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1954-55 League of Ireland Season

132 games

Final

Champion

St Patricks Athletic

36 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

St Patricks Athletic

10.07 points above expected

36 points · 25.93 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Evergreen United

8.16 points below expected

13 points · 21.16 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 St Patricks Athletic 22 17 2 3 36 62 31 +31 25.93 +10.07
2 Waterford 22 16 1 5 33 70 43 +27 27.61 +5.39
3 Shamrock Rovers 22 12 4 6 28 63 37 +26 25.51 +2.49
4 Shelbourne 22 13 2 7 28 62 41 +21 25.41 +2.59
5 Cork Athletic 22 10 5 7 25 53 51 +2 25.06 -0.06
6 Drumconda 22 9 5 8 23 38 30 +8 25.12 -2.12
7 Bohemian 22 9 1 12 19 41 55 -14 20.55 -1.55
8 Limerick 22 8 1 13 17 32 50 -18 16.59 +0.41
9 Sligo Rovers 22 6 3 13 15 34 49 -15 17.52 -2.52
10 Transport 22 5 4 13 14 22 51 -29 16.90 -2.90
11 Evergreen United 22 4 5 13 13 34 46 -12 21.16 -8.16
12 Dundalk 22 5 3 14 13 39 66 -27 16.64 -3.64

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 St Patricks Athletic 36 25.93 +10.07
2 Waterford 33 27.61 +5.39
3 Shelbourne 28 25.41 +2.59
4 Shamrock Rovers 28 25.51 +2.49
5 Limerick 17 16.59 +0.41

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Evergreen United 13 21.16 -8.16
2 Dundalk 13 16.64 -3.64
3 Transport 14 16.90 -2.90
4 Sligo Rovers 15 17.52 -2.52
5 Drumconda 23 25.12 -2.12

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Waterford 7 Dec 12 – Jan 23 1 in 240
2 Shelbourne 5 Nov 14 – Dec 12 1 in 42
3 St Patricks Athletic 6 Jan 30 – Mar 13 1 in 25
4 Shamrock Rovers 5 Jan 16 – Feb 19 1 in 23
5 Limerick 2 Mar 20 – Mar 30 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shelbourne 6 Jan 16 – Feb 20 1 in 1,734
2 Transport 5 Jan 30 – Mar 13 1 in 25
3 Limerick 4 Dec 4 – Dec 26 1 in 23
4 Sligo Rovers 4 Nov 14 – Dec 5 1 in 21
5 Evergreen United 4 Dec 26 – Jan 16 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Waterford 8 Dec 5 – Jan 23 1 in 67
2 St Patricks Athletic 9 Nov 21 – Jan 16 1 in 52
3 Shelbourne 9 Nov 14 – Jan 9 1 in 35
4 Transport 4 Dec 5 – Dec 26 1 in 17
5 Shamrock Rovers 5 Jan 16 – Feb 19 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shelbourne 8 Jan 16 – Mar 13 1 in 261
2 Transport 11 Jan 30 – Apr 17 1 in 49
3 Dundalk 9 Nov 28 – Jan 23 1 in 37
4 Evergreen United 7 Mar 20 – Apr 17 1 in 23
5 Drumconda 5 Feb 20 – Apr 1 1 in 22

