‹ ›

1960-61 League of Ireland Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Drumconda

33 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

St Patrick's Athletic

8.17 points above expected

32 points · 23.83 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sligo Rovers

6.20 points below expected

6 points · 12.20 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Drumconda 22 16 1 5 33 59 21 +38 26.38 +6.62
2 St Patrick's Athletic 22 14 4 4 32 43 28 +15 23.83 +8.17
3 Waterford 22 12 5 5 29 45 33 +12 25.85 +3.15
4 Cork Celtic 22 11 4 7 26 52 31 +21 26.34 -0.34
5 Dundalk 22 12 2 8 26 43 37 +6 26.56 -0.56
6 Shamrock Rovers 22 9 7 6 25 40 29 +11 27.63 -2.63
7 Limerick 22 10 4 8 24 35 27 +8 24.86 -0.86
8 Shelbourne 22 7 5 10 19 43 41 +2 23.22 -4.22
9 Cork Hibernians 22 5 8 9 18 30 42 -12 21.39 -3.39
10 Transport 22 6 2 14 14 27 39 -12 14.44 -0.44
11 Bohemian 22 4 4 14 12 25 52 -27 11.30 +0.70
12 Sligo Rovers 22 1 4 17 6 35 97 -62 12.20 -6.20

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 St Patrick's Athletic 32 23.83 +8.17
2 Drumconda 33 26.38 +6.62
3 Waterford 29 25.85 +3.15
4 Bohemian 12 11.30 +0.70
5 Cork Celtic 26 26.34 -0.34

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sligo Rovers 6 12.20 -6.20
2 Shelbourne 19 23.22 -4.22
3 Cork Hibernians 18 21.39 -3.39
4 Shamrock Rovers 25 27.63 -2.63
5 Limerick 24 24.86 -0.86

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Drumconda 7 Feb 26 – Apr 16 1 in 147
2 Waterford 4 Nov 6 – Nov 27 1 in 32
3 Dundalk 4 Nov 26 – Dec 18 1 in 26
4 St Patrick's Athletic 4 Nov 5 – Nov 27 1 in 17
5 Transport 2 Nov 27 – Dec 3 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shelbourne 4 Nov 13 – Dec 4 1 in 115
2 Drumconda 2 Jan 29 – Feb 5 1 in 32
3 Transport 6 Dec 18 – Jan 22 1 in 14
4 Shamrock Rovers 2 Apr 2 – Apr 8 1 in 11
5 Sligo Rovers 5 Jan 1 – Jan 29 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shelbourne 8 Jan 15 – Mar 19 1 in 34
2 Waterford 7 Jan 29 – Mar 26 1 in 27
3 Drumconda 8 Feb 12 – Apr 16 1 in 19
4 Bohemian 3 Jan 8 – Jan 22 1 in 17
5 Shamrock Rovers 8 Dec 26 – Feb 12 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cork Hibernians 10 Jan 1 – Feb 26 1 in 200
2 Shelbourne 7 Nov 13 – Dec 27 1 in 92
3 Sligo Rovers 19 Nov 6 – Mar 26 1 in 55
4 Shamrock Rovers 6 Jan 29 – Mar 19 1 in 29
5 Drumconda 3 Jan 29 – Feb 12 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Drumconda 1443 33 +85 10 6.5 +3.5
St Patrick's Athletic 1317 32 +61 8 4.2 +3.8
Waterford 1257 29 -76 4 5.3 -1.3
Cork Celtic 1382 26 +49 8 6.8 +1.2
Dundalk 1261 26 -37 4 6.6 -2.6
Shamrock Rovers 1302 25 -27 4 6.5 -2.5
Limerick 1277 24 -6 6 6.8 -0.8
Shelbourne 1262 19 -43 3 4.9 -1.9
Cork Hibernians 1183 18 -22 3 4.4 -1.4
Transport 1074 14 +20 5 2.6 +2.4
Bohemian 1020 12 -10 3 3.2 -0.2
Sligo Rovers 930 6 +6 2 2.2 -0.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOH CC CH DRU DUN LIM SR SHE SR SPA TRA WAT
Bohemian —
0-0-2
0.96
0-1-1
1.48
1-0-1
1.08
0-0-2
1.15
0-0-2
1.06
0-1-1
1.11
0-1-1
1.29
2-0-0
2.81
0-0-2
1.46
1-0-1
2.25
0-1-1
0.98
Cork Celtic
2-0-0
4.67
—
2-0-0
3.50
2-0-0
2.82
0-1-1
3.11
0-0-2
3.03
0-1-1
2.77
1-0-1
3.31
2-0-0
4.44
1-0-1
3.24
1-1-0
4.38
0-1-1
2.81
Cork Hibernians
1-1-0
4.13
0-0-2
2.10
—
0-0-2
1.48
0-1-1
2.35
1-0-1
2.24
1-1-0
1.96
1-1-0
2.48
0-2-0
4.42
0-1-1
2.58
1-0-1
3.70
0-1-1
2.30
Drumconda
1-0-1
4.54
0-0-2
2.78
2-0-0
4.13
—
1-0-1
2.79
2-0-0
2.61
0-1-1
2.51
2-0-0
3.37
2-0-0
3.98
2-0-0
2.97
2-0-0
4.53
2-0-0
2.98
Dundalk
2-0-0
4.47
1-1-0
2.49
1-1-0
3.25
1-0-1
2.81
—
2-0-0
2.61
2-0-0
2.48
1-0-1
3.13
1-0-1
4.70
0-0-2
3.33
1-0-1
4.29
0-0-2
3.14
Limerick
2-0-0
4.57
2-0-0
2.57
1-0-1
3.36
0-0-2
2.98
0-0-2
2.99
—
0-2-0
2.44
1-1-0
2.96
1-1-0
4.60
0-0-2
3.00
2-0-0
4.11
1-0-1
2.93
Shamrock Rovers
1-1-0
4.52
1-1-0
2.83
0-1-1
3.64
1-1-0
3.09
0-0-2
3.12
0-2-0
3.16
—
1-0-1
3.22
2-0-0
4.62
0-1-1
3.36
2-0-0
4.35
1-0-1
3.00
Shelbourne
1-1-0
4.32
1-0-1
2.29
0-1-1
3.12
0-0-2
2.23
1-0-1
2.47
0-1-1
2.64
1-0-1
2.38
—
1-1-0
4.53
1-0-1
2.81
1-0-1
3.99
0-1-1
2.48
Sligo Rovers
0-0-2
2.79
0-0-2
1.18
0-2-0
1.20
0-0-2
1.65
1-0-1
0.93
0-1-1
1.03
0-0-2
1.02
0-1-1
1.09
—
0-0-2
1.39
0-0-2
2.64
0-0-2
1.00
St Patrick's Athletic
2-0-0
4.14
1-0-1
2.36
1-1-0
3.02
0-0-2
2.63
2-0-0
2.27
2-0-0
2.60
1-1-0
2.24
1-0-1
2.79
2-0-0
4.23
—
1-1-0
4.07
1-1-0
2.48
Transport
1-0-1
3.35
0-1-1
1.24
1-0-1
1.90
0-0-2
1.10
1-0-1
1.32
0-0-2
1.50
0-0-2
1.26
1-0-1
1.61
2-0-0
2.96
0-1-1
1.54
—
0-0-2
1.51
Waterford
1-1-0
4.64
1-1-0
2.79
1-1-0
3.30
0-0-2
2.62
2-0-0
2.46
1-0-1
2.68
1-0-1
2.60
1-1-0
3.13
2-0-0
4.62
0-1-1
3.12
2-0-0
4.10
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.57 +6.3
Allowed 0.70 -3.5
Differential 0.87 +3.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%5.68%3.41%3.03%1.52%22.73%
16.06%6.06%6.44%4.92%0.38%1.89%25.76%
25.68%6.44%6.82%2.27%1.89%1.14%24.24%
33.41%4.92%2.27%2.27%1.14%0.76%14.77%
43.03%0.38%1.89%1.14%——6.44%
5+1.52%1.89%1.14%0.76%—0.76%6.06%
Total22.73%25.76%24.24%14.77%6.44%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.81 +0.00
SD 1.62 1.62 2.43
CV 0.89 0.89 —
Max 9 9 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%9.09%4.55%9.09%—31.82%
19.09%9.09%13.64%4.55%—9.09%45.45%
2——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
3——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total13.64%18.18%31.82%13.64%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 2.36 -1.23
