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1952-53 League of Ireland Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Shelbourne

30 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Limerick

6.99 points above expected

21 points · 14.01 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Bohemian

8.02 points below expected

11 points · 19.02 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Shelbourne 22 12 6 4 30 46 24 +22 26.59 +3.41
2 Drumconda 22 10 9 3 29 49 33 +16 25.65 +3.35
3 Shamrock Rovers 22 12 3 7 27 40 27 +13 29.76 -2.76
4 St Patricks Athletic 22 8 8 6 24 49 34 +15 26.72 -2.72
5 Sligo Rovers 22 8 7 7 23 42 37 +5 22.99 +0.01
6 Dundalk 22 8 6 8 22 45 45 0 19.19 +2.81
7 Limerick 22 8 5 9 21 39 44 -5 14.01 +6.99
8 Cork Athletic 22 9 3 10 21 41 47 -6 20.00 +1.00
9 Transport 22 7 7 8 21 35 42 -7 18.85 +2.15
10 Evergreen United 22 8 4 10 20 36 35 +1 23.15 -3.15
11 Waterford 22 5 5 12 15 35 58 -23 18.07 -3.07
12 Bohemian 22 4 3 15 11 27 58 -31 19.02 -8.02

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Limerick 21 14.01 +6.99
2 Shelbourne 30 26.59 +3.41
3 Drumconda 29 25.65 +3.35
4 Dundalk 22 19.19 +2.81
5 Transport 21 18.85 +2.15

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Bohemian 11 19.02 -8.02
2 Evergreen United 20 23.15 -3.15
3 Waterford 15 18.07 -3.07
4 Shamrock Rovers 27 29.76 -2.76
5 St Patricks Athletic 24 26.72 -2.72

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Evergreen United 4 Dec 14 – Jan 4 1 in 139
2 Shamrock Rovers 4 Feb 28 – Apr 5 1 in 36
3 Drumconda 4 Nov 23 – Dec 13 1 in 31
4 Waterford 2 Dec 14 – Dec 21 1 in 26
5 Shelbourne 4 Mar 14 – Apr 8 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bohemian 7 Dec 7 – Jan 18 1 in 314
2 Shamrock Rovers 3 Dec 6 – Dec 20 1 in 64
3 Transport 3 Mar 29 – Apr 12 1 in 32
4 Cork Athletic 3 Dec 21 – Jan 4 1 in 21
5 Sligo Rovers 3 Apr 1 – Apr 12 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Limerick 5 Apr 5 – Apr 26 1 in 39
2 Evergreen United 6 Nov 30 – Jan 4 1 in 20
3 Sligo Rovers 6 Jan 18 – Mar 1 1 in 18
4 Transport 4 Dec 7 – Dec 27 1 in 17
5 Dundalk 4 Nov 16 – Dec 7 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 St Patricks Athletic 5 Nov 16 – Dec 14 1 in 47
2 Drumconda 5 Jan 24 – Feb 28 1 in 29
3 Shamrock Rovers 4 Nov 30 – Dec 20 1 in 24
4 Bohemian 8 Nov 30 – Jan 18 1 in 22
5 Waterford 9 Jan 25 – Apr 5 1 in 21

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Shelbourne 1599 30 +15 7 6.6 +0.4
Drumconda 1583 29 +15 8 5.8 +2.2
Shamrock Rovers 1634 27 -7 6 6.9 -0.9
St Patricks Athletic 1613 24 +8 7 6.5 +0.5
Sligo Rovers 1506 23 -7 3 4.9 -1.9
Dundalk 1437 22 +7 5 4.5 +0.5
Limerick 1382 21 +32 8 3.7 +4.3
Cork Athletic 1467 21 +7 5 5.3 -0.3
Transport 1414 21 -27 3 4.7 -1.7
Evergreen United 1506 20 -15 3 4.6 -1.6
Waterford 1374 15 -18 2 3.1 -1.1
Bohemian 1372 11 -11 3 3.2 -0.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOH CA DRU DUN EU LIM SR SHE SR SPA TRA WAT
Bohemian —
0-0-2
2.50
0-0-2
1.95
0-0-2
2.87
0-1-1
2.40
1-0-1
3.40
1-0-1
1.56
0-0-2
1.55
1-0-1
1.97
0-0-2
1.64
1-1-0
2.60
0-1-1
2.70
Cork Athletic
2-0-0
3.00
—
0-2-0
2.15
1-0-1
2.83
1-0-1
2.34
1-1-0
3.49
0-0-2
1.62
1-0-1
1.91
1-0-1
2.56
1-0-1
1.81
0-0-2
2.96
1-0-1
2.94
Drumconda
2-0-0
3.57
0-2-0
3.35
—
1-1-0
3.59
0-0-2
3.18
1-1-0
4.04
1-0-1
2.28
1-1-0
2.61
1-1-0
3.14
1-1-0
2.51
1-1-0
3.59
1-1-0
3.83
Dundalk
2-0-0
2.61
1-0-1
2.65
0-1-1
1.92
—
1-0-1
2.31
1-0-1
3.39
0-2-0
1.48
0-1-1
1.79
0-1-1
2.43
0-1-1
1.71
1-0-1
2.70
2-0-0
2.84
Evergreen United
1-1-0
3.09
1-0-1
3.14
2-0-0
2.31
1-0-1
3.17
—
0-1-1
3.85
0-0-2
2.03
0-0-2
2.40
0-2-0
2.83
1-0-1
2.20
0-0-2
3.37
2-0-0
3.32
Limerick
1-0-1
2.10
0-1-1
2.01
0-1-1
1.50
1-0-1
2.11
1-1-0
1.67
—
2-0-0
1.13
0-0-2
1.35
1-0-1
1.70
0-1-1
1.21
1-1-0
2.22
1-0-1
2.42
Shamrock Rovers
1-0-1
3.97
2-0-0
3.91
1-0-1
3.21
0-2-0
4.06
2-0-0
3.47
0-0-2
4.46
—
2-0-0
3.01
2-0-0
3.52
1-0-1
2.91
1-1-0
4.12
0-0-2
4.28
Shelbourne
2-0-0
3.97
1-0-1
3.59
0-1-1
2.87
1-1-0
3.72
2-0-0
3.08
2-0-0
4.20
0-0-2
2.47
—
1-1-0
3.27
1-1-0
2.56
1-1-0
3.68
1-1-0
3.70
Sligo Rovers
1-0-1
3.52
1-0-1
2.93
0-1-1
2.35
1-1-0
3.06
0-2-0
2.65
1-0-1
3.81
0-0-2
1.99
0-1-1
2.21
—
0-2-0
2.11
2-0-0
3.15
2-0-0
3.19
St Patricks Athletic
2-0-0
3.89
1-0-1
3.69
0-1-1
2.97
1-1-0
3.80
1-0-1
3.29
1-1-0
4.35
1-0-1
2.57
0-1-1
2.92
0-2-0
3.39
—
0-1-1
3.94
1-1-0
3.95
Transport
0-1-1
2.89
2-0-0
2.53
0-1-1
1.91
1-0-1
2.79
2-0-0
2.13
0-1-1
3.26
0-1-1
1.43
0-1-1
1.84
0-0-2
2.34
1-1-0
1.59
—
1-1-0
2.74
Waterford
1-1-0
2.78
1-0-1
2.54
0-1-1
1.68
0-0-2
2.64
0-0-2
2.17
1-0-1
3.07
2-0-0
1.27
0-1-1
1.80
0-0-2
2.30
0-1-1
1.59
0-1-1
2.74
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.70 +7.0
Allowed 0.83 -4.5
Differential 0.93 +3.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%3.03%4.92%2.27%1.89%0.38%15.53%
13.03%12.12%9.47%3.03%2.65%1.89%32.20%
24.92%9.47%6.82%1.89%2.65%1.14%26.89%
32.27%3.03%1.89%2.27%1.14%1.14%11.74%
41.89%2.65%2.65%1.14%0.76%—9.09%
5+0.38%1.89%1.14%1.14%——4.55%
Total15.53%32.20%26.89%11.74%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 1.83 +0.00
SD 1.43 1.43 2.05
CV 0.78 0.78 —
Max 7 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
1—9.09%18.18%4.55%4.55%13.64%50.00%
29.09%4.55%————13.64%
3————4.55%4.55%9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%18.18%27.27%9.09%13.64%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 2.64 -1.41
