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1957-58 League of Ireland Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Drumconda

33 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

St Patrick's Athletic

4.13 points above expected

26 points · 21.87 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sligo Rovers

6.48 points below expected

15 points · 21.48 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Drumconda 22 15 3 4 33 51 23 +28 29.45 +3.55
2 Shamrock Rovers 22 15 1 6 31 55 26 +29 30.43 +0.57
3 Evergreen United 22 13 3 6 29 53 30 +23 27.35 +1.65
4 St Patrick's Athletic 22 10 6 6 26 45 32 +13 21.87 +4.13
5 Shelbourne 22 11 3 8 25 41 29 +12 23.88 +1.12
6 Waterford 22 10 3 9 23 43 37 +6 23.49 -0.49
7 Limerick 22 7 5 10 19 31 40 -9 15.09 +3.91
8 Dundalk 22 7 3 12 17 38 46 -8 19.08 -2.08
9 Bohemian 22 6 4 12 16 36 52 -16 15.08 +0.92
10 Transport 22 6 4 12 16 30 50 -20 18.67 -2.67
11 Sligo Rovers 22 5 5 12 15 32 61 -29 21.48 -6.48
12 Cork Hibernians 22 6 2 14 14 37 66 -29 18.13 -4.13

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 St Patrick's Athletic 26 21.87 +4.13
2 Limerick 19 15.09 +3.91
3 Drumconda 33 29.45 +3.55
4 Evergreen United 29 27.35 +1.65
5 Shelbourne 25 23.88 +1.12

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sligo Rovers 15 21.48 -6.48
2 Cork Hibernians 14 18.13 -4.13
3 Transport 16 18.67 -2.67
4 Dundalk 17 19.08 -2.08
5 Waterford 23 23.49 -0.49

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shamrock Rovers 6 Jan 12 – Feb 26 1 in 41
2 Transport 3 Feb 23 – Mar 16 1 in 40
3 Shelbourne 4 Dec 22 – Jan 12 1 in 37
4 Drumconda 5 Nov 15 – Dec 15 1 in 37
5 Limerick 3 Mar 16 – Mar 30 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sligo Rovers 7 Mar 16 – Apr 13 1 in 334
2 Shamrock Rovers 3 Dec 22 – Jan 5 1 in 95
3 Cork Hibernians 6 Nov 10 – Dec 15 1 in 83
4 Waterford 4 Dec 8 – Dec 29 1 in 54
5 Dundalk 3 Nov 17 – Dec 1 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 St Patrick's Athletic 8 Nov 17 – Jan 5 1 in 64
2 Bohemian 4 Mar 1 – Mar 22 1 in 59
3 Drumconda 10 Nov 15 – Jan 19 1 in 33
4 Sligo Rovers 6 Nov 17 – Dec 22 1 in 21
5 Transport 4 Feb 23 – Mar 23 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sligo Rovers 10 Feb 2 – Apr 13 1 in 132
2 Shelbourne 5 Feb 2 – Mar 22 1 in 65
3 Transport 8 Dec 15 – Feb 1 1 in 19
4 Shamrock Rovers 3 Dec 22 – Jan 5 1 in 17
5 Cork Hibernians 6 Nov 10 – Dec 15 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Drumconda 1391 33 -12 5 7.2 -2.2
Shamrock Rovers 1390 31 -13 7 7.0 -0.0
Evergreen United 1390 29 +61 9 6.1 +2.9
St Patrick's Athletic 1264 26 +0 6 5.5 +0.5
Shelbourne 1273 25 +11 6 5.0 +1.0
Waterford 1261 23 +6 4 5.3 -1.3
Limerick 1138 19 +18 5 3.3 +1.7
Dundalk 1166 17 -14 4 4.9 -0.9
Transport 1196 16 +1 5 4.2 +0.8
Bohemian 1088 16 +22 5 3.8 +1.2
Sligo Rovers 1048 15 -80 0 3.2 -3.2
Cork Hibernians 1117 14 +14 5 3.3 +1.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOH CH DRU DUN EU LIM SR SHE SR SPA TRA WAT
Bohemian —
1-1-0
2.42
0-0-2
1.20
0-1-1
2.21
1-0-1
1.24
1-0-1
2.82
0-0-2
1.06
1-0-1
1.78
1-0-1
2.48
0-0-2
1.79
0-1-1
2.45
1-1-0
1.61
Cork Hibernians
0-1-1
3.24
—
1-0-1
1.19
1-0-1
2.75
0-0-2
1.41
1-0-1
3.01
1-1-0
1.25
0-0-2
2.17
1-0-1
2.59
1-0-1
2.25
0-0-2
2.88
0-0-2
2.24
Drumconda
2-0-0
4.47
1-0-1
4.49
—
2-0-0
4.08
1-1-0
2.96
1-1-0
4.45
0-0-2
2.70
2-0-0
3.53
2-0-0
3.93
1-1-0
3.75
1-0-1
4.33
2-0-0
3.37
Dundalk
1-1-0
3.46
1-0-1
2.92
0-0-2
1.59
—
0-0-2
1.91
0-0-2
3.51
2-0-0
1.31
0-0-2
2.15
1-0-1
2.46
1-1-0
2.28
1-1-0
2.82
0-0-2
2.37
Evergreen United
1-0-1
4.44
2-0-0
4.27
0-1-1
2.71
2-0-0
3.76
—
1-1-0
4.36
0-0-2
2.36
1-0-1
3.41
1-0-1
3.49
2-0-0
3.32
2-0-0
3.75
1-1-0
3.37
Limerick
1-0-1
2.85
1-0-1
2.66
0-1-1
1.22
2-0-0
2.15
0-1-1
1.31
—
0-0-2
1.19
0-1-1
1.76
2-0-0
1.98
0-1-1
1.91
1-1-0
2.53
0-0-2
1.74
Shamrock Rovers
2-0-0
4.62
0-1-1
4.43
2-0-0
2.96
0-0-2
4.37
2-0-0
3.31
2-0-0
4.48
—
1-0-1
3.89
2-0-0
4.26
0-0-2
3.96
2-0-0
4.18
2-0-0
3.66
Shelbourne
1-0-1
3.89
2-0-0
3.49
0-0-2
2.14
2-0-0
3.51
1-0-1
2.25
1-1-0
3.91
1-0-1
1.78
—
0-2-0
2.92
0-0-2
3.33
2-0-0
3.47
1-0-1
3.04
Sligo Rovers
1-0-1
3.19
1-0-1
3.07
0-0-2
1.74
1-0-1
3.20
1-0-1
2.17
0-0-2
3.69
0-0-2
1.41
0-2-0
2.75
—
0-2-0
2.85
1-0-1
3.52
0-1-1
2.16
St Patrick's Athletic
2-0-0
3.88
1-0-1
3.41
0-1-1
1.92
0-1-1
3.39
0-0-2
2.35
1-1-0
3.76
2-0-0
1.71
2-0-0
2.34
0-2-0
2.81
—
1-1-0
2.99
1-0-1
2.34
Transport
1-1-0
3.22
2-0-0
2.78
1-0-1
1.34
0-1-1
2.85
0-0-2
1.92
0-1-1
3.13
0-0-2
1.49
0-0-2
2.19
1-0-1
2.15
0-1-1
2.67
—
1-0-1
2.11
Waterford
0-1-1
4.06
2-0-0
3.42
0-0-2
2.29
2-0-0
3.30
0-1-1
2.30
2-0-0
3.93
0-0-2
2.01
1-0-1
2.63
1-1-0
3.51
1-0-1
3.32
1-0-1
3.55
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.82 +7.1
Allowed 0.87 -4.5
Differential 0.96 +3.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
00.76%6.44%5.68%4.55%1.14%1.89%20.45%
16.44%6.06%6.44%3.03%1.52%1.52%25.00%
25.68%6.44%6.82%3.03%2.65%2.65%27.27%
34.55%3.03%3.03%2.27%0.76%0.76%14.39%
41.14%1.52%2.65%0.76%——6.06%
5+1.89%1.52%2.65%0.76%——6.82%
Total20.45%25.00%27.27%14.39%6.06%6.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.86 +0.00
SD 1.58 1.58 2.37
CV 0.85 0.85 —
Max 8 8 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%9.09%—4.55%27.27%
14.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
24.55%9.09%9.09%9.09%9.09%—40.91%
3—4.55%—4.55%—4.55%13.64%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total9.09%27.27%22.73%22.73%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 2.36 -0.73
