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1959-60 League of Ireland Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Limerick

30 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

St Patrick's Athletic

3.90 points above expected

25 points · 21.10 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Bohemian

6.73 points below expected

5 points · 11.73 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Limerick 22 15 0 7 30 46 26 +20 26.35 +3.65
2 Cork Celtic 22 12 4 6 28 66 44 +22 26.26 +1.74
3 Shelbourne 22 11 6 5 28 48 33 +15 24.76 +3.24
4 Shamrock Rovers 22 12 3 7 27 54 31 +23 26.20 +0.80
5 Cork Hibernians 22 12 3 7 27 57 37 +20 23.95 +3.05
6 Dundalk 22 12 3 7 27 50 32 +18 24.13 +2.87
7 St Patrick's Athletic 22 12 1 9 25 46 44 +2 21.10 +3.90
8 Waterford 22 10 4 8 24 40 43 -3 23.95 +0.05
9 Drumconda 22 10 2 10 22 45 35 +10 25.21 -3.21
10 Sligo Rovers 22 5 3 14 13 44 67 -23 16.39 -3.39
11 Transport 22 3 2 17 8 18 66 -48 13.97 -5.97
12 Bohemian 22 0 5 17 5 15 71 -56 11.73 -6.73

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 St Patrick's Athletic 25 21.10 +3.90
2 Limerick 30 26.35 +3.65
3 Shelbourne 28 24.76 +3.24
4 Cork Hibernians 27 23.95 +3.05
5 Dundalk 27 24.13 +2.87

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Bohemian 5 11.73 -6.73
2 Transport 8 13.97 -5.97
3 Sligo Rovers 13 16.39 -3.39
4 Drumconda 22 25.21 -3.21
5 Waterford 24 23.95 +0.05

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 St Patrick's Athletic 6 Jan 31 – Mar 20 1 in 187
2 Limerick 6 Dec 20 – Jan 24 1 in 27
3 Shamrock Rovers 4 Jan 10 – Jan 31 1 in 18
4 Cork Hibernians 4 Dec 13 – Jan 3 1 in 15
5 Dundalk 3 Dec 13 – Dec 27 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cork Hibernians 4 Jan 31 – Mar 13 1 in 65
2 Drumconda 4 Mar 13 – Apr 8 1 in 52
3 Shamrock Rovers 2 Nov 8 – Nov 15 1 in 10
4 Dundalk 2 Jan 3 – Jan 10 1 in 10
5 St Patrick's Athletic 3 Dec 13 – Dec 27 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shelbourne 8 Jan 31 – Apr 10 1 in 32
2 St Patrick's Athletic 6 Jan 31 – Mar 20 1 in 27
3 Dundalk 5 Nov 29 – Dec 27 1 in 26
4 Cork Celtic 8 Feb 28 – Apr 17 1 in 21
5 Cork Hibernians 5 Mar 17 – Apr 14 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bohemian 22 Nov 7 – Apr 17 1 in 204
2 Shelbourne 4 Dec 20 – Jan 10 1 in 15
3 Cork Hibernians 4 Jan 31 – Mar 13 1 in 15
4 Sligo Rovers 8 Feb 21 – Apr 21 1 in 14
5 Drumconda 4 Mar 13 – Apr 8 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Limerick 1392 30 +28 8 6.9 +1.1
Cork Celtic 1430 28 +43 8 6.6 +1.4
Shelbourne 1384 28 +8 6 5.0 +1.0
Shamrock Rovers 1426 27 +9 7 7.6 -0.6
Cork Hibernians 1342 27 +8 7 6.1 +0.9
Dundalk 1367 27 +19 6 5.4 +0.6
St Patrick's Athletic 1312 25 +24 6 4.2 +1.8
Waterford 1296 24 +9 6 5.6 +0.4
Drumconda 1286 22 -49 4 5.6 -1.6
Sligo Rovers 1123 13 -50 1 3.7 -2.7
Transport 1027 8 -37 0 2.0 -2.0
Bohemian 968 5 -17 1 2.0 -1.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOH CC CH DRU DUN LIM SR SHE SR SPA TRA WAT
Bohemian —
0-1-1
0.90
0-0-2
1.10
0-0-2
1.77
0-0-2
1.74
0-0-2
1.21
0-0-2
0.91
0-0-2
1.60
0-2-0
1.83
0-0-2
1.74
0-1-1
2.34
0-1-1
1.17
Cork Celtic
1-1-0
4.82
—
1-1-0
3.25
1-1-0
2.73
0-0-2
3.57
1-0-1
2.92
0-1-1
2.68
1-0-1
3.44
2-0-0
3.88
1-0-1
3.30
2-0-0
4.59
2-0-0
3.22
Cork Hibernians
2-0-0
4.62
0-1-1
2.46
—
1-0-1
3.33
1-0-1
2.89
1-0-1
2.47
2-0-0
2.62
0-1-1
2.94
2-0-0
3.45
0-0-2
3.14
2-0-0
3.70
1-1-0
2.69
Drumconda
2-0-0
3.94
0-1-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.38
—
0-0-2
3.12
1-0-1
2.89
1-1-0
2.83
1-0-1
2.68
1-0-1
3.96
1-0-1
3.34
2-0-0
4.30
0-0-2
3.18
Dundalk
2-0-0
3.98
2-0-0
2.14
1-0-1
2.83
2-0-0
2.59
—
0-0-2
2.68
1-0-1
2.55
0-1-1
2.69
1-0-1
4.13
2-0-0
3.19
1-1-0
4.42
0-1-1
2.60
Limerick
2-0-0
4.51
1-0-1
2.79
1-0-1
3.25
1-0-1
2.82
2-0-0
3.03
—
1-0-1
2.65
1-0-1
2.96
2-0-0
3.94
1-0-1
3.56
2-0-0
4.57
1-0-1
2.74
Shamrock Rovers
2-0-0
4.81
1-1-0
3.03
0-0-2
3.10
0-1-1
2.88
1-0-1
3.16
1-0-1
3.06
—
1-1-0
3.07
2-0-0
4.31
1-0-1
3.75
1-0-1
4.43
2-0-0
2.92
Shelbourne
2-0-0
4.11
1-0-1
2.27
1-1-0
2.77
1-0-1
3.03
1-1-0
3.02
1-0-1
2.75
0-1-1
2.64
—
1-1-0
3.95
1-1-0
3.46
2-0-0
3.94
0-1-1
3.41
Sligo Rovers
0-2-0
3.88
0-0-2
1.83
0-0-2
2.27
1-0-1
1.75
1-0-1
1.59
0-0-2
1.77
0-0-2
1.41
0-1-1
1.76
—
1-0-1
2.10
2-0-0
3.02
0-0-2
1.82
St Patrick's Athletic
2-0-0
3.98
1-0-1
2.41
2-0-0
2.58
1-0-1
2.37
0-0-2
2.53
1-0-1
2.16
1-0-1
1.97
0-1-1
2.25
1-0-1
3.61
—
1-0-1
3.84
2-0-0
2.42
Transport
1-1-0
3.37
0-0-2
1.14
0-0-2
2.01
0-0-2
1.42
0-1-1
1.30
0-0-2
1.15
1-0-1
1.29
0-0-2
1.78
0-0-2
2.69
1-0-1
1.88
—
0-0-2
1.68
Waterford
1-1-0
4.55
0-0-2
2.49
0-1-1
3.02
2-0-0
2.53
1-1-0
3.11
1-0-1
2.97
0-0-2
2.79
1-1-0
2.30
2-0-0
3.89
0-0-2
3.29
2-0-0
4.03
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.74 +5.0
Allowed 0.87 -5.1
Differential 0.95 +3.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
00.76%5.68%4.92%3.03%1.89%2.27%18.56%
15.68%4.55%7.58%4.17%3.03%3.41%28.41%
24.92%7.58%3.79%2.27%1.14%1.14%20.83%
33.03%4.17%2.27%3.79%1.52%0.76%15.53%
41.89%3.03%1.14%1.52%0.76%—8.33%
5+2.27%3.41%1.14%0.76%—0.76%8.33%
Total18.56%28.41%20.83%15.53%8.33%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 2.00 +0.00
SD 1.73 1.73 2.68
CV 0.87 0.87 —
Max 10 10 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%9.09%13.64%9.09%4.55%45.45%
1—13.64%4.55%—9.09%18.18%45.45%
2——4.55%———4.55%
3———4.55%——4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total—22.73%18.18%18.18%18.18%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.68 3.23 -2.55
