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1975-76 League of Ireland Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Dundalk

40 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Dundalk

9.27 points above expected

40 points · 30.73 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Shamrock Rovers

9.16 points below expected

15 points · 24.16 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Dundalk 26 15 10 1 40 54 26 +28 30.73 +9.27
2 Finn Harps 26 15 6 5 36 57 35 +22 32.84 +3.16
3 Waterford 26 13 8 5 34 54 37 +17 29.31 +4.69
4 Bohemian 26 10 12 4 32 44 25 +19 33.53 -1.53
5 Cork Hibernians 26 11 9 6 31 37 24 +13 31.69 -0.69
6 Drogheda United 26 11 6 9 28 42 45 -3 23.40 +4.60
7 Athlone Town 26 12 4 10 28 40 49 -9 25.23 +2.77
8 Cork Celtic 26 11 5 10 27 41 34 +7 28.76 -1.76
9 Shelbourne 26 7 7 12 21 42 44 -2 22.39 -1.39
10 Sligo Rovers 26 6 8 12 20 32 49 -17 20.61 -0.61
11 St Patrick's Athletic 26 7 5 14 19 31 53 -22 20.26 -1.26
12 Home Farm 26 4 9 13 17 35 54 -19 20.18 -3.18
13 Limerick 26 6 4 16 16 37 49 -12 20.91 -4.91
14 Shamrock Rovers 26 4 7 15 15 27 49 -22 24.16 -9.16

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dundalk 40 30.73 +9.27
2 Waterford 34 29.31 +4.69
3 Drogheda United 28 23.40 +4.60
4 Finn Harps 36 32.84 +3.16
5 Athlone Town 28 25.23 +2.77

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Shamrock Rovers 15 24.16 -9.16
2 Limerick 16 20.91 -4.91
3 Home Farm 17 20.18 -3.18
4 Cork Celtic 27 28.76 -1.76
5 Bohemian 32 33.53 -1.53

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shelbourne 4 Dec 28 – Jan 18 1 in 44
2 Sligo Rovers 3 Jan 25 – Feb 8 1 in 38
3 Dundalk 4 Nov 23 – Dec 14 1 in 32
4 Athlone Town 3 Nov 23 – Dec 7 1 in 30
5 Finn Harps 4 Oct 5 – Oct 26 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Limerick 5 Nov 30 – Jan 4 1 in 86
2 Shamrock Rovers 5 Feb 29 – Apr 8 1 in 38
3 St Patrick's Athletic 5 Dec 21 – Jan 18 1 in 29
4 Cork Celtic 3 Jan 18 – Feb 1 1 in 23
5 Finn Harps 2 Feb 1 – Feb 8 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundalk 21 Nov 9 – Apr 11 1 in 608
2 Athlone Town 6 Feb 22 – Mar 28 1 in 40
3 Bohemian 10 Jan 25 – Apr 25 1 in 16
4 Finn Harps 9 Oct 5 – Nov 30 1 in 15
5 Waterford 7 Feb 22 – Apr 11 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bohemian 5 Nov 9 – Dec 7 1 in 22
2 Shamrock Rovers 9 Feb 1 – Apr 11 1 in 14
3 Shelbourne 8 Oct 5 – Nov 23 1 in 13
4 Limerick 8 Jan 15 – Mar 14 1 in 12
5 Home Farm 9 Dec 7 – Feb 1 1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Dundalk 1388 40 +25 8 6.8 +1.2
Finn Harps 1336 36 -2 6 7.0 -1.0
Waterford 1319 34 +22 8 5.5 +2.5
Bohemian 1371 32 +13 8 6.6 +1.4
Cork Hibernians 1329 31 +1 4 5.8 -1.8
Athlone Town 1187 28 +27 7 3.6 +3.4
Drogheda United 1232 28 -2 6 5.3 +0.7
Cork Celtic 1277 27 -15 4 6.3 -2.3
Shelbourne 1221 21 +30 5 5.0 +0.0
Sligo Rovers 1137 20 -20 2 3.3 -1.3
St Patrick's Athletic 1098 19 -29 5 3.6 +1.4
Home Farm 1108 17 -43 1 3.9 -2.9
Limerick 1163 16 +47 5 3.6 +1.4
Shamrock Rovers 1113 15 -54 1 3.5 -2.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AT BOH CC CH DU DUN FH HF LIM SR SHE SR SPA WAT
Athlone Town —
0-1-1
1.82
2-0-0
2.10
1-0-1
2.22
1-0-1
2.97
0-0-2
2.47
2-0-0
1.73
1-0-1
3.26
0-1-1
3.16
2-0-0
2.80
2-0-0
2.78
0-1-1
3.41
1-1-0
3.04
0-0-2
2.18
Bohemian
1-1-0
3.61
 —
0-1-1
3.31
1-1-0
2.91
0-2-0
3.75
0-2-0
2.97
0-0-2
2.77
1-1-0
4.05
1-1-0
3.98
1-0-1
3.68
1-1-0
3.73
1-1-0
4.02
2-0-0
3.78
1-1-0
3.09
Cork Celtic
0-0-2
3.33
1-1-0
2.12
 —
0-2-0
2.20
0-0-2
3.30
1-0-1
2.40
1-0-1
2.24
2-0-0
3.44
1-0-1
3.51
1-1-0
3.08
0-1-1
3.32
2-0-0
3.41
2-0-0
3.64
0-0-2
2.63
Cork Hibernians
1-0-1
3.21
0-1-1
2.51
0-2-0
3.22
 —
1-1-0
3.48
0-1-1
2.57
0-0-2
2.68
1-1-0
3.91
2-0-0
3.79
0-1-1
3.76
1-1-0
3.60
2-0-0
3.67
2-0-0
3.85
1-1-0
2.98
Drogheda United
1-0-1
2.45
0-2-0
1.70
2-0-0
2.13
0-1-1
1.95
 —
0-0-2
1.87
0-0-2
1.75
1-1-0
2.97
2-0-0
3.10
2-0-0
2.90
1-1-0
2.76
2-0-0
2.82
0-0-2
3.23
0-1-1
2.13
Dundalk
2-0-0
2.96
0-2-0
2.46
1-0-1
3.02
1-1-0
2.85
2-0-0
3.57
 —
1-1-0
2.35
0-2-0
3.79
2-0-0
3.42
2-0-0
3.86
2-0-0
3.69
1-1-0
4.11
0-2-0
3.79
1-1-0
2.87
Finn Harps
0-0-2
3.71
2-0-0
2.65
1-0-1
3.19
2-0-0
2.74
2-0-0
3.69
0-1-1
3.07
 —
1-1-0
4.03
2-0-0
3.95
0-2-0
3.70
2-0-0
3.80
2-0-0
3.98
1-1-0
4.18
0-1-1
3.23
Home Farm
1-0-1
2.16
0-1-1
1.43
0-0-2
1.99
0-1-1
1.54
0-1-1
2.45
0-2-0
1.65
0-1-1
1.44
 —
1-1-0
2.62
0-2-0
2.24
0-0-2
2.48
1-0-1
2.65
1-0-1
2.80
0-0-2
1.95
Limerick
1-1-0
2.26
0-1-1
1.48
1-0-1
1.92
0-0-2
1.67
0-0-2
2.32
0-0-2
2.02
0-0-2
1.50
0-1-1
2.79
 —
0-0-2
2.39
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
2.72
1-0-1
2.78
2-0-0
1.90
Shamrock Rovers
0-0-2
2.62
1-0-1
1.77
0-1-1
2.35
1-1-0
1.70
0-0-2
2.52
0-0-2
1.59
0-2-0
1.74
0-2-0
3.19
2-0-0
3.03
 —
0-0-2
3.00
0-0-2
3.33
0-0-2
3.13
0-1-1
2.05
Shelbourne
0-0-2
2.65
0-1-1
1.71
1-1-0
2.10
0-1-1
1.84
0-1-1
2.66
0-0-2
1.75
0-0-2
1.65
2-0-0
2.94
1-0-1
2.89
2-0-0
2.41
 —
0-2-0
2.97
1-0-1
2.91
0-1-1
1.92
Sligo Rovers
1-1-0
2.02
0-1-1
1.44
0-0-2
2.02
0-0-2
1.77
0-0-2
2.60
0-1-1
1.36
0-0-2
1.48
1-0-1
2.77
1-1-0
2.70
2-0-0
2.09
0-2-0
2.45
 —
1-1-0
2.68
0-1-1
1.79
St Patrick's Athletic
0-1-1
2.39
0-0-2
1.67
0-0-2
1.80
0-0-2
1.60
2-0-0
2.21
0-2-0
1.65
0-1-1
1.30
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.64
2-0-0
2.30
1-0-1
2.51
0-1-1
2.75
 —
0-0-2
2.06
Waterford
2-0-0
3.24
0-1-1
2.33
2-0-0
2.80
0-1-1
2.44
1-1-0
3.30
0-1-1
2.56
1-1-0
2.20
2-0-0
3.48
0-0-2
3.54
1-1-0
3.40
1-1-0
3.51
1-1-0
3.65
2-0-0
3.37
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.74 +7.7
Allowed 0.65 -6.1
Differential 0.87 +4.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.40%6.59%4.67%2.75%0.27%1.37%20.05%
16.59%13.74%8.52%3.30%1.37%0.82%34.34%
24.67%8.52%7.69%3.30%1.92%0.82%26.92%
32.75%3.30%3.30%1.10%0.55%—10.99%
40.27%1.37%1.92%0.55%——4.12%
5+1.37%0.82%0.82%——0.55%3.57%
Total20.05%34.34%26.92%10.99%4.12%3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 1.57 +0.00
SD 1.31 1.31 1.86
CV 0.83 0.83 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%7.69%7.69%—7.69%34.62%
1—11.54%————11.54%
23.85%23.08%—3.85%——30.77%
3—3.85%11.54%———15.38%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+—————3.85%3.85%
Total3.85%50.00%23.08%11.54%—11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 1.88 -0.35
SD 1.42 1.37 1.98
CV 0.92 0.72 —
Max 5 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%————19.23%
17.69%19.23%7.69%———34.62%
27.69%3.85%15.38%———26.92%
33.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
4———————
5+3.85%—3.85%———7.69%
Total34.62%34.62%30.77%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 0.96 +0.73
SD 1.57 0.82 1.64
CV 0.93 0.86 —
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—7.69%———11.54%
