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1953-54 League of Ireland Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Shamrock Rovers

30 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Shamrock Rovers

5.32 points above expected

30 points · 24.68 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Dundalk

7.98 points below expected

12 points · 19.98 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Shamrock Rovers 22 11 8 3 30 44 20 +24 24.68 +5.32
2 Evergreen United 22 11 6 5 28 44 29 +15 23.86 +4.14
3 Drumconda 22 10 7 5 27 37 25 +12 23.41 +3.59
4 Cork Athletic 22 11 3 8 25 40 46 -6 21.38 +3.62
5 Limerick 22 8 8 6 24 42 43 -1 20.87 +3.13
6 Shelbourne 22 10 3 9 23 35 35 0 23.01 -0.01
7 Waterford 22 8 6 8 22 45 45 0 21.65 +0.35
8 Bohemian 22 8 4 10 20 41 36 +5 19.65 +0.35
9 Sligo Rovers 22 8 4 10 20 33 37 -4 22.39 -2.39
10 Transport 22 7 4 11 18 42 49 -7 21.69 -3.69
11 St Patricks Athletic 22 4 7 11 15 27 43 -16 21.43 -6.43
12 Dundalk 22 4 4 14 12 32 54 -22 19.98 -7.98

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Shamrock Rovers 30 24.68 +5.32
2 Evergreen United 28 23.86 +4.14
3 Cork Athletic 25 21.38 +3.62
4 Drumconda 27 23.41 +3.59
5 Limerick 24 20.87 +3.13

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dundalk 12 19.98 -7.98
2 St Patricks Athletic 15 21.43 -6.43
3 Transport 18 21.69 -3.69
4 Sligo Rovers 20 22.39 -2.39
5 Shelbourne 23 23.01 -0.01

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shamrock Rovers 4 Mar 28 – Apr 18 1 in 37
2 Transport 3 Nov 14 – Nov 29 1 in 29
3 Waterford 3 Nov 8 – Nov 22 1 in 29
4 Limerick 3 Jan 3 – Jan 17 1 in 26
5 Cork Athletic 3 Jan 3 – Jan 17 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundalk 7 Jan 3 – Feb 14 1 in 588
2 Transport 5 Jan 31 – Mar 7 1 in 206
3 Bohemian 5 Nov 29 – Dec 27 1 in 118
4 Waterford 3 Jan 3 – Jan 17 1 in 23
5 St Patricks Athletic 2 Nov 8 – Nov 15 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bohemian 7 Jan 23 – Mar 14 1 in 108
2 Drumconda 9 Jan 31 – Apr 9 1 in 87
3 Shamrock Rovers 8 Dec 6 – Jan 24 1 in 33
4 St Patricks Athletic 5 Mar 7 – Apr 18 1 in 20
5 Limerick 5 Dec 20 – Jan 17 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Transport 7 Jan 17 – Mar 7 1 in 61
2 Sligo Rovers 9 Jan 31 – Apr 4 1 in 43
3 St Patricks Athletic 6 Dec 13 – Jan 17 1 in 21
4 Shelbourne 4 Feb 21 – Mar 27 1 in 20
5 Drumconda 5 Feb 14 – Mar 28 1 in 20

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Shamrock Rovers 1474 30 +59 9 5.2 +3.8
Evergreen United 1439 28 +9 7 6.1 +0.9
Drumconda 1414 27 +10 6 5.1 +0.9
Cork Athletic 1352 25 +3 5 4.9 +0.1
Limerick 1313 24 +1 5 4.5 +0.5
Shelbourne 1384 23 -4 5 5.6 -0.6
Waterford 1330 22 -37 4 5.3 -1.3
Bohemian 1345 20 +6 5 5.5 -0.5
Sligo Rovers 1329 20 -18 3 4.6 -1.6
Transport 1282 18 -10 3 4.1 -1.1
St Patricks Athletic 1275 15 +1 5 4.9 +0.1
Dundalk 1242 12 -20 3 4.2 -1.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOH CA DRU DUN EU LIM SR SHE SR SPA TRA WAT
Bohemian —
1-0-1
2.63
1-0-1
2.35
1-0-1
2.92
0-1-1
2.27
2-0-0
2.66
0-0-2
2.30
0-1-1
2.48
1-1-0
2.47
1-0-1
2.69
0-1-1
2.74
1-0-1
2.53
Cork Athletic
1-0-1
2.87
—
1-1-0
2.45
2-0-0
2.85
1-0-1
2.44
1-0-1
2.89
1-0-1
2.31
1-0-1
2.64
0-1-1
2.75
1-1-0
2.93
2-0-0
2.78
0-0-2
2.87
Drumconda
1-0-1
3.17
0-1-1
3.05
—
2-0-0
3.19
1-0-1
2.67
0-2-0
3.16
1-1-0
2.62
1-0-1
2.84
1-1-0
2.92
1-1-0
3.19
1-0-1
3.01
1-1-0
2.91
Dundalk
1-0-1
2.60
0-0-2
2.65
0-0-2
2.33
—
0-1-1
2.05
1-0-1
2.44
0-0-2
2.03
0-0-2
2.28
1-0-1
2.52
0-1-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.49
0-2-0
2.44
Evergreen United
1-1-0
3.23
1-0-1
3.06
1-0-1
2.83
1-1-0
3.46
—
1-1-0
2.98
0-1-1
2.59
1-1-0
2.89
1-0-1
2.87
2-0-0
2.98
1-0-1
3.15
1-1-0
2.98
Limerick
0-0-2
2.84
1-0-1
2.61
0-2-0
2.35
1-0-1
3.06
0-1-1
2.52
—
0-2-0
2.11
2-0-0
2.38
1-0-1
2.51
1-1-0
2.75
1-1-0
2.50
1-1-0
2.59
Shamrock Rovers
2-0-0
3.22
1-0-1
3.19
0-1-1
2.88
2-0-0
3.48
1-1-0
2.90
0-2-0
3.40
—
1-1-0
2.93
1-0-1
3.05
1-1-0
3.19
1-1-0
3.14
1-1-0
3.16
Shelbourne
1-1-0
3.02
1-0-1
2.85
1-0-1
2.66
2-0-0
3.21
0-1-1
2.61
0-0-2
3.12
0-1-1
2.57
—
2-0-0
2.87
1-0-1
2.94
1-0-1
2.98
1-0-1
2.82
Sligo Rovers
0-1-1
3.04
1-1-0
2.74
0-1-1
2.58
1-0-1
2.98
1-0-1
2.63
1-0-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.46
0-0-2
2.63
—
1-1-0
2.98
1-0-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.79
St Patricks Athletic
1-0-1
2.80
0-1-1
2.58
0-1-1
2.30
1-1-0
2.88
0-0-2
2.53
0-1-1
2.75
0-1-1
2.33
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-1
2.52
—
1-1-0
2.57
0-0-2
2.78
Transport
1-1-0
2.77
0-0-2
2.71
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
3.01
1-0-1
2.36
0-1-1
2.99
0-1-1
2.36
1-0-1
2.52
1-0-1
2.66
0-1-1
2.93
—
1-0-1
2.69
Waterford
1-0-1
2.97
2-0-0
2.63
0-1-1
2.59
0-2-0
3.07
0-1-1
2.52
0-1-1
2.91
0-1-1
2.35
1-0-1
2.68
1-0-1
2.71
2-0-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.81
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.42 +6.1
Allowed 0.62 -4.1
Differential 0.82 +3.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.79%4.55%5.68%2.65%0.76%—17.42%
14.55%9.09%8.33%3.79%3.41%0.76%29.92%
25.68%8.33%9.85%4.17%0.38%2.27%30.68%
32.65%3.79%4.17%—0.38%0.76%11.74%
40.76%3.41%0.38%0.38%1.52%—6.44%
5+—0.76%2.27%0.76%——3.79%
Total17.42%29.92%30.68%11.74%6.44%3.79%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 1.75 +0.00
SD 1.42 1.42 1.99
CV 0.81 0.81 —
Max 10 10 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%13.64%———22.73%
14.55%4.55%13.64%———22.73%
2—4.55%13.64%4.55%——22.73%
3—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
4—22.73%————22.73%
5+———————
Total4.55%45.45%40.91%4.55%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.64 +0.23
SD 1.49 1.00 1.85
CV 0.80 0.61 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%4.55%——13.64%
14.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
29.09%18.18%9.09%4.55%—9.09%50.00%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
5+———————
