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1973-74 League of Ireland Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Cork Celtic

42 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Cork Celtic

12.63 points above expected

42 points · 29.37 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Shelbourne

8.96 points below expected

13 points · 21.96 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Cork Celtic 26 18 6 2 42 50 25 +25 29.37 +12.63
2 Bohemian 26 18 2 6 38 56 18 +38 35.53 +2.47
3 Cork Hibernians 26 16 6 4 38 47 23 +24 36.72 +1.28
4 Finn Harps 26 15 5 6 35 51 27 +24 34.63 +0.37
5 Waterford 26 11 7 8 29 55 36 +19 34.50 -5.50
6 Dundalk 26 12 4 10 28 41 36 +5 23.97 +4.03
7 Shamrock Rovers 26 11 5 10 27 31 33 -2 26.52 +0.48
8 St Patrick's Athletic 26 10 2 14 22 29 45 -16 21.97 +0.03
9 Limerick 26 7 6 13 20 32 45 -13 21.17 -1.17
10 Home Farm 26 6 8 12 20 19 40 -21 18.04 +1.96
11 Athlone Town 26 8 3 15 19 25 38 -13 24.25 -5.25
12 Drogheda United 26 7 5 14 19 39 59 -20 18.58 +0.42
13 Sligo Rovers 26 6 2 18 14 28 51 -23 16.79 -2.79
14 Shelbourne 26 4 5 17 13 31 58 -27 21.96 -8.96

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Cork Celtic 42 29.37 +12.63
2 Dundalk 28 23.97 +4.03
3 Bohemian 38 35.53 +2.47
4 Home Farm 20 18.04 +1.96
5 Cork Hibernians 38 36.72 +1.28

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Shelbourne 13 21.96 -8.96
2 Waterford 29 34.50 -5.50
3 Athlone Town 19 24.25 -5.25
4 Sligo Rovers 14 16.79 -2.79
5 Limerick 20 21.17 -1.17

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundalk 5 Feb 10 – Mar 24 1 in 519
2 Cork Celtic 7 Nov 25 – Jan 6 1 in 304
3 Drogheda United 3 Dec 9 – Dec 23 1 in 37
4 Shamrock Rovers 4 Dec 30 – Jan 19 1 in 34
5 Bohemian 6 Mar 17 – Apr 14 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Limerick 9 Dec 16 – Feb 24 1 in 779
2 Waterford 3 Jan 20 – Feb 10 1 in 75
3 Finn Harps 2 Apr 7 – Apr 14 1 in 62
4 Sligo Rovers 7 Nov 25 – Jan 6 1 in 56
5 Athlone Town 6 Mar 3 – Apr 14 1 in 51

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cork Celtic 19 Nov 25 – Apr 14 1 in 628
2 Dundalk 6 Feb 3 – Mar 24 1 in 81
3 Drogheda United 5 Feb 3 – Mar 17 1 in 36
4 St Patrick's Athletic 4 Jan 13 – Feb 3 1 in 24
5 Home Farm 4 Nov 11 – Dec 1 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Waterford 6 Jan 20 – Mar 17 1 in 259
2 Limerick 10 Dec 16 – Mar 3 1 in 65
3 Shelbourne 7 Nov 11 – Dec 23 1 in 26
4 Dundalk 8 Nov 4 – Dec 23 1 in 23
5 Cork Hibernians 4 Feb 24 – Mar 24 1 in 23

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Cork Celtic 1358 42 +24 9 7.6 +1.4
Bohemian 1387 38 +52 10 8.0 +2.0
Cork Hibernians 1369 38 +16 8 7.2 +0.8
Finn Harps 1322 35 -25 6 7.9 -1.9
Waterford 1293 29 -27 5 5.8 -0.8
Dundalk 1206 28 +24 6 5.0 +1.0
Shamrock Rovers 1235 27 +59 8 5.2 +2.8
St Patrick's Athletic 1117 22 -28 4 3.7 +0.3
Limerick 1092 20 +19 5 3.1 +1.9
Home Farm 1032 20 -26 4 3.9 +0.1
Drogheda United 1050 19 -31 2 3.6 -1.6
Athlone Town 1090 19 -49 0 3.4 -3.4
Sligo Rovers 992 14 +14 2 2.5 -0.5
Shelbourne 1027 13 -29 1 3.0 -2.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AT BOH CC CH DU DUN FH HF LIM SR SHE SR SPA WAT
Athlone Town —
1-0-1
1.31
0-0-2
2.09
0-0-2
1.46
0-0-2
3.76
0-1-1
3.23
0-0-2
1.65
1-0-1
3.55
1-1-0
2.97
0-1-1
2.35
2-0-0
2.85
2-0-0
3.42
1-0-1
3.01
0-0-2
1.71
Bohemian
1-0-1
4.32
—
1-1-0
3.55
1-0-1
2.54
2-0-0
4.57
1-0-1
4.17
1-0-1
3.00
1-0-1
4.62
2-0-0
4.31
1-0-1
3.96
2-0-0
4.43
2-0-0
4.56
2-0-0
3.89
1-1-0
2.91
Cork Celtic
2-0-0
3.53
0-1-1
2.06
—
1-0-1
1.90
2-0-0
4.26
1-1-0
3.44
1-1-0
1.98
2-0-0
3.65
1-1-0
3.79
1-1-0
3.02
2-0-0
3.84
1-1-0
3.95
2-0-0
4.03
2-0-0
2.38
Cork Hibernians
2-0-0
4.16
1-0-1
3.08
1-0-1
3.72
—
1-1-0
4.43
2-0-0
4.24
0-2-0
3.22
1-1-0
4.65
1-0-1
4.34
1-0-1
4.06
1-1-0
4.31
2-0-0
4.62
2-0-0
4.23
1-1-0
3.52
Drogheda United
2-0-0
1.86
0-0-2
1.06
0-0-2
1.36
0-1-1
1.20
—
1-0-1
2.04
0-0-2
1.28
0-1-1
2.92
1-0-1
2.33
1-0-1
1.84
1-1-0
2.33
0-0-2
2.87
1-0-1
2.43
0-2-0
1.17
Dundalk
1-1-0
2.38
1-0-1
1.46
0-1-1
2.18
0-0-2
1.38
1-0-1
3.58
—
1-1-0
1.59
1-0-1
3.55
1-0-1
3.10
0-0-2
2.51
2-0-0
2.67
2-0-0
3.75
1-0-1
2.91
1-1-0
1.66
Finn Harps
2-0-0
3.97
1-0-1
2.62
0-1-1
3.63
0-2-0
2.39
2-0-0
4.35
0-1-1
4.04
—
2-0-0
4.42
1-0-1
4.09
1-1-0
3.73
2-0-0
4.41
2-0-0
4.53
1-0-1
4.38
1-0-1
2.80
Home Farm
1-0-1
2.07
1-0-1
1.01
0-0-2
1.97
0-1-1
0.98
1-1-0
2.70
1-0-1
2.07
0-0-2
1.21
—
1-1-0
2.22
0-1-1
1.97
0-1-1
2.67
1-0-1
3.16
0-1-1
2.52
0-2-0
1.16
Limerick
0-1-1
2.65
0-0-2
1.32
0-1-1
1.84
1-0-1
1.29
1-0-1
3.29
1-0-1
2.52
1-0-1
1.53
0-1-1
3.39
—
1-0-1
2.21
0-2-0
2.97
0-1-1
3.55
2-0-0
2.63
0-0-2
1.38
Shamrock Rovers
1-1-0
3.27
1-0-1
1.66
0-1-1
2.60
1-0-1
1.56
1-0-1
3.78
2-0-0
3.10
0-1-1
1.89
1-1-0
3.65
1-0-1
3.41
—
1-0-1
3.53
1-0-1
4.02
0-1-1
3.33
1-0-1
1.84
Shelbourne
0-0-2
2.76
0-0-2
1.21
0-0-2
1.79
0-1-1
1.32
0-1-1
3.28
0-0-2
2.95
0-0-2
1.22
1-1-0
2.94
0-2-0
2.64
1-0-1
2.09
—
2-0-0
3.24
0-0-2
2.57
0-0-2
1.76
Sligo Rovers
0-0-2
2.20
0-0-2
1.07
0-1-1
1.68
0-0-2
1.02
2-0-0
2.75
0-0-2
1.87
0-0-2
1.10
1-0-1
2.45
1-1-0
2.07
1-0-1
1.60
0-0-2
2.38
—
1-0-1
2.09
0-0-2
1.19
St Patrick's Athletic
1-0-1
2.61
0-0-2
1.73
0-0-2
1.60
0-0-2
1.39
1-0-1
3.19
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
1.24
1-1-0
3.10
0-0-2
2.99
1-1-0
2.29
2-0-0
3.05
1-0-1
3.53
—
1-0-1
1.34
Waterford
2-0-0
3.91
0-1-1
2.70
0-0-2
3.24
0-1-1
2.10
0-2-0
4.46
0-1-1
3.96
1-0-1
2.82
0-2-0
4.47
2-0-0
4.24
1-0-1
3.78
2-0-0
3.86
2-0-0
4.44
1-0-1
4.29
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.64 +6.3
Allowed 0.82 -6.7
Differential 0.91 +4.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.49%8.79%5.22%3.57%1.65%1.65%26.37%
18.79%8.79%7.97%5.22%1.10%0.27%32.14%
25.22%7.97%3.30%3.85%0.55%0.27%21.15%
33.57%5.22%3.85%0.55%0.55%0.27%14.01%
41.65%1.10%0.55%0.55%——3.85%
5+1.65%0.27%0.27%0.27%——2.47%
Total26.37%32.14%21.15%14.01%3.85%2.47%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.47 +0.00
SD 1.34 1.34 2.05
CV 0.92 0.92 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%19.23%11.54%——3.85%42.31%
17.69%3.85%7.69%15.38%——34.62%
27.69%3.85%————11.54%
33.85%—3.85%———7.69%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total26.92%30.77%23.08%15.38%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.46 -0.50
SD 1.11 1.39 1.94
CV 1.16 0.95 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%3.85%———19.23%
119.23%—3.85%———23.08%
211.54%7.69%3.85%3.85%——26.92%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
43.85%——3.85%——7.69%
5+11.54%—————11.54%
Total57.69%23.08%11.54%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.15 0.69 +1.46
SD 1.95 0.97 2.32
CV 0.91 1.40 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%————3.85%11.54%