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
St Patricks Athletic 1612 36 -18 8 6.7 +1.3
Waterford 1572 33 -120 6 7.7 -1.7
Shelbourne 1582 28 +213 10 5.7 +4.3
Shamrock Rovers 1666 28 +113 8 6.8 +1.2
Cork Athletic 1421 25 -82 4 6.3 -2.3
Drumconda 1467 23 +11 4 5.8 -1.8
Bohemian 1317 19 -58 3 4.1 -1.1
Limerick 1302 17 +11 6 3.8 +2.2
Sligo Rovers 1321 15 -3 4 4.2 -0.2
Transport 1169 14 -70 2 2.8 -0.8
Evergreen United 1323 13 -38 3 4.1 -1.1
Dundalk 1275 13 +45 3 2.5 +0.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOH CA DRU DUN EU LIM SR SHE SR SPA TRA WAT
Bohemian —
1-1-0
1.97
0-0-2
2.56
2-0-0
3.25
1-0-1
2.66
1-0-1
3.34
1-0-1
2.18
0-0-2
2.44
1-0-1
3.14
0-0-2
1.49
2-0-0
3.29
0-0-2
1.90
Cork Athletic
0-1-1
3.75
—
2-0-0
2.82
0-1-1
4.26
1-1-0
3.70
2-0-0
3.73
0-1-1
2.39
1-0-1
2.79
1-0-1
3.77
0-1-1
2.58
1-0-1
3.80
2-0-0
2.24
Drumconda
2-0-0
3.15
0-0-2
2.89
—
2-0-0
3.65
2-0-0
3.40
1-1-0
3.79
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
3.31
1-1-0
3.77
0-0-2
2.50
0-1-1
4.18
0-1-1
3.08
Dundalk
0-0-2
2.46
1-1-0
1.45
0-0-2
2.06
—
0-1-1
2.14
2-0-0
3.09
0-0-2
2.26
0-0-2
1.35
2-0-0
2.64
0-0-2
1.19
0-1-1
2.89
0-0-2
1.41
Evergreen United
1-0-1
3.05
0-1-1
2.01
0-0-2
2.31
1-1-0
3.57
—
0-0-2
3.40
1-0-1
2.25
0-0-2
2.24
1-1-0
2.85
0-0-2
1.89
0-2-0
3.80
0-0-2
2.12
Limerick
1-0-1
2.37
0-0-2
1.98
0-1-1
1.92
0-0-2
2.62
2-0-0
2.31
—
0-0-2
1.87
1-0-1
2.04
1-0-1
2.70
0-0-2
1.85
2-0-0
2.70
1-0-1
1.83
Shamrock Rovers
1-0-1
3.53
1-1-0
3.32
1-0-1
3.18
2-0-0
3.45
1-0-1
3.46
2-0-0
3.84
—
1-1-0
2.93
0-1-1
4.20
1-1-0
2.19
2-0-0
3.08
0-0-2
2.38
Shelbourne
2-0-0
3.27
1-0-1
2.92
1-1-0
2.40
2-0-0
4.36
2-0-0
3.47
1-0-1
3.67
0-1-1
2.78
—
1-0-1
3.86
1-0-1
2.99
1-0-1
4.24
1-0-1
2.57
Sligo Rovers
1-0-1
2.57
1-0-1
1.94
0-1-1
1.94
0-0-2
3.07
0-1-1
2.86
1-0-1
3.01
1-1-0
1.51
1-0-1
1.86
—
0-0-2
1.61
1-0-1
2.83
0-0-2
1.78
St Patricks Athletic
2-0-0
4.23
1-1-0
3.13
2-0-0
3.21
2-0-0
4.53
2-0-0
3.82
2-0-0
3.86
0-1-1
3.52
1-0-1
2.72
2-0-0
4.10
—
2-0-0
3.65
1-0-1
1.99
Transport
0-0-2
2.43
1-0-1
1.91
1-1-0
1.54
1-1-0
2.82
0-2-0
1.92
0-0-2
3.01
0-0-2
2.63
1-0-1
1.47
1-0-1
2.88
0-0-2
2.06
—
0-0-2
1.03
Waterford
2-0-0
3.82
0-0-2
3.47
1-1-0
2.63
2-0-0
4.30
2-0-0
3.60
1-0-1
3.89
2-0-0
3.33
1-0-1
3.14
2-0-0
3.94
1-0-1
3.72
2-0-0
4.69
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.82 +4.7
Allowed 0.47 -5.3
Differential 0.90 +3.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%3.79%2.65%2.27%0.76%3.03%15.53%
13.79%3.79%10.23%4.17%4.55%2.27%28.79%
22.65%10.23%3.79%2.65%1.52%3.03%23.86%
32.27%4.17%2.65%2.27%1.14%0.76%13.26%
40.76%4.55%1.52%1.14%0.76%0.38%9.09%
5+3.03%2.27%3.03%0.76%0.38%—9.47%
Total15.53%28.79%23.86%13.26%9.09%9.47%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.08 2.08 +0.00
SD 1.72 1.72 2.62
CV 0.82 0.82 —
Max 10 10 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%4.55%—4.55%18.18%
1——9.09%9.09%9.09%—27.27%
24.55%18.18%———9.09%31.82%
3—9.09%————9.09%
4————4.55%—4.55%
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total4.55%36.36%18.18%13.64%13.64%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 2.50 -0.64
SD 1.58 1.85 2.82
CV 0.85 0.74 —
Max 6 7 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
14.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%—4.55%31.82%
24.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—9.09%27.27%
3—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
4—13.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
5+———————
Total9.09%31.82%22.73%18.18%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.41 2.32 +0.09
SD 1.26 1.84 2.33
CV 0.52 0.79 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 1 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%31.82%
14.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
24.55%13.64%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———————
5+9.09%—4.55%———13.64%
Total27.27%31.82%27.27%9.09%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.36 +0.36
SD 1.86 1.26 2.48
CV 1.07 0.92 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%27.27%
1——18.18%4.55%—4.55%27.27%
2—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
3—4.55%—4.55%4.55%9.09%22.73%
44.55%——4.55%——9.09%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total9.09%13.64%31.82%18.18%9.09%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 3.00 -1.23
SD 1.66 2.41 2.84
CV 0.94 0.80 —
Max 6 10 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%———4.55%18.18%
1—9.09%18.18%4.55%9.09%—40.91%
24.55%—4.55%9.09%—4.55%22.73%
3———4.55%——4.55%
44.55%9.09%————13.64%
5+———————
Total13.64%27.27%22.73%18.18%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 2.09 -0.55
SD 1.26 1.51 2.13
CV 0.82 0.72 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
19.09%—13.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%40.91%
2—9.09%—4.55%—4.55%18.18%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total13.64%18.18%31.82%18.18%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 2.27 -0.82
SD 1.34 1.64 2.20
CV 0.92 0.72 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%————4.55%
1—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%22.73%
24.55%18.18%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
34.55%—4.55%9.09%——18.18%
4———————
5+13.64%4.55%—4.55%——22.73%
Total22.73%31.82%13.64%22.73%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.86 1.68 +1.18
SD 2.14 1.43 2.94
CV 0.75 0.85 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
1—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%22.73%
2—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
34.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
4—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
5+9.09%4.55%——4.55%—18.18%
Total13.64%36.36%27.27%4.55%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.82 1.86 +0.95
SD 1.97 1.52 2.87
CV 0.70 0.82 —
Max 7 6 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%——4.55%—13.64%
14.55%—22.73%—13.64%—40.91%
2—9.09%4.55%—4.55%4.55%22.73%
34.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%—22.73%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%22.73%27.27%4.55%27.27%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 2.23 -0.68
SD 1.01 1.54 1.86
CV 0.65 0.69 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
113.64%4.55%————18.18%
24.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
313.64%—4.55%———18.18%
4—13.64%———4.55%18.18%
5+——9.09%4.55%——13.64%
Total31.82%31.82%22.73%4.55%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.82 1.41 +1.41
SD 2.17 1.59 2.40
CV 0.77 1.13 —
Max 10 6 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%—9.09%—9.09%31.82%
19.09%9.09%13.64%9.09%4.55%—45.45%
2—9.09%—4.55%—4.55%18.18%
3———————
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%22.73%13.64%27.27%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.32 -1.32
SD 0.98 1.94 2.19
CV 0.98 0.84 —
Max 4 7 +1
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1————4.55%4.55%9.09%
24.55%18.18%4.55%—9.09%—36.36%
3—4.55%9.09%—4.55%—18.18%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+4.55%9.09%13.64%———27.27%
Total9.09%40.91%27.27%—18.18%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.18 1.95 +1.23
SD 1.56 1.53 2.62
CV 0.49 0.78 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 1 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Shamrock Rovers 1666 28 25.51 +2.49 79.0% 14 19 24 25 28 31 35
St Patricks Athletic 1612 36 25.93 +10.07 99.0% 17 19 23 25 29 33 37
Shelbourne 1582 28 25.41 +2.59 75.0% 15 17 23 25 28 33 35
Waterford 1572 33 27.61 +5.39 94.0% 14 22 26 27 30 34 36
Drumconda 1467 23 25.12 -2.12 33.0% 14 18 22 25 28 31 34
Cork Athletic 1421 25 25.06 -0.06 53.0% 14 18 22 25 27 31 35
Evergreen United 1323 13 21.16 -8.16 3.0% 12 14 18 21 24 28 32
Sligo Rovers 1321 15 17.52 -2.52 30.0% 6 10 15 18 20 24 30
Bohemian 1317 19 20.55 -1.55 42.0% 12 14 18 21 23 28 30
Limerick 1302 17 16.59 +0.41 57.0% 5 11 14 17 19 23 24
Dundalk 1275 13 16.64 -3.64 21.0% 8 10 14 17 19 23 26
Transport 1169 14 16.90 -2.90 31.0% 7 9 14 17 20 24 27

