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1951-52 League of Ireland Season

132 games

Final

Champion

St Patricks Athletic

34 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

St Patricks Athletic

6.69 points above expected

34 points · 27.31 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Cork Athletic

6.68 points below expected

15 points · 21.68 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 St Patricks Athletic 22 16 2 4 34 59 34 +25 27.31 +6.69
2 Shelbourne 22 13 5 4 31 59 44 +15 26.67 +4.33
3 Shamrock Rovers 22 12 5 5 29 43 18 +25 25.98 +3.02
4 Sligo Rovers 22 13 3 6 29 49 46 +3 27.08 +1.92
5 Evergreen United 22 11 2 9 24 44 42 +2 22.58 +1.42
6 Drumconda 22 9 5 8 23 47 33 +14 25.73 -2.73
7 Bohemian 22 8 3 11 19 37 41 -4 18.59 +0.41
8 Waterford 22 8 3 11 19 47 54 -7 18.42 +0.58
9 Transport 22 7 3 12 17 43 50 -7 19.62 -2.62
10 Cork Athletic 22 6 3 13 15 36 44 -8 21.68 -6.68
11 Dundalk 22 4 7 11 15 37 50 -13 17.77 -2.77
12 Limerick 22 2 5 15 9 20 65 -45 12.57 -3.57

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 St Patricks Athletic 34 27.31 +6.69
2 Shelbourne 31 26.67 +4.33
3 Shamrock Rovers 29 25.98 +3.02
4 Sligo Rovers 29 27.08 +1.92
5 Evergreen United 24 22.58 +1.42

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Cork Athletic 15 21.68 -6.68
2 Limerick 9 12.57 -3.57
3 Dundalk 15 17.77 -2.77
4 Drumconda 23 25.73 -2.73
5 Transport 17 19.62 -2.62

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shelbourne 8 Feb 10 – Apr 13 1 in 54
2 St Patricks Athletic 7 Jan 27 – Mar 22 1 in 35
3 Evergreen United 5 Jan 6 – Feb 3 1 in 27
4 Cork Athletic 2 Dec 9 – Dec 16 1 in 17
5 Shamrock Rovers 5 Mar 8 – Apr 9 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shamrock Rovers 4 Nov 25 – Dec 16 1 in 119
2 Transport 5 Feb 10 – Mar 16 1 in 64
3 Limerick 7 Dec 2 – Jan 13 1 in 58
4 Bohemian 4 Jan 13 – Feb 3 1 in 39
5 Dundalk 5 Jan 20 – Feb 24 1 in 33

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shamrock Rovers 13 Dec 23 – Apr 9 1 in 85
2 Shelbourne 8 Nov 18 – Jan 5 1 in 44
3 Sligo Rovers 8 Nov 18 – Jan 6 1 in 17
4 Limerick 3 Mar 23 – Apr 6 1 in 17
5 Waterford 4 Nov 25 – Dec 16 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shelbourne 4 Nov 18 – Dec 8 1 in 30
2 Transport 6 Feb 3 – Mar 16 1 in 22
3 Waterford 8 Jan 27 – Apr 6 1 in 22
4 Shamrock Rovers 5 Nov 18 – Dec 16 1 in 16
5 Evergreen United 5 Mar 9 – Apr 6 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
St Patricks Athletic 1436 34 +1 7 6.8 +0.2
Shelbourne 1351 31 -67 6 6.8 -0.8
Shamrock Rovers 1465 29 +36 7 6.3 +0.7
Sligo Rovers 1215 29 -114 3 4.4 -1.4
Evergreen United 1269 24 +105 7 5.4 +1.6
Drumconda 1292 23 +29 4 6.0 -2.0
Waterford 1087 19 +38 6 3.8 +2.2
Bohemian 1148 19 +23 5 3.3 +1.7
Transport 1058 17 -7 4 4.4 -0.4
Cork Athletic 1129 15 -19 3 4.8 -1.8
Dundalk 1052 15 -18 3 3.5 -0.5
Limerick 949 9 +15 4 3.2 +0.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOH CA DRU DUN EU LIM SR SHE SR SPA TRA WAT
Bohemian —
1-1-0
2.00
1-1-0
1.65
1-1-0
2.93
1-0-1
2.11
2-0-0
3.34
0-0-2
2.17
1-0-1
1.40
0-0-2
1.55
0-0-2
2.39
1-0-1
2.80
0-0-2
2.99
Cork Athletic
0-1-1
3.63
 —
2-0-0
2.02
1-1-0
3.19
0-0-2
2.22
1-0-1
4.48
1-0-1
2.32
0-0-2
2.00
0-0-2
2.36
0-0-2
2.15
0-1-1
3.02
1-0-1
3.51
Drumconda
0-1-1
3.99
0-0-2
3.61
 —
1-0-1
3.66
1-0-1
3.21
1-1-0
4.58
1-1-0
3.00
1-1-0
2.48
1-0-1
2.33
1-0-1
2.84
2-0-0
3.09
0-1-1
3.52
Dundalk
0-1-1
2.70
0-1-1
2.44
1-0-1
1.97
 —
1-0-1
2.14
1-1-0
3.71
0-1-1
1.30
0-0-2
1.93
0-1-1
1.96
0-1-1
1.40
0-1-1
2.51
1-0-1
2.30
Evergreen United
1-0-1
3.52
2-0-0
3.41
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-1
3.50
 —
1-1-0
4.21
0-0-2
2.27
0-0-2
2.51
1-0-1
1.92
0-1-1
2.76
2-0-0
2.96
2-0-0
3.18
Limerick
0-0-2
2.29
1-0-1
1.16
0-1-1
1.07
0-1-1
1.92
0-1-1
1.43
 —
0-0-2
1.68
0-1-1
1.75
0-0-2
0.99
0-0-2
0.72
0-1-1
1.71
1-0-1
2.02
Shamrock Rovers
2-0-0
3.47
1-0-1
3.32
0-1-1
2.63
1-1-0
4.34
2-0-0
3.36
2-0-0
3.97
 —
1-1-0
2.68
1-1-0
3.55
1-0-1
2.64
1-0-1
3.61
0-1-1
3.55
Shelbourne
1-0-1
4.25
2-0-0
3.63
0-1-1
3.15
2-0-0
3.71
2-0-0
3.12
1-1-0
3.90
0-1-1
2.95
 —
1-1-0
2.68
1-0-1
2.71
2-0-0
4.12
1-1-0
3.55
Sligo Rovers
2-0-0
4.08
2-0-0
3.27
1-0-1
3.30
1-1-0
3.68
1-0-1
3.71
2-0-0
4.66
0-1-1
2.08
0-1-1
2.95
 —
1-0-1
2.55
2-0-0
3.95
1-0-1
4.39
St Patricks Athletic
2-0-0
3.25
2-0-0
3.49
1-0-1
2.79
1-1-0
4.24
1-1-0
2.88
2-0-0
4.93
1-0-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.92
1-0-1
3.09
 —
2-0-0
3.75
2-0-0
4.34
Transport
1-0-1
2.83
1-1-0
2.61
0-0-2
2.54
1-1-0
3.12
0-0-2
2.68
1-1-0
3.93
1-0-1
2.02
0-0-2
1.51
0-0-2
1.69
0-0-2
1.89
 —
2-0-0
2.76
Waterford
2-0-0
2.64
1-0-1
2.12
1-1-0
2.12
1-0-1
3.33
0-0-2
2.45
1-0-1
3.61
1-1-0
2.09
0-1-1
2.08
1-0-1
1.25
0-0-2
1.30
0-0-2
2.87
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.78 +6.3
Allowed 0.46 -4.4
Differential 0.81 +3.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
01.52%3.79%2.65%3.41%1.52%2.27%15.15%
13.79%9.85%6.06%6.82%1.89%1.89%30.30%
22.65%6.06%3.03%4.92%1.89%2.65%21.21%
33.41%6.82%4.92%1.52%1.52%—18.18%
41.52%1.89%1.89%1.52%1.52%—8.33%
5+2.27%1.89%2.65%———6.82%
Total15.15%30.30%21.21%18.18%8.33%6.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 1.97 +0.00