111.54%7.69%23.08%———42.31%
23.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%——23.08%
37.69%11.54%——3.85%—23.08%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.92%26.92%38.46%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.31 +0.27
SD 0.99 1.05 1.46
CV 0.63 0.80 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
17.69%26.92%7.69%3.85%——46.15%
27.69%15.38%3.85%———26.92%
37.69%—————7.69%
4———————
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total30.77%50.00%15.38%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 0.92 +0.50
SD 1.10 0.80 1.58
CV 0.77 0.86 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%——3.85%11.54%
111.54%7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%—34.62%
23.85%11.54%15.38%7.69%——38.46%
37.69%—3.85%———11.54%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+———————
Total23.08%23.08%30.77%15.38%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.73 -0.12
SD 0.98 1.56 2.01
CV 0.61 0.90 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—————3.85%
111.54%19.23%3.85%———34.62%
27.69%7.69%15.38%———30.77%
37.69%—7.69%———15.38%
4—11.54%————11.54%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total30.77%38.46%30.77%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.08 1.00 +1.08
SD 1.23 0.80 1.26
CV 0.59 0.80 —
Max 5 2 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
17.69%15.38%3.85%3.85%——30.77%
27.69%15.38%3.85%3.85%——30.77%
3—7.69%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
4——7.69%———7.69%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total19.23%42.31%23.08%15.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.19 1.35 +0.85
SD 1.65 0.98 2.05
CV 0.75 0.73 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
13.85%23.08%11.54%3.85%—7.69%50.00%
2——3.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%19.23%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total15.38%30.77%23.08%11.54%7.69%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 2.08 -0.73
SD 1.20 1.76 2.07
CV 0.89 0.85 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%3.85%———23.08%
13.85%7.69%19.23%7.69%3.85%—42.31%
23.85%7.69%——3.85%3.85%19.23%
33.85%———3.85%—7.69%
4———————
5+3.85%————3.85%7.69%
Total19.23%30.77%23.08%7.69%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.88 -0.46
SD 1.36 1.63 1.86
CV 0.96 0.87 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%7.69%3.85%3.85%—30.77%
111.54%11.54%7.69%7.69%——38.46%
2—3.85%7.69%11.54%—3.85%26.92%
3———3.85%——3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%26.92%23.08%26.92%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.88 -0.85
SD 0.87 1.31 1.32
CV 0.84 0.69 —
Max 3 5 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%3.85%7.69%——30.77%
1——11.54%—3.85%—15.38%
23.85%3.85%15.38%3.85%7.69%—34.62%
3—7.69%————7.69%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+—7.69%————7.69%
Total19.23%26.92%30.77%11.54%11.54%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.69 -0.08
SD 1.50 1.26 2.06
CV 0.93 0.74 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%—11.54%——26.92%
1—19.23%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%34.62%
27.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%7.69%—30.77%
3——3.85%———3.85%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total15.38%38.46%11.54%19.23%11.54%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.88 -0.65
SD 1.03 1.53 1.85
CV 0.84 0.81 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%11.54%——7.69%26.92%
111.54%7.69%7.69%11.54%3.85%—42.31%
2—7.69%7.69%3.85%——19.23%
3—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total11.54%26.92%30.77%19.23%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 2.04 -0.85
SD 1.06 1.46 1.93
CV 0.89 0.71 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%7.69%———19.23%
13.85%15.38%3.85%———23.08%
27.69%3.85%7.69%———19.23%
3—3.85%11.54%3.85%——19.23%
4—3.85%7.69%3.85%——15.38%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total15.38%34.62%42.31%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.08 1.42 +0.65
SD 1.70 0.86 1.55
CV 0.82 0.60 —
Max 7 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Dundalk 1388 40 30.73 +9.27 100.0% 21 25 28 31 33 35 39
Bohemian 1371 32 33.53 -1.53 38.0% 23 26 31 33 36 40 44
Finn Harps 1336 36 32.84 +3.16 84.0% 24 27 31 33 35 39 44
Cork Hibernians 1329 31 31.69 -0.69 48.0% 22 25 29 32 35 39 40
Waterford 1319 34 29.31 +4.69 93.0% 21 24 27 29 31 35 39
Cork Celtic 1277 27 28.76 -1.76 37.0% 20 22 26 29 32 36 39
Drogheda United 1232 28 23.40 +4.60 86.0% 13 17 20 23 26 30 36
Shelbourne 1221 21 22.39 -1.39 41.0% 13 14 19 22 26 30 33
Athlone Town 1187 28 25.23 +2.77 82.0% 18 19 22 25 28 31 34
Limerick 1163 16 20.91 -4.91 17.0% 12 14 18 21 24 28 35
Sligo Rovers 1137 20 20.61 -0.61 48.0% 11 14 18 21 23 27 30
Shamrock Rovers 1113 15 24.16 -9.16 1.0% 14 18 22 24 27 30 35
Home Farm 1108 17 20.18 -3.18 23.0% 10 13 18 20 22 27 29
St Patrick's Athletic 1098 19 20.26 -1.26 43.0% 13 13 18 20 22 26 31

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.09%
Slight Edge
42.31%27.47%30.22%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 42.20 Elo pts.
162 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.31 goals
Neutral
-2+0.26+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.0
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
16%
Dundalk, 4th of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.15/gm
Comfortable
00.100.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.17 * Some Luck: 3.17 to 4.76 * Lucky: 4.76 to 6.34 * Wild Swing: 6.34 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.67 * Close: 1.67 to 2.5 * Off: 2.5 to 3.34 * Way Off: 3.34 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.43 points
Some Luck
03.9610
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.14
Close
02.095
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
100.00%
Dundalk
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
1.00%
Shamrock Rovers
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Even
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 102.55
1.85
Moderate Separation
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
74%
Clear Edge
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
84%
Even
50%89%100%
Close Games
Expected
65%
Very Frequent
0%58%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Occasional
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.35
Very Even
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.36
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.57
Strong Carryover
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Shaky Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.12
