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1958-59 League of Ireland Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Shamrock Rovers

34 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Limerick

5.73 points above expected

27 points · 21.27 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

St Patrick's Athletic

4.43 points below expected

18 points · 22.43 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Shamrock Rovers 22 15 4 3 34 58 29 +29 29.73 +4.27
2 Waterford 22 14 1 7 29 58 36 +22 25.63 +3.37
3 Evergreen United 22 13 3 6 29 49 27 +22 28.14 +0.86
4 Limerick 22 11 5 6 27 48 31 +17 21.27 +5.73
5 Drumconda 22 11 4 7 26 30 26 +4 26.22 -0.22
6 Shelbourne 22 7 8 7 22 35 33 +2 21.68 +0.32
7 Transport 22 8 3 11 19 30 37 -7 21.08 -2.08
8 St Patrick's Athletic 22 9 0 13 18 45 59 -14 22.43 -4.43
9 Cork Hibernians 22 5 5 12 15 29 43 -14 18.16 -3.16
10 Sligo Rovers 22 6 3 13 15 34 51 -17 15.90 -0.90
11 Dundalk 22 6 3 13 15 34 53 -19 19.00 -4.00
12 Bohemian 22 6 3 13 15 25 50 -25 14.76 +0.24

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Limerick 27 21.27 +5.73
2 Shamrock Rovers 34 29.73 +4.27
3 Waterford 29 25.63 +3.37
4 Evergreen United 29 28.14 +0.86
5 Shelbourne 22 21.68 +0.32

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 St Patrick's Athletic 18 22.43 -4.43
2 Dundalk 15 19.00 -4.00
3 Cork Hibernians 15 18.16 -3.16
4 Transport 19 21.08 -2.08
5 Sligo Rovers 15 15.90 -0.90

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sligo Rovers 3 Nov 30 – Dec 14 1 in 103
2 Limerick 5 Dec 21 – Jan 18 1 in 95
3 Shamrock Rovers 7 Nov 23 – Jan 4 1 in 84
4 Waterford 5 Jan 11 – Feb 1 1 in 34
5 St Patrick's Athletic 4 Dec 7 – Dec 27 1 in 32

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bohemian 9 Nov 30 – Jan 31 1 in 98
2 Sligo Rovers 6 Mar 15 – Apr 12 1 in 59
3 Cork Hibernians 6 Mar 1 – Apr 12 1 in 37
4 St Patrick's Athletic 4 Jan 4 – Jan 25 1 in 24
5 Drumconda 2 Mar 22 – Apr 1 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Limerick 9 Dec 14 – Feb 8 1 in 227
2 Sligo Rovers 4 Nov 23 – Dec 14 1 in 47
3 Shamrock Rovers 9 Nov 9 – Jan 4 1 in 24
4 Bohemian 4 Apr 5 – Apr 15 1 in 20
5 Shelbourne 5 Feb 21 – Mar 22 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shelbourne 7 Nov 16 – Dec 28 1 in 101
2 Transport 7 Dec 13 – Jan 25 1 in 26
3 Sligo Rovers 7 Mar 8 – Apr 12 1 in 16
4 Cork Hibernians 8 Mar 1 – Apr 19 1 in 14
5 Bohemian 9 Nov 30 – Jan 31 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Shamrock Rovers 1318 34 +18 8 7.1 +0.9
Evergreen United 1301 29 +10 7 6.4 +0.6
Waterford 1244 29 -12 5 6.2 -1.2
Limerick 1188 27 -2 5 5.9 -0.9
Drumconda 1243 26 -11 5 6.3 -1.3
Shelbourne 1196 22 +22 7 4.2 +2.8
Transport 1109 19 -14 6 4.4 +1.6
St Patrick's Athletic 1143 18 +8 4 4.7 -0.7
Bohemian 1050 15 +10 6 3.6 +2.4
Dundalk 1086 15 -2 4 3.8 +0.2
Cork Hibernians 1061 15 -18 1 3.5 -2.5
Sligo Rovers 1043 15 -25 0 4.0 -4.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOH CH DRU DUN EU LIM SR SHE SR SPA TRA WAT
Bohemian —
1-0-1
2.52
0-0-2
1.45
0-1-1
2.41
0-0-2
1.36
0-1-1
1.94
0-1-1
1.12
2-0-0
1.86
2-0-0
2.72
0-0-2
1.96
1-0-1
2.10
0-0-2
1.68
Cork Hibernians
1-0-1
3.15
—
0-0-2
1.74
2-0-0
2.73
1-0-1
1.48
0-1-1
2.29
0-1-1
1.29
0-2-0
2.22
1-0-1
3.23
0-0-2
2.43
0-1-1
2.41
0-0-2
1.95
Drumconda
2-0-0
4.22
2-0-0
3.93
—
2-0-0
3.79
1-0-1
2.72
2-0-0
3.54
0-0-2
2.53
0-1-1
3.54
0-2-0
4.27
1-0-1
3.55
1-0-1
3.61
0-1-1
2.81
Dundalk
1-1-0
3.25
0-0-2
2.93
0-0-2
1.87
—
0-1-1
1.79
1-0-1
2.34
0-0-2
1.47
0-1-1
2.48
2-0-0
3.08
1-0-1
2.31
1-0-1
2.56
0-0-2
2.07
Evergreen United
2-0-0
4.32
1-0-1
4.20
1-0-1
2.94
1-1-0
3.88
—
1-0-1
3.80
1-0-1
2.59
1-1-0
3.68
0-0-2
4.30
2-0-0
3.54
1-1-0
3.88
2-0-0
3.17
Limerick
1-1-0
3.73
1-1-0
3.37
0-0-2
2.13
1-0-1
3.32
1-0-1
1.87
—
0-2-0
1.77
0-1-1
2.52
2-0-0
3.26
2-0-0
2.73
1-0-1
2.88
2-0-0
2.20
Shamrock Rovers
1-1-0
4.57
1-1-0
4.39
2-0-0
3.13
2-0-0
4.21
1-0-1
3.08
0-2-0
3.90
—
1-0-1
3.84
2-0-0
4.39
2-0-0
3.60
2-0-0
3.87
1-0-1
3.47
Shelbourne
0-0-2
3.81
0-2-0
3.45
1-1-0
2.12
1-1-0
3.19
0-1-1
1.99
1-1-0
3.15
1-0-1
1.83
—
0-1-1
3.54
2-0-0
2.63
0-1-1
3.15
1-0-1
2.30
Sligo Rovers
0-0-2
2.95
1-0-1
2.43
0-2-0
1.41
0-0-2
2.59
2-0-0
1.38
0-0-2
2.40
0-0-2
1.29
1-1-0
2.12
—
2-0-0
1.98
0-0-2
2.23
0-0-2
1.55
St Patrick's Athletic
2-0-0
3.71
2-0-0
3.23
1-0-1
2.11
1-0-1
3.36
0-0-2
2.13
0-0-2
2.93
0-0-2
2.07
0-0-2
3.04
0-0-2
3.69
—
2-0-0
2.77
1-0-1
2.40
Transport
1-0-1
3.56
1-1-0
3.25
1-0-1
2.06
1-0-1
3.10
0-1-1
1.79
1-0-1
2.78
0-0-2
1.80
1-1-0
2.51
2-0-0
3.43
0-0-2
2.89
—
0-0-2
2.30
Waterford
2-0-0
3.99
2-0-0
3.71
1-1-0
2.85
2-0-0
3.59
0-0-2
2.50
0-0-2
3.46
1-0-1
2.20
1-0-1
3.37
2-0-0
4.13
1-0-1
3.26
2-0-0
3.37
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.63 +4.7
Allowed 0.65 -4.8
Differential 0.96 +3.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.30%6.44%4.55%4.17%0.76%1.14%22.35%
16.44%5.30%4.92%5.30%3.41%2.27%27.65%
24.55%4.92%3.03%4.55%1.52%1.14%19.70%
34.17%5.30%4.55%2.27%0.76%0.76%17.80%
40.76%3.41%1.52%0.76%——6.44%
5+1.14%2.27%1.14%0.76%—0.76%6.06%
Total22.35%27.65%19.70%17.80%6.44%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.80 1.80 +0.00
SD 1.54 1.54 2.24
CV 0.86 0.86 —
Max 8 8 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
19.09%4.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%40.91%
2—9.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%27.27%18.18%27.27%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 2.27 -1.14
SD 0.94 1.93 2.05
CV 0.83 0.85 —