SD 0.78 1.88 1.97
CV 1.14 0.58 —
Max 3 7 +0
Min 0 1 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
1—4.55%13.64%———18.18%
2—4.55%4.55%——4.55%13.64%
3—4.55%—9.09%——13.64%
49.09%——13.64%——22.73%
5+4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
Total13.64%22.73%27.27%27.27%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.00 2.00 +1.00
SD 1.88 1.31 2.58
CV 0.63 0.65 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
14.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%—31.82%
24.55%13.64%————18.18%
34.55%18.18%—4.55%4.55%—31.82%
4————4.55%—4.55%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total18.18%40.91%13.64%9.09%18.18%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.59 1.68 +0.91
SD 2.22 1.39 2.88
CV 0.86 0.83 —
Max 10 4 +9
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
14.55%4.55%4.55%13.64%——27.27%
2—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
34.55%—4.55%——4.55%13.64%
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total18.18%36.36%22.73%18.18%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 1.59 +0.45
SD 1.86 1.26 2.50
CV 0.91 0.79 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%13.64%———22.73%
14.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
24.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
34.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
44.55%—9.09%———13.64%
5+—4.55%4.55%——4.55%13.64%
Total22.73%27.27%45.45%——4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 1.45 +0.82
SD 1.86 1.30 1.99
CV 0.82 0.89 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
118.18%—13.64%———31.82%
24.55%18.18%—9.09%——31.82%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total31.82%36.36%18.18%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 1.18 +0.91
SD 1.54 1.14 2.14
CV 0.74 0.96 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%————4.55%
14.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
213.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%—36.36%
3—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+9.09%4.55%————13.64%
Total27.27%36.36%13.64%13.64%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.45 1.41 +1.05
SD 1.87 1.30 2.61
CV 0.76 0.92 —
Max 8 4 +8
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%———13.64%
1—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
218.18%9.09%9.09%4.55%——40.91%
39.09%—4.55%9.09%4.55%—27.27%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total31.82%18.18%22.73%22.73%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 1.50 +0.68
SD 1.37 1.30 1.67
CV 0.63 0.87 —
Max 6 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%——9.09%18.18%
14.55%4.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%—31.82%
2—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—18.18%
3———4.55%9.09%4.55%18.18%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
Total4.55%18.18%22.73%18.18%18.18%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 3.05 -1.05
SD 1.85 1.96 2.70
CV 0.93 0.64 —
Max 7 8 +5
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%4.55%——13.64%
113.64%—4.55%4.55%——22.73%
24.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%9.09%31.82%
34.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
4—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total22.73%22.73%18.18%22.73%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 2.00 +0.09
SD 1.51 1.80 2.43
CV 0.72 0.90 —
Max 6 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—18.18%—13.64%—9.09%40.91%
1—9.09%9.09%4.55%9.09%13.64%45.45%
24.55%—————4.55%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%27.27%13.64%18.18%9.09%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 3.00 -2.18
SD 0.91 2.53 2.84
CV 1.11 0.84 —
Max 3 10 +3
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%——4.55%4.55%18.18%
113.64%—4.55%4.55%—9.09%31.82%
24.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
34.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
4—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total22.73%31.82%13.64%9.09%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.95 -0.14
SD 1.53 1.84 2.62
CV 0.84 0.94 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Cork Celtic 1430 28 26.26 +1.74 71.0% 18 19 23 26 29 33 35
Shamrock Rovers 1426 27 26.20 +0.80 62.0% 15 19 23 26 29 33 38
Limerick 1392 30 26.35 +3.65 90.0% 19 20 25 26 28 31 34
Shelbourne 1384 28 24.76 +3.24 84.0% 12 17 22 25 27 32 39
Dundalk 1367 27 24.13 +2.87 86.0% 17 18 22 24 26 30 33
Cork Hibernians 1342 27 23.95 +3.05 76.0% 12 18 21 24 27 30 31
St Patrick's Athletic 1312 25 21.10 +3.90 87.0% 10 15 19 21 23 28 31
Waterford 1296 24 23.95 +0.05 54.0% 15 17 21 24 27 30 32
Drumconda 1286 22 25.21 -3.21 26.0% 15 18 22 25 28 31 34
Sligo Rovers 1123 13 16.39 -3.39 23.0% 8 10 14 17 18 24 28
Transport 1027 8 13.97 -5.97 6.0% 4 8 12 14 16 21 25
Bohemian 968 5 11.73 -6.73 3.0% 5 7 10 12 14 16 20

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+21.21%
Strong Edge
53.79%13.64%32.58%
Elo Value
Home Edge
132 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
074.83400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.49 goals
Neutral
-2+0.57+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
7.0
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
15%
Limerick, 3rd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Tight Race