SD 1.43 1.76 2.33
CV 0.88 0.74 —
Max 6 7 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%22.73%
1—4.55%4.55%9.09%——18.18%
24.55%9.09%——4.55%13.64%31.82%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%22.73%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total4.55%22.73%18.18%22.73%9.09%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 3.00 -1.32
SD 1.21 2.05 2.32
CV 0.72 0.68 —
Max 4 8 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
113.64%9.09%4.55%———27.27%
24.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
39.09%—9.09%———18.18%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+9.09%——4.55%——13.64%
Total40.91%27.27%18.18%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 1.05 +1.27
SD 1.73 1.09 2.05
CV 0.75 1.04 —
Max 7 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
113.64%4.55%4.55%9.09%——31.82%
24.55%—4.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%31.82%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
4———————
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total18.18%18.18%22.73%22.73%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 2.09 -0.36
SD 1.70 1.48 2.08
CV 0.98 0.71 —
Max 8 5 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
19.09%9.09%18.18%———36.36%
24.55%4.55%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
313.64%—————13.64%
4—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total27.27%27.27%40.91%——4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.41 1.36 +1.05
SD 1.71 1.33 2.19
CV 0.71 0.97 —
Max 7 6 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
14.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
213.64%—9.09%—4.55%—27.27%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
4———————
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total22.73%13.64%36.36%13.64%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.82 -0.41
SD 1.33 1.33 1.94
CV 0.95 0.73 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
19.09%4.55%13.64%———27.27%
29.09%13.64%————22.73%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
4——9.09%———9.09%
5+4.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
Total27.27%31.82%36.36%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 1.18 +1.32
SD 2.18 0.91 2.30
CV 0.87 0.77 —
Max 8 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—18.18%—4.55%4.55%—27.27%
14.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
213.64%4.55%—4.55%——22.73%
39.09%——4.55%——13.64%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+——9.09%———9.09%
Total27.27%36.36%18.18%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.32 +0.55
SD 1.64 1.17 2.04
CV 0.88 0.89 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——13.64%——9.09%22.73%
1—9.09%—9.09%—18.18%36.36%
2—4.55%13.64%4.55%——22.73%
39.09%—————9.09%
4——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
5+———————
Total9.09%13.64%31.82%18.18%—27.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 2.77 -1.32
SD 1.22 1.82 2.59
CV 0.84 0.66 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
19.09%—9.09%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
24.55%4.55%18.18%———27.27%
39.09%——4.55%——13.64%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+4.55%——4.55%——9.09%
Total36.36%9.09%31.82%18.18%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 1.45 +0.59
SD 1.50 1.30 2.17
CV 0.73 0.89 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%36.36%
19.09%4.55%——4.55%—18.18%
24.55%4.55%13.64%——9.09%31.82%
3——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total18.18%22.73%27.27%4.55%13.64%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 2.27 -0.91
SD 1.47 2.03 2.60
CV 1.07 0.89 —
Max 6 8 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
1—9.09%9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
2—9.09%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
3—18.18%4.55%———22.73%
44.55%——4.55%——9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total4.55%50.00%22.73%18.18%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 1.68 +0.27
SD 1.43 0.99 1.93
CV 0.73 0.59 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Drumconda 1391 33 29.45 +3.55 85.0% 21 23 27 29 32 36 41
Shamrock Rovers 1390 31 30.43 +0.57 55.0% 19 24 28 31 33 36 39
Evergreen United 1390 29 27.35 +1.65 75.0% 19 22 25 27 29 32 36
Shelbourne 1273 25 23.88 +1.12 62.0% 14 15 21 24 27 30 34
St Patrick's Athletic 1264 26 21.87 +4.13 90.0% 11 16 19 22 24 28 31
Waterford 1261 23 23.49 -0.49 46.0% 13 17 21 24 26 30 33
Transport 1196 16 18.67 -2.67 31.0% 8 10 16 19 22 26 30
Dundalk 1166 17 19.08 -2.08 37.0% 8 12 16 19 22 28 29
Limerick 1138 19 15.09 +3.91 87.0% 7 9 12 15 18 21 26
Cork Hibernians 1117 14 18.13 -4.13 17.0% 8 11 15 19 21 23 25
Bohemian 1088 16 15.08 +0.92 63.0% 6 8 12 15 18 21 23
Sligo Rovers 1048 15 21.48 -6.48 6.0% 13 15 18 22 25 27 30

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+18.94%
Clear Edge
51.52%15.91%32.58%
Elo Value
Home Edge
141 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
066.61400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.65 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.47+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.9
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
33%
Drumconda, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Tight Race
