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1986-87 League of Ireland Premier Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Shamrock Rovers

39 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Shamrock Rovers

7.91 points above expected

39 points · 31.09 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Bray Wanderers

5.30 points below expected

17 points · 22.30 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Shamrock Rovers 22 18 3 1 39 51 16 +35 31.09 +7.91
2 Dundalk 22 12 6 4 30 40 21 +19 26.52 +3.48
3 Bohemian 22 11 7 4 29 32 23 +9 24.51 +4.49
4 Waterford 22 12 4 6 28 42 24 +18 26.39 +1.61
5 St Patrick's Athletic 22 7 9 6 23 22 21 +1 21.53 +1.47
6 Galway United (old) 22 8 6 8 22 25 25 0 23.40 -1.40
7 Cork City 22 7 4 11 18 30 34 -4 17.95 +0.05
8 Bray Wanderers 22 6 5 11 17 25 33 -8 22.30 -5.30
9 Limerick 22 7 3 12 17 24 38 -14 20.11 -3.11
10 Sligo Rovers 22 6 5 11 17 23 38 -15 18.50 -1.50
11 Home Farm 22 6 1 15 13 24 48 -24 15.47 -2.47
12 Athlone Town 22 3 5 14 11 18 35 -17 16.23 -5.23

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Shamrock Rovers 39 31.09 +7.91
2 Bohemian 29 24.51 +4.49
3 Dundalk 30 26.52 +3.48
4 Waterford 28 26.39 +1.61
5 St Patrick's Athletic 23 21.53 +1.47

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Bray Wanderers 17 22.30 -5.30
2 Athlone Town 11 16.23 -5.23
3 Limerick 17 20.11 -3.11
4 Home Farm 13 15.47 -2.47
5 Sligo Rovers 17 18.50 -1.50

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shamrock Rovers 8 Jan 4 – Mar 8 1 in 26
2 Dundalk 5 Feb 8 – Mar 22 1 in 20
3 Sligo Rovers 2 Dec 28 – Jan 4 1 in 17
4 Bray Wanderers 3 Dec 28 – Jan 11 1 in 16
5 Home Farm 2 Oct 24 – Nov 2 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Home Farm 8 Jan 11 – Mar 22 1 in 208
2 Galway United (old) 3 Dec 21 – Jan 4 1 in 62
3 Athlone Town 4 Dec 7 – Dec 28 1 in 31
4 Bray Wanderers 3 Oct 26 – Nov 9 1 in 20
5 Limerick 3 Nov 30 – Dec 14 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shamrock Rovers 19 Oct 19 – Mar 8 1 in 50
2 Sligo Rovers 6 Jan 25 – Mar 22 1 in 26
3 Waterford 8 Oct 19 – Dec 7 1 in 23
4 Dundalk 10 Jan 4 – Mar 29 1 in 21
5 Cork City 4 Nov 23 – Dec 14 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bray Wanderers 7 Feb 8 – Mar 31 1 in 34
2 Athlone Town 9 Nov 2 – Dec 28 1 in 23
3 Bohemian 6 Dec 28 – Feb 8 1 in 16
4 Galway United (old) 4 Jan 18 – Feb 15 1 in 13
5 Home Farm 8 Jan 11 – Mar 22 1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Shamrock Rovers 1176 39 -3 8 7.6 +0.4
Dundalk 1105 30 +22 7 6.8 +0.2
Bohemian 987 29 +26 8 6.0 +2.0
Waterford 981 28 +33 5 6.0 -1.0
St Patrick's Athletic 932 23 +33 6 4.8 +1.2
Galway United (old) 943 22 +46 7 3.9 +3.1
Cork City 829 18 +1 5 4.8 +0.2
Limerick 811 17 -13 5 3.9 +1.1
Sligo Rovers 811 17 -23 4 4.4 -0.4
Bray Wanderers 874 17 -71 1 5.0 -4.0
Home Farm 701 13 -18 2 3.2 -1.2
Athlone Town 745 11 -35 2 3.8 -1.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AT BOH BW CC DUN GU( HF LIM SR SR SPA WAT
Athlone Town —
0-0-2
1.59
1-1-0
1.79
1-0-1
2.05
0-1-1
1.40
0-1-1
1.88
1-0-1
3.27
0-0-2
2.38
0-0-2
1.17
0-1-1
2.43
0-0-2
2.25
0-1-1
1.94
Bohemian
2-0-0
3.95
—
2-0-0
3.31
1-1-0
3.59
0-2-0
2.24
1-1-0
2.74
2-0-0
3.95
2-0-0
3.26
0-1-1
1.75
1-1-0
3.66
0-1-1
3.15
0-0-2
2.67
Bray Wanderers
0-1-1
3.75
0-0-2
2.22
—
2-0-0
3.54
0-0-2
1.92
0-1-1
2.72
0-0-2
3.97
2-0-0
2.90
0-0-2
1.81
1-1-0
3.26
0-2-0
2.95
1-0-1
2.55
Cork City
1-0-1
3.48
0-1-1
1.95
0-0-2
2.00
—
0-0-2
1.38
0-1-1
1.95
2-0-0
3.12
1-0-1
2.82
0-0-2
1.24
1-1-0
2.34
1-1-0
2.03
1-0-1
1.70
Dundalk
1-1-0
4.15
0-2-0
3.30
2-0-0
3.62
2-0-0
4.17
—
1-0-1
3.28
1-0-1
4.10
1-1-0
3.49
1-0-1
2.09
2-0-0
3.59
0-2-0
3.72
1-0-1
1.99
Galway United (old)
1-1-0
3.66
0-1-1
2.80
1-1-0
2.81
1-1-0
3.59
1-0-1
2.26
—
2-0-0
3.56
0-1-1
3.21
0-0-2
1.74
0-0-2
3.61
1-0-1
2.97
1-1-0
2.10
Home Farm
1-0-1
2.26
0-0-2
1.59
2-0-0
1.58
0-0-2
2.42
1-0-1
1.46
0-0-2
1.98
—
0-0-2
2.01
0-0-2
0.77
1-0-1
2.58
1-1-0
1.79
0-0-2
1.76
Limerick
2-0-0
3.15
0-0-2
2.28
0-0-2
2.63
1-0-1
2.72
0-1-1
2.06
1-1-0
2.32
2-0-0
3.53
—
0-0-2
1.56
0-0-2
3.21
1-1-0
2.48
0-0-2
1.86
Shamrock Rovers
2-0-0
4.38
1-1-0
3.79
2-0-0
3.74
2-0-0
4.32
1-0-1
3.45
2-0-0
3.81
2-0-0
4.81
2-0-0
3.99
—
2-0-0
4.49
1-1-0
4.19
1-1-0
3.58
Sligo Rovers
1-1-0
3.11
0-1-1
1.88
0-1-1
2.28
0-1-1
3.19
0-0-2
1.95
2-0-0
1.92
1-0-1
2.96
2-0-0
2.33
0-0-2
1.07
—
0-0-2
2.20
0-1-1
1.95
St Patrick's Athletic
2-0-0
3.29
1-1-0
2.39
0-2-0
2.58
0-1-1
3.51
0-2-0
1.82
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-1
3.75
0-1-1
3.06
0-1-1
1.36
2-0-0
3.34
—
1-0-1
2.03
Waterford
1-1-0
3.60
2-0-0
2.86
1-0-1
2.98
1-0-1
3.84
1-0-1
3.54
0-1-1
3.43
2-0-0
3.78
2-0-0
3.68
0-1-1
1.97
1-1-0
3.59
1-0-1
3.51
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.80 +7.4
Allowed 0.76 -7.6
Differential 0.94 +4.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.85%9.09%3.41%1.89%0.38%0.76%25.38%
19.09%8.33%11.74%6.06%1.14%1.14%37.50%
23.41%11.74%3.79%2.65%0.38%—21.97%
31.89%6.06%2.65%——0.38%10.98%
40.38%1.14%0.38%———1.89%
5+0.76%1.14%—0.38%——2.27%
Total25.38%37.50%21.97%10.98%1.89%2.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.35 +0.00
SD 1.22 1.22 1.74
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%22.73%9.09%———40.91%
14.55%9.09%13.64%9.09%—4.55%40.91%
2—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%40.91%27.27%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 1.59 -0.77
SD 0.85 1.18 1.27
CV 1.04 0.74 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%4.55%———22.73%
113.64%13.64%—4.55%——31.82%
24.55%18.18%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
3—9.09%————9.09%
4———————