00.100.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.06 * Some Luck: 3.06 to 4.59 * Lucky: 4.59 to 6.12 * Wild Swing: 6.12 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.61 * Close: 1.61 to 2.42 * Off: 2.42 to 3.22 * Way Off: 3.22 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.69 points
Some Luck
03.8210
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.08
Pinpoint
02.015
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
90.00%
Limerick
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
3.00%
Bohemian
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Even
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 155.32
1.94
Moderate Separation
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
69%
Slight Edge
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
93%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
48%
Few
0%43%100%
Blowouts
Expected
30%
Very Frequent
0%35%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.52
Highly Predictable
00.532
Matchup Imbalance
0.41
Slight Separation
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.14
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.48
Some Carryover
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Upset-Prone
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Shaky
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.27
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.19
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.107
Well Within Noise
00.1340.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Limerick15.00%17.00%16.00%13.00%13.00%13.00%6.00%6.00%—1.00%——
Cork Celtic21.00%16.00%14.00%10.00%7.00%11.00%10.00%3.00%7.00%—1.00%—
Shelbourne10.00%9.00%12.00%15.00%11.00%15.00%11.00%8.00%2.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%
Shamrock Rovers19.00%18.00%13.00%8.00%14.00%7.00%12.00%6.00%2.00%——1.00%
Cork Hibernians8.00%11.00%13.00%6.00%13.00%7.00%17.00%9.00%11.00%3.00%2.00%—
Dundalk7.00%5.00%8.00%19.00%12.00%15.00%7.00%16.00%8.00%2.00%1.00%—
St Patrick's Athletic2.00%3.00%4.00%3.00%5.00%10.00%14.00%15.00%27.00%13.00%2.00%2.00%
Waterford6.00%8.00%11.00%14.00%9.00%8.00%9.00%21.00%11.00%2.00%1.00%—
Drumconda12.00%12.00%9.00%11.00%13.00%10.00%11.00%12.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%—
Sligo Rovers—1.00%—1.00%2.00%4.00%1.00%3.00%19.00%43.00%18.00%8.00%
Transport————1.00%—2.00%1.00%4.00%20.00%42.00%30.00%
Bohemian————————3.00%10.00%29.00%58.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Bohemian 100%
Cork Celtic 100%
Cork Hibernians 100%
Drumconda 100%
Dundalk 100%
Limerick 100%
Shamrock Rovers 100%
Shelbourne 100%
Sligo Rovers 100%
St Patrick's Athletic 100%
Transport 100%
Waterford 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1959-11-07 Drumconda L 0-336.7 1212 1319 43.55% 14.46% 41.99%-0.24 -33.7 0
1959-11-07 @ Bohemian W 3-036.7 1319 1212 41.99% 14.46% 43.55%+0.24 +33.7 2
1959-11-08 Dundalk L 2-552.7 1351 1239 68.97% 14.28% 16.75%+1.42 -38.1 0
1959-11-08 @ Cork Celtic W 5-252.7 1239 1351 16.75% 14.28% 68.97%-1.42 +38.1 2
1959-11-08 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-448.7 1358 1268 67.10% 14.32% 18.57%+1.25 -42.7 0
1959-11-08 @ Shamrock Rovers W 4-148.7 1268 1358 18.57% 14.32% 67.10%-1.25 +42.7 2
1959-11-08 Limerick W 3-245.0 1296 1293 58.12% 14.43% 27.45%+0.59 +7.4 2
1959-11-08 @ Shelbourne L 2-345.0 1293 1296 27.45% 14.43% 58.12%-0.59 -7.4 0
1959-11-08 Cork Hibernians L 1-346.7 1218 1228 56.53% 14.44% 29.03%+0.49 -25.5 0
1959-11-08 @ Sligo Rovers W 3-146.7 1228 1218 29.03% 14.44% 56.53%-0.49 +25.5 2
1959-11-08 Transport W 4-134.3 1320 1250 65.30% 14.35% 20.35%+1.10 +14.5 2
1959-11-08 @ Waterford L 1-434.3 1250 1320 20.35% 14.35% 65.30%-1.10 -14.5 0
1959-11-15 Shelbourne D 1-155.1 1254 1304 51.40% 14.46% 34.14%+0.19 -1.1 3
1959-11-15 @ Cork Hibernians D 1-155.1 1304 1254 34.14% 14.46% 51.40%-0.19 +1.1 3
1959-11-15 Waterford D 2-259.6 1277 1335 50.39% 14.46% 35.15%+0.13 -0.7 3
1959-11-15 @ Dundalk D 2-259.6 1335 1277 35.15% 14.46% 50.39%-0.13 +0.7 3
1959-11-15 Cork Celtic L 3-556.8 1353 1313 62.17% 14.40% 23.43%+0.87 -23.6 2
1959-11-15 @ Drumconda W 5-356.8 1313 1353 23.43% 14.40% 62.17%-0.87 +23.6 2
1959-11-15 Shamrock Rovers W 1-038.2 1285 1316 53.96% 14.45% 31.59%+0.34 +9.3 2
1959-11-15 @ Limerick L 0-138.2 1316 1285 31.59% 14.45% 53.96%-0.34 -9.3 0
1959-11-15 Bohemian W 3-027.9 1311 1179 70.58% 14.24% 15.18%+1.57 +13.1 4
1959-11-15 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-327.9 1179 1311 15.18% 14.24% 70.58%-1.57 -13.1 0
1959-11-15 Sligo Rovers L 1-250.5 1235 1193 62.43% 14.39% 23.17%+0.89 -16.2 0
1959-11-15 @ Transport W 2-150.5 1193 1235 23.17% 14.39% 62.43%-0.89 +16.2 2
1959-11-21 Shelbourne L 0-237.3 1166 1305 38.96% 14.44% 46.59%-0.49 -21.1 0
1959-11-21 @ Bohemian W 2-037.3 1305 1166 46.59% 14.44% 38.96%+0.49 +21.1 5
1959-11-22 St Patrick's Athletic W 5-240.5 1337 1324 59.20% 14.42% 26.38%+0.67 +15.9 4
1959-11-22 @ Cork Celtic L 2-540.5 1324 1337 26.38% 14.42% 59.20%-0.67 -15.9 4
1959-11-22 Cork Hibernians L 0-243.9 1277 1252 60.47% 14.41% 25.12%+0.75 -31.4 3
1959-11-22 @ Dundalk W 2-043.9 1252 1277 25.12% 14.41% 60.47%-0.75 +31.4 5
1959-11-22 Sligo Rovers W 6-026.7 1329 1209 69.65% 14.27% 16.08%+1.48 +26.4 4
1959-11-22 @ Drumconda L 0-626.7 1209 1329 16.08% 14.27% 69.65%-1.48 -26.4 2
1959-11-22 Transport W 1-034.0 1306 1219 66.84% 14.33% 18.84%+1.23 +5.8 2
1959-11-22 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-134.0 1219 1306 18.84% 14.33% 66.84%-1.23 -5.8 0