Total13.64%31.82%27.27%18.18%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 2.09 -0.27
SD 1.10 2.14 2.41
CV 0.60 1.02 —
Max 4 10 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—9.09%4.55%——22.73%
19.09%13.64%9.09%———31.82%
24.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total31.82%27.27%36.36%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.14 +0.55
SD 1.64 0.94 1.90
CV 0.98 0.83 —
Max 7 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%——4.55%—13.64%
1—4.55%13.64%9.09%9.09%4.55%40.91%
2—4.55%13.64%9.09%—4.55%31.82%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total4.55%22.73%31.82%18.18%13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 2.45 -1.00
SD 0.91 1.47 1.90
CV 0.63 0.60 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
14.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
29.09%9.09%13.64%4.55%——36.36%
39.09%13.64%————22.73%
4—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
5+———————
Total22.73%40.91%22.73%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.32 +0.68
SD 1.11 1.09 1.59
CV 0.56 0.82 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
1—9.09%—4.55%9.09%—22.73%
29.09%13.64%13.64%4.55%——40.91%
3——9.09%———9.09%
4————9.09%—9.09%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total13.64%27.27%27.27%13.64%18.18%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 1.95 -0.05
SD 1.31 1.33 1.62
CV 0.68 0.68 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
118.18%31.82%—4.55%——54.55%
29.09%4.55%—4.55%——18.18%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total31.82%54.55%4.55%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 0.91 +1.09
SD 2.33 0.87 2.24
CV 1.16 0.95 —
Max 10 3 +8
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%————13.64%
19.09%9.09%9.09%—4.55%—31.82%
24.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%36.36%
34.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%40.91%22.73%4.55%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.59 +0.00
SD 0.96 1.37 1.57
CV 0.60 0.86 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—13.64%———18.18%
14.55%—13.64%9.09%4.55%—31.82%
24.55%9.09%13.64%4.55%——31.82%
39.09%—9.09%———18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%9.09%50.00%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.68 -0.18
SD 1.01 1.13 1.68
CV 0.67 0.67 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%13.64%———31.82%
1—9.09%9.09%4.55%9.09%—31.82%
24.55%9.09%9.09%——9.09%31.82%
3———————
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total18.18%27.27%31.82%4.55%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.95 -0.73
SD 1.34 1.76 2.07
CV 1.09 0.90 —
Max 6 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%9.09%4.55%—27.27%
1—9.09%13.64%———22.73%
24.55%——9.09%——13.64%
3—4.55%9.09%—4.55%—18.18%
4————4.55%—4.55%
5+——4.55%9.09%——13.64%
Total9.09%13.64%36.36%27.27%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 2.23 -0.32
SD 1.74 1.15 1.86
CV 0.91 0.52 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
1—4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%27.27%
29.09%4.55%18.18%———31.82%
3—————4.55%4.55%
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+——9.09%———9.09%
Total18.18%18.18%36.36%13.64%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 2.05 +0.00
SD 1.53 1.70 2.43
CV 0.75 0.83 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Shamrock Rovers 1474 30 24.68 +5.32 94.0% 15 19 22 24 28 31 35
Evergreen United 1439 28 23.86 +4.14 96.0% 14 19 22 24 25 28 32
Drumconda 1414 27 23.41 +3.59 90.0% 15 19 21 23 25 28 31
Shelbourne 1384 23 23.01 -0.01 54.0% 14 17 20 23 26 29 31
Cork Athletic 1352 25 21.38 +3.62 90.0% 15 16 19 21 24 26 30
Bohemian 1345 20 19.65 +0.35 65.0% 10 15 17 19 22 26 28
Waterford 1330 22 21.65 +0.35 60.0% 14 16 19 21 24 27 28
Sligo Rovers 1329 20 22.39 -2.39 29.0% 11 16 20 23 25 29 31
Limerick 1313 24 20.87 +3.13 87.0% 10 16 19 21 23 26 29
Transport 1282 18 21.69 -3.69 22.0% 15 17 19 21 24 27 30
St Patricks Athletic 1275 15 21.43 -6.43 6.0% 12 15 19 22 24 27 28
Dundalk 1242 12 19.98 -7.98 3.0% 12 14 17 20 23 26 28

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+36.36%
Strong Edge
56.06%24.24%19.70%
Elo Value
Home Edge
166 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0132.40500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.83 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.80+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
6.7
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
28%
Shamrock Rovers, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Tight Race
00.090.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.75 * Some Luck: 2.75 to 4.12 * Lucky: 4.12 to 5.49 * Wild Swing: 5.49 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.4 * Close: 2.4 to 3.6 * Off: 3.6 to 4.81 * Way Off: 4.81 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.14 points
Lucky
03.439
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.33
Pinpoint
03.008
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
96.00%
Evergreen United
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
3.00%
Dundalk
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Balanced
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 69.32
1.30
Coin-Flip Parity
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
62%
Even
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
79%
Even
50%80%100%
Close Games
Expected
59%
Frequent
0%55%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Frequent
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.552
Matchup Imbalance
0.58
Lopsided
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.43
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.28
Weak Carryover
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Chalky
0%16%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
As Expected
0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.
