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1943-44 League of Ireland Season

56 games

Final

Champion

Shelbourne

21 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Limerick

6.20 points above expected

20 points · 13.80 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

St. James Gate

6.31 points below expected

3 points · 9.31 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Shelbourne 14 9 3 2 21 32 22 +10 15.70 +5.30
2 Limerick 14 8 4 2 20 34 19 +15 13.80 +6.20
3 Shamrock Rovers 14 5 5 4 15 38 27 +11 16.97 -1.97
4 Dundalk 14 6 3 5 15 21 19 +2 14.58 +0.42
5 Cork United 14 6 2 6 14 36 28 +8 16.59 -2.59
6 Drumconda 14 6 2 6 14 24 28 -4 12.71 +1.29
7 Bohemian 14 4 2 8 10 25 32 -7 12.34 -2.34
8 St. James Gate 14 1 1 12 3 12 47 -35 9.31 -6.31

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Limerick 20 13.80 +6.20
2 Shelbourne 21 15.70 +5.30
3 Drumconda 14 12.71 +1.29
4 Dundalk 15 14.58 +0.42
5 Shamrock Rovers 15 16.97 -1.97

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 St. James Gate 3 9.31 -6.31
2 Cork United 14 16.59 -2.59
3 Bohemian 10 12.34 -2.34
4 Shamrock Rovers 15 16.97 -1.97
5 Dundalk 15 14.58 +0.42

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shelbourne 4 Feb 12 – Mar 18 1 in 6
2 Drumconda 3 Feb 20 – Mar 19 1 in 6
3 Cork United 2 Dec 12 – Dec 19 1 in 5
4 Shamrock Rovers 2 Dec 19 – Dec 27 1 in 5
5 Bohemian 2 Dec 26 – Jan 1 1 in 5

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 St. James Gate 9 Dec 5 – Jan 23 1 in 888
2 Bohemian 4 Jan 30 – Feb 20 1 in 22
3 Drumconda 2 Dec 19 – Dec 27 1 in 13
4 Dundalk 2 Jan 2 – Jan 9 1 in 11
5 Cork United 2 Mar 12 – Mar 19 1 in 5

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Limerick 7 Jan 23 – Mar 19 1 in 29
2 Dundalk 5 Dec 5 – Dec 27 1 in 11
3 Shamrock Rovers 4 Dec 5 – Dec 27 1 in 8
4 Shelbourne 7 Jan 22 – Mar 18 1 in 7
5 Cork United 3 Dec 12 – Dec 27 1 in 3

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shamrock Rovers 7 Jan 23 – Mar 18 1 in 186
2 St. James Gate 9 Dec 5 – Jan 23 1 in 28
3 Bohemian 7 Jan 9 – Feb 20 1 in 16
4 Drumconda 4 Dec 5 – Dec 27 1 in 6
5 Cork United 2 Dec 27 – Jan 1 1 in 5

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Shelbourne 1763 21 +27 9 6.6 +2.4
Limerick 1748 20 +57 8 5.4 +2.6
Dundalk 1653 15 -7 5 4.9 +0.1
Shamrock Rovers 1724 15 -46 2 6.1 -4.1
Drumconda 1615 14 +42 8 4.8 +3.2
Cork United 1735 14 -36 4 5.9 -1.9
Bohemian 1574 10 -21 2 3.5 -1.5
St. James Gate 1425 3 +6 3 2.8 +0.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOH CU DRU DUN LIM SR SHE SJG
Bohemian —
1-0-1
1.71
0-1-1
2.83
0-0-2
2.35
1-0-1
2.40
1-0-1
1.84
0-1-1
2.40
1-0-1
3.46
Cork United
1-0-1
3.89
 —
1-0-1
3.80
0-1-1
3.32
1-0-1
3.15
0-1-1
2.96
1-0-1
2.98
2-0-0
3.65
Drumconda
1-1-0
2.76
1-0-1
1.79
 —
1-0-1
2.29
0-1-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.21
0-0-2
2.16
2-0-0
3.36
Dundalk
2-0-0
3.24
1-1-0
2.27
1-0-1
3.30
 —
0-0-2
2.83
0-2-0
2.41
0-0-2
2.74
2-0-0
3.84
Limerick
1-0-1
3.19
1-0-1
2.44
1-1-0
2.97
2-0-0
2.76
 —
1-1-0
2.16
0-2-0
2.53
2-0-0
3.18
Shamrock Rovers
1-0-1
3.75
1-1-0
2.63
1-0-1
3.38
0-2-0
3.17
0-1-1
3.42
 —
1-0-1
2.79
1-1-0
4.41
Shelbourne
1-1-0
3.19
1-0-1
2.61
2-0-0
3.43
2-0-0
2.85
0-2-0
3.05
1-0-1
2.80
 —
2-0-0
4.43
St. James Gate
1-0-1
2.13
0-0-2
1.96
0-0-2
2.23
0-0-2
1.76
0-0-2
2.42
0-1-1
1.20
0-0-2
1.18
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.53 +4.7
Allowed 0.85 -5.8
Differential 0.85 +3.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.36%2.68%4.46%4.46%2.68%1.79%21.43%
12.68%1.79%5.36%5.36%—0.89%16.07%
24.46%5.36%8.93%7.14%0.89%0.89%27.68%
34.46%5.36%7.14%1.79%1.79%1.79%22.32%
42.68%—0.89%1.79%1.79%—7.14%
5+1.79%0.89%0.89%1.79%——5.36%
Total21.43%16.07%27.68%22.32%7.14%5.36%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.98 1.98 +0.00
SD 1.54 1.54 2.31
CV 0.78 0.78 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 56