SD 1.07 2.04 2.17
CV 0.87 0.77 —
Max 4 7 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
1—4.55%4.55%—4.55%4.55%18.18%
29.09%18.18%4.55%—4.55%9.09%45.45%
3———4.55%——4.55%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total9.09%45.45%18.18%4.55%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 2.14 -0.27
SD 1.46 1.88 2.45
CV 0.78 0.88 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
14.55%18.18%—4.55%——27.27%
2—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
34.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
4——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total13.64%50.00%18.18%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 1.50 +0.73
SD 1.45 1.14 1.52
CV 0.65 0.76 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%—4.55%4.55%22.73%
14.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
2—4.55%18.18%—4.55%—27.27%
3——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
Total18.18%13.64%45.45%4.55%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 2.05 +0.00
SD 1.70 1.59 2.47
CV 0.83 0.78 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
19.09%13.64%18.18%9.09%——50.00%
2—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total13.64%31.82%36.36%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.59 +0.05
SD 1.36 0.96 1.86
CV 0.83 0.60 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%13.64%——18.18%
1—9.09%13.64%—4.55%—27.27%
29.09%9.09%13.64%—4.55%—36.36%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total9.09%22.73%36.36%22.73%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 2.00 -0.23
SD 1.48 1.11 1.90
CV 0.83 0.56 —
Max 6 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
19.09%4.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%—36.36%
218.18%9.09%4.55%4.55%——36.36%
39.09%—————9.09%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total40.91%18.18%22.73%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.23 +0.59
SD 1.33 1.27 1.76
CV 0.73 1.03 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%———13.64%
14.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
24.55%13.64%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
39.09%4.55%————13.64%
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total27.27%40.91%27.27%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 1.09 +1.00
SD 1.51 0.87 1.85
CV 0.72 0.80 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——18.18%———18.18%
1—13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
2—9.09%13.64%———22.73%
3—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
49.09%9.09%—4.55%——22.73%
5+———————
Total9.09%36.36%36.36%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 1.68 +0.23
SD 1.44 0.99 2.02
CV 0.76 0.59 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
1—18.18%13.64%———31.82%
24.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
34.55%9.09%—9.09%——22.73%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
Total13.64%36.36%31.82%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 1.55 +0.68
SD 1.85 0.96 1.76
CV 0.83 0.62 —
Max 7 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———4.55%4.55%—9.09%
14.55%27.27%4.55%4.55%——40.91%
24.55%18.18%—4.55%9.09%4.55%40.91%
3———4.55%——4.55%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total9.09%50.00%4.55%18.18%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.91 -0.32
SD 1.05 1.44 1.84
CV 0.66 0.76 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%———9.09%—18.18%
1—9.09%9.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%36.36%
2—13.64%——9.09%—22.73%
3——4.55%—4.55%4.55%13.64%
4——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
5+———————
Total9.09%22.73%18.18%4.55%36.36%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 2.64 -1.05
SD 1.22 1.62 1.81
CV 0.77 0.61 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Shamrock Rovers 1634 27 29.76 -2.76 27.0% 16 24 27 30 32 36 40
St Patricks Athletic 1613 24 26.72 -2.72 39.0% 18 19 23 27 30 33 37
Shelbourne 1599 30 26.59 +3.41 89.0% 17 20 24 27 29 31 38
Drumconda 1583 29 25.65 +3.35 87.0% 13 20 23 26 28 31 35
Evergreen United 1506 20 23.15 -3.15 22.0% 14 16 21 23 25 29 33
Sligo Rovers 1506 23 22.99 +0.01 59.0% 15 17 21 23 25 29 31
Cork Athletic 1467 21 20.00 +1.00 74.0% 11 14 18 20 22 28 29
Dundalk 1437 22 19.19 +2.81 84.0% 9 15 17 19 21 24 27
Transport 1414 21 18.85 +2.15 77.0% 9 13 16 19 21 25 28
Limerick 1382 21 14.01 +6.99 100.0% 7 9 11 14 16 20 21
Waterford 1374 15 18.07 -3.07 24.0% 11 12 16 19 20 23 25
Bohemian 1372 11 19.02 -8.02 1.0% 11 13 17 19 21 24 28

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+25.00%
Strong Edge
50.00%25.00%25.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge
184 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
088.74500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.61 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.48+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.5
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
16%
Shelbourne, 3rd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.9 * Some Luck: 2.9 to 4.35 * Lucky: 4.35 to 5.8 * Wild Swing: 5.8 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.42 * Close: 1.42 to 2.12 * Off: 2.12 to 2.83 * Way Off: 2.83 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.91 points
