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1976-77 League of Ireland Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Sligo Rovers

39 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sligo Rovers

8.75 points above expected

39 points · 30.25 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Albert Rovers

6.98 points below expected

16 points · 22.98 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sligo Rovers 26 18 3 5 39 48 20 +28 30.25 +8.75
2 Bohemian 26 17 4 5 38 50 29 +21 30.84 +7.16
3 Drogheda United 26 12 10 4 34 56 34 +22 30.46 +3.54
4 Waterford 26 12 9 5 33 42 28 +14 31.29 +1.71
5 Dundalk 26 12 5 9 29 51 42 +9 28.44 +0.56
6 St Patrick's Athletic 26 9 10 7 28 30 27 +3 24.65 +3.35
7 Shelbourne 26 10 8 8 28 39 40 -1 26.30 +1.70
8 Finn Harps 26 9 8 9 26 40 45 -5 27.61 -1.61
9 Cork Celtic 26 10 5 11 25 48 44 +4 27.41 -2.41
10 Athlone Town 26 8 7 11 23 43 46 -3 25.02 -2.02
11 Shamrock Rovers 26 7 3 16 17 26 46 -20 20.23 -3.23
12 Limerick 26 5 6 15 16 29 47 -18 20.83 -4.83
13 Albert Rovers 26 5 6 15 16 21 42 -21 22.98 -6.98
14 Home Farm 26 4 4 18 12 22 55 -33 17.69 -5.69

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sligo Rovers 39 30.25 +8.75
2 Bohemian 38 30.84 +7.16
3 Drogheda United 34 30.46 +3.54
4 St Patrick's Athletic 28 24.65 +3.35
5 Waterford 33 31.29 +1.71

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Albert Rovers 16 22.98 -6.98
2 Home Farm 12 17.69 -5.69
3 Limerick 16 20.83 -4.83
4 Shamrock Rovers 17 20.23 -3.23
5 Cork Celtic 25 27.41 -2.41

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sligo Rovers 6 Nov 21 – Dec 26 1 in 75
2 Bohemian 6 Mar 13 – Apr 15 1 in 68
3 Dundalk 4 Feb 20 – Mar 20 1 in 66
4 Drogheda United 4 Oct 3 – Oct 24 1 in 41
5 Shamrock Rovers 2 Mar 27 – Apr 2 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Home Farm 6 Oct 24 – Nov 28 1 in 75
2 Shamrock Rovers 5 Oct 10 – Nov 7 1 in 47
3 Albert Rovers 4 Oct 31 – Nov 21 1 in 38
4 Finn Harps 3 Nov 28 – Dec 12 1 in 17
5 Bohemian 2 Oct 17 – Oct 24 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Athlone Town 7 Oct 17 – Nov 28 1 in 29
2 Waterford 10 Dec 12 – Feb 27 1 in 21
3 Dundalk 8 Feb 6 – Apr 17 1 in 20
4 Drogheda United 10 Dec 19 – Mar 17 1 in 19
5 Shamrock Rovers 5 Nov 14 – Dec 12 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shelbourne 9 Jan 23 – Mar 27 1 in 56
2 Cork Celtic 7 Dec 12 – Feb 6 1 in 31
3 Home Farm 11 Oct 3 – Dec 12 1 in 27
4 Athlone Town 7 Dec 26 – Feb 20 1 in 23
5 Dundalk 5 Jan 9 – Feb 6 1 in 14

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Sligo Rovers 1418 39 +24 9 6.9 +2.1
Bohemian 1431 38 +74 10 6.1 +3.9
Drogheda United 1388 34 +20 5 5.5 -0.5
Waterford 1380 33 +2 6 7.0 -1.0
Dundalk 1376 29 +52 9 6.2 +2.8
Shelbourne 1263 28 +19 5 4.4 +0.6
St Patrick's Athletic 1260 28 -60 3 4.6 -1.6
Finn Harps 1254 26 -27 5 4.8 +0.2
Cork Celtic 1293 25 +34 6 5.1 +0.9
Athlone Town 1227 23 -34 2 4.5 -2.5
Shamrock Rovers 1130 17 -33 4 3.7 +0.3
Limerick 1166 16 +19 4 3.7 +0.3
Albert Rovers 1158 16 -43 1 3.6 -2.6
Home Farm 1100 12 -27 2 3.3 -1.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AR AT BOH CC DU DUN FH HF LIM SR SHE SR SPA WAT
Albert Rovers —
0-0-2
2.50
0-0-2
2.23
0-0-2
2.32
0-0-2
1.63
1-1-0
2.12
0-1-1
2.19
0-1-1
3.50
2-0-0
2.95
1-0-1
2.93
1-1-0
2.18
0-0-2
1.36
0-1-1
2.24
0-1-1
2.26
Athlone Town
2-0-0
2.99
—
1-0-1
1.91
0-2-0
2.58
0-1-1
2.19
0-0-2
2.31
0-1-1
2.43
2-0-0
3.60
1-0-1
3.37
1-0-1
3.51
0-0-2
2.57
0-0-2
2.16
0-2-0
2.69
1-1-0
2.26
Bohemian
2-0-0
3.28
1-0-1
3.58
—
2-0-0
3.35
1-1-0
2.62
1-0-1
3.10
2-0-0
3.11
2-0-0
4.00
1-1-0
3.61
2-0-0
3.81
1-1-0
3.22
1-0-1
2.94
1-0-1
3.55
0-1-1
2.59
Cork Celtic
2-0-0
3.17
0-2-0
2.91
0-0-2
2.15
—
1-0-1
2.35
0-0-2
2.85
0-1-1
2.94
1-0-1
3.68
2-0-0
3.31
1-1-0
3.51
1-0-1
3.00
1-0-1
2.40
0-1-1
3.29
1-0-1
2.32
Drogheda United
2-0-0
3.88
1-1-0
3.31
0-1-1
2.87
1-0-1
3.13
—
1-1-0
2.90
1-1-0
3.14
2-0-0
3.84
0-1-1
3.75
2-0-0
3.45
1-1-0
3.24
0-1-1
2.43
1-1-0
3.23
0-2-0
2.56
Dundalk
0-1-1
3.38
2-0-0
3.18
1-0-1
2.39
2-0-0
2.64
0-1-1
2.59
—
1-0-1
2.66
1-0-1
4.13
1-1-0
3.77
1-0-1
3.45
0-1-1
2.79
1-0-1
2.73
1-1-0
3.04
1-0-1
2.37
Finn Harps
1-1-0
3.30
1-1-0
3.06
0-0-2
2.38
1-1-0
2.55
0-1-1
2.35
1-0-1
2.83
—
0-2-0
3.82
2-0-0
3.39
1-0-1
3.69
0-1-1
3.09
0-0-2
2.64
1-1-0
3.16
1-0-1
2.21
Home Farm
1-1-0
2.00
0-0-2
1.90
0-0-2
1.51
1-0-1
1.82
0-0-2
1.66
1-0-1
1.39
0-2-0
1.69
—
1-0-1
2.52
0-1-1
2.50
0-0-2
2.06
0-0-2
1.34
0-0-2
2.15
0-0-2
1.31
Limerick
0-0-2
2.54
1-0-1
2.13
0-1-1
1.89
0-0-2
2.18
1-1-0
1.75
0-1-1
1.73
0-0-2
2.10
1-0-1
2.97
—
1-1-0
2.59
1-0-1
2.17
0-0-2
1.86
0-1-1
2.22
0-1-1
1.57
Shamrock Rovers
1-0-1
2.56
1-0-1
1.99
0-0-2
1.69
0-1-1
1.99
0-0-2
2.05
1-0-1
2.04
1-0-1
1.80
1-1-0
2.99
0-1-1
2.90
—
1-0-1
1.91
0-0-2
1.36
1-0-1
2.13
0-0-2
1.76
Shelbourne
0-1-1
3.31
2-0-0
2.92
0-1-1
2.28
1-0-1
2.49
0-1-1
2.25
1-1-0
2.70
1-1-0
2.40
2-0-0
3.44
1-0-1
3.33
1-0-1
3.59
—
0-1-1
2.78
1-1-0
2.93
0-1-1
2.34
Sligo Rovers
2-0-0
4.16
2-0-0
3.34
1-0-1
2.55
1-0-1
3.10
1-1-0
3.05
1-0-1
2.76
2-0-0
2.85
2-0-0
4.18
2-0-0
3.66
2-0-0
4.16
1-1-0
2.71
—
1-0-1
3.25
0-1-1
2.71
St Patrick's Athletic
1-1-0
3.25
0-2-0
2.80
1-0-1
1.95
1-1-0
2.20
0-1-1
2.26
0-1-1
2.45
0-1-1
2.32
2-0-0
3.35
1-1-0
3.27
1-0-1
3.36
0-1-1
2.56
1-0-1
2.24
—
1-1-0
2.09
Waterford
1-1-0
3.25
0-1-1
3.23
1-1-0
2.90
1-0-1
3.18
0-2-0
2.93
1-0-1
3.13
1-0-1
3.28
2-0-0
4.21
1-1-0
3.94
2-0-0
3.74
1-1-0
3.15
1-1-0
2.78
0-1-1
3.41
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.68 +6.1
Allowed 0.73 -7.4
Differential 0.96 +4.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.04%7.14%4.95%1.92%1.10%1.37%22.53%
17.14%11.54%8.79%6.32%0.55%1.37%35.71%
24.95%8.79%6.59%1.65%1.37%0.55%23.90%
31.92%6.32%1.65%—0.27%0.55%10.71%
41.10%0.55%1.37%0.27%——3.30%
5+1.37%1.37%0.55%0.55%——3.85%
Total22.53%35.71%23.90%10.71%3.30%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.50 +0.00
SD 1.31 1.31 1.93
CV 0.87 0.87 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%19.23%3.85%—7.69%—42.31%
17.69%7.69%11.54%11.54%—3.85%42.31%
23.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
3———————
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total23.08%30.77%23.08%11.54%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 1.62 -0.81
SD 0.94 1.39 1.63
CV 1.16 0.86 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%—3.85%—3.85%19.23%
13.85%11.54%11.54%3.85%3.85%—34.62%
2—3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%—19.23%
3—11.54%——3.85%—15.38%
47.69%—3.85%———11.54%
5+———————
Total19.23%30.77%23.08%11.54%11.54%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 1.77 -0.12
SD 1.29 1.42 2.07
CV 0.78 0.80 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%3.85%——11.54%