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.13 * Some Luck: 3.13 to 4.69 * Lucky: 4.69 to 6.26 * Wild Swing: 6.26 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.36 * Close: 1.36 to 2.04 * Off: 2.04 to 2.71 * Way Off: 2.71 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.17 points
Some Luck
03.9110
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.67
Close
01.704
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
90.00%
St Patrick's Athletic
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
6.00%
Sligo Rovers
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 120.91
1.56
Coin-Flip Parity
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
73%
Clear Edge
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
88%
Clear Edge
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
49%
Few
0%47%100%
Blowouts
Expected
27%
Very Frequent
0%29%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Predictable
00.552
Matchup Imbalance
0.40
Slight Separation
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.69
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.45
Some Carryover
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Upset-Prone
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Very Shaky
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.40
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.78
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.089
Well Within Noise
00.1350.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Drumconda33.00%33.00%16.00%7.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%————
Shamrock Rovers47.00%26.00%13.00%8.00%5.00%—1.00%—————
Evergreen United10.00%25.00%26.00%16.00%12.00%8.00%2.00%1.00%————
St Patrick's Athletic—2.00%9.00%9.00%19.00%13.00%16.00%12.00%12.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%
Shelbourne6.00%6.00%14.00%18.00%12.00%11.00%13.00%6.00%6.00%4.00%4.00%—
Waterford3.00%2.00%11.00%21.00%20.00%13.00%11.00%7.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%—
Limerick—1.00%———2.00%6.00%11.00%12.00%16.00%19.00%33.00%
Dundalk—3.00%3.00%5.00%7.00%8.00%10.00%13.00%11.00%19.00%14.00%7.00%
Bohemian———1.00%2.00%2.00%3.00%9.00%12.00%12.00%25.00%34.00%
Transport—1.00%3.00%4.00%5.00%14.00%9.00%8.00%18.00%10.00%16.00%12.00%
Sligo Rovers1.00%1.00%5.00%10.00%9.00%17.00%16.00%16.00%6.00%11.00%8.00%—
Cork Hibernians———1.00%3.00%9.00%12.00%16.00%18.00%19.00%9.00%13.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Bohemian 100%
Cork Hibernians 100%
Drumconda 100%
Dundalk 100%
Evergreen United 100%
Limerick 100%
Shamrock Rovers 100%
Shelbourne 100%
Sligo Rovers 100%
St Patrick's Athletic 100%
Transport 100%
Waterford 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1957-11-08 Transport W 2-034.3 1217 1223 54.26% 16.84% 28.90%+0.44 +13.4 2
1957-11-08 @ Shelbourne L 0-234.3 1223 1217 28.90% 16.84% 54.26%-0.44 -13.4 0
1957-11-10 Limerick W 2-033.9 1099 1099 55.02% 16.83% 28.16%+0.48 +13.1 2
1957-11-10 @ Bohemian L 0-233.9 1099 1099 28.16% 16.83% 55.02%-0.48 -13.1 0
1957-11-10 Sligo Rovers W 5-133.0 1308 1252 61.20% 16.72% 22.08%+0.87 +16.7 2
1957-11-10 @ Evergreen United L 1-533.0 1252 1308 22.08% 16.72% 61.20%-0.87 -16.7 0
1957-11-10 Cork Hibernians W 8-236.5 1186 1239 48.18% 16.87% 34.94%+0.10 +29.9 2
1957-11-10 @ Dundalk L 2-836.5 1239 1186 34.94% 16.87% 48.18%-0.10 -29.9 0
1957-11-10 Drumconda W 3-031.1 1365 1313 60.80% 16.73% 22.47%+0.84 +15.6 2
1957-11-10 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-331.1 1313 1365 22.47% 16.73% 60.80%-0.84 -15.6 0
1957-11-10 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-135.9 1254 1167 64.21% 16.63% 19.15%+1.09 +8.0 2
1957-11-10 @ Waterford L 1-335.9 1167 1254 19.15% 16.63% 64.21%-1.09 -8.0 0
1957-11-15 Bohemian W 3-240.8 1297 1112 71.91% 16.23% 11.86%+1.79 +2.8 2
1957-11-15 @ Drumconda L 2-340.8 1112 1297 11.86% 16.23% 71.91%-1.79 -2.8 2
1957-11-17 Waterford L 1-344.7 1209 1262 48.10% 16.87% 35.03%+0.10 -17.9 0
1957-11-17 @ Cork Hibernians W 3-144.7 1262 1209 35.03% 16.87% 48.10%-0.10 +17.9 4
1957-11-17 Evergreen United D 2-259.3 1086 1325 23.84% 16.57% 59.59%-1.23 +1.4 1
1957-11-17 @ Limerick D 2-259.3 1325 1086 59.59% 16.57% 23.84%+1.23 -1.4 3
1957-11-17 Dundalk W 4-242.3 1236 1216 57.24% 16.80% 25.97%+0.61 +9.4 2
1957-11-17 @ Sligo Rovers L 2-442.3 1216 1236 25.97% 16.80% 57.24%-0.61 -9.4 2
1957-11-17 Shelbourne W 4-032.8 1159 1231 45.59% 16.88% 37.54%-0.03 +31.8 2
1957-11-17 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-432.8 1231 1159 37.54% 16.88% 45.59%+0.03 -31.8 2
1957-11-17 Shamrock Rovers L 0-139.0 1210 1380 31.90% 16.76% 51.34%-0.74 -7.7 0
1957-11-17 @ Transport W 1-039.0 1380 1210 51.34% 16.76% 31.90%+0.74 +7.7 4
1957-11-23 Transport W 5-030.2 1191 1202 53.62% 16.84% 29.54%+0.40 +31.9 4
1957-11-23 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-530.2 1202 1191 29.54% 16.84% 53.62%-0.40 -31.9 0
1957-11-24 Shamrock Rovers L 2-440.6 1110 1388 19.99% 16.41% 63.59%-1.51 -7.5 2
1957-11-24 @ Bohemian W 4-240.6 1388 1110 63.59% 16.41% 19.99%+1.51 +7.4 6
1957-11-24 Drumconda L 1-251.0 1324 1300 57.72% 16.79% 25.49%+0.64 -12.2 3
1957-11-24 @ Evergreen United W 2-151.0 1300 1324 25.49% 16.79% 57.72%-0.64 +12.2 4
1957-11-24 Limerick L 1-350.1 1207 1087 67.13% 16.52% 16.35%+1.32 -24.6 2
1957-11-24 @ Dundalk W 3-150.1 1087 1207 16.35% 16.52% 67.13%-1.32 +24.6 3
1957-11-24 Cork Hibernians W 3-031.1 1199 1191 55.89% 16.82% 27.29%+0.53 +18.5 4
1957-11-24 @ Shelbourne L 0-331.1 1191 1199 27.29% 16.82% 55.89%-0.53 -18.5 0
1957-11-24 Sligo Rovers D 2-259.5 1280 1245 58.94% 16.77% 24.29%+0.72 -1.4 5