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+7.58%
No Edge
46.97%13.64%39.39%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 26.37 Elo pts.
165 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.30 goals
Neutral
-2+0.16+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.2
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
20%
St Patricks Athletic, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Comfortable
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.23 * Some Luck: 3.23 to 4.84 * Lucky: 4.84 to 6.46 * Wild Swing: 6.46 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.66 * Close: 1.66 to 2.49 * Off: 2.49 to 3.32 * Way Off: 3.32 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.52 points
Some Luck
04.0310
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
02.085
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
St Patricks Athletic
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
3.00%
Evergreen United
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 158.81
1.84
Moderate Separation
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
82%
Wide Edge
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
95%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
49%
Few
0%43%100%
Blowouts
Expected
33%
Very Frequent
0%34%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.32
Very Even
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.25
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.12
Weak Carryover
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
28%
Very Upset-Prone
0%29%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Shaky Favorites
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.63
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.02
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.064
Well Within Noise
00.1430.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
St Patricks Athletic20.00%16.00%7.00%19.00%10.00%11.00%10.00%4.00%3.00%———
Waterford31.00%19.00%20.00%10.00%8.00%7.00%3.00%—1.00%—1.00%—
Shamrock Rovers13.00%19.00%16.00%13.00%13.00%15.00%3.00%6.00%1.00%——1.00%
Shelbourne16.00%12.00%14.00%9.00%15.00%12.00%9.00%5.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%—
Cork Athletic7.00%12.00%16.00%19.00%16.00%7.00%14.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%—
Drumconda8.00%18.00%17.00%13.00%9.00%10.00%7.00%9.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%—
Bohemian2.00%1.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%8.00%17.00%20.00%9.00%15.00%10.00%3.00%
Limerick————4.00%1.00%6.00%15.00%11.00%22.00%19.00%22.00%
Sligo Rovers1.00%—1.00%2.00%3.00%3.00%9.00%10.00%18.00%20.00%15.00%18.00%
Transport——1.00%4.00%2.00%5.00%7.00%5.00%16.00%10.00%18.00%32.00%
Evergreen United2.00%3.00%3.00%6.00%13.00%14.00%12.00%14.00%13.00%8.00%9.00%3.00%
Dundalk————2.00%7.00%3.00%8.00%16.00%19.00%24.00%21.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Bohemian 100%
Cork Athletic 100%
Drumconda 100%
Dundalk 100%
Evergreen United 100%
Limerick 100%
Shamrock Rovers 100%
Shelbourne 100%
Sligo Rovers 100%
St Patricks Athletic 100%
Transport 100%
Waterford 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1954-11-13 Bohemian W 6-243.8 1442 1420 51.35% 14.46% 34.20%+0.30 +32.7 2
1954-11-13 @ Drumconda L 2-643.8 1420 1442 34.20% 14.46% 51.35%-0.30 -32.7 0
1954-11-14 Waterford W 4-354.8 1416 1411 48.98% 14.46% 36.56%+0.19 +12.0 2
1954-11-14 @ Cork Athletic L 3-454.8 1411 1416 36.56% 14.46% 48.98%-0.19 -12.0 0
1954-11-14 Evergreen United W 2-149.5 1402 1451 41.40% 14.46% 44.13%-0.14 +15.2 2
1954-11-14 @ Limerick L 1-249.5 1451 1402 44.13% 14.46% 41.40%+0.14 -15.2 0
1954-11-14 Dundalk L 3-458.7 1412 1385 51.87% 14.45% 33.67%+0.32 -16.2 0
1954-11-14 @ Sligo Rovers W 4-358.7 1385 1412 33.67% 14.45% 51.87%-0.32 +16.2 2
1954-11-14 Shelbourne L 4-655.2 1393 1431 42.97% 14.46% 42.57%-0.07 -21.0 0
1954-11-14 @ St Patricks Athletic W 6-455.2 1431 1393 42.57% 14.46% 42.97%+0.07 +21.0 2
1954-11-14 Shamrock Rovers L 1-248.1 1397 1466 38.63% 14.46% 46.92%-0.26 -13.5 0
1954-11-14 @ Transport W 2-148.1 1466 1397 46.92% 14.46% 38.63%+0.26 +13.5 2
1954-11-20 Shamrock Rovers W 5-145.7 1387 1479 35.46% 14.45% 50.10%-0.40 +53.8 2
1954-11-20 @ Bohemian L 1-545.7 1479 1387 50.10% 14.45% 35.46%+0.40 -53.8 2
1954-11-21 Drumconda L 1-250.9 1436 1475 42.91% 14.46% 42.62%-0.07 -14.8 0
1954-11-21 @ Evergreen United W 2-150.9 1475 1436 42.62% 14.46% 42.91%+0.07 +14.8 4
1954-11-21 Limerick W 3-145.0 1402 1418 46.13% 14.46% 39.41%+0.06 +23.9 4
1954-11-21 @ Dundalk L 1-345.0 1418 1402 39.41% 14.46% 46.13%-0.06 -23.9 2
1954-11-21 Cork Athletic W 3-251.7 1452 1428 51.59% 14.45% 33.96%+0.31 +11.5 4
1954-11-21 @ Shelbourne L 2-351.7 1428 1452 33.96% 14.45% 51.59%-0.31 -11.5 2
1954-11-21 Transport W 3-036.9 1372 1383 46.75% 14.46% 38.78%+0.09 +39.5 2
1954-11-21 @ St Patricks Athletic L 0-336.9 1383 1372 38.78% 14.46% 46.75%-0.09 -39.5 0