115.38%11.54%—7.69%——34.62%
23.85%19.23%3.85%———26.92%
3—11.54%3.85%———15.38%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total23.08%53.85%11.54%11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 1.12 +0.81
SD 1.47 0.91 1.92
CV 0.76 0.81 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%3.85%——3.85%23.08%
13.85%7.69%7.69%7.69%——26.92%
27.69%3.85%7.69%3.85%——23.08%
33.85%————3.85%7.69%
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+—3.85%7.69%———11.54%
Total19.23%30.77%30.77%11.54%—7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 1.69 +0.15
SD 1.64 1.46 2.17
CV 0.89 0.86 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%—————7.69%
17.69%11.54%3.85%7.69%3.85%—34.62%
23.85%11.54%19.23%———34.62%
33.85%—————3.85%
43.85%—3.85%———7.69%
5+3.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
Total30.77%26.92%26.92%11.54%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.15 1.31 +0.85
SD 1.74 1.16 2.07
CV 0.81 0.89 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
13.85%7.69%7.69%7.69%——26.92%
23.85%7.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%—30.77%
33.85%19.23%————23.08%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+———3.85%——3.85%
Total15.38%38.46%19.23%23.08%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 1.62 +0.35
SD 1.34 1.13 1.60
CV 0.68 0.70 —
Max 6 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%——3.85%19.23%
1—7.69%11.54%3.85%—3.85%26.92%
27.69%15.38%19.23%———42.31%
3—7.69%————7.69%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total11.54%42.31%34.62%3.85%—7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 1.73 -0.19
SD 1.14 1.59 2.19
CV 0.74 0.92 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%15.38%7.69%3.85%7.69%50.00%
1—3.85%15.38%3.85%——23.08%
27.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
3—3.85%———3.85%7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%19.23%34.62%15.38%3.85%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 2.12 -1.27
SD 1.01 1.58 1.91
CV 1.19 0.75 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—15.38%11.54%———26.92%
13.85%19.23%11.54%7.69%—3.85%46.15%
2—7.69%3.85%—3.85%3.85%19.23%
3——3.85%———3.85%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total7.69%42.31%30.77%7.69%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.81 -0.69
SD 0.99 1.30 1.59
CV 0.89 0.72 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%15.38%3.85%3.85%—38.46%
17.69%7.69%7.69%11.54%——34.62%
2—7.69%—3.85%3.85%—15.38%
3—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.54%34.62%26.92%19.23%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.77 -0.77
SD 1.02 1.14 1.56
CV 1.02 0.65 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%—3.85%——11.54%
17.69%26.92%7.69%3.85%—3.85%50.00%
23.85%3.85%3.85%—3.85%—15.38%
33.85%7.69%11.54%———23.08%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%46.15%23.08%7.69%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.54 -0.04
SD 0.99 1.33 1.71
CV 0.66 0.87 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%—————7.69%
123.08%3.85%15.38%3.85%——46.15%
27.69%11.54%————19.23%
33.85%11.54%————15.38%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+7.69%—————7.69%
Total50.00%26.92%19.23%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 0.77 +1.08
SD 1.35 0.91 1.67
CV 0.73 1.18 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%7.69%7.69%3.85%——38.46%
1—15.38%3.85%——3.85%23.08%
211.54%15.38%3.85%———30.77%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4———————
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total34.62%42.31%15.38%3.85%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.04 +0.12
SD 1.22 1.15 1.80
CV 1.06 1.11 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%—————7.69%
115.38%19.23%7.69%7.69%——50.00%
27.69%7.69%7.69%——3.85%26.92%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total38.46%34.62%15.38%7.69%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.08 +0.54
SD 1.20 1.23 1.70
CV 0.74 1.14 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Bohemian 1431 38 30.84 +7.16 96.0% 22 24 27 31 34 38 40
Sligo Rovers 1418 39 30.25 +8.75 98.0% 19 23 27 30 34 38 42
Drogheda United 1388 34 30.46 +3.54 82.0% 17 24 28 30 33 36 42
Waterford 1380 33 31.29 +1.71 69.0% 17 24 28 32 34 38 42
Dundalk 1376 29 28.44 +0.56 58.0% 20 22 26 28 31 34 37
Cork Celtic 1293 25 27.41 -2.41 33.0% 18 20 24 28 30 34 37
Shelbourne 1263 28 26.30 +1.70 66.0% 15 20 23 26 29 33 36
St Patrick's Athletic 1260 28 24.65 +3.35 79.0% 13 17 21 25 28 32 37
Finn Harps 1254 26 27.61 -1.61 37.0% 17 21 25 27 30 35 41
Athlone Town 1227 23 25.02 -2.02 40.0% 18 18 21 25 28 32 36
Limerick 1166 16 20.83 -4.83 15.0% 11 13 18 21 23 28 29
Albert Rovers 1158 16 22.98 -6.98 5.0% 12 14 21 23 26 29 32
Shamrock Rovers 1130 17 20.23 -3.23 27.0% 11 13 17 20 23 27 30
Home Farm 1100 12 17.69 -5.69 6.0% 7 12 15 18 20 24 26

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+10.99%
Slight Edge
43.41%24.18%32.42%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 38.33 Elo pts.
173 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.27 goals
Neutral
-2+0.22+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
6.1
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
17%
Sligo Rovers, 3rd of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.04/gm
Photo Finish
00.100.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.39 * Some Luck: 3.39 to 5.08 * Lucky: 5.08 to 6.77 * Wild Swing: 6.77 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.92 * Close: 1.92 to 2.88 * Off: 2.88 to 3.84 * Way Off: 3.84 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.51 points
Some Luck
04.2311
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.43
Pinpoint
02.405
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
98.00%
Sligo Rovers
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
5.00%
Albert Rovers
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Even
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 110.68
1.90
Moderate Separation
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
76%
Clear Edge
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
87%
Even
50%91%100%
Close Games
Expected
60%
Frequent
0%56%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Occasional
0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.31
Very Even
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.17
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.36
Some Carryover
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
29%
Very Upset-Prone
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Very Shaky
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.20