SD 1.49 1.49 2.33
CV 0.76 0.76 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
1—4.55%13.64%—9.09%4.55%31.82%
24.55%—4.55%4.55%4.55%—18.18%
39.09%9.09%9.09%———27.27%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%27.27%27.27%9.09%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.86 -0.18
SD 1.21 1.46 2.11
CV 0.72 0.78 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
14.55%—4.55%9.09%9.09%—27.27%
24.55%4.55%13.64%9.09%——31.82%
3—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
4———————
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total13.64%22.73%27.27%22.73%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 2.00 -0.36
SD 1.43 1.27 2.04
CV 0.88 0.64 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
14.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
2—4.55%4.55%13.64%——22.73%
3—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
44.55%4.55%——4.55%—13.64%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total22.73%31.82%22.73%18.18%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 1.50 +0.64
SD 1.70 1.19 2.08
CV 0.80 0.79 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%9.09%——18.18%
1—18.18%—13.64%——31.82%
2—9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%31.82%
3———9.09%——9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total9.09%27.27%13.64%36.36%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 2.27 -0.59
SD 1.43 1.42 2.26
CV 0.85 0.62 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———4.55%——4.55%
19.09%9.09%9.09%18.18%4.55%4.55%54.55%
24.55%—————4.55%
3—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
4——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total18.18%22.73%22.73%27.27%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.91 +0.09
SD 1.48 1.38 2.29
CV 0.74 0.72 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%9.09%13.64%13.64%50.00%
1—13.64%4.55%——4.55%22.73%
2———4.55%4.55%4.55%13.64%
34.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%18.18%13.64%18.18%18.18%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 2.95 -2.05
SD 1.11 1.84 2.42
CV 1.22 0.62 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%————13.64%
14.55%22.73%9.09%———36.36%
29.09%—————9.09%
313.64%13.64%4.55%———31.82%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total31.82%54.55%13.64%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 0.82 +1.14
SD 1.50 0.66 1.83
CV 0.77 0.81 —
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1—13.64%———9.09%22.73%
24.55%13.64%—9.09%——27.27%
34.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
44.55%——4.55%9.09%—18.18%
5+——9.09%———9.09%
Total13.64%40.91%13.64%13.64%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.68 2.00 +0.68
SD 1.39 1.75 2.32
CV 0.52 0.87 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 1 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—————9.09%9.09%
14.55%9.09%—9.09%——22.73%
2—22.73%——4.55%4.55%31.82%
34.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
4—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total13.64%40.91%13.64%9.09%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 2.09 +0.14
SD 1.45 1.85 2.75
CV 0.65 0.88 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
113.64%9.09%9.09%9.09%——40.91%
2—4.55%————4.55%
3—9.09%13.64%———22.73%
4——4.55%9.09%——13.64%
5+—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
Total13.64%36.36%31.82%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.68 1.55 +1.14
SD 1.67 0.96 1.81
CV 0.62 0.62 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 1 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—9.09%—4.55%18.18%
14.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%——27.27%
2—9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%27.27%
34.55%——4.55%4.55%—13.64%
4———————
5+—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
Total9.09%22.73%27.27%22.73%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 2.27 -0.32
SD 1.68 1.42 2.36
CV 0.86 0.62 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
1—9.09%—13.64%——22.73%
24.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%—9.09%31.82%
3——9.09%—9.09%—18.18%
44.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
5+———————
Total9.09%18.18%27.27%22.73%13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 2.45 -0.32
SD 1.25 1.53 2.17
CV 0.58 0.63 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Shamrock Rovers 1465 29 25.98 +3.02 84.0% 17 20 24 26 28 32 34
St Patricks Athletic 1436 34 27.31 +6.69 97.0% 19 22 25 27 29 33 36
Shelbourne 1351 31 26.67 +4.33 87.0% 19 21 24 26 29 32 38
Drumconda 1292 23 25.73 -2.73 25.0% 16 19 23 25 28 30 36
Evergreen United 1269 24 22.58 +1.42 68.0% 13 17 20 23 25 28 30
Sligo Rovers 1215 29 27.08 +1.92 76.0% 19 22 25 27 29 32 33
Bohemian 1148 19 18.59 +0.41 61.0% 9 13 16 18 21 25 26
Cork Athletic 1129 15 21.68 -6.68 2.0% 12 16 19 22 24 27 31
Waterford 1087 19 18.42 +0.58 70.0% 10 13 16 18 20 26 28
Transport 1058 17 19.62 -2.62 26.0% 11 13 17 19 22 25 29
Dundalk 1052 15 17.77 -2.77 27.0% 6 12 15 18 21 24 27
Limerick 949 9 12.57 -3.57 19.0% 4 6 10 13 15 17 22