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
1——7.14%14.29%——21.43%
2—7.14%14.29%7.14%—7.14%35.71%
3—14.29%7.14%—7.14%—28.57%
4———————
5+———————
Total—28.57%35.71%21.43%7.14%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.79 2.29 -0.50
SD 1.05 1.20 1.56
CV 0.59 0.53 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 1 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%——7.14%——14.29%
1———14.29%——14.29%
27.14%7.14%7.14%14.29%——35.71%
3——7.14%—7.14%—14.29%
4———————
5+7.14%7.14%—7.14%——21.43%
Total21.43%14.29%14.29%42.86%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.57 2.00 +0.57
SD 2.10 1.36 2.71
CV 0.82 0.68 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——14.29%—7.14%—21.43%
1——14.29%———14.29%
27.14%14.29%14.29%———35.71%
37.14%—14.29%——7.14%28.57%
4———————
5+———————
Total14.29%14.29%57.14%—7.14%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 2.00 -0.29
SD 1.14 1.52 1.98
CV 0.66 0.76 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%—21.43%——42.86%
17.14%7.14%————14.29%
27.14%———7.14%—14.29%
37.14%—7.14%———14.29%
47.14%—————7.14%
5+——7.14%———7.14%
Total42.86%14.29%14.29%21.43%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.36 +0.14
SD 1.70 1.45 2.35
CV 1.13 1.07 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%—7.14%———14.29%
1——7.14%———7.14%
214.29%—7.14%———21.43%
314.29%—14.29%7.14%——35.71%
47.14%—7.14%—7.14%—21.43%
5+———————
Total42.86%—42.86%7.14%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.43 1.36 +1.07
SD 1.34 1.34 1.69
CV 0.55 0.98 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%—————7.14%
1—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
2——14.29%14.29%——28.57%
3—14.29%———7.14%21.43%
47.14%——7.14%7.14%—21.43%
5+7.14%—————7.14%
Total21.43%21.43%21.43%21.43%7.14%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.71 1.93 +0.79
SD 1.73 1.54 2.36
CV 0.64 0.80 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%—————7.14%
114.29%——7.14%——21.43%
2—14.29%7.14%7.14%——28.57%
37.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%——28.57%
4———7.14%——7.14%
5+———7.14%——7.14%
Total28.57%21.43%14.29%35.71%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.29 1.57 +0.71
SD 1.33 1.28 1.27
CV 0.58 0.82 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%7.14%7.14%14.29%14.29%50.00%
1——7.14%7.14%—7.14%21.43%
2——7.14%14.29%——21.43%
3—7.14%————7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total—14.29%21.43%28.57%14.29%21.43%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 3.36 -2.50
SD 1.03 1.91 2.53
CV 1.20 0.57 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 1 -7

Games Played: 14

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Shelbourne 1763 21 15.70 +5.30 100.0% 8 12 14 16 17 19 20
Limerick 1748 20 13.80 +6.20 98.0% 7 9 12 14 15 18 21
Cork United 1735 14 16.59 -2.59 18.0% 9 12 15 17 18 20 23
Shamrock Rovers 1724 15 16.97 -1.97 28.0% 11 12 15 17 19 21 23
Dundalk 1653 15 14.58 +0.42 64.0% 6 10 13 15 16 19 23
Drumconda 1615 14 12.71 +1.29 71.0% 5 8 11 12 15 18 22
Bohemian 1574 10 12.34 -2.34 32.0% 6 7 10 12 14 18 21
St. James Gate 1425 3 9.31 -6.31 3.0% 2 4 8 9 11 13 16

