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1961-62 League of Ireland Season

133 games

Final

Champion

Cork Celtic

35 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Shelbourne

7.09 points above expected

35 points · 27.91 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Transport

5.71 points below expected

7 points · 12.71 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Cork Celtic 22 16 3 3 35 71 24 +47 30.51 +4.49
2 Shelbourne 22 15 5 2 35 55 23 +32 27.91 +7.09
3 Shamrock Rovers 22 14 3 5 31 51 32 +19 29.17 +1.83
4 St Patrick's Athletic 22 11 3 8 25 48 46 +2 26.56 -1.56
5 Cork Hibernians 22 9 7 6 25 37 36 +1 21.27 +3.73
6 Limerick 22 10 4 8 24 41 34 +7 21.41 +2.59
7 Drumconda 22 8 6 8 22 45 40 +5 26.96 -4.96
8 Dundalk 22 8 5 9 21 42 36 +6 22.12 -1.12
9 Bohemian 22 6 5 11 17 40 46 -6 15.26 +1.74
10 Waterford 22 7 3 12 17 39 49 -10 19.74 -2.74
11 Transport 22 2 3 17 7 29 76 -47 12.71 -5.71
12 Sligo Rovers 22 1 3 18 5 31 87 -56 10.38 -5.38
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Shelbourne 1 1 0 0 2 1 0 +1 — —
2 Cork Celtic 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -1 — —

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Shelbourne 35 27.91 +7.09
2 Cork Celtic 35 30.51 +4.49
3 Cork Hibernians 25 21.27 +3.73
4 Limerick 24 21.41 +2.59
5 Shamrock Rovers 31 29.17 +1.83

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Transport 7 12.71 -5.71
2 Sligo Rovers 5 10.38 -5.38
3 Drumconda 22 26.96 -4.96
4 Waterford 17 19.74 -2.74
5 St Patrick's Athletic 25 26.56 -1.56

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cork Celtic 7 Nov 19 – Jan 7 1 in 87
2 Shelbourne 6 Nov 12 – Dec 17 1 in 48
3 Limerick 3 Jan 7 – Jan 21 1 in 38
4 Cork Hibernians 3 Jan 28 – Feb 11 1 in 30
5 Bohemian 3 Feb 11 – Mar 14 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Transport 10 Jan 24 – Apr 1 1 in 76
2 St Patrick's Athletic 4 Mar 25 – Apr 22 1 in 50
3 Dundalk 5 Dec 3 – Jan 7 1 in 45
4 Sligo Rovers 10 Feb 4 – Apr 7 1 in 37
5 Waterford 5 Feb 11 – Mar 25 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shelbourne 11 Nov 12 – Jan 21 1 in 94
2 Cork Hibernians 6 Nov 19 – Dec 31 1 in 46
3 Bohemian 4 Feb 11 – Mar 18 1 in 20
4 Limerick 5 Dec 17 – Jan 21 1 in 11
5 Shamrock Rovers 5 Nov 5 – Dec 3 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shamrock Rovers 3 Dec 24 – Jan 7 1 in 31
2 Drumconda 6 Feb 8 – Mar 25 1 in 18
3 Shelbourne 2 Jan 21 – Jan 28 1 in 13
4 Bohemian 9 Dec 10 – Feb 7 1 in 13
5 St Patrick's Athletic 4 Mar 25 – Apr 22 1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Shelbourne 1507 37 +106 9 6.0 +3.0
Cork Celtic 1527 35 -3 7 7.4 -0.4
Shamrock Rovers 1387 31 +6 8 7.2 +0.8
St Patrick's Athletic 1127 25 -92 2 4.9 -2.9
Limerick 1272 24 +78 9 7.1 +1.9
Cork Hibernians 1222 23 -15 5 5.1 -0.1
Drumconda 1178 22 -25 4 5.6 -1.6
Dundalk 1198 21 +55 7 5.1 +1.9
Waterford 1130 17 +25 4 3.7 +0.3
Bohemian 1104 17 -4 3 3.4 -0.4
Transport 817 7 -51 1 1.6 -0.6
Sligo Rovers 784 5 -89 0 1.8 -1.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOH CC CH DRU DUN LIM SR SHE SR SPA TRA WAT
Bohemian —
0-1-1
0.79
0-1-1
2.09
0-0-2
1.28
1-0-1
1.63
0-0-2
1.83
0-0-2
1.07
1-1-0
1.44
1-1-0
4.08
0-1-1
1.51
2-0-0
3.05
1-0-1
2.54
Cork Celtic
1-1-0
4.83
—
2-0-0
4.59
1-0-1
3.05
2-0-0
3.61
1-1-0
4.05
2-0-0
2.65
0-1-1
3.43
2-0-0
4.99
1-0-1
3.07
2-0-0
5.06
2-0-0
4.77
Cork Hibernians
1-1-0
3.51
0-0-2
1.02
—
1-1-0
2.15
0-1-1
2.75
2-0-0
2.56
0-1-1
1.40
1-0-1
1.95
2-0-0
3.92
0-1-1
2.56
1-1-0
4.18
1-1-0
2.76
Drumconda
2-0-0
4.33
1-0-1
2.55
0-1-1
3.45
—
1-1-0
3.39
1-0-1
3.87
0-0-2
2.62
0-1-1
2.27
1-1-0
4.68
0-0-2
2.96
1-1-0
4.76
1-1-0
3.49
Dundalk
1-0-1
3.97
0-0-2
2.00
1-1-0
2.85
0-1-1
2.21
—
0-1-1
2.74
0-0-2
1.53
0-1-1
1.94
2-0-0
4.41
1-0-1
1.82
2-0-0
4.06
1-1-0
2.88
Limerick
2-0-0
3.77
0-1-1
1.56
0-0-2
3.04
1-0-1
1.73
1-1-0
2.86
—
0-1-1
2.15
0-0-2
1.96
2-0-0
4.37
2-0-0
2.40
1-1-0
4.38
1-0-1
2.94
Shamrock Rovers
2-0-0
4.54
0-0-2
2.95
1-1-0
4.20
2-0-0
2.98
2-0-0
4.07
1-1-0
3.45
—
0-0-2
3.04
1-1-0
5.06
2-0-0
2.82
1-0-1
4.44
2-0-0
4.14
Shelbourne
0-1-1
4.17
1-1-0
2.17
1-0-1
3.66
1-1-0
3.34
1-1-0
3.66
2-0-0
3.64
2-0-0
2.56
—
2-0-0
4.86
1-1-0
3.42
2-0-0
4.21
2-0-0
4.22
Sligo Rovers
0-1-1
1.53
0-0-2
0.64
0-0-2
1.69
0-1-1
0.94
0-0-2
1.21
0-0-2
1.23
0-1-1
0.57
0-0-2
0.77
—
0-0-2
1.15
1-0-1
2.22
0-0-2
1.47
St Patrick's Athletic
1-1-0
4.10
1-0-1
2.53
1-1-0
3.04
2-0-0
2.64
1-0-1
3.78
0-0-2
3.21
0-0-2
2.78
0-1-1
2.18
2-0-0
4.46
—
2-0-0
4.41
1-0-1
3.86
Transport
0-0-2
2.54
0-0-2
0.59
0-1-1
1.43
0-1-1
0.86
0-0-2
1.55
0-1-1
1.23
1-0-1
1.17
0-0-2
1.40
1-0-1
3.37
0-0-2
1.20
—
0-0-2
1.68
Waterford
1-0-1
3.06
0-0-2
0.85
0-1-1
2.84
0-1-1
2.11
0-1-1
2.72
1-0-1
2.66
0-0-2
1.47
0-0-2
1.38
2-0-0
4.13
1-0-1
1.75
2-0-0
3.93
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.75 +7.3
Allowed 0.88 -4.6
Differential 0.94 +3.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
01.50%3.01%4.51%1.50%1.50%2.26%14.29%
13.01%9.02%8.27%3.76%4.14%3.01%31.20%
24.51%8.27%4.51%3.38%1.50%1.50%23.68%
31.50%3.76%3.38%3.01%0.75%0.75%13.16%
41.50%4.14%1.50%0.75%0.75%0.38%9.02%
5+2.26%3.01%1.50%0.75%0.38%0.75%8.65%
Total14.29%31.20%23.68%13.16%9.02%8.65%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.98 1.98 +0.00
SD 1.62 1.62 2.46
CV 0.82 0.82 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min -1 -1 -7