Probability calibration
0.09
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.09
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.070
Well Within Noise
00.1030.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Shamrock Rovers28.00%12.00%13.00%9.00%8.00%5.00%5.00%11.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%
Evergreen United15.00%16.00%16.00%11.00%9.00%10.00%6.00%8.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%
Drumconda11.00%13.00%11.00%10.00%15.00%11.00%8.00%11.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%
Cork Athletic3.00%3.00%8.00%7.00%13.00%9.00%4.00%9.00%16.00%13.00%11.00%4.00%
Limerick1.00%7.00%6.00%9.00%5.00%11.00%10.00%7.00%11.00%18.00%8.00%7.00%
Shelbourne12.00%12.00%10.00%10.00%9.00%4.00%13.00%5.00%9.00%5.00%6.00%5.00%
Waterford6.00%9.00%5.00%9.00%8.00%10.00%9.00%9.00%7.00%11.00%7.00%10.00%
Bohemian4.00%1.00%2.00%5.00%8.00%7.00%5.00%10.00%12.00%12.00%18.00%16.00%
Sligo Rovers11.00%8.00%7.00%10.00%6.00%7.00%10.00%12.00%8.00%6.00%7.00%8.00%
Transport2.00%11.00%7.00%10.00%4.00%7.00%13.00%7.00%9.00%12.00%8.00%10.00%
St Patricks Athletic5.00%4.00%9.00%6.00%8.00%12.00%12.00%4.00%7.00%9.00%7.00%17.00%
Dundalk2.00%4.00%6.00%4.00%7.00%7.00%5.00%7.00%7.00%9.00%23.00%19.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Bohemian 100%
Cork Athletic 100%
Drumconda 100%
Dundalk 100%
Evergreen United 100%
Limerick 100%
Shamrock Rovers 100%
Shelbourne 100%
Sligo Rovers 100%
St Patricks Athletic 100%
Transport 100%
Waterford 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1953-11-07 Drumconda L 0-244.1 1310 1373 54.08% 25.52% 20.40%+0.42 -24.2 0
1953-11-07 @ Bohemian W 2-044.1 1373 1310 20.40% 25.52% 54.08%-0.42 +24.2 2
1953-11-08 Limerick D 4-464.8 1357 1312 63.47% 24.54% 11.99%+1.07 -1.6 1
1953-11-08 @ Evergreen United D 4-464.8 1312 1357 11.99% 24.54% 63.47%-1.07 +1.6 1
1953-11-08 Sligo Rovers W 2-140.7 1330 1354 57.90% 25.26% 16.84%+0.65 +4.7 2
1953-11-08 @ Dundalk L 1-240.7 1354 1330 16.84% 25.26% 57.90%-0.65 -4.7 0
1953-11-08 Transport W 2-031.0 1395 1322 65.44% 24.16% 10.41%+1.23 +6.1 2
1953-11-08 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-231.0 1322 1395 10.41% 24.16% 65.44%-1.23 -6.1 0
1953-11-08 St Patricks Athletic W 2-141.9 1384 1396 58.91% 25.16% 15.93%+0.72 +4.5 2
1953-11-08 @ Shelbourne L 1-241.9 1396 1384 15.93% 25.16% 58.91%-0.72 -4.5 0
1953-11-08 Cork Athletic W 5-238.3 1310 1339 57.39% 25.30% 17.31%+0.62 +10.2 2
1953-11-08 @ Waterford L 2-538.3 1339 1310 17.31% 25.30% 57.39%-0.62 -10.2 0
1953-11-14 Shelbourne W 5-240.3 1316 1388 53.07% 25.57% 21.36%+0.36 +12.2 2
1953-11-14 @ Transport L 2-540.3 1388 1316 21.36% 25.57% 53.07%-0.36 -12.2 2
1953-11-15 Dundalk W 2-140.0 1329 1335 59.43% 25.11% 15.47%+0.76 +4.4 2
1953-11-15 @ Cork Athletic L 1-240.0 1335 1329 15.47% 25.11% 59.43%-0.76 -4.4 2
1953-11-15 Shamrock Rovers D 1-155.0 1397 1401 59.63% 25.08% 15.28%+0.77 -2.5 3
1953-11-15 @ Drumconda D 1-155.0 1401 1397 15.28% 25.08% 59.63%-0.77 +2.5 3
1953-11-15 Bohemian L 0-149.2 1314 1286 62.24% 24.74% 13.02%+0.97 -14.7 1
1953-11-15 @ Limerick W 1-049.2 1286 1314 13.02% 24.74% 62.24%-0.97 +14.7 2
1953-11-15 Evergreen United W 2-140.5 1349 1355 59.43% 25.10% 15.46%+0.76 +4.4 2
1953-11-15 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-240.5 1355 1349 15.46% 25.10% 59.43%-0.76 -4.4 1
1953-11-15 Waterford L 2-553.1 1391 1320 65.32% 24.18% 10.50%+1.22 -30.9 0
1953-11-15 @ St Patricks Athletic W 5-253.1 1320 1391 10.50% 24.18% 65.32%-1.22 +30.9 4
1953-11-21 Sligo Rovers W 4-135.6 1300 1353 55.06% 25.47% 19.48%+0.48 +13.1 4
1953-11-21 @ Bohemian L 1-435.6 1353 1300 19.48% 25.47% 55.06%-0.48 -13.1 2
1953-11-22 Cork Athletic W 3-029.3 1351 1333 61.42% 24.86% 13.72%+0.90 +11.5 3
1953-11-22 @ Evergreen United L 0-329.3 1333 1351 13.72% 24.86% 61.42%-0.90 -11.5 2
1953-11-22 St Patricks Athletic D 1-153.2 1331 1360 57.33% 25.31% 17.37%+0.62 -2.2 3
1953-11-22 @ Dundalk D 1-153.2 1360 1331 17.37% 25.31% 57.33%-0.62 +2.2 1
1953-11-22 Transport L 0-247.5 1394 1328 65.01% 24.25% 10.74%+1.20 -29.0 3
1953-11-22 @ Drumconda W 2-047.5 1328 1394 10.74% 24.25% 65.01%-1.20 +29.0 4
1953-11-22 Limerick D 1-153.8 1403 1299 67.43% 23.68% 8.90%+1.42 -3.4 4
1953-11-22 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-153.8 1299 1403 8.90% 23.68% 67.43%-1.42 +3.4 2
1953-11-22 Shelbourne W 4-242.5 1351 1376 57.79% 25.27% 16.94%+0.65 +7.4 6
1953-11-22 @ Waterford L 2-442.5 1376 1351 16.94% 25.27% 57.79%-0.65 -7.3 2
1953-11-28 Evergreen United L 0-246.3 1363 1362 59.98% 25.04% 14.98%+0.80 -26.8 1
1953-11-28 @ St Patricks Athletic W 2-046.3 1362 1363 14.98% 25.04% 59.98%-0.80 +26.8 5
1953-11-29 Bohemian W 2-139.4 1322 1313 60.66% 24.96% 14.38%+0.85 +4.1 4
1953-11-29 @ Cork Athletic L 1-239.4 1313 1322 14.38% 24.96% 60.66%-0.85 -4.1 4
1953-11-29 Drumconda D 2-257.6 1302 1365 54.07% 25.52% 20.41%+0.42 -1.3 3
1953-11-29 @ Limerick D 2-257.6 1365 1302 20.41% 25.52% 54.07%-0.42 +1.3 4
1953-11-29 Dundalk W 1-035.0 1368 1328 63.13% 24.60% 12.27%+1.04 +3.8 4
1953-11-29 @ Shelbourne L 0-135.0 1328 1368 12.27% 24.60% 63.13%-1.04 -3.8 3
1953-11-29 Shamrock Rovers W 1-038.3 1340 1400 54.43% 25.50% 20.06%+0.44 +5.8 4