Max 3 8 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%4.55%—4.55%—27.27%
19.09%4.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%40.91%
2—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
3——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total13.64%27.27%27.27%18.18%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.95 -0.64
SD 1.39 1.36 1.94
CV 1.06 0.70 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
113.64%9.09%————22.73%
29.09%9.09%—4.55%4.55%—27.27%
34.55%—9.09%———13.64%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total36.36%27.27%22.73%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.18 +0.18
SD 1.22 1.18 1.56
CV 0.89 1.00 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%22.73%
14.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%36.36%
2———9.09%——9.09%
34.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%27.27%13.64%27.27%13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 2.41 -0.86
SD 1.26 1.59 2.29
CV 0.82 0.66 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—18.18%————18.18%
14.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
29.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
34.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total18.18%50.00%22.73%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 1.23 +1.00
SD 1.80 0.87 1.77
CV 0.81 0.71 —
Max 8 3 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—————9.09%
14.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
2——4.55%4.55%4.55%—13.64%
313.64%9.09%9.09%———31.82%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total31.82%22.73%27.27%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 1.41 +0.77
SD 1.47 1.30 2.07
CV 0.67 0.92 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%———13.64%
19.09%9.09%————18.18%
2———————
313.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
4—22.73%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
5+—————4.55%4.55%
Total27.27%40.91%18.18%9.09%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.64 1.32 +1.32
SD 1.56 1.39 1.67
CV 0.59 1.06 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%9.09%4.55%——4.55%36.36%
1——4.55%—9.09%—13.64%
29.09%9.09%13.64%———31.82%
3———4.55%——4.55%
4———————
5+4.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
Total31.82%22.73%27.27%4.55%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.50 +0.09
SD 1.68 1.47 2.29
CV 1.06 0.98 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%4.55%4.55%—18.18%
14.55%9.09%9.09%9.09%9.09%—40.91%
24.55%——9.09%—4.55%18.18%
34.55%4.55%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
4———————
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total18.18%13.64%18.18%27.27%13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 2.32 -0.77
SD 1.26 1.59 1.97
CV 0.82 0.68 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———9.09%——9.09%
1——4.55%13.64%—13.64%31.82%
213.64%9.09%——4.55%4.55%31.82%
3——9.09%—4.55%4.55%18.18%
4———————
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total18.18%13.64%13.64%22.73%9.09%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 2.68 -0.64
SD 1.56 1.96 2.95
CV 0.76 0.73 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%9.09%13.64%—4.55%45.45%
14.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
24.55%9.09%————13.64%
34.55%——4.55%——9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%——4.55%——9.09%
Total22.73%31.82%13.64%27.27%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.68 -0.32
SD 1.68 1.49 2.50
CV 1.23 0.89 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%———9.09%
113.64%—4.55%4.55%——22.73%
24.55%——13.64%4.55%—22.73%
3—13.64%————13.64%
44.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
5+—9.09%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
Total27.27%27.27%13.64%22.73%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.64 1.64 +1.00
SD 1.81 1.47 2.07
CV 0.69 0.90 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Shamrock Rovers 1318 34 29.73 +4.27 91.0% 18 23 28 30 32 35 37
Evergreen United 1301 29 28.14 +0.86 64.0% 17 22 26 28 31 35 38
Waterford 1244 29 25.63 +3.37 87.0% 16 19 23 26 28 32 36
Drumconda 1243 26 26.22 -0.22 54.0% 16 18 24 26 29 33 35
Shelbourne 1196 22 21.68 +0.32 58.0% 9 16 19 22 24 29 31
Limerick 1188 27 21.27 +5.73 91.0% 11 15 19 21 24 29 30
St Patrick's Athletic 1143 18 22.43 -4.43 24.0% 13 16 19 22 25 29 33
Transport 1109 19 21.08 -2.08 36.0% 13 14 18 21 24 28 29
Dundalk 1086 15 19.00 -4.00 18.0% 8 13 16 19 22 25 28
Cork Hibernians 1061 15 18.16 -3.16 23.0% 9 11 16 18 21 26 27
Bohemian 1050 15 14.76 +0.24 58.0% 5 9 12 15 17 21 23
Sligo Rovers 1043 15 15.90 -0.90 42.0% 5 8 13 16 18 23 25

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+11.36%
Slight Edge
47.73%15.91%36.36%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 39.65 Elo pts.
144 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.34 goals
Neutral
-2+0.28+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.1
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
48%
Shamrock Rovers, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Runaway
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.23 * Some Luck: 3.23 to 4.85 * Lucky: 4.85 to 6.47 * Wild Swing: 6.47 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.48 * Close: 1.48 to 2.22 * Off: 2.22 to 2.96 * Way Off: 2.96 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.08 points
As Expected
04.0410