119.23%15.38%—3.85%——38.46%
23.85%19.23%————23.08%
33.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+3.85%—3.85%———7.69%
Total42.31%42.31%7.69%3.85%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 0.96 +0.96
SD 1.57 1.46 2.27
CV 0.82 1.51 —
Max 6 7 +6
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%—3.85%———15.38%
17.69%7.69%7.69%———23.08%
215.38%11.54%3.85%———30.77%
37.69%7.69%7.69%—3.85%—26.92%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total46.15%26.92%23.08%—3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 0.88 +0.92
SD 1.13 1.03 1.41
CV 0.63 1.17 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%7.69%26.92%
1—7.69%7.69%3.85%——19.23%
2—3.85%11.54%15.38%——30.77%
3—19.23%3.85%———23.08%
4———————
5+———————
Total—34.62%26.92%26.92%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.27 -0.77
SD 1.14 1.31 2.16
CV 0.76 0.58 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 1 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%————11.54%
17.69%15.38%7.69%11.54%3.85%—46.15%
23.85%11.54%—3.85%——19.23%
311.54%3.85%3.85%———19.23%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+———————
Total23.08%42.31%11.54%19.23%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.38 +0.19
SD 1.06 1.17 1.65
CV 0.68 0.84 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%————19.23%
13.85%11.54%7.69%———23.08%
23.85%11.54%——3.85%—19.23%
37.69%11.54%11.54%———30.77%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total26.92%50.00%19.23%—3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 1.04 +0.92
SD 1.59 0.92 1.79
CV 0.81 0.88 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%15.38%7.69%3.85%—42.31%
115.38%11.54%7.69%3.85%—3.85%42.31%
27.69%—7.69%———15.38%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total34.62%15.38%30.77%11.54%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.54 -0.81
SD 0.72 1.63 1.88
CV 0.99 1.06 —
Max 2 7 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%—26.92%
111.54%11.54%19.23%—3.85%—46.15%
2—3.85%—7.69%——11.54%
3——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+———————
Total19.23%23.08%30.77%19.23%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.73 -0.50
SD 1.18 1.22 1.63
CV 0.96 0.70 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%15.38%3.85%—3.85%—34.62%
17.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%—26.92%
23.85%19.23%————23.08%
33.85%7.69%———3.85%15.38%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.92%50.00%7.69%3.85%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.27 -0.08
SD 1.10 1.34 1.67
CV 0.92 1.06 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——11.54%7.69%—3.85%23.08%
1—11.54%11.54%19.23%3.85%—46.15%
27.69%3.85%3.85%7.69%——23.08%
3———3.85%——3.85%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total7.69%19.23%26.92%38.46%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 2.23 -1.04
SD 0.98 1.18 1.78
CV 0.82 0.53 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%7.69%11.54%3.85%—34.62%
17.69%7.69%15.38%7.69%——38.46%
2—3.85%—7.69%——11.54%
33.85%—7.69%—3.85%—15.38%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.54%23.08%30.77%26.92%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.96 -0.88
SD 1.06 1.15 1.58
CV 0.98 0.59 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%38.46%
111.54%3.85%7.69%3.85%——26.92%
23.85%7.69%—3.85%3.85%—19.23%
3—7.69%7.69%———15.38%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.23%34.62%23.08%11.54%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.73 -0.62
SD 1.11 1.59 2.06
CV 0.99 0.92 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%—3.85%——23.08%
13.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
23.85%3.85%15.38%3.85%—3.85%30.77%
3—3.85%————3.85%
47.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
5+7.69%——3.85%——11.54%
Total26.92%34.62%23.08%11.54%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.12 1.38 +0.73
SD 1.77 1.36 2.34
CV 0.84 0.98 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Bohemian 1387 38 35.53 +2.47 78.0% 24 28 33 35 38 42 47
Cork Hibernians 1369 38 36.72 +1.28 66.0% 27 29 33 37 40 43 47
Cork Celtic 1358 42 29.37 +12.63 100.0% 19 23 26 29 32 36 38
Finn Harps 1322 35 34.63 +0.37 56.0% 24 26 31 35 38 41 43
Waterford 1293 29 34.50 -5.50 15.0% 25 28 32 34 37 41 43
Shamrock Rovers 1235 27 26.52 +0.48 56.0% 15 19 23 26 30 32 37
Dundalk 1206 28 23.97 +4.03 85.0% 8 17 20 24 27 33 37
St Patrick's Athletic 1117 22 21.97 +0.03 59.0% 12 16 20 22 24 28 31
Limerick 1092 20 21.17 -1.17 43.0% 11 14 18 21 24 28 31
Athlone Town 1090 19 24.25 -5.25 14.0% 12 15 21 25 27 32 35
Drogheda United 1050 19 18.58 +0.42 62.0% 9 11 16 18 21 25 28
Home Farm 1032 20 18.04 +1.96 75.0% 10 11 15 18 20 25 31
Shelbourne 1027 13 21.96 -8.96 3.0% 12 15 19 22 25 29 31
Sligo Rovers 992 14 16.79 -2.79 30.0% 7 9 14 16 20 25 27

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+4.95%
No Edge
43.41%18.13%38.46%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 17.19 Elo pts.
188 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.26 goals
Neutral
-2+0.09+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.8
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
1%
Cork Celtic, 5th of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.15/gm
Comfortable
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.44 * Some Luck: 3.44 to 5.16 * Lucky: 5.16 to 6.88 * Wild Swing: 6.88 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.41 * Close: 1.41 to 2.12 * Off: 2.12 to 2.82 * Way Off: 2.82 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.89 points
Some Luck
04.3011
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.86
Close
01.774
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
100.00%
Cork Celtic
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
3.00%
Shelbourne
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 142.69
2.03
Strong Separation
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
81%
Wide Edge
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
91%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
60%
Frequent
0%53%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Occasional
0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.38
Slight Separation
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.41
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.52
Some Carryover
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Upset-Prone
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Shaky
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.92
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.89