1953-11-29 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-138.3 1400 1340 20.06% 25.50% 54.43%-0.44 -5.8 4
1953-11-29 Waterford W 5-344.3 1357 1358 59.82% 25.06% 15.12%+0.79 +6.3 6
1953-11-29 @ Transport L 3-544.3 1358 1357 15.12% 25.06% 59.82%-0.79 -6.3 6
1953-12-05 St Patricks Athletic L 1-252.6 1309 1336 57.62% 25.28% 17.10%+0.64 -12.9 4
1953-12-05 @ Bohemian W 2-152.6 1336 1309 17.10% 25.28% 57.62%-0.64 +12.9 3
1953-12-06 Shelbourne W 1-036.6 1389 1372 61.35% 24.87% 13.78%+0.90 +4.2 7
1953-12-06 @ Evergreen United L 0-136.6 1372 1389 13.78% 24.87% 61.35%-0.90 -4.2 4
1953-12-06 Waterford D 2-257.8 1325 1352 57.53% 25.29% 17.18%+0.63 -1.6 4
1953-12-06 @ Dundalk D 2-257.8 1352 1325 17.18% 25.29% 57.53%-0.63 +1.6 7
1953-12-06 Sligo Rovers W 2-140.0 1367 1346 61.64% 24.83% 13.53%+0.92 +3.9 6
1953-12-06 @ Drumconda L 1-240.0 1346 1367 13.53% 24.83% 61.64%-0.92 -3.9 4
1953-12-06 Transport D 4-464.4 1301 1363 54.16% 25.52% 20.32%+0.42 -1.0 4
1953-12-06 @ Limerick D 4-464.4 1363 1301 20.32% 25.52% 54.16%-0.42 +1.0 7
1953-12-06 Cork Athletic W 10-232.6 1394 1326 65.12% 24.22% 10.65%+1.21 +15.3 6
1953-12-06 @ Shamrock Rovers L 2-1032.6 1326 1394 10.65% 24.22% 65.12%-1.21 -15.3 4
1953-12-12 Bohemian W 1-034.0 1368 1296 65.36% 24.17% 10.47%+1.23 +3.3 6
1953-12-12 @ Shelbourne L 0-134.0 1296 1368 10.47% 24.17% 65.36%-1.23 -3.3 4
1953-12-13 Drumconda W 2-033.9 1310 1371 54.35% 25.51% 20.14%+0.43 +11.0 6
1953-12-13 @ Cork Athletic L 0-233.9 1371 1310 20.14% 25.51% 54.35%-0.43 -11.0 6
1953-12-13 Limerick W 3-243.5 1342 1300 63.29% 24.57% 12.14%+1.05 +3.4 6
1953-12-13 @ Sligo Rovers L 2-343.5 1300 1342 12.14% 24.57% 63.29%-1.05 -3.3 4
1953-12-13 Shamrock Rovers L 0-148.9 1349 1409 54.30% 25.51% 20.19%+0.43 -12.9 3
1953-12-13 @ St Patricks Athletic W 1-048.9 1409 1349 20.19% 25.51% 54.30%-0.43 +12.9 8
1953-12-13 Dundalk W 3-243.9 1364 1323 63.21% 24.59% 12.21%+1.04 +3.4 9
1953-12-13 @ Transport L 2-343.9 1323 1364 12.21% 24.59% 63.21%-1.04 -3.4 4
1953-12-13 Evergreen United D 2-258.7 1354 1393 56.40% 25.38% 18.22%+0.56 -1.5 8
1953-12-13 @ Waterford D 2-258.7 1393 1354 18.22% 25.38% 56.40%-0.56 +1.5 8
1953-12-19 Waterford L 1-251.7 1293 1352 54.45% 25.50% 20.05%+0.44 -12.2 4
1953-12-19 @ Bohemian W 2-151.7 1352 1293 20.05% 25.50% 54.45%-0.44 +12.2 10
1953-12-20 Dundalk W 4-133.2 1395 1320 65.60% 24.12% 10.28%+1.25 +7.4 10
1953-12-20 @ Evergreen United L 1-433.2 1320 1395 10.28% 24.12% 65.60%-1.25 -7.4 4
1953-12-20 St Patricks Athletic W 7-234.0 1360 1336 61.90% 24.79% 13.31%+0.94 +12.4 8
1953-12-20 @ Drumconda L 2-734.0 1336 1360 13.31% 24.79% 61.90%-0.94 -12.4 3
1953-12-20 Cork Athletic W 3-244.9 1297 1321 57.80% 25.27% 16.94%+0.65 +4.5 6
1953-12-20 @ Limerick L 2-344.9 1321 1297 16.94% 25.27% 57.80%-0.65 -4.5 6
1953-12-20 Shelbourne W 4-135.1 1422 1371 63.92% 24.46% 11.62%+1.10 +8.3 10
1953-12-20 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-435.1 1371 1422 11.62% 24.46% 63.92%-1.10 -8.3 6
1953-12-20 Transport W 3-030.7 1346 1367 58.05% 25.24% 16.70%+0.67 +13.6 8
1953-12-20 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-330.7 1367 1346 16.70% 25.24% 58.05%-0.67 -13.6 9
1953-12-27 Sligo Rovers D 2-257.7 1317 1359 56.13% 25.40% 18.48%+0.54 -1.5 7
1953-12-27 @ Cork Athletic D 2-257.7 1359 1317 18.48% 25.40% 56.13%-0.54 +1.5 9
1953-12-27 Bohemian W 3-243.3 1312 1281 62.48% 24.71% 12.82%+0.98 +3.5 6
1953-12-27 @ Dundalk L 2-343.3 1281 1312 12.82% 24.71% 62.48%-0.98 -3.5 4
1953-12-27 Drumconda W 3-030.7 1363 1372 59.19% 25.13% 15.68%+0.74 +12.9 8
1953-12-27 @ Shelbourne L 0-330.7 1372 1363 15.68% 25.13% 59.19%-0.74 -12.9 8
1953-12-27 Limerick D 2-257.4 1323 1301 61.76% 24.81% 13.43%+0.93 -2.0 4
1953-12-27 @ St Patricks Athletic D 2-257.4 1301 1323 13.43% 24.81% 61.76%-0.93 +2.0 7
1953-12-27 Evergreen United W 3-247.3 1354 1402 55.53% 25.44% 19.03%+0.50 +5.0 11
1953-12-27 @ Transport L 2-347.3 1402 1354 19.03% 25.44% 55.53%-0.50 -5.0 10
1953-12-27 Shamrock Rovers D 1-154.8 1364 1430 53.75% 25.54% 20.72%+0.40 -1.8 11
1953-12-27 @ Waterford D 1-154.8 1430 1364 20.72% 25.54% 53.75%-0.40 +1.8 11
1954-01-02 Evergreen United D 2-257.6 1277 1397 47.64% 25.70% 26.66%+0.07 -0.8 5
1954-01-02 @ Bohemian D 2-257.6 1397 1277 26.66% 25.70% 47.64%-0.07 +0.8 11
1954-01-03 Transport W 3-246.0 1315 1359 56.02% 25.40% 18.57%+0.54 +4.9 9
1954-01-03 @ Cork Athletic L 2-346.0 1359 1315 18.57% 25.40% 56.02%-0.54 -4.9 11
1954-01-03 Waterford W 1-036.4 1359 1363 59.66% 25.08% 15.26%+0.78 +4.6 10
1954-01-03 @ Drumconda L 0-136.4 1363 1359 15.26% 25.08% 59.66%-0.78 -4.6 11
1954-01-03 Shelbourne W 2-142.1 1303 1376 53.05% 25.57% 21.38%+0.36 +5.8 9
1954-01-03 @ Limerick L 1-242.1 1376 1303 21.38% 25.57% 53.05%-0.36 -5.8 8
1954-01-03 Dundalk W 1-034.3 1432 1316 68.17% 23.47% 8.36%+1.50 +2.6 13
1954-01-03 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-134.3 1316 1432 8.36% 23.47% 68.17%-1.50 -2.6 6
1954-01-03 St Patricks Athletic W 2-139.1 1361 1321 63.09% 24.61% 12.30%+1.03 +3.6 11
1954-01-03 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-239.1 1321 1361 12.30% 24.61% 63.09%-1.03 -3.6 4