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.33
Pinpoint
01.854
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
91.00%
Shamrock Rovers
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
18.00%
Dundalk
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 97.54
1.57
Coin-Flip Parity
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
72%
Slight Edge
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
83%
Even
50%87%100%
Close Games
Expected
50%
Few
0%50%100%
Blowouts
Expected
26%
Very Frequent
0%26%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.32
Very Even
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.59
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.77
Near-Lock
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
28%
Very Upset-Prone
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Shaky
0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.57
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.12
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.044
Well Within Noise
00.1330.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Shamrock Rovers48.00%22.00%16.00%7.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%—2.00%———
Waterford12.00%15.00%19.00%16.00%10.00%11.00%5.00%7.00%2.00%3.00%——
Evergreen United26.00%25.00%12.00%17.00%8.00%6.00%4.00%1.00%—1.00%——
Limerick—7.00%10.00%6.00%7.00%11.00%18.00%16.00%10.00%8.00%4.00%3.00%
Drumconda11.00%16.00%18.00%16.00%18.00%4.00%4.00%8.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%—
Shelbourne—4.00%5.00%12.00%18.00%11.00%15.00%11.00%8.00%10.00%5.00%1.00%
Transport1.00%2.00%7.00%7.00%13.00%15.00%7.00%13.00%17.00%10.00%5.00%3.00%
St Patrick's Athletic2.00%7.00%9.00%11.00%11.00%11.00%9.00%13.00%16.00%7.00%3.00%1.00%
Cork Hibernians—1.00%3.00%2.00%6.00%8.00%12.00%7.00%16.00%15.00%18.00%12.00%
Sligo Rovers———2.00%1.00%6.00%5.00%8.00%11.00%18.00%24.00%25.00%
Dundalk—1.00%1.00%4.00%6.00%13.00%14.00%9.00%7.00%20.00%14.00%11.00%
Bohemian—————2.00%6.00%7.00%9.00%6.00%26.00%44.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Bohemian 100%
Cork Hibernians 100%
Drumconda 100%
Dundalk 100%
Evergreen United 100%
Limerick 100%
Shamrock Rovers 100%
Shelbourne 100%
Sligo Rovers 100%
St Patrick's Athletic 100%
Transport 100%
Waterford 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1958-11-06 Bohemian W 2-029.7 1258 1085 68.39% 16.11% 15.50%+1.47 +4.5 2
1958-11-06 @ Drumconda L 0-229.7 1085 1258 15.50% 16.11% 68.39%-1.47 -4.5 0
1958-11-09 Sligo Rovers W 2-141.2 1101 1059 55.17% 16.76% 28.07%+0.57 +3.9 2
1958-11-09 @ Cork Hibernians L 1-241.2 1059 1101 28.07% 16.76% 55.17%-0.57 -3.9 0
1958-11-09 Evergreen United D 1-155.1 1129 1261 31.76% 16.73% 51.51%-0.64 +0.6 1
1958-11-09 @ Dundalk D 1-155.1 1261 1129 51.51% 16.73% 31.76%+0.64 -0.6 1
1958-11-09 Shelbourne L 1-244.4 1113 1193 38.59% 16.85% 44.56%-0.28 -5.1 0
1958-11-09 @ Limerick W 2-144.4 1193 1113 44.56% 16.85% 38.59%+0.28 +5.1 2
1958-11-09 Shamrock Rovers L 3-453.0 1187 1261 39.49% 16.85% 43.66%-0.24 -4.8 0
1958-11-09 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 4-353.0 1261 1187 43.66% 16.85% 39.49%+0.24 +4.8 2
1958-11-09 Waterford L 0-142.2 1146 1186 44.38% 16.88% 38.75%+0.00 -6.1 0
1958-11-09 @ Transport W 1-042.2 1186 1146 38.75% 16.88% 44.38%+0.00 +6.1 2
1958-11-15 Limerick D 1-155.3 1266 1108 67.16% 16.21% 16.63%+1.37 -1.7 3
1958-11-15 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-155.3 1108 1266 16.63% 16.21% 67.16%-1.37 +1.7 1
1958-11-16 St Patrick's Athletic L 2-348.1 1080 1182 35.66% 16.81% 47.54%-0.43 -4.5 0
1958-11-16 @ Bohemian W 3-248.1 1182 1080 47.54% 16.81% 35.66%+0.43 +4.5 2
1958-11-16 Drumconda W 3-248.0 1260 1262 49.57% 16.85% 33.58%+0.26 +4.3 3
1958-11-16 @ Evergreen United L 2-348.0 1262 1260 33.58% 16.85% 49.57%-0.26 -4.3 2
1958-11-16 Cork Hibernians D 2-259.6 1199 1105 61.00% 16.57% 22.43%+0.92 -0.9 3
1958-11-16 @ Shelbourne D 2-259.6 1105 1199 22.43% 16.57% 61.00%-0.92 +0.9 3
1958-11-16 Transport L 3-548.0 1055 1140 37.93% 16.84% 45.23%-0.32 -7.4 0
1958-11-16 @ Sligo Rovers W 5-348.0 1140 1055 45.23% 16.84% 37.93%+0.32 +7.4 2
1958-11-16 Dundalk W 4-348.6 1192 1130 57.54% 16.69% 25.77%+0.71 +3.3 4
1958-11-16 @ Waterford L 3-448.6 1130 1192 25.77% 16.69% 57.54%-0.71 -3.3 1
1958-11-22 Shelbourne W 1-043.8 1076 1198 33.00% 16.76% 50.24%-0.57 +6.8 2
1958-11-22 @ Bohemian L 0-143.8 1198 1076 50.24% 16.76% 33.00%+0.57 -6.8 3
1958-11-23 Dundalk W 1-039.6 1106 1127 47.03% 16.87% 36.10%+0.13 +5.1 5
1958-11-23 @ Cork Hibernians L 0-139.6 1127 1106 36.10% 16.87% 47.03%-0.13 -5.1 1
1958-11-23 Waterford W 3-251.0 1110 1195 37.83% 16.84% 45.33%-0.32 +5.6 3
1958-11-23 @ Limerick L 2-351.0 1195 1110 45.33% 16.84% 37.83%+0.32 -5.6 4
1958-11-23 Drumconda D 1-155.1 1048 1258 22.76% 16.38% 60.86%-1.18 +1.2 1
1958-11-23 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-155.1 1258 1048 60.86% 16.38% 22.76%+1.18 -1.2 3
1958-11-23 Evergreen United L 1-341.7 1187 1265 38.95% 16.85% 44.20%-0.27 -8.9 2
1958-11-23 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 3-141.7 1265 1187 44.20% 16.85% 38.95%+0.27 +8.9 5
1958-11-23 Shamrock Rovers L 0-332.6 1148 1264 33.69% 16.77% 49.54%-0.53 -13.2 2
1958-11-23 @ Transport W 3-032.6 1264 1148 49.54% 16.77% 33.69%+0.53 +13.2 5
1958-11-29 Transport L 0-537.9 1191 1134 56.87% 16.71% 26.41%+0.67 -33.7 3
1958-11-29 @ Shelbourne W 5-037.9 1134 1191 26.41% 16.71% 56.87%-0.67 +33.7 4
1958-11-30 Limerick W 2-137.7 1273 1115 67.19% 16.21% 16.60%+1.37 +2.4 7