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total31.82%45.45%9.09%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.05 +0.41
SD 1.22 1.00 1.18
CV 0.84 0.96 —
Max 5 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%9.09%———27.27%
19.09%9.09%13.64%9.09%4.55%—45.45%
2—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%27.27%31.82%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.50 -0.36
SD 0.99 1.14 1.47
CV 0.87 0.76 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
1—9.09%22.73%4.55%——36.36%
2—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
3—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total4.55%45.45%40.91%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.55 -0.18
SD 1.22 0.74 1.47
CV 0.89 0.48 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%————4.55%18.18%
113.64%4.55%9.09%———27.27%
29.09%13.64%9.09%4.55%——36.36%
39.09%—————9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total50.00%22.73%18.18%4.55%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 0.95 +0.86
SD 1.74 1.29 2.27
CV 0.95 1.35 —
Max 8 5 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%13.64%————31.82%
19.09%9.09%13.64%4.55%——36.36%
24.55%13.64%————18.18%
3—4.55%4.55%——4.55%13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total31.82%40.91%18.18%4.55%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.14 +0.00
SD 1.04 1.21 1.15
CV 0.91 1.06 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%—4.55%4.55%—22.73%
14.55%4.55%9.09%22.73%4.55%4.55%50.00%
2—18.18%—4.55%——22.73%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total4.55%36.36%13.64%31.82%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 2.18 -1.09
SD 0.81 1.30 1.63
CV 0.74 0.59 —
Max 3 5 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%—4.55%—4.55%27.27%
113.64%4.55%13.64%9.09%——40.91%
2—13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%36.36%18.18%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.73 -0.64
SD 0.87 1.49 1.76
CV 0.80 0.86 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%———9.09%
19.09%9.09%————18.18%
29.09%13.64%————22.73%
39.09%22.73%4.55%———36.36%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total36.36%54.55%9.09%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 0.73 +1.59
SD 1.29 0.63 1.44
CV 0.56 0.87 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%9.09%———27.27%
19.09%9.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%45.45%
2—13.64%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%36.36%27.27%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.73 -0.68
SD 0.84 1.75 1.89
CV 0.81 1.01 —
Max 3 8 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%4.55%————22.73%
118.18%18.18%18.18%4.55%——59.09%
24.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.91%27.27%27.27%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 0.95 +0.05
SD 0.76 0.95 0.95
CV 0.76 1.00 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%—9.09%——27.27%
14.55%—13.64%———18.18%
29.09%13.64%4.55%———27.27%
3—9.09%————9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%9.09%————13.64%
Total31.82%36.36%22.73%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 1.09 +0.82
SD 1.80 0.97 2.17
CV 0.94 0.89 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Shamrock Rovers 1176 39 31.09 +7.91 99.0% 22 24 30 31 33 36 40
Dundalk 1105 30 26.52 +3.48 85.0% 17 19 24 27 29 32 36
Bohemian 987 29 24.51 +4.49 91.0% 13 17 22 25 27 31 36
Waterford 981 28 26.39 +1.61 65.0% 15 20 23 27 29 33 35
Galway United (old) 943 22 23.40 -1.40 35.0% 13 17 21 24 26 29 33
St Patrick's Athletic 932 23 21.53 +1.47 67.0% 12 15 18 22 25 28 33
Bray Wanderers 874 17 22.30 -5.30 10.0% 14 15 20 22 24 28 33
Cork City 829 18 17.95 +0.05 52.0% 6 10 15 18 21 26 31
Sligo Rovers 811 17 18.50 -1.50 44.0% 10 12 15 18 21 25 29
Limerick 811 17 20.11 -3.11 23.0% 12 14 18 20 23 27 32
Athlone Town 745 11 16.23 -5.23 14.0% 8 9 14 16 19 23 26
Home Farm 701 13 15.47 -2.47 32.0% 8 10 12 15 18 21 24

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+9.85%
Slight Edge
43.94%21.97%34.09%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 34.33 Elo pts.
181 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.18 goals
Neutral
-2+0.19+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.1
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
67%
Shamrock Rovers, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.41/gm
Runaway
00.150.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.1 * Some Luck: 3.1 to 4.65 * Lucky: 4.65 to 6.2 * Wild Swing: 6.2 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.45 * Close: 1.45 to 2.18 * Off: 2.18 to 2.9 * Way Off: 2.9 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.82 points
Some Luck
03.8810
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
01.814
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
Shamrock Rovers
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
10.00%
Bray Wanderers
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 141.34
1.97
Strong Separation
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
73%
Clear Edge
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
94%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
69%
Very Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
11%
Rare
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Very Even
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.13
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.49
Some Carryover
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Upset-Prone
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Shaky Favorites
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.3 * Well Above Noise: 0.3 and up.