SD 1.25 1.76 2.31
CV 1.10 0.74 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
1—4.55%13.64%———18.18%
24.55%9.09%9.09%9.09%——31.82%
39.09%9.09%————18.18%
4——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total22.73%27.27%36.36%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.36 1.41 +0.95
SD 1.99 1.01 2.19
CV 0.84 0.72 —
Max 9 3 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%9.09%4.55%—27.27%
14.55%9.09%13.64%4.55%——31.82%
24.55%4.55%13.64%———22.73%
3—4.55%—9.09%——13.64%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%18.18%36.36%27.27%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.91 -0.55
SD 1.18 1.11 1.60
CV 0.86 0.58 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
14.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
213.64%18.18%————31.82%
39.09%———4.55%—13.64%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+9.09%4.55%—4.55%——18.18%
Total45.45%31.82%9.09%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.68 0.95 +1.73
SD 2.10 1.17 2.62
CV 0.78 1.23 —
Max 8 4 +8
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——4.55%——9.09%
113.64%—13.64%9.09%4.55%—40.91%
29.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
3—9.09%————9.09%
4——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
5+——9.09%———9.09%
Total27.27%13.64%31.82%18.18%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 1.68 +0.27
SD 1.46 1.32 1.88
CV 0.75 0.79 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%9.09%———27.27%
14.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
24.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
34.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+———————
Total27.27%31.82%31.82%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.23 +0.36
SD 1.33 0.97 1.84
CV 0.84 0.79 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%————13.64%
113.64%9.09%—9.09%——31.82%
29.09%4.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%—36.36%
34.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total31.82%31.82%13.64%18.18%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.32 +0.50
SD 1.65 1.25 1.99
CV 0.91 0.95 —
Max 8 4 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
14.55%9.09%9.09%9.09%——31.82%
218.18%—4.55%4.55%——27.27%
3———4.55%9.09%—13.64%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
Total22.73%22.73%18.18%22.73%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 1.86 +0.09
SD 1.56 1.49 1.82
CV 0.80 0.80 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—4.55%9.09%9.09%27.27%
1———4.55%—13.64%18.18%
2——9.09%4.55%9.09%9.09%31.82%
3—4.55%—4.55%—9.09%18.18%
4———————
5+—————4.55%4.55%
Total—9.09%9.09%18.18%18.18%45.45%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 4.41 -2.82
SD 1.33 2.20 2.67
CV 0.84 0.50 —
Max 5 9 +2
Min 0 1 -8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%——9.09%22.73%
113.64%9.09%————22.73%
2—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
39.09%4.55%9.09%———22.73%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total36.36%31.82%22.73%——9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 1.27 +0.68
SD 1.73 1.58 2.73
CV 0.89 1.24 —
Max 7 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—18.18%13.64%9.09%4.55%—45.45%
14.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
2—9.09%—4.55%4.55%—18.18%
3———————
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total9.09%40.91%22.73%18.18%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.77 -0.55
SD 1.63 1.15 2.20
CV 1.33 0.65 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—4.55%4.55%9.09%—27.27%
1—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
24.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
34.55%18.18%4.55%———27.27%
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total22.73%31.82%27.27%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 1.50 +0.55
SD 1.59 1.22 2.22
CV 0.78 0.82 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Drumconda 1443 33 26.38 +6.62 98.0% 20 20 24 26 29 32 36
Cork Celtic 1382 26 26.34 -0.34 55.0% 16 19 23 26 29 33 37
St Patrick's Athletic 1317 32 23.83 +8.17 100.0% 14 18 21 24 26 31 32
Shamrock Rovers 1302 25 27.63 -2.63 32.0% 16 22 25 27 30 35 39
Limerick 1277 24 24.86 -0.86 43.0% 16 19 23 25 28 30 33
Shelbourne 1262 19 23.22 -4.22 14.0% 12 16 21 23 26 29 32
Dundalk 1261 26 26.56 -0.56 48.0% 18 20 24 27 29 33 38
Waterford 1257 29 25.85 +3.15 81.0% 13 18 24 26 29 32 39
Cork Hibernians 1183 18 21.39 -3.39 18.0% 10 16 19 21 24 27 29
Transport 1074 14 14.44 -0.44 54.0% 7 8 12 14 17 21 22
Bohemian 1020 12 11.30 +0.70 68.0% 4 5 9 11 13 16 20
Sligo Rovers 930 6 12.20 -6.20 4.0% 5 7 10 12 14 17 26

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+14.39%
Clear Edge
47.73%18.94%33.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge
143 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
050.36400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.55 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.35+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
6.0
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
11%
Drumconda, 5th of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.01 * Some Luck: 3.01 to 4.52 * Lucky: 4.52 to 6.02 * Wild Swing: 6.02 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.47 * Close: 1.47 to 2.2 * Off: 2.2 to 2.93 * Way Off: 2.93 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.05 points