Games Played: 133

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%———13.64%
14.55%—13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%31.82%
24.55%9.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%—36.36%
3———4.55%——4.55%
4————4.55%—4.55%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total18.18%13.64%31.82%18.18%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 2.09 -0.27
SD 1.40 1.44 2.10
CV 0.77 0.69 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.35%4.35%4.35%——13.04%
14.35%8.70%4.35%———17.39%
24.35%4.35%4.35%———13.04%
3—8.70%4.35%———13.04%
48.70%13.04%————21.74%
5+4.35%13.04%4.35%———21.74%
Total21.74%52.17%21.74%4.35%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.09 1.09 +2.00
SD 2.31 0.79 2.61
CV 0.75 0.73 —
Max 8 3 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 23

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
1—18.18%4.55%—4.55%4.55%31.82%
24.55%18.18%9.09%4.55%——36.36%
3——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+—————4.55%4.55%
Total9.09%45.45%18.18%13.64%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.59 +0.05
SD 1.22 1.37 1.84
CV 0.74 0.86 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
1—22.73%—4.55%——27.27%
2—13.64%—9.09%4.55%—27.27%
3——4.55%4.55%4.55%—13.64%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total—54.55%18.18%18.18%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 1.82 +0.23
SD 1.50 1.05 1.80
CV 0.73 0.58 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 1 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
1—9.09%13.64%4.55%9.09%—36.36%
24.55%4.55%13.64%———22.73%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total13.64%31.82%40.91%4.55%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 1.64 +0.27
SD 1.51 1.09 2.14
CV 0.79 0.67 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%———9.09%
14.55%13.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%—36.36%
24.55%18.18%—4.55%——27.27%
3———4.55%——4.55%
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+———4.55%—4.55%9.09%
Total13.64%36.36%22.73%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.50 +0.32
SD 1.59 1.22 1.81
CV 0.88 0.82 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%———4.55%—9.09%
1—9.09%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
218.18%————4.55%22.73%
34.55%13.64%9.09%———27.27%
4——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
5+9.09%—————9.09%
Total36.36%22.73%18.18%13.64%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 1.45 +0.86
SD 1.43 1.60 2.38
CV 0.62 1.10 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.35%4.35%————8.70%
18.70%8.70%4.35%———21.74%
24.35%26.09%4.35%———34.78%
38.70%4.35%4.35%4.35%——21.74%
4———————
5+4.35%—8.70%———13.04%
Total30.43%43.48%21.74%4.35%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.43 1.00 +1.43
SD 1.90 0.85 1.90
CV 0.78 0.85 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 23

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—9.09%27.27%
1—4.55%4.55%4.55%13.64%13.64%40.91%
2———4.55%—9.09%13.64%
3————4.55%4.55%9.09%
4————4.55%—4.55%
5+————4.55%—4.55%
Total4.55%9.09%9.09%13.64%27.27%36.36%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 3.95 -2.55
SD 1.50 2.03 2.26
CV 1.07 0.51 —
Max 6 8 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
113.64%—9.09%9.09%——31.82%
24.55%—9.09%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
3—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
Total18.18%18.18%31.82%22.73%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 2.09 +0.09
SD 1.56 1.82 2.54
CV 0.72 0.87 —
Max 6 8 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%—9.09%9.09%22.73%
1—9.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%13.64%45.45%
2—4.55%——9.09%—13.64%
3—4.55%—4.55%—4.55%13.64%
4—————4.55%4.55%
5+———————
Total—18.18%18.18%9.09%22.73%31.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 3.45 -2.14
SD 1.13 1.74 2.08
CV 0.86 0.50 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 1 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%22.73%
1—4.55%18.18%—9.09%—31.82%
24.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
3—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
4—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total4.55%27.27%31.82%18.18%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 2.23 -0.45
SD 1.54 1.27 2.34
CV 0.87 0.57 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Cork Celtic 1527 35 30.51 +4.49 91.0% 22 24 28 30 32 36 40
Shelbourne 1507 35 27.91 +7.09 98.0% 18 22 26 28 31 34 37
Shamrock Rovers 1387 31 29.17 +1.83 72.0% 20 22 27 29 32 34 36
Limerick 1272 24 21.41 +2.59 81.0% 12 15 19 21 24 27 30
Cork Hibernians 1222 25 21.27 +3.73 88.0% 10 15 19 21 24 27 35
Dundalk 1198 21 22.12 -1.12 49.0% 14 16 19 22 25 29 34
Drumconda 1178 22 26.96 -4.96 10.0% 16 21 25 27 30 32 37
Waterford 1130 17 19.74 -2.74 32.0% 11 13 16 19 23 27 34
St Patrick's Athletic 1127 25 26.56 -1.56 41.0% 19 20 24 27 29 32 34
Bohemian 1104 17 15.26 +1.74 76.0% 7 10 13 15 17 21 23
Transport 817 7 12.71 -5.71 5.0% 6 7 10 13 15 18 22
Sligo Rovers 784 5 10.38 -5.38 7.0% 2 5 8 10 12 16 23

