‹ ›

1974-75 League of Ireland Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Bohemian

42 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Athlone Town

8.74 points above expected

33 points · 24.26 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Cork Celtic

5.55 points below expected

26 points · 31.55 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Bohemian 26 18 6 2 42 36 12 +24 35.27 +6.73
2 Athlone Town 26 13 7 6 33 45 32 +13 24.26 +8.74
3 Finn Harps 26 10 10 6 30 59 50 +9 30.48 -0.48
4 Cork Hibernians 26 10 9 7 29 42 26 +16 33.61 -4.61
5 Dundalk 26 10 8 8 28 37 36 +1 26.44 +1.56
6 Waterford 26 10 7 9 27 48 46 +2 30.15 -3.15
7 Cork Celtic 26 8 10 8 26 43 44 -1 31.55 -5.55
8 Shamrock Rovers 26 10 5 11 25 40 38 +2 27.43 -2.43
9 Drogheda United 26 6 12 8 24 32 37 -5 22.09 +1.91
10 St Patrick's Athletic 26 8 7 11 23 30 37 -7 23.48 -0.48
11 Home Farm 26 7 6 13 20 31 43 -12 19.54 +0.46
12 Limerick 26 7 6 13 20 28 46 -18 20.73 -0.73
13 Shelbourne 26 6 7 13 19 33 38 -5 20.62 -1.62
14 Sligo Rovers 26 7 4 15 18 27 46 -19 18.35 -0.35

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Athlone Town 33 24.26 +8.74
2 Bohemian 42 35.27 +6.73
3 Drogheda United 24 22.09 +1.91
4 Dundalk 28 26.44 +1.56
5 Home Farm 20 19.54 +0.46

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Cork Celtic 26 31.55 -5.55
2 Cork Hibernians 29 33.61 -4.61
3 Waterford 27 30.15 -3.15
4 Shamrock Rovers 25 27.43 -2.43
5 Shelbourne 19 20.62 -1.62

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sligo Rovers 2 Jan 12 – Jan 19 1 in 87
2 Home Farm 3 Dec 15 – Dec 29 1 in 37
3 Athlone Town 3 Jan 5 – Jan 26 1 in 34
4 Shelbourne 2 Jan 26 – Feb 2 1 in 23
5 Cork Celtic 5 Nov 24 – Dec 22 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cork Hibernians 2 Jan 12 – Jan 26 1 in 170
2 Shelbourne 6 Dec 8 – Jan 12 1 in 75
3 Shamrock Rovers 3 Oct 13 – Oct 27 1 in 72
4 Sligo Rovers 5 Oct 27 – Dec 1 1 in 38
5 Waterford 2 Apr 6 – Apr 13 1 in 29

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Drogheda United 12 Oct 13 – Dec 29 1 in 1,240
2 Finn Harps 11 Nov 24 – Feb 9 1 in 27
3 Athlone Town 8 Jan 5 – Mar 9 1 in 25
4 Shelbourne 4 Mar 23 – Apr 13 1 in 13
5 Dundalk 6 Nov 24 – Dec 29 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cork Hibernians 5 Jan 12 – Feb 23 1 in 86
2 Waterford 7 Nov 10 – Dec 22 1 in 62
3 Drogheda United 11 Dec 29 – Mar 23 1 in 62
4 Cork Celtic 7 Oct 6 – Nov 17 1 in 35
5 Sligo Rovers 11 Oct 20 – Jan 5 1 in 19

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Bohemian 1323 42 +12 9 7.2 +1.8
Athlone Town 1158 33 +13 5 4.2 +0.8
Finn Harps 1232 30 +12 7 6.7 +0.3
Cork Hibernians 1245 29 -15 4 6.1 -2.1
Dundalk 1155 28 +0 6 5.1 +0.9
Waterford 1189 27 -12 3 5.9 -2.9
Cork Celtic 1195 26 -31 4 6.8 -2.8
Shamrock Rovers 1168 25 +10 6 5.0 +1.0
Drogheda United 1062 24 -1 4 4.3 -0.3
St Patrick's Athletic 1082 23 -13 5 4.8 +0.2
Home Farm 1022 20 -3 4 3.8 +0.2
Limerick 1040 20 +2 4 3.4 +0.6
Shelbourne 1065 19 +22 5 3.7 +1.3
Sligo Rovers 1001 18 +2 4 3.2 +0.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AT BOH CC CH DU DUN FH HF LIM SR SHE SR SPA WAT
Athlone Town —
0-1-1
1.50
0-0-2
2.01
1-0-1
1.85
0-2-0
3.03
1-1-0
2.23
0-2-0
2.07
0-1-1
3.36
2-0-0
3.13
2-0-0
2.12
2-0-0
3.08
2-0-0
3.34
1-0-1
2.92
2-0-0
1.93
Bohemian
1-1-0
3.96
—
1-1-0
3.10
1-0-1
2.96
1-1-0
4.18
2-0-0
3.74
1-1-0
3.28
1-0-1
4.29
2-0-0
4.35
2-0-0
3.72
2-0-0
4.28
1-1-0
4.57
2-0-0
4.00
1-1-0
3.37
Cork Celtic
2-0-0
3.40
0-1-1
2.31
—
0-1-1
2.46
0-2-0
3.72
1-0-1
3.26
0-1-1
2.83
0-2-0
3.98
1-1-0
3.81
1-1-0
3.23
1-0-1
3.90
1-0-1
4.18
1-1-0
3.50
0-0-2
2.87
Cork Hibernians
1-0-1
3.58
1-0-1
2.44
1-1-0
2.94
—
2-0-0
4.00
1-0-1
3.51
1-1-0
3.10
1-1-0
4.24
1-1-0
3.98
1-1-0
3.40
0-1-1
4.16
0-0-2
4.34
0-2-0
3.86
0-1-1
3.26
Drogheda United
0-2-0
2.37
0-1-1
1.31
0-2-0
1.72
0-0-2
1.47
—
0-2-0
2.05
1-1-0
1.65
1-0-1
2.88
1-0-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.06
0-2-0
2.81
0-1-1
3.14
1-1-0
2.46
1-0-1
1.72
Dundalk
0-1-1
3.18
0-0-2
1.70
1-0-1
2.15
1-0-1
1.91
0-2-0
3.35
—
0-1-1
2.20
2-0-0
3.44
1-0-1
3.37
1-1-0
2.60
2-0-0
3.52
1-1-0
3.83
1-0-1
3.14
0-2-0
2.33
Finn Harps
0-2-0
3.34
0-1-1
2.12
1-1-0
2.56
0-1-1
2.30
0-1-1
3.78
1-1-0
3.21
—
2-0-0
3.88
1-1-0
3.90
0-0-2
3.19
1-1-0
3.78
2-0-0
4.09
1-1-0
3.58
1-0-1
2.74
Home Farm
1-1-0
2.06
1-0-1
1.22
0-2-0
1.49
0-1-1
1.25
1-0-1
2.52
0-0-2
1.98
0-0-2
1.57
—
1-0-1
2.55
0-0-2
1.87
1-1-0
2.48
1-0-1
2.98
1-0-1
2.32
0-1-1
1.65
Limerick
0-0-2
2.27
0-0-2
1.17
0-1-1
1.63
0-1-1
1.47
1-0-1
2.58
1-0-1
2.04
0-1-1
1.55
1-0-1
2.84
—
1-1-0
2.00
1-1-0
2.68
1-0-1
3.18
0-1-1
2.34
1-0-1
1.69
Shamrock Rovers
0-0-2
3.29
0-0-2
1.71
0-1-1
2.17
0-1-1
2.01
1-0-1
3.36
0-1-1
2.80
2-0-0
2.22
2-0-0
3.55
0-1-1
3.41
—
0-1-1
3.50
2-0-0
3.82
1-0-1
3.20
2-0-0
2.37
Shelbourne
0-0-2
2.32
0-0-2
1.22
1-0-1
1.55
1-1-0
1.32
0-2-0
2.59
0-0-2
1.90
0-1-1
1.66
0-1-1
2.91
0-1-1
2.72
1-1-0
1.92
—
2-0-0
2.97
1-0-1
2.31
0-0-2
1.64
Sligo Rovers
0-0-2
2.06
0-1-1
0.99
1-0-1
1.31
2-0-0
1.18
1-1-0
2.27
0-1-1
1.61
0-0-2
1.38
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.23
0-0-2
1.62
0-0-2
2.43
—
0-0-2
1.99
1-1-0
1.37
St Patrick's Athletic
1-0-1
2.48
0-0-2
1.46
0-1-1
1.93
0-2-0
1.59
0-1-1
2.94
1-0-1
2.26
0-1-1
1.85
1-0-1
3.08
1-1-0
3.06
1-0-1
2.21
1-0-1
3.09
2-0-0
3.43
—
0-1-1
1.93
Waterford
0-0-2
3.48
0-1-1
2.04
2-0-0
2.52
1-1-0
2.15
1-0-1
3.72
0-2-0
3.07
1-0-1
2.66
1-1-0
3.80
1-0-1
3.75
0-0-2
3.03
2-0-0
3.81
0-1-1
4.10
1-1-0
3.49
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.26 +3.7
Allowed 0.50 -4.6
Differential 0.85 +4.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%9.07%5.49%1.37%1.10%0.27%24.45%
19.07%9.34%6.87%3.57%1.92%0.55%31.32%
25.49%6.87%9.34%3.57%1.37%—26.65%
31.37%3.57%3.57%1.65%0.27%0.27%10.71%
41.10%1.92%1.37%0.27%1.10%—5.77%
5+0.27%0.55%—0.27%——1.10%
Total24.45%31.32%26.65%10.71%5.77%1.10%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.46 +0.00
SD 1.22 1.22 1.63
CV 0.83 0.83 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%—3.85%——19.23%
17.69%7.69%3.85%—3.85%—23.08%
219.23%7.69%3.85%3.85%——34.62%
3—3.85%3.85%3.85%——11.54%
43.85%—3.85%—3.85%—11.54%
5+———————
Total38.46%26.92%15.38%11.54%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.23 +0.50
SD 1.25 1.31 1.61
CV 0.72 1.06 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%————11.54%
130.77%11.54%3.85%———46.15%
219.23%11.54%3.85%———34.62%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total61.54%30.77%7.69%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 0.46 +0.92
SD 0.80 0.65 0.98
CV 0.58 1.40 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%—3.85%3.85%—19.23%
13.85%11.54%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