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+31.06%
Strong Edge
56.82%17.42%25.76%
Elo Value
Home Edge
199 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0111.60500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.80 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.56+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.0
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
23%
St Patricks Athletic, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Comfortable
00.100.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.84 * Some Luck: 2.84 to 4.26 * Lucky: 4.26 to 5.68 * Wild Swing: 5.68 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.41 * Close: 1.41 to 2.11 * Off: 2.11 to 2.81 * Way Off: 2.81 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.63 points
Some Luck
03.559
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
01.764
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
97.00%
St Patricks Athletic
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
2.00%
Cork Athletic
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Even
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 161.72
1.79
Moderate Separation
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
79%
Wide Edge
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
95%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
50%
Few
0%48%100%
Blowouts
Expected
27%
Very Frequent
0%28%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.52
Highly Predictable
00.522
Matchup Imbalance
0.51
Lopsided
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.06
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.44
Some Carryover
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Shaky Favorites
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.53
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.97
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.101
Well Within Noise
00.1290.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
St Patricks Athletic23.00%23.00%22.00%10.00%6.00%6.00%9.00%—1.00%———
Shelbourne23.00%13.00%11.00%16.00%17.00%7.00%7.00%4.00%2.00%———
Shamrock Rovers18.00%19.00%15.00%16.00%9.00%13.00%4.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%——
Sligo Rovers21.00%16.00%20.00%15.00%13.00%6.00%6.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%——
Evergreen United1.00%5.00%5.00%13.00%15.00%15.00%15.00%15.00%7.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%
Drumconda13.00%19.00%18.00%14.00%12.00%12.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%——
Bohemian—1.00%1.00%2.00%6.00%6.00%9.00%15.00%21.00%20.00%11.00%8.00%
Waterford—1.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%5.00%7.00%14.00%15.00%22.00%24.00%3.00%
Transport1.00%1.00%—3.00%8.00%10.00%14.00%20.00%12.00%17.00%10.00%4.00%
Cork Athletic—2.00%6.00%6.00%9.00%16.00%14.00%17.00%16.00%9.00%4.00%1.00%
Dundalk———2.00%1.00%4.00%9.00%9.00%17.00%16.00%32.00%10.00%
Limerick——————3.00%—1.00%8.00%16.00%72.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Bohemian 100%
Cork Athletic 100%
Drumconda 100%
Dundalk 100%
Evergreen United 100%
Limerick 100%
Shamrock Rovers 100%
Shelbourne 100%
Sligo Rovers 100%
St Patricks Athletic 100%
Transport 100%
Waterford 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1951-11-17 Limerick W 5-131.5 1145 1125 63.23% 18.37% 18.41%+0.66 +30.8 2
1951-11-17 @ Transport L 1-531.5 1125 1145 18.41% 18.37% 63.23%-0.66 -30.8 0
1951-11-18 Dundalk D 2-258.4 1298 1163 71.58% 18.09% 10.33%+1.24 -5.5 1
1951-11-18 @ Cork Athletic D 2-258.4 1163 1298 10.33% 18.09% 71.58%-1.24 +5.5 1
1951-11-18 Shamrock Rovers D 1-153.4 1249 1225 63.55% 18.36% 18.09%+0.68 -5.3 1
1951-11-18 @ Shelbourne D 1-153.4 1225 1249 18.09% 18.36% 63.55%-0.68 +5.3 1
1951-11-18 Bohemian W 3-026.5 1253 1170 68.28% 18.23% 13.49%+0.98 +21.4 2
1951-11-18 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-326.5 1170 1253 13.49% 18.23% 68.28%-0.98 -21.4 0
1951-11-18 Drumconda L 1-248.4 1200 1276 52.91% 18.47% 28.62%+0.17 -24.1 0
1951-11-18 @ St Patricks Athletic W 2-148.4 1276 1200 28.62% 18.47% 52.91%-0.17 +24.1 2
1951-11-18 Evergreen United L 1-346.6 1149 1200 55.97% 18.45% 25.57%+0.30 -44.1 0
1951-11-18 @ Waterford W 3-146.6 1200 1149 25.57% 18.45% 55.97%-0.30 +44.1 2
1951-11-24 Transport W 5-024.8 1301 1176 70.99% 18.12% 10.89%+1.19 +28.2 4
1951-11-24 @ Drumconda L 0-524.8 1176 1301 10.89% 18.12% 70.99%-1.19 -28.2 2
1951-11-25 Cork Athletic W 4-139.0 1148 1292 44.08% 18.47% 37.45%-0.16 +43.9 2
1951-11-25 @ Bohemian L 1-439.0 1292 1148 37.45% 18.47% 44.08%+0.16 -43.9 1
1951-11-25 St Patricks Athletic D 1-153.3 1244 1175 67.20% 18.27% 14.53%+0.90 -6.2 3
1951-11-25 @ Evergreen United D 1-153.3 1175 1244 14.53% 18.27% 67.20%-0.90 +6.2 1
1951-11-25 Sligo Rovers D 1-153.3 1168 1274 49.27% 18.48% 32.26%+0.03 -1.8 2
1951-11-25 @ Dundalk D 1-153.3 1274 1168 32.26% 18.48% 49.27%-0.03 +1.9 3