1954-01-09 Bohemian W 5-341.6 1354 1277 65.74% 24.09% 10.17%+1.26 +4.4 13
1954-01-09 @ Transport L 3-541.6 1277 1354 10.17% 24.09% 65.74%-1.26 -4.4 5
1954-01-10 Shamrock Rovers D 1-155.8 1398 1435 56.67% 25.36% 17.97%+0.58 -2.1 12
1954-01-10 @ Evergreen United D 1-155.8 1435 1398 17.97% 25.36% 56.67%-0.58 +2.1 14
1954-01-10 Drumconda L 1-349.1 1313 1364 55.31% 25.45% 19.24%+0.49 -21.4 6
1954-01-10 @ Dundalk W 3-149.1 1364 1313 19.24% 25.45% 55.31%-0.49 +21.4 12
1954-01-10 Sligo Rovers W 2-032.8 1370 1364 60.45% 24.99% 14.57%+0.83 +8.3 10
1954-01-10 @ Shelbourne L 0-232.8 1364 1370 14.57% 24.99% 60.45%-0.83 -8.3 11
1954-01-10 Cork Athletic L 0-245.2 1318 1320 59.75% 25.07% 15.18%+0.78 -26.7 4
1954-01-10 @ St Patricks Athletic W 2-045.2 1320 1318 15.18% 25.07% 59.75%-0.78 +26.7 11
1954-01-10 Limerick L 1-254.4 1358 1309 63.79% 24.48% 11.73%+1.09 -14.2 11
1954-01-10 @ Waterford W 2-154.4 1309 1358 11.73% 24.48% 63.79%-1.09 +14.2 11
1954-01-16 Bohemian W 1-032.9 1437 1272 70.83% 22.60% 6.57%+1.79 +2.1 16
1954-01-16 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-132.9 1272 1437 6.57% 22.60% 70.83%-1.79 -2.1 5
1954-01-17 Shelbourne W 1-037.2 1347 1378 57.16% 25.32% 17.52%+0.61 +5.2 13
1954-01-17 @ Cork Athletic L 0-137.2 1378 1347 17.52% 25.32% 57.16%-0.61 -5.2 10
1954-01-17 Evergreen United W 3-031.5 1385 1396 59.03% 25.15% 15.82%+0.73 +13.0 14
1954-01-17 @ Drumconda L 0-331.5 1396 1385 15.82% 25.15% 59.03%-0.73 -13.0 12
1954-01-17 Dundalk W 5-236.5 1323 1292 62.50% 24.70% 12.80%+0.99 +7.9 13
1954-01-17 @ Limerick L 2-536.5 1292 1323 12.80% 24.70% 62.50%-0.99 -7.9 6
1954-01-17 Waterford W 3-029.6 1356 1344 60.97% 24.92% 14.11%+0.87 +11.8 13
1954-01-17 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-329.6 1344 1356 14.11% 24.92% 60.97%-0.87 -11.8 11
1954-01-17 St Patricks Athletic D 0-049.6 1358 1291 65.06% 24.24% 10.70%+1.20 -3.5 14
1954-01-17 @ Transport D 0-049.6 1291 1358 10.70% 24.24% 65.06%-1.20 +3.5 5
1954-01-23 Bohemian L 1-255.6 1398 1270 68.84% 23.27% 7.89%+1.57 -15.3 14
1954-01-23 @ Drumconda W 2-155.6 1270 1398 7.89% 23.27% 68.84%-1.57 +15.3 7
1954-01-24 Waterford L 0-246.1 1352 1332 61.60% 24.84% 13.57%+0.92 -27.5 13
1954-01-24 @ Cork Athletic W 2-046.1 1332 1352 13.57% 24.84% 61.60%-0.92 +27.5 13
1954-01-24 Evergreen United L 0-342.3 1331 1383 55.19% 25.46% 19.36%+0.48 -35.9 13
1954-01-24 @ Limerick W 3-042.3 1383 1331 19.36% 25.46% 55.19%-0.48 +35.9 14
1954-01-24 Dundalk W 3-242.7 1368 1284 66.17% 23.99% 9.84%+1.30 +2.8 15
1954-01-24 @ Sligo Rovers L 2-342.7 1284 1368 9.84% 23.99% 66.17%-1.30 -2.8 6
1954-01-24 Shelbourne W 2-142.2 1294 1373 52.39% 25.60% 22.02%+0.32 +5.9 7
1954-01-24 @ St Patricks Athletic L 1-242.2 1373 1294 22.02% 25.60% 52.39%-0.32 -5.9 10
1954-01-24 Shamrock Rovers D 1-154.8 1355 1439 51.79% 25.62% 22.59%+0.29 -1.5 15
1954-01-24 @ Transport D 1-154.8 1439 1355 22.59% 25.62% 51.79%-0.29 +1.5 17
1954-01-30 Limerick W 4-133.9 1285 1295 59.12% 25.14% 15.74%+0.74 +10.9 9
1954-01-30 @ Bohemian L 1-433.9 1295 1285 15.74% 25.14% 59.12%-0.74 -10.9 13
1954-01-31 Sligo Rovers W 3-137.6 1419 1371 63.74% 24.49% 11.77%+1.09 +5.9 16
1954-01-31 @ Evergreen United L 1-337.6 1371 1419 11.77% 24.49% 63.74%-1.09 -6.0 15
1954-01-31 Cork Athletic L 1-251.8 1281 1325 56.01% 25.40% 18.58%+0.53 -12.5 6
1954-01-31 @ Dundalk W 2-151.8 1325 1281 18.58% 25.40% 56.01%-0.53 +12.5 15
1954-01-31 Drumconda L 2-362.0 1441 1383 64.40% 24.37% 11.23%+1.14 -13.6 17
1954-01-31 @ Shamrock Rovers W 3-262.0 1383 1441 11.23% 24.37% 64.40%-1.14 +13.6 16
1954-01-31 Transport W 3-245.0 1367 1353 61.12% 24.90% 13.98%+0.88 +3.8 12
1954-01-31 @ Shelbourne L 2-345.0 1353 1367 13.98% 24.90% 61.12%-0.88 -3.8 15
1954-01-31 St Patricks Athletic W 4-132.9 1360 1300 64.51% 24.35% 11.14%+1.15 +8.0 15
1954-01-31 @ Waterford L 1-432.9 1300 1360 11.14% 24.35% 64.51%-1.15 -8.0 7
1954-02-06 Drumconda L 1-253.3 1350 1396 55.67% 25.43% 18.90%+0.51 -12.5 15
1954-02-06 @ Transport W 2-153.3 1396 1350 18.90% 25.43% 55.67%-0.51 +12.5 18
1954-02-07 Waterford W 3-137.7 1371 1368 60.26% 25.01% 14.73%+0.82 +7.3 14
1954-02-07 @ Shelbourne L 1-337.7 1368 1371 14.73% 25.01% 60.26%-0.82 -7.3 15
1954-02-07 Bohemian D 2-257.9 1365 1296 65.13% 24.22% 10.65%+1.21 -2.3 16
1954-02-07 @ Sligo Rovers D 2-257.9 1296 1365 10.65% 24.22% 65.13%-1.21 +2.3 10
1954-02-07 Dundalk W 6-131.1 1292 1269 61.90% 24.79% 13.31%+0.94 +14.9 9
1954-02-07 @ St Patricks Athletic L 1-631.1 1269 1292 13.31% 24.79% 61.90%-0.94 -14.9 6
1954-02-13 Cork Athletic W 3-137.6 1299 1337 56.50% 25.37% 18.13%+0.57 +8.7 12
1954-02-13 @ Bohemian L 1-337.6 1337 1299 18.13% 25.37% 56.50%-0.57 -8.7 15
1954-02-14 St Patricks Athletic W 3-135.2 1425 1307 68.23% 23.45% 8.31%+1.50 +4.3 18
1954-02-14 @ Evergreen United L 1-335.2 1307 1425 8.31% 23.45% 68.23%-1.50 -4.3 9
1954-02-14 Shelbourne L 1-249.4 1254 1378 47.05% 25.70% 27.24%+0.05 -10.7 6
1954-02-14 @ Dundalk W 2-149.4 1378 1254 27.24% 25.70% 47.05%-0.05 +10.7 16
1954-02-14 Limerick D 0-050.3 1409 1284 68.64% 23.33% 8.03%+1.55 -4.0 19
1954-02-14 @ Drumconda D 0-050.3 1284 1409 8.03% 23.33% 68.64%-1.55 +4.0 14
1954-02-14 Sligo Rovers W 2-140.3 1427 1362 64.88% 24.27% 10.84%+1.19 +3.2 19
