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1985-86 League of Ireland Premier Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Shamrock Rovers

33 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Dundalk

5.51 points above expected

30 points · 24.49 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

UC Dublin

7.53 points below expected

8 points · 15.53 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Shamrock Rovers 22 15 3 4 33 44 17 +27 30.10 +2.90
2 Galway United (old) 22 12 7 3 31 42 19 +23 25.67 +5.33
3 Dundalk 22 12 6 4 30 35 16 +19 24.49 +5.51
4 Bohemian 22 8 11 3 27 27 22 +5 24.31 +2.69
5 Waterford 22 8 10 4 26 27 25 +2 20.80 +5.20
6 St Patrick's Athletic 22 8 9 5 25 23 19 +4 22.16 +2.84
7 Limerick 22 10 4 8 24 45 28 +17 25.86 -1.86
8 Athlone Town 22 6 7 9 19 23 27 -4 24.11 -5.11
9 Home Farm 22 5 5 12 15 15 30 -15 17.84 -2.84
10 Cork City 22 3 7 12 13 23 44 -21 16.89 -3.89
11 Shelbourne 22 3 7 12 13 15 40 -25 16.24 -3.24
12 UC Dublin 22 2 4 16 8 19 51 -32 15.53 -7.53

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dundalk 30 24.49 +5.51
2 Galway United (old) 31 25.67 +5.33
3 Waterford 26 20.80 +5.20
4 Shamrock Rovers 33 30.10 +2.90
5 St Patrick's Athletic 25 22.16 +2.84

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 UC Dublin 8 15.53 -7.53
2 Athlone Town 19 24.11 -5.11
3 Cork City 13 16.89 -3.89
4 Shelbourne 13 16.24 -3.24
5 Home Farm 15 17.84 -2.84

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Galway United (old) 5 Oct 20 – Nov 17 1 in 184
2 Bohemian 3 Mar 2 – Mar 9 1 in 40
3 Shamrock Rovers 5 Dec 1 – Dec 29 1 in 19
4 Dundalk 3 Jan 5 – Jan 19 1 in 15
5 St Patrick's Athletic 2 Dec 8 – Dec 15 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 UC Dublin 4 Oct 20 – Nov 10 1 in 55
2 Athlone Town 3 Mar 9 – Mar 30 1 in 34
3 Galway United (old) 3 Mar 2 – Mar 9 1 in 32
4 Cork City 3 Oct 27 – Nov 10 1 in 21
5 St Patrick's Athletic 3 Nov 17 – Dec 1 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 St Patrick's Athletic 13 Dec 8 – Mar 30 1 in 284
2 Galway United (old) 16 Oct 20 – Feb 16 1 in 193
3 Waterford 10 Jan 12 – Apr 20 1 in 121
4 Bohemian 9 Nov 3 – Jan 5 1 in 21
5 Dundalk 9 Dec 22 – Mar 9 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 UC Dublin 14 Oct 20 – Jan 26 1 in 49
2 Bohemian 6 Jan 5 – Feb 16 1 in 20
3 Athlone Town 6 Feb 23 – Apr 6 1 in 19
4 St Patrick's Athletic 4 Mar 27 – Apr 20 1 in 17
5 Shelbourne 11 Dec 1 – Feb 16 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Shamrock Rovers 1317 33 +2 6 6.7 -0.7
Galway United (old) 1237 31 +14 6 6.2 -0.2
Dundalk 1231 30 +19 7 5.8 +1.2
Bohemian 1197 27 +49 8 5.9 +2.1
Waterford 1147 26 +36 8 5.8 +2.2
St Patrick's Athletic 1144 25 -20 5 6.2 -1.2
Limerick 1187 24 +9 6 5.7 +0.3
Athlone Town 1097 19 -56 2 4.8 -2.8
Home Farm 1024 15 -9 5 4.8 +0.2
Cork City 986 13 -16 3 3.3 -0.3
Shelbourne 933 13 -13 3 3.4 -0.4
UC Dublin 919 8 +21 3 2.6 +0.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AT BOH CC DUN GU( HF LIM SR SHE SPA UD WAT
Athlone Town —
0-0-2
2.83
1-1-0
3.69
0-1-1
2.27
0-1-1
2.51
0-1-1
3.61
2-0-0
2.29
0-0-2
1.79
1-1-0
3.85
1-1-0
3.08
0-1-1
4.09
1-0-1
3.07
Bohemian
2-0-0
2.54
 —
1-0-1
3.59
0-2-0
2.63
1-1-0
2.23
2-0-0
3.74
1-1-0
2.28
0-1-1
2.00
0-2-0
3.80
0-1-1
3.18
1-1-0
4.17
0-2-0
3.17
Cork City
0-1-1
1.69
1-0-1
1.79
 —
0-1-1
1.72
0-0-2
1.65
1-1-0
2.50
0-0-2
1.69
0-0-2
1.07
1-0-1
2.75
0-1-1
1.75
0-1-1
2.99
0-2-0
2.15
Dundalk
1-1-0
3.09
0-2-0
2.73
1-1-0
3.66
 —
1-1-0
2.67
1-0-1
3.63
2-0-0
2.35
1-0-1
1.76
2-0-0
3.14
0-0-2
3.18
2-0-0
3.84
1-1-0
3.15
Galway United (old)
1-1-0
2.84
0-1-1
3.13
2-0-0
3.73
0-1-1
2.69
 —
2-0-0
3.47
1-1-0
2.79
0-1-1
2.14
2-0-0
4.08
1-1-0
3.27
2-0-0
3.26
1-1-0
3.22
Home Farm
1-1-0
1.77
0-0-2
1.64
0-1-1
2.86
1-0-1
1.75
0-0-2
1.90
 —
0-0-2
1.69
0-0-2
1.29
1-1-0
3.07
0-1-1
1.98
2-0-0
3.25
0-1-1
2.44
Limerick
0-0-2
3.07
0-1-1
3.08
2-0-0
3.69
0-0-2
3.01
0-1-1
2.57
2-0-0
3.69
 —
1-0-1
2.08
2-0-0
3.83
1-1-0
2.95
2-0-0
3.92
0-1-1
3.28
Shamrock Rovers
2-0-0
3.58
1-1-0
3.37
2-0-0
4.37
1-0-1
3.62
1-1-0
3.23
2-0-0
4.12
1-0-1
3.29
 —
1-1-0
4.48
1-0-1
3.81
2-0-0
4.03
1-0-1
3.92
Shelbourne
0-1-1
1.53
0-2-0
1.59
1-0-1
2.61
0-0-2
2.24
0-0-2
1.33
0-1-1
2.30
0-0-2
1.57
0-1-1
0.98
 —
0-2-0
1.61
2-0-0
2.60
0-0-2
1.98
St Patrick's Athletic
0-1-1
2.28
1-1-0
2.18
1-1-0
3.63
2-0-0
2.19
0-1-1
2.09
1-1-0
3.38
0-1-1
2.41
1-0-1
1.58
0-2-0
3.78
 —
2-0-0
3.33
0-1-1
2.98
UC Dublin
1-1-0
1.32
0-1-1
1.24
1-1-0
2.38
0-0-2
1.56
0-0-2
2.15
0-0-2
2.12
0-0-2
1.49
0-0-2
1.41
0-0-2
2.76
0-0-2
2.04
 —
0-1-1
1.63
Waterford
1-0-1
2.29
0-2-0
2.19
0-2-0
3.21
0-1-1
2.21
0-1-1
2.15
1-1-0
2.92
1-1-0
2.09
1-0-1
1.47
2-0-0
3.38
1-1-0
2.38
1-1-0
3.76
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.61 +5.9
Allowed 0.88 -6.8
Differential 0.93 +4.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.85%9.47%6.06%4.17%1.89%0.38%31.82%
19.47%12.88%4.55%3.41%1.52%0.76%32.58%
26.06%4.55%6.82%1.52%—0.76%19.70%
34.17%3.41%1.52%0.76%—0.38%10.23%
41.89%1.52%————3.41%
5+0.38%0.76%0.76%0.38%——2.27%
Total31.82%32.58%19.70%10.23%3.41%2.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.28 +0.00
SD 1.25 1.25 1.84
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%4.55%13.64%———36.36%
113.64%9.09%4.55%——4.55%31.82%
29.09%—4.55%13.64%——27.27%
3———————
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total45.45%13.64%22.73%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.23 -0.18
SD 1.05 1.41 1.68
CV 1.00 1.15 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%—4.55%4.55%——22.73%
113.64%22.73%4.55%———40.91%
29.09%9.09%9.09%———27.27%
3—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.36%36.36%18.18%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.00 +0.23
SD 0.92 0.98 1.19
CV 0.75 0.98 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
14.55%18.18%13.64%4.55%9.09%—50.00%