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.059
Well Within Noise
00.1230.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Cork Celtic1.00%5.00%7.00%21.00%27.00%20.00%9.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%—1.00%——
Bohemian24.00%29.00%21.00%15.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%———————
Cork Hibernians35.00%26.00%21.00%8.00%5.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%——————
Finn Harps20.00%19.00%20.00%23.00%12.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%—————
Waterford20.00%17.00%24.00%18.00%13.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%——————
Dundalk—2.00%2.00%4.00%8.00%12.00%15.00%14.00%10.00%13.00%7.00%8.00%3.00%2.00%
Shamrock Rovers——4.00%7.00%12.00%22.00%18.00%14.00%6.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%
St Patrick's Athletic————5.00%7.00%7.00%10.00%14.00%22.00%14.00%11.00%6.00%4.00%
Limerick————2.00%6.00%9.00%14.00%12.00%12.00%19.00%11.00%8.00%7.00%
Home Farm————2.00%1.00%—5.00%10.00%7.00%13.00%18.00%21.00%23.00%
Athlone Town—2.00%1.00%4.00%6.00%11.00%17.00%18.00%12.00%9.00%7.00%6.00%3.00%4.00%
Drogheda United————1.00%—3.00%6.00%9.00%14.00%11.00%16.00%22.00%18.00%
Sligo Rovers——————4.00%1.00%6.00%3.00%11.00%15.00%25.00%35.00%
Shelbourne————1.00%9.00%10.00%11.00%16.00%14.00%13.00%9.00%11.00%6.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Athlone Town 100%
Bohemian 100%
Cork Celtic 100%
Cork Hibernians 100%
Drogheda United 100%
Dundalk 100%
Finn Harps 100%
Home Farm 100%
Limerick 100%
Shamrock Rovers 100%
Shelbourne 100%
Sligo Rovers 100%
St Patrick's Athletic 100%
Waterford 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1973-10-07 Dundalk L 0-241.6 1191 1121 53.15% 19.14% 27.71%+0.46 -29.5 0
1973-10-07 @ Athlone Town W 2-041.6 1121 1191 27.71% 19.14% 53.15%-0.46 +29.5 2
1973-10-07 Finn Harps D 1-154.6 1129 1261 26.48% 19.08% 54.45%-0.61 +1.9 1
1973-10-07 @ Cork Celtic D 1-154.6 1261 1129 54.45% 19.08% 26.48%+0.61 -1.9 1
1973-10-07 Cork Hibernians L 0-428.7 1092 1297 18.93% 18.81% 62.26%-1.00 -23.2 0
1973-10-07 @ Drogheda United W 4-028.7 1297 1092 62.26% 18.81% 18.93%+1.00 +23.2 2
1973-10-07 Home Farm D 1-154.4 1145 1096 50.57% 19.18% 30.25%+0.35 -1.4 1
1973-10-07 @ Limerick D 1-154.4 1096 1145 30.25% 19.18% 50.57%-0.35 +1.4 1
1973-10-07 Waterford L 1-438.6 1206 1297 31.56% 19.17% 49.27%-0.39 -23.3 0
1973-10-07 @ Shelbourne W 4-138.6 1297 1206 49.27% 19.17% 31.56%+0.39 +23.3 2
1973-10-07 Shamrock Rovers W 1-045.5 1084 1229 24.99% 19.04% 55.98%-0.68 +16.4 2
1973-10-07 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-145.5 1229 1084 55.98% 19.04% 24.99%+0.68 -16.4 0
1973-10-07 Bohemian L 0-138.1 1160 1259 30.54% 19.16% 50.30%-0.43 -9.8 0
1973-10-07 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 1-038.1 1259 1160 50.30% 19.16% 30.54%+0.43 +9.8 2
1973-10-12 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-236.6 1097 1151 36.50% 19.22% 44.28%-0.19 -21.5 1
1973-10-12 @ Home Farm W 2-036.6 1151 1097 44.28% 19.22% 36.50%+0.19 +21.5 2
1973-10-14 Cork Celtic W 7-030.8 1269 1131 60.60% 18.95% 20.45%+0.82 +42.1 4
1973-10-14 @ Bohemian L 0-730.8 1131 1269 20.45% 18.95% 60.60%-0.82 -42.1 1
1973-10-14 Sligo Rovers W 3-243.2 1320 1101 67.71% 18.57% 13.72%+1.26 +4.3 4
1973-10-14 @ Cork Hibernians L 2-343.2 1101 1320 13.72% 18.57% 67.71%-1.26 -4.3 2
1973-10-14 Shelbourne W 3-143.7 1151 1183 39.44% 19.23% 41.32%-0.08 +20.6 4
1973-10-14 @ Dundalk L 1-343.7 1183 1151 41.32% 19.23% 39.44%+0.08 -20.6 0
1973-10-14 Drogheda United W 3-028.3 1259 1068 65.47% 18.72% 15.81%+1.11 +15.1 3
1973-10-14 @ Finn Harps L 0-328.3 1068 1259 15.81% 18.72% 65.47%-1.11 -15.1 0
1973-10-14 Athlone Town D 0-050.3 1213 1161 50.91% 19.18% 29.92%+0.37 -1.6 1
1973-10-14 @ Shamrock Rovers D 0-050.3 1161 1213 29.92% 19.18% 50.91%-0.37 +1.6 1
1973-10-14 Limerick W 2-139.2 1320 1144 64.22% 18.79% 17.00%+1.03 +5.5 4
1973-10-14 @ Waterford L 1-239.2 1144 1320 17.00% 18.79% 64.22%-1.03 -5.5 1
1973-10-19 Shamrock Rovers W 4-142.0 1162 1211 37.11% 19.22% 43.66%-0.17 +30.4 2
1973-10-19 @ Shelbourne L 1-442.0 1211 1162 43.66% 19.22% 37.11%+0.17 -30.4 1
1973-10-21 Cork Hibernians L 0-136.0 1163 1325 23.19% 18.98% 57.83%-0.77 -7.8 1
1973-10-21 @ Athlone Town W 1-036.0 1325 1163 57.83% 18.98% 23.19%+0.77 +7.8 6
1973-10-21 Home Farm W 2-036.1 1089 1076 45.86% 19.22% 34.92%+0.16 +20.7 3
1973-10-21 @ Cork Celtic L 0-236.1 1076 1089 34.92% 19.22% 45.86%-0.16 -20.7 1
1973-10-21 Sligo Rovers L 2-350.5 1053 1096 37.94% 19.23% 42.83%-0.14 -10.5 0
1973-10-21 @ Drogheda United W 3-250.5 1096 1053 42.83% 19.23% 37.94%+0.14 +10.5 4
1973-10-21 Bohemian W 2-147.3 1275 1311 38.90% 19.23% 41.87%-0.10 +12.0 5
1973-10-21 @ Finn Harps L 1-247.3 1311 1275 41.87% 19.23% 38.90%+0.10 -12.0 4
1973-10-21 Dundalk W 4-141.2 1138 1171 39.33% 19.23% 41.43%-0.08 +29.1 3
1973-10-21 @ Limerick L 1-441.2 1171 1138 41.43% 19.23% 39.33%+0.08 -29.2 4
1973-10-27 Drogheda United W 3-134.5 1299 1043 70.21% 18.36% 11.44%+1.45 +6.7 6
1973-10-27 @ Bohemian L 1-334.5 1043 1299 11.44% 18.36% 70.21%-1.45 -6.7 0
1973-10-28 Shelbourne W 3-030.1 1332 1193 60.82% 18.94% 20.24%+0.83 +18.8 8
1973-10-28 @ Cork Hibernians L 0-330.1 1193 1332 20.24% 18.94% 60.82%-0.83 -18.9 2
1973-10-28 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-146.3 1142 1172 39.77% 19.23% 41.00%-0.07 +11.8 6
1973-10-28 @ Dundalk L 1-246.3 1172 1142 41.00% 19.23% 39.77%+0.07 -11.8 2
1973-10-28 Finn Harps L 1-336.2 1055 1287 16.74% 18.69% 64.57%-1.14 -9.5 1
1973-10-28 @ Home Farm W 3-136.2 1287 1055 64.57% 18.69% 16.74%+1.14 +9.5 7
1973-10-28 Limerick W 2-144.5 1181 1167 45.91% 19.22% 34.86%+0.16 +10.3 3
1973-10-28 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-244.5 1167 1181 34.86% 19.22% 45.91%-0.16 -10.3 3
1973-10-28 Athlone Town L 0-139.9 1107 1155 37.19% 19.22% 43.59%-0.17 -11.5 4
1973-10-28 @ Sligo Rovers W 1-039.9 1155 1107 43.59% 19.22% 37.19%+0.17 +11.6 3
1973-10-28 Cork Celtic L 2-649.2 1325 1110 67.40% 18.59% 14.01%+1.24 -50.0 4
1973-10-28 @ Waterford W 6-249.2 1110 1325 14.01% 18.59% 67.40%-1.24 +50.0 5
1973-11-02 Sligo Rovers W 2-142.0 1174 1095 54.24% 19.12% 26.64%+0.51 +8.2 4
1973-11-02 @ Shelbourne L 1-242.0 1095 1174 26.64% 19.12% 54.24%-0.51 -8.2 4
1973-11-04 Home Farm W 4-026.2 1305 1046 70.44% 18.33% 11.23%+1.47 +14.3 8
1973-11-04 @ Bohemian L 0-426.2 1046 1305 11.23% 18.33% 70.44%-1.47 -14.3 1
1973-11-04 Dundalk W 1-039.5 1160 1154 44.87% 19.23% 35.90%+0.12 +11.2 7
1973-11-04 @ Cork Celtic L 0-139.5 1154 1160 35.90% 19.23% 44.87%-0.12 -11.2 6
1973-11-04 Athlone Town W 3-147.5 1036 1167 26.65% 19.08% 54.27%-0.60 +26.1 2