Probability calibration
0.52
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.05
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.068
Well Within Noise
00.1490.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Shamrock Rovers67.00%18.00%8.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%——————
Dundalk13.00%23.00%19.00%16.00%11.00%6.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%——
Bohemian5.00%13.00%22.00%10.00%11.00%13.00%12.00%8.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%—
Waterford9.00%30.00%22.00%10.00%12.00%1.00%9.00%4.00%2.00%—1.00%—
St Patrick's Athletic1.00%3.00%6.00%16.00%12.00%16.00%9.00%8.00%15.00%8.00%2.00%4.00%
Galway United (old)2.00%5.00%11.00%23.00%17.00%16.00%5.00%8.00%7.00%1.00%3.00%2.00%
Cork City—2.00%1.00%4.00%2.00%7.00%13.00%13.00%10.00%19.00%13.00%16.00%
Bray Wanderers2.00%5.00%5.00%8.00%16.00%14.00%18.00%15.00%8.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%
Limerick1.00%—3.00%6.00%8.00%12.00%13.00%15.00%22.00%5.00%8.00%7.00%
Sligo Rovers—1.00%3.00%3.00%8.00%4.00%11.00%9.00%14.00%19.00%23.00%5.00%
Home Farm—————4.00%1.00%9.00%7.00%18.00%26.00%35.00%
Athlone Town————2.00%5.00%4.00%8.00%9.00%21.00%21.00%30.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Dundalk 100% —
Shamrock Rovers 100% —
Bohemian 99.00% 1.00%
Waterford 99.00% 1.00%
Bray Wanderers 97.00% 3.00%
Galway United (old) 95.00% 5.00%
St Patrick's Athletic 94.00% 6.00%
Limerick 85.00% 15.00%
Sligo Rovers 72.00% 28.00%
Cork City 71.00% 29.00%
Athlone Town 49.00% 51.00%
Home Farm 39.00% 61.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1986-10-19 Cork City W 1-033.5 967 809 62.33% 22.70% 14.97%+1.06 +7.4 2
1986-10-19 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-133.5 809 967 14.97% 22.70% 62.33%-1.06 -7.4 0
1986-10-19 Sligo Rovers W 2-032.8 949 891 52.65% 23.16% 24.19%+0.51 +21.1 2
1986-10-19 @ Dundalk L 0-232.8 891 949 24.19% 23.16% 52.65%-0.51 -21.1 0
1986-10-19 Home Farm W 2-140.0 950 828 59.22% 22.90% 17.88%+0.86 +8.2 2
1986-10-19 @ Galway United (old) L 1-240.0 828 950 17.88% 22.90% 59.22%-0.86 -8.2 0
1986-10-19 Limerick W 2-141.9 993 933 52.84% 23.16% 24.00%+0.52 +10.5 2
1986-10-19 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-241.9 933 993 24.00% 23.16% 52.84%-0.52 -10.5 0
1986-10-19 Bohemian D 1-153.5 895 918 42.28% 23.30% 34.42%+0.06 -0.7 1
1986-10-19 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-153.5 918 895 34.42% 23.30% 42.28%-0.06 +0.7 1
1986-10-19 Athlone Town W 5-135.8 890 872 47.81% 23.26% 28.93%+0.29 +38.6 2
1986-10-19 @ Waterford L 1-535.8 872 890 28.93% 23.26% 47.81%-0.29 -38.6 0
1986-10-24 Dundalk W 2-150.1 819 971 25.40% 23.08% 51.52%-0.65 +19.5 2
1986-10-24 @ Home Farm L 1-250.1 971 819 51.52% 23.08% 25.40%+0.65 -19.5 2
1986-10-25 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-143.0 922 894 49.05% 23.24% 27.71%+0.34 +11.8 2
1986-10-25 @ Limerick L 1-243.0 894 922 27.71% 23.24% 49.05%-0.34 -11.8 1
1986-10-26 Bray Wanderers W 2-149.7 834 974 26.61% 23.12% 50.28%-0.59 +19.1 2
1986-10-26 @ Athlone Town L 1-249.7 974 834 50.28% 23.12% 26.61%+0.59 -19.0 2
1986-10-26 Galway United (old) W 5-347.7 919 958 40.12% 23.30% 36.58%-0.03 +21.5 3
1986-10-26 @ Bohemian L 3-547.7 958 919 36.58% 23.30% 40.12%+0.03 -21.5 2
1986-10-26 Shamrock Rovers L 1-240.6 801 1003 20.06% 22.84% 57.09%-0.93 -9.0 0
1986-10-26 @ Cork City W 2-140.6 1003 801 57.09% 22.84% 20.06%+0.93 +9.0 4
1986-10-26 Waterford D 2-259.2 870 929 37.26% 23.29% 39.45%-0.14 +0.1 1
1986-10-26 @ Sligo Rovers D 2-259.2 929 870 39.45% 23.29% 37.26%+0.14 -0.1 3
1986-11-02 Bohemian D 0-048.9 951 941 46.84% 23.27% 29.89%+0.25 -1.6 3
1986-11-02 @ Dundalk D 0-048.9 941 951 29.89% 23.27% 46.84%-0.25 +1.7 4
1986-11-02 Limerick D 0-048.9 937 934 45.81% 23.28% 30.91%+0.20 -1.4 3
1986-11-02 @ Galway United (old) D 0-048.9 934 937 30.91% 23.28% 45.81%-0.20 +1.4 3
1986-11-02 Athlone Town W 1-033.5 1012 853 62.45% 22.69% 14.86%+1.07 +7.4 6
1986-11-02 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-133.5 853 1012 14.86% 22.69% 62.45%-1.07 -7.4 2
1986-11-02 Home Farm L 1-249.5 870 839 49.42% 23.23% 27.35%+0.36 -18.8 1
1986-11-02 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-149.5 839 870 27.35% 23.23% 49.42%-0.36 +18.8 4
1986-11-02 Cork City D 2-259.2 882 792 56.08% 23.05% 20.87%+0.69 -2.4 2
1986-11-02 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 2-259.2 792 882 20.87% 23.05% 56.08%-0.69 +2.4 1
1986-11-02 Bray Wanderers W 2-036.0 929 955 41.90% 23.30% 34.80%+0.04 +28.2 5
1986-11-02 @ Waterford L 0-236.0 955 929 34.80% 23.30% 41.90%-0.04 -28.2 2
1986-11-09 St Patrick's Athletic L 2-351.9 845 880 40.74% 23.30% 35.96%+0.00 -15.1 2
1986-11-09 @ Athlone Town W 3-251.9 880 845 35.96% 23.30% 40.74%+0.00 +15.1 4
1986-11-09 Sligo Rovers W 2-140.9 942 851 56.17% 23.04% 20.79%+0.69 +9.3 6
1986-11-09 @ Bohemian L 1-240.9 851 942 20.79% 23.04% 56.17%-0.69 -9.3 1
1986-11-09 Shamrock Rovers L 1-341.0 927 1020 32.63% 23.25% 44.12%-0.32 -23.3 2
1986-11-09 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-141.0 1020 927 44.12% 23.25% 32.63%+0.32 +23.2 8
1986-11-09 Galway United (old) L 0-137.2 795 935 26.61% 23.12% 50.27%-0.59 -12.1 1
1986-11-09 @ Cork City W 1-037.2 935 795 50.27% 23.12% 26.61%+0.59 +12.1 5