1954-02-14 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-240.3 1362 1427 10.84% 24.27% 64.88%-1.19 -3.2 16
1954-02-14 Transport W 4-028.5 1360 1337 61.86% 24.80% 13.35%+0.94 +14.6 17
1954-02-14 @ Waterford L 0-428.5 1337 1360 13.35% 24.80% 61.86%-0.94 -14.6 15
1954-02-18 Shamrock Rovers D 1-153.4 1288 1430 44.91% 25.70% 29.38%-0.06 -0.8 15
1954-02-18 @ Limerick D 1-153.4 1430 1288 29.38% 25.70% 44.91%+0.06 +0.8 20
1954-02-20 Bohemian L 1-447.2 1303 1307 59.59% 25.09% 15.32%+0.77 -32.6 9
1954-02-20 @ St Patricks Athletic W 4-147.2 1307 1303 15.32% 25.09% 59.59%-0.77 +32.6 14
1954-02-21 Shamrock Rovers W 3-141.2 1328 1431 49.72% 25.67% 24.61%+0.18 +11.2 17
1954-02-21 @ Cork Athletic L 1-341.2 1431 1328 24.61% 25.67% 49.72%-0.18 -11.2 20
1954-02-21 Evergreen United D 1-155.4 1389 1429 56.35% 25.38% 18.26%+0.56 -2.1 17
1954-02-21 @ Shelbourne D 1-155.4 1429 1389 18.26% 25.38% 56.35%-0.56 +2.1 19
1954-02-21 Drumconda D 2-259.0 1359 1405 55.78% 25.42% 18.80%+0.52 -1.5 17
1954-02-21 @ Sligo Rovers D 2-259.0 1405 1359 18.80% 25.42% 55.78%-0.52 +1.5 20
1954-02-21 Limerick L 1-253.6 1322 1288 62.75% 24.66% 12.59%+1.01 -14.0 15
1954-02-21 @ Transport W 2-153.6 1288 1322 12.59% 24.66% 62.75%-1.01 +14.0 17
1954-02-21 Dundalk D 2-257.9 1375 1243 69.06% 23.20% 7.74%+1.59 -2.7 18
1954-02-21 @ Waterford D 2-257.9 1243 1375 7.74% 23.20% 69.06%-1.59 +2.7 7
1954-03-06 Shelbourne D 2-258.4 1340 1387 55.67% 25.43% 18.91%+0.51 -1.5 15
1954-03-06 @ Bohemian D 2-258.4 1387 1340 18.91% 25.43% 55.67%-0.51 +1.5 18
1954-03-07 Waterford W 3-137.7 1431 1372 64.49% 24.35% 11.16%+1.15 +5.6 21
1954-03-07 @ Evergreen United L 1-337.7 1372 1431 11.16% 24.35% 64.49%-1.15 -5.7 18
1954-03-07 Transport W 3-030.5 1246 1308 54.08% 25.52% 20.40%+0.42 +16.1 9
1954-03-07 @ Dundalk L 0-330.5 1308 1246 20.40% 25.52% 54.08%-0.42 -16.1 15
1954-03-07 Cork Athletic D 1-154.3 1406 1340 65.03% 24.24% 10.72%+1.20 -3.1 21
1954-03-07 @ Drumconda D 1-154.3 1340 1406 10.72% 24.24% 65.03%-1.20 +3.1 18
1954-03-07 Sligo Rovers W 2-033.5 1302 1358 54.77% 25.48% 19.75%+0.46 +10.8 19
1954-03-07 @ Limerick L 0-233.5 1358 1302 19.75% 25.48% 54.77%-0.46 -10.8 17
1954-03-07 St Patricks Athletic D 0-050.4 1420 1270 70.01% 22.89% 7.09%+1.69 -4.1 21
1954-03-07 @ Shamrock Rovers D 0-050.4 1270 1420 7.09% 22.89% 70.01%-1.69 +4.1 10
1954-03-10 Evergreen United W 2-144.4 1343 1437 50.68% 25.65% 23.67%+0.23 +6.2 20
1954-03-10 @ Cork Athletic L 1-244.4 1437 1343 23.67% 25.65% 50.68%-0.23 -6.2 21
1954-03-13 Drumconda D 1-152.9 1275 1403 46.55% 25.70% 27.75%+0.02 -1.0 11
1954-03-13 @ St Patricks Athletic D 1-152.9 1403 1275 27.75% 25.70% 46.55%-0.02 +0.9 22
1954-03-14 Limerick W 4-133.4 1349 1312 62.88% 24.64% 12.48%+1.02 +8.9 22
1954-03-14 @ Cork Athletic L 1-433.4 1312 1349 12.48% 24.64% 62.88%-1.02 -8.9 19
1954-03-14 Evergreen United D 2-257.9 1262 1431 41.35% 25.65% 32.99%-0.22 -0.3 10
1954-03-14 @ Dundalk D 2-257.9 1431 1262 32.99% 25.65% 41.35%+0.22 +0.3 22
1954-03-14 Shamrock Rovers D 1-155.1 1389 1416 57.57% 25.28% 17.14%+0.63 -2.2 19
1954-03-14 @ Shelbourne D 1-155.1 1416 1389 17.14% 25.28% 57.57%-0.63 +2.2 22
1954-03-14 Sligo Rovers W 3-138.1 1292 1347 54.93% 25.47% 19.60%+0.47 +9.3 17
1954-03-14 @ Transport L 1-338.1 1347 1292 19.60% 25.47% 54.93%-0.47 -9.3 17
1954-03-14 Bohemian L 1-448.8 1367 1338 62.23% 24.74% 13.03%+0.97 -34.0 18
1954-03-14 @ Waterford W 4-148.8 1338 1367 13.03% 24.74% 62.23%-0.97 +34.0 17
1954-03-21 Sligo Rovers W 2-032.2 1333 1338 59.54% 25.09% 15.36%+0.77 +8.7 20
1954-03-21 @ Waterford L 0-232.2 1338 1333 15.36% 25.09% 59.54%-0.77 -8.7 17
1954-03-27 Limerick L 2-360.0 1386 1303 66.10% 24.01% 9.90%+1.29 -14.0 19
1954-03-27 @ Shelbourne W 3-260.0 1303 1386 9.90% 24.01% 66.10%-1.29 +14.0 21
1954-03-28 Bohemian W 2-032.9 1431 1373 64.45% 24.36% 11.19%+1.15 +6.5 24
1954-03-28 @ Evergreen United L 0-232.9 1373 1431 11.19% 24.36% 64.45%-1.15 -6.5 17
1954-03-28 Shamrock Rovers L 1-345.6 1261 1418 43.02% 25.68% 31.30%-0.14 -17.1 10
1954-03-28 @ Dundalk W 3-145.6 1418 1261 31.30% 25.68% 43.02%+0.14 +17.2 24
1954-03-28 Sligo Rovers D 0-048.8 1274 1329 54.85% 25.48% 19.67%+0.46 -2.1 12
1954-03-28 @ St Patricks Athletic D 0-048.8 1329 1274 19.67% 25.48% 54.85%-0.46 +2.1 18
1954-03-28 Cork Athletic L 3-460.1 1302 1358 54.75% 25.48% 19.76%+0.46 -11.3 17
1954-03-28 @ Transport W 4-360.1 1358 1302 19.76% 25.48% 54.75%-0.46 +11.3 24
1954-03-28 Drumconda D 0-050.5 1341 1404 54.06% 25.52% 20.42%+0.42 -2.0 21
1954-03-28 @ Waterford D 0-050.5 1404 1341 20.42% 25.52% 54.06%-0.42 +2.0 23
1954-03-31 Dundalk W 4-131.3 1366 1244 68.47% 23.38% 8.15%+1.53 +5.9 19
1954-03-31 @ Bohemian L 1-431.3 1244 1366 8.15% 23.38% 68.47%-1.53 -5.9 10
1954-04-04 Transport W 2-137.7 1437 1290 69.90% 22.93% 7.17%+1.68 +2.1 26
1954-04-04 @ Evergreen United L 1-237.7 1290 1437 7.17% 22.93% 69.90%-1.68 -2.1 17
1954-04-04 Waterford D 2-257.6 1317 1339 58.05% 25.24% 16.71%+0.66 -1.7 22
1954-04-04 @ Limerick D 2-257.6 1339 1317 16.71% 25.24% 58.05%-0.66 +1.7 22
1954-04-04 Shelbourne L 2-357.6 1331 1372 56.22% 25.39% 18.39%+0.55 -11.9 18
1954-04-04 @ Sligo Rovers W 3-257.6 1372 1331 18.39% 25.39% 56.22%-0.55 +11.9 21