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.09
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.093
Well Within Noise
00.1220.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Sligo Rovers17.00%17.00%11.00%15.00%9.00%7.00%9.00%4.00%2.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%——
Bohemian21.00%22.00%11.00%8.00%7.00%5.00%13.00%4.00%5.00%2.00%2.00%———
Drogheda United16.00%11.00%17.00%11.00%16.00%15.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%—1.00%1.00%
Waterford23.00%21.00%13.00%11.00%9.00%5.00%6.00%5.00%5.00%1.00%——1.00%—
Dundalk7.00%8.00%14.00%10.00%12.00%8.00%13.00%8.00%8.00%7.00%2.00%3.00%——
St Patrick's Athletic1.00%1.00%6.00%7.00%6.00%6.00%8.00%18.00%8.00%8.00%10.00%4.00%14.00%3.00%
Shelbourne3.00%5.00%6.00%9.00%9.00%10.00%5.00%9.00%14.00%10.00%8.00%7.00%4.00%1.00%
Finn Harps7.00%6.00%6.00%8.00%9.00%17.00%7.00%12.00%10.00%7.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%—
Cork Celtic3.00%6.00%11.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%5.00%3.00%—
Athlone Town2.00%3.00%3.00%7.00%6.00%6.00%12.00%7.00%15.00%9.00%13.00%8.00%6.00%3.00%
Shamrock Rovers———2.00%—4.00%5.00%7.00%5.00%5.00%11.00%20.00%19.00%22.00%
Limerick————4.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%7.00%12.00%14.00%25.00%14.00%16.00%
Albert Rovers——2.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%7.00%11.00%7.00%21.00%14.00%11.00%11.00%7.00%
Home Farm——————1.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%9.00%13.00%24.00%47.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Albert Rovers 100%
Athlone Town 100%
Bohemian 100%
Cork Celtic 100%
Drogheda United 100%
Dundalk 100%
Finn Harps 100%
Home Farm 100%
Limerick 100%
Shamrock Rovers 100%
Shelbourne 100%
Sligo Rovers 100%
St Patrick's Athletic 100%
Waterford 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1976-10-03 Shamrock Rovers L 1-251.7 1297 1225 53.63% 25.23% 21.14%+0.64 -13.5 0
1976-10-03 @ Albert Rovers W 2-151.7 1225 1297 21.14% 25.23% 53.63%-0.64 +13.5 2
1976-10-03 Waterford W 3-144.3 1250 1313 36.51% 25.62% 37.88%-0.14 +17.4 2
1976-10-03 @ Athlone Town L 1-344.3 1313 1250 37.88% 25.62% 36.51%+0.14 -17.4 0
1976-10-03 Cork Celtic W 6-344.3 1274 1295 42.22% 25.63% 32.15%+0.10 +17.5 2
1976-10-03 @ Drogheda United L 3-644.3 1295 1274 32.15% 25.63% 42.22%-0.10 -17.5 0
1976-10-03 Shelbourne L 1-344.1 1223 1273 38.32% 25.63% 36.04%-0.06 -17.6 0
1976-10-03 @ Home Farm W 3-144.1 1273 1223 36.04% 25.63% 38.32%+0.06 +17.6 2
1976-10-03 Bohemian L 1-245.9 1250 1340 32.74% 25.55% 41.71%-0.30 -9.0 0
1976-10-03 @ Limerick W 2-145.9 1340 1250 41.71% 25.55% 32.74%+0.30 +9.0 2
1976-10-03 Dundalk W 4-250.4 1232 1341 30.13% 25.47% 44.40%-0.41 +17.7 2
1976-10-03 @ Sligo Rovers L 2-450.4 1341 1232 44.40% 25.47% 30.13%+0.41 -17.7 0
1976-10-03 Finn Harps D 1-152.8 1213 1320 30.42% 25.48% 44.10%-0.40 +0.8 1
1976-10-03 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-152.8 1320 1213 44.10% 25.48% 30.42%+0.40 -0.8 1
1976-10-10 Home Farm W 2-031.6 1349 1205 60.43% 24.56% 15.01%+1.05 +9.5 4
1976-10-10 @ Bohemian L 0-231.6 1205 1349 15.01% 24.56% 60.43%-1.05 -9.5 0
1976-10-10 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-048.6 1278 1213 52.76% 25.29% 21.95%+0.59 -2.0 1
1976-10-10 @ Cork Celtic D 0-048.6 1213 1278 21.95% 25.29% 52.76%-0.59 +2.0 2
1976-10-10 Albert Rovers L 0-242.6 1324 1283 50.02% 25.43% 24.55%+0.45 -25.3 0
1976-10-10 @ Dundalk W 2-042.6 1283 1324 24.55% 25.43% 50.02%-0.45 +25.3 2
1976-10-10 Limerick W 5-134.9 1319 1241 54.22% 25.19% 20.59%+0.67 +19.8 3
1976-10-10 @ Finn Harps L 1-534.9 1241 1319 20.59% 25.19% 54.22%-0.67 -19.8 0
1976-10-10 Drogheda United L 1-247.1 1238 1291 37.83% 25.63% 36.54%-0.08 -10.0 2
1976-10-10 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-147.1 1291 1238 36.54% 25.63% 37.83%+0.08 +10.1 4
1976-10-10 Athlone Town W 3-033.2 1290 1268 47.88% 25.51% 26.60%+0.35 +22.3 4
1976-10-10 @ Shelbourne L 0-333.2 1268 1290 26.60% 25.51% 47.88%-0.35 -22.3 2
1976-10-10 Sligo Rovers W 2-143.0 1295 1249 50.68% 25.40% 23.92%+0.49 +7.1 2
1976-10-10 @ Waterford L 1-243.0 1249 1295 23.92% 25.40% 50.68%-0.49 -7.1 2
1976-10-17 Waterford L 1-347.0 1309 1302 45.89% 25.57% 28.54%+0.26 -20.3 2
1976-10-17 @ Albert Rovers W 3-147.0 1302 1309 28.54% 25.57% 45.89%-0.26 +20.3 4
1976-10-17 Bohemian W 3-146.6 1245 1358 29.72% 25.45% 44.83%-0.43 +19.9 4
1976-10-17 @ Athlone Town L 1-346.6 1358 1245 44.83% 25.45% 29.72%+0.43 -19.9 4
1976-10-17 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-141.5 1301 1215 55.05% 25.13% 19.83%+0.72 +6.0 6
1976-10-17 @ Drogheda United L 1-241.5 1215 1301 19.83% 25.13% 55.05%-0.72 -6.0 2
1976-10-17 Finn Harps D 2-258.4 1196 1339 26.07% 25.27% 48.66%-0.60 +1.0 1
1976-10-17 @ Home Farm D 2-258.4 1339 1196 48.66% 25.27% 26.07%+0.60 -1.0 4
1976-10-17 Cork Celtic L 0-238.5 1221 1276 37.66% 25.63% 36.71%-0.09 -20.0 0
1976-10-17 @ Limerick W 2-038.5 1276 1221 36.71% 25.63% 37.66%+0.09 +20.0 3
1976-10-17 Dundalk L 1-343.4 1228 1298 35.39% 25.60% 39.01%-0.18 -16.6 2
1976-10-17 @ Shamrock Rovers W 3-143.4 1298 1228 39.01% 25.60% 35.39%+0.18 +16.6 2
1976-10-17 Shelbourne W 1-042.5 1242 1312 35.40% 25.60% 38.99%-0.18 +10.9 4
1976-10-17 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-142.5 1312 1242 38.99% 25.60% 35.40%+0.18 -10.9 4
1976-10-24 Sligo Rovers L 0-341.8 1338 1253 54.96% 25.13% 19.91%+0.71 -40.0 4
1976-10-24 @ Bohemian W 3-041.8 1253 1338 19.91% 25.13% 54.96%-0.71 +40.0 6
1976-10-24 Home Farm W 3-030.4 1296 1197 56.34% 25.01% 18.64%+0.79 +16.7 5
1976-10-24 @ Cork Celtic L 0-330.4 1197 1296 18.64% 25.01% 56.34%-0.79 -16.7 1
1976-10-24 Drogheda United L 0-145.0 1315 1307 46.04% 25.57% 28.39%+0.27 -12.5 2
1976-10-24 @ Dundalk W 1-045.0 1307 1315 28.39% 25.57% 46.04%-0.27 +12.5 8
1976-10-24 Athlone Town D 1-153.3 1338 1265 53.63% 25.23% 21.14%+0.64 -1.9 5
1976-10-24 @ Finn Harps D 1-153.3 1265 1338 21.14% 25.23% 53.63%-0.64 +1.9 5
1976-10-24 Albert Rovers D 1-153.1 1302 1288 46.74% 25.55% 27.71%+0.30 -1.1 5
1976-10-24 @ Shelbourne D 1-153.1 1288 1302 27.71% 25.55% 46.74%-0.30 +1.1 3
1976-10-24 Limerick D 1-152.4 1209 1201 46.09% 25.57% 28.34%+0.27 -1.0 3
1976-10-24 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-152.4 1201 1209 28.34% 25.57% 46.09%-0.27 +1.0 1
1976-10-24 Shamrock Rovers W 3-030.2 1323 1212 57.55% 24.90% 17.56%+0.86 +15.9 6
1976-10-24 @ Waterford L 0-330.2 1212 1323 17.56% 24.90% 57.55%-0.86 -15.8 2
1976-10-31 Bohemian L 0-144.1 1289 1298 43.92% 25.61% 30.47%+0.17 -12.0 3
1976-10-31 @ Albert Rovers W 1-044.1 1298 1289 30.47% 25.61% 43.92%-0.17 +12.0 6
1976-10-31 Cork Celtic D 1-153.0 1267 1312 38.97% 25.64% 35.39%-0.04 -0.2 6