29.09%—13.64%——4.55%27.27%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%22.73%36.36%9.09%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 2.00 -0.95
SD 0.72 1.38 1.65
CV 0.69 0.69 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%18.18%————36.36%
19.09%4.55%————13.64%
2—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
313.64%4.55%4.55%———22.73%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total40.91%45.45%13.64%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 0.73 +0.86
SD 1.53 0.70 1.42
CV 0.96 0.97 —
Max 5 2 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—4.55%———13.64%
14.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
213.64%9.09%13.64%———36.36%
318.18%4.55%————22.73%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total45.45%27.27%22.73%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 0.86 +1.05
SD 1.34 0.94 1.76
CV 0.70 1.09 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%22.73%4.55%9.09%4.55%—54.55%
113.64%4.55%—4.55%4.55%—27.27%
24.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
34.55%—————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.36%27.27%9.09%18.18%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.68 1.36 -0.68
SD 0.89 1.40 1.73
CV 1.31 1.03 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%—22.73%
1—13.64%13.64%4.55%——31.82%
2———————
34.55%13.64%————18.18%
49.09%9.09%————18.18%
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total22.73%45.45%18.18%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 1.27 +0.77
SD 1.76 1.08 2.45
CV 0.86 0.85 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%————13.64%
122.73%9.09%—4.55%——36.36%
24.55%—4.55%———9.09%
39.09%4.55%9.09%———22.73%
49.09%4.55%————13.64%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total45.45%36.36%13.64%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 0.77 +1.23
SD 1.48 0.87 1.74
CV 0.74 1.12 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%18.18%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%59.09%
14.55%13.64%—4.55%—4.55%27.27%
24.55%—4.55%———9.09%
3———————
4———————
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total22.73%31.82%13.64%18.18%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.68 1.82 -1.14
SD 1.17 1.68 1.96
CV 1.72 0.92 —
Max 5 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%9.09%4.55%———31.82%
113.64%13.64%4.55%4.55%——36.36%
29.09%9.09%9.09%———27.27%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.91%36.36%18.18%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 0.86 +0.18
SD 0.90 0.89 1.14
CV 0.86 1.03 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%13.64%18.18%4.55%—45.45%
1—9.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%—31.82%
24.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
3———4.55%—4.55%9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total4.55%22.73%27.27%31.82%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 2.32 -1.45
SD 0.99 1.21 1.50
CV 1.15 0.52 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%9.09%———22.73%
113.64%27.27%————40.91%
24.55%9.09%9.09%——4.55%27.27%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%45.45%22.73%——4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.14 +0.09
SD 0.92 1.13 1.23
CV 0.75 0.99 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Shamrock Rovers 1317 33 30.10 +2.90 86.0% 22 25 28 30 32 36 37
Galway United (old) 1237 31 25.67 +5.33 96.0% 18 20 23 26 28 30 35
Dundalk 1231 30 24.49 +5.51 94.0% 14 18 22 24 27 31 33
Bohemian 1197 27 24.31 +2.69 83.0% 13 18 22 25 26 29 33
Limerick 1187 24 25.86 -1.86 33.0% 17 20 23 26 28 32 34
Waterford 1147 26 20.80 +5.20 93.0% 13 15 18 21 23 27 31
St Patrick's Athletic 1144 25 22.16 +2.84 85.0% 13 16 20 22 25 27 30
Athlone Town 1097 19 24.11 -5.11 10.0% 15 17 22 24 27 30 31
Home Farm 1024 15 17.84 -2.84 25.0% 9 13 15 17 20 23 31
Cork City 986 13 16.89 -3.89 21.0% 6 11 15 17 19 23 26
Shelbourne 933 13 16.24 -3.24 25.0% 6 11 13 16 19 22 23
UC Dublin 919 8 15.53 -7.53 1.0% 7 10 12 16 18 21 24

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+7.58%
No Edge
38.64%30.30%31.06%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 26.37 Elo pts.
169 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.15 goals
Neutral
-2+0.16+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.5
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
61%
Shamrock Rovers, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Tight Race
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.87 * Some Luck: 2.87 to 4.3 * Lucky: 4.3 to 5.73 * Wild Swing: 5.73 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.42 * Close: 1.42 to 2.12 * Off: 2.12 to 2.83 * Way Off: 2.83 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.37 points
Lucky
03.589
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
01.774
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
96.00%
Galway United (old)
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
UC Dublin
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Lopsided
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 127.85
2.09
Strong Separation
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
75%
Clear Edge
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 93%
91%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Frequent
0%59%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Occasional
0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.38
Slight Separation
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.47
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.24
Weak Carryover
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.16 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.16 to 0.24 * Above Noise: 0.24 to 0.32 * Well Above Noise: 0.32 and up.