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+30.36%
Strong Edge
55.36%19.64%25.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge
171 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0108.90500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.57 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.64+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 4th * Longshot: 5th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.2
Wide Open
12348
Champion Preseason Odds
16%
Shelbourne, 3rd of 8
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.07/gm
Tight Race
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.25 * Some Luck: 2.25 to 3.38 * Lucky: 3.38 to 4.51 * Wild Swing: 4.51 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.16 * Close: 1.16 to 1.74 * Off: 1.74 to 2.32 * Way Off: 2.32 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 8 * As Expected: 8 to 12.8 * Several Outliers: 12.8 to 17.6 * Many Outliers: 17.6 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.94 points
Lucky
02.827
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.25
Close
01.453
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 93.75%
100.00%
Shelbourne
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected
3.00%
St. James Gate
06.25%50
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 8
Minimal Outliers
00.88

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Lopsided
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 114.75
1.69
Coin-Flip Parity
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
68%
Slight Edge
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
87%
Even
50%88%100%
Close Games
Expected
54%
Some Drama
0%48%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Frequent
0%28%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.542
Matchup Imbalance
0.50
Lopsided
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
2.22
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.25
Weak Carryover
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
29%
Very Upset-Prone
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Shaky
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.18 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.18 to 0.28 * Above Noise: 0.28 to 0.37 * Well Above Noise: 0.37 and up.
Probability calibration
0.69
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.78
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.161
Well Within Noise
00.1830.5