1951-11-25 Shelbourne D 1-153.1 1094 1243 43.30% 18.47% 38.23%-0.19 -0.5 1
1951-11-25 @ Limerick D 1-153.1 1243 1094 38.23% 18.47% 43.30%+0.19 +0.5 2
1951-11-25 Waterford L 1-253.5 1230 1105 71.05% 18.12% 10.84%+1.19 -32.5 1
1951-11-25 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-153.5 1105 1230 10.84% 18.12% 71.05%-1.19 +32.5 2
1951-12-01 Waterford D 1-153.3 1244 1137 69.89% 18.17% 11.94%+1.10 -6.9 3
1951-12-01 @ Shelbourne D 1-153.3 1137 1244 11.94% 18.17% 69.89%-1.10 +6.9 3
1951-12-02 Sligo Rovers L 1-445.6 1248 1276 58.54% 18.43% 23.02%+0.42 -65.1 1
1951-12-02 @ Cork Athletic W 4-145.6 1276 1248 23.02% 18.43% 58.54%-0.42 +65.1 5
1951-12-02 Evergreen United W 2-140.7 1167 1237 53.65% 18.47% 27.89%+0.21 +14.0 4
1951-12-02 @ Dundalk L 1-240.7 1237 1167 27.89% 18.47% 53.65%-0.21 -14.0 3
1951-12-02 Shamrock Rovers W 1-031.7 1329 1198 71.35% 18.10% 10.55%+1.22 +6.2 6
1951-12-02 @ Drumconda L 0-131.7 1198 1329 10.55% 18.10% 71.35%-1.22 -6.2 1
1951-12-02 Bohemian L 0-337.4 1093 1192 50.13% 18.48% 31.39%+0.06 -66.7 1
1951-12-02 @ Limerick W 3-037.4 1192 1093 31.39% 18.48% 50.13%-0.06 +66.7 4
1951-12-02 Transport W 4-346.6 1182 1148 64.46% 18.34% 17.20%+0.73 +8.5 3
1951-12-02 @ St Patricks Athletic L 3-446.6 1148 1182 17.20% 18.34% 64.46%-0.73 -8.5 2
1951-12-08 Drumconda D 4-466.5 1237 1335 50.27% 18.48% 31.25%+0.07 -1.1 4
1951-12-08 @ Shelbourne D 4-466.5 1335 1237 31.25% 18.48% 50.27%-0.07 +1.1 7
1951-12-09 Shamrock Rovers W 2-138.6 1183 1192 60.53% 18.41% 21.06%+0.52 +11.0 3
1951-12-09 @ Cork Athletic L 1-238.6 1192 1183 21.06% 18.41% 60.53%-0.52 -11.0 1
1951-12-09 Evergreen United W 3-133.7 1341 1223 70.57% 18.14% 11.30%+1.15 +10.8 7
1951-12-09 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-333.7 1223 1341 11.30% 18.14% 70.57%-1.15 -10.8 3
1951-12-09 Dundalk W 5-237.4 1190 1181 62.25% 18.38% 19.37%+0.61 +21.6 5
1951-12-09 @ St Patricks Athletic L 2-537.4 1181 1190 19.37% 18.38% 62.25%-0.61 -21.7 4
1951-12-09 Bohemian W 2-142.6 1139 1259 47.36% 18.48% 34.16%-0.04 +16.6 4
1951-12-09 @ Transport L 1-242.6 1259 1139 34.16% 18.48% 47.36%+0.04 -16.6 4
1951-12-09 Limerick W 4-024.5 1144 1027 70.54% 18.14% 11.32%+1.15 +23.7 5
1951-12-09 @ Waterford L 0-424.5 1027 1144 11.32% 18.14% 70.54%-1.15 -23.7 1
1951-12-15 St Patricks Athletic L 1-545.5 1242 1212 64.16% 18.35% 17.49%+0.71 -92.2 4
1951-12-15 @ Bohemian W 5-145.5 1212 1242 17.49% 18.35% 64.16%-0.71 +92.2 7
1951-12-16 Shelbourne L 1-250.1 1213 1236 58.99% 18.43% 22.59%+0.44 -26.8 3
1951-12-16 @ Evergreen United W 2-150.1 1236 1213 22.59% 18.43% 58.99%-0.44 +26.8 6
1951-12-16 Cork Athletic L 0-246.8 1336 1194 71.96% 18.07% 9.97%+1.27 -65.8 7
1951-12-16 @ Drumconda W 2-046.8 1194 1336 9.97% 18.07% 71.96%-1.27 +65.8 5
1951-12-16 Sligo Rovers L 1-237.9 1003 1352 19.03% 18.11% 62.85%-1.19 -10.0 1
1951-12-16 @ Limerick W 2-137.9 1352 1003 62.85% 18.11% 19.03%+1.19 +10.0 9
1951-12-16 Transport L 0-147.3 1181 1156 63.66% 18.36% 17.98%+0.69 -30.7 1
1951-12-16 @ Shamrock Rovers W 1-047.3 1156 1181 17.98% 18.36% 63.66%-0.69 +30.7 6
1951-12-16 Dundalk W 2-030.7 1168 1159 62.17% 18.38% 19.44%+0.60 +20.5 7
1951-12-16 @ Waterford L 0-230.7 1159 1168 19.44% 18.38% 62.17%-0.60 -20.5 4
1951-12-22 Waterford W 3-241.1 1304 1188 70.44% 18.14% 11.41%+1.14 +6.0 9
1951-12-22 @ St Patricks Athletic L 2-341.1 1188 1304 11.41% 18.14% 70.44%-1.14 -6.0 7
1951-12-23 Bohemian W 1-033.3 1186 1150 64.58% 18.34% 17.08%+0.74 +9.7 5
1951-12-23 @ Evergreen United L 0-133.3 1150 1186 17.08% 18.34% 64.58%-0.74 -9.7 4
1951-12-23 Drumconda W 2-143.1 1139 1270 45.78% 18.48% 35.75%-0.10 +17.3 6
1951-12-23 @ Dundalk L 1-243.1 1270 1139 35.75% 18.48% 45.78%+0.10 -17.3 7
1951-12-23 Shamrock Rovers L 0-334.9 993 1150 42.24% 18.46% 39.29%-0.23 -57.5 1
1951-12-23 @ Limerick W 3-034.9 1150 993 39.29% 18.46% 42.24%+0.23 +57.5 3
1951-12-23 Cork Athletic W 3-243.9 1263 1260 61.59% 18.39% 20.02%+0.57 +10.0 8
1951-12-23 @ Shelbourne L 2-343.9 1260 1263 20.02% 18.39% 61.59%-0.57 -10.0 5
1951-12-23 Sligo Rovers L 2-349.9 1186 1362 39.59% 18.45% 41.96%-0.32 -17.8 6
1951-12-23 @ Transport W 3-249.9 1362 1186 41.96% 18.45% 39.59%+0.32 +17.8 11
1951-12-29 Dundalk W 3-136.3 1141 1156 59.83% 18.42% 21.75%+0.48 +19.6 6
1951-12-29 @ Bohemian L 1-336.3 1156 1141 21.75% 18.42% 59.83%-0.48 -19.6 6
1951-12-30 St Patricks Athletic L 0-145.3 1250 1310 54.96% 18.46% 26.58%+0.26 -26.5 5
1951-12-30 @ Cork Athletic W 1-045.3 1310 1250 26.58% 18.46% 54.96%-0.26 +26.5 11
1951-12-30 Limerick W 4-022.0 1253 935 78.78% 17.33% 3.89%+2.16 +8.4 9
1951-12-30 @ Drumconda L 0-422.0 935 1253 3.89% 17.33% 78.78%-2.16 -8.4 1
1951-12-30 Evergreen United W 3-135.6 1208 1195 62.48% 18.38% 19.14%+0.62 +17.5 5
1951-12-30 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-335.6 1195 1208 19.14% 18.38% 62.48%-0.62 -17.5 5
1951-12-30 Shelbourne D 4-467.2 1380 1273 69.90% 18.17% 11.93%+1.10 -3.8 12
1951-12-30 @ Sligo Rovers D 4-467.2 1273 1380 11.93% 18.17% 69.90%-1.10 +3.8 9