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.03%
Slight Edge
46.62%18.80%34.59%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 39.35 Elo pts.
155 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.27 goals
Neutral
-2+0.25+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.4
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
43%
Cork Celtic, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.92 * Some Luck: 2.92 to 4.38 * Lucky: 4.38 to 5.84 * Wild Swing: 5.84 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.08 * Close: 1.08 to 1.63 * Off: 1.63 to 2.17 * Way Off: 2.17 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.03 points
Some Luck
03.659
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Close
01.363
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
Shelbourne
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
5.00%
Transport
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.23
Lopsided
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 230.00
2.26
Wide Separation
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
74%
Clear Edge
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
99%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
50%
Few
0%46%100%
Blowouts
Expected
29%
Very Frequent
0%31%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.50
Highly Predictable
00.542
Matchup Imbalance
0.47
Lopsided
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.27
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.69
Near-Lock
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Chalky
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Solid Favorites
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.97
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.30
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.064
Well Within Noise
00.1350.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Cork Celtic43.00%25.00%15.00%10.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%—————
Shelbourne17.00%22.00%14.00%20.00%10.00%12.00%2.00%3.00%————
Shamrock Rovers27.00%22.00%18.00%10.00%17.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%———
St Patrick's Athletic6.00%12.00%18.00%18.00%18.00%14.00%8.00%5.00%1.00%———
Cork Hibernians1.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%12.00%12.00%21.00%23.00%18.00%5.00%2.00%—
Limerick——4.00%5.00%16.00%14.00%19.00%22.00%12.00%6.00%2.00%—
Drumconda5.00%15.00%26.00%17.00%9.00%17.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%——
Dundalk—3.00%3.00%13.00%8.00%14.00%21.00%17.00%15.00%5.00%1.00%—
Bohemian—————3.00%4.00%3.00%24.00%38.00%22.00%6.00%
Waterford1.00%——4.00%7.00%7.00%14.00%19.00%23.00%20.00%5.00%—
Transport—————1.00%1.00%3.00%5.00%22.00%42.00%26.00%
Sligo Rovers——————2.00%1.00%—3.00%26.00%68.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Bohemian 100%
Cork Celtic 100%
Cork Hibernians 100%
Drumconda 100%
Dundalk 100%
Limerick 100%
Shamrock Rovers 100%
Shelbourne 100%
Sligo Rovers 100%
St Patrick's Athletic 100%
Transport 100%
Waterford 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1961-11-05 Shelbourne W 1-044.0 1071 1209 29.29% 20.01% 50.69%-0.64 +27.5 2
1961-11-05 @ Bohemian L 0-144.0 1209 1071 50.69% 20.01% 29.29%+0.64 -27.5 0
1961-11-05 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-242.6 1281 1231 54.23% 20.03% 25.75%+0.57 -55.3 0
1961-11-05 @ Cork Celtic W 2-042.6 1231 1281 25.75% 20.03% 54.23%-0.57 +55.3 2
1961-11-05 Cork Hibernians W 4-136.5 1204 1162 53.38% 20.04% 26.58%+0.52 +37.2 2
1961-11-05 @ Dundalk L 1-436.5 1162 1204 26.58% 20.04% 53.38%-0.52 -37.2 0
1961-11-05 Sligo Rovers W 5-129.1 1314 1028 72.74% 19.30% 7.95%+2.09 +16.2 2
1961-11-05 @ Drumconda L 1-529.1 1028 1314 7.95% 19.30% 72.74%-2.09 -16.2 0
1961-11-05 Transport W 4-240.4 1231 1105 62.13% 19.88% 17.99%+1.07 +16.8 2
1961-11-05 @ Shamrock Rovers L 2-440.4 1105 1231 17.99% 19.88% 62.13%-1.07 -16.8 0
1961-11-05 Limerick W 2-036.2 1201 1217 46.15% 20.08% 33.77%+0.16 +37.0 2
1961-11-05 @ Waterford L 0-236.2 1217 1201 33.77% 20.08% 46.15%-0.16 -37.0 0
1961-11-12 Shelbourne L 1-244.8 1125 1182 40.30% 20.09% 39.61%-0.11 -21.4 0
1961-11-12 @ Cork Hibernians W 2-144.8 1182 1125 39.61% 20.09% 40.30%+0.11 +21.4 2
1961-11-12 Waterford W 4-138.1 1241 1239 48.50% 20.07% 31.43%+0.27 +42.8 4
1961-11-12 @ Dundalk L 1-438.1 1239 1241 31.43% 20.07% 48.50%-0.27 -42.8 2
1961-11-12 Cork Celtic W 2-139.2 1331 1225 60.15% 19.93% 19.92%+0.93 +11.9 4
1961-11-12 @ Drumconda L 1-239.2 1225 1331 19.92% 19.93% 60.15%-0.93 -11.9 0
1961-11-12 Shamrock Rovers D 1-152.6 1180 1248 38.72% 20.08% 41.20%-0.19 +0.3 1
1961-11-12 @ Limerick D 1-152.6 1248 1180 41.20% 20.08% 38.72%+0.19 -0.3 3
1961-11-12 Bohemian D 2-257.1 1287 1098 67.10% 19.70% 13.20%+1.47 -5.3 3
1961-11-12 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 2-257.1 1098 1287 13.20% 19.70% 67.10%-1.47 +5.3 3
1961-11-12 Sligo Rovers W 2-139.4 1088 1012 57.14% 19.99% 22.87%+0.74 +13.4 2
