6 1270 59.66% Bohemian 1 1296 22.72% 17.62%
25 1938-03-05 32.4 @ Brideville 3 1341 59.47% Shelbourne 0 1368 22.91% 17.62%