Some Luck
03.769
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.67
Close
01.834
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
St Patrick's Athletic
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
4.00%
Sligo Rovers
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Lopsided
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 149.62
1.97
Strong Separation
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
70%
Slight Edge
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
95%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
51%
Some Drama
0%46%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Frequent
0%30%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Highly Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.42
Notable Separation
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.24
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.33
Weak Carryover
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Shaky
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.53
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.02
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.152
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1460.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Drumconda11.00%21.00%15.00%17.00%9.00%8.00%7.00%9.00%3.00%———
St Patrick's Athletic4.00%8.00%7.00%11.00%6.00%19.00%17.00%17.00%8.00%2.00%1.00%—
Waterford16.00%12.00%15.00%13.00%11.00%4.00%13.00%7.00%7.00%2.00%——
Cork Celtic20.00%14.00%12.00%10.00%15.00%10.00%5.00%9.00%5.00%———
Dundalk13.00%20.00%10.00%11.00%15.00%8.00%8.00%10.00%5.00%———
Shamrock Rovers25.00%12.00%16.00%15.00%13.00%7.00%6.00%2.00%4.00%———
Limerick9.00%6.00%17.00%11.00%12.00%9.00%13.00%13.00%9.00%1.00%——
Shelbourne2.00%6.00%6.00%6.00%11.00%23.00%10.00%16.00%13.00%6.00%1.00%—
Cork Hibernians—1.00%2.00%5.00%8.00%12.00%18.00%10.00%31.00%11.00%2.00%—
Transport——————3.00%6.00%11.00%42.00%23.00%15.00%
Bohemian———————1.00%1.00%15.00%40.00%43.00%
Sligo Rovers———1.00%————3.00%21.00%33.00%42.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Bohemian 100%
Cork Celtic 100%
Cork Hibernians 100%
Drumconda 100%
Dundalk 100%
Limerick 100%
Shamrock Rovers 100%
Shelbourne 100%
Sligo Rovers 100%
St Patrick's Athletic 100%
Transport 100%
Waterford 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1960-11-04 Shamrock Rovers L 0-135.5 1081 1314 20.72% 19.61% 59.67%-1.28 -6.8 0
1960-11-04 @ Transport W 1-035.5 1314 1081 59.67% 19.61% 20.72%+1.28 +6.8 2
1960-11-05 Bohemian W 2-029.3 1283 1050 71.24% 18.97% 9.79%+1.98 +6.5 2
1960-11-05 @ Shelbourne L 0-229.3 1050 1283 9.79% 18.97% 71.24%-1.98 -6.5 0
1960-11-05 Cork Celtic W 3-250.2 1241 1310 41.00% 20.08% 38.92%-0.12 +10.3 2
1960-11-05 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 2-350.2 1310 1241 38.92% 20.08% 41.00%+0.12 -10.4 0
1960-11-06 Dundalk D 0-050.3 1262 1277 48.31% 20.07% 31.62%+0.25 -1.2 1
1960-11-06 @ Cork Hibernians D 0-050.3 1277 1262 31.62% 20.07% 48.31%-0.25 +1.2 1
1960-11-06 Waterford L 1-348.6 1288 1233 56.78% 19.93% 23.29%+0.74 -26.3 0
1960-11-06 @ Limerick W 3-148.6 1233 1288 23.29% 19.93% 56.78%-0.74 +26.3 2
1960-11-06 Drumconda L 3-549.4 1140 1232 37.71% 20.06% 42.23%-0.29 -15.6 0
1960-11-06 @ Sligo Rovers W 5-349.4 1232 1140 42.23% 20.06% 37.71%+0.29 +15.6 2
1960-11-12 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-430.1 1044 1252 23.26% 19.73% 57.01%-1.10 -26.9 0
1960-11-12 @ Bohemian W 4-030.1 1252 1044 57.01% 19.73% 23.26%+1.10 +26.9 4
1960-11-13 Drumconda W 4-349.0 1299 1247 56.38% 19.94% 23.68%+0.71 +6.7 2
1960-11-13 @ Cork Celtic L 3-449.0 1247 1299 23.68% 19.94% 56.38%-0.71 -6.7 2
1960-11-13 Limerick D 0-050.6 1321 1262 57.09% 19.92% 22.99%+0.76 -2.5 3
1960-11-13 @ Shamrock Rovers D 0-050.6 1262 1321 22.99% 19.92% 57.09%-0.76 +2.5 1
1960-11-13 Cork Hibernians L 3-458.1 1290 1261 53.75% 20.00% 26.25%+0.55 -13.3 2
1960-11-13 @ Shelbourne W 4-358.1 1261 1290 26.25% 20.00% 53.75%-0.55 +13.3 3
1960-11-13 Transport L 2-452.1 1125 1074 56.25% 19.94% 23.81%+0.71 -23.3 0
1960-11-13 @ Sligo Rovers W 4-252.1 1074 1125 23.81% 19.94% 56.25%-0.71 +23.3 2
1960-11-13 Dundalk W 4-139.1 1259 1278 47.77% 20.07% 32.16%+0.22 +22.9 4
1960-11-13 @ Waterford L 1-439.1 1278 1259 32.16% 20.07% 47.77%-0.22 -22.9 1
1960-11-20 Cork Celtic D 2-258.2 1255 1306 43.41% 20.09% 36.50%-0.01 -0.3 2
1960-11-20 @ Dundalk D 2-258.2 1306 1255 36.50% 20.09% 43.41%+0.01 +0.3 3
1960-11-20 Bohemian W 6-129.1 1241 1017 70.70% 19.04% 10.26%+1.91 +13.1 4
1960-11-20 @ Drumconda L 1-629.1 1017 1241 10.26% 19.04% 70.70%-1.91 -13.1 0
1960-11-20 Shelbourne W 3-247.8 1265 1276 48.72% 20.07% 31.21%+0.27 +8.7 3
1960-11-20 @ Limerick L 2-347.8 1276 1265 31.21% 20.07% 48.72%-0.27 -8.7 2
1960-11-20 Shamrock Rovers W 3-249.3 1279 1318 45.04% 20.09% 34.88%+0.08 +9.5 6
1960-11-20 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 2-349.3 1318 1279 34.88% 20.09% 45.04%-0.08 -9.5 3
1960-11-20 Waterford L 2-345.7 1097 1282 25.80% 19.83% 54.37%-0.94 -7.4 2
1960-11-20 @ Transport W 3-245.7 1282 1097 54.37% 19.83% 25.80%+0.94 +7.4 6
1960-11-26 Dundalk L 2-538.0 1004 1255 19.09% 19.52% 61.40%-1.40 -12.6 0
1960-11-26 @ Bohemian W 5-238.0 1255 1004 61.40% 19.52% 19.09%+1.40 +12.6 4
1960-11-27 Limerick L 2-354.9 1306 1273 54.24% 19.99% 25.77%+0.58 -13.8 3