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Shelbourne16.00%21.00%22.00%14.00%17.00%8.00%1.00%1.00%
Limerick6.00%11.00%14.00%17.00%18.00%16.00%10.00%8.00%
Shamrock Rovers36.00%21.00%16.00%9.00%9.00%7.00%2.00%—
Dundalk11.00%8.00%14.00%18.00%18.00%17.00%12.00%2.00%
Cork United25.00%25.00%21.00%13.00%6.00%8.00%1.00%1.00%
Drumconda2.00%6.00%9.00%12.00%16.00%19.00%21.00%15.00%
Bohemian4.00%8.00%3.00%14.00%14.00%12.00%32.00%13.00%
St. James Gate——1.00%3.00%2.00%13.00%21.00%60.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Bohemian 100%
Cork United 100%
Drumconda 100%
Dundalk 100%
Limerick 100%
Shamrock Rovers 100%
Shelbourne 100%
St. James Gate 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1943-12-04 Shelbourne L 1-364.2 1614 1656 55.32% 20.76% 23.91%+0.40 -27.8 0
1943-12-04 @ Bohemian W 3-164.2 1656 1614 23.91% 20.76% 55.32%-0.40 +27.8 2
1943-12-05 Shamrock Rovers L 1-368.2 1724 1667 64.63% 20.42% 14.94%+0.97 -32.5 0
1943-12-05 @ Cork United W 3-168.2 1667 1724 14.94% 20.42% 64.63%-0.97 +32.5 2
1943-12-05 Drumconda W 2-048.6 1685 1644 63.29% 20.50% 16.21%+0.88 +11.3 2
1943-12-05 @ Dundalk L 0-248.6 1644 1685 16.21% 20.50% 63.29%-0.88 -11.3 0
1943-12-05 Limerick L 2-372.7 1631 1616 61.07% 20.60% 18.33%+0.73 -16.8 0
1943-12-05 @ St. James Gate W 3-272.7 1616 1631 18.33% 20.60% 61.07%-0.73 +16.8 2
1943-12-11 St. James Gate W 3-153.0 1587 1614 56.77% 20.73% 22.50%+0.47 +13.1 2
1943-12-11 @ Bohemian L 1-353.0 1614 1587 22.50% 20.73% 56.77%-0.47 -13.1 0
1943-12-12 Shelbourne W 3-261.7 1692 1683 60.39% 20.63% 18.99%+0.69 +6.2 2
1943-12-12 @ Cork United L 2-361.7 1683 1692 18.99% 20.63% 60.39%-0.69 -6.2 2
1943-12-12 Drumconda D 2-274.1 1633 1633 59.55% 20.66% 19.79%+0.64 -2.1 3
1943-12-12 @ Limerick D 2-274.1 1633 1633 19.79% 20.66% 59.55%-0.64 +2.1 1
1943-12-12 Dundalk D 0-067.9 1699 1696 59.88% 20.65% 19.47%+0.66 -3.3 3
1943-12-12 @ Shamrock Rovers D 0-067.9 1696 1699 19.47% 20.65% 59.88%-0.66 +3.3 3
1943-12-18 Limerick D 0-067.2 1677 1630 63.80% 20.47% 15.73%+0.91 -4.0 3
1943-12-18 @ Shelbourne D 0-067.2 1630 1677 15.73% 20.47% 63.80%-0.91 +4.0 4
1943-12-19 Bohemian W 5-253.1 1700 1600 67.77% 20.19% 12.04%+1.22 +9.2 5
1943-12-19 @ Dundalk L 2-553.1 1600 1700 12.04% 20.19% 67.77%-1.22 -9.2 2
1943-12-19 Shamrock Rovers L 0-456.2 1635 1696 53.09% 20.80% 26.11%+0.28 -58.6 1
1943-12-19 @ Drumconda W 4-056.2 1696 1635 26.11% 20.80% 53.09%-0.28 +58.6 5
1943-12-19 Cork United L 0-756.2 1601 1698 48.74% 20.83% 30.43%+0.07 -91.9 0
1943-12-19 @ St. James Gate W 7-056.2 1698 1601 30.43% 20.83% 48.74%-0.07 +91.8 4
1943-12-26 Limerick W 2-156.5 1590 1634 55.02% 20.77% 24.21%+0.38 +8.0 4
1943-12-26 @ Bohemian L 1-256.5 1634 1590 24.21% 20.77% 55.02%-0.38 -8.0 4
1943-12-26 St. James Gate W 3-041.5 1709 1510 73.32% 19.47% 7.21%+1.81 +7.7 7
1943-12-26 @ Dundalk L 0-341.5 1510 1709 7.21% 19.47% 73.32%-1.81 -7.7 0
1943-12-27 Dundalk D 0-068.6 1790 1716 65.85% 20.34% 13.80%+1.07 -4.3 5
1943-12-27 @ Cork United D 0-068.6 1716 1790 13.80% 20.34% 65.85%-1.07 +4.3 8
1943-12-27 Shelbourne L 1-264.3 1577 1673 48.70% 20.83% 30.47%+0.07 -14.3 1
1943-12-27 @ Drumconda W 2-164.3 1673 1577 30.47% 20.83% 48.70%-0.07 +14.3 5