1973-11-04 @ Drogheda United L 1-347.5 1167 1036 54.27% 19.08% 26.65%+0.60 -26.1 3
1973-11-04 Waterford L 2-450.1 1296 1275 46.86% 19.22% 33.92%+0.20 -20.4 7
1973-11-04 @ Finn Harps W 4-250.1 1275 1296 33.92% 19.22% 46.86%-0.20 +20.4 6
1973-11-04 Cork Hibernians W 2-152.6 1157 1351 19.96% 18.86% 61.18%-0.94 +16.9 5
1973-11-04 @ Limerick L 1-252.6 1351 1157 61.18% 18.86% 19.96%+0.94 -16.9 8
1973-11-04 Shamrock Rovers W 1-041.2 1160 1191 39.65% 19.23% 41.11%-0.07 +12.5 4
1973-11-04 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-141.2 1191 1160 41.11% 19.23% 39.65%+0.07 -12.5 3
1973-11-11 Shelbourne W 2-038.5 1141 1182 38.12% 19.23% 42.66%-0.13 +24.4 5
1973-11-11 @ Athlone Town L 0-238.5 1182 1141 42.66% 19.23% 38.12%+0.13 -24.4 4
1973-11-11 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-031.4 1334 1173 62.91% 18.85% 18.24%+0.95 +11.8 10
1973-11-11 @ Cork Hibernians L 0-231.4 1173 1334 18.24% 18.85% 62.91%-0.95 -11.8 4
1973-11-11 Finn Harps D 1-154.6 1143 1276 26.37% 19.07% 54.56%-0.62 +1.9 7
1973-11-11 @ Dundalk D 1-154.6 1276 1143 54.56% 19.07% 26.37%+0.62 -1.9 8
1973-11-11 Drogheda United W 2-038.0 1031 1062 39.67% 19.23% 41.10%-0.07 +23.6 3
1973-11-11 @ Home Farm L 0-238.0 1062 1031 41.10% 19.23% 39.67%+0.07 -23.6 2
1973-11-11 Cork Celtic D 1-154.5 1179 1171 45.08% 19.23% 35.70%+0.13 -0.6 4
1973-11-11 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-154.5 1171 1179 35.70% 19.23% 45.08%-0.13 +0.6 8
1973-11-11 Limerick D 1-154.4 1087 1174 32.00% 19.18% 48.82%-0.37 +1.1 5
1973-11-11 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-154.4 1174 1087 48.82% 19.18% 32.00%+0.37 -1.1 6
1973-11-11 Bohemian D 2-261.0 1296 1320 40.66% 19.23% 40.11%-0.04 -0.0 7
1973-11-11 @ Waterford D 2-261.0 1320 1296 40.11% 19.23% 40.66%+0.04 +0.0 9
1973-11-17 Dundalk W 1-034.0 1320 1145 64.13% 18.79% 17.08%+1.02 +5.9 11
1973-11-17 @ Bohemian L 0-134.0 1145 1320 17.08% 18.79% 64.13%-1.02 -5.9 7
1973-11-18 Cork Hibernians L 1-338.2 1172 1346 21.89% 18.94% 59.17%-0.84 -12.0 8
1973-11-18 @ Cork Celtic W 3-138.2 1346 1172 59.17% 18.94% 21.89%+0.84 +12.0 12
1973-11-18 Shelbourne D 1-154.4 1039 1158 27.96% 19.11% 52.93%-0.54 +1.7 3
1973-11-18 @ Drogheda United D 1-154.4 1158 1039 52.93% 19.11% 27.96%+0.54 -1.7 5
1973-11-18 Shamrock Rovers D 1-154.7 1274 1178 56.18% 19.08% 24.74%+0.60 -2.1 9
1973-11-18 @ Finn Harps D 1-154.7 1178 1274 24.74% 19.08% 56.18%-0.60 +2.1 5
1973-11-18 Waterford D 2-260.3 1055 1296 15.99% 18.64% 65.37%-1.19 +2.6 4
1973-11-18 @ Home Farm D 2-260.3 1296 1055 65.37% 18.64% 15.99%+1.19 -2.6 8
1973-11-18 Athlone Town D 0-050.2 1173 1165 45.11% 19.23% 35.66%+0.13 -0.7 7
1973-11-18 @ Limerick D 0-050.2 1165 1173 35.66% 19.23% 45.11%-0.13 +0.7 6
1973-11-18 Sligo Rovers L 0-144.8 1161 1088 53.54% 19.14% 27.32%+0.48 -15.8 4
1973-11-18 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 1-044.8 1088 1161 27.32% 19.14% 53.54%-0.48 +15.8 7
1973-11-25 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-039.0 1166 1145 46.82% 19.22% 33.96%+0.20 +10.7 8
1973-11-25 @ Athlone Town L 0-139.0 1145 1166 33.96% 19.22% 46.82%-0.20 -10.7 4
1973-11-25 Finn Harps D 0-051.3 1358 1272 55.16% 19.10% 25.73%+0.55 -2.2 13
1973-11-25 @ Cork Hibernians D 0-051.3 1272 1358 25.73% 19.10% 55.16%-0.55 +2.2 10
1973-11-25 Home Farm L 0-145.0 1139 1058 54.49% 19.12% 26.39%+0.52 -16.0 7
1973-11-25 @ Dundalk W 1-045.0 1058 1139 26.39% 19.12% 54.49%-0.52 +16.0 6
1973-11-25 Bohemian L 0-136.6 1180 1326 24.95% 19.04% 56.01%-0.68 -8.3 5
1973-11-25 @ Shamrock Rovers W 1-036.6 1326 1180 56.01% 19.04% 24.95%+0.68 +8.3 13
1973-11-25 Limerick D 3-364.2 1156 1172 41.81% 19.24% 38.95%+0.01 -0.1 6
1973-11-25 @ Shelbourne D 3-364.2 1172 1156 38.95% 19.24% 41.81%-0.01 +0.1 8
1973-11-25 Cork Celtic L 1-342.1 1104 1160 36.14% 19.22% 44.64%-0.21 -18.4 7
1973-11-25 @ Sligo Rovers W 3-142.1 1160 1104 44.64% 19.22% 36.14%+0.21 +18.4 10
1973-11-25 Drogheda United D 2-260.3 1293 1040 70.01% 18.37% 11.61%+1.44 -3.2 9
1973-11-25 @ Waterford D 2-260.3 1040 1293 11.61% 18.37% 70.01%-1.44 +3.2 4
1973-12-01 Shamrock Rovers D 0-050.2 1074 1172 30.55% 19.16% 50.29%-0.43 +1.5 7
1973-12-01 @ Home Farm D 0-050.2 1172 1074 50.29% 19.16% 30.55%+0.43 -1.5 6
1973-12-02 Cork Hibernians L 0-239.7 1334 1356 40.91% 19.24% 39.86%-0.03 -23.5 13
1973-12-02 @ Bohemian W 2-039.7 1356 1334 39.86% 19.24% 40.91%+0.03 +23.5 15
1973-12-02 Athlone Town W 1-039.8 1178 1176 44.29% 19.23% 36.48%+0.10 +11.4 12
1973-12-02 @ Cork Celtic L 0-139.8 1176 1178 36.48% 19.23% 44.29%-0.10 -11.4 8
1973-12-02 Limerick L 0-136.7 1043 1172 26.85% 19.08% 54.06%-0.59 -8.8 4
1973-12-02 @ Drogheda United W 1-036.7 1172 1043 54.06% 19.08% 26.85%+0.59 +8.8 10
1973-12-02 Sligo Rovers W 3-243.9 1274 1085 65.25% 18.73% 16.02%+1.09 +5.0 12
1973-12-02 @ Finn Harps L 2-343.9 1085 1274 16.02% 18.73% 65.25%-1.09 -5.0 7
1973-12-02 Shelbourne W 3-251.1 1135 1156 40.99% 19.24% 39.78%-0.02 +10.9 6
1973-12-02 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 2-351.1 1156 1135 39.78% 19.24% 40.99%+0.02 -10.9 6
1973-12-02 Dundalk D 1-154.7 1290 1123 63.44% 18.83% 17.73%+0.98 -3.2 10
1973-12-02 @ Waterford D 1-154.7 1123 1290 17.73% 18.83% 63.44%-0.98 +3.2 8
1973-12-09 Finn Harps L 1-340.1 1165 1279 28.63% 19.12% 52.25%-0.51 -15.2 8
1973-12-09 @ Athlone Town W 3-140.1 1279 1165 52.25% 19.12% 28.63%+0.51 +15.2 14
1973-12-09 Home Farm W 3-026.2 1380 1075 73.04% 18.03% 8.92%+1.71 +8.8 17
1973-12-09 @ Cork Hibernians L 0-326.2 1075 1380 8.92% 18.03% 73.04%-1.71 -8.8 7
1973-12-09 Dundalk W 3-146.0 1035 1126 31.44% 19.17% 49.39%-0.39 +23.9 6
1973-12-09 @ Drogheda United L 1-346.0 1126 1035 49.39% 19.17% 31.44%+0.39 -23.9 8
1973-12-09 St Patrick's Athletic W 4-245.0 1181 1145 48.83% 19.20% 31.97%+0.28 +14.9 12
1973-12-09 @ Limerick L 2-445.0 1145 1181 31.97% 19.20% 48.83%-0.28 -14.9 6
1973-12-09 Waterford L 3-546.0 1170 1287 28.32% 19.12% 52.57%-0.53 -12.7 6
1973-12-09 @ Shamrock Rovers W 5-346.0 1287 1170 52.57% 19.12% 28.32%+0.53 +12.7 12
1973-12-09 Cork Celtic L 1-342.7 1145 1190 37.74% 19.23% 43.03%-0.14 -19.1 6
1973-12-09 @ Shelbourne W 3-142.7 1190 1145 43.03% 19.23% 37.74%+0.14 +19.1 14
1973-12-09 Bohemian L 0-328.6 1080 1310 16.85% 18.70% 64.46%-1.13 -16.0 7
1973-12-09 @ Sligo Rovers W 3-028.6 1310 1080 64.46% 18.70% 16.85%+1.13 +16.0 15
1973-12-15 Drogheda United L 1-347.3 1131 1059 53.42% 19.14% 27.44%+0.47 -25.7 6
1973-12-15 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 3-147.3 1059 1131 27.44% 19.14% 53.42%-0.47 +25.7 8
1973-12-16 Athlone Town L 2-358.6 1326 1150 64.24% 18.79% 16.97%+1.03 -16.8 15
1973-12-16 @ Bohemian W 3-258.6 1150 1326 16.97% 18.79% 64.24%-1.03 +16.9 10