2—11.54%11.54%11.54%——34.62%
3—7.69%3.85%7.69%——19.23%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total15.38%34.62%19.23%26.92%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 1.69 -0.04
SD 1.13 1.16 1.59
CV 0.68 0.68 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%19.23%3.85%3.85%——34.62%
17.69%7.69%————15.38%
23.85%3.85%19.23%———26.92%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
4—7.69%————7.69%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total30.77%42.31%23.08%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.00 +0.62
SD 1.70 0.85 2.04
CV 1.05 0.85 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%7.69%7.69%———34.62%
17.69%19.23%3.85%3.85%——34.62%
23.85%3.85%——7.69%—15.38%
3———3.85%——3.85%
4——3.85%3.85%3.85%—11.54%
5+———————
Total30.77%30.77%15.38%11.54%11.54%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.42 -0.19
SD 1.31 1.36 1.17
CV 1.06 0.96 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
115.38%11.54%3.85%11.54%3.85%—46.15%
23.85%3.85%11.54%3.85%——23.08%
33.85%—7.69%———11.54%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total30.77%23.08%26.92%15.38%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.38 +0.04
SD 1.03 1.20 1.51
CV 0.72 0.87 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
13.85%15.38%——3.85%—23.08%
2—7.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%—26.92%
3—7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%—23.08%
43.85%3.85%——7.69%—15.38%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total7.69%42.31%19.23%11.54%19.23%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 1.92 +0.35
SD 1.31 1.29 1.74
CV 0.58 0.67 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%15.38%———34.62%
17.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%—23.08%
23.85%11.54%11.54%7.69%——34.62%
3—————3.85%3.85%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total19.23%26.92%34.62%11.54%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.65 -0.46
SD 1.10 1.26 1.36
CV 0.92 0.76 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%19.23%7.69%—7.69%3.85%46.15%
17.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
2——11.54%3.85%——15.38%
3—11.54%7.69%———19.23%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%34.62%30.77%7.69%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.77 -0.69
SD 1.20 1.53 2.04
CV 1.11 0.87 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%3.85%———15.38%
13.85%7.69%11.54%7.69%——30.77%
215.38%7.69%11.54%7.69%——42.31%
3——7.69%———7.69%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total19.23%30.77%34.62%15.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 1.46 +0.08
SD 0.99 0.99 1.41
CV 0.64 0.68 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%15.38%7.69%———34.62%
1—3.85%15.38%3.85%3.85%—26.92%
23.85%7.69%11.54%3.85%——26.92%
3——3.85%———3.85%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total19.23%30.77%38.46%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.46 -0.19
SD 1.31 1.03 1.65
CV 1.03 0.70 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%11.54%———23.08%
115.38%7.69%19.23%3.85%7.69%3.85%57.69%
2—7.69%3.85%—3.85%—15.38%
3———————
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total19.23%23.08%38.46%3.85%11.54%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.77 -0.73
SD 0.87 1.37 1.51
CV 0.84 0.77 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%—30.77%
111.54%11.54%15.38%3.85%——42.31%
2—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
3—7.69%—3.85%——11.54%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total19.23%38.46%26.92%11.54%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.42 -0.27
SD 1.12 1.06 1.59
CV 0.97 0.75 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%7.69%———15.38%
13.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%—3.85%26.92%
23.85%3.85%15.38%3.85%3.85%—30.77%
33.85%3.85%7.69%———15.38%
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+———3.85%——3.85%
Total15.38%23.08%42.31%11.54%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 1.77 +0.08
SD 1.32 1.21 1.72
CV 0.71 0.68 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Bohemian 1323 42 35.27 +6.73 100.0% 26 30 33 35 38 40 42
Cork Hibernians 1245 29 33.61 -4.61 17.0% 23 27 31 34 36 40 41
Finn Harps 1232 30 30.48 -0.48 48.0% 20 24 28 31 33 36 39
Cork Celtic 1195 26 31.55 -5.55 11.0% 23 25 29 32 34 37 39
Waterford 1189 27 30.15 -3.15 26.0% 21 25 27 30 33 35 42
Shamrock Rovers 1168 25 27.43 -2.43 29.0% 19 20 25 28 30 33 38
Athlone Town 1158 33 24.26 +8.74 98.0% 13 17 21 24 27 31 35
Dundalk 1155 28 26.44 +1.56 68.0% 18 20 23 26 29 34 36
St Patrick's Athletic 1082 23 23.48 -0.48 50.0% 14 16 21 23 27 29 33
Shelbourne 1065 19 20.62 -1.62 43.0% 11 13 18 20 23 28 29
Drogheda United 1062 24 22.09 +1.91 75.0% 14 14 19 22 24 28 31
Limerick 1040 20 20.73 -0.73 48.0% 11 13 19 21 23 27 30
Home Farm 1022 20 19.54 +0.46 56.0% 10 14 17 19 22 25 31
Sligo Rovers 1001 18 18.35 -0.35 54.0% 11 12 15 18 21 24 29

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.09%
Slight Edge
41.76%28.57%29.67%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 42.20 Elo pts.
252 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.34 goals
Neutral
-2+0.17+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.7
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
54%
Bohemian, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.35/gm
Runaway
00.100.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.07 * Some Luck: 3.07 to 4.61 * Lucky: 4.61 to 6.14 * Wild Swing: 6.14 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.48 * Close: 1.48 to 2.22 * Off: 2.22 to 2.96 * Way Off: 2.96 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.78 points
Some Luck
03.8410
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.71
Close
01.854
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
100.00%
Bohemian
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
11.00%
Cork Celtic
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Balanced
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 95.30
1.49
Coin-Flip Parity
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
68%
Slight Edge
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
86%
Even
50%88%100%
Close Games
Expected
68%
Very Frequent
0%64%100%
Blowouts
Expected
10%
Rare
0%13%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.63
Hard to Predict
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.38
Slight Separation
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.03
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.75
Near-Lock
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Shaky Favorites