Some Luck
03.629
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.17
Off
01.774
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Limerick
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
Bohemian
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Balanced
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 97.66
1.33
Coin-Flip Parity
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
74%
Clear Edge
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
82%
Even
50%88%100%
Close Games
Expected
56%
Some Drama
0%53%100%
Blowouts
Expected
22%
Frequent
0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.45
Notable Separation
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.28
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.62
Strong Carryover
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Upset-Prone
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Shaky Favorites
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.54
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.59
Overconfident
0.464871.001.53513
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.106
Well Within Noise
00.1350.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Shelbourne16.00%26.00%21.00%14.00%8.00%4.00%4.00%5.00%1.00%—1.00%—
Drumconda13.00%15.00%20.00%19.00%15.00%8.00%6.00%1.00%1.00%—2.00%—
Shamrock Rovers44.00%21.00%19.00%7.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%——1.00%——
St Patricks Athletic21.00%19.00%14.00%15.00%12.00%9.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%—
Sligo Rovers4.00%7.00%9.00%12.00%17.00%17.00%11.00%5.00%9.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%
Dundalk—1.00%1.00%2.00%9.00%10.00%14.00%15.00%12.00%17.00%17.00%2.00%
Limerick—————1.00%3.00%4.00%7.00%10.00%21.00%54.00%
Cork Athletic—3.00%2.00%7.00%6.00%6.00%19.00%17.00%13.00%11.00%10.00%6.00%
Transport—2.00%3.00%2.00%5.00%12.00%7.00%13.00%14.00%20.00%15.00%7.00%
Evergreen United2.00%6.00%8.00%17.00%16.00%19.00%13.00%8.00%4.00%4.00%3.00%—
Waterford——1.00%2.00%2.00%5.00%11.00%17.00%15.00%14.00%16.00%17.00%
Bohemian——2.00%3.00%6.00%6.00%7.00%13.00%22.00%17.00%11.00%13.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Bohemian 100%
Cork Athletic 100%
Drumconda 100%
Dundalk 100%
Evergreen United 100%
Limerick 100%
Shamrock Rovers 100%
Shelbourne 100%
Sligo Rovers 100%
St Patricks Athletic 100%
Transport 100%
Waterford 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1952-11-15 Bohemian W 1-045.1 1632 1464 68.33% 22.40% 9.27%+1.40 +1.7 2
1952-11-15 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-145.1 1464 1632 9.27% 22.40% 68.33%-1.40 -1.7 0
1952-11-15 Waterford W 4-034.9 1562 1429 65.67% 23.38% 10.95%+1.20 +7.2 2
1952-11-15 @ Shelbourne L 0-434.9 1429 1562 10.95% 23.38% 65.67%-1.20 -7.2 0
1952-11-16 Drumconda D 3-370.5 1464 1546 43.73% 26.50% 29.76%+0.04 -0.3 1
1952-11-16 @ Cork Athletic D 3-370.5 1546 1464 29.76% 26.50% 43.73%-0.04 +0.3 1
1952-11-16 St Patricks Athletic D 2-264.6 1338 1613 20.34% 24.24% 55.42%-1.01 +0.8 1
1952-11-16 @ Limerick D 2-264.6 1613 1338 55.42% 24.24% 20.34%+1.01 -0.9 1
1952-11-16 Dundalk D 2-262.4 1476 1418 59.33% 25.07% 15.59%+0.80 -1.1 1
1952-11-16 @ Sligo Rovers D 2-262.4 1418 1476 15.59% 25.07% 59.33%-0.80 +1.1 1
1952-11-19 Evergreen United W 1-047.6 1423 1521 41.55% 26.50% 31.95%-0.05 +5.1 2
1952-11-19 @ Transport L 0-147.6 1521 1423 31.95% 26.50% 41.55%+0.05 -5.1 0
1952-11-22 Shelbourne D 1-167.1 1612 1569 57.96% 25.34% 16.70%+0.72 -1.4 2
1952-11-22 @ St Patricks Athletic D 1-167.1 1569 1612 16.70% 25.34% 57.96%-0.72 +1.4 3
1952-11-23 Limerick W 2-032.7 1462 1339 64.94% 23.62% 11.44%+1.15 +4.0 2
1952-11-23 @ Bohemian L 0-232.7 1339 1462 11.44% 23.62% 64.94%-1.15 -4.0 1
1952-11-23 Shamrock Rovers L 0-350.6 1516 1634 38.92% 26.45% 34.63%-0.16 -16.2 0
1952-11-23 @ Evergreen United W 3-050.6 1634 1516 34.63% 26.45% 38.92%+0.16 +16.2 4
1952-11-23 Transport W 5-243.5 1419 1428 52.64% 26.07% 21.30%+0.44 +7.4 3
1952-11-23 @ Dundalk L 2-543.5 1428 1419 21.30% 26.07% 52.64%-0.44 -7.4 2
1952-11-23 Sligo Rovers W 3-145.9 1547 1475 60.61% 24.80% 14.59%+0.87 +4.3 3
1952-11-23 @ Drumconda L 1-345.9 1475 1547 14.59% 24.80% 60.61%-0.87 -4.3 1
1952-11-23 Cork Athletic W 4-249.1 1422 1464 48.74% 26.36% 24.90%+0.25 +6.2 2
1952-11-23 @ Waterford L 2-449.1 1464 1422 24.90% 26.36% 48.74%-0.25 -6.2 1
1952-11-29 Drumconda L 2-455.8 1420 1551 37.13% 26.39% 36.48%-0.23 -8.3 2
1952-11-29 @ Transport W 4-255.8 1551 1420 36.48% 26.39% 37.13%+0.23 +8.3 5
1952-11-30 Evergreen United D 1-159.7 1466 1500 49.75% 26.30% 23.95%+0.30 -0.8 3
1952-11-30 @ Bohemian D 1-159.7 1500 1466 23.95% 26.30% 49.75%-0.30 +0.8 1
1952-11-30 St Patricks Athletic W 2-158.6 1458 1611 34.07% 26.22% 39.70%-0.35 +5.7 3
1952-11-30 @ Cork Athletic L 1-258.6 1611 1458 39.70% 26.22% 34.07%+0.35 -5.7 2
1952-11-30 Shelbourne L 2-449.1 1335 1570 24.18% 25.07% 50.74%-0.80 -5.9 1
1952-11-30 @ Limerick W 4-249.1 1570 1335 50.74% 25.07% 24.18%+0.80 +5.9 5
1952-11-30 Dundalk D 2-270.2 1650 1427 72.07% 20.74% 7.19%+1.70 -1.7 5
1952-11-30 @ Shamrock Rovers D 2-270.2 1427 1650 7.19% 20.74% 72.07%-1.70 +1.7 4
1952-11-30 Waterford W 4-353.9 1471 1428 57.91% 25.34% 16.75%+0.71 +2.6 3
1952-11-30 @ Sligo Rovers L 3-453.9 1428 1471 16.75% 25.34% 57.91%-0.71 -2.6 2