1961-11-12 @ Transport L 1-239.4 1012 1088 22.87% 19.99% 57.14%-0.74 -13.4 0
1961-11-19 Drumconda L 1-532.6 1104 1342 18.60% 19.79% 61.61%-1.28 -35.2 3
1961-11-19 @ Bohemian W 5-132.6 1342 1104 61.61% 19.79% 18.60%+1.28 +35.2 6
1961-11-19 Dundalk W 4-141.2 1214 1284 38.40% 20.08% 41.52%-0.20 +53.6 2
1961-11-19 @ Cork Celtic L 1-441.2 1284 1214 41.52% 20.08% 38.40%+0.20 -53.6 4
1961-11-19 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-141.9 1247 1281 43.56% 20.09% 36.36%+0.03 +34.1 5
1961-11-19 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-341.9 1281 1247 36.36% 20.09% 43.56%-0.03 -34.1 3
1961-11-19 Limerick W 3-139.2 1203 1180 51.12% 20.06% 28.82%+0.40 +28.1 4
1961-11-19 @ Shelbourne L 1-339.2 1180 1203 28.82% 20.06% 51.12%-0.40 -28.1 1
1961-11-19 Cork Hibernians L 2-347.5 999 1103 33.70% 20.06% 46.24%-0.42 -17.5 0
1961-11-19 @ Sligo Rovers W 3-247.5 1103 999 46.24% 20.06% 33.70%+0.42 +17.5 2
1961-11-26 Waterford D 1-152.4 1121 1196 37.77% 20.08% 42.15%-0.23 +0.5 3
1961-11-26 @ Cork Hibernians D 1-152.4 1196 1121 42.15% 20.08% 37.77%+0.23 -0.5 3
1961-11-26 Bohemian W 2-030.4 1230 1068 65.13% 19.78% 15.08%+1.30 +18.5 6
1961-11-26 @ Dundalk L 0-230.4 1068 1230 15.08% 19.78% 65.13%-1.30 -18.5 3
1961-11-26 Shamrock Rovers L 0-245.0 1378 1281 59.28% 19.95% 20.77%+0.87 -60.3 6
1961-11-26 @ Drumconda W 2-045.0 1281 1378 20.77% 19.95% 59.28%-0.87 +60.2 7
1961-11-26 Cork Celtic L 1-438.2 1152 1267 32.24% 20.04% 47.71%-0.49 -43.7 1
1961-11-26 @ Limerick W 4-138.2 1267 1152 47.71% 20.04% 32.24%+0.49 +43.7 4
1961-11-26 Sligo Rovers W 4-130.8 1247 981 71.77% 19.39% 8.84%+1.97 +13.8 5
1961-11-26 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-430.8 981 1247 8.84% 19.39% 71.77%-1.97 -13.8 0
1961-11-26 Shelbourne L 1-241.8 1101 1231 30.35% 20.03% 49.62%-0.58 -17.0 2
1961-11-26 @ Transport W 2-141.8 1231 1101 49.62% 20.03% 30.35%+0.58 +17.0 6
1961-12-03 Transport W 2-036.8 1050 1084 43.50% 20.09% 36.41%+0.03 +39.4 5
1961-12-03 @ Bohemian L 0-236.8 1084 1050 36.41% 20.09% 43.50%-0.03 -39.4 2
1961-12-03 Sligo Rovers W 8-127.1 1311 968 75.13% 19.01% 5.86%+2.46 +20.1 6
1961-12-03 @ Cork Celtic L 1-827.1 968 1311 5.86% 19.01% 75.13%-2.46 -20.1 0
1961-12-03 Drumconda L 2-344.0 1108 1317 21.39% 19.87% 58.74%-1.09 -11.9 1
1961-12-03 @ Limerick W 3-244.0 1317 1108 58.74% 19.87% 21.39%+1.09 +12.0 8
1961-12-03 Dundalk W 1-038.7 1248 1249 48.07% 20.08% 31.85%+0.25 +18.7 8
1961-12-03 @ Shelbourne L 0-138.7 1249 1248 31.85% 20.08% 48.07%-0.25 -18.7 6
1961-12-03 Cork Hibernians D 2-257.1 1261 1121 63.31% 19.84% 16.85%+1.15 -4.5 6
1961-12-03 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 2-257.1 1121 1261 16.85% 19.84% 63.31%-1.15 +4.5 4
1961-12-03 Shamrock Rovers L 0-531.2 1195 1342 28.34% 20.00% 51.66%-0.69 -74.9 3
1961-12-03 @ Waterford W 5-031.2 1342 1195 51.66% 20.00% 28.34%+0.69 +74.9 9
1961-12-10 Dundalk W 4-135.1 1329 1230 59.57% 19.94% 20.49%+0.89 +29.8 10
1961-12-10 @ Drumconda L 1-435.1 1230 1329 20.49% 19.94% 59.57%-0.89 -29.8 6
1961-12-10 Cork Celtic L 1-350.4 1417 1331 58.21% 19.97% 21.83%+0.80 -51.2 9
1961-12-10 @ Shamrock Rovers W 3-150.4 1331 1417 21.83% 19.97% 58.21%-0.80 +51.2 8
1961-12-10 Shelbourne L 2-731.8 947 1267 12.46% 19.50% 68.04%-1.80 -25.1 0
1961-12-10 @ Sligo Rovers W 7-231.8 1267 947 68.04% 19.50% 12.46%+1.80 +25.1 10
1961-12-10 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-632.4 1045 1257 21.13% 19.86% 59.00%-1.11 -48.3 2
1961-12-10 @ Transport W 6-132.4 1257 1045 59.00% 19.86% 21.13%+1.11 +48.3 8
1961-12-10 Bohemian W 4-243.4 1120 1089 52.08% 20.05% 27.87%+0.45 +24.5 5
1961-12-10 @ Waterford L 2-443.4 1089 1120 27.87% 20.05% 52.08%-0.45 -24.5 5
1961-12-17 Bohemian W 3-132.4 1382 1065 74.13% 19.15% 6.72%+2.30 +7.5 10
1961-12-17 @ Cork Celtic L 1-332.4 1065 1382 6.72% 19.15% 74.13%-2.30 -7.5 5
1961-12-17 Shamrock Rovers L 0-234.4 1200 1365 26.16% 19.97% 53.87%-0.81 -29.9 6
1961-12-17 @ Dundalk W 2-034.4 1365 1200 53.87% 19.97% 26.16%+0.81 +29.9 11
1961-12-17 Sligo Rovers W 6-338.6 1096 922 66.03% 19.75% 14.22%+1.37 +17.2 3
1961-12-17 @ Limerick L 3-638.6 922 1096 14.22% 19.75% 66.03%-1.37 -17.2 0
1961-12-17 Waterford W 2-137.7 1292 1145 63.95% 19.82% 16.23%+1.20 +9.9 12
1961-12-17 @ Shelbourne L 1-237.7 1145 1292 16.23% 19.82% 63.95%-1.20 -9.9 5
1961-12-17 Drumconda W 3-143.6 1305 1359 40.73% 20.09% 39.18%-0.09 +36.2 10
1961-12-17 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-343.6 1359 1305 39.18% 20.09% 40.73%+0.09 -36.2 10
1961-12-17 Cork Hibernians D 1-152.3 997 1126 30.46% 20.03% 49.52%-0.58 +2.3 3
1961-12-17 @ Transport D 1-152.3 1126 997 49.52% 20.03% 30.46%+0.58 -2.3 5
1961-12-24 Cork Hibernians D 3-361.4 1057 1124 38.96% 20.08% 40.96%-0.17 +0.1 6
1961-12-24 @ Bohemian D 3-361.4 1124 1057 40.96% 20.08% 38.96%+0.17 -0.1 6
1961-12-24 Waterford W 4-131.5 1390 1135 71.18% 19.44% 9.37%+1.89 +14.6 12