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.20
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.104
Well Within Noise
00.1210.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Dundalk16.00%13.00%16.00%19.00%10.00%10.00%4.00%7.00%3.00%1.00%—1.00%——
Finn Harps20.00%23.00%26.00%12.00%9.00%6.00%2.00%—2.00%—————
Waterford9.00%2.00%16.00%16.00%13.00%15.00%16.00%8.00%3.00%1.00%—1.00%——
Bohemian30.00%29.00%17.00%8.00%5.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%————
Cork Hibernians18.00%22.00%11.00%15.00%13.00%10.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%—1.00%1.00%——
Drogheda United2.00%—1.00%1.00%9.00%8.00%10.00%9.00%10.00%12.00%13.00%9.00%9.00%7.00%
Athlone Town—2.00%5.00%3.00%10.00%9.00%8.00%19.00%16.00%11.00%9.00%6.00%2.00%—
Cork Celtic5.00%7.00%6.00%18.00%15.00%14.00%13.00%6.00%8.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%——
Shelbourne——1.00%2.00%4.00%9.00%8.00%11.00%14.00%12.00%9.00%8.00%10.00%12.00%
Sligo Rovers————1.00%4.00%3.00%8.00%10.00%10.00%14.00%15.00%17.00%18.00%
St Patrick's Athletic———1.00%1.00%1.00%4.00%6.00%7.00%9.00%11.00%20.00%18.00%22.00%
Home Farm———1.00%—2.00%4.00%6.00%4.00%10.00%16.00%14.00%18.00%25.00%
Limerick—1.00%—1.00%2.00%3.00%6.00%7.00%9.00%14.00%8.00%15.00%22.00%12.00%
Shamrock Rovers—1.00%1.00%3.00%8.00%5.00%14.00%9.00%12.00%13.00%17.00%9.00%4.00%4.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Athlone Town 100%
Bohemian 100%
Cork Celtic 100%
Cork Hibernians 100%
Drogheda United 100%
Dundalk 100%
Finn Harps 100%
Home Farm 100%
Limerick 100%
Shamrock Rovers 100%
Shelbourne 100%
Sligo Rovers 100%
St Patrick's Athletic 100%
Waterford 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1975-10-05 Dundalk L 0-144.0 1243 1242 44.20% 29.03% 26.78%+0.27 -10.2 0
1975-10-05 @ Athlone Town W 1-044.0 1242 1243 26.78% 29.03% 44.20%-0.27 +10.2 2
1975-10-05 Finn Harps L 0-240.0 1265 1286 41.32% 29.11% 29.57%+0.13 -18.3 0
1975-10-05 @ Cork Celtic W 2-040.0 1286 1265 29.57% 29.11% 41.32%-0.13 +18.3 2
1975-10-05 Cork Hibernians D 1-150.8 1191 1294 30.08% 28.92% 41.00%-0.37 +0.5 1
1975-10-05 @ Drogheda United D 1-150.8 1294 1191 41.00% 28.92% 30.08%+0.37 -0.5 1
1975-10-05 Waterford L 2-446.2 1171 1262 31.65% 29.00% 39.35%-0.30 -11.6 0
1975-10-05 @ Home Farm W 4-246.2 1262 1171 39.35% 29.00% 31.65%+0.30 +11.6 2
1975-10-05 Shelbourne W 2-036.2 1176 1201 40.79% 29.12% 30.08%+0.11 +14.5 2
1975-10-05 @ Limerick L 0-236.2 1201 1176 30.08% 29.12% 40.79%-0.11 -14.5 0
1975-10-05 Shamrock Rovers W 3-252.5 1157 1251 31.22% 28.98% 39.80%-0.32 +8.4 2
1975-10-05 @ Sligo Rovers L 2-352.5 1251 1157 39.80% 28.98% 31.22%+0.32 -8.4 0
1975-10-05 Bohemian L 0-138.7 1202 1336 26.24% 28.64% 45.12%-0.56 -6.9 0
1975-10-05 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 1-038.7 1336 1202 45.12% 28.64% 26.24%+0.56 +6.9 2
1975-10-12 Cork Celtic D 2-256.9 1343 1247 54.82% 28.02% 17.16%+0.85 -1.4 3
1975-10-12 @ Bohemian D 2-256.9 1247 1343 17.16% 28.02% 54.82%-0.85 +1.4 1
1975-10-12 Sligo Rovers W 3-029.1 1293 1166 57.80% 27.47% 14.72%+1.04 +11.8 3
1975-10-12 @ Cork Hibernians L 0-329.1 1166 1293 14.72% 27.47% 57.80%-1.04 -11.8 2
1975-10-12 Home Farm D 2-256.2 1252 1159 54.55% 28.07% 17.39%+0.83 -1.4 3
1975-10-12 @ Dundalk D 2-256.2 1159 1252 17.39% 28.07% 54.55%-0.83 +1.4 1
1975-10-12 Drogheda United W 7-031.7 1305 1191 56.51% 27.73% 15.76%+0.96 +27.8 4
1975-10-12 @ Finn Harps L 0-731.7 1191 1305 15.76% 27.73% 56.51%-0.96 -27.8 1
1975-10-12 Athlone Town L 1-249.2 1243 1233 45.26% 28.98% 25.77%+0.32 -9.8 0
1975-10-12 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-149.2 1233 1243 25.77% 28.98% 45.26%-0.32 +9.8 2
1975-10-12 St Patrick's Athletic L 2-449.5 1186 1195 42.89% 29.07% 28.04%+0.21 -14.6 0
1975-10-12 @ Shelbourne W 4-249.5 1195 1186 28.04% 29.07% 42.89%-0.21 +14.6 2
1975-10-12 Limerick L 0-146.5 1273 1191 53.53% 28.22% 18.25%+0.77 -12.1 2
1975-10-12 @ Waterford W 1-046.5 1191 1273 18.25% 28.22% 53.53%-0.77 +12.1 4
1975-10-19 Cork Hibernians W 2-146.5 1243 1305 35.65% 29.12% 35.23%-0.12 +8.1 4
1975-10-19 @ Athlone Town L 1-246.5 1305 1243 35.23% 29.12% 35.65%+0.12 -8.1 3
1975-10-19 Shelbourne D 0-046.9 1249 1172 52.92% 28.30% 18.78%+0.73 -1.9 2
1975-10-19 @ Cork Celtic D 0-046.9 1172 1249 18.78% 28.30% 52.92%-0.73 +1.9 1
1975-10-19 Sligo Rovers W 1-038.2 1163 1154 45.22% 28.98% 25.80%+0.32 +6.8 3
1975-10-19 @ Drogheda United L 0-138.2 1154 1163 25.80% 28.98% 45.22%-0.32 -6.9 2
1975-10-19 Bohemian W 2-145.3 1332 1341 42.86% 29.07% 28.06%+0.20 +6.9 6
1975-10-19 @ Finn Harps L 1-245.3 1341 1332 28.06% 29.07% 42.86%-0.20 -6.9 3
1975-10-19 Shamrock Rovers D 1-150.5 1161 1233 34.17% 29.09% 36.75%-0.19 +0.1 2
1975-10-19 @ Home Farm D 1-150.5 1233 1161 36.75% 29.09% 34.17%+0.19 -0.1 1
1975-10-19 Dundalk L 1-441.5 1203 1251 37.58% 29.14% 33.28%-0.04 -20.8 4
1975-10-19 @ Limerick W 4-141.5 1251 1203 33.28% 29.14% 37.58%+0.04 +20.8 5
1975-10-19 Waterford L 0-238.4 1210 1261 37.10% 29.14% 33.76%-0.06 -16.8 2
1975-10-19 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-038.4 1261 1210 33.76% 29.14% 37.10%+0.06 +16.8 4
1975-10-26 Drogheda United D 2-256.8 1335 1170 60.97% 26.71% 12.32%+1.27 -1.9 4
1975-10-26 @ Bohemian D 2-256.8 1170 1335 12.32% 26.71% 60.97%-1.27 +1.9 4
1975-10-26 Home Farm W 2-031.0 1297 1161 58.57% 27.31% 14.12%+1.10 +7.9 5
1975-10-26 @ Cork Hibernians L 0-231.0 1161 1297 14.12% 27.31% 58.57%-1.10 -7.9 2
1975-10-26 St Patrick's Athletic D 2-256.3 1272 1193 53.12% 28.27% 18.61%+0.75 -1.3 6
1975-10-26 @ Dundalk D 2-256.3 1193 1272 18.61% 28.27% 53.12%-0.75 +1.3 3
1975-10-26 Limerick W 1-036.9 1233 1182 50.14% 28.62% 21.24%+0.57 +5.9 3
1975-10-26 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-136.9 1182 1233 21.24% 28.62% 50.14%-0.57 -5.9 4
1975-10-26 Finn Harps L 0-137.5 1174 1339 22.73% 28.24% 49.03%-0.76 -6.2 1
1975-10-26 @ Shelbourne W 1-037.5 1339 1174 49.03% 28.24% 22.73%+0.76 +6.2 8
1975-10-26 Athlone Town D 1-150.6 1147 1251 29.91% 28.91% 41.18%-0.38 +0.5 3
1975-10-26 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-150.6 1251 1147 41.18% 28.91% 29.91%+0.38 -0.5 5
1975-10-26 Cork Celtic W 2-142.7 1278 1247 47.88% 28.82% 23.31%+0.45 +6.0 6
1975-10-26 @ Waterford L 1-242.7 1247 1278 23.31% 28.82% 47.88%-0.45 -6.0 2
1975-11-02 Shelbourne W 3-028.3 1333 1167 61.05% 26.69% 12.26%+1.28 +10.0 6
1975-11-02 @ Bohemian L 0-328.3 1167 1333 12.26% 26.69% 61.05%-1.28 -10.0 1
1975-11-02 Dundalk W 2-145.0 1241 1270 40.13% 29.13% 30.74%+0.08 +7.4 4
1975-11-02 @ Cork Celtic L 1-245.0 1270 1241 30.74% 29.13% 40.13%-0.08 -7.4 6
1975-11-02 Athlone Town W 1-041.9 1172 1251 33.33% 29.06% 37.61%-0.22 +9.0 6