1986-11-09 Waterford L 1-536.7 858 957 31.75% 23.23% 45.02%-0.36 -41.6 4
1986-11-09 @ Home Farm W 5-136.7 957 858 45.02% 23.23% 31.75%+0.36 +41.5 7
1986-11-09 Dundalk D 2-259.2 935 949 43.59% 23.30% 33.12%+0.11 -0.7 4
1986-11-09 @ Limerick D 2-259.2 949 935 33.12% 23.30% 43.59%-0.11 +0.7 4
1986-11-16 Cork City W 3-027.6 950 782 63.08% 22.64% 14.28%+1.12 +19.5 6
1986-11-16 @ Dundalk L 0-327.6 782 950 14.28% 22.64% 63.08%-1.12 -19.5 1
1986-11-16 Athlone Town W 2-030.9 947 830 58.74% 22.93% 18.33%+0.84 +16.7 7
1986-11-16 @ Galway United (old) L 0-230.9 830 947 18.33% 22.93% 58.74%-0.84 -16.7 2
1986-11-16 Bohemian L 1-242.8 816 952 27.24% 23.13% 49.62%-0.56 -11.6 4
1986-11-16 @ Home Farm W 2-142.8 952 816 49.62% 23.13% 27.24%+0.56 +11.6 8
1986-11-16 Limerick W 2-147.9 842 935 32.61% 23.25% 44.14%-0.32 +17.0 3
1986-11-16 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-247.9 935 842 44.14% 23.25% 32.61%+0.32 -17.0 4
1986-11-16 Bray Wanderers D 0-048.9 895 904 44.31% 23.29% 32.40%+0.14 -1.1 5
1986-11-16 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-048.9 904 895 32.40% 23.29% 44.31%-0.14 +1.1 3
1986-11-16 Shamrock Rovers D 0-048.9 999 1043 39.38% 23.30% 37.32%-0.06 -0.2 8
1986-11-16 @ Waterford D 0-048.9 1043 999 37.32% 23.30% 39.38%+0.06 +0.2 9
1986-11-23 Dundalk D 1-153.6 813 970 24.82% 23.06% 52.12%-0.67 +2.4 3
1986-11-23 @ Athlone Town D 1-153.6 970 813 52.12% 23.06% 24.82%+0.67 -2.4 7
1986-11-23 Waterford L 1-343.4 963 998 40.65% 23.30% 36.05%-0.01 -27.6 8
1986-11-23 @ Bohemian W 3-143.4 998 963 36.05% 23.30% 40.65%+0.01 +27.6 10
1986-11-23 Galway United (old) D 1-153.5 905 964 37.26% 23.29% 39.45%-0.14 +0.2 4
1986-11-23 @ Bray Wanderers D 1-153.5 964 905 39.45% 23.29% 37.26%+0.14 -0.2 8
1986-11-23 Sligo Rovers W 3-253.1 763 859 32.20% 23.24% 44.56%-0.34 +16.3 3
1986-11-23 @ Cork City L 2-353.1 859 763 44.56% 23.24% 32.20%+0.34 -16.3 3
1986-11-23 Home Farm W 1-034.7 918 805 58.36% 22.95% 18.69%+0.81 +9.0 6
1986-11-23 @ Limerick L 0-134.7 805 918 18.69% 22.95% 58.36%-0.81 -9.0 4
1986-11-23 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-153.7 1043 894 61.59% 22.75% 15.66%+1.01 -4.3 10
1986-11-23 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-153.7 894 1043 15.66% 22.75% 61.59%-1.01 +4.4 6
1986-11-30 Limerick W 1-038.3 936 927 46.61% 23.27% 30.12%+0.24 +13.4 10
1986-11-30 @ Bohemian L 0-138.3 927 936 30.12% 23.27% 46.61%-0.24 -13.4 6
1986-11-30 Bray Wanderers W 1-036.3 967 905 53.07% 23.15% 23.78%+0.53 +11.0 9
1986-11-30 @ Dundalk L 0-136.3 905 967 23.78% 23.15% 53.07%-0.53 -11.1 4
1986-11-30 Shamrock Rovers L 0-139.7 964 1039 35.04% 23.28% 41.68%-0.22 -15.1 8
1986-11-30 @ Galway United (old) W 1-039.7 1039 964 41.68% 23.28% 35.04%+0.22 +15.1 12
1986-11-30 Cork City L 1-442.8 796 779 47.57% 23.26% 29.17%+0.28 -44.5 4
1986-11-30 @ Home Farm W 4-142.8 779 796 29.17% 23.26% 47.57%-0.28 +44.5 5
1986-11-30 Athlone Town D 1-153.5 843 816 48.89% 23.24% 27.87%+0.34 -1.9 4
1986-11-30 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-153.5 816 843 27.87% 23.24% 48.89%-0.34 +1.8 4
1986-11-30 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-139.8 1026 898 59.72% 22.87% 17.41%+0.90 +8.0 12
1986-11-30 @ Waterford L 1-239.8 898 1026 17.41% 22.87% 59.72%-0.90 -8.0 6
1986-12-07 Home Farm L 1-250.7 818 751 53.57% 23.13% 23.30%+0.56 -20.2 4
1986-12-07 @ Athlone Town W 2-150.7 751 818 23.30% 23.13% 53.57%-0.56 +20.2 6
1986-12-07 Sligo Rovers W 2-142.1 894 841 52.05% 23.18% 24.77%+0.48 +10.8 6
1986-12-07 @ Bray Wanderers L 1-242.1 841 894 24.77% 23.18% 52.05%-0.48 -10.8 4
1986-12-07 Bohemian D 1-153.5 824 949 28.47% 23.17% 48.36%-0.50 +1.7 6
1986-12-07 @ Cork City D 1-153.5 949 824 48.36% 23.17% 28.47%+0.50 -1.7 11
1986-12-07 Waterford L 2-443.7 913 1034 29.03% 23.18% 47.79%-0.48 -18.9 6
1986-12-07 @ Limerick W 4-243.7 1034 913 47.79% 23.18% 29.03%+0.48 +19.0 14
1986-12-07 Dundalk W 5-030.7 1054 978 54.55% 23.10% 22.35%+0.61 +46.2 14
1986-12-07 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-530.7 978 1054 22.35% 23.10% 54.55%-0.61 -46.3 9
1986-12-07 Galway United (old) W 1-041.0 890 949 37.35% 23.29% 39.36%-0.13 +16.5 8
1986-12-07 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-141.0 949 890 39.36% 23.29% 37.35%+0.13 -16.5 8
1986-12-12 Bray Wanderers W 2-149.5 771 905 27.46% 23.14% 49.40%-0.55 +18.8 8
1986-12-12 @ Home Farm L 1-249.5 905 771 49.40% 23.14% 27.46%+0.55 -18.8 6
1986-12-14 Athlone Town W 2-139.2 947 797 61.63% 22.75% 15.62%+1.02 +7.3 13
1986-12-14 @ Bohemian L 1-239.2 797 947 15.62% 22.75% 61.63%-1.02 -7.3 4
1986-12-14 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-048.9 932 907 48.70% 23.24% 28.06%+0.33 -2.0 10
1986-12-14 @ Dundalk D 0-048.9 907 932 28.06% 23.24% 48.70%-0.33 +2.0 9
1986-12-14 Cork City L 1-347.3 894 825 53.83% 23.13% 23.05%+0.57 -35.2 6
1986-12-14 @ Limerick W 3-147.3 825 894 23.05% 23.13% 53.83%-0.57 +35.2 8
1986-12-14 Shamrock Rovers L 1-335.3 830 1100 14.40% 22.41% 63.19%-1.30 -11.7 4
1986-12-14 @ Sligo Rovers W 3-135.3 1100 830 63.19% 22.41% 14.40%+1.30 +11.7 16
1986-12-14 Galway United (old) L 0-146.8 1053 932 59.07% 22.91% 18.02%+0.86 -23.5 14
1986-12-14 @ Waterford W 1-046.8 932 1053 18.02% 22.91% 59.07%-0.86 +23.5 10