Probability calibration
0.57
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.00
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.141
Well Within Noise
00.1590.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Shamrock Rovers61.00%19.00%12.00%2.00%4.00%2.00%——————
Galway United (old)8.00%22.00%22.00%13.00%11.00%9.00%8.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%——
Dundalk8.00%11.00%18.00%13.00%10.00%14.00%12.00%6.00%2.00%5.00%1.00%—
Bohemian3.00%13.00%10.00%20.00%19.00%11.00%9.00%8.00%4.00%2.00%—1.00%
Waterford2.00%2.00%4.00%4.00%6.00%14.00%18.00%17.00%16.00%10.00%4.00%3.00%
St Patrick's Athletic—6.00%6.00%7.00%20.00%13.00%12.00%19.00%10.00%4.00%3.00%—
Limerick13.00%16.00%17.00%17.00%15.00%11.00%5.00%5.00%—1.00%——
Athlone Town4.00%11.00%11.00%18.00%9.00%14.00%14.00%8.00%6.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%
Home Farm1.00%——2.00%1.00%6.00%10.00%8.00%20.00%23.00%17.00%12.00%
Cork City———3.00%3.00%4.00%6.00%8.00%14.00%17.00%27.00%18.00%
Shelbourne—————2.00%4.00%11.00%14.00%19.00%25.00%25.00%
UC Dublin———1.00%2.00%—2.00%5.00%13.00%17.00%20.00%40.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Galway United (old) 100% —
Limerick 100% —
Shamrock Rovers 100% —
Bohemian 99.00% 1.00%
Dundalk 99.00% 1.00%
St Patrick's Athletic 97.00% 3.00%
Athlone Town 96.00% 4.00%
Waterford 93.00% 7.00%
Home Farm 71.00% 29.00%
Cork City 55.00% 45.00%
Shelbourne 50.00% 50.00%
UC Dublin 40.00% 60.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1985-10-20 Cork City D 1-151.5 1174 1074 51.54% 31.29% 17.17%+0.75 -2.7 1
1985-10-20 @ Athlone Town D 1-151.5 1074 1174 17.17% 31.29% 51.54%-0.75 +2.7 1
1985-10-20 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-151.4 1165 1095 48.40% 31.64% 19.96%+0.57 -2.2 1
1985-10-20 @ Bohemian D 1-151.4 1095 1165 19.96% 31.64% 48.40%-0.57 +2.2 1
1985-10-20 Shamrock Rovers W 3-145.8 1145 1204 31.91% 32.10% 35.99%-0.19 +22.9 2
1985-10-20 @ Limerick L 1-345.8 1204 1145 35.99% 32.10% 31.91%+0.19 -22.9 0
1985-10-20 Dundalk L 0-339.8 1080 1066 41.80% 32.05% 26.15%+0.24 -43.0 0
1985-10-20 @ Shelbourne W 3-039.8 1066 1080 26.15% 32.05% 41.80%-0.24 +43.0 2
1985-10-20 Galway United (old) L 1-251.4 1132 1095 44.62% 31.92% 23.46%+0.37 -15.6 0
1985-10-20 @ UC Dublin W 2-151.4 1095 1132 23.46% 31.92% 44.62%-0.37 +15.6 2
1985-10-20 Home Farm W 1-039.8 1107 1080 43.51% 31.98% 24.51%+0.32 +10.7 2
1985-10-20 @ Waterford L 0-139.8 1080 1107 24.51% 31.98% 43.51%-0.32 -10.7 0
1985-10-27 Shelbourne L 0-145.8 1077 1038 44.90% 31.90% 23.19%+0.39 -16.6 1
1985-10-27 @ Cork City W 1-045.8 1038 1077 23.19% 31.90% 44.90%-0.39 +16.6 2
1985-10-27 Limerick W 2-148.9 1109 1168 31.81% 32.10% 36.09%-0.19 +13.2 4
1985-10-27 @ Dundalk L 1-248.9 1168 1109 36.09% 32.10% 31.81%+0.19 -13.2 2
1985-10-27 Waterford W 2-037.9 1111 1118 38.99% 32.12% 28.89%+0.11 +22.7 4
1985-10-27 @ Galway United (old) L 0-237.9 1118 1111 28.89% 32.12% 38.99%-0.11 -22.7 2
1985-10-27 Athlone Town D 2-257.0 1069 1171 26.17% 31.87% 41.96%-0.45 +0.9 1
1985-10-27 @ Home Farm D 2-257.0 1171 1069 41.96% 31.87% 26.17%+0.45 -0.9 2
1985-10-27 Bohemian W 3-035.0 1181 1163 42.27% 32.03% 25.70%+0.26 +30.4 2
1985-10-27 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-335.0 1163 1181 25.70% 32.03% 42.27%-0.26 -30.4 1
1985-10-27 UC Dublin W 2-038.3 1098 1116 37.46% 32.14% 30.40%+0.05 +23.6 3
1985-10-27 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-238.3 1116 1098 30.40% 32.14% 37.46%-0.05 -23.6 0
1985-11-03 Shelbourne W 1-036.9 1170 1054 53.12% 31.07% 15.81%+0.84 +7.7 4
1985-11-03 @ Athlone Town L 0-136.9 1054 1170 15.81% 31.07% 53.12%-0.84 -7.7 2
1985-11-03 Dundalk D 0-046.5 1133 1123 41.27% 32.07% 26.66%+0.21 -1.2 2
1985-11-03 @ Bohemian D 0-046.5 1123 1133 26.66% 32.07% 41.27%-0.21 +1.2 5
1985-11-03 Galway United (old) L 0-141.8 1070 1133 31.16% 32.09% 36.75%-0.22 -12.7 1
1985-11-03 @ Home Farm W 1-041.8 1133 1070 36.75% 32.09% 31.16%+0.22 +12.7 6
1985-11-03 Cork City W 5-239.7 1155 1060 51.04% 31.36% 17.60%+0.72 +16.7 4
1985-11-03 @ Limerick L 2-539.7 1060 1155 17.60% 31.36% 51.04%-0.72 -16.7 1
1985-11-03 Shamrock Rovers L 1-439.4 1093 1211 24.28% 31.74% 43.99%-0.54 -24.5 0
1985-11-03 @ UC Dublin W 4-139.4 1211 1093 43.99% 31.74% 24.28%+0.54 +24.5 4
1985-11-03 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-041.9 1095 1121 36.47% 32.15% 31.38%+0.00 +12.8 4
1985-11-03 @ Waterford L 0-141.9 1121 1095 31.38% 32.15% 36.47%+0.00 -12.8 3
1985-11-10 Bohemian L 1-246.4 1043 1131 27.95% 31.97% 40.08%-0.36 -11.1 1
1985-11-10 @ Cork City W 2-146.4 1131 1043 40.08% 31.97% 27.95%+0.36 +11.1 4
1985-11-10 UC Dublin W 3-033.6 1124 1068 46.81% 31.77% 21.41%+0.48 +26.6 7
1985-11-10 @ Dundalk L 0-333.6 1068 1124 21.41% 31.77% 46.81%-0.48 -26.6 0
1985-11-10 Athlone Town W 2-038.9 1146 1178 35.62% 32.15% 32.23%-0.03 +24.5 8
1985-11-10 @ Galway United (old) L 0-238.9 1178 1146 32.23% 32.15% 35.62%+0.03 -24.5 4
1985-11-10 Waterford W 1-036.7 1236 1108 54.18% 30.90% 14.93%+0.91 +7.3 6
1985-11-10 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-136.7 1108 1236 14.93% 30.90% 54.18%-0.91 -7.3 4
1985-11-10 Limerick L 0-433.8 1046 1172 23.49% 31.67% 44.84%-0.58 -37.1 2
1985-11-10 @ Shelbourne W 4-033.8 1172 1046 44.84% 31.67% 23.49%+0.58 +37.1 6