1954-11-21 Sligo Rovers W 4-141.5 1399 1395 48.89% 14.46% 36.65%+0.18 +31.7 2
1954-11-21 @ Waterford L 1-441.5 1395 1399 36.65% 14.46% 48.89%-0.18 -31.7 0
1954-11-27 Transport W 2-142.1 1441 1344 60.51% 14.40% 25.09%+0.75 +9.2 4
1954-11-27 @ Bohemian L 1-242.1 1344 1441 25.09% 14.40% 60.51%-0.75 -9.2 0
1954-11-28 St Patricks Athletic D 1-158.6 1416 1411 49.05% 14.46% 36.49%+0.19 -1.0 3
1954-11-28 @ Cork Athletic D 1-158.6 1411 1416 36.49% 14.46% 49.05%-0.19 +1.0 3
1954-11-28 Dundalk W 1-043.3 1490 1426 56.68% 14.43% 28.89%+0.55 +11.1 6
1954-11-28 @ Drumconda L 0-143.3 1426 1490 28.89% 14.43% 56.68%-0.55 -11.1 4
1954-11-28 Waterford W 4-250.4 1394 1431 43.09% 14.46% 42.45%-0.07 +22.8 4
1954-11-28 @ Limerick L 2-450.4 1431 1394 42.45% 14.46% 43.09%+0.07 -22.8 2
1954-11-28 Evergreen United L 1-446.4 1425 1421 48.89% 14.46% 36.65%+0.18 -40.7 2
1954-11-28 @ Shamrock Rovers W 4-146.4 1421 1425 36.65% 14.46% 48.89%-0.18 +40.7 2
1954-11-28 Shelbourne L 2-448.0 1364 1463 34.41% 14.44% 51.15%-0.45 -19.0 0
1954-11-28 @ Sligo Rovers W 4-248.0 1463 1364 51.15% 14.44% 34.41%+0.45 +19.0 6
1954-12-04 Limerick W 3-144.1 1482 1416 56.89% 14.43% 28.68%+0.56 +18.1 8
1954-12-04 @ Shelbourne L 1-344.1 1416 1482 28.68% 14.43% 56.89%-0.56 -18.1 4
1954-12-05 Bohemian W 2-042.4 1462 1450 49.97% 14.46% 35.57%+0.23 +25.2 4
1954-12-05 @ Evergreen United L 0-242.4 1450 1462 35.57% 14.46% 49.97%-0.23 -25.2 4
1954-12-05 Shamrock Rovers L 1-250.6 1414 1385 52.33% 14.45% 33.22%+0.34 -17.7 4
1954-12-05 @ Dundalk W 2-150.6 1385 1414 33.22% 14.45% 52.33%-0.34 +17.7 4
1954-12-05 Sligo Rovers W 5-242.0 1412 1345 57.10% 14.43% 28.47%+0.57 +22.0 5
1954-12-05 @ St Patricks Athletic L 2-542.0 1345 1412 28.47% 14.43% 57.10%-0.57 -22.0 0
1954-12-05 Cork Athletic W 2-148.5 1335 1415 36.96% 14.45% 48.59%-0.33 +16.5 2
1954-12-05 @ Transport L 1-248.5 1415 1335 48.59% 14.45% 36.96%+0.33 -16.5 3
1954-12-05 Drumconda D 2-265.2 1408 1501 35.38% 14.45% 50.17%-0.40 +0.9 3
1954-12-05 @ Waterford D 2-265.2 1501 1408 50.17% 14.45% 35.38%+0.40 -0.9 7
1954-12-11 Dundalk W 2-145.5 1425 1397 52.15% 14.45% 33.40%+0.33 +11.9 6
1954-12-11 @ Bohemian L 1-245.5 1397 1425 33.40% 14.45% 52.15%-0.33 -11.9 4
1954-12-12 Transport D 0-056.1 1487 1351 64.60% 14.36% 21.04%+0.99 -4.2 5
1954-12-12 @ Evergreen United D 0-056.1 1351 1487 21.04% 14.36% 64.60%-0.99 +4.2 3
1954-12-12 Shelbourne L 2-360.2 1500 1501 48.26% 14.46% 37.28%+0.16 -15.6 7
1954-12-12 @ Drumconda W 3-260.2 1501 1500 37.28% 14.46% 48.26%-0.16 +15.6 10
1954-12-12 St Patricks Athletic L 0-242.4 1398 1434 43.29% 14.46% 42.24%-0.06 -29.9 4
1954-12-12 @ Limerick W 2-042.4 1434 1398 42.24% 14.46% 43.29%+0.06 +29.9 7
1954-12-12 Waterford L 2-353.9 1402 1409 47.40% 14.46% 38.14%+0.12 -15.4 4
1954-12-12 @ Shamrock Rovers W 3-253.9 1409 1402 38.14% 14.46% 47.40%-0.12 +15.3 5
1954-12-12 Cork Athletic W 2-147.9 1323 1399 37.60% 14.45% 47.94%-0.30 +16.3 2
1954-12-12 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-247.9 1399 1323 47.94% 14.45% 37.60%+0.30 -16.3 3
1954-12-18 Sligo Rovers W 2-143.6 1355 1339 50.55% 14.46% 34.99%+0.26 +12.4 5
1954-12-18 @ Transport L 1-243.6 1339 1355 34.99% 14.46% 50.55%-0.26 -12.4 2
1954-12-19 Limerick W 4-140.2 1383 1369 50.25% 14.46% 35.29%+0.25 +30.7 5
1954-12-19 @ Cork Athletic L 1-440.2 1369 1383 35.29% 14.46% 50.25%-0.25 -30.7 4
1954-12-19 Evergreen United D 3-368.2 1385 1483 34.59% 14.44% 50.97%-0.44 +0.8 5
1954-12-19 @ Dundalk D 3-368.2 1483 1385 50.97% 14.44% 34.59%+0.44 -0.8 6
1954-12-19 Shamrock Rovers D 1-160.9 1516 1387 63.88% 14.37% 21.75%+0.94 -3.6 11
1954-12-19 @ Shelbourne D 1-160.9 1387 1516 21.75% 14.37% 63.88%-0.94 +3.7 5
1954-12-19 Drumconda W 1-047.8 1464 1484 45.54% 14.46% 39.99%+0.04 +14.8 9
1954-12-19 @ St Patricks Athletic L 0-147.8 1484 1464 39.99% 14.46% 45.54%-0.04 -14.8 7
1954-12-19 Bohemian W 5-247.6 1425 1437 46.63% 14.46% 38.91%+0.08 +28.9 7
1954-12-19 @ Waterford L 2-547.6 1437 1425 38.91% 14.46% 46.63%-0.08 -28.9 6
1954-12-26 Waterford L 2-554.0 1482 1454 52.22% 14.45% 33.33%+0.34 -37.5 6
1954-12-26 @ Evergreen United W 5-254.0 1454 1482 33.33% 14.45% 52.22%-0.34 +37.5 9
1954-12-26 Transport L 3-457.5 1386 1368 50.76% 14.46% 34.78%+0.27 -15.9 5
1954-12-26 @ Dundalk W 4-357.5 1368 1386 34.78% 14.46% 50.76%-0.27 +15.9 7
1954-12-26 Sligo Rovers L 1-247.7 1338 1327 49.88% 14.46% 35.66%+0.23 -16.9 4
1954-12-26 @ Limerick W 2-147.7 1327 1338 35.66% 14.46% 49.88%-0.23 +16.9 4
1954-12-27 Shelbourne L 1-444.2 1408 1512 33.80% 14.44% 51.76%-0.47 -29.5 6
1954-12-27 @ Bohemian W 4-144.2 1512 1408 51.76% 14.44% 33.80%+0.47 +29.5 13
1954-12-27 Cork Athletic L 1-253.9 1470 1413 55.71% 14.44% 29.85%+0.50 -18.8 7
1954-12-27 @ Drumconda W 2-153.9 1413 1470 29.85% 14.44% 55.71%-0.50 +18.8 7
1954-12-27 St Patricks Athletic D 2-264.0 1391 1479 35.94% 14.45% 49.61%-0.38 +0.8 6