1957-11-24 @ Waterford D 2-259.5 1245 1280 24.29% 16.77% 58.94%-0.72 +1.4 3
1957-11-30 Transport D 2-259.0 1102 1170 46.12% 16.88% 37.00%-0.01 -0.3 3
1957-11-30 @ Bohemian D 2-259.0 1170 1102 37.00% 16.88% 46.12%+0.01 +0.3 1
1957-12-01 St Patrick's Athletic L 3-551.8 1173 1223 48.46% 16.87% 34.67%+0.11 -15.2 0
1957-12-01 @ Cork Hibernians W 5-351.8 1223 1173 34.67% 16.87% 48.46%-0.11 +15.2 6
1957-12-01 Dundalk W 3-027.7 1312 1182 67.97% 16.48% 15.55%+1.40 +11.1 6
1957-12-01 @ Drumconda L 0-327.7 1182 1312 15.55% 16.48% 67.97%-1.40 -11.1 2
1957-12-01 Waterford L 1-242.4 1112 1279 32.38% 16.77% 50.85%-0.71 -7.4 3
1957-12-01 @ Limerick W 2-142.4 1279 1112 50.85% 16.77% 32.38%+0.71 +7.4 7
1957-12-01 Evergreen United W 6-236.2 1395 1311 63.97% 16.64% 19.39%+1.07 +12.6 8
1957-12-01 @ Shamrock Rovers L 2-636.2 1311 1395 19.39% 16.64% 63.97%-1.07 -12.6 3
1957-12-01 Shelbourne D 1-154.8 1247 1218 58.30% 16.78% 24.92%+0.68 -1.8 4
1957-12-01 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-154.8 1218 1247 24.92% 16.78% 58.30%-0.68 +1.8 5
1957-12-06 Sligo Rovers D 2-259.4 1238 1245 54.12% 16.84% 29.04%+0.43 -1.0 7
1957-12-06 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 2-259.4 1245 1238 29.04% 16.84% 54.12%-0.43 +1.0 5
1957-12-08 Bohemian W 4-237.6 1299 1102 72.70% 16.17% 11.13%+1.87 +4.3 5
1957-12-08 @ Evergreen United L 2-437.6 1102 1299 11.13% 16.17% 72.70%-1.87 -4.3 3
1957-12-08 Shamrock Rovers W 1-047.1 1171 1408 24.11% 16.57% 59.32%-1.21 +13.3 4
1957-12-08 @ Dundalk L 0-147.1 1408 1171 59.32% 16.57% 24.11%+1.21 -13.3 8
1957-12-08 Limerick W 4-132.5 1219 1104 66.75% 16.53% 16.71%+1.29 +10.0 7
1957-12-08 @ Shelbourne L 1-432.5 1104 1219 16.71% 16.53% 66.75%-1.29 -10.0 3
1957-12-08 Cork Hibernians W 2-033.5 1170 1157 56.46% 16.81% 26.73%+0.57 +12.5 3
1957-12-08 @ Transport L 0-233.5 1157 1170 26.73% 16.81% 56.46%-0.57 -12.5 0
1957-12-08 Drumconda L 0-241.4 1286 1323 50.22% 16.87% 32.91%+0.21 -21.5 7
1957-12-08 @ Waterford W 2-041.4 1323 1286 32.91% 16.87% 50.22%-0.21 +21.5 8
1957-12-14 Dundalk D 2-259.0 1098 1184 43.46% 16.87% 39.67%-0.14 -0.1 4
1957-12-14 @ Bohemian D 2-259.0 1184 1098 39.67% 16.87% 43.46%+0.14 +0.1 5
1957-12-15 Transport W 4-132.6 1303 1183 67.20% 16.51% 16.29%+1.33 +9.8 7
1957-12-15 @ Evergreen United L 1-432.6 1183 1303 16.29% 16.51% 67.20%-1.33 -9.8 3
1957-12-15 Shelbourne W 2-138.2 1345 1229 66.76% 16.53% 16.71%+1.29 +4.1 10
1957-12-15 @ Drumconda L 1-238.2 1229 1345 16.71% 16.53% 66.76%-1.29 -4.1 7
1957-12-15 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-051.3 1094 1237 35.54% 16.81% 47.65%-0.54 +0.7 4
1957-12-15 @ Limerick D 0-051.3 1237 1094 47.65% 16.81% 35.54%+0.54 -0.7 8
1957-12-15 Waterford W 3-243.2 1395 1264 67.99% 16.48% 15.53%+1.40 +3.6 10
1957-12-15 @ Shamrock Rovers L 2-343.2 1264 1395 15.53% 16.48% 67.99%-1.40 -3.6 7
1957-12-15 Cork Hibernians W 3-028.2 1246 1145 65.52% 16.58% 17.89%+1.19 +12.7 7
1957-12-15 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-328.2 1145 1246 17.89% 16.58% 65.52%-1.19 -12.7 0
1957-12-22 Limerick W 2-032.6 1132 1095 59.21% 16.76% 24.02%+0.74 +11.4 2
1957-12-22 @ Cork Hibernians L 0-232.6 1095 1132 24.02% 16.76% 59.21%-0.74 -11.4 4
1957-12-22 Evergreen United L 0-140.2 1184 1313 37.52% 16.84% 45.65%-0.44 -8.9 5
1957-12-22 @ Dundalk W 1-040.2 1313 1184 45.65% 16.84% 37.52%+0.44 +8.9 9
1957-12-22 Shamrock Rovers W 2-149.1 1225 1398 31.61% 16.76% 51.64%-0.76 +11.0 9
1957-12-22 @ Shelbourne L 1-249.1 1398 1225 51.64% 16.76% 31.61%+0.76 -11.0 10
1957-12-22 Drumconda D 2-259.8 1237 1349 39.82% 16.85% 43.33%-0.32 +0.1 9
1957-12-22 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 2-259.8 1349 1237 43.33% 16.85% 39.82%+0.32 -0.1 11
1957-12-22 Sligo Rovers L 3-454.2 1173 1258 43.62% 16.87% 39.51%-0.13 -8.8 3
1957-12-22 @ Transport W 4-354.2 1258 1173 39.51% 16.87% 43.62%+0.13 +8.8 9
1957-12-22 Bohemian L 1-253.7 1261 1097 70.48% 16.33% 13.18%+1.64 -14.9 7
1957-12-22 @ Waterford W 2-153.7 1097 1261 13.18% 16.33% 70.48%-1.64 +14.9 6
1957-12-29 Shelbourne L 0-334.3 1112 1236 38.17% 16.84% 44.99%-0.41 -24.6 6
1957-12-29 @ Bohemian W 3-034.3 1236 1112 44.99% 16.84% 38.17%+0.41 +24.6 11
1957-12-29 Waterford W 3-029.5 1322 1246 63.20% 16.66% 20.14%+1.01 +14.1 11
1957-12-29 @ Evergreen United L 0-329.5 1246 1322 20.14% 16.66% 63.20%-1.01 -14.1 7
1957-12-29 Transport W 1-036.7 1176 1164 56.28% 16.81% 26.91%+0.55 +6.7 7
1957-12-29 @ Dundalk L 0-136.7 1164 1176 26.91% 16.81% 56.28%-0.55 -6.7 3
1957-12-29 Cork Hibernians W 5-024.6 1349 1144 73.20% 16.12% 10.68%+1.93 +12.5 13
1957-12-29 @ Drumconda L 0-524.6 1144 1349 10.68% 16.12% 73.20%-1.93 -12.5 2
1957-12-29 Sligo Rovers W 2-041.4 1083 1267 30.27% 16.73% 53.00%-0.83 +22.5 6
1957-12-29 @ Limerick L 0-241.4 1267 1083 53.00% 16.73% 30.27%+0.83 -22.5 9
1957-12-29 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-254.4 1387 1237 69.56% 16.39% 14.05%+1.54 -14.7 10
1957-12-29 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-154.4 1237 1387 14.05% 16.39% 69.56%-1.54 +14.7 11
1958-01-05 Shamrock Rovers W 2-150.9 1131 1373 23.62% 16.56% 59.82%-1.24 +12.6 4
1958-01-05 @ Cork Hibernians L 1-250.9 1373 1131 59.82% 16.56% 23.62%+1.24 -12.6 10
1958-01-05 Evergreen United W 2-037.7 1261 1336 45.09% 16.87% 38.03%-0.06 +16.9 13
1958-01-05 @ Shelbourne L 0-237.7 1336 1261 38.03% 16.87% 45.09%+0.06 -16.9 11
1958-01-05 Drumconda L 2-350.0 1245 1361 39.21% 16.85% 43.94%-0.35 -8.2 9
1958-01-05 @ Sligo Rovers W 3-250.0 1361 1245 43.94% 16.85% 39.21%+0.35 +8.2 15