1959-11-22 Limerick W 1-035.9 1336 1295 62.30% 14.39% 23.30%+0.88 +7.1 5
1959-11-22 @ Waterford L 0-135.9 1295 1336 23.30% 14.39% 62.30%-0.88 -7.1 2
1959-11-29 Dundalk L 1-638.3 1144 1245 44.42% 14.46% 41.12%-0.20 -45.8 0
1959-11-29 @ Bohemian W 6-138.3 1245 1144 41.12% 14.46% 44.42%+0.20 +45.8 5
1959-11-29 Waterford D 4-467.0 1284 1343 50.22% 14.46% 35.32%+0.12 -0.5 6
1959-11-29 @ Cork Hibernians D 4-467.0 1343 1284 35.32% 14.46% 50.22%-0.12 +0.5 6
1959-11-29 Cork Celtic W 2-143.6 1288 1353 49.38% 14.46% 36.16%+0.07 +9.9 4
1959-11-29 @ Limerick L 1-243.6 1353 1288 36.16% 14.46% 49.38%-0.07 -9.9 4
1959-11-29 Drumconda L 1-248.7 1312 1356 52.25% 14.46% 33.29%+0.24 -13.7 2
1959-11-29 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-148.7 1356 1312 33.29% 14.46% 52.25%-0.24 +13.7 6
1959-11-29 St Patrick's Athletic W 7-240.8 1183 1308 40.91% 14.45% 44.64%-0.38 +38.5 4
1959-11-29 @ Sligo Rovers L 2-740.8 1308 1183 44.64% 14.45% 40.91%+0.38 -38.5 4
1959-11-29 Shelbourne L 0-336.4 1213 1326 42.71% 14.46% 42.83%-0.29 -33.2 0
1959-11-29 @ Transport W 3-036.4 1326 1213 42.83% 14.46% 42.71%+0.29 +33.2 7
1959-12-05 Transport D 1-154.4 1099 1180 47.16% 14.46% 38.38%-0.05 -0.6 1
1959-12-05 @ Bohemian D 1-154.4 1180 1099 38.38% 14.46% 47.16%+0.05 +0.6 1
1959-12-06 Sligo Rovers W 4-345.1 1343 1221 69.76% 14.26% 15.98%+1.49 +4.4 6
1959-12-06 @ Cork Celtic L 3-445.1 1221 1343 15.98% 14.26% 69.76%-1.49 -4.4 4
1959-12-06 Drumconda W 1-040.4 1297 1369 48.44% 14.46% 37.10%+0.02 +10.7 6
1959-12-06 @ Limerick L 0-140.4 1369 1297 37.10% 14.46% 48.44%-0.02 -10.7 6
1959-12-06 Dundalk D 0-052.8 1359 1291 65.03% 14.36% 20.61%+1.08 -3.3 8
1959-12-06 @ Shelbourne D 0-052.8 1291 1359 20.61% 14.36% 65.03%-1.08 +3.3 6
1959-12-06 Cork Hibernians W 4-137.0 1270 1283 56.02% 14.45% 29.53%+0.46 +20.3 6
1959-12-06 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-437.0 1283 1270 29.53% 14.45% 56.02%-0.46 -20.3 6
1959-12-06 Shamrock Rovers L 1-349.5 1343 1298 62.70% 14.39% 22.91%+0.91 -28.2 6
1959-12-06 @ Waterford W 3-149.5 1298 1343 22.91% 14.39% 62.70%-0.91 +28.2 4
1959-12-13 Limerick W 2-142.3 1263 1308 52.06% 14.46% 33.48%+0.23 +9.2 8
1959-12-13 @ Cork Hibernians L 1-242.3 1308 1263 33.48% 14.46% 52.06%-0.23 -9.2 6
1959-12-13 Dundalk L 0-148.5 1359 1294 64.67% 14.36% 20.97%+1.06 -17.8 6
1959-12-13 @ Drumconda W 1-048.5 1294 1359 20.97% 14.36% 64.67%-1.06 +17.8 8
1959-12-13 Cork Celtic W 2-142.2 1327 1347 55.21% 14.45% 30.34%+0.41 +8.5 6
1959-12-13 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-242.2 1347 1327 30.34% 14.45% 55.21%-0.41 -8.5 6
1959-12-13 Shelbourne L 3-645.9 1217 1356 38.99% 14.44% 46.56%-0.49 -20.8 4
1959-12-13 @ Sligo Rovers W 6-345.9 1356 1217 46.56% 14.44% 38.99%+0.49 +20.7 10
1959-12-13 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-036.1 1181 1290 43.20% 14.46% 42.34%-0.26 +32.9 3
1959-12-13 @ Transport L 0-336.1 1290 1181 42.34% 14.46% 43.20%+0.26 -32.9 6
1959-12-13 Bohemian D 3-363.2 1315 1098 76.09% 14.03% 9.88%+2.21 -2.9 7
1959-12-13 @ Waterford D 3-363.2 1098 1315 9.88% 14.03% 76.09%-2.21 +2.9 2
1959-12-20 Bohemian W 7-127.1 1339 1101 77.16% 13.96% 8.88%+2.37 +12.3 8
1959-12-20 @ Cork Celtic L 1-727.1 1101 1339 8.88% 13.96% 77.16%-2.37 -12.3 2
1959-12-20 Shamrock Rovers W 4-244.3 1312 1335 54.89% 14.45% 30.66%+0.39 +13.3 10
1959-12-20 @ Dundalk L 2-444.3 1335 1312 30.66% 14.45% 54.89%-0.39 -13.3 6
1959-12-20 Sligo Rovers W 3-241.6 1299 1196 68.21% 14.30% 17.49%+1.35 +4.9 8
1959-12-20 @ Limerick L 2-341.6 1196 1299 17.49% 14.30% 68.21%-1.35 -4.9 4
1959-12-20 Waterford L 0-246.4 1376 1312 64.65% 14.36% 20.98%+1.05 -33.6 10
1959-12-20 @ Shelbourne W 2-046.4 1312 1376 20.98% 14.36% 64.65%-1.05 +33.6 9
1959-12-20 Drumconda L 2-448.7 1257 1341 46.78% 14.46% 38.76%-0.07 -19.2 6
1959-12-20 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 4-248.7 1341 1257 38.76% 14.46% 46.78%+0.07 +19.2 8
1959-12-20 Cork Hibernians L 0-737.3 1213 1272 50.22% 14.46% 35.31%+0.12 -84.8 3
1959-12-20 @ Transport W 7-037.3 1272 1213 35.31% 14.46% 50.22%-0.12 +84.8 10
1959-12-27 Cork Hibernians L 0-135.0 1089 1357 23.06% 14.27% 62.67%-1.47 -7.0 2
1959-12-27 @ Bohemian W 1-035.0 1357 1089 62.67% 14.27% 23.06%+1.47 +7.0 12
1959-12-27 Waterford W 4-031.6 1351 1346 58.30% 14.43% 27.27%+0.61 +29.3 10
1959-12-27 @ Cork Celtic L 0-431.6 1346 1351 27.27% 14.43% 58.30%-0.61 -29.3 9
1959-12-27 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-242.3 1325 1238 66.87% 14.33% 18.80%+1.23 +5.2 12
1959-12-27 @ Dundalk L 2-342.3 1238 1325 18.80% 14.33% 66.87%-1.23 -5.2 6
1959-12-27 Shelbourne W 3-245.6 1360 1343 59.69% 14.42% 25.89%+0.70 +7.0 10
1959-12-27 @ Drumconda L 2-345.6 1343 1360 25.89% 14.42% 59.69%-0.70 -7.0 10
1959-12-27 Transport W 2-135.3 1304 1129 73.61% 14.14% 12.25%+1.90 +3.7 10
1959-12-27 @ Limerick L 1-235.3 1129 1304 12.25% 14.14% 73.61%-1.90 -3.7 3
1959-12-27 Sligo Rovers W 8-027.5 1322 1191 70.48% 14.24% 15.28%+1.56 +33.1 8
1959-12-27 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-827.5 1191 1322 15.28% 14.24% 70.48%-1.56 -33.1 4
1960-01-03 Limerick L 1-633.3 1082 1307 27.76% 14.35% 57.89%-1.14 -30.3 2
1960-01-03 @ Bohemian W 6-133.3 1307 1082 57.89% 14.35% 27.76%+1.14 +30.3 12
1960-01-03 Shamrock Rovers W 3-139.7 1364 1355 58.76% 14.43% 26.81%+0.64 +13.2 14
1960-01-03 @ Cork Hibernians L 1-339.7 1355 1364 26.81% 14.43% 58.76%-0.64 -13.2 8