1958-11-30 @ Evergreen United L 1-237.7 1115 1273 16.60% 16.21% 67.19%-1.37 -2.4 3
1958-11-30 Bohemian W 1-037.3 1121 1083 54.77% 16.77% 28.47%+0.54 +4.2 3
1958-11-30 @ Dundalk L 0-137.3 1083 1121 28.47% 16.77% 54.77%-0.54 -4.2 2
1958-11-30 Shamrock Rovers L 2-448.6 1257 1277 46.99% 16.87% 36.14%+0.13 -9.4 3
1958-11-30 @ Drumconda W 4-248.6 1277 1257 36.14% 16.87% 46.99%-0.13 +9.4 7
1958-11-30 Sligo Rovers L 3-555.8 1178 1049 64.53% 16.39% 19.08%+1.17 -11.9 2
1958-11-30 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 5-355.8 1049 1178 19.08% 16.39% 64.53%-1.17 +11.9 3
1958-11-30 Cork Hibernians W 5-132.3 1190 1111 59.41% 16.63% 23.96%+0.82 +10.7 6
1958-11-30 @ Waterford L 1-532.3 1111 1190 23.96% 16.63% 59.41%-0.82 -10.7 5
1958-12-06 Limerick W 3-242.9 1247 1113 65.06% 16.35% 18.59%+1.21 +2.5 5
1958-12-06 @ Drumconda L 2-342.9 1113 1247 18.59% 16.35% 65.06%-1.21 -2.5 3
1958-12-07 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-237.5 1100 1166 40.71% 16.86% 42.43%-0.18 -10.7 5
1958-12-07 @ Cork Hibernians W 2-037.5 1166 1100 42.43% 16.86% 40.71%+0.18 +10.7 4
1958-12-07 Shelbourne D 3-363.7 1126 1157 45.52% 16.87% 37.61%+0.06 -0.2 4
1958-12-07 @ Dundalk D 3-363.7 1157 1126 37.61% 16.87% 45.52%-0.06 +0.1 4
1958-12-07 Waterford W 3-244.6 1287 1201 60.21% 16.60% 23.19%+0.87 +3.1 9
1958-12-07 @ Shamrock Rovers L 2-344.6 1201 1287 23.19% 16.60% 60.21%-0.87 -3.1 6
1958-12-07 Evergreen United W 3-255.7 1061 1276 22.26% 16.35% 61.40%-1.22 +7.3 5
1958-12-07 @ Sligo Rovers L 2-355.7 1276 1061 61.40% 16.35% 22.26%+1.22 -7.3 7
1958-12-07 Bohemian W 3-029.1 1168 1078 60.58% 16.59% 22.84%+0.90 +9.4 6
1958-12-07 @ Transport L 0-329.1 1078 1168 22.84% 16.59% 60.58%-0.90 -9.4 2
1958-12-13 Transport W 2-142.9 1177 1177 49.69% 16.85% 33.46%+0.27 +4.5 6
1958-12-13 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-242.9 1177 1177 33.46% 16.85% 49.69%-0.27 -4.5 6
1958-12-14 Waterford L 1-339.4 1069 1198 32.15% 16.74% 51.12%-0.62 -7.6 2
1958-12-14 @ Bohemian W 3-139.4 1198 1069 51.12% 16.74% 32.15%+0.62 +7.6 8
1958-12-14 Shamrock Rovers L 0-143.5 1269 1290 46.92% 16.87% 36.21%+0.13 -6.4 7
1958-12-14 @ Evergreen United W 1-043.5 1290 1269 36.21% 16.87% 46.92%-0.13 +6.4 11
1958-12-14 Drumconda L 2-347.3 1125 1250 32.70% 16.75% 50.55%-0.59 -4.2 4
1958-12-14 @ Dundalk W 3-247.3 1250 1125 50.55% 16.75% 32.70%+0.59 +4.2 7
1958-12-14 Cork Hibernians D 0-051.7 1110 1090 52.47% 16.81% 30.72%+0.42 -0.8 4
1958-12-14 @ Limerick D 0-051.7 1090 1110 30.72% 16.81% 52.47%-0.42 +0.8 6
1958-12-14 Sligo Rovers L 0-243.3 1157 1068 60.54% 16.59% 22.87%+0.89 -15.3 4
1958-12-14 @ Shelbourne W 2-043.3 1068 1157 22.87% 16.59% 60.54%-0.89 +15.3 7
1958-12-20 Dundalk W 4-131.5 1296 1121 68.59% 16.09% 15.32%+1.49 +5.5 13
1958-12-20 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-431.5 1121 1296 15.32% 16.09% 68.59%-1.49 -5.5 4
1958-12-21 Evergreen United L 1-336.8 1061 1262 23.73% 16.43% 59.84%-1.12 -5.8 2
1958-12-21 @ Bohemian W 3-136.8 1262 1061 59.84% 16.43% 23.73%+1.12 +5.8 9
1958-12-21 Transport D 1-155.0 1090 1173 38.31% 16.84% 44.85%-0.30 +0.2 7
1958-12-21 @ Cork Hibernians D 1-155.0 1173 1090 44.85% 16.84% 38.31%+0.30 -0.2 7
1958-12-21 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-243.0 1254 1181 58.74% 16.66% 24.60%+0.78 -14.9 7
1958-12-21 @ Drumconda W 2-043.0 1181 1254 24.60% 16.66% 58.74%-0.78 +14.8 8
1958-12-21 Limerick L 1-343.6 1083 1109 46.29% 16.87% 36.84%+0.09 -10.3 7
1958-12-21 @ Sligo Rovers W 3-143.6 1109 1083 36.84% 16.87% 46.29%-0.09 +10.3 6
1958-12-21 Shelbourne W 4-134.7 1205 1142 57.63% 16.69% 25.68%+0.71 +8.8 10
1958-12-21 @ Waterford L 1-434.7 1142 1205 25.68% 16.69% 57.63%-0.71 -8.8 4
1958-12-27 Dundalk W 6-131.5 1196 1116 59.55% 16.63% 23.82%+0.83 +13.0 10
1958-12-27 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-631.5 1116 1196 23.82% 16.63% 59.55%-0.83 -13.0 4
1958-12-28 Bohemian W 6-133.0 1091 1056 54.29% 16.78% 28.93%+0.52 +15.5 9
1958-12-28 @ Cork Hibernians L 1-633.0 1056 1091 28.93% 16.78% 54.29%-0.52 -15.5 2
1958-12-28 Drumconda D 0-051.8 1133 1239 35.12% 16.80% 48.08%-0.46 +0.4 5
1958-12-28 @ Shelbourne D 0-051.8 1239 1133 48.08% 16.80% 35.12%+0.46 -0.4 8
1958-12-28 Shamrock Rovers L 0-328.6 1073 1302 20.93% 16.26% 62.81%-1.31 -8.7 7
1958-12-28 @ Sligo Rovers W 3-028.6 1302 1073 62.81% 16.26% 20.93%+1.31 +8.7 15
1958-12-28 Limerick L 0-339.3 1173 1120 56.46% 16.73% 26.81%+0.64 -20.8 7
1958-12-28 @ Transport W 3-039.3 1120 1173 26.81% 16.73% 56.46%-0.64 +20.8 8
1958-12-28 Evergreen United L 2-447.0 1214 1268 42.34% 16.87% 40.78%-0.10 -8.6 10
1958-12-28 @ Waterford W 4-247.0 1268 1214 40.78% 16.87% 42.34%+0.10 +8.6 11
1959-01-04 Transport D 3-364.0 1277 1152 64.12% 16.41% 19.47%+1.14 -0.9 12
1959-01-04 @ Evergreen United D 3-364.0 1152 1277 19.47% 16.41% 64.12%-1.14 +0.9 8
1959-01-04 Sligo Rovers W 4-135.5 1103 1064 54.70% 16.77% 28.53%+0.54 +9.7 6
1959-01-04 @ Dundalk L 1-435.5 1064 1103 28.53% 16.77% 54.70%-0.54 -9.7 7
1959-01-04 Bohemian W 3-028.8 1140 1040 61.71% 16.54% 21.76%+0.97 +9.0 10
1959-01-04 @ Limerick L 0-328.8 1040 1140 21.76% 16.54% 61.71%-0.97 -9.0 2
1959-01-04 Cork Hibernians W 4-130.8 1310 1106 70.84% 15.87% 13.28%+1.69 +4.8 17
1959-01-04 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-430.8 1106 1310 13.28% 15.87% 70.84%-1.69 -4.8 9
1959-01-04 St Patrick's Athletic W 5-138.3 1134 1209 39.32% 16.85% 43.83%-0.25 +18.0 7
1959-01-04 @ Shelbourne L 1-538.3 1209 1134 43.83% 16.85% 39.32%+0.25 -18.0 10