1951-12-30 Transport L 2-647.8 1182 1168 62.64% 18.38% 18.98%+0.63 -76.3 7
1951-12-30 @ Waterford W 6-247.8 1168 1182 18.98% 18.38% 62.64%-0.63 +76.3 8
1952-01-05 Transport W 5-237.2 1276 1245 64.25% 18.34% 17.41%+0.72 +19.7 11
1952-01-05 @ Shelbourne L 2-537.2 1245 1276 17.41% 18.34% 64.25%-0.72 -19.7 8
1952-01-06 Waterford W 3-133.1 1224 1106 70.57% 18.14% 11.29%+1.15 +10.8 7
1952-01-06 @ Cork Athletic L 1-333.1 1106 1224 11.29% 18.14% 70.57%-1.15 -10.8 7
1952-01-06 Bohemian D 0-050.3 1261 1160 69.52% 18.19% 12.29%+1.07 -7.6 10
1952-01-06 @ Drumconda D 0-050.3 1160 1261 12.29% 18.19% 69.52%-1.07 +7.6 7
1952-01-06 Evergreen United L 2-540.3 927 1178 29.53% 18.35% 52.12%-0.70 -31.2 1
1952-01-06 @ Limerick W 5-240.3 1178 927 52.12% 18.35% 29.53%+0.70 +31.2 7
1952-01-06 Dundalk D 1-153.2 1225 1136 68.68% 18.22% 13.10%+1.01 -6.6 6
1952-01-06 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-153.2 1136 1225 13.10% 18.22% 68.68%-1.01 +6.6 7
1952-01-06 St Patricks Athletic W 2-139.2 1376 1336 64.92% 18.33% 16.75%+0.76 +9.0 14
1952-01-06 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-239.2 1336 1376 16.75% 18.33% 64.92%-0.76 -9.0 11
1952-01-12 Cork Athletic W 2-138.8 1225 1235 60.42% 18.41% 21.17%+0.51 +11.1 10
1952-01-12 @ Transport L 1-238.8 1235 1225 21.17% 18.41% 60.42%-0.51 -11.0 7
1952-01-13 Shamrock Rovers L 1-444.5 1168 1218 56.01% 18.45% 25.53%+0.31 -62.4 7
1952-01-13 @ Bohemian W 4-144.5 1218 1168 25.53% 18.45% 56.01%-0.31 +62.4 8
1952-01-13 Drumconda W 3-245.2 1209 1254 56.68% 18.45% 24.87%+0.34 +12.0 9
1952-01-13 @ Evergreen United L 2-345.2 1254 1209 24.87% 18.45% 56.68%-0.34 -12.0 10
1952-01-13 Limerick W 6-023.6 1143 896 76.64% 17.66% 5.70%+1.80 +18.0 9
1952-01-13 @ Dundalk L 0-623.6 896 1143 5.70% 17.66% 76.64%-1.80 -18.0 1
1952-01-13 Shelbourne W 6-131.6 1328 1296 64.22% 18.35% 17.43%+0.72 +36.0 13
1952-01-13 @ St Patricks Athletic L 1-631.6 1296 1328 17.43% 18.35% 64.22%-0.72 -36.0 11
1952-01-13 Sligo Rovers W 4-251.9 1095 1385 24.98% 18.27% 56.75%-0.90 +39.9 9
1952-01-13 @ Waterford L 2-451.9 1385 1095 56.75% 18.27% 24.98%+0.90 -39.9 14
1952-01-19 Sligo Rovers W 3-140.2 1242 1345 49.57% 18.48% 31.95%+0.04 +27.2 12
1952-01-19 @ Drumconda L 1-340.2 1345 1242 31.95% 18.48% 49.57%-0.04 -27.2 14
1952-01-20 Waterford L 1-445.0 1105 1135 58.34% 18.43% 23.23%+0.41 -64.9 7
1952-01-20 @ Bohemian W 4-145.0 1135 1105 23.23% 18.43% 58.34%-0.41 +64.9 11
1952-01-20 Transport W 4-241.4 1221 1236 59.86% 18.42% 21.73%+0.49 +17.5 11
1952-01-20 @ Evergreen United L 2-441.4 1236 1221 21.73% 18.42% 59.86%-0.49 -17.5 10
1952-01-20 Shelbourne L 0-337.5 1161 1260 50.09% 18.48% 31.43%+0.06 -66.7 9
1952-01-20 @ Dundalk W 3-037.5 1260 1161 31.43% 18.48% 50.09%-0.06 +66.7 13
1952-01-20 Cork Athletic W 3-040.9 878 1223 19.34% 18.12% 62.53%-1.18 +82.3 3
1952-01-20 @ Limerick L 0-340.9 1223 878 62.53% 18.12% 19.34%+1.18 -82.2 7
1952-01-20 St Patricks Athletic W 3-139.8 1281 1363 52.19% 18.47% 29.34%+0.15 +25.3 10
1952-01-20 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-339.8 1363 1281 29.34% 18.47% 52.19%-0.15 -25.3 13
1952-01-26 Bohemian W 2-133.4 1327 1041 77.91% 17.48% 4.61%+2.00 +2.6 15
1952-01-26 @ Shelbourne L 1-233.4 1041 1327 4.61% 17.48% 77.91%-2.00 -2.6 7
1952-01-27 Evergreen United L 1-345.0 1141 1239 50.32% 18.48% 31.20%+0.07 -39.9 7
1952-01-27 @ Cork Athletic W 3-145.0 1239 1141 31.20% 18.48% 50.32%-0.07 +39.9 13
1952-01-27 Limerick W 4-235.1 1338 960 80.21% 17.00% 2.80%+2.46 +2.5 15
1952-01-27 @ St Patricks Athletic L 2-435.1 960 1338 2.80% 17.00% 80.21%-2.46 -2.5 3
1952-01-27 Dundalk W 3-025.5 1219 1094 70.97% 18.12% 10.91%+1.19 +17.5 12
1952-01-27 @ Transport L 0-325.5 1094 1219 10.91% 18.12% 70.97%-1.19 -17.6 9
1952-01-27 Drumconda D 2-258.3 1200 1269 53.84% 18.47% 27.69%+0.21 -2.2 12
1952-01-27 @ Waterford D 2-258.3 1269 1200 27.69% 18.47% 53.84%-0.21 +2.2 13
1952-02-02 St Patricks Athletic L 1-346.9 1271 1341 53.80% 18.47% 27.73%+0.21 -42.5 13
1952-02-02 @ Drumconda W 3-146.9 1341 1271 27.73% 18.47% 53.80%-0.21 +42.5 17
1952-02-03 Sligo Rovers L 1-240.1 1038 1318 26.10% 18.29% 55.60%-0.85 -13.2 7
1952-02-03 @ Bohemian W 2-140.1 1318 1038 55.60% 18.29% 26.10%+0.85 +13.2 16
1952-02-03 Waterford W 4-345.8 1279 1198 68.13% 18.24% 13.63%+0.97 +6.9 15
1952-02-03 @ Evergreen United L 3-445.8 1198 1279 13.63% 18.24% 68.13%-0.97 -6.9 12
1952-02-03 Cork Athletic L 2-549.1 1077 1101 58.85% 18.43% 22.72%+0.44 -56.7 9
1952-02-03 @ Dundalk W 5-249.1 1101 1077 22.72% 18.43% 58.85%-0.44 +56.7 9
1952-02-03 Transport D 1-153.1 958 1236 26.25% 18.30% 55.46%-0.84 +3.3 4
1952-02-03 @ Limerick D 1-153.1 1236 958 55.46% 18.30% 26.25%+0.84 -3.3 13
1952-02-03 Shelbourne W 3-245.3 1306 1329 58.99% 18.43% 22.59%+0.44 +11.1 12
1952-02-03 @ Shamrock Rovers L 2-345.3 1329 1306 22.59% 18.43% 58.99%-0.44 -11.1 15
1952-02-09 Evergreen United W 5-131.2 1383 1286 69.28% 18.20% 12.53%+1.05 +21.7 19