1952-12-06 Shamrock Rovers W 1-055.8 1559 1649 42.81% 26.51% 30.68%+0.00 +4.9 7
1952-12-06 @ Drumconda L 0-155.8 1649 1559 30.68% 26.51% 42.81%+0.00 -5.0 5
1952-12-07 Limerick D 2-261.3 1501 1329 68.57% 22.30% 9.13%+1.42 -1.5 2
1952-12-07 @ Evergreen United D 2-261.3 1329 1501 9.13% 22.30% 68.57%-1.42 +1.5 2
1952-12-07 Bohemian W 5-140.8 1428 1465 49.37% 26.32% 24.31%+0.28 +12.3 6
1952-12-07 @ Dundalk L 1-540.8 1465 1428 24.31% 26.32% 49.37%-0.28 -12.3 3
1952-12-07 Cork Athletic W 6-141.2 1576 1463 64.09% 23.88% 12.03%+1.09 +8.1 7
1952-12-07 @ Shelbourne L 1-641.2 1463 1576 12.03% 23.88% 64.09%-1.09 -8.1 3
1952-12-07 Sligo Rovers D 3-373.9 1605 1473 65.61% 23.40% 11.00%+1.20 -1.2 3
1952-12-07 @ St Patricks Athletic D 3-373.9 1473 1605 11.00% 23.40% 65.61%-1.20 +1.2 4
1952-12-07 Transport D 1-155.6 1425 1412 54.96% 25.80% 19.24%+0.55 -1.2 3
1952-12-07 @ Waterford D 1-155.6 1412 1425 19.24% 25.80% 54.96%-0.55 +1.2 3
1952-12-13 Drumconda L 1-353.9 1453 1564 39.84% 26.47% 33.69%-0.12 -9.8 3
1952-12-13 @ Bohemian W 3-153.9 1564 1453 33.69% 26.47% 39.84%+0.12 +9.8 9
1952-12-14 Dundalk W 5-035.3 1499 1441 59.40% 25.06% 15.54%+0.80 +12.5 4
1952-12-14 @ Evergreen United L 0-535.3 1441 1499 15.54% 25.06% 59.40%-0.80 -12.5 6
1952-12-14 Cork Athletic L 1-443.5 1330 1455 37.97% 26.42% 35.61%-0.20 -13.4 2
1952-12-14 @ Limerick W 4-143.5 1455 1330 35.61% 26.42% 37.97%+0.20 +13.4 5
1952-12-14 Waterford L 1-266.6 1644 1424 71.82% 20.87% 7.32%+1.68 -9.5 5
1952-12-14 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-166.6 1424 1644 7.32% 20.87% 71.82%-1.68 +9.5 5
1952-12-14 Shelbourne D 2-267.9 1474 1584 40.04% 26.48% 33.49%-0.11 -0.1 5
1952-12-14 @ Sligo Rovers D 2-267.9 1584 1474 33.49% 26.48% 40.04%+0.11 +0.1 8
1952-12-14 St Patricks Athletic D 3-371.0 1413 1604 29.21% 25.80% 44.99%-0.55 +0.3 4
1952-12-14 @ Transport D 3-371.0 1604 1413 44.99% 25.80% 29.21%+0.55 -0.3 4
1952-12-20 Shamrock Rovers W 3-155.4 1604 1634 50.11% 26.28% 23.61%+0.32 +6.6 6
1952-12-20 @ St Patricks Athletic L 1-355.4 1634 1604 23.61% 26.28% 50.11%-0.32 -6.6 5
1952-12-21 Sligo Rovers L 1-452.4 1469 1474 52.96% 26.03% 21.01%+0.45 -17.7 5
1952-12-21 @ Cork Athletic W 4-152.4 1474 1469 21.01% 26.03% 52.96%-0.45 +17.7 7
1952-12-21 Limerick W 2-139.7 1428 1317 63.96% 23.92% 12.12%+1.09 +2.1 8
1952-12-21 @ Dundalk L 1-239.7 1317 1428 12.12% 23.92% 63.96%-1.09 -2.1 2
1952-12-21 Evergreen United L 0-160.7 1574 1512 59.77% 24.98% 15.25%+0.82 -8.6 9
1952-12-21 @ Drumconda W 1-060.7 1512 1574 15.25% 24.98% 59.77%-0.82 +8.6 6
1952-12-21 Transport D 1-162.0 1584 1413 68.50% 22.33% 9.17%+1.41 -2.1 9
1952-12-21 @ Shelbourne D 1-162.0 1413 1584 9.17% 22.33% 68.50%-1.41 +2.1 5
1952-12-21 Bohemian W 2-146.3 1433 1443 52.49% 26.08% 21.43%+0.43 +3.5 7
1952-12-21 @ Waterford L 1-246.3 1443 1433 21.43% 26.08% 52.49%-0.43 -3.5 3
1952-12-27 Cork Athletic W 2-039.0 1415 1451 49.53% 26.31% 24.15%+0.29 +7.8 7
1952-12-27 @ Transport L 0-239.0 1451 1415 24.15% 26.31% 49.53%-0.29 -7.8 5
1952-12-28 St Patricks Athletic L 3-752.5 1440 1610 31.76% 26.05% 42.19%-0.44 -11.7 3
1952-12-28 @ Bohemian W 7-352.5 1610 1440 42.19% 26.05% 31.76%+0.44 +11.7 8
1952-12-28 Waterford W 4-247.7 1520 1437 61.62% 24.56% 13.82%+0.93 +3.7 8
1952-12-28 @ Evergreen United L 2-447.7 1437 1520 13.82% 24.56% 61.62%-0.93 -3.7 7
1952-12-28 Drumconda D 2-265.6 1430 1566 36.51% 26.36% 37.13%-0.25 +0.0 9
1952-12-28 @ Dundalk D 2-265.6 1566 1430 37.13% 26.36% 36.51%+0.25 -0.0 10
1952-12-28 Sligo Rovers W 2-043.0 1315 1492 30.95% 25.98% 43.08%-0.48 +12.0 4
1952-12-28 @ Limerick L 0-243.0 1492 1315 43.08% 25.98% 30.95%+0.48 -12.0 7
1952-12-28 Shelbourne W 2-047.6 1628 1582 58.16% 25.30% 16.54%+0.73 +5.6 7
1952-12-28 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-247.6 1582 1628 16.54% 25.30% 58.16%-0.73 -5.6 9
1953-01-03 Bohemian W 2-146.5 1577 1428 66.88% 22.95% 10.17%+1.29 +1.8 11
1953-01-03 @ Shelbourne L 1-246.5 1428 1577 10.17% 22.95% 66.88%-1.29 -1.8 3
1953-01-04 Shamrock Rovers L 0-151.5 1443 1633 29.31% 25.81% 44.88%-0.55 -4.8 5
1953-01-04 @ Cork Athletic W 1-051.5 1633 1443 44.88% 25.81% 29.31%+0.55 +4.7 9
1953-01-04 Limerick W 3-030.2 1566 1327 73.02% 20.27% 6.71%+1.78 +3.3 12
1953-01-04 @ Drumconda L 0-330.2 1327 1566 6.71% 20.27% 73.02%-1.78 -3.3 4
1953-01-04 Transport W 3-142.1 1480 1423 59.23% 25.09% 15.68%+0.79 +4.7 9
1953-01-04 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-342.1 1423 1480 15.68% 25.09% 59.23%-0.79 -4.7 7
1953-01-04 Evergreen United L 2-372.4 1622 1524 62.87% 24.23% 12.90%+1.01 -8.0 8
1953-01-04 @ St Patricks Athletic W 3-272.4 1524 1622 12.90% 24.23% 62.87%-1.01 +8.0 10
1953-01-04 Dundalk L 3-559.7 1433 1430 53.86% 25.93% 20.20%+0.50 -10.8 7
1953-01-04 @ Waterford W 5-359.7 1430 1433 20.20% 25.93% 53.86%-0.50 +10.7 11
1953-01-10 Cork Athletic L 1-255.2 1426 1438 52.21% 26.11% 21.69%+0.42 -7.1 3
1953-01-10 @ Bohemian W 2-155.2 1438 1426 21.69% 26.11% 52.21%-0.42 +7.1 7
1953-01-11 Shelbourne L 1-262.7 1532 1578 48.24% 26.38% 25.37%+0.23 -6.7 10
1953-01-11 @ Evergreen United W 2-162.7 1578 1532 25.37% 26.38% 48.24%-0.23 +6.6 13
1953-01-11 St Patricks Athletic D 1-163.1 1441 1614 31.47% 26.02% 42.50%-0.46 +0.3 12
1953-01-11 @ Dundalk D 1-163.1 1614 1441 42.50% 26.02% 31.47%+0.46 -0.3 9
1953-01-11 Waterford D 4-473.6 1569 1423 66.71% 23.02% 10.28%+1.28 -1.1 13