1958-01-05 Bohemian W 1-032.5 1251 1088 70.50% 16.33% 13.16%+1.64 +3.5 13
1958-01-05 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-132.5 1088 1251 13.16% 16.33% 70.50%-1.64 -3.5 6
1958-01-05 Limerick D 2-259.1 1157 1106 60.73% 16.73% 22.54%+0.84 -1.5 4
1958-01-05 @ Transport D 2-259.1 1106 1157 22.54% 16.73% 60.73%-0.84 +1.5 7
1958-01-05 Dundalk W 3-137.0 1232 1182 60.54% 16.73% 22.73%+0.83 +9.4 9
1958-01-05 @ Waterford L 1-337.0 1182 1232 22.73% 16.73% 60.54%-0.83 -9.4 7
1958-01-12 Cork Hibernians W 3-140.8 1084 1144 47.26% 16.88% 35.86%+0.05 +14.0 8
1958-01-12 @ Bohemian L 1-340.8 1144 1084 35.86% 16.88% 47.26%-0.05 -13.9 4
1958-01-12 St Patrick's Athletic W 4-134.5 1319 1255 62.03% 16.70% 21.27%+0.93 +12.5 13
1958-01-12 @ Evergreen United L 1-434.5 1255 1319 21.27% 16.70% 62.03%-0.93 -12.5 13
1958-01-12 Shelbourne L 0-237.9 1173 1278 40.83% 16.86% 42.31%-0.27 -18.0 7
1958-01-12 @ Dundalk W 2-037.9 1278 1173 42.31% 16.86% 40.83%+0.27 +18.0 15
1958-01-12 Limerick W 4-023.8 1369 1108 76.24% 15.79% 7.97%+2.34 +7.7 17
1958-01-12 @ Drumconda L 0-423.8 1108 1369 7.97% 15.79% 76.24%-2.34 -7.7 7
1958-01-12 Sligo Rovers W 5-131.3 1360 1236 67.45% 16.50% 16.05%+1.35 +12.5 12
1958-01-12 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-531.3 1236 1360 16.05% 16.50% 67.45%-1.35 -12.5 9
1958-01-12 Transport W 4-027.3 1241 1156 64.08% 16.64% 19.28%+1.08 +17.7 11
1958-01-12 @ Waterford L 0-427.3 1156 1241 19.28% 16.64% 64.08%-1.08 -17.7 4
1958-01-19 Evergreen United L 2-735.4 1130 1332 28.07% 16.68% 55.25%-0.96 -21.1 4
1958-01-19 @ Cork Hibernians W 7-235.4 1332 1130 55.25% 16.68% 28.07%+0.96 +21.1 15
1958-01-19 Shamrock Rovers L 2-440.7 1100 1372 20.53% 16.44% 63.03%-1.46 -7.6 7
1958-01-19 @ Limerick W 4-240.7 1372 1100 63.03% 16.44% 20.53%+1.46 +7.6 14
1958-01-19 Waterford L 2-355.6 1296 1259 59.17% 16.76% 24.06%+0.74 -11.9 15
1958-01-19 @ Shelbourne W 3-255.6 1259 1296 24.06% 16.76% 59.17%-0.74 +11.9 13
1958-01-19 Bohemian W 3-027.5 1224 1098 67.63% 16.49% 15.87%+1.37 +11.3 11
1958-01-19 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-327.5 1098 1224 15.87% 16.49% 67.63%-1.37 -11.4 8
1958-01-19 Dundalk L 0-244.8 1242 1155 64.30% 16.63% 19.07%+1.10 -27.2 13
1958-01-19 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-044.8 1155 1242 19.07% 16.63% 64.30%-1.10 +27.2 9
1958-01-19 Drumconda L 0-330.3 1138 1377 23.92% 16.57% 59.51%-1.22 -16.4 4
1958-01-19 @ Transport W 3-030.3 1377 1138 59.51% 16.57% 23.92%+1.22 +16.4 19
1958-01-25 Waterford W 4-138.4 1215 1271 47.78% 16.87% 35.35%+0.08 +19.5 15
1958-01-25 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-438.4 1271 1215 35.35% 16.87% 47.78%-0.08 -19.5 13
1958-01-26 Dundalk W 4-245.7 1109 1182 45.31% 16.88% 37.82%-0.05 +13.0 6
1958-01-26 @ Cork Hibernians L 2-445.7 1182 1109 37.82% 16.88% 45.31%+0.05 -13.0 9
1958-01-26 Shamrock Rovers L 1-252.6 1393 1380 56.51% 16.81% 26.68%+0.57 -12.0 19
1958-01-26 @ Drumconda W 2-152.6 1380 1393 26.68% 16.81% 56.51%-0.57 +12.0 16
1958-01-26 Bohemian W 2-033.7 1092 1087 55.57% 16.82% 27.61%+0.51 +12.9 9
1958-01-26 @ Limerick L 0-233.7 1087 1092 27.61% 16.82% 55.57%-0.51 -12.9 8
1958-01-26 Evergreen United W 2-146.6 1235 1353 39.09% 16.85% 44.06%-0.36 +9.6 13
1958-01-26 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-246.6 1353 1235 44.06% 16.85% 39.09%+0.36 -9.6 15
1958-01-26 Shelbourne L 2-541.1 1122 1284 33.02% 16.78% 50.20%-0.68 -15.9 4
1958-01-26 @ Transport W 5-241.1 1284 1122 50.20% 16.78% 33.02%+0.68 +15.9 17
1958-02-01 Transport W 8-228.0 1392 1106 77.35% 15.63% 7.02%+2.51 +6.8 18
1958-02-01 @ Shamrock Rovers L 2-828.0 1106 1392 7.02% 15.63% 77.35%-2.51 -6.8 4
1958-02-02 Drumconda L 3-735.1 1074 1382 17.43% 16.28% 66.29%-1.71 -10.4 8
1958-02-02 @ Bohemian W 7-335.1 1382 1074 66.29% 16.28% 17.43%+1.71 +10.4 21
1958-02-02 Limerick W 1-031.3 1343 1105 75.04% 15.94% 9.02%+2.17 +2.4 17
1958-02-02 @ Evergreen United L 0-131.3 1105 1343 9.02% 15.94% 75.04%-2.17 -2.4 9
1958-02-02 Sligo Rovers W 3-141.6 1169 1245 44.97% 16.87% 38.15%-0.07 +14.7 11
1958-02-02 @ Dundalk L 1-341.6 1245 1169 38.15% 16.87% 44.97%+0.07 -14.7 13
1958-02-02 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-147.7 1300 1235 62.13% 16.69% 21.17%+0.94 -13.9 17
1958-02-02 @ Shelbourne W 1-047.7 1235 1300 21.17% 16.69% 62.13%-0.94 +13.9 17
1958-02-02 Cork Hibernians W 4-345.6 1251 1122 67.95% 16.48% 15.57%+1.40 +3.5 15
1958-02-02 @ Waterford L 3-445.6 1122 1251 15.57% 16.48% 67.95%-1.40 -3.5 6
1958-02-09 Dundalk W 3-249.0 1103 1184 44.26% 16.87% 38.87%-0.10 +8.2 11
1958-02-09 @ Limerick L 2-349.0 1184 1103 38.87% 16.87% 44.26%+0.10 -8.2 11
1958-02-22 Cork Hibernians L 1-253.0 1249 1118 68.02% 16.47% 15.51%+1.40 -14.4 17
1958-02-22 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-153.0 1118 1249 15.51% 16.47% 68.02%-1.40 +14.4 8
1958-02-23 Shamrock Rovers L 1-249.5 1346 1399 48.08% 16.87% 35.05%+0.09 -10.3 17
1958-02-23 @ Evergreen United W 2-149.5 1399 1346 35.05% 16.87% 48.08%-0.09 +10.3 20
1958-02-23 Drumconda L 0-137.1 1176 1392 26.39% 16.64% 56.97%-1.06 -6.5 11
1958-02-23 @ Dundalk W 1-037.1 1392 1176 56.97% 16.64% 26.39%+1.06 +6.5 23
1958-02-23 Sligo Rovers D 1-154.9 1286 1230 61.17% 16.72% 22.11%+0.87 -2.1 18
1958-02-23 @ Shelbourne D 1-154.9 1230 1286 22.11% 16.72% 61.17%-0.87 +2.1 14
1958-02-23 Bohemian W 2-139.8 1099 1064 59.02% 16.77% 24.21%+0.73 +5.7 6
1958-02-23 @ Transport L 1-239.8 1064 1099 24.21% 16.77% 59.02%-0.73 -5.7 8