1961-12-24 @ Cork Celtic L 1-431.5 1135 1390 9.37% 19.44% 71.18%-1.89 -14.6 5
1961-12-24 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-136.8 1170 1341 25.50% 19.96% 54.54%-0.85 -15.5 6
1961-12-24 @ Dundalk W 1-036.8 1341 1170 54.54% 19.96% 25.50%+0.85 +15.5 12
1961-12-24 Shelbourne D 1-153.4 1323 1302 50.81% 20.06% 29.13%+0.39 -2.6 11
1961-12-24 @ Drumconda D 1-153.4 1302 1323 29.13% 20.06% 50.81%-0.39 +2.6 13
1961-12-24 Transport D 3-361.5 1113 999 61.05% 19.91% 19.05%+0.99 -3.3 4
1961-12-24 @ Limerick D 3-361.5 999 1113 19.05% 19.91% 61.05%-0.99 +3.3 4
1961-12-24 Sligo Rovers D 0-050.0 1395 905 79.26% 18.10% 2.65%+3.41 -11.9 12
1961-12-24 @ Shamrock Rovers D 0-050.0 905 1395 2.65% 18.10% 79.26%-3.41 +11.9 1
1961-12-31 Shamrock Rovers D 1-152.9 1123 1383 16.79% 19.72% 63.48%-1.42 +6.0 7
1961-12-31 @ Cork Hibernians D 1-152.9 1383 1123 63.48% 19.72% 16.79%+1.42 -6.0 13
1962-01-07 Cork Hibernians W 5-129.7 1404 1130 72.21% 19.35% 8.43%+2.02 +17.1 14
1962-01-07 @ Cork Celtic L 1-529.7 1130 1404 8.43% 19.35% 72.21%-2.02 -17.1 7
1962-01-07 Limerick L 1-248.8 1155 1110 53.72% 20.03% 26.25%+0.54 -27.4 6
1962-01-07 @ Dundalk W 2-148.8 1110 1155 26.25% 20.03% 53.72%-0.54 +27.4 6
1962-01-07 Transport W 4-236.8 1320 1002 74.15% 19.15% 6.71%+2.30 +6.7 13
1962-01-07 @ Drumconda L 2-436.8 1002 1320 6.71% 19.15% 74.15%-2.30 -6.7 4
1962-01-07 Shelbourne L 1-251.3 1377 1305 56.83% 19.99% 23.18%+0.72 -28.9 13
1962-01-07 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-151.3 1305 1377 23.18% 19.99% 56.83%-0.72 +28.9 15
1962-01-07 Bohemian D 4-464.5 917 1057 29.09% 20.01% 50.90%-0.65 +1.4 2
1962-01-07 @ Sligo Rovers D 4-464.5 1057 917 50.90% 20.01% 29.09%+0.65 -1.4 7
1962-01-07 Waterford W 3-240.7 1357 1120 70.16% 19.52% 10.32%+1.78 +6.2 14
1962-01-07 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 2-340.7 1120 1357 10.32% 19.52% 70.16%-1.78 -6.2 5
1962-01-10 St Patrick's Athletic D 3-363.3 1334 1363 44.21% 20.09% 35.70%+0.06 -0.6 16
1962-01-10 @ Shelbourne D 3-363.3 1363 1334 35.70% 20.09% 44.21%-0.06 +0.6 15
1962-01-14 Shamrock Rovers L 2-341.8 1056 1348 14.28% 19.61% 66.11%-1.63 -8.3 7
1962-01-14 @ Bohemian W 3-241.8 1348 1056 66.11% 19.61% 14.28%+1.63 +8.4 15
1962-01-14 Drumconda W 2-043.9 1112 1327 20.87% 19.86% 59.27%-1.13 +60.2 9
1962-01-14 @ Cork Hibernians L 0-243.9 1327 1112 59.27% 19.86% 20.87%+1.13 -60.2 13
1962-01-14 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-151.1 1137 1364 19.76% 19.83% 60.41%-1.20 +30.7 8
1962-01-14 @ Limerick L 1-251.1 1364 1137 60.41% 19.83% 19.76%+1.20 -30.7 15
1962-01-14 Cork Celtic W 3-039.5 1333 1421 35.87% 20.07% 44.06%-0.32 +66.8 18
1962-01-14 @ Shelbourne L 0-339.5 1421 1333 44.06% 20.07% 35.87%+0.32 -66.8 14
1962-01-14 Dundalk L 1-241.6 995 1128 30.12% 20.02% 49.86%-0.60 -16.9 4
1962-01-14 @ Transport W 2-141.6 1128 995 49.86% 20.02% 30.12%+0.60 +16.8 8
1962-01-14 Sligo Rovers W 4-345.0 1114 918 67.60% 19.67% 12.73%+1.51 +7.4 7
1962-01-14 @ Waterford L 3-445.0 918 1114 12.73% 19.67% 67.60%-1.51 -7.3 2
1962-01-19 Transport W 4-133.3 1121 979 63.57% 19.84% 16.59%+1.17 +24.7 9
1962-01-19 @ Waterford L 1-433.3 979 1121 16.59% 19.84% 63.57%-1.17 -24.7 4
1962-01-21 Dundalk D 2-257.0 1173 1144 51.72% 20.05% 28.22%+0.44 -2.1 10
1962-01-21 @ Cork Hibernians D 2-257.0 1144 1173 28.22% 20.05% 51.72%-0.44 +2.1 9
1962-01-21 Waterford W 1-037.5 1168 1146 50.94% 20.06% 29.00%+0.39 +17.3 10
1962-01-21 @ Limerick L 0-137.5 1146 1168 29.00% 20.06% 50.94%-0.39 -17.3 9
1962-01-21 Bohemian D 0-050.0 1400 1048 75.45% 18.96% 5.59%+2.52 -10.8 19
1962-01-21 @ Shelbourne D 0-050.0 1048 1400 5.59% 18.96% 75.45%-2.52 +10.8 8
1962-01-21 Drumconda D 1-152.5 911 1267 10.34% 19.35% 70.31%-2.04 +8.0 3
1962-01-21 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-152.5 1267 911 70.31% 19.35% 10.34%+2.04 -8.0 14
1962-01-21 Cork Celtic L 2-842.5 1333 1355 45.23% 20.09% 34.68%+0.11 -89.2 15
1962-01-21 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 8-242.5 1355 1333 34.68% 20.09% 45.23%-0.11 +89.2 16
1962-01-21 Shamrock Rovers W 3-152.1 954 1357 8.09% 19.12% 72.80%-2.34 +64.5 6
1962-01-21 @ Transport L 1-352.1 1357 954 72.80% 19.12% 8.09%+2.34 -64.5 15
1962-01-24 Cork Celtic L 0-624.8 1018 1444 7.17% 19.00% 73.83%-2.49 -25.6 6
1962-01-24 @ Transport W 6-024.8 1444 1018 73.83% 19.00% 7.17%+2.49 +25.6 18
1962-01-28 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-435.5 1058 1244 23.87% 19.93% 56.20%-0.94 -33.9 8
1962-01-28 @ Bohemian W 4-135.5 1244 1058 56.20% 19.93% 23.87%+0.94 +33.9 17
1962-01-28 Drumconda W 1-034.4 1469 1259 68.60% 19.62% 11.79%+1.61 +7.8 20
1962-01-28 @ Cork Celtic L 0-134.4 1259 1469 11.79% 19.62% 68.60%-1.61 -7.8 14
1962-01-28 Limerick W 2-032.1 1292 1185 60.32% 19.93% 19.76%+0.94 +23.5 17
1962-01-28 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-232.1 1185 1292 19.76% 19.93% 60.32%-0.94 -23.6 10
1962-01-28 Cork Hibernians L 1-253.9 1389 1170 69.09% 19.59% 11.32%+1.66 -35.3 19