1954-04-07 Dundalk W 4-025.1 1406 1238 71.00% 22.54% 6.47%+1.81 +7.2 25
1954-04-07 @ Drumconda L 0-425.1 1238 1406 6.47% 22.54% 71.00%-1.81 -7.2 10
1954-04-09 Shelbourne W 1-037.0 1414 1384 62.32% 24.73% 12.95%+0.97 +4.0 27
1954-04-09 @ Drumconda L 0-137.0 1384 1414 12.95% 24.73% 62.32%-0.97 -4.0 21
1954-04-10 Shamrock Rovers L 0-246.2 1372 1435 54.05% 25.52% 20.43%+0.42 -24.2 19
1954-04-10 @ Bohemian W 2-046.2 1435 1372 20.43% 25.52% 54.05%-0.42 +24.2 26
1954-04-11 Drumconda W 2-143.0 1440 1418 61.76% 24.81% 13.43%+0.93 +3.9 28
1954-04-11 @ Evergreen United L 1-243.0 1418 1440 13.43% 24.81% 61.76%-0.93 -3.9 27
1954-04-11 Limerick W 3-138.4 1231 1316 51.75% 25.62% 22.63%+0.29 +10.4 12
1954-04-11 @ Dundalk L 1-338.4 1316 1231 22.63% 25.62% 51.75%-0.29 -10.5 22
1954-04-11 Cork Athletic W 2-140.8 1380 1369 60.88% 24.93% 14.18%+0.86 +4.1 23
1954-04-11 @ Shelbourne L 1-240.8 1369 1380 14.18% 24.93% 60.88%-0.86 -4.1 24
1954-04-11 Transport W 2-031.7 1271 1288 58.51% 25.20% 16.29%+0.70 +9.2 14
1954-04-11 @ St Patricks Athletic L 0-231.7 1288 1271 16.29% 25.20% 58.51%-0.70 -9.2 17
1954-04-13 Waterford W 7-132.2 1459 1341 68.27% 23.44% 8.29%+1.51 +11.2 28
1954-04-13 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-732.2 1341 1459 8.29% 23.44% 68.27%-1.51 -11.2 22
1954-04-17 Transport D 1-152.8 1348 1279 65.16% 24.22% 10.63%+1.21 -3.1 20
1954-04-17 @ Bohemian D 1-152.8 1279 1348 10.63% 24.22% 65.16%-1.21 +3.1 18
1954-04-18 St Patricks Athletic D 2-257.9 1365 1281 66.20% 23.98% 9.82%+1.30 -2.4 25
1954-04-18 @ Cork Athletic D 2-257.9 1281 1365 9.82% 23.98% 66.20%-1.30 +2.4 15
1954-04-18 Evergreen United W 1-040.3 1470 1443 62.14% 24.76% 13.10%+0.96 +4.0 30
1954-04-18 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-140.3 1443 1470 13.10% 24.76% 62.14%-0.96 -4.0 28
1954-04-19 St Patricks Athletic W 2-030.8 1305 1283 61.77% 24.81% 13.42%+0.93 +7.7 24
1954-04-19 @ Limerick L 0-230.8 1283 1305 13.42% 24.81% 61.77%-0.93 -7.7 15
1954-04-19 Cork Athletic W 2-033.4 1319 1363 55.99% 25.41% 18.60%+0.53 +10.3 20
1954-04-19 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-233.4 1363 1319 18.60% 25.41% 55.99%-0.53 -10.3 25

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1954-01-23 7.89% Bohemian 1270 2 @ Drumconda 1398 1
2 1954-03-27 9.90% Limerick 1303 3 @ Shelbourne 1386 2
3 1953-11-15 10.50% Waterford 1320 5 @ St Patricks Athletic 1391 2
4 1953-11-22 10.74% Transport 1328 2 @ Drumconda 1394 0
5 1954-01-31 11.23% Drumconda 1383 3 @ Shamrock Rovers 1441 2
6 1954-01-10 11.73% Limerick 1309 2 @ Waterford 1358 1
7 1954-02-21 12.59% Limerick 1288 2 @ Transport 1322 1
8 1953-11-15 13.02% Bohemian 1286 1 @ Limerick 1314 0
9 1954-03-14 13.03% Bohemian 1338 4 @ Waterford 1367 1
10 1954-01-24 13.57% Waterford 1332 2 @ Cork Athletic 1352 0
11 1953-11-28 14.98% Evergreen United 1362 2 @ St Patricks Athletic 1363 0
12 1954-01-10 15.18% Cork Athletic 1320 2 @ St Patricks Athletic 1318 0
13 1954-02-20 15.32% Bohemian 1307 4 @ St Patricks Athletic 1303 1
14 1953-12-05 17.10% St Patricks Athletic 1336 2 @ Bohemian 1309 1
15 1954-04-04 18.39% Shelbourne 1372 3 @ Sligo Rovers 1331 2
16 1954-01-31 18.58% Cork Athletic 1325 2 @ Dundalk 1281 1
17 1954-02-06 18.90% Drumconda 1396 2 @ Transport 1350 1
18 1954-01-10 19.24% Drumconda 1364 3 @ Dundalk 1313 1
19 1954-01-24 19.36% Evergreen United 1383 3 @ Limerick 1331 0
20 1954-03-28 19.76% Cork Athletic 1358 4 @ Transport 1302 3
21 1953-12-19 20.05% Waterford 1352 2 @ Bohemian 1293 1
22 1953-12-13 20.19% Shamrock Rovers 1409 1 @ St Patricks Athletic 1349 0
23 1953-11-07 20.40% Drumconda 1373 2 @ Bohemian 1310 0
24 1954-04-10 20.43% Shamrock Rovers 1435 2 @ Bohemian 1372 0
25 1954-02-14 27.24% Shelbourne 1378 2 @ Dundalk 1254 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1954-01-24 35.87 Evergreen United 3 1383 19.36% @ Limerick 0 1331 55.19% 25.46%
2 1954-03-14 34.02 Bohemian 4 1338 13.03% @ Waterford 1 1367 62.23% 24.74%
3 1954-02-20 32.59 Bohemian 4 1307 15.32% @ St Patricks Athletic 1 1303 59.59% 25.09%
4 1953-11-15 30.90 Waterford 5 1320 10.50% @ St Patricks Athletic 2 1391 65.32% 24.18%
5 1953-11-22 29.01 Transport 2 1328 10.74% @ Drumconda 0 1394 65.01% 24.25%
6 1954-01-24 27.50 Waterford 2 1332 13.57% @ Cork Athletic 0 1352 61.60% 24.84%
7 1953-11-28 26.78 Evergreen United 2 1362 14.98% @ St Patricks Athletic 0 1363 59.98% 25.04%
8 1954-01-10 26.68 Cork Athletic 2 1320 15.18% @ St Patricks Athletic 0 1318 59.75% 25.07%
9 1953-11-07 24.23 Drumconda 2 1373 20.40% @ Bohemian 0 1310 54.08% 25.52%
10 1954-04-10 24.21 Shamrock Rovers 2 1435 20.43% @ Bohemian 0 1372 54.05% 25.52%
11 1954-01-10 21.44 Drumconda 3 1364 19.24% @ Dundalk 1 1313 55.31% 25.45%
12 1954-03-28 17.15 Shamrock Rovers 3 1418 31.30% @ Dundalk 1 1261 43.02% 25.68%
13 1954-03-07 16.10 @ Dundalk 3 1246 54.08% Transport 0 1308 20.40% 25.52%
14 1954-01-23 15.32 Bohemian 2 1270 7.89% @ Drumconda 1 1398 68.84% 23.27%
15 1953-12-06 15.32 @ Shamrock Rovers 10 1394 65.12% Cork Athletic 2 1326 10.65% 24.22%
16 1954-02-07 14.87 @ St Patricks Athletic 6 1292 61.90% Dundalk 1 1269 13.31% 24.79%