1986-12-19 Home Farm W 3-024.9 1112 790 72.22% 21.32% 6.45%+1.97 +9.2 18
1986-12-19 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-324.9 790 1112 6.45% 21.32% 72.22%-1.97 -9.2 8
1986-12-21 Limerick L 1-245.5 790 859 35.86% 23.28% 40.86%-0.19 -14.4 4
1986-12-21 @ Athlone Town W 2-145.5 859 790 40.86% 23.28% 35.86%+0.19 +14.5 8
1986-12-21 Bohemian L 1-342.0 886 954 35.95% 23.28% 40.76%-0.19 -25.1 6
1986-12-21 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-142.0 954 886 40.76% 23.28% 35.95%+0.19 +25.1 15
1986-12-21 Waterford L 1-241.7 861 1029 23.44% 23.01% 53.55%-0.74 -10.3 8
1986-12-21 @ Cork City W 2-141.7 1029 861 53.55% 23.01% 23.44%+0.74 +10.3 16
1986-12-21 Dundalk L 1-249.3 956 930 48.78% 23.24% 27.98%+0.33 -18.6 10
1986-12-21 @ Galway United (old) W 2-149.3 930 956 27.98% 23.24% 48.78%-0.33 +18.6 12
1986-12-21 Sligo Rovers W 1-035.4 909 818 56.10% 23.05% 20.85%+0.69 +9.9 11
1986-12-21 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-135.4 818 909 20.85% 23.05% 56.10%-0.69 -9.9 4
1986-12-28 Shamrock Rovers D 1-153.6 980 1121 26.51% 23.11% 50.37%-0.59 +2.1 16
1986-12-28 @ Bohemian D 1-153.6 1121 980 50.37% 23.11% 26.51%+0.59 -2.1 19
1986-12-28 Athlone Town W 3-137.9 850 776 54.44% 23.11% 22.45%+0.60 +17.2 10
1986-12-28 @ Cork City L 1-337.9 776 850 22.45% 23.11% 54.44%-0.60 -17.2 4
1986-12-28 Waterford L 1-244.6 949 1040 32.84% 23.25% 43.91%-0.31 -13.5 12
1986-12-28 @ Dundalk W 2-144.6 1040 949 43.91% 23.25% 32.84%+0.31 +13.5 18
1986-12-28 Bray Wanderers L 1-345.3 874 861 47.12% 23.27% 29.61%+0.26 -31.2 8
1986-12-28 @ Limerick W 3-145.3 861 874 29.61% 23.27% 47.12%-0.26 +31.2 8
1986-12-28 Galway United (old) W 2-149.3 808 937 28.03% 23.16% 48.82%-0.52 +18.6 6
1986-12-28 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-249.3 937 808 48.82% 23.16% 28.03%+0.52 -18.6 10
1986-12-28 Home Farm D 1-153.6 919 781 60.62% 22.82% 16.56%+0.95 -4.1 12
1986-12-28 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-153.6 781 919 16.56% 22.82% 60.62%-0.95 +4.1 9
1987-01-04 Cork City W 3-145.1 759 868 30.51% 23.21% 46.28%-0.41 +30.7 6
1987-01-04 @ Athlone Town L 1-345.1 868 759 46.28% 23.21% 30.51%+0.41 -30.7 10
1987-01-04 Limerick W 3-247.2 892 843 51.63% 23.19% 25.18%+0.46 +10.4 10
1987-01-04 @ Bray Wanderers L 2-347.2 843 892 25.18% 23.19% 51.63%-0.46 -10.4 8
1987-01-04 Sligo Rovers L 1-251.5 919 827 56.24% 23.04% 20.72%+0.70 -21.2 10
1987-01-04 @ Galway United (old) W 2-151.5 827 919 20.72% 23.04% 56.24%-0.70 +21.2 8
1987-01-04 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-043.9 785 915 27.93% 23.15% 48.91%-0.53 +19.7 11
1987-01-04 @ Home Farm L 0-143.9 915 785 48.91% 23.15% 27.93%+0.53 -19.7 12
1987-01-04 Bohemian W 3-244.6 1119 982 60.56% 22.82% 16.61%+0.95 +7.3 21
1987-01-04 @ Shamrock Rovers L 2-344.6 982 1119 16.61% 22.82% 60.56%-0.95 -7.3 16
1987-01-04 Dundalk L 0-341.1 1053 935 58.83% 22.92% 18.25%+0.84 -64.2 18
1987-01-04 @ Waterford W 3-041.1 935 1053 18.25% 22.92% 58.83%-0.84 +64.2 14
1987-01-11 Waterford D 0-049.1 789 989 20.30% 22.86% 56.85%-0.91 +3.8 7
1987-01-11 @ Athlone Town D 0-049.1 989 789 56.85% 22.86% 20.30%+0.91 -3.8 19
1987-01-11 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-145.7 974 895 54.97% 23.09% 21.94%+0.63 -22.0 16
1987-01-11 @ Bohemian W 1-045.7 895 974 21.94% 23.09% 54.97%-0.63 +22.0 14
1987-01-11 Bray Wanderers L 0-140.1 837 902 36.34% 23.29% 40.37%-0.17 -15.5 10
1987-01-11 @ Cork City W 1-040.1 902 837 40.37% 23.29% 36.34%+0.17 +15.5 12
1987-01-11 Galway United (old) L 1-341.0 805 898 32.60% 23.25% 44.15%-0.32 -23.2 11
1987-01-11 @ Home Farm W 3-141.0 898 805 44.15% 23.25% 32.60%+0.32 +23.2 12
1987-01-11 Shamrock Rovers L 0-327.0 832 1126 12.77% 22.22% 65.01%-1.43 -17.5 8
1987-01-11 @ Limerick W 3-027.0 1126 832 65.01% 22.22% 12.77%+1.43 +17.5 23
1987-01-11 Dundalk L 1-834.3 848 999 25.40% 23.08% 51.52%-0.64 -58.1 8
1987-01-11 @ Sligo Rovers W 8-134.3 999 848 51.52% 23.08% 25.40%+0.64 +58.1 16
1987-01-18 Athlone Town D 2-259.3 918 793 59.47% 22.89% 17.65%+0.88 -2.9 13
1987-01-18 @ Bray Wanderers D 2-259.3 793 918 17.65% 22.89% 59.47%-0.88 +2.9 8
1987-01-18 Home Farm W 4-025.3 1057 781 70.03% 21.78% 8.20%+1.71 +15.2 18
1987-01-18 @ Dundalk L 0-425.3 781 1057 8.20% 21.78% 70.03%-1.71 -15.2 11
1987-01-18 Bohemian D 0-048.9 921 952 41.17% 23.30% 35.52%+0.02 -0.5 13
1987-01-18 @ Galway United (old) D 0-048.9 952 921 35.52% 23.30% 41.17%-0.02 +0.5 17
1987-01-18 Cork City W 2-026.9 1144 821 72.25% 21.32% 6.43%+1.97 +6.3 25
1987-01-18 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-226.9 821 1144 6.43% 21.32% 72.25%-1.97 -6.3 10
1987-01-18 Sligo Rovers W 1-032.7 985 790 65.11% 22.45% 12.43%+1.27 +6.3 21
1987-01-18 @ Waterford L 0-132.7 790 985 12.43% 22.45% 65.11%-1.27 -6.3 8
1987-01-23 Dundalk D 2-259.2 953 1073 29.16% 23.18% 47.66%-0.47 +1.2 18
1987-01-23 @ Bohemian D 2-259.2 1073 953 47.66% 23.18% 29.16%+0.47 -1.2 19
1987-01-25 Shamrock Rovers L 0-227.9 796 1150 9.40% 21.69% 68.91%-1.77 -9.1 8
1987-01-25 @ Athlone Town W 2-027.9 1150 796 68.91% 21.69% 9.40%+1.77 +9.1 27
1987-01-25 Waterford W 3-036.1 915 992 34.84% 23.27% 41.89%-0.23 +47.4 15
1987-01-25 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-336.1 992 915 41.89% 23.27% 34.84%+0.23 -47.4 21