1952-02-09 @ St Patricks Athletic L 1-531.2 1286 1383 12.53% 18.20% 69.28%-1.05 -21.7 15
1952-02-10 Bohemian D 2-258.1 1158 1025 71.48% 18.09% 10.43%+1.23 -5.5 10
1952-02-10 @ Cork Athletic D 2-258.1 1025 1158 10.43% 18.09% 71.48%-1.23 +5.5 8
1952-02-10 Limerick W 4-021.7 1318 961 79.76% 17.11% 3.13%+2.36 +6.8 17
1952-02-10 @ Shelbourne L 0-421.7 961 1318 3.13% 17.11% 79.76%-2.36 -6.8 4
1952-02-10 Dundalk W 4-235.6 1331 1020 78.61% 17.36% 4.03%+2.12 +3.6 18
1952-02-10 @ Sligo Rovers L 2-435.6 1020 1331 4.03% 17.36% 78.61%-2.12 -3.6 9
1952-02-10 Drumconda L 1-348.6 1233 1229 61.75% 18.39% 19.86%+0.58 -48.5 13
1952-02-10 @ Transport W 3-148.6 1229 1233 19.86% 18.39% 61.75%-0.58 +48.5 15
1952-02-10 Shamrock Rovers D 1-153.5 1191 1317 46.51% 18.48% 35.01%-0.07 -1.2 13
1952-02-10 @ Waterford D 1-153.5 1317 1191 35.01% 18.48% 46.51%+0.07 +1.2 13
1952-02-23 St Patricks Athletic L 1-243.0 1184 1405 33.44% 18.40% 48.16%-0.55 -16.3 13
1952-02-23 @ Transport W 2-143.0 1405 1184 48.16% 18.40% 33.44%+0.55 +16.3 21
1952-02-24 Limerick W 2-028.9 1030 954 67.79% 18.25% 13.96%+0.94 +15.2 10
1952-02-24 @ Bohemian L 0-228.9 954 1030 13.96% 18.25% 67.79%-0.94 -15.2 4
1952-02-24 Dundalk W 3-131.3 1264 1016 76.65% 17.66% 5.69%+1.80 +5.6 17
1952-02-24 @ Evergreen United L 1-331.3 1016 1264 5.69% 17.66% 76.65%-1.80 -5.6 9
1952-02-24 Drumconda D 1-153.9 1318 1277 65.06% 18.33% 16.62%+0.77 -5.7 14
1952-02-24 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-153.9 1277 1318 16.62% 18.33% 65.06%-0.77 +5.7 16
1952-02-24 Cork Athletic W 1-030.7 1335 1152 74.01% 17.93% 8.06%+1.48 +4.8 20
1952-02-24 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-130.7 1152 1335 8.06% 17.93% 74.01%-1.48 -4.8 10
1952-02-24 Shelbourne L 0-238.9 1190 1325 45.25% 18.47% 36.27%-0.12 -42.0 13
1952-02-24 @ Waterford W 2-038.9 1325 1190 36.27% 18.47% 45.25%+0.12 +42.0 19
1952-03-01 Transport W 3-032.7 1045 1168 47.01% 18.48% 34.51%-0.06 +48.7 12
1952-03-01 @ Bohemian L 0-332.7 1168 1045 34.51% 18.48% 47.01%+0.06 -48.7 13
1952-03-08 Shamrock Rovers L 0-333.6 1119 1313 37.10% 18.43% 44.47%-0.41 -51.7 13
1952-03-08 @ Transport W 3-033.6 1313 1119 44.47% 18.43% 37.10%+0.41 +51.7 16
1952-03-09 Drumconda W 1-039.2 1148 1283 45.30% 18.47% 36.23%-0.12 +18.5 12
1952-03-09 @ Cork Athletic L 0-139.2 1283 1148 36.23% 18.47% 45.30%+0.12 -18.5 16
1952-03-09 Waterford W 4-032.1 1011 1148 45.08% 18.47% 36.45%-0.13 +66.6 11
1952-03-09 @ Dundalk L 0-432.1 1148 1011 36.45% 18.47% 45.08%+0.13 -66.6 13
1952-03-09 Evergreen United W 3-134.6 1367 1269 69.29% 18.19% 12.52%+1.05 +11.9 21
1952-03-09 @ Shelbourne L 1-334.6 1269 1367 12.52% 18.19% 69.29%-1.05 -11.9 17
1952-03-09 Limerick W 6-022.5 1339 939 80.66% 16.87% 2.47%+2.57 +7.8 22
1952-03-09 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-622.5 939 1339 2.47% 16.87% 80.66%-2.57 -7.8 4
1952-03-09 Bohemian W 3-238.6 1421 1094 79.03% 17.28% 3.70%+2.20 +2.0 23
1952-03-09 @ St Patricks Athletic L 2-338.6 1094 1421 3.70% 17.28% 79.03%-2.20 -2.0 12
1952-03-15 Dundalk W 3-239.7 1264 1077 74.23% 17.91% 7.86%+1.50 +4.2 18
1952-03-15 @ Drumconda L 2-339.7 1077 1264 7.86% 17.91% 74.23%-1.50 -4.2 11
1952-03-16 Evergreen United W 3-142.0 1092 1257 41.06% 18.46% 40.48%-0.27 +33.1 14
1952-03-16 @ Bohemian L 1-342.0 1257 1092 40.48% 18.46% 41.06%+0.27 -33.1 17
1952-03-16 Shelbourne L 3-452.3 1166 1379 34.45% 18.41% 47.14%-0.51 -15.5 12
1952-03-16 @ Cork Athletic W 4-352.3 1379 1166 47.14% 18.41% 34.45%+0.51 +15.5 23
1952-03-16 Limerick W 2-025.0 1364 931 81.27% 16.67% 2.07%+2.74 +2.3 18
1952-03-16 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-225.0 931 1364 2.07% 16.67% 81.27%-2.74 -2.4 4
1952-03-16 Transport W 2-133.5 1347 1068 77.70% 17.51% 4.78%+1.97 +2.7 24
1952-03-16 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-233.5 1068 1347 4.78% 17.51% 77.70%-1.97 -2.7 13
1952-03-16 St Patricks Athletic L 3-447.6 1081 1423 19.67% 18.14% 62.19%-1.16 -9.5 13
1952-03-16 @ Waterford W 4-347.6 1423 1081 62.19% 18.14% 19.67%+1.16 +9.5 25
1952-03-22 Cork Athletic W 1-030.0 1433 1151 77.78% 17.50% 4.72%+1.98 +2.9 27
1952-03-22 @ St Patricks Athletic L 0-130.0 1151 1433 4.72% 17.50% 77.78%-1.98 -2.9 12
1952-03-23 Shamrock Rovers L 0-336.4 1224 1367 44.30% 18.47% 37.23%-0.15 -59.9 17
1952-03-23 @ Evergreen United W 3-036.4 1367 1224 37.23% 18.47% 44.30%+0.15 +59.9 20
1952-03-23 Bohemian D 1-153.0 1073 1125 55.84% 18.45% 25.71%+0.30 -3.4 12
1952-03-23 @ Dundalk D 1-153.0 1125 1073 25.71% 18.45% 55.84%-0.30 +3.4 15
1952-03-23 Drumconda D 0-050.1 929 1269 19.88% 18.14% 61.98%-1.15 +5.4 5
1952-03-23 @ Limerick D 0-050.1 1269 929 61.98% 18.14% 19.88%+1.15 -5.4 19
1952-03-23 Sligo Rovers W 6-236.3 1395 1350 65.33% 18.32% 16.35%+0.78 +23.5 25
1952-03-23 @ Shelbourne L 2-636.3 1350 1395 16.35% 18.32% 65.33%-0.78 -23.5 24
1952-03-23 Waterford W 5-237.7 1065 1071 60.70% 18.41% 20.89%+0.53 +23.1 15
1952-03-23 @ Transport L 2-537.7 1071 1065 20.89% 18.41% 60.70%-0.53 -23.2 13