17 1953-11-15 14.73 Bohemian 1 1286 13.02% @ Limerick 0 1314 62.24% 24.74%
18 1954-02-14 14.61 @ Waterford 4 1360 61.86% Transport 0 1337 13.35% 24.80%
19 1954-01-10 14.24 Limerick 2 1309 11.73% @ Waterford 1 1358 63.79% 24.48%
20 1954-02-21 14.01 Limerick 2 1288 12.59% @ Transport 1 1322 62.75% 24.66%
21 1954-03-27 13.99 Limerick 3 1303 9.90% @ Shelbourne 2 1386 66.10% 24.01%
22 1954-01-31 13.64 Drumconda 3 1383 11.23% @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1441 64.40% 24.37%
23 1953-12-20 13.61 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1346 58.05% Transport 0 1367 16.70% 25.24%
24 1953-11-21 13.07 @ Bohemian 4 1300 55.06% Sligo Rovers 1 1353 19.48% 25.47%
25 1954-01-17 13.00 @ Drumconda 3 1385 59.03% Evergreen United 0 1396 15.82% 25.15%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1953-11-08 64.8 @ Evergreen United 4 1357 63.47% Limerick 4 1312 11.99% 24.54%
2 1953-12-06 64.4 @ Limerick 4 1301 54.16% Transport 4 1363 20.32% 25.52%
3 1954-01-31 62.0 Drumconda 3 1383 11.23% @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1441 64.40% 24.37%
4 1954-03-28 60.1 Cork Athletic 4 1358 19.76% @ Transport 3 1302 54.75% 25.48%
5 1954-03-27 60.0 Limerick 3 1303 9.90% @ Shelbourne 2 1386 66.10% 24.01%
6 1954-02-21 59.0 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1359 55.78% Drumconda 2 1405 18.80% 25.42%
7 1953-12-13 58.7 @ Waterford 2 1354 56.40% Evergreen United 2 1393 18.22% 25.38%
8 1954-03-06 58.4 @ Bohemian 2 1340 55.67% Shelbourne 2 1387 18.91% 25.43%
9 1954-02-07 57.9 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1365 65.13% Bohemian 2 1296 10.65% 24.22%
10 1954-02-21 57.9 @ Waterford 2 1375 69.06% Dundalk 2 1243 7.74% 23.20%
11 1954-03-14 57.9 @ Dundalk 2 1262 41.35% Evergreen United 2 1431 32.99% 25.65%
12 1954-04-18 57.9 @ Cork Athletic 2 1365 66.20% St Patricks Athletic 2 1281 9.82% 23.98%
13 1953-12-06 57.8 @ Dundalk 2 1325 57.53% Waterford 2 1352 17.18% 25.29%
14 1953-12-27 57.7 @ Cork Athletic 2 1317 56.13% Sligo Rovers 2 1359 18.48% 25.40%
15 1953-11-29 57.6 @ Limerick 2 1302 54.07% Drumconda 2 1365 20.41% 25.52%
16 1954-01-02 57.6 @ Bohemian 2 1277 47.64% Evergreen United 2 1397 26.66% 25.70%
17 1954-04-04 57.6 @ Limerick 2 1317 58.05% Waterford 2 1339 16.71% 25.24%
18 1954-04-04 57.6 Shelbourne 3 1372 18.39% @ Sligo Rovers 2 1331 56.22% 25.39%
19 1953-12-27 57.4 @ St Patricks Athletic 2 1323 61.76% Limerick 2 1301 13.43% 24.81%
20 1954-01-10 55.8 @ Evergreen United 1 1398 56.67% Shamrock Rovers 1 1435 17.97% 25.36%
21 1954-01-23 55.6 Bohemian 2 1270 7.89% @ Drumconda 1 1398 68.84% 23.27%
22 1954-02-21 55.4 @ Shelbourne 1 1389 56.35% Evergreen United 1 1429 18.26% 25.38%
23 1954-03-14 55.1 @ Shelbourne 1 1389 57.57% Shamrock Rovers 1 1416 17.14% 25.28%
24 1953-11-15 55.0 @ Drumconda 1 1397 59.63% Shamrock Rovers 1 1401 15.28% 25.08%
25 1953-12-27 54.8 @ Waterford 1 1364 53.75% Shamrock Rovers 1 1430 20.72% 25.54%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1954-04-07 25.1 @ Drumconda 4 1406 71.00% Dundalk 0 1238 6.47% 22.54%
2 1954-02-14 28.5 @ Waterford 4 1360 61.86% Transport 0 1337 13.35% 24.80%
3 1953-11-22 29.3 @ Evergreen United 3 1351 61.42% Cork Athletic 0 1333 13.72% 24.86%
4 1954-01-17 29.6 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1356 60.97% Waterford 0 1344 14.11% 24.92%
5 1954-03-07 30.5 @ Dundalk 3 1246 54.08% Transport 0 1308 20.40% 25.52%
6 1953-12-20 30.7 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1346 58.05% Transport 0 1367 16.70% 25.24%
7 1953-12-27 30.7 @ Shelbourne 3 1363 59.19% Drumconda 0 1372 15.68% 25.13%
8 1954-04-19 30.8 @ Limerick 2 1305 61.77% St Patricks Athletic 0 1283 13.42% 24.81%
9 1953-11-08 31.0 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1395 65.44% Transport 0 1322 10.41% 24.16%
10 1954-02-07 31.1 @ St Patricks Athletic 6 1292 61.90% Dundalk 1 1269 13.31% 24.79%
11 1954-03-31 31.3 @ Bohemian 4 1366 68.47% Dundalk 1 1244 8.15% 23.38%
12 1954-01-17 31.5 @ Drumconda 3 1385 59.03% Evergreen United 0 1396 15.82% 25.15%
13 1954-04-11 31.7 @ St Patricks Athletic 2 1271 58.51% Transport 0 1288 16.29% 25.20%
14 1954-03-21 32.2 @ Waterford 2 1333 59.54% Sligo Rovers 0 1338 15.36% 25.09%
15 1954-04-13 32.2 @ Shamrock Rovers 7 1459 68.27% Waterford 1 1341 8.29% 23.44%
16 1953-12-06 32.6 @ Shamrock Rovers 10 1394 65.12% Cork Athletic 2 1326 10.65% 24.22%
17 1954-01-10 32.8 @ Shelbourne 2 1370 60.45% Sligo Rovers 0 1364 14.57% 24.99%
18 1954-01-16 32.9 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1437 70.83% Bohemian 0 1272 6.57% 22.60%
19 1954-01-31 32.9 @ Waterford 4 1360 64.51% St Patricks Athletic 1 1300 11.14% 24.35%
20 1954-03-28 32.9 @ Evergreen United 2 1431 64.45% Bohemian 0 1373 11.19% 24.36%
21 1953-12-20 33.2 @ Evergreen United 4 1395 65.60% Dundalk 1 1320 10.28% 24.12%
22 1954-03-14 33.4 @ Cork Athletic 4 1349 62.88% Limerick 1 1312 12.48% 24.64%
23 1954-04-19 33.4 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1319 55.99% Cork Athletic 0 1363 18.60% 25.41%
24 1954-03-07 33.5 @ Limerick 2 1302 54.77% Sligo Rovers 0 1358 19.75% 25.48%
25 1953-12-13 33.9 @ Cork Athletic 2 1310 54.35% Drumconda 0 1371 20.14% 25.51%