1985-11-10 Home Farm W 2-035.6 1108 1057 46.33% 31.81% 21.86%+0.46 +18.6 5
1985-11-10 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-235.6 1057 1108 21.86% 31.81% 46.33%-0.46 -18.6 1
1985-11-17 Limerick W 4-037.7 1153 1209 32.30% 32.11% 35.59%-0.17 +49.8 6
1985-11-17 @ Athlone Town L 0-437.7 1209 1153 35.59% 32.11% 32.30%+0.17 -49.8 6
1985-11-17 Shelbourne D 2-257.2 1142 1009 54.67% 30.81% 14.52%+0.94 -2.4 5
1985-11-17 @ Bohemian D 2-257.2 1009 1142 14.52% 30.81% 54.67%-0.94 +2.4 3
1985-11-17 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-144.9 1171 1127 45.42% 31.87% 22.71%+0.41 +9.6 10
1985-11-17 @ Galway United (old) L 1-244.9 1127 1171 22.71% 31.87% 45.42%-0.41 -9.6 5
1985-11-17 Shamrock Rovers L 2-347.3 1038 1243 15.95% 30.60% 53.46%-1.05 -6.8 1
1985-11-17 @ Home Farm W 3-247.3 1243 1038 53.46% 30.60% 15.95%+1.05 +6.8 8
1985-11-17 Cork City D 2-256.9 1042 1032 41.19% 32.07% 26.74%+0.21 -0.8 1
1985-11-17 @ UC Dublin D 2-256.9 1032 1042 26.74% 32.07% 41.19%-0.21 +0.8 2
1985-11-17 Dundalk L 2-544.6 1101 1150 33.11% 32.13% 34.77%-0.14 -26.5 4
1985-11-17 @ Waterford W 5-244.6 1150 1101 34.77% 32.13% 33.11%+0.14 +26.5 9
1985-11-21 Home Farm L 0-148.7 1177 1032 55.75% 30.61% 13.64%+1.01 -20.2 9
1985-11-21 @ Dundalk W 1-048.7 1032 1177 13.64% 30.61% 55.75%-1.01 +20.2 3
1985-11-24 Waterford D 1-151.2 1033 1074 34.31% 32.14% 33.55%-0.09 -0.0 3
1985-11-24 @ Cork City D 1-151.2 1074 1033 33.55% 32.14% 34.31%+0.09 +0.1 5
1985-11-24 Bohemian D 0-046.5 1159 1140 42.43% 32.03% 25.55%+0.27 -1.4 7
1985-11-24 @ Limerick D 0-046.5 1140 1159 25.55% 32.03% 42.43%-0.27 +1.4 6
1985-11-24 Galway United (old) D 2-257.2 1250 1180 48.38% 31.64% 19.97%+0.57 -1.6 9
1985-11-24 @ Shamrock Rovers D 2-257.2 1180 1250 19.97% 31.64% 48.38%-0.57 +1.6 11
1985-11-24 UC Dublin W 5-349.6 1012 1041 36.03% 32.15% 31.82%-0.02 +17.8 5
1985-11-24 @ Shelbourne L 3-549.6 1041 1012 31.82% 32.15% 36.03%+0.02 -17.8 1
1985-11-24 Athlone Town L 0-140.9 1117 1203 28.23% 31.98% 39.79%-0.35 -11.9 5
1985-11-24 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 1-040.9 1203 1117 39.79% 31.98% 28.23%+0.35 +11.8 8
1985-12-01 Bohemian L 1-252.7 1215 1141 48.82% 31.60% 19.58%+0.59 -16.8 8
1985-12-01 @ Athlone Town W 2-152.7 1141 1215 19.58% 31.60% 48.82%-0.59 +16.8 8
1985-12-01 Dundalk D 1-151.3 1182 1157 43.18% 31.99% 24.83%+0.30 -1.4 12
1985-12-01 @ Galway United (old) D 1-151.3 1157 1182 24.83% 31.99% 43.18%-0.30 +1.4 10
1985-12-01 Cork City L 0-145.1 1052 1033 42.38% 32.03% 25.59%+0.27 -15.9 3
1985-12-01 @ Home Farm W 1-045.1 1033 1052 25.59% 32.03% 42.38%-0.27 +15.9 5
1985-12-01 Shamrock Rovers L 0-235.6 1106 1248 21.62% 31.49% 46.89%-0.69 -18.4 5
1985-12-01 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-035.6 1248 1106 46.89% 31.49% 21.62%+0.69 +18.4 11
1985-12-01 Limerick L 0-433.5 1023 1158 22.47% 31.57% 45.96%-0.64 -35.9 1
1985-12-01 @ UC Dublin W 4-033.5 1158 1023 45.96% 31.57% 22.47%+0.64 +35.9 9
1985-12-01 Shelbourne W 3-141.5 1074 1030 45.56% 31.86% 22.58%+0.42 +16.5 7
1985-12-01 @ Waterford L 1-341.5 1030 1074 22.58% 31.86% 45.56%-0.42 -16.5 5
1985-12-08 UC Dublin W 2-032.2 1158 987 57.88% 30.14% 11.98%+1.17 +11.4 10
1985-12-08 @ Bohemian L 0-232.2 987 1158 11.98% 30.14% 57.88%-1.17 -11.4 1
1985-12-08 Galway United (old) L 0-235.9 1049 1180 22.80% 31.61% 45.59%-0.62 -19.1 5
1985-12-08 @ Cork City W 2-035.9 1180 1049 45.59% 31.61% 22.80%+0.62 +19.1 14
1985-12-08 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-146.9 1158 1087 48.52% 31.63% 19.85%+0.57 -17.8 10
1985-12-08 @ Dundalk W 1-046.9 1087 1158 19.85% 31.63% 48.52%-0.57 +17.8 7
1985-12-08 Waterford D 1-151.5 1194 1091 51.82% 31.26% 16.93%+0.76 -2.8 10
1985-12-08 @ Limerick D 1-151.5 1091 1194 16.93% 31.26% 51.82%-0.76 +2.8 8
1985-12-08 Athlone Town W 5-136.8 1267 1198 48.23% 31.66% 20.11%+0.56 +27.6 13
1985-12-08 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-536.8 1198 1267 20.11% 31.66% 48.23%-0.56 -27.6 8
1985-12-08 Home Farm D 0-046.4 1013 1036 36.90% 32.14% 30.95%+0.02 -0.5 6
1985-12-08 @ Shelbourne D 0-046.4 1036 1013 30.95% 32.14% 36.90%-0.02 +0.5 4
1985-12-15 UC Dublin D 1-151.9 1171 976 59.70% 29.67% 10.63%+1.31 -4.2 9
1985-12-15 @ Athlone Town D 1-151.9 976 1171 10.63% 29.67% 59.70%-1.31 +4.1 2
1985-12-15 Shelbourne W 6-132.5 1200 1013 59.11% 29.83% 11.06%+1.26 +20.6 16
1985-12-15 @ Galway United (old) L 1-632.5 1013 1200 11.06% 29.83% 59.11%-1.26 -20.6 6
1985-12-15 Limerick L 1-340.8 1036 1191 20.41% 31.34% 48.24%-0.76 -15.2 4
1985-12-15 @ Home Farm W 3-140.8 1191 1036 48.24% 31.34% 20.41%+0.76 +15.2 12
1985-12-15 Dundalk W 1-036.1 1294 1140 56.47% 30.46% 13.07%+1.06 +6.5 15
1985-12-15 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-136.1 1140 1294 13.07% 30.46% 56.47%-1.06 -6.5 10
1985-12-15 Cork City W 2-143.7 1105 1030 48.98% 31.59% 19.43%+0.60 +8.5 9
1985-12-15 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-243.7 1030 1105 19.43% 31.59% 48.98%-0.60 -8.5 5
1985-12-15 Bohemian D 1-151.2 1094 1170 29.49% 32.03% 38.47%-0.29 +0.6 9
1985-12-15 @ Waterford D 1-151.2 1170 1094 38.47% 32.03% 29.49%+0.29 -0.6 11
1985-12-22 Home Farm W 1-036.0 1169 1021 55.97% 30.57% 13.47%+1.03 +6.7 13