1954-12-27 @ Shamrock Rovers D 2-264.0 1479 1391 49.61% 14.45% 35.94%+0.38 -0.8 10
1955-01-01 Bohemian W 2-143.8 1478 1379 60.79% 14.40% 24.81%+0.77 +9.1 12
1955-01-01 @ St Patricks Athletic L 1-243.8 1379 1478 24.81% 14.40% 60.79%-0.77 -9.2 6
1955-01-02 Shamrock Rovers D 3-367.0 1432 1392 53.72% 14.45% 31.83%+0.41 -1.1 8
1955-01-02 @ Cork Athletic D 3-367.0 1392 1432 31.83% 14.45% 53.72%-0.41 +1.1 7
1955-01-02 Evergreen United W 5-037.5 1542 1445 60.50% 14.40% 25.10%+0.75 +43.3 15
1955-01-02 @ Shelbourne L 0-537.5 1445 1542 25.10% 14.40% 60.50%-0.75 -43.3 6
1955-01-02 Drumconda L 1-244.8 1344 1451 33.44% 14.44% 52.13%-0.49 -11.9 4
1955-01-02 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-144.8 1451 1344 52.13% 14.44% 33.44%+0.49 +11.9 9
1955-01-02 Limerick L 0-146.6 1384 1321 56.50% 14.43% 29.06%+0.54 -20.2 7
1955-01-02 @ Transport W 1-046.6 1321 1384 29.06% 14.43% 56.50%-0.54 +20.2 6
1955-01-02 Dundalk W 6-136.2 1491 1370 63.09% 14.38% 22.53%+0.90 +32.5 11
1955-01-02 @ Waterford L 1-636.2 1370 1491 22.53% 14.38% 63.09%-0.90 -32.5 5
1955-01-08 Limerick D 0-055.3 1463 1341 63.12% 14.38% 22.50%+0.90 -3.9 10
1955-01-08 @ Drumconda D 0-055.3 1341 1463 22.50% 14.38% 63.12%-0.90 +3.9 7
1955-01-09 Cork Athletic W 3-146.5 1369 1431 39.64% 14.46% 45.90%-0.21 +27.2 8
1955-01-09 @ Bohemian L 1-346.5 1431 1369 45.90% 14.46% 39.64%+0.21 -27.2 8
1955-01-09 St Patricks Athletic L 0-144.7 1402 1487 36.29% 14.45% 49.26%-0.36 -13.6 6
1955-01-09 @ Evergreen United W 1-044.7 1487 1402 49.26% 14.45% 36.29%+0.36 +13.6 14
1955-01-09 Shelbourne L 1-341.6 1337 1585 18.07% 14.27% 67.67%-1.35 -11.9 5
1955-01-09 @ Dundalk W 3-141.6 1585 1337 67.67% 14.27% 18.07%+1.35 +11.8 17
1955-01-09 Sligo Rovers D 3-365.0 1393 1332 56.30% 14.43% 29.27%+0.53 -1.4 8
1955-01-09 @ Shamrock Rovers D 3-365.0 1332 1393 29.27% 14.43% 56.30%-0.53 +1.4 5
1955-01-09 Transport W 3-247.3 1523 1364 66.83% 14.32% 18.84%+1.13 +6.8 13
1955-01-09 @ Waterford L 2-347.3 1364 1523 18.84% 14.32% 66.83%-1.13 -6.8 7
1955-01-12 Drumconda L 1-345.6 1391 1459 38.80% 14.46% 46.74%-0.25 -23.6 8
1955-01-12 @ Shamrock Rovers W 3-145.6 1459 1391 46.74% 14.46% 38.80%+0.25 +23.5 12
1955-01-15 Drumconda W 1-048.7 1357 1482 31.08% 14.42% 54.49%-0.60 +19.5 9
1955-01-15 @ Transport L 0-148.7 1482 1357 54.49% 14.42% 31.08%+0.60 -19.5 12
1955-01-16 Evergreen United W 4-140.9 1404 1388 50.47% 14.46% 35.08%+0.26 +30.5 10
1955-01-16 @ Cork Athletic L 1-440.9 1388 1404 35.08% 14.46% 50.47%-0.26 -30.5 6
1955-01-16 Shamrock Rovers L 1-246.9 1345 1368 45.18% 14.46% 40.36%+0.02 -15.5 7
1955-01-16 @ Limerick W 2-146.9 1368 1345 40.36% 14.46% 45.18%-0.02 +15.5 10
1955-01-16 Waterford L 1-655.8 1597 1530 57.01% 14.43% 28.56%+0.57 -74.3 17
1955-01-16 @ Shelbourne W 6-155.8 1530 1597 28.56% 14.43% 57.01%-0.57 +74.3 15
1955-01-16 Bohemian W 3-145.3 1333 1397 39.36% 14.46% 46.18%-0.23 +27.4 7
1955-01-16 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-345.3 1397 1333 46.18% 14.46% 39.36%+0.23 -27.4 8
1955-01-16 Dundalk W 10-334.9 1501 1325 68.22% 14.30% 17.48%+1.23 +25.7 16
1955-01-16 @ St Patricks Athletic L 3-1034.9 1325 1501 17.48% 14.30% 68.22%-1.23 -25.7 5
1955-01-22 Limerick W 6-135.7 1369 1330 53.62% 14.45% 31.93%+0.40 +44.4 10
1955-01-22 @ Bohemian L 1-635.7 1330 1369 31.93% 14.45% 53.62%-0.40 -44.4 7
1955-01-23 Sligo Rovers W 4-140.4 1357 1360 47.94% 14.46% 37.60%+0.14 +32.4 8
1955-01-23 @ Evergreen United L 1-440.4 1360 1357 37.60% 14.46% 47.94%-0.14 -32.4 7
1955-01-23 Cork Athletic D 2-260.9 1300 1434 29.96% 14.42% 55.62%-0.66 +1.6 6
1955-01-23 @ Dundalk D 2-260.9 1434 1300 55.62% 14.42% 29.96%+0.66 -1.6 11
1955-01-23 Transport L 0-153.7 1523 1376 65.60% 14.34% 20.06%+1.05 -23.4 17
1955-01-23 @ Shelbourne W 1-053.7 1376 1523 20.06% 14.34% 65.60%-1.05 +23.4 11
1955-01-23 St Patricks Athletic W 2-047.7 1604 1527 58.30% 14.42% 27.28%+0.63 +19.9 17
1955-01-23 @ Waterford L 0-247.7 1527 1604 27.28% 14.42% 58.30%-0.63 -20.0 16
1955-01-29 Drumconda L 0-243.0 1414 1463 41.39% 14.46% 44.15%-0.14 -28.8 10
1955-01-29 @ Bohemian W 2-043.0 1463 1414 44.15% 14.46% 41.39%+0.14 +28.8 14
1955-01-30 Sligo Rovers W 4-034.4 1301 1328 44.59% 14.46% 40.94%+0.00 +54.0 8
1955-01-30 @ Dundalk L 0-434.4 1328 1301 40.94% 14.46% 44.59%+0.00 -54.0 7
1955-01-30 Transport W 6-035.9 1383 1400 46.06% 14.46% 39.47%+0.06 +76.7 12
1955-01-30 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-635.9 1400 1383 39.47% 14.46% 46.06%-0.06 -76.7 11
1955-01-30 St Patricks Athletic L 1-451.4 1499 1507 47.34% 14.46% 38.20%+0.12 -39.6 17
1955-01-30 @ Shelbourne W 4-151.4 1507 1499 38.20% 14.46% 47.34%-0.12 +39.6 18
1955-01-30 Cork Athletic L 2-466.3 1624 1433 69.57% 14.27% 16.16%+1.33 -36.2 17
1955-01-30 @ Waterford W 4-266.3 1433 1624 16.16% 14.27% 69.57%-1.33 +36.2 13
1955-02-05 Bohemian W 7-034.4 1460 1385 57.97% 14.42% 27.61%+0.62 +64.8 14
1955-02-05 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-734.4 1385 1460 27.61% 14.42% 57.97%-0.62 -64.8 10