1962-01-28 @ Shelbourne W 2-153.9 1170 1389 11.32% 19.59% 69.09%-1.66 +35.3 12
1962-01-28 Transport W 6-452.1 919 993 37.92% 20.08% 42.00%-0.22 +31.2 5
1962-01-28 @ Sligo Rovers L 4-652.1 993 919 42.00% 20.08% 37.92%+0.22 -31.2 6
1962-01-28 Dundalk D 2-256.9 1129 1147 45.80% 20.08% 34.11%+0.14 -1.0 10
1962-01-28 @ Waterford D 2-256.9 1147 1129 34.11% 20.08% 45.80%-0.14 +1.0 10
1962-02-04 Sligo Rovers W 4-131.0 1206 950 71.22% 19.44% 9.34%+1.90 +14.6 14
1962-02-04 @ Cork Hibernians L 1-431.0 950 1206 9.34% 19.44% 71.22%-1.90 -14.6 5
1962-02-04 Cork Celtic L 1-237.1 1148 1477 11.83% 19.46% 68.71%-1.87 -7.4 10
1962-02-04 @ Dundalk W 2-137.1 1477 1148 68.71% 19.46% 11.83%+1.87 +7.4 22
1962-02-04 Bohemian W 2-135.8 1251 1024 69.58% 19.56% 10.86%+1.71 +6.9 16
1962-02-04 @ Drumconda L 1-235.8 1024 1251 10.86% 19.56% 69.58%-1.71 -6.8 8
1962-02-04 Shelbourne L 1-240.0 1162 1354 23.19% 19.91% 56.90%-0.98 -13.5 10
1962-02-04 @ Limerick W 2-140.0 1354 1162 56.90% 19.91% 23.19%+0.98 +13.5 21
1962-02-04 Shamrock Rovers L 0-535.9 1278 1316 42.99% 20.09% 36.93%+0.01 -105.3 17
1962-02-04 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 5-035.9 1316 1278 36.93% 20.09% 42.99%-0.01 +105.3 19
1962-02-04 Waterford L 1-338.2 962 1128 26.02% 19.97% 54.02%-0.82 -25.8 6
1962-02-04 @ Transport W 3-138.2 1128 962 54.02% 19.97% 26.02%+0.82 +25.8 12
1962-02-07 Limerick L 1-241.7 1018 1148 30.27% 20.02% 49.71%-0.59 -16.9 8
1962-02-07 @ Bohemian W 2-141.7 1148 1018 49.71% 20.02% 30.27%+0.59 +16.9 12
1962-02-07 Dundalk L 2-538.7 936 1140 21.88% 19.88% 58.24%-1.06 -27.2 5
1962-02-07 @ Sligo Rovers W 5-238.7 1140 936 58.24% 19.88% 21.88%+1.06 +27.2 12
1962-02-08 Drumconda D 3-361.6 1154 1258 33.75% 20.06% 46.20%-0.42 +0.9 13
1962-02-08 @ Waterford D 3-361.6 1258 1154 46.20% 20.06% 33.75%+0.42 -0.9 17
1962-02-11 Dundalk W 2-148.8 1001 1167 25.94% 19.97% 54.10%-0.82 +27.6 10
1962-02-11 @ Bohemian L 1-248.8 1167 1001 54.10% 19.97% 25.94%+0.82 -27.6 12
1962-02-11 Limerick D 1-153.9 1485 1165 74.20% 19.14% 6.66%+2.31 -9.3 23
1962-02-11 @ Cork Celtic D 1-153.9 1165 1485 6.66% 19.14% 74.20%-2.31 +9.3 13
1962-02-11 Drumconda W 4-347.3 1421 1257 65.30% 19.77% 14.92%+1.31 +8.5 21
1962-02-11 @ Shamrock Rovers L 3-447.3 1257 1421 14.92% 19.77% 65.30%-1.31 -8.5 17
1962-02-11 Transport W 2-133.3 1367 936 77.86% 18.49% 3.64%+3.03 +2.4 23
1962-02-11 @ Shelbourne L 1-233.3 936 1367 3.64% 18.49% 77.86%-3.03 -2.4 6
1962-02-11 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-133.6 909 1172 16.48% 19.71% 63.81%-1.44 -10.6 5
1962-02-11 @ Sligo Rovers W 1-033.6 1172 909 63.81% 19.71% 16.48%+1.44 +10.6 19
1962-02-11 Cork Hibernians L 1-244.5 1155 1220 39.05% 20.08% 40.87%-0.17 -20.8 13
1962-02-11 @ Waterford W 2-144.5 1220 1155 40.87% 20.08% 39.05%+0.17 +20.8 16
1962-02-25 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-145.6 1241 1183 55.25% 20.01% 24.73%+0.63 -29.8 16
1962-02-25 @ Cork Hibernians W 1-045.6 1183 1241 24.73% 20.01% 55.25%-0.63 +29.8 21
1962-02-25 Shelbourne D 2-257.4 1140 1370 19.43% 19.82% 60.75%-1.23 +3.9 13
1962-02-25 @ Dundalk D 2-257.4 1370 1140 60.75% 19.82% 19.43%+1.23 -3.9 24
1962-02-25 Limerick L 2-452.3 1248 1175 56.96% 19.99% 23.05%+0.73 -44.9 17
1962-02-25 @ Drumconda W 4-252.3 1175 1248 23.05% 19.99% 56.96%-0.73 +44.9 15
1962-02-25 Waterford W 2-028.6 1429 1134 73.20% 19.26% 7.55%+2.16 +9.7 23
1962-02-25 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-228.6 1134 1429 7.55% 19.26% 73.20%-2.16 -9.7 13
1962-02-25 Cork Celtic L 0-226.4 898 1475 3.17% 18.04% 78.79%-3.46 -4.1 5
1962-02-25 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-026.4 1475 898 78.79% 18.04% 3.17%+3.46 +4.1 25
1962-02-25 Bohemian L 1-537.3 933 1028 35.02% 20.06% 44.91%-0.36 -60.3 6
1962-02-25 @ Transport W 5-137.3 1028 933 44.91% 20.06% 35.02%+0.36 +60.3 12
1962-03-04 Shamrock Rovers W 4-037.3 1479 1439 53.17% 20.04% 26.79%+0.51 +58.0 27
1962-03-04 @ Cork Celtic L 0-437.3 1439 1479 26.79% 20.04% 53.17%-0.51 -58.0 23
1962-03-04 Drumconda D 1-152.4 1144 1203 39.93% 20.08% 39.98%-0.13 +0.0 14
1962-03-04 @ Dundalk D 1-152.4 1203 1144 39.98% 20.08% 39.93%+0.13 -0.0 18
1962-03-04 Cork Hibernians L 1-247.6 1219 1211 49.20% 20.07% 30.73%+0.31 -25.3 15
1962-03-04 @ Limerick W 2-147.6 1211 1219 30.73% 20.07% 49.20%-0.31 +25.3 18
1962-03-04 Transport W 5-339.5 1213 873 74.99% 19.03% 5.98%+2.44 +5.7 23
1962-03-04 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 3-539.5 873 1213 5.98% 19.03% 74.99%-2.44 -5.7 6
1962-03-11 Transport W 5-024.4 1144 868 72.28% 19.35% 8.37%+2.03 +25.1 16
1962-03-11 @ Dundalk L 0-524.4 868 1144 8.37% 19.35% 72.28%-2.03 -25.1 6
1962-03-14 Waterford W 2-143.6 1088 1124 43.35% 20.09% 36.56%+0.02 +19.8 14
1962-03-14 @ Bohemian L 1-243.6 1124 1088 36.56% 20.09% 43.35%-0.02 -19.8 13
1962-03-18 Cork Celtic D 2-258.5 1108 1537 7.03% 18.98% 74.00%-2.51 +6.8 15
1962-03-18 @ Bohemian D 2-258.5 1537 1108 74.00% 18.98% 7.03%+2.51 -6.8 28