1976-10-31 @ Athlone Town D 1-153.0 1312 1267 35.39% 25.64% 38.97%+0.04 +0.2 6
1976-10-31 Waterford W 2-146.7 1302 1338 40.21% 25.64% 34.15%+0.01 +9.3 4
1976-10-31 @ Dundalk L 1-246.7 1338 1302 34.15% 25.64% 40.21%-0.01 -9.3 6
1976-10-31 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-247.8 1180 1208 41.32% 25.64% 33.05%+0.06 -10.8 1
1976-10-31 @ Home Farm W 2-147.8 1208 1180 33.05% 25.64% 41.32%-0.06 +10.8 5
1976-10-31 Drogheda United W 2-149.3 1202 1320 29.12% 25.43% 45.45%-0.46 +11.6 3
1976-10-31 @ Limerick L 1-249.3 1320 1202 45.45% 25.43% 29.12%+0.46 -11.6 8
1976-10-31 Shelbourne L 2-349.9 1196 1300 30.72% 25.49% 43.79%-0.38 -8.1 2
1976-10-31 @ Shamrock Rovers W 3-249.9 1300 1196 43.79% 25.49% 30.72%+0.38 +8.1 7
1976-10-31 Finn Harps W 2-146.9 1293 1336 39.32% 25.64% 35.04%-0.02 +9.5 8
1976-10-31 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-246.9 1336 1293 35.04% 25.64% 39.32%+0.02 -9.5 5
1976-11-07 Shamrock Rovers W 1-035.3 1310 1188 58.62% 24.78% 16.59%+0.93 +5.5 8
1976-11-07 @ Bohemian L 0-135.3 1188 1310 16.59% 24.78% 58.62%-0.93 -5.5 2
1976-11-07 Sligo Rovers W 2-144.7 1312 1303 46.30% 25.56% 28.14%+0.28 +8.0 8
1976-11-07 @ Cork Celtic L 1-244.7 1303 1312 28.14% 25.56% 46.30%-0.28 -8.0 8
1976-11-07 Waterford D 2-258.9 1308 1329 42.27% 25.63% 32.10%+0.10 -0.4 9
1976-11-07 @ Drogheda United D 2-258.9 1329 1308 32.10% 25.63% 42.27%-0.10 +0.4 7
1976-11-07 Albert Rovers W 2-034.7 1326 1277 51.02% 25.38% 23.59%+0.50 +14.0 7
1976-11-07 @ Finn Harps L 0-234.7 1277 1326 23.59% 25.38% 51.02%-0.50 -14.0 3
1976-11-07 Home Farm W 3-247.7 1214 1169 50.53% 25.41% 24.06%+0.48 +6.7 5
1976-11-07 @ Limerick L 2-347.7 1169 1214 24.06% 25.41% 50.53%-0.48 -6.7 1
1976-11-07 Dundalk W 3-250.3 1309 1312 44.66% 25.60% 29.74%+0.20 +8.0 9
1976-11-07 @ Shelbourne L 2-350.3 1312 1309 29.74% 25.60% 44.66%-0.20 -8.0 4
1976-11-07 Athlone Town D 0-048.4 1219 1267 38.53% 25.64% 35.83%-0.06 -0.2 6
1976-11-07 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-048.4 1267 1219 35.83% 25.64% 38.53%+0.06 +0.2 7
1976-11-13 Cork Celtic L 1-540.2 1264 1320 37.26% 25.63% 37.11%-0.11 -31.4 3
1976-11-13 @ Albert Rovers W 5-140.2 1320 1264 37.11% 25.63% 37.26%+0.11 +31.4 10
1976-11-14 Limerick W 1-037.6 1267 1221 50.78% 25.40% 23.83%+0.49 +7.5 9
1976-11-14 @ Athlone Town L 0-137.6 1221 1267 23.83% 25.40% 50.78%-0.49 -7.5 5
1976-11-14 Bohemian L 1-346.3 1304 1316 43.49% 25.62% 30.90%+0.15 -19.4 4
1976-11-14 @ Dundalk W 3-146.3 1316 1304 30.90% 25.62% 43.49%-0.15 +19.4 10
1976-11-14 Drogheda United L 0-234.7 1163 1308 25.82% 25.26% 48.92%-0.62 -15.0 1
1976-11-14 @ Home Farm W 2-034.7 1308 1163 48.92% 25.26% 25.82%+0.62 +14.9 11
1976-11-14 Finn Harps W 3-147.8 1182 1340 24.32% 25.16% 50.52%-0.69 +22.0 4
1976-11-14 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-347.8 1340 1182 50.52% 25.16% 24.32%+0.69 -22.0 7
1976-11-14 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-251.8 1295 1219 54.01% 25.20% 20.78%+0.66 -13.6 8
1976-11-14 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-151.8 1219 1295 20.78% 25.20% 54.01%-0.66 +13.6 8
1976-11-14 Shelbourne D 1-153.5 1330 1317 46.72% 25.55% 27.73%+0.30 -1.1 8
1976-11-14 @ Waterford D 1-153.5 1317 1330 27.73% 25.55% 46.72%-0.30 +1.1 10
1976-11-21 Waterford L 0-145.3 1335 1328 45.92% 25.57% 28.51%+0.26 -12.4 10
1976-11-21 @ Bohemian W 1-045.3 1328 1335 28.51% 25.57% 45.92%-0.26 +12.5 10
1976-11-21 Shamrock Rovers D 1-153.2 1352 1204 60.83% 24.50% 14.67%+1.08 -2.9 11
1976-11-21 @ Cork Celtic D 1-153.2 1204 1352 14.67% 24.50% 60.83%-1.08 +2.9 5
1976-11-21 Shelbourne W 3-034.4 1323 1318 45.70% 25.58% 28.72%+0.25 +23.7 13
1976-11-21 @ Drogheda United L 0-334.4 1318 1323 28.72% 25.58% 45.70%-0.25 -23.7 10
1976-11-21 Dundalk W 2-143.7 1318 1284 49.29% 25.46% 25.25%+0.42 +7.4 9
1976-11-21 @ Finn Harps L 1-243.7 1284 1318 25.25% 25.46% 49.29%-0.42 -7.4 4
1976-11-21 Athlone Town L 1-243.8 1148 1275 27.94% 25.38% 46.69%-0.51 -8.0 1
1976-11-21 @ Home Farm W 2-143.8 1275 1148 46.69% 25.38% 27.94%+0.51 +8.0 11
1976-11-21 Sligo Rovers L 1-343.3 1213 1281 35.69% 25.61% 38.70%-0.17 -16.7 5
1976-11-21 @ Limerick W 3-143.3 1281 1213 38.70% 25.61% 35.69%+0.17 +16.7 10
1976-11-21 Albert Rovers W 3-141.3 1232 1232 45.11% 25.59% 29.31%+0.22 +14.3 10
1976-11-21 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-341.3 1232 1232 29.31% 25.59% 45.11%-0.22 -14.3 3
1976-11-28 Limerick W 4-244.6 1218 1197 47.74% 25.52% 26.74%+0.34 +12.0 5
1976-11-28 @ Albert Rovers L 2-444.6 1197 1218 26.74% 25.52% 47.74%-0.34 -12.0 5
1976-11-28 Drogheda United D 2-258.8 1283 1346 36.32% 25.62% 38.06%-0.15 +0.1 12
1976-11-28 @ Athlone Town D 2-258.8 1346 1283 38.06% 25.62% 36.32%+0.15 -0.1 14
1976-11-28 Cork Celtic W 3-145.1 1277 1349 35.12% 25.60% 39.28%-0.20 +17.9 6
1976-11-28 @ Dundalk L 1-345.1 1349 1277 39.28% 25.60% 35.12%+0.20 -17.9 11
1976-11-28 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-040.8 1207 1247 39.68% 25.64% 34.68%-0.01 +10.0 7
1976-11-28 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-140.8 1247 1207 34.68% 25.64% 39.68%+0.01 -10.0 10
1976-11-28 Bohemian D 1-153.2 1294 1323 41.22% 25.64% 33.14%+0.06 -0.5 11
1976-11-28 @ Shelbourne D 1-153.2 1323 1294 33.14% 25.64% 41.22%-0.06 +0.4 11
1976-11-28 Home Farm W 5-028.7 1298 1140 61.68% 24.38% 13.95%+1.14 +20.8 12
1976-11-28 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-528.7 1140 1298 13.95% 24.38% 61.68%-1.14 -20.8 1
1976-11-28 Finn Harps W 1-039.8 1341 1326 47.02% 25.54% 27.44%+0.31 +8.3 12
1976-11-28 @ Waterford L 0-139.8 1326 1341 27.44% 25.54% 47.02%-0.31 -8.3 9
1976-12-05 Sligo Rovers L 0-537.6 1283 1319 40.23% 25.64% 34.13%+0.01 -49.3 12
1976-12-05 @ Athlone Town W 5-037.6 1319 1283 34.13% 25.64% 40.23%-0.01 +49.3 14
1976-12-05 Waterford W 5-243.8 1331 1349 42.66% 25.63% 31.71%+0.12 +18.7 13
1976-12-05 @ Cork Celtic L 2-543.8 1349 1331 31.71% 25.63% 42.66%-0.12 -18.7 12
1976-12-05 Bohemian D 2-259.3 1346 1323 47.98% 25.51% 26.51%+0.36 -0.9 15
1976-12-05 @ Drogheda United D 2-259.3 1323 1346 26.51% 25.51% 47.98%-0.36 +0.9 12
1976-12-05 Shelbourne L 1-250.6 1317 1293 48.05% 25.51% 26.44%+0.36 -12.2 9
1976-12-05 @ Finn Harps W 2-150.6 1293 1317 26.44% 25.51% 48.05%-0.36 +12.2 13
1976-12-05 Albert Rovers D 1-152.4 1119 1230 29.96% 25.46% 44.57%-0.42 +0.8 2
1976-12-05 @ Home Farm D 1-152.4 1230 1119 44.57% 25.46% 29.96%+0.42 -0.8 6
1976-12-05 Shamrock Rovers D 1-152.4 1185 1217 40.73% 25.64% 33.63%+0.03 -0.4 6
1976-12-05 @ Limerick D 1-152.4 1217 1185 33.63% 25.64% 40.73%-0.03 +0.4 8
1976-12-05 Dundalk D 1-152.7 1237 1295 37.11% 25.63% 37.26%-0.11 +0.0 11
1976-12-05 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-152.7 1295 1237 37.26% 25.63% 37.11%+0.11 -0.0 7