1955-02-06 Shelbourne W 4-251.6 1469 1460 49.56% 14.46% 35.98%+0.21 +19.7 15
1955-02-06 @ Cork Athletic L 2-451.6 1460 1469 35.98% 14.46% 49.56%-0.21 -19.7 17
1955-02-06 Evergreen United W 2-144.5 1492 1390 61.01% 14.40% 24.59%+0.78 +9.1 16
1955-02-06 @ Drumconda L 1-244.5 1390 1492 24.59% 14.40% 61.01%-0.78 -9.1 8
1955-02-06 Dundalk L 1-244.1 1285 1355 38.44% 14.46% 47.11%-0.27 -13.5 7
1955-02-06 @ Limerick W 2-144.1 1355 1285 47.11% 14.46% 38.44%+0.27 +13.5 10
1955-02-06 Waterford L 1-240.3 1274 1588 13.06% 14.13% 72.81%-1.75 -5.0 7
1955-02-06 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-140.3 1588 1274 72.81% 14.13% 13.06%+1.75 +5.0 19
1955-02-06 St Patricks Athletic L 1-438.4 1323 1546 20.29% 14.31% 65.40%-1.20 -18.7 11
1955-02-06 @ Transport W 4-138.4 1546 1323 65.40% 14.31% 20.29%+1.20 +18.7 20
1955-02-12 Bohemian L 1-246.3 1304 1320 46.15% 14.46% 39.39%+0.06 -15.8 11
1955-02-12 @ Transport W 2-146.3 1320 1304 39.39% 14.46% 46.15%-0.06 +15.8 12
1955-02-13 Shamrock Rovers L 2-351.0 1381 1525 28.83% 14.41% 56.76%-0.71 -9.9 8
1955-02-13 @ Evergreen United W 3-251.0 1525 1381 56.76% 14.41% 28.83%+0.71 +9.9 16
1955-02-13 Drumconda L 0-635.3 1369 1501 30.29% 14.42% 55.29%-0.64 -60.8 10
1955-02-13 @ Dundalk W 6-035.3 1501 1369 55.29% 14.42% 30.29%+0.64 +60.8 18
1955-02-13 Sligo Rovers L 1-351.4 1440 1269 67.84% 14.31% 17.85%+1.20 -39.5 17
1955-02-13 @ Shelbourne W 3-151.4 1269 1440 17.85% 14.31% 67.84%-1.20 +39.5 9
1955-02-13 Cork Athletic W 5-250.9 1565 1489 58.14% 14.42% 27.43%+0.62 +21.3 22
1955-02-13 @ St Patricks Athletic L 2-550.9 1489 1565 27.43% 14.42% 58.14%-0.62 -21.3 15
1955-02-13 Limerick W 5-238.4 1593 1272 77.67% 13.98% 8.35%+2.11 +7.0 21
1955-02-13 @ Waterford L 2-538.4 1272 1593 8.35% 13.98% 77.67%-2.11 -7.0 7
1955-02-19 Dundalk W 7-338.7 1535 1308 72.18% 14.21% 13.61%+1.54 +12.9 18
1955-02-19 @ Shamrock Rovers L 3-738.7 1308 1535 13.61% 14.21% 72.18%-1.54 -12.9 10
1955-02-20 Evergreen United W 3-143.7 1336 1371 43.42% 14.46% 42.12%-0.05 +25.3 14
1955-02-20 @ Bohemian L 1-343.7 1371 1336 42.12% 14.46% 43.42%+0.05 -25.3 8
1955-02-20 Transport W 3-137.0 1467 1288 68.48% 14.29% 17.22%+1.25 +11.3 17
1955-02-20 @ Cork Athletic L 1-337.0 1288 1467 17.22% 14.29% 68.48%-1.25 -11.3 11
1955-02-20 Waterford L 0-548.8 1561 1600 42.88% 14.46% 42.65%-0.08 -69.3 18
1955-02-20 @ Drumconda W 5-048.8 1600 1561 42.65% 14.46% 42.88%+0.08 +69.3 23
1955-02-20 Shelbourne W 2-149.5 1265 1401 29.78% 14.42% 55.80%-0.67 +18.8 9
1955-02-20 @ Limerick L 1-249.5 1401 1265 55.80% 14.42% 29.78%+0.67 -18.8 17
1955-02-20 St Patricks Athletic L 1-242.1 1308 1586 15.65% 14.21% 70.14%-1.53 -6.0 9
1955-02-20 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-142.1 1586 1308 70.14% 14.21% 15.65%+1.53 +6.0 24
1955-02-26 Limerick W 3-243.9 1592 1283 77.05% 14.02% 8.93%+2.04 +3.3 26
1955-02-26 @ St Patricks Athletic L 2-343.9 1283 1592 8.93% 14.02% 77.05%-2.04 -3.3 9
1955-02-27 Sligo Rovers W 4-135.4 1479 1302 68.26% 14.30% 17.44%+1.23 +16.2 19
1955-02-27 @ Cork Athletic L 1-435.4 1302 1479 17.44% 14.30% 68.26%-1.23 -16.2 9
1955-02-27 Bohemian L 0-238.0 1295 1361 39.01% 14.46% 46.54%-0.24 -27.3 10
1955-02-27 @ Dundalk W 2-038.0 1361 1295 46.54% 14.46% 39.01%+0.24 +27.3 16
1955-02-27 Drumconda D 2-264.1 1382 1492 33.04% 14.44% 52.53%-0.51 +1.2 18
1955-02-27 @ Shelbourne D 2-264.1 1492 1382 52.53% 14.44% 33.04%+0.51 -1.2 19
1955-02-27 Shamrock Rovers W 2-154.7 1670 1548 63.17% 14.38% 22.46%+0.90 +8.4 25
1955-02-27 @ Waterford L 1-254.7 1548 1670 22.46% 14.38% 63.17%-0.90 -8.4 18
1955-03-12 Waterford L 1-443.7 1388 1678 14.78% 14.19% 71.03%-1.60 -13.9 16
1955-03-12 @ Bohemian W 4-143.7 1678 1388 71.03% 14.19% 14.78%+1.60 +13.9 27
1955-03-13 Dundalk W 4-030.2 1346 1268 58.31% 14.42% 27.27%+0.63 +37.8 10
1955-03-13 @ Evergreen United L 0-430.2 1268 1346 27.27% 14.42% 58.31%-0.63 -37.8 10
1955-03-13 St Patricks Athletic L 0-345.7 1491 1596 33.77% 14.44% 51.79%-0.48 -35.0 19
1955-03-13 @ Drumconda W 3-045.7 1596 1491 51.79% 14.44% 33.77%+0.48 +35.0 28
1955-03-13 Cork Athletic L 0-137.1 1280 1495 21.12% 14.32% 64.56%-1.14 -8.4 9
1955-03-13 @ Limerick W 1-037.1 1495 1280 64.56% 14.32% 21.12%+1.14 +8.4 21
1955-03-13 Shelbourne W 2-037.8 1539 1383 66.48% 14.33% 19.19%+1.11 +14.5 20
1955-03-13 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-237.8 1383 1539 19.19% 14.33% 66.48%-1.11 -14.5 18
1955-03-13 Transport W 3-034.0 1286 1277 49.58% 14.46% 35.96%+0.21 +37.0 11
1955-03-13 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-334.0 1277 1286 35.96% 14.46% 49.58%-0.21 -37.0 11
1955-03-19 Bohemian W 3-036.4 1369 1375 47.52% 14.46% 38.01%+0.12 +38.8 20
1955-03-19 @ Shelbourne L 0-336.4 1375 1369 38.01% 14.46% 47.52%-0.12 -38.8 16
1955-03-20 Drumconda W 2-042.7 1503 1456 54.59% 14.44% 30.97%+0.45 +22.3 23
1955-03-20 @ Cork Athletic L 0-242.7 1456 1503 30.97% 14.44% 54.59%-0.45 -22.3 19