1973-12-16 Limerick W 2-144.6 1209 1196 45.80% 19.22% 34.97%+0.16 +10.4 16
1973-12-16 @ Cork Celtic L 1-244.6 1196 1209 34.97% 19.22% 45.80%-0.16 -10.4 12
1973-12-16 Shamrock Rovers L 1-342.1 1102 1158 36.14% 19.22% 44.64%-0.21 -18.4 8
1973-12-16 @ Dundalk W 3-142.1 1158 1102 44.64% 19.22% 36.14%+0.21 +18.4 8
1973-12-16 Shelbourne W 3-244.5 1294 1126 63.48% 18.83% 17.70%+0.98 +5.5 16
1973-12-16 @ Finn Harps L 2-344.5 1126 1294 17.70% 18.83% 63.48%-0.98 -5.5 6
1973-12-16 Sligo Rovers W 2-036.6 1066 1064 44.31% 19.23% 36.46%+0.10 +21.4 9
1973-12-16 @ Home Farm L 0-236.6 1064 1066 36.46% 19.23% 44.31%-0.10 -21.5 7
1973-12-16 Cork Hibernians L 0-139.9 1300 1388 31.74% 19.17% 49.08%-0.38 -10.1 12
1973-12-16 @ Waterford W 1-039.9 1388 1300 49.08% 19.17% 31.74%+0.38 +10.1 19
1973-12-23 Home Farm W 2-033.6 1167 1088 54.23% 19.12% 26.64%+0.51 +16.5 12
1973-12-23 @ Athlone Town L 0-233.6 1088 1167 26.64% 19.12% 54.23%-0.51 -16.5 9
1973-12-23 Dundalk W 2-136.5 1399 1083 73.60% 17.95% 8.44%+1.77 +2.9 21
1973-12-23 @ Cork Hibernians L 1-236.5 1083 1399 8.44% 17.95% 73.60%-1.77 -2.9 8
1973-12-23 Shamrock Rovers W 2-148.8 1084 1176 31.35% 19.17% 49.48%-0.40 +13.8 10
1973-12-23 @ Drogheda United L 1-248.8 1176 1084 49.48% 19.17% 31.35%+0.40 -13.8 8
1973-12-23 Finn Harps L 0-332.5 1185 1299 28.61% 19.12% 52.27%-0.51 -25.4 12
1973-12-23 @ Limerick W 3-032.5 1299 1185 52.27% 19.12% 28.61%+0.51 +25.4 18
1973-12-23 Bohemian L 0-231.9 1121 1310 20.48% 18.88% 60.64%-0.91 -13.1 6
1973-12-23 @ Shelbourne W 2-031.9 1310 1121 60.64% 18.88% 20.48%+0.91 +13.1 17
1973-12-23 Waterford L 1-335.8 1043 1289 15.56% 18.61% 65.83%-1.22 -8.8 7
1973-12-23 @ Sligo Rovers W 3-135.8 1289 1043 65.83% 18.61% 15.56%+1.22 +8.8 14
1973-12-23 Cork Celtic L 1-242.6 1105 1219 28.58% 19.12% 52.30%-0.52 -8.8 6
1973-12-23 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-142.6 1219 1105 52.30% 19.12% 28.58%+0.52 +8.8 18
1973-12-29 Shelbourne L 0-237.3 1071 1108 38.90% 19.23% 41.87%-0.10 -22.6 9
1973-12-29 @ Home Farm W 2-037.3 1108 1071 41.87% 19.23% 38.90%+0.10 +22.6 8
1973-12-30 Limerick W 3-029.3 1323 1160 63.00% 18.85% 18.15%+0.96 +17.1 19
1973-12-30 @ Bohemian L 0-329.3 1160 1323 18.15% 18.85% 63.00%-0.96 -17.1 12
1973-12-30 Drogheda United W 6-030.3 1228 1098 59.83% 18.98% 21.20%+0.78 +37.6 20
1973-12-30 @ Cork Celtic L 0-630.3 1098 1228 21.20% 18.98% 59.83%-0.78 -37.6 10
1973-12-30 Sligo Rovers W 3-032.7 1081 1034 50.25% 19.19% 30.56%+0.34 +26.9 10
1973-12-30 @ Dundalk L 0-332.7 1034 1081 30.56% 19.19% 50.25%-0.34 -26.9 7
1973-12-30 St Patrick's Athletic W 4-026.9 1325 1096 68.36% 18.52% 13.12%+1.31 +16.6 20
1973-12-30 @ Finn Harps L 0-426.9 1096 1325 13.12% 18.52% 68.36%-1.31 -16.6 6
1973-12-30 Cork Hibernians W 2-045.7 1162 1401 16.12% 18.65% 65.23%-1.18 +36.0 10
1973-12-30 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-245.7 1401 1162 65.23% 18.65% 16.12%+1.18 -36.0 21
1973-12-30 Athlone Town W 6-031.1 1298 1183 58.31% 19.02% 22.66%+0.70 +39.8 16
1973-12-30 @ Waterford L 0-631.1 1183 1298 22.66% 19.02% 58.31%-0.70 -39.8 12
1974-01-06 Drogheda United D 2-260.6 1365 1061 73.07% 18.03% 8.91%+1.71 -3.5 22
1974-01-06 @ Cork Hibernians D 2-260.6 1061 1365 8.91% 18.03% 73.07%-1.71 +3.5 11
1974-01-06 Athlone Town D 1-154.4 1108 1143 38.95% 19.23% 41.82%-0.10 +0.2 11
1974-01-06 @ Dundalk D 1-154.4 1143 1108 41.82% 19.23% 38.95%+0.10 -0.2 13
1974-01-06 Cork Celtic L 1-251.1 1341 1265 53.92% 19.13% 26.95%+0.50 -15.0 20
1974-01-06 @ Finn Harps W 2-151.1 1265 1341 26.95% 19.13% 53.92%-0.50 +15.0 22
1974-01-06 Limerick W 1-043.6 1049 1143 31.06% 19.16% 49.77%-0.41 +14.8 11
1974-01-06 @ Home Farm L 0-143.6 1143 1049 49.77% 19.16% 31.06%+0.41 -14.8 12
1974-01-06 Sligo Rovers W 1-033.3 1198 1007 65.48% 18.72% 15.81%+1.11 +5.5 12
1974-01-06 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-133.3 1007 1198 15.81% 18.72% 65.48%-1.11 -5.5 7
1974-01-06 Shelbourne W 5-027.8 1338 1130 66.81% 18.63% 14.55%+1.20 +22.5 18
1974-01-06 @ Waterford L 0-527.8 1130 1338 14.55% 18.63% 66.81%-1.20 -22.5 8
1974-01-13 Shamrock Rovers L 1-244.7 1143 1204 35.47% 19.21% 45.32%-0.23 -10.5 13
1974-01-13 @ Athlone Town W 2-144.7 1204 1143 45.32% 19.21% 35.47%+0.23 +10.5 14
1974-01-13 Bohemian D 0-051.2 1280 1340 35.66% 19.21% 45.13%-0.22 +0.7 23
1974-01-13 @ Cork Celtic D 0-051.2 1340 1280 45.13% 19.21% 35.66%+0.22 -0.7 20
1974-01-13 Finn Harps L 2-343.4 1064 1326 14.38% 18.52% 67.10%-1.30 -4.5 11
1974-01-13 @ Drogheda United W 3-243.4 1326 1064 67.10% 18.52% 14.38%+1.30 +4.5 22
1974-01-13 Waterford L 0-428.2 1128 1361 16.65% 18.68% 64.67%-1.14 -20.6 12
1974-01-13 @ Limerick W 4-028.2 1361 1128 64.67% 18.68% 16.65%+1.14 +20.6 20
1974-01-13 Dundalk L 0-336.8 1108 1108 44.03% 19.23% 36.74%+0.09 -36.3 8
1974-01-13 @ Shelbourne W 3-036.8 1108 1108 36.74% 19.23% 44.03%-0.09 +36.3 13
1974-01-13 Home Farm D 1-154.4 1080 1064 46.23% 19.22% 34.54%+0.18 -0.8 7
1974-01-13 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-154.4 1064 1080 34.54% 19.22% 46.23%-0.18 +0.8 12
1974-01-19 Shelbourne W 3-137.2 1214 1071 61.17% 18.93% 19.90%+0.85 +11.1 16
1974-01-19 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-337.2 1071 1214 19.90% 18.93% 61.17%-0.85 -11.1 8
1974-01-20 Finn Harps W 1-040.9 1339 1331 45.15% 19.23% 35.62%+0.13 +11.2 22
1974-01-20 @ Bohemian L 0-140.9 1331 1339 35.62% 19.23% 45.15%-0.13 -11.2 22
1974-01-20 Athlone Town W 2-029.8 1362 1133 68.39% 18.52% 13.09%+1.31 +8.7 24
1974-01-20 @ Cork Hibernians L 0-229.8 1133 1362 13.09% 18.52% 68.39%-1.31 -8.7 13
1974-01-20 Limerick W 2-143.5 1144 1108 48.97% 19.20% 31.83%+0.29 +9.6 15
1974-01-20 @ Dundalk L 1-243.5 1108 1144 31.83% 19.20% 48.97%-0.29 -9.6 12
1974-01-20 Cork Celtic L 0-134.1 1064 1281 17.96% 18.76% 63.28%-1.06 -6.2 12
1974-01-20 @ Home Farm W 1-034.1 1281 1064 63.28% 18.76% 17.96%+1.06 +6.2 25
1974-01-20 Drogheda United W 2-147.4 1002 1060 35.87% 19.22% 44.91%-0.22 +12.7 9
1974-01-20 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-247.4 1060 1002 44.91% 19.22% 35.87%+0.22 -12.7 11
1974-01-20 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-150.5 1381 1079 72.94% 18.04% 9.01%+1.70 -21.5 20
1974-01-20 @ Waterford W 1-050.5 1079 1381 9.01% 18.04% 72.94%-1.70 +21.5 9
1974-01-27 Sligo Rovers W 3-030.5 1124 1014 57.71% 19.04% 23.25%+0.67 +21.3 15
1974-01-27 @ Athlone Town L 0-330.5 1014 1124 23.25% 19.04% 57.71%-0.67 -21.3 9
1974-01-27 Bohemian L 0-526.7 1047 1350 11.72% 18.27% 70.01%-1.52 -18.3 11
1974-01-27 @ Drogheda United W 5-026.7 1350 1047 70.01% 18.27% 11.72%+1.52 +18.3 24
1974-01-27 Home Farm W 7-129.1 1320 1058 70.57% 18.32% 11.11%+1.48 +17.1 24