1976-12-12 Athlone Town L 0-437.7 1229 1233 44.46% 25.60% 29.94%+0.19 -43.3 6
1976-12-12 @ Albert Rovers W 4-037.7 1233 1229 29.94% 25.60% 44.46%-0.19 +43.3 14
1976-12-12 Finn Harps W 6-034.7 1324 1305 47.48% 25.53% 26.99%+0.33 +43.2 14
1976-12-12 @ Bohemian L 0-634.7 1305 1324 26.99% 25.53% 47.48%-0.33 -43.2 9
1976-12-12 Limerick W 2-140.7 1295 1184 57.50% 24.90% 17.60%+0.86 +5.5 9
1976-12-12 @ Dundalk L 1-240.7 1184 1295 17.60% 24.90% 57.50%-0.86 -5.5 6
1976-12-12 Home Farm D 0-048.3 1217 1120 56.23% 25.03% 18.75%+0.79 -2.5 9
1976-12-12 @ Shamrock Rovers D 0-048.3 1120 1217 18.75% 25.03% 56.23%-0.79 +2.5 3
1976-12-12 Cork Celtic W 1-042.1 1306 1350 39.09% 25.64% 35.28%-0.03 +10.1 15
1976-12-12 @ Shelbourne L 0-142.1 1350 1306 35.28% 25.64% 39.09%+0.03 -10.1 13
1976-12-12 Drogheda United W 3-142.2 1368 1345 47.93% 25.51% 26.56%+0.35 +13.3 16
1976-12-12 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-342.2 1345 1368 26.56% 25.51% 47.93%-0.35 -13.3 15
1976-12-12 St Patrick's Athletic D 2-258.6 1331 1237 55.86% 25.06% 19.09%+0.76 -1.7 13
1976-12-12 @ Waterford D 2-258.6 1237 1331 19.09% 25.06% 55.86%-0.76 +1.7 12
1976-12-19 Shamrock Rovers W 4-243.3 1277 1215 52.52% 25.30% 22.18%+0.58 +10.3 16
1976-12-19 @ Athlone Town L 2-443.3 1215 1277 22.18% 25.30% 52.52%-0.58 -10.3 9
1976-12-19 Bohemian L 2-354.7 1340 1367 41.39% 25.64% 32.98%+0.06 -10.2 13
1976-12-19 @ Cork Celtic W 3-254.7 1367 1340 32.98% 25.64% 41.39%-0.06 +10.2 16
1976-12-19 Finn Harps D 2-258.7 1332 1262 53.41% 25.24% 21.35%+0.63 -1.4 16
1976-12-19 @ Drogheda United D 2-258.7 1262 1332 21.35% 25.24% 53.41%-0.63 +1.4 10
1976-12-19 Dundalk W 3-148.1 1122 1300 22.23% 24.99% 52.78%-0.81 +22.9 5
1976-12-19 @ Home Farm L 1-348.1 1300 1122 52.78% 24.99% 22.23%+0.81 -22.9 9
1976-12-19 Waterford L 0-138.0 1179 1329 25.21% 25.22% 49.57%-0.65 -7.8 6
1976-12-19 @ Limerick W 1-038.0 1329 1179 49.57% 25.22% 25.21%+0.65 +7.8 15
1976-12-19 Albert Rovers W 1-033.8 1381 1186 64.56% 23.87% 11.57%+1.35 +4.0 18
1976-12-19 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-133.8 1186 1381 11.57% 23.87% 64.56%-1.35 -4.0 6
1976-12-19 Shelbourne D 1-152.9 1238 1316 34.40% 25.59% 40.02%-0.23 +0.3 13
1976-12-19 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-152.9 1316 1238 40.02% 25.59% 34.40%+0.23 -0.3 16
1976-12-26 Drogheda United L 1-243.2 1182 1331 25.34% 25.23% 49.43%-0.64 -7.4 6
1976-12-26 @ Albert Rovers W 2-143.2 1331 1182 49.43% 25.23% 25.34%+0.64 +7.4 18
1976-12-26 Athlone Town W 4-353.2 1277 1287 43.78% 25.61% 30.61%+0.17 +7.9 11
1976-12-26 @ Dundalk L 3-453.2 1287 1277 30.61% 25.61% 43.78%-0.17 -7.9 16
1976-12-26 Sligo Rovers L 0-234.0 1204 1385 21.93% 24.97% 53.10%-0.82 -13.1 9
1976-12-26 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-034.0 1385 1204 53.10% 24.97% 21.93%+0.82 +13.1 20
1976-12-26 Home Farm W 2-030.1 1337 1145 64.25% 23.93% 11.82%+1.33 +7.6 17
1976-12-26 @ Waterford L 0-230.1 1145 1337 11.82% 23.93% 64.25%-1.33 -7.7 5
1976-12-27 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-245.5 1377 1239 60.05% 24.61% 15.34%+1.02 -30.0 16
1976-12-27 @ Bohemian W 2-045.5 1239 1377 15.34% 24.61% 60.05%-1.02 +30.0 15
1976-12-27 Cork Celtic D 2-258.6 1263 1329 35.95% 25.61% 38.44%-0.16 +0.1 11
1976-12-27 @ Finn Harps D 2-258.6 1329 1263 38.44% 25.61% 35.95%+0.16 -0.1 14
1976-12-27 Limerick L 0-148.3 1315 1171 60.55% 24.54% 14.91%+1.06 -16.0 16
1976-12-27 @ Shelbourne W 1-048.3 1171 1315 14.91% 24.54% 60.55%-1.06 +16.0 8
1977-01-02 Limerick D 1-153.1 1347 1187 61.87% 24.35% 13.78%+1.15 -3.0 17
1977-01-02 @ Bohemian D 1-153.1 1187 1347 13.78% 24.35% 61.87%-1.15 +3.0 9
1977-01-02 Sligo Rovers W 3-147.3 1285 1398 29.66% 25.45% 44.88%-0.43 +19.9 13
1977-01-02 @ Dundalk L 1-347.3 1398 1285 44.88% 25.45% 29.66%+0.43 -19.9 20
1977-01-02 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-036.3 1263 1269 44.35% 25.60% 30.05%+0.19 +16.9 13
1977-01-02 @ Finn Harps L 0-236.3 1269 1263 30.05% 25.60% 44.35%-0.19 -16.9 15
1977-01-02 Albert Rovers L 0-144.4 1191 1174 47.25% 25.53% 27.21%+0.32 -12.8 9
1977-01-02 @ Shamrock Rovers W 1-044.4 1174 1191 27.21% 25.53% 47.25%-0.32 +12.8 8
1977-01-02 Home Farm W 1-034.1 1299 1138 61.98% 24.33% 13.69%+1.16 +4.6 18
1977-01-02 @ Shelbourne L 0-134.1 1138 1299 13.69% 24.33% 61.98%-1.16 -4.6 5
1977-01-02 Athlone Town D 1-153.4 1344 1279 52.86% 25.28% 21.86%+0.60 -1.8 18
1977-01-02 @ Waterford D 1-153.4 1279 1344 21.86% 25.28% 52.86%-0.60 +1.8 17
1977-01-09 Dundalk D 0-048.5 1187 1305 29.01% 25.42% 45.56%-0.46 +1.1 9
1977-01-09 @ Albert Rovers D 0-048.5 1305 1187 45.56% 25.42% 29.01%+0.46 -1.0 14
1977-01-09 Shelbourne L 2-353.8 1281 1304 42.00% 25.63% 32.37%+0.09 -10.3 17
1977-01-09 @ Athlone Town W 3-253.8 1304 1281 32.37% 25.63% 42.00%-0.09 +10.3 20
1977-01-09 Shamrock Rovers W 1-034.4 1338 1179 61.78% 24.36% 13.86%+1.14 +4.7 20
1977-01-09 @ Drogheda United L 0-134.4 1179 1338 13.86% 24.36% 61.78%-1.14 -4.7 9
1977-01-09 Bohemian L 0-135.9 1133 1344 19.00% 24.65% 56.35%-1.00 -6.2 5
1977-01-09 @ Home Farm W 1-035.9 1344 1133 56.35% 24.65% 19.00%+1.00 +6.1 19
1977-01-09 Finn Harps L 1-245.4 1190 1280 32.64% 25.55% 41.81%-0.30 -9.0 9
1977-01-09 @ Limerick W 2-145.4 1280 1190 41.81% 25.55% 32.64%+0.30 +9.0 15
1977-01-09 Waterford D 0-050.3 1378 1342 49.53% 25.45% 25.02%+0.43 -1.6 21
1977-01-09 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-050.3 1342 1378 25.02% 25.45% 49.53%-0.43 +1.6 19
1977-01-09 Cork Celtic W 5-037.4 1252 1329 34.38% 25.59% 40.03%-0.23 +49.1 17
1977-01-09 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-537.4 1329 1252 40.03% 25.59% 34.38%+0.23 -49.1 14
1977-01-16 Shamrock Rovers L 2-358.2 1304 1174 59.30% 24.70% 15.99%+0.97 -14.1 14
1977-01-16 @ Dundalk W 3-258.2 1174 1304 15.99% 24.70% 59.30%-0.97 +14.1 11
1977-01-16 Home Farm D 0-048.7 1289 1127 62.03% 24.32% 13.65%+1.16 -3.4 16
1977-01-16 @ Finn Harps D 0-048.7 1127 1289 13.65% 24.32% 62.03%-1.16 +3.4 6
1977-01-23 Shelbourne W 2-149.6 1188 1314 28.00% 25.38% 46.62%-0.51 +11.9 11
1977-01-23 @ Albert Rovers L 1-249.6 1314 1188 46.62% 25.38% 28.00%+0.51 -11.9 20
1977-01-23 Finn Harps L 1-248.8 1271 1286 43.07% 25.62% 31.31%+0.13 -11.1 17
1977-01-23 @ Athlone Town W 2-148.8 1286 1271 31.31% 25.62% 43.07%-0.13 +11.1 18
1977-01-23 Dundalk D 2-258.9 1343 1290 51.46% 25.36% 23.18%+0.53 -1.2 21
1977-01-23 @ Drogheda United D 2-258.9 1290 1343 23.18% 25.36% 51.46%-0.53 +1.2 15
1977-01-23 Cork Celtic W 2-041.7 1130 1280 25.23% 25.22% 49.54%-0.65 +25.0 8
1977-01-23 @ Home Farm L 0-241.7 1280 1130 49.54% 25.22% 25.23%+0.65 -25.0 14
1977-01-23 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-235.7 1181 1301 28.80% 25.42% 45.78%-0.47 -16.3 9