1985-12-22 @ Bohemian L 0-136.0 1021 1169 13.47% 30.57% 55.97%-1.03 -6.7 4
1985-12-22 Shamrock Rovers L 0-329.7 1021 1301 11.01% 29.09% 59.90%-1.49 -15.1 5
1985-12-22 @ Cork City W 3-029.7 1301 1021 59.90% 29.09% 11.01%+1.49 +15.1 17
1985-12-22 Athlone Town W 3-252.7 1134 1166 35.52% 32.15% 32.34%-0.04 +11.7 12
1985-12-22 @ Dundalk L 2-352.7 1166 1134 32.34% 32.15% 35.52%+0.04 -11.7 9
1985-12-22 Galway United (old) D 1-151.4 1206 1220 38.08% 32.13% 29.78%+0.07 -0.6 13
1985-12-22 @ Limerick D 1-151.4 1220 1206 29.78% 32.13% 38.08%-0.07 +0.6 17
1985-12-22 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-046.5 992 1113 23.93% 31.71% 44.37%-0.56 +1.7 7
1985-12-22 @ Shelbourne D 0-046.5 1113 992 44.37% 31.71% 23.93%+0.56 -1.7 10
1985-12-22 Waterford D 1-151.3 980 1094 24.74% 31.77% 43.48%-0.52 +1.4 3
1985-12-22 @ UC Dublin D 1-151.3 1094 980 43.48% 31.77% 24.74%+0.52 -1.4 10
1985-12-29 Cork City D 2-257.3 1145 1006 55.22% 30.71% 14.07%+0.98 -2.5 13
1985-12-29 @ Dundalk D 2-257.3 1006 1145 14.07% 30.71% 55.22%-0.98 +2.5 6
1985-12-29 Shelbourne W 1-032.5 1316 994 67.79% 26.49% 5.72%+2.06 +2.9 19
1985-12-29 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-132.5 994 1316 5.72% 26.49% 67.79%-2.06 -2.9 7
1985-12-29 Athlone Town W 3-253.9 1093 1155 31.39% 32.09% 36.52%-0.21 +12.7 12
1985-12-29 @ Waterford L 2-353.9 1155 1093 36.52% 32.09% 31.39%+0.21 -12.7 9
1986-01-05 Waterford W 2-036.2 1142 1106 44.60% 31.92% 23.48%+0.37 +19.6 11
1986-01-05 @ Athlone Town L 0-236.2 1106 1142 23.48% 31.92% 44.60%-0.37 -19.6 12
1986-01-05 Galway United (old) D 2-257.0 1176 1221 33.77% 32.13% 34.09%-0.11 +0.0 14
1986-01-05 @ Bohemian D 2-257.0 1221 1176 34.09% 32.13% 33.77%+0.11 -0.0 18
1986-01-05 Dundalk L 1-438.7 1009 1143 22.50% 31.58% 45.92%-0.64 -23.2 6
1986-01-05 @ Cork City W 4-138.7 1143 1009 45.92% 31.58% 22.50%+0.64 +23.2 15
1986-01-05 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-151.5 1205 1112 50.91% 31.37% 17.72%+0.71 -2.6 14
1986-01-05 @ Limerick D 1-151.5 1112 1205 17.72% 31.37% 50.91%-0.71 +2.6 11
1986-01-05 Shamrock Rovers D 1-152.5 991 1319 8.69% 27.91% 63.40%-1.78 +4.7 8
1986-01-05 @ Shelbourne D 1-152.5 1319 991 63.40% 27.91% 8.69%+1.78 -4.7 20
1986-01-05 Home Farm L 0-337.9 981 1014 35.46% 32.15% 32.39%-0.04 -38.0 3
1986-01-05 @ UC Dublin W 3-037.9 1014 981 32.39% 32.15% 35.46%+0.04 +38.0 6
1986-01-12 Athlone Town L 0-234.4 985 1162 18.34% 31.05% 50.61%-0.89 -16.1 6
1986-01-12 @ Cork City W 2-034.4 1162 985 50.61% 31.05% 18.34%+0.89 +16.2 13
1986-01-12 Shelbourne W 1-035.4 1166 996 57.84% 30.15% 12.01%+1.16 +6.1 17
1986-01-12 @ Dundalk L 0-135.4 996 1166 12.01% 30.15% 57.84%-1.16 -6.1 8
1986-01-12 UC Dublin W 3-028.1 1221 943 65.21% 27.71% 7.08%+1.79 +10.0 20
1986-01-12 @ Galway United (old) L 0-328.1 943 1221 7.08% 27.71% 65.21%-1.79 -10.0 3
1986-01-12 Waterford D 0-046.4 1052 1086 35.40% 32.15% 32.45%-0.04 -0.2 7
1986-01-12 @ Home Farm D 0-046.4 1086 1052 32.45% 32.15% 35.40%+0.04 +0.2 13
1986-01-12 Limerick W 1-037.5 1314 1203 52.65% 31.14% 16.21%+0.81 +7.8 22
1986-01-12 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-137.5 1203 1314 16.21% 31.14% 52.65%-0.81 -7.8 14
1986-01-12 Bohemian W 2-149.0 1114 1176 31.47% 32.09% 36.43%-0.21 +13.3 13
1986-01-12 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-249.0 1176 1114 36.43% 32.09% 31.47%+0.21 -13.3 14
1986-01-19 Shamrock Rovers D 1-151.8 1162 1322 19.92% 31.28% 48.80%-0.79 +2.2 15
1986-01-19 @ Bohemian D 1-151.8 1322 1162 48.80% 31.28% 19.92%+0.79 -2.2 23
1986-01-19 Dundalk L 1-251.0 1195 1172 42.89% 32.01% 25.10%+0.29 -15.1 14
1986-01-19 @ Limerick W 2-151.0 1172 1195 25.10% 32.01% 42.89%-0.29 +15.1 19
1986-01-19 Cork City L 0-241.9 989 969 42.56% 32.02% 25.42%+0.27 -30.0 8
1986-01-19 @ Shelbourne W 2-041.9 969 989 25.42% 32.02% 42.56%-0.27 +30.0 8
1986-01-19 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-339.5 933 1128 16.77% 30.77% 52.47%-0.99 -13.0 3
1986-01-19 @ UC Dublin W 3-139.5 1128 933 52.47% 30.77% 16.77%+0.99 +13.0 15
1986-01-19 Galway United (old) D 2-257.1 1086 1231 21.42% 31.46% 47.12%-0.70 +1.5 14
1986-01-19 @ Waterford D 2-257.1 1231 1086 47.12% 31.46% 21.42%+0.70 -1.5 21
1986-01-26 Limerick L 1-437.2 999 1180 17.96% 30.98% 51.05%-0.91 -19.5 8
1986-01-26 @ Cork City W 4-137.2 1180 999 51.05% 30.98% 17.96%+0.91 +19.5 16
1986-01-26 Bohemian D 0-046.6 1187 1165 42.88% 32.01% 25.11%+0.29 -1.5 20
1986-01-26 @ Dundalk D 0-046.6 1165 1187 25.11% 32.01% 42.88%-0.29 +1.5 16
1986-01-26 Home Farm W 3-030.2 1229 1052 58.35% 30.03% 11.62%+1.20 +16.2 23
1986-01-26 @ Galway United (old) L 0-330.2 1052 1229 11.62% 30.03% 58.35%-1.20 -16.2 7
1986-01-26 UC Dublin W 1-031.3 1320 920 71.82% 24.20% 3.98%+2.51 +1.9 25
1986-01-26 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-131.3 920 1320 3.98% 24.20% 71.82%-2.51 -2.0 3
1986-01-26 Athlone Town D 0-046.9 959 1178 14.88% 30.35% 54.77%-1.13 +3.6 9
1986-01-26 @ Shelbourne D 0-046.9 1178 959 54.77% 30.35% 14.88%+1.13 -3.6 14
1986-01-26 Waterford D 2-257.0 1141 1088 46.53% 31.80% 21.67%+0.47 -1.4 16
1986-01-26 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 2-257.0 1088 1141 21.67% 31.80% 46.53%-0.47 +1.4 15
1986-02-09 Galway United (old) D 0-046.6 1174 1245 30.16% 32.06% 37.79%-0.26 +0.6 15