1960-11-27 @ Cork Celtic W 3-254.9 1273 1306 25.77% 19.99% 54.24%-0.58 +13.8 5
1960-11-27 Drumconda W 2-034.2 1309 1254 56.69% 19.93% 23.38%+0.73 +14.3 5
1960-11-27 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-234.2 1254 1309 23.38% 19.93% 56.69%-0.73 -14.3 4
1960-11-27 Transport L 0-149.5 1268 1090 67.70% 19.35% 12.95%+1.59 -19.2 2
1960-11-27 @ Shelbourne W 1-049.5 1090 1268 12.95% 19.35% 67.70%-1.59 +19.2 4
1960-11-27 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-332.1 1101 1288 25.55% 19.82% 54.62%-0.95 -22.4 0
1960-11-27 @ Sligo Rovers W 3-032.1 1288 1101 54.62% 19.82% 25.55%+0.95 +22.3 8
1960-11-27 Cork Hibernians W 3-033.4 1289 1274 52.10% 20.03% 27.88%+0.46 +24.1 8
1960-11-27 @ Waterford L 0-333.4 1274 1289 27.88% 20.03% 52.10%-0.46 -24.1 3
1960-12-03 Bohemian W 6-131.4 1109 991 62.91% 19.68% 17.41%+1.17 +21.4 6
1960-12-03 @ Transport L 1-631.4 991 1109 17.41% 19.68% 62.91%-1.17 -21.4 0
1960-12-04 Shelbourne W 4-350.1 1267 1248 52.54% 20.02% 27.44%+0.48 +7.6 6
1960-12-04 @ Dundalk L 3-450.1 1248 1267 27.44% 20.02% 52.54%-0.48 -7.6 2
1960-12-04 Limerick W 2-037.9 1239 1287 43.90% 20.09% 36.01%+0.02 +20.5 6
1960-12-04 @ Drumconda L 0-237.9 1287 1239 36.01% 20.09% 43.90%-0.02 -20.5 5
1960-12-04 Waterford W 2-143.1 1323 1313 51.43% 20.04% 28.54%+0.42 +8.5 7
1960-12-04 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-243.1 1313 1323 28.54% 20.04% 51.43%-0.42 -8.5 8
1960-12-04 Cork Celtic L 2-933.4 1079 1293 22.67% 19.71% 57.62%-1.14 -30.2 0
1960-12-04 @ Sligo Rovers W 9-233.4 1293 1079 57.62% 19.71% 22.67%+1.14 +30.2 5
1960-12-11 Waterford D 1-153.4 970 1305 12.67% 18.96% 68.37%-1.99 +3.9 1
1960-12-11 @ Bohemian D 1-153.4 1305 970 68.37% 18.96% 12.67%+1.99 -3.9 9
1960-12-11 Shamrock Rovers L 0-145.4 1323 1331 49.12% 20.06% 30.82%+0.29 -14.1 5
1960-12-11 @ Cork Celtic W 1-045.4 1331 1323 30.82% 20.06% 49.12%-0.29 +14.1 9
1960-12-11 Drumconda W 3-140.0 1275 1260 52.07% 20.03% 27.90%+0.46 +14.4 8
1960-12-11 @ Dundalk L 1-340.0 1260 1275 27.90% 20.03% 52.07%-0.46 -14.4 6
1960-12-11 Cork Hibernians W 4-031.9 1266 1250 52.28% 20.02% 27.70%+0.47 +31.3 7
1960-12-11 @ Limerick L 0-431.9 1250 1266 27.70% 20.02% 52.28%-0.47 -31.3 3
1960-12-11 Sligo Rovers D 5-566.0 1241 1049 68.68% 19.26% 12.06%+1.69 -1.9 3
1960-12-11 @ Shelbourne D 5-566.0 1049 1241 12.06% 19.26% 68.68%-1.69 +1.9 1
1960-12-11 Transport D 1-153.5 1311 1130 67.87% 19.34% 12.79%+1.61 -3.8 9
1960-12-11 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-153.5 1130 1311 12.79% 19.34% 67.87%-1.61 +3.8 7
1960-12-18 Cork Celtic L 1-236.8 974 1309 12.66% 18.96% 68.38%-1.99 -4.1 1
1960-12-18 @ Bohemian W 2-136.8 1309 974 68.38% 18.96% 12.66%+1.99 +4.1 7
1960-12-18 Transport W 2-032.7 1218 1134 59.76% 19.83% 20.41%+0.94 +12.7 5
1960-12-18 @ Cork Hibernians L 0-232.7 1134 1218 20.41% 19.83% 59.76%-0.94 -12.7 7
1960-12-18 St Patrick's Athletic W 6-035.2 1245 1307 42.00% 20.09% 37.92%-0.08 +59.4 8
1960-12-18 @ Drumconda L 0-635.2 1307 1245 37.92% 20.09% 42.00%+0.08 -59.4 9
1960-12-18 Dundalk L 2-453.4 1345 1289 56.84% 19.92% 23.24%+0.74 -23.5 9
1960-12-18 @ Shamrock Rovers W 4-253.4 1289 1345 23.24% 19.92% 56.84%-0.74 +23.5 10
1960-12-18 Shelbourne W 3-138.4 1301 1239 57.46% 19.91% 22.64%+0.78 +12.0 11
1960-12-18 @ Waterford L 1-338.4 1239 1301 22.64% 19.91% 57.46%-0.78 -12.0 3
1960-12-26 Bohemian W 2-135.5 1231 970 72.81% 18.74% 8.44%+2.18 +2.8 7
1960-12-26 @ Cork Hibernians L 1-235.5 970 1231 8.44% 18.74% 72.81%-2.18 -2.8 1
1960-12-26 Shamrock Rovers L 0-134.4 1051 1322 17.32% 19.40% 63.28%-1.54 -5.8 1
1960-12-26 @ Sligo Rovers W 1-034.4 1322 1051 63.28% 19.40% 17.32%+1.54 +5.8 11
1960-12-26 Cork Celtic W 2-143.3 1313 1313 50.24% 20.05% 29.71%+0.35 +8.8 13
1960-12-26 @ Waterford L 1-243.3 1313 1313 29.71% 20.05% 50.24%-0.35 -8.8 7
1960-12-27 Drumconda L 1-245.7 1227 1305 39.61% 20.08% 40.32%-0.19 -11.1 3
1960-12-27 @ Shelbourne W 2-145.7 1305 1227 40.32% 20.08% 39.61%+0.19 +11.1 10
1960-12-27 Dundalk W 2-145.5 1247 1313 41.41% 20.08% 38.51%-0.10 +10.8 11
1960-12-27 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-245.5 1313 1247 38.51% 20.08% 41.41%+0.10 -10.8 10
1960-12-27 Limerick L 0-332.5 1121 1298 26.75% 19.86% 53.39%-0.88 -23.2 7
1960-12-27 @ Transport W 3-032.5 1298 1121 53.39% 19.86% 26.75%+0.88 +23.2 9
1960-12-28 Limerick D 2-257.9 1045 1321 16.91% 19.37% 63.72%-1.57 +2.4 2
1960-12-28 @ Sligo Rovers D 2-257.9 1321 1045 63.72% 19.37% 16.91%+1.57 -2.4 10
1961-01-01 Transport W 4-238.6 1304 1098 69.59% 19.17% 11.24%+1.79 +5.7 9
1961-01-01 @ Cork Celtic L 2-438.6 1098 1304 11.24% 19.17% 69.59%-1.79 -5.7 7
1961-01-01 Sligo Rovers W 5-234.7 1302 1047 72.44% 18.80% 8.76%+2.13 +6.2 12
1961-01-01 @ Dundalk L 2-534.7 1047 1302 8.76% 18.80% 72.44%-2.13 -6.1 2
1961-01-01 Waterford W 3-034.7 1316 1322 49.49% 20.06% 30.45%+0.31 +26.0 12
1961-01-01 @ Drumconda L 0-334.7 1322 1316 30.45% 20.06% 49.49%-0.31 -26.0 13
1961-01-01 Bohemian W 2-134.3 1319 967 76.81% 17.92% 5.27%+2.81 +1.8 12
1961-01-01 @ Limerick L 1-234.3 967 1319 5.27% 17.92% 76.81%-2.81 -1.8 1
1961-01-01 Cork Hibernians D 3-362.5 1328 1234 60.68% 19.79% 19.53%+1.01 -1.7 12
1961-01-01 @ Shamrock Rovers D 3-362.5 1234 1328 19.53% 19.79% 60.68%-1.01 +1.7 8
1961-01-01 Shelbourne L 0-243.5 1258 1216 55.30% 19.96% 24.74%+0.65 -29.6 11