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.92
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.79
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.081
Well Within Noise
00.1270.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Bohemian54.00%19.00%13.00%10.00%2.00%—1.00%1.00%——————
Athlone Town—2.00%3.00%3.00%7.00%10.00%18.00%9.00%15.00%11.00%7.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%
Finn Harps6.00%18.00%11.00%19.00%16.00%15.00%6.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%—1.00%—
Cork Hibernians26.00%28.00%18.00%11.00%7.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%—1.00%————
Dundalk1.00%2.00%6.00%10.00%12.00%9.00%10.00%19.00%10.00%7.00%5.00%5.00%4.00%—
Waterford5.00%9.00%20.00%14.00%13.00%14.00%16.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%———
Cork Celtic7.00%19.00%22.00%17.00%15.00%8.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%—————
Shamrock Rovers1.00%3.00%6.00%7.00%17.00%21.00%10.00%11.00%8.00%8.00%3.00%4.00%—1.00%
Drogheda United——1.00%2.00%1.00%4.00%8.00%14.00%13.00%14.00%14.00%15.00%8.00%6.00%
St Patrick's Athletic———4.00%5.00%6.00%11.00%12.00%14.00%15.00%11.00%11.00%4.00%7.00%
Home Farm———1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%5.00%12.00%9.00%9.00%18.00%23.00%20.00%
Limerick———1.00%1.00%3.00%4.00%4.00%12.00%13.00%22.00%12.00%14.00%14.00%
Shelbourne————3.00%4.00%5.00%8.00%7.00%15.00%13.00%17.00%17.00%11.00%
Sligo Rovers———1.00%——2.00%2.00%4.00%5.00%13.00%13.00%23.00%37.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Athlone Town 100%
Bohemian 100%
Cork Celtic 100%
Cork Hibernians 100%
Drogheda United 100%
Dundalk 100%
Finn Harps 100%
Home Farm 100%
Limerick 100%
Shamrock Rovers 100%
Shelbourne 100%
Sligo Rovers 100%
St Patrick's Athletic 100%
Waterford 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1974-10-06 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-033.0 1273 1096 62.24% 26.05% 11.71%+0.87 +2.2 2
1974-10-06 @ Bohemian L 0-133.0 1096 1273 11.71% 26.05% 62.24%-0.87 -2.2 0
1974-10-06 Drogheda United W 3-133.6 1251 1056 63.78% 25.40% 10.82%+0.94 +3.3 2
1974-10-06 @ Cork Hibernians L 1-333.6 1056 1251 10.82% 25.40% 63.78%-0.94 -3.3 0
1974-10-06 Athlone Town D 0-047.1 1152 1080 52.00% 29.07% 18.94%+0.45 -1.2 1
1974-10-06 @ Dundalk D 0-047.1 1080 1152 18.94% 29.07% 52.00%-0.45 +1.2 1
1974-10-06 Cork Celtic D 3-360.6 1225 1235 42.18% 30.21% 27.61%+0.13 -0.3 1
1974-10-06 @ Finn Harps D 3-360.6 1235 1225 27.61% 30.21% 42.18%-0.13 +0.3 1
1974-10-06 Limerick W 2-036.0 1039 1082 37.79% 30.31% 31.89%+0.00 +9.7 2
1974-10-06 @ Home Farm L 0-236.0 1082 1039 31.89% 30.31% 37.79%+0.00 -9.8 0
1974-10-06 Sligo Rovers W 4-132.3 1169 1023 59.40% 27.10% 13.50%+0.74 +5.9 2
1974-10-06 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-432.3 1023 1169 13.50% 27.10% 59.40%-0.74 -5.9 0
1974-10-06 Shelbourne W 4-131.8 1212 1045 61.36% 26.39% 12.25%+0.83 +5.3 2
1974-10-06 @ Waterford L 1-431.8 1045 1212 12.25% 26.39% 61.36%-0.83 -5.3 0
1974-10-13 Shamrock Rovers W 2-147.4 1081 1175 30.81% 30.06% 39.13%-0.20 +5.6 3
1974-10-13 @ Athlone Town L 1-247.4 1175 1081 39.13% 30.06% 30.81%+0.20 -5.6 2
1974-10-13 Bohemian D 1-151.3 1235 1275 38.09% 30.31% 31.59%+0.01 -0.2 2
1974-10-13 @ Cork Celtic D 1-151.3 1275 1235 31.59% 30.31% 38.09%-0.01 +0.2 3
1974-10-13 Finn Harps W 4-358.0 1053 1225 21.78% 28.71% 49.51%-0.52 +6.3 2
1974-10-13 @ Drogheda United L 3-458.0 1225 1053 49.51% 28.71% 21.78%+0.52 -6.3 1
1974-10-13 Waterford L 2-347.7 1072 1217 24.56% 29.29% 46.15%-0.41 -3.8 0
1974-10-13 @ Limerick W 3-247.7 1217 1072 46.15% 29.29% 24.56%+0.41 +3.8 4
1974-10-13 Dundalk L 1-244.1 1040 1151 28.49% 29.85% 41.66%-0.27 -4.5 0
1974-10-13 @ Shelbourne W 2-144.1 1151 1040 41.66% 29.85% 28.49%+0.27 +4.5 3
1974-10-13 Cork Hibernians W 1-046.6 1018 1254 16.38% 26.89% 56.73%-0.77 +8.0 2
1974-10-13 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-146.6 1254 1018 56.73% 26.89% 16.38%+0.77 -8.0 2
1974-10-13 Home Farm L 1-250.1 1094 1049 48.98% 29.58% 21.44%+0.35 -6.8 0
1974-10-13 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-150.1 1049 1094 21.44% 29.58% 48.98%-0.35 +6.8 4
1974-10-20 Finn Harps W 3-030.5 1276 1219 50.34% 29.37% 20.29%+0.39 +10.0 5
1974-10-20 @ Bohemian L 0-330.5 1219 1276 20.29% 29.37% 50.34%-0.39 -10.0 1
1974-10-20 Athlone Town W 3-027.1 1246 1087 60.63% 26.67% 12.70%+0.80 +6.6 4
1974-10-20 @ Cork Hibernians L 0-327.1 1087 1246 12.70% 26.67% 60.63%-0.80 -6.6 3
1974-10-20 Limerick L 2-356.3 1155 1068 53.66% 28.72% 17.62%+0.51 -6.9 3
1974-10-20 @ Dundalk W 3-256.3 1068 1155 17.62% 28.72% 53.66%-0.51 +6.9 2
1974-10-20 Cork Celtic D 1-151.4 1056 1235 21.12% 28.54% 50.34%-0.54 +0.9 5
1974-10-20 @ Home Farm D 1-151.4 1235 1056 50.34% 28.54% 21.12%+0.54 -0.9 3
1974-10-20 Shelbourne L 2-357.3 1169 1035 58.31% 27.46% 14.23%+0.70 -7.4 2
1974-10-20 @ Shamrock Rovers W 3-257.3 1035 1169 14.23% 27.46% 58.31%-0.70 +7.4 2
1974-10-20 Drogheda United D 1-150.8 1026 1059 39.05% 30.31% 30.64%+0.04 -0.2 3
1974-10-20 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-150.8 1059 1026 30.64% 30.31% 39.05%-0.04 +0.2 3
1974-10-20 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-047.6 1221 1087 58.29% 27.47% 14.24%+0.70 -1.6 5
1974-10-20 @ Waterford D 0-047.6 1087 1221 14.24% 27.47% 58.29%-0.70 +1.6 1
1974-10-27 Sligo Rovers W 4-241.7 1081 1025 50.14% 29.40% 20.46%+0.39 +5.4 5
1974-10-27 @ Athlone Town L 2-441.7 1025 1081 20.46% 29.40% 50.14%-0.39 -5.4 3
1974-10-27 Waterford L 2-354.4 1234 1219 45.31% 30.00% 24.69%+0.23 -6.0 3
1974-10-27 @ Cork Celtic W 3-254.4 1219 1234 24.69% 30.00% 45.31%-0.23 +6.0 7
1974-10-27 Bohemian D 0-047.7 1059 1286 17.10% 27.20% 55.70%-0.73 +1.4 4
1974-10-27 @ Drogheda United D 0-047.7 1286 1059 55.70% 27.20% 17.10%+0.73 -1.4 6
1974-10-27 Home Farm W 1-033.5 1208 1057 60.01% 26.89% 13.10%+0.77 +2.5 3
1974-10-27 @ Finn Harps L 0-133.5 1057 1208 13.10% 26.89% 60.01%-0.77 -2.5 5
1974-10-27 Shamrock Rovers W 3-143.2 1075 1161 31.68% 30.12% 38.19%-0.18 +9.6 4
1974-10-27 @ Limerick L 1-343.2 1161 1075 38.19% 30.12% 31.68%+0.18 -9.6 2
1974-10-27 Cork Hibernians D 2-257.1 1043 1252 18.43% 27.71% 53.85%-0.66 +0.8 3
1974-10-27 @ Shelbourne D 2-257.1 1252 1043 53.85% 27.71% 18.43%+0.66 -0.8 5
1974-10-27 Dundalk W 3-142.1 1089 1149 35.40% 30.29% 34.31%-0.07 +8.9 3
1974-10-27 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-342.1 1149 1089 34.31% 30.29% 35.40%+0.07 -8.9 3
1974-10-29 Waterford W 3-145.2 1086 1225 25.20% 29.40% 45.39%-0.39 +10.9 7
1974-10-29 @ Athlone Town L 1-345.2 1225 1086 45.39% 29.40% 25.20%+0.39 -10.9 7
1974-11-03 Drogheda United D 0-046.8 1097 1060 47.95% 29.71% 22.33%+0.31 -0.9 8