1960-01-03 Dundalk W 6-558.7 1158 1331 34.41% 14.41% 51.17%-0.74 +12.1 6
1960-01-03 @ Sligo Rovers L 5-658.7 1331 1158 51.17% 14.41% 34.41%+0.74 -12.1 12
1960-01-03 Shelbourne D 3-363.6 1233 1336 44.05% 14.46% 41.49%-0.22 -0.1 7
1960-01-03 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 3-363.6 1336 1233 41.49% 14.46% 44.05%+0.22 +0.1 11
1960-01-03 Cork Celtic L 0-528.9 1125 1380 24.45% 14.29% 61.25%-1.37 -32.6 3
1960-01-03 @ Transport W 5-028.9 1380 1125 61.25% 14.29% 24.45%+1.37 +32.7 12
1960-01-03 Drumconda W 3-141.4 1317 1367 51.35% 14.46% 34.19%+0.19 +16.3 11
1960-01-03 @ Waterford L 1-341.4 1367 1317 34.19% 14.46% 51.35%-0.19 -16.3 10
1960-01-08 Transport W 6-127.3 1351 1092 78.14% 13.90% 7.96%+2.53 +9.4 12
1960-01-08 @ Drumconda L 1-627.3 1092 1351 7.96% 13.90% 78.14%-2.53 -9.4 3
1960-01-10 Cork Hibernians W 2-142.1 1413 1377 61.72% 14.40% 23.88%+0.84 +6.8 14
1960-01-10 @ Cork Celtic L 1-242.1 1377 1413 23.88% 14.40% 61.72%-0.84 -6.8 14
1960-01-10 Limerick L 0-145.8 1319 1338 55.36% 14.45% 30.20%+0.42 -15.3 12
1960-01-10 @ Dundalk W 1-045.8 1338 1319 30.20% 14.45% 55.36%-0.42 +15.3 14
1960-01-10 Shamrock Rovers L 0-244.0 1336 1342 56.99% 14.44% 28.57%+0.52 -29.7 11
1960-01-10 @ Shelbourne W 2-044.0 1342 1336 28.57% 14.44% 56.99%-0.52 +29.7 10
1960-01-10 Bohemian D 1-154.5 1170 1051 69.54% 14.27% 16.19%+1.47 -3.6 7
1960-01-10 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-154.5 1051 1170 16.19% 14.27% 69.54%-1.47 +3.6 3
1960-01-10 Waterford W 1-040.9 1232 1333 44.45% 14.46% 41.09%-0.19 +11.7 9
1960-01-10 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-140.9 1333 1232 41.09% 14.46% 44.45%+0.19 -11.7 11
1960-01-17 Shamrock Rovers L 1-433.2 1055 1371 18.48% 14.16% 67.36%-1.83 -13.2 3
1960-01-17 @ Bohemian W 4-133.2 1371 1055 67.36% 14.16% 18.48%+1.83 +13.2 12
1960-01-17 Drumconda W 3-139.8 1370 1360 58.90% 14.43% 26.67%+0.65 +13.1 16
1960-01-17 @ Cork Hibernians L 1-339.8 1360 1370 26.67% 14.43% 58.90%-0.65 -13.1 12
1960-01-17 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-031.2 1353 1244 68.72% 14.29% 16.99%+1.39 +10.0 16
1960-01-17 @ Limerick L 0-231.2 1244 1353 16.99% 14.29% 68.72%-1.39 -10.0 9
1960-01-17 Cork Celtic W 2-040.4 1306 1420 42.60% 14.46% 42.95%-0.29 +23.0 13
1960-01-17 @ Shelbourne L 0-240.4 1420 1306 42.95% 14.46% 42.60%+0.29 -23.0 14
1960-01-17 Dundalk D 1-154.6 1083 1303 28.42% 14.35% 57.22%-1.10 +1.9 4
1960-01-17 @ Transport D 1-154.6 1303 1083 57.22% 14.35% 28.42%+1.10 -1.9 13
1960-01-17 Sligo Rovers W 1-032.2 1321 1167 72.24% 14.19% 13.57%+1.74 +4.3 13
1960-01-17 @ Waterford L 0-132.2 1167 1321 13.57% 14.19% 72.24%-1.74 -4.3 7
1960-01-24 Sligo Rovers W 3-132.9 1384 1162 76.32% 14.01% 9.66%+2.25 +5.1 18
1960-01-24 @ Cork Hibernians L 1-332.9 1162 1384 9.66% 14.01% 76.32%-2.25 -5.1 7
1960-01-24 Cork Celtic W 4-035.6 1301 1397 45.16% 14.46% 40.37%-0.16 +41.3 15
1960-01-24 @ Dundalk L 0-435.6 1397 1301 40.37% 14.46% 45.16%+0.16 -41.3 14
1960-01-24 Bohemian W 4-023.5 1347 1042 80.06% 13.73% 6.21%+2.88 +7.2 14
1960-01-24 @ Drumconda L 0-423.5 1042 1347 6.21% 13.73% 80.06%-2.88 -7.2 3
1960-01-24 Shelbourne W 3-138.5 1363 1329 61.53% 14.40% 24.07%+0.82 +11.9 18
1960-01-24 @ Limerick L 1-338.5 1329 1363 24.07% 14.40% 61.53%-0.82 -11.9 13
1960-01-24 Shamrock Rovers L 1-341.8 1234 1385 37.38% 14.43% 48.19%-0.57 -17.6 9
1960-01-24 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 3-141.8 1385 1234 48.19% 14.43% 37.38%+0.57 +17.6 14
1960-01-24 Waterford L 1-632.8 1085 1325 26.06% 14.32% 59.62%-1.26 -28.7 4
1960-01-24 @ Transport W 6-132.8 1325 1085 59.62% 14.32% 26.06%+1.26 +28.6 15
1960-01-31 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-634.8 1035 1216 33.19% 14.40% 52.41%-0.81 -35.5 3
1960-01-31 @ Bohemian W 6-134.8 1216 1035 52.41% 14.40% 33.19%+0.81 +35.5 11
1960-01-31 Drumconda D 2-260.6 1355 1354 57.85% 14.43% 27.72%+0.58 -1.5 15
1960-01-31 @ Cork Celtic D 2-260.6 1354 1355 27.72% 14.43% 57.85%-0.58 +1.5 15
1960-01-31 Limerick W 2-142.1 1402 1375 60.82% 14.41% 24.77%+0.77 +7.1 16
1960-01-31 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-242.1 1375 1402 24.77% 14.41% 60.82%-0.77 -7.1 18
1960-01-31 Cork Hibernians W 2-038.3 1317 1389 48.53% 14.46% 37.00%+0.03 +20.2 15
1960-01-31 @ Shelbourne L 0-238.3 1389 1317 37.00% 14.46% 48.53%-0.03 -20.2 18
1960-01-31 Transport W 4-132.8 1157 1056 68.04% 14.30% 17.65%+1.33 +12.7 9
1960-01-31 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-432.8 1056 1157 17.65% 14.30% 68.04%-1.33 -12.7 4
1960-01-31 Dundalk W 2-141.3 1354 1343 59.03% 14.43% 26.54%+0.65 +7.5 17
1960-01-31 @ Waterford L 1-241.3 1343 1354 26.54% 14.43% 59.03%-0.65 -7.5 15
1960-02-07 Dundalk L 1-349.9 1368 1335 61.47% 14.40% 24.13%+0.82 -27.7 18
1960-02-07 @ Cork Hibernians W 3-149.9 1335 1368 24.13% 14.40% 61.47%-0.82 +27.7 17
1960-02-07 Waterford W 5-031.6 1368 1362 58.43% 14.43% 27.14%+0.62 +35.9 20
1960-02-07 @ Limerick L 0-531.6 1362 1368 27.14% 14.43% 58.43%-0.62 -35.9 17
1960-02-07 Bohemian W 4-128.9 1337 999 81.21% 13.60% 5.19%+3.13 +3.9 17
1960-02-07 @ Shelbourne L 1-428.9 999 1337 5.19% 13.60% 81.21%-3.13 -3.9 3
1960-02-07 Drumconda W 1-044.2 1170 1356 32.69% 14.40% 52.91%-0.84 +14.7 11
1960-02-07 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-144.2 1356 1170 52.91% 14.40% 32.69%+0.84 -14.7 15
1960-02-07 Cork Celtic W 2-144.9 1252 1354 44.24% 14.46% 41.30%-0.21 +11.1 13