1987-01-25 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-148.3 815 917 31.44% 23.23% 45.33%-0.37 +17.4 12
1987-01-25 @ Cork City L 1-248.3 917 815 45.33% 23.23% 31.44%+0.37 -17.4 14
1987-01-25 Sligo Rovers L 1-344.1 766 784 43.09% 23.30% 33.61%+0.09 -28.9 11
1987-01-25 @ Home Farm W 3-144.1 784 766 33.61% 23.30% 43.09%-0.09 +28.9 10
1987-01-25 Galway United (old) W 1-043.0 815 920 30.94% 23.22% 45.85%-0.39 +18.6 10
1987-01-25 @ Limerick L 0-143.0 920 815 45.85% 23.22% 30.94%+0.39 -18.6 13
1987-02-08 Limerick W 2-137.4 1071 833 67.91% 22.12% 9.97%+1.50 +4.8 21
1987-02-08 @ Dundalk L 1-237.4 833 1071 9.97% 22.12% 67.91%-1.50 -4.8 10
1987-02-08 Cork City D 1-153.6 902 832 53.85% 23.13% 23.02%+0.57 -2.8 14
1987-02-08 @ Galway United (old) D 1-153.6 832 902 23.02% 23.13% 53.85%-0.57 +2.8 13
1987-02-08 Bray Wanderers W 4-132.0 1159 962 65.23% 22.44% 12.33%+1.28 +14.4 29
1987-02-08 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-432.0 962 1159 12.33% 22.44% 65.23%-1.28 -14.4 15
1987-02-08 Bohemian D 0-049.0 813 954 26.53% 23.11% 50.36%-0.59 +2.4 11
1987-02-08 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-049.0 954 813 50.36% 23.11% 26.53%+0.59 -2.4 19
1987-02-08 Athlone Town W 1-034.7 899 787 58.30% 22.95% 18.75%+0.81 +9.0 16
1987-02-08 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-134.7 787 899 18.75% 22.95% 58.30%-0.81 -9.1 8
1987-02-08 Home Farm W 3-134.4 944 737 65.93% 22.37% 11.71%+1.33 +9.7 23
1987-02-08 @ Waterford L 1-334.4 737 944 11.71% 22.37% 65.93%-1.33 -9.7 11
1987-02-15 Galway United (old) D 0-049.0 778 899 28.98% 23.18% 47.84%-0.48 +1.9 9
1987-02-15 @ Athlone Town D 0-049.0 899 778 47.84% 23.18% 28.98%+0.48 -1.9 15
1987-02-15 Home Farm W 3-134.1 952 728 67.06% 22.23% 10.71%+1.43 +9.0 21
1987-02-15 @ Bohemian L 1-334.1 728 952 10.71% 22.23% 67.06%-1.43 -9.0 11
1987-02-15 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-049.0 948 908 50.46% 23.21% 26.33%+0.41 -2.4 16
1987-02-15 @ Bray Wanderers D 0-049.0 908 948 26.33% 23.21% 50.46%-0.41 +2.4 17
1987-02-15 Dundalk L 1-239.5 835 1076 16.63% 22.61% 60.76%-1.14 -7.7 13
1987-02-15 @ Cork City W 2-139.5 1076 835 60.76% 22.61% 16.63%+1.14 +7.7 23
1987-02-15 Sligo Rovers L 0-143.4 828 815 47.19% 23.27% 29.54%+0.26 -19.1 10
1987-02-15 @ Limerick W 1-043.4 815 828 29.54% 23.27% 47.19%-0.26 +19.1 13
1987-02-15 Waterford W 2-137.7 1174 954 66.77% 22.27% 10.96%+1.40 +5.3 31
1987-02-15 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-237.7 954 1174 10.96% 22.27% 66.77%-1.40 -5.3 23
1987-02-22 Athlone Town W 1-030.8 1084 780 71.42% 21.50% 7.07%+1.87 +3.7 25
1987-02-22 @ Dundalk L 0-130.8 780 1084 7.07% 21.50% 71.42%-1.87 -3.7 9
1987-02-22 Bray Wanderers W 2-146.1 897 946 38.76% 23.30% 37.94%-0.08 +15.1 17
1987-02-22 @ Galway United (old) L 1-246.1 946 897 37.94% 23.30% 38.76%+0.08 -15.1 16
1987-02-22 Limerick L 0-139.1 719 809 32.90% 23.25% 43.85%-0.31 -14.3 11
1987-02-22 @ Home Farm W 1-039.1 809 719 43.85% 23.25% 32.90%+0.31 +14.3 12
1987-02-22 Cork City D 0-048.9 834 828 46.34% 23.27% 30.39%+0.23 -1.5 14
1987-02-22 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-048.9 828 834 30.39% 23.27% 46.34%-0.23 +1.6 14
1987-02-22 Shamrock Rovers L 1-335.3 911 1179 14.55% 22.42% 63.03%-1.29 -11.8 17
1987-02-22 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 3-135.3 1179 911 63.03% 22.42% 14.55%+1.29 +11.8 33
1987-02-22 Bohemian W 2-035.4 949 961 43.84% 23.29% 32.87%+0.12 +27.0 25
1987-02-22 @ Waterford L 0-235.4 961 949 32.87% 23.29% 43.84%-0.12 -27.0 21
1987-03-08 Sligo Rovers L 0-140.5 776 833 37.60% 23.29% 39.11%-0.12 -15.9 9
1987-03-08 @ Athlone Town W 1-040.5 833 776 39.11% 23.29% 37.60%+0.12 +15.9 16
1987-03-08 Dundalk L 0-136.6 931 1088 24.74% 23.06% 52.21%-0.68 -11.4 16
1987-03-08 @ Bray Wanderers W 1-036.6 1088 931 52.21% 23.06% 24.74%+0.68 +11.4 27
1987-03-08 Home Farm W 3-244.9 829 704 59.45% 22.89% 17.66%+0.88 +7.7 16
1987-03-08 @ Cork City L 2-344.9 704 829 17.66% 22.89% 59.45%-0.88 -7.7 11
1987-03-08 Bohemian L 0-138.3 824 934 30.37% 23.21% 46.42%-0.42 -13.4 12
1987-03-08 @ Limerick W 1-038.3 934 824 46.42% 23.21% 30.37%+0.42 +13.4 23
1987-03-08 Galway United (old) W 3-133.2 1191 912 70.16% 21.76% 8.09%+1.73 +6.9 35
1987-03-08 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-333.2 912 1191 8.09% 21.76% 70.16%-1.73 -6.9 17
1987-03-08 Waterford W 2-147.3 899 976 34.82% 23.27% 41.90%-0.23 +16.3 19
1987-03-08 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-247.3 976 899 41.90% 23.27% 34.82%+0.23 -16.3 25
1987-03-15 Cork City L 1-252.4 959 837 59.23% 22.90% 17.87%+0.87 -22.3 25
1987-03-15 @ Waterford W 2-152.4 837 959 17.87% 22.90% 59.23%-0.87 +22.3 18
1987-03-22 Cork City W 2-141.0 947 859 55.87% 23.06% 21.07%+0.68 +9.4 25
1987-03-22 @ Bohemian L 1-241.0 859 947 21.07% 23.06% 55.87%-0.68 -9.4 18
1987-03-22 Shamrock Rovers W 2-039.1 1099 1198 31.86% 23.23% 44.90%-0.35 +34.5 29
1987-03-22 @ Dundalk L 0-239.1 1198 1099 44.90% 23.23% 31.86%+0.35 -34.5 35
1987-03-22 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-144.5 905 915 44.12% 23.29% 32.59%+0.13 +13.4 19
1987-03-22 @ Galway United (old) L 1-244.5 915 905 32.59% 23.29% 44.12%-0.13 -13.4 19
1987-03-22 Athlone Town L 0-140.2 697 760 36.65% 23.29% 40.07%-0.16 -15.6 11