1953-01-11 @ Drumconda D 4-473.6 1423 1569 10.28% 23.02% 66.71%-1.28 +1.1 8
1953-01-11 Transport D 1-153.4 1324 1419 42.08% 26.51% 31.42%-0.03 -0.3 5
1953-01-11 @ Limerick D 1-153.4 1419 1324 31.42% 26.51% 42.08%+0.03 +0.3 8
1953-01-11 Sligo Rovers W 2-042.6 1638 1484 67.24% 22.82% 9.94%+1.32 +3.5 11
1953-01-11 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-242.6 1484 1638 9.94% 22.82% 67.24%-1.32 -3.5 9
1953-01-17 Dundalk W 2-039.5 1585 1441 66.50% 23.09% 10.41%+1.26 +3.6 15
1953-01-17 @ Shelbourne L 0-239.5 1441 1585 10.41% 23.09% 66.50%-1.26 -3.6 12
1953-01-18 Evergreen United W 2-152.0 1446 1525 44.06% 26.50% 29.43%+0.05 +4.5 9
1953-01-18 @ Cork Athletic L 1-252.0 1525 1446 29.43% 26.50% 44.06%-0.05 -4.5 10
1953-01-18 Bohemian W 4-139.3 1481 1419 59.72% 24.99% 15.29%+0.82 +6.4 11
1953-01-18 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-439.3 1419 1481 15.29% 24.99% 59.72%-0.82 -6.4 3
1953-01-18 Drumconda L 1-267.3 1614 1568 58.20% 25.29% 16.51%+0.73 -7.9 9
1953-01-18 @ St Patricks Athletic W 2-167.3 1568 1614 16.51% 25.29% 58.20%-0.73 +7.9 15
1953-01-18 Shamrock Rovers D 1-163.5 1419 1642 25.54% 25.30% 49.15%-0.73 +0.7 9
1953-01-18 @ Transport D 1-163.5 1642 1419 49.15% 25.30% 25.54%+0.73 -0.7 12
1953-01-18 Limerick W 2-140.0 1424 1323 63.06% 24.18% 12.76%+1.03 +2.2 10
1953-01-18 @ Waterford L 1-240.0 1323 1424 12.76% 24.18% 63.06%-1.03 -2.2 5
1953-01-24 Shelbourne D 1-166.5 1576 1589 52.13% 26.11% 21.76%+0.41 -1.0 16
1953-01-24 @ Drumconda D 1-166.5 1589 1576 21.76% 26.11% 52.13%-0.41 +1.0 16
1953-01-25 Transport W 4-246.4 1413 1420 52.80% 26.05% 21.15%+0.44 +5.4 5
1953-01-25 @ Bohemian L 2-446.4 1420 1413 21.15% 26.05% 52.80%-0.44 -5.4 9
1953-01-25 Sligo Rovers D 1-161.5 1521 1487 56.99% 25.50% 17.51%+0.66 -1.3 11
1953-01-25 @ Evergreen United D 1-161.5 1487 1521 17.51% 25.50% 56.99%-0.66 +1.3 12
1953-01-25 Cork Athletic W 1-042.5 1438 1450 52.20% 26.11% 21.69%+0.42 +3.8 14
1953-01-25 @ Dundalk L 0-142.5 1450 1438 21.69% 26.11% 52.20%-0.42 -3.8 9
1953-01-25 Limerick L 1-263.5 1641 1321 77.75% 17.63% 4.62%+2.22 -10.0 12
1953-01-25 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-163.5 1321 1641 4.62% 17.63% 77.75%-2.22 +10.0 7
1953-01-25 St Patricks Athletic D 1-162.2 1426 1606 30.57% 25.94% 43.49%-0.50 +0.4 11
1953-01-25 @ Waterford D 1-162.2 1606 1426 43.49% 25.94% 30.57%+0.50 -0.4 10
1953-01-31 Shamrock Rovers W 2-160.2 1418 1631 26.65% 25.47% 47.89%-0.67 +6.5 7
1953-01-31 @ Bohemian L 1-260.2 1631 1418 47.89% 25.47% 26.65%+0.67 -6.5 12
1953-02-01 Transport L 1-260.2 1520 1414 63.48% 24.06% 12.46%+1.05 -8.5 11
1953-02-01 @ Evergreen United W 2-160.2 1414 1520 12.46% 24.06% 63.48%-1.05 +8.5 11
1953-02-01 Sligo Rovers L 0-444.8 1442 1489 48.15% 26.39% 25.46%+0.23 -25.2 14
1953-02-01 @ Dundalk W 4-044.8 1489 1442 25.46% 26.39% 48.15%-0.23 +25.2 14
1953-02-01 Cork Athletic D 1-162.6 1575 1446 65.33% 23.49% 11.18%+1.18 -1.9 17
1953-02-01 @ Drumconda D 1-162.6 1446 1575 11.18% 23.49% 65.33%-1.18 +1.9 10
1953-02-01 Limerick W 3-031.0 1605 1331 75.18% 19.13% 5.70%+1.97 +2.7 12
1953-02-01 @ St Patricks Athletic L 0-331.0 1331 1605 5.70% 19.13% 75.18%-1.97 -2.7 7
1953-02-01 Shelbourne D 0-058.3 1426 1590 32.68% 26.12% 41.20%-0.41 +0.3 12
1953-02-01 @ Waterford D 0-058.3 1590 1426 41.20% 26.12% 32.68%+0.41 -0.3 17
1953-02-07 Dundalk W 2-144.7 1423 1416 54.23% 25.89% 19.88%+0.52 +3.3 13
1953-02-07 @ Transport L 1-244.7 1416 1423 19.88% 25.89% 54.23%-0.52 -3.3 14
1953-02-08 Waterford W 4-246.6 1448 1426 55.84% 25.68% 18.49%+0.60 +4.8 12
1953-02-08 @ Cork Athletic L 2-446.6 1426 1448 18.49% 25.68% 55.84%-0.60 -4.8 12
1953-02-08 Bohemian W 4-355.0 1328 1425 41.89% 26.50% 31.60%-0.04 +4.4 9
1953-02-08 @ Limerick L 3-455.0 1425 1328 31.60% 26.50% 41.89%+0.04 -4.4 7
1953-02-08 Evergreen United W 2-151.8 1624 1511 64.13% 23.87% 12.00%+1.10 +2.1 14
1953-02-08 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-251.8 1511 1624 12.00% 23.87% 64.13%-1.10 -2.1 11
1953-02-08 St Patricks Athletic W 1-053.0 1589 1608 51.49% 26.17% 22.34%+0.38 +3.9 19
1953-02-08 @ Shelbourne L 0-153.0 1608 1589 22.34% 26.17% 51.49%-0.38 -3.9 12
1953-02-08 Drumconda D 2-268.9 1514 1573 46.71% 26.45% 26.84%+0.16 -0.5 15
1953-02-08 @ Sligo Rovers D 2-268.9 1573 1514 26.84% 26.45% 46.71%-0.16 +0.5 18
1953-02-21 Transport D 1-161.9 1573 1426 66.78% 22.99% 10.23%+1.28 -2.0 19
1953-02-21 @ Drumconda D 1-161.9 1426 1573 10.23% 22.99% 66.78%-1.28 +2.0 14
1953-02-22 Bohemian W 2-145.1 1509 1420 62.09% 24.44% 13.47%+0.96 +2.3 13
1953-02-22 @ Evergreen United L 1-245.1 1420 1509 13.47% 24.44% 62.09%-0.96 -2.3 7
1953-02-22 Shamrock Rovers D 0-059.4 1413 1626 26.59% 25.46% 47.95%-0.68 +0.7 15
1953-02-22 @ Dundalk D 0-059.4 1626 1413 47.95% 25.46% 26.59%+0.68 -0.8 15
1953-02-22 Limerick W 3-030.9 1593 1333 74.36% 19.57% 6.07%+1.90 +2.9 21
1953-02-22 @ Shelbourne L 0-330.9 1333 1593 6.07% 19.57% 74.36%-1.90 -2.9 9
1953-02-22 Cork Athletic W 6-244.1 1604 1453 67.06% 22.89% 10.06%+1.30 +4.7 14
1953-02-22 @ St Patricks Athletic L 2-644.1 1453 1604 10.06% 22.89% 67.06%-1.30 -4.7 12
1953-02-22 Sligo Rovers L 1-254.7 1422 1514 42.47% 26.51% 31.03%-0.02 -6.0 12
1953-02-22 @ Waterford W 2-154.7 1514 1422 31.03% 26.51% 42.47%+0.02 +6.0 17
1953-02-28 Drumconda W 4-363.5 1626 1571 59.00% 25.14% 15.86%+0.78 +2.5 17