1958-02-23 Limerick W 3-134.3 1255 1111 69.06% 16.42% 14.52%+1.50 +6.2 17
1958-02-23 @ Waterford L 1-334.3 1111 1255 14.52% 16.42% 69.06%-1.50 -6.2 11
1958-02-26 Evergreen United D 1-156.8 1398 1335 61.94% 16.70% 21.36%+0.92 -2.2 24
1958-02-26 @ Drumconda D 1-156.8 1335 1398 21.36% 16.70% 61.94%-0.92 +2.2 18
1958-02-26 Bohemian W 6-023.0 1409 1058 79.86% 15.17% 4.97%+2.97 +7.0 22
1958-02-26 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-623.0 1058 1409 4.97% 15.17% 79.86%-2.97 -7.0 8
1958-03-01 Evergreen United W 2-151.9 1051 1337 19.25% 16.38% 64.37%-1.56 +13.6 10
1958-03-01 @ Bohemian L 1-251.9 1337 1051 64.37% 16.38% 19.25%+1.56 -13.6 18
1958-03-02 Transport L 0-146.0 1132 1105 58.14% 16.78% 25.08%+0.67 -13.1 8
1958-03-02 @ Cork Hibernians W 1-046.0 1105 1132 25.08% 16.78% 58.14%-0.67 +13.0 8
1958-03-02 Waterford W 1-034.4 1396 1261 68.38% 16.46% 15.16%+1.43 +4.0 26
1958-03-02 @ Drumconda L 0-134.4 1261 1396 15.16% 16.46% 68.38%-1.43 -4.0 17
1958-03-02 Shelbourne D 3-363.5 1105 1284 30.84% 16.74% 52.42%-0.80 +0.7 12
1958-03-02 @ Limerick D 3-363.5 1284 1105 52.42% 16.74% 30.84%+0.80 -0.7 19
1958-03-02 Dundalk L 0-151.7 1416 1169 75.52% 15.88% 8.60%+2.23 -17.0 22
1958-03-02 @ Shamrock Rovers W 1-051.7 1169 1416 8.60% 15.88% 75.52%-2.23 +17.0 13
1958-03-02 St Patrick's Athletic D 2-259.3 1232 1234 54.69% 16.83% 28.48%+0.46 -1.0 15
1958-03-02 @ Sligo Rovers D 2-259.3 1234 1232 28.48% 16.83% 54.69%-0.46 +1.0 18
1958-03-09 Bohemian D 3-363.4 1119 1064 61.09% 16.72% 22.19%+0.86 -1.3 9
1958-03-09 @ Cork Hibernians D 3-363.4 1064 1119 22.19% 16.72% 61.09%-0.86 +1.3 11
1958-03-15 Waterford D 1-154.6 1066 1257 29.33% 16.71% 53.95%-0.89 +1.3 12
1958-03-15 @ Bohemian D 1-154.6 1257 1066 53.95% 16.71% 29.33%+0.89 -1.3 18
1958-03-16 Dundalk W 4-239.1 1324 1186 68.58% 16.44% 14.97%+1.45 +5.7 20
1958-03-16 @ Evergreen United L 2-439.1 1186 1324 14.97% 16.44% 68.58%-1.45 -5.7 13
1958-03-16 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-137.5 1400 1235 70.59% 16.33% 13.09%+1.65 +3.3 28
1958-03-16 @ Drumconda L 1-237.5 1235 1400 13.09% 16.33% 70.59%-1.65 -3.2 18
1958-03-16 Cork Hibernians W 5-240.0 1105 1118 53.36% 16.85% 29.80%+0.38 +14.6 14
1958-03-16 @ Limerick L 2-540.0 1118 1105 29.80% 16.85% 53.36%-0.38 -14.6 9
1958-03-16 Shelbourne W 1-035.1 1399 1283 66.83% 16.53% 16.64%+1.30 +4.3 24
1958-03-16 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-135.1 1283 1399 16.64% 16.53% 66.83%-1.30 -4.3 19
1958-03-16 Transport L 0-641.7 1231 1118 66.60% 16.54% 16.86%+1.28 -78.3 15
1958-03-16 @ Sligo Rovers W 6-041.7 1118 1231 16.86% 16.54% 66.60%-1.28 +78.3 10
1958-03-22 Bohemian L 0-150.5 1279 1067 73.59% 16.09% 10.32%+1.98 -16.6 19
1958-03-22 @ Shelbourne W 1-050.5 1067 1279 10.32% 16.09% 73.59%-1.98 +16.6 14
1958-03-23 Drumconda W 3-257.2 1104 1403 18.07% 16.32% 65.62%-1.66 +13.1 11
1958-03-23 @ Cork Hibernians L 2-357.2 1403 1104 65.62% 16.32% 18.07%+1.66 -13.1 28
1958-03-23 Limerick L 0-243.1 1153 1120 58.75% 16.77% 24.47%+0.71 -24.9 15
1958-03-23 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-043.1 1120 1153 24.47% 16.77% 58.75%-0.71 +24.9 16
1958-03-23 Shamrock Rovers W 3-039.4 1232 1404 31.81% 16.76% 51.43%-0.75 +31.8 20
1958-03-23 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-339.4 1404 1232 51.43% 16.76% 31.81%+0.75 -31.8 24
1958-03-23 Dundalk D 1-154.6 1196 1180 56.81% 16.80% 26.39%+0.59 -1.6 11
1958-03-23 @ Transport D 1-154.6 1180 1196 26.39% 16.80% 56.81%-0.59 +1.6 14
1958-03-23 Evergreen United D 1-155.2 1256 1330 45.28% 16.88% 37.84%-0.05 -0.4 19
1958-03-23 @ Waterford D 1-155.2 1330 1256 37.84% 16.88% 45.28%+0.05 +0.4 21
1958-03-26 Evergreen United L 0-236.9 1195 1330 36.60% 16.83% 46.57%-0.49 -16.4 11
1958-03-26 @ Transport W 2-036.9 1330 1195 46.57% 16.83% 36.60%+0.49 +16.4 23
1958-03-28 Sligo Rovers W 5-023.8 1390 1128 76.26% 15.79% 7.96%+2.34 +9.4 30
1958-03-28 @ Drumconda L 0-523.8 1128 1390 7.96% 15.79% 76.26%-2.34 -9.4 15
1958-03-30 Transport W 1-038.4 1145 1178 50.72% 16.86% 32.42%+0.24 +7.8 18
1958-03-30 @ Limerick L 0-138.4 1178 1145 32.42% 16.86% 50.72%-0.24 -7.8 11
1958-03-30 Waterford L 1-536.8 1119 1255 36.40% 16.82% 46.77%-0.50 -25.8 15
1958-03-30 @ Sligo Rovers W 5-136.8 1255 1119 46.77% 16.82% 36.40%+0.50 +25.8 21
1958-04-02 Limerick W 3-028.0 1264 1153 66.42% 16.55% 17.04%+1.26 +12.1 22
1958-04-02 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-328.0 1153 1264 17.04% 16.55% 66.42%-1.26 -12.1 18
1958-04-05 Dundalk W 5-237.2 1262 1182 63.62% 16.65% 19.73%+1.04 +10.1 21
1958-04-05 @ Shelbourne L 2-537.2 1182 1262 19.73% 16.65% 63.62%-1.04 -10.1 14
1958-04-06 Shamrock Rovers L 0-231.6 1093 1372 19.96% 16.41% 63.63%-1.51 -9.6 15
1958-04-06 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-031.6 1372 1093 63.63% 16.41% 19.96%+1.51 +9.6 26
1958-04-06 Evergreen United L 0-337.6 1276 1346 45.75% 16.88% 37.37%-0.03 -28.7 22
1958-04-06 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 3-037.6 1346 1276 37.37% 16.88% 45.75%+0.03 +28.7 25
1958-04-06 Waterford W 3-250.5 1170 1281 40.01% 16.86% 43.13%-0.31 +8.9 13
1958-04-06 @ Transport L 2-350.5 1281 1170 43.13% 16.86% 40.01%+0.31 -8.9 21
1958-04-07 Shelbourne L 2-444.6 1117 1272 33.86% 16.79% 49.35%-0.63 -11.9 11
1958-04-07 @ Cork Hibernians W 4-244.6 1272 1117 49.35% 16.79% 33.86%+0.63 +11.9 23
1958-04-07 Bohemian W 3-242.9 1172 1084 64.36% 16.63% 19.02%+1.10 +4.4 16
1958-04-07 @ Dundalk L 2-342.9 1084 1172 19.02% 16.63% 64.36%-1.10 -4.4 14