1987-03-22 @ Home Farm W 1-040.2 760 697 40.07% 23.29% 36.65%+0.16 +15.6 11
1987-03-22 Bray Wanderers D 1-153.5 849 919 35.65% 23.28% 41.07%-0.20 +0.5 17
1987-03-22 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-153.5 919 849 41.07% 23.28% 35.65%+0.20 -0.4 17
1987-03-22 Limerick W 6-030.1 937 810 59.63% 22.88% 17.49%+0.89 +44.6 27
1987-03-22 @ Waterford L 0-630.1 810 937 17.49% 22.88% 59.63%-0.89 -44.6 12
1987-03-29 Bohemian L 0-135.8 776 957 22.17% 22.95% 54.88%-0.81 -10.4 11
1987-03-29 @ Athlone Town W 1-035.8 957 776 54.88% 22.95% 22.17%+0.81 +10.4 27
1987-03-29 Home Farm L 2-359.7 919 681 67.89% 22.12% 9.99%+1.50 -24.3 17
1987-03-29 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-259.7 681 919 9.99% 22.12% 67.89%-1.50 +24.3 13
1987-03-29 Limerick L 1-251.3 850 766 55.45% 23.07% 21.48%+0.65 -20.9 18
1987-03-29 @ Cork City W 2-151.3 766 850 21.48% 23.07% 55.45%-0.65 +20.9 14
1987-03-29 Waterford D 0-048.9 919 982 36.72% 23.29% 39.99%-0.16 +0.3 20
1987-03-29 @ Galway United (old) D 0-048.9 982 919 39.99% 23.29% 36.72%+0.16 -0.3 28
1987-03-29 Sligo Rovers W 4-130.0 1163 849 71.87% 21.41% 6.73%+1.92 +8.1 37
1987-03-29 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-430.0 849 1163 6.73% 21.41% 71.87%-1.92 -8.1 17
1987-03-29 Dundalk D 0-049.1 902 1134 17.41% 22.67% 59.91%-1.09 +4.5 20
1987-03-29 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-049.1 1134 902 59.91% 22.67% 17.41%+1.09 -4.4 30
1987-03-31 Bray Wanderers W 2-032.3 967 894 54.22% 23.11% 22.67%+0.59 +20.0 29
1987-03-31 @ Bohemian L 0-232.3 894 967 22.67% 23.11% 54.22%-0.59 -20.0 17
1987-03-31 Galway United (old) L 2-359.3 1129 919 66.14% 22.34% 11.52%+1.35 -23.6 30
1987-03-31 @ Dundalk W 3-259.3 919 1129 11.52% 22.34% 66.14%-1.35 +23.6 22
1987-04-02 Limerick D 1-153.6 906 786 58.99% 22.91% 18.09%+0.85 -3.8 21
1987-04-02 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-153.6 786 906 18.09% 22.91% 58.99%-0.85 +3.8 15
1987-04-05 Athlone Town W 3-139.6 790 765 48.67% 23.24% 28.08%+0.33 +20.6 17
1987-04-05 @ Limerick L 1-339.6 765 790 28.08% 23.24% 48.67%-0.33 -20.6 11
1987-04-14 Shamrock Rovers L 1-331.9 705 1171 5.27% 20.47% 74.26%-2.38 -4.4 13
1987-04-14 @ Home Farm W 3-131.9 1171 705 74.26% 20.47% 5.27%+2.38 +4.5 39
1987-04-17 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-236.6 841 903 36.91% 23.29% 39.80%-0.15 -29.6 17
1987-04-17 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-036.6 903 841 39.80% 23.29% 36.91%+0.15 +29.6 23

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1987-03-29 9.99% Home Farm 681 3 @ Bray Wanderers 919 2
2 1987-03-31 11.52% Galway United (old) 919 3 @ Dundalk 1129 2
3 1987-03-15 17.87% Cork City 837 2 @ Waterford 959 1
4 1986-12-14 18.02% Galway United (old) 932 1 @ Waterford 1053 0
5 1987-01-04 18.25% Dundalk 935 3 @ Waterford 1053 0
6 1987-01-04 20.72% Sligo Rovers 827 2 @ Galway United (old) 919 1
7 1987-03-29 21.48% Limerick 766 2 @ Cork City 850 1
8 1987-01-11 21.94% St Patrick's Athletic 895 1 @ Bohemian 974 0
9 1986-12-14 23.05% Cork City 825 3 @ Limerick 894 1
10 1986-12-07 23.30% Home Farm 751 2 @ Athlone Town 818 1
11 1986-10-24 25.40% @ Home Farm 819 2 Dundalk 971 1
12 1986-10-26 26.61% @ Athlone Town 834 2 Bray Wanderers 974 1
13 1986-11-02 27.35% Home Farm 839 2 @ Sligo Rovers 870 1
14 1986-12-12 27.46% @ Home Farm 771 2 Bray Wanderers 905 1
15 1987-01-04 27.93% @ Home Farm 785 1 St Patrick's Athletic 915 0
16 1986-12-21 27.98% Dundalk 930 2 @ Galway United (old) 956 1
17 1986-12-28 28.03% @ Sligo Rovers 808 2 Galway United (old) 937 1
18 1986-11-30 29.17% Cork City 779 4 @ Home Farm 796 1
19 1987-02-15 29.54% Sligo Rovers 815 1 @ Limerick 828 0
20 1986-12-28 29.61% Bray Wanderers 861 3 @ Limerick 874 1
21 1987-01-04 30.51% @ Athlone Town 759 3 Cork City 868 1
22 1987-01-25 30.94% @ Limerick 815 1 Galway United (old) 920 0
23 1987-01-25 31.44% @ Cork City 815 2 St Patrick's Athletic 917 1
24 1987-03-22 31.86% @ Dundalk 1099 2 Shamrock Rovers 1198 0
25 1986-11-23 32.20% @ Cork City 763 3 Sligo Rovers 859 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1987-01-04 64.25 Dundalk 3 935 18.25% @ Waterford 0 1053 58.83% 22.92%
2 1987-01-11 58.08 Dundalk 8 999 51.52% @ Sligo Rovers 1 848 25.40% 23.08%
3 1987-01-25 47.39 @ Bray Wanderers 3 915 34.84% Waterford 0 992 41.89% 23.27%
4 1986-12-07 46.26 @ Shamrock Rovers 5 1054 54.55% Dundalk 0 978 22.35% 23.10%
5 1987-03-22 44.62 @ Waterford 6 937 59.63% Limerick 0 810 17.49% 22.88%
6 1986-11-30 44.48 Cork City 4 779 29.17% @ Home Farm 1 796 47.57% 23.26%
7 1986-11-09 41.55 Waterford 5 957 45.02% @ Home Farm 1 858 31.75% 23.23%
8 1986-10-19 38.62 @ Waterford 5 890 47.81% Athlone Town 1 872 28.93% 23.26%
9 1986-12-14 35.17 Cork City 3 825 23.05% @ Limerick 1 894 53.83% 23.13%
10 1987-03-22 34.55 @ Dundalk 2 1099 31.86% Shamrock Rovers 0 1198 44.90% 23.23%
11 1986-12-28 31.20 Bray Wanderers 3 861 29.61% @ Limerick 1 874 47.12% 23.27%
12 1987-01-04 30.70 @ Athlone Town 3 759 30.51% Cork City 1 868 46.28% 23.21%
13 1987-04-17 29.57 St Patrick's Athletic 2 903 39.80% @ Sligo Rovers 0 841 36.91% 23.29%
14 1987-01-25 28.93 Sligo Rovers 3 784 33.61% @ Home Farm 1 766 43.09% 23.30%
15 1986-11-02 28.25 @ Waterford 2 929 41.90% Bray Wanderers 0 955 34.80% 23.30%