1953-02-28 @ Shamrock Rovers L 3-463.5 1571 1626 15.86% 25.14% 59.00%-0.78 -2.5 19
1953-03-01 Dundalk L 0-443.4 1418 1414 53.98% 25.92% 20.10%+0.50 -27.9 7
1953-03-01 @ Bohemian W 4-043.4 1414 1418 20.10% 25.92% 53.98%-0.50 +27.9 17
1953-03-01 Shelbourne W 2-049.7 1448 1596 34.78% 26.27% 38.95%-0.32 +11.1 14
1953-03-01 @ Cork Athletic L 0-249.7 1596 1448 38.95% 26.27% 34.78%+0.32 -11.1 21
1953-03-01 Evergreen United W 2-044.0 1330 1511 30.39% 25.92% 43.68%-0.50 +12.2 11
1953-03-01 @ Limerick L 0-244.0 1511 1330 43.68% 25.92% 30.39%+0.50 -12.2 13
1953-03-01 St Patricks Athletic D 1-165.3 1520 1609 42.81% 26.51% 30.69%+0.00 -0.4 18
1953-03-01 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-165.3 1609 1520 30.69% 26.51% 42.81%+0.00 +0.4 15
1953-03-01 Waterford W 5-137.7 1428 1416 54.86% 25.81% 19.33%+0.55 +10.2 16
1953-03-01 @ Transport L 1-537.7 1416 1428 19.33% 25.81% 54.86%-0.55 -10.2 12
1953-03-07 Shamrock Rovers L 1-265.5 1585 1628 48.64% 26.36% 24.99%+0.25 -6.7 21
1953-03-07 @ Shelbourne W 2-165.5 1628 1585 24.99% 26.36% 48.64%-0.25 +6.7 19
1953-03-08 Bohemian W 6-136.7 1569 1390 69.06% 22.10% 8.84%+1.45 +5.9 21
1953-03-08 @ Drumconda L 1-636.7 1390 1569 8.84% 22.10% 69.06%-1.45 -5.9 7
1953-03-14 Shelbourne L 1-255.6 1438 1578 35.83% 26.33% 37.84%-0.28 -5.2 16
1953-03-14 @ Transport W 2-155.6 1578 1438 37.84% 26.33% 35.83%+0.28 +5.2 23
1953-03-15 Waterford D 0-051.1 1384 1405 51.18% 26.20% 22.62%+0.37 -1.0 8
1953-03-15 @ Bohemian D 0-051.1 1405 1384 22.62% 26.20% 51.18%-0.37 +1.0 13
1953-03-15 Drumconda W 3-152.6 1499 1575 44.58% 26.50% 28.92%+0.07 +7.7 15
1953-03-15 @ Evergreen United L 1-352.6 1575 1499 28.92% 26.50% 44.58%-0.07 -7.7 21
1953-03-15 Dundalk W 6-347.2 1342 1442 41.43% 26.50% 32.07%-0.06 +9.5 13
1953-03-15 @ Limerick L 3-647.2 1442 1342 32.07% 26.50% 41.43%+0.06 -9.5 17
1953-03-15 St Patricks Athletic W 2-048.9 1635 1609 56.23% 25.62% 18.15%+0.62 +6.1 21
1953-03-15 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-248.9 1609 1635 18.15% 25.62% 56.23%-0.62 -6.1 15
1953-03-15 Cork Athletic L 1-260.9 1519 1460 59.50% 25.04% 15.46%+0.81 -8.0 18
1953-03-15 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-160.9 1460 1519 15.46% 25.04% 59.50%-0.81 +8.0 16
1953-03-22 Transport L 1-257.6 1468 1433 57.12% 25.48% 17.40%+0.67 -7.7 16
1953-03-22 @ Cork Athletic W 2-157.6 1433 1468 17.40% 25.48% 57.12%-0.67 +7.7 18
1953-03-22 Dundalk W 2-146.6 1567 1432 65.82% 23.32% 10.85%+1.21 +1.9 23
1953-03-22 @ Drumconda L 1-246.6 1432 1567 10.85% 23.32% 65.82%-1.21 -1.9 17
1953-03-22 Limerick W 2-141.3 1511 1352 67.68% 22.65% 9.67%+1.35 +1.7 20
1953-03-22 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-241.3 1352 1511 9.67% 22.65% 67.68%-1.35 -1.7 13
1953-03-22 Bohemian W 2-036.4 1603 1383 71.83% 20.86% 7.31%+1.68 +2.5 17
1953-03-22 @ St Patricks Athletic L 0-236.4 1383 1603 7.31% 20.86% 71.83%-1.68 -2.5 8
1953-03-22 Evergreen United L 1-448.0 1406 1507 41.34% 26.50% 32.16%-0.06 -14.3 13
1953-03-22 @ Waterford W 4-148.0 1507 1406 32.16% 26.50% 41.34%+0.06 +14.3 17
1953-03-29 Waterford W 4-031.9 1430 1392 57.47% 25.42% 17.11%+0.69 +11.0 19
1953-03-29 @ Dundalk L 0-431.9 1392 1430 17.11% 25.42% 57.47%-0.69 -11.0 13
1953-03-29 Sligo Rovers L 0-444.7 1441 1513 45.05% 26.49% 28.46%+0.09 -23.8 18
1953-03-29 @ Transport W 4-044.7 1513 1441 28.46% 26.49% 45.05%-0.09 +23.8 22
1953-04-01 Sligo Rovers W 4-147.5 1584 1537 58.32% 25.27% 16.41%+0.74 +6.9 25
1953-04-01 @ Shelbourne L 1-447.5 1537 1584 16.41% 25.27% 58.32%-0.74 -6.8 22
1953-04-04 Dundalk W 4-249.1 1606 1441 68.01% 22.52% 9.46%+1.37 +2.5 19
1953-04-04 @ St Patricks Athletic L 2-449.1 1441 1606 9.46% 22.52% 68.01%-1.37 -2.5 19
1953-04-05 Bohemian W 6-135.2 1460 1381 61.27% 24.64% 14.09%+0.91 +9.4 18
1953-04-05 @ Cork Athletic L 1-635.2 1381 1460 14.09% 24.64% 61.27%-0.91 -9.4 8
1953-04-05 Evergreen United W 3-149.2 1590 1521 60.38% 24.85% 14.77%+0.86 +4.4 27
1953-04-05 @ Shelbourne L 1-349.2 1521 1590 14.77% 24.85% 60.38%-0.86 -4.4 17
1953-04-05 Shamrock Rovers L 0-254.0 1530 1641 39.86% 26.47% 33.67%-0.12 -11.4 22
1953-04-05 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-054.0 1641 1530 33.67% 26.47% 39.86%+0.12 +11.4 23
1953-04-05 Limerick L 2-359.7 1417 1350 60.17% 24.90% 14.93%+0.85 -7.7 18
1953-04-05 @ Transport W 3-259.7 1350 1417 14.93% 24.90% 60.17%-0.85 +7.7 15
1953-04-05 Drumconda L 1-348.1 1381 1569 29.59% 25.84% 44.57%-0.54 -7.8 13
1953-04-05 @ Waterford W 3-148.1 1569 1381 44.57% 25.84% 29.59%+0.54 +7.8 25
1953-04-06 Evergreen United W 3-256.3 1439 1517 44.30% 26.50% 29.20%+0.06 +4.3 21
1953-04-06 @ Dundalk L 2-356.3 1517 1439 29.20% 26.50% 44.30%-0.06 -4.3 17
1953-04-08 Limerick D 2-260.8 1469 1358 64.00% 23.91% 12.09%+1.09 -1.3 19
1953-04-08 @ Cork Athletic D 2-260.8 1358 1469 12.09% 23.91% 64.00%-1.09 +1.3 16
1953-04-08 Shelbourne L 0-339.8 1371 1595 25.43% 25.28% 49.28%-0.73 -11.6 8
1953-04-08 @ Bohemian W 3-039.8 1595 1371 49.28% 25.28% 25.43%+0.73 +11.6 29
1953-04-09 Shamrock Rovers W 3-266.2 1373 1652 19.99% 24.15% 55.87%-1.03 +7.1 15
1953-04-09 @ Waterford L 2-366.2 1652 1373 55.87% 24.15% 19.99%+1.03 -7.1 23
1953-04-11 St Patricks Athletic D 0-063.6 1577 1608 50.03% 26.28% 23.69%+0.31 -0.9 26
1953-04-11 @ Drumconda D 0-063.6 1608 1577 23.69% 26.28% 50.03%-0.31 +0.9 20
1953-04-12 Sligo Rovers W 2-044.2 1360 1518 33.30% 26.17% 40.53%-0.38 +11.5 10