1974-11-03 @ Athlone Town D 0-046.8 1060 1097 22.33% 29.71% 47.95%-0.31 +0.9 5
1974-11-03 Limerick W 7-030.0 1252 1085 61.37% 26.39% 12.24%+0.83 +14.0 7
1974-11-03 @ Cork Hibernians L 0-730.0 1085 1252 12.24% 26.39% 61.37%-0.83 -14.0 4
1974-11-03 Cork Celtic W 3-252.2 1140 1228 31.42% 30.11% 38.47%-0.18 +5.3 5
1974-11-03 @ Dundalk L 2-352.2 1228 1140 38.47% 30.11% 31.42%+0.18 -5.3 3
1974-11-03 Bohemian L 0-230.6 1054 1284 16.84% 27.09% 56.06%-0.75 -5.8 5
1974-11-03 @ Home Farm W 2-030.6 1284 1054 56.06% 27.09% 16.84%+0.75 +5.7 8
1974-11-03 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-141.6 1152 1098 50.00% 29.42% 20.58%+0.38 +3.5 4
1974-11-03 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-241.6 1098 1152 20.58% 29.42% 50.00%-0.38 -3.5 3
1974-11-03 Shelbourne L 1-540.3 1020 1043 40.36% 30.28% 29.36%+0.07 -18.3 3
1974-11-03 @ Sligo Rovers W 5-140.3 1043 1020 29.36% 30.28% 40.36%-0.07 +18.3 5
1974-11-03 Finn Harps W 4-243.8 1214 1211 43.89% 30.11% 26.00%+0.18 +6.5 9
1974-11-03 @ Waterford L 2-443.8 1211 1214 26.00% 30.11% 43.89%-0.18 -6.5 3
1974-11-10 Waterford W 1-036.4 1290 1221 51.69% 29.13% 19.19%+0.44 +3.5 10
1974-11-10 @ Bohemian L 0-136.4 1221 1290 19.19% 29.13% 51.69%-0.44 -3.5 9
1974-11-10 Shamrock Rovers D 2-256.7 1223 1155 51.50% 29.16% 19.34%+0.43 -0.8 4
1974-11-10 @ Cork Celtic D 2-256.7 1155 1223 19.34% 29.16% 51.50%-0.43 +0.8 5
1974-11-10 Home Farm W 2-143.0 1061 1048 45.08% 30.02% 24.90%+0.22 +4.1 7
1974-11-10 @ Drogheda United L 1-243.0 1048 1061 24.90% 30.02% 45.08%-0.22 -4.1 5
1974-11-10 Dundalk D 2-256.6 1204 1145 50.63% 29.32% 20.05%+0.40 -0.7 4
1974-11-10 @ Finn Harps D 2-256.6 1145 1204 20.05% 29.32% 50.63%-0.40 +0.7 6
1974-11-10 Sligo Rovers W 1-036.0 1071 1002 51.67% 29.13% 19.19%+0.44 +3.5 6
1974-11-10 @ Limerick L 0-136.0 1002 1071 19.19% 29.13% 51.67%-0.44 -3.5 3
1974-11-10 Athlone Town L 0-142.3 1062 1096 38.92% 30.31% 30.77%+0.03 -6.0 5
1974-11-10 @ Shelbourne W 1-042.3 1096 1062 30.77% 30.31% 38.92%-0.03 +6.0 10
1974-11-10 Cork Hibernians D 0-047.3 1094 1266 21.90% 28.74% 49.37%-0.51 +0.9 4
1974-11-10 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-047.3 1266 1094 49.37% 28.74% 21.90%+0.51 -1.0 8
1974-11-17 Limerick W 4-031.1 1102 1074 46.92% 29.84% 23.24%+0.28 +14.6 12
1974-11-17 @ Athlone Town L 0-431.1 1074 1102 23.24% 29.84% 46.92%-0.28 -14.6 6
1974-11-17 Cork Celtic W 3-030.9 1265 1222 48.68% 29.62% 21.70%+0.34 +10.6 10
1974-11-17 @ Cork Hibernians L 0-330.9 1222 1265 21.70% 29.62% 48.68%-0.34 -10.6 4
1974-11-17 Bohemian L 0-137.8 1146 1293 24.28% 29.24% 46.47%-0.42 -4.2 6
1974-11-17 @ Dundalk W 1-037.8 1293 1146 46.47% 29.24% 24.28%+0.42 +4.2 12
1974-11-17 Finn Harps W 1-040.5 1156 1204 37.07% 30.31% 32.62%-0.02 +5.2 7
1974-11-17 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-140.5 1204 1156 32.62% 30.31% 37.07%+0.02 -5.2 4
1974-11-17 Drogheda United D 1-150.9 1056 1065 42.21% 30.21% 27.58%+0.13 -0.4 6
1974-11-17 @ Shelbourne D 1-150.9 1065 1056 27.58% 30.21% 42.21%-0.13 +0.4 8
1974-11-17 Home Farm D 2-257.5 1217 1044 61.91% 26.18% 11.91%+0.85 -1.3 10
1974-11-17 @ Waterford D 2-257.5 1044 1217 11.91% 26.18% 61.91%-0.85 +1.2 6
1974-11-24 Shamrock Rovers W 2-030.0 1298 1161 58.55% 27.39% 14.06%+0.71 +5.0 14
1974-11-24 @ Bohemian L 0-230.0 1161 1298 14.06% 27.39% 58.55%-0.71 -5.0 7
1974-11-24 Sligo Rovers W 2-137.0 1211 998 65.33% 24.70% 9.97%+1.01 +1.8 6
1974-11-24 @ Cork Celtic L 1-237.0 998 1211 9.97% 24.70% 65.33%-1.01 -1.8 3
1974-11-24 Waterford W 4-249.6 1066 1216 24.01% 29.19% 46.80%-0.43 +10.0 10
1974-11-24 @ Drogheda United L 2-449.6 1216 1066 46.80% 29.19% 24.01%+0.43 -10.0 10
1974-11-24 Cork Hibernians D 1-151.2 1198 1275 33.00% 30.20% 36.80%-0.14 +0.1 5
1974-11-24 @ Finn Harps D 1-151.2 1275 1198 36.80% 30.20% 33.00%+0.14 -0.1 11
1974-11-24 Dundalk L 0-235.5 1046 1141 30.45% 30.03% 39.52%-0.21 -9.4 6
1974-11-24 @ Home Farm W 2-035.5 1141 1046 39.52% 30.03% 30.45%+0.21 +9.4 8
1974-11-24 Shelbourne W 3-139.5 1059 1055 43.98% 30.10% 25.92%+0.18 +7.3 8
1974-11-24 @ Limerick L 1-339.5 1055 1059 25.92% 30.10% 43.98%-0.18 -7.3 6
1974-11-24 Athlone Town W 4-137.9 1095 1117 40.68% 30.27% 29.05%+0.08 +11.2 6
1974-11-24 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-437.9 1117 1095 29.05% 30.27% 40.68%-0.08 -11.2 12
1974-11-27 Home Farm W 3-244.4 1156 1036 57.00% 27.86% 15.14%+0.64 +2.5 9
1974-11-27 @ Shamrock Rovers L 2-344.4 1036 1156 15.14% 27.86% 57.00%-0.64 -2.5 6
1974-11-29 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-145.9 1048 1107 35.55% 30.29% 34.16%-0.06 +5.1 8
1974-11-29 @ Shelbourne L 1-245.9 1107 1048 34.16% 30.29% 35.55%+0.06 -5.1 6
1974-12-01 Cork Celtic L 2-349.3 1105 1213 28.93% 29.90% 41.17%-0.26 -4.3 12
1974-12-01 @ Athlone Town W 3-249.3 1213 1105 41.17% 29.90% 28.93%+0.26 +4.3 8
1974-12-01 Bohemian W 2-145.4 1275 1303 39.82% 30.29% 29.89%+0.06 +4.7 13
1974-12-01 @ Cork Hibernians L 1-245.4 1303 1275 29.89% 30.29% 39.82%-0.06 -4.6 14
1974-12-01 Waterford D 2-256.4 1151 1206 35.99% 30.30% 33.71%-0.05 -0.0 9
1974-12-01 @ Dundalk D 2-256.4 1206 1151 33.71% 30.30% 35.99%+0.05 +0.0 11
1974-12-01 Drogheda United L 0-143.2 1067 1076 42.28% 30.21% 27.52%+0.13 -6.4 8
1974-12-01 @ Limerick W 1-043.2 1076 1067 27.52% 30.21% 42.28%-0.13 +6.4 12
1974-12-01 Finn Harps L 1-336.8 996 1199 19.06% 27.93% 53.01%-0.63 -5.6 3
1974-12-01 @ Sligo Rovers W 3-136.8 1199 996 53.01% 27.93% 19.06%+0.63 +5.6 7
1974-12-08 Sligo Rovers D 0-049.5 1298 991 72.47% 20.89% 6.64%+1.39 -2.5 15
1974-12-08 @ Bohemian D 0-049.5 991 1298 6.64% 20.89% 72.47%-1.39 +2.5 4
1974-12-08 Shelbourne W 2-138.3 1217 1053 61.13% 26.48% 12.39%+0.82 +2.2 10
1974-12-08 @ Cork Celtic L 1-238.3 1053 1217 12.39% 26.48% 61.13%-0.82 -2.2 8
1974-12-08 Drogheda United D 1-151.2 1151 1082 51.64% 29.14% 19.22%+0.44 -1.0 10
1974-12-08 @ Dundalk D 1-151.2 1082 1151 19.22% 29.14% 51.64%-0.44 +1.0 13
1974-12-08 Athlone Town D 1-151.5 1204 1101 55.29% 28.33% 16.38%+0.58 -1.3 8
1974-12-08 @ Finn Harps D 1-151.5 1101 1204 16.38% 28.33% 55.29%-0.58 +1.3 13
1974-12-08 Cork Hibernians L 0-230.1 1034 1280 15.69% 26.57% 57.74%-0.81 -5.4 6
1974-12-08 @ Home Farm W 2-030.1 1280 1034 57.74% 26.57% 15.69%+0.81 +5.4 15
1974-12-08 Limerick D 2-256.4 1101 1060 48.50% 29.64% 21.86%+0.33 -0.6 7
1974-12-08 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 2-256.4 1060 1101 21.86% 29.64% 48.50%-0.33 +0.6 9
1974-12-08 Shamrock Rovers L 0-241.1 1206 1159 49.22% 29.54% 21.24%+0.36 -13.6 11
1974-12-08 @ Waterford W 2-041.1 1159 1206 21.24% 29.54% 49.22%-0.36 +13.6 11
1974-12-15 Bohemian D 1-151.7 1102 1295 19.85% 28.18% 51.97%-0.60 +1.0 14
1974-12-15 @ Athlone Town D 1-151.7 1295 1102 51.97% 28.18% 19.85%+0.60 -1.0 16