1977-01-23 @ Limerick W 2-035.7 1301 1181 45.78% 25.42% 28.80%+0.47 +16.3 19
1977-01-23 Waterford L 0-234.5 1188 1344 24.55% 25.18% 50.27%-0.68 -14.4 11
1977-01-23 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-034.5 1344 1188 50.27% 25.18% 24.55%+0.68 +14.4 21
1977-01-23 Bohemian L 1-252.0 1377 1351 48.36% 25.50% 26.14%+0.37 -12.3 21
1977-01-23 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-152.0 1351 1377 26.14% 25.50% 48.36%-0.37 +12.3 21
1977-01-26 Sligo Rovers D 1-153.7 1303 1365 36.54% 25.62% 37.84%-0.14 +0.1 21
1977-01-26 @ Shelbourne D 1-153.7 1365 1303 37.84% 25.62% 36.54%+0.14 -0.1 22
1977-01-30 Albert Rovers W 1-034.5 1363 1200 62.07% 24.32% 13.61%+1.16 +4.6 23
1977-01-30 @ Bohemian L 0-134.5 1200 1363 13.61% 24.32% 62.07%-1.16 -4.6 11
1977-01-30 Athlone Town D 2-258.2 1255 1260 44.50% 25.60% 29.90%+0.20 -0.6 15
1977-01-30 @ Cork Celtic D 2-258.2 1260 1255 29.90% 25.60% 44.50%-0.20 +0.6 18
1977-01-30 Limerick D 1-153.1 1341 1165 63.15% 24.14% 12.72%+1.24 -3.2 22
1977-01-30 @ Drogheda United D 1-153.1 1165 1341 12.72% 24.14% 63.15%-1.24 +3.2 10
1977-01-30 Sligo Rovers L 0-142.3 1297 1364 35.76% 25.61% 38.63%-0.17 -10.2 18
1977-01-30 @ Finn Harps W 1-042.3 1364 1297 38.63% 25.61% 35.76%+0.17 +10.2 24
1977-01-30 Shamrock Rovers L 1-350.1 1303 1174 59.20% 24.72% 16.09%+0.97 -25.6 21
1977-01-30 @ Shelbourne W 3-150.1 1174 1303 16.09% 24.72% 59.20%-0.97 +25.6 13
1977-01-30 Home Farm W 2-139.3 1317 1155 62.00% 24.33% 13.68%+1.16 +4.4 21
1977-01-30 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-239.3 1155 1317 13.68% 24.33% 62.00%-1.16 -4.4 8
1977-01-30 Dundalk W 2-143.0 1358 1291 53.07% 25.27% 21.66%+0.61 +6.5 23
1977-01-30 @ Waterford L 1-243.0 1291 1358 21.66% 25.27% 53.07%-0.61 -6.5 15
1977-02-06 Finn Harps D 2-258.1 1195 1287 32.47% 25.54% 41.99%-0.31 +0.4 12
1977-02-06 @ Albert Rovers D 2-258.1 1287 1195 41.99% 25.54% 32.47%+0.31 -0.4 19
1977-02-06 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-048.9 1260 1322 36.62% 25.62% 37.76%-0.13 +0.1 19
1977-02-06 @ Athlone Town D 0-048.9 1322 1260 37.76% 25.62% 36.62%+0.13 -0.1 22
1977-02-06 Shelbourne D 1-152.9 1285 1277 46.06% 25.57% 28.37%+0.27 -1.0 16
1977-02-06 @ Dundalk D 1-152.9 1277 1285 28.37% 25.57% 46.06%-0.27 +1.0 22
1977-02-06 Limerick W 2-036.3 1151 1168 42.82% 25.62% 31.56%+0.12 +17.5 10
1977-02-06 @ Home Farm L 0-236.3 1168 1151 31.56% 25.62% 42.82%-0.12 -17.6 10
1977-02-06 Bohemian L 1-242.8 1199 1367 23.24% 25.08% 51.68%-0.75 -6.9 13
1977-02-06 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-142.8 1367 1199 51.68% 25.08% 23.24%+0.75 +6.9 25
1977-02-06 Cork Celtic W 2-141.2 1375 1255 58.39% 24.81% 16.80%+0.92 +5.2 26
1977-02-06 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-241.2 1255 1375 16.80% 24.81% 58.39%-0.92 -5.3 15
1977-02-06 Drogheda United D 1-154.2 1365 1338 48.42% 25.50% 26.08%+0.38 -1.3 24
1977-02-06 @ Waterford D 1-154.2 1338 1365 26.08% 25.50% 48.42%-0.38 +1.3 23
1977-02-20 Dundalk L 1-350.1 1374 1284 55.53% 25.09% 19.38%+0.74 -24.1 25
1977-02-20 @ Bohemian W 3-150.1 1284 1374 19.38% 25.09% 55.53%-0.74 +24.1 18
1977-02-20 Albert Rovers W 1-037.2 1249 1196 51.59% 25.35% 23.05%+0.53 +7.3 17
1977-02-20 @ Cork Celtic L 0-137.2 1196 1249 23.05% 25.35% 51.59%-0.53 -7.3 12
1977-02-20 Home Farm W 5-028.6 1339 1168 62.71% 24.21% 13.08%+1.21 +19.6 25
1977-02-20 @ Drogheda United L 0-528.6 1168 1339 13.08% 24.21% 62.71%-1.21 -19.6 10
1977-02-20 Shamrock Rovers W 3-138.1 1286 1192 55.87% 25.06% 19.07%+0.76 +10.1 21
1977-02-20 @ Finn Harps L 1-338.1 1192 1286 19.07% 25.06% 55.87%-0.76 -10.1 13
1977-02-20 Athlone Town W 2-148.7 1150 1260 30.07% 25.47% 44.47%-0.41 +11.4 12
1977-02-20 @ Limerick L 1-248.7 1260 1150 44.47% 25.47% 30.07%+0.41 -11.4 19
1977-02-20 Waterford L 1-638.8 1278 1364 33.26% 25.56% 41.18%-0.27 -35.3 22
1977-02-20 @ Shelbourne W 6-138.8 1364 1278 41.18% 25.56% 33.26%+0.27 +35.3 26
1977-02-20 Sligo Rovers L 0-143.1 1322 1380 37.06% 25.63% 37.31%-0.12 -10.5 22
1977-02-20 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 1-043.1 1380 1322 37.31% 25.63% 37.06%+0.12 +10.5 28
1977-02-27 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-048.5 1188 1311 28.46% 25.40% 46.14%-0.49 +1.1 13
1977-02-27 @ Albert Rovers D 0-048.5 1311 1188 46.14% 25.40% 28.46%+0.49 -1.1 23
1977-02-27 Home Farm W 4-029.6 1249 1149 56.48% 25.00% 18.52%+0.80 +21.7 21
1977-02-27 @ Athlone Town L 0-429.6 1149 1249 18.52% 25.00% 56.48%-0.80 -21.7 10
1977-02-27 Finn Harps W 2-036.0 1308 1296 46.52% 25.56% 27.92%+0.29 +16.0 20
1977-02-27 @ Dundalk L 0-236.0 1296 1308 27.92% 25.56% 46.52%-0.29 -16.0 21
1977-02-27 Cork Celtic L 0-237.4 1182 1257 34.80% 25.60% 39.60%-0.21 -18.9 13
1977-02-27 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-037.4 1257 1182 39.60% 25.60% 34.80%+0.21 +18.9 19
1977-02-27 Drogheda United D 1-153.2 1243 1359 29.24% 25.43% 45.33%-0.45 +0.9 23
1977-02-27 @ Shelbourne D 1-153.2 1359 1243 45.33% 25.43% 29.24%+0.45 -0.9 26
1977-02-27 Limerick W 1-033.0 1390 1162 66.81% 23.37% 9.82%+1.54 +3.4 30
1977-02-27 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-133.0 1162 1390 9.82% 23.37% 66.81%-1.54 -3.4 12
1977-02-27 Bohemian D 1-154.9 1399 1350 51.03% 25.38% 23.59%+0.50 -1.6 27
1977-02-27 @ Waterford D 1-154.9 1350 1399 23.59% 25.38% 51.03%-0.50 +1.6 26
1977-03-13 Shelbourne W 2-141.3 1352 1244 57.27% 24.93% 17.80%+0.85 +5.5 28
1977-03-13 @ Bohemian L 1-241.3 1244 1352 17.80% 24.93% 57.27%-0.85 -5.5 23
1977-03-13 Dundalk L 0-142.6 1276 1324 38.49% 25.64% 35.87%-0.06 -10.8 19
1977-03-13 @ Cork Celtic W 1-042.6 1324 1276 35.87% 25.64% 38.49%+0.06 +10.8 22
1977-03-13 Athlone Town W 4-243.2 1358 1270 55.25% 25.11% 19.64%+0.73 +9.3 28
1977-03-13 @ Drogheda United L 2-443.2 1270 1358 19.64% 25.11% 55.25%-0.73 -9.3 21
1977-03-13 Waterford W 3-147.4 1281 1397 29.18% 25.43% 45.38%-0.45 +20.1 23
1977-03-13 @ Finn Harps L 1-347.4 1397 1281 45.38% 25.43% 29.18%+0.45 -20.1 27
1977-03-13 Sligo Rovers L 0-231.1 1127 1394 14.57% 23.95% 61.48%-1.32 -9.2 10
1977-03-13 @ Home Farm W 2-031.1 1394 1127 61.48% 23.95% 14.57%+1.32 +9.2 32
1977-03-13 Albert Rovers L 0-142.5 1158 1189 40.89% 25.64% 33.47%+0.04 -11.3 12
1977-03-13 @ Limerick W 1-042.5 1189 1158 33.47% 25.64% 40.89%-0.04 +11.3 15
1977-03-13 Shamrock Rovers W 2-031.2 1310 1163 60.72% 24.52% 14.76%+1.07 +9.4 25
1977-03-13 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-231.2 1163 1310 14.76% 24.52% 60.72%-1.07 -9.4 13
1977-03-17 Drogheda United D 0-049.8 1319 1368 38.51% 25.64% 35.85%-0.06 -0.2 26
1977-03-17 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-049.8 1368 1319 35.85% 25.64% 38.51%+0.06 +0.2 29