1962-03-18 Transport W 4-023.2 1237 842 76.82% 18.72% 4.45%+2.79 +11.0 20
1962-03-18 @ Cork Hibernians L 0-423.2 842 1237 4.45% 18.72% 76.82%-2.79 -11.0 6
1962-03-18 St Patrick's Athletic L 2-351.5 1203 1218 46.17% 20.08% 33.75%+0.16 -22.7 18
1962-03-18 @ Drumconda W 3-251.5 1218 1203 33.75% 20.08% 46.17%-0.16 +22.7 25
1962-03-18 Dundalk W 3-134.4 1381 1169 68.70% 19.61% 11.69%+1.62 +12.7 25
1962-03-18 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-334.4 1169 1381 11.69% 19.61% 68.70%-1.62 -12.7 16
1962-03-18 Limerick L 1-432.3 894 1194 13.73% 19.58% 66.69%-1.68 -20.8 5
1962-03-18 @ Sligo Rovers W 4-132.3 1194 894 66.69% 19.58% 13.73%+1.68 +20.8 17
1962-03-18 Shelbourne L 0-328.8 1104 1366 16.67% 19.72% 63.61%-1.43 -29.4 13
1962-03-18 @ Waterford W 3-028.8 1366 1104 63.61% 19.72% 16.67%+1.43 +29.4 26
1962-03-25 Bohemian W 2-137.9 1248 1115 62.69% 19.86% 17.45%+1.11 +10.5 22
1962-03-25 @ Cork Hibernians L 1-237.9 1115 1248 17.45% 19.86% 62.69%-1.11 -10.5 15
1962-03-25 Drumconda W 3-241.5 1395 1181 68.82% 19.61% 11.57%+1.63 +6.9 28
1962-03-25 @ Shelbourne L 2-341.5 1181 1395 11.57% 19.61% 68.82%-1.63 -6.9 18
1962-03-25 Shamrock Rovers L 1-331.3 873 1394 4.30% 18.42% 77.27%-3.10 -4.8 5
1962-03-25 @ Sligo Rovers W 3-131.3 1394 873 77.27% 18.42% 4.30%+3.10 +4.8 27
1962-03-25 Dundalk L 2-355.0 1241 1156 58.13% 19.97% 21.90%+0.80 -28.0 25
1962-03-25 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 3-255.0 1156 1241 21.90% 19.97% 58.13%-0.80 +28.0 18
1962-03-25 Limerick L 0-424.7 831 1215 8.95% 19.21% 71.84%-2.22 -21.6 6
1962-03-25 @ Transport W 4-024.7 1215 831 71.84% 19.21% 8.95%+2.22 +21.6 19
1962-03-25 Cork Celtic L 0-424.7 1075 1531 6.10% 18.83% 75.07%-2.68 -14.9 13
1962-03-25 @ Waterford W 4-024.7 1531 1075 75.07% 18.83% 6.10%+2.68 +14.9 30
1962-03-28 Waterford L 1-533.7 868 1060 23.19% 19.91% 56.89%-0.98 -42.7 5
1962-03-28 @ Sligo Rovers W 5-133.7 1060 868 56.89% 19.91% 23.19%+0.98 +42.7 15
1962-04-01 Transport W 5-126.0 1546 810 83.18% 16.13% 0.69%+4.99 +1.4 32
1962-04-01 @ Cork Celtic L 1-526.0 810 1546 0.69% 16.13% 83.18%-4.99 -1.4 6
1962-04-01 Sligo Rovers W 3-024.8 1184 826 75.68% 18.93% 5.39%+2.56 +10.2 20
1962-04-01 @ Dundalk L 0-324.8 826 1184 5.39% 18.93% 75.68%-2.56 -10.2 5
1962-04-01 Waterford W 2-139.6 1174 1103 56.68% 19.99% 23.33%+0.71 +13.6 20
1962-04-01 @ Drumconda L 1-239.6 1103 1174 23.33% 19.99% 56.68%-0.71 -13.6 15
1962-04-01 Bohemian W 2-031.2 1236 1104 62.64% 19.87% 17.50%+1.10 +21.2 21
1962-04-01 @ Limerick L 0-231.2 1104 1236 17.50% 19.87% 62.64%-1.10 -21.2 15
1962-04-01 Cork Hibernians W 3-029.9 1399 1258 63.38% 19.84% 16.78%+1.16 +29.6 29
1962-04-01 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-329.9 1258 1399 16.78% 19.84% 63.38%-1.16 -29.6 22
1962-04-01 Shelbourne L 0-233.9 1213 1402 23.51% 19.92% 56.57%-0.96 -27.3 25
1962-04-01 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-033.9 1402 1213 56.57% 19.92% 23.51%+0.96 +27.3 30
1962-04-06 Sligo Rovers W 5-024.5 1083 815 71.87% 19.38% 8.74%+1.98 +26.2 17
1962-04-06 @ Bohemian L 0-524.5 815 1083 8.74% 19.38% 71.87%-1.98 -26.2 5
1962-04-07 Sligo Rovers W 7-022.9 1429 789 81.88% 16.95% 1.17%+4.37 +4.8 32
1962-04-07 @ Shelbourne L 0-722.9 789 1429 1.17% 16.95% 81.88%-4.37 -4.8 5
1962-04-07 Drumconda D 1-152.5 808 1187 9.16% 19.24% 71.60%-2.19 +8.4 7
1962-04-07 @ Transport D 1-152.5 1187 808 71.60% 19.24% 9.16%+2.19 -8.4 21
1962-04-08 Cork Celtic L 2-344.1 1229 1547 12.53% 19.51% 67.96%-1.80 -7.4 22
1962-04-08 @ Cork Hibernians W 3-244.1 1547 1229 67.96% 19.51% 12.53%+1.80 +7.4 34
1962-04-08 Dundalk D 1-152.6 1258 1194 55.81% 20.01% 24.18%+0.66 -3.9 22
1962-04-08 @ Limerick D 1-152.6 1194 1258 24.18% 20.01% 55.81%-0.66 +3.9 21
1962-04-08 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-144.0 1089 1186 34.75% 20.06% 45.19%-0.37 +40.7 17
1962-04-08 @ Waterford L 1-344.0 1186 1089 45.19% 20.06% 34.75%+0.37 -40.7 25
1962-04-15 Cork Hibernians D 1-152.5 1179 1221 42.42% 20.09% 37.49%-0.02 -0.6 22
1962-04-15 @ Drumconda D 1-152.5 1221 1179 37.49% 20.09% 42.42%+0.02 +0.6 23
1962-04-19 Shamrock Rovers W 6-244.4 1434 1428 48.88% 20.07% 31.05%+0.29 +46.4 34
1962-04-19 @ Shelbourne L 2-644.4 1428 1434 31.05% 20.07% 48.88%-0.29 -46.4 29
1962-04-22 Shelbourne D 1-163.6 1554 1480 56.98% 19.99% 23.03%+0.73 -4.3 35
1962-04-22 @ Cork Celtic D 1-163.6 1480 1554 23.03% 19.99% 56.98%-0.73 +4.3 35
1962-04-22 Bohemian W 3-240.2 1382 1109 72.10% 19.36% 8.54%+2.01 +5.2 31
1962-04-22 @ Shamrock Rovers L 2-340.2 1109 1382 8.54% 19.36% 72.10%-2.01 -5.2 17
1962-04-22 Limerick L 1-242.7 1145 1254 33.14% 20.05% 46.80%-0.45 -18.2 25
1962-04-22 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-142.7 1254 1145 46.80% 20.05% 33.14%+0.45 +18.2 24
1962-04-25 Limerick FW48.3 1222 1272 41.29% 20.09% 38.63%-0.07 +0.0 25
1962-04-25 @ Cork Hibernians FL48.3 1272 1222 38.63% 20.09% 41.29%+0.07 +0.0 24