1974-12-15 Waterford D 2-257.1 1285 1193 54.20% 28.60% 17.20%+0.53 -0.9 16
1974-12-15 @ Cork Hibernians D 2-257.1 1193 1285 17.20% 28.60% 54.20%-0.53 +0.9 12
1974-12-15 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-150.9 1083 1101 41.15% 30.26% 28.59%+0.10 -0.4 14
1974-12-15 @ Drogheda United D 1-150.9 1101 1083 28.59% 30.26% 41.15%-0.10 +0.4 8
1974-12-15 Cork Celtic L 0-430.8 1061 1220 23.15% 29.02% 47.83%-0.46 -14.4 9
1974-12-15 @ Limerick W 4-030.8 1220 1061 47.83% 29.02% 23.15%+0.46 +14.4 12
1974-12-15 Dundalk D 1-151.1 1172 1150 46.30% 29.90% 23.79%+0.26 -0.7 12
1974-12-15 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-151.1 1150 1172 23.79% 29.90% 46.30%-0.26 +0.7 11
1974-12-15 Finn Harps L 1-242.5 1051 1203 23.85% 29.16% 46.99%-0.44 -3.9 8
1974-12-15 @ Shelbourne W 2-142.5 1203 1051 46.99% 29.16% 23.85%+0.44 +3.9 10
1974-12-15 Home Farm L 1-247.3 993 1028 38.81% 30.31% 30.88%+0.03 -5.6 4
1974-12-15 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-147.3 1028 993 30.88% 30.31% 38.81%-0.03 +5.6 8
1974-12-22 Shelbourne W 1-031.2 1294 1047 68.05% 23.36% 8.59%+1.15 +1.6 18
1974-12-22 @ Bohemian L 0-131.2 1047 1294 8.59% 23.36% 68.05%-1.15 -1.6 8
1974-12-22 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-135.3 1234 1101 58.23% 27.49% 14.28%+0.69 +4.4 14
1974-12-22 @ Cork Celtic L 1-335.3 1101 1234 14.28% 27.49% 58.23%-0.69 -4.4 8
1974-12-22 Cork Hibernians W 1-044.0 1150 1284 25.84% 29.50% 44.66%-0.36 +6.6 13
1974-12-22 @ Dundalk L 0-144.0 1284 1150 44.66% 29.50% 25.84%+0.36 -6.6 16
1974-12-22 Limerick W 3-134.5 1207 1047 60.77% 26.62% 12.62%+0.80 +3.9 12
1974-12-22 @ Finn Harps L 1-334.5 1047 1207 12.62% 26.62% 60.77%-0.80 -3.9 9
1974-12-22 Athlone Town W 2-146.4 1034 1103 34.00% 30.24% 35.76%-0.11 +5.3 10
1974-12-22 @ Home Farm L 1-246.4 1103 1034 35.76% 30.24% 34.00%+0.11 -5.3 14
1974-12-22 Drogheda United L 0-146.3 1172 1083 53.83% 28.68% 17.48%+0.52 -7.8 12
1974-12-22 @ Shamrock Rovers W 1-046.3 1083 1172 17.48% 28.68% 53.83%-0.52 +7.8 16
1974-12-22 Sligo Rovers D 1-152.5 1194 988 64.71% 24.99% 10.30%+0.98 -1.8 13
1974-12-22 @ Waterford D 1-152.5 988 1194 10.30% 24.99% 64.71%-0.98 +1.8 5
1974-12-29 Shamrock Rovers W 1-034.8 1278 1164 56.35% 28.05% 15.60%+0.62 +2.9 18
1974-12-29 @ Cork Hibernians L 0-134.8 1164 1278 15.60% 28.05% 56.35%-0.62 -2.9 12
1974-12-29 Cork Celtic D 0-047.1 1091 1238 24.28% 29.24% 46.48%-0.42 +0.8 17
1974-12-29 @ Drogheda United D 0-047.1 1238 1091 46.48% 29.24% 24.28%+0.42 -0.8 15
1974-12-29 Bohemian L 0-134.0 1043 1296 15.20% 26.32% 58.48%-0.84 -2.8 9
1974-12-29 @ Limerick W 1-034.0 1296 1043 58.48% 26.32% 15.20%+0.84 +2.8 20
1974-12-29 Home Farm L 0-143.8 1046 1039 44.26% 30.08% 25.66%+0.19 -6.6 8
1974-12-29 @ Shelbourne W 1-043.8 1039 1046 25.66% 30.08% 44.26%-0.19 +6.6 12
1974-12-29 Dundalk D 2-256.7 990 1157 22.25% 28.82% 48.92%-0.50 +0.6 6
1974-12-29 @ Sligo Rovers D 2-256.7 1157 990 48.92% 28.82% 22.25%+0.50 -0.6 14
1974-12-29 Finn Harps D 1-151.1 1097 1211 28.17% 29.81% 42.01%-0.28 +0.4 9
1974-12-29 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-151.1 1211 1097 42.01% 29.81% 28.17%+0.28 -0.4 13
1975-01-05 Dundalk W 2-036.7 1098 1156 35.56% 30.29% 34.15%-0.06 +10.2 16
1975-01-05 @ Athlone Town L 0-236.7 1156 1098 34.15% 30.29% 35.56%+0.06 -10.2 14
1975-01-05 Finn Harps L 2-354.8 1238 1210 46.87% 29.84% 23.29%+0.28 -6.2 15
1975-01-05 @ Cork Celtic W 3-254.8 1210 1238 23.29% 29.84% 46.87%-0.28 +6.2 15
1975-01-05 Cork Hibernians L 0-136.2 1091 1281 20.20% 28.28% 51.51%-0.58 -3.6 17
1975-01-05 @ Drogheda United W 1-036.2 1281 1091 51.51% 28.28% 20.20%+0.58 +3.6 20
1975-01-05 Home Farm W 3-139.9 1040 1046 42.70% 30.18% 27.12%+0.14 +7.5 11
1975-01-05 @ Limerick L 1-339.9 1046 1040 27.12% 30.18% 42.70%-0.14 -7.5 12
1975-01-05 Waterford L 0-233.2 1039 1192 23.76% 29.14% 47.10%-0.44 -7.8 8
1975-01-05 @ Shelbourne W 2-033.2 1192 1039 47.10% 29.14% 23.76%+0.44 +7.8 15
1975-01-05 Shamrock Rovers L 0-232.5 990 1161 21.91% 28.74% 49.34%-0.51 -7.3 6
1975-01-05 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-032.5 1161 990 49.34% 28.74% 21.91%+0.51 +7.2 14
1975-01-05 Bohemian L 1-240.9 1097 1299 19.11% 27.95% 52.94%-0.63 -3.2 9
1975-01-05 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-140.9 1299 1097 52.94% 27.95% 19.11%+0.63 +3.2 22
1975-01-12 Cork Celtic W 1-036.5 1302 1232 51.85% 29.10% 19.05%+0.45 +3.5 24
1975-01-12 @ Bohemian L 0-136.5 1232 1302 19.05% 29.10% 51.85%-0.45 -3.5 15
1975-01-12 Sligo Rovers L 0-149.5 1284 983 72.05% 21.14% 6.81%+1.36 -9.8 20
1975-01-12 @ Cork Hibernians W 1-049.5 983 1284 6.81% 21.14% 72.05%-1.36 +9.8 8
1975-01-12 Shelbourne W 3-244.6 1146 1031 56.49% 28.01% 15.50%+0.62 +2.6 16
1975-01-12 @ Dundalk L 2-344.6 1031 1146 15.50% 28.01% 56.49%-0.62 -2.6 8
1975-01-12 Drogheda United D 4-463.1 1216 1088 57.83% 27.61% 14.56%+0.68 -0.8 16
1975-01-12 @ Finn Harps D 4-463.1 1088 1216 14.56% 27.61% 57.83%-0.68 +0.8 18
1975-01-12 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-141.3 1038 1094 35.94% 30.30% 33.77%-0.05 -5.6 12
1975-01-12 @ Home Farm W 1-041.3 1094 1038 33.77% 30.30% 35.94%+0.05 +5.6 11
1975-01-12 Athlone Town L 2-355.6 1168 1108 50.69% 29.31% 20.00%+0.41 -6.6 14
1975-01-12 @ Shamrock Rovers W 3-255.6 1108 1168 20.00% 29.31% 50.69%-0.41 +6.6 18
1975-01-12 Limerick L 2-357.6 1199 1047 60.02% 26.89% 13.09%+0.77 -7.6 15
1975-01-12 @ Waterford W 3-257.6 1047 1199 13.09% 26.89% 60.02%-0.77 +7.6 13
1975-01-19 Sligo Rovers L 2-451.6 1089 993 54.54% 28.52% 16.94%+0.55 -11.5 18
1975-01-19 @ Drogheda United W 4-251.6 993 1089 16.94% 28.52% 54.54%-0.55 +11.5 10
1975-01-19 Dundalk L 0-139.7 1055 1149 30.72% 30.06% 39.22%-0.20 -5.0 13
1975-01-19 @ Limerick W 1-039.7 1149 1055 39.22% 30.06% 30.72%+0.20 +5.0 18
1975-01-19 Waterford L 0-139.8 1100 1192 30.92% 30.07% 39.01%-0.20 -5.0 11
1975-01-19 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 1-039.8 1192 1100 39.01% 30.07% 30.92%+0.20 +5.0 17
1975-01-26 Drogheda United W 2-027.5 1305 1077 66.56% 24.11% 9.33%+1.07 +3.3 26
1975-01-26 @ Bohemian L 0-227.5 1077 1305 9.33% 24.11% 66.56%-1.07 -3.3 18
1975-01-26 Shelbourne L 0-244.8 1274 1029 67.92% 23.43% 8.66%+1.14 -17.8 20
1975-01-26 @ Cork Hibernians W 2-044.8 1029 1274 8.66% 23.43% 67.92%-1.14 +17.7 10
1975-01-26 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-030.0 1154 1095 50.60% 29.32% 20.08%+0.40 +10.0 20
1975-01-26 @ Dundalk L 0-330.0 1095 1154 20.08% 29.32% 50.60%-0.40 -10.0 11
1975-01-26 Finn Harps L 2-346.3 1033 1216 20.76% 28.44% 50.79%-0.56 -3.3 12
1975-01-26 @ Home Farm W 3-246.3 1216 1033 50.79% 28.44% 20.76%+0.56 +3.3 18