1974-01-27 @ Finn Harps L 1-729.1 1058 1320 11.11% 18.32% 70.57%-1.48 -17.1 12
1974-01-27 Cork Hibernians D 1-154.9 1060 1371 11.30% 18.23% 70.47%-1.56 +4.3 9
1974-01-27 @ Shelbourne D 1-154.9 1371 1060 70.47% 18.23% 11.30%+1.56 -4.3 25
1974-01-27 Dundalk W 3-144.6 1100 1154 36.49% 19.22% 44.29%-0.19 +21.8 11
1974-01-27 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-344.6 1154 1100 44.29% 19.22% 36.49%+0.19 -21.8 15
1974-02-03 Drogheda United L 1-348.7 1145 1029 58.48% 19.02% 22.50%+0.71 -28.0 15
1974-02-03 @ Athlone Town W 3-148.7 1029 1145 22.50% 19.02% 58.48%-0.71 +28.0 13
1974-02-03 Limerick W 2-137.2 1366 1098 70.98% 18.28% 10.74%+1.52 +3.6 27
1974-02-03 @ Cork Hibernians L 1-237.2 1098 1366 10.74% 18.28% 70.98%-1.52 -3.6 12
1974-02-03 Cork Celtic D 1-154.7 1132 1287 23.88% 19.01% 57.11%-0.73 +2.3 16
1974-02-03 @ Dundalk D 1-154.7 1287 1132 57.11% 19.01% 23.88%+0.73 -2.3 26
1974-02-03 Bohemian W 1-050.0 1041 1369 10.36% 18.11% 71.53%-1.65 +21.0 14
1974-02-03 @ Home Farm L 0-150.0 1369 1041 71.53% 18.11% 10.36%+1.65 -21.0 24
1974-02-03 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-050.3 1225 1122 57.05% 19.06% 23.89%+0.64 -2.5 17
1974-02-03 @ Shamrock Rovers D 0-050.3 1122 1225 23.89% 19.06% 57.05%-0.64 +2.5 12
1974-02-03 Finn Harps L 1-249.9 1360 1337 47.15% 19.22% 33.63%+0.21 -13.3 20
1974-02-03 @ Waterford W 2-149.9 1337 1360 33.63% 19.22% 47.15%-0.21 +13.3 26
1974-02-09 Athlone Town L 1-244.9 1064 1117 36.58% 19.22% 44.20%-0.19 -10.8 9
1974-02-09 @ Shelbourne W 2-144.9 1117 1064 44.20% 19.22% 36.58%+0.19 +10.8 17
1974-02-10 Waterford W 1-041.5 1348 1346 44.18% 19.23% 36.59%+0.10 +11.4 26
1974-02-10 @ Bohemian L 0-141.5 1346 1348 36.59% 19.23% 44.18%-0.10 -11.4 20
1974-02-10 Shamrock Rovers W 4-032.0 1285 1223 52.20% 19.16% 28.64%+0.42 +33.3 28
1974-02-10 @ Cork Celtic L 0-432.0 1223 1285 28.64% 19.16% 52.20%-0.42 -33.3 17
1974-02-10 Home Farm D 1-154.4 1057 1062 43.27% 19.23% 37.49%+0.06 -0.4 14
1974-02-10 @ Drogheda United D 1-154.4 1062 1057 37.49% 19.23% 43.27%-0.06 +0.4 15
1974-02-10 Dundalk L 0-149.1 1350 1134 67.44% 18.59% 13.98%+1.24 -19.8 26
1974-02-10 @ Finn Harps W 1-049.1 1134 1350 13.98% 18.59% 67.44%-1.24 +19.8 18
1974-02-10 Sligo Rovers L 2-356.1 1094 993 56.80% 19.07% 24.14%+0.63 -14.9 12
1974-02-10 @ Limerick W 3-256.1 993 1094 24.14% 19.07% 56.80%-0.63 +14.9 11
1974-02-10 Cork Hibernians L 0-230.5 1125 1370 15.63% 18.62% 65.75%-1.21 -10.3 12
1974-02-10 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-030.5 1370 1125 65.75% 18.62% 15.63%+1.21 +10.3 29
1974-02-24 Limerick W 4-137.8 1128 1079 50.52% 19.18% 30.30%+0.35 +22.5 19
1974-02-24 @ Athlone Town L 1-437.8 1079 1128 30.30% 19.18% 50.52%-0.35 -22.5 12
1974-02-24 Cork Celtic L 1-251.4 1380 1318 52.20% 19.16% 28.64%+0.42 -14.5 29
1974-02-24 @ Cork Hibernians W 2-151.4 1318 1380 28.64% 19.16% 52.20%-0.42 +14.5 30
1974-02-24 Bohemian W 1-047.7 1154 1359 18.99% 18.81% 62.20%-1.00 +18.2 20
1974-02-24 @ Dundalk L 0-147.7 1359 1154 62.20% 18.81% 18.99%+1.00 -18.2 26
1974-02-24 Finn Harps L 0-233.7 1190 1330 25.48% 19.05% 55.47%-0.66 -15.9 17
1974-02-24 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-033.7 1330 1190 55.47% 19.05% 25.48%+0.66 +15.9 28
1974-02-24 Drogheda United L 1-344.3 1054 1056 43.70% 19.23% 37.07%+0.08 -21.5 9
1974-02-24 @ Shelbourne W 3-144.3 1056 1054 37.07% 19.23% 43.70%-0.08 +21.5 16
1974-02-24 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-242.8 1008 1114 29.56% 19.14% 51.30%-0.47 -9.0 11
1974-02-24 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-142.8 1114 1008 51.30% 19.14% 29.56%+0.47 +9.0 14
1974-02-25 Home Farm D 0-050.6 1335 1062 71.25% 18.25% 10.50%+1.54 -5.0 21
1974-02-25 @ Waterford D 0-050.6 1062 1335 10.50% 18.25% 71.25%-1.54 +5.0 16
1974-03-02 Dundalk L 1-242.9 1067 1172 29.73% 19.14% 51.13%-0.47 -9.0 16
1974-03-02 @ Home Farm W 2-142.9 1172 1067 51.13% 19.14% 29.73%+0.47 +9.0 22
1974-03-03 Shamrock Rovers L 0-148.1 1341 1174 63.39% 18.83% 17.78%+0.98 -18.6 26
1974-03-03 @ Bohemian W 1-048.1 1174 1341 17.78% 18.83% 63.39%-0.98 +18.6 19
1974-03-03 Sligo Rovers D 1-154.9 1333 999 74.52% 17.81% 7.67%+1.87 -5.0 31
1974-03-03 @ Cork Celtic D 1-154.9 999 1333 7.67% 17.81% 74.52%-1.87 +4.9 12
1974-03-03 Waterford D 2-260.4 1078 1330 15.10% 18.58% 66.32%-1.25 +2.7 17
1974-03-03 @ Drogheda United D 2-260.4 1330 1078 66.32% 18.58% 15.10%+1.25 -2.7 22
1974-03-03 Cork Hibernians D 0-052.1 1346 1366 41.31% 19.24% 39.46%-0.01 -0.1 29
1974-03-03 @ Finn Harps D 0-052.1 1366 1346 39.46% 19.24% 41.31%+0.01 +0.1 30
1974-03-03 Shelbourne D 1-154.4 1057 1032 47.40% 19.21% 33.38%+0.22 -0.9 13
1974-03-03 @ Limerick D 1-154.4 1032 1057 33.38% 19.21% 47.40%-0.22 +0.9 10
1974-03-03 Athlone Town W 1-040.9 1123 1150 40.18% 19.23% 40.59%-0.05 +12.4 16
1974-03-03 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-140.9 1150 1123 40.59% 19.23% 40.18%+0.05 -12.4 19
1974-03-10 Shamrock Rovers W 1-045.2 1056 1192 25.97% 19.06% 54.97%-0.63 +16.2 15
1974-03-10 @ Limerick L 0-145.2 1192 1056 54.97% 19.06% 25.97%+0.63 -16.2 19
1974-03-10 Shelbourne L 0-237.6 1004 1033 39.91% 19.23% 40.86%-0.06 -23.1 12
1974-03-10 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-037.6 1033 1004 40.86% 19.23% 39.91%+0.06 +23.1 12
1974-03-17 Cork Celtic L 0-135.0 1138 1328 20.41% 18.88% 60.72%-0.92 -6.9 19
1974-03-17 @ Athlone Town W 1-035.0 1328 1138 60.72% 18.88% 20.41%+0.92 +6.9 33
1974-03-17 Bohemian L 3-458.7 1366 1322 49.89% 19.19% 30.92%+0.32 -12.9 30
1974-03-17 @ Cork Hibernians W 4-358.7 1322 1366 30.92% 19.19% 49.89%-0.32 +12.9 28
1974-03-17 Waterford W 3-256.3 1181 1327 24.87% 19.03% 56.09%-0.69 +14.7 24
1974-03-17 @ Dundalk L 2-356.3 1327 1181 56.09% 19.03% 24.87%+0.69 -14.7 22
1974-03-17 Drogheda United L 2-352.0 1072 1080 42.87% 19.23% 37.89%+0.05 -11.6 15
1974-03-17 @ Limerick W 3-252.0 1080 1072 37.89% 19.23% 42.87%-0.05 +11.6 19
1974-03-17 Home Farm W 2-140.6 1176 1058 58.61% 19.02% 22.37%+0.72 +7.1 21
1974-03-17 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-240.6 1058 1176 22.37% 19.02% 58.61%-0.72 -7.1 16
1974-03-17 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-341.1 1056 1136 32.97% 19.19% 47.84%-0.33 -17.1 12
1974-03-17 @ Shelbourne W 3-141.1 1136 1056 47.84% 19.19% 32.97%+0.33 +17.1 18
1974-03-17 Finn Harps L 0-130.9 981 1346 8.54% 17.83% 73.63%-1.85 -3.1 12
1974-03-17 @ Sligo Rovers W 1-030.9 1346 981 73.63% 17.83% 8.54%+1.85 +3.1 31
1974-03-20 Waterford L 0-136.0 1153 1313 23.40% 18.99% 57.61%-0.76 -7.8 18
1974-03-20 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 1-036.0 1313 1153 57.61% 18.99% 23.40%+0.76 +7.8 24
1974-03-23 Limerick L 2-355.5 1145 1061 54.89% 19.11% 26.00%+0.54 -14.5 18