1975-11-02 @ Drogheda United L 0-141.9 1251 1172 37.61% 29.06% 33.33%+0.22 -9.0 5
1975-11-02 Waterford D 1-151.7 1345 1284 51.26% 28.50% 20.24%+0.64 -1.5 9
1975-11-02 @ Finn Harps D 1-151.7 1284 1345 20.24% 28.50% 51.26%-0.64 +1.5 7
1975-11-02 Sligo Rovers W 4-244.4 1153 1148 44.71% 29.00% 26.28%+0.29 +10.2 4
1975-11-02 @ Home Farm L 2-444.4 1148 1153 26.28% 29.00% 44.71%-0.29 -10.1 3
1975-11-02 Cork Hibernians L 0-138.7 1176 1305 26.86% 28.69% 44.45%-0.53 -7.0 4
1975-11-02 @ Limerick W 1-038.7 1305 1176 44.45% 28.69% 26.86%+0.53 +7.0 7
1975-11-02 Shamrock Rovers W 1-040.5 1194 1239 38.06% 29.14% 32.80%-0.02 +8.2 5
1975-11-02 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-140.5 1239 1194 32.80% 29.14% 38.06%+0.02 -8.2 3
1975-11-09 Home Farm W 4-242.1 1242 1163 53.07% 28.28% 18.65%+0.74 +7.7 7
1975-11-09 @ Athlone Town L 2-442.1 1163 1242 18.65% 28.28% 53.07%-0.74 -7.7 4
1975-11-09 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-031.9 1312 1202 56.14% 27.80% 16.06%+0.93 +8.8 9
1975-11-09 @ Cork Hibernians L 0-231.9 1202 1312 16.06% 27.80% 56.14%-0.93 -8.8 5
1975-11-09 Finn Harps D 1-151.3 1263 1344 32.99% 29.05% 37.96%-0.24 +0.2 7
1975-11-09 @ Dundalk D 1-151.3 1344 1263 37.96% 29.05% 32.99%+0.24 -0.2 10
1975-11-09 Cork Celtic D 2-256.0 1231 1248 41.77% 29.10% 29.13%+0.15 -0.4 4
1975-11-09 @ Shamrock Rovers D 2-256.0 1248 1231 29.13% 29.10% 41.77%-0.15 +0.4 5
1975-11-09 Drogheda United D 2-255.8 1157 1181 40.92% 29.12% 29.96%+0.11 -0.4 2
1975-11-09 @ Shelbourne D 2-255.8 1181 1157 29.96% 29.12% 40.92%-0.11 +0.4 7
1975-11-09 Limerick D 0-046.5 1137 1169 39.88% 29.13% 30.99%+0.07 -0.5 4
1975-11-09 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-046.5 1169 1137 30.99% 29.13% 39.88%-0.07 +0.5 5
1975-11-09 Bohemian D 0-047.6 1286 1343 36.34% 29.13% 34.53%-0.09 -0.1 8
1975-11-09 @ Waterford D 0-047.6 1343 1286 34.53% 29.13% 36.34%+0.09 +0.1 7
1975-11-16 Dundalk D 1-151.6 1343 1263 53.19% 28.26% 18.55%+0.75 -1.7 8
1975-11-16 @ Bohemian D 1-151.6 1263 1343 18.55% 28.26% 53.19%-0.75 +1.7 8
1975-11-16 Cork Hibernians D 1-151.1 1249 1320 34.23% 29.09% 36.68%-0.18 +0.1 6
1975-11-16 @ Cork Celtic D 1-151.1 1320 1249 36.68% 29.09% 34.23%+0.18 -0.1 10
1975-11-16 Home Farm D 1-150.5 1182 1155 47.25% 28.86% 23.89%+0.42 -1.1 8
1975-11-16 @ Drogheda United D 1-150.5 1155 1182 23.89% 28.86% 47.25%-0.42 +1.1 5
1975-11-16 Shamrock Rovers D 2-256.9 1344 1230 56.53% 27.73% 15.75%+0.96 -1.6 11
1975-11-16 @ Finn Harps D 2-256.9 1230 1344 15.75% 27.73% 56.53%-0.96 +1.6 5
1975-11-16 Athlone Town W 3-036.4 1169 1249 33.11% 29.06% 37.83%-0.23 +24.8 7
1975-11-16 @ Limerick L 0-336.4 1249 1169 37.83% 29.06% 33.11%+0.23 -24.8 7
1975-11-16 Waterford D 2-256.1 1157 1286 26.87% 28.70% 44.43%-0.53 +0.6 3
1975-11-16 @ Shelbourne D 2-256.1 1286 1157 44.43% 28.70% 26.87%+0.53 -0.6 9
1975-11-16 Sligo Rovers L 1-445.1 1194 1137 50.74% 28.56% 20.70%+0.61 -26.6 5
1975-11-16 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 4-145.1 1137 1194 20.70% 28.56% 50.74%-0.61 +26.6 6
1975-11-23 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-033.2 1225 1167 50.85% 28.55% 20.60%+0.61 +10.8 9
1975-11-23 @ Athlone Town L 0-233.2 1167 1225 20.60% 28.55% 50.85%-0.61 -10.8 5
1975-11-23 Finn Harps L 0-240.8 1320 1342 41.18% 29.12% 29.70%+0.13 -18.2 10
1975-11-23 @ Cork Hibernians W 2-040.8 1342 1320 29.70% 29.12% 41.18%-0.13 +18.2 13
1975-11-23 Shelbourne W 4-134.7 1265 1158 55.95% 27.83% 16.22%+0.92 +10.9 10
1975-11-23 @ Dundalk L 1-434.7 1158 1265 16.22% 27.83% 55.95%-0.92 -10.9 3
1975-11-23 Limerick D 1-150.5 1157 1194 39.05% 29.14% 31.81%+0.03 -0.3 6
1975-11-23 @ Home Farm D 1-150.5 1194 1157 31.81% 29.14% 39.05%-0.03 +0.3 8
1975-11-23 Bohemian W 1-043.7 1232 1341 29.26% 28.87% 41.87%-0.41 +9.8 7
1975-11-23 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-143.7 1341 1232 41.87% 28.87% 29.26%+0.41 -9.8 8
1975-11-23 Cork Celtic L 0-140.3 1164 1249 32.41% 29.03% 38.56%-0.26 -8.1 6
1975-11-23 @ Sligo Rovers W 1-040.3 1249 1164 38.56% 29.03% 32.41%+0.26 +8.1 8
1975-11-23 Drogheda United W 2-031.9 1285 1181 55.68% 27.88% 16.44%+0.90 +9.0 11
1975-11-23 @ Waterford L 0-231.9 1181 1285 16.44% 27.88% 55.68%-0.90 -9.0 8
1975-11-30 Cork Hibernians D 0-047.7 1331 1302 47.60% 28.84% 23.56%+0.44 -1.3 9
1975-11-30 @ Bohemian D 0-047.7 1302 1331 23.56% 28.84% 47.60%-0.44 +1.3 11
1975-11-30 Athlone Town L 1-249.6 1257 1235 46.68% 28.90% 24.43%+0.39 -10.1 8
1975-11-30 @ Cork Celtic W 2-149.6 1235 1257 24.43% 28.90% 46.68%-0.39 +10.1 11
1975-11-30 Limerick W 2-144.4 1172 1195 41.02% 29.12% 29.86%+0.12 +7.2 10
1975-11-30 @ Drogheda United L 1-244.4 1195 1172 29.86% 29.12% 41.02%-0.12 -7.2 8
1975-11-30 Sligo Rovers W 6-130.8 1360 1155 64.12% 25.74% 10.13%+1.52 +11.1 15
1975-11-30 @ Finn Harps L 1-630.8 1155 1360 10.13% 25.74% 64.12%-1.52 -11.1 6
1975-11-30 Shamrock Rovers W 2-039.1 1147 1242 31.11% 28.97% 39.91%-0.32 +17.8 5
1975-11-30 @ Shelbourne L 0-239.1 1242 1147 39.91% 28.97% 31.11%+0.32 -17.8 7
1975-11-30 Home Farm L 1-345.5 1156 1156 44.00% 29.03% 26.96%+0.26 -16.7 5
1975-11-30 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 3-145.5 1156 1156 26.96% 29.03% 44.00%-0.26 +16.7 8
1975-11-30 Dundalk L 0-241.5 1294 1276 46.27% 28.92% 24.80%+0.37 -20.0 11
1975-11-30 @ Waterford W 2-041.5 1276 1294 24.80% 28.92% 46.27%-0.37 +20.0 12
1975-12-07 Finn Harps W 3-254.5 1245 1371 27.17% 28.72% 44.10%-0.52 +9.1 13
1975-12-07 @ Athlone Town L 2-354.5 1371 1245 44.10% 28.72% 27.17%+0.52 -9.1 15
1975-12-07 Shelbourne D 2-256.6 1303 1165 58.83% 27.25% 13.92%+1.11 -1.7 12
1975-12-07 @ Cork Hibernians D 2-256.6 1165 1303 13.92% 27.25% 58.83%-1.11 +1.8 6
1975-12-07 Dundalk L 1-244.0 1179 1296 28.25% 28.80% 42.95%-0.46 -6.9 10
1975-12-07 @ Drogheda United W 2-144.0 1296 1179 42.95% 28.80% 28.25%+0.46 +6.9 14
1975-12-07 Cork Celtic L 0-140.8 1173 1247 33.97% 29.08% 36.95%-0.19 -8.4 8
1975-12-07 @ Home Farm W 1-040.8 1247 1173 36.95% 29.08% 33.97%+0.19 +8.4 10
1975-12-07 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-250.2 1187 1139 49.77% 28.66% 21.57%+0.55 -10.7 8
1975-12-07 @ Limerick W 2-150.2 1139 1187 21.57% 28.66% 49.77%-0.55 +10.7 7
1975-12-07 Waterford D 3-360.3 1224 1274 37.32% 29.14% 33.54%-0.05 -0.1 8
1975-12-07 @ Shamrock Rovers D 3-360.3 1274 1224 33.54% 29.14% 37.32%+0.05 +0.1 12
1975-12-07 Bohemian D 1-151.1 1144 1330 20.73% 27.93% 51.34%-0.88 +1.5 7
1975-12-07 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-151.1 1330 1144 51.34% 27.93% 20.73%+0.88 -1.5 10
1975-12-14 Athlone Town W 2-033.3 1328 1255 52.60% 28.34% 19.06%+0.71 +10.2 12
1975-12-14 @ Bohemian L 0-233.3 1255 1328 19.06% 28.34% 52.60%-0.71 -10.2 13
1975-12-14 Limerick W 2-032.6 1255 1177 53.08% 28.28% 18.64%+0.74 +10.0 12