1952-03-30 Limerick D 1-153.2 1164 934 76.03% 17.73% 6.23%+1.72 -8.6 18
1952-03-30 @ Evergreen United D 1-153.2 934 1164 6.23% 17.73% 76.03%-1.72 +8.6 6
1952-03-30 Shelbourne L 1-238.8 1088 1418 20.82% 18.17% 61.01%-1.10 -10.8 15
1952-03-30 @ Transport W 2-138.8 1418 1088 61.01% 18.17% 20.82%+1.10 +10.8 27
1952-04-05 St Patricks Athletic W 3-141.3 1429 1436 60.69% 18.41% 20.90%+0.53 +18.9 29
1952-04-05 @ Shelbourne L 1-341.3 1436 1429 20.90% 18.41% 60.69%-0.53 -18.9 27
1952-04-06 Transport D 2-258.0 1148 1077 67.37% 18.26% 14.36%+0.92 -4.7 13
1952-04-06 @ Cork Athletic D 2-258.0 1077 1148 14.36% 18.26% 67.37%-0.92 +4.7 16
1952-04-06 Evergreen United W 4-131.2 1263 1156 69.91% 18.17% 11.92%+1.10 +16.1 21
1952-04-06 @ Drumconda L 1-431.2 1156 1263 11.92% 18.17% 69.91%-1.10 -16.1 18
1952-04-06 Dundalk D 3-362.8 943 1070 46.41% 18.48% 35.11%-0.08 -0.8 7
1952-04-06 @ Limerick D 3-362.8 1070 943 35.11% 18.48% 46.41%+0.08 +0.8 13
1952-04-06 Bohemian W 1-029.7 1427 1129 78.25% 17.42% 4.33%+2.06 +2.6 22
1952-04-06 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-129.7 1129 1427 4.33% 17.42% 78.25%-2.06 -2.6 15
1952-04-06 Waterford W 3-238.7 1326 1048 77.66% 17.52% 4.82%+1.96 +2.6 26
1952-04-06 @ Sligo Rovers L 2-338.7 1048 1326 4.82% 17.52% 77.66%-1.96 -2.6 13
1952-04-09 Shamrock Rovers L 0-230.6 1071 1429 18.17% 18.08% 63.74%-1.24 -19.2 13
1952-04-09 @ Dundalk W 2-030.6 1429 1071 63.74% 18.08% 18.17%+1.24 +19.2 24
1952-04-12 Shamrock Rovers W 1-040.4 1417 1448 58.08% 18.44% 23.48%+0.40 +12.8 29
1952-04-12 @ St Patricks Athletic L 0-140.4 1448 1417 23.48% 18.44% 58.08%-0.40 -12.8 24
1952-04-13 Limerick W 5-023.3 1143 942 74.86% 17.85% 7.29%+1.57 +19.2 15
1952-04-13 @ Cork Athletic L 0-523.3 942 1143 7.29% 17.85% 74.86%-1.57 -19.2 7
1952-04-13 Dundalk W 3-130.4 1448 1051 80.58% 16.89% 2.53%+2.55 +2.5 31
1952-04-13 @ Shelbourne L 1-330.4 1051 1448 2.53% 16.89% 80.58%-2.55 -2.5 13
1952-04-13 Drumconda W 2-137.9 1329 1279 65.77% 18.31% 15.92%+0.81 +8.6 28
1952-04-13 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-237.9 1279 1329 15.92% 18.31% 65.77%-0.81 -8.6 21
1952-04-13 Evergreen United L 0-144.7 1082 1140 55.17% 18.46% 26.37%+0.27 -26.6 16
1952-04-13 @ Transport W 1-044.7 1140 1082 26.37% 18.46% 55.17%-0.27 +26.6 20
1952-04-13 Bohemian W 4-243.3 1046 1126 52.49% 18.47% 29.04%+0.16 +22.5 15
1952-04-13 @ Waterford L 2-443.3 1126 1046 29.04% 18.47% 52.49%-0.16 -22.5 15
1952-04-14 Shamrock Rovers D 1-156.1 1338 1436 50.26% 18.48% 31.27%+0.07 -2.1 29
1952-04-14 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-156.1 1436 1338 31.27% 18.48% 50.26%-0.07 +2.1 25
1952-04-17 Cork Athletic W 3-131.8 1438 1162 77.57% 17.53% 4.89%+1.94 +4.8 27
1952-04-17 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-331.8 1162 1438 4.89% 17.53% 77.57%-1.94 -4.8 15
1952-04-19 Shelbourne W 6-140.2 1271 1450 39.03% 18.45% 42.52%-0.34 +77.1 23
1952-04-19 @ Drumconda L 1-640.2 1450 1271 42.52% 18.45% 39.03%+0.34 -77.1 31
1952-04-20 Sligo Rovers W 5-034.0 1166 1336 40.53% 18.46% 41.02%-0.29 +90.4 22
1952-04-20 @ Evergreen United L 0-534.0 1336 1166 41.02% 18.46% 40.53%+0.29 -90.4 29
1952-04-20 Waterford W 3-141.0 923 1068 43.87% 18.47% 37.66%-0.17 +31.2 9
1952-04-20 @ Limerick L 1-341.0 1068 923 37.66% 18.47% 43.87%+0.17 -31.2 15
1952-04-22 Drumconda W 3-253.0 1104 1348 30.37% 18.36% 51.27%-0.67 +22.2 17
1952-04-22 @ Bohemian L 2-353.0 1348 1104 51.27% 18.36% 30.37%+0.67 -22.2 23
1952-04-24 Cork Athletic W 3-247.7 1037 1158 47.29% 18.48% 34.23%-0.05 +15.8 17
1952-04-24 @ Waterford L 2-347.7 1158 1037 34.23% 18.48% 47.29%+0.05 -15.8 15
1952-04-25 Sligo Rovers W 3-133.5 1429 1245 74.11% 17.92% 7.97%+1.49 +7.8 31
1952-04-25 @ St Patricks Athletic L 1-333.5 1245 1429 7.97% 17.92% 74.11%-1.49 -7.8 29
1952-04-26 Shelbourne W 3-253.3 1126 1373 29.97% 18.36% 51.67%-0.68 +22.4 19
1952-04-26 @ Bohemian L 2-353.3 1373 1126 51.67% 18.36% 29.97%+0.68 -22.4 31
1952-04-27 Cork Athletic W 2-028.3 1257 1142 70.40% 18.15% 11.45%+1.14 +12.7 24
1952-04-27 @ Evergreen United L 0-228.3 1142 1257 11.45% 18.15% 70.40%-1.14 -12.6 15
1952-04-27 Transport D 3-362.8 1049 1055 60.71% 18.41% 20.89%+0.53 -2.8 14
1952-04-27 @ Dundalk D 3-362.8 1055 1049 20.89% 18.41% 60.71%-0.53 +2.8 17
1952-04-27 Waterford L 2-360.5 1326 1053 77.49% 17.55% 4.96%+1.93 -33.8 23
1952-04-27 @ Drumconda W 3-260.5 1053 1326 4.96% 17.55% 77.49%-1.93 +33.8 19
1952-04-27 St Patricks Athletic L 2-340.2 954 1437 9.73% 17.60% 72.66%-1.87 -5.1 9
1952-04-27 @ Limerick W 3-240.2 1437 954 72.66% 17.60% 9.73%+1.87 +5.1 33
1952-04-27 Sligo Rovers W 6-025.7 1443 1237 75.03% 17.84% 7.13%+1.59 +22.4 29
1952-04-27 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-625.7 1237 1443 7.13% 17.84% 75.03%-1.59 -22.4 29
1952-04-30 St Patricks Athletic D 1-153.6 1046 1442 15.14% 17.96% 66.90%-1.43 +6.1 15
1952-04-30 @ Dundalk D 1-153.6 1442 1046 66.90% 17.96% 15.14%+1.43 -6.1 34