1959-01-11 Evergreen United W 1-045.8 1101 1276 26.61% 16.56% 56.82%-0.93 +7.6 11
1959-01-11 @ Cork Hibernians L 0-145.8 1276 1101 56.82% 16.56% 26.61%+0.93 -7.6 12
1959-01-11 Dundalk W 3-031.0 1150 1112 54.55% 16.77% 28.68%+0.53 +11.5 12
1959-01-11 @ Limerick L 0-331.0 1112 1150 28.68% 16.77% 54.55%-0.53 -11.5 6
1959-01-11 Shelbourne L 0-245.6 1315 1152 67.64% 16.17% 16.19%+1.41 -17.0 17
1959-01-11 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-045.6 1152 1315 16.19% 16.17% 67.64%-1.41 +17.1 9
1959-01-11 St Patrick's Athletic W 6-133.9 1205 1191 51.69% 16.82% 31.49%+0.37 +16.7 12
1959-01-11 @ Waterford L 1-633.9 1191 1205 31.49% 16.82% 51.69%-0.37 -16.7 10
1959-01-14 Waterford L 0-144.6 1239 1222 51.98% 16.82% 31.20%+0.39 -7.0 8
1959-01-14 @ Drumconda W 1-044.6 1222 1239 31.20% 16.82% 51.98%-0.39 +7.0 14
1959-01-17 Bohemian W 4-129.5 1298 1031 74.96% 15.32% 9.72%+2.13 +3.5 19
1959-01-17 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-429.5 1031 1298 9.72% 15.32% 74.96%-2.13 -3.5 2
1959-01-18 Shelbourne W 2-139.5 1268 1169 61.59% 16.54% 21.87%+0.96 +3.1 14
1959-01-18 @ Evergreen United L 1-239.5 1169 1268 21.87% 16.54% 61.59%-0.96 -3.1 9
1959-01-18 Transport W 3-034.5 1101 1153 42.64% 16.87% 40.48%-0.09 +15.5 8
1959-01-18 @ Dundalk L 0-334.5 1153 1101 40.48% 16.87% 42.64%+0.09 -15.5 8
1959-01-18 Cork Hibernians W 1-034.6 1232 1109 63.94% 16.42% 19.64%+1.13 +3.0 10
1959-01-18 @ Drumconda L 0-134.6 1109 1232 19.64% 16.42% 63.94%-1.13 -3.0 11
1959-01-18 Waterford L 1-337.7 1055 1229 26.61% 16.56% 56.83%-0.93 -6.4 7
1959-01-18 @ Sligo Rovers W 3-137.7 1229 1055 56.83% 16.56% 26.61%+0.93 +6.4 16
1959-01-18 Limerick L 2-449.5 1174 1161 51.55% 16.83% 31.63%+0.37 -10.2 10
1959-01-18 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 4-249.5 1161 1174 31.63% 16.83% 51.55%-0.37 +10.2 14
1959-01-21 Drumconda L 0-236.2 1137 1235 36.28% 16.82% 46.91%-0.40 -9.7 8
1959-01-21 @ Transport W 2-036.2 1235 1137 46.91% 16.82% 36.28%+0.40 +9.7 12
1959-01-24 Limerick D 0-051.7 1166 1171 49.07% 16.86% 34.08%+0.24 -0.5 10
1959-01-24 @ Shelbourne D 0-051.7 1171 1166 34.08% 16.86% 49.07%-0.24 +0.5 15
1959-01-25 Drumconda L 0-135.3 1028 1244 22.10% 16.34% 61.57%-1.23 -3.3 2
1959-01-25 @ Bohemian W 1-035.3 1244 1028 61.57% 16.34% 22.10%+1.23 +3.3 14
1959-01-25 Dundalk W 4-132.0 1271 1116 66.88% 16.23% 16.89%+1.35 +6.0 16
1959-01-25 @ Evergreen United L 1-432.0 1116 1271 16.89% 16.23% 66.88%-1.35 -6.0 8
1959-01-25 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-135.4 1302 1164 65.35% 16.34% 18.31%+1.23 +4.6 21
1959-01-25 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-335.4 1164 1302 18.31% 16.34% 65.35%-1.23 -4.6 10
1959-01-25 Cork Hibernians W 3-142.1 1048 1106 41.83% 16.87% 41.30%-0.12 +9.4 9
1959-01-25 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-342.1 1106 1048 41.30% 16.87% 41.83%+0.12 -9.4 11
1959-01-25 Transport W 1-035.1 1235 1128 62.47% 16.50% 21.03%+1.02 +3.2 18
1959-01-25 @ Waterford L 0-135.1 1128 1235 21.03% 16.50% 62.47%-1.02 -3.2 8
1959-01-31 Bohemian W 2-138.2 1160 1024 65.13% 16.35% 18.52%+1.21 +2.7 12
1959-01-31 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-238.2 1024 1160 18.52% 16.35% 65.13%-1.21 -2.7 2
1959-02-01 Shelbourne D 2-259.5 1097 1165 40.27% 16.86% 42.87%-0.20 +0.1 12
1959-02-01 @ Cork Hibernians D 2-259.5 1165 1097 42.87% 16.86% 40.27%+0.20 -0.1 11
1959-02-01 Waterford L 0-234.9 1110 1239 32.17% 16.74% 51.09%-0.62 -8.8 8
1959-02-01 @ Dundalk W 2-034.9 1239 1110 51.09% 16.74% 32.17%+0.62 +8.8 20
1959-02-01 Evergreen United W 2-144.5 1248 1277 45.80% 16.87% 37.32%+0.07 +5.0 16
1959-02-01 @ Drumconda L 1-244.5 1277 1248 37.32% 16.87% 45.80%-0.07 -5.0 16
1959-02-01 Shamrock Rovers D 1-155.3 1172 1306 31.37% 16.72% 51.91%-0.66 +0.6 16
1959-02-01 @ Limerick D 1-155.3 1306 1172 51.91% 16.72% 31.37%+0.66 -0.6 22
1959-02-01 Sligo Rovers W 2-032.7 1124 1058 58.06% 16.68% 25.26%+0.74 +7.1 10
1959-02-01 @ Transport L 0-232.7 1058 1124 25.26% 16.68% 58.06%-0.74 -7.1 9
1959-02-07 Bohemian L 0-148.3 1165 1022 65.88% 16.30% 17.82%+1.27 -8.8 11
1959-02-07 @ Shelbourne W 1-048.3 1022 1165 17.82% 16.30% 65.88%-1.27 +8.8 4
1959-02-08 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-028.7 1272 1162 62.69% 16.49% 20.82%+1.04 +8.7 18
1959-02-08 @ Evergreen United L 0-328.7 1162 1272 20.82% 16.49% 62.69%-1.04 -8.7 12
1959-02-08 Cork Hibernians L 2-352.5 1102 1097 50.47% 16.84% 32.69%+0.31 -6.1 8
1959-02-08 @ Dundalk W 3-252.5 1097 1102 32.69% 16.84% 50.47%-0.31 +6.1 14
1959-02-08 Sligo Rovers D 1-155.3 1253 1051 70.67% 15.89% 13.44%+1.68 -1.9 17
1959-02-08 @ Drumconda D 1-155.3 1051 1253 13.44% 15.89% 70.67%-1.68 +1.9 10
1959-02-08 Transport W 1-033.4 1306 1132 68.51% 16.10% 15.39%+1.48 +2.4 24
1959-02-08 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-133.4 1132 1306 15.39% 16.10% 68.51%-1.48 -2.4 10
1959-02-08 Limerick L 2-355.2 1247 1172 58.99% 16.65% 24.36%+0.80 -7.1 20
1959-02-08 @ Waterford W 3-255.2 1172 1247 24.36% 16.65% 58.99%-0.80 +7.1 18
1959-02-21 Shelbourne D 0-051.7 1129 1156 46.14% 16.87% 36.99%+0.09 -0.3 11
1959-02-21 @ Transport D 0-051.7 1156 1129 36.99% 16.87% 46.14%-0.09 +0.3 12
1959-02-22 Dundalk D 1-154.9 1030 1095 40.76% 16.86% 42.37%-0.18 +0.0 5
1959-02-22 @ Bohemian D 1-154.9 1095 1030 42.37% 16.86% 40.76%+0.18 -0.0 9
1959-02-22 Drumconda W 3-030.9 1308 1251 56.98% 16.71% 26.31%+0.67 +10.7 26