1975-12-14 @ Cork Celtic L 0-232.6 1177 1255 18.64% 28.28% 53.08%-0.74 -10.0 8
1975-12-14 Shamrock Rovers W 5-239.0 1303 1224 53.14% 28.27% 18.58%+0.75 +10.6 16
1975-12-14 @ Dundalk L 2-539.0 1224 1303 18.58% 28.27% 53.14%-0.75 -10.6 8
1975-12-14 Home Farm W 2-138.0 1362 1165 63.60% 25.92% 10.48%+1.48 +3.0 17
1975-12-14 @ Finn Harps L 1-238.0 1165 1362 10.48% 25.92% 63.60%-1.48 -3.0 8
1975-12-14 Sligo Rovers D 0-046.6 1166 1146 46.57% 28.90% 24.53%+0.39 -1.2 7
1975-12-14 @ Shelbourne D 0-046.6 1146 1166 24.53% 28.90% 46.57%-0.39 +1.2 8
1975-12-14 Drogheda United W 3-141.3 1150 1172 41.19% 29.12% 29.69%+0.13 +12.4 9
1975-12-14 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-341.3 1172 1150 29.69% 29.12% 41.19%-0.13 -12.4 10
1975-12-14 Cork Hibernians L 0-143.3 1274 1302 40.40% 29.13% 30.47%+0.09 -9.5 12
1975-12-14 @ Waterford W 1-043.3 1302 1274 30.47% 29.13% 40.40%-0.09 +9.5 14
1975-12-21 Shelbourne W 2-140.8 1244 1165 53.16% 28.27% 18.57%+0.75 +5.0 15
1975-12-21 @ Athlone Town L 1-240.8 1165 1244 18.57% 28.27% 53.16%-0.75 -5.0 7
1975-12-21 Dundalk D 1-151.5 1311 1313 43.74% 29.04% 27.21%+0.25 -0.8 15
1975-12-21 @ Cork Hibernians D 1-151.5 1313 1311 27.21% 29.04% 43.74%-0.25 +0.8 17
1975-12-21 Shamrock Rovers W 2-145.7 1159 1213 36.79% 29.13% 34.07%-0.07 +7.9 12
1975-12-21 @ Drogheda United L 1-245.7 1213 1159 34.07% 29.13% 36.79%+0.07 -7.9 8
1975-12-21 Bohemian D 1-151.1 1162 1339 21.57% 28.07% 50.37%-0.83 +1.4 9
1975-12-21 @ Home Farm D 1-151.1 1339 1162 50.37% 28.07% 21.57%+0.83 -1.4 13
1975-12-21 Finn Harps L 1-338.3 1167 1365 19.50% 27.71% 52.79%-0.96 -8.9 8
1975-12-21 @ Limerick W 3-138.3 1365 1167 52.79% 27.71% 19.50%+0.96 +8.9 19
1975-12-21 Waterford D 1-150.7 1147 1264 28.22% 28.80% 42.98%-0.46 +0.7 9
1975-12-21 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-150.7 1264 1147 42.98% 28.80% 28.22%+0.46 -0.7 13
1975-12-21 Cork Celtic L 1-244.5 1163 1265 30.11% 28.92% 40.97%-0.37 -7.2 9
1975-12-21 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-144.5 1265 1163 40.97% 28.92% 30.11%+0.37 +7.2 14
1975-12-28 Drogheda United L 0-243.6 1272 1167 55.73% 27.87% 16.40%+0.91 -23.6 14
1975-12-28 @ Cork Celtic W 2-043.6 1167 1272 16.40% 27.87% 55.73%-0.91 +23.6 14
1975-12-28 Sligo Rovers W 3-243.6 1314 1148 61.15% 26.66% 12.18%+1.28 +3.2 19
1975-12-28 @ Dundalk L 2-343.6 1148 1314 12.18% 26.66% 61.15%-1.28 -3.2 9
1975-12-28 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-032.7 1374 1155 65.14% 25.38% 9.48%+1.61 +2.8 21
1975-12-28 @ Finn Harps L 0-132.7 1155 1374 9.48% 25.38% 65.14%-1.61 -2.8 9
1975-12-28 Cork Hibernians W 1-043.2 1205 1310 29.76% 28.90% 41.33%-0.39 +9.7 10
1975-12-28 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-143.2 1310 1205 41.33% 28.90% 29.76%+0.39 -9.7 15
1975-12-28 Home Farm W 5-137.0 1160 1163 43.66% 29.05% 27.29%+0.24 +21.3 9
1975-12-28 @ Shelbourne L 1-537.0 1163 1160 27.29% 29.05% 43.66%-0.24 -21.3 9
1975-12-28 Athlone Town W 3-248.3 1264 1249 45.83% 28.95% 25.23%+0.35 +6.0 15
1975-12-28 @ Waterford L 2-348.3 1249 1264 25.23% 28.95% 45.83%-0.35 -6.0 15
1976-01-04 St Patrick's Athletic W 6-029.0 1337 1152 62.60% 26.24% 11.16%+1.40 +17.5 15
1976-01-04 @ Bohemian L 0-629.0 1152 1337 11.16% 26.24% 62.60%-1.40 -17.5 9
1976-01-04 Drogheda United W 2-140.1 1301 1191 56.19% 27.79% 16.02%+0.94 +4.4 17
1976-01-04 @ Cork Hibernians L 1-240.1 1191 1301 16.02% 27.79% 56.19%-0.94 -4.4 14
1976-01-04 Athlone Town W 3-031.0 1317 1243 52.63% 28.34% 19.04%+0.72 +14.8 21
1976-01-04 @ Dundalk L 0-331.0 1243 1317 19.04% 28.34% 52.63%-0.72 -14.8 15
1976-01-04 Cork Celtic L 0-342.9 1377 1249 57.91% 27.45% 14.64%+1.05 -35.5 21
1976-01-04 @ Finn Harps W 3-042.9 1249 1377 14.64% 27.45% 57.91%-1.05 +35.5 16
1976-01-04 Sligo Rovers L 0-242.6 1215 1144 52.24% 28.39% 19.37%+0.69 -22.3 10
1976-01-04 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-042.6 1144 1215 19.37% 28.39% 52.24%-0.69 +22.3 11
1976-01-04 Limerick W 3-139.6 1182 1158 46.96% 28.88% 24.16%+0.41 +10.6 11
1976-01-04 @ Shelbourne L 1-339.6 1158 1182 24.16% 28.88% 46.96%-0.41 -10.6 8
1976-01-04 Home Farm W 7-233.8 1270 1142 57.89% 27.45% 14.66%+1.05 +13.2 17
1976-01-04 @ Waterford L 2-733.8 1142 1270 14.66% 27.45% 57.89%-1.05 -13.2 9
1976-01-11 Shamrock Rovers W 3-139.3 1229 1193 48.40% 28.78% 22.82%+0.48 +10.2 17
1976-01-11 @ Athlone Town L 1-339.3 1193 1229 22.82% 28.78% 48.40%-0.48 -10.2 10
1976-01-11 Bohemian W 1-042.6 1284 1355 34.42% 29.09% 36.48%-0.17 +8.8 18
1976-01-11 @ Cork Celtic L 0-142.6 1355 1284 36.48% 29.09% 34.42%+0.17 -8.8 15
1976-01-11 Finn Harps L 2-347.8 1187 1341 23.86% 28.39% 47.75%-0.69 -5.7 14
1976-01-11 @ Drogheda United W 3-247.8 1341 1187 47.75% 28.39% 23.86%+0.69 +5.7 23
1976-01-11 Dundalk D 0-047.2 1129 1332 19.05% 27.62% 53.33%-0.99 +1.9 10
1976-01-11 @ Home Farm D 0-047.2 1332 1129 53.33% 27.62% 19.05%+0.99 -1.9 22
1976-01-11 Waterford W 2-149.0 1147 1283 26.01% 28.62% 45.38%-0.58 +9.8 10
1976-01-11 @ Limerick L 1-249.0 1283 1147 45.38% 28.62% 26.01%+0.58 -9.8 17
1976-01-11 Cork Hibernians L 1-243.2 1167 1305 25.72% 28.59% 45.69%-0.59 -6.4 11
1976-01-11 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-143.2 1305 1167 45.69% 28.59% 25.72%+0.59 +6.4 19
1976-01-11 Shelbourne L 1-343.3 1135 1192 36.31% 29.13% 34.56%-0.09 -14.3 9
1976-01-11 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 3-143.3 1192 1135 34.56% 29.13% 36.31%+0.09 +14.4 13
1976-01-15 Limerick W 6-233.7 1346 1157 62.93% 26.14% 10.94%+1.42 +8.3 17
1976-01-15 @ Bohemian L 2-633.7 1157 1346 10.94% 26.14% 62.93%-1.42 -8.3 10
1976-01-18 Finn Harps L 1-250.6 1354 1347 44.90% 29.00% 26.11%+0.30 -9.8 17
1976-01-18 @ Bohemian W 2-150.6 1347 1354 26.11% 29.00% 44.90%-0.30 +9.8 25
1976-01-18 Athlone Town W 5-031.3 1312 1239 52.49% 28.36% 19.15%+0.71 +23.9 21
1976-01-18 @ Cork Hibernians L 0-531.3 1239 1312 19.15% 28.36% 52.49%-0.71 -23.9 17
1976-01-18 Limerick W 1-033.3 1330 1149 62.36% 26.31% 11.33%+1.38 +3.4 24
1976-01-18 @ Dundalk L 0-133.3 1149 1330 11.33% 26.31% 62.36%-1.38 -3.4 10
1976-01-18 Home Farm D 0-046.7 1182 1130 50.24% 28.61% 21.15%+0.58 -1.6 11
1976-01-18 @ Shamrock Rovers D 0-046.7 1130 1182 21.15% 28.61% 50.24%-0.58 +1.6 11
1976-01-18 Cork Celtic W 2-147.3 1207 1293 32.22% 29.02% 38.76%-0.27 +8.7 15
1976-01-18 @ Shelbourne L 1-247.3 1293 1207 38.76% 29.02% 32.22%+0.27 -8.7 18
1976-01-18 Drogheda United L 0-337.4 1160 1181 41.36% 29.11% 29.53%+0.13 -26.6 11
1976-01-18 @ Sligo Rovers W 3-037.4 1181 1160 29.53% 29.11% 41.36%-0.13 +26.6 16
1976-01-18 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-243.8 1273 1121 60.01% 26.96% 13.03%+1.20 +3.5 19