1958-04-09 Sligo Rovers W 3-137.7 1105 1083 57.44% 16.79% 25.76%+0.63 +10.5 13
1958-04-09 @ Cork Hibernians L 1-337.7 1083 1105 25.76% 16.79% 57.44%-0.63 -10.5 15
1958-04-10 Shamrock Rovers L 1-246.0 1272 1381 40.28% 16.86% 42.87%-0.30 -8.9 21
1958-04-10 @ Waterford W 2-146.0 1381 1272 42.87% 16.86% 40.28%+0.30 +8.9 28
1958-04-12 Transport L 0-151.3 1400 1179 74.09% 16.04% 9.87%+2.04 -16.7 30
1958-04-12 @ Drumconda W 1-051.3 1179 1400 9.87% 16.04% 74.09%-2.04 +16.7 15
1958-04-13 Sligo Rovers W 6-133.0 1079 1073 55.69% 16.82% 27.49%+0.52 +24.8 16
1958-04-13 @ Bohemian L 1-633.0 1073 1079 27.49% 16.82% 55.69%-0.52 -24.8 15
1958-04-13 Cork Hibernians W 2-135.1 1375 1115 76.14% 15.81% 8.06%+2.32 +2.0 27
1958-04-13 @ Evergreen United L 1-235.1 1115 1375 8.06% 15.81% 76.14%-2.32 -2.0 13
1958-04-13 St Patrick's Athletic D 3-363.5 1176 1247 45.64% 16.88% 37.48%-0.03 -0.2 17
1958-04-13 @ Dundalk D 3-363.5 1247 1176 37.48% 16.88% 45.64%+0.03 +0.3 23
1958-04-13 Limerick W 2-028.2 1390 1141 75.64% 15.87% 8.49%+2.25 +4.3 30
1958-04-13 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-228.2 1141 1390 8.49% 15.87% 75.64%-2.25 -4.3 18
1958-04-13 Shelbourne L 0-144.9 1263 1284 52.35% 16.85% 30.80%+0.33 -11.8 21
1958-04-13 @ Waterford W 1-044.9 1284 1263 30.80% 16.85% 52.35%-0.33 +11.8 25
1958-04-16 Cork Hibernians D 1-155.2 1394 1113 77.13% 15.67% 7.20%+2.47 -4.0 31
1958-04-16 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-155.2 1113 1394 7.20% 15.67% 77.13%-2.47 +4.0 14
1958-04-16 Drumconda L 0-143.2 1296 1383 43.40% 16.87% 39.72%-0.15 -10.0 25
1958-04-16 @ Shelbourne W 1-043.2 1383 1296 39.72% 16.87% 43.40%+0.15 +10.0 32
1958-04-19 Shelbourne W 3-029.8 1377 1286 64.62% 16.62% 18.76%+1.12 +13.2 29
1958-04-19 @ Evergreen United L 0-329.8 1286 1377 18.76% 16.62% 64.62%-1.12 -13.2 25
1958-04-19 St Patrick's Athletic D 2-259.3 1196 1248 48.33% 16.87% 34.80%+0.11 -0.5 16
1958-04-19 @ Transport D 2-259.3 1248 1196 34.80% 16.87% 48.33%-0.11 +0.5 24
1958-04-20 Drumconda D 1-155.1 1136 1393 22.06% 16.50% 61.44%-1.35 +2.1 19
1958-04-20 @ Limerick D 1-155.1 1393 1136 61.44% 16.50% 22.06%+1.35 -2.1 33
1958-04-21 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-236.1 1104 1248 35.42% 16.81% 47.76%-0.55 -15.9 16
1958-04-21 @ Bohemian W 2-036.1 1248 1104 47.76% 16.81% 35.42%+0.55 +15.9 26
1958-04-24 Waterford L 1-246.3 1176 1252 45.00% 16.87% 38.13%-0.06 -9.8 17
1958-04-24 @ Dundalk W 2-146.3 1252 1176 38.13% 16.87% 45.00%+0.06 +9.7 23

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1958-03-02 8.60% Dundalk 1169 1 @ Shamrock Rovers 1416 0
2 1958-04-12 9.87% Transport 1179 1 @ Drumconda 1400 0
3 1958-03-22 10.32% Bohemian 1067 1 @ Shelbourne 1279 0
4 1957-12-22 13.18% Bohemian 1097 2 @ Waterford 1261 1
5 1957-12-29 14.05% St Patrick's Athletic 1237 2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1387 1
6 1958-02-22 15.51% Cork Hibernians 1118 2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1249 1
7 1957-11-24 16.35% Limerick 1087 3 @ Dundalk 1207 1
8 1958-03-16 16.86% Transport 1118 6 @ Sligo Rovers 1231 0
9 1958-03-23 18.07% @ Cork Hibernians 1104 3 Drumconda 1403 2
10 1958-01-19 19.07% Dundalk 1155 2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1242 0
11 1958-03-01 19.25% @ Bohemian 1051 2 Evergreen United 1337 1
12 1958-02-02 21.17% St Patrick's Athletic 1235 1 @ Shelbourne 1300 0
13 1958-01-05 23.62% @ Cork Hibernians 1131 2 Shamrock Rovers 1373 1
14 1958-01-19 24.06% Waterford 1259 3 @ Shelbourne 1296 2
15 1957-12-08 24.11% @ Dundalk 1171 1 Shamrock Rovers 1408 0
16 1958-03-23 24.47% Limerick 1120 2 @ Sligo Rovers 1153 0
17 1958-03-02 25.08% Transport 1105 1 @ Cork Hibernians 1132 0
18 1957-11-24 25.49% Drumconda 1300 2 @ Evergreen United 1324 1
19 1958-01-26 26.68% Shamrock Rovers 1380 2 @ Drumconda 1393 1
20 1957-12-29 30.27% @ Limerick 1083 2 Sligo Rovers 1267 0
21 1958-04-13 30.80% Shelbourne 1284 1 @ Waterford 1263 0
22 1957-12-22 31.61% @ Shelbourne 1225 2 Shamrock Rovers 1398 1
23 1958-03-23 31.81% @ St Patrick's Athletic 1232 3 Shamrock Rovers 1404 0
24 1957-12-08 32.91% Drumconda 1323 2 @ Waterford 1286 0
25 1957-12-01 34.67% St Patrick's Athletic 1223 5 @ Cork Hibernians 1173 3

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1958-03-16 78.28 Transport 6 1118 16.86% @ Sligo Rovers 0 1231 66.60% 16.54%
2 1957-11-23 31.90 @ St Patrick's Athletic 5 1191 53.62% Transport 0 1202 29.54% 16.84%
3 1958-03-23 31.84 @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1232 31.81% Shamrock Rovers 0 1404 51.43% 16.76%
4 1957-11-17 31.75 @ St Patrick's Athletic 4 1159 45.59% Shelbourne 0 1231 37.54% 16.88%
5 1957-11-10 29.89 @ Dundalk 8 1186 48.18% Cork Hibernians 2 1239 34.94% 16.87%
6 1958-04-06 28.71 Evergreen United 3 1346 37.37% @ St Patrick's Athletic 0 1276 45.75% 16.88%
7 1958-01-19 27.20 Dundalk 2 1155 19.07% @ St Patrick's Athletic 0 1242 64.30% 16.63%
8 1958-03-30 25.77 Waterford 5 1255 46.77% @ Sligo Rovers 1 1119 36.40% 16.82%
9 1958-03-23 24.88 Limerick 2 1120 24.47% @ Sligo Rovers 0 1153 58.75% 16.77%
10 1958-04-13 24.81 @ Bohemian 6 1079 55.69% Sligo Rovers 1 1073 27.49% 16.82%
11 1957-12-29 24.64 Shelbourne 3 1236 44.99% @ Bohemian 0 1112 38.17% 16.84%
12 1957-11-24 24.61 Limerick 3 1087 16.35% @ Dundalk 1 1207 67.13% 16.52%
13 1957-12-29 22.54 @ Limerick 2 1083 30.27% Sligo Rovers 0 1267 53.00% 16.73%
14 1957-12-08 21.48 Drumconda 2 1323 32.91% @ Waterford 0 1286 50.22% 16.87%