1943-12-27 St. James Gate W 7-042.0 1755 1502 75.56% 18.99% 5.45%+2.12 +12.9 7
1943-12-27 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-742.0 1502 1755 5.45% 18.99% 75.56%-2.12 -12.9 0
1944-01-01 Cork United W 3-161.7 1598 1785 36.32% 20.74% 42.94%-0.46 +22.2 6
1944-01-01 @ Bohemian L 1-361.7 1785 1598 42.94% 20.74% 36.32%+0.46 -22.2 5
1944-01-02 Shelbourne L 0-360.8 1721 1687 62.66% 20.53% 16.80%+0.83 -52.7 8
1944-01-02 @ Dundalk W 3-060.8 1687 1721 16.80% 20.53% 62.66%-0.83 +52.7 7
1944-01-02 Shamrock Rovers W 3-267.1 1626 1767 42.74% 20.82% 36.44%-0.19 +10.7 6
1944-01-02 @ Limerick L 2-367.1 1767 1626 36.44% 20.82% 42.74%+0.19 -10.7 7
1944-01-02 Drumconda L 1-259.7 1489 1562 51.59% 20.81% 27.59%+0.21 -15.0 0
1944-01-02 @ St. James Gate W 2-159.7 1562 1489 27.59% 20.81% 51.59%-0.21 +15.0 3
1944-01-08 St. James Gate W 3-254.8 1740 1474 76.07% 18.86% 5.07%+2.20 +1.8 9
1944-01-08 @ Shelbourne L 2-354.8 1474 1740 5.07% 18.86% 76.07%-2.20 -1.8 0
1944-01-09 Drumconda W 6-354.3 1763 1577 72.67% 19.58% 7.74%+1.73 +5.6 7
1944-01-09 @ Cork United L 3-654.3 1577 1763 7.74% 19.58% 72.67%-1.73 -5.6 3
1944-01-09 Dundalk W 3-048.0 1637 1668 56.42% 20.74% 22.84%+0.46 +22.2 8
1944-01-09 @ Limerick L 0-348.0 1668 1637 22.84% 20.74% 56.42%-0.46 -22.2 8
1944-01-09 Bohemian W 4-362.6 1757 1621 70.03% 19.96% 10.01%+1.44 +3.4 9
1944-01-09 @ Shamrock Rovers L 3-462.6 1621 1757 10.01% 19.96% 70.03%-1.44 -3.4 6
1944-01-15 Drumconda D 2-272.7 1617 1572 63.69% 20.48% 15.83%+0.91 -2.6 7
1944-01-15 @ Bohemian D 2-272.7 1572 1617 15.83% 20.48% 63.69%-0.91 +2.6 4
1944-01-16 Limerick W 2-047.8 1769 1659 68.39% 20.13% 11.48%+1.28 +8.3 9
1944-01-16 @ Cork United L 0-247.8 1659 1769 11.48% 20.13% 68.39%-1.28 -8.3 8
1944-01-16 Shelbourne W 3-154.8 1760 1742 61.32% 20.59% 18.09%+0.75 +10.8 11
1944-01-16 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-354.8 1742 1760 18.09% 20.59% 61.32%-0.75 -10.8 9
1944-01-16 Dundalk L 0-447.4 1472 1646 38.12% 20.77% 41.11%-0.38 -44.2 0
1944-01-16 @ St. James Gate W 4-047.4 1646 1472 41.11% 20.77% 38.12%+0.38 +44.2 10
1944-01-22 Bohemian D 2-275.3 1731 1615 68.84% 20.09% 11.07%+1.32 -3.3 10
1944-01-22 @ Shelbourne D 2-275.3 1615 1731 11.07% 20.09% 68.84%-1.32 +3.3 8
1944-01-23 Dundalk W 3-050.4 1574 1690 46.21% 20.83% 32.96%-0.04 +30.1 6
1944-01-23 @ Drumconda L 0-350.4 1690 1574 32.96% 20.83% 46.21%+0.04 -30.1 10
1944-01-23 St. James Gate W 4-036.2 1651 1428 74.37% 19.26% 6.37%+1.95 +8.9 10
1944-01-23 @ Limerick L 0-436.2 1428 1651 6.37% 19.26% 74.37%-1.95 -8.9 0
1944-01-23 Cork United D 2-276.2 1771 1777 59.03% 20.67% 20.30%+0.60 -2.1 12
1944-01-23 @ Shamrock Rovers D 2-276.2 1777 1771 20.30% 20.67% 59.03%-0.60 +2.1 10
1944-01-29 Cork United W 4-368.1 1728 1779 54.22% 20.78% 25.00%+0.34 +7.6 12
1944-01-29 @ Shelbourne L 3-468.1 1779 1728 25.00% 20.78% 54.22%-0.34 -7.6 10
1944-01-30 Shamrock Rovers D 1-171.1 1660 1769 47.11% 20.83% 32.06%+0.00 -1.0 11
1944-01-30 @ Dundalk D 1-171.1 1769 1660 32.06% 20.83% 47.11%+0.00 +1.0 13
1944-01-30 Limerick L 0-259.1 1605 1660 53.73% 20.79% 25.48%+0.31 -31.2 6
1944-01-30 @ Drumconda W 2-059.1 1660 1605 25.48% 20.79% 53.73%-0.31 +31.2 12