1960-02-07 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-244.9 1354 1252 41.30% 14.46% 44.24%+0.21 -11.1 15
1960-02-07 Shamrock Rovers W 3-257.6 1044 1409 14.56% 14.03% 71.41%-2.21 +17.6 6
1960-02-07 @ Transport L 2-357.6 1409 1044 71.41% 14.03% 14.56%+2.21 -17.6 16
1960-02-20 Transport W 3-025.2 1341 1061 79.09% 13.82% 7.09%+2.69 +6.3 19
1960-02-20 @ Shelbourne L 0-325.2 1061 1341 7.09% 13.82% 79.09%-2.69 -6.3 6
1960-02-21 Bohemian W 2-132.7 1363 995 82.08% 13.48% 4.43%+3.36 +1.4 19
1960-02-21 @ Dundalk L 1-232.7 995 1363 4.43% 13.48% 82.08%-3.36 -1.4 3
1960-02-21 Shamrock Rovers D 1-156.7 1341 1392 51.30% 14.46% 34.24%+0.18 -1.1 16
1960-02-21 @ Drumconda D 1-156.7 1392 1341 34.24% 14.46% 51.30%-0.18 +1.1 17
1960-02-21 Sligo Rovers W 2-137.6 1263 1185 66.03% 14.34% 19.63%+1.16 +5.7 15
1960-02-21 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-237.6 1185 1263 19.63% 14.34% 66.03%-1.16 -5.7 11
1960-02-28 St Patrick's Athletic L 3-460.2 1341 1269 65.40% 14.35% 20.24%+1.11 -15.7 18
1960-02-28 @ Cork Hibernians W 4-360.2 1269 1341 20.24% 14.35% 65.40%-1.11 +15.7 17
1960-02-28 Shelbourne L 0-245.2 1364 1348 59.60% 14.42% 25.98%+0.69 -31.0 19
1960-02-28 @ Dundalk W 2-045.2 1348 1364 25.98% 14.42% 59.60%-0.69 +31.0 21
1960-02-28 Limerick W 2-144.8 1340 1404 49.53% 14.46% 36.00%+0.08 +9.8 18
1960-02-28 @ Drumconda L 1-244.8 1404 1340 36.00% 14.46% 49.53%-0.08 -9.9 20
1960-02-28 Waterford W 6-133.2 1393 1326 64.95% 14.36% 20.69%+1.08 +23.3 19
1960-02-28 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-633.2 1326 1393 20.69% 14.36% 64.95%-1.08 -23.3 17
1960-02-28 Cork Celtic L 3-450.8 1179 1343 35.54% 14.42% 50.03%-0.68 -9.0 11
1960-02-28 @ Sligo Rovers W 4-350.8 1343 1179 50.03% 14.42% 35.54%+0.68 +9.0 17
1960-02-28 Bohemian W 2-031.6 1055 994 64.35% 14.37% 21.28%+1.03 +12.3 8
1960-02-28 @ Transport L 0-231.6 994 1055 21.28% 14.37% 64.35%-1.03 -12.3 3
1960-03-12 Sligo Rovers D 3-363.6 1379 1170 75.65% 14.05% 10.30%+2.15 -2.8 22
1960-03-12 @ Shelbourne D 3-363.6 1170 1379 10.30% 14.05% 75.65%-2.15 +2.8 12
1960-03-12 Transport W 1-030.8 1285 1067 76.12% 14.02% 9.86%+2.22 +3.2 19
1960-03-12 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-130.8 1067 1285 9.86% 14.02% 76.12%-2.22 -3.2 8
1960-03-13 Shamrock Rovers D 3-365.8 1352 1416 49.50% 14.46% 36.04%+0.08 -0.5 18
1960-03-13 @ Cork Celtic D 3-365.8 1416 1352 36.04% 14.46% 49.50%-0.08 +0.5 20
1960-03-13 Drumconda W 3-140.1 1333 1350 55.68% 14.45% 29.87%+0.44 +14.5 21
1960-03-13 @ Dundalk L 1-340.1 1350 1333 29.87% 14.45% 55.68%-0.44 -14.5 18
1960-03-13 Cork Hibernians W 2-139.8 1394 1325 65.12% 14.36% 20.52%+1.09 +6.0 22
1960-03-13 @ Limerick L 1-239.8 1325 1394 20.52% 14.36% 65.12%-1.09 -6.0 18
1960-03-17 Limerick W 4-034.5 1351 1400 51.60% 14.46% 33.94%+0.20 +35.5 20
1960-03-17 @ Cork Celtic L 0-434.5 1400 1351 33.94% 14.46% 51.60%-0.20 -35.5 22
1960-03-17 Cork Hibernians L 1-249.3 1302 1319 55.68% 14.45% 29.87%+0.44 -14.5 17
1960-03-17 @ Waterford W 2-149.3 1319 1302 29.87% 14.45% 55.68%-0.44 +14.5 20
1960-03-20 Cork Celtic D 1-154.7 981 1387 11.94% 13.90% 74.15%-2.51 +4.3 4
1960-03-20 @ Bohemian D 1-154.7 1387 981 74.15% 13.90% 11.94%+2.51 -4.3 21
1960-03-20 Transport W 10-126.3 1334 1064 78.64% 13.86% 7.50%+2.61 +15.3 22
1960-03-20 @ Cork Hibernians L 1-1026.3 1064 1334 7.50% 13.86% 78.64%-2.61 -15.3 8
1960-03-20 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-245.2 1335 1288 62.97% 14.39% 22.64%+0.93 -32.7 18
1960-03-20 @ Drumconda W 2-045.2 1288 1335 22.64% 14.39% 62.97%-0.93 +32.7 21
1960-03-20 Dundalk W 2-034.3 1417 1348 65.13% 14.36% 20.51%+1.09 +11.9 22
1960-03-20 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-234.3 1348 1417 20.51% 14.36% 65.13%-1.09 -11.9 21
1960-03-20 Limerick L 1-437.6 1173 1364 31.92% 14.39% 53.69%-0.89 -21.7 12
1960-03-20 @ Sligo Rovers W 4-137.6 1364 1173 53.69% 14.39% 31.92%+0.89 +21.7 24
1960-03-20 Shelbourne D 2-260.1 1288 1376 46.24% 14.46% 39.30%-0.10 -0.3 18
1960-03-20 @ Waterford D 2-260.1 1376 1288 39.30% 14.46% 46.24%+0.10 +0.3 23
1960-03-23 Waterford L 0-133.7 986 1288 19.79% 14.20% 66.01%-1.72 -6.1 4
1960-03-23 @ Bohemian W 1-033.7 1288 986 66.01% 14.20% 19.79%+1.72 +6.1 20
1960-03-27 Bohemian W 3-024.2 1349 980 82.13% 13.47% 4.40%+3.37 +3.9 24
1960-03-27 @ Cork Hibernians L 0-324.2 980 1349 4.40% 13.47% 82.13%-3.37 -3.9 4
1960-03-27 Drumconda W 2-139.1 1376 1303 65.56% 14.35% 20.09%+1.13 +5.8 25
1960-03-27 @ Shelbourne L 1-239.1 1303 1376 20.09% 14.35% 65.56%-1.13 -5.8 18
1960-03-27 Shamrock Rovers L 0-232.6 1151 1429 22.12% 14.25% 63.63%-1.54 -12.7 12
1960-03-27 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-032.6 1429 1151 63.63% 14.25% 22.12%+1.54 +12.7 24
1960-03-27 Dundalk L 0-243.4 1320 1336 55.85% 14.45% 29.71%+0.45 -29.1 21
1960-03-27 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-043.4 1336 1320 29.71% 14.45% 55.85%-0.45 +29.1 23
1960-03-27 Limerick L 0-133.0 1049 1386 16.72% 14.11% 69.17%-1.99 -5.2 8
1960-03-27 @ Transport W 1-033.0 1386 1049 69.17% 14.11% 16.72%+1.99 +5.2 26
1960-03-27 Cork Celtic L 1-541.3 1294 1383 46.09% 14.46% 39.44%-0.11 -38.6 20
1960-03-27 @ Waterford W 5-141.3 1383 1294 39.44% 14.46% 46.09%+0.11 +38.6 23
1960-04-03 Transport W 3-130.8 1421 1044 82.37% 13.44% 4.20%+3.43 +2.2 25
1960-04-03 @ Cork Celtic L 1-330.8 1044 1421 4.20% 13.44% 82.37%-3.43 -2.2 8
1960-04-03 Bohemian W 4-022.4 1391 976 83.32% 13.27% 3.41%+3.72 +4.0 28
1960-04-03 @ Limerick L 0-422.4 976 1391 3.41% 13.27% 83.32%-3.72 -4.0 4