1955-03-20 Limerick L 0-145.2 1323 1272 55.11% 14.44% 30.45%+0.47 -19.7 11
1955-03-20 @ Sligo Rovers W 1-045.2 1272 1323 30.45% 14.44% 55.11%-0.47 +19.7 11
1955-03-20 Shamrock Rovers L 0-553.9 1631 1554 58.20% 14.42% 27.38%+0.63 -91.5 28
1955-03-20 @ St Patricks Athletic W 5-053.9 1554 1631 27.38% 14.42% 58.20%-0.63 +91.5 22
1955-03-20 Dundalk D 0-051.9 1240 1230 49.74% 14.46% 35.80%+0.22 -1.3 12
1955-03-20 @ Transport D 0-051.9 1230 1240 35.80% 14.46% 49.74%-0.22 +1.3 11
1955-03-20 Evergreen United W 2-146.6 1692 1383 77.03% 14.02% 8.95%+2.03 +3.5 29
1955-03-20 @ Waterford L 1-246.6 1383 1692 8.95% 14.02% 77.03%-2.03 -3.5 10
1955-03-30 Limerick L 2-355.1 1380 1291 59.54% 14.41% 26.05%+0.70 -19.0 10
1955-03-30 @ Evergreen United W 3-255.1 1291 1380 26.05% 14.41% 59.54%-0.70 +19.0 13
1955-04-01 Sligo Rovers D 0-054.0 1434 1303 63.99% 14.37% 21.64%+0.95 -4.1 20
1955-04-01 @ Drumconda D 0-054.0 1303 1434 21.64% 14.37% 63.99%-0.95 +4.1 12
1955-04-02 Dundalk W 2-137.7 1407 1231 68.27% 14.30% 17.44%+1.23 +6.6 22
1955-04-02 @ Shelbourne L 1-237.7 1231 1407 17.44% 14.30% 68.27%-1.23 -6.6 11
1955-04-03 Bohemian D 4-471.1 1526 1336 69.40% 14.28% 16.33%+1.31 -2.5 24
1955-04-03 @ Cork Athletic D 4-471.1 1336 1526 16.33% 14.28% 69.40%-1.31 +2.5 17
1955-04-03 Drumconda L 0-532.5 1310 1430 31.90% 14.43% 53.67%-0.56 -53.6 13
1955-04-03 @ Limerick W 5-032.5 1430 1310 53.67% 14.43% 31.90%+0.56 +53.6 22
1955-04-03 Shamrock Rovers W 1-058.1 1308 1645 11.61% 14.08% 74.32%-1.89 +26.6 14
1955-04-03 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-158.1 1645 1308 74.32% 14.08% 11.61%+1.89 -26.6 22
1955-04-03 Evergreen United W 1-039.3 1539 1361 68.43% 14.30% 17.28%+1.24 +7.0 30
1955-04-03 @ St Patricks Athletic L 0-139.3 1361 1539 17.28% 14.30% 68.43%-1.24 -7.0 10
1955-04-03 Waterford L 1-338.3 1239 1695 6.22% 13.74% 80.04%-2.61 -4.3 12
1955-04-03 @ Transport W 3-138.3 1695 1239 80.04% 13.74% 6.22%+2.61 +4.3 31
1955-04-09 Shelbourne L 1-441.9 1354 1414 39.85% 14.46% 45.69%-0.20 -34.1 10
1955-04-09 @ Evergreen United W 4-141.9 1414 1354 45.69% 14.46% 39.85%+0.20 +34.1 24
1955-04-10 Transport W 5-241.4 1257 1235 51.34% 14.46% 34.20%+0.29 +25.9 15
1955-04-10 @ Limerick L 2-541.4 1235 1257 34.20% 14.46% 51.34%-0.29 -25.8 12
1955-04-10 Cork Athletic D 1-159.1 1320 1523 22.27% 14.34% 63.39%-1.07 +3.5 11
1955-04-10 @ Evergreen United D 1-159.1 1523 1320 63.39% 14.34% 22.27%+1.07 -3.5 25
1955-04-10 St Patricks Athletic L 0-329.2 1225 1546 12.60% 14.12% 73.29%-1.79 -14.2 11
1955-04-10 @ Dundalk W 3-029.2 1546 1225 73.29% 14.12% 12.60%+1.79 +14.2 32
1955-04-14 Transport D 1-156.2 1483 1209 75.21% 14.10% 10.68%+1.83 -5.8 23
1955-04-14 @ Drumconda D 1-156.2 1209 1483 10.68% 14.10% 75.21%-1.83 +5.8 13
1955-04-14 Limerick W 3-031.1 1619 1283 78.31% 13.94% 7.75%+2.20 +8.9 24
1955-04-14 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-331.1 1283 1619 7.75% 13.94% 78.31%-2.20 -8.9 15
1955-04-15 Sligo Rovers W 2-143.9 1338 1334 48.91% 14.46% 36.63%+0.19 +12.9 19
1955-04-15 @ Bohemian L 1-243.9 1334 1338 36.63% 14.46% 48.91%-0.19 -12.9 14
1955-04-16 Evergreen United D 1-154.9 1215 1323 33.22% 14.44% 52.35%-0.50 +1.6 14
1955-04-16 @ Transport D 1-154.9 1323 1215 52.35% 14.44% 33.22%+0.50 -1.6 12
1955-04-16 Shamrock Rovers L 1-253.4 1477 1627 28.08% 14.40% 57.51%-0.75 -10.2 23
1955-04-16 @ Drumconda W 2-153.4 1627 1477 57.51% 14.40% 28.08%+0.75 +10.2 26
1955-04-17 Dundalk L 2-653.6 1519 1210 77.06% 14.02% 8.92%+2.04 -70.0 25
1955-04-17 @ Cork Athletic W 6-253.6 1210 1519 8.92% 14.02% 77.06%-2.04 +69.9 13
1955-04-17 Bohemian W 3-144.7 1274 1351 37.43% 14.45% 48.12%-0.31 +28.4 17
1955-04-17 @ Limerick L 1-344.7 1351 1274 48.12% 14.45% 37.43%+0.31 -28.4 19
1955-04-17 Evergreen United D 2-259.8 1321 1322 48.25% 14.46% 37.28%+0.16 -0.7 15
1955-04-17 @ Sligo Rovers D 2-259.8 1322 1321 37.28% 14.46% 48.25%-0.16 +0.7 13
1955-04-17 Waterford W 4-161.3 1560 1700 29.37% 14.41% 56.21%-0.69 +46.3 34
1955-04-17 @ St Patricks Athletic L 1-461.3 1700 1560 56.21% 14.41% 29.37%+0.69 -46.3 31
1955-04-17 Shelbourne L 0-728.7 1216 1448 19.50% 14.29% 66.21%-1.25 -47.2 14
1955-04-17 @ Transport W 7-028.7 1448 1216 66.21% 14.29% 19.50%+1.25 +47.2 26
1955-04-18 Cork Athletic W 7-141.9 1638 1450 69.26% 14.28% 16.46%+1.30 +28.8 28
1955-04-18 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-741.9 1450 1638 16.46% 14.28% 69.26%-1.30 -28.8 25
1955-04-20 St Patricks Athletic L 1-243.2 1323 1607 15.21% 14.20% 70.60%-1.56 -5.8 19
1955-04-20 @ Bohemian W 2-143.2 1607 1323 70.60% 14.20% 15.21%+1.56 +5.8 36
1955-04-21 Shelbourne L 1-659.3 1653 1495 66.65% 14.33% 19.03%+1.12 -86.7 31
1955-04-21 @ Waterford W 6-159.3 1495 1653 19.03% 14.33% 66.65%-1.12 +86.7 28
1955-04-24 Waterford L 1-240.5 1280 1567 15.02% 14.19% 70.78%-1.58 -5.8 13
1955-04-24 @ Dundalk W 2-140.5 1567 1280 70.78% 14.19% 15.02%+1.58 +5.8 33