1975-01-26 Limerick D 1-151.5 1162 1050 56.16% 28.10% 15.74%+0.61 -1.3 15
1975-01-26 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-151.5 1050 1162 15.74% 28.10% 56.16%-0.61 +1.3 14
1975-01-26 Athlone Town L 0-234.8 1004 1115 28.57% 29.86% 41.57%-0.27 -9.0 10
1975-01-26 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-034.8 1115 1004 41.57% 29.86% 28.57%+0.27 +9.0 20
1975-01-26 Cork Celtic W 3-141.1 1197 1228 39.33% 30.30% 30.37%+0.04 +8.2 19
1975-01-26 @ Waterford L 1-341.1 1228 1197 30.37% 30.30% 39.33%-0.04 -8.2 15
1975-02-02 Home Farm L 0-149.3 1309 1029 70.47% 22.05% 7.48%+1.28 -9.7 26
1975-02-02 @ Bohemian W 1-049.3 1029 1309 7.48% 22.05% 70.47%-1.28 +9.7 14
1975-02-02 Dundalk W 3-137.8 1220 1164 50.24% 29.38% 20.38%+0.39 +6.0 17
1975-02-02 @ Cork Celtic L 1-337.8 1164 1220 20.38% 29.38% 50.24%-0.39 -6.0 20
1975-02-02 Athlone Town D 3-360.3 1074 1124 36.73% 30.31% 32.96%-0.03 -0.1 19
1975-02-02 @ Drogheda United D 3-360.3 1124 1074 32.96% 30.31% 36.73%+0.03 +0.1 21
1975-02-02 Waterford W 5-135.8 1219 1205 45.22% 30.01% 24.78%+0.22 +12.8 20
1975-02-02 @ Finn Harps L 1-535.8 1205 1219 24.78% 30.01% 45.22%-0.22 -12.8 19
1975-02-02 Cork Hibernians D 0-047.5 1051 1257 18.81% 27.84% 53.35%-0.65 +1.2 15
1975-02-02 @ Limerick D 0-047.5 1257 1051 53.35% 27.84% 18.81%+0.65 -1.2 21
1975-02-02 Sligo Rovers W 2-141.6 1046 995 49.67% 29.47% 20.86%+0.37 +3.5 12
1975-02-02 @ Shelbourne L 1-241.6 995 1046 20.86% 29.47% 49.67%-0.37 -3.5 10
1975-02-02 Shamrock Rovers W 3-142.8 1085 1160 33.11% 30.20% 36.69%-0.13 +9.3 13
1975-02-02 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-342.8 1160 1085 36.69% 30.20% 33.11%+0.13 -9.3 15
1975-02-09 Shelbourne W 2-140.9 1124 1050 52.23% 29.02% 18.74%+0.46 +3.2 23
1975-02-09 @ Athlone Town L 1-240.9 1050 1124 18.74% 29.02% 52.23%-0.46 -3.2 12
1975-02-09 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-152.1 1255 1094 60.88% 26.57% 12.55%+0.81 -1.6 22
1975-02-09 @ Cork Hibernians D 1-152.1 1094 1255 12.55% 26.57% 60.88%-0.81 +1.6 14
1975-02-09 Finn Harps L 1-245.8 1158 1232 33.37% 30.22% 36.42%-0.13 -5.0 20
1975-02-09 @ Dundalk W 2-145.8 1232 1158 36.42% 30.22% 33.37%+0.13 +5.0 22
1975-02-09 Drogheda United W 4-245.0 1039 1074 38.85% 30.31% 30.84%+0.03 +7.4 16
1975-02-09 @ Home Farm L 2-445.0 1074 1039 30.84% 30.31% 38.85%-0.03 -7.4 19
1975-02-09 Cork Celtic L 1-245.8 1151 1226 33.27% 30.21% 36.52%-0.13 -5.0 15
1975-02-09 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-145.8 1226 1151 36.52% 30.21% 33.27%+0.13 +5.0 19
1975-02-09 Limerick W 1-040.9 992 1053 35.20% 30.28% 34.52%-0.07 +5.5 12
1975-02-09 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-140.9 1053 992 34.52% 30.28% 35.20%+0.07 -5.5 15
1975-02-09 Bohemian D 2-256.8 1192 1299 29.04% 29.91% 41.06%-0.26 +0.3 20
1975-02-09 @ Waterford D 2-256.8 1299 1192 41.06% 29.91% 29.04%+0.26 -0.3 27
1975-02-23 Dundalk W 3-135.1 1299 1153 59.48% 27.08% 13.45%+0.75 +4.1 29
1975-02-23 @ Bohemian L 1-335.1 1153 1299 13.45% 27.08% 59.48%-0.75 -4.1 20
1975-02-23 Cork Hibernians D 2-256.6 1231 1254 40.46% 30.28% 29.27%+0.08 -0.2 20
1975-02-23 @ Cork Celtic D 2-256.6 1254 1231 29.27% 30.28% 40.46%-0.08 +0.2 23
1975-02-23 Shelbourne D 0-046.8 1066 1047 45.93% 29.94% 24.13%+0.25 -0.7 20
1975-02-23 @ Drogheda United D 0-046.8 1047 1066 24.13% 29.94% 45.93%-0.25 +0.7 13
1975-02-23 Shamrock Rovers L 2-356.5 1237 1146 54.01% 28.64% 17.35%+0.53 -7.0 22
1975-02-23 @ Finn Harps W 3-256.5 1146 1237 17.35% 28.64% 54.01%-0.53 +7.0 17
1975-02-23 Waterford L 3-544.8 1046 1192 24.47% 29.28% 46.25%-0.41 -5.8 16
1975-02-23 @ Home Farm W 5-344.8 1192 1046 46.25% 29.28% 24.47%+0.41 +5.8 22
1975-02-23 Athlone Town L 0-236.1 1047 1127 32.55% 30.17% 37.28%-0.15 -9.9 15
1975-02-23 @ Limerick W 2-036.1 1127 1047 37.28% 30.17% 32.55%+0.15 +9.9 25
1975-02-23 Sligo Rovers W 2-140.1 1096 997 54.81% 28.45% 16.74%+0.56 +2.9 16
1975-02-23 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-240.1 997 1096 16.74% 28.45% 54.81%-0.56 -2.9 12
1975-03-02 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-032.9 1137 1098 48.21% 29.68% 22.11%+0.32 +7.4 27
1975-03-02 @ Athlone Town L 0-232.9 1098 1137 22.11% 29.68% 48.21%-0.32 -7.4 16
1975-03-02 Finn Harps W 4-136.6 1254 1230 46.47% 29.89% 23.64%+0.26 +9.6 25
1975-03-02 @ Cork Hibernians L 1-436.6 1230 1254 23.64% 29.89% 46.47%-0.26 -9.6 22
1975-03-02 Home Farm W 4-133.4 1149 1041 55.80% 28.20% 16.01%+0.60 +6.9 22
1975-03-02 @ Dundalk L 1-433.4 1041 1149 16.01% 28.20% 55.80%-0.60 -6.9 16
1975-03-02 Bohemian L 1-242.8 1153 1303 24.06% 29.20% 46.73%-0.43 -3.9 17
1975-03-02 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-142.8 1303 1153 46.73% 29.20% 24.06%+0.43 +3.9 31
1975-03-02 Limerick D 0-046.7 1047 1037 44.73% 30.05% 25.22%+0.21 -0.7 14
1975-03-02 @ Shelbourne D 0-046.7 1037 1047 25.22% 30.05% 44.73%-0.21 +0.7 16
1975-03-02 Cork Celtic W 2-151.7 994 1231 16.37% 26.89% 56.74%-0.77 +7.6 14
1975-03-02 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-251.7 1231 994 56.74% 26.89% 16.37%+0.77 -7.6 20
1975-03-02 Drogheda United W 2-139.1 1198 1066 58.21% 27.49% 14.29%+0.69 +2.5 24
1975-03-02 @ Waterford L 1-239.1 1066 1198 14.29% 27.49% 58.21%-0.69 -2.5 20
1975-03-09 Finn Harps D 4-462.4 1144 1220 33.12% 30.20% 36.68%-0.13 +0.1 28
1975-03-09 @ Athlone Town D 4-462.4 1220 1144 36.68% 30.20% 33.12%+0.13 -0.0 23
1975-03-09 Sligo Rovers W 1-033.4 1156 1002 60.18% 26.83% 12.99%+0.78 +2.5 24
1975-03-09 @ Dundalk L 0-133.4 1002 1156 12.99% 26.83% 60.18%-0.78 -2.5 14
1975-03-14 Shamrock Rovers L 0-234.6 1034 1149 27.98% 29.79% 42.23%-0.29 -8.8 16
1975-03-14 @ Home Farm W 2-034.6 1149 1034 42.23% 29.79% 27.98%+0.29 +8.8 19
1975-03-16 Cork Hibernians W 1-037.6 1307 1264 48.77% 29.61% 21.62%+0.34 +3.9 33
1975-03-16 @ Bohemian L 0-137.6 1264 1307 21.62% 29.61% 48.77%-0.34 -3.9 25
1975-03-16 Athlone Town W 1-035.8 1223 1145 52.72% 28.92% 18.35%+0.48 +3.4 22
1975-03-16 @ Cork Celtic L 0-135.8 1145 1223 18.35% 28.92% 52.72%-0.48 -3.4 28
1975-03-16 Limerick L 0-144.4 1063 1038 46.59% 29.87% 23.53%+0.27 -6.9 20
1975-03-16 @ Drogheda United W 1-044.4 1038 1063 23.53% 29.87% 46.59%-0.27 +6.9 18
1975-03-16 Sligo Rovers W 4-130.4 1220 999 65.95% 24.41% 9.64%+1.04 +4.1 25
1975-03-16 @ Finn Harps L 1-430.4 999 1220 9.64% 24.41% 65.95%-1.04 -4.1 14
1975-03-16 Shelbourne W 1-036.8 1091 1047 48.88% 29.59% 21.53%+0.34 +3.9 18
1975-03-16 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-136.8 1047 1091 21.53% 29.59% 48.88%-0.34 -3.8 14
1975-03-16 Dundalk D 1-151.2 1201 1158 48.71% 29.61% 21.68%+0.34 -0.8 25
1975-03-16 @ Waterford D 1-151.2 1158 1201 21.68% 29.61% 48.71%-0.34 +0.8 25
1975-03-17 Home Farm D 0-048.2 1226 1025 64.36% 25.14% 10.49%+0.97 -2.0 23