1961-01-01 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-043.5 1216 1258 24.74% 19.96% 55.30%-0.65 +29.6 5
1961-01-08 Sligo Rovers W 5-034.9 965 1041 39.87% 20.08% 40.05%-0.18 +52.2 3
1961-01-08 @ Bohemian L 0-534.9 1041 965 40.05% 20.08% 39.87%+0.18 -52.2 2
1961-01-08 Cork Celtic L 1-246.0 1236 1310 40.18% 20.08% 39.74%-0.17 -11.2 8
1961-01-08 @ Cork Hibernians W 2-146.0 1310 1236 39.74% 20.08% 40.18%+0.17 +11.2 11
1961-01-08 Dundalk L 0-243.2 1320 1308 51.76% 20.03% 28.21%+0.44 -27.8 12
1961-01-08 @ Limerick W 2-043.2 1308 1320 28.21% 20.03% 51.76%-0.44 +27.8 14
1961-01-08 Shamrock Rovers L 1-343.6 1245 1326 39.23% 20.07% 40.69%-0.21 -19.0 5
1961-01-08 @ Shelbourne W 3-143.6 1326 1245 40.69% 20.07% 39.23%+0.21 +19.0 14
1961-01-08 Drumconda L 0-135.1 1092 1342 19.20% 19.53% 61.27%-1.39 -6.4 7
1961-01-08 @ Transport W 1-035.1 1342 1092 61.27% 19.53% 19.20%+1.39 +6.4 14
1961-01-08 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-050.3 1296 1229 58.00% 19.89% 22.11%+0.82 -2.7 14
1961-01-08 @ Waterford D 0-050.3 1229 1296 22.11% 19.89% 58.00%-0.82 +2.7 12
1961-01-15 Shelbourne L 0-245.3 1321 1226 60.77% 19.79% 19.45%+1.01 -32.4 11
1961-01-15 @ Cork Celtic W 2-045.3 1226 1321 19.45% 19.79% 60.77%-1.01 +32.4 7
1961-01-15 Transport W 1-031.8 1336 1086 72.19% 18.84% 8.97%+2.09 +3.2 16
1961-01-15 @ Dundalk L 0-131.8 1086 1336 8.97% 18.84% 72.19%-2.09 -3.1 7
1961-01-15 Cork Hibernians W 2-032.2 1348 1224 63.44% 19.66% 16.91%+1.21 +10.7 16
1961-01-15 @ Drumconda L 0-232.2 1224 1348 16.91% 19.66% 63.44%-1.21 -10.8 8
1961-01-15 Bohemian D 1-153.7 1345 1017 75.86% 18.15% 5.98%+2.64 -5.0 15
1961-01-15 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-153.7 1017 1345 5.98% 18.15% 75.86%-2.64 +5.0 4
1961-01-15 Waterford L 2-439.5 989 1293 14.76% 19.18% 66.06%-1.77 -7.3 2
1961-01-15 @ Sligo Rovers W 4-239.5 1293 989 66.06% 19.18% 14.76%+1.77 +7.3 16
1961-01-15 Limerick W 1-041.2 1231 1293 41.98% 20.09% 37.94%-0.08 +11.3 14
1961-01-15 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-141.2 1293 1231 37.94% 20.09% 41.98%+0.08 -11.3 12
1961-01-22 Shelbourne D 3-361.9 1022 1259 20.41% 19.59% 60.00%-1.30 +1.6 5
1961-01-22 @ Bohemian D 3-361.9 1259 1022 60.00% 19.59% 20.41%+1.30 -1.6 8
1961-01-22 St Patrick's Athletic W 5-030.7 1288 1243 55.70% 19.95% 24.35%+0.67 +34.6 13
1961-01-22 @ Cork Celtic L 0-530.7 1243 1288 24.35% 19.95% 55.70%-0.67 -34.6 14
1961-01-22 Cork Hibernians W 2-032.1 1339 1214 63.57% 19.65% 16.78%+1.23 +10.7 18
1961-01-22 @ Dundalk L 0-232.1 1214 1339 16.78% 19.65% 63.57%-1.23 -10.7 8
1961-01-22 Sligo Rovers W 8-025.2 1359 982 77.73% 17.66% 4.61%+2.98 +11.2 18
1961-01-22 @ Drumconda L 0-825.2 982 1359 4.61% 17.66% 77.73%-2.98 -11.2 2
1961-01-22 Transport W 3-026.8 1340 1083 72.58% 18.78% 8.64%+2.14 +8.3 17
1961-01-22 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-326.8 1083 1340 8.64% 18.78% 72.58%-2.14 -8.3 7
1961-01-22 Limerick L 0-243.1 1300 1281 52.58% 20.02% 27.41%+0.48 -28.2 16
1961-01-22 @ Waterford W 2-043.1 1281 1300 27.41% 20.02% 52.58%-0.48 +28.2 14
1961-01-29 Shelbourne D 1-153.3 1203 1257 43.01% 20.09% 36.90%-0.03 -0.4 9
1961-01-29 @ Cork Hibernians D 1-153.3 1257 1203 36.90% 20.09% 43.01%+0.03 +0.4 9
1961-01-29 Waterford L 1-349.8 1350 1272 59.08% 19.85% 21.07%+0.89 -27.3 18
1961-01-29 @ Dundalk W 3-149.8 1272 1350 21.07% 19.85% 59.08%-0.89 +27.3 18
1961-01-29 Cork Celtic L 0-245.1 1370 1323 55.82% 19.95% 24.22%+0.68 -29.9 18
1961-01-29 @ Drumconda W 2-045.1 1323 1370 24.22% 19.95% 55.82%-0.68 +29.9 15
1961-01-29 Shamrock Rovers D 2-258.9 1309 1348 45.11% 20.09% 34.81%+0.08 -0.5 15
1961-01-29 @ Limerick D 2-258.9 1348 1309 34.81% 20.09% 45.11%-0.08 +0.5 18
1961-01-29 Bohemian W 3-027.9 1208 1024 68.14% 19.31% 12.55%+1.64 +11.9 16
1961-01-29 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-327.9 1024 1208 12.55% 19.31% 68.14%-1.64 -11.9 5
1961-01-29 Sligo Rovers W 4-028.6 1075 970 61.67% 19.75% 18.58%+1.08 +22.2 9
1961-01-29 @ Transport L 0-428.6 970 1075 18.58% 19.75% 61.67%-1.08 -22.2 2
1961-02-05 Drumconda W 1-049.4 1012 1340 13.09% 19.01% 67.89%-1.94 +19.2 7
1961-02-05 @ Bohemian L 0-149.4 1340 1012 67.89% 19.01% 13.09%+1.94 -19.2 18
1961-02-05 Dundalk L 1-251.0 1353 1322 53.94% 19.99% 26.07%+0.56 -14.5 15
1961-02-05 @ Cork Celtic W 2-151.0 1322 1353 26.07% 19.99% 53.94%-0.56 +14.4 20
1961-02-05 St Patrick's Athletic D 2-258.4 1349 1220 63.89% 19.63% 16.49%+1.25 -2.4 19
1961-02-05 @ Shamrock Rovers D 2-258.4 1220 1349 16.49% 19.63% 63.89%-1.25 +2.4 17
1961-02-05 Limerick D 1-153.7 1257 1309 43.36% 20.09% 36.55%-0.01 -0.4 10
1961-02-05 @ Shelbourne D 1-153.7 1309 1257 36.55% 20.09% 43.36%+0.01 +0.4 16
1961-02-05 Cork Hibernians D 3-361.9 948 1203 18.76% 19.50% 61.75%-1.42 +1.8 3
1961-02-05 @ Sligo Rovers D 3-361.9 1203 948 61.75% 19.50% 18.76%+1.42 -1.8 10
1961-02-05 Transport W 2-029.9 1299 1097 69.39% 19.19% 11.42%+1.76 +7.5 20
1961-02-05 @ Waterford L 0-229.9 1097 1299 11.42% 19.19% 69.39%-1.76 -7.5 9
1961-02-08 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-153.2 1201 1222 47.46% 20.08% 32.46%+0.20 -0.9 11
1961-02-08 @ Cork Hibernians D 1-153.2 1222 1201 32.46% 20.08% 47.46%-0.20 +1.0 18
1961-02-12 Waterford D 2-258.0 1200 1307 35.55% 20.04% 44.41%-0.39 +0.4 12
1961-02-12 @ Cork Hibernians D 2-258.0 1307 1200 44.41% 20.04% 35.55%+0.39 -0.4 21
1961-02-12 Bohemian W 1-030.9 1337 1031 74.92% 18.36% 6.72%+2.48 +2.4 22