1960-04-08 Waterford L 0-342.4 1297 1255 62.35% 14.39% 23.25%+0.88 -47.0 18
1960-04-08 @ Drumconda W 3-042.4 1255 1297 23.25% 14.39% 62.35%-0.88 +47.0 22
1960-04-10 Sligo Rovers D 2-258.6 972 1138 35.23% 14.42% 50.35%-0.69 +0.7 5
1960-04-10 @ Bohemian D 2-258.6 1138 972 50.35% 14.42% 35.23%+0.69 -0.7 13
1960-04-10 Cork Celtic D 3-366.0 1353 1423 48.63% 14.46% 36.91%+0.03 -0.5 25
1960-04-10 @ Cork Hibernians D 3-366.0 1423 1353 36.91% 14.46% 48.63%-0.03 +0.5 26
1960-04-10 Dundalk W 2-141.6 1395 1365 61.17% 14.41% 24.43%+0.80 +7.0 30
1960-04-10 @ Limerick L 1-241.6 1365 1395 24.43% 14.41% 61.17%-0.80 -7.0 23
1960-04-10 Shelbourne D 2-262.8 1441 1382 64.18% 14.37% 21.45%+1.02 -2.1 25
1960-04-10 @ Shamrock Rovers D 2-262.8 1382 1441 21.45% 14.37% 64.18%-1.02 +2.1 26
1960-04-10 Drumconda L 0-136.8 1041 1250 29.84% 14.37% 55.78%-1.01 -8.9 8
1960-04-10 @ Transport W 1-036.8 1250 1041 55.78% 14.37% 29.84%+1.01 +8.9 20
1960-04-10 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-146.4 1302 1291 58.96% 14.43% 26.62%+0.65 -16.3 22
1960-04-10 @ Waterford W 1-046.4 1291 1302 26.62% 14.43% 58.96%-0.65 +16.3 23
1960-04-14 Cork Hibernians L 1-254.9 1439 1352 66.80% 14.33% 18.88%+1.23 -17.4 25
1960-04-14 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-154.9 1352 1439 18.88% 14.33% 66.80%-1.23 +17.4 27
1960-04-17 Shelbourne W 4-350.5 1424 1384 62.16% 14.40% 23.44%+0.87 +6.2 28
1960-04-17 @ Cork Celtic L 3-450.5 1384 1424 23.44% 14.40% 62.16%-0.87 -6.2 26
1960-04-17 Transport W 3-024.6 1358 1032 80.78% 13.65% 5.57%+3.04 +5.0 25
1960-04-17 @ Dundalk L 0-324.6 1032 1358 5.57% 13.65% 80.78%-3.04 -5.0 8
1960-04-17 Cork Hibernians W 4-141.4 1259 1370 42.92% 14.46% 42.62%-0.28 +27.9 22
1960-04-17 @ Drumconda L 1-441.4 1370 1259 42.62% 14.46% 42.92%+0.28 -27.9 27
1960-04-17 Bohemian W 5-021.8 1422 973 84.05% 13.11% 2.84%+3.98 +4.1 27
1960-04-17 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-521.8 973 1422 2.84% 13.11% 84.05%-3.98 -4.1 5
1960-04-17 Waterford L 1-243.0 1137 1286 37.67% 14.44% 47.89%-0.56 -10.2 13
1960-04-17 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-143.0 1286 1137 47.89% 14.44% 37.67%+0.56 +10.2 24
1960-04-17 Limerick W 3-250.1 1308 1402 45.27% 14.46% 40.26%-0.15 +10.3 25
1960-04-17 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 2-350.1 1402 1308 40.26% 14.46% 45.27%+0.15 -10.3 30
1960-04-19 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-139.7 1378 1318 64.24% 14.37% 21.39%+1.02 +6.2 28
1960-04-19 @ Shelbourne L 1-239.7 1318 1378 21.39% 14.37% 64.24%-1.02 -6.2 25
1960-04-21 Sligo Rovers W 4-236.7 1363 1127 77.06% 13.97% 8.97%+2.35 +4.2 27
1960-04-21 @ Dundalk L 2-436.7 1127 1363 8.97% 13.97% 77.06%-2.35 -4.2 13

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1960-02-07 14.56% @ Transport 1044 3 Shamrock Rovers 1409 2
2 1959-11-08 16.75% Dundalk 1239 5 @ Cork Celtic 1351 2
3 1959-11-08 18.57% St Patrick's Athletic 1268 4 @ Shamrock Rovers 1358 1
4 1960-04-14 18.88% Cork Hibernians 1352 2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1439 1
5 1960-02-28 20.24% St Patrick's Athletic 1269 4 @ Cork Hibernians 1341 3
6 1959-12-13 20.97% Dundalk 1294 1 @ Drumconda 1359 0
7 1959-12-20 20.98% Waterford 1312 2 @ Shelbourne 1376 0
8 1960-03-20 22.64% St Patrick's Athletic 1288 2 @ Drumconda 1335 0
9 1959-12-06 22.91% Shamrock Rovers 1298 3 @ Waterford 1343 1
10 1959-11-15 23.17% Sligo Rovers 1193 2 @ Transport 1235 1
11 1960-04-08 23.25% Waterford 1255 3 @ Drumconda 1297 0
12 1959-11-15 23.43% Cork Celtic 1313 5 @ Drumconda 1353 3
13 1960-02-07 24.13% Dundalk 1335 3 @ Cork Hibernians 1368 1
14 1959-11-22 25.12% Cork Hibernians 1252 2 @ Dundalk 1277 0
15 1960-02-28 25.98% Shelbourne 1348 2 @ Dundalk 1364 0
16 1960-04-10 26.62% St Patrick's Athletic 1291 1 @ Waterford 1302 0
17 1960-01-10 28.57% Shamrock Rovers 1342 2 @ Shelbourne 1336 0
18 1959-11-08 29.03% Cork Hibernians 1228 3 @ Sligo Rovers 1218 1
19 1960-03-27 29.71% Dundalk 1336 2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1320 0
20 1960-03-17 29.87% Cork Hibernians 1319 2 @ Waterford 1302 1
21 1960-01-10 30.20% Limerick 1338 1 @ Dundalk 1319 0
22 1960-02-07 32.69% @ Sligo Rovers 1170 1 Drumconda 1356 0
23 1959-11-29 33.29% Drumconda 1356 2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1312 1
24 1960-01-03 34.41% @ Sligo Rovers 1158 6 Dundalk 1331 5
25 1959-12-20 35.31% Cork Hibernians 1272 7 @ Transport 1213 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1959-12-20 84.75 Cork Hibernians 7 1272 35.31% @ Transport 0 1213 50.22% 14.46%
2 1960-04-08 47.04 Waterford 3 1255 23.25% @ Drumconda 0 1297 62.35% 14.39%
3 1959-11-29 45.76 Dundalk 6 1245 41.12% @ Bohemian 1 1144 44.42% 14.46%
4 1959-11-08 42.72 St Patrick's Athletic 4 1268 18.57% @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1358 67.10% 14.32%
5 1960-01-24 41.31 @ Dundalk 4 1301 45.16% Cork Celtic 0 1397 40.37% 14.46%
6 1960-03-27 38.60 Cork Celtic 5 1383 39.44% @ Waterford 1 1294 46.09% 14.46%
7 1959-11-29 38.45 @ Sligo Rovers 7 1183 40.91% St Patrick's Athletic 2 1308 44.64% 14.45%
8 1959-11-08 38.05 Dundalk 5 1239 16.75% @ Cork Celtic 2 1351 68.97% 14.28%
9 1960-02-07 35.92 @ Limerick 5 1368 58.43% Waterford 0 1362 27.14% 14.43%
10 1960-01-31 35.54 St Patrick's Athletic 6 1216 52.41% @ Bohemian 1 1035 33.19% 14.40%
11 1960-03-17 35.53 @ Cork Celtic 4 1351 51.60% Limerick 0 1400 33.94% 14.46%