1953-04-12 @ Bohemian L 0-244.2 1518 1360 40.53% 26.17% 33.30%+0.38 -11.5 22
1953-04-12 Cork Athletic W 1-044.0 1512 1468 58.08% 25.31% 16.60%+0.72 +3.0 19
1953-04-12 @ Evergreen United L 0-144.0 1468 1512 16.60% 25.31% 58.08%-0.72 -3.0 19
1953-04-12 Shelbourne D 2-267.6 1443 1606 32.71% 26.13% 41.17%-0.40 +0.2 22
1953-04-12 @ Dundalk D 2-267.6 1606 1443 41.17% 26.13% 32.71%+0.40 -0.2 30
1953-04-12 Waterford W 2-143.5 1359 1380 51.18% 26.20% 22.63%+0.37 +3.7 18
1953-04-12 @ Limerick L 1-243.5 1380 1359 22.63% 26.20% 51.18%-0.37 -3.7 15
1953-04-12 Transport W 3-036.1 1645 1409 72.86% 20.35% 6.79%+1.76 +3.3 25
1953-04-12 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-336.1 1409 1645 6.79% 20.35% 72.86%-1.76 -3.3 18
1953-04-13 Transport L 1-264.5 1609 1406 70.72% 21.38% 7.90%+1.59 -9.3 20
1953-04-13 @ St Patricks Athletic W 2-164.5 1406 1609 7.90% 21.38% 70.72%-1.59 +9.4 20
1953-04-15 St Patricks Athletic L 1-358.4 1515 1600 43.48% 26.51% 30.01%+0.02 -10.6 19
1953-04-15 @ Evergreen United W 3-158.4 1600 1515 30.01% 26.51% 43.48%-0.02 +10.5 22
1953-04-15 Cork Athletic W 6-245.3 1649 1465 69.39% 21.96% 8.65%+1.48 +4.0 27
1953-04-15 @ Shamrock Rovers L 2-645.3 1465 1649 8.65% 21.96% 69.39%-1.48 -4.0 19
1953-04-18 Drumconda L 2-371.9 1606 1576 56.70% 25.55% 17.75%+0.65 -7.3 30
1953-04-18 @ Shelbourne W 3-271.9 1576 1606 17.75% 25.55% 56.70%-0.65 +7.3 28
1953-04-19 Dundalk W 2-038.4 1461 1443 55.41% 25.74% 18.85%+0.58 +6.3 21
1953-04-19 @ Cork Athletic L 0-238.4 1443 1461 18.85% 25.74% 55.41%-0.58 -6.3 22
1953-04-19 Shamrock Rovers W 4-155.7 1363 1653 19.05% 23.89% 57.07%-1.09 +18.6 20
1953-04-19 @ Limerick L 1-455.7 1653 1363 57.07% 23.89% 19.05%+1.09 -18.6 27
1953-04-19 Evergreen United D 1-161.5 1507 1505 53.77% 25.95% 20.29%+0.49 -1.1 23
1953-04-19 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-161.5 1505 1507 20.29% 25.95% 53.77%-0.49 +1.1 20
1953-04-19 Waterford W 4-138.5 1610 1377 72.70% 20.43% 6.87%+1.75 +2.8 24
1953-04-19 @ St Patricks Athletic L 1-438.5 1377 1610 6.87% 20.43% 72.70%-1.75 -2.8 15
1953-04-19 Bohemian D 1-154.6 1415 1371 58.05% 25.32% 16.63%+0.72 -1.4 21
1953-04-19 @ Transport D 1-154.6 1371 1415 16.63% 25.32% 58.05%-0.72 +1.4 11
1953-04-26 Drumconda D 1-159.8 1381 1583 27.91% 25.64% 46.45%-0.61 +0.6 21
1953-04-26 @ Limerick D 1-159.8 1583 1381 46.45% 25.64% 27.91%+0.61 -0.6 29

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1953-01-25 4.62% Limerick 1321 2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1641 1
2 1952-12-14 7.32% Waterford 1424 2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1644 1
3 1953-04-13 7.90% Transport 1406 2 @ St Patricks Athletic 1609 1
4 1953-02-01 12.46% Transport 1414 2 @ Evergreen United 1520 1
5 1953-01-04 12.90% Evergreen United 1524 3 @ St Patricks Athletic 1622 2
6 1953-04-05 14.93% Limerick 1350 3 @ Transport 1417 2
7 1952-12-21 15.25% Evergreen United 1512 1 @ Drumconda 1574 0
8 1953-03-15 15.46% Cork Athletic 1460 2 @ Sligo Rovers 1519 1
9 1953-01-18 16.51% Drumconda 1568 2 @ St Patricks Athletic 1614 1
10 1953-03-22 17.40% Transport 1433 2 @ Cork Athletic 1468 1
11 1953-04-18 17.75% Drumconda 1576 3 @ Shelbourne 1606 2
12 1953-04-19 19.05% @ Limerick 1363 4 Shamrock Rovers 1653 1
13 1953-04-09 19.99% @ Waterford 1373 3 Shamrock Rovers 1652 2
14 1953-03-01 20.10% Dundalk 1414 4 @ Bohemian 1418 0
15 1953-01-04 20.20% Dundalk 1430 5 @ Waterford 1433 3
16 1952-12-21 21.01% Sligo Rovers 1474 4 @ Cork Athletic 1469 1
17 1953-01-10 21.69% Cork Athletic 1438 2 @ Bohemian 1426 1
18 1953-03-07 24.99% Shamrock Rovers 1628 2 @ Shelbourne 1585 1
19 1953-01-11 25.37% Shelbourne 1578 2 @ Evergreen United 1532 1
20 1953-02-01 25.46% Sligo Rovers 1489 4 @ Dundalk 1442 0
21 1953-01-31 26.65% @ Bohemian 1418 2 Shamrock Rovers 1631 1
22 1953-03-29 28.46% Sligo Rovers 1513 4 @ Transport 1441 0
23 1953-04-15 30.01% St Patricks Athletic 1600 3 @ Evergreen United 1515 1
24 1953-03-01 30.39% @ Limerick 1330 2 Evergreen United 1511 0
25 1952-12-28 30.95% @ Limerick 1315 2 Sligo Rovers 1492 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1953-03-01 27.91 Dundalk 4 1414 20.10% @ Bohemian 0 1418 53.98% 25.92%
2 1953-02-01 25.21 Sligo Rovers 4 1489 25.46% @ Dundalk 0 1442 48.15% 26.39%
3 1953-03-29 23.82 Sligo Rovers 4 1513 28.46% @ Transport 0 1441 45.05% 26.49%
4 1953-04-19 18.63 @ Limerick 4 1363 19.05% Shamrock Rovers 1 1653 57.07% 23.89%
5 1952-12-21 17.70 Sligo Rovers 4 1474 21.01% @ Cork Athletic 1 1469 52.96% 26.03%
6 1952-11-23 16.21 Shamrock Rovers 3 1634 34.63% @ Evergreen United 0 1516 38.92% 26.45%
7 1953-03-22 14.33 Evergreen United 4 1507 32.16% @ Waterford 1 1406 41.34% 26.50%
8 1952-12-14 13.41 Cork Athletic 4 1455 35.61% @ Limerick 1 1330 37.97% 26.42%
9 1952-12-14 12.46 @ Evergreen United 5 1499 59.40% Dundalk 0 1441 15.54% 25.06%
10 1952-12-07 12.34 @ Dundalk 5 1428 49.37% Bohemian 1 1465 24.31% 26.32%
11 1953-03-01 12.16 @ Limerick 2 1330 30.39% Evergreen United 0 1511 43.68% 25.92%
12 1952-12-28 12.04 @ Limerick 2 1315 30.95% Sligo Rovers 0 1492 43.08% 25.98%
13 1952-12-28 11.69 St Patricks Athletic 7 1610 42.19% @ Bohemian 3 1440 31.76% 26.05%
14 1953-04-08 11.57 Shelbourne 3 1595 49.28% @ Bohemian 0 1371 25.43% 25.28%
15 1953-04-12 11.48 @ Bohemian 2 1360 33.30% Sligo Rovers 0 1518 40.53% 26.17%