1974-03-23 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 3-255.5 1061 1145 26.00% 19.11% 54.89%-0.54 +14.5 17
1974-03-24 Sligo Rovers W 2-135.6 1335 978 75.59% 17.63% 6.78%+1.99 +2.3 30
1974-03-24 @ Bohemian L 1-235.6 978 1335 6.78% 17.63% 75.59%-1.99 -2.3 12
1974-03-24 Shelbourne W 2-136.6 1335 1039 72.57% 18.09% 9.34%+1.66 +3.2 35
1974-03-24 @ Cork Celtic L 1-236.6 1039 1335 9.34% 18.09% 72.57%-1.66 -3.2 12
1974-03-24 Drogheda United W 3-030.7 1196 1092 57.10% 19.06% 23.84%+0.64 +21.8 26
1974-03-24 @ Dundalk L 0-330.7 1092 1196 23.84% 19.06% 57.10%-0.64 -21.8 19
1974-03-24 Athlone Town W 3-135.6 1349 1131 67.58% 18.58% 13.84%+1.25 +8.0 33
1974-03-24 @ Finn Harps L 1-335.6 1131 1349 13.84% 18.58% 67.58%-1.25 -8.0 19
1974-03-24 Cork Hibernians D 0-050.6 1051 1353 11.81% 18.28% 69.90%-1.51 +4.7 17
1974-03-24 @ Home Farm D 0-050.6 1353 1051 69.90% 18.28% 11.81%+1.51 -4.7 31
1974-03-24 Shamrock Rovers L 0-342.1 1320 1183 60.58% 18.95% 20.47%+0.82 -48.6 24
1974-03-24 @ Waterford W 3-042.1 1183 1320 20.47% 18.95% 60.58%-0.82 +48.6 23
1974-03-27 Waterford W 1-038.1 1338 1272 52.70% 19.15% 28.15%+0.44 +9.2 37
1974-03-27 @ Cork Celtic L 0-138.1 1272 1338 28.15% 19.15% 52.70%-0.44 -9.2 24
1974-03-27 Cork Hibernians L 1-236.1 976 1348 8.22% 17.78% 74.01%-1.89 -2.8 12
1974-03-27 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-136.1 1348 976 74.01% 17.78% 8.22%+1.89 +2.8 33
1974-03-30 Dundalk W 2-144.7 1232 1218 46.00% 19.22% 34.78%+0.17 +10.3 25
1974-03-30 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-244.7 1218 1232 34.78% 19.22% 46.00%-0.17 -10.3 26
1974-03-31 Waterford D 1-155.4 1351 1263 55.34% 19.10% 25.56%+0.56 -2.0 34
1974-03-31 @ Cork Hibernians D 1-155.4 1263 1351 25.56% 19.10% 55.34%-0.56 +2.0 25
1974-03-31 Cork Celtic D 0-050.6 1075 1347 13.71% 18.47% 67.83%-1.36 +4.3 18
1974-03-31 @ Limerick D 0-050.6 1347 1075 67.83% 18.47% 13.71%+1.36 -4.3 38
1974-03-31 Home Farm W 3-038.0 973 1056 32.49% 19.18% 48.33%-0.35 +39.4 14
1974-03-31 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-338.0 1056 973 48.33% 19.18% 32.49%+0.35 -39.4 17
1974-04-03 Finn Harps L 1-237.0 1036 1357 10.70% 18.15% 71.15%-1.62 -3.6 12
1974-04-03 @ Shelbourne W 2-137.0 1357 1036 71.15% 18.15% 10.70%+1.62 +3.6 35
1974-04-04 St Patrick's Athletic W 7-029.1 1337 1131 66.73% 18.64% 14.63%+1.19 +31.1 32
1974-04-04 @ Bohemian L 0-729.1 1131 1337 14.63% 18.64% 66.73%-1.19 -31.1 18
1974-04-06 Drogheda United W 2-139.1 1242 1070 63.85% 18.81% 17.35%+1.01 +5.7 27
1974-04-06 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-239.1 1070 1242 17.35% 18.81% 63.85%-1.01 -5.7 19
1974-04-07 Shelbourne W 2-027.7 1368 1032 74.64% 17.79% 7.57%+1.88 +5.2 34
1974-04-07 @ Bohemian L 0-227.7 1032 1368 7.57% 17.79% 74.64%-1.88 -5.2 12
1974-04-07 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-027.3 1343 1099 69.37% 18.43% 12.20%+1.39 +11.9 40
1974-04-07 @ Cork Celtic L 0-327.3 1099 1343 12.20% 18.43% 69.37%-1.39 -11.9 18
1974-04-07 Cork Hibernians L 2-347.3 1207 1349 25.39% 19.05% 55.56%-0.66 -7.5 26
1974-04-07 @ Dundalk W 3-247.3 1349 1207 55.56% 19.05% 25.39%+0.66 +7.5 36
1974-04-07 Limerick L 0-150.2 1361 1079 71.77% 18.19% 10.04%+1.59 -21.1 35
1974-04-07 @ Finn Harps W 1-050.2 1079 1361 10.04% 18.19% 71.77%-1.59 +21.1 20
1974-04-07 Athlone Town W 1-044.1 1017 1123 29.50% 19.14% 51.36%-0.48 +15.2 19
1974-04-07 @ Home Farm L 0-144.1 1123 1017 51.36% 19.14% 29.50%+0.48 -15.2 19
1974-04-07 Sligo Rovers W 4-026.2 1265 1012 69.98% 18.38% 11.64%+1.43 +14.8 27
1974-04-07 @ Waterford L 0-426.2 1012 1265 11.64% 18.38% 69.98%-1.43 -14.8 14
1974-04-11 Bohemian L 1-238.3 1108 1374 14.15% 18.50% 67.35%-1.32 -4.7 19
1974-04-11 @ Athlone Town W 2-138.3 1374 1108 67.35% 18.50% 14.15%+1.32 +4.7 36
1974-04-11 St Patrick's Athletic L 2-351.3 1065 1088 40.79% 19.24% 39.97%-0.03 -11.1 19
1974-04-11 @ Drogheda United W 3-251.3 1088 1065 39.97% 19.24% 40.79%+0.03 +11.2 20
1974-04-14 Waterford L 0-232.2 1103 1280 21.72% 18.93% 59.35%-0.85 -13.8 19
1974-04-14 @ Athlone Town W 2-032.2 1280 1103 59.35% 18.93% 21.72%+0.85 +13.8 29
1974-04-14 Shamrock Rovers W 3-139.1 1356 1248 57.60% 19.04% 23.36%+0.67 +12.8 38
1974-04-14 @ Cork Hibernians L 1-339.1 1248 1356 23.36% 19.04% 57.60%-0.67 -12.8 27
1974-04-14 Cork Celtic L 2-342.6 1053 1355 11.85% 18.29% 69.86%-1.51 -3.8 19
1974-04-14 @ Drogheda United W 3-242.6 1355 1053 69.86% 18.29% 11.85%+1.51 +3.8 42
1974-04-14 Bohemian L 0-229.7 1100 1378 13.31% 18.43% 68.25%-1.39 -8.9 20
1974-04-14 @ Limerick W 2-029.7 1378 1100 68.25% 18.43% 13.31%+1.39 +8.8 38
1974-04-14 Home Farm D 2-260.0 1027 1032 43.41% 19.23% 37.36%+0.07 -0.3 13
1974-04-14 @ Shelbourne D 2-260.0 1032 1027 37.36% 19.23% 43.41%-0.07 +0.3 20
1974-04-14 Dundalk L 3-447.7 997 1200 19.21% 18.82% 61.97%-0.99 -5.7 14
1974-04-14 @ Sligo Rovers W 4-347.7 1200 997 61.97% 18.82% 19.21%+0.99 +5.7 28
1974-04-14 Finn Harps W 2-153.6 1099 1340 15.97% 18.64% 65.39%-1.19 +18.1 22
1974-04-14 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-253.6 1340 1099 65.39% 18.64% 15.97%+1.19 -18.1 35

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1974-01-20 9.01% St Patrick's Athletic 1079 1 @ Waterford 1381 0
2 1974-04-07 10.04% Limerick 1079 1 @ Finn Harps 1361 0
3 1974-02-03 10.36% @ Home Farm 1041 1 Bohemian 1369 0
4 1974-02-10 13.98% Dundalk 1134 1 @ Finn Harps 1350 0
5 1973-10-28 14.01% Cork Celtic 1110 6 @ Waterford 1325 2
6 1974-04-14 15.97% @ St Patrick's Athletic 1099 2 Finn Harps 1340 1
7 1973-12-30 16.12% @ Shamrock Rovers 1162 2 Cork Hibernians 1401 0
8 1973-12-16 16.97% Athlone Town 1150 3 @ Bohemian 1326 2
9 1974-03-03 17.78% Shamrock Rovers 1174 1 @ Bohemian 1341 0
10 1974-02-24 18.99% @ Dundalk 1154 1 Bohemian 1359 0
11 1973-11-04 19.96% @ Limerick 1157 2 Cork Hibernians 1351 1
12 1974-03-24 20.47% Shamrock Rovers 1183 3 @ Waterford 1320 0
13 1974-02-03 22.50% Drogheda United 1029 3 @ Athlone Town 1145 1
14 1974-02-10 24.14% Sligo Rovers 993 3 @ Limerick 1094 2
15 1974-03-17 24.87% @ Dundalk 1181 3 Waterford 1327 2
16 1973-10-07 24.99% @ Sligo Rovers 1084 1 Shamrock Rovers 1229 0
17 1974-03-10 25.97% @ Limerick 1056 1 Shamrock Rovers 1192 0
18 1974-03-23 26.00% Limerick 1061 3 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1145 2
19 1973-11-25 26.39% Home Farm 1058 1 @ Dundalk 1139 0
20 1973-11-04 26.65% @ Drogheda United 1036 3 Athlone Town 1167 1
21 1974-01-06 26.95% Cork Celtic 1265 2 @ Finn Harps 1341 1
22 1973-11-18 27.32% Sligo Rovers 1088 1 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1161 0
23 1973-12-15 27.44% Drogheda United 1059 3 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1131 1