12 1959-11-07 33.74 Drumconda 3 1319 41.99% @ Bohemian 0 1212 43.55% 14.46%
13 1959-12-20 33.58 Waterford 2 1312 20.98% @ Shelbourne 0 1376 64.65% 14.36%
14 1959-11-29 33.19 Shelbourne 3 1326 42.83% @ Transport 0 1213 42.71% 14.46%
15 1959-12-27 33.08 @ Shamrock Rovers 8 1322 70.48% Sligo Rovers 0 1191 15.28% 14.24%
16 1959-12-13 32.94 @ Transport 3 1181 43.20% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1290 42.34% 14.46%
17 1960-03-20 32.71 St Patrick's Athletic 2 1288 22.64% @ Drumconda 0 1335 62.97% 14.39%
18 1960-01-03 32.65 Cork Celtic 5 1380 61.25% @ Transport 0 1125 24.45% 14.29%
19 1959-11-22 31.43 Cork Hibernians 2 1252 25.12% @ Dundalk 0 1277 60.47% 14.41%
20 1960-02-28 30.98 Shelbourne 2 1348 25.98% @ Dundalk 0 1364 59.60% 14.42%
21 1960-01-03 30.32 Limerick 6 1307 57.89% @ Bohemian 1 1082 27.76% 14.35%
22 1960-01-10 29.67 Shamrock Rovers 2 1342 28.57% @ Shelbourne 0 1336 56.99% 14.44%
23 1959-12-27 29.27 @ Cork Celtic 4 1351 58.30% Waterford 0 1346 27.27% 14.43%
24 1960-03-27 29.10 Dundalk 2 1336 29.71% @ St Patrick's Athletic 0 1320 55.85% 14.45%
25 1960-01-24 28.65 Waterford 6 1325 59.62% @ Transport 1 1085 26.06% 14.32%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1959-11-29 67.0 @ Cork Hibernians 4 1284 50.22% Waterford 4 1343 35.32% 14.46%
2 1960-04-10 66.0 @ Cork Hibernians 3 1353 48.63% Cork Celtic 3 1423 36.91% 14.46%
3 1960-03-13 65.8 @ Cork Celtic 3 1352 49.50% Shamrock Rovers 3 1416 36.04% 14.46%
4 1960-01-03 63.6 @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1233 44.05% Shelbourne 3 1336 41.49% 14.46%
5 1960-03-12 63.6 @ Shelbourne 3 1379 75.65% Sligo Rovers 3 1170 10.30% 14.05%
6 1959-12-13 63.2 @ Waterford 3 1315 76.09% Bohemian 3 1098 9.88% 14.03%
7 1960-04-10 62.8 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1441 64.18% Shelbourne 2 1382 21.45% 14.37%
8 1960-01-31 60.6 @ Cork Celtic 2 1355 57.85% Drumconda 2 1354 27.72% 14.43%
9 1960-02-28 60.2 St Patrick's Athletic 4 1269 20.24% @ Cork Hibernians 3 1341 65.40% 14.35%
10 1960-03-20 60.1 @ Waterford 2 1288 46.24% Shelbourne 2 1376 39.30% 14.46%
11 1959-11-15 59.6 @ Dundalk 2 1277 50.39% Waterford 2 1335 35.15% 14.46%
12 1960-01-03 58.7 @ Sligo Rovers 6 1158 34.41% Dundalk 5 1331 51.17% 14.41%
13 1960-04-10 58.6 @ Bohemian 2 972 35.23% Sligo Rovers 2 1138 50.35% 14.42%
14 1960-02-07 57.6 @ Transport 3 1044 14.56% Shamrock Rovers 2 1409 71.41% 14.03%
15 1959-11-15 56.8 Cork Celtic 5 1313 23.43% @ Drumconda 3 1353 62.17% 14.40%
16 1960-02-21 56.7 @ Drumconda 1 1341 51.30% Shamrock Rovers 1 1392 34.24% 14.46%
17 1959-11-15 55.1 @ Cork Hibernians 1 1254 51.40% Shelbourne 1 1304 34.14% 14.46%
18 1960-04-14 54.9 Cork Hibernians 2 1352 18.88% @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1439 66.80% 14.33%
19 1960-03-20 54.7 @ Bohemian 1 981 11.94% Cork Celtic 1 1387 74.15% 13.90%
20 1960-01-17 54.6 @ Transport 1 1083 28.42% Dundalk 1 1303 57.22% 14.35%
21 1960-01-10 54.5 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1170 69.54% Bohemian 1 1051 16.19% 14.27%
22 1959-12-05 54.4 @ Bohemian 1 1099 47.16% Transport 1 1180 38.38% 14.46%
23 1959-12-06 52.8 @ Shelbourne 0 1359 65.03% Dundalk 0 1291 20.61% 14.36%
24 1959-11-08 52.7 Dundalk 5 1239 16.75% @ Cork Celtic 2 1351 68.97% 14.28%
25 1960-02-28 50.8 Cork Celtic 4 1343 50.03% @ Sligo Rovers 3 1179 35.54% 14.42%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1960-04-17 21.8 @ Shamrock Rovers 5 1422 84.05% Bohemian 0 973 2.84% 13.11%
2 1960-04-03 22.4 @ Limerick 4 1391 83.32% Bohemian 0 976 3.41% 13.27%
3 1960-01-24 23.5 @ Drumconda 4 1347 80.06% Bohemian 0 1042 6.21% 13.73%
4 1960-03-27 24.2 @ Cork Hibernians 3 1349 82.13% Bohemian 0 980 4.40% 13.47%
5 1960-04-17 24.6 @ Dundalk 3 1358 80.78% Transport 0 1032 5.57% 13.65%
6 1960-02-20 25.2 @ Shelbourne 3 1341 79.09% Transport 0 1061 7.09% 13.82%
7 1960-03-20 26.3 @ Cork Hibernians 10 1334 78.64% Transport 1 1064 7.50% 13.86%
8 1959-11-22 26.7 @ Drumconda 6 1329 69.65% Sligo Rovers 0 1209 16.08% 14.27%
9 1959-12-20 27.1 @ Cork Celtic 7 1339 77.16% Bohemian 1 1101 8.88% 13.96%
10 1960-01-08 27.3 @ Drumconda 6 1351 78.14% Transport 1 1092 7.96% 13.90%
11 1959-12-27 27.5 @ Shamrock Rovers 8 1322 70.48% Sligo Rovers 0 1191 15.28% 14.24%
12 1959-11-15 27.9 @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1311 70.58% Bohemian 0 1179 15.18% 14.24%
13 1960-01-03 28.9 Cork Celtic 5 1380 61.25% @ Transport 0 1125 24.45% 14.29%
14 1960-02-07 28.9 @ Shelbourne 4 1337 81.21% Bohemian 1 999 5.19% 13.60%
15 1960-03-12 30.8 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1285 76.12% Transport 0 1067 9.86% 14.02%
16 1960-04-03 30.8 @ Cork Celtic 3 1421 82.37% Transport 1 1044 4.20% 13.44%
17 1960-01-17 31.2 @ Limerick 2 1353 68.72% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1244 16.99% 14.29%
18 1959-12-27 31.6 @ Cork Celtic 4 1351 58.30% Waterford 0 1346 27.27% 14.43%
19 1960-02-07 31.6 @ Limerick 5 1368 58.43% Waterford 0 1362 27.14% 14.43%
20 1960-02-28 31.6 @ Transport 2 1055 64.35% Bohemian 0 994 21.28% 14.37%
21 1960-01-17 32.2 @ Waterford 1 1321 72.24% Sligo Rovers 0 1167 13.57% 14.19%
22 1960-03-27 32.6 Shamrock Rovers 2 1429 63.63% @ Sligo Rovers 0 1151 22.12% 14.25%
23 1960-02-21 32.7 @ Dundalk 2 1363 82.08% Bohemian 1 995 4.43% 13.48%
24 1960-01-24 32.8 Waterford 6 1325 59.62% @ Transport 1 1085 26.06% 14.32%
25 1960-01-31 32.8 @ Sligo Rovers 4 1157 68.04% Transport 1 1056 17.65% 14.30%