1944-01-30 Bohemian W 3-154.7 1419 1618 34.66% 20.71% 44.62%-0.53 +22.9 2
1944-01-30 @ St. James Gate L 1-354.7 1618 1419 44.62% 20.71% 34.66%+0.53 -22.9 8
1944-02-05 Dundalk L 0-161.7 1595 1659 52.72% 20.80% 26.48%+0.26 -16.3 8
1944-02-05 @ Bohemian W 1-061.7 1659 1595 26.48% 20.80% 52.72%-0.26 +16.3 13
1944-02-05 St. James Gate W 5-143.3 1771 1442 78.17% 18.20% 3.64%+2.57 +4.2 12
1944-02-05 @ Cork United L 1-543.3 1442 1771 3.64% 18.20% 78.17%-2.57 -4.2 2
1944-02-06 Shelbourne D 3-380.2 1691 1736 54.96% 20.77% 24.27%+0.38 -1.3 13
1944-02-06 @ Limerick D 3-380.2 1736 1691 24.27% 20.77% 54.96%-0.38 +1.3 13
1944-02-06 Drumconda L 1-272.5 1770 1573 73.20% 19.49% 7.31%+1.79 -21.3 13
1944-02-06 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-172.5 1573 1770 7.31% 19.49% 73.20%-1.79 +21.3 8
1944-02-12 Drumconda W 2-153.5 1737 1595 70.39% 19.91% 9.70%+1.47 +3.5 15
1944-02-12 @ Shelbourne L 1-253.5 1595 1737 9.70% 19.91% 70.39%-1.47 -3.5 8
1944-02-13 Cork United W 3-265.8 1675 1775 48.23% 20.83% 30.94%+0.05 +9.3 15
1944-02-13 @ Dundalk L 2-365.8 1775 1675 30.94% 20.83% 48.23%-0.05 -9.3 12
1944-02-13 Bohemian W 2-046.2 1690 1579 68.48% 20.12% 11.39%+1.29 +8.2 15
1944-02-13 @ Limerick L 0-246.2 1579 1690 11.39% 20.12% 68.48%-1.29 -8.2 8
1944-02-13 Shamrock Rovers D 2-272.7 1438 1749 21.48% 20.23% 58.29%-1.18 +2.0 3
1944-02-13 @ St. James Gate D 2-272.7 1749 1438 58.29% 20.23% 21.48%+1.18 -2.0 14
1944-02-19 Dundalk W 1-052.1 1740 1685 64.53% 20.43% 15.04%+0.97 +5.6 17
1944-02-19 @ Shelbourne L 0-152.1 1685 1740 15.04% 20.43% 64.53%-0.97 -5.6 15
1944-02-20 Bohemian W 2-152.7 1766 1571 73.15% 19.50% 7.35%+1.78 +2.7 14
1944-02-20 @ Cork United L 1-252.7 1571 1766 7.35% 19.50% 73.15%-1.78 -2.7 8
1944-02-20 St. James Gate W 2-039.0 1591 1440 70.90% 19.85% 9.25%+1.53 +6.7 10
1944-02-20 @ Drumconda L 0-239.0 1440 1591 9.25% 19.85% 70.90%-1.53 -6.7 3
1944-02-20 Limerick D 4-483.4 1747 1698 63.96% 20.46% 15.58%+0.92 -1.9 15
1944-02-20 @ Shamrock Rovers D 4-483.4 1698 1747 15.58% 20.46% 63.96%-0.92 +1.9 16
1944-03-11 Shamrock Rovers W 3-267.9 1568 1745 37.69% 20.76% 41.54%-0.40 +11.8 10
1944-03-11 @ Bohemian L 2-367.9 1745 1568 41.54% 20.76% 37.69%+0.40 -11.8 15
1944-03-12 Limerick L 2-470.6 1679 1700 57.51% 20.72% 21.78%+0.52 -25.8 15
1944-03-12 @ Dundalk W 4-270.6 1700 1679 21.78% 20.72% 57.51%-0.52 +25.8 18
1944-03-12 Cork United W 3-268.2 1598 1769 38.51% 20.77% 40.71%-0.36 +11.6 12
1944-03-12 @ Drumconda L 2-368.2 1769 1598 40.71% 20.77% 38.51%+0.36 -11.6 14
1944-03-12 Shelbourne L 0-150.5 1433 1746 21.26% 20.22% 58.52%-1.20 -7.6 3
1944-03-12 @ St. James Gate W 1-050.5 1746 1433 58.52% 20.22% 21.26%+1.20 +7.6 19
1944-03-18 Shamrock Rovers W 5-362.2 1754 1733 61.54% 20.58% 17.87%+0.76 +9.0 21
1944-03-18 @ Shelbourne L 3-562.2 1733 1754 17.87% 20.58% 61.54%-0.76 -9.0 15
1944-03-19 Bohemian W 3-258.3 1609 1580 62.35% 20.55% 17.10%+0.81 +5.6 14
1944-03-19 @ Drumconda L 2-358.3 1580 1609 17.10% 20.55% 62.35%-0.81 -5.6 10
1944-03-19 Cork United W 3-049.3 1726 1757 56.37% 20.74% 22.88%+0.45 +22.2 20
1944-03-19 @ Limerick L 0-349.3 1757 1726 22.88% 20.74% 56.37%-0.45 -22.2 14