1976-01-18 @ Waterford L 2-343.8 1121 1273 13.03% 26.96% 60.01%-1.20 -3.5 9
1976-01-25 Sligo Rovers L 0-242.8 1215 1134 53.36% 28.24% 18.40%+0.76 -22.7 17
1976-01-25 @ Athlone Town W 2-042.8 1134 1215 18.40% 28.24% 53.36%-0.76 +22.7 13
1976-01-25 Waterford L 3-457.7 1284 1277 44.99% 28.99% 26.02%+0.31 -9.1 18
1976-01-25 @ Cork Celtic W 4-357.7 1277 1284 26.02% 28.99% 44.99%-0.31 +9.1 21
1976-01-25 Bohemian D 2-256.5 1207 1344 25.87% 28.60% 45.52%-0.58 +0.7 17
1976-01-25 @ Drogheda United D 2-256.5 1344 1207 45.52% 28.60% 25.87%+0.58 -0.7 18
1976-01-25 Shelbourne W 2-139.6 1357 1215 59.09% 27.19% 13.72%+1.13 +3.8 27
1976-01-25 @ Finn Harps L 1-239.6 1215 1357 13.72% 27.19% 59.09%-1.13 -3.8 15
1976-01-25 Cork Hibernians D 1-151.1 1132 1335 19.07% 27.62% 53.30%-0.99 +1.7 12
1976-01-25 @ Home Farm D 1-151.1 1335 1132 53.30% 27.62% 19.07%+0.99 -1.7 22
1976-01-25 Shamrock Rovers L 1-247.2 1145 1181 39.31% 29.14% 31.55%+0.04 -8.8 10
1976-01-25 @ Limerick W 2-147.2 1181 1145 31.55% 29.14% 39.31%-0.04 +8.8 13
1976-01-25 Dundalk D 2-256.5 1117 1334 17.94% 27.38% 54.68%-1.07 +1.4 10
1976-01-25 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 2-256.5 1334 1117 54.68% 27.38% 17.94%+1.07 -1.4 25
1976-02-01 Drogheda United W 3-249.2 1192 1208 41.96% 29.10% 28.94%+0.16 +6.7 19
1976-02-01 @ Athlone Town L 2-349.2 1208 1192 28.94% 29.10% 41.96%-0.16 -6.7 17
1976-02-01 Limerick W 2-137.8 1334 1136 63.56% 25.93% 10.51%+1.47 +3.0 24
1976-02-01 @ Cork Hibernians L 1-237.8 1136 1334 10.51% 25.93% 63.56%-1.47 -3.0 10
1976-02-01 Cork Celtic W 3-247.4 1332 1275 50.79% 28.55% 20.65%+0.61 +5.2 27
1976-02-01 @ Dundalk L 2-347.4 1275 1332 20.65% 28.55% 50.79%-0.61 -5.2 18
1976-02-01 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-146.0 1190 1119 52.32% 28.38% 19.30%+0.70 -11.8 13
1976-02-01 @ Shamrock Rovers W 1-046.0 1119 1190 19.30% 28.38% 52.32%-0.70 +11.8 12
1976-02-01 Bohemian D 0-047.2 1211 1344 26.42% 28.66% 44.92%-0.55 +1.0 16
1976-02-01 @ Shelbourne D 0-047.2 1344 1211 44.92% 28.66% 26.42%+0.55 -1.0 19
1976-02-01 Home Farm W 2-142.6 1156 1134 46.84% 28.89% 24.27%+0.40 +6.2 15
1976-02-01 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-242.6 1134 1156 24.27% 28.89% 46.84%-0.40 -6.2 12
1976-02-01 Finn Harps W 3-144.7 1286 1361 33.78% 29.08% 37.15%-0.20 +14.6 23
1976-02-01 @ Waterford L 1-344.7 1361 1286 37.15% 29.08% 33.78%+0.20 -14.6 27
1976-02-08 Waterford W 2-034.7 1343 1300 49.16% 28.71% 22.13%+0.52 +11.5 21
1976-02-08 @ Bohemian L 0-234.7 1300 1343 22.13% 28.71% 49.16%-0.52 -11.5 23
1976-02-08 Shamrock Rovers W 3-137.5 1270 1178 54.49% 28.07% 17.44%+0.83 +8.2 20
1976-02-08 @ Cork Celtic L 1-337.5 1178 1270 17.44% 28.07% 54.49%-0.83 -8.2 13
1976-02-08 Shelbourne W 1-039.1 1201 1212 42.61% 29.08% 28.31%+0.19 +7.3 19
1976-02-08 @ Drogheda United L 0-139.1 1212 1201 28.31% 29.08% 42.61%-0.19 -7.3 16
1976-02-08 Dundalk L 0-242.1 1346 1337 45.13% 28.98% 25.88%+0.31 -19.6 27
1976-02-08 @ Finn Harps W 2-042.1 1337 1346 25.88% 28.98% 45.13%-0.31 +19.6 29
1976-02-08 Athlone Town W 5-036.2 1128 1199 34.31% 29.09% 36.60%-0.18 +39.0 14
1976-02-08 @ Home Farm L 0-536.2 1199 1128 36.60% 29.09% 34.31%+0.18 -39.0 19
1976-02-08 Sligo Rovers L 1-247.4 1134 1163 40.19% 29.13% 30.68%+0.08 -9.0 10
1976-02-08 @ Limerick W 2-147.4 1163 1134 30.68% 29.13% 40.19%-0.08 +8.9 17
1976-02-08 Cork Hibernians L 1-240.8 1130 1337 18.82% 27.57% 53.61%-1.01 -5.0 12
1976-02-08 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-140.8 1337 1130 53.61% 27.57% 18.82%+1.01 +5.0 26
1976-02-22 Limerick D 5-563.1 1160 1125 48.33% 28.78% 22.89%+0.48 -0.6 20
1976-02-22 @ Athlone Town D 5-563.1 1125 1160 22.89% 28.78% 48.33%-0.48 +0.6 11
1976-02-22 Cork Celtic D 1-151.6 1342 1278 51.49% 28.48% 20.03%+0.65 -1.6 27
1976-02-22 @ Cork Hibernians D 1-151.6 1278 1342 20.03% 28.48% 51.49%-0.65 +1.6 21
1976-02-22 Bohemian D 2-257.7 1357 1354 44.38% 29.02% 26.60%+0.28 -0.6 30
1976-02-22 @ Dundalk D 2-257.7 1354 1357 26.60% 29.02% 44.38%-0.28 +0.6 22
1976-02-22 Drogheda United L 0-336.6 1167 1209 38.41% 29.14% 32.45%+0.00 -25.1 14
1976-02-22 @ Home Farm W 3-036.6 1209 1167 32.45% 29.14% 38.41%+0.00 +25.1 21
1976-02-22 Finn Harps D 1-151.0 1170 1327 23.64% 28.36% 48.00%-0.71 +1.2 14
1976-02-22 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-151.0 1327 1170 48.00% 28.36% 23.64%+0.71 -1.2 28
1976-02-22 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-150.6 1172 1125 49.59% 28.67% 21.74%+0.54 -1.4 18
1976-02-22 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-150.6 1125 1172 21.74% 28.67% 49.59%-0.54 +1.4 13
1976-02-22 Shelbourne W 4-242.1 1289 1205 53.63% 28.20% 18.16%+0.78 +7.6 25
1976-02-22 @ Waterford L 2-442.1 1205 1289 18.16% 28.20% 53.63%-0.78 -7.6 16
1976-02-29 Shamrock Rovers W 1-033.4 1355 1171 62.55% 26.25% 11.20%+1.39 +3.4 24
1976-02-29 @ Bohemian L 0-133.4 1171 1355 11.20% 26.25% 62.55%-1.39 -3.3 14
1976-02-29 Sligo Rovers W 3-029.6 1280 1170 56.17% 27.79% 16.04%+0.93 +12.8 23
1976-02-29 @ Cork Celtic L 0-329.6 1170 1280 16.04% 27.79% 56.17%-0.93 -12.8 18
1976-02-29 Waterford D 2-256.2 1234 1296 35.55% 29.12% 35.33%-0.13 -0.0 22
1976-02-29 @ Drogheda United D 2-256.2 1296 1234 35.33% 29.12% 35.55%+0.13 +0.0 26
1976-02-29 Cork Hibernians W 3-142.4 1325 1340 42.12% 29.10% 28.78%+0.17 +12.1 30
1976-02-29 @ Finn Harps L 1-342.4 1340 1325 28.78% 29.10% 42.12%-0.17 -12.1 27
1976-02-29 Home Farm L 0-143.0 1125 1141 41.91% 29.10% 28.99%+0.16 -9.8 11
1976-02-29 @ Limerick W 1-043.0 1141 1125 28.99% 29.10% 41.91%-0.16 +9.8 16
1976-02-29 Dundalk L 1-242.7 1197 1356 23.42% 28.33% 48.25%-0.72 -6.0 16
1976-02-29 @ Shelbourne W 2-142.7 1356 1197 48.25% 28.33% 23.42%+0.72 +6.0 32
1976-02-29 Athlone Town D 1-150.4 1127 1159 39.74% 29.14% 31.13%+0.06 -0.4 14
1976-02-29 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-150.4 1159 1127 31.13% 29.14% 39.74%-0.06 +0.4 21
1976-03-14 Cork Celtic W 2-148.9 1160 1293 26.35% 28.65% 45.01%-0.56 +9.8 23
1976-03-14 @ Athlone Town L 1-248.9 1293 1160 45.01% 28.65% 26.35%+0.56 -9.8 23
1976-03-14 Waterford D 1-152.0 1362 1296 51.77% 28.44% 19.78%+0.67 -1.6 33
1976-03-14 @ Dundalk D 1-152.0 1296 1362 19.78% 28.44% 51.77%-0.67 +1.6 27
1976-03-14 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-249.4 1151 1126 47.10% 28.87% 24.03%+0.41 -10.2 16
1976-03-14 @ Home Farm W 2-149.4 1126 1151 24.03% 28.87% 47.10%-0.41 +10.2 16
1976-03-14 Drogheda United L 3-452.0 1115 1234 28.09% 28.79% 43.12%-0.47 -6.3 11
1976-03-14 @ Limerick W 4-352.0 1234 1115 43.12% 28.79% 28.09%+0.47 +6.4 24
1976-03-14 Shelbourne L 0-436.9 1167 1191 40.89% 29.12% 29.99%+0.11 -34.4 14
1976-03-14 @ Shamrock Rovers W 4-036.9 1191 1167 29.99% 29.12% 40.89%-0.11 +34.4 18