1961-02-12 @ Dundalk L 0-130.9 1031 1337 6.72% 18.36% 74.92%-2.48 -2.4 7
1961-02-12 Shamrock Rovers D 1-154.5 1321 1346 46.94% 20.08% 32.98%+0.18 -0.9 19
1961-02-12 @ Drumconda D 1-154.5 1346 1321 32.98% 20.08% 46.94%-0.18 +0.9 20
1961-02-12 Cork Celtic W 2-144.7 1309 1338 46.43% 20.08% 33.49%+0.15 +9.7 18
1961-02-12 @ Limerick L 1-244.7 1338 1309 33.49% 20.08% 46.43%-0.15 -9.7 15
1961-02-12 Sligo Rovers W 7-127.8 1223 950 73.40% 18.65% 7.95%+2.26 +12.1 20
1961-02-12 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-727.8 950 1223 7.95% 18.65% 73.40%-2.26 -12.1 3
1961-02-12 Shelbourne L 0-234.9 1089 1257 27.76% 19.89% 52.35%-0.82 -16.5 9
1961-02-12 @ Transport W 2-034.9 1257 1089 52.35% 19.89% 27.76%+0.82 +16.5 12
1961-02-25 Sligo Rovers D 2-257.9 1200 938 72.86% 18.74% 8.41%+2.18 -3.4 13
1961-02-25 @ Cork Hibernians D 2-257.9 938 1200 8.41% 18.74% 72.86%-2.18 +3.4 4
1961-02-26 Transport W 1-039.9 1029 1073 44.41% 20.09% 35.51%+0.04 +10.8 9
1961-02-26 @ Bohemian L 0-139.9 1073 1029 35.51% 20.09% 44.41%-0.04 -10.8 9
1961-02-26 Sligo Rovers W 3-131.7 1329 941 78.08% 17.55% 4.37%+3.05 +2.5 17
1961-02-26 @ Cork Celtic L 1-331.7 941 1329 4.37% 17.55% 78.08%-3.05 -2.5 4
1961-02-26 Drumconda L 1-249.5 1319 1320 50.07% 20.05% 29.88%+0.34 -13.5 18
1961-02-26 @ Limerick W 2-149.5 1320 1319 29.88% 20.05% 50.07%-0.34 +13.5 21
1961-02-26 Dundalk W 4-247.8 1274 1339 41.37% 20.08% 38.54%-0.11 +16.8 14
1961-02-26 @ Shelbourne L 2-447.8 1339 1274 38.54% 20.08% 41.37%+0.11 -16.8 22
1961-02-26 Cork Hibernians W 3-138.9 1235 1197 54.84% 19.97% 25.19%+0.62 +13.2 22
1961-02-26 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-338.9 1197 1235 25.19% 19.97% 54.84%-0.62 -13.2 13
1961-02-26 Shamrock Rovers W 3-143.0 1306 1347 44.85% 20.09% 35.07%+0.07 +17.4 23
1961-02-26 @ Waterford L 1-343.0 1347 1306 35.07% 20.09% 44.85%-0.07 -17.4 20
1961-03-05 Limerick W 3-145.4 1184 1306 33.55% 20.01% 46.44%-0.50 +21.9 15
1961-03-05 @ Cork Hibernians L 1-345.4 1306 1184 46.44% 20.01% 33.55%+0.50 -21.9 18
1961-03-05 Dundalk W 3-034.2 1334 1322 51.63% 20.03% 28.34%+0.43 +24.5 23
1961-03-05 @ Drumconda L 0-334.2 1322 1334 28.34% 20.03% 51.63%-0.43 -24.5 22
1961-03-05 Cork Celtic D 2-259.0 1330 1331 50.03% 20.05% 29.92%+0.34 -0.9 21
1961-03-05 @ Shamrock Rovers D 2-259.0 1331 1330 29.92% 20.05% 50.03%-0.34 +1.0 18
1961-03-05 Shelbourne L 1-629.5 939 1290 11.66% 18.83% 69.51%-2.10 -14.6 4
1961-03-05 @ Sligo Rovers W 6-129.5 1290 939 69.51% 18.83% 11.66%+2.10 +14.7 16
1961-03-05 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-241.0 1062 1248 25.60% 19.82% 54.58%-0.95 -7.7 9
1961-03-05 @ Transport W 2-141.0 1248 1062 54.58% 19.82% 25.60%+0.95 +7.7 24
1961-03-05 Bohemian W 4-025.0 1324 1040 73.94% 18.55% 7.51%+2.33 +9.5 25
1961-03-05 @ Waterford L 0-425.0 1040 1324 7.51% 18.55% 73.94%-2.33 -9.5 9
1961-03-19 Bohemian W 3-132.8 1332 1030 74.77% 18.39% 6.84%+2.46 +3.9 20
1961-03-19 @ Cork Celtic L 1-332.8 1030 1332 6.84% 18.39% 74.77%-2.46 -3.9 9
1961-03-19 Shamrock Rovers W 3-142.3 1298 1329 46.18% 20.08% 33.74%+0.14 +16.8 24
1961-03-19 @ Dundalk L 1-342.3 1329 1298 33.74% 20.08% 46.18%-0.14 -16.9 21
1961-03-19 Sligo Rovers W 4-024.0 1284 924 77.10% 17.84% 5.06%+2.86 +6.4 20
1961-03-19 @ Limerick L 0-424.0 924 1284 5.06% 17.84% 77.10%-2.86 -6.4 4
1961-03-19 Waterford D 2-258.8 1305 1333 46.53% 20.08% 33.39%+0.15 -0.6 17
1961-03-19 @ Shelbourne D 2-258.8 1333 1305 33.39% 20.08% 46.53%-0.15 +0.6 26
1961-03-19 Drumconda L 0-238.4 1256 1358 36.23% 20.05% 43.72%-0.36 -20.6 24
1961-03-19 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-038.4 1358 1256 43.72% 20.05% 36.23%+0.36 +20.6 25
1961-03-19 Cork Hibernians W 2-148.4 1054 1206 29.76% 19.94% 50.30%-0.70 +13.5 11
1961-03-19 @ Transport L 1-248.4 1206 1054 50.30% 19.94% 29.76%+0.70 -13.5 15
1961-03-26 Cork Hibernians D 2-257.6 1026 1192 27.98% 19.90% 52.12%-0.81 +1.1 10
1961-03-26 @ Bohemian D 2-257.6 1192 1026 52.12% 19.90% 27.98%+0.81 -1.2 16
1961-03-26 Waterford D 0-051.3 1336 1334 50.51% 20.05% 29.45%+0.37 -1.5 21
1961-03-26 @ Cork Celtic D 0-051.3 1334 1336 29.45% 20.05% 50.51%-0.37 +1.5 27
1961-03-26 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-251.6 1315 1236 59.25% 19.85% 20.90%+0.90 -15.8 24
1961-03-26 @ Dundalk W 2-151.6 1236 1315 20.90% 19.85% 59.25%-0.90 +15.8 26
1961-03-26 Shelbourne W 2-141.3 1379 1304 58.76% 19.86% 21.38%+0.87 +6.6 27
1961-03-26 @ Drumconda L 1-241.3 1304 1379 21.38% 19.86% 58.76%-0.87 -6.6 17
1961-03-26 Transport W 3-134.0 1290 1068 70.61% 19.05% 10.34%+1.90 +5.9 22
1961-03-26 @ Limerick L 1-334.0 1068 1290 10.34% 19.05% 70.61%-1.90 -5.9 11
1961-03-26 Sligo Rovers W 8-126.3 1312 918 78.30% 17.48% 4.22%+3.10 +7.4 23
1961-03-26 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-826.3 918 1312 4.22% 17.48% 78.30%-3.10 -7.4 4
1961-04-02 Limerick L 0-134.4 1027 1296 17.53% 19.41% 63.06%-1.52 -5.8 10
1961-04-02 @ Bohemian W 1-034.4 1296 1027 63.06% 19.41% 17.53%+1.52 +5.9 24
1961-04-02 Shamrock Rovers W 1-043.9 1191 1319 32.66% 20.00% 47.34%-0.55 +13.6 18
1961-04-02 @ Cork Hibernians L 0-143.9 1319 1191 47.34% 20.00% 32.66%+0.55 -13.6 23
1961-04-02 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-146.6 1298 1251 55.75% 19.95% 24.30%+0.67 -15.8 17
1961-04-02 @ Shelbourne W 1-046.6 1251 1298 24.30% 19.95% 55.75%-0.67 +15.8 28