16 1953-04-05 11.37 Shamrock Rovers 2 1641 33.67% @ Sligo Rovers 0 1530 39.86% 26.47%
17 1953-03-01 11.14 @ Cork Athletic 2 1448 34.78% Shelbourne 0 1596 38.95% 26.27%
18 1953-03-29 11.02 @ Dundalk 4 1430 57.47% Waterford 0 1392 17.11% 25.42%
19 1953-01-04 10.75 Dundalk 5 1430 20.20% @ Waterford 3 1433 53.86% 25.93%
20 1953-04-15 10.56 St Patricks Athletic 3 1600 30.01% @ Evergreen United 1 1515 43.48% 26.51%
21 1953-03-01 10.22 @ Transport 5 1428 54.86% Waterford 1 1416 19.33% 25.81%
22 1953-01-25 9.96 Limerick 2 1321 4.62% @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1641 77.75% 17.63%
23 1952-12-13 9.84 Drumconda 3 1564 33.69% @ Bohemian 1 1453 39.84% 26.47%
24 1953-03-15 9.50 @ Limerick 6 1342 41.43% Dundalk 3 1442 32.07% 26.50%
25 1952-12-14 9.46 Waterford 2 1424 7.32% @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1644 71.82% 20.87%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1952-12-07 73.9 @ St Patricks Athletic 3 1605 65.61% Sligo Rovers 3 1473 11.00% 23.40%
2 1953-01-11 73.6 @ Drumconda 4 1569 66.71% Waterford 4 1423 10.28% 23.02%
3 1953-01-04 72.4 Evergreen United 3 1524 12.90% @ St Patricks Athletic 2 1622 62.87% 24.23%
4 1953-04-18 71.9 Drumconda 3 1576 17.75% @ Shelbourne 2 1606 56.70% 25.55%
5 1952-12-14 71.0 @ Transport 3 1413 29.21% St Patricks Athletic 3 1604 44.99% 25.80%
6 1952-11-16 70.5 @ Cork Athletic 3 1464 43.73% Drumconda 3 1546 29.76% 26.50%
7 1952-11-30 70.2 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1650 72.07% Dundalk 2 1427 7.19% 20.74%
8 1953-02-08 68.9 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1514 46.71% Drumconda 2 1573 26.84% 26.45%
9 1952-12-14 67.9 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1474 40.04% Shelbourne 2 1584 33.49% 26.48%
10 1953-04-12 67.6 @ Dundalk 2 1443 32.71% Shelbourne 2 1606 41.17% 26.13%
11 1953-01-18 67.3 Drumconda 2 1568 16.51% @ St Patricks Athletic 1 1614 58.20% 25.29%
12 1952-11-22 67.1 @ St Patricks Athletic 1 1612 57.96% Shelbourne 1 1569 16.70% 25.34%
13 1952-12-14 66.6 Waterford 2 1424 7.32% @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1644 71.82% 20.87%
14 1953-01-24 66.5 @ Drumconda 1 1576 52.13% Shelbourne 1 1589 21.76% 26.11%
15 1953-04-09 66.2 @ Waterford 3 1373 19.99% Shamrock Rovers 2 1652 55.87% 24.15%
16 1952-12-28 65.6 @ Dundalk 2 1430 36.51% Drumconda 2 1566 37.13% 26.36%
17 1953-03-07 65.5 Shamrock Rovers 2 1628 24.99% @ Shelbourne 1 1585 48.64% 26.36%
18 1953-03-01 65.3 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1520 42.81% St Patricks Athletic 1 1609 30.69% 26.51%
19 1952-11-16 64.6 @ Limerick 2 1338 20.34% St Patricks Athletic 2 1613 55.42% 24.24%
20 1953-04-13 64.5 Transport 2 1406 7.90% @ St Patricks Athletic 1 1609 70.72% 21.38%
21 1953-04-11 63.6 @ Drumconda 0 1577 50.03% St Patricks Athletic 0 1608 23.69% 26.28%
22 1953-01-18 63.5 @ Transport 1 1419 25.54% Shamrock Rovers 1 1642 49.15% 25.30%
23 1953-01-25 63.5 Limerick 2 1321 4.62% @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1641 77.75% 17.63%
24 1953-02-28 63.5 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1626 59.00% Drumconda 3 1571 15.86% 25.14%
25 1953-01-11 63.1 @ Dundalk 1 1441 31.47% St Patricks Athletic 1 1614 42.50% 26.02%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1953-01-04 30.2 @ Drumconda 3 1566 73.02% Limerick 0 1327 6.71% 20.27%
2 1953-02-22 30.9 @ Shelbourne 3 1593 74.36% Limerick 0 1333 6.07% 19.57%
3 1953-02-01 31.0 @ St Patricks Athletic 3 1605 75.18% Limerick 0 1331 5.70% 19.13%
4 1953-03-29 31.9 @ Dundalk 4 1430 57.47% Waterford 0 1392 17.11% 25.42%
5 1952-11-23 32.7 @ Bohemian 2 1462 64.94% Limerick 0 1339 11.44% 23.62%
6 1952-11-15 34.9 @ Shelbourne 4 1562 65.67% Waterford 0 1429 10.95% 23.38%
7 1953-04-05 35.2 @ Cork Athletic 6 1460 61.27% Bohemian 1 1381 14.09% 24.64%
8 1952-12-14 35.3 @ Evergreen United 5 1499 59.40% Dundalk 0 1441 15.54% 25.06%
9 1953-04-12 36.1 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1645 72.86% Transport 0 1409 6.79% 20.35%
10 1953-03-22 36.4 @ St Patricks Athletic 2 1603 71.83% Bohemian 0 1383 7.31% 20.86%
11 1953-03-08 36.7 @ Drumconda 6 1569 69.06% Bohemian 1 1390 8.84% 22.10%
12 1953-03-01 37.7 @ Transport 5 1428 54.86% Waterford 1 1416 19.33% 25.81%
13 1953-04-19 38.4 @ Cork Athletic 2 1461 55.41% Dundalk 0 1443 18.85% 25.74%
14 1953-04-19 38.5 @ St Patricks Athletic 4 1610 72.70% Waterford 1 1377 6.87% 20.43%
15 1952-12-27 39.0 @ Transport 2 1415 49.53% Cork Athletic 0 1451 24.15% 26.31%
16 1953-01-18 39.3 @ Sligo Rovers 4 1481 59.72% Bohemian 1 1419 15.29% 24.99%
17 1953-01-17 39.5 @ Shelbourne 2 1585 66.50% Dundalk 0 1441 10.41% 23.09%
18 1952-12-21 39.7 @ Dundalk 2 1428 63.96% Limerick 1 1317 12.12% 23.92%
19 1953-04-08 39.8 Shelbourne 3 1595 49.28% @ Bohemian 0 1371 25.43% 25.28%
20 1953-01-18 40.0 @ Waterford 2 1424 63.06% Limerick 1 1323 12.76% 24.18%
21 1952-12-07 40.8 @ Dundalk 5 1428 49.37% Bohemian 1 1465 24.31% 26.32%
22 1952-12-07 41.2 @ Shelbourne 6 1576 64.09% Cork Athletic 1 1463 12.03% 23.88%
23 1953-03-22 41.3 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1511 67.68% Limerick 1 1352 9.67% 22.65%
24 1953-01-04 42.1 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1480 59.23% Transport 1 1423 15.68% 25.09%
25 1953-01-25 42.5 @ Dundalk 1 1438 52.20% Cork Athletic 0 1450 21.69% 26.11%