1976-03-14 Finn Harps L 2-443.0 1157 1338 21.26% 28.02% 50.72%-0.85 -8.5 18
1976-03-14 @ Sligo Rovers W 4-243.0 1338 1157 50.72% 28.02% 21.26%+0.85 +8.5 32
1976-03-17 Athlone Town L 2-355.6 1226 1169 50.73% 28.56% 20.71%+0.61 -10.3 18
1976-03-17 @ Shelbourne W 3-255.6 1169 1226 20.71% 28.56% 50.73%-0.61 +10.3 25
1976-03-21 Home Farm W 3-136.1 1283 1141 59.09% 27.19% 13.72%+1.13 +6.6 25
1976-03-21 @ Cork Celtic L 1-336.1 1141 1283 13.72% 27.19% 59.09%-1.13 -6.6 16
1976-03-21 Drogheda United W 4-135.0 1361 1240 57.20% 27.60% 15.20%+1.00 +10.3 35
1976-03-21 @ Dundalk L 1-435.0 1240 1361 15.20% 27.60% 57.20%-1.00 -10.3 24
1976-03-21 Athlone Town L 1-253.4 1346 1180 61.15% 26.66% 12.19%+1.28 -12.9 32
1976-03-21 @ Finn Harps W 2-153.4 1180 1346 12.19% 26.66% 61.15%-1.28 +12.9 27
1976-03-21 Cork Hibernians L 0-334.0 1216 1328 28.84% 28.85% 42.31%-0.43 -20.3 18
1976-03-21 @ Shelbourne W 3-034.0 1328 1216 42.31% 28.85% 28.84%+0.43 +20.3 29
1976-03-21 Limerick L 0-539.3 1137 1109 47.42% 28.85% 23.74%+0.43 -47.8 16
1976-03-21 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 5-039.3 1109 1137 23.74% 28.85% 47.42%-0.43 +47.8 13
1976-03-21 Shamrock Rovers W 3-243.6 1298 1133 61.03% 26.69% 12.27%+1.28 +3.3 29
1976-03-21 @ Waterford L 2-343.6 1133 1298 12.27% 26.69% 61.03%-1.28 -3.3 14
1976-03-28 Bohemian D 1-151.3 1193 1358 22.73% 28.24% 49.03%-0.76 +1.3 28
1976-03-28 @ Athlone Town D 1-151.3 1358 1193 49.03% 28.24% 22.73%+0.76 -1.3 25
1976-03-28 Waterford D 1-151.8 1348 1301 49.68% 28.66% 21.65%+0.55 -1.4 30
1976-03-28 @ Cork Hibernians D 1-151.8 1301 1348 21.65% 28.66% 49.68%-0.55 +1.4 30
1976-03-28 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-147.6 1230 1089 59.04% 27.20% 13.76%+1.13 -13.2 24
1976-03-28 @ Drogheda United W 1-047.6 1089 1230 13.76% 27.20% 59.04%-1.13 +13.2 18
1976-03-28 Finn Harps D 1-151.1 1134 1333 19.49% 27.71% 52.80%-0.96 +1.6 17
1976-03-28 @ Home Farm D 1-151.1 1333 1134 52.80% 27.71% 19.49%+0.96 -1.7 33
1976-03-28 Cork Celtic W 2-148.9 1157 1289 26.38% 28.65% 44.97%-0.56 +9.8 15
1976-03-28 @ Limerick L 1-248.9 1289 1157 44.97% 28.65% 26.38%+0.56 -9.8 25
1976-03-28 Dundalk L 0-329.4 1130 1371 15.97% 26.87% 57.16%-1.23 -12.5 14
1976-03-28 @ Shamrock Rovers W 3-029.4 1371 1130 57.16% 26.87% 15.97%+1.23 +12.5 37
1976-03-28 Shelbourne D 2-255.8 1149 1195 37.84% 29.14% 33.02%-0.03 -0.2 19
1976-03-28 @ Sligo Rovers D 2-255.8 1195 1149 33.02% 29.14% 37.84%+0.03 +0.2 19
1976-04-04 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-135.1 1280 1102 62.07% 26.40% 11.53%+1.36 +5.6 27
1976-04-04 @ Cork Celtic L 1-335.1 1102 1280 11.53% 26.40% 62.07%-1.36 -5.6 18
1976-04-04 Cork Hibernians W 1-039.4 1384 1347 48.49% 28.77% 22.74%+0.49 +6.2 39
1976-04-04 @ Dundalk L 0-139.4 1347 1384 22.74% 28.77% 48.49%-0.49 -6.2 30
1976-04-08 Drogheda United L 2-349.6 1117 1217 30.51% 28.94% 40.55%-0.35 -6.9 14
1976-04-08 @ Shamrock Rovers W 3-249.6 1217 1117 40.55% 28.94% 30.51%+0.35 +6.9 26
1976-04-10 Sligo Rovers W 4-133.5 1303 1149 60.12% 26.94% 12.95%+1.21 +8.9 32
1976-04-10 @ Waterford L 1-433.5 1149 1303 12.95% 26.94% 60.12%-1.21 -8.9 19
1976-04-11 Waterford L 0-139.2 1194 1312 28.19% 28.80% 43.01%-0.46 -7.3 28
1976-04-11 @ Athlone Town W 1-039.2 1312 1194 43.01% 28.80% 28.19%+0.46 +7.3 34
1976-04-11 Shamrock Rovers D 1-151.9 1341 1110 65.94% 25.07% 8.98%+1.68 -3.1 31
1976-04-11 @ Cork Hibernians D 1-151.9 1110 1341 8.98% 25.07% 65.94%-1.68 +3.1 15
1976-04-11 Cork Celtic W 2-146.3 1224 1285 35.67% 29.12% 35.22%-0.12 +8.1 28
1976-04-11 @ Drogheda United L 1-246.3 1285 1224 35.22% 29.12% 35.67%+0.12 -8.1 27
1976-04-11 Shelbourne L 1-539.6 1136 1195 36.01% 29.12% 34.86%-0.11 -26.0 17
1976-04-11 @ Home Farm W 5-139.6 1195 1136 34.86% 29.12% 36.01%+0.11 +26.0 21
1976-04-11 Bohemian D 1-151.3 1167 1357 20.28% 27.85% 51.87%-0.91 +1.6 16
1976-04-11 @ Limerick D 1-151.3 1357 1167 51.87% 27.85% 20.28%+0.91 -1.6 26
1976-04-11 Dundalk D 1-151.6 1140 1390 15.33% 26.68% 57.99%-1.28 +2.2 20
1976-04-11 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-151.6 1390 1140 57.99% 26.68% 15.33%+1.28 -2.2 40
1976-04-11 Finn Harps D 3-360.8 1096 1332 16.42% 27.00% 56.58%-1.19 +1.3 19
1976-04-11 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 3-360.8 1332 1096 56.58% 27.00% 16.42%+1.19 -1.3 34
1976-04-13 Home Farm W 3-241.9 1355 1110 66.97% 24.66% 8.37%+1.77 +2.2 28
1976-04-13 @ Bohemian L 2-341.9 1110 1355 8.37% 24.66% 66.97%-1.77 -2.2 17
1976-04-19 Limerick W 4-240.0 1330 1168 60.81% 26.75% 12.44%+1.26 +5.4 36
1976-04-19 @ Finn Harps L 2-440.0 1168 1330 12.44% 26.75% 60.81%-1.26 -5.4 16
1976-04-20 Sligo Rovers W 3-134.5 1358 1142 64.90% 25.47% 9.63%+1.59 +4.7 30
1976-04-20 @ Bohemian L 1-334.5 1142 1358 9.63% 25.47% 64.90%-1.59 -4.7 20
1976-04-25 Bohemian L 1-249.4 1338 1362 40.80% 29.12% 30.08%+0.11 -9.0 31
1976-04-25 @ Cork Hibernians W 2-149.4 1362 1338 30.08% 29.12% 40.80%-0.11 +9.0 32

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1976-03-21 12.19% Athlone Town 1180 2 @ Finn Harps 1346 1
2 1976-03-28 13.76% St Patrick's Athletic 1089 1 @ Drogheda United 1230 0
3 1976-01-04 14.64% Cork Celtic 1249 3 @ Finn Harps 1377 0
4 1975-12-28 16.40% Drogheda United 1167 2 @ Cork Celtic 1272 0
5 1975-10-12 18.25% Limerick 1191 1 @ Waterford 1273 0
6 1976-01-25 18.40% Sligo Rovers 1134 2 @ Athlone Town 1215 0
7 1976-02-01 19.30% St Patrick's Athletic 1119 1 @ Shamrock Rovers 1190 0
8 1976-01-04 19.37% Sligo Rovers 1144 2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1215 0
9 1975-11-16 20.70% Sligo Rovers 1137 4 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1194 1
10 1976-03-17 20.71% Athlone Town 1169 3 @ Shelbourne 1226 2
11 1975-12-07 21.57% St Patrick's Athletic 1139 2 @ Limerick 1187 1
12 1976-03-21 23.74% Limerick 1109 5 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1137 0
13 1976-03-14 24.03% St Patrick's Athletic 1126 2 @ Home Farm 1151 1
14 1975-11-30 24.43% Athlone Town 1235 2 @ Cork Celtic 1257 1
15 1975-11-30 24.80% Dundalk 1276 2 @ Waterford 1294 0
16 1975-10-12 25.77% Athlone Town 1233 2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1243 1
17 1976-02-08 25.88% Dundalk 1337 2 @ Finn Harps 1346 0
18 1976-01-11 26.01% @ Limerick 1147 2 Waterford 1283 1
19 1976-01-25 26.02% Waterford 1277 4 @ Cork Celtic 1284 3
20 1976-01-18 26.11% Finn Harps 1347 2 @ Bohemian 1354 1
21 1976-03-14 26.35% @ Athlone Town 1160 2 Cork Celtic 1293 1
22 1976-03-28 26.38% @ Limerick 1157 2 Cork Celtic 1289 1
23 1975-10-05 26.78% Dundalk 1242 1 @ Athlone Town 1243 0
24 1975-11-30 26.96% Home Farm 1156 3 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1156 1