1961-04-02 Dundalk W 3-152.2 910 1299 9.66% 18.52% 71.82%-2.36 +33.2 6
1961-04-02 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-352.2 1299 910 71.82% 18.52% 9.66%+2.36 -33.2 24
1961-04-02 Cork Celtic D 1-153.4 1062 1335 17.18% 19.39% 63.43%-1.55 +3.1 12
1961-04-02 @ Transport D 1-153.4 1335 1062 63.43% 19.39% 17.18%+1.55 -3.1 22
1961-04-02 Drumconda L 0-438.3 1335 1385 43.58% 20.09% 36.33%+0.00 -45.4 27
1961-04-02 @ Waterford W 4-038.3 1385 1335 36.33% 20.09% 43.58%+0.00 +45.4 29
1961-04-08 Shelbourne L 0-146.0 1306 1282 53.15% 20.01% 26.84%+0.52 -15.1 23
1961-04-08 @ Shamrock Rovers W 1-046.0 1282 1306 26.84% 20.01% 53.15%-0.52 +15.1 19
1961-04-09 Limerick W 1-040.3 1266 1302 45.49% 20.08% 34.42%+0.10 +10.5 26
1961-04-09 @ Dundalk L 0-140.3 1302 1266 34.42% 20.08% 45.49%-0.10 -10.5 24
1961-04-09 Bohemian L 2-349.8 944 1022 39.62% 20.08% 40.31%-0.19 -10.5 6
1961-04-09 @ Sligo Rovers W 3-249.8 1022 944 40.31% 20.08% 39.62%+0.19 +10.5 12
1961-04-12 Transport W 4-024.3 1431 1065 77.32% 17.78% 4.90%+2.90 +6.2 31
1961-04-12 @ Drumconda L 0-424.3 1065 1431 4.90% 17.78% 77.32%-2.90 -6.2 12
1961-04-12 Waterford W 4-033.6 1267 1290 47.26% 20.08% 32.66%+0.19 +35.9 30
1961-04-12 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-433.6 1290 1267 32.66% 20.08% 47.26%-0.19 -35.9 27
1961-04-14 Cork Hibernians W 3-029.8 1332 1205 63.72% 19.64% 16.64%+1.24 +15.4 24
1961-04-14 @ Cork Celtic L 0-329.8 1205 1332 16.64% 19.64% 63.72%-1.24 -15.4 18
1961-04-16 Shamrock Rovers L 0-232.0 1032 1291 18.38% 19.47% 62.15%-1.45 -11.5 12
1961-04-16 @ Bohemian W 2-032.0 1291 1032 62.15% 19.47% 18.38%+1.45 +11.5 25
1961-04-16 Drumconda L 1-240.1 1189 1437 19.34% 19.53% 61.13%-1.38 -6.0 18
1961-04-16 @ Cork Hibernians W 2-140.1 1437 1189 61.13% 19.53% 19.34%+1.38 +6.0 33
1961-04-16 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-144.8 1291 1303 48.71% 20.07% 31.22%+0.27 -14.0 24
1961-04-16 @ Limerick W 1-044.8 1303 1291 31.22% 20.07% 48.71%-0.27 +14.0 32
1961-04-16 Cork Celtic L 0-338.7 1297 1347 43.58% 20.09% 36.33%+0.00 -34.8 19
1961-04-16 @ Shelbourne W 3-038.7 1347 1297 36.33% 20.09% 43.58%+0.00 +34.8 26
1961-04-16 Sligo Rovers W 5-339.2 1254 933 75.59% 18.22% 6.20%+2.59 +3.0 29
1961-04-16 @ Waterford L 3-539.2 933 1254 6.20% 18.22% 75.59%-2.59 -3.0 6
1961-04-17 Dundalk W 2-150.7 1059 1276 22.28% 19.69% 58.03%-1.17 +15.5 14
1961-04-17 @ Transport L 1-250.7 1276 1059 58.03% 19.69% 22.28%+1.17 -15.5 26

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1961-04-02 9.66% @ Sligo Rovers 910 3 Dundalk 1299 1
2 1960-11-27 12.95% Transport 1090 1 @ Shelbourne 1268 0
3 1961-02-05 13.09% @ Bohemian 1012 1 Drumconda 1340 0
4 1961-01-15 19.45% Shelbourne 1226 2 @ Cork Celtic 1321 0
5 1961-03-26 20.90% St Patrick's Athletic 1236 2 @ Dundalk 1315 1
6 1961-01-29 21.07% Waterford 1272 3 @ Dundalk 1350 1
7 1961-04-17 22.28% @ Transport 1059 2 Dundalk 1276 1
8 1960-12-18 23.24% Dundalk 1289 4 @ Shamrock Rovers 1345 2
9 1960-11-06 23.29% Waterford 1233 3 @ Limerick 1288 1
10 1960-11-13 23.81% Transport 1074 4 @ Sligo Rovers 1125 2
11 1961-01-29 24.22% Cork Celtic 1323 2 @ Drumconda 1370 0
12 1961-04-02 24.30% St Patrick's Athletic 1251 1 @ Shelbourne 1298 0
13 1961-01-01 24.74% Shelbourne 1216 2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1258 0
14 1960-11-27 25.77% Limerick 1273 3 @ Cork Celtic 1306 2
15 1961-02-05 26.07% Dundalk 1322 2 @ Cork Celtic 1353 1
16 1960-11-13 26.25% Cork Hibernians 1261 4 @ Shelbourne 1290 3
17 1961-04-08 26.84% Shelbourne 1282 1 @ Shamrock Rovers 1306 0
18 1961-01-22 27.41% Limerick 1281 2 @ Waterford 1300 0
19 1961-01-08 28.21% Dundalk 1308 2 @ Limerick 1320 0
20 1961-03-19 29.76% @ Transport 1054 2 Cork Hibernians 1206 1
21 1961-02-26 29.88% Drumconda 1320 2 @ Limerick 1319 1
22 1960-12-11 30.82% Shamrock Rovers 1331 1 @ Cork Celtic 1323 0
23 1961-04-16 31.22% St Patrick's Athletic 1303 1 @ Limerick 1291 0
24 1961-04-02 32.66% @ Cork Hibernians 1191 1 Shamrock Rovers 1319 0
25 1961-03-05 33.55% @ Cork Hibernians 1184 3 Limerick 1306 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1960-12-18 59.39 @ Drumconda 6 1245 42.00% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1307 37.92% 20.09%
2 1961-01-08 52.24 @ Bohemian 5 965 39.87% Sligo Rovers 0 1041 40.05% 20.08%
3 1961-04-02 45.42 Drumconda 4 1385 36.33% @ Waterford 0 1335 43.58% 20.09%
4 1961-04-12 35.94 @ St Patrick's Athletic 4 1267 47.26% Waterford 0 1290 32.66% 20.08%
5 1961-04-16 34.77 Cork Celtic 3 1347 36.33% @ Shelbourne 0 1297 43.58% 20.09%
6 1961-01-22 34.62 @ Cork Celtic 5 1288 55.70% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1243 24.35% 19.95%
7 1961-04-02 33.16 @ Sligo Rovers 3 910 9.66% Dundalk 1 1299 71.82% 18.52%
8 1961-01-15 32.42 Shelbourne 2 1226 19.45% @ Cork Celtic 0 1321 60.77% 19.79%
9 1960-12-11 31.34 @ Limerick 4 1266 52.28% Cork Hibernians 0 1250 27.70% 20.02%
10 1960-12-04 30.17 Cork Celtic 9 1293 57.62% @ Sligo Rovers 2 1079 22.67% 19.71%
11 1961-01-29 29.85 Cork Celtic 2 1323 24.22% @ Drumconda 0 1370 55.82% 19.95%
12 1961-01-01 29.59 Shelbourne 2 1216 24.74% @ St Patrick's Athletic 0 1258 55.30% 19.96%
13 1961-01-22 28.23 Limerick 2 1281 27.41% @ Waterford 0 1300 52.58% 20.02%
14 1961-01-08 27.82 Dundalk 2 1308 28.21% @ Limerick 0 1320 51.76% 20.03%
15 1961-01-29 27.31 Waterford 3 1272 21.07% @ Dundalk 1 1350 59.08% 19.85%