1975-03-17 @ Cork Celtic D 0-048.2 1025 1226 10.49% 25.14% 64.36%-0.97 +2.0 17
1975-03-17 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-244.5 995 1095 29.95% 29.99% 40.05%-0.23 -4.6 14
1975-03-17 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-144.5 1095 995 40.05% 29.99% 29.95%+0.23 +4.6 20
1975-03-23 Home Farm D 2-258.2 1260 1027 66.90% 23.94% 9.16%+1.09 -1.5 26
1975-03-23 @ Cork Hibernians D 2-258.2 1027 1260 9.16% 23.94% 66.90%-1.09 +1.5 18
1975-03-23 Dundalk D 0-046.8 1056 1159 29.58% 29.96% 40.46%-0.24 +0.4 21
1975-03-23 @ Drogheda United D 0-046.8 1159 1056 40.46% 29.96% 29.58%+0.24 -0.4 26
1975-03-23 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-141.4 1045 1100 36.08% 30.30% 33.62%-0.05 -5.6 18
1975-03-23 @ Limerick W 1-041.4 1100 1045 33.62% 30.30% 36.08%+0.05 +5.6 22
1975-03-23 Waterford W 2-145.3 1158 1200 37.85% 30.31% 31.83%+0.00 +4.9 21
1975-03-23 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-245.3 1200 1158 31.83% 30.31% 37.85%+0.00 -4.9 25
1975-03-23 Cork Celtic W 4-038.9 1043 1224 20.90% 28.48% 50.61%-0.55 +26.1 16
1975-03-23 @ Shelbourne L 0-438.9 1224 1043 50.61% 28.48% 20.90%+0.55 -26.1 23
1975-03-23 Bohemian L 0-227.9 991 1311 11.36% 23.82% 64.82%-1.10 -3.8 14
1975-03-23 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-027.9 1311 991 64.82% 23.82% 11.36%+1.10 +3.8 35
1975-03-27 Shamrock Rovers D 2-256.3 1069 1163 30.70% 30.05% 39.25%-0.21 +0.2 17
1975-03-27 @ Shelbourne D 2-256.3 1163 1069 39.25% 30.05% 30.70%+0.21 -0.2 22
1975-03-29 Cork Celtic D 3-360.4 1105 1198 30.80% 30.06% 39.14%-0.20 +0.1 23
1975-03-29 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 3-360.4 1198 1105 39.14% 30.06% 30.80%+0.20 -0.1 24
1975-03-30 Athlone Town W 1-033.2 1315 1141 61.95% 26.16% 11.89%+0.86 +2.2 37
1975-03-30 @ Bohemian L 0-133.2 1141 1315 11.89% 26.16% 61.95%-0.86 -2.2 28
1975-03-30 Limerick D 2-257.4 1198 1039 60.65% 26.66% 12.69%+0.80 -1.2 25
1975-03-30 @ Cork Celtic D 2-257.4 1039 1198 12.69% 26.66% 60.65%-0.80 +1.2 19
1975-03-30 Shamrock Rovers W 1-038.7 1158 1163 42.90% 30.17% 26.92%+0.15 +4.6 28
1975-03-30 @ Dundalk L 0-138.7 1163 1158 26.92% 30.17% 42.90%-0.15 -4.6 22
1975-03-30 Shelbourne D 2-257.4 1224 1069 60.31% 26.78% 12.91%+0.78 -1.2 26
1975-03-30 @ Finn Harps D 2-257.4 1069 1224 12.91% 26.78% 60.31%-0.78 +1.2 18
1975-03-30 Sligo Rovers L 0-144.9 1028 987 48.57% 29.63% 21.80%+0.33 -7.1 18
1975-03-30 @ Home Farm W 1-044.9 987 1028 21.80% 29.63% 48.57%-0.33 +7.1 16
1975-03-30 Drogheda United L 0-241.0 1105 1057 49.40% 29.51% 21.09%+0.36 -13.6 23
1975-03-30 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-041.0 1057 1105 21.09% 29.51% 49.40%-0.36 +13.6 23
1975-03-30 Cork Hibernians W 3-035.0 1195 1258 34.89% 30.27% 34.84%-0.08 +15.1 27
1975-03-30 @ Waterford L 0-335.0 1258 1195 34.84% 30.27% 34.89%+0.08 -15.1 26
1975-03-31 Home Farm D 2-257.0 1139 1021 56.75% 27.93% 15.31%+0.63 -1.0 29
1975-03-31 @ Athlone Town D 2-257.0 1021 1139 15.31% 27.93% 56.75%-0.63 +1.0 19
1975-03-31 Dundalk W 4-134.4 1243 1163 52.89% 28.89% 18.22%+0.49 +7.7 28
1975-03-31 @ Cork Hibernians L 1-434.4 1163 1243 18.22% 28.89% 52.89%-0.49 -7.7 28
1975-03-31 Bohemian D 1-151.5 1223 1317 30.73% 30.06% 39.22%-0.20 +0.2 27
1975-03-31 @ Finn Harps D 1-151.5 1317 1223 39.22% 30.06% 30.73%+0.20 -0.2 38
1975-04-06 Shamrock Rovers L 0-235.8 1070 1158 31.48% 30.11% 38.41%-0.18 -9.6 23
1975-04-06 @ Drogheda United W 2-035.8 1158 1070 38.41% 30.11% 31.48%+0.18 +9.6 24
1975-04-06 Finn Harps D 2-256.8 1040 1223 20.76% 28.44% 50.79%-0.56 +0.7 20
1975-04-06 @ Limerick D 2-256.8 1223 1040 50.79% 28.44% 20.76%+0.56 -0.7 28
1975-04-06 Waterford W 2-151.2 994 1210 17.90% 27.52% 54.58%-0.69 +7.3 18
1975-04-06 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-251.2 1210 994 54.58% 27.52% 17.90%+0.69 -7.3 27
1975-04-13 Limerick W 2-135.6 1317 1041 70.18% 22.21% 7.61%+1.26 +1.3 40
1975-04-13 @ Bohemian L 1-235.6 1041 1317 7.61% 22.21% 70.18%-1.26 -1.3 20
1975-04-13 Drogheda United D 1-151.8 1197 1061 58.57% 27.38% 14.05%+0.71 -1.5 26
1975-04-13 @ Cork Celtic D 1-151.8 1061 1197 14.05% 27.38% 58.57%-0.71 +1.5 24
1975-04-13 St Patrick's Athletic W 4-027.8 1223 1092 58.05% 27.54% 14.40%+0.69 +9.7 30
1975-04-13 @ Finn Harps L 0-427.8 1092 1223 14.40% 27.54% 58.05%-0.69 -9.7 23
1975-04-13 Shelbourne D 0-046.6 1022 1070 37.00% 30.31% 32.69%-0.02 -0.1 20
1975-04-13 @ Home Farm D 0-046.6 1070 1022 32.69% 30.31% 37.00%+0.02 +0.1 19
1975-04-13 Cork Hibernians D 2-256.5 1168 1251 32.12% 30.15% 37.73%-0.16 +0.1 25
1975-04-13 @ Shamrock Rovers D 2-256.5 1251 1168 37.73% 30.15% 32.12%+0.16 -0.1 29
1975-04-13 Athlone Town L 0-241.5 1203 1138 51.23% 29.21% 19.56%+0.43 -14.0 27
1975-04-13 @ Waterford W 2-041.5 1138 1203 19.56% 29.21% 51.23%-0.43 +14.0 31
1975-04-17 Bohemian L 0-230.1 1071 1318 15.60% 26.52% 57.88%-0.81 -5.3 19
1975-04-17 @ Shelbourne W 2-030.1 1318 1071 57.88% 26.52% 15.60%+0.81 +5.3 42
1975-04-20 Cork Hibernians W 1-042.7 1152 1251 30.06% 30.00% 39.94%-0.22 +6.1 33
1975-04-20 @ Athlone Town L 0-142.7 1251 1152 39.94% 30.00% 30.06%+0.22 -6.1 29

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1975-01-12 6.81% Sligo Rovers 983 1 @ Cork Hibernians 1284 0
2 1975-02-02 7.48% Home Farm 1029 1 @ Bohemian 1309 0
3 1975-01-26 8.66% Shelbourne 1029 2 @ Cork Hibernians 1274 0
4 1975-01-12 13.09% Limerick 1047 3 @ Waterford 1199 2
5 1974-10-20 14.23% Shelbourne 1035 3 @ Shamrock Rovers 1169 2
6 1975-03-02 16.37% @ Sligo Rovers 994 2 Cork Celtic 1231 1
7 1974-10-13 16.38% @ Sligo Rovers 1018 1 Cork Hibernians 1254 0
8 1975-01-19 16.94% Sligo Rovers 993 4 @ Drogheda United 1089 2
9 1975-02-23 17.35% Shamrock Rovers 1146 3 @ Finn Harps 1237 2
10 1974-12-22 17.48% Drogheda United 1083 1 @ Shamrock Rovers 1172 0
11 1974-10-20 17.62% Limerick 1068 3 @ Dundalk 1155 2
12 1975-04-06 17.90% @ Sligo Rovers 994 2 Waterford 1210 1
13 1975-04-13 19.56% Athlone Town 1138 2 @ Waterford 1203 0
14 1975-01-12 20.00% Athlone Town 1108 3 @ Shamrock Rovers 1168 2
15 1975-03-23 20.90% @ Shelbourne 1043 4 Cork Celtic 1224 0
16 1975-03-30 21.09% Drogheda United 1057 2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1105 0
17 1974-12-08 21.24% Shamrock Rovers 1159 2 @ Waterford 1206 0
18 1974-10-13 21.44% Home Farm 1049 2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1094 1
19 1974-10-13 21.78% @ Drogheda United 1053 4 Finn Harps 1225 3
20 1975-03-30 21.80% Sligo Rovers 987 1 @ Home Farm 1028 0
21 1975-01-05 23.29% Finn Harps 1210 3 @ Cork Celtic 1238 2
22 1975-03-16 23.53% Limerick 1038 1 @ Drogheda United 1063 0
23 1974-11-24 24.01% @ Drogheda United 1066 4 Waterford 1216 2