15 1958-01-19 21.10 Evergreen United 7 1332 55.25% @ Cork Hibernians 2 1130 28.07% 16.68%
16 1958-01-25 19.49 @ St Patrick's Athletic 4 1215 47.78% Waterford 1 1271 35.35% 16.87%
17 1957-11-24 18.49 @ Shelbourne 3 1199 55.89% Cork Hibernians 0 1191 27.29% 16.82%
18 1958-01-12 17.96 Shelbourne 2 1278 42.31% @ Dundalk 0 1173 40.83% 16.86%
19 1957-11-17 17.89 Waterford 3 1262 35.03% @ Cork Hibernians 1 1209 48.10% 16.87%
20 1958-01-12 17.72 @ Waterford 4 1241 64.08% Transport 0 1156 19.28% 16.64%
21 1958-03-02 17.02 Dundalk 1 1169 8.60% @ Shamrock Rovers 0 1416 75.52% 15.88%
22 1958-01-05 16.92 @ Shelbourne 2 1261 45.09% Evergreen United 0 1336 38.03% 16.87%
23 1958-04-12 16.69 Transport 1 1179 9.87% @ Drumconda 0 1400 74.09% 16.04%
24 1957-11-10 16.68 @ Evergreen United 5 1308 61.20% Sligo Rovers 1 1252 22.08% 16.72%
25 1958-03-22 16.57 Bohemian 1 1067 10.32% @ Shelbourne 0 1279 73.59% 16.09%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1958-03-02 63.5 @ Limerick 3 1105 30.84% Shelbourne 3 1284 52.42% 16.74%
2 1958-04-13 63.5 @ Dundalk 3 1176 45.64% St Patrick's Athletic 3 1247 37.48% 16.88%
3 1958-03-09 63.4 @ Cork Hibernians 3 1119 61.09% Bohemian 3 1064 22.19% 16.72%
4 1957-12-22 59.8 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1237 39.82% Drumconda 2 1349 43.33% 16.85%
5 1957-11-24 59.5 @ Waterford 2 1280 58.94% Sligo Rovers 2 1245 24.29% 16.77%
6 1957-12-06 59.4 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1238 54.12% Sligo Rovers 2 1245 29.04% 16.84%
7 1957-11-17 59.3 @ Limerick 2 1086 23.84% Evergreen United 2 1325 59.59% 16.57%
8 1958-03-02 59.3 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1232 54.69% St Patrick's Athletic 2 1234 28.48% 16.83%
9 1958-04-19 59.3 @ Transport 2 1196 48.33% St Patrick's Athletic 2 1248 34.80% 16.87%
10 1958-01-05 59.1 @ Transport 2 1157 60.73% Limerick 2 1106 22.54% 16.73%
11 1957-11-30 59.0 @ Bohemian 2 1102 46.12% Transport 2 1170 37.00% 16.88%
12 1957-12-14 59.0 @ Bohemian 2 1098 43.46% Dundalk 2 1184 39.67% 16.87%
13 1958-03-23 57.2 @ Cork Hibernians 3 1104 18.07% Drumconda 2 1403 65.62% 16.32%
14 1958-02-26 56.8 @ Drumconda 1 1398 61.94% Evergreen United 1 1335 21.36% 16.70%
15 1958-01-19 55.6 Waterford 3 1259 24.06% @ Shelbourne 2 1296 59.17% 16.76%
16 1958-03-23 55.2 @ Waterford 1 1256 45.28% Evergreen United 1 1330 37.84% 16.88%
17 1958-04-16 55.2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1394 77.13% Cork Hibernians 1 1113 7.20% 15.67%
18 1958-04-20 55.1 @ Limerick 1 1136 22.06% Drumconda 1 1393 61.44% 16.50%
19 1958-02-23 54.9 @ Shelbourne 1 1286 61.17% Sligo Rovers 1 1230 22.11% 16.72%
20 1957-12-01 54.8 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1247 58.30% Shelbourne 1 1218 24.92% 16.78%
21 1958-03-15 54.6 @ Bohemian 1 1066 29.33% Waterford 1 1257 53.95% 16.71%
22 1958-03-23 54.6 @ Transport 1 1196 56.81% Dundalk 1 1180 26.39% 16.80%
23 1957-12-29 54.4 St Patrick's Athletic 2 1237 14.05% @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1387 69.56% 16.39%
24 1957-12-22 54.2 Sligo Rovers 4 1258 39.51% @ Transport 3 1173 43.62% 16.87%
25 1957-12-22 53.7 Bohemian 2 1097 13.18% @ Waterford 1 1261 70.48% 16.33%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1958-02-26 23.0 @ Shamrock Rovers 6 1409 79.86% Bohemian 0 1058 4.97% 15.17%
2 1958-01-12 23.8 @ Drumconda 4 1369 76.24% Limerick 0 1108 7.97% 15.79%
3 1958-03-28 23.8 @ Drumconda 5 1390 76.26% Sligo Rovers 0 1128 7.96% 15.79%
4 1957-12-29 24.6 @ Drumconda 5 1349 73.20% Cork Hibernians 0 1144 10.68% 16.12%
5 1958-01-12 27.3 @ Waterford 4 1241 64.08% Transport 0 1156 19.28% 16.64%
6 1958-01-19 27.5 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1224 67.63% Bohemian 0 1098 15.87% 16.49%
7 1957-12-01 27.7 @ Drumconda 3 1312 67.97% Dundalk 0 1182 15.55% 16.48%
8 1958-02-01 28.0 @ Shamrock Rovers 8 1392 77.35% Transport 2 1106 7.02% 15.63%
9 1958-04-02 28.0 @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1264 66.42% Limerick 0 1153 17.04% 16.55%
10 1957-12-15 28.2 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1246 65.52% Cork Hibernians 0 1145 17.89% 16.58%
11 1958-04-13 28.2 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1390 75.64% Limerick 0 1141 8.49% 15.87%
12 1957-12-29 29.5 @ Evergreen United 3 1322 63.20% Waterford 0 1246 20.14% 16.66%
13 1958-04-19 29.8 @ Evergreen United 3 1377 64.62% Shelbourne 0 1286 18.76% 16.62%
14 1957-11-23 30.2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 5 1191 53.62% Transport 0 1202 29.54% 16.84%
15 1958-01-19 30.3 Drumconda 3 1377 59.51% @ Transport 0 1138 23.92% 16.57%
16 1957-11-10 31.1 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1365 60.80% Drumconda 0 1313 22.47% 16.73%
17 1957-11-24 31.1 @ Shelbourne 3 1199 55.89% Cork Hibernians 0 1191 27.29% 16.82%
18 1958-01-12 31.3 @ Shamrock Rovers 5 1360 67.45% Sligo Rovers 1 1236 16.05% 16.50%
19 1958-02-02 31.3 @ Evergreen United 1 1343 75.04% Limerick 0 1105 9.02% 15.94%
20 1958-04-06 31.6 Shamrock Rovers 2 1372 63.63% @ Sligo Rovers 0 1093 19.96% 16.41%
21 1957-12-08 32.5 @ Shelbourne 4 1219 66.75% Limerick 1 1104 16.71% 16.53%
22 1958-01-05 32.5 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1251 70.50% Bohemian 0 1088 13.16% 16.33%
23 1957-12-15 32.6 @ Evergreen United 4 1303 67.20% Transport 1 1183 16.29% 16.51%
24 1957-12-22 32.6 @ Cork Hibernians 2 1132 59.21% Limerick 0 1095 24.02% 16.76%
25 1957-11-17 32.8 @ St Patrick's Athletic 4 1159 45.59% Shelbourne 0 1231 37.54% 16.88%