16 1960-11-12 26.93 St Patrick's Athletic 4 1252 57.01% @ Bohemian 0 1044 23.26% 19.73%
17 1960-11-06 26.28 Waterford 3 1233 23.29% @ Limerick 1 1288 56.78% 19.93%
18 1961-01-01 25.96 @ Drumconda 3 1316 49.49% Waterford 0 1322 30.45% 20.06%
19 1961-03-05 24.46 @ Drumconda 3 1334 51.63% Dundalk 0 1322 28.34% 20.03%
20 1960-11-27 24.11 @ Waterford 3 1289 52.10% Cork Hibernians 0 1274 27.88% 20.03%
21 1960-12-18 23.53 Dundalk 4 1289 23.24% @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1345 56.84% 19.92%
22 1960-11-13 23.29 Transport 4 1074 23.81% @ Sligo Rovers 2 1125 56.25% 19.94%
23 1960-12-27 23.24 Limerick 3 1298 53.39% @ Transport 0 1121 26.75% 19.86%
24 1960-11-13 22.91 @ Waterford 4 1259 47.77% Dundalk 1 1278 32.16% 20.07%
25 1960-11-27 22.35 St Patrick's Athletic 3 1288 54.62% @ Sligo Rovers 0 1101 25.55% 19.82%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1960-12-11 66.0 @ Shelbourne 5 1241 68.68% Sligo Rovers 5 1049 12.06% 19.26%
2 1961-01-01 62.5 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1328 60.68% Cork Hibernians 3 1234 19.53% 19.79%
3 1961-01-22 61.9 @ Bohemian 3 1022 20.41% Shelbourne 3 1259 60.00% 19.59%
4 1961-02-05 61.9 @ Sligo Rovers 3 948 18.76% Cork Hibernians 3 1203 61.75% 19.50%
5 1961-03-05 59.0 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1330 50.03% Cork Celtic 2 1331 29.92% 20.05%
6 1961-01-29 58.9 @ Limerick 2 1309 45.11% Shamrock Rovers 2 1348 34.81% 20.09%
7 1961-03-19 58.8 @ Shelbourne 2 1305 46.53% Waterford 2 1333 33.39% 20.08%
8 1961-02-05 58.4 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1349 63.89% St Patrick's Athletic 2 1220 16.49% 19.63%
9 1960-11-20 58.2 @ Dundalk 2 1255 43.41% Cork Celtic 2 1306 36.50% 20.09%
10 1960-11-13 58.1 Cork Hibernians 4 1261 26.25% @ Shelbourne 3 1290 53.75% 20.00%
11 1961-02-12 58.0 @ Cork Hibernians 2 1200 35.55% Waterford 2 1307 44.41% 20.04%
12 1960-12-28 57.9 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1045 16.91% Limerick 2 1321 63.72% 19.37%
13 1961-02-25 57.9 @ Cork Hibernians 2 1200 72.86% Sligo Rovers 2 938 8.41% 18.74%
14 1961-03-26 57.6 @ Bohemian 2 1026 27.98% Cork Hibernians 2 1192 52.12% 19.90%
15 1960-11-27 54.9 Limerick 3 1273 25.77% @ Cork Celtic 2 1306 54.24% 19.99%
16 1961-02-12 54.5 @ Drumconda 1 1321 46.94% Shamrock Rovers 1 1346 32.98% 20.08%
17 1961-01-15 53.7 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1345 75.86% Bohemian 1 1017 5.98% 18.15%
18 1961-02-05 53.7 @ Shelbourne 1 1257 43.36% Limerick 1 1309 36.55% 20.09%
19 1960-12-11 53.5 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1311 67.87% Transport 1 1130 12.79% 19.34%
20 1960-12-11 53.4 @ Bohemian 1 970 12.67% Waterford 1 1305 68.37% 18.96%
21 1960-12-18 53.4 Dundalk 4 1289 23.24% @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1345 56.84% 19.92%
22 1961-04-02 53.4 @ Transport 1 1062 17.18% Cork Celtic 1 1335 63.43% 19.39%
23 1961-01-29 53.3 @ Cork Hibernians 1 1203 43.01% Shelbourne 1 1257 36.90% 20.09%
24 1961-02-08 53.2 @ Cork Hibernians 1 1201 47.46% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1222 32.46% 20.08%
25 1961-04-02 52.2 @ Sligo Rovers 3 910 9.66% Dundalk 1 1299 71.82% 18.52%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1961-03-19 24.0 @ Limerick 4 1284 77.10% Sligo Rovers 0 924 5.06% 17.84%
2 1961-04-12 24.3 @ Drumconda 4 1431 77.32% Transport 0 1065 4.90% 17.78%
3 1961-03-05 25.0 @ Waterford 4 1324 73.94% Bohemian 0 1040 7.51% 18.55%
4 1961-01-22 25.2 @ Drumconda 8 1359 77.73% Sligo Rovers 0 982 4.61% 17.66%
5 1961-03-26 26.3 @ Shamrock Rovers 8 1312 78.30% Sligo Rovers 1 918 4.22% 17.48%
6 1961-01-22 26.8 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1340 72.58% Transport 0 1083 8.64% 18.78%
7 1961-02-12 27.8 @ St Patrick's Athletic 7 1223 73.40% Sligo Rovers 1 950 7.95% 18.65%
8 1961-01-29 27.9 @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1208 68.14% Bohemian 0 1024 12.55% 19.31%
9 1961-01-29 28.6 @ Transport 4 1075 61.67% Sligo Rovers 0 970 18.58% 19.75%
10 1960-11-20 29.1 @ Drumconda 6 1241 70.70% Bohemian 1 1017 10.26% 19.04%
11 1960-11-05 29.3 @ Shelbourne 2 1283 71.24% Bohemian 0 1050 9.79% 18.97%
12 1961-03-05 29.5 Shelbourne 6 1290 69.51% @ Sligo Rovers 1 939 11.66% 18.83%
13 1961-04-14 29.8 @ Cork Celtic 3 1332 63.72% Cork Hibernians 0 1205 16.64% 19.64%
14 1961-02-05 29.9 @ Waterford 2 1299 69.39% Transport 0 1097 11.42% 19.19%
15 1960-11-12 30.1 St Patrick's Athletic 4 1252 57.01% @ Bohemian 0 1044 23.26% 19.73%
16 1961-01-22 30.7 @ Cork Celtic 5 1288 55.70% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1243 24.35% 19.95%
17 1961-02-12 30.9 @ Dundalk 1 1337 74.92% Bohemian 0 1031 6.72% 18.36%
18 1960-12-03 31.4 @ Transport 6 1109 62.91% Bohemian 1 991 17.41% 19.68%
19 1961-02-26 31.7 @ Cork Celtic 3 1329 78.08% Sligo Rovers 1 941 4.37% 17.55%
20 1961-01-15 31.8 @ Dundalk 1 1336 72.19% Transport 0 1086 8.97% 18.84%
21 1960-12-11 31.9 @ Limerick 4 1266 52.28% Cork Hibernians 0 1250 27.70% 20.02%
22 1961-04-16 32.0 Shamrock Rovers 2 1291 62.15% @ Bohemian 0 1032 18.38% 19.47%
23 1960-11-27 32.1 St Patrick's Athletic 3 1288 54.62% @ Sligo Rovers 0 1101 25.55% 19.82%
24 1961-01-22 32.1 @ Dundalk 2 1339 63.57% Cork Hibernians 0 1214 16.78% 19.65%
25 1961-01-15 32.2 @ Drumconda 2 1348 63.44% Cork Hibernians 0 1224 16.91% 19.66%