1986-02-09 @ Athlone Town D 0-046.6 1245 1174 37.79% 32.06% 30.16%+0.26 -0.6 24
1986-02-09 Cork City L 0-246.2 1166 980 59.06% 29.84% 11.10%+1.26 -40.1 16
1986-02-09 @ Bohemian W 2-046.2 980 1166 11.10% 29.84% 59.06%-1.26 +40.1 10
1986-02-09 Shelbourne W 5-029.0 1199 963 62.61% 28.74% 8.66%+1.55 +19.7 18
1986-02-09 @ Limerick L 0-529.0 963 1199 8.66% 28.74% 62.61%-1.55 -19.7 9
1986-02-09 Shamrock Rovers W 1-048.8 1089 1322 13.88% 30.09% 56.04%-1.22 +20.1 17
1986-02-09 @ Waterford L 0-148.8 1322 1089 56.04% 30.09% 13.88%+1.22 -20.1 25
1986-02-13 Home Farm W 4-028.0 1301 1036 64.47% 28.02% 7.51%+1.72 +13.9 27
1986-02-13 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-428.0 1036 1301 7.51% 28.02% 64.47%-1.72 -13.9 7
1986-02-16 UC Dublin L 1-253.3 1020 918 51.72% 31.27% 17.01%+0.76 -17.7 10
1986-02-16 @ Cork City W 2-153.3 918 1020 17.01% 31.27% 51.72%-0.76 +17.7 5
1986-02-16 Waterford D 0-046.6 1186 1109 49.14% 31.57% 19.29%+0.61 -2.6 21
1986-02-16 @ Dundalk D 0-046.6 1109 1186 19.29% 31.57% 49.14%-0.61 +2.6 18
1986-02-16 Athlone Town L 0-146.2 1219 1175 45.49% 31.87% 22.65%+0.42 -16.8 18
1986-02-16 @ Limerick W 1-046.2 1175 1219 22.65% 31.87% 45.49%-0.42 +16.8 17
1986-02-16 Bohemian D 1-151.5 943 1126 17.77% 30.95% 51.28%-0.92 +2.6 10
1986-02-16 @ Shelbourne D 1-151.5 1126 943 51.28% 30.95% 17.77%+0.92 -2.6 17
1986-02-16 Galway United (old) D 0-046.7 1139 1245 25.79% 31.85% 42.36%-0.47 +1.4 17
1986-02-16 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-046.7 1245 1139 42.36% 31.85% 25.79%+0.47 -1.4 25
1986-02-23 Home Farm L 0-245.9 1192 1022 57.76% 30.17% 12.07%+1.16 -39.3 17
1986-02-23 @ Athlone Town W 2-045.9 1022 1192 12.07% 30.17% 57.76%-1.16 +39.3 9
1986-03-02 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-046.5 1152 1141 41.50% 32.06% 26.44%+0.23 -1.2 18
1986-03-02 @ Athlone Town D 0-046.5 1141 1152 26.44% 32.06% 41.50%-0.23 +1.2 18
1986-03-02 Limerick W 3-146.6 1123 1202 29.13% 32.02% 38.85%-0.31 +24.2 19
1986-03-02 @ Bohemian L 1-346.6 1202 1123 38.85% 32.02% 29.13%+0.31 -24.2 18
1986-03-02 Shamrock Rovers L 1-344.5 1243 1315 30.05% 32.05% 37.90%-0.27 -20.2 25
1986-03-02 @ Galway United (old) W 3-144.5 1315 1243 37.90% 32.05% 30.05%+0.27 +20.2 29
1986-03-02 Dundalk L 0-334.3 1061 1183 23.88% 31.70% 44.41%-0.56 -28.7 9
1986-03-02 @ Home Farm W 3-034.3 1183 1061 44.41% 31.70% 23.88%+0.56 +28.7 23
1986-03-02 Shelbourne L 0-240.7 936 946 38.65% 32.13% 29.22%+0.10 -27.9 5
1986-03-02 @ UC Dublin W 2-040.7 946 936 29.22% 32.13% 38.65%-0.10 +27.9 12
1986-03-02 Cork City D 1-151.4 1112 1002 52.47% 31.17% 16.36%+0.80 -2.9 19
1986-03-02 @ Waterford D 1-151.4 1002 1112 16.36% 31.17% 52.47%-0.80 +2.9 11
1986-03-05 Bohemian L 0-243.9 1223 1148 49.03% 31.58% 19.39%+0.60 -33.8 25
1986-03-05 @ Galway United (old) W 2-043.9 1148 1223 19.39% 31.58% 49.03%-0.60 +33.8 21
1986-03-09 Athlone Town W 1-039.8 1181 1151 43.81% 31.96% 24.23%+0.33 +10.6 23
1986-03-09 @ Bohemian L 0-139.8 1151 1181 24.23% 31.96% 43.81%-0.33 -10.6 18
1986-03-09 Home Farm D 1-151.1 1005 1033 36.24% 32.15% 31.61%-0.01 -0.3 12
1986-03-09 @ Cork City D 1-151.1 1033 1005 31.61% 32.15% 36.24%+0.01 +0.3 10
1986-03-09 Galway United (old) W 2-145.7 1212 1189 42.87% 32.01% 25.12%+0.29 +10.3 25
1986-03-09 @ Dundalk L 1-245.7 1189 1212 25.12% 32.01% 42.87%-0.29 -10.3 25
1986-03-09 UC Dublin W 3-028.2 1178 908 64.75% 27.90% 7.35%+1.75 +10.4 20
1986-03-09 @ Limerick L 0-328.2 908 1178 7.35% 27.90% 64.75%-1.75 -10.4 5
1986-03-09 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-149.9 1336 1142 59.61% 29.69% 10.70%+1.30 -21.5 29
1986-03-09 @ Shamrock Rovers W 1-049.9 1142 1336 10.70% 29.69% 59.61%-1.30 +21.5 20
1986-03-09 Waterford L 0-235.7 974 1109 22.42% 31.57% 46.01%-0.64 -18.9 12
1986-03-09 @ Shelbourne W 2-035.7 1109 974 46.01% 31.57% 22.42%+0.64 +18.9 21
1986-03-12 UC Dublin W 1-036.3 1033 898 54.86% 30.78% 14.36%+0.95 +7.1 12
1986-03-12 @ Home Farm L 0-136.3 898 1033 14.36% 30.78% 54.86%-0.95 -7.1 5
1986-03-23 Shamrock Rovers L 2-348.5 1141 1314 18.59% 31.09% 50.32%-0.87 -7.7 18
1986-03-23 @ Athlone Town W 3-248.5 1314 1141 50.32% 31.09% 18.59%+0.87 +7.8 31
1986-03-23 Cork City W 3-137.8 1179 1005 58.13% 30.08% 11.79%+1.19 +9.8 27
1986-03-23 @ Galway United (old) L 1-337.8 1005 1179 11.79% 30.08% 58.13%-1.19 -9.8 12
1986-03-23 Shelbourne W 1-037.8 1040 955 50.04% 31.47% 18.49%+0.66 +8.7 14
1986-03-23 @ Home Farm L 0-137.8 955 1040 18.49% 31.47% 50.04%-0.66 -8.7 12
1986-03-23 Dundalk W 1-043.4 1163 1222 31.82% 32.10% 36.08%-0.19 +14.0 22
1986-03-23 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-143.4 1222 1163 36.08% 32.10% 31.82%+0.19 -14.0 25
1986-03-23 Bohemian D 3-361.6 891 1192 9.89% 28.58% 61.53%-1.62 +2.7 6
1986-03-23 @ UC Dublin D 3-361.6 1192 891 61.53% 28.58% 9.89%+1.62 -2.7 24
1986-03-23 Limerick W 2-149.0 1128 1188 31.56% 32.10% 36.34%-0.20 +13.3 23
1986-03-23 @ Waterford L 1-249.0 1188 1128 36.34% 32.10% 31.56%+0.20 -13.3 20
1986-03-27 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-046.6 1049 1177 23.12% 31.64% 45.24%-0.60 +1.9 15
1986-03-27 @ Home Farm D 0-046.6 1177 1049 45.24% 31.64% 23.12%+0.60 -1.9 23
1986-03-30 Waterford D 1-151.4 1189 1141 45.97% 31.84% 22.20%+0.44 -1.8 25