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1955-04-17 8.92% Dundalk 1210 6 @ Cork Athletic 1519 2
2 1955-04-03 11.61% @ Sligo Rovers 1308 1 Shamrock Rovers 1645 0
3 1955-01-30 16.16% Cork Athletic 1433 4 @ Waterford 1624 2
4 1955-02-13 17.85% Sligo Rovers 1269 3 @ Shelbourne 1440 1
5 1955-04-21 19.03% Shelbourne 1495 6 @ Waterford 1653 1
6 1955-01-23 20.06% Transport 1376 1 @ Shelbourne 1523 0
7 1955-03-30 26.05% Limerick 1291 3 @ Evergreen United 1380 2
8 1955-03-20 27.38% Shamrock Rovers 1554 5 @ St Patricks Athletic 1631 0
9 1955-01-16 28.56% Waterford 1530 6 @ Shelbourne 1597 1
10 1955-01-02 29.06% Limerick 1321 1 @ Transport 1384 0
11 1955-04-17 29.37% @ St Patricks Athletic 1560 4 Waterford 1700 1
12 1955-02-20 29.78% @ Limerick 1265 2 Shelbourne 1401 1
13 1954-12-27 29.85% Cork Athletic 1413 2 @ Drumconda 1470 1
14 1955-03-20 30.45% Limerick 1272 1 @ Sligo Rovers 1323 0
15 1955-01-15 31.08% @ Transport 1357 1 Drumconda 1482 0
16 1954-12-05 33.22% Shamrock Rovers 1385 2 @ Dundalk 1414 1
17 1954-12-26 33.33% Waterford 1454 5 @ Evergreen United 1482 2
18 1954-11-14 33.67% Dundalk 1385 4 @ Sligo Rovers 1412 3
19 1954-12-26 34.78% Transport 1368 4 @ Dundalk 1386 3
20 1954-11-20 35.46% @ Bohemian 1387 5 Shamrock Rovers 1479 1
21 1954-12-26 35.66% Sligo Rovers 1327 2 @ Limerick 1338 1
22 1954-11-28 36.65% Evergreen United 1421 4 @ Shamrock Rovers 1425 1
23 1954-12-05 36.96% @ Transport 1335 2 Cork Athletic 1415 1
24 1954-12-12 37.28% Shelbourne 1501 3 @ Drumconda 1500 2
25 1955-04-17 37.43% @ Limerick 1274 3 Bohemian 1351 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1955-03-20 91.51 Shamrock Rovers 5 1554 27.38% @ St Patricks Athletic 0 1631 58.20% 14.42%
2 1955-04-21 86.71 Shelbourne 6 1495 19.03% @ Waterford 1 1653 66.65% 14.33%
3 1955-01-30 76.67 @ Shamrock Rovers 6 1383 46.06% Transport 0 1400 39.47% 14.46%
4 1955-01-16 74.28 Waterford 6 1530 28.56% @ Shelbourne 1 1597 57.01% 14.43%
5 1955-04-17 69.95 Dundalk 6 1210 8.92% @ Cork Athletic 2 1519 77.06% 14.02%
6 1955-02-20 69.32 Waterford 5 1600 42.65% @ Drumconda 0 1561 42.88% 14.46%
7 1955-02-05 64.82 @ Shamrock Rovers 7 1460 57.97% Bohemian 0 1385 27.61% 14.42%
8 1955-02-13 60.80 Drumconda 6 1501 55.29% @ Dundalk 0 1369 30.29% 14.42%
9 1955-01-30 54.04 @ Dundalk 4 1301 44.59% Sligo Rovers 0 1328 40.94% 14.46%
10 1954-11-20 53.76 @ Bohemian 5 1387 35.46% Shamrock Rovers 1 1479 50.10% 14.45%
11 1955-04-03 53.59 Drumconda 5 1430 53.67% @ Limerick 0 1310 31.90% 14.43%
12 1955-04-17 47.22 Shelbourne 7 1448 66.21% @ Transport 0 1216 19.50% 14.29%
13 1955-04-17 46.35 @ St Patricks Athletic 4 1560 29.37% Waterford 1 1700 56.21% 14.41%
14 1955-01-22 44.43 @ Bohemian 6 1369 53.62% Limerick 1 1330 31.93% 14.45%
15 1955-01-02 43.28 @ Shelbourne 5 1542 60.50% Evergreen United 0 1445 25.10% 14.40%
16 1954-11-28 40.73 Evergreen United 4 1421 36.65% @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1425 48.89% 14.46%
17 1955-01-30 39.57 St Patricks Athletic 4 1507 38.20% @ Shelbourne 1 1499 47.34% 14.46%
18 1954-11-21 39.49 @ St Patricks Athletic 3 1372 46.75% Transport 0 1383 38.78% 14.46%
19 1955-02-13 39.49 Sligo Rovers 3 1269 17.85% @ Shelbourne 1 1440 67.84% 14.31%
20 1955-03-19 38.80 @ Shelbourne 3 1369 47.52% Bohemian 0 1375 38.01% 14.46%
21 1955-03-13 37.84 @ Evergreen United 4 1346 58.31% Dundalk 0 1268 27.27% 14.42%
22 1954-12-26 37.46 Waterford 5 1454 33.33% @ Evergreen United 2 1482 52.22% 14.45%
23 1955-03-13 36.98 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1286 49.58% Transport 0 1277 35.96% 14.46%
24 1955-01-30 36.25 Cork Athletic 4 1433 16.16% @ Waterford 2 1624 69.57% 14.27%
25 1955-03-13 35.00 St Patricks Athletic 3 1596 51.79% @ Drumconda 0 1491 33.77% 14.44%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1955-04-03 71.1 @ Cork Athletic 4 1526 69.40% Bohemian 4 1336 16.33% 14.28%
2 1954-12-19 68.2 @ Dundalk 3 1385 34.59% Evergreen United 3 1483 50.97% 14.44%
3 1955-01-02 67.0 @ Cork Athletic 3 1432 53.72% Shamrock Rovers 3 1392 31.83% 14.45%
4 1955-01-30 66.3 Cork Athletic 4 1433 16.16% @ Waterford 2 1624 69.57% 14.27%
5 1954-12-05 65.2 @ Waterford 2 1408 35.38% Drumconda 2 1501 50.17% 14.45%
6 1955-01-09 65.0 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1393 56.30% Sligo Rovers 3 1332 29.27% 14.43%
7 1955-02-27 64.1 @ Shelbourne 2 1382 33.04% Drumconda 2 1492 52.53% 14.44%
8 1954-12-27 64.0 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1391 35.94% St Patricks Athletic 2 1479 49.61% 14.45%
9 1955-04-17 61.3 @ St Patricks Athletic 4 1560 29.37% Waterford 1 1700 56.21% 14.41%
10 1954-12-19 60.9 @ Shelbourne 1 1516 63.88% Shamrock Rovers 1 1387 21.75% 14.37%
11 1955-01-23 60.9 @ Dundalk 2 1300 29.96% Cork Athletic 2 1434 55.62% 14.42%
12 1954-12-12 60.2 Shelbourne 3 1501 37.28% @ Drumconda 2 1500 48.26% 14.46%
13 1955-04-17 59.8 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1321 48.25% Evergreen United 2 1322 37.28% 14.46%
14 1955-04-21 59.3 Shelbourne 6 1495 19.03% @ Waterford 1 1653 66.65% 14.33%
15 1955-04-10 59.1 @ Evergreen United 1 1320 22.27% Cork Athletic 1 1523 63.39% 14.34%
16 1954-11-14 58.7 Dundalk 4 1385 33.67% @ Sligo Rovers 3 1412 51.87% 14.45%
17 1954-11-28 58.6 @ Cork Athletic 1 1416 49.05% St Patricks Athletic 1 1411 36.49% 14.46%
18 1955-04-03 58.1 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1308 11.61% Shamrock Rovers 0 1645 74.32% 14.08%
19 1954-12-26 57.5 Transport 4 1368 34.78% @ Dundalk 3 1386 50.76% 14.46%
20 1955-04-14 56.2 @ Drumconda 1 1483 75.21% Transport 1 1209 10.68% 14.10%
21 1954-12-12 56.1 @ Evergreen United 0 1487 64.60% Transport 0 1351 21.04% 14.36%
22 1955-01-16 55.8 Waterford 6 1530 28.56% @ Shelbourne 1 1597 57.01% 14.43%
23 1955-01-08 55.3 @ Drumconda 0 1463 63.12% Limerick 0 1341 22.50% 14.38%
24 1954-11-14 55.2 Shelbourne 6 1431 42.57% @ St Patricks Athletic 4 1393 42.97% 14.46%
25 1955-03-30 55.1 Limerick 3 1291 26.05% @ Evergreen United 2 1380 59.54% 14.41%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1955-04-17 28.7 Shelbourne 7 1448 66.21% @ Transport 0 1216 19.50% 14.29%
2 1955-04-10 29.2 St Patricks Athletic 3 1546 73.29% @ Dundalk 0 1225 12.60% 14.12%
3 1955-03-13 30.2 @ Evergreen United 4 1346 58.31% Dundalk 0 1268 27.27% 14.42%
4 1955-04-14 31.1 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1619 78.31% Limerick 0 1283 7.75% 13.94%
5 1955-04-03 32.5 Drumconda 5 1430 53.67% @ Limerick 0 1310 31.90% 14.43%
6 1955-03-13 34.0 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1286 49.58% Transport 0 1277 35.96% 14.46%
7 1955-01-30 34.4 @ Dundalk 4 1301 44.59% Sligo Rovers 0 1328 40.94% 14.46%
8 1955-02-05 34.4 @ Shamrock Rovers 7 1460 57.97% Bohemian 0 1385 27.61% 14.42%
9 1955-01-16 34.9 @ St Patricks Athletic 10 1501 68.22% Dundalk 3 1325 17.48% 14.30%
10 1955-02-13 35.3 Drumconda 6 1501 55.29% @ Dundalk 0 1369 30.29% 14.42%
11 1955-02-27 35.4 @ Cork Athletic 4 1479 68.26% Sligo Rovers 1 1302 17.44% 14.30%
12 1955-01-22 35.7 @ Bohemian 6 1369 53.62% Limerick 1 1330 31.93% 14.45%
13 1955-01-30 35.9 @ Shamrock Rovers 6 1383 46.06% Transport 0 1400 39.47% 14.46%
14 1955-01-02 36.2 @ Waterford 6 1491 63.09% Dundalk 1 1370 22.53% 14.38%
15 1955-03-19 36.4 @ Shelbourne 3 1369 47.52% Bohemian 0 1375 38.01% 14.46%
16 1954-11-21 36.9 @ St Patricks Athletic 3 1372 46.75% Transport 0 1383 38.78% 14.46%
17 1955-02-20 37.0 @ Cork Athletic 3 1467 68.48% Transport 1 1288 17.22% 14.29%
18 1955-03-13 37.1 Cork Athletic 1 1495 64.56% @ Limerick 0 1280 21.12% 14.32%
19 1955-01-02 37.5 @ Shelbourne 5 1542 60.50% Evergreen United 0 1445 25.10% 14.40%
20 1955-04-02 37.7 @ Shelbourne 2 1407 68.27% Dundalk 1 1231 17.44% 14.30%
21 1955-03-13 37.8 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1539 66.48% Shelbourne 0 1383 19.19% 14.33%
22 1955-02-27 38.0 Bohemian 2 1361 46.54% @ Dundalk 0 1295 39.01% 14.46%
23 1955-04-03 38.3 Waterford 3 1695 80.04% @ Transport 1 1239 6.22% 13.74%
24 1955-02-06 38.4 St Patricks Athletic 4 1546 65.40% @ Transport 1 1323 20.29% 14.31%
25 1955-02-13 38.4 @ Waterford 5 1593 77.67% Limerick 2 1272 8.35% 13.98%