1959-02-22 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-330.9 1251 1308 26.31% 16.71% 56.98%-0.67 -10.7 17
1959-02-22 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-036.6 1052 1154 35.76% 16.81% 47.43%-0.43 +17.7 12
1959-02-22 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-336.6 1154 1052 47.43% 16.81% 35.76%+0.43 -17.7 12
1959-02-28 Transport W 3-143.9 1030 1129 36.11% 16.82% 47.07%-0.41 +10.5 7
1959-02-28 @ Bohemian L 1-343.9 1129 1030 47.07% 16.82% 36.11%+0.41 -10.5 11
1959-03-01 Sligo Rovers L 0-149.9 1281 1070 71.30% 15.82% 12.88%+1.74 -9.5 18
1959-03-01 @ Evergreen United W 1-049.9 1070 1281 12.88% 15.82% 71.30%-1.74 +9.5 14
1959-03-01 Drumconda L 2-446.6 1179 1240 41.40% 16.87% 41.73%-0.15 -8.4 18
1959-03-01 @ Limerick W 4-246.6 1240 1179 41.73% 16.87% 41.40%+0.15 +8.4 19
1959-03-01 Dundalk W 5-028.6 1157 1095 57.41% 16.70% 25.89%+0.70 +17.0 14
1959-03-01 @ Shelbourne L 0-528.6 1095 1157 25.89% 16.70% 57.41%-0.70 -17.0 9
1959-03-01 Cork Hibernians W 3-246.1 1136 1103 54.06% 16.78% 29.16%+0.50 +3.8 14
1959-03-01 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 2-346.1 1103 1136 29.16% 16.78% 54.06%-0.50 -3.8 14
1959-03-01 Shamrock Rovers W 6-557.5 1240 1319 38.87% 16.85% 44.28%-0.27 +5.2 22
1959-03-01 @ Waterford L 5-657.5 1319 1240 44.28% 16.85% 38.87%+0.27 -5.2 26
1959-03-08 Evergreen United L 0-242.6 1314 1271 55.19% 16.76% 28.06%+0.57 -14.0 26
1959-03-08 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-042.6 1271 1314 28.06% 16.76% 55.19%-0.57 +14.0 20
1959-03-08 Shelbourne D 0-051.7 1080 1174 36.74% 16.82% 46.43%-0.38 +0.3 15
1959-03-08 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-051.7 1174 1080 46.43% 16.82% 36.74%+0.38 -0.3 15
1959-03-13 Waterford W 2-146.0 1173 1246 39.73% 16.86% 43.41%-0.23 +5.6 17
1959-03-13 @ Shelbourne L 1-246.0 1246 1173 43.41% 16.86% 39.73%+0.23 -5.6 22
1959-03-15 Bohemian W 8-228.4 1285 1041 73.57% 15.53% 10.90%+1.97 +6.1 22
1959-03-15 @ Evergreen United L 2-828.4 1041 1285 10.90% 15.53% 73.57%-1.97 -6.1 7
1959-03-15 Sligo Rovers W 4-027.7 1171 1080 60.73% 16.58% 22.70%+0.91 +12.2 20
1959-03-15 @ Limerick L 0-427.7 1080 1171 22.70% 16.58% 60.73%-0.91 -12.2 15
1959-03-15 Drumconda L 1-243.4 1140 1248 34.72% 16.79% 48.49%-0.48 -4.7 14
1959-03-15 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-143.4 1248 1140 48.49% 16.79% 34.72%+0.48 +4.7 21
1959-03-15 Cork Hibernians W 2-142.1 1118 1099 52.34% 16.81% 30.84%+0.41 +4.2 13
1959-03-15 @ Transport L 1-242.1 1099 1118 30.84% 16.81% 52.34%-0.41 -4.2 14
1959-03-17 Waterford L 0-430.0 1095 1240 30.06% 16.68% 53.26%-0.73 -15.7 14
1959-03-17 @ Cork Hibernians W 4-030.0 1240 1095 53.26% 16.68% 30.06%+0.73 +15.7 24
1959-03-17 Evergreen United W 1-043.6 1183 1291 34.81% 16.79% 48.40%-0.48 +6.6 22
1959-03-17 @ Limerick L 0-143.6 1291 1183 48.40% 16.79% 34.81%+0.48 -6.6 22
1959-03-21 Sligo Rovers W 4-130.2 1300 1068 72.76% 15.64% 11.60%+1.88 +4.2 28
1959-03-21 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-430.2 1068 1300 11.60% 15.64% 72.76%-1.88 -4.2 15
1959-03-22 Cork Hibernians W 2-144.6 1035 1079 43.74% 16.88% 39.38%-0.03 +5.2 9
1959-03-22 @ Bohemian L 1-244.6 1079 1035 39.38% 16.88% 43.74%+0.03 -5.2 14
1959-03-22 Waterford W 3-139.2 1285 1256 53.58% 16.79% 29.63%+0.48 +7.1 24
1959-03-22 @ Evergreen United L 1-339.2 1256 1285 29.63% 16.79% 53.58%-0.48 -7.1 24
1959-03-22 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-142.1 1078 1135 41.99% 16.87% 41.14%-0.12 +9.3 11
1959-03-22 @ Dundalk L 1-342.1 1135 1078 41.14% 16.87% 41.99%+0.12 -9.3 14
1959-03-22 Shelbourne L 0-243.1 1253 1179 58.90% 16.65% 24.45%+0.79 -14.9 21
1959-03-22 @ Drumconda W 2-043.1 1179 1253 24.45% 16.65% 58.90%-0.79 +14.9 19
1959-03-22 Transport L 1-444.4 1190 1123 58.11% 16.68% 25.21%+0.74 -18.0 22
1959-03-22 @ Limerick W 4-144.4 1123 1190 25.21% 16.68% 58.11%-0.74 +18.0 15
1959-03-29 Dundalk L 2-351.3 1064 1088 46.53% 16.87% 36.59%+0.11 -5.7 15
1959-03-29 @ Sligo Rovers W 3-251.3 1088 1064 36.59% 16.87% 46.53%-0.11 +5.7 13
1959-03-29 Evergreen United L 0-234.2 1141 1292 29.31% 16.66% 54.03%-0.77 -8.1 15
1959-03-29 @ Transport W 2-034.2 1292 1141 54.03% 16.66% 29.31%+0.77 +8.1 26
1959-03-30 Shamrock Rovers L 1-336.6 1094 1304 22.74% 16.37% 60.88%-1.18 -5.6 13
1959-03-30 @ Dundalk W 3-136.6 1304 1094 60.88% 16.37% 22.74%+1.18 +5.6 30
1959-04-01 Transport L 0-147.5 1238 1133 62.26% 16.51% 21.23%+1.01 -8.3 21
1959-04-01 @ Drumconda W 1-047.5 1133 1238 21.23% 16.51% 62.26%-1.01 +8.3 17
1959-04-02 Bohemian W 3-133.4 1248 1040 71.14% 15.84% 13.02%+1.72 +3.3 26
1959-04-02 @ Waterford L 1-333.4 1040 1248 13.02% 15.84% 71.14%-1.72 -3.3 9
1959-04-03 Shamrock Rovers L 1-437.5 1194 1309 33.81% 16.77% 49.41%-0.53 -11.2 19
1959-04-03 @ Shelbourne W 4-137.5 1309 1194 49.41% 16.77% 33.81%+0.53 +11.2 32
1959-04-04 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-637.1 1141 1126 51.80% 16.82% 31.38%+0.38 -36.6 17
1959-04-04 @ Transport W 6-037.1 1126 1141 31.38% 16.82% 51.80%-0.38 +36.6 16
1959-04-05 Cork Hibernians W 1-032.1 1300 1074 72.38% 15.69% 11.93%+1.84 +1.9 28
1959-04-05 @ Evergreen United L 0-132.1 1074 1300 11.93% 15.69% 72.38%-1.84 -1.9 14
1959-04-05 Limerick W 3-143.3 1088 1172 38.11% 16.84% 45.05%-0.31 +10.1 15
1959-04-05 @ Dundalk L 1-343.3 1172 1088 45.05% 16.84% 38.11%+0.31 -10.1 22
1959-04-05 Bohemian L 2-353.1 1058 1037 52.57% 16.81% 30.62%+0.42 -6.3 15
1959-04-05 @ Sligo Rovers W 3-253.1 1037 1058 30.62% 16.81% 52.57%-0.42 +6.3 11