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1944-02-06 7.31% Drumconda 1573 2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1770 1
2 1943-12-05 14.94% Shamrock Rovers 1667 3 @ Cork United 1724 1
3 1944-01-02 16.80% Shelbourne 1687 3 @ Dundalk 1721 0
4 1943-12-05 18.33% Limerick 1616 3 @ St. James Gate 1631 2
5 1944-03-12 21.78% Limerick 1700 4 @ Dundalk 1679 2
6 1943-12-04 23.91% Shelbourne 1656 3 @ Bohemian 1614 1
7 1944-01-30 25.48% Limerick 1660 2 @ Drumconda 1605 0
8 1943-12-19 26.11% Shamrock Rovers 1696 4 @ Drumconda 1635 0
9 1944-02-05 26.48% Dundalk 1659 1 @ Bohemian 1595 0
10 1944-01-02 27.59% Drumconda 1562 2 @ St. James Gate 1489 1
11 1943-12-19 30.43% Cork United 1698 7 @ St. James Gate 1601 0
12 1943-12-27 30.47% Shelbourne 1673 2 @ Drumconda 1577 1
13 1944-01-30 34.66% @ St. James Gate 1419 3 Bohemian 1618 1
14 1944-01-01 36.32% @ Bohemian 1598 3 Cork United 1785 1
15 1944-03-11 37.69% @ Bohemian 1568 3 Shamrock Rovers 1745 2
16 1944-03-12 38.51% @ Drumconda 1598 3 Cork United 1769 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1943-12-19 91.85 Cork United 7 1698 30.43% @ St. James Gate 0 1601 48.74% 20.83%
2 1943-12-19 58.59 Shamrock Rovers 4 1696 26.11% @ Drumconda 0 1635 53.09% 20.80%
3 1944-01-02 52.71 Shelbourne 3 1687 16.80% @ Dundalk 0 1721 62.66% 20.53%
4 1944-01-16 44.16 Dundalk 4 1646 41.11% @ St. James Gate 0 1472 38.12% 20.77%
5 1943-12-05 32.45 Shamrock Rovers 3 1667 14.94% @ Cork United 1 1724 64.63% 20.42%
6 1944-01-30 31.23 Limerick 2 1660 25.48% @ Drumconda 0 1605 53.73% 20.79%
7 1944-01-23 30.10 @ Drumconda 3 1574 46.21% Dundalk 0 1690 32.96% 20.83%
8 1943-12-04 27.80 Shelbourne 3 1656 23.91% @ Bohemian 1 1614 55.32% 20.76%
9 1944-03-12 25.81 Limerick 4 1700 21.78% @ Dundalk 2 1679 57.51% 20.72%
10 1944-01-30 22.90 @ St. James Gate 3 1419 34.66% Bohemian 1 1618 44.62% 20.71%
11 1944-03-19 22.23 @ Limerick 3 1726 56.37% Cork United 0 1757 22.88% 20.74%
12 1944-01-09 22.20 @ Limerick 3 1637 56.42% Dundalk 0 1668 22.84% 20.74%
13 1944-01-01 22.18 @ Bohemian 3 1598 36.32% Cork United 1 1785 42.94% 20.74%
14 1944-02-06 21.31 Drumconda 2 1573 7.31% @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1770 73.20% 19.49%
15 1943-12-05 16.77 Limerick 3 1616 18.33% @ St. James Gate 2 1631 61.07% 20.60%
16 1944-02-05 16.27 Dundalk 1 1659 26.48% @ Bohemian 0 1595 52.72% 20.80%
17 1944-01-02 15.04 Drumconda 2 1562 27.59% @ St. James Gate 1 1489 51.59% 20.81%
18 1943-12-27 14.28 Shelbourne 2 1673 30.47% @ Drumconda 1 1577 48.70% 20.83%
19 1943-12-11 13.07 @ Bohemian 3 1587 56.77% St. James Gate 1 1614 22.50% 20.73%
20 1943-12-27 12.89 @ Shamrock Rovers 7 1755 75.56% St. James Gate 0 1502 5.45% 18.99%
21 1944-03-11 11.83 @ Bohemian 3 1568 37.69% Shamrock Rovers 2 1745 41.54% 20.76%
22 1944-03-12 11.63 @ Drumconda 3 1598 38.51% Cork United 2 1769 40.71% 20.77%
23 1943-12-05 11.33 @ Dundalk 2 1685 63.29% Drumconda 0 1644 16.21% 20.50%
24 1944-01-16 10.81 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1760 61.32% Shelbourne 1 1742 18.09% 20.59%
25 1944-01-02 10.66 @ Limerick 3 1626 42.74% Shamrock Rovers 2 1767 36.44% 20.82%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1944-02-20 83.4 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1747 63.96% Limerick 4 1698 15.58% 20.46%
2 1944-02-06 80.2 @ Limerick 3 1691 54.96% Shelbourne 3 1736 24.27% 20.77%
3 1944-01-23 76.2 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1771 59.03% Cork United 2 1777 20.30% 20.67%
4 1944-01-22 75.3 @ Shelbourne 2 1731 68.84% Bohemian 2 1615 11.07% 20.09%
5 1943-12-12 74.1 @ Limerick 2 1633 59.55% Drumconda 2 1633 19.79% 20.66%