16 1986-11-23 27.60 Waterford 3 998 36.05% @ Bohemian 1 963 40.65% 23.30%
17 1987-02-22 27.02 @ Waterford 2 949 43.84% Bohemian 0 961 32.87% 23.29%
18 1986-12-21 25.09 Bohemian 3 954 40.76% @ Bray Wanderers 1 886 35.95% 23.28%
19 1987-03-29 24.30 Home Farm 3 681 9.99% @ Bray Wanderers 2 919 67.89% 22.12%
20 1987-03-31 23.64 Galway United (old) 3 919 11.52% @ Dundalk 2 1129 66.14% 22.34%
21 1986-12-14 23.55 Galway United (old) 1 932 18.02% @ Waterford 0 1053 59.07% 22.91%
22 1986-11-09 23.26 Shamrock Rovers 3 1020 44.12% @ Bray Wanderers 1 927 32.63% 23.25%
23 1987-01-11 23.24 Galway United (old) 3 898 44.15% @ Home Farm 1 805 32.60% 23.25%
24 1987-03-15 22.27 Cork City 2 837 17.87% @ Waterford 1 959 59.23% 22.90%
25 1987-01-11 21.96 St Patrick's Athletic 1 895 21.94% @ Bohemian 0 974 54.97% 23.09%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1987-03-29 59.7 Home Farm 3 681 9.99% @ Bray Wanderers 2 919 67.89% 22.12%
2 1987-01-18 59.3 @ Bray Wanderers 2 918 59.47% Athlone Town 2 793 17.65% 22.89%
3 1987-03-31 59.3 Galway United (old) 3 919 11.52% @ Dundalk 2 1129 66.14% 22.34%
4 1986-10-26 59.2 @ Sligo Rovers 2 870 37.26% Waterford 2 929 39.45% 23.29%
5 1986-11-02 59.2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 882 56.08% Cork City 2 792 20.87% 23.05%
6 1986-11-09 59.2 @ Limerick 2 935 43.59% Dundalk 2 949 33.12% 23.30%
7 1987-01-23 59.2 @ Bohemian 2 953 29.16% Dundalk 2 1073 47.66% 23.18%
8 1986-11-23 53.7 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1043 61.59% St Patrick's Athletic 1 894 15.66% 22.75%
9 1986-11-23 53.6 @ Athlone Town 1 813 24.82% Dundalk 1 970 52.12% 23.06%
10 1986-12-28 53.6 @ Bohemian 1 980 26.51% Shamrock Rovers 1 1121 50.37% 23.11%
11 1986-12-28 53.6 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 919 60.62% Home Farm 1 781 16.56% 22.82%
12 1987-02-08 53.6 @ Galway United (old) 1 902 53.85% Cork City 1 832 23.02% 23.13%
13 1987-04-02 53.6 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 906 58.99% Limerick 1 786 18.09% 22.91%
14 1986-10-19 53.5 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 895 42.28% Bohemian 1 918 34.42% 23.30%
15 1986-11-23 53.5 @ Bray Wanderers 1 905 37.26% Galway United (old) 1 964 39.45% 23.29%
16 1986-11-30 53.5 @ Sligo Rovers 1 843 48.89% Athlone Town 1 816 27.87% 23.24%
17 1986-12-07 53.5 @ Cork City 1 824 28.47% Bohemian 1 949 48.36% 23.17%
18 1987-03-22 53.5 @ Sligo Rovers 1 849 35.65% Bray Wanderers 1 919 41.07% 23.28%
19 1986-11-23 53.1 @ Cork City 3 763 32.20% Sligo Rovers 2 859 44.56% 23.24%
20 1987-03-15 52.4 Cork City 2 837 17.87% @ Waterford 1 959 59.23% 22.90%
21 1986-11-09 51.9 St Patrick's Athletic 3 880 35.96% @ Athlone Town 2 845 40.74% 23.30%
22 1987-01-04 51.5 Sligo Rovers 2 827 20.72% @ Galway United (old) 1 919 56.24% 23.04%
23 1987-03-29 51.3 Limerick 2 766 21.48% @ Cork City 1 850 55.45% 23.07%
24 1986-12-07 50.7 Home Farm 2 751 23.30% @ Athlone Town 1 818 53.57% 23.13%
25 1986-10-24 50.1 @ Home Farm 2 819 25.40% Dundalk 1 971 51.52% 23.08%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1986-12-19 24.9 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1112 72.22% Home Farm 0 790 6.45% 21.32%
2 1987-01-18 25.3 @ Dundalk 4 1057 70.03% Home Farm 0 781 8.20% 21.78%
3 1987-01-18 26.9 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1144 72.25% Cork City 0 821 6.43% 21.32%
4 1987-01-11 27.0 Shamrock Rovers 3 1126 65.01% @ Limerick 0 832 12.77% 22.22%
5 1986-11-16 27.6 @ Dundalk 3 950 63.08% Cork City 0 782 14.28% 22.64%
6 1987-01-25 27.9 Shamrock Rovers 2 1150 68.91% @ Athlone Town 0 796 9.40% 21.69%
7 1987-03-29 30.0 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1163 71.87% Sligo Rovers 1 849 6.73% 21.41%
8 1987-03-22 30.1 @ Waterford 6 937 59.63% Limerick 0 810 17.49% 22.88%
9 1986-12-07 30.7 @ Shamrock Rovers 5 1054 54.55% Dundalk 0 978 22.35% 23.10%
10 1987-02-22 30.8 @ Dundalk 1 1084 71.42% Athlone Town 0 780 7.07% 21.50%
11 1986-11-16 30.9 @ Galway United (old) 2 947 58.74% Athlone Town 0 830 18.33% 22.93%
12 1987-04-14 31.9 Shamrock Rovers 3 1171 74.26% @ Home Farm 1 705 5.27% 20.47%
13 1987-02-08 32.0 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1159 65.23% Bray Wanderers 1 962 12.33% 22.44%
14 1987-03-31 32.3 @ Bohemian 2 967 54.22% Bray Wanderers 0 894 22.67% 23.11%
15 1987-01-18 32.7 @ Waterford 1 985 65.11% Sligo Rovers 0 790 12.43% 22.45%
16 1986-10-19 32.8 @ Dundalk 2 949 52.65% Sligo Rovers 0 891 24.19% 23.16%
17 1987-03-08 33.2 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1191 70.16% Galway United (old) 1 912 8.09% 21.76%
18 1986-10-19 33.5 @ Bray Wanderers 1 967 62.33% Cork City 0 809 14.97% 22.70%
19 1986-11-02 33.5 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1012 62.45% Athlone Town 0 853 14.86% 22.69%
20 1987-02-15 34.1 @ Bohemian 3 952 67.06% Home Farm 1 728 10.71% 22.23%
21 1987-01-11 34.3 Dundalk 8 999 51.52% @ Sligo Rovers 1 848 25.40% 23.08%
22 1987-02-08 34.4 @ Waterford 3 944 65.93% Home Farm 1 737 11.71% 22.37%
23 1986-11-23 34.7 @ Limerick 1 918 58.36% Home Farm 0 805 18.69% 22.95%
24 1987-02-08 34.7 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 899 58.30% Athlone Town 0 787 18.75% 22.95%
25 1986-12-14 35.3 Shamrock Rovers 3 1100 63.19% @ Sligo Rovers 1 830 14.40% 22.41%