1959-04-05 Drumconda D 0-052.0 1252 1230 52.65% 16.81% 30.54%+0.43 -0.8 27
1959-04-05 @ Waterford D 0-052.0 1230 1252 30.54% 16.81% 52.65%-0.43 +0.8 22
1959-04-08 Sligo Rovers W 2-143.1 1043 1052 48.67% 16.86% 34.47%+0.22 +4.7 13
1959-04-08 @ Bohemian L 1-243.1 1052 1043 34.47% 16.86% 48.67%-0.22 -4.6 15
1959-04-08 Waterford W 2-039.1 1162 1251 37.44% 16.83% 45.73%-0.34 +11.8 18
1959-04-08 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-239.1 1251 1162 45.73% 16.83% 37.44%+0.34 -11.8 27
1959-04-10 Dundalk W 3-027.9 1231 1098 64.89% 16.36% 18.75%+1.20 +7.9 24
1959-04-10 @ Drumconda L 0-327.9 1098 1231 18.75% 16.36% 64.89%-1.20 -7.9 15
1959-04-11 Shamrock Rovers D 0-052.0 1048 1321 17.05% 15.95% 66.99%-1.62 +1.8 14
1959-04-11 @ Bohemian D 0-052.0 1321 1048 66.99% 15.95% 17.05%+1.62 -1.8 33
1959-04-12 Drumconda L 0-137.0 1072 1239 27.50% 16.60% 55.91%-0.88 -4.0 14
1959-04-12 @ Cork Hibernians W 1-037.0 1239 1072 55.91% 16.60% 27.50%+0.88 +4.0 26
1959-04-12 St Patrick's Athletic W 6-134.9 1162 1174 48.16% 16.86% 34.98%+0.19 +18.2 24
1959-04-12 @ Limerick L 1-634.9 1174 1162 34.98% 16.86% 48.16%-0.19 -18.2 18
1959-04-12 Evergreen United D 2-259.9 1183 1302 33.33% 16.76% 49.90%-0.55 +0.4 20
1959-04-12 @ Shelbourne D 2-259.9 1302 1183 49.90% 16.76% 33.33%+0.55 -0.4 29
1959-04-12 Dundalk W 2-142.3 1104 1090 51.65% 16.83% 31.53%+0.37 +4.3 19
1959-04-12 @ Transport L 1-242.3 1090 1104 31.53% 16.83% 51.65%-0.37 -4.3 15
1959-04-12 Sligo Rovers W 5-234.4 1239 1047 69.94% 15.96% 14.09%+1.61 +4.4 29
1959-04-12 @ Waterford L 2-534.4 1047 1239 14.09% 15.96% 69.94%-1.61 -4.4 15
1959-04-14 Shelbourne L 2-544.3 1156 1183 46.14% 16.87% 36.99%+0.09 -12.6 18
1959-04-14 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 5-244.3 1183 1156 36.99% 16.87% 46.14%-0.09 +12.6 22
1959-04-15 Limerick D 2-259.5 1050 1180 31.90% 16.73% 51.37%-0.63 +0.5 15
1959-04-15 @ Bohemian D 2-259.5 1180 1050 51.37% 16.73% 31.90%+0.63 -0.5 25
1959-04-15 Shamrock Rovers D 3-364.0 1068 1319 18.91% 16.12% 64.98%-1.47 +0.9 15
1959-04-15 @ Cork Hibernians D 3-364.0 1319 1068 64.98% 16.12% 18.91%+1.47 -0.9 34
1959-04-19 Limerick L 1-340.1 1069 1180 34.47% 16.79% 48.75%-0.49 -8.0 15
1959-04-19 @ Cork Hibernians W 3-140.1 1180 1069 48.75% 16.79% 34.47%+0.49 +8.0 27

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1959-03-01 12.88% Sligo Rovers 1070 1 @ Evergreen United 1281 0
2 1959-01-11 16.19% Shelbourne 1152 2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1315 0
3 1959-02-07 17.82% Bohemian 1022 1 @ Shelbourne 1165 0
4 1958-11-30 19.08% Sligo Rovers 1049 5 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1178 3
5 1959-04-01 21.23% Transport 1133 1 @ Drumconda 1238 0
6 1958-12-07 22.26% @ Sligo Rovers 1061 3 Evergreen United 1276 2
7 1958-12-14 22.87% Sligo Rovers 1068 2 @ Shelbourne 1157 0
8 1959-02-08 24.36% Limerick 1172 3 @ Waterford 1247 2
9 1959-03-22 24.45% Shelbourne 1179 2 @ Drumconda 1253 0
10 1958-12-21 24.60% St Patrick's Athletic 1181 2 @ Drumconda 1254 0
11 1959-03-22 25.21% Transport 1123 4 @ Limerick 1190 1
12 1958-11-29 26.41% Transport 1134 5 @ Shelbourne 1191 0
13 1959-01-11 26.61% @ Cork Hibernians 1101 1 Evergreen United 1276 0
14 1958-12-28 26.81% Limerick 1120 3 @ Transport 1173 0
15 1959-03-08 28.06% Evergreen United 1271 2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1314 0
16 1959-04-05 30.62% Bohemian 1037 3 @ Sligo Rovers 1058 2
17 1959-01-14 31.20% Waterford 1222 1 @ Drumconda 1239 0
18 1959-04-04 31.38% St Patrick's Athletic 1126 6 @ Transport 1141 0
19 1959-01-18 31.63% Limerick 1161 4 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1174 2
20 1959-02-08 32.69% Cork Hibernians 1097 3 @ Dundalk 1102 2
21 1958-11-22 33.00% @ Bohemian 1076 1 Shelbourne 1198 0
22 1959-03-17 34.81% @ Limerick 1183 1 Evergreen United 1291 0
23 1959-02-22 35.76% @ Sligo Rovers 1052 3 St Patrick's Athletic 1154 0
24 1959-02-28 36.11% @ Bohemian 1030 3 Transport 1129 1
25 1958-11-30 36.14% Shamrock Rovers 1277 4 @ Drumconda 1257 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1959-04-04 36.65 St Patrick's Athletic 6 1126 31.38% @ Transport 0 1141 51.80% 16.82%
2 1958-11-29 33.66 Transport 5 1134 26.41% @ Shelbourne 0 1191 56.87% 16.71%
3 1958-12-28 20.76 Limerick 3 1120 26.81% @ Transport 0 1173 56.46% 16.73%
4 1959-04-12 18.24 @ Limerick 6 1162 48.16% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1174 34.98% 16.86%
5 1959-01-04 18.00 @ Shelbourne 5 1134 39.32% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1209 43.83% 16.85%
6 1959-03-22 17.99 Transport 4 1123 25.21% @ Limerick 1 1190 58.11% 16.68%
7 1959-02-22 17.70 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1052 35.76% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1154 47.43% 16.81%
8 1959-01-11 17.06 Shelbourne 2 1152 16.19% @ Shamrock Rovers 0 1315 67.64% 16.17%
9 1959-03-01 16.96 @ Shelbourne 5 1157 57.41% Dundalk 0 1095 25.89% 16.70%
10 1959-01-11 16.67 @ Waterford 6 1205 51.69% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1191 31.49% 16.82%
11 1959-03-17 15.66 Waterford 4 1240 53.26% @ Cork Hibernians 0 1095 30.06% 16.68%
12 1958-12-28 15.49 @ Cork Hibernians 6 1091 54.29% Bohemian 1 1056 28.93% 16.78%
13 1959-01-18 15.47 @ Dundalk 3 1101 42.64% Transport 0 1153 40.48% 16.87%
14 1958-12-14 15.29 Sligo Rovers 2 1068 22.87% @ Shelbourne 0 1157 60.54% 16.59%
15 1959-03-22 14.88 Shelbourne 2 1179 24.45% @ Drumconda 0 1253 58.90% 16.65%