1986-03-30 @ Bohemian D 1-151.4 1141 1189 22.20% 31.84% 45.97%-0.44 +1.8 24
1986-03-30 St Patrick's Athletic D 2-257.2 995 1176 17.97% 30.98% 51.05%-0.91 +1.9 13
1986-03-30 @ Cork City D 2-257.2 1176 995 51.05% 30.98% 17.97%+0.91 -1.9 24
1986-03-30 Shamrock Rovers W 1-045.9 1208 1322 24.83% 31.78% 43.39%-0.52 +16.1 27
1986-03-30 @ Dundalk L 0-145.9 1322 1208 43.39% 31.78% 24.83%+0.52 -16.1 31
1986-03-30 Home Farm W 4-136.4 1175 1051 53.89% 30.95% 15.16%+0.89 +17.1 22
1986-03-30 @ Limerick L 1-436.4 1051 1175 15.16% 30.95% 53.89%-0.89 -17.1 15
1986-03-30 Galway United (old) L 0-330.5 946 1189 13.20% 29.89% 56.91%-1.28 -17.8 12
1986-03-30 @ Shelbourne W 3-030.5 1189 946 56.91% 29.89% 13.20%+1.28 +17.8 29
1986-03-30 Athlone Town W 2-045.5 893 1133 13.41% 29.95% 56.64%-1.26 +38.4 8
1986-03-30 @ UC Dublin L 0-245.5 1133 893 56.64% 29.95% 13.41%+1.26 -38.3 18
1986-04-03 Dundalk L 1-337.0 932 1224 10.32% 28.79% 60.89%-1.57 -8.5 8
1986-04-03 @ UC Dublin W 3-137.0 1224 932 60.89% 28.79% 10.32%+1.57 +8.5 29
1986-04-04 Bohemian L 0-138.4 1034 1188 20.46% 31.35% 48.19%-0.75 -9.3 15
1986-04-04 @ Home Farm W 1-038.4 1188 1034 48.19% 31.35% 20.46%+0.75 +9.3 27
1986-04-06 Dundalk D 0-046.7 1094 1233 22.07% 31.53% 46.40%-0.66 +2.1 19
1986-04-06 @ Athlone Town D 0-046.7 1233 1094 46.40% 31.53% 22.07%+0.66 -2.1 30
1986-04-06 Limerick W 3-035.2 1207 1192 41.84% 32.05% 26.11%+0.24 +30.8 31
1986-04-06 @ Galway United (old) L 0-335.2 1192 1207 26.11% 32.05% 41.84%-0.24 -30.8 22
1986-04-16 Limerick L 1-347.4 1174 1162 41.55% 32.06% 26.39%+0.23 -25.5 24
1986-04-16 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 3-147.4 1162 1174 26.39% 32.06% 41.55%-0.23 +25.5 24
1986-04-20 Cork City W 4-027.2 1306 997 67.04% 26.86% 6.10%+1.98 +11.2 33
1986-04-20 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-427.2 997 1306 6.10% 26.86% 67.04%-1.98 -11.2 13
1986-04-20 Shelbourne D 1-152.1 1148 928 61.48% 29.12% 9.39%+1.45 -4.5 25
1986-04-20 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-152.1 928 1148 9.39% 29.12% 61.48%-1.45 +4.5 13
1986-04-20 UC Dublin W 2-140.0 1143 923 61.47% 29.13% 9.40%+1.45 +4.6 26
1986-04-20 @ Waterford L 1-240.0 923 1143 9.40% 29.13% 61.47%-1.45 -4.6 8

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1986-03-09 10.70% St Patrick's Athletic 1142 1 @ Shamrock Rovers 1336 0
2 1986-02-09 11.10% Cork City 980 2 @ Bohemian 1166 0
3 1986-02-23 12.07% Home Farm 1022 2 @ Athlone Town 1192 0
4 1986-03-30 13.41% @ UC Dublin 893 2 Athlone Town 1133 0
5 1985-11-21 13.64% Home Farm 1032 1 @ Dundalk 1177 0
6 1986-02-09 13.88% @ Waterford 1089 1 Shamrock Rovers 1322 0
7 1986-02-16 17.01% UC Dublin 918 2 @ Cork City 1020 1
8 1986-03-05 19.39% Bohemian 1148 2 @ Galway United (old) 1223 0
9 1985-12-01 19.58% Bohemian 1141 2 @ Athlone Town 1215 1
10 1985-12-08 19.85% St Patrick's Athletic 1087 1 @ Dundalk 1158 0
11 1986-02-16 22.65% Athlone Town 1175 1 @ Limerick 1219 0
12 1985-10-27 23.19% Shelbourne 1038 1 @ Cork City 1077 0
13 1985-10-20 23.46% Galway United (old) 1095 2 @ UC Dublin 1132 1
14 1986-03-30 24.83% @ Dundalk 1208 1 Shamrock Rovers 1322 0
15 1986-01-19 25.10% Dundalk 1172 2 @ Limerick 1195 1
16 1986-01-19 25.42% Cork City 969 2 @ Shelbourne 989 0
17 1985-12-01 25.59% Cork City 1033 1 @ Home Farm 1052 0
18 1985-10-20 26.15% Dundalk 1066 3 @ Shelbourne 1080 0
19 1986-04-16 26.39% Limerick 1162 3 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1174 1
20 1986-03-02 29.13% @ Bohemian 1123 3 Limerick 1202 1
21 1986-03-02 29.22% Shelbourne 946 2 @ UC Dublin 936 0
22 1985-12-29 31.39% @ Waterford 1093 3 Athlone Town 1155 2
23 1986-01-12 31.47% @ St Patrick's Athletic 1114 2 Bohemian 1176 1
24 1986-03-23 31.56% @ Waterford 1128 2 Limerick 1188 1
25 1985-10-27 31.81% @ Dundalk 1109 2 Limerick 1168 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1985-11-17 49.77 @ Athlone Town 4 1153 32.30% Limerick 0 1209 35.59% 32.11%
2 1985-10-20 42.97 Dundalk 3 1066 26.15% @ Shelbourne 0 1080 41.80% 32.05%
3 1986-02-09 40.12 Cork City 2 980 11.10% @ Bohemian 0 1166 59.06% 29.84%
4 1986-02-23 39.29 Home Farm 2 1022 12.07% @ Athlone Town 0 1192 57.76% 30.17%
5 1986-03-30 38.35 @ UC Dublin 2 893 13.41% Athlone Town 0 1133 56.64% 29.95%
6 1986-01-05 38.02 Home Farm 3 1014 32.39% @ UC Dublin 0 981 35.46% 32.15%
7 1985-11-10 37.08 Limerick 4 1172 44.84% @ Shelbourne 0 1046 23.49% 31.67%
8 1985-12-01 35.87 Limerick 4 1158 45.96% @ UC Dublin 0 1023 22.47% 31.57%
9 1986-03-05 33.79 Bohemian 2 1148 19.39% @ Galway United (old) 0 1223 49.03% 31.58%
10 1986-04-06 30.75 @ Galway United (old) 3 1207 41.84% Limerick 0 1192 26.11% 32.05%
11 1985-10-27 30.41 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1181 42.27% Bohemian 0 1163 25.70% 32.03%
12 1986-01-19 30.01 Cork City 2 969 25.42% @ Shelbourne 0 989 42.56% 32.02%
13 1986-03-02 28.74 Dundalk 3 1183 44.41% @ Home Farm 0 1061 23.88% 31.70%
14 1986-03-02 27.87 Shelbourne 2 946 29.22% @ UC Dublin 0 936 38.65% 32.13%
15 1985-12-08 27.62 @ Shamrock Rovers 5 1267 48.23% Athlone Town 1 1198 20.11% 31.66%
16 1985-11-10 26.60 @ Dundalk 3 1124 46.81% UC Dublin 0 1068 21.41% 31.77%
17 1985-11-17 26.48 Dundalk 5 1150 34.77% @ Waterford 2 1101 33.11% 32.13%