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1962-05-02 Cork Celtic W 1-052.3 1485 1550 39.09% 20.08% 40.82%-0.17 +22.9 2
1962-05-02 @ Shelbourne L 0-152.3 1550 1485 40.82% 20.08% 39.09%+0.17 -22.9 0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1962-01-21 8.09% @ Transport 954 3 Shamrock Rovers 1357 1
2 1962-01-28 11.32% Cork Hibernians 1170 2 @ Shelbourne 1389 1
3 1962-01-14 19.76% @ Limerick 1137 2 St Patrick's Athletic 1364 1
4 1961-11-26 20.77% Shamrock Rovers 1281 2 @ Drumconda 1378 0
5 1962-01-14 20.87% @ Cork Hibernians 1112 2 Drumconda 1327 0
6 1961-12-10 21.83% Cork Celtic 1331 3 @ Shamrock Rovers 1417 1
7 1962-03-25 21.90% Dundalk 1156 3 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1241 2
8 1962-02-25 23.05% Limerick 1175 4 @ Drumconda 1248 2
9 1962-01-07 23.18% Shelbourne 1305 2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1377 1
10 1962-02-25 24.73% St Patrick's Athletic 1183 1 @ Cork Hibernians 1241 0
11 1961-11-05 25.75% St Patrick's Athletic 1231 2 @ Cork Celtic 1281 0
12 1962-02-11 25.94% @ Bohemian 1001 2 Dundalk 1167 1
13 1962-01-07 26.25% Limerick 1110 2 @ Dundalk 1155 1
14 1961-11-05 29.29% @ Bohemian 1071 1 Shelbourne 1209 0
15 1962-03-04 30.73% Cork Hibernians 1211 2 @ Limerick 1219 1
16 1962-03-18 33.75% St Patrick's Athletic 1218 3 @ Drumconda 1203 2
17 1962-01-21 34.68% Cork Celtic 1355 8 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1333 2
18 1962-04-08 34.75% @ Waterford 1089 3 St Patrick's Athletic 1186 1
19 1962-01-14 35.87% @ Shelbourne 1333 3 Cork Celtic 1421 0
20 1962-02-04 36.93% Shamrock Rovers 1316 5 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1278 0
21 1962-01-28 37.92% @ Sligo Rovers 919 6 Transport 993 4
22 1961-11-19 38.40% @ Cork Celtic 1214 4 Dundalk 1284 1
23 1962-05-02 39.09% @ Shelbourne 1485 1 Cork Celtic 1550 0
24 1961-11-12 39.61% Shelbourne 1182 2 @ Cork Hibernians 1125 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1962-02-04 105.30 Shamrock Rovers 5 1316 36.93% @ St Patrick's Athletic 0 1278 42.99% 20.09%
2 1962-01-21 89.18 Cork Celtic 8 1355 34.68% @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1333 45.23% 20.09%
3 1961-12-03 74.88 Shamrock Rovers 5 1342 51.66% @ Waterford 0 1195 28.34% 20.00%
4 1962-01-14 66.75 @ Shelbourne 3 1333 35.87% Cork Celtic 0 1421 44.06% 20.07%
5 1962-01-21 64.54 @ Transport 3 954 8.09% Shamrock Rovers 1 1357 72.80% 19.12%
6 1962-02-25 60.31 Bohemian 5 1028 44.91% @ Transport 1 933 35.02% 20.06%
7 1961-11-26 60.26 Shamrock Rovers 2 1281 20.77% @ Drumconda 0 1378 59.28% 19.95%
8 1962-01-14 60.19 @ Cork Hibernians 2 1112 20.87% Drumconda 0 1327 59.27% 19.86%
9 1962-03-04 58.00 @ Cork Celtic 4 1479 53.17% Shamrock Rovers 0 1439 26.79% 20.04%
10 1961-11-05 55.29 St Patrick's Athletic 2 1231 25.75% @ Cork Celtic 0 1281 54.23% 20.03%
11 1961-11-19 53.59 @ Cork Celtic 4 1214 38.40% Dundalk 1 1284 41.52% 20.08%
12 1961-12-10 51.25 Cork Celtic 3 1331 21.83% @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1417 58.21% 19.97%
13 1961-12-10 48.26 St Patrick's Athletic 6 1257 59.00% @ Transport 1 1045 21.13% 19.86%
14 1962-04-19 46.38 @ Shelbourne 6 1434 48.88% Shamrock Rovers 2 1428 31.05% 20.07%
15 1962-02-25 44.88 Limerick 4 1175 23.05% @ Drumconda 2 1248 56.96% 19.99%
16 1961-11-26 43.66 Cork Celtic 4 1267 47.71% @ Limerick 1 1152 32.24% 20.04%
17 1961-11-12 42.76 @ Dundalk 4 1241 48.50% Waterford 1 1239 31.43% 20.07%
18 1962-03-28 42.71 Waterford 5 1060 56.89% @ Sligo Rovers 1 868 23.19% 19.91%
19 1962-04-08 40.66 @ Waterford 3 1089 34.75% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1186 45.19% 20.06%
20 1961-12-03 39.37 @ Bohemian 2 1050 43.50% Transport 0 1084 36.41% 20.09%
21 1961-11-05 37.20 @ Dundalk 4 1204 53.38% Cork Hibernians 1 1162 26.58% 20.04%
22 1961-11-05 37.04 @ Waterford 2 1201 46.15% Limerick 0 1217 33.77% 20.08%
23 1961-12-17 36.17 @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1305 40.73% Drumconda 1 1359 39.18% 20.09%
24 1962-01-28 35.30 Cork Hibernians 2 1170 11.32% @ Shelbourne 1 1389 69.09% 19.59%
25 1961-11-19 35.23 Drumconda 5 1342 61.61% @ Bohemian 1 1104 18.60% 19.79%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1962-01-07 64.5 @ Sligo Rovers 4 917 29.09% Bohemian 4 1057 50.90% 20.01%
2 1962-04-22 63.6 @ Cork Celtic 1 1554 56.98% Shelbourne 1 1480 23.03% 19.99%
3 1962-01-10 63.3 @ Shelbourne 3 1334 44.21% St Patrick's Athletic 3 1363 35.70% 20.09%
4 1962-02-08 61.6 @ Waterford 3 1154 33.75% Drumconda 3 1258 46.20% 20.06%
5 1961-12-24 61.5 @ Limerick 3 1113 61.05% Transport 3 999 19.05% 19.91%
6 1961-12-24 61.4 @ Bohemian 3 1057 38.96% Cork Hibernians 3 1124 40.96% 20.08%
7 1962-03-18 58.5 @ Bohemian 2 1108 7.03% Cork Celtic 2 1537 74.00% 18.98%
8 1962-02-25 57.4 @ Dundalk 2 1140 19.43% Shelbourne 2 1370 60.75% 19.82%
9 1961-11-12 57.1 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1287 67.10% Bohemian 2 1098 13.20% 19.70%
10 1961-12-03 57.1 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1261 63.31% Cork Hibernians 2 1121 16.85% 19.84%
11 1962-01-21 57.0 @ Cork Hibernians 2 1173 51.72% Dundalk 2 1144 28.22% 20.05%
12 1962-01-28 56.9 @ Waterford 2 1129 45.80% Dundalk 2 1147 34.11% 20.08%
13 1962-03-25 55.0 Dundalk 3 1156 21.90% @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1241 58.13% 19.97%
14 1962-01-28 53.9 Cork Hibernians 2 1170 11.32% @ Shelbourne 1 1389 69.09% 19.59%
15 1962-02-11 53.9 @ Cork Celtic 1 1485 74.20% Limerick 1 1165 6.66% 19.14%
16 1961-12-24 53.4 @ Drumconda 1 1323 50.81% Shelbourne 1 1302 29.13% 20.06%
17 1961-12-31 52.9 @ Cork Hibernians 1 1123 16.79% Shamrock Rovers 1 1383 63.48% 19.72%
18 1961-11-12 52.6 @ Limerick 1 1180 38.72% Shamrock Rovers 1 1248 41.20% 20.08%
19 1962-04-08 52.6 @ Limerick 1 1258 55.81% Dundalk 1 1194 24.18% 20.01%
20 1962-01-21 52.5 @ Sligo Rovers 1 911 10.34% Drumconda 1 1267 70.31% 19.35%
21 1962-04-07 52.5 @ Transport 1 808 9.16% Drumconda 1 1187 71.60% 19.24%
22 1962-04-15 52.5 @ Drumconda 1 1179 42.42% Cork Hibernians 1 1221 37.49% 20.09%
23 1961-11-26 52.4 @ Cork Hibernians 1 1121 37.77% Waterford 1 1196 42.15% 20.08%
24 1962-03-04 52.4 @ Dundalk 1 1144 39.93% Drumconda 1 1203 39.98% 20.08%
25 1961-12-17 52.3 @ Transport 1 997 30.46% Cork Hibernians 1 1126 49.52% 20.03%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1962-04-07 22.9 @ Shelbourne 7 1429 81.88% Sligo Rovers 0 789 1.17% 16.95%
2 1962-03-18 23.2 @ Cork Hibernians 4 1237 76.82% Transport 0 842 4.45% 18.72%
3 1962-03-11 24.4 @ Dundalk 5 1144 72.28% Transport 0 868 8.37% 19.35%
4 1962-04-06 24.5 @ Bohemian 5 1083 71.87% Sligo Rovers 0 815 8.74% 19.38%
5 1962-03-25 24.7 Limerick 4 1215 71.84% @ Transport 0 831 8.95% 19.21%
6 1962-03-25 24.7 Cork Celtic 4 1531 75.07% @ Waterford 0 1075 6.10% 18.83%
7 1962-01-24 24.8 Cork Celtic 6 1444 73.83% @ Transport 0 1018 7.17% 19.00%
8 1962-04-01 24.8 @ Dundalk 3 1184 75.68% Sligo Rovers 0 826 5.39% 18.93%
9 1962-04-01 26.0 @ Cork Celtic 5 1546 83.18% Transport 1 810 0.69% 16.13%
10 1962-02-25 26.4 Cork Celtic 2 1475 78.79% @ Sligo Rovers 0 898 3.17% 18.04%
11 1961-12-03 27.1 @ Cork Celtic 8 1311 75.13% Sligo Rovers 1 968 5.86% 19.01%
12 1962-02-25 28.6 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1429 73.20% Waterford 0 1134 7.55% 19.26%
13 1962-03-18 28.8 Shelbourne 3 1366 63.61% @ Waterford 0 1104 16.67% 19.72%
14 1961-11-05 29.1 @ Drumconda 5 1314 72.74% Sligo Rovers 1 1028 7.95% 19.30%
15 1962-01-07 29.7 @ Cork Celtic 5 1404 72.21% Cork Hibernians 1 1130 8.43% 19.35%
16 1962-04-01 29.9 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1399 63.38% Cork Hibernians 0 1258 16.78% 19.84%
17 1961-11-26 30.4 @ Dundalk 2 1230 65.13% Bohemian 0 1068 15.08% 19.78%
18 1961-11-26 30.8 @ St Patrick's Athletic 4 1247 71.77% Sligo Rovers 1 981 8.84% 19.39%
19 1962-02-04 31.0 @ Cork Hibernians 4 1206 71.22% Sligo Rovers 1 950 9.34% 19.44%
20 1961-12-03 31.2 Shamrock Rovers 5 1342 51.66% @ Waterford 0 1195 28.34% 20.00%
21 1962-04-01 31.2 @ Limerick 2 1236 62.64% Bohemian 0 1104 17.50% 19.87%
22 1962-03-25 31.3 Shamrock Rovers 3 1394 77.27% @ Sligo Rovers 1 873 4.30% 18.42%
23 1961-12-24 31.5 @ Cork Celtic 4 1390 71.18% Waterford 1 1135 9.37% 19.44%
24 1961-12-10 31.8 Shelbourne 7 1267 68.04% @ Sligo Rovers 2 947 12.46% 19.50%
25 1962-01-28 32.1 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1292 60.32% Limerick 0 1185 19.76% 19.93%