16 1958-12-21 14.85 St Patrick's Athletic 2 1181 24.60% @ Drumconda 0 1254 58.74% 16.66%
17 1959-03-08 13.99 Evergreen United 2 1271 28.06% @ Shamrock Rovers 0 1314 55.19% 16.76%
18 1958-11-23 13.24 Shamrock Rovers 3 1264 49.54% @ Transport 0 1148 33.69% 16.77%
19 1958-12-27 13.04 @ St Patrick's Athletic 6 1196 59.55% Dundalk 1 1116 23.82% 16.63%
20 1959-04-14 12.63 Shelbourne 5 1183 36.99% @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1156 46.14% 16.87%
21 1959-03-15 12.24 @ Limerick 4 1171 60.73% Sligo Rovers 0 1080 22.70% 16.58%
22 1958-11-30 11.91 Sligo Rovers 5 1049 19.08% @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1178 64.53% 16.39%
23 1959-04-08 11.80 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1162 37.44% Waterford 0 1251 45.73% 16.83%
24 1959-01-11 11.53 @ Limerick 3 1150 54.55% Dundalk 0 1112 28.68% 16.77%
25 1959-04-03 11.20 Shamrock Rovers 4 1309 49.41% @ Shelbourne 1 1194 33.81% 16.77%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1959-01-04 64.0 @ Evergreen United 3 1277 64.12% Transport 3 1152 19.47% 16.41%
2 1959-04-15 64.0 @ Cork Hibernians 3 1068 18.91% Shamrock Rovers 3 1319 64.98% 16.12%
3 1958-12-07 63.7 @ Dundalk 3 1126 45.52% Shelbourne 3 1157 37.61% 16.87%
4 1959-04-12 59.9 @ Shelbourne 2 1183 33.33% Evergreen United 2 1302 49.90% 16.76%
5 1958-11-16 59.6 @ Shelbourne 2 1199 61.00% Cork Hibernians 2 1105 22.43% 16.57%
6 1959-02-01 59.5 @ Cork Hibernians 2 1097 40.27% Shelbourne 2 1165 42.87% 16.86%
7 1959-04-15 59.5 @ Bohemian 2 1050 31.90% Limerick 2 1180 51.37% 16.73%
8 1959-03-01 57.5 @ Waterford 6 1240 38.87% Shamrock Rovers 5 1319 44.28% 16.85%
9 1958-11-30 55.8 Sligo Rovers 5 1049 19.08% @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1178 64.53% 16.39%
10 1958-12-07 55.7 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1061 22.26% Evergreen United 2 1276 61.40% 16.35%
11 1958-11-15 55.3 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1266 67.16% Limerick 1 1108 16.63% 16.21%
12 1959-02-01 55.3 @ Limerick 1 1172 31.37% Shamrock Rovers 1 1306 51.91% 16.72%
13 1959-02-08 55.3 @ Drumconda 1 1253 70.67% Sligo Rovers 1 1051 13.44% 15.89%
14 1959-02-08 55.2 Limerick 3 1172 24.36% @ Waterford 2 1247 58.99% 16.65%
15 1958-11-09 55.1 @ Dundalk 1 1129 31.76% Evergreen United 1 1261 51.51% 16.73%
16 1958-11-23 55.1 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1048 22.76% Drumconda 1 1258 60.86% 16.38%
17 1958-12-21 55.0 @ Cork Hibernians 1 1090 38.31% Transport 1 1173 44.85% 16.84%
18 1959-02-22 54.9 @ Bohemian 1 1030 40.76% Dundalk 1 1095 42.37% 16.86%
19 1959-04-05 53.1 Bohemian 3 1037 30.62% @ Sligo Rovers 2 1058 52.57% 16.81%
20 1958-11-09 53.0 Shamrock Rovers 4 1261 43.66% @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1187 39.49% 16.85%
21 1959-02-08 52.5 Cork Hibernians 3 1097 32.69% @ Dundalk 2 1102 50.47% 16.84%
22 1959-04-05 52.0 @ Waterford 0 1252 52.65% Drumconda 0 1230 30.54% 16.81%
23 1959-04-11 52.0 @ Bohemian 0 1048 17.05% Shamrock Rovers 0 1321 66.99% 15.95%
24 1958-12-28 51.8 @ Shelbourne 0 1133 35.12% Drumconda 0 1239 48.08% 16.80%
25 1958-12-14 51.7 @ Limerick 0 1110 52.47% Cork Hibernians 0 1090 30.72% 16.81%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1959-03-15 27.7 @ Limerick 4 1171 60.73% Sligo Rovers 0 1080 22.70% 16.58%
2 1959-04-10 27.9 @ Drumconda 3 1231 64.89% Dundalk 0 1098 18.75% 16.36%
3 1959-03-15 28.4 @ Evergreen United 8 1285 73.57% Bohemian 2 1041 10.90% 15.53%
4 1958-12-28 28.6 Shamrock Rovers 3 1302 62.81% @ Sligo Rovers 0 1073 20.93% 16.26%
5 1959-03-01 28.6 @ Shelbourne 5 1157 57.41% Dundalk 0 1095 25.89% 16.70%
6 1959-02-08 28.7 @ Evergreen United 3 1272 62.69% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1162 20.82% 16.49%
7 1959-01-04 28.8 @ Limerick 3 1140 61.71% Bohemian 0 1040 21.76% 16.54%
8 1958-12-07 29.1 @ Transport 3 1168 60.58% Bohemian 0 1078 22.84% 16.59%
9 1959-01-17 29.5 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1298 74.96% Bohemian 1 1031 9.72% 15.32%
10 1958-11-06 29.7 @ Drumconda 2 1258 68.39% Bohemian 0 1085 15.50% 16.11%
11 1959-03-17 30.0 Waterford 4 1240 53.26% @ Cork Hibernians 0 1095 30.06% 16.68%
12 1959-03-21 30.2 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1300 72.76% Sligo Rovers 1 1068 11.60% 15.64%
13 1959-01-04 30.8 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1310 70.84% Cork Hibernians 1 1106 13.28% 15.87%
14 1959-02-22 30.9 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1308 56.98% Drumconda 0 1251 26.31% 16.71%
15 1959-01-11 31.0 @ Limerick 3 1150 54.55% Dundalk 0 1112 28.68% 16.77%
16 1958-12-20 31.5 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1296 68.59% Dundalk 1 1121 15.32% 16.09%
17 1958-12-27 31.5 @ St Patrick's Athletic 6 1196 59.55% Dundalk 1 1116 23.82% 16.63%
18 1959-01-25 32.0 @ Evergreen United 4 1271 66.88% Dundalk 1 1116 16.89% 16.23%
19 1959-04-05 32.1 @ Evergreen United 1 1300 72.38% Cork Hibernians 0 1074 11.93% 15.69%
20 1958-11-30 32.3 @ Waterford 5 1190 59.41% Cork Hibernians 1 1111 23.96% 16.63%
21 1958-11-23 32.6 Shamrock Rovers 3 1264 49.54% @ Transport 0 1148 33.69% 16.77%
22 1959-02-01 32.7 @ Transport 2 1124 58.06% Sligo Rovers 0 1058 25.26% 16.68%
23 1958-12-28 33.0 @ Cork Hibernians 6 1091 54.29% Bohemian 1 1056 28.93% 16.78%
24 1959-02-08 33.4 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1306 68.51% Transport 0 1132 15.39% 16.10%
25 1959-04-02 33.4 @ Waterford 3 1248 71.14% Bohemian 1 1040 13.02% 15.84%