25 1975-12-07 27.17% @ Athlone Town 1245 3 Finn Harps 1371 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1976-03-21 47.85 Limerick 5 1109 23.74% @ St Patrick's Athletic 0 1137 47.42% 28.85%
2 1976-02-08 38.98 @ Home Farm 5 1128 34.31% Athlone Town 0 1199 36.60% 29.09%
3 1976-01-04 35.54 Cork Celtic 3 1249 14.64% @ Finn Harps 0 1377 57.91% 27.45%
4 1976-03-14 34.40 Shelbourne 4 1191 29.99% @ Shamrock Rovers 0 1167 40.89% 29.12%
5 1975-10-12 27.85 @ Finn Harps 7 1305 56.51% Drogheda United 0 1191 15.76% 27.73%
6 1975-11-16 26.58 Sligo Rovers 4 1137 20.70% @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1194 50.74% 28.56%
7 1976-01-18 26.57 Drogheda United 3 1181 29.53% @ Sligo Rovers 0 1160 41.36% 29.11%
8 1976-04-11 26.05 Shelbourne 5 1195 34.86% @ Home Farm 1 1136 36.01% 29.12%
9 1976-02-22 25.10 Drogheda United 3 1209 32.45% @ Home Farm 0 1167 38.41% 29.14%
10 1975-11-16 24.80 @ Limerick 3 1169 33.11% Athlone Town 0 1249 37.83% 29.06%
11 1976-01-18 23.90 @ Cork Hibernians 5 1312 52.49% Athlone Town 0 1239 19.15% 28.36%
12 1975-12-28 23.62 Drogheda United 2 1167 16.40% @ Cork Celtic 0 1272 55.73% 27.87%
13 1976-01-25 22.70 Sligo Rovers 2 1134 18.40% @ Athlone Town 0 1215 53.36% 28.24%
14 1976-01-04 22.27 Sligo Rovers 2 1144 19.37% @ Shamrock Rovers 0 1215 52.24% 28.39%
15 1975-12-28 21.32 @ Shelbourne 5 1160 43.66% Home Farm 1 1163 27.29% 29.05%
16 1975-10-19 20.83 Dundalk 4 1251 33.28% @ Limerick 1 1203 37.58% 29.14%
17 1976-03-21 20.35 Cork Hibernians 3 1328 42.31% @ Shelbourne 0 1216 28.84% 28.85%
18 1975-11-30 20.04 Dundalk 2 1276 24.80% @ Waterford 0 1294 46.27% 28.92%
19 1976-02-08 19.63 Dundalk 2 1337 25.88% @ Finn Harps 0 1346 45.13% 28.98%
20 1975-10-05 18.28 Finn Harps 2 1286 29.57% @ Cork Celtic 0 1265 41.32% 29.11%
21 1975-11-23 18.23 Finn Harps 2 1342 29.70% @ Cork Hibernians 0 1320 41.18% 29.12%
22 1975-11-30 17.76 @ Shelbourne 2 1147 31.11% Shamrock Rovers 0 1242 39.91% 28.97%
23 1976-01-04 17.52 @ Bohemian 6 1337 62.60% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1152 11.16% 26.24%
24 1975-10-19 16.85 Waterford 2 1261 33.76% @ St Patrick's Athletic 0 1210 37.10% 29.14%
25 1975-11-30 16.65 Home Farm 3 1156 26.96% @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1156 44.00% 29.03%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1976-02-22 63.1 @ Athlone Town 5 1160 48.33% Limerick 5 1125 22.89% 28.78%
2 1976-04-11 60.8 @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1096 16.42% Finn Harps 3 1332 56.58% 27.00%
3 1975-12-07 60.3 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1224 37.32% Waterford 3 1274 33.54% 29.14%
4 1976-01-25 57.7 Waterford 4 1277 26.02% @ Cork Celtic 3 1284 44.99% 28.99%
5 1976-02-22 57.7 @ Dundalk 2 1357 44.38% Bohemian 2 1354 26.60% 29.02%
6 1975-10-12 56.9 @ Bohemian 2 1343 54.82% Cork Celtic 2 1247 17.16% 28.02%
7 1975-11-16 56.9 @ Finn Harps 2 1344 56.53% Shamrock Rovers 2 1230 15.75% 27.73%
8 1975-10-26 56.8 @ Bohemian 2 1335 60.97% Drogheda United 2 1170 12.32% 26.71%
9 1975-12-07 56.6 @ Cork Hibernians 2 1303 58.83% Shelbourne 2 1165 13.92% 27.25%
10 1976-01-25 56.5 @ Drogheda United 2 1207 25.87% Bohemian 2 1344 45.52% 28.60%
11 1976-01-25 56.5 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1117 17.94% Dundalk 2 1334 54.68% 27.38%
12 1975-10-26 56.3 @ Dundalk 2 1272 53.12% St Patrick's Athletic 2 1193 18.61% 28.27%
13 1975-10-12 56.2 @ Dundalk 2 1252 54.55% Home Farm 2 1159 17.39% 28.07%
14 1976-02-29 56.2 @ Drogheda United 2 1234 35.55% Waterford 2 1296 35.33% 29.12%
15 1975-11-16 56.1 @ Shelbourne 2 1157 26.87% Waterford 2 1286 44.43% 28.70%
16 1975-11-09 56.0 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1231 41.77% Cork Celtic 2 1248 29.13% 29.10%
17 1975-11-09 55.8 @ Shelbourne 2 1157 40.92% Drogheda United 2 1181 29.96% 29.12%
18 1976-03-28 55.8 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1149 37.84% Shelbourne 2 1195 33.02% 29.14%
19 1976-03-17 55.6 Athlone Town 3 1169 20.71% @ Shelbourne 2 1226 50.73% 28.56%
20 1975-12-07 54.5 @ Athlone Town 3 1245 27.17% Finn Harps 2 1371 44.10% 28.72%
21 1976-03-21 53.4 Athlone Town 2 1180 12.19% @ Finn Harps 1 1346 61.15% 26.66%
22 1975-10-05 52.5 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1157 31.22% Shamrock Rovers 2 1251 39.80% 28.98%
23 1976-03-14 52.0 @ Dundalk 1 1362 51.77% Waterford 1 1296 19.78% 28.44%
24 1976-03-14 52.0 Drogheda United 4 1234 43.12% @ Limerick 3 1115 28.09% 28.79%
25 1976-04-11 51.9 @ Cork Hibernians 1 1341 65.94% Shamrock Rovers 1 1110 8.98% 25.07%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1975-11-02 28.3 @ Bohemian 3 1333 61.05% Shelbourne 0 1167 12.26% 26.69%
2 1976-01-04 29.0 @ Bohemian 6 1337 62.60% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1152 11.16% 26.24%
3 1975-10-12 29.1 @ Cork Hibernians 3 1293 57.80% Sligo Rovers 0 1166 14.72% 27.47%
4 1976-03-28 29.4 Dundalk 3 1371 57.16% @ Shamrock Rovers 0 1130 15.97% 26.87%
5 1976-02-29 29.6 @ Cork Celtic 3 1280 56.17% Sligo Rovers 0 1170 16.04% 27.79%
6 1975-11-30 30.8 @ Finn Harps 6 1360 64.12% Sligo Rovers 1 1155 10.13% 25.74%
7 1975-10-26 31.0 @ Cork Hibernians 2 1297 58.57% Home Farm 0 1161 14.12% 27.31%
8 1976-01-04 31.0 @ Dundalk 3 1317 52.63% Athlone Town 0 1243 19.04% 28.34%
9 1976-01-18 31.3 @ Cork Hibernians 5 1312 52.49% Athlone Town 0 1239 19.15% 28.36%
10 1975-10-12 31.7 @ Finn Harps 7 1305 56.51% Drogheda United 0 1191 15.76% 27.73%
11 1975-11-09 31.9 @ Cork Hibernians 2 1312 56.14% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1202 16.06% 27.80%
12 1975-11-23 31.9 @ Waterford 2 1285 55.68% Drogheda United 0 1181 16.44% 27.88%
13 1975-12-14 32.6 @ Cork Celtic 2 1255 53.08% Limerick 0 1177 18.64% 28.28%
14 1975-12-28 32.7 @ Finn Harps 1 1374 65.14% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1155 9.48% 25.38%
15 1975-11-23 33.2 @ Athlone Town 2 1225 50.85% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1167 20.60% 28.55%
16 1975-12-14 33.3 @ Bohemian 2 1328 52.60% Athlone Town 0 1255 19.06% 28.34%
17 1976-01-18 33.3 @ Dundalk 1 1330 62.36% Limerick 0 1149 11.33% 26.31%
18 1976-02-29 33.4 @ Bohemian 1 1355 62.55% Shamrock Rovers 0 1171 11.20% 26.25%
19 1976-04-10 33.5 @ Waterford 4 1303 60.12% Sligo Rovers 1 1149 12.95% 26.94%
20 1976-01-15 33.7 @ Bohemian 6 1346 62.93% Limerick 2 1157 10.94% 26.14%
21 1976-01-04 33.8 @ Waterford 7 1270 57.89% Home Farm 2 1142 14.66% 27.45%
22 1976-03-21 34.0 Cork Hibernians 3 1328 42.31% @ Shelbourne 0 1216 28.84% 28.85%
23 1976-04-20 34.5 @ Bohemian 3 1358 64.90% Sligo Rovers 1 1142 9.63% 25.47%
24 1975-11-23 34.7 @ Dundalk 4 1265 55.95% Shelbourne 1 1158 16.22% 27.83%
25 1976-02-08 34.7 @ Bohemian 2 1343 49.16% Waterford 0 1300 22.13% 28.71%