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1952-04-27 4.96% Waterford 1053 3 @ Drumconda 1326 2
2 1951-12-16 9.97% Cork Athletic 1194 2 @ Drumconda 1336 0
3 1951-11-25 10.84% Waterford 1105 2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1230 1
4 1951-12-15 17.49% St Patricks Athletic 1212 5 @ Bohemian 1242 1
5 1951-12-16 17.98% Transport 1156 1 @ Shamrock Rovers 1181 0
6 1951-12-30 18.98% Transport 1168 6 @ Waterford 1182 2
7 1952-01-20 19.34% @ Limerick 878 3 Cork Athletic 1223 0
8 1952-02-10 19.86% Drumconda 1229 3 @ Transport 1233 1
9 1951-12-16 22.59% Shelbourne 1236 2 @ Evergreen United 1213 1
10 1952-02-03 22.72% Cork Athletic 1101 5 @ Dundalk 1077 2
11 1951-12-02 23.02% Sligo Rovers 1276 4 @ Cork Athletic 1248 1
12 1952-01-20 23.23% Waterford 1135 4 @ Bohemian 1105 1
13 1952-01-13 24.98% @ Waterford 1095 4 Sligo Rovers 1385 2
14 1952-01-13 25.53% Shamrock Rovers 1218 4 @ Bohemian 1168 1
15 1951-11-18 25.57% Evergreen United 1200 3 @ Waterford 1149 1
16 1952-04-13 26.37% Evergreen United 1140 1 @ Transport 1082 0
17 1951-12-30 26.58% St Patricks Athletic 1310 1 @ Cork Athletic 1250 0
18 1952-02-02 27.73% St Patricks Athletic 1341 3 @ Drumconda 1271 1
19 1951-11-18 28.62% Drumconda 1276 2 @ St Patricks Athletic 1200 1
20 1952-04-26 29.97% @ Bohemian 1126 3 Shelbourne 1373 2
21 1952-04-22 30.37% @ Bohemian 1104 3 Drumconda 1348 2
22 1952-01-27 31.20% Evergreen United 1239 3 @ Cork Athletic 1141 1
23 1951-12-02 31.39% Bohemian 1192 3 @ Limerick 1093 0
24 1952-01-20 31.43% Shelbourne 1260 3 @ Dundalk 1161 0
25 1952-02-24 36.27% Shelbourne 1325 2 @ Waterford 1190 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1951-12-15 92.16 St Patricks Athletic 5 1212 17.49% @ Bohemian 1 1242 64.16% 18.35%
2 1952-04-20 90.39 @ Evergreen United 5 1166 40.53% Sligo Rovers 0 1336 41.02% 18.46%
3 1952-01-20 82.26 @ Limerick 3 878 19.34% Cork Athletic 0 1223 62.53% 18.12%
4 1952-04-19 77.10 @ Drumconda 6 1271 39.03% Shelbourne 1 1450 42.52% 18.45%
5 1951-12-30 76.31 Transport 6 1168 18.98% @ Waterford 2 1182 62.64% 18.38%
6 1951-12-02 66.71 Bohemian 3 1192 31.39% @ Limerick 0 1093 50.13% 18.48%
7 1952-01-20 66.67 Shelbourne 3 1260 31.43% @ Dundalk 0 1161 50.09% 18.48%
8 1952-03-09 66.57 @ Dundalk 4 1011 45.08% Waterford 0 1148 36.45% 18.47%
9 1951-12-16 65.82 Cork Athletic 2 1194 9.97% @ Drumconda 0 1336 71.96% 18.07%
10 1951-12-02 65.11 Sligo Rovers 4 1276 23.02% @ Cork Athletic 1 1248 58.54% 18.43%
11 1952-01-20 64.88 Waterford 4 1135 23.23% @ Bohemian 1 1105 58.34% 18.43%
12 1952-01-13 62.38 Shamrock Rovers 4 1218 25.53% @ Bohemian 1 1168 56.01% 18.45%
13 1952-03-23 59.87 Shamrock Rovers 3 1367 37.23% @ Evergreen United 0 1224 44.30% 18.47%
14 1951-12-23 57.52 Shamrock Rovers 3 1150 39.29% @ Limerick 0 993 42.24% 18.46%
15 1952-02-03 56.67 Cork Athletic 5 1101 22.72% @ Dundalk 2 1077 58.85% 18.43%
16 1952-03-08 51.69 Shamrock Rovers 3 1313 44.47% @ Transport 0 1119 37.10% 18.43%
17 1952-03-01 48.70 @ Bohemian 3 1045 47.01% Transport 0 1168 34.51% 18.48%
18 1952-02-10 48.55 Drumconda 3 1229 19.86% @ Transport 1 1233 61.75% 18.39%
19 1951-11-18 44.08 Evergreen United 3 1200 25.57% @ Waterford 1 1149 55.97% 18.45%
20 1951-11-25 43.94 @ Bohemian 4 1148 44.08% Cork Athletic 1 1292 37.45% 18.47%
21 1952-02-02 42.46 St Patricks Athletic 3 1341 27.73% @ Drumconda 1 1271 53.80% 18.47%
22 1952-02-24 41.98 Shelbourne 2 1325 36.27% @ Waterford 0 1190 45.25% 18.47%
23 1952-01-27 39.93 Evergreen United 3 1239 31.20% @ Cork Athletic 1 1141 50.32% 18.48%
24 1952-01-13 39.88 @ Waterford 4 1095 24.98% Sligo Rovers 2 1385 56.75% 18.27%
25 1952-01-13 35.98 @ St Patricks Athletic 6 1328 64.22% Shelbourne 1 1296 17.43% 18.35%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1951-12-30 67.2 @ Sligo Rovers 4 1380 69.90% Shelbourne 4 1273 11.93% 18.17%
2 1951-12-08 66.5 @ Shelbourne 4 1237 50.27% Drumconda 4 1335 31.25% 18.48%
3 1952-04-06 62.8 @ Limerick 3 943 46.41% Dundalk 3 1070 35.11% 18.48%
4 1952-04-27 62.8 @ Dundalk 3 1049 60.71% Transport 3 1055 20.89% 18.41%
5 1952-04-27 60.5 Waterford 3 1053 4.96% @ Drumconda 2 1326 77.49% 17.55%
6 1951-11-18 58.4 @ Cork Athletic 2 1298 71.58% Dundalk 2 1163 10.33% 18.09%
7 1952-01-27 58.3 @ Waterford 2 1200 53.84% Drumconda 2 1269 27.69% 18.47%
8 1952-02-10 58.1 @ Cork Athletic 2 1158 71.48% Bohemian 2 1025 10.43% 18.09%
9 1952-04-06 58.0 @ Cork Athletic 2 1148 67.37% Transport 2 1077 14.36% 18.26%
10 1952-04-14 56.1 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1338 50.26% Shamrock Rovers 1 1436 31.27% 18.48%
11 1952-02-24 53.9 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1318 65.06% Drumconda 1 1277 16.62% 18.33%
12 1952-04-30 53.6 @ Dundalk 1 1046 15.14% St Patricks Athletic 1 1442 66.90% 17.96%
13 1951-11-25 53.5 Waterford 2 1105 10.84% @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1230 71.05% 18.12%
14 1952-02-10 53.5 @ Waterford 1 1191 46.51% Shamrock Rovers 1 1317 35.01% 18.48%
15 1951-11-18 53.4 @ Shelbourne 1 1249 63.55% Shamrock Rovers 1 1225 18.09% 18.36%
16 1951-11-25 53.3 @ Evergreen United 1 1244 67.20% St Patricks Athletic 1 1175 14.53% 18.27%
17 1951-11-25 53.3 @ Dundalk 1 1168 49.27% Sligo Rovers 1 1274 32.26% 18.48%
18 1951-12-01 53.3 @ Shelbourne 1 1244 69.89% Waterford 1 1137 11.94% 18.17%
19 1952-04-26 53.3 @ Bohemian 3 1126 29.97% Shelbourne 2 1373 51.67% 18.36%
20 1952-01-06 53.2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1225 68.68% Dundalk 1 1136 13.10% 18.22%
21 1952-03-30 53.2 @ Evergreen United 1 1164 76.03% Limerick 1 934 6.23% 17.73%
22 1951-11-25 53.1 @ Limerick 1 1094 43.30% Shelbourne 1 1243 38.23% 18.47%
23 1952-02-03 53.1 @ Limerick 1 958 26.25% Transport 1 1236 55.46% 18.30%
24 1952-03-23 53.0 @ Dundalk 1 1073 55.84% Bohemian 1 1125 25.71% 18.45%
25 1952-04-22 53.0 @ Bohemian 3 1104 30.37% Drumconda 2 1348 51.27% 18.36%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1952-02-10 21.7 @ Shelbourne 4 1318 79.76% Limerick 0 961 3.13% 17.11%
2 1951-12-30 22.0 @ Drumconda 4 1253 78.78% Limerick 0 935 3.89% 17.33%
3 1952-03-09 22.5 @ Sligo Rovers 6 1339 80.66% Limerick 0 939 2.47% 16.87%
4 1952-04-13 23.3 @ Cork Athletic 5 1143 74.86% Limerick 0 942 7.29% 17.85%
5 1952-01-13 23.6 @ Dundalk 6 1143 76.64% Limerick 0 896 5.70% 17.66%
6 1951-12-09 24.5 @ Waterford 4 1144 70.54% Limerick 0 1027 11.32% 18.14%
7 1951-11-24 24.8 @ Drumconda 5 1301 70.99% Transport 0 1176 10.89% 18.12%
8 1952-03-16 25.0 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1364 81.27% Limerick 0 931 2.07% 16.67%
9 1952-01-27 25.5 @ Transport 3 1219 70.97% Dundalk 0 1094 10.91% 18.12%
10 1952-04-27 25.7 @ Shamrock Rovers 6 1443 75.03% Sligo Rovers 0 1237 7.13% 17.84%
11 1951-11-18 26.5 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1253 68.28% Bohemian 0 1170 13.49% 18.23%
12 1952-04-27 28.3 @ Evergreen United 2 1257 70.40% Cork Athletic 0 1142 11.45% 18.15%
13 1952-02-24 28.9 @ Bohemian 2 1030 67.79% Limerick 0 954 13.96% 18.25%
14 1952-04-06 29.7 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1427 78.25% Bohemian 0 1129 4.33% 17.42%
15 1952-03-22 30.0 @ St Patricks Athletic 1 1433 77.78% Cork Athletic 0 1151 4.72% 17.50%
16 1952-04-13 30.4 @ Shelbourne 3 1448 80.58% Dundalk 1 1051 2.53% 16.89%
17 1952-04-09 30.6 Shamrock Rovers 2 1429 63.74% @ Dundalk 0 1071 18.17% 18.08%
18 1951-12-16 30.7 @ Waterford 2 1168 62.17% Dundalk 0 1159 19.44% 18.38%
19 1952-02-24 30.7 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1335 74.01% Cork Athletic 0 1152 8.06% 17.93%
20 1952-02-09 31.2 @ St Patricks Athletic 5 1383 69.28% Evergreen United 1 1286 12.53% 18.20%
21 1952-04-06 31.2 @ Drumconda 4 1263 69.91% Evergreen United 1 1156 11.92% 18.17%
22 1952-02-24 31.3 @ Evergreen United 3 1264 76.65% Dundalk 1 1016 5.69% 17.66%
23 1951-11-17 31.5 @ Transport 5 1145 63.23% Limerick 1 1125 18.41% 18.37%
24 1952-01-13 31.6 @ St Patricks Athletic 6 1328 64.22% Shelbourne 1 1296 17.43% 18.35%
25 1951-12-02 31.7 @ Drumconda 1 1329 71.35% Shamrock Rovers 0 1198 10.55% 18.10%