24 1973-10-07 27.71% Dundalk 1121 2 @ Athlone Town 1191 0
25 1974-02-24 28.64% Cork Celtic 1318 2 @ Cork Hibernians 1380 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1973-10-28 50.05 Cork Celtic 6 1110 14.01% @ Waterford 2 1325 67.40% 18.59%
2 1974-03-24 48.64 Shamrock Rovers 3 1183 20.47% @ Waterford 0 1320 60.58% 18.95%
3 1973-10-14 42.12 @ Bohemian 7 1269 60.60% Cork Celtic 0 1131 20.45% 18.95%
4 1973-12-30 39.83 @ Waterford 6 1298 58.31% Athlone Town 0 1183 22.66% 19.02%
5 1974-03-31 39.38 @ Sligo Rovers 3 973 32.49% Home Farm 0 1056 48.33% 19.18%
6 1973-12-30 37.56 @ Cork Celtic 6 1228 59.83% Drogheda United 0 1098 21.20% 18.98%
7 1974-01-13 36.34 Dundalk 3 1108 36.74% @ Shelbourne 0 1108 44.03% 19.23%
8 1973-12-30 36.04 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1162 16.12% Cork Hibernians 0 1401 65.23% 18.65%
9 1974-02-10 33.28 @ Cork Celtic 4 1285 52.20% Shamrock Rovers 0 1223 28.64% 19.16%
10 1974-04-04 31.11 @ Bohemian 7 1337 66.73% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1131 14.63% 18.64%
11 1973-10-19 30.43 @ Shelbourne 4 1162 37.11% Shamrock Rovers 1 1211 43.66% 19.22%
12 1973-10-07 29.55 Dundalk 2 1121 27.71% @ Athlone Town 0 1191 53.15% 19.14%
13 1973-10-21 29.15 @ Limerick 4 1138 39.33% Dundalk 1 1171 41.43% 19.23%
14 1974-02-03 28.02 Drogheda United 3 1029 22.50% @ Athlone Town 1 1145 58.48% 19.02%
15 1973-12-30 26.91 @ Dundalk 3 1081 50.25% Sligo Rovers 0 1034 30.56% 19.19%
16 1973-11-04 26.09 @ Drogheda United 3 1036 26.65% Athlone Town 1 1167 54.27% 19.08%
17 1973-12-15 25.72 Drogheda United 3 1059 27.44% @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1131 53.42% 19.14%
18 1973-12-23 25.44 Finn Harps 3 1299 52.27% @ Limerick 0 1185 28.61% 19.12%
19 1973-11-11 24.37 @ Athlone Town 2 1141 38.12% Shelbourne 0 1182 42.66% 19.23%
20 1973-12-09 23.94 @ Drogheda United 3 1035 31.44% Dundalk 1 1126 49.39% 19.17%
21 1973-11-11 23.64 @ Home Farm 2 1031 39.67% Drogheda United 0 1062 41.10% 19.23%
22 1973-12-02 23.55 Cork Hibernians 2 1356 39.86% @ Bohemian 0 1334 40.91% 19.24%
23 1973-10-07 23.30 Waterford 4 1297 49.27% @ Shelbourne 1 1206 31.56% 19.17%
24 1973-10-07 23.17 Cork Hibernians 4 1297 62.26% @ Drogheda United 0 1092 18.93% 18.81%
25 1974-03-10 23.08 Shelbourne 2 1033 40.86% @ Sligo Rovers 0 1004 39.91% 19.23%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1973-11-25 64.2 @ Shelbourne 3 1156 41.81% Limerick 3 1172 38.95% 19.24%
2 1973-11-11 61.0 @ Waterford 2 1296 40.66% Bohemian 2 1320 40.11% 19.23%
3 1974-01-06 60.6 @ Cork Hibernians 2 1365 73.07% Drogheda United 2 1061 8.91% 18.03%
4 1974-03-03 60.4 @ Drogheda United 2 1078 15.10% Waterford 2 1330 66.32% 18.58%
5 1973-11-18 60.3 @ Home Farm 2 1055 15.99% Waterford 2 1296 65.37% 18.64%
6 1973-11-25 60.3 @ Waterford 2 1293 70.01% Drogheda United 2 1040 11.61% 18.37%
7 1974-04-14 60.0 @ Shelbourne 2 1027 43.41% Home Farm 2 1032 37.36% 19.23%
8 1974-03-17 58.7 Bohemian 4 1322 30.92% @ Cork Hibernians 3 1366 49.89% 19.19%
9 1973-12-16 58.6 Athlone Town 3 1150 16.97% @ Bohemian 2 1326 64.24% 18.79%
10 1974-03-17 56.3 @ Dundalk 3 1181 24.87% Waterford 2 1327 56.09% 19.03%
11 1974-02-10 56.1 Sligo Rovers 3 993 24.14% @ Limerick 2 1094 56.80% 19.07%
12 1974-03-23 55.5 Limerick 3 1061 26.00% @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1145 54.89% 19.11%
13 1974-03-31 55.4 @ Cork Hibernians 1 1351 55.34% Waterford 1 1263 25.56% 19.10%
14 1974-01-27 54.9 @ Shelbourne 1 1060 11.30% Cork Hibernians 1 1371 70.47% 18.23%
15 1974-03-03 54.9 @ Cork Celtic 1 1333 74.52% Sligo Rovers 1 999 7.67% 17.81%
16 1973-11-18 54.7 @ Finn Harps 1 1274 56.18% Shamrock Rovers 1 1178 24.74% 19.08%
17 1973-12-02 54.7 @ Waterford 1 1290 63.44% Dundalk 1 1123 17.73% 18.83%
18 1974-02-03 54.7 @ Dundalk 1 1132 23.88% Cork Celtic 1 1287 57.11% 19.01%
19 1973-10-07 54.6 @ Cork Celtic 1 1129 26.48% Finn Harps 1 1261 54.45% 19.08%
20 1973-11-11 54.6 @ Dundalk 1 1143 26.37% Finn Harps 1 1276 54.56% 19.07%
21 1973-11-11 54.5 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1179 45.08% Cork Celtic 1 1171 35.70% 19.23%
22 1973-10-07 54.4 @ Limerick 1 1145 50.57% Home Farm 1 1096 30.25% 19.18%
23 1973-11-11 54.4 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1087 32.00% Limerick 1 1174 48.82% 19.18%
24 1973-11-18 54.4 @ Drogheda United 1 1039 27.96% Shelbourne 1 1158 52.93% 19.11%
25 1974-01-06 54.4 @ Dundalk 1 1108 38.95% Athlone Town 1 1143 41.82% 19.23%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1973-11-04 26.2 @ Bohemian 4 1305 70.44% Home Farm 0 1046 11.23% 18.33%
2 1973-12-09 26.2 @ Cork Hibernians 3 1380 73.04% Home Farm 0 1075 8.92% 18.03%
3 1974-04-07 26.2 @ Waterford 4 1265 69.98% Sligo Rovers 0 1012 11.64% 18.38%
4 1974-01-27 26.7 Bohemian 5 1350 70.01% @ Drogheda United 0 1047 11.72% 18.27%
5 1973-12-30 26.9 @ Finn Harps 4 1325 68.36% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1096 13.12% 18.52%
6 1974-04-07 27.3 @ Cork Celtic 3 1343 69.37% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1099 12.20% 18.43%
7 1974-04-07 27.7 @ Bohemian 2 1368 74.64% Shelbourne 0 1032 7.57% 17.79%
8 1974-01-06 27.8 @ Waterford 5 1338 66.81% Shelbourne 0 1130 14.55% 18.63%
9 1974-01-13 28.2 Waterford 4 1361 64.67% @ Limerick 0 1128 16.65% 18.68%
10 1973-10-14 28.3 @ Finn Harps 3 1259 65.47% Drogheda United 0 1068 15.81% 18.72%
11 1973-12-09 28.6 Bohemian 3 1310 64.46% @ Sligo Rovers 0 1080 16.85% 18.70%
12 1973-10-07 28.7 Cork Hibernians 4 1297 62.26% @ Drogheda United 0 1092 18.93% 18.81%
13 1974-01-27 29.1 @ Finn Harps 7 1320 70.57% Home Farm 1 1058 11.11% 18.32%
14 1974-04-04 29.1 @ Bohemian 7 1337 66.73% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1131 14.63% 18.64%
15 1973-12-30 29.3 @ Bohemian 3 1323 63.00% Limerick 0 1160 18.15% 18.85%
16 1974-04-14 29.7 Bohemian 2 1378 68.25% @ Limerick 0 1100 13.31% 18.43%
17 1974-01-20 29.8 @ Cork Hibernians 2 1362 68.39% Athlone Town 0 1133 13.09% 18.52%
18 1973-10-28 30.1 @ Cork Hibernians 3 1332 60.82% Shelbourne 0 1193 20.24% 18.94%
19 1973-12-30 30.3 @ Cork Celtic 6 1228 59.83% Drogheda United 0 1098 21.20% 18.98%
20 1974-01-27 30.5 @ Athlone Town 3 1124 57.71% Sligo Rovers 0 1014 23.25% 19.04%
21 1974-02-10 30.5 Cork Hibernians 2 1370 65.75% @ St Patrick's Athletic 0 1125 15.63% 18.62%
22 1974-03-24 30.7 @ Dundalk 3 1196 57.10% Drogheda United 0 1092 23.84% 19.06%
23 1973-10-14 30.8 @ Bohemian 7 1269 60.60% Cork Celtic 0 1131 20.45% 18.95%
24 1974-03-17 30.9 Finn Harps 1 1346 73.63% @ Sligo Rovers 0 981 8.54% 17.83%
25 1973-12-30 31.1 @ Waterford 6 1298 58.31% Athlone Town 0 1183 22.66% 19.02%