24 1974-10-27 24.69% Waterford 1219 3 @ Cork Celtic 1234 2
25 1974-10-29 25.20% @ Athlone Town 1086 3 Waterford 1225 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1975-03-23 26.13 @ Shelbourne 4 1043 20.90% Cork Celtic 0 1224 50.61% 28.48%
2 1974-11-03 18.27 Shelbourne 5 1043 29.36% @ Sligo Rovers 1 1020 40.36% 30.28%
3 1975-01-26 17.75 Shelbourne 2 1029 8.66% @ Cork Hibernians 0 1274 67.92% 23.43%
4 1975-03-30 15.06 @ Waterford 3 1195 34.89% Cork Hibernians 0 1258 34.84% 30.27%
5 1974-11-17 14.63 @ Athlone Town 4 1102 46.92% Limerick 0 1074 23.24% 29.84%
6 1974-12-15 14.41 Cork Celtic 4 1220 47.83% @ Limerick 0 1061 23.15% 29.02%
7 1975-04-13 14.03 Athlone Town 2 1138 19.56% @ Waterford 0 1203 51.23% 29.21%
8 1974-11-03 14.00 @ Cork Hibernians 7 1252 61.37% Limerick 0 1085 12.24% 26.39%
9 1975-03-30 13.60 Drogheda United 2 1057 21.09% @ St Patrick's Athletic 0 1105 49.40% 29.51%
10 1974-12-08 13.56 Shamrock Rovers 2 1159 21.24% @ Waterford 0 1206 49.22% 29.54%
11 1975-02-02 12.81 @ Finn Harps 5 1219 45.22% Waterford 1 1205 24.78% 30.01%
12 1975-01-19 11.47 Sligo Rovers 4 993 16.94% @ Drogheda United 2 1089 54.54% 28.52%
13 1974-11-24 11.17 @ St Patrick's Athletic 4 1095 40.68% Athlone Town 1 1117 29.05% 30.27%
14 1974-10-29 10.92 @ Athlone Town 3 1086 25.20% Waterford 1 1225 45.39% 29.40%
15 1974-11-17 10.61 @ Cork Hibernians 3 1265 48.68% Cork Celtic 0 1222 21.70% 29.62%
16 1975-01-05 10.22 @ Athlone Town 2 1098 35.56% Dundalk 0 1156 34.15% 30.29%
17 1974-10-20 10.05 @ Bohemian 3 1276 50.34% Finn Harps 0 1219 20.29% 29.37%
18 1974-11-24 10.01 @ Drogheda United 4 1066 24.01% Waterford 2 1216 46.80% 29.19%
19 1975-01-26 9.96 @ Dundalk 3 1154 50.60% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1095 20.08% 29.32%
20 1975-02-23 9.87 Athlone Town 2 1127 37.28% @ Limerick 0 1047 32.55% 30.17%
21 1975-01-12 9.80 Sligo Rovers 1 983 6.81% @ Cork Hibernians 0 1284 72.05% 21.14%
22 1974-10-06 9.75 @ Home Farm 2 1039 37.79% Limerick 0 1082 31.89% 30.31%
23 1975-04-13 9.70 @ Finn Harps 4 1223 58.05% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1092 14.40% 27.54%
24 1975-02-02 9.66 Home Farm 1 1029 7.48% @ Bohemian 0 1309 70.47% 22.05%
25 1975-04-06 9.64 Shamrock Rovers 2 1158 38.41% @ Drogheda United 0 1070 31.48% 30.11%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1975-01-12 63.1 @ Finn Harps 4 1216 57.83% Drogheda United 4 1088 14.56% 27.61%
2 1975-03-09 62.4 @ Athlone Town 4 1144 33.12% Finn Harps 4 1220 36.68% 30.20%
3 1974-10-06 60.6 @ Finn Harps 3 1225 42.18% Cork Celtic 3 1235 27.61% 30.21%
4 1975-03-29 60.4 @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1105 30.80% Cork Celtic 3 1198 39.14% 30.06%
5 1975-02-02 60.3 @ Drogheda United 3 1074 36.73% Athlone Town 3 1124 32.96% 30.31%
6 1975-03-23 58.2 @ Cork Hibernians 2 1260 66.90% Home Farm 2 1027 9.16% 23.94%
7 1974-10-13 58.0 @ Drogheda United 4 1053 21.78% Finn Harps 3 1225 49.51% 28.71%
8 1975-01-12 57.6 Limerick 3 1047 13.09% @ Waterford 2 1199 60.02% 26.89%
9 1974-11-17 57.5 @ Waterford 2 1217 61.91% Home Farm 2 1044 11.91% 26.18%
10 1975-03-30 57.4 @ Cork Celtic 2 1198 60.65% Limerick 2 1039 12.69% 26.66%
11 1975-03-30 57.4 @ Finn Harps 2 1224 60.31% Shelbourne 2 1069 12.91% 26.78%
12 1974-10-20 57.3 Shelbourne 3 1035 14.23% @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1169 58.31% 27.46%
13 1974-10-27 57.1 @ Shelbourne 2 1043 18.43% Cork Hibernians 2 1252 53.85% 27.71%
14 1974-12-15 57.1 @ Cork Hibernians 2 1285 54.20% Waterford 2 1193 17.20% 28.60%
15 1975-03-31 57.0 @ Athlone Town 2 1139 56.75% Home Farm 2 1021 15.31% 27.93%
16 1975-02-09 56.8 @ Waterford 2 1192 29.04% Bohemian 2 1299 41.06% 29.91%
17 1975-04-06 56.8 @ Limerick 2 1040 20.76% Finn Harps 2 1223 50.79% 28.44%
18 1974-11-10 56.7 @ Cork Celtic 2 1223 51.50% Shamrock Rovers 2 1155 19.34% 29.16%
19 1974-12-29 56.7 @ Sligo Rovers 2 990 22.25% Dundalk 2 1157 48.92% 28.82%
20 1974-11-10 56.6 @ Finn Harps 2 1204 50.63% Dundalk 2 1145 20.05% 29.32%
21 1975-02-23 56.6 @ Cork Celtic 2 1231 40.46% Cork Hibernians 2 1254 29.27% 30.28%
22 1975-02-23 56.5 Shamrock Rovers 3 1146 17.35% @ Finn Harps 2 1237 54.01% 28.64%
23 1975-04-13 56.5 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1168 32.12% Cork Hibernians 2 1251 37.73% 30.15%
24 1974-12-01 56.4 @ Dundalk 2 1151 35.99% Waterford 2 1206 33.71% 30.30%
25 1974-12-08 56.4 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1101 48.50% Limerick 2 1060 21.86% 29.64%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1974-10-20 27.1 @ Cork Hibernians 3 1246 60.63% Athlone Town 0 1087 12.70% 26.67%
2 1975-01-26 27.5 @ Bohemian 2 1305 66.56% Drogheda United 0 1077 9.33% 24.11%
3 1975-04-13 27.8 @ Finn Harps 4 1223 58.05% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1092 14.40% 27.54%
4 1975-03-23 27.9 Bohemian 2 1311 64.82% @ Sligo Rovers 0 991 11.36% 23.82%
5 1974-11-03 30.0 @ Cork Hibernians 7 1252 61.37% Limerick 0 1085 12.24% 26.39%
6 1974-11-24 30.0 @ Bohemian 2 1298 58.55% Shamrock Rovers 0 1161 14.06% 27.39%
7 1975-01-26 30.0 @ Dundalk 3 1154 50.60% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1095 20.08% 29.32%
8 1974-12-08 30.1 Cork Hibernians 2 1280 57.74% @ Home Farm 0 1034 15.69% 26.57%
9 1975-04-17 30.1 Bohemian 2 1318 57.88% @ Shelbourne 0 1071 15.60% 26.52%
10 1975-03-16 30.4 @ Finn Harps 4 1220 65.95% Sligo Rovers 1 999 9.64% 24.41%
11 1974-10-20 30.5 @ Bohemian 3 1276 50.34% Finn Harps 0 1219 20.29% 29.37%
12 1974-11-03 30.6 Bohemian 2 1284 56.06% @ Home Farm 0 1054 16.84% 27.09%
13 1974-12-15 30.8 Cork Celtic 4 1220 47.83% @ Limerick 0 1061 23.15% 29.02%
14 1974-11-17 30.9 @ Cork Hibernians 3 1265 48.68% Cork Celtic 0 1222 21.70% 29.62%
15 1974-11-17 31.1 @ Athlone Town 4 1102 46.92% Limerick 0 1074 23.24% 29.84%
16 1974-12-22 31.2 @ Bohemian 1 1294 68.05% Shelbourne 0 1047 8.59% 23.36%
17 1974-10-06 31.8 @ Waterford 4 1212 61.36% Shelbourne 1 1045 12.25% 26.39%
18 1974-10-06 32.3 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1169 59.40% Sligo Rovers 1 1023 13.50% 27.10%
19 1975-01-05 32.5 Shamrock Rovers 2 1161 49.34% @ Sligo Rovers 0 990 21.91% 28.74%
20 1975-03-02 32.9 @ Athlone Town 2 1137 48.21% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1098 22.11% 29.68%
21 1974-10-06 33.0 @ Bohemian 1 1273 62.24% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1096 11.71% 26.05%
22 1975-01-05 33.2 Waterford 2 1192 47.10% @ Shelbourne 0 1039 23.76% 29.14%
23 1975-03-30 33.2 @ Bohemian 1 1315 61.95% Athlone Town 0 1141 11.89% 26.16%
24 1975-03-02 33.4 @ Dundalk 4 1149 55.80% Home Farm 1 1041 16.01% 28.20%
25 1975-03-09 33.4 @ Dundalk 1 1156 60.18% Sligo Rovers 0 1002 12.99% 26.83%