1977-03-17 Albert Rovers D 0-049.3 1377 1201 63.13% 24.14% 12.73%+1.24 -3.6 28
1977-03-17 @ Waterford D 0-049.3 1201 1377 12.73% 24.14% 63.13%-1.24 +3.6 16
1977-03-20 Home Farm L 1-251.7 1204 1118 55.11% 25.12% 19.77%+0.72 -13.8 16
1977-03-20 @ Albert Rovers W 2-151.7 1118 1204 19.77% 25.12% 55.11%-0.72 +13.8 12
1977-03-20 Drogheda United W 3-143.7 1357 1368 43.71% 25.61% 30.68%+0.16 +14.9 30
1977-03-20 @ Bohemian L 1-343.7 1368 1357 30.68% 25.61% 43.71%-0.16 -14.9 29
1977-03-20 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-034.1 1335 1319 47.04% 25.54% 27.42%+0.31 +22.9 24
1977-03-20 @ Dundalk L 0-334.1 1319 1335 27.42% 25.54% 47.04%-0.31 -22.9 26
1977-03-20 Limerick L 0-437.9 1154 1147 45.96% 25.57% 28.47%+0.26 -44.6 13
1977-03-20 @ Shamrock Rovers W 4-037.9 1147 1154 28.47% 25.57% 45.96%-0.26 +44.6 14
1977-03-20 Finn Harps D 2-258.3 1238 1301 36.47% 25.62% 37.91%-0.14 +0.1 24
1977-03-20 @ Shelbourne D 2-258.3 1301 1238 37.91% 25.62% 36.47%+0.14 -0.1 24
1977-03-20 Athlone Town W 2-140.9 1403 1261 60.32% 24.57% 15.11%+1.04 +4.8 34
1977-03-20 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-240.9 1261 1403 15.11% 24.57% 60.32%-1.04 -4.8 21
1977-03-20 Cork Celtic W 1-036.4 1374 1265 57.35% 24.92% 17.73%+0.85 +5.8 30
1977-03-20 @ Waterford L 0-136.4 1265 1374 17.73% 24.92% 57.35%-0.85 -5.8 19
1977-03-27 Albert Rovers W 3-138.9 1256 1191 52.93% 25.28% 21.79%+0.60 +11.3 23
1977-03-27 @ Athlone Town L 1-338.9 1191 1256 21.79% 25.28% 52.93%-0.60 -11.3 16
1977-03-27 Shelbourne W 4-244.8 1259 1238 47.69% 25.52% 26.79%+0.34 +12.0 21
1977-03-27 @ Cork Celtic L 2-444.8 1238 1259 26.79% 25.52% 47.69%-0.34 -12.0 24
1977-03-27 Sligo Rovers D 0-050.9 1353 1408 37.54% 25.63% 36.83%-0.10 -0.0 30
1977-03-27 @ Drogheda United D 0-050.9 1408 1353 36.83% 25.63% 37.54%+0.10 +0.0 35
1977-03-27 Bohemian L 1-247.3 1301 1372 35.18% 25.60% 39.22%-0.19 -9.5 24
1977-03-27 @ Finn Harps W 2-147.3 1372 1301 39.22% 25.60% 35.18%+0.19 +9.5 32
1977-03-27 Shamrock Rovers L 1-249.6 1132 1109 47.88% 25.51% 26.60%+0.35 -12.2 12
1977-03-27 @ Home Farm W 2-149.6 1109 1132 26.60% 25.51% 47.88%-0.35 +12.2 15
1977-03-27 Dundalk D 2-258.5 1192 1358 23.48% 25.10% 51.42%-0.74 +1.2 15
1977-03-27 @ Limerick D 2-258.5 1358 1192 51.42% 25.10% 23.48%+0.74 -1.2 25
1977-03-27 Waterford W 2-149.1 1296 1380 33.58% 25.57% 40.84%-0.26 +10.7 28
1977-03-27 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-249.1 1380 1296 40.84% 25.57% 33.58%+0.26 -10.6 30
1977-03-31 Athlone Town W 4-136.0 1382 1268 57.82% 24.87% 17.31%+0.88 +13.2 34
1977-03-31 @ Bohemian L 1-436.0 1268 1382 17.31% 24.87% 57.82%-0.88 -13.2 23
1977-04-02 Athlone Town W 1-044.4 1122 1255 27.22% 25.34% 47.44%-0.55 +12.8 17
1977-04-02 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-144.4 1255 1122 47.44% 25.34% 27.22%+0.55 -12.8 23
1977-04-03 Sligo Rovers L 0-135.9 1179 1408 17.51% 24.45% 58.04%-1.10 -5.7 16
1977-04-03 @ Albert Rovers W 1-035.9 1408 1179 58.04% 24.45% 17.51%+1.10 +5.7 37
1977-04-10 Dundalk L 1-341.9 1242 1356 29.48% 25.44% 45.08%-0.44 -14.4 23
1977-04-10 @ Athlone Town W 3-141.9 1356 1242 45.08% 25.44% 29.48%+0.44 +14.4 27
1977-04-10 Finn Harps L 1-248.7 1271 1291 42.39% 25.63% 31.98%+0.10 -11.0 21
1977-04-10 @ Cork Celtic W 2-148.7 1291 1271 31.98% 25.63% 42.39%-0.10 +11.0 26
1977-04-10 Albert Rovers W 4-027.9 1353 1174 63.34% 24.10% 12.56%+1.26 +15.3 32
1977-04-10 @ Drogheda United L 0-427.9 1174 1353 12.56% 24.10% 63.34%-1.26 -15.3 16
1977-04-10 Waterford L 0-329.3 1120 1369 15.85% 24.19% 59.96%-1.22 -14.3 12
1977-04-10 @ Home Farm W 3-029.3 1369 1120 59.96% 24.19% 15.85%+1.22 +14.3 32
1977-04-10 Shelbourne L 1-344.6 1193 1226 40.59% 25.64% 33.77%+0.03 -18.4 15
1977-04-10 @ Limerick W 3-144.6 1226 1193 33.77% 25.64% 40.59%-0.03 +18.4 26
1977-04-10 Shamrock Rovers W 3-134.2 1414 1134 69.86% 22.51% 7.63%+1.84 +4.3 39
1977-04-10 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-334.2 1134 1414 7.63% 22.51% 69.86%-1.84 -4.3 17
1977-04-10 Bohemian L 1-540.0 1307 1395 32.94% 25.56% 41.50%-0.29 -28.6 28
1977-04-10 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 5-140.0 1395 1307 41.50% 25.56% 32.94%+0.29 +28.6 36
1977-04-13 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-037.4 1245 1278 40.53% 25.64% 33.83%+0.03 +18.5 28
1977-04-13 @ Shelbourne L 0-237.4 1278 1245 33.83% 25.64% 40.53%-0.03 -18.5 28
1977-04-15 Cork Celtic W 3-137.6 1424 1260 62.13% 24.31% 13.56%+1.17 +7.5 38
1977-04-15 @ Bohemian L 1-337.6 1260 1424 13.56% 24.31% 62.13%-1.17 -7.5 21
1977-04-17 Drogheda United W 4-144.3 1252 1368 29.32% 25.44% 45.24%-0.45 +28.4 23
1977-04-17 @ Cork Celtic L 1-444.3 1368 1252 45.24% 25.44% 29.32%+0.45 -28.3 32
1977-04-17 Home Farm W 6-335.9 1371 1105 69.07% 22.76% 8.17%+1.76 +5.3 29
1977-04-17 @ Dundalk L 3-635.9 1105 1371 8.17% 22.76% 69.07%-1.76 -5.3 12
1977-04-17 Limerick D 1-153.5 1383 1174 65.48% 23.68% 10.84%+1.43 -3.5 33
1977-04-17 @ Waterford D 1-153.5 1174 1383 10.84% 23.68% 65.48%-1.43 +3.5 16
1977-04-24 Limerick W 5-238.3 1281 1178 56.75% 24.98% 18.28%+0.82 +12.0 25
1977-04-24 @ Cork Celtic L 2-538.3 1178 1281 18.28% 24.98% 56.75%-0.82 -12.0 16
1977-04-24 Drogheda United L 1-740.7 1302 1340 39.98% 25.64% 34.38%+0.00 -48.1 26
1977-04-24 @ Finn Harps W 7-140.7 1340 1302 34.38% 25.64% 39.98%+0.00 +48.1 34

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1976-12-27 14.91% Limerick 1171 1 @ Shelbourne 1315 0
2 1976-12-27 15.34% St Patrick's Athletic 1239 2 @ Bohemian 1377 0
3 1977-01-16 15.99% Shamrock Rovers 1174 3 @ Dundalk 1304 2
4 1977-01-30 16.09% Shamrock Rovers 1174 3 @ Shelbourne 1303 1
5 1977-02-20 19.38% Dundalk 1284 3 @ Bohemian 1374 1
6 1977-03-20 19.77% Home Farm 1118 2 @ Albert Rovers 1204 1
7 1976-10-24 19.91% Sligo Rovers 1253 3 @ Bohemian 1338 0
8 1976-11-14 20.78% St Patrick's Athletic 1219 2 @ Sligo Rovers 1295 1
9 1976-10-03 21.14% Shamrock Rovers 1225 2 @ Albert Rovers 1297 1
10 1976-12-19 22.23% @ Home Farm 1122 3 Dundalk 1300 1
11 1976-11-14 24.32% @ Shamrock Rovers 1182 3 Finn Harps 1340 1
12 1976-10-10 24.55% Albert Rovers 1283 2 @ Dundalk 1324 0
13 1977-01-23 25.23% @ Home Farm 1130 2 Cork Celtic 1280 0
14 1977-01-23 26.14% Bohemian 1351 2 @ Sligo Rovers 1377 1
15 1976-12-05 26.44% Shelbourne 1293 2 @ Finn Harps 1317 1
16 1977-03-27 26.60% Shamrock Rovers 1109 2 @ Home Farm 1132 1
17 1977-01-02 27.21% Albert Rovers 1174 1 @ Shamrock Rovers 1191 0
18 1977-04-02 27.22% @ Shamrock Rovers 1122 1 Athlone Town 1255 0
19 1977-01-23 28.00% @ Albert Rovers 1188 2 Shelbourne 1314 1
20 1976-10-24 28.39% Drogheda United 1307 1 @ Dundalk 1315 0
21 1977-03-20 28.47% Limerick 1147 4 @ Shamrock Rovers 1154 0
22 1976-11-21 28.51% Waterford 1328 1 @ Bohemian 1335 0