18 1986-04-16 25.50 Limerick 3 1162 26.39% @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1174 41.55% 32.06%
19 1985-11-03 24.53 Shamrock Rovers 4 1211 43.99% @ UC Dublin 1 1093 24.28% 31.74%
20 1985-11-10 24.52 @ Galway United (old) 2 1146 35.62% Athlone Town 0 1178 32.23% 32.15%
21 1986-03-02 24.20 @ Bohemian 3 1123 29.13% Limerick 1 1202 38.85% 32.02%
22 1985-10-27 23.56 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1098 37.46% UC Dublin 0 1116 30.40% 32.14%
23 1986-01-05 23.18 Dundalk 4 1143 45.92% @ Cork City 1 1009 22.50% 31.58%
24 1985-10-20 22.90 @ Limerick 3 1145 31.91% Shamrock Rovers 1 1204 35.99% 32.10%
25 1985-10-27 22.74 @ Galway United (old) 2 1111 38.99% Waterford 0 1118 28.89% 32.12%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1986-03-23 61.6 @ UC Dublin 3 891 9.89% Bohemian 3 1192 61.53% 28.58%
2 1985-12-29 57.3 @ Dundalk 2 1145 55.22% Cork City 2 1006 14.07% 30.71%
3 1985-11-17 57.2 @ Bohemian 2 1142 54.67% Shelbourne 2 1009 14.52% 30.81%
4 1985-11-24 57.2 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1250 48.38% Galway United (old) 2 1180 19.97% 31.64%
5 1986-03-30 57.2 @ Cork City 2 995 17.97% St Patrick's Athletic 2 1176 51.05% 30.98%
6 1986-01-19 57.1 @ Waterford 2 1086 21.42% Galway United (old) 2 1231 47.12% 31.46%
7 1985-10-27 57.0 @ Home Farm 2 1069 26.17% Athlone Town 2 1171 41.96% 31.87%
8 1986-01-05 57.0 @ Bohemian 2 1176 33.77% Galway United (old) 2 1221 34.09% 32.13%
9 1986-01-26 57.0 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1141 46.53% Waterford 2 1088 21.67% 31.80%
10 1985-11-17 56.9 @ UC Dublin 2 1042 41.19% Cork City 2 1032 26.74% 32.07%
11 1985-12-29 53.9 @ Waterford 3 1093 31.39% Athlone Town 2 1155 36.52% 32.09%
12 1986-02-16 53.3 UC Dublin 2 918 17.01% @ Cork City 1 1020 51.72% 31.27%
13 1985-12-01 52.7 Bohemian 2 1141 19.58% @ Athlone Town 1 1215 48.82% 31.60%
14 1985-12-22 52.7 @ Dundalk 3 1134 35.52% Athlone Town 2 1166 32.34% 32.15%
15 1986-01-05 52.5 @ Shelbourne 1 991 8.69% Shamrock Rovers 1 1319 63.40% 27.91%
16 1986-04-20 52.1 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1148 61.48% Shelbourne 1 928 9.39% 29.12%
17 1985-12-15 51.9 @ Athlone Town 1 1171 59.70% UC Dublin 1 976 10.63% 29.67%
18 1986-01-19 51.8 @ Bohemian 1 1162 19.92% Shamrock Rovers 1 1322 48.80% 31.28%
19 1985-10-20 51.5 @ Athlone Town 1 1174 51.54% Cork City 1 1074 17.17% 31.29%
20 1985-12-08 51.5 @ Limerick 1 1194 51.82% Waterford 1 1091 16.93% 31.26%
21 1986-01-05 51.5 @ Limerick 1 1205 50.91% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1112 17.72% 31.37%
22 1986-02-16 51.5 @ Shelbourne 1 943 17.77% Bohemian 1 1126 51.28% 30.95%
23 1985-10-20 51.4 @ Bohemian 1 1165 48.40% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1095 19.96% 31.64%
24 1985-10-20 51.4 Galway United (old) 2 1095 23.46% @ UC Dublin 1 1132 44.62% 31.92%
25 1985-12-22 51.4 @ Limerick 1 1206 38.08% Galway United (old) 1 1220 29.78% 32.13%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1986-04-20 27.2 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1306 67.04% Cork City 0 997 6.10% 26.86%
2 1986-02-13 28.0 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1301 64.47% Home Farm 0 1036 7.51% 28.02%
3 1986-01-12 28.1 @ Galway United (old) 3 1221 65.21% UC Dublin 0 943 7.08% 27.71%
4 1986-03-09 28.2 @ Limerick 3 1178 64.75% UC Dublin 0 908 7.35% 27.90%
5 1986-02-09 29.0 @ Limerick 5 1199 62.61% Shelbourne 0 963 8.66% 28.74%
6 1985-12-22 29.7 Shamrock Rovers 3 1301 59.90% @ Cork City 0 1021 11.01% 29.09%
7 1986-01-26 30.2 @ Galway United (old) 3 1229 58.35% Home Farm 0 1052 11.62% 30.03%
8 1986-03-30 30.5 Galway United (old) 3 1189 56.91% @ Shelbourne 0 946 13.20% 29.89%
9 1986-01-26 31.3 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1320 71.82% UC Dublin 0 920 3.98% 24.20%
10 1985-12-08 32.2 @ Bohemian 2 1158 57.88% UC Dublin 0 987 11.98% 30.14%
11 1985-12-15 32.5 @ Galway United (old) 6 1200 59.11% Shelbourne 1 1013 11.06% 29.83%
12 1985-12-29 32.5 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1316 67.79% Shelbourne 0 994 5.72% 26.49%
13 1985-12-01 33.5 Limerick 4 1158 45.96% @ UC Dublin 0 1023 22.47% 31.57%
14 1985-11-10 33.6 @ Dundalk 3 1124 46.81% UC Dublin 0 1068 21.41% 31.77%
15 1985-11-10 33.8 Limerick 4 1172 44.84% @ Shelbourne 0 1046 23.49% 31.67%
16 1986-03-02 34.3 Dundalk 3 1183 44.41% @ Home Farm 0 1061 23.88% 31.70%
17 1986-01-12 34.4 Athlone Town 2 1162 50.61% @ Cork City 0 985 18.34% 31.05%
18 1985-10-27 35.0 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1181 42.27% Bohemian 0 1163 25.70% 32.03%
19 1986-04-06 35.2 @ Galway United (old) 3 1207 41.84% Limerick 0 1192 26.11% 32.05%
20 1986-01-12 35.4 @ Dundalk 1 1166 57.84% Shelbourne 0 996 12.01% 30.15%
21 1985-11-10 35.6 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1108 46.33% Home Farm 0 1057 21.86% 31.81%
22 1985-12-01 35.6 Shamrock Rovers 2 1248 46.89% @ St Patrick's Athletic 0 1106 21.62% 31.49%
23 1986-03-09 35.7 Waterford 2 1109 46.01% @ Shelbourne 0 974 22.42% 31.57%
24 1985-12-08 35.9 Galway United (old) 2 1180 45.59% @ Cork City 0 1049 22.80% 31.61%
25 1985-12-22 36.0 @ Bohemian 1 1169 55.97% Home Farm 0 1021 13.47% 30.57%