6 1943-12-05 72.7 Limerick 3 1616 18.33% @ St. James Gate 2 1631 61.07% 20.60%
7 1944-01-15 72.7 @ Bohemian 2 1617 63.69% Drumconda 2 1572 15.83% 20.48%
8 1944-02-13 72.7 @ St. James Gate 2 1438 21.48% Shamrock Rovers 2 1749 58.29% 20.23%
9 1944-02-06 72.5 Drumconda 2 1573 7.31% @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1770 73.20% 19.49%
10 1944-01-30 71.1 @ Dundalk 1 1660 47.11% Shamrock Rovers 1 1769 32.06% 20.83%
11 1944-03-12 70.6 Limerick 4 1700 21.78% @ Dundalk 2 1679 57.51% 20.72%
12 1943-12-27 68.6 @ Cork United 0 1790 65.85% Dundalk 0 1716 13.80% 20.34%
13 1943-12-05 68.2 Shamrock Rovers 3 1667 14.94% @ Cork United 1 1724 64.63% 20.42%
14 1944-03-12 68.2 @ Drumconda 3 1598 38.51% Cork United 2 1769 40.71% 20.77%
15 1944-01-29 68.1 @ Shelbourne 4 1728 54.22% Cork United 3 1779 25.00% 20.78%
16 1943-12-12 67.9 @ Shamrock Rovers 0 1699 59.88% Dundalk 0 1696 19.47% 20.65%
17 1944-03-11 67.9 @ Bohemian 3 1568 37.69% Shamrock Rovers 2 1745 41.54% 20.76%
18 1943-12-18 67.2 @ Shelbourne 0 1677 63.80% Limerick 0 1630 15.73% 20.47%
19 1944-01-02 67.1 @ Limerick 3 1626 42.74% Shamrock Rovers 2 1767 36.44% 20.82%
20 1944-02-13 65.8 @ Dundalk 3 1675 48.23% Cork United 2 1775 30.94% 20.83%
21 1943-12-27 64.3 Shelbourne 2 1673 30.47% @ Drumconda 1 1577 48.70% 20.83%
22 1943-12-04 64.2 Shelbourne 3 1656 23.91% @ Bohemian 1 1614 55.32% 20.76%
23 1944-01-09 62.6 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1757 70.03% Bohemian 3 1621 10.01% 19.96%
24 1944-03-18 62.2 @ Shelbourne 5 1754 61.54% Shamrock Rovers 3 1733 17.87% 20.58%
25 1943-12-12 61.7 @ Cork United 3 1692 60.39% Shelbourne 2 1683 18.99% 20.63%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1944-01-23 36.2 @ Limerick 4 1651 74.37% St. James Gate 0 1428 6.37% 19.26%
2 1944-02-20 39.0 @ Drumconda 2 1591 70.90% St. James Gate 0 1440 9.25% 19.85%
3 1943-12-26 41.5 @ Dundalk 3 1709 73.32% St. James Gate 0 1510 7.21% 19.47%
4 1943-12-27 42.0 @ Shamrock Rovers 7 1755 75.56% St. James Gate 0 1502 5.45% 18.99%
5 1944-02-05 43.3 @ Cork United 5 1771 78.17% St. James Gate 1 1442 3.64% 18.20%
6 1944-02-13 46.2 @ Limerick 2 1690 68.48% Bohemian 0 1579 11.39% 20.12%
7 1944-01-16 47.4 Dundalk 4 1646 41.11% @ St. James Gate 0 1472 38.12% 20.77%
8 1944-01-16 47.8 @ Cork United 2 1769 68.39% Limerick 0 1659 11.48% 20.13%
9 1944-01-09 48.0 @ Limerick 3 1637 56.42% Dundalk 0 1668 22.84% 20.74%
10 1943-12-05 48.6 @ Dundalk 2 1685 63.29% Drumconda 0 1644 16.21% 20.50%
11 1944-03-19 49.3 @ Limerick 3 1726 56.37% Cork United 0 1757 22.88% 20.74%
12 1944-01-23 50.4 @ Drumconda 3 1574 46.21% Dundalk 0 1690 32.96% 20.83%
13 1944-03-12 50.5 Shelbourne 1 1746 58.52% @ St. James Gate 0 1433 21.26% 20.22%
14 1944-02-19 52.1 @ Shelbourne 1 1740 64.53% Dundalk 0 1685 15.04% 20.43%
15 1944-02-20 52.7 @ Cork United 2 1766 73.15% Bohemian 1 1571 7.35% 19.50%
16 1943-12-11 53.0 @ Bohemian 3 1587 56.77% St. James Gate 1 1614 22.50% 20.73%
17 1943-12-19 53.1 @ Dundalk 5 1700 67.77% Bohemian 2 1600 12.04% 20.19%
18 1944-02-12 53.5 @ Shelbourne 2 1737 70.39% Drumconda 1 1595 9.70% 19.91%
19 1944-01-09 54.3 @ Cork United 6 1763 72.67% Drumconda 3 1577 7.74% 19.58%
20 1944-01-30 54.7 @ St. James Gate 3 1419 34.66% Bohemian 1 1618 44.62% 20.71%
21 1944-01-08 54.8 @ Shelbourne 3 1740 76.07% St. James Gate 2 1474 5.07% 18.86%
22 1944-01-16 54.8 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1760 61.32% Shelbourne 1 1742 18.09% 20.59%
23 1943-12-19 56.2 Shamrock Rovers 4 1696 26.11% @ Drumconda 0 1635 53.09% 20.80%
24 1943-12-19 56.2 Cork United 7 1698 30.43% @ St. James Gate 0 1601 48.74% 20.83%
25 1943-12-26 56.5 @ Bohemian 2 1590 55.02% Limerick 1 1634 24.21% 20.77%