23 1976-10-17 28.54% Waterford 1302 3 @ Albert Rovers 1309 1
24 1976-10-31 29.12% @ Limerick 1202 2 Drogheda United 1320 1
25 1977-03-13 29.18% @ Finn Harps 1281 3 Waterford 1397 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1976-12-05 49.30 Sligo Rovers 5 1319 34.13% @ Athlone Town 0 1283 40.23% 25.64%
2 1977-01-09 49.08 @ St Patrick's Athletic 5 1252 34.38% Cork Celtic 0 1329 40.03% 25.59%
3 1977-04-24 48.07 Drogheda United 7 1340 34.38% @ Finn Harps 1 1302 39.98% 25.64%
4 1977-03-20 44.57 Limerick 4 1147 28.47% @ Shamrock Rovers 0 1154 45.96% 25.57%
5 1976-12-12 43.35 Athlone Town 4 1233 29.94% @ Albert Rovers 0 1229 44.46% 25.60%
6 1976-12-12 43.18 @ Bohemian 6 1324 47.48% Finn Harps 0 1305 26.99% 25.53%
7 1976-10-24 40.03 Sligo Rovers 3 1253 19.91% @ Bohemian 0 1338 54.96% 25.13%
8 1977-02-20 35.33 Waterford 6 1364 41.18% @ Shelbourne 1 1278 33.26% 25.56%
9 1976-11-13 31.44 Cork Celtic 5 1320 37.11% @ Albert Rovers 1 1264 37.26% 25.63%
10 1976-12-27 30.00 St Patrick's Athletic 2 1239 15.34% @ Bohemian 0 1377 60.05% 24.61%
11 1977-04-10 28.64 Bohemian 5 1395 41.50% @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1307 32.94% 25.56%
12 1977-04-17 28.35 @ Cork Celtic 4 1252 29.32% Drogheda United 1 1368 45.24% 25.44%
13 1977-01-30 25.62 Shamrock Rovers 3 1174 16.09% @ Shelbourne 1 1303 59.20% 24.72%
14 1976-10-10 25.28 Albert Rovers 2 1283 24.55% @ Dundalk 0 1324 50.02% 25.43%
15 1977-01-23 25.02 @ Home Farm 2 1130 25.23% Cork Celtic 0 1280 49.54% 25.22%
16 1977-02-20 24.10 Dundalk 3 1284 19.38% @ Bohemian 1 1374 55.53% 25.09%
17 1976-11-21 23.70 @ Drogheda United 3 1323 45.70% Shelbourne 0 1318 28.72% 25.58%
18 1976-12-19 22.92 @ Home Farm 3 1122 22.23% Dundalk 1 1300 52.78% 24.99%
19 1977-03-20 22.86 @ Dundalk 3 1335 47.04% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1319 27.42% 25.54%
20 1976-10-10 22.32 @ Shelbourne 3 1290 47.88% Athlone Town 0 1268 26.60% 25.51%
21 1976-11-14 22.04 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1182 24.32% Finn Harps 1 1340 50.52% 25.16%
22 1977-02-27 21.67 @ Athlone Town 4 1249 56.48% Home Farm 0 1149 18.52% 25.00%
23 1976-11-28 20.82 @ Sligo Rovers 5 1298 61.68% Home Farm 0 1140 13.95% 24.38%
24 1976-10-17 20.32 Waterford 3 1302 28.54% @ Albert Rovers 1 1309 45.89% 25.57%
25 1977-03-13 20.10 @ Finn Harps 3 1281 29.18% Waterford 1 1397 45.38% 25.43%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1976-12-05 59.3 @ Drogheda United 2 1346 47.98% Bohemian 2 1323 26.51% 25.51%
2 1976-11-07 58.9 @ Drogheda United 2 1308 42.27% Waterford 2 1329 32.10% 25.63%
3 1977-01-23 58.9 @ Drogheda United 2 1343 51.46% Dundalk 2 1290 23.18% 25.36%
4 1976-11-28 58.8 @ Athlone Town 2 1283 36.32% Drogheda United 2 1346 38.06% 25.62%
5 1976-12-19 58.7 @ Drogheda United 2 1332 53.41% Finn Harps 2 1262 21.35% 25.24%
6 1976-12-12 58.6 @ Waterford 2 1331 55.86% St Patrick's Athletic 2 1237 19.09% 25.06%
7 1976-12-27 58.6 @ Finn Harps 2 1263 35.95% Cork Celtic 2 1329 38.44% 25.61%
8 1977-03-27 58.5 @ Limerick 2 1192 23.48% Dundalk 2 1358 51.42% 25.10%
9 1976-10-17 58.4 @ Home Farm 2 1196 26.07% Finn Harps 2 1339 48.66% 25.27%
10 1977-03-20 58.3 @ Shelbourne 2 1238 36.47% Finn Harps 2 1301 37.91% 25.62%
11 1977-01-16 58.2 Shamrock Rovers 3 1174 15.99% @ Dundalk 2 1304 59.30% 24.70%
12 1977-01-30 58.2 @ Cork Celtic 2 1255 44.50% Athlone Town 2 1260 29.90% 25.60%
13 1977-02-06 58.1 @ Albert Rovers 2 1195 32.47% Finn Harps 2 1287 41.99% 25.54%
14 1977-02-27 54.9 @ Waterford 1 1399 51.03% Bohemian 1 1350 23.59% 25.38%
15 1976-12-19 54.7 Bohemian 3 1367 32.98% @ Cork Celtic 2 1340 41.39% 25.64%
16 1977-02-06 54.2 @ Waterford 1 1365 48.42% Drogheda United 1 1338 26.08% 25.50%
17 1977-01-09 53.8 Shelbourne 3 1304 32.37% @ Athlone Town 2 1281 42.00% 25.63%
18 1977-01-26 53.7 @ Shelbourne 1 1303 36.54% Sligo Rovers 1 1365 37.84% 25.62%
19 1976-11-14 53.5 @ Waterford 1 1330 46.72% Shelbourne 1 1317 27.73% 25.55%
20 1977-04-17 53.5 @ Waterford 1 1383 65.48% Limerick 1 1174 10.84% 23.68%
21 1977-01-02 53.4 @ Waterford 1 1344 52.86% Athlone Town 1 1279 21.86% 25.28%
22 1976-10-24 53.3 @ Finn Harps 1 1338 53.63% Athlone Town 1 1265 21.14% 25.23%
23 1976-11-21 53.2 @ Cork Celtic 1 1352 60.83% Shamrock Rovers 1 1204 14.67% 24.50%
24 1976-11-28 53.2 @ Shelbourne 1 1294 41.22% Bohemian 1 1323 33.14% 25.64%
25 1976-12-26 53.2 @ Dundalk 4 1277 43.78% Athlone Town 3 1287 30.61% 25.61%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1977-04-10 27.9 @ Drogheda United 4 1353 63.34% Albert Rovers 0 1174 12.56% 24.10%
2 1977-02-20 28.6 @ Drogheda United 5 1339 62.71% Home Farm 0 1168 13.08% 24.21%
3 1976-11-28 28.7 @ Sligo Rovers 5 1298 61.68% Home Farm 0 1140 13.95% 24.38%
4 1977-04-10 29.3 Waterford 3 1369 59.96% @ Home Farm 0 1120 15.85% 24.19%
5 1977-02-27 29.6 @ Athlone Town 4 1249 56.48% Home Farm 0 1149 18.52% 25.00%
6 1976-12-26 30.1 @ Waterford 2 1337 64.25% Home Farm 0 1145 11.82% 23.93%
7 1976-10-24 30.2 @ Waterford 3 1323 57.55% Shamrock Rovers 0 1212 17.56% 24.90%
8 1976-10-24 30.4 @ Cork Celtic 3 1296 56.34% Home Farm 0 1197 18.64% 25.01%
9 1977-03-13 31.1 Sligo Rovers 2 1394 61.48% @ Home Farm 0 1127 14.57% 23.95%
10 1977-03-13 31.2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1310 60.72% Shamrock Rovers 0 1163 14.76% 24.52%
11 1976-10-10 31.6 @ Bohemian 2 1349 60.43% Home Farm 0 1205 15.01% 24.56%
12 1977-02-27 33.0 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1390 66.81% Limerick 0 1162 9.82% 23.37%
13 1976-10-10 33.2 @ Shelbourne 3 1290 47.88% Athlone Town 0 1268 26.60% 25.51%
14 1976-12-19 33.8 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1381 64.56% Albert Rovers 0 1186 11.57% 23.87%
15 1976-12-26 34.0 Sligo Rovers 2 1385 53.10% @ Shamrock Rovers 0 1204 21.93% 24.97%
16 1977-01-02 34.1 @ Shelbourne 1 1299 61.98% Home Farm 0 1138 13.69% 24.33%
17 1977-03-20 34.1 @ Dundalk 3 1335 47.04% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1319 27.42% 25.54%
18 1977-04-10 34.2 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1414 69.86% Shamrock Rovers 1 1134 7.63% 22.51%
19 1976-11-21 34.4 @ Drogheda United 3 1323 45.70% Shelbourne 0 1318 28.72% 25.58%
20 1977-01-09 34.4 @ Drogheda United 1 1338 61.78% Shamrock Rovers 0 1179 13.86% 24.36%
21 1977-01-23 34.5 Waterford 2 1344 50.27% @ Shamrock Rovers 0 1188 24.55% 25.18%
22 1977-01-30 34.5 @ Bohemian 1 1363 62.07% Albert Rovers 0 1200 13.61% 24.32%
23 1976-11-07 34.7 @ Finn Harps 2 1326 51.02% Albert Rovers 0 1277 23.59% 25.38%
24 1976-11-14 34.7 Drogheda United 2 1308 48.92% @ Home Farm 0 1163 25.82% 25.26%
25 1976-12-12 34.7 @ Bohemian 6 1324 47.48% Finn Harps 0 1305 26.99% 25.53%